阿诺德的个人主页 - 老虎社区

阿诺德

阿诺德

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2021-09-24

贬值更严重了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-06

$迪士尼(DIS)$[微笑]

2020-12-25

$小米集团-W(01810)$没想到有今天😂

2020-08-20

$小米集团-W(01810)$持仓两年，先跑一部分😂😂

2020-05-19

$迪士尼(DIS)$虽然没懂为何涨[开心]

2020-04-04

$AMC院线(AMC)$哎

2020-03-23

$迪士尼(DIS)$看美国形势貌似还不是底

2020-03-17

$迪士尼(DIS)$全线亏啊这是

2020-03-13

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@荒野侦探:恐慌之下谈迪士尼投资价值

2020-01-16

$XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B(01810)$ 开心😁 2020有望解套

2019-12-13

$XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B(01810)$ 解套期待中

2019-11-18

2019-11-18 交易笔记 by 阿诺德

2019-11-18 成本现价浮动收益小米集团-W(01810) 17.971 8.500 -52.70% $小米集团-W(01810)$

2019-11-18 交易笔记 by 阿诺德

2019-11-18

2019-11-18 交易笔记 by 阿诺德

2019-11-18 成本现价浮动收益小米集团-W(01810) 17.971 8.500 -52.70% 呵呵这是得等好多年了吧。

2019-11-18 交易笔记 by 阿诺德

2018-09-26

$美团点评-W(03690)$ 要反手做空？

2018-09-20

$美团点评-W(03690)$ 现在是买不了吗

2018-08-03

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 短期震荡，看好小米！中国踏实左产品的没几个了

2018-07-26

$小米集团-W(01810)$ 看好小米，长期持有了。至少要比几个赔钱的视频和直播强些吧

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>虽然没懂为何涨[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>虽然没懂为何涨[开心]&nbsp;","text":"$迪士尼(DIS)$虽然没懂为何涨[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08c0c96ec4c5d31f71c4309a813f303","width":"1080","height":"1461"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/959836919","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3533731191515431","authorId":"3533731191515431","name":"问就是小号","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aea7dd94418cb558fe987e92406b33a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3533731191515431","idStr":"3533731191515431"},"content":"佛州迪士尼公园确定了开园时间，而且和雇员协会达成了共识，都是利好，不过盘后出新闻高管被挖到海外抖音","text":"佛州迪士尼公园确定了开园时间，而且和雇员协会达成了共识，都是利好，不过盘后出新闻高管被挖到海外抖音","html":"佛州迪士尼公园确定了开园时间，而且和雇员协会达成了共识，都是利好，不过盘后出新闻高管被挖到海外抖音"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923751355,"gmtCreate":1585930691577,"gmtModify":1704359836859,"author":{"id":"3485464480118257","authorId":"3485464480118257","name":"阿诺德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6423e09eb21b2242cb37d82973f1493","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3485464480118257","idStr":"3485464480118257"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>哎","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>哎","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$哎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48cb3a1c68c4c2a9869f42372906f54","width":"1080","height":"1461"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":35,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923751355","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548236469707990","authorId":"3548236469707990","name":"9527报道","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/960644d9310431410afd1a0af2dced20","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3548236469707990","idStr":"3548236469707990"},"content":"这个图在哪请问，我咋没有","text":"这个图在哪请问，我咋没有","html":"这个图在哪请问，我咋没有"},{"author":{"id":"3458738367709590","authorId":"3458738367709590","name":"秋木林","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1be4cdfffc5173c5dafa9697b7678151","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3458738367709590","idStr":"3458738367709590"},"content":"申请破产了","text":"申请破产了","html":"申请破产了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":920890360,"gmtCreate":1584970586150,"gmtModify":1704356343924,"author":{"id":"3485464480118257","authorId":"3485464480118257","name":"阿诺德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6423e09eb21b2242cb37d82973f1493","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3485464480118257","idStr":"3485464480118257"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a>全线亏啊这是","text":"$迪士尼(DIS)$全线亏啊这是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0382e048b502073bbf75041d9c51114","width":"1080","height":"1461"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964282561","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965448775,"gmtCreate":1584056932497,"gmtModify":1704352830137,"author":{"id":"3485464480118257","authorId":"3485464480118257","name":"阿诺德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6423e09eb21b2242cb37d82973f1493","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3485464480118257","idStr":"3485464480118257"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965448775","repostId":"965675347","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":965675347,"gmtCreate":1584009282788,"gmtModify":1704352416708,"author":{"id":"3480300888703096","authorId":"3480300888703096","name":"荒野侦探","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/676ca151c5979a45c1864347e2da198a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3480300888703096","idStr":"3480300888703096"},"themes":[],"title":"恐慌之下谈迪士尼投资价值","htmlText":"股价从100到150迪士尼走了四年，从150跌回100只用了四个月。这份跌幅无法和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a>的壮烈相比，但恐慌之下也充满机遇不是吗。分享四点<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a> 投资主题： 充分估值，值得长期持有 依目前的价格，迪士尼的估值合理。迪士尼当前市盈率约为19倍，与17.65的历史中值相比，似乎略微高估了一些。基于TTM市盈率回归均值17.65，并使用2020年每股收益预估为5.45美元，考虑到公园关闭、邮轮取消和公园参观人数减少的因素，我们得出的公允价值为每股96.19美元;然而，这是在公园游客减少、游船运力下降等因素的影响下产生的。 如果我们调整这些估计，并在4个月内开始好转，那么我们可以看到2020年每股收益估计为6美元，计算出的公允价值为105.90美元。而如果再调整一下，当迪士尼+、Hulu、ESPN+和Hotstar计入收益时，人们将愿意为迪士尼的收益支付更高的倍数。我们认为，到2020年，每股21美元的市盈率是有可能的，而当你把这个数字与我们每股5.45美元的较低每股收益估值结合起来，你就会得到114.45美元的公允价值。而如果使用6美元作为较低每股收益，你得到的公允价值估计值为126美元。 老实说,估值应与长期持有相结合才有好结果。 业务多样化 我们开始研究DIS的原因之一是，除了它是世界上最幸福的地方，我们希望有一天能把孩子带过来，此外它的商业模式在许多细分市场上都是多样化的。迪士尼主要经营主题公园、电影、电视和直接面向消费者的业务。 今天，当大多数人想到迪斯尼时，他们想到的是主题公园。公园、体验和产品细分，占营收的38%，这部分包括加州迪士","listText":"股价从100到150迪士尼走了四年，从150跌回100只用了四个月。这份跌幅无法和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a>的壮烈相比，但恐慌之下也充满机遇不是吗。分享四点<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$迪士尼(DIS)$</a> 投资主题： 充分估值，值得长期持有 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