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2021-06-25

Lol

Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>

2021-06-24

$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$Ouch

2021-06-24

$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$Opinions?

2021-06-24

Cool

Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>

2021-06-24

$American Water(AWK)$What are your opinions

2021-06-24

$Apple(AAPL)$doing this for promo

2021-06-24

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-06

Oversold?

Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>

2021-01-22

This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-01-22

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$inflated or growing?

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151862709","media":"zerohedge","summary":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and dem","content":"<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUsed Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151862709","content_text":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.\n\n“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“\n\n\n On the \n demandside, the \n freight markets are still red-hot,encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”\n\nPreliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.\n“U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.\nStruggling to keep up\nNew truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.\n“It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”\nAppreciation across the board\nJ.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.\n\nThe newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.\n\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.” - Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager\n\nThe average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.\nAll used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.\nHighest prices since Great Recession\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”\nRetail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.\n“We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.\nLooking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.\nScant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.\n“We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128901847,"gmtCreate":1624497007689,"gmtModify":1631886063349,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>Ouch","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>Ouch","text":"$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$Ouch","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a26acae5838755dd8dfbf182fd2ec059","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128901847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128903332,"gmtCreate":1624496976326,"gmtModify":1631888837286,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$</a>Opinions?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$</a>Opinions?","text":"$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$Opinions?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128903332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128048644,"gmtCreate":1624496406388,"gmtModify":1634005305705,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128048644","repostId":"1123789211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123789211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624495583,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123789211?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123789211","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its as","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123789211","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.\n“As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.\nKaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.\nFed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.\nKaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.\nFed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.\n“If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”\nKaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.\nBut the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.\nMarket participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.\n“I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”\nThe moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more 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23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310805354,"gmtCreate":1611298823678,"gmtModify":1703749511755,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","listText":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","text":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310805354","repostId":"2105451899","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310802269,"gmtCreate":1611298687051,"gmtModify":1703749510370,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>inflated or growing?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>inflated or growing?&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$inflated or growing?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74fd9292c2148a141cb22c04bd5f476","width":"1125","height":"3114"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310802269","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":128048644,"gmtCreate":1624496406388,"gmtModify":1634005305705,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128048644","repostId":"1123789211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123789211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624495583,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123789211?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123789211","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its as","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123789211","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.\n“As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.\nKaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.\nFed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.\nKaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.\nFed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.\n“If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”\nKaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.\nBut the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.\nMarket participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.\n“I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”\nThe moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.\nWhile noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.\nThe U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.\n“If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310802269,"gmtCreate":1611298687051,"gmtModify":1703749510370,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>inflated or growing?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>inflated or growing?&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$inflated or growing?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74fd9292c2148a141cb22c04bd5f476","width":"1125","height":"3114"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310802269","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128903332,"gmtCreate":1624496976326,"gmtModify":1631888837286,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$</a>Opinions?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MNSO\">$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$</a>Opinions?","text":"$MINISO Group Holding Limited(MNSO)$Opinions?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128903332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367745338,"gmtCreate":1614982561724,"gmtModify":1703483887061,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oversold?","listText":"Oversold?","text":"Oversold?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367745338","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169596583?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-05 23:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128051776,"gmtCreate":1624496108395,"gmtModify":1634005314416,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128051776","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128901847,"gmtCreate":1624497007689,"gmtModify":1631886063349,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>Ouch","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>Ouch","text":"$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$Ouch","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a26acae5838755dd8dfbf182fd2ec059","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128901847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128057851,"gmtCreate":1624496254873,"gmtModify":1631892300713,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AWK\">$American Water(AWK)$</a>What are your opinions","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AWK\">$American Water(AWK)$</a>What are your opinions","text":"$American Water(AWK)$What are your opinions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128057851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126513585,"gmtCreate":1624578469447,"gmtModify":1634004208117,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126513585","repostId":"1151862709","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151862709","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624547636,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151862709?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151862709","media":"zerohedge","summary":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and dem","content":"<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Used Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUsed Truck Prices Are Exploding On Feverish Demand And Lack Of Supply<blockquote>由于需求旺盛和供应不足，二手卡车价格飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到二手卡车的现状时，忘记经济学101关于供需的教导。两者并没有影响另一个，而是将二手卡车价格推至大衰退后的峰值。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”</b>Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“    On the   <b>demand</b>side, the   <b>freight markets are still red-hot,</b>encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”  Preliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.</p><p><blockquote><b>“在供应方面，持续的新卡车生产限制导致许多买家寻找低里程二手卡车作为替代品，”</b>J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理Chris Visser告诉FreightWaves。“在<b>要求</b>侧面，<b>货运市场依然火爆，</b>鼓励卡车司机升级到更新的铁。”与4月份相比，5月份这些经销商的8级卡车初步使用量下降了14%。但根据ACT Research的数据，5月份的失业率比一年前受大流行影响的月份高出46%。</blockquote></p><p> “U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.</p><p><blockquote>ACT副总裁Steve Tam表示：“预计2021年美国GDP将达到近7%，货运量将飙升，而运费刚刚开始从历史高位回落。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Struggling to keep up</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>努力跟上</b></u></blockquote></p><p> New truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.</p><p><blockquote>受到为关键车辆功能提供动力的微芯片短缺和大宗商品价格飙升的困扰，新卡车生产才刚刚开始复苏，但制造商很难雇用足够的工人。</blockquote></p><p> “It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”</p><p><blockquote>Tam表示：“正是在这个强劲市场的背景下，新卡车产量难以跟上强劲的需求，并限制了二手卡车市场充分发挥其潜力。”“从所有迹象来看，需求继续超过供应，因此卡车价格继续上涨也就不足为奇了。”</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Appreciation across the board</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>全面升值</b></u></blockquote></p><p> J.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power报告称，5月份大多数细分市场的卡车均出现升值，8级拍卖价格较4月份上涨11.9%。零售价格环比上涨7.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f3c7b9d3f32cfca89702e93de6811a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>维瑟说，最新的卧铺拖拉机的价格达到或高于大衰退后时期的最高峰月份。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.”</i>&nbsp;- Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager  The average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.</p><p><blockquote><i>“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过后大衰退时期的最高月份。”</i>–Chris Visser，J.D.Power Valuation Services商用车高级分析师兼产品经理5月份零售的卧铺拖拉机平均车龄为71个月，行驶里程为416,232英里，收入为63,518美元。与2020年5月相比，这名卧铺者的平均年龄增加了4个月，行驶里程减少了45,606英里，即9.9%，收入增加了23,285美元，即57.9%。</blockquote></p><p> All used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.</p><p><blockquote>2016年至2020年车型年的所有二手8级枕木在5月份的价格都更高。2020年款以比4月份上涨9.6%的价格领先。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Highest prices since Great Recession</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>自大衰退以来的最高价格</b></u></blockquote></p><p> “We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”</p><p><blockquote>Visser表示：“我们预计6月份新款车型的定价将明显超过大衰退后时期的最高月份。”“在这种时候，如果一辆新卡车意味着更好的可靠性和燃油经济性以及可能的保修，那么就更容易证明其费用的合理性。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>由于库存难以获得，零售流量下降。经销商5月份平均每家店销售5.2辆卡车，比4月份减少0.4辆。与去年同期相比，2021年前五个月每个经销商的卡车销量比2020年同期增加了1.6辆。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计夏季交通将保持相对稳定，”维瑟说。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，展望未来，大多数卡车的零售额应该会在第三季度出现温和至温和的增长，然后随着供应链重新平衡和卡车供应增加，今年晚些时候会走低。</blockquote></p><p> Scant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.</p><p><blockquote>以旧换新周期性较低时期典型的供应不足导致Power基准组（4至6年车龄）的平均月价格出现适度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”</p><p><blockquote>“自去年开始上涨以来，我们没有看到实际定价有任何下降，”维瑟说。“与2020年前五个月相比，该群体领先80.3%。2021年的表现将比2020年好得多也就不足为奇了，但我们的基准群体也带来了我们六年来迄今为止最高的定价一直在跟踪它。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/used-truck-prices-are-exploding-feverish-demand-and-lack-supply","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151862709","content_text":"When it comes to the current state of used trucks, forget what Econ 101 teaches about supply and demand. Rather than one impacting the other, both are driving used truck prices to a post-Great Recession peak.\n\n“On the supply side, ongoing new truck production constraints are causing many buyers to look for low-mileage used trucks as a substitute,”Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager, told FreightWaves.“\n\n\n On the \n demandside, the \n freight markets are still red-hot,encouraging truckers to upgrade to newer iron.”\n\nPreliminary used Class 8 truck volumes by the same dealers dropped 14% in May compared to April. But they were 46% higher in May than the pandemic-influenced month a year earlier, according to ACT Research.\n“U.S. GDP is forecast to hit nearly 7% in 2021, freight volumes are through the roof, and freight rates are just now starting to pull back from record highs,” ACT Vice President Steve Tam said.\nStruggling to keep up\nNew truck production, beset by shortages of microchips that power critical vehicle functions, and through-the-roof commodity prices, is only beginning to recover but manufacturers are having difficulties hiring enough workers.\n“It is in the context of this strong market that new truck production is struggling to keep up with strong demand and limiting the used truck market from realizing its full potential,” Tam said. “By all indications, demand continues to outpace supply, and for that reason, it should come as no surprise that truck prices continue to increase.”\nAppreciation across the board\nJ.D. Power reported that trucks in most segments appreciated in May with Class 8 auction pricing up 11.9% over April. Retail pricing was up 7.1% month over month.\n\nThe newest available sleeper tractors are bringing pricing at or above the highest peak months in the post-Great Recession period, Visser said.\n\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period.” - Chris Visser, J.D. Power Valuation Services commercial vehicles senior analyst and product manager\n\nThe average sleeper tractor retailed in May was 71 months old, had 416,232 miles and brought $63,518. Compared to May 2020, this average sleeper was four months older, had 45,606, or 9.9% fewer miles, and brought $23,285 or 57.9% more money.\nAll used Class 8 sleepers from 2016 to 2020 model years commanded higher prices in May. Model year 2020 led the way with a 9.6% higher price than in April.\nHighest prices since Great Recession\n“We expect late-model pricing in June to clearly surpass the highest months in the post-Great Recession period,” Visser said. “In times like this it’s easier to justify the expense of a newer truck if it means better reliability and fuel economy and possibly a warranty.”\nRetail traffic pulled back as inventory was hard to come by. Dealers sold an average of 5.2 trucks per store in May, 0.4 fewer than in April. Year over year, the first five months of 2021 generated 1.6 more truck sales per dealership than during the same period of 2020.\n“We expect traffic to remain relatively solid in the summer,” Visser said.\nLooking ahead, he said, most trucks should see mild-to-moderate retail appreciation into the third quarter before moving lower later in the year as the supply chain rebalances and trucks become more available.\nScant availability typical for a cyclical lower period for trade-ins is causing moderate swings in average monthly prices of Power’s benchmark group of 4- to 6-year-old trucks.\n“We have not seen any letup in actual pricing since the run-up began last year,” Visser said. “Compared to the first five months of 2020, this group is running 80.3% ahead. It’s no surprise that 2021 would perform much better than 2020, but our benchmark group is also bringing by far the highest pricing in the six years we’ve been tracking it.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128052973,"gmtCreate":1624496144292,"gmtModify":1634005312651,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing this for promo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing this for promo","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$doing this for promo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128052973","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310805354,"gmtCreate":1611298823678,"gmtModify":1703749511755,"author":{"id":"3559257051401231","authorId":"3559257051401231","name":"LaValentine","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc51b48067258dfd609ede216f12d0fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559257051401231","idStr":"3559257051401231"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","listText":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","text":"This should be on TSLA instead of AAPL","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310805354","repostId":"2105451899","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}