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东十里堡路之狼
无政府主义者
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东十里堡路之狼
09-22
$SLV 20251219 40.0 CALL$
抓稳了
东十里堡路之狼
09-16
$SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL$
疯了,明天继续减仓。所有资产和Vix一起冲绝对不是好事
东十里堡路之狼
09-12
$Gemini Space Station, Inc.(GEMI)$
合适吗?1666股毛都没有,100股的还给了12股
东十里堡路之狼
09-11
发个预言吧。Ai如果逻辑玩的下去,下一个炒作点绝对不是核能而是新能源+储能+算力中心。这个链条短平快,没有技术门槛,落地快,带动就业广,逻辑链条长。从资本角度,炒起来一个接一个,节奏特别可控。从政府角度,这是Ai带给普通人回馈,有利于选票。国内类似的,之前炒作阳光电源。我觉得美国也快了。
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$新纪元能源(NEE)$
$Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$
东十里堡路之狼
09-11
$TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL$
真正的利好,90近在咫尺了
东十里堡路之狼
09-10
$ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT$
纯靠故事驱动的典范,不愧是财务出身搭配印度IT团队。信他不如信我是秦始皇。
东十里堡路之狼
09-10
没有任何可以被马上验证的消息,全靠画饼。这饼已经到了年底不破4万亿都对不起的程度了
甲骨文爆了,这些数字和图表让市场和AI交易疯狂
东十里堡路之狼
09-10
$甲骨文(ORCL)$
这下真成泡沫了,之前的还没兑现,现在吹个更大的,4季度要是再来个不及预期我都不知道要怎么死。
东十里堡路之狼
09-05
$APP 20250912 450.0 PUT$
二元事件叠加消息面错位。建议大家交易之前先去敬奉祖先。
东十里堡路之狼
09-05
$APP 20250912 450.0 PUT$
最好的机会
东十里堡路之狼
09-04
$SPY 20250904 645.0 PUT$
nice shot
东十里堡路之狼
08-20
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
现在的问题是对于散户来说,现在二级市场里纯正的应用端Ai股只有这个货。Claude和OpenAi会不会上市现在都不好说,如果这个不买去买什么呢?Msft还是GOOG又或者meta?其实散户的选择并不多,Ai应用类好公司很多,但是专的就这么一个。 不过这些不是现在入场的理由,不管是散户占比,还是估值角度,都应该让子弹飞一会儿。
东十里堡路之狼
08-07
$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$
感觉是空头被拉爆了
东十里堡路之狼
08-07
$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$
多头有点强啊
东十里堡路之狼
08-01
$Figma(FIG)$
不白熬
东十里堡路之狼
08-01
$Figma(FIG)$
就这么点流通股本抢到就是赚到。
东十里堡路之狼
08-01
$Figma(FIG)$
这是比赛熬夜呢还是不给东半球人买
东十里堡路之狼
07-18
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$
太神奇了,下午保养的时候看到法案通过加了40股。刚才盘前睡着了,躲过了第一轮下跌,然后老婆叫我帮她套被套,正好是最高点。刚开始下跌犹豫了一下,260清仓了。现在加一股等着观察加仓的机会。
东十里堡路之狼
06-25
$好市多(COST)$
押注拆股。公司高管所谓的碎股交易不存在拆股必要的说法非常不合逻辑。那玩意虽然交易量占比稳步提升,但是资金占比还是很小的一部分。和拆股带来的改善完全不同。
东十里堡路之狼
06-25
$奈飞(NFLX)$
押注一下拆股。个人感觉是大概率事件。可以有效提升流动性。
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL\">$SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL$</a> 疯了,明天继续减仓。所有资产和Vix一起冲绝对不是好事","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL\">$SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL$</a> 疯了,明天继续减仓。所有资产和Vix一起冲绝对不是好事","text":"$SLV 20251003 38.0 CALL$ 疯了,明天继续减仓。所有资产和Vix一起冲绝对不是好事","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7367d552bb39dd374eee2d1646d3bcf5","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/478967078904104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000286","authorId":"9000000000000286","name":"岿然不动的稳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a3d2317b3a537627f1e1a77a7b7191e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000286","authorIdStr":"9000000000000286"},"content":"减仓是个明智的选择,风险太高了","text":"减仓是个明智的选择,风险太高了","html":"减仓是个明智的选择,风险太高了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477907258257632,"gmtCreate":1757686457380,"gmtModify":1757686464002,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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看到你这心里平衡了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477557977047856,"gmtCreate":1757600884278,"gmtModify":1757601799246,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"发个预言吧。Ai如果逻辑玩的下去,下一个炒作点绝对不是核能而是新能源+储能+算力中心。这个链条短平快,没有技术门槛,落地快,带动就业广,逻辑链条长。从资本角度,炒起来一个接一个,节奏特别可控。从政府角度,这是Ai带给普通人回馈,有利于选票。国内类似的,之前炒作阳光电源。我觉得美国也快了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NEE\">$新纪元能源(NEE)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLNC\">$Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$</a> ","listText":"发个预言吧。Ai如果逻辑玩的下去,下一个炒作点绝对不是核能而是新能源+储能+算力中心。这个链条短平快,没有技术门槛,落地快,带动就业广,逻辑链条长。从资本角度,炒起来一个接一个,节奏特别可控。从政府角度,这是Ai带给普通人回馈,有利于选票。国内类似的,之前炒作阳光电源。我觉得美国也快了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NEE\">$新纪元能源(NEE)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FLNC\">$Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$</a> ","text":"发个预言吧。Ai如果逻辑玩的下去,下一个炒作点绝对不是核能而是新能源+储能+算力中心。这个链条短平快,没有技术门槛,落地快,带动就业广,逻辑链条长。从资本角度,炒起来一个接一个,节奏特别可控。从政府角度,这是Ai带给普通人回馈,有利于选票。国内类似的,之前炒作阳光电源。我觉得美国也快了。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $新纪元能源(NEE)$ $Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cca7bda6e620fa09e256f09c156a61b","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477557977047856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477552509698160,"gmtCreate":1757600114452,"gmtModify":1757600117359,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL\">$TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL$</a> 真正的利好,90近在咫尺了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL\">$TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL$</a> 真正的利好,90近在咫尺了","text":"$TEM 20251003 85.0 CALL$ 真正的利好,90近在咫尺了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a4a1729184d2bcef1ae4ed8df49fa1c","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477552509698160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477143423201504,"gmtCreate":1757512415985,"gmtModify":1757512418334,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT\">$ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT$</a> 纯靠故事驱动的典范,不愧是财务出身搭配印度IT团队。信他不如信我是秦始皇。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT\">$ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT$</a> 纯靠故事驱动的典范,不愧是财务出身搭配印度IT团队。信他不如信我是秦始皇。","text":"$ORCL 20250919 300.0 PUT$ 纯靠故事驱动的典范,不愧是财务出身搭配印度IT团队。信他不如信我是秦始皇。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12b7106d2513feb11c24355ee913d006","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477143423201504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477142219132960,"gmtCreate":1757512351580,"gmtModify":1757512353670,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没有任何可以被马上验证的消息,全靠画饼。这饼已经到了年底不破4万亿都对不起的程度了","listText":"没有任何可以被马上验证的消息,全靠画饼。这饼已经到了年底不破4万亿都对不起的程度了","text":"没有任何可以被马上验证的消息,全靠画饼。这饼已经到了年底不破4万亿都对不起的程度了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477142219132960","repostId":"2566476196","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2566476196","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1757464645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2566476196?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-10 08:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"甲骨文爆了,这些数字和图表让市场和AI交易疯狂","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2566476196","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"甲骨文庞大的RPO(剩余履约义务)和炸裂的云收入指引共同点燃市场情绪。其RPO本季度同比大增359%,达4550亿美元;云基础设施(OCI)业务收入预计将在未来四年分别攀升至320亿美元、730亿美元、1140亿美元和1440亿美元,远超市场预期。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>甲骨文庞大的RPO(剩余履约义务)和炸裂的云收入指引共同点燃市场情绪。其RPO本季度同比大增359%,达4550亿美元;云基础设施(OCI)业务收入预计将在未来四年分别攀升至320亿美元、730亿美元、1140亿美元和1440亿美元,远超市场预期。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文向市场证明,在AI驱动的狂热中,未来的承诺远比当前的业绩更具吸引力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管这家软件巨头刚刚公布的Q1业绩未能达到预期,但其股价却在盘后交易中飙升,<strong>原因在于公司与OpenAI签下的一笔巨额交易让订单额出现大幅增长,并对云基础设施业务给出了激进的增长预期。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司首席执行官Safra Catz发布声明宣布,公司在第一财季签订了数份价值数十亿美元的巨额合同,这使得公司的积压订单量猛增。同时,预计甲骨文云基础设施业务在本财年将增长77%,高于此前70%的预测,达到180亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">消息公布后,甲骨文盘后大涨28%创历史新高,使其成为首家市值超过5000亿美元、且单日涨幅超过25%的美国公司。这清晰地表明,在当前的投资环境中,<strong>围绕AI构建的宏大叙事,其权重已经压倒了传统的财务指标,投资者愿意为增长前景支付高昂溢价。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17acbcbc6f8a961cd636fab4a6ed6429\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"593\"/></p><h2 id=\"backlog\">积压订单“惊人”,需求还在增长</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">引爆市场情绪的核心数据,是甲骨文急剧膨胀的“剩余履约义务”(RPO),即已签订合同但尚未确认为收入的金额。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Safra Catz在声明中表示,<strong>公司在第一财季与三个不同的客户签订了四份数十亿美元的合同。这直接导致甲骨文的RPO合同积压同比增长了惊人的359%,达到4550亿美元。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Catz将这一数据形容为“惊人的”,并强调“市场对甲骨文云基础设施(Oracle Cloud Infrastructure)的需求仍在持续增长”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">她进一步透露,<strong>预计在未来几个月内,公司还将与“另外几家数十亿美元的客户”签约,届时RPO总额可能超过5000亿美元。</strong>这份庞大的合同储备,为甲骨文大胆预测未来收入增长提供了基础。</p><h2 id=\"ad1349ce\">云业务收入有望实现指数级增长</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在庞大RPO的支持下,甲骨文对其云业务的未来给出了一个堪称指数级增长的财务预测,这成为推动股价的另一个关键燃料。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司预计,其云基础设施(OCI)业务的收入将在本财年增长77%,达到180亿美元。更引人注目的是未来四年的规划<strong>:OCI收入预计将接连攀升至320亿美元、730亿美元、1140亿美元,最终在第五年达到1440亿美元。这意味着该业务在数年内将以接近每年翻一番的速度扩张。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45c1650b7640508393dffe38b873a547\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"621\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文方面补充称,这个五年预测中的大部分收入,已经包含在当前报告的RPO中。</p><h2 id=\"id_3402561877\">资本支出高企释放积极信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文激进扩张的背后,是满足AI巨头算力需求的庞大计划。为兑现这些巨额合同,公司正准备进行大规模的资本投资。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Catz在财报电话会议上表示,<strong>公司本财年的资本支出预计将达到350亿美元。</strong>她强调,这些投资的大部分将用于数据中心的“创收设备”,而非土地或建筑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">她补充说,<strong>如果未来资本支出数字继续走高,那将是“好消息,因为它意味着更多的容量”,</strong>公司需要容量来将庞大的RPO积压订单转化为加速增长的收入和利润。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在财报发布前,Cantor Fitzgerald的分析师Thomas Blakey就曾指出,投资者应重点关注甲骨文的资本支出计划,以评估其满足新合同需求的能力。他认为,由AI需求驱动的OCI业务的强劲势头,“应能抵消在资本支出、资本结构和资本回报策略方面可能出现的短期风险”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>甲骨文爆了,这些数字和图表让市场和AI交易疯狂</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n甲骨文爆了,这些数字和图表让市场和AI交易疯狂\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-10 08:37 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3755282><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>甲骨文庞大的RPO(剩余履约义务)和炸裂的云收入指引共同点燃市场情绪。其RPO本季度同比大增359%,达4550亿美元;云基础设施(OCI)业务收入预计将在未来四年分别攀升至320亿美元、730亿美元、1140亿美元和1440亿美元,远超市场预期。甲骨文向市场证明,在AI驱动的狂热中,未来的承诺远比当前的业绩更具吸引力。尽管这家软件巨头刚刚公布的Q1业绩未能达到预期,但其股价却在盘后交易中飙升,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3755282\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65f48a892cdcaab300c901c1e9e1c374","relate_stocks":{"IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1935042215.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC A","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH 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SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3755282","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2566476196","content_text":"甲骨文庞大的RPO(剩余履约义务)和炸裂的云收入指引共同点燃市场情绪。其RPO本季度同比大增359%,达4550亿美元;云基础设施(OCI)业务收入预计将在未来四年分别攀升至320亿美元、730亿美元、1140亿美元和1440亿美元,远超市场预期。甲骨文向市场证明,在AI驱动的狂热中,未来的承诺远比当前的业绩更具吸引力。尽管这家软件巨头刚刚公布的Q1业绩未能达到预期,但其股价却在盘后交易中飙升,原因在于公司与OpenAI签下的一笔巨额交易让订单额出现大幅增长,并对云基础设施业务给出了激进的增长预期。公司首席执行官Safra Catz发布声明宣布,公司在第一财季签订了数份价值数十亿美元的巨额合同,这使得公司的积压订单量猛增。同时,预计甲骨文云基础设施业务在本财年将增长77%,高于此前70%的预测,达到180亿美元。消息公布后,甲骨文盘后大涨28%创历史新高,使其成为首家市值超过5000亿美元、且单日涨幅超过25%的美国公司。这清晰地表明,在当前的投资环境中,围绕AI构建的宏大叙事,其权重已经压倒了传统的财务指标,投资者愿意为增长前景支付高昂溢价。积压订单“惊人”,需求还在增长引爆市场情绪的核心数据,是甲骨文急剧膨胀的“剩余履约义务”(RPO),即已签订合同但尚未确认为收入的金额。Safra Catz在声明中表示,公司在第一财季与三个不同的客户签订了四份数十亿美元的合同。这直接导致甲骨文的RPO合同积压同比增长了惊人的359%,达到4550亿美元。Catz将这一数据形容为“惊人的”,并强调“市场对甲骨文云基础设施(Oracle Cloud 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$好市多(COST)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 押注拆股。公司高管所谓的碎股交易不存在拆股必要的说法非常不合逻辑。那玩意虽然交易量占比稳步提升,但是资金占比还是很小的一部分。和拆股带来的改善完全不同。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$好市多(COST)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 押注拆股。公司高管所谓的碎股交易不存在拆股必要的说法非常不合逻辑。那玩意虽然交易量占比稳步提升,但是资金占比还是很小的一部分。和拆股带来的改善完全不同。","text":"$好市多(COST)$ 押注拆股。公司高管所谓的碎股交易不存在拆股必要的说法非常不合逻辑。那玩意虽然交易量占比稳步提升,但是资金占比还是很小的一部分。和拆股带来的改善完全不同。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94660f47cddec3828e351ecacadb2160","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/449882005713072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4193377325563260","authorId":"4193377325563260","name":"人生舵手__小琳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bca18127aea7146dcdf53d2a249fc2f8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4193377325563260","authorIdStr":"4193377325563260"},"content":"可以的,拆股大利好啊","text":"可以的,拆股大利好啊","html":"可以的,拆股大利好啊"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":449878973362344,"gmtCreate":1750860420631,"gmtModify":1750904920470,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 押注一下拆股。个人感觉是大概率事件。可以有效提升流动性。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 押注一下拆股。个人感觉是大概率事件。可以有效提升流动性。","text":"$奈飞(NFLX)$ 押注一下拆股。个人感觉是大概率事件。可以有效提升流动性。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c87ea9593cfe663c54cfe6e8b6ed85f8","width":"1008","height":"1657"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/449878973362344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4193377325563260","authorId":"4193377325563260","name":"人生舵手__小琳","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bca18127aea7146dcdf53d2a249fc2f8","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4193377325563260","authorIdStr":"4193377325563260"},"content":"在哪里看的拆股","text":"在哪里看的拆股","html":"在哪里看的拆股"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":307134048,"gmtCreate":1605510961384,"gmtModify":1710139024449,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"title":"坚定看空蔚来等国产电动车股价","htmlText":"很明显今年新能源车是站上了风口。4家车企上涨连带着开心汽车,小牛电动都疯了一波。用的来说看涨人士的意见是看好未来庞大的替代市场,因此得出估值不高的结论。看空的人会讲重资产行业的特性等方面。我要说的是另外一个方面的事。 长期来看电动车市场的好是毋庸置疑的,但是我个人认为由于政策的导向这需要5到10年的发展,才能迎来行业的爆发期。这5到10年也是给各家新兴厂商打下根基的时间和老牌厂商转型的时间。因此我认为目前国内三家的股价很可能是国内的庄在想办法从资本市场拿钱反哺公司进一步扩张。 说了政策也要谈谈实际购买者的情况。目前市面上最多的新能源车还是那些补贴后价格不超过15万的车。诸如北汽新能源,广汽传奇的一些用油车直接改过来的电车,比亚迪的低端产品这些。诸如小鹏,蔚来,理想这类价格比肩BBA的产品从销量上表现出了符合豪华品牌的情况。这是因为大多数中国家庭的收入没有各位以为的那么高。以北京为例,年平均人均可支配收入不足7万。两口之家买蔚来需要花3年甚至更多。运气好的话钱攒够了,摇到号,买车。运气不好钱不够,号来了,要么贷款,要么取舍一番选了价格低些的产品。可能有人觉得这个例子不合理,认为很多人家里会出钱帮衬等,但是前提是他们不能有房贷。因此目前来说蔚来销量最多就是目前BBA的C级车销量的极限了。价格这块小鹏情况会好很多,但是一样面临和特斯拉的正面竞争。理想其实纯属蹭热度的,很多地方的政策都不给他算新能源。真要说泡沫那肯定是它最多了。 然后就是车辆使用的问题。目前国内城市的社区9成都存在停车难问题。小区车位设计的容积率能达到1的几乎不存在。如果买了电车更是清楚的感受到安装充电桩的难。因此很多拥有油车的家庭在换车时不太可能考虑油车换电车。这块市场很大但是没有一家企业有好办法吃下来。 最后就是补贴滑坡,新发新能源牌照可能持续减少,以及来自传统厂商的竞争了。 总之汽车市场是个很传统的市场,不会","listText":"很明显今年新能源车是站上了风口。4家车企上涨连带着开心汽车,小牛电动都疯了一波。用的来说看涨人士的意见是看好未来庞大的替代市场,因此得出估值不高的结论。看空的人会讲重资产行业的特性等方面。我要说的是另外一个方面的事。 长期来看电动车市场的好是毋庸置疑的,但是我个人认为由于政策的导向这需要5到10年的发展,才能迎来行业的爆发期。这5到10年也是给各家新兴厂商打下根基的时间和老牌厂商转型的时间。因此我认为目前国内三家的股价很可能是国内的庄在想办法从资本市场拿钱反哺公司进一步扩张。 说了政策也要谈谈实际购买者的情况。目前市面上最多的新能源车还是那些补贴后价格不超过15万的车。诸如北汽新能源,广汽传奇的一些用油车直接改过来的电车,比亚迪的低端产品这些。诸如小鹏,蔚来,理想这类价格比肩BBA的产品从销量上表现出了符合豪华品牌的情况。这是因为大多数中国家庭的收入没有各位以为的那么高。以北京为例,年平均人均可支配收入不足7万。两口之家买蔚来需要花3年甚至更多。运气好的话钱攒够了,摇到号,买车。运气不好钱不够,号来了,要么贷款,要么取舍一番选了价格低些的产品。可能有人觉得这个例子不合理,认为很多人家里会出钱帮衬等,但是前提是他们不能有房贷。因此目前来说蔚来销量最多就是目前BBA的C级车销量的极限了。价格这块小鹏情况会好很多,但是一样面临和特斯拉的正面竞争。理想其实纯属蹭热度的,很多地方的政策都不给他算新能源。真要说泡沫那肯定是它最多了。 然后就是车辆使用的问题。目前国内城市的社区9成都存在停车难问题。小区车位设计的容积率能达到1的几乎不存在。如果买了电车更是清楚的感受到安装充电桩的难。因此很多拥有油车的家庭在换车时不太可能考虑油车换电车。这块市场很大但是没有一家企业有好办法吃下来。 最后就是补贴滑坡,新发新能源牌照可能持续减少,以及来自传统厂商的竞争了。 总之汽车市场是个很传统的市场,不会","text":"很明显今年新能源车是站上了风口。4家车企上涨连带着开心汽车,小牛电动都疯了一波。用的来说看涨人士的意见是看好未来庞大的替代市场,因此得出估值不高的结论。看空的人会讲重资产行业的特性等方面。我要说的是另外一个方面的事。 长期来看电动车市场的好是毋庸置疑的,但是我个人认为由于政策的导向这需要5到10年的发展,才能迎来行业的爆发期。这5到10年也是给各家新兴厂商打下根基的时间和老牌厂商转型的时间。因此我认为目前国内三家的股价很可能是国内的庄在想办法从资本市场拿钱反哺公司进一步扩张。 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总之汽车市场是个很传统的市场,不会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":237,"commentSize":145,"repostSize":22,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307134048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562305965017251","authorId":"3562305965017251","name":"Spencer_2168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3fb745284811630fcbe06046ad9c2c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3562305965017251","authorIdStr":"3562305965017251"},"content":"肯定没买所以后悔莫及","text":"肯定没买所以后悔莫及","html":"肯定没买所以后悔莫及"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":438766137602216,"gmtCreate":1748169886359,"gmtModify":1748174025560,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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妈的感觉不妙啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/438766137602216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4134799046836020","authorId":"4134799046836020","name":"释迦牟尼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fab060700d0ee51686a89dc3cc3511c","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4134799046836020","authorIdStr":"4134799046836020"},"content":"肯定涨,申购都申购了不用自己吓唬自己。","text":"肯定涨,申购都申购了不用自己吓唬自己。","html":"肯定涨,申购都申购了不用自己吓唬自己。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":926298476,"gmtCreate":1587115281495,"gmtModify":1704363341279,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>下了790的空单。我觉得这个股不值他现在的价格。500倒是比较合理。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>下了790的空单。我觉得这个股不值他现在的价格。500倒是比较合理。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$下了790的空单。我觉得这个股不值他现在的价格。500倒是比较合理。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":19,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/926298476","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465431517609033","authorId":"3465431517609033","name":"名侦探巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db276ba85a4522c13024de22b29a73fe","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3465431517609033","authorIdStr":"3465431517609033"},"content":"遗憾的是市场大多数时候就是价格不合理的","text":"遗憾的是市场大多数时候就是价格不合理的","html":"遗憾的是市场大多数时候就是价格不合理的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477907258257632,"gmtCreate":1757686457380,"gmtModify":1757686464002,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEMI\">$Gemini Space Station, Inc.(GEMI)$</a> 合适吗?1666股毛都没有,100股的还给了12股","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEMI\">$Gemini Space Station, Inc.(GEMI)$</a> 合适吗?1666股毛都没有,100股的还给了12股","text":"$Gemini Space Station, Inc.(GEMI)$ 合适吗?1666股毛都没有,100股的还给了12股","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7d0d685bc5b5bad358cf9b8dba27545","width":"1206","height":"509"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477907258257632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3533707008408884","authorId":"3533707008408884","name":"南通汤圆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40dccc44b9e45b6b318bf2b317d73799","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3533707008408884","authorIdStr":"3533707008408884"},"content":"我是你的一半 还在后悔没把钱搞多点 看到你这心里平衡了","text":"我是你的一半 还在后悔没把钱搞多点 看到你这心里平衡了","html":"我是你的一半 还在后悔没把钱搞多点 看到你这心里平衡了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368941438251408,"gmtCreate":1731115074131,"gmtModify":1731312003579,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DXYZ\">$Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 起飞吧,看你能狂欢几周。一旦风向变了就是捡钱的时候了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DXYZ\">$Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 起飞吧,看你能狂欢几周。一旦风向变了就是捡钱的时候了","text":"$Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ 起飞吧,看你能狂欢几周。一旦风向变了就是捡钱的时候了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368941438251408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3573215703788565","authorId":"3573215703788565","name":"sxf123456","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ddb11d831bbd34d59a4bc0e5691bf1","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573215703788565","authorIdStr":"3573215703788565"},"content":"@东十里堡路之狼 你好,你觉得下周会转向吗,最高能涨到多少呢,今天就已经入场做空了,感觉很可怕,不知道要不要亏损平仓","text":"@东十里堡路之狼 你好,你觉得下周会转向吗,最高能涨到多少呢,今天就已经入场做空了,感觉很可怕,不知道要不要亏损平仓","html":"@东十里堡路之狼 你好,你觉得下周会转向吗,最高能涨到多少呢,今天就已经入场做空了,感觉很可怕,不知道要不要亏损平仓"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":146338207,"gmtCreate":1626053094009,"gmtModify":1626060869044,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$维珍银河(SPCE)$</a>从飞行高度来看,太空船2号确实差了点意思。但是在我看来除了这个全是优点。首先太空船2号可回收,发射难度和成本远低于能够入轨的火箭。其次用运输机发射的形式和飞机返回的形式既可以保证安全性也可以再技术进步后实现类似暴风雪号的入轨飞行。最后,不是每一个富豪都想挑战生与死,他们更多的要的是新奇体验。维珍的太空船2号提供了一种安全相对低价的体验形式。未来可能有很多小富阶层的人为了认识大佬让这25w一张的船票抢破头。就像竞拍巴菲特的一顿饭一样。总之太空旅行作为面向广大普通人的商业项目,安全,高效可能比飞行高度更重要。维珍已经证明了自己的安全性,后面只要再造上一架母船和一两架太空船,完全可以实现一天送上去十几二十个人。而高度是80还是100公里其实就是把发动机再升级一下就好了。毕竟都没出电离层呢,不存在技术鸿沟。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$维珍银河(SPCE)$</a>从飞行高度来看,太空船2号确实差了点意思。但是在我看来除了这个全是优点。首先太空船2号可回收,发射难度和成本远低于能够入轨的火箭。其次用运输机发射的形式和飞机返回的形式既可以保证安全性也可以再技术进步后实现类似暴风雪号的入轨飞行。最后,不是每一个富豪都想挑战生与死,他们更多的要的是新奇体验。维珍的太空船2号提供了一种安全相对低价的体验形式。未来可能有很多小富阶层的人为了认识大佬让这25w一张的船票抢破头。就像竞拍巴菲特的一顿饭一样。总之太空旅行作为面向广大普通人的商业项目,安全,高效可能比飞行高度更重要。维珍已经证明了自己的安全性,后面只要再造上一架母船和一两架太空船,完全可以实现一天送上去十几二十个人。而高度是80还是100公里其实就是把发动机再升级一下就好了。毕竟都没出电离层呢,不存在技术鸿沟。","text":"$维珍银河(SPCE)$从飞行高度来看,太空船2号确实差了点意思。但是在我看来除了这个全是优点。首先太空船2号可回收,发射难度和成本远低于能够入轨的火箭。其次用运输机发射的形式和飞机返回的形式既可以保证安全性也可以再技术进步后实现类似暴风雪号的入轨飞行。最后,不是每一个富豪都想挑战生与死,他们更多的要的是新奇体验。维珍的太空船2号提供了一种安全相对低价的体验形式。未来可能有很多小富阶层的人为了认识大佬让这25w一张的船票抢破头。就像竞拍巴菲特的一顿饭一样。总之太空旅行作为面向广大普通人的商业项目,安全,高效可能比飞行高度更重要。维珍已经证明了自己的安全性,后面只要再造上一架母船和一两架太空船,完全可以实现一天送上去十几二十个人。而高度是80还是100公里其实就是把发动机再升级一下就好了。毕竟都没出电离层呢,不存在技术鸿沟。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146338207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301978889,"gmtCreate":1603354779941,"gmtModify":1703829625977,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>给我的感觉就是这个公司疯狂炒作。一方面是各种主动安全测试被传统厂商吊打,出了恶**通事故从不正面处理。另一边又鼓吹自己可以实现无人驾驶。盈利方面还没细看财报但是不清楚产品降价的情况下如何提高的毛利率。最后就是财报前连续释放利好消息拉高股价。不过如果是睡宝上位,民主党拿下议会。不管基本面和股价如何我都all in。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>给我的感觉就是这个公司疯狂炒作。一方面是各种主动安全测试被传统厂商吊打,出了恶**通事故从不正面处理。另一边又鼓吹自己可以实现无人驾驶。盈利方面还没细看财报但是不清楚产品降价的情况下如何提高的毛利率。最后就是财报前连续释放利好消息拉高股价。不过如果是睡宝上位,民主党拿下议会。不管基本面和股价如何我都all in。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$给我的感觉就是这个公司疯狂炒作。一方面是各种主动安全测试被传统厂商吊打,出了恶**通事故从不正面处理。另一边又鼓吹自己可以实现无人驾驶。盈利方面还没细看财报但是不清楚产品降价的情况下如何提高的毛利率。最后就是财报前连续释放利好消息拉高股价。不过如果是睡宝上位,民主党拿下议会。不管基本面和股价如何我都all in。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301978889","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546384604840500","authorId":"3546384604840500","name":"HartoonLaw","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb82a547bebee4479a1018dc18e4c68d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546384604840500","authorIdStr":"3546384604840500"},"content":"哈哈哈被传统厂商吊打 [笑哭] [捂脸]","text":"哈哈哈被传统厂商吊打 [笑哭] [捂脸]","html":"哈哈哈被传统厂商吊打 [笑哭] [捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":332527091,"gmtCreate":1610441448413,"gmtModify":1703744300846,"author":{"id":"3542271111445617","authorId":"3542271111445617","name":"东十里堡路之狼","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c5e395d8abcedadbf53e8bde6519f5","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3542271111445617","authorIdStr":"3542271111445617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>我就说一点吧。之前特斯拉弄了一个交钱开通座椅加热,可以说是一次试探。资本家通过去除选装,降低了生产流程的管理成本,并把物料成本强加给购车人,之后利用开通费用再多挣一笔。但是毕竟座椅加热也就撑死了1000的物料成本。李斌学的快啊,直接把自动驾驶功能这么玩。一套几万的硬件让你选你不一定要,但是我可以捆绑销售一举多得。首先是提高车价,进而提高利润。然后是利用价格高凸显自己不同于其他降价的妖艳**。最后就是所谓的持续性收入拿到资本市场去讲故事。不否认蔚来的股价还有上涨空间,但是对于老板有人品问题的公司,特别是中国公司建议大家小心点。比如昨天晚故意等中国韭菜睡了再发消息。","listText":"<a 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