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JLim88
2021-08-27
If Fed rises interest rate, will I see $6?
JLim88
2021-08-24
Waiting for the tombstone pile driver
JLim88
2021-08-15
Which direction will it go?
JLim88
2021-08-12
I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland
JLim88
2021-08-10
Can we buy just relying on NAV?
JLim88
2021-08-08
Price shd not gap so far from Dbs
JLim88
2021-08-06
Looks stagnant already
JLim88
2021-08-04
$CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED(C09.SI)$
interesting to see how the result looks like on 13th
JLim88
2021-08-03
$UOL GROUP LIMITED(U14.SI)$
Waiting for durian
JLim88
2021-07-31
Still bullish on this horse
JLim88
2021-07-31
$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$
comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered
JLim88
2021-07-30
$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$
Rely on big bro meituan and $0.10
JLim88
2021-07-29
$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$
Dividend cap lifted.
JLim88
2021-07-28
$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$
Jumping off the cliff
JLim88
2021-07-28
Everyday drop $1
JLim88
2021-07-24
Up and up
JLim88
2021-07-22
$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$
Be greedy whenothers are greedy!
JLim88
2021-07-21
Has the downside risk been factored in?
JLim88
2021-07-12
Only $ growing slowly
抱歉,原内容已删除
JLim88
2021-07-12
Breaking $4
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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driver","text":"Waiting for the tombstone pile driver","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f3f2c6be9b4563526f7105d3f1d9c08","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835442668","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830088678,"gmtCreate":1628993589494,"gmtModify":1631890202843,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Which direction will it go?","listText":"Which direction will it go?","text":"Which direction will it go?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0d0b687f2f6a576f17c5806a16ad53d","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830088678","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894911917,"gmtCreate":1628781863939,"gmtModify":1631888664085,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","listText":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","text":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52135e26657336268a8d0b215919a7ca","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894911917","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896235779,"gmtCreate":1628584050791,"gmtModify":1631890202852,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can we buy just relying on NAV?","listText":"Can we buy just relying on NAV?","text":"Can we buy just relying on NAV?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19e0566b25813ac0e1f5ea9698390e7","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896235779","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891419003,"gmtCreate":1628409487702,"gmtModify":1631890202853,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Price shd not gap so far from Dbs","listText":"Price shd not gap so far from Dbs","text":"Price shd not gap so far from Dbs","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4fed6ac7b765153c00042f6f06d0fd5","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891419003","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899589124,"gmtCreate":1628206363068,"gmtModify":1631890202856,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks stagnant already","listText":"Looks stagnant already","text":"Looks stagnant already","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ea4058667addd9f32800e308b0c9bbd","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899589124","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890995061,"gmtCreate":1628073600353,"gmtModify":1631888641685,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C09.SI\">$CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED(C09.SI)$</a>interesting to see how the result looks like on 13th","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C09.SI\">$CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED(C09.SI)$</a>interesting to see how the result looks like on 13th","text":"$CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED(C09.SI)$interesting to see how the result looks like on 13th","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890995061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804584005,"gmtCreate":1627964745107,"gmtModify":1631888695692,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U14.SI\">$UOL GROUP LIMITED(U14.SI)$</a>Waiting for durian","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U14.SI\">$UOL GROUP LIMITED(U14.SI)$</a>Waiting for durian","text":"$UOL GROUP LIMITED(U14.SI)$Waiting for durian","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804584005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802001841,"gmtCreate":1627697241783,"gmtModify":1631890202855,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still bullish on this horse","listText":"Still bullish on this horse","text":"Still bullish on this horse","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8080175639eba1d66ebf8248800820","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802001841","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802009207,"gmtCreate":1627697192609,"gmtModify":1631886579863,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","text":"$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802009207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806263048,"gmtCreate":1627658387284,"gmtModify":1631887399337,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Rely on big bro meituan and $0.10","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Rely on big bro meituan and $0.10","text":"$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$Rely on big bro meituan and $0.10","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806263048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801290359,"gmtCreate":1627517401471,"gmtModify":1631886196141,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Dividend cap lifted. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Dividend cap lifted. ","text":"$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$Dividend cap lifted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801290359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803121741,"gmtCreate":1627428916283,"gmtModify":1631887399378,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Jumping off the cliff","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03067\">$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$</a>Jumping off the cliff","text":"$ISHARESHSTECH(03067)$Jumping off the cliff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803121741","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803167356,"gmtCreate":1627428733675,"gmtModify":1631890202859,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyday drop $1","listText":"Everyday drop $1","text":"Everyday drop 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","text":"$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$Dividend cap lifted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801290359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154245247,"gmtCreate":1625531791289,"gmtModify":1631888664187,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C31.SI\">$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$</a>Cash rich","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C31.SI\">$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$</a>Cash rich","text":"$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$Cash rich","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154245247","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152667220,"gmtCreate":1625288939960,"gmtModify":1633941692711,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why skeptical?","listText":"Why skeptical?","text":"Why skeptical?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152667220","repostId":"1197906560","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1197906560","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625285328,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197906560?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 12:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Jobs Report Was Strong. Why Investors Should Be Skeptical.<blockquote>就业报告强劲。为什么投资者应该持怀疑态度。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197906560","media":"Barron's","summary":"On its face, the June jobs report looksalmost perfect. After months of disappointments, hiring beat ","content":"<p>On its face, the June jobs report looksalmost perfect. After months of disappointments, hiring beat Wall Street’s expectations—with wages rising, but at a cooler pace than the lofty levels of spring.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看,六月份的就业报告看起来几乎完美。在经历了几个月的失望之后,招聘超出了华尔街的预期——工资上涨,但速度低于春季的高水平。</blockquote></p><p> One might be tempted to declare the labor shortage over and the inflation debate done. But investors shouldn’t take the bait just yet. While a nonfarm payroll increase of 850,000 is undeniably strong, it belies a labor market still plagued with supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>人们可能会想宣布劳动力短缺已经结束,通胀辩论已经结束。但投资者现在还不应该上钩。尽管非农就业人数增加85万人不可否认是强劲的,但它掩盖了劳动力市场仍然受到供应问题的困扰。</blockquote></p><p> First, consider that government hiring rose 193,000 last month. That accounts for the entire headline overshoot versus economists’ expectations. Company payrolls increased 662,000, which would be incredible for normal times. Yet it was still far off the one million mark that economists had anticipated by this point in the recovery, as the economy bursts open and vaccinated consumers spend the trillions of dollars in cash stashed during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>首先,考虑一下上个月政府招聘人数增加了193,000人。这就是整个整体超出经济学家预期的原因。公司就业人数增加了66.2万人,这在正常情况下是不可思议的。然而,随着经济突然开放,接种疫苗的消费者花费了大流行期间储存的数万亿美元现金,这一数字仍远未达到经济学家在复苏阶段预期的100万美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, private payrolls came in well short of the one million implied by closely watched data from employee-scheduling company Homebase, says Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Pantheon Macroeconomics的伊恩·谢泼德森(Ian Shepherdson)表示,私人就业人数远低于员工调度公司Homebase备受关注的数据所暗示的100万。</blockquote></p><p> Second, labor-force participation was flat in June despite better hiring. That rate, 61.6%, is still down 1.7 percentage points from its prepandemic level. The employment-population ratio, which Federal Reserve officials have said they are watching, was also unchanged in June; at 58%, it remains 3.1 percentage points below its prepandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>其次,尽管招聘情况有所改善,但6月份劳动力参与率持平。这一比率为61.6%,仍比大流行前的水平下降1.7个百分点。美联储官员表示正在关注的就业人口比率在6月份也没有变化;为58%,仍比疫情前水平低3.1个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the slowdown in wage growth is deceiving. The 0.3% increase from May looks like a Goldilocks print—enough to drive continued spending without fueling inflation fears that have been building as shortages from labor to chips to food push prices broadly higher.</p><p><blockquote>三是工资增速放缓具有欺骗性。较5月份增长0.3%看起来像是金发姑娘,足以推动持续支出,而不会加剧通胀担忧,随着劳动力、薯片和食品的短缺推高价格,通胀担忧一直在加剧。</blockquote></p><p> “If anything, this understates the true rate of underlying wage inflation,” says Jefferies chief economist Aneta Markowska of the June wage increase. After adjusting for the return of low-wage leisure, hospitality, and retail workers, average hourly earnings rose by 0.5% in June from May, she says. By that measure, they are up 4.5% from a year earlier. Over the past three months, overall wages are up an annualized 6% as companies chase workers, says Gad Levanon of the Conference Board.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞首席经济学家阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)在谈到6月份工资增长时表示:“如果说有什么不同的话,那就是这低估了基本工资通胀率的真实水平。”她说,在调整低工资休闲、酒店业和零售业工人返回之后,6月份的平均时薪比5月份上涨了0.5%。按照这一标准,它们比去年同期增长了4.5%。世界大型企业联合会(Conference Board)的加德·莱瓦农(Gad Levanon)表示,过去三个月,随着公司追逐员工,总体工资年化上涨了6%。</blockquote></p><p> Further highlighting the fact that hiring is still being held back by supply, not demand: On an annualized basis this year, leisure and hospitality wages are up 12.3%, transportation and warehousing pay is up 8%, and retail wages are up 5.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这进一步凸显了一个事实,即招聘仍然受到供应而非需求的阻碍:今年按年计算,休闲和酒店工资上涨了12.3%,运输和仓储工资上涨了8%,零售工资上涨了5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> So, what’s an investor to make of the June jobs report? Nothing. Which is to say, the latest data do nothing to resolve the biggest questions facing the labor market.</p><p><blockquote>那么,投资者如何看待6月份的就业报告呢?没有。也就是说,最新数据无助于解决劳动力市场面临的最大问题。</blockquote></p><p> The degrees to which transitory factors—generous unemployment benefits, child-care issues, and Covid-19 concerns—are capping hiring and driving up wages won’t be clear for months. Schools need to reopen to resolve child-care issues holding back working parents, and enhanced unemployment pay needs to expire before it becomes clear the extent to which such benefits are keeping workers home.</p><p><blockquote>暂时性因素——慷慨的失业救济金、儿童保育问题和Covid-19担忧——在多大程度上限制了招聘并推高了工资,几个月内还不清楚。学校需要重新开放,以解决阻碍在职父母的儿童保育问题,而增加的失业救济金需要到期,然后才能清楚这些福利在多大程度上让工人留在家里。</blockquote></p><p> While about two dozen states either started cutting or are about to cut the extra $300 a week in unemployment insurance ahead of the federal program’s Sept. 6 expiration, Shepherdson notes that 70% of those unemployed won’t be affected by those early terminations. Because the June report does nothing to move the Fed’s needle, it shouldn’t stop the stock market from forging ahead.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在联邦计划9月6日到期之前,大约有24个州已经开始削减或即将削减每周额外300美元的失业保险,但谢泼德森指出,70%的失业者不会受到这些提前终止的影响。由于6月份的报告对美联储没有任何影响,因此不应阻止股市的前进。</blockquote></p><p> At least for now. “You can’t be unhappy to see an 850,000 payroll print, but it’s nowhere near fast enough,” Shepherdson says, especially given labor demand as evidenced by myriad indicators, help-wanted signs, and company commentary. “The labor-supply problem may fix itself, but it may not,” he says. “The issue really is that we could end up with sustained wage inflation.” Policy makers, however, will punt until they have definitive data—and that won’t be until November.</p><p><blockquote>至少现在是这样。谢泼德森表示:“看到85万份工资单打印出来,你不会不高兴,但这还不够快。”特别是考虑到无数指标、求助标志和公司评论所证明的劳动力需求。“劳动力供应问题可能会自行解决,但也可能不会,”他说。“真正的问题是,我们最终可能会面临持续的工资通胀。”然而,政策制定者将在获得明确数据之前犹豫不决——而这要到11月份。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means that data between now and the fall are noise. Many economists and investors are expecting the Fed to announce, at the annual Jackson Hole symposium next month, plans to taper its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着从现在到秋季的数据都是噪音。许多经济学家和投资者预计美联储将在下个月的杰克逊霍尔年度研讨会上宣布缩减每月1200亿美元资产购买规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> Not so fast, Shepherdson says. “This isn’t as linear as markets would like, and it won’t be clear by Jackson Hole,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>谢泼德森说,没那么快。“这并不像市场希望的那样线性,杰克逊霍尔也不会清楚这一点,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> If that’s right—that the Fed won’t have the data they want in time to lay out taper plans until later in the fall—an even longer period of ultraloose monetary policy might be in store. That is assuming there’s time for officials to telegraph plans well ahead of actually starting to withdraw support.</p><p><blockquote>如果这是正确的——美联储要到秋季晚些时候才能及时获得制定缩减计划所需的数据——可能会出现更长时间的超宽松货币政策。这是假设官员们在实际开始撤回支持之前有时间电传计划。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Therein lies the risk of tuning out the noise, or the employment data, between now and the fall. If the resumption of school and the end to enhanced unemployment benefits don’t bring workers back, it will become clear that structural issues are at play and wage inflation is thus more persistent. As Shepherdson puts it, there is a strong likelihood that the Fed has to raise interest rates in 2022 because there is a good chance people won’t come back into the labor force.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到秋季,忽略噪音或就业数据的风险就在于此。如果学校复课和提高失业救济金的结束不能让工人回来,那么很明显,结构性问题正在发挥作用,工资通胀因此更加持久。正如谢泼德森所说,美联储很有可能不得不在2022年加息,因为人们很有可能不会重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should continue to enjoythe stock market gains. But they should also be careful. Waiting for definitive data to show whether the labor shortage is more than transitory means policy makers might have to act sooner and faster than it would seem—especially if deceivingly balanced reports like June’s dot the next few months.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该继续享受股市的涨幅。但他们也应该小心。等待明确的数据来显示劳动力短缺是否不仅仅是暂时的,这意味着政策制定者可能不得不比看起来更快更快地采取行动——特别是如果未来几个月出现像6月份dot这样具有欺骗性的平衡报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Jobs Report Was Strong. Why Investors Should Be Skeptical.<blockquote>就业报告强劲。为什么投资者应该持怀疑态度。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Jobs Report Was Strong. Why Investors Should Be Skeptical.<blockquote>就业报告强劲。为什么投资者应该持怀疑态度。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 12:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On its face, the June jobs report looksalmost perfect. After months of disappointments, hiring beat Wall Street’s expectations—with wages rising, but at a cooler pace than the lofty levels of spring.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看,六月份的就业报告看起来几乎完美。在经历了几个月的失望之后,招聘超出了华尔街的预期——工资上涨,但速度低于春季的高水平。</blockquote></p><p> One might be tempted to declare the labor shortage over and the inflation debate done. But investors shouldn’t take the bait just yet. While a nonfarm payroll increase of 850,000 is undeniably strong, it belies a labor market still plagued with supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>人们可能会想宣布劳动力短缺已经结束,通胀辩论已经结束。但投资者现在还不应该上钩。尽管非农就业人数增加85万人不可否认是强劲的,但它掩盖了劳动力市场仍然受到供应问题的困扰。</blockquote></p><p> First, consider that government hiring rose 193,000 last month. That accounts for the entire headline overshoot versus economists’ expectations. Company payrolls increased 662,000, which would be incredible for normal times. Yet it was still far off the one million mark that economists had anticipated by this point in the recovery, as the economy bursts open and vaccinated consumers spend the trillions of dollars in cash stashed during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>首先,考虑一下上个月政府招聘人数增加了193,000人。这就是整个整体超出经济学家预期的原因。公司就业人数增加了66.2万人,这在正常情况下是不可思议的。然而,随着经济突然开放,接种疫苗的消费者花费了大流行期间储存的数万亿美元现金,这一数字仍远未达到经济学家在复苏阶段预期的100万美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, private payrolls came in well short of the one million implied by closely watched data from employee-scheduling company Homebase, says Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Pantheon Macroeconomics的伊恩·谢泼德森(Ian Shepherdson)表示,私人就业人数远低于员工调度公司Homebase备受关注的数据所暗示的100万。</blockquote></p><p> Second, labor-force participation was flat in June despite better hiring. That rate, 61.6%, is still down 1.7 percentage points from its prepandemic level. The employment-population ratio, which Federal Reserve officials have said they are watching, was also unchanged in June; at 58%, it remains 3.1 percentage points below its prepandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>其次,尽管招聘情况有所改善,但6月份劳动力参与率持平。这一比率为61.6%,仍比大流行前的水平下降1.7个百分点。美联储官员表示正在关注的就业人口比率在6月份也没有变化;为58%,仍比疫情前水平低3.1个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the slowdown in wage growth is deceiving. The 0.3% increase from May looks like a Goldilocks print—enough to drive continued spending without fueling inflation fears that have been building as shortages from labor to chips to food push prices broadly higher.</p><p><blockquote>三是工资增速放缓具有欺骗性。较5月份增长0.3%看起来像是金发姑娘,足以推动持续支出,而不会加剧通胀担忧,随着劳动力、薯片和食品的短缺推高价格,通胀担忧一直在加剧。</blockquote></p><p> “If anything, this understates the true rate of underlying wage inflation,” says Jefferies chief economist Aneta Markowska of the June wage increase. After adjusting for the return of low-wage leisure, hospitality, and retail workers, average hourly earnings rose by 0.5% in June from May, she says. By that measure, they are up 4.5% from a year earlier. Over the past three months, overall wages are up an annualized 6% as companies chase workers, says Gad Levanon of the Conference Board.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞首席经济学家阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)在谈到6月份工资增长时表示:“如果说有什么不同的话,那就是这低估了基本工资通胀率的真实水平。”她说,在调整低工资休闲、酒店业和零售业工人返回之后,6月份的平均时薪比5月份上涨了0.5%。按照这一标准,它们比去年同期增长了4.5%。世界大型企业联合会(Conference Board)的加德·莱瓦农(Gad Levanon)表示,过去三个月,随着公司追逐员工,总体工资年化上涨了6%。</blockquote></p><p> Further highlighting the fact that hiring is still being held back by supply, not demand: On an annualized basis this year, leisure and hospitality wages are up 12.3%, transportation and warehousing pay is up 8%, and retail wages are up 5.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这进一步凸显了一个事实,即招聘仍然受到供应而非需求的阻碍:今年按年计算,休闲和酒店工资上涨了12.3%,运输和仓储工资上涨了8%,零售工资上涨了5.5%。</blockquote></p><p> So, what’s an investor to make of the June jobs report? Nothing. Which is to say, the latest data do nothing to resolve the biggest questions facing the labor market.</p><p><blockquote>那么,投资者如何看待6月份的就业报告呢?没有。也就是说,最新数据无助于解决劳动力市场面临的最大问题。</blockquote></p><p> The degrees to which transitory factors—generous unemployment benefits, child-care issues, and Covid-19 concerns—are capping hiring and driving up wages won’t be clear for months. Schools need to reopen to resolve child-care issues holding back working parents, and enhanced unemployment pay needs to expire before it becomes clear the extent to which such benefits are keeping workers home.</p><p><blockquote>暂时性因素——慷慨的失业救济金、儿童保育问题和Covid-19担忧——在多大程度上限制了招聘并推高了工资,几个月内还不清楚。学校需要重新开放,以解决阻碍在职父母的儿童保育问题,而增加的失业救济金需要到期,然后才能清楚这些福利在多大程度上让工人留在家里。</blockquote></p><p> While about two dozen states either started cutting or are about to cut the extra $300 a week in unemployment insurance ahead of the federal program’s Sept. 6 expiration, Shepherdson notes that 70% of those unemployed won’t be affected by those early terminations. Because the June report does nothing to move the Fed’s needle, it shouldn’t stop the stock market from forging ahead.</p><p><blockquote>虽然在联邦计划9月6日到期之前,大约有24个州已经开始削减或即将削减每周额外300美元的失业保险,但谢泼德森指出,70%的失业者不会受到这些提前终止的影响。由于6月份的报告对美联储没有任何影响,因此不应阻止股市的前进。</blockquote></p><p> At least for now. “You can’t be unhappy to see an 850,000 payroll print, but it’s nowhere near fast enough,” Shepherdson says, especially given labor demand as evidenced by myriad indicators, help-wanted signs, and company commentary. “The labor-supply problem may fix itself, but it may not,” he says. “The issue really is that we could end up with sustained wage inflation.” Policy makers, however, will punt until they have definitive data—and that won’t be until November.</p><p><blockquote>至少现在是这样。谢泼德森表示:“看到85万份工资单打印出来,你不会不高兴,但这还不够快。”特别是考虑到无数指标、求助标志和公司评论所证明的劳动力需求。“劳动力供应问题可能会自行解决,但也可能不会,”他说。“真正的问题是,我们最终可能会面临持续的工资通胀。”然而,政策制定者将在获得明确数据之前犹豫不决——而这要到11月份。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means that data between now and the fall are noise. Many economists and investors are expecting the Fed to announce, at the annual Jackson Hole symposium next month, plans to taper its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着从现在到秋季的数据都是噪音。许多经济学家和投资者预计美联储将在下个月的杰克逊霍尔年度研讨会上宣布缩减每月1200亿美元资产购买规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> Not so fast, Shepherdson says. “This isn’t as linear as markets would like, and it won’t be clear by Jackson Hole,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>谢泼德森说,没那么快。“这并不像市场希望的那样线性,杰克逊霍尔也不会清楚这一点,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> If that’s right—that the Fed won’t have the data they want in time to lay out taper plans until later in the fall—an even longer period of ultraloose monetary policy might be in store. That is assuming there’s time for officials to telegraph plans well ahead of actually starting to withdraw support.</p><p><blockquote>如果这是正确的——美联储要到秋季晚些时候才能及时获得制定缩减计划所需的数据——可能会出现更长时间的超宽松货币政策。这是假设官员们在实际开始撤回支持之前有时间电传计划。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Therein lies the risk of tuning out the noise, or the employment data, between now and the fall. If the resumption of school and the end to enhanced unemployment benefits don’t bring workers back, it will become clear that structural issues are at play and wage inflation is thus more persistent. As Shepherdson puts it, there is a strong likelihood that the Fed has to raise interest rates in 2022 because there is a good chance people won’t come back into the labor force.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到秋季,忽略噪音或就业数据的风险就在于此。如果学校复课和提高失业救济金的结束不能让工人回来,那么很明显,结构性问题正在发挥作用,工资通胀因此更加持久。正如谢泼德森所说,美联储很有可能不得不在2022年加息,因为人们很有可能不会重返劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should continue to enjoythe stock market gains. But they should also be careful. Waiting for definitive data to show whether the labor shortage is more than transitory means policy makers might have to act sooner and faster than it would seem—especially if deceivingly balanced reports like June’s dot the next few months.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该继续享受股市的涨幅。但他们也应该小心。等待明确的数据来显示劳动力短缺是否不仅仅是暂时的,这意味着政策制定者可能不得不比看起来更快更快地采取行动——特别是如果未来几个月出现像6月份dot这样具有欺骗性的平衡报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jobs-report-investors-should-be-skeptical-51625267210?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jobs-report-investors-should-be-skeptical-51625267210?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197906560","content_text":"On its face, the June jobs report looksalmost perfect. After months of disappointments, hiring beat Wall Street’s expectations—with wages rising, but at a cooler pace than the lofty levels of spring.\nOne might be tempted to declare the labor shortage over and the inflation debate done. But investors shouldn’t take the bait just yet. While a nonfarm payroll increase of 850,000 is undeniably strong, it belies a labor market still plagued with supply problems.\nFirst, consider that government hiring rose 193,000 last month. That accounts for the entire headline overshoot versus economists’ expectations. Company payrolls increased 662,000, which would be incredible for normal times. Yet it was still far off the one million mark that economists had anticipated by this point in the recovery, as the economy bursts open and vaccinated consumers spend the trillions of dollars in cash stashed during the pandemic.\nWhat’s more, private payrolls came in well short of the one million implied by closely watched data from employee-scheduling company Homebase, says Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics.\nSecond, labor-force participation was flat in June despite better hiring. That rate, 61.6%, is still down 1.7 percentage points from its prepandemic level. The employment-population ratio, which Federal Reserve officials have said they are watching, was also unchanged in June; at 58%, it remains 3.1 percentage points below its prepandemic level.\nThird, the slowdown in wage growth is deceiving. The 0.3% increase from May looks like a Goldilocks print—enough to drive continued spending without fueling inflation fears that have been building as shortages from labor to chips to food push prices broadly higher.\n“If anything, this understates the true rate of underlying wage inflation,” says Jefferies chief economist Aneta Markowska of the June wage increase. After adjusting for the return of low-wage leisure, hospitality, and retail workers, average hourly earnings rose by 0.5% in June from May, she says. By that measure, they are up 4.5% from a year earlier. Over the past three months, overall wages are up an annualized 6% as companies chase workers, says Gad Levanon of the Conference Board.\nFurther highlighting the fact that hiring is still being held back by supply, not demand: On an annualized basis this year, leisure and hospitality wages are up 12.3%, transportation and warehousing pay is up 8%, and retail wages are up 5.5%.\nSo, what’s an investor to make of the June jobs report? Nothing. Which is to say, the latest data do nothing to resolve the biggest questions facing the labor market.\nThe degrees to which transitory factors—generous unemployment benefits, child-care issues, and Covid-19 concerns—are capping hiring and driving up wages won’t be clear for months. Schools need to reopen to resolve child-care issues holding back working parents, and enhanced unemployment pay needs to expire before it becomes clear the extent to which such benefits are keeping workers home.\nWhile about two dozen states either started cutting or are about to cut the extra $300 a week in unemployment insurance ahead of the federal program’s Sept. 6 expiration, Shepherdson notes that 70% of those unemployed won’t be affected by those early terminations. Because the June report does nothing to move the Fed’s needle, it shouldn’t stop the stock market from forging ahead.\nAt least for now. “You can’t be unhappy to see an 850,000 payroll print, but it’s nowhere near fast enough,” Shepherdson says, especially given labor demand as evidenced by myriad indicators, help-wanted signs, and company commentary. “The labor-supply problem may fix itself, but it may not,” he says. “The issue really is that we could end up with sustained wage inflation.” Policy makers, however, will punt until they have definitive data—and that won’t be until November.\nAll of this means that data between now and the fall are noise. Many economists and investors are expecting the Fed to announce, at the annual Jackson Hole symposium next month, plans to taper its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases.\nNot so fast, Shepherdson says. “This isn’t as linear as markets would like, and it won’t be clear by Jackson Hole,” he says.\nIf that’s right—that the Fed won’t have the data they want in time to lay out taper plans until later in the fall—an even longer period of ultraloose monetary policy might be in store. That is assuming there’s time for officials to telegraph plans well ahead of actually starting to withdraw support.\nTherein lies the risk of tuning out the noise, or the employment data, between now and the fall. If the resumption of school and the end to enhanced unemployment benefits don’t bring workers back, it will become clear that structural issues are at play and wage inflation is thus more persistent. As Shepherdson puts it, there is a strong likelihood that the Fed has to raise interest rates in 2022 because there is a good chance people won’t come back into the labor force.\nInvestors should continue to enjoythe stock market gains. But they should also be careful. Waiting for definitive data to show whether the labor shortage is more than transitory means policy makers might have to act sooner and faster than it would seem—especially if deceivingly balanced reports like June’s dot the next few months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158744790,"gmtCreate":1625184126210,"gmtModify":1633942848730,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Should go up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Should go up","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Should go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158744790","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123587948,"gmtCreate":1624429635684,"gmtModify":1631886196360,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Come down more","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Come down more","text":"$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$Come down more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/528fd76fbb9909ea0bd344bf5b72fcff","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123587948","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894911917,"gmtCreate":1628781863939,"gmtModify":1631888664085,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","listText":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","text":"I’ll say no to this if I compare UOL and Capitaland","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52135e26657336268a8d0b215919a7ca","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894911917","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802009207,"gmtCreate":1627697192609,"gmtModify":1631886579863,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","text":"$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$comparing with Sheng siong, Surely it’ll be hammered","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802009207","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152620403,"gmtCreate":1625289023702,"gmtModify":1633941691312,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure anot","listText":"Sure anot","text":"Sure anot","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152620403","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163746563,"gmtCreate":1623894694852,"gmtModify":1631886196426,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Waiting for u to come down","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U11.SI\">$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$</a>Waiting for u to come down","text":"$UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LIMITED(U11.SI)$Waiting for u to come down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163746563","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830088678,"gmtCreate":1628993589494,"gmtModify":1631890202843,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Which direction will it go?","listText":"Which direction will it go?","text":"Which direction will it 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slowly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146550015","repostId":"2150871585","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152664888,"gmtCreate":1625288881144,"gmtModify":1633941694004,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All in","listText":"All in","text":"All in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152664888","repostId":"1171891885","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171891885","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276733,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171891885?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 wise money moves before the Fed starts raising interest rates again<blockquote>美联储再次开始加息前的5项明智资金举措</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171891885","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (pictured) and his colleagues have said the central bank will","content":"<p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (pictured) and his colleagues have said the central bank will keep its benchmark interest rate near zero for the time being, despite gains made by the U.S. economy in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(如图)及其同事表示,尽管美国经济近几个月有所增长,但美联储将暂时将基准利率维持在接近零的水平。</blockquote></p><p> But rates won’t stay low forever. As the economy recovers from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation is rising and more people are getting back to work. This has led the Fed to indicate a rate hike could come as soon as 2023 — moved up from its previous plan to wait until 2024.</p><p><blockquote>但利率不会永远保持在低位。随着经济从COVID-19大流行最严重的时期中复苏,通货膨胀正在上升,更多的人正在重返工作岗位。这导致美联储表示最早可能在2023年加息——高于此前等到2024年的计划。</blockquote></p><p> For consumers, that means now may be the time tosplurge on a fun purchaseor take out a loan for something they need.</p><p><blockquote>对于消费者来说,这意味着现在可能是花钱购买有趣的买家或贷款购买他们需要的东西的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five money moves you should make before rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>以下是您在利率上升之前应该采取的五项资金举措。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Refinance your home loan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为您的房屋贷款再融资</b></blockquote></p><p> Mortgage rates fell to record-breaking lows during the pandemic, but they’re slowly creeping up as the economy continues to recover from COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间,抵押贷款利率跌至创纪录低点,但随着经济继续从COVID-19中复苏,抵押贷款利率正在缓慢上升。</blockquote></p><p> While rates are currently at historically low levels, experts predict they will rise to 4% this year — which means now's the time to act if you’ve been mulling a refinance.</p><p><blockquote>虽然利率目前处于历史低位,但专家预测今年将升至4%——这意味着如果您一直在考虑再融资,现在是采取行动的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> An estimated 14.1 million Americans have the opportunity to refi andsave an average $287 a month, according to recent research from mortgage technology and data provider Black Knight.</p><p><blockquote>根据抵押贷款技术和数据提供商Black Knight最近的研究,估计有1410万美国人有机会进行再融资,平均每月节省287美元。</blockquote></p><p> Alternatively, rising house prices offer homeowners an opportunity to leverage their home equity to fund home improvement projects, pay down debt or cover their children’s education funds.</p><p><blockquote>或者,房价上涨为房主提供了利用房屋净值为家居装修项目提供资金、偿还债务或支付孩子教育资金的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Consolidate your debt</b></p><p><blockquote><b>合并您的债务</b></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic made it difficult for Americans to travel, eat in restaurants or spend on retail purchases, and many used the money they didn't spend on those activities to increase their savings and pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>疫情使美国人难以旅行、在餐馆吃饭或进行零售购物,许多人用他们没有花在这些活动上的钱来增加储蓄和偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p> The number of consumers who paid off their credit card balances in full every month reached an all-time high of 35.1% late last year, according to a report from the American Bankers Association.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行家协会的一份报告,去年年底,每月全额还清信用卡余额的消费者数量达到了35.1%的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Still, many households are struggling to make ends meet. And, with unemployment benefits ending in many states across the country, those still out of work or living on reduced incomes may have had to give up their debt repayment plans to focus on immediate needs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,许多家庭仍在努力维持生计。而且,随着全国许多州失业救济金的结束,那些仍然失业或收入减少的人可能不得不放弃债务偿还计划,专注于眼前的需求。</blockquote></p><p> If you’ve been relying on your credit cards to carry you through, the expensive interest is going to add up quickly.</p><p><blockquote>如果你一直依靠信用卡度过难关,昂贵的利息会很快增加。</blockquote></p><p> For those who can’t borrow from their home equity to pay off card balances, adebt consolidation loancould help you get rid of debt sooner and save you a ton on expensive interest.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些无法从房屋净值中借款来偿还卡余额的人来说,债务合并贷款可以帮助您更快摆脱债务,并为您节省大量昂贵的利息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Work on your credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>提高您的信用评分</b></blockquote></p><p> While today's low rates make it easier to take out loans, you'll find it more expensive to borrow when rates do go up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天的低利率使贷款变得更容易,但当利率上升时,你会发现借贷成本更高。</blockquote></p><p> Today, it's easy to take afree peek at your credit score. So now’s the time to work on improving that score to ensure you’ll continue to be able to borrow at the lowest-possible rates.</p><p><blockquote>今天,很容易免费查看您的信用评分。因此,现在是时候努力提高该分数,以确保您能够继续以尽可能低的利率借款。</blockquote></p><p> Boosting your credit scorea few hundred pointswill make you a more attractive borrower to all types of lenders – from credit-card issuers to those offering mortgages.</p><p><blockquote>将您的信用评分提高几百分将使您成为对所有类型贷方(从信用卡发卡机构到提供抵押贷款的机构)更具吸引力的借款人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Refinance your student loans</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为您的学生贷款再融资</b></blockquote></p><p> Federal student loan payments are paused until October but some prominent Democratic lawmakers, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are pushing the president to provide more relief for borrowers and forgive up to $50,000 per person.</p><p><blockquote>联邦学生贷款支付暂停至10月份,但包括参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)在内的一些著名民主党议员正在敦促总统为借款人提供更多救济,并免除每人最多5万美元。</blockquote></p><p> But those with debt from private student loans are still on the hook for their regular monthly minimum payments.</p><p><blockquote>但那些背负私人学生贷款债务的人仍然需要支付每月最低还款额。</blockquote></p><p> If you're one of those borrowers, refinancing to a lower rate or shorter term could save you thousands in interest fees and shave years off your debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果您是这些借款人之一,以较低利率或较短期限进行再融资可以为您节省数千美元的利息费用,并减少数年的债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to online loan marketplace, Credible, refinancing could slash your interest rate by more than 2 full percentage points and add up to substantial interest savings over the life of the loan.</p><p><blockquote>根据在线贷款市场,可信,再融资可以削减你的利率超过2个百分点,并在贷款期限内节省大量利息。</blockquote></p><p> To maximize your savings,compare loan offers from multiple lendersto lock in the lowest refinance rate possible.</p><p><blockquote>为了最大限度地提高您的储蓄,请比较多个贷方的贷款报价,以锁定尽可能低的再融资利率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ride the red-hot stock market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>驾驭火热的股市</b></blockquote></p><p> Current low interest rates mean you won't earn much if you put money in a savings account. If you’ve got the appetite to take on a bit more risk, you could consider putting your money in investments.</p><p><blockquote>目前的低利率意味着如果你把钱存入储蓄账户,你赚不了多少钱。如果您愿意承担更多风险,您可以考虑将资金投入投资。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you don’t have much to put aside, you can download a popular app that allows you toinvest with your “spare change”, and turn your pennies into a diversified portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>即使你没有太多钱可以存,你也可以下载一个流行的应用程序,让你用你的“零钱”进行投资,把你的便士变成一个多元化的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Or, if you’re still apprehensive about the stock market, you could look intoinvesting in farmland. This stable, profitable asset has been known to offer better returns than real estate and stocks, according to data from the investing platform FarmTogether.</p><p><blockquote>或者,如果您仍然对股市感到担忧,您可以考虑投资农田。根据投资平台FarmTogether的数据,众所周知,这种稳定、盈利的资产比房地产和股票提供更好的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 wise money moves before the Fed starts raising interest rates again<blockquote>美联储再次开始加息前的5项明智资金举措</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 wise money moves before the Fed starts raising interest rates again<blockquote>美联储再次开始加息前的5项明智资金举措</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (pictured) and his colleagues have said the central bank will keep its benchmark interest rate near zero for the time being, despite gains made by the U.S. economy in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(如图)及其同事表示,尽管美国经济近几个月有所增长,但美联储将暂时将基准利率维持在接近零的水平。</blockquote></p><p> But rates won’t stay low forever. As the economy recovers from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation is rising and more people are getting back to work. This has led the Fed to indicate a rate hike could come as soon as 2023 — moved up from its previous plan to wait until 2024.</p><p><blockquote>但利率不会永远保持在低位。随着经济从COVID-19大流行最严重的时期中复苏,通货膨胀正在上升,更多的人正在重返工作岗位。这导致美联储表示最早可能在2023年加息——高于此前等到2024年的计划。</blockquote></p><p> For consumers, that means now may be the time tosplurge on a fun purchaseor take out a loan for something they need.</p><p><blockquote>对于消费者来说,这意味着现在可能是花钱购买有趣的买家或贷款购买他们需要的东西的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five money moves you should make before rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>以下是您在利率上升之前应该采取的五项资金举措。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Refinance your home loan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为您的房屋贷款再融资</b></blockquote></p><p> Mortgage rates fell to record-breaking lows during the pandemic, but they’re slowly creeping up as the economy continues to recover from COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间,抵押贷款利率跌至创纪录低点,但随着经济继续从COVID-19中复苏,抵押贷款利率正在缓慢上升。</blockquote></p><p> While rates are currently at historically low levels, experts predict they will rise to 4% this year — which means now's the time to act if you’ve been mulling a refinance.</p><p><blockquote>虽然利率目前处于历史低位,但专家预测今年将升至4%——这意味着如果您一直在考虑再融资,现在是采取行动的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> An estimated 14.1 million Americans have the opportunity to refi andsave an average $287 a month, according to recent research from mortgage technology and data provider Black Knight.</p><p><blockquote>根据抵押贷款技术和数据提供商Black Knight最近的研究,估计有1410万美国人有机会进行再融资,平均每月节省287美元。</blockquote></p><p> Alternatively, rising house prices offer homeowners an opportunity to leverage their home equity to fund home improvement projects, pay down debt or cover their children’s education funds.</p><p><blockquote>或者,房价上涨为房主提供了利用房屋净值为家居装修项目提供资金、偿还债务或支付孩子教育资金的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Consolidate your debt</b></p><p><blockquote><b>合并您的债务</b></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic made it difficult for Americans to travel, eat in restaurants or spend on retail purchases, and many used the money they didn't spend on those activities to increase their savings and pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>疫情使美国人难以旅行、在餐馆吃饭或进行零售购物,许多人用他们没有花在这些活动上的钱来增加储蓄和偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p> The number of consumers who paid off their credit card balances in full every month reached an all-time high of 35.1% late last year, according to a report from the American Bankers Association.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行家协会的一份报告,去年年底,每月全额还清信用卡余额的消费者数量达到了35.1%的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Still, many households are struggling to make ends meet. And, with unemployment benefits ending in many states across the country, those still out of work or living on reduced incomes may have had to give up their debt repayment plans to focus on immediate needs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,许多家庭仍在努力维持生计。而且,随着全国许多州失业救济金的结束,那些仍然失业或收入减少的人可能不得不放弃债务偿还计划,专注于眼前的需求。</blockquote></p><p> If you’ve been relying on your credit cards to carry you through, the expensive interest is going to add up quickly.</p><p><blockquote>如果你一直依靠信用卡度过难关,昂贵的利息会很快增加。</blockquote></p><p> For those who can’t borrow from their home equity to pay off card balances, adebt consolidation loancould help you get rid of debt sooner and save you a ton on expensive interest.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些无法从房屋净值中借款来偿还卡余额的人来说,债务合并贷款可以帮助您更快摆脱债务,并为您节省大量昂贵的利息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Work on your credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>提高您的信用评分</b></blockquote></p><p> While today's low rates make it easier to take out loans, you'll find it more expensive to borrow when rates do go up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天的低利率使贷款变得更容易,但当利率上升时,你会发现借贷成本更高。</blockquote></p><p> Today, it's easy to take afree peek at your credit score. So now’s the time to work on improving that score to ensure you’ll continue to be able to borrow at the lowest-possible rates.</p><p><blockquote>今天,很容易免费查看您的信用评分。因此,现在是时候努力提高该分数,以确保您能够继续以尽可能低的利率借款。</blockquote></p><p> Boosting your credit scorea few hundred pointswill make you a more attractive borrower to all types of lenders – from credit-card issuers to those offering mortgages.</p><p><blockquote>将您的信用评分提高几百分将使您成为对所有类型贷方(从信用卡发卡机构到提供抵押贷款的机构)更具吸引力的借款人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Refinance your student loans</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为您的学生贷款再融资</b></blockquote></p><p> Federal student loan payments are paused until October but some prominent Democratic lawmakers, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are pushing the president to provide more relief for borrowers and forgive up to $50,000 per person.</p><p><blockquote>联邦学生贷款支付暂停至10月份,但包括参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和参议院多数党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)在内的一些著名民主党议员正在敦促总统为借款人提供更多救济,并免除每人最多5万美元。</blockquote></p><p> But those with debt from private student loans are still on the hook for their regular monthly minimum payments.</p><p><blockquote>但那些背负私人学生贷款债务的人仍然需要支付每月最低还款额。</blockquote></p><p> If you're one of those borrowers, refinancing to a lower rate or shorter term could save you thousands in interest fees and shave years off your debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果您是这些借款人之一,以较低利率或较短期限进行再融资可以为您节省数千美元的利息费用,并减少数年的债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to online loan marketplace, Credible, refinancing could slash your interest rate by more than 2 full percentage points and add up to substantial interest savings over the life of the loan.</p><p><blockquote>根据在线贷款市场,可信,再融资可以削减你的利率超过2个百分点,并在贷款期限内节省大量利息。</blockquote></p><p> To maximize your savings,compare loan offers from multiple lendersto lock in the lowest refinance rate possible.</p><p><blockquote>为了最大限度地提高您的储蓄,请比较多个贷方的贷款报价,以锁定尽可能低的再融资利率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ride the red-hot stock market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>驾驭火热的股市</b></blockquote></p><p> Current low interest rates mean you won't earn much if you put money in a savings account. If you’ve got the appetite to take on a bit more risk, you could consider putting your money in investments.</p><p><blockquote>目前的低利率意味着如果你把钱存入储蓄账户,你赚不了多少钱。如果您愿意承担更多风险,您可以考虑将资金投入投资。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you don’t have much to put aside, you can download a popular app that allows you toinvest with your “spare change”, and turn your pennies into a diversified portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>即使你没有太多钱可以存,你也可以下载一个流行的应用程序,让你用你的“零钱”进行投资,把你的便士变成一个多元化的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Or, if you’re still apprehensive about the stock market, you could look intoinvesting in farmland. This stable, profitable asset has been known to offer better returns than real estate and stocks, according to data from the investing platform FarmTogether.</p><p><blockquote>或者,如果您仍然对股市感到担忧,您可以考虑投资农田。根据投资平台FarmTogether的数据,众所周知,这种稳定、盈利的资产比房地产和股票提供更好的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-wise-money-moves-fed-160000889.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-wise-money-moves-fed-160000889.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171891885","content_text":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (pictured) and his colleagues have said the central bank will keep its benchmark interest rate near zero for the time being, despite gains made by the U.S. economy in recent months.\nBut rates won’t stay low forever. As the economy recovers from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation is rising and more people are getting back to work. This has led the Fed to indicate a rate hike could come as soon as 2023 — moved up from its previous plan to wait until 2024.\nFor consumers, that means now may be the time tosplurge on a fun purchaseor take out a loan for something they need.\nHere are five money moves you should make before rates rise.\nRefinance your home loan\nMortgage rates fell to record-breaking lows during the pandemic, but they’re slowly creeping up as the economy continues to recover from COVID-19.\nWhile rates are currently at historically low levels, experts predict they will rise to 4% this year — which means now's the time to act if you’ve been mulling a refinance.\nAn estimated 14.1 million Americans have the opportunity to refi andsave an average $287 a month, according to recent research from mortgage technology and data provider Black Knight.\nAlternatively, rising house prices offer homeowners an opportunity to leverage their home equity to fund home improvement projects, pay down debt or cover their children’s education funds.\nConsolidate your debt\nThe pandemic made it difficult for Americans to travel, eat in restaurants or spend on retail purchases, and many used the money they didn't spend on those activities to increase their savings and pay down debt.\nThe number of consumers who paid off their credit card balances in full every month reached an all-time high of 35.1% late last year, according to a report from the American Bankers Association.\nStill, many households are struggling to make ends meet. And, with unemployment benefits ending in many states across the country, those still out of work or living on reduced incomes may have had to give up their debt repayment plans to focus on immediate needs.\nIf you’ve been relying on your credit cards to carry you through, the expensive interest is going to add up quickly.\nFor those who can’t borrow from their home equity to pay off card balances, adebt consolidation loancould help you get rid of debt sooner and save you a ton on expensive interest.\nWork on your credit score\nWhile today's low rates make it easier to take out loans, you'll find it more expensive to borrow when rates do go up.\nToday, it's easy to take afree peek at your credit score. So now’s the time to work on improving that score to ensure you’ll continue to be able to borrow at the lowest-possible rates.\nBoosting your credit scorea few hundred pointswill make you a more attractive borrower to all types of lenders – from credit-card issuers to those offering mortgages.\nRefinance your student loans\nFederal student loan payments are paused until October but some prominent Democratic lawmakers, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are pushing the president to provide more relief for borrowers and forgive up to $50,000 per person.\nBut those with debt from private student loans are still on the hook for their regular monthly minimum payments.\nIf you're one of those borrowers, refinancing to a lower rate or shorter term could save you thousands in interest fees and shave years off your debt.\nAccording to online loan marketplace, Credible, refinancing could slash your interest rate by more than 2 full percentage points and add up to substantial interest savings over the life of the loan.\nTo maximize your savings,compare loan offers from multiple lendersto lock in the lowest refinance rate possible.\nRide the red-hot stock market\nCurrent low interest rates mean you won't earn much if you put money in a savings account. If you’ve got the appetite to take on a bit more risk, you could consider putting your money in investments.\nEven if you don’t have much to put aside, you can download a popular app that allows you toinvest with your “spare change”, and turn your pennies into a diversified portfolio.\nOr, if you’re still apprehensive about the stock market, you could look intoinvesting in farmland. This stable, profitable asset has been known to offer better returns than real estate and stocks, according to data from the investing platform FarmTogether.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182315551,"gmtCreate":1623553797273,"gmtModify":1631888664235,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C31.SI\">$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$</a>More good news","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C31.SI\">$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$</a>More good news","text":"$CAPITALAND LIMITED(C31.SI)$More good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182315551","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819079292,"gmtCreate":1630024571816,"gmtModify":1704954721323,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If Fed rises interest rate, will I see $6?","listText":"If Fed rises interest rate, will I see $6?","text":"If Fed rises interest rate, will I see $6?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f935c07d06103cbc525749167c4f4f69","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819079292","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835442668,"gmtCreate":1629735359854,"gmtModify":1631890202840,"author":{"id":"3556928950936698","authorId":"3556928950936698","name":"JLim88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc700e264de1dfa15568660c7ee557c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556928950936698","idStr":"3556928950936698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for the tombstone pile driver","listText":"Waiting for the tombstone pile driver","text":"Waiting for the tombstone pile driver","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f3f2c6be9b4563526f7105d3f1d9c08","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835442668","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}