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04-12
周五做的空 吐了
苹果股价连续反弹，市场在押注iPhone获得关税豁免吗？
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>股价反弹。</p><p>特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。<strong>苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000多亿美元，本周五股价单日上涨4.1%，收于198.15美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0c723c5eb7d81355b7369ebb2ca978\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>这一反弹源自华尔街分析师和投资者越来越相信苹果将获得关税豁免，这一预期已成为支撑股价的关键因素。</strong></p><p>CFRA Research分析师Angelo Zino表示，苹果获得豁免的可能性已经显著增加：</p><blockquote><p>“按目前情况，<strong>关税影响对苹果来说尤为严重，潜在增加其销售成本约500亿美元。</strong>”</p><p>“我们预计苹果会推迟将任何关税成本转嫁给消费者，直到秋季产品周期，同时如果贸易协议短期内无法实现，我们将苹果获得特殊豁免的概率从20%提高到50%。”</p></blockquote><p>Mizuho Securities交易台分析师Jordan Klein的观点更为乐观，他表示与之交谈的投资者都坚信特朗普将向苹果提供豁免：</p><blockquote><p>“90%的投资者似乎相信苹果将获得关税豁免，毕竟该公司在2018年特朗普执政期间就获得过一次豁免。”</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_1896526236\">美国就业与政治考量支撑豁免可能</h2><p>在当前地缘政治紧张局势下，苹果独特的地位可能成为其获得特殊待遇的关键。</p><p>分析师们指出，<strong>特朗普不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，</strong>特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国制造业和其他国内投资上支出超过5000亿美元之后。</p><p>Jordan Klein强调：</p><blockquote><p><strong>“该公司雇佣了太多人，美国选民过度依赖iPhone，不会接受iPhone售价达到2000美元的情况。”</strong></p></blockquote><p>另一个支持苹果获得豁免的论点是，<strong>特朗普的关税政策可能反而助力了苹果的主要竞争对手——韩国的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSNLF\">三星电子</a>。</strong>从政治角度看，这种结果显然与特朗普的“美国优先”政策相悖。</p><h2 id=\"id_2252992744\">苹果并非完全依赖豁免，已开始多管齐下应对</h2><p>尽管市场普遍看好苹果获得豁免的前景，但该公司并未将所有希望寄托于此。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师Erik Woodring表示：</p><blockquote><p>“我们不认为苹果将仅仅押注于总统豁免，而且正如我们在跟踪该公司时所了解的，苹果始终保持长期思考。”</p></blockquote><p>苹果近年来一直致力于将其产业链多元化，包括将部分iPhone生产转移到印度。在90天关税缓期内，苹果可能将寻求其印度合作伙伴，以满足美国iPhone需求。</p><p>Woodring估计，为满足美国的iPhone需求，<strong>苹果需要将其印度生产能力提高一倍，尽管这可能需要更长时间才能实现。</strong></p><p>还有观点指出，另一种策略是<strong>通过提供融资计划、增加运营商补贴和提高以旧换新价值</strong>来缓解人为抬高的iPhone价格。</p><p>如果无法获得豁免，苹果可能会采取其他策略减轻关税压力。大摩分析称，苹果可能会取消低端iPhone存储模型，将需求转向利润率更高的iPhone型号。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n苹果股价连续反弹，市场在押注iPhone获得关税豁免吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-12 17:34 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。关税豁免预期升温，苹果股价反弹。特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dd8e37009a141c78b4a4ede34830062","relate_stocks":{"LU0957808578.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2065171402.SGD":"M&G (LUX) GLOBAL MAXIMA \"A\" (SGD) INC","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU2360032135.SGD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (SGDHDG) 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(SGD) ACC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU1116320901.HKD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL ENHANCED EQUITY YIELD \"A6\" (HKD) INC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2526605266","content_text":"“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。关税豁免预期升温，苹果股价反弹。特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000多亿美元，本周五股价单日上涨4.1%，收于198.15美元。这一反弹源自华尔街分析师和投资者越来越相信苹果将获得关税豁免，这一预期已成为支撑股价的关键因素。CFRA Research分析师Angelo Zino表示，苹果获得豁免的可能性已经显著增加：“按目前情况，关税影响对苹果来说尤为严重，潜在增加其销售成本约500亿美元。”“我们预计苹果会推迟将任何关税成本转嫁给消费者，直到秋季产品周期，同时如果贸易协议短期内无法实现，我们将苹果获得特殊豁免的概率从20%提高到50%。”Mizuho Securities交易台分析师Jordan Klein的观点更为乐观，他表示与之交谈的投资者都坚信特朗普将向苹果提供豁免：“90%的投资者似乎相信苹果将获得关税豁免，毕竟该公司在2018年特朗普执政期间就获得过一次豁免。”美国就业与政治考量支撑豁免可能在当前地缘政治紧张局势下，苹果独特的地位可能成为其获得特殊待遇的关键。分析师们指出，特朗普不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国制造业和其他国内投资上支出超过5000亿美元之后。Jordan Klein强调：“该公司雇佣了太多人，美国选民过度依赖iPhone，不会接受iPhone售价达到2000美元的情况。”另一个支持苹果获得豁免的论点是，特朗普的关税政策可能反而助力了苹果的主要竞争对手——韩国的三星电子。从政治角度看，这种结果显然与特朗普的“美国优先”政策相悖。苹果并非完全依赖豁免，已开始多管齐下应对尽管市场普遍看好苹果获得豁免的前景，但该公司并未将所有希望寄托于此。摩根士丹利分析师Erik Woodring表示：“我们不认为苹果将仅仅押注于总统豁免，而且正如我们在跟踪该公司时所了解的，苹果始终保持长期思考。”苹果近年来一直致力于将其产业链多元化，包括将部分iPhone生产转移到印度。在90天关税缓期内，苹果可能将寻求其印度合作伙伴，以满足美国iPhone需求。Woodring估计，为满足美国的iPhone需求，苹果需要将其印度生产能力提高一倍，尽管这可能需要更长时间才能实现。还有观点指出，另一种策略是通过提供融资计划、增加运营商补贴和提高以旧换新价值来缓解人为抬高的iPhone价格。如果无法获得豁免，苹果可能会采取其他策略减轻关税压力。大摩分析称，苹果可能会取消低端iPhone存储模型，将需求转向利润率更高的iPhone型号。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":423703773504120,"gmtCreate":1744461831727,"gmtModify":1744464571407,"author":{"id":"3494853642887268","authorId":"3494853642887268","name":"枫的颜色","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3494853642887268","authorIdStr":"3494853642887268"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"周五做的空 吐了","listText":"周五做的空 吐了","text":"周五做的空 吐了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423703773504120","repostId":"2526605266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2526605266","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1744450470,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2526605266?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-04-12 17:34","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"苹果股价连续反弹，市场在押注iPhone获得关税豁免吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2526605266","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。</p></blockquote><p>关税豁免预期升温，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>股价反弹。</p><p>特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。<strong>苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000多亿美元，本周五股价单日上涨4.1%，收于198.15美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b0c723c5eb7d81355b7369ebb2ca978\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><strong>这一反弹源自华尔街分析师和投资者越来越相信苹果将获得关税豁免，这一预期已成为支撑股价的关键因素。</strong></p><p>CFRA Research分析师Angelo Zino表示，苹果获得豁免的可能性已经显著增加：</p><blockquote><p>“按目前情况，<strong>关税影响对苹果来说尤为严重，潜在增加其销售成本约500亿美元。</strong>”</p><p>“我们预计苹果会推迟将任何关税成本转嫁给消费者，直到秋季产品周期，同时如果贸易协议短期内无法实现，我们将苹果获得特殊豁免的概率从20%提高到50%。”</p></blockquote><p>Mizuho Securities交易台分析师Jordan Klein的观点更为乐观，他表示与之交谈的投资者都坚信特朗普将向苹果提供豁免：</p><blockquote><p>“90%的投资者似乎相信苹果将获得关税豁免，毕竟该公司在2018年特朗普执政期间就获得过一次豁免。”</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_1896526236\">美国就业与政治考量支撑豁免可能</h2><p>在当前地缘政治紧张局势下，苹果独特的地位可能成为其获得特殊待遇的关键。</p><p>分析师们指出，<strong>特朗普不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，</strong>特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国制造业和其他国内投资上支出超过5000亿美元之后。</p><p>Jordan Klein强调：</p><blockquote><p><strong>“该公司雇佣了太多人，美国选民过度依赖iPhone，不会接受iPhone售价达到2000美元的情况。”</strong></p></blockquote><p>另一个支持苹果获得豁免的论点是，<strong>特朗普的关税政策可能反而助力了苹果的主要竞争对手——韩国的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSNLF\">三星电子</a>。</strong>从政治角度看，这种结果显然与特朗普的“美国优先”政策相悖。</p><h2 id=\"id_2252992744\">苹果并非完全依赖豁免，已开始多管齐下应对</h2><p>尽管市场普遍看好苹果获得豁免的前景，但该公司并未将所有希望寄托于此。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师Erik Woodring表示：</p><blockquote><p>“我们不认为苹果将仅仅押注于总统豁免，而且正如我们在跟踪该公司时所了解的，苹果始终保持长期思考。”</p></blockquote><p>苹果近年来一直致力于将其产业链多元化，包括将部分iPhone生产转移到印度。在90天关税缓期内，苹果可能将寻求其印度合作伙伴，以满足美国iPhone需求。</p><p>Woodring估计，为满足美国的iPhone需求，<strong>苹果需要将其印度生产能力提高一倍，尽管这可能需要更长时间才能实现。</strong></p><p>还有观点指出，另一种策略是<strong>通过提供融资计划、增加运营商补贴和提高以旧换新价值</strong>来缓解人为抬高的iPhone价格。</p><p>如果无法获得豁免，苹果可能会采取其他策略减轻关税压力。大摩分析称，苹果可能会取消低端iPhone存储模型，将需求转向利润率更高的iPhone型号。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n苹果股价连续反弹，市场在押注iPhone获得关税豁免吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-12 17:34 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。关税豁免预期升温，苹果股价反弹。特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dd8e37009a141c78b4a4ede34830062","relate_stocks":{"LU0957808578.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2065171402.SGD":"M&G (LUX) GLOBAL MAXIMA \"A\" (SGD) INC","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU2360032135.SGD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (SGDHDG) 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(SGD) ACC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU1116320901.HKD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL ENHANCED EQUITY YIELD \"A6\" (HKD) INC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3745086","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2526605266","content_text":"“90%的投资者都相信苹果将获得关税豁免”，毕竟，苹果在特朗普1.0时期就获得过一次豁免。华尔街认为，“美国优先”政策指引下，特朗普可能不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国投资5000亿美元之后。关税豁免预期升温，苹果股价反弹。特朗普关税大棒落地后，苹果股价经历了一波暴跌，但在过去两天，意外出现了剧烈反弹。苹果股价自4月9日以来飙升了15%，市值增加4000多亿美元，本周五股价单日上涨4.1%，收于198.15美元。这一反弹源自华尔街分析师和投资者越来越相信苹果将获得关税豁免，这一预期已成为支撑股价的关键因素。CFRA Research分析师Angelo Zino表示，苹果获得豁免的可能性已经显著增加：“按目前情况，关税影响对苹果来说尤为严重，潜在增加其销售成本约500亿美元。”“我们预计苹果会推迟将任何关税成本转嫁给消费者，直到秋季产品周期，同时如果贸易协议短期内无法实现，我们将苹果获得特殊豁免的概率从20%提高到50%。”Mizuho Securities交易台分析师Jordan Klein的观点更为乐观，他表示与之交谈的投资者都坚信特朗普将向苹果提供豁免：“90%的投资者似乎相信苹果将获得关税豁免，毕竟该公司在2018年特朗普执政期间就获得过一次豁免。”美国就业与政治考量支撑豁免可能在当前地缘政治紧张局势下，苹果独特的地位可能成为其获得特殊待遇的关键。分析师们指出，特朗普不会希望伤害像苹果这样的美国标志性企业，特别是在该公司承诺未来四年在美国制造业和其他国内投资上支出超过5000亿美元之后。Jordan Klein强调：“该公司雇佣了太多人，美国选民过度依赖iPhone，不会接受iPhone售价达到2000美元的情况。”另一个支持苹果获得豁免的论点是，特朗普的关税政策可能反而助力了苹果的主要竞争对手——韩国的三星电子。从政治角度看，这种结果显然与特朗普的“美国优先”政策相悖。苹果并非完全依赖豁免，已开始多管齐下应对尽管市场普遍看好苹果获得豁免的前景，但该公司并未将所有希望寄托于此。摩根士丹利分析师Erik Woodring表示：“我们不认为苹果将仅仅押注于总统豁免，而且正如我们在跟踪该公司时所了解的，苹果始终保持长期思考。”苹果近年来一直致力于将其产业链多元化，包括将部分iPhone生产转移到印度。在90天关税缓期内，苹果可能将寻求其印度合作伙伴，以满足美国iPhone需求。Woodring估计，为满足美国的iPhone需求，苹果需要将其印度生产能力提高一倍，尽管这可能需要更长时间才能实现。还有观点指出，另一种策略是通过提供融资计划、增加运营商补贴和提高以旧换新价值来缓解人为抬高的iPhone价格。如果无法获得豁免，苹果可能会采取其他策略减轻关税压力。大摩分析称，苹果可能会取消低端iPhone存储模型，将需求转向利润率更高的iPhone型号。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
