卢瑟的个人主页 - 老虎社区

卢瑟

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IP属地：广东

16关注

9粉丝

1主题

0勋章

11-13

$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 为什么天天折价0.5%？

10-29

一边说卖一台亏一台，一边赚你7个小目标。雷军神人也

小米汽车盈利拐点已现，三季度经营利润或超7亿

10-24

$滴普科技(01384)$ 老虎好样的，赚钱的全不中

10-08

傻的都知道会暴涨啦，还用你预测

@读财报话新股:为什么我们能预测到长风药业暴涨，长风药业首日表现怎么看？

10-03

$长风药业(02652)$ 乙头中一手

09-30

$长风药业(02652)$ 甲尾还是乙头好？

09-25

$陆控(06623)$ 港股什么时候复牌？

09-24

$奇瑞汽车(09973)$ 赚顿饭钱撤了

09-19

$不同集团(06090)$ 乙二没中

09-17

$劲方医药-B(02595)$ 乙头中1手

09-04

$大行科工(02543)$ 7000倍，登上超购榜榜首

09-02

$大行科工(02543)$ 是不是全民抽签？是的话现金打一下算了

08-26

$佳鑫国际资源(03858)$ 甲尾一手，希望有肉吃

08-22

全员抽签，拼运气

@Davidmtr:$双登股份(06960)$ 150万股都唔中，难道每次都要顶头锤吗[捂脸]

08-18

$天岳先进(02631)$ 甲尾只中了2手

08-18

$天岳先进(02631)$ 5点了，怎么还没公布中签结果

08-08

$中慧生物-B(02627)$ 原以为是蚊子肉，没想到来个中肉，不错不错

08-07

$中慧生物-B(02627)$ 甲尾中1手，能不能加鸡腿

08-06

港股真**，明明都是电子化交易，还动不动停市

中慧生物：因暴雨推迟上市

08-05

$中慧生物－Ｂ(02627)$ 不是今天截止吗？怎么又变成明天了

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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为什么天天折价0.5%？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499799202512976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":494293197303872,"gmtCreate":1761703117293,"gmtModify":1761703120007,"author":{"id":"3539749805673084","authorId":"3539749805673084","name":"卢瑟","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4f41e84cc0db6ca77dc77ae22e023b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3539749805673084","authorIdStr":"3539749805673084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一边说卖一台亏一台，一边赚你7个小目标。雷军神人也","listText":"一边说卖一台亏一台，一边赚你7个小目标。雷军神人也","text":"一边说卖一台亏一台，一边赚你7个小目标。雷军神人也","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/494293197303872","repostId":"1151887893","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151887893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1761638088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151887893?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-10-28 15:54","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小米汽车盈利拐点已现，三季度经营利润或超7亿","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151887893","media":"电车黑板报","summary":"$小米$集团将于11月18日港股盘后公布2025年第三季度业绩。前者预计小米汽车三季度利润7.07亿元，后者表示小米汽车业务经营利润将扭亏为盈7.22亿元。从往期财报数据来看，小米汽车业务分部的经营亏损正在大幅收窄。综合部分券商及投行预测的数据，小米汽车业务分部毛利率将在第三季度出现环比下滑。招银国际认为，小米汽车业务分部毛利率环比下滑主要受SU7订单的产能限制。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>集团将于11月18日港股盘后公布2025年第三季度业绩。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">受益于汽车交付量的持续提升及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米</a>YU7占比大幅增加，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/81810\">小米</a>汽车业务有望在第三季度迎来盈利拐点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前，已至少有中金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601688\">华泰证券</a>和招银国际四家机构发表研报预测，小米汽车业务将在第三季度首次实现盈利或盈亏平衡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，中金和花旗均给出了盈利的具体数据及口径。前者预计小米汽车三季度利润7.07亿元，后者表示小米汽车业务经营利润将扭亏为盈7.22亿元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a7a89f33c77a3d994ee15f0710e2304\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">雷军6月在小米2025年投资者大会上透露，汽车业务预计将在第三到第四季度实现盈利。但他当时并未明确具体的盈利口径。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小米总裁卢伟冰8月19日则在二季度财报电话会上进一步表示，汽车业务有望在下半年实现单季或单月盈利。但他补充称，由于累计亏损规模还非常大，要实现全面盈利或累计盈利还需要很长一段时间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在今年的一季报中，小米首次将汽车业务分部的亏损披露口径由“经调整净亏损”调整为“经营亏损”。即毛利润减掉经营开支，未计算与该业务分部相关的股票薪酬费用和其他一次性损益。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从往期财报数据来看，小米汽车业务分部的经营亏损正在大幅收窄。2024年<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>～2025年Q2，汽车业务分部经营亏损分别为19.2/16.4/10/5/3亿元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3cc4a92c0856c4a7bf19f44c2a49d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"675\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06886\">华泰证券</a>和中金均认为，随着产能逐步爬坡带来的交付量增加，小米汽车业务分部第三季度将首次实现盈利。招银国际则表示，小米汽车业务将在第三季度实现盈亏平衡，主要得益于中国优惠的购置税补贴、规模效应和制造效率。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">9月，小米汽车交付量首次超过4万辆并续创月度新高，表明产能问题正在持续改善。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据乘联分会数据统计，第三季度小米汽车交付量环比增长33.8%至10.9万辆，同比则增超2.7倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">花旗估算，小米YU7在第三季度总交付量中的占比为40%，SU7及SU7 Ultra各占55%及5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">易车网数据显示，今年7～9月，小米YU7累计批发销量达到4.5万辆，SU7及SU7 Ultra合计贡献6.38万辆。以此计算，YU7占第三季度总交付量的41.3%，SU7及SU7 Ultra合占58.7%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90d6b958e71aba86ab63285025b80e68\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"888\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">综合部分券商及投行预测的数据，小米汽车业务分部毛利率将在第三季度出现环比下滑。中金、花旗、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTSC.UK\">华泰证券</a>和招银国际的预测数据介于25%～25.8%，均低于第二季度的26.4%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">招银国际认为，小米汽车业务分部毛利率环比下滑主要受SU7订单的产能限制。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按照现有产能规模并以第四季度月均交付4万辆的速度计算，预计小米汽车全年保守交付量将达到38.6万辆，这也将超过公司全年35万辆的交付目标。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，由于工厂二期产能扩产延迟，美银证券下调了小米汽车今明两年的交付量预测至38.5/65万辆，原预测38.7/70万辆。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小米汽车上周五还对全系车型推出跨年购置税补贴方案，以应对将于明年开始退坡的新能源汽车车辆购置税政策。美银证券对此表示，小米汽车的新补贴计划可能提升订单动能。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1755823770030","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小米汽车盈利拐点已现，三季度经营利润或超7亿</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米汽车盈利拐点已现，三季度经营利润或超7亿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-28 15:54 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nxWO65dz0lNMgmCWXU781Q><strong>电车黑板报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>小米集团将于11月18日港股盘后公布2025年第三季度业绩。受益于汽车交付量的持续提升及小米YU7占比大幅增加，小米汽车业务有望在第三季度迎来盈利拐点。目前，已至少有中金、花旗、华泰证券和招银国际四家机构发表研报预测，小米汽车业务将在第三季度首次实现盈利或盈亏平衡。其中，中金和花旗均给出了盈利的具体数据及口径。前者预计小米汽车三季度利润7.07亿元，后者表示小米汽车业务经营利润将扭亏为盈7.22...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nxWO65dz0lNMgmCWXU781Q\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99b330c7a5fe2b62c4d008bd67f85ddd","relate_stocks":{"81810":"小米集团-WR","01810":"小米集团-W","XIACY":"小米集团ADR"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nxWO65dz0lNMgmCWXU781Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151887893","content_text":"小米集团将于11月18日港股盘后公布2025年第三季度业绩。受益于汽车交付量的持续提升及小米YU7占比大幅增加，小米汽车业务有望在第三季度迎来盈利拐点。目前，已至少有中金、花旗、华泰证券和招银国际四家机构发表研报预测，小米汽车业务将在第三季度首次实现盈利或盈亏平衡。其中，中金和花旗均给出了盈利的具体数据及口径。前者预计小米汽车三季度利润7.07亿元，后者表示小米汽车业务经营利润将扭亏为盈7.22亿元。雷军6月在小米2025年投资者大会上透露，汽车业务预计将在第三到第四季度实现盈利。但他当时并未明确具体的盈利口径。小米总裁卢伟冰8月19日则在二季度财报电话会上进一步表示，汽车业务有望在下半年实现单季或单月盈利。但他补充称，由于累计亏损规模还非常大，要实现全面盈利或累计盈利还需要很长一段时间。在今年的一季报中，小米首次将汽车业务分部的亏损披露口径由“经调整净亏损”调整为“经营亏损”。即毛利润减掉经营开支，未计算与该业务分部相关的股票薪酬费用和其他一次性损益。从往期财报数据来看，小米汽车业务分部的经营亏损正在大幅收窄。2024年Q2～2025年Q2，汽车业务分部经营亏损分别为19.2/16.4/10/5/3亿元。华泰证券和中金均认为，随着产能逐步爬坡带来的交付量增加，小米汽车业务分部第三季度将首次实现盈利。招银国际则表示，小米汽车业务将在第三季度实现盈亏平衡，主要得益于中国优惠的购置税补贴、规模效应和制造效率。9月，小米汽车交付量首次超过4万辆并续创月度新高，表明产能问题正在持续改善。据乘联分会数据统计，第三季度小米汽车交付量环比增长33.8%至10.9万辆，同比则增超2.7倍。花旗估算，小米YU7在第三季度总交付量中的占比为40%，SU7及SU7 Ultra各占55%及5%。易车网数据显示，今年7～9月，小米YU7累计批发销量达到4.5万辆，SU7及SU7 Ultra合计贡献6.38万辆。以此计算，YU7占第三季度总交付量的41.3%，SU7及SU7 Ultra合占58.7%。综合部分券商及投行预测的数据，小米汽车业务分部毛利率将在第三季度出现环比下滑。中金、花旗、华泰证券和招银国际的预测数据介于25%～25.8%，均低于第二季度的26.4%。招银国际认为，小米汽车业务分部毛利率环比下滑主要受SU7订单的产能限制。按照现有产能规模并以第四季度月均交付4万辆的速度计算，预计小米汽车全年保守交付量将达到38.6万辆，这也将超过公司全年35万辆的交付目标。不过，由于工厂二期产能扩产延迟，美银证券下调了小米汽车今明两年的交付量预测至38.5/65万辆，原预测38.7/70万辆。小米汽车上周五还对全系车型推出跨年购置税补贴方案，以应对将于明年开始退坡的新能源汽车车辆购置税政策。美银证券对此表示，小米汽车的新补贴计划可能提升订单动能。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"81810":0.6,"01810":1.5,"XIACY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492659926393600,"gmtCreate":1761299050078,"gmtModify":1761299062034,"author":{"id":"3539749805673084","authorId":"3539749805673084","name":"卢瑟","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4f41e84cc0db6ca77dc77ae22e023b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3539749805673084","authorIdStr":"3539749805673084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01384\">$滴普科技(01384)$ </a> 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老虎好样的，赚钱的全不中","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08ab8f0d8b69ad37d57aa9fcbb3d2298","width":"1200","height":"2670"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492659926393600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":486940623004368,"gmtCreate":1759910779380,"gmtModify":1759910931919,"author":{"id":"3539749805673084","authorId":"3539749805673084","name":"卢瑟","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4f41e84cc0db6ca77dc77ae22e023b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3539749805673084","authorIdStr":"3539749805673084"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"傻的都知道会暴涨啦，还用你预测","listText":"傻的都知道会暴涨啦，还用你预测","text":"傻的都知道会暴涨啦，还用你预测","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/486940623004368","repostId":"486719469638456","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":486719469638456,"gmtCreate":1759856740077,"gmtModify":1760062200521,"author":{"id":"4105541084439510","authorId":"4105541084439510","name":"读财报话新股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6288ae01d78c6eed1f7285bd84ab1c86","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105541084439510","authorIdStr":"4105541084439510"},"themes":[],"title":"为什么我们能预测到长风药业暴涨，长风药业首日表现怎么看？","htmlText":"1、昨天中秋佳节，港股打新又给打新人发了个大红包 一签难求的长风药业 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02652\">$长风药业(02652)$</a> ，昨天两大暗盘均暴涨210%以上，中一手赚1万6千多 图片 其中，某途暗盘遥遥领先，最高价到过62元，一手赚2万4千 长风药业，应该是今年赚最多的医药新股了，收益超越了前段时间的银诺医药 昨晚，长风药业的配售结果也出炉了，公配超购了6698倍，超越了毛记，排在了港股打新历史第二位 国配上超购12.7倍，比较中规中矩，长风药业并不是那种机构非常热捧的票 图片 不过要是大家都认为国配倍数不是很高，或者说不是机构热捧票，表现就一般的话，那就是大错特错罗 西普尼国配才3.9倍，但首日暴涨260%，这同行怎么解释？ 博泰车联国配才3.7倍，但上市几天暴涨74%，这同行怎么解释？ 健康160国配才1.9倍，但首日暴涨144%，这同行怎么解释？ 那么像以上这些估值很贵，机构不怎么来电的新股，你要说跟紫金黄金国际那种机构扎堆的票一样去分析的话，方向自然就搞错了 像长风药业、西普尼这种的，研究方面就是投机炒作的价值，掌握内部信息差，掌握全市场第一手信息才是重点 在打新私蜜圈里，都会发布每只新股的暗盘策略，其中，多只新股，这里都有全市场第一手信息 在私蜜圈《长风药业暗盘策略》中，透露了长风药业更多是投资炒作的价值 同时，得到的第一手信息是：本次长风药业有内地某神秘资金会炒作，加上“三无架构(无绿鞋无基石无国配增发)”，长风药业的暗盘首日等将会涨幅惊人 不过，目前是国庆假期，有部分神秘资金还在休假中，涨幅方面可能相比之前要打一些折扣 结果，从昨天的暗盘来看，最终两大暗盘涨幅220%左右，原本是可以维持在300%以上的表现的，打了点折扣了，打新私蜜圈截图如下： 图片 在私蜜圈里的《西普尼暗盘策略》中，财哥收到全市场一手信","listText":"1、昨天中秋佳节，港股打新又给打新人发了个大红包 一签难求的长风药业 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02652\">$长风药业(02652)$</a> ，昨天两大暗盘均暴涨210%以上，中一手赚1万6千多 图片 其中，某途暗盘遥遥领先，最高价到过62元，一手赚2万4千 长风药业，应该是今年赚最多的医药新股了，收益超越了前段时间的银诺医药 昨晚，长风药业的配售结果也出炉了，公配超购了6698倍，超越了毛记，排在了港股打新历史第二位 国配上超购12.7倍，比较中规中矩，长风药业并不是那种机构非常热捧的票 图片 不过要是大家都认为国配倍数不是很高，或者说不是机构热捧票，表现就一般的话，那就是大错特错罗 西普尼国配才3.9倍，但首日暴涨260%，这同行怎么解释？ 博泰车联国配才3.7倍，但上市几天暴涨74%，这同行怎么解释？ 健康160国配才1.9倍，但首日暴涨144%，这同行怎么解释？ 那么像以上这些估值很贵，机构不怎么来电的新股，你要说跟紫金黄金国际那种机构扎堆的票一样去分析的话，方向自然就搞错了 像长风药业、西普尼这种的，研究方面就是投机炒作的价值，掌握内部信息差，掌握全市场第一手信息才是重点 在打新私蜜圈里，都会发布每只新股的暗盘策略，其中，多只新股，这里都有全市场第一手信息 在私蜜圈《长风药业暗盘策略》中，透露了长风药业更多是投资炒作的价值 同时，得到的第一手信息是：本次长风药业有内地某神秘资金会炒作，加上“三无架构(无绿鞋无基石无国配增发)”，长风药业的暗盘首日等将会涨幅惊人 不过，目前是国庆假期，有部分神秘资金还在休假中，涨幅方面可能相比之前要打一些折扣 结果，从昨天的暗盘来看，最终两大暗盘涨幅220%左右，原本是可以维持在300%以上的表现的，打了点折扣了，打新私蜜圈截图如下： 图片 在私蜜圈里的《西普尼暗盘策略》中，财哥收到全市场一手信","text":"1、昨天中秋佳节，港股打新又给打新人发了个大红包 一签难求的长风药业 $长风药业(02652)$ ，昨天两大暗盘均暴涨210%以上，中一手赚1万6千多 图片 其中，某途暗盘遥遥领先，最高价到过62元，一手赚2万4千 长风药业，应该是今年赚最多的医药新股了，收益超越了前段时间的银诺医药 昨晚，长风药业的配售结果也出炉了，公配超购了6698倍，超越了毛记，排在了港股打新历史第二位 国配上超购12.7倍，比较中规中矩，长风药业并不是那种机构非常热捧的票 图片 不过要是大家都认为国配倍数不是很高，或者说不是机构热捧票，表现就一般的话，那就是大错特错罗 西普尼国配才3.9倍，但首日暴涨260%，这同行怎么解释？ 博泰车联国配才3.7倍，但上市几天暴涨74%，这同行怎么解释？ 健康160国配才1.9倍，但首日暴涨144%，这同行怎么解释？ 那么像以上这些估值很贵，机构不怎么来电的新股，你要说跟紫金黄金国际那种机构扎堆的票一样去分析的话，方向自然就搞错了 像长风药业、西普尼这种的，研究方面就是投机炒作的价值，掌握内部信息差，掌握全市场第一手信息才是重点 在打新私蜜圈里，都会发布每只新股的暗盘策略，其中，多只新股，这里都有全市场第一手信息 在私蜜圈《长风药业暗盘策略》中，透露了长风药业更多是投资炒作的价值 同时，得到的第一手信息是：本次长风药业有内地某神秘资金会炒作，加上“三无架构(无绿鞋无基石无国配增发)”，长风药业的暗盘首日等将会涨幅惊人 不过，目前是国庆假期，有部分神秘资金还在休假中，涨幅方面可能相比之前要打一些折扣 结果，从昨天的暗盘来看，最终两大暗盘涨幅220%左右，原本是可以维持在300%以上的表现的，打了点折扣了，打新私蜜圈截图如下： 图片 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