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丁丁丁丁丁丁
03-21
我开仓了1手
$PDD 20250321 140.0 CALL$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
03-05
我平仓了
$PDD 20250815 100.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
03-04
我开仓了
$PDD 20250815 100.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-22
惹惹惹
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-11
我平仓了
$拼多多(PDD)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-07
$PDD 20250110 97.0 PUT$
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-07
我开仓了
$PDD 20250110 97.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@丁丁丁丁丁丁:我平仓了100.0股
$拼多多(PDD)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
01-06
我平仓了100.0股
$拼多多(PDD)$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-12-27
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@丁丁丁丁丁丁:我开仓了
$PDD 20241227 99.0 PUT$
,我开仓了
$PDD 20241227 99.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-12-27
$PDD 20241227 99.0 PUT$
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-12-27
我开仓了
$PDD 20241227 99.0 PUT$
,我开仓了
$PDD 20241227 99.0 PUT$
,来看看我最新分享的订单!
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-11-13
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@柳叶刀财经:抄作业就彻底
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-07-16
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
查看详情:
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
快来参与实盘竞猜活动,寻找你心中的收益王者,竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户
竞猜赢虎币 ,寻找实盘收益王
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2024-05-22
跌的太好了,卖的call收米了
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2021-02-24
惨淡的一周
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2021-02-16
$RLX科技(RLX)$
😂
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2021-02-15
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@锦衣夜行陈先生:
$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$
问大家一个问题,多少钱算财务自由?
@少帅铁柱
财务自由之后的烦恼是什么,该如何生活能够内心平和满足?
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2021-02-11
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
丁丁丁丁丁丁
2021-02-09
阅
电子烟的第二轮风口故事
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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97.0 PUT\">$PDD 20250110 97.0 PUT$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我开仓了$PDD 20250110 97.0 PUT$ 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,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389765862945040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389765862945040,"gmtCreate":1736165455795,"gmtModify":1742066480467,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了100.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","listText":"我平仓了100.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,来看看我最新分享的订单!","text":"我平仓了100.0股$拼多多(PDD)$ ,来看看我最新分享的订单!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389765862945040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4195804750944690","authorId":"4195804750944690","name":"Nitedive","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b521eff12cf56451459485f189e9a044","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4195804750944690","authorIdStr":"4195804750944690"},"content":"大佬这个127%是做了多少t 牛逼","text":"大佬这个127%是做了多少t 牛逼","html":"大佬这个127%是做了多少t 牛逼"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386020539703520,"gmtCreate":1735270916216,"gmtModify":1735270917912,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386020539703520","repostId":"385787334983992","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":385787334983992,"gmtCreate":1735231236645,"gmtModify":1746553907221,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a 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的 WallStreetBets 论坛本是一**易员和用户聚在一起,讲行话、段子和交流股票心得的地方。对比下来可能是某红书,类似这样的地方。2021年年初,许多个人投资者在 Reddit 和其他社交平台上受到号召,纷纷购买游戏驿站。而为什么大家这么心齐呢?因为在2021年之前的1年,论坛的一些热情的用户押注斯特拉并产生回报,使得论坛规模大大扩张。而且,最重要的是,普通用户在论坛里心齐以后,竟然真的可以拉动股票,并且带动股票价格上涨,而散户也赚了钱。这就让他们萌生了巨大的想法,是不是游戏驿站也可以。背后的逻辑是:社交媒体上散户的抱团使得他们看到了,只要齐心协力就可以干翻机构,特别是做空机构。于是在带头大哥的带领下,游戏驿站的游戏开始了。事实上也是这样,看看这个图。 游戏驿站在21年的那1个月左右,涨了25倍,干翻了所有的做空机构、对冲基金。按统计,所有空头亏损总计100-200亿美元。那么,你在想想最近大A的最近一些操作手法,是不是有点类似。在某音、某红书的一些带头大哥的带领下,散户选择赎回基金,跟着游资或者带头大哥,疯狂去做多那些没有套牢盘,市值小的一些公司。他们曾经也是把钱给了基金经理,后来发现自己亏钱还没过把瘾,现在不如赎回回来自己干,即使输钱也能过把瘾。这其实是最近一些小市值、无套牢盘的公司上涨的逻辑:游戏以及带头大哥亲自上,散户也跟着干,于是就把一些公司的股价买上天了。你去看看龙虎榜上有多少拉萨天团就知道了。这跟游戏驿站逻辑有点类似。当然,游戏驿站最终也是套牢了一批人,这个图刚我放过了,虽然那1个月涨了25倍,24年又涨了一波,但是总","listText":"估计有同学不知道GME这个公司,中文翻译过来是游戏驿站。我简单介绍下这个公司。这其实是一个陷入困境的视频游戏零售商的美股公司,突然在2021年的时候,成为了散户抱团股。那么为什么是这家公司呢?这就要介绍下reddit先了。Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛本是一**易员和用户聚在一起,讲行话、段子和交流股票心得的地方。对比下来可能是某红书,类似这样的地方。2021年年初,许多个人投资者在 Reddit 和其他社交平台上受到号召,纷纷购买游戏驿站。而为什么大家这么心齐呢?因为在2021年之前的1年,论坛的一些热情的用户押注斯特拉并产生回报,使得论坛规模大大扩张。而且,最重要的是,普通用户在论坛里心齐以后,竟然真的可以拉动股票,并且带动股票价格上涨,而散户也赚了钱。这就让他们萌生了巨大的想法,是不是游戏驿站也可以。背后的逻辑是:社交媒体上散户的抱团使得他们看到了,只要齐心协力就可以干翻机构,特别是做空机构。于是在带头大哥的带领下,游戏驿站的游戏开始了。事实上也是这样,看看这个图。 游戏驿站在21年的那1个月左右,涨了25倍,干翻了所有的做空机构、对冲基金。按统计,所有空头亏损总计100-200亿美元。那么,你在想想最近大A的最近一些操作手法,是不是有点类似。在某音、某红书的一些带头大哥的带领下,散户选择赎回基金,跟着游资或者带头大哥,疯狂去做多那些没有套牢盘,市值小的一些公司。他们曾经也是把钱给了基金经理,后来发现自己亏钱还没过把瘾,现在不如赎回回来自己干,即使输钱也能过把瘾。这其实是最近一些小市值、无套牢盘的公司上涨的逻辑:游戏以及带头大哥亲自上,散户也跟着干,于是就把一些公司的股价买上天了。你去看看龙虎榜上有多少拉萨天团就知道了。这跟游戏驿站逻辑有点类似。当然,游戏驿站最终也是套牢了一批人,这个图刚我放过了,虽然那1个月涨了25倍,24年又涨了一波,但是总","text":"估计有同学不知道GME这个公司,中文翻译过来是游戏驿站。我简单介绍下这个公司。这其实是一个陷入困境的视频游戏零售商的美股公司,突然在2021年的时候,成为了散户抱团股。那么为什么是这家公司呢?这就要介绍下reddit先了。Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛本是一**易员和用户聚在一起,讲行话、段子和交流股票心得的地方。对比下来可能是某红书,类似这样的地方。2021年年初,许多个人投资者在 Reddit 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游戏驿站在21年的那1个月左右,涨了25倍,干翻了所有的做空机构、对冲基金。按统计,所有空头亏损总计100-200亿美元。那么,你在想想最近大A的最近一些操作手法,是不是有点类似。在某音、某红书的一些带头大哥的带领下,散户选择赎回基金,跟着游资或者带头大哥,疯狂去做多那些没有套牢盘,市值小的一些公司。他们曾经也是把钱给了基金经理,后来发现自己亏钱还没过把瘾,现在不如赎回回来自己干,即使输钱也能过把瘾。这其实是最近一些小市值、无套牢盘的公司上涨的逻辑:游戏以及带头大哥亲自上,散户也跟着干,于是就把一些公司的股价买上天了。你去看看龙虎榜上有多少拉萨天团就知道了。这跟游戏驿站逻辑有点类似。当然,游戏驿站最终也是套牢了一批人,这个图刚我放过了,虽然那1个月涨了25倍,24年又涨了一波,但是总","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/134af34401264636a95b3a6b8a43ab54"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367603474288672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":992,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":328113643466880,"gmtCreate":1721135853459,"gmtModify":1721135859151,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"title":"竞猜赢虎币 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>问大家一个问题,多少钱算财务自由?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3461111818041475\">@少帅铁柱</a>财务自由之后的烦恼是什么,该如何生活能够内心平和满足?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>问大家一个问题,多少钱算财务自由?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3461111818041475\">@少帅铁柱</a>财务自由之后的烦恼是什么,该如何生活能够内心平和满足?","text":"$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$问大家一个问题,多少钱算财务自由?@少帅铁柱财务自由之后的烦恼是什么,该如何生活能够内心平和满足?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388305186","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":381786300,"gmtCreate":1612987887700,"gmtModify":1703768060461,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381786300","repostId":"2110409919","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383916062,"gmtCreate":1612829032756,"gmtModify":1703765528311,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阅","listText":"阅","text":"阅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383916062","repostId":"1126096826","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1126096826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612250892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126096826?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-02 15:28","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"电子烟的第二轮风口故事","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126096826","media":"巨潮商业评论","summary":"围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。思摩尔国际上市的造富神话之后,电子烟行业俨然回到了风口之上","content":"<blockquote>围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。</blockquote><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06969\">思摩尔国际</a>上市的造富神话之后,电子烟行业俨然回到了风口之上。</p><p>1月22日,国内电子烟品牌悦刻RELX的母公司雾芯科技在纽交所上市,开盘当日股价暴涨104%,直接触发熔断停牌。全天涨幅一度高达158%,市值一度接近3000亿人民币。这样的追捧,创下近几个月来纽交所 IPO 最亮眼成绩。</p><p>这是什么概念?大红大紫的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> 挂牌首日涨幅不过72%,曾经的“妖股”瑞幸只有48%,唯独在疫情期间敲钟的云服务商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/API\">声网</a>,才能以153%的首日涨幅与之匹敌。</p><p>资本市场对于悦刻的热烈响应并非盲目。</p><p>在很多人眼中,烟草本就是一门暴利生意,有着“电子”概念的电子烟,盈利能力更不容小觑。</p><p>在过去的2018年、2019年和2020年前九个月,这家电子烟企业的收入从1.33亿增至22.01亿人民币,净利润从651.5万元上升至3.82亿元。</p><p>但风光上市后,雾芯科技连跌三日给市场以措手不及。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97cef67bc01663a1b5478d156d03f201\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>雾芯科技上市后股价表现</span></p><p>事实上,电子烟行业的第一波发展热潮早已远去,2019年后的很长一段时间都消失在大众视野。偶尔能被市场与媒体捕捉到的,也是某某品牌又因欠薪、裁员、不得已退场的失败消息。</p><p>大量投资者也曾为此看衰电子烟行业。直到一月底,雾芯科技以两年近30倍的收入涨幅冲进资本市场时,人们才后知后觉:原来电子烟还活着,而且活得还不错。</p><p>至少头部企业是这样。</p><p>围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。</p><p>除了这些“老生常谈”的问题之外,《巨潮商业评论》认为,电子烟头部品牌在行业的想象力和预期,有被过度放大的风险。</p><p>正如雾芯科技“过山车般”的股价走势,市场对这个特殊的行业,也始终保留一份忐忑与不确定。</p><p><b>01 第二轮风口</b></p><blockquote>电子烟行业不高的渗透率、巨大的市场规模预期,都在吸引着投资者再次入局。</blockquote><p>3年时间,3000亿市值,悦刻品牌成功的背后有一个的重要推手——电子烟制造商思摩尔国际(HK:06969)。</p><p>电子烟看似复杂,但核心技术无外乎其中的电子雾化器,而当前的主流技术——陶瓷芯雾化器正是出自思摩尔之手。</p><p>2018 年,思摩尔将这项技术投入量产,直接把电子烟从“制造业”降级为“组装业”。也就是说,电子烟企业根本用不着研发,只要把注册的品牌喷上去,短至两星期就能包装出一个像模像样的品牌。</p><p>思摩尔的存在,相当于踢飞了电子烟行业的门槛,也保证企业能获取到相当丰厚的利润。</p><p>根据思摩尔港股上市时的招股书,一只陶瓷雾化器大约13.8元,非陶瓷雾化器只要 4.2元。而包装后的一只电子烟卖给消费者,要价高达200—300元。</p><p>除此之外,作为相对高频的消耗品,烟弹也是支撑起电子烟企业利润和营收的核心。</p><p>雾芯科技招股书显示,公司成立第一年,凭借卖出的50万个烟杆以及590万颗烟弹,营收轻松实现破亿。</p><p>到了第二年,悦刻营收直接飙至15.49亿元,2020年前三个季度已经达到22.01亿元,毛利润8.33亿元。</p><p>如今,悦刻一个月就能卖出100万套烟杆以及2000万颗烟弹。</p><p>但在雾芯科技提交招股书之前,电子烟的行业的利润率一直是个谜。唯一能参考是美国电子烟巨头JUUL,《华尔街日报》曾披露其毛利为75%。</p><p>成立仅三年的雾芯科技,利润还没有如此惊人。从2018年成立至今,毛利率一直维持在40% 左右。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d2d8c8f5c9f5a9ebf055ec8fffa3f83\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"908\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>近三年雾芯科技毛利率及净利率</p><p>这个水平与医药制造业几乎相当,也成为吸引众多资本一涌而入的原因。</p><p>IDG、源码资本、红杉资本中国、真格基金、山行资本......从2018年6月到2019年3月,电子烟行业累计获得了超过10亿融资,大多数创企在首轮融资时就能拿到千万级别。</p><p>公司的成长能力亦不容小觑。根据其招股书显示,截止2020年9月30日,悦刻已经和已与110个授权分销商合作,拥有超5000家专卖店和超10万家零售店。</p><p>这种快速成长的背后,是电子烟的极速扩张以及庞大的烟草市场需求。</p><p>据世界卫生组织统计,在全球75亿人口中,烟民人数已达10亿。每年烟民们总计消费约5.7万亿支香烟,扔掉将近100吨的烟蒂。</p><p>而中国烟民数量稳居全球第一,目前烟民数量已达到3.5亿,相当于每3个人中就有1人吸烟,烟民数量超越了其他前十名国家加起来的总和。</p><p>因此,中国每年卷烟消费量就高达5000万箱左右,占全球总量的44%。</p><p>庞大的传统可燃烟草市场是一个巨大的漏斗,形成了香烟替代品的快速渗透。</p><p>2019年,香烟替代品的销售额在整体市场占比约为7.4%,电子烟占到了其中的55.8%。根据CIC的报告,2019年全球电子烟的销售额为352亿美元,预计2023年达到820亿美元,年复合增长率为23.5%。</p><p>但与之相对应的,是中国电子烟渗透率仅为0.6%,对比全球最大电子烟消费市场美国,其电子烟渗透率已经达到13%,这意味着中国还有百亿左右的增量空间。</p><p>电子烟在全球迅猛扩大的市场规模、不断上升的使用人数以及国内并不高的渗透率,都是验证电子烟足够有发展潜力、能够实现长远发展的重要依据。</p><p>这也支撑了电子烟行业从业者、资本市场投资人的信心。</p><p>作为悦刻上游供应商的思摩尔国际,由于在全球电子烟产业链中的特殊地位,甚至更受追捧。上市后短短半年的时间内,股价就已经涨到75港元,涨幅高达500%以上,市值直逼 5000 亿港元大关。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/851db65326eadfe2f0971c60cd69ab9c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>思摩尔国际股价表现(2020-2021年)</span></p><p><b>02 野蛮生长</b></p><blockquote>电子烟从线上销售向线下的转折,成为了行业发展的分水岭,头部企业的竞争优势进一步确立。</blockquote><p>早在2016年,思摩尔国际的净利润就已达到1.25亿元。但当时电子烟的市场大多在海外,并未引起国内太多资本关注。</p><p>2018年底,美国电子烟公司Juul获得来自烟草巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">奥驰亚</a>集团的巨额投资,估值达到380亿美元,Juul拿出20亿美元发年终奖,电子烟一鸣惊人。</p><p>而这一年,思摩尔的营收已经飙升至34.34亿元,净利润7.85亿元,超过2016年之前的总营收。</p><p>Juul巨大的估值和思摩尔成长速度,让国内的创业者和资本看到了电子烟的发展潜力。低门槛、低成本和高毛利的电子烟,一时之间成为创投圈趋之若鹜的热点。</p><p>以2018年6月悦刻品牌拿到3800万投资为起点,之后锤子科技创始人罗永浩、“同道大叔”创始人蔡跃栋以及黄太吉赫畅等互联网上的“网红选手”纷纷登场,一夜间将行业炒得火热,电子烟逐渐脱离小众市场。</p><p>天眼查数据显示,2016年至2018年期间,每年电子烟新注册企业数均超过1000家,2019年至今,电子烟企业已新增超2000家。</p><p>悦刻创于2018年,创始人兼CEO汪莹及其团队成员大多是互联网出身。创始团队7人中,有6个是Uber中国前核心员工,汪莹还是Uber中国被滴滴合并前的中区总经理。</p><p>汪莹本身就是一个电子烟重度用户。她创业做电子烟的想法,就是她在Uber和滴滴期间因为超负荷工作,大量抽电子烟而萌生。</p><p>这导致过去悦刻的打法有浓浓的互联网痕迹。</p><p>2018年初,悦刻以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>众筹的方式,用一个多月的时间就筹得了108万元,并积累了第一波种子用户,打响了国内电子烟品牌的第一枪。</p><p>后来悦刻依托线上和线下双渠道的铺设,快速在中国市场打开局面,抢占新兴的空白市场,占据了先发优势。</p><p>2019年7月,悦刻的估值还不到30亿美元,一年半时间过去,它的估值已超过400亿美元。</p><p>行业快速发展的同时,行业逐渐乱象频发,国内的监管风开始刮起。</p><p>2019年10月1日,深圳率先将电子烟纳入了禁烟范围;当月15日,深圳开出了全国第一张电子烟罚单。</p><p>11月,国家市场监督管理总局以及国家烟草专卖局发布通告,限制了电子烟销售的对象范围,以及线上渠道的销售。</p><p>值得一提的是,在公告发布前20分钟,罗永浩还在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>转发“vvild小野一次性雾化电子烟”双11在电商平台正式开售的消息,消息发出后不久,罗永浩退出了电子烟行业。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a79a8e3bba54bd1e26f6be288073d52\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"801\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>不少和小野一样通过线上销售电子烟的企业,也在短时间内彻底销声匿迹。电子烟也因此被迫转为线下销售,第一轮风口期结束。</p><p>在大洋彼岸,监管风同样刮起。美国食品和药物管理局于2020年1月2日宣布,将暂时禁售水果味和薄荷味等口味的电子烟产品,以遏制青少年吸电子烟的趋势。</p><p>一时火爆的电子烟,被浇下一盆凉水。</p><p>禁售政策出台的那个季度,悦刻的收入首次出现环比下滑,2020年一季度又因为疫情冲击再次下滑。</p><p>不过,从二季度悦刻就开始反弹,三季度突破10亿大关,很快就从线上禁售和疫情中恢复了。</p><p>这也意味着,尽管被锁死了线上渠道,但电子烟行业并没有凉,而是放缓了增速,并进一步向头部聚集了。</p><p>随着国家政策的逐步放宽,悦刻、Vitavp、Snowplus等电子烟企业仍然受到资本市场青睐,这也形成了电子烟行业目前看起来火热的“第二春”。</p><p><b>03 产业推演</b></p><blockquote>当这个行业规模如愿变得越来越大的时候,消费者却并不一定会选择悦刻。</blockquote><p>线上销售渠道被政策彻底锁死之后,本来就相对有限的线下渠道变得更加拥挤。</p><p>从雾芯科技毛利率的变化中就能看得出来:2018-2019年之间,其毛利率下降了7.2%。</p><p>为了最大限度地开店,用更高的加码抢占核心铺位,雾芯科技进行了大规模的负债——其中大部分为流动负债,截止上市前总额27.98亿元。</p><p>相比行业内的很多中小企业,雾芯科技更早、更坚决地布局线下,也因此在线上渠道被卡死之后,整个行业变局最大的受益者。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dab85a1d6a863191adb693bf5c8d7d90\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"770\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>悦刻各渠道销售收入占比变化</p><p>2019年二季度,雾芯科技CEO汪莹曾经表示,悦刻电子烟在国内的市场占有率已经超过60%;到2020年中,这个数字已经上升至74%。</p><p>这个曾经的“风口”,竟然只用了短短几年的时间就变成了一家独大的局面,线上禁令起到了非常关键的作用。</p><p>如今雾芯科技已经上市。摆在投资者、创业者面前最大的一个问题变成了:一家独大的局面,是否会持续下去?</p><p>要回答这个问题,还是要从传统卷烟市场寻找答案。</p><p>2019年,国际烟草巨头菲利普-莫里斯公司拥有了全球销量前15的卷烟品牌中的六个,其中万宝路品牌全球市占率10%,蓝星品牌3.5%、切斯特菲尔德品牌2.2%,菲莫品牌1.9%。</p><p>可以看到,菲利普-莫里斯公司是采用多品牌的方式,实现了全球范围内的市场占有率最大化。这充分说明了一个问题:在卷烟行业,单一品牌(万宝路)无法一家独大,消费者有多品牌选择的需求。</p><p>不同烟卷产品之间的味道有所差异,但差异会大到什么程度?可能会有很多人有不同的看法,但我们跳出口味的争辩,从品牌的角度可以发现,烟草消费与酒、汽车一样,有一定的文化属性和自我标榜功能。</p><p>万宝路品牌最初的崛起,就是利用牛仔的形象,将“硬汉文化”与烟草产品进行了绑定。</p><p>整体上看,在政策强监管、市场空间相对狭小的情况下,电子烟受众规模更小,消费需求趋于一致。但当这个市场规模不断扩大,电子烟产品将会与传统烟卷一样,呈现出更多个性与文化属性。</p><p>在这个过程中,单一的电子烟品牌,将不再能满足多样化的用户需求。</p><p>如果雾芯科技的估值尚在正常的范围内,这个问题基本不需要考虑。但问题是,以其2019年仅4775万元的利润,坐享目前接近350亿美元、合人民币2200亿元以上的估值,很明显是被当做潜在的高市占、高成长性企业在估值。</p><p>这样的估值意味着,雾芯科技已经被定义到大市场中。在大市场环境里,以一个品牌满足多元化的消费者需求,是值得怀疑的。</p><p>相比之下,以一己之力供给全球电子烟企业代工生产的思摩尔国际,更有机会以代工多种类型产品的方式去占据全球大市场,而不必考虑品牌文化、消费选择的问题。</p><p>虽然悦刻是思摩尔国际的大客户,但中国内地市场仅占思摩尔国际20%左右的市场份额,中国香港、美国等地的大客户,同样采购这家代工龙头企业的产品。</p><p>技术优势给了思摩尔国际以更高的面向客户的议价能力。其毛利率从2016年的24.31%开始不断提高,到2019年年报达到44.05%,2020年中报进一步提升至48.98%,在产业链中的强势地位已经明确。</p><p>当悦刻在线下渠道拼杀的时候,它必须将更多的利润贡献给上游的思摩尔国际。但当这个行业规模如愿变得越来越大的时候,消费者却并不一定选择它。对于雾芯科技的投资者来说,这些都是其必须警惕的产业发展推演。</p>","source":"lsy1606906011227","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n电子烟的第二轮风口故事\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-02 15:28 北京时间 <a href=https://36kr.com/p/1080886391079170><strong>巨潮商业评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。思摩尔国际上市的造富神话之后,电子烟行业俨然回到了风口之上。1月22日,国内电子烟品牌悦刻RELX的母公司雾芯科技在纽交所上市,开盘当日股价暴涨104%,直接触发熔断停牌。全天涨幅一度高达158%,市值一度接近3000亿人民币。这样的追捧,创下近几个月来...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://36kr.com/p/1080886391079170\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bc4ee269ad9cff7441dc3605e3bc69a","relate_stocks":{"RLX":"雾芯科技","06969":"思摩尔国际"},"source_url":"https://36kr.com/p/1080886391079170","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126096826","content_text":"围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。思摩尔国际上市的造富神话之后,电子烟行业俨然回到了风口之上。1月22日,国内电子烟品牌悦刻RELX的母公司雾芯科技在纽交所上市,开盘当日股价暴涨104%,直接触发熔断停牌。全天涨幅一度高达158%,市值一度接近3000亿人民币。这样的追捧,创下近几个月来纽交所 IPO 最亮眼成绩。这是什么概念?大红大紫的 Zoom 挂牌首日涨幅不过72%,曾经的“妖股”瑞幸只有48%,唯独在疫情期间敲钟的云服务商声网,才能以153%的首日涨幅与之匹敌。资本市场对于悦刻的热烈响应并非盲目。在很多人眼中,烟草本就是一门暴利生意,有着“电子”概念的电子烟,盈利能力更不容小觑。在过去的2018年、2019年和2020年前九个月,这家电子烟企业的收入从1.33亿增至22.01亿人民币,净利润从651.5万元上升至3.82亿元。但风光上市后,雾芯科技连跌三日给市场以措手不及。雾芯科技上市后股价表现事实上,电子烟行业的第一波发展热潮早已远去,2019年后的很长一段时间都消失在大众视野。偶尔能被市场与媒体捕捉到的,也是某某品牌又因欠薪、裁员、不得已退场的失败消息。大量投资者也曾为此看衰电子烟行业。直到一月底,雾芯科技以两年近30倍的收入涨幅冲进资本市场时,人们才后知后觉:原来电子烟还活着,而且活得还不错。至少头部企业是这样。围绕电子烟的讨论再起。强劲的赚钱能力之外,其未来可能面临的税收问题、与传统烟草的利益争夺、以及对未成年人吸食监管等一系列问题,无一不是致命的。除了这些“老生常谈”的问题之外,《巨潮商业评论》认为,电子烟头部品牌在行业的想象力和预期,有被过度放大的风险。正如雾芯科技“过山车般”的股价走势,市场对这个特殊的行业,也始终保留一份忐忑与不确定。01 第二轮风口电子烟行业不高的渗透率、巨大的市场规模预期,都在吸引着投资者再次入局。3年时间,3000亿市值,悦刻品牌成功的背后有一个的重要推手——电子烟制造商思摩尔国际(HK:06969)。电子烟看似复杂,但核心技术无外乎其中的电子雾化器,而当前的主流技术——陶瓷芯雾化器正是出自思摩尔之手。2018 年,思摩尔将这项技术投入量产,直接把电子烟从“制造业”降级为“组装业”。也就是说,电子烟企业根本用不着研发,只要把注册的品牌喷上去,短至两星期就能包装出一个像模像样的品牌。思摩尔的存在,相当于踢飞了电子烟行业的门槛,也保证企业能获取到相当丰厚的利润。根据思摩尔港股上市时的招股书,一只陶瓷雾化器大约13.8元,非陶瓷雾化器只要 4.2元。而包装后的一只电子烟卖给消费者,要价高达200—300元。除此之外,作为相对高频的消耗品,烟弹也是支撑起电子烟企业利润和营收的核心。雾芯科技招股书显示,公司成立第一年,凭借卖出的50万个烟杆以及590万颗烟弹,营收轻松实现破亿。到了第二年,悦刻营收直接飙至15.49亿元,2020年前三个季度已经达到22.01亿元,毛利润8.33亿元。如今,悦刻一个月就能卖出100万套烟杆以及2000万颗烟弹。但在雾芯科技提交招股书之前,电子烟的行业的利润率一直是个谜。唯一能参考是美国电子烟巨头JUUL,《华尔街日报》曾披露其毛利为75%。成立仅三年的雾芯科技,利润还没有如此惊人。从2018年成立至今,毛利率一直维持在40% 左右。近三年雾芯科技毛利率及净利率这个水平与医药制造业几乎相当,也成为吸引众多资本一涌而入的原因。IDG、源码资本、红杉资本中国、真格基金、山行资本......从2018年6月到2019年3月,电子烟行业累计获得了超过10亿融资,大多数创企在首轮融资时就能拿到千万级别。公司的成长能力亦不容小觑。根据其招股书显示,截止2020年9月30日,悦刻已经和已与110个授权分销商合作,拥有超5000家专卖店和超10万家零售店。这种快速成长的背后,是电子烟的极速扩张以及庞大的烟草市场需求。据世界卫生组织统计,在全球75亿人口中,烟民人数已达10亿。每年烟民们总计消费约5.7万亿支香烟,扔掉将近100吨的烟蒂。而中国烟民数量稳居全球第一,目前烟民数量已达到3.5亿,相当于每3个人中就有1人吸烟,烟民数量超越了其他前十名国家加起来的总和。因此,中国每年卷烟消费量就高达5000万箱左右,占全球总量的44%。庞大的传统可燃烟草市场是一个巨大的漏斗,形成了香烟替代品的快速渗透。2019年,香烟替代品的销售额在整体市场占比约为7.4%,电子烟占到了其中的55.8%。根据CIC的报告,2019年全球电子烟的销售额为352亿美元,预计2023年达到820亿美元,年复合增长率为23.5%。但与之相对应的,是中国电子烟渗透率仅为0.6%,对比全球最大电子烟消费市场美国,其电子烟渗透率已经达到13%,这意味着中国还有百亿左右的增量空间。电子烟在全球迅猛扩大的市场规模、不断上升的使用人数以及国内并不高的渗透率,都是验证电子烟足够有发展潜力、能够实现长远发展的重要依据。这也支撑了电子烟行业从业者、资本市场投资人的信心。作为悦刻上游供应商的思摩尔国际,由于在全球电子烟产业链中的特殊地位,甚至更受追捧。上市后短短半年的时间内,股价就已经涨到75港元,涨幅高达500%以上,市值直逼 5000 亿港元大关。思摩尔国际股价表现(2020-2021年)02 野蛮生长电子烟从线上销售向线下的转折,成为了行业发展的分水岭,头部企业的竞争优势进一步确立。早在2016年,思摩尔国际的净利润就已达到1.25亿元。但当时电子烟的市场大多在海外,并未引起国内太多资本关注。2018年底,美国电子烟公司Juul获得来自烟草巨头奥驰亚集团的巨额投资,估值达到380亿美元,Juul拿出20亿美元发年终奖,电子烟一鸣惊人。而这一年,思摩尔的营收已经飙升至34.34亿元,净利润7.85亿元,超过2016年之前的总营收。Juul巨大的估值和思摩尔成长速度,让国内的创业者和资本看到了电子烟的发展潜力。低门槛、低成本和高毛利的电子烟,一时之间成为创投圈趋之若鹜的热点。以2018年6月悦刻品牌拿到3800万投资为起点,之后锤子科技创始人罗永浩、“同道大叔”创始人蔡跃栋以及黄太吉赫畅等互联网上的“网红选手”纷纷登场,一夜间将行业炒得火热,电子烟逐渐脱离小众市场。天眼查数据显示,2016年至2018年期间,每年电子烟新注册企业数均超过1000家,2019年至今,电子烟企业已新增超2000家。悦刻创于2018年,创始人兼CEO汪莹及其团队成员大多是互联网出身。创始团队7人中,有6个是Uber中国前核心员工,汪莹还是Uber中国被滴滴合并前的中区总经理。汪莹本身就是一个电子烟重度用户。她创业做电子烟的想法,就是她在Uber和滴滴期间因为超负荷工作,大量抽电子烟而萌生。这导致过去悦刻的打法有浓浓的互联网痕迹。2018年初,悦刻以京东众筹的方式,用一个多月的时间就筹得了108万元,并积累了第一波种子用户,打响了国内电子烟品牌的第一枪。后来悦刻依托线上和线下双渠道的铺设,快速在中国市场打开局面,抢占新兴的空白市场,占据了先发优势。2019年7月,悦刻的估值还不到30亿美元,一年半时间过去,它的估值已超过400亿美元。行业快速发展的同时,行业逐渐乱象频发,国内的监管风开始刮起。2019年10月1日,深圳率先将电子烟纳入了禁烟范围;当月15日,深圳开出了全国第一张电子烟罚单。11月,国家市场监督管理总局以及国家烟草专卖局发布通告,限制了电子烟销售的对象范围,以及线上渠道的销售。值得一提的是,在公告发布前20分钟,罗永浩还在微博转发“vvild小野一次性雾化电子烟”双11在电商平台正式开售的消息,消息发出后不久,罗永浩退出了电子烟行业。不少和小野一样通过线上销售电子烟的企业,也在短时间内彻底销声匿迹。电子烟也因此被迫转为线下销售,第一轮风口期结束。在大洋彼岸,监管风同样刮起。美国食品和药物管理局于2020年1月2日宣布,将暂时禁售水果味和薄荷味等口味的电子烟产品,以遏制青少年吸电子烟的趋势。一时火爆的电子烟,被浇下一盆凉水。禁售政策出台的那个季度,悦刻的收入首次出现环比下滑,2020年一季度又因为疫情冲击再次下滑。不过,从二季度悦刻就开始反弹,三季度突破10亿大关,很快就从线上禁售和疫情中恢复了。这也意味着,尽管被锁死了线上渠道,但电子烟行业并没有凉,而是放缓了增速,并进一步向头部聚集了。随着国家政策的逐步放宽,悦刻、Vitavp、Snowplus等电子烟企业仍然受到资本市场青睐,这也形成了电子烟行业目前看起来火热的“第二春”。03 产业推演当这个行业规模如愿变得越来越大的时候,消费者却并不一定会选择悦刻。线上销售渠道被政策彻底锁死之后,本来就相对有限的线下渠道变得更加拥挤。从雾芯科技毛利率的变化中就能看得出来:2018-2019年之间,其毛利率下降了7.2%。为了最大限度地开店,用更高的加码抢占核心铺位,雾芯科技进行了大规模的负债——其中大部分为流动负债,截止上市前总额27.98亿元。相比行业内的很多中小企业,雾芯科技更早、更坚决地布局线下,也因此在线上渠道被卡死之后,整个行业变局最大的受益者。悦刻各渠道销售收入占比变化2019年二季度,雾芯科技CEO汪莹曾经表示,悦刻电子烟在国内的市场占有率已经超过60%;到2020年中,这个数字已经上升至74%。这个曾经的“风口”,竟然只用了短短几年的时间就变成了一家独大的局面,线上禁令起到了非常关键的作用。如今雾芯科技已经上市。摆在投资者、创业者面前最大的一个问题变成了:一家独大的局面,是否会持续下去?要回答这个问题,还是要从传统卷烟市场寻找答案。2019年,国际烟草巨头菲利普-莫里斯公司拥有了全球销量前15的卷烟品牌中的六个,其中万宝路品牌全球市占率10%,蓝星品牌3.5%、切斯特菲尔德品牌2.2%,菲莫品牌1.9%。可以看到,菲利普-莫里斯公司是采用多品牌的方式,实现了全球范围内的市场占有率最大化。这充分说明了一个问题:在卷烟行业,单一品牌(万宝路)无法一家独大,消费者有多品牌选择的需求。不同烟卷产品之间的味道有所差异,但差异会大到什么程度?可能会有很多人有不同的看法,但我们跳出口味的争辩,从品牌的角度可以发现,烟草消费与酒、汽车一样,有一定的文化属性和自我标榜功能。万宝路品牌最初的崛起,就是利用牛仔的形象,将“硬汉文化”与烟草产品进行了绑定。整体上看,在政策强监管、市场空间相对狭小的情况下,电子烟受众规模更小,消费需求趋于一致。但当这个市场规模不断扩大,电子烟产品将会与传统烟卷一样,呈现出更多个性与文化属性。在这个过程中,单一的电子烟品牌,将不再能满足多样化的用户需求。如果雾芯科技的估值尚在正常的范围内,这个问题基本不需要考虑。但问题是,以其2019年仅4775万元的利润,坐享目前接近350亿美元、合人民币2200亿元以上的估值,很明显是被当做潜在的高市占、高成长性企业在估值。这样的估值意味着,雾芯科技已经被定义到大市场中。在大市场环境里,以一个品牌满足多元化的消费者需求,是值得怀疑的。相比之下,以一己之力供给全球电子烟企业代工生产的思摩尔国际,更有机会以代工多种类型产品的方式去占据全球大市场,而不必考虑品牌文化、消费选择的问题。虽然悦刻是思摩尔国际的大客户,但中国内地市场仅占思摩尔国际20%左右的市场份额,中国香港、美国等地的大客户,同样采购这家代工龙头企业的产品。技术优势给了思摩尔国际以更高的面向客户的议价能力。其毛利率从2016年的24.31%开始不断提高,到2019年年报达到44.05%,2020年中报进一步提升至48.98%,在产业链中的强势地位已经明确。当悦刻在线下渠道拼杀的时候,它必须将更多的利润贡献给上游的思摩尔国际。但当这个行业规模如愿变得越来越大的时候,消费者却并不一定选择它。对于雾芯科技的投资者来说,这些都是其必须警惕的产业发展推演。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":389765862945040,"gmtCreate":1736165455795,"gmtModify":1742066480467,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了100.0股<a 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3612ce058adadd700c5e54613b3847","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2020061913153679ebe1b4&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2044537584","content_text":"6月17日,京东零售CEO徐雷在接受采访时被问及如何应对来自拼多多的威胁。徐雷表示,我不太在乎只成立了四年的公司,虽然一个公司出现在市场上肯定有它的价值,但也轮不到我说它能否持续,要留给市场和顾客去检验。(IT之家)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391251103125936,"gmtCreate":1736552727477,"gmtModify":1742066480360,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a 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PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acae2158ef67864883c238335677bc55","width":"1080","height":"3009"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385936104018464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370669583605904,"gmtCreate":1731509305028,"gmtModify":1731509306449,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370669583605904","repostId":"367603474288672","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":367603474288672,"gmtCreate":1730646060000,"gmtModify":1730763210549,"author":{"id":"9000000000000059","authorId":"9000000000000059","name":"柳叶刀财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000059","authorIdStr":"9000000000000059"},"themes":[],"title":"抄作业就彻底","htmlText":"估计有同学不知道GME这个公司,中文翻译过来是游戏驿站。我简单介绍下这个公司。这其实是一个陷入困境的视频游戏零售商的美股公司,突然在2021年的时候,成为了散户抱团股。那么为什么是这家公司呢?这就要介绍下reddit先了。Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛本是一**易员和用户聚在一起,讲行话、段子和交流股票心得的地方。对比下来可能是某红书,类似这样的地方。2021年年初,许多个人投资者在 Reddit 和其他社交平台上受到号召,纷纷购买游戏驿站。而为什么大家这么心齐呢?因为在2021年之前的1年,论坛的一些热情的用户押注斯特拉并产生回报,使得论坛规模大大扩张。而且,最重要的是,普通用户在论坛里心齐以后,竟然真的可以拉动股票,并且带动股票价格上涨,而散户也赚了钱。这就让他们萌生了巨大的想法,是不是游戏驿站也可以。背后的逻辑是:社交媒体上散户的抱团使得他们看到了,只要齐心协力就可以干翻机构,特别是做空机构。于是在带头大哥的带领下,游戏驿站的游戏开始了。事实上也是这样,看看这个图。 游戏驿站在21年的那1个月左右,涨了25倍,干翻了所有的做空机构、对冲基金。按统计,所有空头亏损总计100-200亿美元。那么,你在想想最近大A的最近一些操作手法,是不是有点类似。在某音、某红书的一些带头大哥的带领下,散户选择赎回基金,跟着游资或者带头大哥,疯狂去做多那些没有套牢盘,市值小的一些公司。他们曾经也是把钱给了基金经理,后来发现自己亏钱还没过把瘾,现在不如赎回回来自己干,即使输钱也能过把瘾。这其实是最近一些小市值、无套牢盘的公司上涨的逻辑:游戏以及带头大哥亲自上,散户也跟着干,于是就把一些公司的股价买上天了。你去看看龙虎榜上有多少拉萨天团就知道了。这跟游戏驿站逻辑有点类似。当然,游戏驿站最终也是套牢了一批人,这个图刚我放过了,虽然那1个月涨了25倍,24年又涨了一波,但是总","listText":"估计有同学不知道GME这个公司,中文翻译过来是游戏驿站。我简单介绍下这个公司。这其实是一个陷入困境的视频游戏零售商的美股公司,突然在2021年的时候,成为了散户抱团股。那么为什么是这家公司呢?这就要介绍下reddit先了。Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛本是一**易员和用户聚在一起,讲行话、段子和交流股票心得的地方。对比下来可能是某红书,类似这样的地方。2021年年初,许多个人投资者在 Reddit 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游戏驿站在21年的那1个月左右,涨了25倍,干翻了所有的做空机构、对冲基金。按统计,所有空头亏损总计100-200亿美元。那么,你在想想最近大A的最近一些操作手法,是不是有点类似。在某音、某红书的一些带头大哥的带领下,散户选择赎回基金,跟着游资或者带头大哥,疯狂去做多那些没有套牢盘,市值小的一些公司。他们曾经也是把钱给了基金经理,后来发现自己亏钱还没过把瘾,现在不如赎回回来自己干,即使输钱也能过把瘾。这其实是最近一些小市值、无套牢盘的公司上涨的逻辑:游戏以及带头大哥亲自上,散户也跟着干,于是就把一些公司的股价买上天了。你去看看龙虎榜上有多少拉萨天团就知道了。这跟游戏驿站逻辑有点类似。当然,游戏驿站最终也是套牢了一批人,这个图刚我放过了,虽然那1个月涨了25倍,24年又涨了一波,但是总","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/134af34401264636a95b3a6b8a43ab54"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367603474288672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":992,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":328113643466880,"gmtCreate":1721135853459,"gmtModify":1721135859151,"author":{"id":"3535055924029426","authorId":"3535055924029426","name":"丁丁丁丁丁丁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9218179355e60b52eb4500a88ee325a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3535055924029426","authorIdStr":"3535055924029426"},"themes":[],"title":"竞猜赢虎币 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