张胜东的个人主页 - 老虎社区

张胜东

张胜东

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：江苏

117关注

2粉丝

15主题

0勋章

2022-08-12

~~不错~~

2022-06-14

盖楼送祝福人人为我我为人人

@小虎活动:【老虎八周年】盖楼送祝福，人人有奖！

2022-02-05

$顺丰同城(09699)$已经亏到没边了…

2021-10-03

他是一个好人~~真正的投资者是价值投资吧

@话题虎:【7日打卡】经典重温：百年老店Baillie Gifford如何践行长期主义？

2021-08-22

买

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-22

好

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-22

好

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-25

反正不是我

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-25

不错

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-25

赞

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-22

一路走好

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-06

基金之后走势如何？

2021-03-05

小米最近怎么看？

2020-12-30

国药怎么样？

2020-12-23

好~

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-22

复星医药怎么样？

2020-12-21

不错

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-11-07

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@FinMelon:浅析蚂蚁是如何缔造2.1万亿的金融帝国

2020-10-31

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@美股解毒师:蚂蚁金服4000亿美金的估值从何而来？

2020-10-31

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@MidasMike:知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"老虎今年8岁了，感谢各位虎友一直以来的陪伴。在过去的8年时间，我们从美股出发，把交易不断扩充到港股、英股、星股、澳股、期权期货市场，还推出了闲钱管家、基金超市等产品，一步步实现“一个账户，投资全球”的目标。8年时间，我们从中国走向世界，自两年前实施国际化战略以来，目前超过80%的新融资账户来自国际市场。在新加坡，我们注册人数占据当地20-70岁人口的20%，今年我们更是进军了澳洲新西兰市场。为了回馈广大虎友，我们将会在接下来的一周，每天揭晓一重惊喜好礼，此外我们将会在明天上线一个超级大的福利活动，与虎友们一起开启时光机，瓜分百万豪礼！诚邀虎友们跟小虎一起嗨起来，参与小虎生日大趴。come on！好了，先来揭晓一下今天的小惊喜，小虎君想邀请广大虎友参与盖楼送祝福活动，给投资带来好运，凡是参与的虎友均可获得虎币奖励哦。💡参与方式 转发本帖并在本帖盖楼送祝福，即视为参与成功 🎁活动奖励 凡是在本帖评论区留言的虎友都可以获得88虎币； 除此之外，我们还会给每位踩中楼层数有8的虎友送出100虎币（严禁连续回帖≥3层）； 评论区@你的好友一起参加活动可以获得10虎币（上限100虎币）。 ⏰活动时间 即日起-6月20日 📒特别说明 严禁抄袭、剽窃，一旦发现将取消参赛资格； 禁止发布黄色，暴力，涉毒等不良违法图片及相关文字； 活动最终解释权归老虎社区所有。$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d23d150f1e0aeb4f061bf41331ac4bf4","width":"750","height":"375"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680500740","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633641330,"gmtCreate":1644036504856,"gmtModify":1644036504856,"author":{"id":"3493710811103938","authorId":"3493710811103938","name":"张胜东","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e1dd3635a2539eac848901737fbf10f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3493710811103938","authorIdStr":"3493710811103938"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09699\">$顺丰同城(09699)$</a>已经亏到没边了…","listText":"<a 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Gifford如何践行长期主义？","htmlText":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 也颇为热衷，近年先后投资了网易、腾讯、中国平安、阿里巴巴、京东、美团、拼多多、字节跳动等诸多中国一流企业。 Billie Gifford于1908年在苏格兰爱丁堡成立，目前资产管理规模约3000亿美元。 詹姆斯·安德森（James Anderson) Baillie Gifford合伙人之一 还不不了解虎友，点击下面两个文章立即认知Billie Gifford 【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1115182751\" target=\"_blank\">经典重温】知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1175661282\" target=\"_blank\">【经典重温】Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿</a> 那么，Baillie Gifford是如何做投资的？如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？","listText":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 也颇为热衷，近年先后投资了网易、腾讯、中国平安、阿里巴巴、京东、美团、拼多多、字节跳动等诸多中国一流企业。 Billie Gifford于1908年在苏格兰爱丁堡成立，目前资产管理规模约3000亿美元。 詹姆斯·安德森（James Anderson) Baillie Gifford合伙人之一 还不不了解虎友，点击下面两个文章立即认知Billie Gifford 【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1115182751\" target=\"_blank\">经典重温】知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1175661282\" target=\"_blank\">【经典重温】Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿</a> 那么，Baillie Gifford是如何做投资的？如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？","text":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/90016\">$蚂蚁集团(临时)(90016)$</a> 翘首以待的投资者眉目一紧—— 瑞信最新的报告显示，阿里巴巴旗下蚂蚁集团的估值应提升至3800至4610亿美元，2020年全年净利预期将同比增长141%至433亿人民币。 怎么变化这么快呢？从之前的2500亿美元，到最近的2800亿美元（或2万亿RMB），都能明显看到“询价”的痕迹。但是3800亿-4600亿的估值，貌似步子也太大了一些？ 瑞信是这么说的， 阿里、腾讯、京东、美团和拼多多这五家公司的平均PEG（市盈率相对盈利增长比率）为1.2x 全球互联网巨头亚马逊、谷歌和Facebook的平均PEG比率为1.6x 蚂蚁集团应该在1.2x-1.4x的PEG 如果2020-2022年收入的复合增长率为32%（言下之意利润和收入水平至少保持相同），那市盈率就将在38-45之间。 如果蚂蚁集团2020年全年净利润同比增长141%，达到433亿元，未来按照32%的增长，那么2021年为570亿元，2022年为750亿元。2022年按照45倍PE可以达到4600亿美元。 敢突然迈这么大步子，肯定不是空穴来风。 根据蚂蚁聆讯后的招股文件 前三季度的营业收入1181.91亿元，同比增长42.56%，毛利润695.49亿元，同比增长74.28%。按照年末达到1100亿毛利润的话，433亿的 净利润（IFRS）相当于是毛利率的39% 。 可是，2019年的净利润占毛利润比例是30%。 只能说，非要给这么高的目标，蚂蚁要垫垫脚尖的话，还尚且能够着。 PE等倍数估值法有一个比较大的问题是，最终估值对估值倍数的变化比较敏感。一个小的变动可能就引起大范围的调整，同时对不同目标时期点的估值，如果不说清楚的话，也会相差较大。 所以从2800亿-4800亿，只要改","listText":"今天下午，路透的一条新闻让对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/90016\">$蚂蚁集团(临时)(90016)$</a> 翘首以待的投资者眉目一紧—— 瑞信最新的报告显示，阿里巴巴旗下蚂蚁集团的估值应提升至3800至4610亿美元，2020年全年净利预期将同比增长141%至433亿人民币。 怎么变化这么快呢？从之前的2500亿美元，到最近的2800亿美元（或2万亿RMB），都能明显看到“询价”的痕迹。但是3800亿-4600亿的估值，貌似步子也太大了一些？ 瑞信是这么说的， 阿里、腾讯、京东、美团和拼多多这五家公司的平均PEG（市盈率相对盈利增长比率）为1.2x 全球互联网巨头亚马逊、谷歌和Facebook的平均PEG比率为1.6x 蚂蚁集团应该在1.2x-1.4x的PEG 如果2020-2022年收入的复合增长率为32%（言下之意利润和收入水平至少保持相同），那市盈率就将在38-45之间。 如果蚂蚁集团2020年全年净利润同比增长141%，达到433亿元，未来按照32%的增长，那么2021年为570亿元，2022年为750亿元。2022年按照45倍PE可以达到4600亿美元。 敢突然迈这么大步子，肯定不是空穴来风。 根据蚂蚁聆讯后的招股文件 前三季度的营业收入1181.91亿元，同比增长42.56%，毛利润695.49亿元，同比增长74.28%。按照年末达到1100亿毛利润的话，433亿的 净利润（IFRS）相当于是毛利率的39% 。 可是，2019年的净利润占毛利润比例是30%。 只能说，非要给这么高的目标，蚂蚁要垫垫脚尖的话，还尚且能够着。 PE等倍数估值法有一个比较大的问题是，最终估值对估值倍数的变化比较敏感。一个小的变动可能就引起大范围的调整，同时对不同目标时期点的估值，如果不说清楚的话，也会相差较大。 所以从2800亿-4800亿，只要改","text":"今天下午，路透的一条新闻让对$蚂蚁集团(临时)(90016)$ 翘首以待的投资者眉目一紧—— 瑞信最新的报告显示，阿里巴巴旗下蚂蚁集团的估值应提升至3800至4610亿美元，2020年全年净利预期将同比增长141%至433亿人民币。 怎么变化这么快呢？从之前的2500亿美元，到最近的2800亿美元（或2万亿RMB），都能明显看到“询价”的痕迹。但是3800亿-4600亿的估值，貌似步子也太大了一些？ 瑞信是这么说的， 阿里、腾讯、京东、美团和拼多多这五家公司的平均PEG（市盈率相对盈利增长比率）为1.2x 全球互联网巨头亚马逊、谷歌和Facebook的平均PEG比率为1.6x 蚂蚁集团应该在1.2x-1.4x的PEG 如果2020-2022年收入的复合增长率为32%（言下之意利润和收入水平至少保持相同），那市盈率就将在38-45之间。 如果蚂蚁集团2020年全年净利润同比增长141%，达到433亿元，未来按照32%的增长，那么2021年为570亿元，2022年为750亿元。2022年按照45倍PE可以达到4600亿美元。 敢突然迈这么大步子，肯定不是空穴来风。 根据蚂蚁聆讯后的招股文件 前三季度的营业收入1181.91亿元，同比增长42.56%，毛利润695.49亿元，同比增长74.28%。按照年末达到1100亿毛利润的话，433亿的 净利润（IFRS）相当于是毛利率的39% 。 可是，2019年的净利润占毛利润比例是30%。 只能说，非要给这么高的目标，蚂蚁要垫垫脚尖的话，还尚且能够着。 PE等倍数估值法有一个比较大的问题是，最终估值对估值倍数的变化比较敏感。一个小的变动可能就引起大范围的调整，同时对不同目标时期点的估值，如果不说清楚的话，也会相差较大。 所以从2800亿-4800亿，只要改","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe8718f8125130c4579274811936ec0","width":"1467","height":"245"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301386651","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1863,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":306071443,"gmtCreate":1604144305182,"gmtModify":1703832160948,"author":{"id":"3493710811103938","authorId":"3493710811103938","name":"张胜东","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e1dd3635a2539eac848901737fbf10f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3493710811103938","authorIdStr":"3493710811103938"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306071443","repostId":"303817712","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":303817712,"gmtCreate":1603094920136,"gmtModify":1703828617047,"author":{"id":"3473459794537757","authorId":"3473459794537757","name":"MidasMike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cafd3d1411d04107e3c4859369109f6","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473459794537757","authorIdStr":"3473459794537757"},"themes":[],"title":"知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMT.UK\">$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后，苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford（“柏基”）在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元，这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后（可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿），另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣：Baillie Gifford如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？如何真正做到了“Actual investors think in decades, not in quarters？”长期主义知易行难，但是Baillie Gifford却成功地践行了这一理念：其投资平均持仓周期接近10年，并且视期间的价格波动、新闻甚至季报为噪音；然而旗舰基金SMIT过去十年净值增长768%，而BG则成为英国成长最快的资管公司，资管规模在过去五年已经翻番并高达 2620亿英镑。下图：Baillie Gi","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMT.UK\">$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a>&nbsp;七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后，苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford（“柏基”）在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元，这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后（可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿），另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣：Baillie Gifford如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？如何真正做到了“Actual investors think in decades, not in quarters？”长期主义知易行难，但是Baillie Gifford却成功地践行了这一理念：其投资平均持仓周期接近10年，并且视期间的价格波动、新闻甚至季报为噪音；然而旗舰基金SMIT过去十年净值增长768%，而BG则成为英国成长最快的资管公司，资管规模在过去五年已经翻番并高达 2620亿英镑。下图：Baillie Gi","text":"$SCOTTISH MORT(SMT.UK)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $蔚来(NIO)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 七年重仓陪跑特斯拉后，苏格兰资产管理公司Baillie Gifford（“柏基”）在高位减持约近四成仓位并获利约170亿美元，这家低调的百年老店突然成为中国投资圈里的网红。在对Baillie Gifford的投资风格进行了初步复盘之后（可参考Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿），另外一个问题开始引起了我的极大兴趣：Baillie 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Gifford如何践行长期主义？","htmlText":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 也颇为热衷，近年先后投资了网易、腾讯、中国平安、阿里巴巴、京东、美团、拼多多、字节跳动等诸多中国一流企业。 Billie Gifford于1908年在苏格兰爱丁堡成立，目前资产管理规模约3000亿美元。 詹姆斯·安德森（James Anderson) Baillie Gifford合伙人之一 还不不了解虎友，点击下面两个文章立即认知Billie Gifford 【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1115182751\" target=\"_blank\">经典重温】知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1175661282\" target=\"_blank\">【经典重温】Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿</a> 那么，Baillie Gifford是如何做投资的？如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？","listText":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 也颇为热衷，近年先后投资了网易、腾讯、中国平安、阿里巴巴、京东、美团、拼多多、字节跳动等诸多中国一流企业。 Billie Gifford于1908年在苏格兰爱丁堡成立，目前资产管理规模约3000亿美元。 詹姆斯·安德森（James Anderson) Baillie Gifford合伙人之一 还不不了解虎友，点击下面两个文章立即认知Billie Gifford 【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1115182751\" target=\"_blank\">经典重温】知行合一：Baillie Gifford如何实现长期主义</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1175661282\" target=\"_blank\">【经典重温】Baillie Gifford的长线思维：陪跑特斯拉七年获利千亿</a> 那么，Baillie Gifford是如何做投资的？如何有效地构建起行之有效的长线投资体系？","text":"Morning~大家早~ _(:з」∠)_ 【7日打卡计划】连续7天在小话的帖子按要求回复任务的虎友将获得老虎月球灯或等值奖品！每日精彩评论也将获得虎币！ 今天小话带大家回顾骨灰级老牌投资基金 Baillie Gifford（柏基）的投资圣经。 在全球投资界，Baillie Gifford是一个传奇般的存在。 它最广为人知的是重仓特斯拉七年获利千亿。其实，在众多世界级伟大企业的机构股东名单中，都有Baillie Gifford的身影： 它是全球基因测序巨头Illumina，以及被誉为是拉美版eBay的电商平台MercadoLibre的第一大股东； 是流媒体音乐服务平台Spotify的第二大机构股东； 也是Google、Facebook、英伟达等著名上市公司的重要机构股； 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