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巴韭隆
所有持仓和交易都会分享,立个Flag,5年后资产翻倍。
IP属地:浙江
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巴韭隆
02:31
我平仓了2.0组
$Coinbase Global, Inc. CALENDAR 250815/250919 PUT 260.0/PUT 260.0$
,滚仓一个月后,260价格我是真想接,不知道砸不砸得下来。43天赚5.4的时间价值年化约20%。 接盘成本255。 接不到也还能接受。这股波动大,总会有机会。
巴韭隆
08-07 01:36
我开仓了9.405股
$黄金信托ETF(iShares)(IAU)$
,每周600,买到年底。黄金是我被动投资组合中的一部分。不会择时买卖,判断涨跌。
巴韭隆
08-06 23:52
我平仓了2.0组
$Coinbase Global, Inc. CALENDAR 250815/251017 PUT 320.0/PUT 320.0$
,滚仓到72天后,16块的时间价值,接盘成本300左右。还可以啦。这次回调深度挺大,不知道要磨多久。如果就这样跌下去,那就接盘后卖call,一边持仓坚持吧。
巴韭隆
08-05 22:36
我开仓了7.0股
$欧尼克(万欧卡)(OKE)$
,500块小仓位加一点玩一玩。也可能结果是套一个大牢。看见暴跌想加仓,或者看见暴涨想卖出,这其实是一个思维bug。正好我脑子里就有这个bug。
巴韭隆
08-05
我开仓了4.35918股
$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$
,继续定投,一周2000,越跌越买,这个股票已经从高点回撤15%+了。从这个位置,每跌5%会主动加仓。
巴韭隆
08-04
我开仓了10.0股
$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$
,俩月前挂的单,10股。让我买上了。下个位置440。不知道还有没有机会。定投还会继续。直到仓位达到25%。目前19%。
巴韭隆
08-02
我平仓了2.0组
$Coinbase Global, Inc. CALENDAR 250815/250801 PUT 320.0/PUT 320.0$
,这暴跌,我给了20%空间都不够呀哈哈。还不想现在接,挣扎一下。先滚仓2周,薅11刀的时间价值。薅到没得薅,再接盘。目前对我比较舒服的价位是260。
巴韭隆
08-01
我开仓了2.0股
$联合健康(UNH)$
,越跌越买,等待修复。合理预期,控制仓位。不上杠杆,不要梭哈。
巴韭隆
07-31
我开仓了9.61366股
$黄金信托ETF(iShares)(IAU)$
,不做波段,就当存款了。组合里必须有黄金。我需要配25%的黄金还降低组合的波动性。不然心态扛不住。
巴韭隆
07-29
我开仓了3.10324股
$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$
,定投1500, 还需要20周上满仓位。 下跌趋势确实不fomo。估值并不便宜,只是希望未来他的盈利能力可以恢复。
巴韭隆
07-28
降低8月的预期哟,连续涨仨月了哦。是时候降低一些预期了。 看看自己的账户,是否觉得自己赚钱很容易,恍惚间以为自己是个股神。
巴韭隆
07-28
我平仓了1手
$NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT$
,三个月赚900,这个put卖得很舒服。下次大跌回调不知道要什么时候了。正股仓位没变浮盈40%也很开心。
巴韭隆
07-28
我开仓了12.0股
$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$
,买点平衡下股债仓位。美股涨的真猛。债券还是一如既往的地板。别再跌了4.5%的利息我还能接受。 快降息吧。鲍师傅。
巴韭隆
07-28
我开仓了2.0股
$联合健康(UNH)$
,加到1000,明天财报,应该不会太惨吧。已经够惨了。如果有20%以上的大跌,看情况再补一点。
巴韭隆
07-24
我平仓了2.0组
$Coinbase Global, Inc. DIAGONAL 250725/250801 PUT 340.0/PUT 320.0$
,嘿嘿滚起来,一周150-200。保持距离。330接的话其实有点难受。心理价位260-280可以接受。年化15%+很舒服。
巴韭隆
07-24
我开仓了3.0股
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
,小加一丢丢。继续追高。 越涨越买。 不是重仓,因此也不在乎短期回调。长期看好。
巴韭隆
07-24
我开仓了9.36816股
$黄金信托ETF(iShares)(IAU)$
,一周600,加仓黄金。组合资产配置用。并非看多黄金。
巴韭隆
07-23
我开仓了5.0股
$苹果(AAPL)$
,补个1000刀的底仓,最近赚了不少,调一点仓。卖的put没多少时间价值了,买点正股。 195以下会考虑加仓。目前先这样。
巴韭隆
07-22
我开仓了3.65881股
$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$
,定投一单伯克希尔,一周1800。 跌破465,每周2000。或一次性买入一万。这次回调时间不知道能不能有15-20%
巴韭隆
07-22
我开仓了1手
$CRCL 20251219 150.0 PUT$
,如果跌到150,接盘成本132,这个成本对应的pe在165,并不便宜。如果崩盘,明年脚踝斩再接。 稳定币用量会破万亿吗?先等一个千亿新闻。
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CALENDAR 250815/251017 PUT 320.0/PUT 320.0$ ,滚仓到72天后,16块的时间价值,接盘成本300左右。还可以啦。这次回调深度挺大,不知道要磨多久。如果就这样跌下去,那就接盘后卖call,一边持仓坚持吧。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464775549874704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464400618258728,"gmtCreate":1754404563897,"gmtModify":1754617901645,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了7.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKE\">$欧尼克(万欧卡)(OKE)$ </a>,500块小仓位加一点玩一玩。也可能结果是套一个大牢。看见暴跌想加仓,或者看见暴涨想卖出,这其实是一个思维bug。正好我脑子里就有这个bug。","listText":"我开仓了7.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKE\">$欧尼克(万欧卡)(OKE)$ </a>,500块小仓位加一点玩一玩。也可能结果是套一个大牢。看见暴跌想加仓,或者看见暴涨想卖出,这其实是一个思维bug。正好我脑子里就有这个bug。","text":"我开仓了7.0股$欧尼克(万欧卡)(OKE)$ ,500块小仓位加一点玩一玩。也可能结果是套一个大牢。看见暴跌想加仓,或者看见暴涨想卖出,这其实是一个思维bug。正好我脑子里就有这个bug。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464400618258728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":464090958041384,"gmtCreate":1754328963258,"gmtModify":1754611926715,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了4.35918股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ </a>,继续定投,一周2000,越跌越买,这个股票已经从高点回撤15%+了。从这个位置,每跌5%会主动加仓。","listText":"我开仓了4.35918股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ </a>,继续定投,一周2000,越跌越买,这个股票已经从高点回撤15%+了。从这个位置,每跌5%会主动加仓。","text":"我开仓了4.35918股$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ ,继续定投,一周2000,越跌越买,这个股票已经从高点回撤15%+了。从这个位置,每跌5%会主动加仓。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464090958041384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":463915344499168,"gmtCreate":1754265963264,"gmtModify":1754611926896,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了10.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ </a>,俩月前挂的单,10股。让我买上了。下个位置440。不知道还有没有机会。定投还会继续。直到仓位达到25%。目前19%。","listText":"我开仓了10.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ </a>,俩月前挂的单,10股。让我买上了。下个位置440。不知道还有没有机会。定投还会继续。直到仓位达到25%。目前19%。","text":"我开仓了10.0股$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ ,俩月前挂的单,10股。让我买上了。下个位置440。不知道还有没有机会。定投还会继续。直到仓位达到25%。目前19%。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/463915344499168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":463119000498432,"gmtCreate":1754072194152,"gmtModify":1754085689951,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了2.0组<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20250801 320.0 PUT BUY 1 | COIN 20250815 320.0 PUT SELL 1\">$Coinbase Global, Inc. 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ </a>,定投1500, 还需要20周上满仓位。 下跌趋势确实不fomo。估值并不便宜,只是希望未来他的盈利能力可以恢复。","text":"我开仓了3.10324股$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ ,定投1500, 还需要20周上满仓位。 下跌趋势确实不fomo。估值并不便宜,只是希望未来他的盈利能力可以恢复。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461641807941944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461602803450024,"gmtCreate":1753714423319,"gmtModify":1753714425480,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"降低8月的预期哟,连续涨仨月了哦。是时候降低一些预期了。 看看自己的账户,是否觉得自己赚钱很容易,恍惚间以为自己是个股神。","listText":"降低8月的预期哟,连续涨仨月了哦。是时候降低一些预期了。 看看自己的账户,是否觉得自己赚钱很容易,恍惚间以为自己是个股神。","text":"降低8月的预期哟,连续涨仨月了哦。是时候降低一些预期了。 看看自己的账户,是否觉得自己赚钱很容易,恍惚间以为自己是个股神。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461602803450024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461591696797776,"gmtCreate":1753711552920,"gmtModify":1753712595198,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT$ </a>,三个月赚900,这个put卖得很舒服。下次大跌回调不知道要什么时候了。正股仓位没变浮盈40%也很开心。","listText":"我平仓了1手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT$ </a>,三个月赚900,这个put卖得很舒服。下次大跌回调不知道要什么时候了。正股仓位没变浮盈40%也很开心。","text":"我平仓了1手$NVDA 20260116 90.0 PUT$ ,三个月赚900,这个put卖得很舒服。下次大跌回调不知道要什么时候了。正股仓位没变浮盈40%也很开心。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461591696797776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461587252072760,"gmtCreate":1753710843908,"gmtModify":1754617901694,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了12.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ </a>,买点平衡下股债仓位。美股涨的真猛。债券还是一如既往的地板。别再跌了4.5%的利息我还能接受。 快降息吧。鲍师傅。","listText":"我开仓了12.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ </a>,买点平衡下股债仓位。美股涨的真猛。债券还是一如既往的地板。别再跌了4.5%的利息我还能接受。 快降息吧。鲍师傅。","text":"我开仓了12.0股$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ ,买点平衡下股债仓位。美股涨的真猛。债券还是一如既往的地板。别再跌了4.5%的利息我还能接受。 快降息吧。鲍师傅。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/461587252072760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":461562218991960,"gmtCreate":1753704796926,"gmtModify":1754617901780,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了2.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ 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put。1手还有400可以赚。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a9508f1e7299bb3df25885f2d5c9b25","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375670147695064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000234","authorId":"9000000000000234","name":"再涨一点点","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e7c19ecc73fa36b09973599164066b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000234","authorIdStr":"9000000000000234"},"content":"这个价格比较稳,但盈利空间小啊","text":"这个价格比较稳,但盈利空间小啊","html":"这个价格比较稳,但盈利空间小啊"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":345762919833704,"gmtCreate":1725419904815,"gmtModify":1725451500351,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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[笑哭]。但是我谷歌亏麻了。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324199278915768,"gmtCreate":1720156204287,"gmtModify":1720159660816,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 暴跌用什么策略? 当然是锁好阳台和天台。我已系好安全带,预祝空军吃饱。如果深蹲,可以考虑卖put补仓,也可以垂直价差赌反弹。 大饼历史上最大两次回撤-44%、-53%,对应4.1万和3.4万。最近的潜在支撑位5万,回撤距离是-31.5%。黄金分割0.618在4万5。 这些数据都是刻舟求剑,本身没有意义,但刻的人多了,便有了意义。[正经] 大饼rsi超卖,今晚etf小赌一手,当扔水里听响。 控制杠杠和风险,活下去,后面才有机会[你懂的] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 暴跌用什么策略? 当然是锁好阳台和天台。我已系好安全带,预祝空军吃饱。如果深蹲,可以考虑卖put补仓,也可以垂直价差赌反弹。 大饼历史上最大两次回撤-44%、-53%,对应4.1万和3.4万。最近的潜在支撑位5万,回撤距离是-31.5%。黄金分割0.618在4万5。 这些数据都是刻舟求剑,本身没有意义,但刻的人多了,便有了意义。[正经] 大饼rsi超卖,今晚etf小赌一手,当扔水里听响。 控制杠杠和风险,活下去,后面才有机会[你懂的] ","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 暴跌用什么策略? 当然是锁好阳台和天台。我已系好安全带,预祝空军吃饱。如果深蹲,可以考虑卖put补仓,也可以垂直价差赌反弹。 大饼历史上最大两次回撤-44%、-53%,对应4.1万和3.4万。最近的潜在支撑位5万,回撤距离是-31.5%。黄金分割0.618在4万5。 这些数据都是刻舟求剑,本身没有意义,但刻的人多了,便有了意义。[正经] 大饼rsi超卖,今晚etf小赌一手,当扔水里听响。 控制杠杠和风险,活下去,后面才有机会[你懂的]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324199278915768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4130377405762172","authorId":"4130377405762172","name":"港乜嘢吖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e11ebd9218be3a4ecb251c3d8f63596","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4130377405762172","authorIdStr":"4130377405762172"},"content":"感觉现在是不是要趁机抄底,有点超卖了的感觉","text":"感觉现在是不是要趁机抄底,有点超卖了的感觉","html":"感觉现在是不是要趁机抄底,有点超卖了的感觉"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305338897330368,"gmtCreate":1715580271434,"gmtModify":1715580272713,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20240530 350.00 PUT\">$TCH.HK 20240530 350.00 PUT$</a> 200块钱买个彩票。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TCH.HK 20240530 350.00 PUT\">$TCH.HK 20240530 350.00 PUT$</a> 200块钱买个彩票。","text":"$TCH.HK 20240530 350.00 PUT$ 200块钱买个彩票。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305338897330368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":262051328131392,"gmtCreate":1704995187252,"gmtModify":1704998619928,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20240216 220.0 CALL\">$COIN 20240216 220.0 CALL$</a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20240216 220.0 CALL\">$COIN 20240216 220.0 CALL$</a> ","text":"$COIN 20240216 220.0 CALL$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2050d0e6e21644b4ccc053e7a396d695","width":"1092","height":"1716"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/262051328131392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":410232710635744,"gmtCreate":1741164094467,"gmtModify":1741164437864,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"标普指数是定投收益高? 还是buy dip 收益高? 历史回测的答案是定投收益高,那么为什么? 一个大前提:美股永远涨,他总是会创新高的。 观察历史数据能得到几个经验: 1. 越早把弹药打出去,复利就越能发挥作用 2. 回撤低点是逐渐抬高,就算能精准抄到底,成本也是不断升高的,甚至超过早期直接梭哈在高点。比如上个加息周期回调38%,但仍然高于20年疫情爆发前的高点3%,高于18年贸易战前高点18%。而现在的价格是疫情高点的1.7倍,是贸易战高点2倍。 3. 定投会获得平均成本,价格会比梭哈在高点低很多 现实情况,我们不可能买在最低点,那么拿着大量现金等待一次历史级别大回撤来抄底是很低效的方案。效果差于闭眼定投。哪怕买在连续新高的上坡路上。 结论,不管是上升趋势,还是下降趋势,就闭眼定投。你不需要刻意等待一个微笑曲线的出现。 提示: 如果你不相信美股指数“永远涨”这个故事,那定投不适合你。如果做底买高卖的操作,定投不是一个好方法。","listText":"标普指数是定投收益高? 还是buy dip 收益高? 历史回测的答案是定投收益高,那么为什么? 一个大前提:美股永远涨,他总是会创新高的。 观察历史数据能得到几个经验: 1. 越早把弹药打出去,复利就越能发挥作用 2. 回撤低点是逐渐抬高,就算能精准抄到底,成本也是不断升高的,甚至超过早期直接梭哈在高点。比如上个加息周期回调38%,但仍然高于20年疫情爆发前的高点3%,高于18年贸易战前高点18%。而现在的价格是疫情高点的1.7倍,是贸易战高点2倍。 3. 定投会获得平均成本,价格会比梭哈在高点低很多 现实情况,我们不可能买在最低点,那么拿着大量现金等待一次历史级别大回撤来抄底是很低效的方案。效果差于闭眼定投。哪怕买在连续新高的上坡路上。 结论,不管是上升趋势,还是下降趋势,就闭眼定投。你不需要刻意等待一个微笑曲线的出现。 提示: 如果你不相信美股指数“永远涨”这个故事,那定投不适合你。如果做底买高卖的操作,定投不是一个好方法。","text":"标普指数是定投收益高? 还是buy dip 收益高? 历史回测的答案是定投收益高,那么为什么? 一个大前提:美股永远涨,他总是会创新高的。 观察历史数据能得到几个经验: 1. 越早把弹药打出去,复利就越能发挥作用 2. 回撤低点是逐渐抬高,就算能精准抄到底,成本也是不断升高的,甚至超过早期直接梭哈在高点。比如上个加息周期回调38%,但仍然高于20年疫情爆发前的高点3%,高于18年贸易战前高点18%。而现在的价格是疫情高点的1.7倍,是贸易战高点2倍。 3. 定投会获得平均成本,价格会比梭哈在高点低很多 现实情况,我们不可能买在最低点,那么拿着大量现金等待一次历史级别大回撤来抄底是很低效的方案。效果差于闭眼定投。哪怕买在连续新高的上坡路上。 结论,不管是上升趋势,还是下降趋势,就闭眼定投。你不需要刻意等待一个微笑曲线的出现。 提示: 如果你不相信美股指数“永远涨”这个故事,那定投不适合你。如果做底买高卖的操作,定投不是一个好方法。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410232710635744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":326706223390904,"gmtCreate":1720793867677,"gmtModify":1720794910077,"author":{"id":"3547151250655817","authorId":"3547151250655817","name":"巴韭隆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9df56ae4df226af9682b048b9dd74b15","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547151250655817","authorIdStr":"3547151250655817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 让你们一通嘴炮给我吓跑了, 说什么无人汽车第一预期,11天涨44%严重超买。给我忽悠瘸了。平仓了。哈哈哈哈。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 让你们一通嘴炮给我吓跑了, 说什么无人汽车第一预期,11天涨44%严重超买。给我忽悠瘸了。平仓了。哈哈哈哈。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 让你们一通嘴炮给我吓跑了, 说什么无人汽车第一预期,11天涨44%严重超买。给我忽悠瘸了。平仓了。哈哈哈哈。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c81c37ae61e362ab2d04cabd38f9a4b6","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326706223390904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}