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jkin
2024-05-17
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如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？
jkin
2023-08-21
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your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306808923029688","repostId":"2435035655","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2435035655","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1715782457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2435035655?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-05-15 22:14","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2435035655","media":"格隆汇","summary":"核心CPI月率回落至0.3%","content":"<html><body><p>美国4月CPI如期回落，提振了市场对美联储9月降息的预期。</p><p>数据显示，美国4月未季调CPI年率录得3.4%，低于前月的3.5%，符合市场预期；核心CPI月率如期回落至0.3%，出现6个月来首次降温。</p><p>该数据发布后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>立即下挫，但随后有所回升。截至发稿时，美元指数跌0.27%，至104.724。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/e3dfd-99266eb5-19a1-4947-9c35-daae05a35661.png?guru_height=489&guru_width=1164\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/US10Y.BOND\">美国10年期国债收益率</a>一度下跌10个基点，随后也出现回升。截止发稿，<span>10年期国债收益率</span><span>跌幅为1.41%，</span><span>至4.383。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/063cc-0de6ae12-f1c7-435b-8e6c-31155e8cd7e4.png?guru_height=489&guru_width=1164\"/></p><h3><font color=\"#3daad6\">美国4月CPI同比上升3.4%</font></h3><p>周三晚间，美国劳工统计局（BLS）发布了美国4月消费者价格指数（<span>CPI</span><span>）报告。报告显示，经季节性因素调整后，</span><b>4月份美国CPI同比增长3.4%，低于上月的3.5%，符合市场预期；环比增长0.3%，低于上月的0.4%。</b></p><p>剔除食品和能源等波动性较大的项目后，<b>4月份美国核心CPI环比上升0.3%，符合市场预期；同比上涨3.6%，而3月份同比上涨了3.8%</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/2a3ad-8115e3b7-069e-4948-999d-a24df57db27a.png?guru_height=382&guru_width=1032\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/4d95a-db70769e-ec9a-4feb-805b-f986f625b420.png?guru_height=498&guru_width=1063\"/></p><p><b>住房和天然气成本仍然是整体价格上涨的主要推动因素</b>，二者在4月均有所上升，并贡献了整体月度指数增长的70%以上。其中，主要由租金组成的住房指数同比上涨5.5%，并继续保持每月0.4%的连续增长。</p><p>食品指数在3月份环比上升0.1%后，4月份持平。</p><blockquote>4月份，家庭食品指数环比下降了0.2%。肉类、家禽、鱼类和蛋类指数在4月份环比下降了0.7%，其中蛋类指数环比下降了7.3%。水果和蔬菜指数环比下降0.8%，非酒精饮料指数环比下降0.2%。<br/><p>4月份，家庭食品指数同比上升了1.1%。截至4月的12个月内，家庭其他食品指数上升了1.4%，水果和蔬菜指数较上年同期上升了1.7%，非酒精饮料指数同比上升了2.3%。</p></blockquote><blockquote><p>4月份能源指数环比上涨1.1%，涨幅与3月份相同。其中，汽油指数环比增长2.8%，燃料油指数环比增长0.9%，天然气指数环比下降2.9%，电力指数环比下降0.1%。</p><p>4月份能源指数同比增长了2.6%。其中，汽油指数同比上升1.2%，电力指数同比上升5.1%。天然气指数同比下降了1.9%，燃料油指数同比下降了0.8%。</p></blockquote><h3><font color=\"#3daad6\">美联储9月降息稳了？</font></h3><p><b>美国4月CPI如期回落，表明通胀正在逐步放缓，这令市场进一步加大对美联储9月降息的押注。</b><span>本月初，美联储</span>宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在5.25%至5.50%区间不变。</p><p>在CPI数据公布后，<b>互换市场预期美联储2024年降息步伐将加快。</b><span>目前利率互换合约显示，交易员认为，到9月美联储会议，降息25个基点的概率超过80%。</span></p><p>据CME“美联储观察”最新数据显示，美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为96.9%，降息25个基点的概率为3.1%。到9月维持利率不变的概率为31.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为52.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为16.2%。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/ec7d6-9ab28bed-7814-4989-a653-4f6abceffcd9.png?guru_height=229&guru_width=441\"/></p><p><b>不过，官员们仍希望看到更多的数据，以加强降息信心。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周二表示，鉴于近几个月通胀缺乏进展，央行需要保持耐心并让高利率继续发挥作用。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>资产管理公司的戴维·凯利表示，<b>通胀正在经历下降的“甜蜜时光”。他补充说，9月份降息是有可能的</b>。 </p><p>莱利财富首席市场策略师Art Hogan表示，4月份的CPI报告在最差的情况下与预期基本一致，而在最好的情况下，没有出现上行意外，并且在某些方面比预期要好。上个月CPI数据火热是引发市场下跌的原因之一，而这次报告则非常符合预期。<b>今年美国在抗击通胀方面没有取得重大进展，但这是朝着让美联储更放心的正确方向迈出的一步。在9月会议之前，他们能收到足够多的数据，那很可能是他们决定降息的时候。</b></p><p>不过，“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos撰文称，4月份的通胀报告显示，上月物价压力有所缓和，这应该会让美联储官员在下月的会议上更轻松地维持政策不变。该报告本身不足以让官员们相信，今年年初出现的三个高于预期的通胀数据是偏离了政策制定者所预期的价格压力下降趋势。<b>由于可能还需要两份报告才能支撑官员们对通胀能够回到疫情前普遍存在的较低水平的信心，美联储可能不会准备在9月份之前降息。</b></p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-15 22:14 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/736987><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国4月CPI如期回落，提振了市场对美联储9月降息的预期。数据显示，美国4月未季调CPI年率录得3.4%，低于前月的3.5%，符合市场预期；核心CPI月率如期回落至0.3%，出现6个月来首次降温。该数据发布后，美元指数立即下挫，但随后有所回升。截至发稿时，美元指数跌0.27%，至104.724。美国10年期国债收益率一度下跌10个基点，随后也出现回升。截止发稿，10年期国债收益率跌幅为1.41%，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/736987\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://img3.gelonghui.com/0cdfa-26116f60-dd08-4e54-8f63-928d2f81be6b.jpg?guru_height=851&guru_width=1280","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 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莱利财富首席市场策略师Art Hogan表示，4月份的CPI报告在最差的情况下与预期基本一致，而在最好的情况下，没有出现上行意外，并且在某些方面比预期要好。上个月CPI数据火热是引发市场下跌的原因之一，而这次报告则非常符合预期。今年美国在抗击通胀方面没有取得重大进展，但这是朝着让美联储更放心的正确方向迈出的一步。在9月会议之前，他们能收到足够多的数据，那很可能是他们决定降息的时候。不过，“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos撰文称，4月份的通胀报告显示，上月物价压力有所缓和，这应该会让美联储官员在下月的会议上更轻松地维持政策不变。该报告本身不足以让官员们相信，今年年初出现的三个高于预期的通胀数据是偏离了政策制定者所预期的价格压力下降趋势。由于可能还需要两份报告才能支撑官员们对通胀能够回到疫情前普遍存在的较低水平的信心，美联储可能不会准备在9月份之前降息。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SSO":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"ESmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":211339719139536,"gmtCreate":1692627570526,"gmtModify":1692628787553,"author":{"id":"3514577709110477","authorId":"3514577709110477","name":"jkin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514577709110477","authorIdStr":"3514577709110477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/211339719139536","repostId":"2361542385","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2361542385","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1692600197,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2361542385?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-21 14:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2361542385","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>有用户近期曝出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dbfe505f854387c4e04043448b7d6ab\" tg-width=\"519\" tg-height=\"406\"/></p><p>这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。</p><p>值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量Cybertruck车型从德州Gigafactory工厂出现。与此同时，特斯拉还把这些车辆运送到各地地区进行碰撞测试和获得监管批准。</p><p>Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。预计特斯拉会在9月底发布该车型，最晚可能会拖到10月。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-21 14:43 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND 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ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2361542385","content_text":"有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量Cybertruck车型从德州Gigafactory工厂出现。与此同时，特斯拉还把这些车辆运送到各地地区进行碰撞测试和获得监管批准。Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。预计特斯拉会在9月底发布该车型，最晚可能会拖到10月。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1,"TSLL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":206754462318832,"gmtCreate":1691506643494,"gmtModify":1691506857197,"author":{"id":"3514577709110477","authorId":"3514577709110477","name":"jkin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514577709110477","authorIdStr":"3514577709110477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","listText":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","text":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/206754462318832","repostId":"2357211609","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":306808923029688,"gmtCreate":1715939092407,"gmtModify":1715939104586,"author":{"id":"3514577709110477","authorId":"3514577709110477","name":"jkin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514577709110477","idStr":"3514577709110477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Share your opinion about this news…","listText":"Share your opinion about this news…","text":"Share your opinion about this news…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306808923029688","repostId":"2435035655","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2435035655","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1715782457,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2435035655?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-05-15 22:14","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2435035655","media":"格隆汇","summary":"核心CPI月率回落至0.3%","content":"<html><body><p>美国4月CPI如期回落，提振了市场对美联储9月降息的预期。</p><p>数据显示，美国4月未季调CPI年率录得3.4%，低于前月的3.5%，符合市场预期；核心CPI月率如期回落至0.3%，出现6个月来首次降温。</p><p>该数据发布后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>立即下挫，但随后有所回升。截至发稿时，美元指数跌0.27%，至104.724。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/e3dfd-99266eb5-19a1-4947-9c35-daae05a35661.png?guru_height=489&guru_width=1164\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/US10Y.BOND\">美国10年期国债收益率</a>一度下跌10个基点，随后也出现回升。截止发稿，<span>10年期国债收益率</span><span>跌幅为1.41%，</span><span>至4.383。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/063cc-0de6ae12-f1c7-435b-8e6c-31155e8cd7e4.png?guru_height=489&guru_width=1164\"/></p><h3><font color=\"#3daad6\">美国4月CPI同比上升3.4%</font></h3><p>周三晚间，美国劳工统计局（BLS）发布了美国4月消费者价格指数（<span>CPI</span><span>）报告。报告显示，经季节性因素调整后，</span><b>4月份美国CPI同比增长3.4%，低于上月的3.5%，符合市场预期；环比增长0.3%，低于上月的0.4%。</b></p><p>剔除食品和能源等波动性较大的项目后，<b>4月份美国核心CPI环比上升0.3%，符合市场预期；同比上涨3.6%，而3月份同比上涨了3.8%</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/2a3ad-8115e3b7-069e-4948-999d-a24df57db27a.png?guru_height=382&guru_width=1032\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/4d95a-db70769e-ec9a-4feb-805b-f986f625b420.png?guru_height=498&guru_width=1063\"/></p><p><b>住房和天然气成本仍然是整体价格上涨的主要推动因素</b>，二者在4月均有所上升，并贡献了整体月度指数增长的70%以上。其中，主要由租金组成的住房指数同比上涨5.5%，并继续保持每月0.4%的连续增长。</p><p>食品指数在3月份环比上升0.1%后，4月份持平。</p><blockquote>4月份，家庭食品指数环比下降了0.2%。肉类、家禽、鱼类和蛋类指数在4月份环比下降了0.7%，其中蛋类指数环比下降了7.3%。水果和蔬菜指数环比下降0.8%，非酒精饮料指数环比下降0.2%。<br/><p>4月份，家庭食品指数同比上升了1.1%。截至4月的12个月内，家庭其他食品指数上升了1.4%，水果和蔬菜指数较上年同期上升了1.7%，非酒精饮料指数同比上升了2.3%。</p></blockquote><blockquote><p>4月份能源指数环比上涨1.1%，涨幅与3月份相同。其中，汽油指数环比增长2.8%，燃料油指数环比增长0.9%，天然气指数环比下降2.9%，电力指数环比下降0.1%。</p><p>4月份能源指数同比增长了2.6%。其中，汽油指数同比上升1.2%，电力指数同比上升5.1%。天然气指数同比下降了1.9%，燃料油指数同比下降了0.8%。</p></blockquote><h3><font color=\"#3daad6\">美联储9月降息稳了？</font></h3><p><b>美国4月CPI如期回落，表明通胀正在逐步放缓，这令市场进一步加大对美联储9月降息的押注。</b><span>本月初，美联储</span>宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在5.25%至5.50%区间不变。</p><p>在CPI数据公布后，<b>互换市场预期美联储2024年降息步伐将加快。</b><span>目前利率互换合约显示，交易员认为，到9月美联储会议，降息25个基点的概率超过80%。</span></p><p>据CME“美联储观察”最新数据显示，美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为96.9%，降息25个基点的概率为3.1%。到9月维持利率不变的概率为31.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为52.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为16.2%。</p><p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/ec7d6-9ab28bed-7814-4989-a653-4f6abceffcd9.png?guru_height=229&guru_width=441\"/></p><p><b>不过，官员们仍希望看到更多的数据，以加强降息信心。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周二表示，鉴于近几个月通胀缺乏进展，央行需要保持耐心并让高利率继续发挥作用。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>资产管理公司的戴维·凯利表示，<b>通胀正在经历下降的“甜蜜时光”。他补充说，9月份降息是有可能的</b>。 </p><p>莱利财富首席市场策略师Art Hogan表示，4月份的CPI报告在最差的情况下与预期基本一致，而在最好的情况下，没有出现上行意外，并且在某些方面比预期要好。上个月CPI数据火热是引发市场下跌的原因之一，而这次报告则非常符合预期。<b>今年美国在抗击通胀方面没有取得重大进展，但这是朝着让美联储更放心的正确方向迈出的一步。在9月会议之前，他们能收到足够多的数据，那很可能是他们决定降息的时候。</b></p><p>不过，“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos撰文称，4月份的通胀报告显示，上月物价压力有所缓和，这应该会让美联储官员在下月的会议上更轻松地维持政策不变。该报告本身不足以让官员们相信，今年年初出现的三个高于预期的通胀数据是偏离了政策制定者所预期的价格压力下降趋势。<b>由于可能还需要两份报告才能支撑官员们对通胀能够回到疫情前普遍存在的较低水平的信心，美联储可能不会准备在9月份之前降息。</b></p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如期降温！美国4月CPI同比涨3.4%，9月降息有望？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-15 22:14 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/736987><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国4月CPI如期回落，提振了市场对美联储9月降息的预期。数据显示，美国4月未季调CPI年率录得3.4%，低于前月的3.5%，符合市场预期；核心CPI月率如期回落至0.3%，出现6个月来首次降温。该数据发布后，美元指数立即下挫，但随后有所回升。截至发稿时，美元指数跌0.27%，至104.724。美国10年期国债收益率一度下跌10个基点，随后也出现回升。截止发稿，10年期国债收益率跌幅为1.41%，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/736987\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://img3.gelonghui.com/0cdfa-26116f60-dd08-4e54-8f63-928d2f81be6b.jpg?guru_height=851&guru_width=1280","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 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莱利财富首席市场策略师Art Hogan表示，4月份的CPI报告在最差的情况下与预期基本一致，而在最好的情况下，没有出现上行意外，并且在某些方面比预期要好。上个月CPI数据火热是引发市场下跌的原因之一，而这次报告则非常符合预期。今年美国在抗击通胀方面没有取得重大进展，但这是朝着让美联储更放心的正确方向迈出的一步。在9月会议之前，他们能收到足够多的数据，那很可能是他们决定降息的时候。不过，“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos撰文称，4月份的通胀报告显示，上月物价压力有所缓和，这应该会让美联储官员在下月的会议上更轻松地维持政策不变。该报告本身不足以让官员们相信，今年年初出现的三个高于预期的通胀数据是偏离了政策制定者所预期的价格压力下降趋势。由于可能还需要两份报告才能支撑官员们对通胀能够回到疫情前普遍存在的较低水平的信心，美联储可能不会准备在9月份之前降息。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SSO":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"ESmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":211339719139536,"gmtCreate":1692627570526,"gmtModify":1692628787553,"author":{"id":"3514577709110477","authorId":"3514577709110477","name":"jkin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514577709110477","idStr":"3514577709110477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/211339719139536","repostId":"2361542385","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2361542385","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1692600197,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2361542385?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-21 14:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2361542385","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>有用户近期曝出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dbfe505f854387c4e04043448b7d6ab\" tg-width=\"519\" tg-height=\"406\"/></p><p>这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。</p><p>值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量Cybertruck车型从德州Gigafactory工厂出现。与此同时，特斯拉还把这些车辆运送到各地地区进行碰撞测试和获得监管批准。</p><p>Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。预计特斯拉会在9月底发布该车型，最晚可能会拖到10月。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉Cybertruck即将交付？冰岛行驶照片曝光\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-21 14:43 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND 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ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/978590.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2361542385","content_text":"有用户近期曝出特斯拉旗下车型Cybertruck在冰川上的行驶照片，并怀疑其正在进行拍摄活动，并可能被用于之后的促销或是作为公共推广的媒体素材。这亦意味着，特斯拉的秋季交付承诺或许正在一步步成真。马斯克曾经表示，Cybertruck将会在今年第三季度末，即9月底开始交付。但由于尚未确定最终的配置和报价，据报道首批交付很可能只面向员工等公司内部人员。值得注意的是，有用户近期发现大量Cybertruck车型从德州Gigafactory工厂出现。与此同时，特斯拉还把这些车辆运送到各地地区进行碰撞测试和获得监管批准。Electrek表示，过去几周特斯拉Cybertruck在全国各地行驶，这显示了特斯拉正在进行推广和准备发布活动。预计特斯拉会在9月底发布该车型，最晚可能会拖到10月。而Cybertruck的产量是否增加，在短期内无法预测。如果特斯拉今年能交付超过1,000辆Cybertruck，2024年，公司会将产量提升至5万至10万辆。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1,"TSLL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":206754462318832,"gmtCreate":1691506643494,"gmtModify":1691506857197,"author":{"id":"3514577709110477","authorId":"3514577709110477","name":"jkin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514577709110477","idStr":"3514577709110477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","listText":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","text":"朱晓彤上去 谁敢买特斯拉冒昧的问一句？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/206754462318832","repostId":"2357211609","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
