空不了3的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2021-01-15

$老虎证券(TIGR)$根本不用打新，直接全仓老虎股票，比打新多，不必抱怨[开心]

2021-01-13

只是股价升了导致金额多了吧

@raymings:$老虎证券(TIGR)$老虎的流通股是不是变多了？

2021-01-01

$老虎证券(TIGR)$ $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 这些散户太可怕了，涨了9%+还不满意

2020-12-22

$老虎证券(TIGR)$一群等着4刀5刀的天天喊空的踏空了，看着可笑，觉得股票有几倍空间，还在乎一两块钱干什么，上车锁仓不就好了。明知道前有东财，富途做类比，老虎只差一个港股牌照，拿下起码翻两倍。还天天喊空，不理解[笑哭]

2020-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 被动基金都进去了，等着这货带崩大盘吧 [开心]

2020-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 别老喊庄家，只是最后十分钟，很多被动基金买入开始罢了，以前在的基金，设置好操作，到点闭着眼睛market order执行的，不会管价格，钱又不是自己的

2020-12-07

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$小鹏解释一下，自己补贴车商，把车卖给二手车商，二手车车商把车低价发往租车公司，17万车实际11万卖出的事？把费用打进运营成本，为了销量大增，毛利转正。一群内部人士在等着180天解禁，这要不是个一地鸡毛是不可能的

2020-12-07

我说什么了的？小鹏这个货纯骗子出身[开心]

@空不了3:$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完

2020-12-03

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完

2020-11-04

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$话说的太多，要清楚谁的天下

2020-09-30

泼妇吵架，川普就像个孩子一样不让别人说话，拜登别老闭眼笑，显得sleepy

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-09-29

决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战

美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？

2020-08-28

2020-02-01

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$瑞幸将在周一的声明里，公布自己的配方含有双黄连成分，具有抑制病毒的作用，股票将报复大涨，逼空浑水🙈

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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这些散户太可怕了，涨了9%+还不满意","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331109786","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3482595947136213","authorId":"3482595947136213","name":"不会飞的猪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3ad190f0fd617509ad800a89f700229","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3482595947136213","authorIdStr":"3482595947136213"},"content":"我从11块站岗到现在，我容易吗，更别提那些死在23块阵地上的兄弟了","text":"我从11块站岗到现在，我容易吗，更别提那些死在23块阵地上的兄弟了","html":"我从11块站岗到现在，我容易吗，更别提那些死在23块阵地上的兄弟了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":330523868,"gmtCreate":1608649913354,"gmtModify":1703735997560,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/398460191","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":306556415,"gmtCreate":1604419836237,"gmtModify":1703833077721,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>话说的太多，要清楚谁的天下","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>话说的太多，要清楚谁的天下","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$话说的太多，要清楚谁的天下","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c9d9e436f62d7dd7310695cea0698fa","width":"1024","height":"768"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306556415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"content":"一群沙雕最好了解下蚂蚁的资本运作方式再说话。真以为政府愿意背着骂名管这种烂事儿呢。","text":"一群沙雕最好了解下蚂蚁的资本运作方式再说话。真以为政府愿意背着骂名管这种烂事儿呢。","html":"一群沙雕最好了解下蚂蚁的资本运作方式再说话。真以为政府愿意背着骂名管这种烂事儿呢。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":977307786,"gmtCreate":1601431223045,"gmtModify":1703824292505,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"泼妇吵架，川普就像个孩子一样不让别人说话，拜登别老闭眼笑，显得sleepy","listText":"泼妇吵架，川普就像个孩子一样不让别人说话，拜登别老闭眼笑，显得sleepy","text":"泼妇吵架，川普就像个孩子一样不让别人说话，拜登别老闭眼笑，显得sleepy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/977307786","repostId":"1175144930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974740490,"gmtCreate":1601342384210,"gmtModify":1703824004041,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","listText":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","text":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974740490","repostId":"1167477218","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167477218","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1601341964,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167477218?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-29 09:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167477218","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴","content":"<p>北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。</p><p>特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-09-29 09:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。</p><p>特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1704f0a16ec496b62f5900ef515c0","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167477218","content_text":"北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>小鹏解释一下，自己补贴车商，把车卖给二手车商，二手车车商把车低价发往租车公司，17万车实际11万卖出的事？把费用打进运营成本，为了销量大增，毛利转正。一群内部人士在等着180天解禁，这要不是个一地鸡毛是不可能的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>小鹏解释一下，自己补贴车商，把车卖给二手车商，二手车车商把车低价发往租车公司，17万车实际11万卖出的事？把费用打进运营成本，为了销量大增，毛利转正。一群内部人士在等着180天解禁，这要不是个一地鸡毛是不可能的","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$小鹏解释一下，自己补贴车商，把车卖给二手车商，二手车车商把车低价发往租车公司，17万车实际11万卖出的事？把费用打进运营成本，为了销量大增，毛利转正。一群内部人士在等着180天解禁，这要不是个一地鸡毛是不可能的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392923812","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6628,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397449781,"gmtCreate":1608324805443,"gmtModify":1703852497302,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 别老喊庄家，只是最后十分钟，很多被动基金买入开始罢了，以前在的基金，设置好操作，到点闭着眼睛market order执行的，不会管价格，钱又不是自己的","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 别老喊庄家，只是最后十分钟，很多被动基金买入开始罢了，以前在的基金，设置好操作，到点闭着眼睛market order执行的，不会管价格，钱又不是自己的","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 别老喊庄家，只是最后十分钟，很多被动基金买入开始罢了，以前在的基金，设置好操作，到点闭着眼睛market order执行的，不会管价格，钱又不是自己的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397449781","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3533084678796733","authorId":"3533084678796733","name":"給你壹个韭菜包","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f738c869c9e22180516f2e2b4baffd5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533084678796733","authorIdStr":"3533084678796733"},"content":"被动购买不会拉升吧！只有按市价购买才会拉升！","text":"被动购买不会拉升吧！只有按市价购买才会拉升！","html":"被动购买不会拉升吧！只有按市价购买才会拉升！"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":398460191,"gmtCreate":1606936454713,"gmtModify":1703845545534,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a>以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","text":"$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$以这货的人品，这么疯狂拉高，应该是要配合高位增发圈钱，估计会赶在四季报之前发完","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/398460191","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974740490,"gmtCreate":1601342384210,"gmtModify":1703824004041,"author":{"id":"3491342766376610","authorId":"3491342766376610","name":"空不了3","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491342766376610","authorIdStr":"3491342766376610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","listText":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","text":"决定了拜登是不是老年痴呆，能不能干翻川建国的重要一战","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974740490","repostId":"1167477218","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167477218","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1601341964,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167477218?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-29 09:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167477218","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴","content":"<p>北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。</p><p>特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-09-29 09:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。</p><p>特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1704f0a16ec496b62f5900ef515c0","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167477218","content_text":"北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris 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