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2021-12-17

nice

Vir Biotechnology continued to gain over 7% in morning trading after showing neutralizing activity against omicron<blockquote>Vir Biotechnology在显示出对奥密克戎的中和活性后，早盘继续上涨超过7%</blockquote>

2021-12-17

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U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%<blockquote>继周三美联储日上涨后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%</blockquote>

2021-12-17

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2021-11-23

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Stocks open little changed after Monday’s afternoon slide<blockquote>周一下午下跌后股市开盘变化不大</blockquote>

2021-11-09

ya why

Palantir Expects 40% Revenue Growth in FY 2021; Q3 US Commercial Revenue up 103% Y/Y<blockquote>Palantir预计2021财年收入增长40%；第三季度美国商业收入同比增长103%</blockquote>

2021-11-02

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Put these 10 stocks on your radar because they may rebound from recent tax-loss selling<blockquote>关注这10只股票，因为它们可能会从最近的税收损失抛售中反弹</blockquote>

2021-10-29

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Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote>

2021-10-20

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2021-10-20

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Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩盘前交易涨超3%</blockquote>

2021-10-12

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Why AT&T Shares Are Tumbling Today<blockquote>为什么AT&T股价今天暴跌</blockquote>

2021-10-02

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2021-09-20

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Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>

2021-09-16

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Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-09-15

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2021-09-15

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2021-09-10

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2021-09-10

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2021-09-09

ok

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2021-09-09

ok

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2021-09-08

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listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690504778","repostId":"1108384523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108384523","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing 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tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The company&nbsp;announced&nbsp;new preclinical data, published to the preprint server&nbsp;bioRxiv, demonstrating the impact of the significant antigenic shift of the new COVID-19 omicron variant (B.1.1.529).&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>Vir Biotechnology在显示出对奥密克戎的中和活性后，在早盘交易中继续上涨超过7%。该公司宣布了新的临床前数据，发布到预印本服务器bioRxiv，证明了新的COVID-19奥密克戎变种（B.1.1.529）的显著抗原转变的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A significant reduction in plasma neutralizing activity was observed against omicron in sera from vaccinated and convalescent individuals.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>在接种疫苗和恢复期个体的血清中观察到针对奥密克戎的血浆中和活性显著降低。</blockquote></p><p> Researchers also tested the in vitro neutralizing activity of 44 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) (eight of which are currently authorized or approved).&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>研究人员还测试了44种单克隆抗体（mAb）的体外中和活性（其中8种目前已获得授权或批准）。</blockquote></p><p> Data demonstrate that sotrovimab and five other preclinical mAbs, developed by Vir in conjunction with&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline plc&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;GSK), retained their in vitro neutralizing activity against omicron.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，Vir与葛兰素史克公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）联合开发的sotrovimab和其他五种临床前单克隆抗体保留了对奥密克戎病的体外中和活性。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vir Biotechnology continued to gain over 7% in morning trading after showing neutralizing activity against omicron<blockquote>Vir Biotechnology在显示出对奥密克戎的中和活性后，早盘继续上涨超过7%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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</p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vir Biotechnology continued to gain over 7% in morning trading after showing neutralizing activity against omicron.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07fe5a6b831322eef2c479861ad70527\" tg-width=\"766\" tg-height=\"563\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The company&nbsp;announced&nbsp;new preclinical data, published to the preprint server&nbsp;bioRxiv, demonstrating the impact of the significant antigenic shift of the new COVID-19 omicron variant (B.1.1.529).&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>Vir Biotechnology在显示出对奥密克戎的中和活性后，在早盘交易中继续上涨超过7%。该公司宣布了新的临床前数据，发布到预印本服务器bioRxiv，证明了新的COVID-19奥密克戎变种（B.1.1.529）的显著抗原转变的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A significant reduction in plasma neutralizing activity was observed against omicron in sera from vaccinated and convalescent individuals.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>在接种疫苗和恢复期个体的血清中观察到针对奥密克戎的血浆中和活性显著降低。</blockquote></p><p> Researchers also tested the in vitro neutralizing activity of 44 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) (eight of which are currently authorized or approved).&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>研究人员还测试了44种单克隆抗体（mAb）的体外中和活性（其中8种目前已获得授权或批准）。</blockquote></p><p> Data demonstrate that sotrovimab and five other preclinical mAbs, developed by Vir in conjunction with&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline plc&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;GSK), retained their in vitro neutralizing activity against omicron.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，Vir与葛兰素史克公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）联合开发的sotrovimab和其他五种临床前单克隆抗体保留了对奥密克戎病的体外中和活性。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108384523","content_text":"Vir Biotechnology continued to gain over 7% in morning trading after showing neutralizing activity against omicron.The company announced new preclinical data, published to the preprint server bioRxiv, demonstrating the impact of the significant antigenic shift of the new COVID-19 omicron variant (B.1.1.529). \nA significant reduction in plasma neutralizing activity was observed against omicron in sera from vaccinated and convalescent individuals. \nResearchers also tested the in vitro neutralizing activity of 44 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) (eight of which are currently authorized or approved). \nData demonstrate that sotrovimab and five other preclinical mAbs, developed by Vir in conjunction with GlaxoSmithKline plc (NYSE: GSK), retained their in vitro neutralizing activity against omicron.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VIR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690505257,"gmtCreate":1639676689394,"gmtModify":1639676689511,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690505257","repostId":"1103611253","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103611253","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639665157,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103611253?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%<blockquote>继周三美联储日上涨后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103611253","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%","content":"<p>U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%,Dow climbs 0.5%; S&amp;P 500 advances 0.4%,S&amp;P 500 trades in record-close territory early Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>继周三美联储日反弹后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%，道指上涨0.5%；周四早盘，标普500上涨0.4%，标普500股价创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of companies that&nbsp;have done well in previous rate-hiking cycles&nbsp;led premarket gainers. Materials stocks FMC Corp. and Freeport-McMoRan both rose more than 3% ahead of the opening bell. Bank stocks also rose across the board, with&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase,Citigroup&nbsp;and&nbsp;Bank of America&nbsp;all up about 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在之前的加息周期中表现良好的公司股价领涨盘前。材料股FMC Corp.和Freeport-McMoRan在开盘前均上涨超过3%。银行股也全线上涨，摩根大通、花旗和美国银行均上涨约0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> In transportation news,Delta Air Lines&nbsp;reported that it now expects to see a&nbsp;profit of $200 million in the fourth quarter, after previously projecting a loss. Shares rose 2.2% on the news.</p><p><blockquote>交通新闻方面，达美航空报告称，在此前预计亏损后，目前预计第四季度利润为2亿美元。受此消息影响，股价上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In other central banking news, the Bank of England announced it is hiking its key policy rate by 15 basis points to 0.25%. Markets were awaiting a separate policy decision from the European Central Bank. There also is more economic news on tap, with weekly jobless claims and housing starts out at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>其他央行消息方面，英国央行宣布将关键政策利率上调15个基点至0.25%。市场正在等待欧洲央行的单独政策决定。还有更多经济新闻，每周初请失业金人数和房屋开工时间将于美国东部时间上午8:30公布。</blockquote></p><p> Following the Fed news, traders accelerated their own expectations for interest rate increases. Fed funds futures trading now points to a 63% chance of the first quarter-percentage-point increase coming in May 2022, with chances also rising to about 44% that the central bank could make its first move as soon as March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.</p><p><blockquote>美联储消息传出后，交易员加速了自己对加息的预期。根据CME FedWatch工具的数据，联邦基金期货交易目前显示，2022年5月首次加息25个百分点的可能性为63%，央行最早在3月份采取第一步行动的可能性也升至约44%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks traded in negative territory throughout the regular session Wednesday and turned higher ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference in the afternoon at the conclusion of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The Dow added 383 points, or 1.08%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.63% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.15%.</p><p><blockquote>周三，股市在整个常规交易中均处于负值区域，并在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔下午在为期两天的联邦公开市场委员会会议结束时举行新闻发布会之前转为走高。道琼斯指数上涨383点，涨幅1.08%。标普500上涨1.63%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.15%。</blockquote></p><p> “The fact that the FOMC acknowledged new COVID variants as a threat to the economic recovery that could alter policy going forward, as well as the generally optimistic tone from Powell in the presser, helped spark a relief rally as the Fed meeting was viewed as being not-as-hawkish-as-feared,” Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said in a note on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，联邦公开市场委员会承认新的新冠病毒变种对经济复苏构成威胁，可能会改变未来的政策，以及鲍威尔在新闻发布会上普遍乐观的语气，帮助引发了缓解性反弹，因为美联储会议被视为不像人们担心的那么鹰派，”Sevens Report的汤姆·埃萨耶(Tom Essaye)在周四的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will begin reducing the pace of its asset purchases in January and buy just $60 billion of bonds each month going forward, compared to $90 billion in the month of December. That decision follows recent inflation data showing a 6.8% surge in November, which is&nbsp;higher than expected and the fastest rate since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将从1月份开始放慢资产购买步伐，未来每月仅购买600亿美元的债券，而12月份为900亿美元。此前，近期通胀数据显示11月份通胀飙升6.8%，高于预期，也是1982年以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> “The notion that elevated inflation levels would be transitory has finally been thrown out the window by the Fed and the latest policy adjustments are reflective of a committee that doesn’t want to miss the next train leaving the station,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>查理·里普利(Charlie Ripley)表示：“通胀水平上升将是暂时的观念最终被美联储抛到了九霄云外，最新的政策调整反映出委员会不想错过下一班离开车站的火车。”安联投资管理公司高级投资策略师。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings looked to be a weak spot for the market on Thursday, with shares of Adobe and Lennar falling in premarket trading after underwhelming quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>周四，企业盈利似乎是市场的弱点，Adobe和Lennar的股价在季度报告表现不佳后在盘前交易中下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the economic data front, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected, while housing starts for November were much stronger than economists projected after declining in the prior month.</p><p><blockquote>经济数据方面，每周申请失业救济人数略高于预期，而11月份新屋开工数在上月下降后远强于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%<blockquote>继周三美联储日上涨后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%<blockquote>继周三美联储日上涨后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 22:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%,Dow climbs 0.5%; S&amp;P 500 advances 0.4%,S&amp;P 500 trades in record-close territory early Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>继周三美联储日反弹后，美国股市周四高开，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%，道指上涨0.5%；周四早盘，标普500上涨0.4%，标普500股价创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of companies that&nbsp;have done well in previous rate-hiking cycles&nbsp;led premarket gainers. Materials stocks FMC Corp. and Freeport-McMoRan both rose more than 3% ahead of the opening bell. Bank stocks also rose across the board, with&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase,Citigroup&nbsp;and&nbsp;Bank of America&nbsp;all up about 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在之前的加息周期中表现良好的公司股价领涨盘前。材料股FMC Corp.和Freeport-McMoRan在开盘前均上涨超过3%。银行股也全线上涨，摩根大通、花旗和美国银行均上涨约0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> In transportation news,Delta Air Lines&nbsp;reported that it now expects to see a&nbsp;profit of $200 million in the fourth quarter, after previously projecting a loss. Shares rose 2.2% on the news.</p><p><blockquote>交通新闻方面，达美航空报告称，在此前预计亏损后，目前预计第四季度利润为2亿美元。受此消息影响，股价上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In other central banking news, the Bank of England announced it is hiking its key policy rate by 15 basis points to 0.25%. Markets were awaiting a separate policy decision from the European Central Bank. There also is more economic news on tap, with weekly jobless claims and housing starts out at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>其他央行消息方面，英国央行宣布将关键政策利率上调15个基点至0.25%。市场正在等待欧洲央行的单独政策决定。还有更多经济新闻，每周初请失业金人数和房屋开工时间将于美国东部时间上午8:30公布。</blockquote></p><p> Following the Fed news, traders accelerated their own expectations for interest rate increases. Fed funds futures trading now points to a 63% chance of the first quarter-percentage-point increase coming in May 2022, with chances also rising to about 44% that the central bank could make its first move as soon as March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.</p><p><blockquote>美联储消息传出后，交易员加速了自己对加息的预期。根据CME FedWatch工具的数据，联邦基金期货交易目前显示，2022年5月首次加息25个百分点的可能性为63%，央行最早在3月份采取第一步行动的可能性也升至约44%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks traded in negative territory throughout the regular session Wednesday and turned higher ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference in the afternoon at the conclusion of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The Dow added 383 points, or 1.08%. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.63% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.15%.</p><p><blockquote>周三，股市在整个常规交易中均处于负值区域，并在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔下午在为期两天的联邦公开市场委员会会议结束时举行新闻发布会之前转为走高。道琼斯指数上涨383点，涨幅1.08%。标普500上涨1.63%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.15%。</blockquote></p><p> “The fact that the FOMC acknowledged new COVID variants as a threat to the economic recovery that could alter policy going forward, as well as the generally optimistic tone from Powell in the presser, helped spark a relief rally as the Fed meeting was viewed as being not-as-hawkish-as-feared,” Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said in a note on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，联邦公开市场委员会承认新的新冠病毒变种对经济复苏构成威胁，可能会改变未来的政策，以及鲍威尔在新闻发布会上普遍乐观的语气，帮助引发了缓解性反弹，因为美联储会议被视为不像人们担心的那么鹰派，”Sevens Report的汤姆·埃萨耶(Tom Essaye)在周四的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will begin reducing the pace of its asset purchases in January and buy just $60 billion of bonds each month going forward, compared to $90 billion in the month of December. That decision follows recent inflation data showing a 6.8% surge in November, which is&nbsp;higher than expected and the fastest rate since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将从1月份开始放慢资产购买步伐，未来每月仅购买600亿美元的债券，而12月份为900亿美元。此前，近期通胀数据显示11月份通胀飙升6.8%，高于预期，也是1982年以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> “The notion that elevated inflation levels would be transitory has finally been thrown out the window by the Fed and the latest policy adjustments are reflective of a committee that doesn’t want to miss the next train leaving the station,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>查理·里普利(Charlie Ripley)表示：“通胀水平上升将是暂时的观念最终被美联储抛到了九霄云外，最新的政策调整反映出委员会不想错过下一班离开车站的火车。”安联投资管理公司高级投资策略师。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings looked to be a weak spot for the market on Thursday, with shares of Adobe and Lennar falling in premarket trading after underwhelming quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>周四，企业盈利似乎是市场的弱点，Adobe和Lennar的股价在季度报告表现不佳后在盘前交易中下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the economic data front, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected, while housing starts for November were much stronger than economists projected after declining in the prior month.</p><p><blockquote>经济数据方面，每周申请失业救济人数略高于预期，而11月份新屋开工数在上月下降后远强于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103611253","content_text":"U.S. stock market opens higher Thursday after Wednesday's Fed-day rally,Nasdaq Composite climbs 0.4%,Dow climbs 0.5%; S&P 500 advances 0.4%,S&P 500 trades in record-close territory early Thursday.\nShares of companies that have done well in previous rate-hiking cycles led premarket gainers. Materials stocks FMC Corp. and Freeport-McMoRan both rose more than 3% ahead of the opening bell. Bank stocks also rose across the board, with JPMorgan Chase,Citigroup and Bank of America all up about 0.6%.\nIn transportation news,Delta Air Lines reported that it now expects to see a profit of $200 million in the fourth quarter, after previously projecting a loss. Shares rose 2.2% on the news.\nIn other central banking news, the Bank of England announced it is hiking its key policy rate by 15 basis points to 0.25%. Markets were awaiting a separate policy decision from the European Central Bank. There also is more economic news on tap, with weekly jobless claims and housing starts out at 8:30 a.m. ET.\nFollowing the Fed news, traders accelerated their own expectations for interest rate increases. Fed funds futures trading now points to a 63% chance of the first quarter-percentage-point increase coming in May 2022, with chances also rising to about 44% that the central bank could make its first move as soon as March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.\nStocks traded in negative territory throughout the regular session Wednesday and turned higher ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference in the afternoon at the conclusion of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The Dow added 383 points, or 1.08%. The S&P 500 rose 1.63% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.15%.\n“The fact that the FOMC acknowledged new COVID variants as a threat to the economic recovery that could alter policy going forward, as well as the generally optimistic tone from Powell in the presser, helped spark a relief rally as the Fed meeting was viewed as being not-as-hawkish-as-feared,” Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said in a note on Thursday.\nThe Fed will begin reducing the pace of its asset purchases in January and buy just $60 billion of bonds each month going forward, compared to $90 billion in the month of December. That decision follows recent inflation data showing a 6.8% surge in November, which is higher than expected and the fastest rate since 1982.\n“The notion that elevated inflation levels would be transitory has finally been thrown out the window by the Fed and the latest policy adjustments are reflective of a committee that doesn’t want to miss the next train leaving the station,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management.\nCorporate earnings looked to be a weak spot for the market on Thursday, with shares of Adobe and Lennar falling in premarket trading after underwhelming quarterly reports.\nOn the economic data front, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected, while housing starts for November were much stronger than economists projected after declining in the prior month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690502315,"gmtCreate":1639676440057,"gmtModify":1639676440224,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690502315","repostId":"2191453039","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875485740,"gmtCreate":1637679208081,"gmtModify":1637679208148,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875485740","repostId":"1112277303","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112277303","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637677887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112277303?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open little changed after Monday’s afternoon slide<blockquote>周一下午下跌后股市开盘变化不大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112277303","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks were mostly lower Tuesday with technology stocks under further pressure, as investors further","content":"<p>Stocks were mostly lower Tuesday with technology stocks under further pressure, as investors further mulled the market implications of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s renomination to lead the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>周二股市大多走低，科技股进一步承压，因投资者进一步考虑美联储杰罗姆·鲍威尔重新提名美联储主席对市场的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 ticked down. A day earlier, the blue-chip index had set an all-time intraday high before pulling back to end in the red, with a drop in technology stocks weighing.</p><p><blockquote>标普500下降了。一天前，蓝筹股指数创下盘中历史新高，随后回调收红，科技股下跌承压。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) recovered losses and rose after dropping more than 1% earlier in the morning. The move came after theWhite House announced it would be releasing a total of 50 million barrels of oil&nbsp;from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), in tandem with similar moves from China, Japan, India and South Korea and the U.K., to try and ease rising energy prices with additional supply.</p><p><blockquote>美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货(CL=F)在早盘下跌逾1%后收复失地上涨。此前，白宫宣布将从战略石油储备（SPR）中释放总计5000万桶石油，中国、日本、印度、韩国和英国也采取了类似举措，试图通过增加供应来缓解能源价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Zoom Video Communication (ZM) slid even after the company posted better-than-expected quarterly revenue growth and full-year guidance, with usage of the video conferencing company’s software slowing amid the reopening. Companies including Nordstrom (JWN), The Gap (GPS) and Autodesk (ADSK) are set to report quarterly results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Zoom Video通信公司(ZM)公布了好于预期的季度收入增长和全年指引，但该公司的股价仍下跌，因为该视频会议公司软件的使用在重新开业期间放缓。Nordstrom(JWN)、Gap(GPS)和Autodesk(ADSK)等公司将于周二公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s renomination to the top leadership position at the central bank captured market attention this week, with many investors reacting favorably to the likelihood that the Fed’spreviously telegraphed monetary policy framework would remain in place&nbsp;with Powell's reappointment. That includes expectations for current asset-purchase tapering to take place through the middle of next year, and for at least one interest rate hike to take place before the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）被重新提名为央行最高领导职位本周引起了市场的关注，许多投资者对美联储此前公布的货币政策框架在鲍威尔连任后可能保持不变做出了积极反应。这包括对当前资产购买缩减将在明年年中进行的预期，以及在2022年底之前至少进行一次加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Continuity at a time of such extraordinary uncertainty is certainly welcome news. We have extraordinary uncertainty because we’re pivoting from the phase of the cycle where the Fed had been shoring up the recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, and … it did avoid a meltdown in financial markets,” Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton chief economist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“But now we’ve got very easy financial market conditions and we’re dealing with inflation. And having to pivot to dealing with inflation and tamp it down without derailing the recovery — that’s a very hard thing to pull off. We’ve not seen the Fed actually chase inflation down since the early 1980s.”</p><p><blockquote>均富首席经济学家黛安·斯旺克(Diane Swonk)对雅虎财经直播表示：“在这种异常不确定的时期，保持连续性当然是一个受欢迎的消息。我们面临着异常不确定的局面，因为我们正在从美联储一直在支撑从大流行引发的衰退中复苏的周期阶段转向，而且……它确实避免了金融市场的崩溃。但现在我们的金融市场状况非常轻松，我们正在应对通胀。必须转向应对通胀并在不破坏复苏的情况下抑制通胀——这是一件非常困难的事情。自20世纪80年代初以来，我们还没有看到美联储真正追逐通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden also nominated Fed Governor Lael Brainard – previously viewed as a potential candidate for the Fed Chair position to replace Powell — as Vice Chair of the Board of Governors for the Fed. With these two nominations in place, market participants have turned their attention to who might fill he three vacant and soon-to-be vacant seats on the Fed Board, which includes the key Vice Chair for Supervision role. Biden said in a press statement Monday morning he expected to announce those appointments “beginning in early December.”</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登还提名美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德（Lael Brainard）担任美联储理事会副主席，此前他被视为接替鲍威尔的美联储主席职位的潜在候选人。随着这两项提名的到位，市场参与者将注意力转向谁可能填补美联储董事会的三个空缺和即将空缺的席位，其中包括负责监管的关键副主席。拜登在周一上午的新闻声明中表示，他预计将“从12月初开始”宣布这些任命。</blockquote></p><p> “Political decisions like this are competitions between affinity — you like someone in your own party — and convenience — what can you get the Senate to do for you, and will markets receive it well? You have to view the Powell-Brainard picks as part … of a bigger package,” Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus-Mellon chief economist and macro strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“The White House is going to have three new governors to appoint, and presumably that’s going to tilt more progressive. So bottom-line, six months from now, the group of people that Chair Powell has to wrangle to make decisions is going to be more dovish than it is today.”</p><p><blockquote>“像这样的政治决策是亲和力（你喜欢自己党内的某个人）和便利性之间的竞争——你能让参议院为你做什么，市场会接受吗？你必须将鲍威尔-布雷纳德的选择视为……更大方案的一部分，”德雷福斯-梅隆首席经济学家兼宏观策略师文森特·莱因哈特(Vincent Reinhart)告诉雅虎财经直播。“白宫将任命三位新州长，想必这会更倾向于进步。所以底线是，从现在起六个月后，鲍威尔主席在做出决定时必须与之争吵的一群人将比今天更加鸽派。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open little changed after Monday’s afternoon slide<blockquote>周一下午下跌后股市开盘变化不大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open little changed after Monday’s afternoon slide<blockquote>周一下午下跌后股市开盘变化不大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks were mostly lower Tuesday with technology stocks under further pressure, as investors further mulled the market implications of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s renomination to lead the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>周二股市大多走低，科技股进一步承压，因投资者进一步考虑美联储杰罗姆·鲍威尔重新提名美联储主席对市场的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 ticked down. A day earlier, the blue-chip index had set an all-time intraday high before pulling back to end in the red, with a drop in technology stocks weighing.</p><p><blockquote>标普500下降了。一天前，蓝筹股指数创下盘中历史新高，随后回调收红，科技股下跌承压。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) recovered losses and rose after dropping more than 1% earlier in the morning. The move came after theWhite House announced it would be releasing a total of 50 million barrels of oil&nbsp;from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), in tandem with similar moves from China, Japan, India and South Korea and the U.K., to try and ease rising energy prices with additional supply.</p><p><blockquote>美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货(CL=F)在早盘下跌逾1%后收复失地上涨。此前，白宫宣布将从战略石油储备（SPR）中释放总计5000万桶石油，中国、日本、印度、韩国和英国也采取了类似举措，试图通过增加供应来缓解能源价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Zoom Video Communication (ZM) slid even after the company posted better-than-expected quarterly revenue growth and full-year guidance, with usage of the video conferencing company’s software slowing amid the reopening. Companies including Nordstrom (JWN), The Gap (GPS) and Autodesk (ADSK) are set to report quarterly results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Zoom Video通信公司(ZM)公布了好于预期的季度收入增长和全年指引，但该公司的股价仍下跌，因为该视频会议公司软件的使用在重新开业期间放缓。Nordstrom(JWN)、Gap(GPS)和Autodesk(ADSK)等公司将于周二公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s renomination to the top leadership position at the central bank captured market attention this week, with many investors reacting favorably to the likelihood that the Fed’spreviously telegraphed monetary policy framework would remain in place&nbsp;with Powell's reappointment. That includes expectations for current asset-purchase tapering to take place through the middle of next year, and for at least one interest rate hike to take place before the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）被重新提名为央行最高领导职位本周引起了市场的关注，许多投资者对美联储此前公布的货币政策框架在鲍威尔连任后可能保持不变做出了积极反应。这包括对当前资产购买缩减将在明年年中进行的预期，以及在2022年底之前至少进行一次加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Continuity at a time of such extraordinary uncertainty is certainly welcome news. We have extraordinary uncertainty because we’re pivoting from the phase of the cycle where the Fed had been shoring up the recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, and … it did avoid a meltdown in financial markets,” Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton chief economist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“But now we’ve got very easy financial market conditions and we’re dealing with inflation. And having to pivot to dealing with inflation and tamp it down without derailing the recovery — that’s a very hard thing to pull off. We’ve not seen the Fed actually chase inflation down since the early 1980s.”</p><p><blockquote>均富首席经济学家黛安·斯旺克(Diane Swonk)对雅虎财经直播表示：“在这种异常不确定的时期，保持连续性当然是一个受欢迎的消息。我们面临着异常不确定的局面，因为我们正在从美联储一直在支撑从大流行引发的衰退中复苏的周期阶段转向，而且……它确实避免了金融市场的崩溃。但现在我们的金融市场状况非常轻松，我们正在应对通胀。必须转向应对通胀并在不破坏复苏的情况下抑制通胀——这是一件非常困难的事情。自20世纪80年代初以来，我们还没有看到美联储真正追逐通胀。”</blockquote></p><p> President Joe Biden also nominated Fed Governor Lael Brainard – previously viewed as a potential candidate for the Fed Chair position to replace Powell — as Vice Chair of the Board of Governors for the Fed. With these two nominations in place, market participants have turned their attention to who might fill he three vacant and soon-to-be vacant seats on the Fed Board, which includes the key Vice Chair for Supervision role. Biden said in a press statement Monday morning he expected to announce those appointments “beginning in early December.”</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登还提名美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德（Lael Brainard）担任美联储理事会副主席，此前他被视为接替鲍威尔的美联储主席职位的潜在候选人。随着这两项提名的到位，市场参与者将注意力转向谁可能填补美联储董事会的三个空缺和即将空缺的席位，其中包括负责监管的关键副主席。拜登在周一上午的新闻声明中表示，他预计将“从12月初开始”宣布这些任命。</blockquote></p><p> “Political decisions like this are competitions between affinity — you like someone in your own party — and convenience — what can you get the Senate to do for you, and will markets receive it well? You have to view the Powell-Brainard picks as part … of a bigger package,” Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus-Mellon chief economist and macro strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“The White House is going to have three new governors to appoint, and presumably that’s going to tilt more progressive. So bottom-line, six months from now, the group of people that Chair Powell has to wrangle to make decisions is going to be more dovish than it is today.”</p><p><blockquote>“像这样的政治决策是亲和力（你喜欢自己党内的某个人）和便利性之间的竞争——你能让参议院为你做什么，市场会接受吗？你必须将鲍威尔-布雷纳德的选择视为……更大方案的一部分，”德雷福斯-梅隆首席经济学家兼宏观策略师文森特·莱因哈特(Vincent Reinhart)告诉雅虎财经直播。“白宫将任命三位新州长，想必这会更倾向于进步。所以底线是，从现在起六个月后，鲍威尔主席在做出决定时必须与之争吵的一群人将比今天更加鸽派。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112277303","content_text":"Stocks were mostly lower Tuesday with technology stocks under further pressure, as investors further mulled the market implications of Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s renomination to lead the central bank.\nThe S&P 500 ticked down. A day earlier, the blue-chip index had set an all-time intraday high before pulling back to end in the red, with a drop in technology stocks weighing.\nU.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures (CL=F) recovered losses and rose after dropping more than 1% earlier in the morning. The move came after theWhite House announced it would be releasing a total of 50 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), in tandem with similar moves from China, Japan, India and South Korea and the U.K., to try and ease rising energy prices with additional supply.\nShares of Zoom Video Communication (ZM) slid even after the company posted better-than-expected quarterly revenue growth and full-year guidance, with usage of the video conferencing company’s software slowing amid the reopening. Companies including Nordstrom (JWN), The Gap (GPS) and Autodesk (ADSK) are set to report quarterly results on Tuesday.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s renomination to the top leadership position at the central bank captured market attention this week, with many investors reacting favorably to the likelihood that the Fed’spreviously telegraphed monetary policy framework would remain in place with Powell's reappointment. That includes expectations for current asset-purchase tapering to take place through the middle of next year, and for at least one interest rate hike to take place before the end of 2022.\n“Continuity at a time of such extraordinary uncertainty is certainly welcome news. We have extraordinary uncertainty because we’re pivoting from the phase of the cycle where the Fed had been shoring up the recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, and … it did avoid a meltdown in financial markets,” Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton chief economist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“But now we’ve got very easy financial market conditions and we’re dealing with inflation. And having to pivot to dealing with inflation and tamp it down without derailing the recovery — that’s a very hard thing to pull off. We’ve not seen the Fed actually chase inflation down since the early 1980s.”\nPresident Joe Biden also nominated Fed Governor Lael Brainard – previously viewed as a potential candidate for the Fed Chair position to replace Powell — as Vice Chair of the Board of Governors for the Fed. With these two nominations in place, market participants have turned their attention to who might fill he three vacant and soon-to-be vacant seats on the Fed Board, which includes the key Vice Chair for Supervision role. Biden said in a press statement Monday morning he expected to announce those appointments “beginning in early December.”\n“Political decisions like this are competitions between affinity — you like someone in your own party — and convenience — what can you get the Senate to do for you, and will markets receive it well? You have to view the Powell-Brainard picks as part … of a bigger package,” Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus-Mellon chief economist and macro strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.“The White House is going to have three new governors to appoint, and presumably that’s going to tilt more progressive. So bottom-line, six months from now, the group of people that Chair Powell has to wrangle to make decisions is going to be more dovish than it is today.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847994120,"gmtCreate":1636470815066,"gmtModify":1636470815313,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ya why","listText":"ya why","text":"ya why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847994120","repostId":"1105674649","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1105674649","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636459675,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105674649?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 20:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Expects 40% Revenue Growth in FY 2021; Q3 US Commercial Revenue up 103% Y/Y<blockquote>Palantir预计2021财年收入增长40%；第三季度美国商业收入同比增长103%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105674649","media":"businesswire","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended","content":"<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）今天公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q3 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第三季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total revenue grew 36% year-over-year to $392 million</li>  <li>Added 34 net new customers in Q3</li>  <li>Commercial customer count grew 46% quarter-over-quarter</li>  <li>US commercial revenue grew 103% year-over-year</li>  <li>Cash flow from operations of $101 million, representing a 26% margin</li>  <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $119 million, representing a 30% margin</li>  <li>Closed 54 deals of $1 million or more, of which:</li>  <li>Total remaining deal value grew 50% year-over-year to $3.6 billion</li>  <li>GAAP net loss per share, diluted of $(0.05)</li>  <li>Adjusted earnings per share, diluted of $0.04</li> </ul> <b>Q1-Q3 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总收入同比增长36%至3.92亿美元</li><li>第三季度净新增34家新客户</li><li>商业客户数量环比增长46%</li><li>美国商业收入同比增长103%</li><li>运营现金流为1.01亿美元，利润率为26%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%</li><li>完成54笔100万美元或以上的交易，其中：</li><li>剩余交易总价值同比增长50%至36亿美元</li><li>GAAP稀释后每股净亏损为(0.05)美元</li><li>调整后稀释每股收益为0.04美元</li></ul><b>2021年第一季度至第三季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total revenue grew 44% year-over-year to $1.1 billion</li>  <li>Commercial customer count increased 135% since December 31, 2020</li>  <li>Cash flow from operations of $240 million, representing a 22% margin</li>  <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $320 million, representing a 29% margin</li> </ul> <b>Q3 2021 Financial Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总收入同比增长44%至11亿美元</li><li>自2020年12月31日以来，商业客户数量增加了135%</li><li>运营现金流为2.4亿美元，利润率为22%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为3.2亿美元，利润率为29%</li></ul><b>2021年第三季度财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658b280b0509d4e5fe970e5de61570e5\" tg-width=\"985\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>世界观</b></blockquote></p><p> For Q4 2021, we expect:</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年第四季度，我们预计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>$418 million in revenue.</li>  <li>Adjusted operating margin of 22%.</li> </ul> For full year 2021:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入4.18亿美元。</li><li>调整后营业利润率为22%。</li></ul>2021年全年：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>We expect revenue growth of 40% to $1.527 billion.</li>  <li>We are raising our outlook for adjusted free cash flow to in excess of $400 million, up from in excess of $300 million.</li> </ul> Per long-term guidance policy, as provided by our Chief Executive Officer, Alex Karp, we continue to expect:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们预计收入增长40%至15.27亿美元。</li><li>我们将调整后自由现金流的预期从超过3亿美元上调至超过4亿美元。</li></ul>根据我们首席执行官Alex Karp提供的长期指导政策，我们继续期望：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Annual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.</li> </ul> Palantir&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca256a464d04c12064d041bcfbdf1049\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年至2025年年收入增长30%或更多。</li></ul>Palantir股价在盘前交易中一度上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584686423112","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Expects 40% Revenue Growth in FY 2021; Q3 US Commercial Revenue up 103% Y/Y<blockquote>Palantir预计2021财年收入增长40%；第三季度美国商业收入同比增长103%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Expects 40% Revenue Growth in FY 2021; Q3 US Commercial Revenue up 103% Y/Y<blockquote>Palantir预计2021财年收入增长40%；第三季度美国商业收入同比增长103%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">businesswire</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 20:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）今天公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q3 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第三季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total revenue grew 36% year-over-year to $392 million</li>  <li>Added 34 net new customers in Q3</li>  <li>Commercial customer count grew 46% quarter-over-quarter</li>  <li>US commercial revenue grew 103% year-over-year</li>  <li>Cash flow from operations of $101 million, representing a 26% margin</li>  <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $119 million, representing a 30% margin</li>  <li>Closed 54 deals of $1 million or more, of which:</li>  <li>Total remaining deal value grew 50% year-over-year to $3.6 billion</li>  <li>GAAP net loss per share, diluted of $(0.05)</li>  <li>Adjusted earnings per share, diluted of $0.04</li> </ul> <b>Q1-Q3 2021 Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总收入同比增长36%至3.92亿美元</li><li>第三季度净新增34家新客户</li><li>商业客户数量环比增长46%</li><li>美国商业收入同比增长103%</li><li>运营现金流为1.01亿美元，利润率为26%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%</li><li>完成54笔100万美元或以上的交易，其中：</li><li>剩余交易总价值同比增长50%至36亿美元</li><li>GAAP稀释后每股净亏损为(0.05)美元</li><li>调整后稀释每股收益为0.04美元</li></ul><b>2021年第一季度至第三季度亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total revenue grew 44% year-over-year to $1.1 billion</li>  <li>Commercial customer count increased 135% since December 31, 2020</li>  <li>Cash flow from operations of $240 million, representing a 22% margin</li>  <li>Adjusted free cash flow of $320 million, representing a 29% margin</li> </ul> <b>Q3 2021 Financial Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总收入同比增长44%至11亿美元</li><li>自2020年12月31日以来，商业客户数量增加了135%</li><li>运营现金流为2.4亿美元，利润率为22%</li><li>调整后自由现金流为3.2亿美元，利润率为29%</li></ul><b>2021年第三季度财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658b280b0509d4e5fe970e5de61570e5\" tg-width=\"985\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>世界观</b></blockquote></p><p> For Q4 2021, we expect:</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年第四季度，我们预计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>$418 million in revenue.</li>  <li>Adjusted operating margin of 22%.</li> </ul> For full year 2021:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入4.18亿美元。</li><li>调整后营业利润率为22%。</li></ul>2021年全年：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>We expect revenue growth of 40% to $1.527 billion.</li>  <li>We are raising our outlook for adjusted free cash flow to in excess of $400 million, up from in excess of $300 million.</li> </ul> Per long-term guidance policy, as provided by our Chief Executive Officer, Alex Karp, we continue to expect:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们预计收入增长40%至15.27亿美元。</li><li>我们将调整后自由现金流的预期从超过3亿美元上调至超过4亿美元。</li></ul>根据我们首席执行官Alex Karp提供的长期指导政策，我们继续期望：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Annual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.</li> </ul> Palantir&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca256a464d04c12064d041bcfbdf1049\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年至2025年年收入增长30%或更多。</li></ul>Palantir股价在盘前交易中一度上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211109005487/en/Palantir-Expects-40-Revenue-Growth-in-FY-2021-Q3-US-Commercial-Revenue-up-103-YY\">businesswire</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211109005487/en/Palantir-Expects-40-Revenue-Growth-in-FY-2021-Q3-US-Commercial-Revenue-up-103-YY","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105674649","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021.\nQ3 2021 Highlights\n\nTotal revenue grew 36% year-over-year to $392 million\nAdded 34 net new customers in Q3\nCommercial customer count grew 46% quarter-over-quarter\nUS commercial revenue grew 103% year-over-year\nCash flow from operations of $101 million, representing a 26% margin\nAdjusted free cash flow of $119 million, representing a 30% margin\nClosed 54 deals of $1 million or more, of which:\nTotal remaining deal value grew 50% year-over-year to $3.6 billion\nGAAP net loss per share, diluted of $(0.05)\nAdjusted earnings per share, diluted of $0.04\n\nQ1-Q3 2021 Highlights\n\nTotal revenue grew 44% year-over-year to $1.1 billion\nCommercial customer count increased 135% since December 31, 2020\nCash flow from operations of $240 million, representing a 22% margin\nAdjusted free cash flow of $320 million, representing a 29% margin\n\nQ3 2021 Financial Summary\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nOutlook\nFor Q4 2021, we expect:\n\n$418 million in revenue.\nAdjusted operating margin of 22%.\n\nFor full year 2021:\n\nWe expect revenue growth of 40% to $1.527 billion.\nWe are raising our outlook for adjusted free cash flow to in excess of $400 million, up from in excess of $300 million.\n\nPer long-term guidance policy, as provided by our Chief Executive Officer, Alex Karp, we continue to expect:\n\nAnnual revenue growth of 30% or greater for 2021 through 2025.\n\nPalantir shares once rose nearly 5% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841004361,"gmtCreate":1635861707806,"gmtModify":1635861707917,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like share","listText":"like share","text":"like share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841004361","repostId":"1196323855","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196323855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635835644,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196323855?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Put these 10 stocks on your radar because they may rebound from recent tax-loss selling<blockquote>关注这10只股票，因为它们可能会从最近的税收损失抛售中反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196323855","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Professional investors tend to dump some of their losers by the end of October, creating greater value in some stocks. Big investors just finished their tax-loss selling. So it’s time to root through the wreckage to find bargains to buy.This trade consistently works well because mutual funds and other large investors have to realize their tax losses by Oct. 31. After that, the stocks that they hammered tend to outperform.Since 1986, S&P 500 stocks down more than 10% in the first 10 months of the","content":"<p>Professional investors tend to dump some of their losers by the end of October, creating greater value in some stocks</p><p><blockquote>专业投资者往往会在10月底之前抛售一些输家，从而在一些股票中创造更大的价值</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2bf4db267085a8c096970906864e7ff\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Jack Atley/ALLSPORT/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Jack Atley/ALLSPORT/Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Big investors just finished their tax-loss selling. So it’s time to root through the wreckage to find bargains to buy.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者刚刚完成了税收损失抛售。所以是时候在废墟中寻找便宜货了。</blockquote></p><p> This trade consistently works well because mutual funds and other large investors have to realize their tax losses by Oct. 31. After that, the stocks that they hammered tend to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>这种交易一直运作良好，因为共同基金和其他大型投资者必须在10月31日之前实现税收损失。之后，他们打击的股票往往会跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> By how much?</p><p><blockquote>多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Since 1986, S&amp;P 500&nbsp;stocks down more than 10% in the first 10 months of the year (the top tax-loss selling candidates) rose 5.6% over the subsequent three months, according to Bank of America. That’s 1.6 percentage point outperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500’s average return of 3.9% during the same time.</p><p><blockquote>根据美银的数据，自1986年以来，标普500股市在今年前10个月下跌了10%以上（最大的税收损失抛售候选者），在随后的三个月上涨了5.6%。这比标普500同期3.9%的平均回报率高出1.6个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> After tax-loss selling, these stocks can get a boost from seasonally bullish market tailwinds. During Nov. 1 through Jan. 31, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged 4.5% gains since 1936, compared with 2.9% for all other rolling&nbsp;three-month periods, says Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>在税收损失抛售之后，这些股票可以从季节性看涨的市场顺风中获得提振。美银表示，自1936年以来，11月1日至1月31日期间，标普500平均上涨4.5%，而所有其他滚动三个月期间的平均涨幅为2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional investors have been big sellers of stock in recent weeks, and they’ve leaned heavily on their tax-loss selling candidates. To find the best bargains, Bank of America screened the S&amp;P 500 for stocks with&nbsp;year-to-date (YTD) declines greater than 10%. Then the bank suggested clients consider the 13 it has buy ratings on. That list includes Global Payments,Viatris,Incyte,Qualcomm&nbsp;and T-Mobile.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，机构投资者一直是股票的大卖家，他们严重依赖税收损失抛售候选人。为了找到最好的便宜货，美银在标普500上筛选了年初至今(YTD)跌幅超过10%的股票。然后该银行建议客户考虑其给予买入评级的13家银行。该名单包括Global Payments、Viatris、Incyte、高通和T-Mobile。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll take a different approach. I’ll favor names that are down a lot where insiders were recently buying a meaningful amount of stock — based on my system of analyzing insider purchases at my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks. (You can find the link to my letter in the bio below.)</p><p><blockquote>我会采取不同的方法。我会青睐那些股价大幅下跌、内部人士最近购买了大量股票的股票——基于我在股票信《重温股票》中分析内部人士购买情况的系统。（您可以在下面的简历中找到我的信的链接。）</blockquote></p><p> The significant insider buying suggests that business trends will support stock gains from early November and beyond. I recently suggested 22 of these names in my stock letter. Here are five to consider.</p><p><blockquote>大量的内部买入表明，商业趋势将支持11月初及以后的股市上涨。我最近在我的股票信中推荐了22个这样的名字。这里有五个可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel; recent price: $48.25</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔；最近价格：$48.25</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -3.1% YTD; -29.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-3.1%；较2021年高点-29.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchase</b>: 10/25/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕收购</b>：10/25/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 2.9%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：2.9%</blockquote></p><p> Intel stock cracked in late October even though the company posted decent results and beat estimates, thanks to sales strength in data centers, the so-called Internet of Things and Mobileye (self-driving cars). The problem: Intel announced aggressive capital spending that will hurt margins.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔公布了不错的业绩并超出了预期，但由于数据中心、所谓的物联网和Mobileye（自动驾驶汽车）的销售强劲，英特尔股价仍在10月底暴跌。问题是：英特尔宣布了激进的资本支出，这将损害利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Personally, I like companies that invest in their future, especially when the news makes their shares cheaper. Insiders agree, given their large buying. The Intel stock decline this year means virtually anyone who bought in 2021 has a losing position. No doubt many of them were selling in late October to realize tax losses, compounding the stock weakness caused by the bullish capital-spending news.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我喜欢投资于未来的公司，尤其是当消息使他们的股票变得更便宜时。鉴于他们的大量购买，内部人士对此表示同意。英特尔股票今年的下跌意味着几乎任何在2021年买入的人都处于亏损状态。毫无疑问，他们中的许多人在10月底抛售以实现税收损失，加剧了看涨资本支出消息造成的股价疲软。</blockquote></p><p> <b>MercadoLibre; recent price: $1,512</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由市场；最近价格：$1,512</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -7.8% YTD; -23.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-7.8%；较2021年高点-23.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/18/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/18/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: None</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：无</blockquote></p><p> This online retailer in Latin America is having a good year. Sales were up over 100% in the second quarter compared to the year before. Its user base grew 47% to 75.9 million shoppers. The stock has soared into the $1,800 to $2,000 range twice this year. But it’s been weak lately, along with a lot of large-cap tech. Anybody who bought the spikes this year was down quite a bit in late October and probably selling to reap tax losses.</p><p><blockquote>这家拉丁美洲的在线零售商今年过得很好。与去年同期相比，第二季度销售额增长了100%以上。其用户群增长了47%，达到7590万购物者。该股今年已两次飙升至1800美元至2000美元区间。但最近它以及许多大型科技股都表现疲软。任何今年买入峰值的人在10月下旬都下跌了不少，可能会抛售以获取税收损失。</blockquote></p><p> But insiders are bullish, and why not? Online retail adoption is behind in Latin America, so it has plenty of growth ahead just to catch up with the rest of the world. It will catch up. The growth in distribution centers and last-mile hubs in Latin America supports the trend. The research group eMarketer says Latin America will post the fastest annual e-commerce sales growth in the world over the next several years — about 10 percentage points higher than the global average.</p><p><blockquote>但内部人士看涨，为什么不呢？拉丁美洲的在线零售采用落后，因此要赶上世界其他地区，它还有很大的增长空间。它会赶上的。拉丁美洲配送中心和最后一英里枢纽的增长支持了这一趋势。研究组织eMarketer表示，未来几年，拉丁美洲将实现全球最快的电子商务年销售额增长——比全球平均水平高出约10个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Krispy Kreme; recent price: $12.86</b></p><p><blockquote><b>甜甜圈；最近价格：$12.86</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -17.7% YTD; -38.9% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-17.7%；较2021年高点-38.9%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/19/21 to 9/10/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/19/21至9/10/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.1%</blockquote></p><p> Krispy Kreme debuted as a stock again in early July in the $16 to $21 range. The stock now trades at $12.89, virtually at the all-time lows. This means any funds that purchased are underwater. Many of them were no doubt looking to realize tax losses.</p><p><blockquote>Krispy Kreme于7月初再次作为股票上市，价格在16美元至21美元之间。该股目前交易价格为12.89美元，几乎处于历史低点。这意味着任何购买的资金都在水下。毫无疑问，他们中的许多人都希望实现税收损失。</blockquote></p><p> But there are several reasons to be bullish. One is big buying by JAB Holding, a European company specializing in consumer-goods stocks. Next, Krispy Kreme’s growth is robust. It reported 23% organic sales growth in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>但有几个看涨的理由。其中之一是专门从事消费品股票的欧洲公司JAB Holding的大举买入。其次，Krispy Kreme的增长强劲。该公司报告第二季度有机销售额增长23%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Krispy Kreme has plenty of room to grow in several key U.S. markets where it is underrepresented, such as New York, Chicago, Boston and Minneapolis. It has room to grow in China, Brazil, and parts of Western Europe. It is also rolling out shelf-stable packaged products, and setting up more in-store&nbsp;display cases in grocery and convenience stores.</p><p><blockquote>Krispy Kreme在纽约、芝加哥、波士顿和明尼阿波利斯等几个代表性不足的美国主要市场有很大的增长空间。它在中国、巴西和西欧部分地区还有增长空间。它还推出了耐储存的包装产品，并在杂货店和便利店设立了更多的店内陈列柜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lamb Weston; recent price: $57.49</b></p><p><blockquote><b>兰姆·韦斯顿；最近价格：$57.49</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -25.9% YTD; -32.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-25.9%；较2021年高点-32.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 10/11/21 through 10/20/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：10/11/21至10/20/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.6%</blockquote></p><p> If you order fries with your meal, the chances are you’re a customer of this company. Lamb Weston is a huge producer of frozen fries cooked up in restaurants. Based in Idaho (appropriately), this company sells to the top 100 restaurant chains in North America and overseas. McDonald’s&nbsp;is a big customer. You can find its products in grocery stores, too, under the Grown in Idaho and Alexia brands.</p><p><blockquote>如果你在用餐时点了薯条，很可能你是这家公司的顾客。Lamb Weston是餐厅冷冻薯条的大型生产商。这家公司总部位于爱达荷州（恰如其分），向北美和海外排名前100的连锁餐厅销售产品。麦当劳是大客户。你也可以在杂货店找到它的产品，在爱达荷州种植和亚历克西娅品牌下。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been posting strong sales growth, but earnings have been hit by — you guessed it — inflation and supply-chain problems. It may take a few quarters, but these will turn out to be temporary problems.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一直保持强劲的销售增长，但盈利受到了——你猜对了——通货膨胀和供应链问题的打击。这可能需要几个季度的时间，但这些都是暂时的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lamb Weston has been raising prices on its products, and that too will offset the damage. It just takes some time. Another strength: Lamb Weston has a big presence in high-growth emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，兰姆韦斯顿一直在提高其产品的价格，这也将抵消损失。只是需要一些时间。另一个优势：Lamb Weston在高增长的新兴市场拥有很大的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Fortress Energy; recent price: $30.56</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新堡垒能源；近期价格：$30.56</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -44.4%; -54.8% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：-44.4%;较2021年高点-54.8%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/19/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/19/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.3%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.3%</blockquote></p><p> I originally suggested this energy-infrastructure name to subscribers in my stock letter at $10-$11 in June 2019. We still have a triple in the shares despite the big declines this year. I think the stock is a buy in the current pullback.</p><p><blockquote>我最初在2019年6月的股票信中以10-11美元的价格向订阅者建议了这个能源基础设施名称。尽管今年大幅下跌，我们的股价仍然上涨了两倍。我认为该股在当前的回调中值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> New Fortress Energy buys natural gas in the U.S., freezes it into easily shippable liquid natural gas, and then sells to countries converting from dirtier diesel and heavy fuel oil — typically in the Caribbean and Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>New Fortress Energy在美国购买天然气，将其冷冻成易于运输的液态天然气，然后出售给从更脏的柴油和重燃料油转换的国家——通常是加勒比海和拉丁美洲。</blockquote></p><p> New Fortress Energy stock is down because of concerns about the rising cost of natural gas and the company’s large debt load. But natural gas prices will cool off after the winter heating season, and continued growth will help the company manage its debt levels.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心天然气成本上涨和该公司巨额债务负担，New Fortress Energy股价下跌。但天然气价格将在冬季供暖季后降温，持续增长将有助于公司管理债务水平。</blockquote></p><p> Insiders sure think so. Execs with solid records recently bought $1 million worth of stock.</p><p><blockquote>业内人士肯定是这么认为的。业绩良好的高管最近购买了价值100万美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Remember that tax-loss-selling-rebound candidates can suffer another bout of weakness in late December, since retail investors must do their tax-loss selling by the end of the year. That’ll just be another opportunity to add to these companies.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，税亏损销售反弹候选人可能在12月底遭受另一轮疲软，因为散户投资者必须在年底前完成他们的税亏损销售。这将是为这些公司增加价值的又一个机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Put these 10 stocks on your radar because they may rebound from recent tax-loss selling<blockquote>关注这10只股票，因为它们可能会从最近的税收损失抛售中反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPut these 10 stocks on your radar because they may rebound from recent tax-loss selling<blockquote>关注这10只股票，因为它们可能会从最近的税收损失抛售中反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 14:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Professional investors tend to dump some of their losers by the end of October, creating greater value in some stocks</p><p><blockquote>专业投资者往往会在10月底之前抛售一些输家，从而在一些股票中创造更大的价值</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2bf4db267085a8c096970906864e7ff\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Jack Atley/ALLSPORT/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Jack Atley/ALLSPORT/Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Big investors just finished their tax-loss selling. So it’s time to root through the wreckage to find bargains to buy.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者刚刚完成了税收损失抛售。所以是时候在废墟中寻找便宜货了。</blockquote></p><p> This trade consistently works well because mutual funds and other large investors have to realize their tax losses by Oct. 31. After that, the stocks that they hammered tend to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>这种交易一直运作良好，因为共同基金和其他大型投资者必须在10月31日之前实现税收损失。之后，他们打击的股票往往会跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> By how much?</p><p><blockquote>多少钱？</blockquote></p><p> Since 1986, S&amp;P 500&nbsp;stocks down more than 10% in the first 10 months of the year (the top tax-loss selling candidates) rose 5.6% over the subsequent three months, according to Bank of America. That’s 1.6 percentage point outperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500’s average return of 3.9% during the same time.</p><p><blockquote>根据美银的数据，自1986年以来，标普500股市在今年前10个月下跌了10%以上（最大的税收损失抛售候选者），在随后的三个月上涨了5.6%。这比标普500同期3.9%的平均回报率高出1.6个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> After tax-loss selling, these stocks can get a boost from seasonally bullish market tailwinds. During Nov. 1 through Jan. 31, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged 4.5% gains since 1936, compared with 2.9% for all other rolling&nbsp;three-month periods, says Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>在税收损失抛售之后，这些股票可以从季节性看涨的市场顺风中获得提振。美银表示，自1936年以来，11月1日至1月31日期间，标普500平均上涨4.5%，而所有其他滚动三个月期间的平均涨幅为2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional investors have been big sellers of stock in recent weeks, and they’ve leaned heavily on their tax-loss selling candidates. To find the best bargains, Bank of America screened the S&amp;P 500 for stocks with&nbsp;year-to-date (YTD) declines greater than 10%. Then the bank suggested clients consider the 13 it has buy ratings on. That list includes Global Payments,Viatris,Incyte,Qualcomm&nbsp;and T-Mobile.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，机构投资者一直是股票的大卖家，他们严重依赖税收损失抛售候选人。为了找到最好的便宜货，美银在标普500上筛选了年初至今(YTD)跌幅超过10%的股票。然后该银行建议客户考虑其给予买入评级的13家银行。该名单包括Global Payments、Viatris、Incyte、高通和T-Mobile。</blockquote></p><p> I’ll take a different approach. I’ll favor names that are down a lot where insiders were recently buying a meaningful amount of stock — based on my system of analyzing insider purchases at my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks. (You can find the link to my letter in the bio below.)</p><p><blockquote>我会采取不同的方法。我会青睐那些股价大幅下跌、内部人士最近购买了大量股票的股票——基于我在股票信《重温股票》中分析内部人士购买情况的系统。（您可以在下面的简历中找到我的信的链接。）</blockquote></p><p> The significant insider buying suggests that business trends will support stock gains from early November and beyond. I recently suggested 22 of these names in my stock letter. Here are five to consider.</p><p><blockquote>大量的内部买入表明，商业趋势将支持11月初及以后的股市上涨。我最近在我的股票信中推荐了22个这样的名字。这里有五个可以考虑。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel; recent price: $48.25</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔；最近价格：$48.25</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -3.1% YTD; -29.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-3.1%；较2021年高点-29.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchase</b>: 10/25/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕收购</b>：10/25/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 2.9%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：2.9%</blockquote></p><p> Intel stock cracked in late October even though the company posted decent results and beat estimates, thanks to sales strength in data centers, the so-called Internet of Things and Mobileye (self-driving cars). The problem: Intel announced aggressive capital spending that will hurt margins.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔公布了不错的业绩并超出了预期，但由于数据中心、所谓的物联网和Mobileye（自动驾驶汽车）的销售强劲，英特尔股价仍在10月底暴跌。问题是：英特尔宣布了激进的资本支出，这将损害利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Personally, I like companies that invest in their future, especially when the news makes their shares cheaper. Insiders agree, given their large buying. The Intel stock decline this year means virtually anyone who bought in 2021 has a losing position. No doubt many of them were selling in late October to realize tax losses, compounding the stock weakness caused by the bullish capital-spending news.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我喜欢投资于未来的公司，尤其是当消息使他们的股票变得更便宜时。鉴于他们的大量购买，内部人士对此表示同意。英特尔股票今年的下跌意味着几乎任何在2021年买入的人都处于亏损状态。毫无疑问，他们中的许多人在10月底抛售以实现税收损失，加剧了看涨资本支出消息造成的股价疲软。</blockquote></p><p> <b>MercadoLibre; recent price: $1,512</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由市场；最近价格：$1,512</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -7.8% YTD; -23.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-7.8%；较2021年高点-23.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/18/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/18/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: None</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：无</blockquote></p><p> This online retailer in Latin America is having a good year. Sales were up over 100% in the second quarter compared to the year before. Its user base grew 47% to 75.9 million shoppers. The stock has soared into the $1,800 to $2,000 range twice this year. But it’s been weak lately, along with a lot of large-cap tech. Anybody who bought the spikes this year was down quite a bit in late October and probably selling to reap tax losses.</p><p><blockquote>这家拉丁美洲的在线零售商今年过得很好。与去年同期相比，第二季度销售额增长了100%以上。其用户群增长了47%，达到7590万购物者。该股今年已两次飙升至1800美元至2000美元区间。但最近它以及许多大型科技股都表现疲软。任何今年买入峰值的人在10月下旬都下跌了不少，可能会抛售以获取税收损失。</blockquote></p><p> But insiders are bullish, and why not? Online retail adoption is behind in Latin America, so it has plenty of growth ahead just to catch up with the rest of the world. It will catch up. The growth in distribution centers and last-mile hubs in Latin America supports the trend. The research group eMarketer says Latin America will post the fastest annual e-commerce sales growth in the world over the next several years — about 10 percentage points higher than the global average.</p><p><blockquote>但内部人士看涨，为什么不呢？拉丁美洲的在线零售采用落后，因此要赶上世界其他地区，它还有很大的增长空间。它会赶上的。拉丁美洲配送中心和最后一英里枢纽的增长支持了这一趋势。研究组织eMarketer表示，未来几年，拉丁美洲将实现全球最快的电子商务年销售额增长——比全球平均水平高出约10个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Krispy Kreme; recent price: $12.86</b></p><p><blockquote><b>甜甜圈；最近价格：$12.86</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -17.7% YTD; -38.9% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-17.7%；较2021年高点-38.9%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/19/21 to 9/10/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/19/21至9/10/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.1%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.1%</blockquote></p><p> Krispy Kreme debuted as a stock again in early July in the $16 to $21 range. The stock now trades at $12.89, virtually at the all-time lows. This means any funds that purchased are underwater. Many of them were no doubt looking to realize tax losses.</p><p><blockquote>Krispy Kreme于7月初再次作为股票上市，价格在16美元至21美元之间。该股目前交易价格为12.89美元，几乎处于历史低点。这意味着任何购买的资金都在水下。毫无疑问，他们中的许多人都希望实现税收损失。</blockquote></p><p> But there are several reasons to be bullish. One is big buying by JAB Holding, a European company specializing in consumer-goods stocks. Next, Krispy Kreme’s growth is robust. It reported 23% organic sales growth in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>但有几个看涨的理由。其中之一是专门从事消费品股票的欧洲公司JAB Holding的大举买入。其次，Krispy Kreme的增长强劲。该公司报告第二季度有机销售额增长23%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Krispy Kreme has plenty of room to grow in several key U.S. markets where it is underrepresented, such as New York, Chicago, Boston and Minneapolis. It has room to grow in China, Brazil, and parts of Western Europe. It is also rolling out shelf-stable packaged products, and setting up more in-store&nbsp;display cases in grocery and convenience stores.</p><p><blockquote>Krispy Kreme在纽约、芝加哥、波士顿和明尼阿波利斯等几个代表性不足的美国主要市场有很大的增长空间。它在中国、巴西和西欧部分地区还有增长空间。它还推出了耐储存的包装产品，并在杂货店和便利店设立了更多的店内陈列柜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lamb Weston; recent price: $57.49</b></p><p><blockquote><b>兰姆·韦斯顿；最近价格：$57.49</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -25.9% YTD; -32.5% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：年初至今-25.9%；较2021年高点-32.5%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 10/11/21 through 10/20/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：10/11/21至10/20/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.6%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.6%</blockquote></p><p> If you order fries with your meal, the chances are you’re a customer of this company. Lamb Weston is a huge producer of frozen fries cooked up in restaurants. Based in Idaho (appropriately), this company sells to the top 100 restaurant chains in North America and overseas. McDonald’s&nbsp;is a big customer. You can find its products in grocery stores, too, under the Grown in Idaho and Alexia brands.</p><p><blockquote>如果你在用餐时点了薯条，很可能你是这家公司的顾客。Lamb Weston是餐厅冷冻薯条的大型生产商。这家公司总部位于爱达荷州（恰如其分），向北美和海外排名前100的连锁餐厅销售产品。麦当劳是大客户。你也可以在杂货店找到它的产品，在爱达荷州种植和亚历克西娅品牌下。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been posting strong sales growth, but earnings have been hit by — you guessed it — inflation and supply-chain problems. It may take a few quarters, but these will turn out to be temporary problems.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一直保持强劲的销售增长，但盈利受到了——你猜对了——通货膨胀和供应链问题的打击。这可能需要几个季度的时间，但这些都是暂时的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lamb Weston has been raising prices on its products, and that too will offset the damage. It just takes some time. Another strength: Lamb Weston has a big presence in high-growth emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，兰姆韦斯顿一直在提高其产品的价格，这也将抵消损失。只是需要一些时间。另一个优势：Lamb Weston在高增长的新兴市场拥有很大的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Fortress Energy; recent price: $30.56</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新堡垒能源；近期价格：$30.56</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock decline</b>: -44.4%; -54.8% from 2021 high</p><p><blockquote><b>股票下跌</b>：-44.4%;较2021年高点-54.8%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Latest insider purchases</b>: 8/19/21</p><p><blockquote><b>最新内幕购买</b>：8/19/21</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yield</b>: 1.3%</p><p><blockquote><b>产量</b>：1.3%</blockquote></p><p> I originally suggested this energy-infrastructure name to subscribers in my stock letter at $10-$11 in June 2019. We still have a triple in the shares despite the big declines this year. I think the stock is a buy in the current pullback.</p><p><blockquote>我最初在2019年6月的股票信中以10-11美元的价格向订阅者建议了这个能源基础设施名称。尽管今年大幅下跌，我们的股价仍然上涨了两倍。我认为该股在当前的回调中值得买入。</blockquote></p><p> New Fortress Energy buys natural gas in the U.S., freezes it into easily shippable liquid natural gas, and then sells to countries converting from dirtier diesel and heavy fuel oil — typically in the Caribbean and Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>New Fortress Energy在美国购买天然气，将其冷冻成易于运输的液态天然气，然后出售给从更脏的柴油和重燃料油转换的国家——通常是加勒比海和拉丁美洲。</blockquote></p><p> New Fortress Energy stock is down because of concerns about the rising cost of natural gas and the company’s large debt load. But natural gas prices will cool off after the winter heating season, and continued growth will help the company manage its debt levels.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心天然气成本上涨和该公司巨额债务负担，New Fortress Energy股价下跌。但天然气价格将在冬季供暖季后降温，持续增长将有助于公司管理债务水平。</blockquote></p><p> Insiders sure think so. Execs with solid records recently bought $1 million worth of stock.</p><p><blockquote>业内人士肯定是这么认为的。业绩良好的高管最近购买了价值100万美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Remember that tax-loss-selling-rebound candidates can suffer another bout of weakness in late December, since retail investors must do their tax-loss selling by the end of the year. That’ll just be another opportunity to add to these companies.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，税亏损销售反弹候选人可能在12月底遭受另一轮疲软，因为散户投资者必须在年底前完成他们的税亏损销售。这将是为这些公司增加价值的又一个机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/put-these-10-stocks-on-your-radar-because-they-may-rebound-from-recent-tax-loss-selling-11635776937?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INCY":"因塞特医疗","NFE":"New Fortress Energy LLC","QCOM":"高通","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","LW":"Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","MELI":"MercadoLibre","GPN":"环汇有限公司","INTC":"英特尔","VTRS":"Viatris Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/put-these-10-stocks-on-your-radar-because-they-may-rebound-from-recent-tax-loss-selling-11635776937?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196323855","content_text":"Professional investors tend to dump some of their losers by the end of October, creating greater value in some stocks\nPhoto by Jack Atley/ALLSPORT/Getty Images\nBig investors just finished their tax-loss selling. So it’s time to root through the wreckage to find bargains to buy.\nThis trade consistently works well because mutual funds and other large investors have to realize their tax losses by Oct. 31. After that, the stocks that they hammered tend to outperform.\nBy how much?\nSince 1986, S&P 500 stocks down more than 10% in the first 10 months of the year (the top tax-loss selling candidates) rose 5.6% over the subsequent three months, according to Bank of America. That’s 1.6 percentage point outperformance relative to the S&P 500’s average return of 3.9% during the same time.\nAfter tax-loss selling, these stocks can get a boost from seasonally bullish market tailwinds. During Nov. 1 through Jan. 31, the S&P 500 has averaged 4.5% gains since 1936, compared with 2.9% for all other rolling three-month periods, says Bank of America.\nInstitutional investors have been big sellers of stock in recent weeks, and they’ve leaned heavily on their tax-loss selling candidates. To find the best bargains, Bank of America screened the S&P 500 for stocks with year-to-date (YTD) declines greater than 10%. Then the bank suggested clients consider the 13 it has buy ratings on. That list includes Global Payments,Viatris,Incyte,Qualcomm and T-Mobile.\nI’ll take a different approach. I’ll favor names that are down a lot where insiders were recently buying a meaningful amount of stock — based on my system of analyzing insider purchases at my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks. (You can find the link to my letter in the bio below.)\nThe significant insider buying suggests that business trends will support stock gains from early November and beyond. I recently suggested 22 of these names in my stock letter. Here are five to consider.\nIntel; recent price: $48.25\nStock decline: -3.1% YTD; -29.5% from 2021 high\nLatest insider purchase: 10/25/21\nYield: 2.9%\nIntel stock cracked in late October even though the company posted decent results and beat estimates, thanks to sales strength in data centers, the so-called Internet of Things and Mobileye (self-driving cars). The problem: Intel announced aggressive capital spending that will hurt margins.\nPersonally, I like companies that invest in their future, especially when the news makes their shares cheaper. Insiders agree, given their large buying. The Intel stock decline this year means virtually anyone who bought in 2021 has a losing position. No doubt many of them were selling in late October to realize tax losses, compounding the stock weakness caused by the bullish capital-spending news.\nMercadoLibre; recent price: $1,512\nStock decline: -7.8% YTD; -23.5% from 2021 high\nLatest insider purchases: 8/18/21\nYield: None\nThis online retailer in Latin America is having a good year. Sales were up over 100% in the second quarter compared to the year before. Its user base grew 47% to 75.9 million shoppers. The stock has soared into the $1,800 to $2,000 range twice this year. But it’s been weak lately, along with a lot of large-cap tech. Anybody who bought the spikes this year was down quite a bit in late October and probably selling to reap tax losses.\nBut insiders are bullish, and why not? Online retail adoption is behind in Latin America, so it has plenty of growth ahead just to catch up with the rest of the world. It will catch up. The growth in distribution centers and last-mile hubs in Latin America supports the trend. The research group eMarketer says Latin America will post the fastest annual e-commerce sales growth in the world over the next several years — about 10 percentage points higher than the global average.\nKrispy Kreme; recent price: $12.86\nStock decline: -17.7% YTD; -38.9% from 2021 high\nLatest insider purchases: 8/19/21 to 9/10/21\nYield: 1.1%\nKrispy Kreme debuted as a stock again in early July in the $16 to $21 range. The stock now trades at $12.89, virtually at the all-time lows. This means any funds that purchased are underwater. Many of them were no doubt looking to realize tax losses.\nBut there are several reasons to be bullish. One is big buying by JAB Holding, a European company specializing in consumer-goods stocks. Next, Krispy Kreme’s growth is robust. It reported 23% organic sales growth in the second quarter.\nKrispy Kreme has plenty of room to grow in several key U.S. markets where it is underrepresented, such as New York, Chicago, Boston and Minneapolis. It has room to grow in China, Brazil, and parts of Western Europe. It is also rolling out shelf-stable packaged products, and setting up more in-store display cases in grocery and convenience stores.\nLamb Weston; recent price: $57.49\nStock decline: -25.9% YTD; -32.5% from 2021 high\nLatest insider purchases: 10/11/21 through 10/20/21\nYield: 1.6%\nIf you order fries with your meal, the chances are you’re a customer of this company. Lamb Weston is a huge producer of frozen fries cooked up in restaurants. Based in Idaho (appropriately), this company sells to the top 100 restaurant chains in North America and overseas. McDonald’s is a big customer. You can find its products in grocery stores, too, under the Grown in Idaho and Alexia brands.\nThe company has been posting strong sales growth, but earnings have been hit by — you guessed it — inflation and supply-chain problems. It may take a few quarters, but these will turn out to be temporary problems.\nMeanwhile, Lamb Weston has been raising prices on its products, and that too will offset the damage. It just takes some time. Another strength: Lamb Weston has a big presence in high-growth emerging markets.\nNew Fortress Energy; recent price: $30.56\nStock decline: -44.4%; -54.8% from 2021 high\nLatest insider purchases: 8/19/21\nYield: 1.3%\nI originally suggested this energy-infrastructure name to subscribers in my stock letter at $10-$11 in June 2019. We still have a triple in the shares despite the big declines this year. I think the stock is a buy in the current pullback.\nNew Fortress Energy buys natural gas in the U.S., freezes it into easily shippable liquid natural gas, and then sells to countries converting from dirtier diesel and heavy fuel oil — typically in the Caribbean and Latin America.\nNew Fortress Energy stock is down because of concerns about the rising cost of natural gas and the company’s large debt load. But natural gas prices will cool off after the winter heating season, and continued growth will help the company manage its debt levels.\nInsiders sure think so. Execs with solid records recently bought $1 million worth of stock.\nRemember that tax-loss-selling-rebound candidates can suffer another bout of weakness in late December, since retail investors must do their tax-loss selling by the end of the year. That’ll just be another opportunity to add to these companies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MELI":0.9,"NFE":0.9,"INCY":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"GPN":0.9,"LW":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"TMUS":0.9,"VTRS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857015394,"gmtCreate":1635494608732,"gmtModify":1635494608910,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857015394","repostId":"1148187438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148187438","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635494439,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148187438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148187438","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.In the fourth quarter, ","content":"<p>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f1b2f52ba8b93d6dbf02bcb693cb245\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>由于营收未达预期，苹果盘前交易下跌近4%。第四季度，苹果总营收833.6亿美元，同比增长29%；净利润205.51亿美元，同比增长62%。其中，苹果第四季度大中华区营收145.63亿美元，同比增长83%。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone仍是苹果最强劲的产品，苹果第四季度iPhone营收388.7亿美元，较同期增长47%，但不及预期的416亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务营收182.8亿美元，同比增长25.6%；Mac营收91.8亿美元，同比增长1.6%。苹果首席执行官Tim Cook表示，服务和Mac的收入创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可穿戴及配件业务营收87.9亿美元，同比增长11.5%；Ipad营收82.5亿美元，同比增长21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"</p><p><blockquote>库克表示：“尽管供应限制问题比预期的要大，我们估计（相关损失）约为60亿美元，但我们的财务表现非常强劲。供应限制是由业内广泛讨论的芯片短缺和东南亚疫情相关的制造业中断造成的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-29 16:00</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f1b2f52ba8b93d6dbf02bcb693cb245\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>由于营收未达预期，苹果盘前交易下跌近4%。第四季度，苹果总营收833.6亿美元，同比增长29%；净利润205.51亿美元，同比增长62%。其中，苹果第四季度大中华区营收145.63亿美元，同比增长83%。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone仍是苹果最强劲的产品，苹果第四季度iPhone营收388.7亿美元，较同期增长47%，但不及预期的416亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务营收182.8亿美元，同比增长25.6%；Mac营收91.8亿美元，同比增长1.6%。苹果首席执行官Tim Cook表示，服务和Mac的收入创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可穿戴及配件业务营收87.9亿美元，同比增长11.5%；Ipad营收82.5亿美元，同比增长21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"</p><p><blockquote>库克表示：“尽管供应限制问题比预期的要大，我们估计（相关损失）约为60亿美元，但我们的财务表现非常强劲。供应限制是由业内广泛讨论的芯片短缺和东南亚疫情相关的制造业中断造成的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148187438","content_text":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.\nThe iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.\nThe revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.\nApple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.\nCook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859377516,"gmtCreate":1634660711301,"gmtModify":1634660711522,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859377516","repostId":"1113211293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859374444,"gmtCreate":1634660581189,"gmtModify":1634660581413,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n&nbsp;comment pls","listText":"like n&nbsp;comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859374444","repostId":"1131668482","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131668482","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634630546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131668482?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩盘前交易涨超3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131668482","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading, and its stocks’ price in Hong Kong rose more than","content":"<p>Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading, and its stocks’ price in Hong Kong rose more than 12%.</p><p><blockquote>哔哩哔哩在盘前交易中上涨超过3%，其在香港的股价上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/173d51a67c7aa58cba71bfa1824b1db9\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"368\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley maintained its \"overweight\" rating on Bilibili's US stocks and its target price was US $100, which was equivalent to six times the predicted market sales rate.</p><p><blockquote>大摩维持B站美股“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价100美元，相当于预测市场去化率的6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, on the evening of October 17, Up master \"Hello teacher, my name is He\" in Bilibili released a video about AirPower, which quickly gained a lot of attention on social media. The video has been played 4.086 million times in Bilibili.</p><p><blockquote>而且，10月17日晚，B站Up主“老师好，我叫何”发布了一段关于AirPower的视频，迅速在社交媒体上获得大量关注。该视频在B站播放量已达408.6万次。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩盘前交易涨超3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩盘前交易涨超3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 16:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading, and its stocks’ price in Hong Kong rose more than 12%.</p><p><blockquote>哔哩哔哩在盘前交易中上涨超过3%，其在香港的股价上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/173d51a67c7aa58cba71bfa1824b1db9\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"368\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley maintained its \"overweight\" rating on Bilibili's US stocks and its target price was US $100, which was equivalent to six times the predicted market sales rate.</p><p><blockquote>大摩维持B站美股“跑赢大盘”评级，目标价100美元，相当于预测市场去化率的6倍。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, on the evening of October 17, Up master \"Hello teacher, my name is He\" in Bilibili released a video about AirPower, which quickly gained a lot of attention on social media. The video has been played 4.086 million times in Bilibili.</p><p><blockquote>而且，10月17日晚，B站Up主“老师好，我叫何”发布了一段关于AirPower的视频，迅速在社交媒体上获得大量关注。该视频在B站播放量已达408.6万次。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09626":"哔哩哔哩-W","BILI":"哔哩哔哩"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131668482","content_text":"Bilibili jumped more than 3% in premarket trading, and its stocks’ price in Hong Kong rose more than 12%.\n\nMorgan Stanley maintained its \"overweight\" rating on Bilibili's US stocks and its target price was US $100, which was equivalent to six times the predicted market sales rate.\nMoreover, on the evening of October 17, Up master \"Hello teacher, my name is He\" in Bilibili released a video about AirPower, which quickly gained a lot of attention on social media. The video has been played 4.086 million times in Bilibili.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BILI":0.9,"09626":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826465034,"gmtCreate":1634047893605,"gmtModify":1634047920231,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826465034","repostId":"1148975949","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148975949","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633994624,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148975949?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AT&T Shares Are Tumbling Today<blockquote>为什么AT&amp;T股价今天暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148975949","media":"Benzinga","summary":"AT&T Inc(NYSE:T) is trading lower Monday after Barclays analyst Kannan Venkateshwar maintained the s","content":"<p><b>AT&amp;T Inc</b>(NYSE:T) is trading lower Monday after Barclays analyst Kannan Venkateshwar maintained the stock with an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $34 to $30.</p><p><blockquote><b>AT&amp;T公司</b>(NYSE：T)周一股价走低，此前巴克莱分析师Kannan Venkateshwar维持该股等权重评级，并将目标价从34美元下调至30美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Barclays analyst cited challenging technicals as a result of the equity performance at&nbsp;<b>Discovery Inc</b>(NASDAQ:DISCA), which AT&amp;T will be merging its media business with.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师指出，由于股市表现，技术面具有挑战性<b>探索公司</b>（纳斯达克：DISCA），AT&amp;T将与其合并其媒体业务。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T was among the top three trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时，AT&amp;T是Stocktwits上三大热门股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T is set to announce its third-quarter financial results before the market opens on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>AT&amp;T将于10月21日开盘前公布第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>T Price Action:</b>AT&amp;T has traded as high as $33.88 over a 52-week period. It is making new 52-week lows during Monday's trading session.</p><p><blockquote><b>T价格走势：</b>AT&amp;T在52周内的交易价格高达33.88美元。周一交易时段创下52周新低。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was down 2.62% at $26.06 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时，该股下跌2.62%，至26.06美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AT&T Shares Are Tumbling Today<blockquote>为什么AT&amp;T股价今天暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AT&T Shares Are Tumbling Today<blockquote>为什么AT&amp;T股价今天暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-12 07:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AT&amp;T Inc</b>(NYSE:T) is trading lower Monday after Barclays analyst Kannan Venkateshwar maintained the stock with an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $34 to $30.</p><p><blockquote><b>AT&amp;T公司</b>(NYSE：T)周一股价走低，此前巴克莱分析师Kannan Venkateshwar维持该股等权重评级，并将目标价从34美元下调至30美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Barclays analyst cited challenging technicals as a result of the equity performance at&nbsp;<b>Discovery Inc</b>(NASDAQ:DISCA), which AT&amp;T will be merging its media business with.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师指出，由于股市表现，技术面具有挑战性<b>探索公司</b>（纳斯达克：DISCA），AT&amp;T将与其合并其媒体业务。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T was among the top three trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时，AT&amp;T是Stocktwits上三大热门股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T is set to announce its third-quarter financial results before the market opens on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>AT&amp;T将于10月21日开盘前公布第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>T Price Action:</b>AT&amp;T has traded as high as $33.88 over a 52-week period. It is making new 52-week lows during Monday's trading session.</p><p><blockquote><b>T价格走势：</b>AT&amp;T在52周内的交易价格高达33.88美元。周一交易时段创下52周新低。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was down 2.62% at $26.06 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时，该股下跌2.62%，至26.06美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-t-shares-tumbling-today-191823509.html\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"T":"At&T"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-t-shares-tumbling-today-191823509.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148975949","content_text":"AT&T Inc(NYSE:T) is trading lower Monday after Barclays analyst Kannan Venkateshwar maintained the stock with an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $34 to $30.\nThe Barclays analyst cited challenging technicals as a result of the equity performance at Discovery Inc(NASDAQ:DISCA), which AT&T will be merging its media business with.\nAT&T was among the top three trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time.\nAT&T is set to announce its third-quarter financial results before the market opens on Oct. 21.\nT Price Action:AT&T has traded as high as $33.88 over a 52-week period. It is making new 52-week lows during Monday's trading session.\nThe stock was down 2.62% at $26.06 at time of publication.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"T":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864286666,"gmtCreate":1633106075532,"gmtModify":1633106075777,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"like n comment pls&nbsp;","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864286666","repostId":"2172963995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860895055,"gmtCreate":1632150195677,"gmtModify":1632802490288,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"like n comment&nbsp;","text":"like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860895055","repostId":"1109188181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109188181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123243,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109188181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109188181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four l","content":"<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSavvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 15:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109188181","content_text":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.\nLet’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.\nMACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.  It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.\nBe aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.\nWhen you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.\nIn addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).  The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.\nFour simple trading signals\nAt its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.\nNote: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.\nKeep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.\nAnother limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.\nWhat MACD says about Tesla now\nFor example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.\nBased on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy. If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.\nA few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.\nAppel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”\nMACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”\nAppel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”\nAppel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.\nThe MACD-Histogram\nOne of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package. Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.\nThe histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.\nMany beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.\nHistogram signals\n\nIf the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.\n\n\nAs mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.\n\nRed flags\nIf you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).\nIf you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.\nMichael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885277459,"gmtCreate":1631800895771,"gmtModify":1631890678155,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment pls","listText":"like and comment pls","text":"like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885277459","repostId":"1134937957","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134937957","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631800422,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134937957?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 21:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134937957","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Rio","content":"<p>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang&nbsp;international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌。嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital、Bit Digital、Riot Blockchain、Bit Mining、SoS Ltd和Coinbase跌幅在1%至6%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c63868c5489d504103d127a51b6f9c\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-16 21:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang&nbsp;international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌。嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital、Bit Digital、Riot Blockchain、Bit Mining、SoS Ltd和Coinbase跌幅在1%至6%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c63868c5489d504103d127a51b6f9c\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","CAN":"嘉楠科技","SOS":"SOS Limited","EBON":"亿邦国际","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134937957","content_text":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd and Coinbase fell between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9,"SOS":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"EBON":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"RIOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882298119,"gmtCreate":1631693639631,"gmtModify":1631890678158,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882298119","repostId":"1139928275","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882291872,"gmtCreate":1631693586296,"gmtModify":1631890678160,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885277459","repostId":"1134937957","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134937957","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631800422,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134937957?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 21:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134937957","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Rio","content":"<p>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang&nbsp;international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌。嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital、Bit Digital、Riot Blockchain、Bit Mining、SoS Ltd和Coinbase跌幅在1%至6%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c63868c5489d504103d127a51b6f9c\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks dropped in morning trading<blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-16 21:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang&nbsp;international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;fell&nbsp;between 1% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币股票早盘下跌。嘉楠耘智、亿邦国际、Marathon Digital、Bit Digital、Riot Blockchain、Bit Mining、SoS Ltd和Coinbase跌幅在1%至6%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c63868c5489d504103d127a51b6f9c\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"544\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","CAN":"嘉楠科技","SOS":"SOS Limited","EBON":"亿邦国际","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134937957","content_text":"Crypto stocks dropped in morning trading.Canaan,Ebang international,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd and Coinbase fell between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTBT":0.9,"SOS":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"EBON":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"RIOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144141983,"gmtCreate":1626273078842,"gmtModify":1633928384975,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment","listText":"like n comment","text":"like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144141983","repostId":"2151511237","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141369079,"gmtCreate":1625839177991,"gmtModify":1633936826733,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment","listText":"like n comment","text":"like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141369079","repostId":"1187480487","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187480487","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625838849,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187480487?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 21:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney shares rises nearly 2%,as Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.<blockquote>迪士尼股价上涨近2%，上海迪士尼乐园提价高达10%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187480487","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Disney shares rises nearly 2%,as Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.\n\n\nShanghai Disneyland","content":"<p>Disney&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%,as&nbsp;Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股价上涨近2%，上海迪士尼乐园提价高达10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8b245ccacada732569aab91c7bad577\" tg-width=\"803\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shanghai Disneyland (DIS+0.7%) willraise its ticket prices starting in January.</li>  <li>The resort indicated it would boost prices on Jan. 9, setting new rates for four tiers: Regular, Regular Plus, Peak (most days in summer season and other peak visitation days), and Peak Plus.</li>  <li>The Regular price at that time will be 435 yuan (about $67.13). Regular Plus will be 545 yuan (about $84.11). Meanwhile, Peak price is set at 659 yuan ($101.70) and Peak Plus at 769 yuan ($118.67).</li>  <li>That results in increases of 9-10% across the board.</li>  <b>Disney</b>&nbsp;is gearing up for a big weekend at the box office as the long-delayed \"Black Widow\" is set for its theatrical release worldwide on July 9. Disney stock rose.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上海迪士尼乐园(DIS+0.7%)将从一月份开始提高门票价格。</li><li>该度假村表示将于1月9日提高价格，为四个等级设定新的价格：常规、常规加、高峰（夏季的大多数日子和其他高峰访问日）和高峰加。</li><li>届时的正常价格将为435元人民币（约合67.13美元）。普通Plus售价为545元（约合84.11美元）。与此同时，Peak价格定为659元（101.70美元），Peak Plus为769元（118.67美元）。</li><li>这导致全面增长9-10%。</li><b>迪斯尼</b>期待已久的《黑寡妇》将于7月9日在全球影院上映，正在为一个票房大周末做准备。迪士尼股价上涨。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Worldwide estimates for \"Black Widow\" are as high as $140 million, according to Deadline. That doesn't include China, Marvel's biggest market, as it doesn't yet have a release date there.</p><p><blockquote>据Deadline报道，《黑寡妇》的全球票房高达1.4亿美元。这还不包括漫威最大的市场中国，因为它还没有在那里的发布日期。</blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney shares rises nearly 2%,as Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.<blockquote>迪士尼股价上涨近2%，上海迪士尼乐园提价高达10%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney shares rises nearly 2%,as Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.<blockquote>迪士尼股价上涨近2%，上海迪士尼乐园提价高达10%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-09 21:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Disney&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%,as&nbsp;Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼股价上涨近2%，上海迪士尼乐园提价高达10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8b245ccacada732569aab91c7bad577\" tg-width=\"803\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shanghai Disneyland (DIS+0.7%) willraise its ticket prices starting in January.</li>  <li>The resort indicated it would boost prices on Jan. 9, setting new rates for four tiers: Regular, Regular Plus, Peak (most days in summer season and other peak visitation days), and Peak Plus.</li>  <li>The Regular price at that time will be 435 yuan (about $67.13). Regular Plus will be 545 yuan (about $84.11). Meanwhile, Peak price is set at 659 yuan ($101.70) and Peak Plus at 769 yuan ($118.67).</li>  <li>That results in increases of 9-10% across the board.</li>  <b>Disney</b>&nbsp;is gearing up for a big weekend at the box office as the long-delayed \"Black Widow\" is set for its theatrical release worldwide on July 9. Disney stock rose.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上海迪士尼乐园(DIS+0.7%)将从一月份开始提高门票价格。</li><li>该度假村表示将于1月9日提高价格，为四个等级设定新的价格：常规、常规加、高峰（夏季的大多数日子和其他高峰访问日）和高峰加。</li><li>届时的正常价格将为435元人民币（约合67.13美元）。普通Plus售价为545元（约合84.11美元）。与此同时，Peak价格定为659元（101.70美元），Peak Plus为769元（118.67美元）。</li><li>这导致全面增长9-10%。</li><b>迪斯尼</b>期待已久的《黑寡妇》将于7月9日在全球影院上映，正在为一个票房大周末做准备。迪士尼股价上涨。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Worldwide estimates for \"Black Widow\" are as high as $140 million, according to Deadline. That doesn't include China, Marvel's biggest market, as it doesn't yet have a release date there.</p><p><blockquote>据Deadline报道，《黑寡妇》的全球票房高达1.4亿美元。这还不包括漫威最大的市场中国，因为它还没有在那里的发布日期。</blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187480487","content_text":"Disney shares rises nearly 2%,as Shanghai Disneyland raising prices up to 10%.\n\n\nShanghai Disneyland (DIS+0.7%) willraise its ticket prices starting in January.\nThe resort indicated it would boost prices on Jan. 9, setting new rates for four tiers: Regular, Regular Plus, Peak (most days in summer season and other peak visitation days), and Peak Plus.\nThe Regular price at that time will be 435 yuan (about $67.13). Regular Plus will be 545 yuan (about $84.11). Meanwhile, Peak price is set at 659 yuan ($101.70) and Peak Plus at 769 yuan ($118.67).\nThat results in increases of 9-10% across the board.\nDisney is gearing up for a big weekend at the box office as the long-delayed \"Black Widow\" is set for its theatrical release worldwide on July 9. Disney stock rose.\nWorldwide estimates for \"Black Widow\" are as high as $140 million, according to Deadline. That doesn't include China, Marvel's biggest market, as it doesn't yet have a release date there.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819433451,"gmtCreate":1630083939773,"gmtModify":1704955798674,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"like n comment pls&nbsp;","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819433451","repostId":"2162358024","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163036415,"gmtCreate":1623853001037,"gmtModify":1634027042797,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article. Like and comment pls","listText":"Nice article. Like and comment pls","text":"Nice article. Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163036415","repostId":"2143794134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157996821,"gmtCreate":1625558968363,"gmtModify":1633939662967,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157996821","repostId":"2149033827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152566581,"gmtCreate":1625314603843,"gmtModify":1633941537350,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152566581","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170619116,"gmtCreate":1626425885235,"gmtModify":1633926854220,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh, like n comment pls","listText":"oh, like n comment pls","text":"oh, like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170619116","repostId":"1119858603","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119858603","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626424612,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119858603?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 16:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"MEME stocks gains in premarket trading,AMC shares surges more than 5%.<blockquote>MEME股盘前交易上涨，AMC股价飙升逾5%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119858603","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"MEME stocks gains in premarket trading,AMC shares surges more than 5%,GME shares rises 4.3%.","content":"<p>MEME&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains in premarket&nbsp;trading,AMC&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;5%,GME&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>MEME股票在盘前交易中上涨，AMC股价飙升超过5%，GME股价上涨4.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/211e21d173a4fba3743bf3dd2c9a8744\" tg-width=\"1294\" tg-height=\"608\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>MEME stocks gains in premarket trading,AMC shares surges more than 5%.<blockquote>MEME股盘前交易上涨，AMC股价飙升逾5%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMEME stocks gains in premarket trading,AMC shares surges more than 5%.<blockquote>MEME股盘前交易上涨，AMC股价飙升逾5%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-16 16:36</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>MEME&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;gains in premarket&nbsp;trading,AMC&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;5%,GME&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rises&nbsp;4.3%.</p><p><blockquote>MEME股票在盘前交易中上涨，AMC股价飙升超过5%，GME股价上涨4.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/211e21d173a4fba3743bf3dd2c9a8744\" tg-width=\"1294\" tg-height=\"608\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119858603","content_text":"MEME stocks gains in premarket trading,AMC shares surges more than 5%,GME shares rises 4.3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":859377516,"gmtCreate":1634660711301,"gmtModify":1634660711522,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859377516","repostId":"1113211293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837430383,"gmtCreate":1629903786742,"gmtModify":1631892395955,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837430383","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835446371,"gmtCreate":1629735234493,"gmtModify":1631892395958,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835446371","repostId":"1174451083","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803015416,"gmtCreate":1627396320535,"gmtModify":1633765394197,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment&nbsp;pls","listText":"like n comment&nbsp;pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803015416","repostId":"1180394633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176887143,"gmtCreate":1626876315982,"gmtModify":1633770195292,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls thanks","listText":"like n comment pls thanks","text":"like n comment pls thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176887143","repostId":"1109369259","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109369259","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626876045,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109369259?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Buy The Dip' Investors Pile Into These 6 Stocks For Fast Gains<blockquote>“逢低买入”投资者涌入这6只股票以快速获利</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109369259","media":"investors","summary":"S&P 500 investors are bravely buying dipsfollowing sell-offs like never before. And they're showing ","content":"<p>S&amp;P 500 investors are bravely buying dipsfollowing sell-offs like never before. And they're showing some of theirfavorite stocks to scoop up.</p><p><blockquote>标普500投资者在前所未有的抛售后勇敢地逢低买入。他们还展示了一些他们最喜欢的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Six stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including industrial plays<b>Dover</b>(DOV) and<b>Teledyne Technologies</b>(TDY) plustech stock<b>PTC</b>(PTC), surged more than 3% from their 50-day moving averages Tuesday. And that's after all these S&amp;P 500 stocks fell this week to just 1% from their 50-day — or even dropped below it.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的六只股票，包括工业股<b>多佛</b>(DOV)和<b>Teledyne技术公司</b>(TDY)plustech股票<b>PTC</b>(PTC)周二较50日移动均线飙升逾3%。在此之前，所有这些标普500股票本周均较50日跌幅仅为1%，甚至跌破50日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The 50-day moving average is a widely watchedprice level at which stocks seek supportbefore falling more. And all these S&amp;P 500 stocks highlight how investors continue to brazenly buy stocks — even after they sell-off to near or even below this key level. And that \"buy-the-dip\" mentality is running the entire S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>50日移动平均线是一个广泛关注的价格水平，股票在进一步下跌之前寻求支撑。所有这些标普500股票都凸显了投资者如何继续厚颜无耻地购买股票——即使在他们抛售到接近甚至低于这一关键水平之后。这种“逢低买入”的心态贯穿了整个标普500。</blockquote></p><p> \"The S&amp;P 500 has shown exceptional resilience this year in bouncing whenever it has tested its 50-day moving average,\" says Bespoke Investment Group.</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke Investment Group表示：“标普500今年在测试50日移动平均线时都表现出了非凡的反弹韧性。”</blockquote></p><p> The Amazingly Resilient S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的韧性标普500</blockquote></p><p> Already this year, the S&amp;P 500 closed below its 50-day moving average four times, Bespoke found. That's roughly in-line with history. Typically it happens eight times annually, and we'reroughly halfway through the year.</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke发现，今年以来，标普500已四次收于50日移动均线下方。这大致符合历史。通常这种情况每年发生八次，而我们大约已经过了一年的一半。</blockquote></p><p> But here's the interesting part that shows how \"buying the dip\" is in vogue. In just one week following the S&amp;P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average each time this year, it gained 3.95% on average.</p><p><blockquote>但有趣的部分显示了“逢低买入”是如何流行的。标普500今年每次跌破50日均线后的短短一周内，平均上涨了3.95%。</blockquote></p><p> That's an astounding level of bounce back. Historically, the S&amp;P 500 only inched up 0.06% in the week after dropping to the 50-day moving average since 1945. And this year's average one-week bounce back ranks No. 1 for any year since at least World War II, Bespoke says.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个惊人的反弹水平。从历史上看，标普500在跌至1945年以来的50日移动平均线后，本周仅小幅上涨0.06%。Bespoke表示，今年的平均一周反弹幅度至少在二战以来的任何一年中排名第一。</blockquote></p><p> And it's not just a short bounce either. Following its drops below the 50-day moving average this year, the S&amp;P 500 was 5.7% higher, on average, a month later. That's much higher than the S&amp;P 500's typical 0.54% rise following drops to below the 50-week moving average going back to 1945.</p><p><blockquote>这也不仅仅是短暂的反弹。继今年跌破50日移动平均线后，一个月后标普500平均上涨5.7%。这远高于标普500自1945年以来跌破50周移动平均线后0.54%的典型涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But what kinds ofstocks bounce back?</p><p><blockquote>但什么样的股票会反弹呢？</blockquote></p><p> Looking At This Week's S&amp;P 500 Sell-Off</p><p><blockquote>看看本周的标普500抛售</blockquote></p><p> Monday's sell-off didn't quite knock the S&amp;P 500 below its 50-day moving average at the close. The S&amp;P 500 hit the 50-day and bounced intraday.</p><p><blockquote>周一的抛售并没有让标普500在收盘时跌破50日移动平均线。标普500触及50日线，盘中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> But a look at how some individual stocks behaved gives a taste of what buy-the-dip investors are doing now. Take Dover, a maker of a variety of industrial parts and supplies. Shares were up more than 20% this year up until the sell-off on Monday. The stock then slid to just 1% above its 50-day line. But thatlured in the dip buyers, who pushed shares up 7.7% from the 50-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>但看看一些个股的表现，就可以了解到逢低买入的投资者现在在做什么。以多佛为例，它是一家生产各种工业零部件和用品的公司。截至周一的抛售，该股今年已上涨超过20%。随后该股跌至仅比50日线高出1%。但这吸引了逢低买家，推动股价较50日移动平均线上涨7.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also like to think of S&amp;P 500 tech stocks as buy-the-dip plays. But this week's example isn't a household name. PTC, a tech firm that helps companies upgrade their operations, Monday dropped to just 1% above its 50-day moving average, but since then it's blasted nearly 6% from that key support level.</p><p><blockquote>投资者也喜欢将标普500科技股视为逢低买入。但是本周的例子并不是一个家喻户晓的名字。PTC是一家帮助企业升级运营的科技公司，周一股价跌至仅比50日移动均线高出1%，但此后较关键支撑位上涨了近6%。</blockquote></p><p> Even some S&amp;P 500 stocks that closed below their 50-day lines bounced in a big way. Teledyne Technologies actually ended Monday 0.4% below its 50-day moving average. But on Tuesday, it already sprung up more than 3% from the 50-day.</p><p><blockquote>甚至一些收盘低于50日线的标普500股票也出现了大幅反弹。Teledyne Technologies周一收盘价实际上比50日移动平均线低0.4%。但周二，该股已较50日上涨逾3%。</blockquote></p><p> Just don't assume this buy-the-dip mentality will last forever.Savvy investors know to monitor other key market indicators, too.</p><p><blockquote>只是不要认为这种逢低买入的心态会永远持续下去。精明的投资者也知道要监控其他关键市场指标。</blockquote></p><p> \"While the S&amp;P 500's ability to repeatedly bounce at its 50-day moving average this year has been impressive and even historic, enjoy it while it lasts,\" Bespoke says. \"We can guarantee that it won't last forever.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke表示：“虽然标普500今年在50日移动平均线上反复反弹的能力令人印象深刻，甚至是历史性的，但请在它持续的时候享受它。”“我们可以保证它不会永远持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P 500's Bounceback Kids</p><p><blockquote>标普500的反弹儿童</blockquote></p><p> <i>All jumped 3% or more from 50-day moving averages after falling to 1% or less of the support level on Monday</i></p><p><blockquote><i>周一跌至支撑位1%或以下后，均较50日移动均线上涨3%或以上</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a0c73b146850cc5605f77603a6de6bc\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Buy The Dip' Investors Pile Into These 6 Stocks For Fast Gains<blockquote>“逢低买入”投资者涌入这6只股票以快速获利</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Buy The Dip' Investors Pile Into These 6 Stocks For Fast Gains<blockquote>“逢低买入”投资者涌入这6只股票以快速获利</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>S&amp;P 500 investors are bravely buying dipsfollowing sell-offs like never before. And they're showing some of theirfavorite stocks to scoop up.</p><p><blockquote>标普500投资者在前所未有的抛售后勇敢地逢低买入。他们还展示了一些他们最喜欢的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Six stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including industrial plays<b>Dover</b>(DOV) and<b>Teledyne Technologies</b>(TDY) plustech stock<b>PTC</b>(PTC), surged more than 3% from their 50-day moving averages Tuesday. And that's after all these S&amp;P 500 stocks fell this week to just 1% from their 50-day — or even dropped below it.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的六只股票，包括工业股<b>多佛</b>(DOV)和<b>Teledyne技术公司</b>(TDY)plustech股票<b>PTC</b>(PTC)周二较50日移动均线飙升逾3%。在此之前，所有这些标普500股票本周均较50日跌幅仅为1%，甚至跌破50日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The 50-day moving average is a widely watchedprice level at which stocks seek supportbefore falling more. And all these S&amp;P 500 stocks highlight how investors continue to brazenly buy stocks — even after they sell-off to near or even below this key level. And that \"buy-the-dip\" mentality is running the entire S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>50日移动平均线是一个广泛关注的价格水平，股票在进一步下跌之前寻求支撑。所有这些标普500股票都凸显了投资者如何继续厚颜无耻地购买股票——即使在他们抛售到接近甚至低于这一关键水平之后。这种“逢低买入”的心态贯穿了整个标普500。</blockquote></p><p> \"The S&amp;P 500 has shown exceptional resilience this year in bouncing whenever it has tested its 50-day moving average,\" says Bespoke Investment Group.</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke Investment Group表示：“标普500今年在测试50日移动平均线时都表现出了非凡的反弹韧性。”</blockquote></p><p> The Amazingly Resilient S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的韧性标普500</blockquote></p><p> Already this year, the S&amp;P 500 closed below its 50-day moving average four times, Bespoke found. That's roughly in-line with history. Typically it happens eight times annually, and we'reroughly halfway through the year.</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke发现，今年以来，标普500已四次收于50日移动均线下方。这大致符合历史。通常这种情况每年发生八次，而我们大约已经过了一年的一半。</blockquote></p><p> But here's the interesting part that shows how \"buying the dip\" is in vogue. In just one week following the S&amp;P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average each time this year, it gained 3.95% on average.</p><p><blockquote>但有趣的部分显示了“逢低买入”是如何流行的。标普500今年每次跌破50日均线后的短短一周内，平均上涨了3.95%。</blockquote></p><p> That's an astounding level of bounce back. Historically, the S&amp;P 500 only inched up 0.06% in the week after dropping to the 50-day moving average since 1945. And this year's average one-week bounce back ranks No. 1 for any year since at least World War II, Bespoke says.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个惊人的反弹水平。从历史上看，标普500在跌至1945年以来的50日移动平均线后，本周仅小幅上涨0.06%。Bespoke表示，今年的平均一周反弹幅度至少在二战以来的任何一年中排名第一。</blockquote></p><p> And it's not just a short bounce either. Following its drops below the 50-day moving average this year, the S&amp;P 500 was 5.7% higher, on average, a month later. That's much higher than the S&amp;P 500's typical 0.54% rise following drops to below the 50-week moving average going back to 1945.</p><p><blockquote>这也不仅仅是短暂的反弹。继今年跌破50日移动平均线后，一个月后标普500平均上涨5.7%。这远高于标普500自1945年以来跌破50周移动平均线后0.54%的典型涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But what kinds ofstocks bounce back?</p><p><blockquote>但什么样的股票会反弹呢？</blockquote></p><p> Looking At This Week's S&amp;P 500 Sell-Off</p><p><blockquote>看看本周的标普500抛售</blockquote></p><p> Monday's sell-off didn't quite knock the S&amp;P 500 below its 50-day moving average at the close. The S&amp;P 500 hit the 50-day and bounced intraday.</p><p><blockquote>周一的抛售并没有让标普500在收盘时跌破50日移动平均线。标普500触及50日线，盘中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> But a look at how some individual stocks behaved gives a taste of what buy-the-dip investors are doing now. Take Dover, a maker of a variety of industrial parts and supplies. Shares were up more than 20% this year up until the sell-off on Monday. The stock then slid to just 1% above its 50-day line. But thatlured in the dip buyers, who pushed shares up 7.7% from the 50-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>但看看一些个股的表现，就可以了解到逢低买入的投资者现在在做什么。以多佛为例，它是一家生产各种工业零部件和用品的公司。截至周一的抛售，该股今年已上涨超过20%。随后该股跌至仅比50日线高出1%。但这吸引了逢低买家，推动股价较50日移动平均线上涨7.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also like to think of S&amp;P 500 tech stocks as buy-the-dip plays. But this week's example isn't a household name. PTC, a tech firm that helps companies upgrade their operations, Monday dropped to just 1% above its 50-day moving average, but since then it's blasted nearly 6% from that key support level.</p><p><blockquote>投资者也喜欢将标普500科技股视为逢低买入。但是本周的例子并不是一个家喻户晓的名字。PTC是一家帮助企业升级运营的科技公司，周一股价跌至仅比50日移动均线高出1%，但此后较关键支撑位上涨了近6%。</blockquote></p><p> Even some S&amp;P 500 stocks that closed below their 50-day lines bounced in a big way. Teledyne Technologies actually ended Monday 0.4% below its 50-day moving average. But on Tuesday, it already sprung up more than 3% from the 50-day.</p><p><blockquote>甚至一些收盘低于50日线的标普500股票也出现了大幅反弹。Teledyne Technologies周一收盘价实际上比50日移动平均线低0.4%。但周二，该股已较50日上涨逾3%。</blockquote></p><p> Just don't assume this buy-the-dip mentality will last forever.Savvy investors know to monitor other key market indicators, too.</p><p><blockquote>只是不要认为这种逢低买入的心态会永远持续下去。精明的投资者也知道要监控其他关键市场指标。</blockquote></p><p> \"While the S&amp;P 500's ability to repeatedly bounce at its 50-day moving average this year has been impressive and even historic, enjoy it while it lasts,\" Bespoke says. \"We can guarantee that it won't last forever.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bespoke表示：“虽然标普500今年在50日移动平均线上反复反弹的能力令人印象深刻，甚至是历史性的，但请在它持续的时候享受它。”“我们可以保证它不会永远持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P 500's Bounceback Kids</p><p><blockquote>标普500的反弹儿童</blockquote></p><p> <i>All jumped 3% or more from 50-day moving averages after falling to 1% or less of the support level on Monday</i></p><p><blockquote><i>周一跌至支撑位1%或以下后，均较50日移动均线上涨3%或以上</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a0c73b146850cc5605f77603a6de6bc\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-buy-the-dip-investors-pile-into-these-stocks-for-fast-gains/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-buy-the-dip-investors-pile-into-these-stocks-for-fast-gains/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109369259","content_text":"S&P 500 investors are bravely buying dipsfollowing sell-offs like never before. And they're showing some of theirfavorite stocks to scoop up.\nSix stocks in the S&P 500, including industrial playsDover(DOV) andTeledyne Technologies(TDY) plustech stockPTC(PTC), surged more than 3% from their 50-day moving averages Tuesday. And that's after all these S&P 500 stocks fell this week to just 1% from their 50-day — or even dropped below it.\nThe 50-day moving average is a widely watchedprice level at which stocks seek supportbefore falling more. And all these S&P 500 stocks highlight how investors continue to brazenly buy stocks — even after they sell-off to near or even below this key level. And that \"buy-the-dip\" mentality is running the entire S&P 500.\n\"The S&P 500 has shown exceptional resilience this year in bouncing whenever it has tested its 50-day moving average,\" says Bespoke Investment Group.\nThe Amazingly Resilient S&P 500\nAlready this year, the S&P 500 closed below its 50-day moving average four times, Bespoke found. That's roughly in-line with history. Typically it happens eight times annually, and we'reroughly halfway through the year.\nBut here's the interesting part that shows how \"buying the dip\" is in vogue. In just one week following the S&P 500 falling below its 50-day moving average each time this year, it gained 3.95% on average.\nThat's an astounding level of bounce back. Historically, the S&P 500 only inched up 0.06% in the week after dropping to the 50-day moving average since 1945. And this year's average one-week bounce back ranks No. 1 for any year since at least World War II, Bespoke says.\nAnd it's not just a short bounce either. Following its drops below the 50-day moving average this year, the S&P 500 was 5.7% higher, on average, a month later. That's much higher than the S&P 500's typical 0.54% rise following drops to below the 50-week moving average going back to 1945.\nBut what kinds ofstocks bounce back?\nLooking At This Week's S&P 500 Sell-Off\nMonday's sell-off didn't quite knock the S&P 500 below its 50-day moving average at the close. The S&P 500 hit the 50-day and bounced intraday.\nBut a look at how some individual stocks behaved gives a taste of what buy-the-dip investors are doing now. Take Dover, a maker of a variety of industrial parts and supplies. Shares were up more than 20% this year up until the sell-off on Monday. The stock then slid to just 1% above its 50-day line. But thatlured in the dip buyers, who pushed shares up 7.7% from the 50-day moving average.\nInvestors also like to think of S&P 500 tech stocks as buy-the-dip plays. But this week's example isn't a household name. PTC, a tech firm that helps companies upgrade their operations, Monday dropped to just 1% above its 50-day moving average, but since then it's blasted nearly 6% from that key support level.\nEven some S&P 500 stocks that closed below their 50-day lines bounced in a big way. Teledyne Technologies actually ended Monday 0.4% below its 50-day moving average. But on Tuesday, it already sprung up more than 3% from the 50-day.\nJust don't assume this buy-the-dip mentality will last forever.Savvy investors know to monitor other key market indicators, too.\n\"While the S&P 500's ability to repeatedly bounce at its 50-day moving average this year has been impressive and even historic, enjoy it while it lasts,\" Bespoke says. \"We can guarantee that it won't last forever.\"\nS&P 500's Bounceback Kids\nAll jumped 3% or more from 50-day moving averages after falling to 1% or less of the support level on Monday","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156432302,"gmtCreate":1625233691006,"gmtModify":1633942260346,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment pls","listText":"like and comment pls","text":"like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156432302","repostId":"1143730164","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143730164","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625232741,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143730164?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 hits another record high after better-than-expected June jobs report<blockquote>标普500 6月就业报告好于预期后再创历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143730164","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks rose at the open and the S&P 500 hit another record high after the June jobs report showed an","content":"<p>Stocks rose at the open and the S&amp;P 500 hit another record high after the June jobs report showed an accelerating recovery for the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>在6月份就业报告显示美国劳动力市场加速复苏后，股市开盘上涨，标普500再创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The broad market index rose 0.3%, while the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.4% to hit its own intraday all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 56 points.</p><p><blockquote>大盘指数上涨0.3%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%，创下盘中历史新高。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约56点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f3cabb658ab868b3aef719ade8fac66\" tg-width=\"1039\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The economy&nbsp;added 850,000 jobs last month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting an addition of 706,000. The print topped the 559,000 jobs created in May.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国劳工统计局的数据，上个月美国经济增加了85万个就业岗位。道琼斯调查的经济学家预计新增706,000人。该印刷品超过了5月份创造的559,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> The unemployment rate did come in at 5.9%, higher than expected.</p><p><blockquote>失业率确实为5.9%，高于预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a strong report and should be taken as a sign of things to come for an accelerating labor market,\" Aberdeen Standard Investments deputy chief economist James McCann said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>安本标准投资公司副首席经济学家詹姆斯·麦肯在一份报告中表示：“这是一份强有力的报告，应该被视为劳动力市场加速发展的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s data won’t change the Fed’s view. An acceleration in the labor market like the one signaled in this report is exactly what they were anticipating,” McCann added. “The pick-up in hiring should tell the central bank that firms are having more success finding workers, which will ease concerns about a more protracted period of increasing wages. What will happen now is that investors will really focus in on when the Fed is likely to announce a tapering of its asset purchases.”</p><p><blockquote>麦肯补充道：“今天的数据不会改变美联储的观点。像这份报告中暗示的那样，劳动力市场的加速正是他们所预期的。”“招聘的回升应该告诉央行，企业在寻找工人方面取得了更大的成功，这将缓解人们对工资长期上涨的担忧。现在将发生的是，投资者将真正关注美联储何时可能宣布缩减资产购买规模。”</blockquote></p><p> Wages rose 0.3% for the month and are up 3.6% year over year, matching expectations.</p><p><blockquote>本月工资上涨0.3%，同比上涨3.6%，符合预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The data for recent months suggest that the rising demand for labor associated with the recovery from the pandemic may have put upward pressure on wages,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its report.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局在报告中表示：“近几个月的数据表明，与疫情复苏相关的劳动力需求上升可能给工资带来了上行压力。”</blockquote></p><p> Despite the uncertainty entering the jobs report, equity markets have been on a strong run in recent days and&nbsp;continued to post records on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>尽管就业报告存在不确定性，但股市最近几天一直表现强劲，并在周四继续创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.5% during Thursday’s regular session and notched its sixth-straight record close, finishing above 4,300 for the first time at 4,319.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 131 points to close at 34,633.53, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ticked up about 0.1% to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在周四常规交易中上涨0.5%，连续第六次创下收盘纪录，收于4,319.94点，首次突破4,300点。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131点，收于34,633.53点，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨约0.1%，收于14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Those gains added to already-robust 2021 market returns.</p><p><blockquote>这些收益增加了本已强劲的2021年市场回报。</blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound sparked by vaccine deployment and looser Covid-19 restrictions helped the S&amp;P 500 rise by more than 14% in the first half of the year. The Dow and Nasdaq also posting double-digit percentage gains during the six months ended June 30.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部署和宽松的Covid-19限制引发的经济反弹帮助标普500在今年上半年上涨了14%以上。截至6月30日的六个月内，道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数也出现了两位数的百分比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.1% as of Thursday’s close. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow were up about 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数本周上涨1.1%。标普500和道琼斯指数分别上涨约0.9%和0.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 hits another record high after better-than-expected June jobs report<blockquote>标普500 6月就业报告好于预期后再创历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 hits another record high after better-than-expected June jobs report<blockquote>标普500 6月就业报告好于预期后再创历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-02 21:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks rose at the open and the S&amp;P 500 hit another record high after the June jobs report showed an accelerating recovery for the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>在6月份就业报告显示美国劳动力市场加速复苏后，股市开盘上涨，标普500再创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> The broad market index rose 0.3%, while the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.4% to hit its own intraday all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 56 points.</p><p><blockquote>大盘指数上涨0.3%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%，创下盘中历史新高。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约56点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f3cabb658ab868b3aef719ade8fac66\" tg-width=\"1039\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The economy&nbsp;added 850,000 jobs last month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting an addition of 706,000. The print topped the 559,000 jobs created in May.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国劳工统计局的数据，上个月美国经济增加了85万个就业岗位。道琼斯调查的经济学家预计新增706,000人。该印刷品超过了5月份创造的559,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> The unemployment rate did come in at 5.9%, higher than expected.</p><p><blockquote>失业率确实为5.9%，高于预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a strong report and should be taken as a sign of things to come for an accelerating labor market,\" Aberdeen Standard Investments deputy chief economist James McCann said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>安本标准投资公司副首席经济学家詹姆斯·麦肯在一份报告中表示：“这是一份强有力的报告，应该被视为劳动力市场加速发展的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s data won’t change the Fed’s view. An acceleration in the labor market like the one signaled in this report is exactly what they were anticipating,” McCann added. “The pick-up in hiring should tell the central bank that firms are having more success finding workers, which will ease concerns about a more protracted period of increasing wages. What will happen now is that investors will really focus in on when the Fed is likely to announce a tapering of its asset purchases.”</p><p><blockquote>麦肯补充道：“今天的数据不会改变美联储的观点。像这份报告中暗示的那样，劳动力市场的加速正是他们所预期的。”“招聘的回升应该告诉央行，企业在寻找工人方面取得了更大的成功，这将缓解人们对工资长期上涨的担忧。现在将发生的是，投资者将真正关注美联储何时可能宣布缩减资产购买规模。”</blockquote></p><p> Wages rose 0.3% for the month and are up 3.6% year over year, matching expectations.</p><p><blockquote>本月工资上涨0.3%，同比上涨3.6%，符合预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The data for recent months suggest that the rising demand for labor associated with the recovery from the pandemic may have put upward pressure on wages,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its report.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局在报告中表示：“近几个月的数据表明，与疫情复苏相关的劳动力需求上升可能给工资带来了上行压力。”</blockquote></p><p> Despite the uncertainty entering the jobs report, equity markets have been on a strong run in recent days and&nbsp;continued to post records on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>尽管就业报告存在不确定性，但股市最近几天一直表现强劲，并在周四继续创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.5% during Thursday’s regular session and notched its sixth-straight record close, finishing above 4,300 for the first time at 4,319.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 131 points to close at 34,633.53, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ticked up about 0.1% to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在周四常规交易中上涨0.5%，连续第六次创下收盘纪录，收于4,319.94点，首次突破4,300点。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131点，收于34,633.53点，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨约0.1%，收于14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Those gains added to already-robust 2021 market returns.</p><p><blockquote>这些收益增加了本已强劲的2021年市场回报。</blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound sparked by vaccine deployment and looser Covid-19 restrictions helped the S&amp;P 500 rise by more than 14% in the first half of the year. The Dow and Nasdaq also posting double-digit percentage gains during the six months ended June 30.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗部署和宽松的Covid-19限制引发的经济反弹帮助标普500在今年上半年上涨了14%以上。截至6月30日的六个月内，道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数也出现了两位数的百分比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.1% as of Thursday’s close. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow were up about 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四收盘，纳斯达克综合指数本周上涨1.1%。标普500和道琼斯指数分别上涨约0.9%和0.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143730164","content_text":"Stocks rose at the open and the S&P 500 hit another record high after the June jobs report showed an accelerating recovery for the U.S. labor market.\nThe broad market index rose 0.3%, while the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.4% to hit its own intraday all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 56 points.\n\nThe economy added 850,000 jobs last month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting an addition of 706,000. The print topped the 559,000 jobs created in May.\nThe unemployment rate did come in at 5.9%, higher than expected.\n\"This is a strong report and should be taken as a sign of things to come for an accelerating labor market,\" Aberdeen Standard Investments deputy chief economist James McCann said in a note.\n“Today’s data won’t change the Fed’s view. An acceleration in the labor market like the one signaled in this report is exactly what they were anticipating,” McCann added. “The pick-up in hiring should tell the central bank that firms are having more success finding workers, which will ease concerns about a more protracted period of increasing wages. What will happen now is that investors will really focus in on when the Fed is likely to announce a tapering of its asset purchases.”\nWages rose 0.3% for the month and are up 3.6% year over year, matching expectations.\n“The data for recent months suggest that the rising demand for labor associated with the recovery from the pandemic may have put upward pressure on wages,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its report.\nDespite the uncertainty entering the jobs report, equity markets have been on a strong run in recent days and continued to post records on Thursday.\nThe S&P 500 rose 0.5% during Thursday’s regular session and notched its sixth-straight record close, finishing above 4,300 for the first time at 4,319.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 131 points to close at 34,633.53, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ticked up about 0.1% to 14,522.38.\nThose gains added to already-robust 2021 market returns.\nThe economic rebound sparked by vaccine deployment and looser Covid-19 restrictions helped the S&P 500 rise by more than 14% in the first half of the year. The Dow and Nasdaq also posting double-digit percentage gains during the six months ended June 30.\nFor the week, the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.1% as of Thursday’s close. The S&P 500 and Dow were up about 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880869456,"gmtCreate":1631032635175,"gmtModify":1631890678179,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like n comment pls","listText":"like n comment pls","text":"like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880869456","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817409539,"gmtCreate":1630978220621,"gmtModify":1631890678181,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817409539","repostId":"1151344698","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151892109,"gmtCreate":1625070148701,"gmtModify":1633945138569,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice. like and comment pls thanks","listText":"nice. like and comment pls thanks","text":"nice. like and comment pls thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151892109","repostId":"1105779613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126968815,"gmtCreate":1624542404537,"gmtModify":1634004654217,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow. Like and comment pls thanks","listText":"Wow. Like and comment pls thanks","text":"Wow. Like and comment pls thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126968815","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160958868,"gmtCreate":1623770335054,"gmtModify":1634028535141,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice article. comment pls thanks!","listText":"Nice article. comment pls thanks!","text":"Nice article. comment pls thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160958868","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":857015394,"gmtCreate":1635494608732,"gmtModify":1635494608910,"author":{"id":"3555592973484170","authorId":"3555592973484170","name":"me0w9","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f190cb4700e118382cb7020aa7a7256","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555592973484170","idStr":"3555592973484170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857015394","repostId":"1148187438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148187438","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635494439,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148187438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148187438","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.In the fourth quarter, ","content":"<p>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f1b2f52ba8b93d6dbf02bcb693cb245\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>由于营收未达预期，苹果盘前交易下跌近4%。第四季度，苹果总营收833.6亿美元，同比增长29%；净利润205.51亿美元，同比增长62%。其中，苹果第四季度大中华区营收145.63亿美元，同比增长83%。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone仍是苹果最强劲的产品，苹果第四季度iPhone营收388.7亿美元，较同期增长47%，但不及预期的416亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务营收182.8亿美元，同比增长25.6%；Mac营收91.8亿美元，同比增长1.6%。苹果首席执行官Tim Cook表示，服务和Mac的收入创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可穿戴及配件业务营收87.9亿美元，同比增长11.5%；Ipad营收82.5亿美元，同比增长21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"</p><p><blockquote>库克表示：“尽管供应限制问题比预期的要大，我们估计（相关损失）约为60亿美元，但我们的财务表现非常强劲。供应限制是由业内广泛讨论的芯片短缺和东南亚疫情相关的制造业中断造成的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations<blockquote>苹果盘前跌近4%营收不及预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-29 16:00</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f1b2f52ba8b93d6dbf02bcb693cb245\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>由于营收未达预期，苹果盘前交易下跌近4%。第四季度，苹果总营收833.6亿美元，同比增长29%；净利润205.51亿美元，同比增长62%。其中，苹果第四季度大中华区营收145.63亿美元，同比增长83%。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone仍是苹果最强劲的产品，苹果第四季度iPhone营收388.7亿美元，较同期增长47%，但不及预期的416亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果服务业务营收182.8亿美元，同比增长25.6%；Mac营收91.8亿美元，同比增长1.6%。苹果首席执行官Tim Cook表示，服务和Mac的收入创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可穿戴及配件业务营收87.9亿美元，同比增长11.5%；Ipad营收82.5亿美元，同比增长21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Cook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"</p><p><blockquote>库克表示：“尽管供应限制问题比预期的要大，我们估计（相关损失）约为60亿美元，但我们的财务表现非常强劲。供应限制是由业内广泛讨论的芯片短缺和东南亚疫情相关的制造业中断造成的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148187438","content_text":"Apple fell nearly 4% in premarket trading as its revenue missed expectations.In the fourth quarter, Apple's total revenue was 83.36 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 29%;Net profit was US $20.551 billion, up 62% year-on-year. Among them, Apple's revenue in Greater China in the fourth quarter was US $14.563 billion, up 83% year-on-year.\nThe iPhone is still Apple's strongest product, with Apple's fourth-quarter iPhone revenue of $38.87 billion, up 47% compared with the same period, but falling short of the expected $41.6 billion.\nThe revenue of Apple service business was 18.28 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; Mac revenue was $9.18 billion, up 1.6% year-on-year. Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, said that the revenue of services and Mac reached a record high.\nApple's wearable and accessories business revenue was 8.79 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%; Ipad revenue was US $8.25 billion, up 21.4% year-on-year.\nCook said: \"Although the supply restriction problem is larger than expected, and we estimate that (related losses) are about 6 billion US dollars, our financial performance is very strong. Supply constraints are caused by chip shortages widely discussed in the industry and manufacturing disruptions related to the epidemic in Southeast Asia.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}