gamerxyj的个人主页 - 老虎社区

gamerxyj

gamerxyj

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2022-01-02

Huat !! Crash 💥

@gamerxyj:Huat ☺️☺️

2021-12-25

Huat ☺️☺️

Merry Xmas 🎅 wish all Huat Huat . Trade good trade like a tiger !

Huat ☺️☺️

2021-11-01

Good stock

2021-10-31

Back to 80?

2021-10-29

Next byd?

2021-10-28

$25 !??

2021-10-27

What happened to this counter

2021-10-25

$25???

2021-10-24

Will buy at 200

2021-10-23

$35 !!!

2021-10-19

When can buy

2021-10-18

$DiDi Global Inc.(DIDI)$$7??

2021-10-17

Can buy ?

2021-10-16

Wait for 388

2021-10-15

$55???

2021-10-14

$50 ???

2021-10-13

What’s a good price to buy this

2021-10-12

Tweet

2021-10-09

Cheap price

2021-10-08

1 dollar

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price&nbsp;","listText":"Cheap price&nbsp;","text":"Cheap price","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ecfa93783c5c8045ae71cc23c874093","width":"1125","height":"2090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821273816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821127533,"gmtCreate":1633707609196,"gmtModify":1633707609367,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555000456336821","idStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1 dollar&nbsp;","listText":"1 dollar&nbsp;","text":"1 dollar","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02766039f5b00f5281bbe2ebde329747","width":"1125","height":"2104"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821127533","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":162043735,"gmtCreate":1624029075527,"gmtModify":1634023844801,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162043735","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","GS":"高盛","WFC":"富国银行","C":"花旗","MS":"摩根士丹利","JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"C":0.9,"MS":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171733487,"gmtCreate":1626762915849,"gmtModify":1633771253968,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Chance to buy ?&nbsp;","listText":"Chance to buy ?&nbsp;","text":"Chance to buy ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171733487","repostId":"2152669520","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153733999,"gmtCreate":1625048908011,"gmtModify":1631885482710,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to go down ?","listText":"Time to go down ?","text":"Time to go down ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153733999","repostId":"1120731200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120731200","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625047078,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120731200?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Close at New Highs—Again. What’s Next.<blockquote>股市再次创下新高。下一步是什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120731200","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks rose to new all-time highs on Tuesday as economic data beat estimates.\nThe Dow Jones Industri","content":"<p>Stocks rose to new all-time highs on Tuesday as economic data beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济数据超出预期，周二股市升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 9 points, or 0.03%. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 rose 0.03% and closed at a record 4,291.90. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;rose 0.2%, also closing at a new high of 14,528.33.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨9点，涨幅0.03%。标准普尔500指数上涨0.03%，收于创纪录的4,291.90点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.2%，也收于14528.33点的新高。</blockquote></p><p> “While plenty of good news is now priced into markets, and we advise investors to brace for bouts of volatility ahead, we don’t see record highs as a barrier to further gains,” writes Mark Haefele, UBS’ chief investment officer of global wealth management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球首席投资官马克·海菲尔(Mark Haefele)写道：“虽然市场已经消化了大量好消息，我们建议投资者为未来的波动做好准备，但我们并不认为创纪录的高点会成为进一步上涨的障碍。”财富管理。</blockquote></p><p> The Case-Shiller U.S. home-price index for April rose 14.6% year over year,&nbsp;the fastest annual rate in more than 30 years. The index is a key point of interest as investors look for clues about what might prompt the&nbsp;Federal Reserve to potentially raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>4月份Case-Shiller美国房价指数同比上涨14.6%，为30多年来最快年率。该指数是一个关键的兴趣点，因为投资者正在寻找可能促使美联储加息的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Fed members are discussing reducing the size of the mortgage bond buying program, which currently sits at $40 billion a month. Those purchases keep mortgage bond prices high and their yields low, stimulating housing demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储成员正在讨论缩减抵押贷款债券购买计划的规模，目前该计划的规模为每月400亿美元。这些购买使抵押贷款债券价格保持高位，收益率保持低位，刺激了住房需求。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer confidence index rose to 127.3 for June, higher than the anticipated 118.7 and last month’s 120. As states reopen and the employment picture brightens, consumers are increasingly confident, often a signal that spending will be strong ahead. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary Exchange-Traded Fund(RCD) gained 0.38%, outperforming the major benchmarks.</p><p><blockquote>6月份消费者信心指数升至127.3，高于预期的118.7和上个月的120。随着各州重新开放和就业形势好转，消费者越来越有信心，这通常是未来支出将强劲的信号。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品交易所交易基金(RCD)上涨0.38%，跑赢主要基准。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, “Markets may find little direction ahead of Friday’s jobs report,” writes Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst. Investors are hoping that recent&nbsp;supply shortages&nbsp;aren’t derailing the employment and economic recovery, but that a potentially strong jobs result won’t suggest high enough inflation to make the Fed more willing to lift rates.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，“在周五的就业报告公布之前，市场可能找不到什么方向，”花旗集团经济学家安德鲁·霍伦霍斯特写道。投资者希望最近的供应短缺不会破坏就业和经济复苏，但潜在强劲的就业结果不会表明通胀高到足以让美联储更愿意加息。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, Tokyo’sNikkei 225&nbsp;fell 0.8%, while Hong Kong’sHang Seng&nbsp;declined 0.9%. TheShanghai Compositedipped 0.9%. TheFTSE 100in London lifted 0.2% as the pan-EuropeanStoxx 600was 0.3% higher. The&nbsp;CAC 40&nbsp;in Paris climbed 0.1% and Frankfurt’s&nbsp;DAX&nbsp;rose 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，东京日经225指数下跌0.8%，香港恒生指数下跌0.9%。上证综指下跌0.9%。伦敦富时100指数上涨0.2%，泛欧斯托克600指数上涨0.3%。巴黎CAC 40指数上涨0.1%，法兰克福DAX指数上涨0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Europe, the reflation trade surged back, with shares in mining, industrial, and financial companies adding buoyancy to major indexes. Meanwhile, the European Commission’s economic sentiment indicator reflected a notable acceleration in economic activity at the end of the second quarter of 2021, rising in June to the highest level in 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，通货再膨胀交易激增，矿业、工业和金融公司的股票为主要股指增添了活力。与此同时，欧盟委员会的经济景气指标反映出2021年第二季度末经济活动明显加速，6月份升至21年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage lender Nationwide said that British house prices rose 13.4% in June compared with the same period last year—the largest annual rise since 2004. U.K. housebuilder stocks rallied on the news, with shares inPersimmon,Taylor Wimpey,andBarratt Development&nbsp;sat the top of the list of the FTSE 100’s risers.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款机构Nationwide表示，6月份英国房价较去年同期上涨13.4%——这是自2004年以来最大的年度涨幅。受此消息影响，英国房屋建筑商股票上涨，其中Persimmon、Taylor Wimpey和Barratt Development的股票位居富时100指数涨幅榜首。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in French electric company&nbsp;Rexel&nbsp;rose 4.3% in Paris trading after the group raised its sales forecast for 2021. Rexel now expects same-day sales growth of between 12% and 15%, up from a prior forecast of between 5% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>法国电气公司Rexel上调2021年销售预期后，该公司股价在巴黎交易中上涨4.3%。Rexel目前预计当天销售额增长将在12%至15%之间，高于之前预测的5%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley&nbsp;(ticker: MS) stock gained 3.35% after the bank doubled its dividend payment to 70 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）将股息支付翻倍至每股70美分后，该银行股价上涨3.35%。</blockquote></p><p> Textron&nbsp;(TXT) stock gained 0.54% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将德事隆(TXT)股票从同等权重上调至跑赢大盘后上涨0.54%。</blockquote></p><p> Keurig Dr Pepper&nbsp;&nbsp;(KDP) stock gained 1.03%.&nbsp;Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equal Weight.</p><p><blockquote>Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)股票上涨1.03%。富国银行将该股评级从同等权重上调至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Fortinet&nbsp;(FTNT) stock dropped 1.55% after being downgraded to Neutral from Buy at&nbsp;Monness Crespi &amp; Hardt.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi&amp;Hardt将Fortinet(FTNT)股票评级从买入下调至中性后下跌1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> Carvana(CVNA) stock dropped 1.23%. Piper Sandler downgraded the company to Neutral from Overweight.</p><p><blockquote>Carvana(CVNA)股价下跌1.23%。Piper Sandler将该公司评级从跑赢大盘下调至中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Close at New Highs—Again. What’s Next.<blockquote>股市再次创下新高。下一步是什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Close at New Highs—Again. What’s Next.<blockquote>股市再次创下新高。下一步是什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks rose to new all-time highs on Tuesday as economic data beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济数据超出预期，周二股市升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 9 points, or 0.03%. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 rose 0.03% and closed at a record 4,291.90. The&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;rose 0.2%, also closing at a new high of 14,528.33.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨9点，涨幅0.03%。标准普尔500指数上涨0.03%，收于创纪录的4,291.90点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.2%，也收于14528.33点的新高。</blockquote></p><p> “While plenty of good news is now priced into markets, and we advise investors to brace for bouts of volatility ahead, we don’t see record highs as a barrier to further gains,” writes Mark Haefele, UBS’ chief investment officer of global wealth management.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球首席投资官马克·海菲尔(Mark Haefele)写道：“虽然市场已经消化了大量好消息，我们建议投资者为未来的波动做好准备，但我们并不认为创纪录的高点会成为进一步上涨的障碍。”财富管理。</blockquote></p><p> The Case-Shiller U.S. home-price index for April rose 14.6% year over year,&nbsp;the fastest annual rate in more than 30 years. The index is a key point of interest as investors look for clues about what might prompt the&nbsp;Federal Reserve to potentially raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>4月份Case-Shiller美国房价指数同比上涨14.6%，为30多年来最快年率。该指数是一个关键的兴趣点，因为投资者正在寻找可能促使美联储加息的线索。</blockquote></p><p> Fed members are discussing reducing the size of the mortgage bond buying program, which currently sits at $40 billion a month. Those purchases keep mortgage bond prices high and their yields low, stimulating housing demand.</p><p><blockquote>美联储成员正在讨论缩减抵押贷款债券购买计划的规模，目前该计划的规模为每月400亿美元。这些购买使抵押贷款债券价格保持高位，收益率保持低位，刺激了住房需求。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer confidence index rose to 127.3 for June, higher than the anticipated 118.7 and last month’s 120. As states reopen and the employment picture brightens, consumers are increasingly confident, often a signal that spending will be strong ahead. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary Exchange-Traded Fund(RCD) gained 0.38%, outperforming the major benchmarks.</p><p><blockquote>6月份消费者信心指数升至127.3，高于预期的118.7和上个月的120。随着各州重新开放和就业形势好转，消费者越来越有信心，这通常是未来支出将强劲的信号。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品交易所交易基金(RCD)上涨0.38%，跑赢主要基准。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, “Markets may find little direction ahead of Friday’s jobs report,” writes Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst. Investors are hoping that recent&nbsp;supply shortages&nbsp;aren’t derailing the employment and economic recovery, but that a potentially strong jobs result won’t suggest high enough inflation to make the Fed more willing to lift rates.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，“在周五的就业报告公布之前，市场可能找不到什么方向，”花旗集团经济学家安德鲁·霍伦霍斯特写道。投资者希望最近的供应短缺不会破坏就业和经济复苏，但潜在强劲的就业结果不会表明通胀高到足以让美联储更愿意加息。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, Tokyo’sNikkei 225&nbsp;fell 0.8%, while Hong Kong’sHang Seng&nbsp;declined 0.9%. TheShanghai Compositedipped 0.9%. TheFTSE 100in London lifted 0.2% as the pan-EuropeanStoxx 600was 0.3% higher. The&nbsp;CAC 40&nbsp;in Paris climbed 0.1% and Frankfurt’s&nbsp;DAX&nbsp;rose 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，东京日经225指数下跌0.8%，香港恒生指数下跌0.9%。上证综指下跌0.9%。伦敦富时100指数上涨0.2%，泛欧斯托克600指数上涨0.3%。巴黎CAC 40指数上涨0.1%，法兰克福DAX指数上涨0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Europe, the reflation trade surged back, with shares in mining, industrial, and financial companies adding buoyancy to major indexes. Meanwhile, the European Commission’s economic sentiment indicator reflected a notable acceleration in economic activity at the end of the second quarter of 2021, rising in June to the highest level in 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，通货再膨胀交易激增，矿业、工业和金融公司的股票为主要股指增添了活力。与此同时，欧盟委员会的经济景气指标反映出2021年第二季度末经济活动明显加速，6月份升至21年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage lender Nationwide said that British house prices rose 13.4% in June compared with the same period last year—the largest annual rise since 2004. U.K. housebuilder stocks rallied on the news, with shares inPersimmon,Taylor Wimpey,andBarratt Development&nbsp;sat the top of the list of the FTSE 100’s risers.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款机构Nationwide表示，6月份英国房价较去年同期上涨13.4%——这是自2004年以来最大的年度涨幅。受此消息影响，英国房屋建筑商股票上涨，其中Persimmon、Taylor Wimpey和Barratt Development的股票位居富时100指数涨幅榜首。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in French electric company&nbsp;Rexel&nbsp;rose 4.3% in Paris trading after the group raised its sales forecast for 2021. Rexel now expects same-day sales growth of between 12% and 15%, up from a prior forecast of between 5% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>法国电气公司Rexel上调2021年销售预期后，该公司股价在巴黎交易中上涨4.3%。Rexel目前预计当天销售额增长将在12%至15%之间，高于之前预测的5%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley&nbsp;(ticker: MS) stock gained 3.35% after the bank doubled its dividend payment to 70 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）将股息支付翻倍至每股70美分后，该银行股价上涨3.35%。</blockquote></p><p> Textron&nbsp;(TXT) stock gained 0.54% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将德事隆(TXT)股票从同等权重上调至跑赢大盘后上涨0.54%。</blockquote></p><p> Keurig Dr Pepper&nbsp;&nbsp;(KDP) stock gained 1.03%.&nbsp;Wells Fargo&nbsp;upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equal Weight.</p><p><blockquote>Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)股票上涨1.03%。富国银行将该股评级从同等权重上调至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Fortinet&nbsp;(FTNT) stock dropped 1.55% after being downgraded to Neutral from Buy at&nbsp;Monness Crespi &amp; Hardt.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi&amp;Hardt将Fortinet(FTNT)股票评级从买入下调至中性后下跌1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> Carvana(CVNA) stock dropped 1.23%. Piper Sandler downgraded the company to Neutral from Overweight.</p><p><blockquote>Carvana(CVNA)股价下跌1.23%。Piper Sandler将该公司评级从跑赢大盘下调至中性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51624961738?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51624961738?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120731200","content_text":"Stocks rose to new all-time highs on Tuesday as economic data beat estimates.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 9 points, or 0.03%. The S&P 500 rose 0.03% and closed at a record 4,291.90. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2%, also closing at a new high of 14,528.33.\n“While plenty of good news is now priced into markets, and we advise investors to brace for bouts of volatility ahead, we don’t see record highs as a barrier to further gains,” writes Mark Haefele, UBS’ chief investment officer of global wealth management.\nThe Case-Shiller U.S. home-price index for April rose 14.6% year over year, the fastest annual rate in more than 30 years. The index is a key point of interest as investors look for clues about what might prompt the Federal Reserve to potentially raise interest rates.\nFed members are discussing reducing the size of the mortgage bond buying program, which currently sits at $40 billion a month. Those purchases keep mortgage bond prices high and their yields low, stimulating housing demand.\nThe consumer confidence index rose to 127.3 for June, higher than the anticipated 118.7 and last month’s 120. As states reopen and the employment picture brightens, consumers are increasingly confident, often a signal that spending will be strong ahead. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary Exchange-Traded Fund(RCD) gained 0.38%, outperforming the major benchmarks.\nLooking ahead, “Markets may find little direction ahead of Friday’s jobs report,” writes Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst. Investors are hoping that recent supply shortages aren’t derailing the employment and economic recovery, but that a potentially strong jobs result won’t suggest high enough inflation to make the Fed more willing to lift rates.\nIn Asia, Tokyo’sNikkei 225 fell 0.8%, while Hong Kong’sHang Seng declined 0.9%. TheShanghai Compositedipped 0.9%. TheFTSE 100in London lifted 0.2% as the pan-EuropeanStoxx 600was 0.3% higher. The CAC 40 in Paris climbed 0.1% and Frankfurt’s DAX rose 0.9%.\nIn Europe, the reflation trade surged back, with shares in mining, industrial, and financial companies adding buoyancy to major indexes. Meanwhile, the European Commission’s economic sentiment indicator reflected a notable acceleration in economic activity at the end of the second quarter of 2021, rising in June to the highest level in 21 years.\nMortgage lender Nationwide said that British house prices rose 13.4% in June compared with the same period last year—the largest annual rise since 2004. U.K. housebuilder stocks rallied on the news, with shares inPersimmon,Taylor Wimpey,andBarratt Development sat the top of the list of the FTSE 100’s risers.\nShares in French electric company Rexel rose 4.3% in Paris trading after the group raised its sales forecast for 2021. Rexel now expects same-day sales growth of between 12% and 15%, up from a prior forecast of between 5% and 7%.\nMorgan Stanley (ticker: MS) stock gained 3.35% after the bank doubled its dividend payment to 70 cents a share.\nTextron (TXT) stock gained 0.54% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.\nKeurig Dr Pepper  (KDP) stock gained 1.03%. Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equal Weight.\nFortinet (FTNT) stock dropped 1.55% after being downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Monness Crespi & Hardt.\nCarvana(CVNA) stock dropped 1.23%. Piper Sandler downgraded the company to Neutral from Overweight.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890121455,"gmtCreate":1628087633477,"gmtModify":1633753704607,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow&nbsp;","listText":"Wow&nbsp;","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890121455","repostId":"2156105844","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161275644,"gmtCreate":1623932280188,"gmtModify":1634025725641,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash !","listText":"Crash !","text":"Crash !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161275644","repostId":"2144746649","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127495400,"gmtCreate":1624861340500,"gmtModify":1633947817117,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news is bad news and bad news is goodnews again ?","listText":"Good news is bad news and bad news is goodnews again ?","text":"Good news is bad news and bad news is goodnews again ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127495400","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126999413,"gmtCreate":1624541246232,"gmtModify":1634004685762,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up down today?","listText":"Up down today?","text":"Up down today?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126999413","repostId":"1195543409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698225026,"gmtCreate":1640414222282,"gmtModify":1640414222379,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"title":"Huat ☺️☺️","htmlText":"Merry Xmas 🎅 wish all Huat Huat . Trade good trade like a tiger !&nbsp;","listText":"Merry Xmas 🎅 wish all Huat Huat . Trade good trade like a tiger !&nbsp;","text":"Merry Xmas 🎅 wish all Huat Huat . Trade good trade like a tiger !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698225026","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869261922,"gmtCreate":1632293995466,"gmtModify":1632801438110,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking good","listText":"Looking good","text":"Looking good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/422ec13feedf95542c008ecc33de7af3","width":"1125","height":"2003"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869261922","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806639769,"gmtCreate":1627652823851,"gmtModify":1633757413915,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy ?&nbsp;","listText":"Buy ?&nbsp;","text":"Buy ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b5586f6f37532d5745fc6663ad65ff","width":"1125","height":"2003"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806639769","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186212571,"gmtCreate":1623501229093,"gmtModify":1634032324874,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice 👍","listText":"Nice 👍","text":"Nice 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186212571","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":849744887,"gmtCreate":1635779507364,"gmtModify":1635779507364,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good stock&nbsp;","listText":"Good stock&nbsp;","text":"Good 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👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173978838","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153731814,"gmtCreate":1625049025338,"gmtModify":1633945471297,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy&nbsp;","listText":"Buy buy buy&nbsp;","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153731814","repostId":"1150186389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":825207219,"gmtCreate":1634225233178,"gmtModify":1634225260838,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$50 ???","listText":"$50 ???","text":"$50 ???","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7eb2ce19a757bd22191b67ae4a69835d","width":"1125","height":"2946"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825207219","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867984095,"gmtCreate":1633187368636,"gmtModify":1633187368788,"author":{"id":"3555000456336821","authorId":"3555000456336821","name":"gamerxyj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca581741e24428089f21c4e11ff275c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555000456336821","authorIdStr":"3555000456336821"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"买！ buy&nbsp;","listText":"买！ buy&nbsp;","text":"买！ 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