大力水手1的个人主页 - 老虎社区

大力水手1

大力水手1

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IP属地：辽宁

12关注

17粉丝

2主题

0勋章

04-24

17480，纳斯达克。。。

2023-01-09

空你算是空对了

B站去年前9个月净亏损超60亿元，宣布增发1534.4万股

2022-08-25

$乐华娱乐(02306)$我来领奖了

2021-11-09

$海底捞(06862)$纯纯的刀口舔血，三次了，如果不是指标百分百到位肯定不会买他，必须开仓之后第二天甚至当天就涨才行。他目前还是贵，短线见好就收。

2021-08-11

$MSCI Inc(MSCI)$这股人气怎么这么差，是都不知道还是啥原因。

2021-07-09

$海底捞(06862)$通道打开了，有一波反弹。

2021-06-21

$优信(UXIN)$都要倒闭了，他疯涨你们就敢接盘，真是无知者无畏。

2021-06-10

粽子节快乐。

@话题虎:您有一份【粽子礼盒】尚未领取！速来啦~！

2021-05-28

$恒生指数(HSI)$港股太被动了，又跟A又跟美

2021-05-27

@京东物流打新收手续费不算的？

京东物流暗盘盘初涨21.9% 每手赚884港元

2021-05-26

$理想汽车(LI)$财报哪哪都不好为啥涨，逼空吗，待会我空你。

2021-05-26

$理想汽车(LI)$理想财报可能不及预期，原因是缺芯导致。加上新款车型没有诱惑力，叠加政策风险越来越大，逻辑恐要发生改变。

2021-05-12

$Twitter(TWTR)$认输了，我去年买了个表。

2021-04-27

$京东健康(06618)$这股人气这么差吗，

2021-04-21

$fuboTV Inc.(FUBO)$貌似很多人看好他，看好他的逻辑是什么

2021-04-15

$MSCI Inc(MSCI)$这股怎么没人打卡

2021-04-02

真特么坏

林园：现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，牛市才刚刚开始

2021-03-13

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$[吃瓜]

2021-02-24

$老虎证券(TIGR)$25谁买着了，我没买到

2021-02-20

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$这个玩意真猛

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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21:36","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"B站去年前9个月净亏损超60亿元，宣布增发1534.4万股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302455771","media":"格隆汇","summary":"票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>1月9日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>盘中跌超6%。消息面上，哔哩哔哩2022年前9个月净营业额约157.57亿元，同比增加15.8%；毛利润约26亿元，净亏损约60.11亿元。其中，移动游戏净营业额增加2.1%至38.75亿元，主要是由于新推出移动游戏所致。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f877ac5fbe901f55e64b32f4b89a64f5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>此外，哔哩哔哩公告，于2023年1月9日，公司与包销商订立股权包销及票据交换协议，据此，公司同意发行1534.4万股Z类美国存托股份ADS，以部分交换包销商及其适用联属人士将透过私下商讨自若干票据持有人购买本金总额3.85亿美元的未赎回2026年12月票据。于2023年1月9日，公司就包销商以发售价发售及出售1534.4万股美国存托股向美国证交会递交表F-3的暂搁注册声明及初步招股章程补充文件。预期会将该等美国存托股配售予不少于六名承配人。发售价为每股美国存托股26.65美元，假设所有待发售的美国存托股获悉数认购，所得款项净额将约为3.97亿美元。</p><p>公告称，票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2fd920da2bde1c4b78fc50ce7c7583\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"620\" 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nB站去年前9个月净亏损超60亿元，宣布增发1534.4万股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-09 21:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月9日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>盘中跌超6%。消息面上，哔哩哔哩2022年前9个月净营业额约157.57亿元，同比增加15.8%；毛利润约26亿元，净亏损约60.11亿元。其中，移动游戏净营业额增加2.1%至38.75亿元，主要是由于新推出移动游戏所致。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f877ac5fbe901f55e64b32f4b89a64f5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>此外，哔哩哔哩公告，于2023年1月9日，公司与包销商订立股权包销及票据交换协议，据此，公司同意发行1534.4万股Z类美国存托股份ADS，以部分交换包销商及其适用联属人士将透过私下商讨自若干票据持有人购买本金总额3.85亿美元的未赎回2026年12月票据。于2023年1月9日，公司就包销商以发售价发售及出售1534.4万股美国存托股向美国证交会递交表F-3的暂搁注册声明及初步招股章程补充文件。预期会将该等美国存托股配售予不少于六名承配人。发售价为每股美国存托股26.65美元，假设所有待发售的美国存托股获悉数认购，所得款项净额将约为3.97亿美元。</p><p>公告称，票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2fd920da2bde1c4b78fc50ce7c7583\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175fbf5f75752267f2ac52ba7750f15a","relate_stocks":{"09626":"哔哩哔哩-W","BILI":"哔哩哔哩"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302455771","content_text":"1月9日，哔哩哔哩盘中跌超6%。消息面上，哔哩哔哩2022年前9个月净营业额约157.57亿元，同比增加15.8%；毛利润约26亿元，净亏损约60.11亿元。其中，移动游戏净营业额增加2.1%至38.75亿元，主要是由于新推出移动游戏所致。此外，哔哩哔哩公告，于2023年1月9日，公司与包销商订立股权包销及票据交换协议，据此，公司同意发行1534.4万股Z类美国存托股份ADS，以部分交换包销商及其适用联属人士将透过私下商讨自若干票据持有人购买本金总额3.85亿美元的未赎回2026年12月票据。于2023年1月9日，公司就包销商以发售价发售及出售1534.4万股美国存托股向美国证交会递交表F-3的暂搁注册声明及初步招股章程补充文件。预期会将该等美国存托股配售予不少于六名承配人。发售价为每股美国存托股26.65美元，假设所有待发售的美国存托股获悉数认购，所得款项净额将约为3.97亿美元。公告称，票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09626":1,"BILI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":660924746,"gmtCreate":1661394479190,"gmtModify":1661394479190,"author":{"id":"3472076408255625","authorId":"3472076408255625","name":"大力水手1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5558cdd5fb1423463fa2e346faa9ac33","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472076408255625","idStr":"3472076408255625"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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class=\"title\">\n京东物流暗盘盘初涨21.9% 每手赚884港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-27 16:38 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2021-05-27/doc-ikmxzfmm5003143.shtml><strong>新浪港股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>京东物流（02618）将于5月28日（星期五）在香港挂牌。截至北京时间16：15，利弗莫尔证券暗盘交易显示报价49.20港元，较招股价40.36港元涨21.9%。每手100股，不计手续费，每手赚884港元。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2021-05-27/doc-ikmxzfmm5003143.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25e108e80ab0d5329f36d3b166f67111","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggipo/2021-05-27/doc-ikmxzfmm5003143.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2138126991","content_text":"京东物流（02618）将于5月28日（星期五）在香港挂牌。截至北京时间16：15，利弗莫尔证券暗盘交易显示报价49.20港元，较招股价40.36港元涨21.9%。每手100股，不计手续费，每手赚884港元。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136721804,"gmtCreate":1622040495908,"gmtModify":1622078069896,"author":{"id":"3472076408255625","authorId":"3472076408255625","name":"大力水手1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5558cdd5fb1423463fa2e346faa9ac33","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472076408255625","idStr":"3472076408255625"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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11:51","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"林园：现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，牛市才刚刚开始","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155433155","media":"投资作业本","summary":"“涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又","content":"<p>“涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又涨上去，因为趋势一旦形成了很难改变。在牛市中，30%的调整经常能见到。”</p><p>“现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，（牛市）才刚刚开始，大家都还在亏钱，怎么能到顶呢？到什么时候涨的大家都不敢相信的时候了，基本是全民都解套了。”</p><p>“资金往头部公司集中的规律是全球性的，不仅中国资金，全球资金都在流入头部公司。过去100年，资金都是在抱团的。这不是机构“商量”着来的，是资金的一种自然选择。”</p><p>“我们要投资“有钱人”，不要投资“穷人”，投资穷人很难挣钱。这不是中国独有的现象，全球股市都有这个规律，甚至比中国市场表现的还显著。”</p><p>“跟嘴巴相关的东西是一个人的基本生活需求，这些都是一些快速消费品，对未来比较容易把握。相关企业的账目容易算清楚一些，所以我们还是倾向于选择这样的公司。”</p><p>“每个人对震荡的反应不一样，有时候强求别人按照自己的方法，也达不到想要的效果。坚守自己擅长或熟悉的领域，不去想结果，结果往往是投资理念水到渠成的一个结果。”</p><p>“没有龙头说明这个行业还在竞争，所以长期来看——一般超过三年，这个行业一定没有（出现）高估。在竞争（过程中的）时候投资一家公司，（等它）成龙头之后就是“观赏股”了。”</p><p>“乳制品按照发展周期来看，现在还处于——不能说是婴儿，也还是青少年阶段。还没有产生真正的龙头，里面充满了机会。”</p><p>“医药行业还在充分竞争，看着市盈率较高，但当龙头竞争出来后，几年时间市盈率就降下来了。医药板块的机会，主要看产品是否有未来，是否有更大的市场，我将这点作为一个主要依据。”</p><p>“我们的资产配置中有99.5%配置了股票资产，别的没有投资。对我来说，股票是眼下最好的配置选择。当然我们也会考虑其他资产的配置，例如国债。”3月30日，深圳市林园投资董事长林园在一场直播中作出了以上判断。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb28308190f43bbe82ab9993cefe7f69\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>以下是投资作业本整理的精华内容，分享给大家：</p><p><b>现在是牛市初期概率非常大，</b></p><p><b>30%的调整经常见到</b></p><p>主持人：春节以后市场出现了一波调整，林总对这波调整怎么看？现在还是牛市格局吗？</p><p>林园：涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。</p><p>美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又涨上去，因为趋势一旦形成了很难改变。在牛市中，30%的调整经常能见到。</p><p>现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，（牛市）才刚刚开始，大家都还在亏钱，怎么能到顶呢？到什么时候涨的大家都不敢相信的时候了，基本是全民都解套了。</p><p>主持人：市场调整后还会下跌吗？还是从长期来看，只是一个小波动？</p><p><b>林园：</b>小波动的概率非常大。</p><p><b>资金往头部公司集中是全球性规律</b></p><p>主持人：您怎么看抱团股？“机构抱团”是真实存在的，还是仅仅是资金的一种选择？</p><p>林园：资金往头部公司集中的规律是全球性的，不仅中国资金，全球资金都在流入头部公司。过去100年，资金都是在抱团的。这不是机构“商量”着来的，是资金的一种自然选择。在中国市场上，2016年以来，资金就在流入头部公司，这个趋势已经延续好几年了。</p><p><b>这个趋势未来会更加明显，因为全球竞争愈发激烈，生产过剩是全球现象，所以资金通过常识选择了头部公司</b>。</p><p>主持人：这种常识就是好的公司必然会吸引资金的追捧。</p><p><b>林园：</b>对。现在企业数量太多了，不是顶尖的企业，生存都很难，更别说赚钱了。<b>我们要投资“有钱人”，不要投资“穷人”，投资穷人很难挣钱。这不是中国独有的现象，全球股市都有这个规律，</b>甚至比中国市场表现的还显著。</p><p><b>&nbsp;“嘴巴”相关的东西是快消品，</b></p><p><b>对未来易把握，倾向选择</b></p><p>主持人：跟嘴巴相关的行业，现在怎么看？</p><p>林园：跟嘴巴相关的东西是一个人的基本生活需求，人生无非“吃喝”二字。凡是跟嘴巴相关的，每个人的消费量是差不多的，欧美国家的人和中国人消费的“量”是差不多的，价格上有些差别，但总体上相差不大。这些都是一些快速消费品，对未来比较容易把握。</p><p><b>“嘴巴”是指人的基础消费，相关企业的账目容易算清楚一些，所以我们还是倾向于选择这样的公司</b>。</p><p><b>投资坚守擅长领域，往往水到渠成</b></p><p>主持人：有投资人的心态是，关于投资的分析框架我都清楚，但过程中拿不住，一有波动就想跑怎么办？</p><p>林园：这和每个人的性格有关系，有些人在出现地震的时候还很镇静，但有些人不行。前段时间，我们去了四川汶川，我家里的长辈就说，那个地方有地震，不能呆，她就会想到极端的情况。但当地人不在乎，让我过去走走，我对地震也没什么担忧。</p><p>每个人对震荡的反应不一样，我也没什么建议，投资者自己觉得怎么样好，就怎么样吧。很多时候这是性格决定的。有时候强求别人按照自己的方法，也达不到想要的效果。我之前认识的一个投资者，刚开始听了我的话赚了钱，后来又走了弯路，现在又回来（找我）。我说，之前也不能算弯路，没准你一条路走到黑就会出现你的机会，回来也不见得对。</p><p>坚守自己擅长或熟悉的领域，不去想结果，结果往往是投资理念水到渠成的一个结果。</p><p><b>选择没有龙头行业的公司</b></p><p>主持人：您之前谈到选择公司方面，会选择还没有龙头的行业，原因是什么？</p><p>林园：<b>没有龙头说明这个行业还在竞争，所以长期来看——一般超过三年，这个行业一定没有（出现）高估。在竞争（过程中的）时候投资一家公司，（等它）成龙头之后就是“观赏股”了。</b></p><p>主持人：怎么看哪些企业会成为龙头，哪些企业会被淘汰掉？</p><p><b>林园：</b>财务指标。很多龙头企业因为经营的好，我们会看月报、年报、销售情况等，这些是动态的。具体的方法，大家可以买本财务书看看。</p><p>除了财务指标，核心管理人的风格等，也很重要，但抽象的东西很难判断。客观上，造假、财务指标等容易观测。</p><p>以下为林园与在线投资者的互动情况：</p><p><b>乳制品行业没有真正的龙头，充满了机会</b></p><p>提问：请问林总，您怎么看乳制品行业的机会？</p><p><b>林园</b>：乳制品按照发展周期来看，现在还处于——不能说是婴儿，也还是青少年阶段。还没有产生真正的龙头，里面充满了机会。</p><p><b>医药板块龙头竞争出来后，市盈率会下降</b></p><p>提问：怎么看医药板块较高的市盈率？</p><p><b>林园：</b>医药行业还在充分竞争，看着市盈率较高，但当龙头竞争出来后，几年时间市盈率就降下来了。</p><p>提问：那怎么看医药板块的机会呢？</p><p><b>林园</b>：主要看产品是否有未来，是否有更大的市场，我将这点作为一个主要依据。</p><p><b>股票是眼下最好的配置选择</b></p><p>提问：请问林总，什么时候做大类资产配置的计划？比如是配置房地产、股票还是别的什么资产？</p><p>林园：我们没有做大类资产配置，我们的资产配置中有99.5%配置了股票资产，别的没有投资。对我来说，股票是眼下最好的配置选择。当然我们也会考虑其他资产的配置，例如国债。</p><p>提问：有一个网友说今年股市能创新高，您怎么看？</p><p>林园：我判断不了，只能说概率不小。我也希望它涨。</p><p><b>有额外钱的企业大概率是好企业</b></p><p>提问：您怎么看待企业在主业之外做的投资？</p><p>林园：<b>优秀的企业一定是自己的现金流充沛，然后投资额外的产品，有额外的钱的企业大概率是好企业。</b></p><p>不要跟那些一聊天就说自己缺钱的企业做投资，（上世纪）九几年的时候，一些企业的老板说公司投资了几个亿做什么什么，但是最近缺几百万。总是“不缺大钱，缺小钱”，这种企业风险很大，好的企业不会出现这种情况。</p><p><b>好的企业根基是稳固的，</b>例如，五粮液在20多年前做投资出现亏损，但主营业务用一个月的时间就赚回来了。对投资者来说，最多睡一个月觉，不看就行了。</p><p>提问：我们所提的公司只做举例，不做买入卖出推荐。</p><p>林园：我说的是20年前的五粮液，当时五粮液几块钱。</p><p>提问：您如何看待现金流充沛的企业在投资领域获得额外的收益？</p><p>林园：这种收益是没有什么问题的，<b>如果这家企业是有钱的，肯定比“穷人”的好。最后，我们还是要看这个企业的命运是不是掌握在自己手上。从风控的角度看，</b>要看这家公司做得是否与其业绩相匹配的投资，最起码这家公司不能去用杠杆投资，或者做一些自己控制不了的事情。</p><p>如果是用自有资金去投资，而且风险是可控的。如果是我，我也会去做，这就是资产配置。如果我今年投100亿能赚到1000亿，1000亿再赚到2000亿，钱越来越多，这完全是好事。</p><p><b>比较看好券商，尤其资管业务</b></p><p>提问：您对券商行业尤其是互联网券商怎么看？</p><p><b>林园：我是比较看好券商的，特别是其资管业务。虽然有人说券商是靠天吃饭的，但我们会发现，券商整个的盈利水平比20年前或10年前是有质的提升的。</b></p><p>提问：军工呢？</p><p>林园：我没看过。</p><p>提问：中药行业您是否持续看好？您怎么评价中药外包模式？</p><p>林园：因为是中国人，老祖宗的东西还是值得留下的，并且中药确实是有效的。</p><p>至于中药外包我不做评价。</p><p><b>现在做充电桩都是亏钱的，</b></p><p><b>将来是要发展的</b></p><p>提问：您觉得充电桩行业是否是个好赛道？</p><p>林园：将来这是要发展的，但现在做充电桩都是亏钱的。</p><p><b>不会投资医美行业，</b></p><p><b>门槛不高最后肯定过剩</b></p><p>提问：医美行业是不是一个好的赛道？</p><p>林园：这是大家公认的一个好赛道，但我不会去投资。因为我看到一些女孩都是一样的鼻子，（医美）现在肯定是一股热潮。但如果接下来这个行业继续繁荣的话，竞争也是非常激烈的。现在的资本都在向医美靠拢，肯定是都觉得好，但其门槛并不高，最后肯定会过剩，这就是投资的常识。</p><p>提问：最后，请您对我们的网友提一个建议。</p><p>林园：自己投资，自己把握。股市本来就具备高风险，既然要投资亏了也不要去哀声叹气。还是要大气点，原谅自己，钱最后都是一张废纸。当然，投资之前我们每个人都不要高估自己的能力，首先要想到风险。</p>","source":"lsy1597111094582","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n林园：现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，牛市才刚刚开始\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-01 11:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Z7ZQq6er1wytqJEzFBJ1TA><strong>投资作业本</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又涨上去，因为趋势一旦形成了很难改变。在牛市中，30%的调整经常能见到。”“现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，（牛市）才刚刚开始，大家都还在亏钱，怎么能到顶呢？到什么时候涨的大家都不敢相信的时候了，基本是全民都...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Z7ZQq6er1wytqJEzFBJ1TA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb28308190f43bbe82ab9993cefe7f69","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Z7ZQq6er1wytqJEzFBJ1TA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155433155","content_text":"“涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又涨上去，因为趋势一旦形成了很难改变。在牛市中，30%的调整经常能见到。”“现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，（牛市）才刚刚开始，大家都还在亏钱，怎么能到顶呢？到什么时候涨的大家都不敢相信的时候了，基本是全民都解套了。”“资金往头部公司集中的规律是全球性的，不仅中国资金，全球资金都在流入头部公司。过去100年，资金都是在抱团的。这不是机构“商量”着来的，是资金的一种自然选择。”“我们要投资“有钱人”，不要投资“穷人”，投资穷人很难挣钱。这不是中国独有的现象，全球股市都有这个规律，甚至比中国市场表现的还显著。”“跟嘴巴相关的东西是一个人的基本生活需求，这些都是一些快速消费品，对未来比较容易把握。相关企业的账目容易算清楚一些，所以我们还是倾向于选择这样的公司。”“每个人对震荡的反应不一样，有时候强求别人按照自己的方法，也达不到想要的效果。坚守自己擅长或熟悉的领域，不去想结果，结果往往是投资理念水到渠成的一个结果。”“没有龙头说明这个行业还在竞争，所以长期来看——一般超过三年，这个行业一定没有（出现）高估。在竞争（过程中的）时候投资一家公司，（等它）成龙头之后就是“观赏股”了。”“乳制品按照发展周期来看，现在还处于——不能说是婴儿，也还是青少年阶段。还没有产生真正的龙头，里面充满了机会。”“医药行业还在充分竞争，看着市盈率较高，但当龙头竞争出来后，几年时间市盈率就降下来了。医药板块的机会，主要看产品是否有未来，是否有更大的市场，我将这点作为一个主要依据。”“我们的资产配置中有99.5%配置了股票资产，别的没有投资。对我来说，股票是眼下最好的配置选择。当然我们也会考虑其他资产的配置，例如国债。”3月30日，深圳市林园投资董事长林园在一场直播中作出了以上判断。以下是投资作业本整理的精华内容，分享给大家：现在是牛市初期概率非常大，30%的调整经常见到主持人：春节以后市场出现了一波调整，林总对这波调整怎么看？现在还是牛市格局吗？林园：涨多了就要跌，但现在牛市初期的概率非常大。牛市也不是不调整，一些头部公司从2016年以来就在上涨，涨多了就会调整，但牛市初期的趋势还在。美股之前出现大幅下跌的时候，很多人认为美股牛市终结了，但后来又涨上去，因为趋势一旦形成了很难改变。在牛市中，30%的调整经常能见到。现在不是谈论“顶”的时候，（牛市）才刚刚开始，大家都还在亏钱，怎么能到顶呢？到什么时候涨的大家都不敢相信的时候了，基本是全民都解套了。主持人：市场调整后还会下跌吗？还是从长期来看，只是一个小波动？林园：小波动的概率非常大。资金往头部公司集中是全球性规律主持人：您怎么看抱团股？“机构抱团”是真实存在的，还是仅仅是资金的一种选择？林园：资金往头部公司集中的规律是全球性的，不仅中国资金，全球资金都在流入头部公司。过去100年，资金都是在抱团的。这不是机构“商量”着来的，是资金的一种自然选择。在中国市场上，2016年以来，资金就在流入头部公司，这个趋势已经延续好几年了。这个趋势未来会更加明显，因为全球竞争愈发激烈，生产过剩是全球现象，所以资金通过常识选择了头部公司。主持人：这种常识就是好的公司必然会吸引资金的追捧。林园：对。现在企业数量太多了，不是顶尖的企业，生存都很难，更别说赚钱了。我们要投资“有钱人”，不要投资“穷人”，投资穷人很难挣钱。这不是中国独有的现象，全球股市都有这个规律，甚至比中国市场表现的还显著。 “嘴巴”相关的东西是快消品，对未来易把握，倾向选择主持人：跟嘴巴相关的行业，现在怎么看？林园：跟嘴巴相关的东西是一个人的基本生活需求，人生无非“吃喝”二字。凡是跟嘴巴相关的，每个人的消费量是差不多的，欧美国家的人和中国人消费的“量”是差不多的，价格上有些差别，但总体上相差不大。这些都是一些快速消费品，对未来比较容易把握。“嘴巴”是指人的基础消费，相关企业的账目容易算清楚一些，所以我们还是倾向于选择这样的公司。投资坚守擅长领域，往往水到渠成主持人：有投资人的心态是，关于投资的分析框架我都清楚，但过程中拿不住，一有波动就想跑怎么办？林园：这和每个人的性格有关系，有些人在出现地震的时候还很镇静，但有些人不行。前段时间，我们去了四川汶川，我家里的长辈就说，那个地方有地震，不能呆，她就会想到极端的情况。但当地人不在乎，让我过去走走，我对地震也没什么担忧。每个人对震荡的反应不一样，我也没什么建议，投资者自己觉得怎么样好，就怎么样吧。很多时候这是性格决定的。有时候强求别人按照自己的方法，也达不到想要的效果。我之前认识的一个投资者，刚开始听了我的话赚了钱，后来又走了弯路，现在又回来（找我）。我说，之前也不能算弯路，没准你一条路走到黑就会出现你的机会，回来也不见得对。坚守自己擅长或熟悉的领域，不去想结果，结果往往是投资理念水到渠成的一个结果。选择没有龙头行业的公司主持人：您之前谈到选择公司方面，会选择还没有龙头的行业，原因是什么？林园：没有龙头说明这个行业还在竞争，所以长期来看——一般超过三年，这个行业一定没有（出现）高估。在竞争（过程中的）时候投资一家公司，（等它）成龙头之后就是“观赏股”了。主持人：怎么看哪些企业会成为龙头，哪些企业会被淘汰掉？林园：财务指标。很多龙头企业因为经营的好，我们会看月报、年报、销售情况等，这些是动态的。具体的方法，大家可以买本财务书看看。除了财务指标，核心管理人的风格等，也很重要，但抽象的东西很难判断。客观上，造假、财务指标等容易观测。以下为林园与在线投资者的互动情况：乳制品行业没有真正的龙头，充满了机会提问：请问林总，您怎么看乳制品行业的机会？林园：乳制品按照发展周期来看，现在还处于——不能说是婴儿，也还是青少年阶段。还没有产生真正的龙头，里面充满了机会。医药板块龙头竞争出来后，市盈率会下降提问：怎么看医药板块较高的市盈率？林园：医药行业还在充分竞争，看着市盈率较高，但当龙头竞争出来后，几年时间市盈率就降下来了。提问：那怎么看医药板块的机会呢？林园：主要看产品是否有未来，是否有更大的市场，我将这点作为一个主要依据。股票是眼下最好的配置选择提问：请问林总，什么时候做大类资产配置的计划？比如是配置房地产、股票还是别的什么资产？林园：我们没有做大类资产配置，我们的资产配置中有99.5%配置了股票资产，别的没有投资。对我来说，股票是眼下最好的配置选择。当然我们也会考虑其他资产的配置，例如国债。提问：有一个网友说今年股市能创新高，您怎么看？林园：我判断不了，只能说概率不小。我也希望它涨。有额外钱的企业大概率是好企业提问：您怎么看待企业在主业之外做的投资？林园：优秀的企业一定是自己的现金流充沛，然后投资额外的产品，有额外的钱的企业大概率是好企业。不要跟那些一聊天就说自己缺钱的企业做投资，（上世纪）九几年的时候，一些企业的老板说公司投资了几个亿做什么什么，但是最近缺几百万。总是“不缺大钱，缺小钱”，这种企业风险很大，好的企业不会出现这种情况。好的企业根基是稳固的，例如，五粮液在20多年前做投资出现亏损，但主营业务用一个月的时间就赚回来了。对投资者来说，最多睡一个月觉，不看就行了。提问：我们所提的公司只做举例，不做买入卖出推荐。林园：我说的是20年前的五粮液，当时五粮液几块钱。提问：您如何看待现金流充沛的企业在投资领域获得额外的收益？林园：这种收益是没有什么问题的，如果这家企业是有钱的，肯定比“穷人”的好。最后，我们还是要看这个企业的命运是不是掌握在自己手上。从风控的角度看，要看这家公司做得是否与其业绩相匹配的投资，最起码这家公司不能去用杠杆投资，或者做一些自己控制不了的事情。如果是用自有资金去投资，而且风险是可控的。如果是我，我也会去做，这就是资产配置。如果我今年投100亿能赚到1000亿，1000亿再赚到2000亿，钱越来越多，这完全是好事。比较看好券商，尤其资管业务提问：您对券商行业尤其是互联网券商怎么看？林园：我是比较看好券商的，特别是其资管业务。虽然有人说券商是靠天吃饭的，但我们会发现，券商整个的盈利水平比20年前或10年前是有质的提升的。提问：军工呢？林园：我没看过。提问：中药行业您是否持续看好？您怎么评价中药外包模式？林园：因为是中国人，老祖宗的东西还是值得留下的，并且中药确实是有效的。至于中药外包我不做评价。现在做充电桩都是亏钱的，将来是要发展的提问：您觉得充电桩行业是否是个好赛道？林园：将来这是要发展的，但现在做充电桩都是亏钱的。不会投资医美行业，门槛不高最后肯定过剩提问：医美行业是不是一个好的赛道？林园：这是大家公认的一个好赛道，但我不会去投资。因为我看到一些女孩都是一样的鼻子，（医美）现在肯定是一股热潮。但如果接下来这个行业继续繁荣的话，竞争也是非常激烈的。现在的资本都在向医美靠拢，肯定是都觉得好，但其门槛并不高，最后肯定会过剩，这就是投资的常识。提问：最后，请您对我们的网友提一个建议。林园：自己投资，自己把握。股市本来就具备高风险，既然要投资亏了也不要去哀声叹气。还是要大气点，原谅自己，钱最后都是一张废纸。当然，投资之前我们每个人都不要高估自己的能力，首先要想到风险。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326236308,"gmtCreate":1615649568704,"gmtModify":1703491894803,"author":{"id":"3472076408255625","authorId":"3472076408255625","name":"大力水手1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5558cdd5fb1423463fa2e346faa9ac33","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472076408255625","idStr":"3472076408255625"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>B站去年前9个月净亏损超60亿元，宣布增发1534.4万股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nB站去年前9个月净亏损超60亿元，宣布增发1534.4万股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-09 21:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月9日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>盘中跌超6%。消息面上，哔哩哔哩2022年前9个月净营业额约157.57亿元，同比增加15.8%；毛利润约26亿元，净亏损约60.11亿元。其中，移动游戏净营业额增加2.1%至38.75亿元，主要是由于新推出移动游戏所致。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f877ac5fbe901f55e64b32f4b89a64f5\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>此外，哔哩哔哩公告，于2023年1月9日，公司与包销商订立股权包销及票据交换协议，据此，公司同意发行1534.4万股Z类美国存托股份ADS，以部分交换包销商及其适用联属人士将透过私下商讨自若干票据持有人购买本金总额3.85亿美元的未赎回2026年12月票据。于2023年1月9日，公司就包销商以发售价发售及出售1534.4万股美国存托股向美国证交会递交表F-3的暂搁注册声明及初步招股章程补充文件。预期会将该等美国存托股配售予不少于六名承配人。发售价为每股美国存托股26.65美元，假设所有待发售的美国存托股获悉数认购，所得款项净额将约为3.97亿美元。</p><p>公告称，票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2fd920da2bde1c4b78fc50ce7c7583\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175fbf5f75752267f2ac52ba7750f15a","relate_stocks":{"09626":"哔哩哔哩-W","BILI":"哔哩哔哩"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2302455771","content_text":"1月9日，哔哩哔哩盘中跌超6%。消息面上，哔哩哔哩2022年前9个月净营业额约157.57亿元，同比增加15.8%；毛利润约26亿元，净亏损约60.11亿元。其中，移动游戏净营业额增加2.1%至38.75亿元，主要是由于新推出移动游戏所致。此外，哔哩哔哩公告，于2023年1月9日，公司与包销商订立股权包销及票据交换协议，据此，公司同意发行1534.4万股Z类美国存托股份ADS，以部分交换包销商及其适用联属人士将透过私下商讨自若干票据持有人购买本金总额3.85亿美元的未赎回2026年12月票据。于2023年1月9日，公司就包销商以发售价发售及出售1534.4万股美国存托股向美国证交会递交表F-3的暂搁注册声明及初步招股章程补充文件。预期会将该等美国存托股配售予不少于六名承配人。发售价为每股美国存托股26.65美元，假设所有待发售的美国存托股获悉数认购，所得款项净额将约为3.97亿美元。公告称，票据交换交易整体上将优化公司的资产负债表及资本架构。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09626":1,"BILI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":138739006,"gmtCreate":1621960491005,"gmtModify":1621960491005,"author":{"id":"3472076408255625","authorId":"3472076408255625","name":"大力水手1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5558cdd5fb1423463fa2e346faa9ac33","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3472076408255625","idStr":"3472076408255625"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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