擎天柱9的个人主页 - 老虎社区

擎天柱9

擎天柱9

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IP属地：陕西

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14粉丝

4主题

0勋章

03-12

看来见底了

小米，见底了吗

2025-10-30

为啥这么多

@肉松爱老虎:$明略科技-W(02718)$ 200%有没有？

2025-08-07

啥意思?

小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股

2025-04-17

$霸王茶姬(CHA)$ 试着打了点中22股[捂脸]

2025-03-24

$南山铝业国际(02610)$ 是不是可以说稳了

2025-03-20

$维升药业-B(02561)$ 还好没中，吓死

2021-11-01

$Synaptics Incorporated(SYNA)$下一个目标价应该是多少呢？

2021-10-14

$老虎证券(TIGR)$发生了什么？

2021-07-14

$Synaptics Incorporated(SYNA)$下一目标价 200

2021-07-05

$滴滴(DIDI)$起步腰斩？

2021-05-31

$中原建业(09982)$傻帽去打这个新

2021-05-07

$水滴(WDH)$打新打这玩意[开心]

2021-05-07

$洋葱集团(OG)$猜对了破发

2021-05-07

$Synaptics Incorporated(SYNA)$下一目标价160

2021-05-06

$知乎(ZH)$11块卖的

2021-05-04

$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$买一些做对冲

2021-04-29

$AMD(AMD)$1000多亿的市值不低了， INTEL 2000亿，那个更有上涨空间

2021-04-23

$英特尔(INTC)$INTEL还是那个样子，能再差多少？今天开始慢慢加仓，如果这波能到55，就太好了

2021-04-15

$AMD(AMD)$100？

2021-04-15

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$玩这个决对刺激

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Q4 <span>出货</span>同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。</p><p>汽车：2025 年 Q3 首次单季盈利（7 亿元），2026 年 2 月 YU7 销量 2.02 万辆，连续 6 个月中大型 SUV 销冠；2026 年目标 55 万辆，新车型密集上市。</p><p>互联网：毛利率 76.9%，是主要利润来源。</p><p>二、跟随雷军<span>抄底</span>的客观判断（结合业绩）</p><p>1. 支持抄底的业绩逻辑</p><p>汽车业务爆发：已从 “烧钱” 转为盈利，2026 年交付目标明确、新车型储备充足，是业绩增长核心引擎。</p><p>估值低位：市盈率回落至 10-15 倍区间，接近 2019、2022 年历史底部。</p><p><span>回购</span> + 增持：公司巨额回购 + 雷军个人增持，形成双重信心背书。</p><p>基本盘韧性：手机全球份额稳固，高端化对冲部分成本压力。</p><p>2. 必须警惕的业绩风险</p><p>手机盈利承压：存储涨价致毛利率下滑，多家机构下调 2026 年手机盈利预测。</p><p>汽车毛利率下滑：2026 年购置税退坡、竞争加剧，预计毛利率从 24.9% 降至 23% 左右。</p><p>短期业绩增速放缓：里昂、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>等下调 2026 年<span>净利润</span>预期，上半年盈利压力大。</p><p>历史不代表未来：前两次增持成功有特定周期背景，当前宏观与行业环境不同。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米，见底了吗\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-12 13:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260312145740a4632cfd&s=b><strong>前瞻商业评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一、当前业绩核心概况（截至 2026-03-12）整体：2025 年 Q3 营收 1131 亿元（+22.3%），经调整净利 113 亿元（+80.9%），创历史新高。手机：全球份额第三（13%），但 Q4 出货同比 - 11%，受存储涨价拖累，毛利率预计降至 8%-9%。汽车：2025 年 Q3 首次单季盈利（7 亿元），2026 年 2 月 YU7 销量 2.02 万辆，连续 6 个月中大型 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260312145740a4632cfd&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","LU0314109678.HKD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH \"AA\" (HKD) INC","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)","LU1023057109.AUD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (AUDHDG) ACC","XIACY":"小米集团ADR","LU1481107354.HKD":"HSBC GIF HONG KONG EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","LU0210526637.USD":"JPM CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0326950275.SGD":"Schroder ISF 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20:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2557563976","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP讯，小米集团-W(01810)发布公告，于2025年8月4日-8月7日，根据股份计划发行合计5762.6万股。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>(01810)发布公告，于2025年8月4日-8月7日，根据股份计划发行合计5762.6万股。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小米集团-W(01810)根据股份计划发行5762.6万股</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1327012.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","LU1770036033.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF ASIAN EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1023057109.AUD":"BGF CHINA \"A2\" (AUDHDG) ACC","LU1808992512.USD":"AB ALL CHINA EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1720050803.USD":"安联全方位中国股票基金","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0214875030.USD":"HSBC GIF BRIC EQUITY \"M2C\" (USD) ACC","LU0823413587.USD":"BNP PARIBAS EMERGING EQUITY \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU0634319403.HKD":"ALLIANZ HONG KONG EQUITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","LU1868837565.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"1\" (USD) ACC","LU1105468828.SGD":"Allianz Total Return Asian Equity AM DIS H2-SGD","LU2476274308.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA FUTURE TECHNOLOGIES \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2097828557.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A 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