elfcat的个人主页 - 老虎社区

elfcat

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IP属地：江苏

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0勋章

01-24

Replying to @早起的奇迹:脑子洗坏了，对冲的是自己财政税收出问题，岌岌可危的信用体系吧 [笑哭]//@早起的奇迹:“为了对冲美元信用的走弱，新兴经济体必须要增持黄金作为美债等美元资产的替代”，这句话说到了点子上，这就是人性逻辑，但是你必须逆向思维！

01-22

美债危机可能被暂缓，只要马斯克和特朗普把美国财政搞得不再入不敷出，恐怕黄金多头会如同2011年被爆杀。正因为出货才要拉高，这个世界上最不能相信的话就是老乡别走

2020-04-07

$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$快点熔断吧。特朗普快发推特来奶一口

2020-04-02

$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$3倍？怎么涨幅还没有原油1/3，什么情况

2020-03-13

女人懂个毛线，还分析师

抱歉，原内容已删除

2019-09-29

$Velocitysharestm 3X Long Silver(USLV)$ 不懂，请大佬指点一下。这个ETF是涨跌幅是白银的3倍，跌再多也不会被爆仓？还是自己加三倍杠杆买入，跌33%就会被爆仓？

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还是自己加三倍杠杆买入，跌33%就会被爆仓？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/933829972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3444220098715611","authorId":"3444220098715611","name":"刑叔","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3444220098715611","authorIdStr":"3444220098715611"},"content":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数","text":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数","html":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":395884042830216,"gmtCreate":1737676902004,"gmtModify":1737676904805,"author":{"id":"3532470093572040","authorId":"3532470093572040","name":"elfcat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532470093572040","authorIdStr":"3532470093572040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying 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还是自己加三倍杠杆买入，跌33%就会被爆仓？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/933829972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3444220098715611","authorId":"3444220098715611","name":"刑叔","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3444220098715611","authorIdStr":"3444220098715611"},"content":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数","text":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数","html":"他这个相当于你买入的时候他这个波动就是三倍而已，就跟股票一样，比如三倍做多道琼斯指数"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":923676624,"gmtCreate":1585838299268,"gmtModify":1704359319432,"author":{"id":"3532470093572040","authorId":"3532470093572040","name":"elfcat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532470093572040","authorIdStr":"3532470093572040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UWT\">$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$</a>3倍？怎么涨幅还没有原油1/3，什么情况","text":"$三倍做多原油ETN(UWT)$3倍？怎么涨幅还没有原油1/3，什么情况","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/923676624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":395314192495200,"gmtCreate":1737539951813,"gmtModify":1737541970234,"author":{"id":"3532470093572040","authorId":"3532470093572040","name":"elfcat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532470093572040","authorIdStr":"3532470093572040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美债危机可能被暂缓，只要马斯克和特朗普把美国财政搞得不再入不敷出，恐怕黄金多头会如同2011年被爆杀。正因为出货才要拉高，这个世界上最不能相信的话就是老乡别走","listText":"美债危机可能被暂缓，只要马斯克和特朗普把美国财政搞得不再入不敷出，恐怕黄金多头会如同2011年被爆杀。正因为出货才要拉高，这个世界上最不能相信的话就是老乡别走","text":"美债危机可能被暂缓，只要马斯克和特朗普把美国财政搞得不再入不敷出，恐怕黄金多头会如同2011年被爆杀。正因为出货才要拉高，这个世界上最不能相信的话就是老乡别走","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/395314192495200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":733,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":921644609,"gmtCreate":1586269728501,"gmtModify":1704360653816,"author":{"id":"3532470093572040","authorId":"3532470093572040","name":"elfcat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532470093572040","authorIdStr":"3532470093572040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$</a>快点熔断吧。特朗普快发推特来奶一口","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$</a>快点熔断吧。特朗普快发推特来奶一口","text":"$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$快点熔断吧。特朗普快发推特来奶一口","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/921644609","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":965757865,"gmtCreate":1584086430657,"gmtModify":1704352961123,"author":{"id":"3532470093572040","authorId":"3532470093572040","name":"elfcat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532470093572040","authorIdStr":"3532470093572040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"女人懂个毛线，还分析师","listText":"女人懂个毛线，还分析师","text":"女人懂个毛线，还分析师","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/965757865","repostId":"2019579560","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2019579560","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1584040080,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2019579560?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-13 03:08","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2019579560","media":"汇通网","summary":"原标题：美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐 周四(3月12日)纽市盘中，美联储推出重大措施，以缓解疫情造成的市场流动性压力，纽约联储宣布进行5000亿美元的3个","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>原标题：美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 周四(3月12日)纽市盘中，美联储推出重大措施，以缓解疫情造成的市场流动性压力，纽约联储宣布进行5000亿美元的3个月期回购，5000亿美元的1个月回购；消息公布后，道指一度拉升近千点，日内跌幅缩窄到不到800点；</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">现货黄金</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">上扬近40美元升至1610关口附近；不过截止目前，美股与金价反弹幅度几乎全部回吐；道指现跌近2000点，金价在1580美元下方弱势震荡。</p><div><img img-size=\"500,278\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020313/778/w500h278/20200313/00a0-iquxruh5928460.jpg\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美联储周四采取了激进措施，以缓解美国国债融资市场所谓的“暂时性中断”，联储向市场注入大量流动性，并扩大了对美国政府证券的购买规模，此举令人回想起金融危机期间采取的量化宽松政策。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">纽约联邦储备银行在一份声明中表示，在与联邦联邦公开市场委员会协商后，美联储主席鲍威尔指示采取上述行动，以应对美国国债融资市场这次十分不寻常的紊乱。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">纽约联储表示，根据现有计划，纽约联储每月将购买600亿美元证券，其范围扩大至多个期限的附息债券，以符合美国国债市场的久期构成。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">此外，纽约联储还进行了5000亿美元的3个月期回购操作，并表示将在明天重复进行此操作。纽约联储还将进行5000亿美元的1个月回购操作，并将在本月余下时间内每周都进行该操作。这些行动将为金融市场注入大量流动性，扩大美联储的资产负债表规模。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">在联储宣布这一以外决定后，美国国债恢复上涨，美国股市跌幅收窄。纽约联储宣布决定的时间是160亿美元30年期美国国债投标截止时间到来前的10分钟左右。30年期国债收益率在发行前交易中下跌约10个基点至1.25%。</p><div><img img-size=\"923,656\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020313/779/w923h656/20200313/4ddb-iquxruh5928461.jpg\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Pantheon Macroeconomics的首席经济学家Ian Shepherdson表示，这是一项全面的危机应对行动，旨在明确表明美联储绝不允许流动性枯竭，我们预计美联储将在可预见的未来购买总值600亿美元的证券。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Cresset Capital Management的首席投资官Jack Ablin称，特朗普本应该平息大家的担忧，结果却是火上浇油。现在，看看技术指标，你会发现我们终于陷入了我所说的恐慌之中。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美联储上周紧急降息50基点，市场预计其将在3月17至18日的会议上再次减息，一些经济学家预测他们可能会将利率从1%-1.25％下调至零。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">道明证券利率策略主管Priya Misra表示，美联储今天在帮助市场运作方面发挥了作用，但我们仍然需要财政方面的帮助。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">现货黄金</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">一度拉升近40美元至1609.85美元/盎司，但之后涨幅几乎全部回吐，目前在1580美元下方弱势震荡。</p><div><img img-size=\"904,651\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider2020313/755/w904h651/20200313/d2f1-iquxruh5928472.jpg\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">在近日的一份研报中，荷兰银行(ABN AMRO)贵金属策略师Georgette Boele对黄金作为避险资产的传统角色提出了质疑。她预计黄金价格在2020年剩下的时间里将举步维艰，因为疲弱的全球经济增长令珠宝需求承压，而投资者纷纷将美元作为避风港。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">Boele指出，在2008年金融危机期间，金价下跌了20%。与此同时，由于市场流动性枯竭，美元大幅上涨。在最新的报告中，荷兰银行预计，今年黄金平均价格为1523美元/盎司，高于此前预测的1490美元/盎司，但远低于当前价格。 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-13 03:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-13/doc-iimxyqwa0018429.shtml><strong>汇通网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐 周四(3月12日)纽市盘中，美联储推出重大措施，以缓解疫情造成的市场流动性压力，纽约联储宣布进行5000亿美元的3个月期回购，5000亿美元的1个月回购；消息公布后，道指一度拉升近千点，日内跌幅缩窄到不到800点；现货黄金上扬近40美元升至1610关口附近；不过截止目前，美股与金价反弹幅度几乎全部回吐；道指现跌近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-13/doc-iimxyqwa0018429.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0771f6361d74a78ebbf8c2fdc55c6b7","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/forex/hbfx/2020-03-13/doc-iimxyqwa0018429.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2019579560","content_text":"原标题：美联储“大手笔”救市！道指千点反弹仅“昙花一现”，金价40美元反弹悉数回吐 周四(3月12日)纽市盘中，美联储推出重大措施，以缓解疫情造成的市场流动性压力，纽约联储宣布进行5000亿美元的3个月期回购，5000亿美元的1个月回购；消息公布后，道指一度拉升近千点，日内跌幅缩窄到不到800点；现货黄金上扬近40美元升至1610关口附近；不过截止目前，美股与金价反弹幅度几乎全部回吐；道指现跌近2000点，金价在1580美元下方弱势震荡。美联储周四采取了激进措施，以缓解美国国债融资市场所谓的“暂时性中断”，联储向市场注入大量流动性，并扩大了对美国政府证券的购买规模，此举令人回想起金融危机期间采取的量化宽松政策。纽约联邦储备银行在一份声明中表示，在与联邦联邦公开市场委员会协商后，美联储主席鲍威尔指示采取上述行动，以应对美国国债融资市场这次十分不寻常的紊乱。纽约联储表示，根据现有计划，纽约联储每月将购买600亿美元证券，其范围扩大至多个期限的附息债券，以符合美国国债市场的久期构成。此外，纽约联储还进行了5000亿美元的3个月期回购操作，并表示将在明天重复进行此操作。纽约联储还将进行5000亿美元的1个月回购操作，并将在本月余下时间内每周都进行该操作。这些行动将为金融市场注入大量流动性，扩大美联储的资产负债表规模。在联储宣布这一以外决定后，美国国债恢复上涨，美国股市跌幅收窄。纽约联储宣布决定的时间是160亿美元30年期美国国债投标截止时间到来前的10分钟左右。30年期国债收益率在发行前交易中下跌约10个基点至1.25%。Pantheon Macroeconomics的首席经济学家Ian Shepherdson表示，这是一项全面的危机应对行动，旨在明确表明美联储绝不允许流动性枯竭，我们预计美联储将在可预见的未来购买总值600亿美元的证券。Cresset Capital Management的首席投资官Jack Ablin称，特朗普本应该平息大家的担忧，结果却是火上浇油。现在，看看技术指标，你会发现我们终于陷入了我所说的恐慌之中。美联储上周紧急降息50基点，市场预计其将在3月17至18日的会议上再次减息，一些经济学家预测他们可能会将利率从1%-1.25％下调至零。道明证券利率策略主管Priya Misra表示，美联储今天在帮助市场运作方面发挥了作用，但我们仍然需要财政方面的帮助。现货黄金一度拉升近40美元至1609.85美元/盎司，但之后涨幅几乎全部回吐，目前在1580美元下方弱势震荡。在近日的一份研报中，荷兰银行(ABN AMRO)贵金属策略师Georgette Boele对黄金作为避险资产的传统角色提出了质疑。她预计黄金价格在2020年剩下的时间里将举步维艰，因为疲弱的全球经济增长令珠宝需求承压，而投资者纷纷将美元作为避风港。Boele指出，在2008年金融危机期间，金价下跌了20%。与此同时，由于市场流动性枯竭，美元大幅上涨。在最新的报告中，荷兰银行预计，今年黄金平均价格为1523美元/盎司，高于此前预测的1490美元/盎司，但远低于当前价格。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}