Mr Martin的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Mr Martin

Mr Martin

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IP属地：广东

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115粉丝

6主题

0勋章

08-25

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 买这个股票，我已经归零一次了，总共四千多股，合股合到最后，连一股都没有了，奉劝那些准备买这只股票的朋友谨慎行事。

08-22

预计2024年自给率百分之20.你这个小作文是20年前写的吧[捂脸] [捂脸]

国产CPU崛起：自给率超20%，和英特尔、AMD差距仅1-2年

2024-06-26

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 六千多股反向拆分之后只剩下24股了，两千多美金只剩下五美金了，在拆分一次就归零了，贾骗子有多黑，我就不多说了，想买的可以继续，我是不会在加仓了，等着归零。

2024-05-17

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 涨了百分之一千多了，还亏这么多，要涨多少才能回本？假不死画的饼比地球还要大，啥时候才能吃完[流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]

2024-01-03

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 在来个一百合一，接着骗……

2023-07-19

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 准备好，好戏即将开始了，

2023-07-19

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 全仓空，都涨一个星期了，我就不信你还能继续涨，

2023-07-19

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ 这货已经连续涨一个星期了，大家可以放心大胆的做空，

2023-05-01

$携程网(TCOM)$ 起飞🛫️

2023-04-13

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $蔚来(NIO)$ 假药停的持股比例才多少？大家醒醒吧，别让他在割韭菜了

2021-08-06

维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级目标价1000000000000000港元.赶紧买买买[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

天风证券：维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级目标价212.19港元

2021-07-03

把造谣的人全部抓起来，记得让他把我昨天输的钱赔给我，这件事情就可以这样算了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-02

$滴滴(DIDI)$不经历风雨，怎么见彩虹？别人恐慌，我加仓……$蔚来(NIO)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$

2021-05-21

[强] [强] [强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-11

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$利润率23％为什么还亏损1.235亿？？？利润不是纯收入吗？？？$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$

2021-05-11

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$这货是谁？为什么一直都是他在卖？知道的兄弟普及一下，谢谢$特斯拉(TSLA)$$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$

2021-04-22

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-21

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-16

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$割肉走人，以后在也不碰这只股票了，$特斯拉(TSLA)$$蔚来(NIO)$

2021-04-10

马云：我是谁？我在哪[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

阿里：对处罚坚决服从，4月12日上午开电话会议讨论

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买这个股票，我已经归零一次了，总共四千多股，合股合到最后，连一股都没有了，奉劝那些准备买这只股票的朋友谨慎行事。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/471436321415464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3532871133861998","authorId":"3532871133861998","name":"我就一手希尔伯克A","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe8923eb920620caab716cec43c0859f","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3532871133861998","authorIdStr":"3532871133861998"},"content":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。","text":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。","html":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":470175921541408,"gmtCreate":1755819864633,"gmtModify":1755819866605,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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CPU，离intel、AMD的性能，也只有1-2年的差距了……按照机构的数据，到2024年时，国产CPU的自给率已经超过了20%，而到2025年，自给率可能会达到25-30%。可见，经过几十年的努力，现在国产CPU真的崛起了，特别是性能，如果只差intel、AMD仅1-2年的水平的话，完全可以替代对方了。所以，中国人用中国自己的CPU时代，即将成为现实了。","content":"<html><body><article><p>CPU一般指的是电脑中的芯片，这个电脑，包括个人笔记本、台式机，也包括服务器。</p><p>目前在CPU领域，intel、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>的X86芯片，占到了90%以上的份额，另外的ARM芯片，以及国产的龙芯、申威等等，合计起来都没有10%。</p><p>为何会这样呢，原因是多方面的，一是intel、AMD的CPU性能太强了，其它CPU进行复杂计算时，真打不过它。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250821154629311d1528xre31ndcv4\"/><p>二是X86芯片，与windows系统，形成了WINTEL联盟，绑定了众多的软、硬件厂商，大家基于wintel推出了各种各样的软件、硬件，感到了一个完善的生态。</p><p>而其它非X86芯片，是不支持windows的，属于另外的生态，被wintel联盟排斥在外了，而电脑体系最重要的就是生态，生态不行，就没有用户。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250821154631833d152d37ys129uwp\"/><p>但这对于中国而言，完全依赖intel、AMD的CPU，这肯定是不能接受的，毕竟信息安全，比啥都重要，所以一直以来，国内众多的企业，为了国产CPU而努力，大家都希望让中国人，用上中国的CPU，而不是intel、AMD这些国外CPU。</p><p>所以这也是之前汉芯能够骗到人的原因，因为大家的期待太高了，所以一被忽悠，就盲目了。</p><p>不过除了汉芯这种骗子之外，扎实研发的国产CPU企业也非常多，目前知名的国产CPU，就有6家，龙芯、海光、兆芯、申威、飞腾、鲲鹏。</p><p>这6大知名国产CPU，从不同的路线，研发国产CPU，有使用X86路线的，有使用ARM路线的，有自研LoongArch，SW64路线的……</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250821154632477d1524qa2zjidlan\"/><p>也有主攻服务器CPU的，有服务器CPU、个人CPU都兼顾的，大家都在不断的研究、尝试，希望找到一条适合中国CPU发展的路线。</p><p>而从现在的情况来看，目前国产CPU们，在性能上，已经有了非常大的突破，离intel、AMD的CPU，已经只有1-2年的差距了。</p><p>比较典型的，两家，一家是龙芯，龙芯最新的CPU，与intel、AMD相比，只有1-2年的差距了，另一家是海光的C86 CPU，离intel、AMD的性能，也只有1-2年的差距了……</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250821154633310d152ajxfw8l257d\"/><p>龙芯的自研LoongArch指令集， 从架构到IP，再到代工，全部全国产供应链，完全不用担心被卡脖子。海光采用的是C86指令集，也就是在X86的基础上进行了拓展，可以兼容X86，可以安装windows，不存在生态问题。</p><p>按照机构的数据，到2024年时，国产CPU的自给率已经超过了20%，而到2025年，自给率可能会达到25-30%。</p><p>可见，经过几十年的努力，现在国产CPU真的崛起了，特别是性能，如果只差intel、AMD仅1-2年的水平的话，完全可以替代对方了。</p><p>所以，中国人用中国自己的CPU时代，即将成为现实了。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>国产CPU崛起：自给率超20%，和英特尔、AMD差距仅1-2年</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n国产CPU崛起：自给率超20%，和英特尔、AMD差距仅1-2年\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-08-21 15:46 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202508211546359755fac5&s=b><strong>Ofweek维科网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CPU一般指的是电脑中的芯片，这个电脑，包括个人笔记本、台式机，也包括服务器。目前在CPU领域，intel、AMD的X86芯片，占到了90%以上的份额，另外的ARM芯片，以及国产的龙芯、申威等等，合计起来都没有10%。为何会这样呢，原因是多方面的，一是intel、AMD的CPU性能太强了，其它CPU进行复杂计算时，真打不过它。二是X86芯片，与windows系统，形成了WINTEL联盟，绑定了众多...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202508211546359755fac5&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4141":"半导体产品","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0321505868.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","LU1880398471.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0321505439.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Acc SGD","LU1880398554.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY 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[流泪] [流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b12f26f6f9bfe3c13b545bebcf138fd9","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306682758266944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500381425295827","authorId":"3500381425295827","name":"不知道在哪里","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07aa64362663d83c6d3ef7eb56050980","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3500381425295827","authorIdStr":"3500381425295827"},"content":"为什么不抄底","text":"为什么不抄底","html":"为什么不抄底"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":258932477169688,"gmtCreate":1704245908770,"gmtModify":1704247377882,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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把股价打下来[捂脸]","text":"加油👏 把股价打下来[捂脸]","html":"加油👏 把股价打下来[捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":658410286,"gmtCreate":1682947580845,"gmtModify":1682947581831,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr Martin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d16819f4fbf94cbbf4371c8646a68992","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545868972583636","authorIdStr":"3545868972583636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">$携程网(TCOM)$&nbsp;</a>起飞🛫️","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">$携程网(TCOM)$&nbsp;</a>起飞🛫️","text":"$携程网(TCOM)$ 起飞🛫️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/658410286","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":651902343,"gmtCreate":1681384412283,"gmtModify":1681384413421,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr Martin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d16819f4fbf94cbbf4371c8646a68992","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545868972583636","authorIdStr":"3545868972583636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>假药停的持股比例才多少？大家醒醒吧，别让他在割韭菜了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$&nbsp;</a>假药停的持股比例才多少？大家醒醒吧，别让他在割韭菜了","text":"$Faraday Future(FFIE)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $蔚来(NIO)$ 假药停的持股比例才多少？大家醒醒吧，别让他在割韭菜了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651902343","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3461643882586533","authorId":"3461643882586533","name":"飘叶","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3461643882586533","authorIdStr":"3461643882586533"},"content":"你咋知道老贾没有找人代持呢？","text":"你咋知道老贾没有找人代持呢？","html":"你咋知道老贾没有找人代持呢？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":893018684,"gmtCreate":1628220491748,"gmtModify":1628220491748,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr Martin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d16819f4fbf94cbbf4371c8646a68992","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545868972583636","authorIdStr":"3545868972583636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级 目标价1000000000000000港元.赶紧买买买[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级 目标价1000000000000000港元.赶紧买买买[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级 目标价1000000000000000港元.赶紧买买买[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893018684","repostId":"2157504124","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2157504124","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628218695,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2157504124?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 10:58","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"天风证券：维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级 目标价212.19港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157504124","media":"智通财经","summary":"基于最新SOTP估值，目标价降至212.19港元，维持“买入”评级。用户：预计高基数下2021Q2用户或小幅下降，重点关注奥运期间用户增长进程该行预计，2021Q2快手用户数环比Q1或有小幅下降，用户黏性稳步提升。线上营销业务：预计2021Q2延续高速增长趋势，全年收入有望翻倍该行预计，21Q2广告业务有望延续Q1的高速增长态势，收入同比增长158%至100亿元。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601162\">天风证券</a>发布研究报告称，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">快手-W</a>(01024)是短视频核心赛道的核心平台，需拥有清晰的战略和产品定力，坚守快手独特内容社区特点和私域属性、稳固“老铁”基本盘，中长期才能在面临不断挑战和机遇的核心短视频赛道差异化发展壮大，建议关注。基于最新SOTP估值，目标价降至212.19港元，维持“买入”评级。</p><p><strong>天风证券主要观点如下：</strong></p><p><strong>21Q2前瞻：短期业绩或承压，毛利率环比有望提升</strong></p><p>该行预计快手2021Q2收入约187亿元，同比增45%，环比增10%;对于市场比较关注的销售费用，该行认为Q2虽刨除春节一次性销售费用影响，公司在海外目前处于极速扩张时期，预计公司未来仍会继续加大海外投入，该行预计整体销售费用将在未来持续维持Q1水平，短期利润或承压。该行认为随着公司广告及电商高毛利率业务占收入比重逐渐提升，公司毛利率有望提升。</p><p><strong>用户：预计高基数下2021Q2用户或小幅下降，重点关注奥运期间用户增长进程</strong></p><p>该行预计，2021Q2快手用户数环比Q1或有小幅下降，用户黏性稳步提升。用户增长方面，根据Questmobile数据，2021Q2快手+快手极速版DAU(未去重)同比增长19%，环比下降5%，基于快手Q1春节用户高基数叠加季节性因素，该行预计快手用户数较2021Q1环比或有小幅下降。考虑到快手为2020年东京奥运会持权转播商，叠加暑期互联网高峰因素，该行认为可以关注Q3用户增长情况。</p><p>时长方面，根据Questmobile数据，2021Q2快手人均单日使用时长同比增长18%至近100分钟，快手极速版人均单日使用时长同比增长11%至93.4分钟，用户黏性持续增强。海外方面，2021年4月，快手海外市场月用户均值超过1.5亿，据媒体报道，宿华表示今年海外MAU目标达2.5亿。该行认为公司海外业务发展仍处于初级阶段，未来会继续深耕南美、东南亚和中东地区，建议关注海外用户增长情况。</p><p><strong>线上营销业务：预计2021Q2延续高速增长趋势，全年收入有望翻倍</strong></p><p>该行预计，21Q2广告业务有望延续Q1的高速增长态势，收入同比增长158%至100亿元。供给端来看，公司持续加强公域流量运营，流量占比或有所提升;需求端来看，品牌广告主填充及CPM价格或有提升。全年来看，该行认为CPM价格和adload水平有望双提升叠加去年低基数因素，预计公司线上营销业务收入有望实现翻倍增长。</p><p><strong>电商业务：预计2021Q2GMV增速或略低于预期，关注下半年电商品牌化</strong></p><p>受公域流量扩容影响，该行预计2021Q2电商业务同比增136%至15亿元，增速略低于预期，但考虑到推出“造风者计划”叠加电商旺季(双十一、双十二)，建议关注下半年电商表现。7月22日，快手电商负责人笑古在服务商大会中提出下半年电商的主要发展方向分别是信任电商、品牌及服务商。该行认为品牌的引入有望满足平台用户多样化的购物需求，同时吸引品牌主在平台上投入更多预算，从而提高广告与电商双收入。</p><p><strong>直播打赏业务：高基数叠加政策监管影响，预计直播打赏业务收入或承压</strong></p><p>受去年疫情高基数影响，该行预计公司Q2直播收入同比降15%至71亿元，考虑到直播运营逐步规范及MCN的引入，跌幅环比Q1有所收窄。</p><p><strong>投资建议：</strong></p><p>该行下调公司2021-23年收入至833/1126/1417亿元(原为881/1253/1610亿元)，同比增42%/35%/26%，对应预测PS估值4.5/3.3/2.6倍。国内短视频行业整体用户增长放缓，快手Q2国内用户增速有压力或小幅下降，海外市场有更大潜力但需要持续关注海外投放效率的提升及是否可对更多市场进行开拓;公域流量的不断开拓带来线上营销业务或延续高速增长，而私域侧流量比例降低，电商业务上半年GMV增速略低于预期，下半年需关注私域流量的提升及电商旺季表现;此外，预计Q2直播打赏业务收入或承压，由于行业增长缓慢、监管叠加去年收入高基数下呈下降趋势;受市场情绪及解禁期来临影响，近期公司股价大幅调整，目前处于超跌状态。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n天风证券：维持快手-W(01024)“买入”评级 目标价212.19港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-06 10:58 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/528469.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，天风证券发布研究报告称，快手-W(01024)是短视频核心赛道的核心平台，需拥有清晰的战略和产品定力，坚守快手独特内容社区特点和私域属性、稳固“老铁”基本盘，中长期才能在面临不断挑战和机遇的核心短视频赛道差异化发展壮大，建议关注。基于最新SOTP估值，目标价降至212.19港元，维持“买入”评级。天风证券主要观点如下：21Q2前瞻：短期业绩或承压，毛利率环比有望提升该行预计快手...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/528469.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0c4c03a5eea688b1e8fa7410c021db6","relate_stocks":{"601162":"天风证券","01024":"快手-W"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/528469.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2157504124","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，天风证券发布研究报告称，快手-W(01024)是短视频核心赛道的核心平台，需拥有清晰的战略和产品定力，坚守快手独特内容社区特点和私域属性、稳固“老铁”基本盘，中长期才能在面临不断挑战和机遇的核心短视频赛道差异化发展壮大，建议关注。基于最新SOTP估值，目标价降至212.19港元，维持“买入”评级。天风证券主要观点如下：21Q2前瞻：短期业绩或承压，毛利率环比有望提升该行预计快手2021Q2收入约187亿元，同比增45%，环比增10%;对于市场比较关注的销售费用，该行认为Q2虽刨除春节一次性销售费用影响，公司在海外目前处于极速扩张时期，预计公司未来仍会继续加大海外投入，该行预计整体销售费用将在未来持续维持Q1水平，短期利润或承压。该行认为随着公司广告及电商高毛利率业务占收入比重逐渐提升，公司毛利率有望提升。用户：预计高基数下2021Q2用户或小幅下降，重点关注奥运期间用户增长进程该行预计，2021Q2快手用户数环比Q1或有小幅下降，用户黏性稳步提升。用户增长方面，根据Questmobile数据，2021Q2快手+快手极速版DAU(未去重)同比增长19%，环比下降5%，基于快手Q1春节用户高基数叠加季节性因素，该行预计快手用户数较2021Q1环比或有小幅下降。考虑到快手为2020年东京奥运会持权转播商，叠加暑期互联网高峰因素，该行认为可以关注Q3用户增长情况。时长方面，根据Questmobile数据，2021Q2快手人均单日使用时长同比增长18%至近100分钟，快手极速版人均单日使用时长同比增长11%至93.4分钟，用户黏性持续增强。海外方面，2021年4月，快手海外市场月用户均值超过1.5亿，据媒体报道，宿华表示今年海外MAU目标达2.5亿。该行认为公司海外业务发展仍处于初级阶段，未来会继续深耕南美、东南亚和中东地区，建议关注海外用户增长情况。线上营销业务：预计2021Q2延续高速增长趋势，全年收入有望翻倍该行预计，21Q2广告业务有望延续Q1的高速增长态势，收入同比增长158%至100亿元。供给端来看，公司持续加强公域流量运营，流量占比或有所提升;需求端来看，品牌广告主填充及CPM价格或有提升。全年来看，该行认为CPM价格和adload水平有望双提升叠加去年低基数因素，预计公司线上营销业务收入有望实现翻倍增长。电商业务：预计2021Q2GMV增速或略低于预期，关注下半年电商品牌化受公域流量扩容影响，该行预计2021Q2电商业务同比增136%至15亿元，增速略低于预期，但考虑到推出“造风者计划”叠加电商旺季(双十一、双十二)，建议关注下半年电商表现。7月22日，快手电商负责人笑古在服务商大会中提出下半年电商的主要发展方向分别是信任电商、品牌及服务商。该行认为品牌的引入有望满足平台用户多样化的购物需求，同时吸引品牌主在平台上投入更多预算，从而提高广告与电商双收入。直播打赏业务：高基数叠加政策监管影响，预计直播打赏业务收入或承压受去年疫情高基数影响，该行预计公司Q2直播收入同比降15%至71亿元，考虑到直播运营逐步规范及MCN的引入，跌幅环比Q1有所收窄。投资建议：该行下调公司2021-23年收入至833/1126/1417亿元(原为881/1253/1610亿元)，同比增42%/35%/26%，对应预测PS估值4.5/3.3/2.6倍。国内短视频行业整体用户增长放缓，快手Q2国内用户增速有压力或小幅下降，海外市场有更大潜力但需要持续关注海外投放效率的提升及是否可对更多市场进行开拓;公域流量的不断开拓带来线上营销业务或延续高速增长，而私域侧流量比例降低，电商业务上半年GMV增速略低于预期，下半年需关注私域流量的提升及电商旺季表现;此外，预计Q2直播打赏业务收入或承压，由于行业增长缓慢、监管叠加去年收入高基数下呈下降趋势;受市场情绪及解禁期来临影响，近期公司股价大幅调整，目前处于超跌状态。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"90022":1,"601162":1,"01024":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152231813,"gmtCreate":1625294650132,"gmtModify":1625294650132,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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09:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"阿里：对处罚坚决服从，4月12日上午开电话会议讨论","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130911422","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"市场消息，$阿里巴巴(BABA)$表示将于4月12日上午8:00召开电话会议讨论行政处罚决定。\n\n阿里巴巴此前发布公告：今天，我们收到《国家市场监督管理总局行政处罚决定书》，对此处罚，我们诚恳接受，坚决服从。我们将强化依法经营，进一步加强合规体系建设，立足创新发展，更好履行社会责任。 \n\n详情：罚款182.28亿！市场监管总局处罚阿里巴巴垄断行为","content":"<p>市场消息，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>表示将于4月12日上午8:00召开电话会议讨论行政处罚决定。</p><p>阿里巴巴此前发布公告：今天，我们收到《国家市场监督管理总局行政处罚决定书》，对此处罚，我们诚恳接受，坚决服从。我们将强化依法经营，进一步加强合规体系建设，立足创新发展，更好履行社会责任。 </p><p><b>详情：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1145816571\" target=\"_blank\"><b>罚款182.28亿！市场监管总局处罚阿里巴巴垄断行为</b></a></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a8cf9dd311a666c10cb3f751264015\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"973\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n阿里：对处罚坚决服从，4月12日上午开电话会议讨论\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-10 09:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>市场消息，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>表示将于4月12日上午8:00召开电话会议讨论行政处罚决定。</p><p>阿里巴巴此前发布公告：今天，我们收到《国家市场监督管理总局行政处罚决定书》，对此处罚，我们诚恳接受，坚决服从。我们将强化依法经营，进一步加强合规体系建设，立足创新发展，更好履行社会责任。 </p><p><b>详情：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1145816571\" target=\"_blank\"><b>罚款182.28亿！市场监管总局处罚阿里巴巴垄断行为</b></a></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a8cf9dd311a666c10cb3f751264015\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"973\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98a08f234fb3dfe04b5578614dea292","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130911422","content_text":"市场消息，阿里巴巴表示将于4月12日上午8:00召开电话会议讨论行政处罚决定。阿里巴巴此前发布公告：今天，我们收到《国家市场监督管理总局行政处罚决定书》，对此处罚，我们诚恳接受，坚决服从。我们将强化依法经营，进一步加强合规体系建设，立足创新发展，更好履行社会责任。 详情：罚款182.28亿！市场监管总局处罚阿里巴巴垄断行为","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":364526734,"gmtCreate":1614866205228,"gmtModify":1703482190768,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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Inc.(PLTR)$现在的股市就像是你出过轨的老公，你一次又一次的相信他会变好，于是他一次又一次的刷新你的底线来伤害你，但是你又怀了他的孩子，要跑就得割肉，月份太大，想割肉都不让，只能待产…$特斯拉(TSLA)$$拼多多(PDD)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321712907","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3546318738763437","authorId":"3546318738763437","name":"剥咯菠萝蜜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca3bbf80361d0e1c3935a20fc4f3176","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3546318738763437","authorIdStr":"3546318738763437"},"content":"你也可以引产 [捂脸]","text":"你也可以引产 [捂脸]","html":"你也可以引产 [捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316337531,"gmtCreate":1611915113523,"gmtModify":1703756133373,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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Inc.(PLTR)$做回你自己，别在跟着他们去浪了好吗？拜托了🙏🙏🙏$游戏驿站(GME)$$AMC院线(AMC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314535009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":471436321415464,"gmtCreate":1756128369781,"gmtModify":1756128371062,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr Martin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d16819f4fbf94cbbf4371c8646a68992","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545868972583636","authorIdStr":"3545868972583636"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$</a> 买这个股票，我已经归零一次了，总共四千多股，合股合到最后，连一股都没有了，奉劝那些准备买这只股票的朋友谨慎行事。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$</a> 买这个股票，我已经归零一次了，总共四千多股，合股合到最后，连一股都没有了，奉劝那些准备买这只股票的朋友谨慎行事。","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 买这个股票，我已经归零一次了，总共四千多股，合股合到最后，连一股都没有了，奉劝那些准备买这只股票的朋友谨慎行事。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/471436321415464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3532871133861998","authorId":"3532871133861998","name":"我就一手希尔伯克A","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe8923eb920620caab716cec43c0859f","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3532871133861998","authorIdStr":"3532871133861998"},"content":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。","text":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。","html":"贾跃亭造车的时候我还没结婚，现在孩子都幼儿园了，车还没几辆。。。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368572540,"gmtCreate":1614343117880,"gmtModify":1703476641317,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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Inc.(PLTR)$个人感觉这次的大盘回调对于<PLTR>来说是一件好事，因为这次的大盘调整完美的叠加了上个星期股票解禁带来的抛售潮，理论上来说就是减少了对我们的二次伤害，这次调整过后，满仓应该就没有后顾之忧了吧，这只是我个人的见解，不喜勿喷，谢谢！$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368572540","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566456061638051","authorId":"3566456061638051","name":"茜茜liu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f584693aab086622f8dc81ff8559e17a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3566456061638051","authorIdStr":"3566456061638051"},"content":"我觉得满仓可以再等等，毕竟大趋势不好满仓压力会很大。我只剩下利润满仓看着天天📉都觉得压力山大[笑哭]","text":"我觉得满仓可以再等等，毕竟大趋势不好满仓压力会很大。我只剩下利润满仓看着天天📉都觉得压力山大[笑哭]","html":"我觉得满仓可以再等等，毕竟大趋势不好满仓压力会很大。我只剩下利润满仓看着天天📉都觉得压力山大[笑哭]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199606468477184,"gmtCreate":1689773736217,"gmtModify":1689773737476,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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全仓空，都涨一个星期了，我就不信你还能继续涨，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199606468477184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3567554075283435","authorId":"3567554075283435","name":"谢谢谢品尝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cda341c6521ef916780df4450ecd0440","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3567554075283435","authorIdStr":"3567554075283435"},"content":"这股看空别空，可能会拉爆你","text":"这股看空别空，可能会拉爆你","html":"这股看空别空，可能会拉爆你"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":306682758266944,"gmtCreate":1715908290186,"gmtModify":1715910039439,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b12f26f6f9bfe3c13b545bebcf138fd9","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306682758266944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500381425295827","authorId":"3500381425295827","name":"不知道在哪里","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07aa64362663d83c6d3ef7eb56050980","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3500381425295827","authorIdStr":"3500381425295827"},"content":"为什么不抄底","text":"为什么不抄底","html":"为什么不抄底"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152231813,"gmtCreate":1625294650132,"gmtModify":1625294650132,"author":{"id":"3545868972583636","authorId":"3545868972583636","name":"Mr 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