Scarface的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Scarface

Scarface

Ain't no chivato

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390关注

240粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-27

Mid 2022 cyber attack then crash

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-16

Thank Lord Powell. [LOL]

2021-12-07

$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$Good F*ckng Stock [Sly]

2021-12-05

[Facepalm]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-18

Daddy Jensen

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-17

Brainard is hot!

Who Will Be the Next Fed Chair? Why Brainard Is Gaining on Powell.<blockquote>谁将成为下一任美联储主席？为什么布雷纳德正在超越鲍威尔。</blockquote>

2021-11-10

$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$Overextended rally. Time to open shorts.

2021-10-23

$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$lol

2021-10-20

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$$1000 stock.

2021-10-14

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[哇塞] [哇塞]

2021-10-14

[邪恶]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-12

$Micron Technology(MU)$Down 30% in the past 6months. Does it look bullish to you? 💀

2021-10-07

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[暗中观察]

2021-10-05

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$Am all outta bullets. [流泪] [捂脸]

2021-10-02

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[流泪] [流泪]

2021-10-01

$CSE GLOBAL LTD(544.SI)$Best dividend play imo. If I was a boomer with lots of cash , I would just throw here and collect divs.

2021-09-30

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Top of the semi food chain.

2021-09-15

$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$Dead 💀💀💀

2021-09-08

$Micron Technology(MU)$Dead money

2021-08-25

$Applied Materials(AMAT)$[哇塞]

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2022 cyber attack then crash&nbsp;","listText":"Mid 2022 cyber attack then crash&nbsp;","text":"Mid 2022 cyber attack then crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696975803","repostId":"1169825066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607769266,"gmtCreate":1639600631761,"gmtModify":1639600633817,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thank Lord Powell.&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"Thank Lord Powell.&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"Thank Lord Powell. [LOL]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861e6bec93b1e8af3ea1c508dffc6fbe","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607769266","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606929147,"gmtCreate":1638818925937,"gmtModify":1638818927738,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$</a>Good F*ckng Stock&nbsp;[Sly]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$</a>Good F*ckng Stock&nbsp;[Sly]&nbsp;","text":"$GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.(GFS)$Good F*ckng Stock [Sly]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606929147","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608610739,"gmtCreate":1638708451122,"gmtModify":1638708451998,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608610739","repostId":"2188787815","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878447072,"gmtCreate":1637226658391,"gmtModify":1637230304720,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Daddy Jensen","listText":"Daddy Jensen","text":"Daddy Jensen","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878447072","repostId":"1117103146","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878047150,"gmtCreate":1637129988898,"gmtModify":1637130021092,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Brainard is hot!&nbsp;","listText":"Brainard is hot!&nbsp;","text":"Brainard is hot!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878047150","repostId":"1116775921","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116775921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637120007,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116775921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-17 11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Who Will Be the Next Fed Chair? Why Brainard Is Gaining on Powell.<blockquote>谁将成为下一任美联储主席？为什么布雷纳德正在超越鲍威尔。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116775921","media":"Barrons","summary":"The decision on who will lead the Federal Reserve for the next four years is reportedly imminent, an","content":"<p>The decision on who will lead the Federal Reserve for the next four years is reportedly imminent, and the implications will go beyond when interest rates will begin to be raised.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，未来四年谁将领导美联储的决定迫在眉睫，其影响将超越何时开始加息。</blockquote></p><p> The horse race currently is between the current chair, Jerome Powell, and Lael Brainard, one of the Fed Board governors. On matters of monetary policy, the two have been on the same page throughout their tenures. But on regulatory and political matters, there are important differences. The decision by President Joe Biden will likely turn on those factors—plus the important question of who can garner 50 votes in the Senate to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>这场赛马目前在现任主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和美联储理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德之间进行。在货币政策问题上，两人在整个任期内一直意见一致。但在监管和政治问题上，存在重要分歧。乔·拜登总统的决定可能会取决于这些因素，以及谁能在参议院获得50票的重要问题。</blockquote></p><p> Senate Banking Chairman Sherrod Brown (D., Ohio) said he was told by White House officials a decision on the Fed chair is “imminent,” Bloomberg reported late Monday, while Biden said on Nov. 2 that the choice would be announced “fairly quickly.” The choice of who would lead the central bank when Powell’s term as chair expires next February typically would have been made weeks ago, but apparently the administration has had its hands full getting its key legislative initiatives through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社周一晚间报道，参议院银行业主席谢罗德·布朗（俄亥俄州民主党人）表示，白宫官员告诉他，美联储主席的决定“迫在眉睫”，而拜登则在11月2日表示，这一选择将“相当迅速”宣布。”鲍威尔明年二月主席任期届满时谁将领导央行的选择通常会在几周前做出，但显然政府已经忙着让国会通过其关键立法举措。</blockquote></p><p> As with the fight over Build Back Better, the social spending measure now mired in the Senate, the choice at the Fed comes down to the tug of war between moderates, who favor Powell, and progressives, who would prefer to replace him with Brainard.</p><p><blockquote>正如目前在参议院陷入困境的社会支出措施“重建得更好”的斗争一样，美联储的选择归结为支持鲍威尔的温和派和更愿意用布雷纳德取代他的进步派之间的拉锯战。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is a Republican who was nominated by former President Donald Trump as Fed chair after having been picked as a Fed governor by former President Barack Obama in 2011. Powell isn’t a trained economist. Instead, he has a law degree and worked in private equity.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔是共和党人，在2011年被前总统巴拉克·奥巴马选为美联储理事后，被前总统唐纳德·特朗普提名为美联储主席。鲍威尔不是训练有素的经济学家。相反，他拥有法律学位并在私募股权领域工作。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard is a Democrat and an economist who served in the Obama and Clinton administrations. She also contributed to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 unsuccessful presidential campaign.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德是民主党人和经济学家，曾在奥巴马和克林顿政府任职。她还为希拉里·克林顿2016年失败的总统竞选做出了贡献。</blockquote></p><p> On matters of monetary policy—which centers on the setting of interest rates and the purchase or sale of securities by the central bank to guide the overall economy—there is little difference between Powell and Brainard. He has overseen a significant change in the Fed’s approach, called Flexible Average Inflation Targeting, or FAIT to Fed watchers.</p><p><blockquote>在货币政策问题上——货币政策的中心是央行设定利率和买卖证券以指导整体经济——鲍威尔和布雷纳德之间几乎没有什么区别。他监督了美联储方法的重大变化，称为灵活的平均通胀目标，或美联储观察人士的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The new tack lets the Fed have inflation run above its 2% nominal target to make up for previous shortfalls. In practical terms, FAIT allows the economy to reach “maximum employment” before the federal-funds rate target, which remains at a rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, is raised.</p><p><blockquote>新策略让美联储将通胀率控制在2%的名义目标之上，以弥补之前的不足。实际上，FAIT允许经济在联邦基金利率目标上调之前达到“最大就业”，联邦基金利率目标仍处于0%-0.25%的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is only beginning to reduce its massive securities purchases from the $120 billion monthly pace started during the crisis period of March 2020 triggered by the shutdowns to curb Covid-19. Along with massive fiscal injections, this ultra-easy monetary policy has lifted inflation to over 6% annually, according to the latest reading of the consumer price index.</p><p><blockquote>美联储才刚刚开始从2020年3月因遏制新冠肺炎而引发的危机期间开始的每月1200亿美元的规模减少大规模证券购买。根据消费者价格指数的最新数据，随着大规模财政注入，这种超宽松的货币政策已将通胀率推高至每年6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Powell has admitted inflation has risen more than expected, but he continues to call it transitory and argue it will subside when supply-chain kinks are worked out. Brainard concurred with the decision to taper the Fed’s bond buying but may lean toward more patience on inflation before hiking rates. But until now, the differences on that score are minimal between the two.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔承认通胀上升幅度超过预期，但他继续看涨期权通胀是暂时的，并认为当供应链问题得到解决后，通胀将会消退。布雷纳德同意美联储缩减购债规模的决定，但可能倾向于在加息前对通胀保持更多耐心。但到目前为止，两者在这一点上的差异很小。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard, however, has been tougher on matters of financial regulation, dissenting regularly on decisions to ease restraints, including those imposed by the Dodd-Frank legislation enacted following the 2008-09 financial crisis. Powell has generally voted in favor of loosening some curbs, which spurred Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) to call him a “dangerous man” whose renomination she said she would would oppose.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布雷纳德在金融监管问题上一直更加强硬，经常反对放松限制的决定，包括2008-09年金融危机后颁布的多德弗兰克立法所施加的限制。鲍威尔普遍投票支持放松一些限制，这刺激了马萨诸塞州民主党参议员Elizabeth Warren。）对看涨期权来说，他是一个“危险的人”，她说她会反对他的再次提名。</blockquote></p><p> Powell had been thought to be the favorite to be tapped for a second term. Yellen has publicly backed him to maintain continuity and to return to the tradition of a first-term president keeping the sitting Fed chair, even if that person was from the other party. She herself was denied a second term as Fed chair by Trump. Her predecessor, Ben Bernanke, a Republican, was given a second term by Obama. Similarly, Republican Alan Greenspan was renominated by Bill Clinton, and Democrat Paul Volcker was given a second term by Ronald Reagan.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔曾被认为是连任的热门人选。耶伦公开支持他保持连续性，并回归第一任总统继续担任美联储主席的传统，即使此人来自另一方。她本人被特朗普拒绝连任美联储主席。她的前任、共和党人本·伯南克被奥巴马授予第二个任期。同样，共和党人艾伦·格林斯潘被比尔·克林顿重新提名，民主党人保罗·沃尔克被罗纳德·里根连任。</blockquote></p><p> But more recently, Yellen has hedged her endorsement. “I’ve said that I think chair Powell has done a very good job of running the Fed, of addressing the issues, particularly that arose when the pandemic struck,” she said Sunday on CBS ‘s Face the Nation. “But what’s important is that President Biden choose someone who’s experienced and credible and there are a range of candidates.”</p><p><blockquote>但最近，耶伦回避了她的支持。“我说过，我认为鲍威尔主席在管理美联储、解决问题方面做得非常好，特别是在大流行来袭时出现的问题，”她周日在哥伦比亚广播公司的《面对全国》节目中表示。“但重要的是拜登总统选择了一个有经验且可信的人，而且候选人有很多。”</blockquote></p><p> Powell and Brainard were both reported to have been interviewed at the White House last week, with only Biden and National Economic Council head Brian Deese present. Yellen’s absence was notable given both her status as Treasury secretary and as the former Fed chair.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，鲍威尔和布雷纳德上周都在白宫接受了采访，只有拜登和国家经济委员会主席布莱恩·迪斯在场。考虑到耶伦作为财政部长和前美联储主席的身份，她的缺席值得注意。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Like the Senate Banking Chairman and many progressive Democrats, Mr. Deese firmly believes that monetary policy can be used to tackle and solve climate change, eliminate racism, and perhaps even get my 12-year-old son to consistently make his bed. There’s NOTHING that monetary policy—with the right leadership—cannot solve. It’s activist, very progressive…even experimental policy,” John Brady, managing director of institutional sales at Chicago-based institutional futures broker R.J. O’Brien, acidly writes in a client note.</p><p><blockquote>“像参议院银行业主席和许多进步民主党人一样，迪斯先生坚信货币政策可以用来应对和解决气候变化、消除种族主义，甚至可能让我12岁的儿子始终如一地整理床铺。没有什么是货币政策——在正确的领导下——解决不了的。这是激进的、非常进步的……甚至是实验性的政策，”总部位于芝加哥的机构期货经纪商R.J.的机构销售董事总经理约翰·布雷迪说。奥布莱恩在一份客户备忘录中尖刻地写道。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard is seen as more sympathetic to this broader view of the Fed’s remit than Powell. As such, Danielle DiMartino Booth, former adviser to Richard Fisher, the former Dallas Fed president, and publisher of the Quill Intelligence advisory service, thinks it would be a “massive gamble” for Biden to nominate Brainard now.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德被认为比鲍威尔更同情这种对美联储职权范围的更广泛观点。因此，达拉斯联储前行长理查德·费舍尔的前顾问、奎尔情报咨询服务出版商丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯认为，拜登现在提名布雷纳德将是一场“巨大的赌博”。</blockquote></p><p> She sees the election results of two weeks ago, especially the Republican victory in Virginia’s gubernatorial race, as moving Democrats more toward the moderates. Moreover, a shift away from the continuity at the Fed that Powell represents would like roil the markets, which is the last thing Biden needs now, she adds in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>她认为两周前的选举结果，特别是共和党在弗吉尼亚州州长竞选中的胜利，使民主党更倾向于温和派。此外，她在接受采访时补充道，鲍威尔所代表的美联储连续性的转变会扰乱市场，这是拜登现在最不需要的事情。</blockquote></p><p> One final curious development also noted by DiMartino Booth: Roger Ferguson late Monday said he wouldn’t join Apollo Group less than a month after the announcement he would come aboard the private-equity powerhouse, according to Bloomberg. The reason given was he still had obligations to TIAA-CREF, from which he resigned last March as chief executive.</p><p><blockquote>迪马蒂诺·布斯还注意到了最后一个奇怪的进展：据彭博社报道，罗杰·弗格森周一晚间表示，在宣布加入阿波罗集团不到一个月后，他不会加入这家私募股权巨头。给出的理由是他仍然对TIAA-CREF负有义务，并于去年3月辞去了该公司首席执行官的职务。</blockquote></p><p> Before that, Ferguson was Fed vice chair in 1999-2006 and won plaudits as the central bank’s crisis manager after 9/11, when Greenspan, then the Fed chief, was stuck out of the country following the terrorist attacks on the U.S. Ferguson also is Black, a consideration given the goal of diversity at the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>在此之前，弗格森曾于1999-2006年担任美联储副主席，并在9/11事件后赢得了美联储危机管理者的赞誉，当时时任美联储主席的格林斯潘在美国遭受恐怖袭击后被困在国外。弗格森也是黑人，考虑到央行多元化的目标，这是一个考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> On Predictit, Powell is still the heavy betting favorite, with a 73% probability of getting another term with Brainard at 23%. Of course, the bettors don’t set the outcome.</p><p><blockquote>在Predictit上，鲍威尔仍然是最受欢迎的人，他有73%的概率连任，布雷纳德的概率为23%。当然，下注者不会决定结果。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Who Will Be the Next Fed Chair? Why Brainard Is Gaining on Powell.<blockquote>谁将成为下一任美联储主席？为什么布雷纳德正在超越鲍威尔。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWho Will Be the Next Fed Chair? Why Brainard Is Gaining on Powell.<blockquote>谁将成为下一任美联储主席？为什么布雷纳德正在超越鲍威尔。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-17 11:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The decision on who will lead the Federal Reserve for the next four years is reportedly imminent, and the implications will go beyond when interest rates will begin to be raised.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，未来四年谁将领导美联储的决定迫在眉睫，其影响将超越何时开始加息。</blockquote></p><p> The horse race currently is between the current chair, Jerome Powell, and Lael Brainard, one of the Fed Board governors. On matters of monetary policy, the two have been on the same page throughout their tenures. But on regulatory and political matters, there are important differences. The decision by President Joe Biden will likely turn on those factors—plus the important question of who can garner 50 votes in the Senate to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>这场赛马目前在现任主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和美联储理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德之间进行。在货币政策问题上，两人在整个任期内一直意见一致。但在监管和政治问题上，存在重要分歧。乔·拜登总统的决定可能会取决于这些因素，以及谁能在参议院获得50票的重要问题。</blockquote></p><p> Senate Banking Chairman Sherrod Brown (D., Ohio) said he was told by White House officials a decision on the Fed chair is “imminent,” Bloomberg reported late Monday, while Biden said on Nov. 2 that the choice would be announced “fairly quickly.” The choice of who would lead the central bank when Powell’s term as chair expires next February typically would have been made weeks ago, but apparently the administration has had its hands full getting its key legislative initiatives through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社周一晚间报道，参议院银行业主席谢罗德·布朗（俄亥俄州民主党人）表示，白宫官员告诉他，美联储主席的决定“迫在眉睫”，而拜登则在11月2日表示，这一选择将“相当迅速”宣布。”鲍威尔明年二月主席任期届满时谁将领导央行的选择通常会在几周前做出，但显然政府已经忙着让国会通过其关键立法举措。</blockquote></p><p> As with the fight over Build Back Better, the social spending measure now mired in the Senate, the choice at the Fed comes down to the tug of war between moderates, who favor Powell, and progressives, who would prefer to replace him with Brainard.</p><p><blockquote>正如目前在参议院陷入困境的社会支出措施“重建得更好”的斗争一样，美联储的选择归结为支持鲍威尔的温和派和更愿意用布雷纳德取代他的进步派之间的拉锯战。</blockquote></p><p> Powell is a Republican who was nominated by former President Donald Trump as Fed chair after having been picked as a Fed governor by former President Barack Obama in 2011. Powell isn’t a trained economist. Instead, he has a law degree and worked in private equity.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔是共和党人，在2011年被前总统巴拉克·奥巴马选为美联储理事后，被前总统唐纳德·特朗普提名为美联储主席。鲍威尔不是训练有素的经济学家。相反，他拥有法律学位并在私募股权领域工作。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard is a Democrat and an economist who served in the Obama and Clinton administrations. She also contributed to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 unsuccessful presidential campaign.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德是民主党人和经济学家，曾在奥巴马和克林顿政府任职。她还为希拉里·克林顿2016年失败的总统竞选做出了贡献。</blockquote></p><p> On matters of monetary policy—which centers on the setting of interest rates and the purchase or sale of securities by the central bank to guide the overall economy—there is little difference between Powell and Brainard. He has overseen a significant change in the Fed’s approach, called Flexible Average Inflation Targeting, or FAIT to Fed watchers.</p><p><blockquote>在货币政策问题上——货币政策的中心是央行设定利率和买卖证券以指导整体经济——鲍威尔和布雷纳德之间几乎没有什么区别。他监督了美联储方法的重大变化，称为灵活的平均通胀目标，或美联储观察人士的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The new tack lets the Fed have inflation run above its 2% nominal target to make up for previous shortfalls. In practical terms, FAIT allows the economy to reach “maximum employment” before the federal-funds rate target, which remains at a rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, is raised.</p><p><blockquote>新策略让美联储将通胀率控制在2%的名义目标之上，以弥补之前的不足。实际上，FAIT允许经济在联邦基金利率目标上调之前达到“最大就业”，联邦基金利率目标仍处于0%-0.25%的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is only beginning to reduce its massive securities purchases from the $120 billion monthly pace started during the crisis period of March 2020 triggered by the shutdowns to curb Covid-19. Along with massive fiscal injections, this ultra-easy monetary policy has lifted inflation to over 6% annually, according to the latest reading of the consumer price index.</p><p><blockquote>美联储才刚刚开始从2020年3月因遏制新冠肺炎而引发的危机期间开始的每月1200亿美元的规模减少大规模证券购买。根据消费者价格指数的最新数据，随着大规模财政注入，这种超宽松的货币政策已将通胀率推高至每年6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Powell has admitted inflation has risen more than expected, but he continues to call it transitory and argue it will subside when supply-chain kinks are worked out. Brainard concurred with the decision to taper the Fed’s bond buying but may lean toward more patience on inflation before hiking rates. But until now, the differences on that score are minimal between the two.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔承认通胀上升幅度超过预期，但他继续看涨期权通胀是暂时的，并认为当供应链问题得到解决后，通胀将会消退。布雷纳德同意美联储缩减购债规模的决定，但可能倾向于在加息前对通胀保持更多耐心。但到目前为止，两者在这一点上的差异很小。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard, however, has been tougher on matters of financial regulation, dissenting regularly on decisions to ease restraints, including those imposed by the Dodd-Frank legislation enacted following the 2008-09 financial crisis. Powell has generally voted in favor of loosening some curbs, which spurred Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) to call him a “dangerous man” whose renomination she said she would would oppose.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布雷纳德在金融监管问题上一直更加强硬，经常反对放松限制的决定，包括2008-09年金融危机后颁布的多德弗兰克立法所施加的限制。鲍威尔普遍投票支持放松一些限制，这刺激了马萨诸塞州民主党参议员Elizabeth Warren。）对看涨期权来说，他是一个“危险的人”，她说她会反对他的再次提名。</blockquote></p><p> Powell had been thought to be the favorite to be tapped for a second term. Yellen has publicly backed him to maintain continuity and to return to the tradition of a first-term president keeping the sitting Fed chair, even if that person was from the other party. She herself was denied a second term as Fed chair by Trump. Her predecessor, Ben Bernanke, a Republican, was given a second term by Obama. Similarly, Republican Alan Greenspan was renominated by Bill Clinton, and Democrat Paul Volcker was given a second term by Ronald Reagan.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔曾被认为是连任的热门人选。耶伦公开支持他保持连续性，并回归第一任总统继续担任美联储主席的传统，即使此人来自另一方。她本人被特朗普拒绝连任美联储主席。她的前任、共和党人本·伯南克被奥巴马授予第二个任期。同样，共和党人艾伦·格林斯潘被比尔·克林顿重新提名，民主党人保罗·沃尔克被罗纳德·里根连任。</blockquote></p><p> But more recently, Yellen has hedged her endorsement. “I’ve said that I think chair Powell has done a very good job of running the Fed, of addressing the issues, particularly that arose when the pandemic struck,” she said Sunday on CBS ‘s Face the Nation. “But what’s important is that President Biden choose someone who’s experienced and credible and there are a range of candidates.”</p><p><blockquote>但最近，耶伦回避了她的支持。“我说过，我认为鲍威尔主席在管理美联储、解决问题方面做得非常好，特别是在大流行来袭时出现的问题，”她周日在哥伦比亚广播公司的《面对全国》节目中表示。“但重要的是拜登总统选择了一个有经验且可信的人，而且候选人有很多。”</blockquote></p><p> Powell and Brainard were both reported to have been interviewed at the White House last week, with only Biden and National Economic Council head Brian Deese present. Yellen’s absence was notable given both her status as Treasury secretary and as the former Fed chair.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，鲍威尔和布雷纳德上周都在白宫接受了采访，只有拜登和国家经济委员会主席布莱恩·迪斯在场。考虑到耶伦作为财政部长和前美联储主席的身份，她的缺席值得注意。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Like the Senate Banking Chairman and many progressive Democrats, Mr. Deese firmly believes that monetary policy can be used to tackle and solve climate change, eliminate racism, and perhaps even get my 12-year-old son to consistently make his bed. There’s NOTHING that monetary policy—with the right leadership—cannot solve. It’s activist, very progressive…even experimental policy,” John Brady, managing director of institutional sales at Chicago-based institutional futures broker R.J. O’Brien, acidly writes in a client note.</p><p><blockquote>“像参议院银行业主席和许多进步民主党人一样，迪斯先生坚信货币政策可以用来应对和解决气候变化、消除种族主义，甚至可能让我12岁的儿子始终如一地整理床铺。没有什么是货币政策——在正确的领导下——解决不了的。这是激进的、非常进步的……甚至是实验性的政策，”总部位于芝加哥的机构期货经纪商R.J.的机构销售董事总经理约翰·布雷迪说。奥布莱恩在一份客户备忘录中尖刻地写道。</blockquote></p><p> Brainard is seen as more sympathetic to this broader view of the Fed’s remit than Powell. As such, Danielle DiMartino Booth, former adviser to Richard Fisher, the former Dallas Fed president, and publisher of the Quill Intelligence advisory service, thinks it would be a “massive gamble” for Biden to nominate Brainard now.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德被认为比鲍威尔更同情这种对美联储职权范围的更广泛观点。因此，达拉斯联储前行长理查德·费舍尔的前顾问、奎尔情报咨询服务出版商丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯认为，拜登现在提名布雷纳德将是一场“巨大的赌博”。</blockquote></p><p> She sees the election results of two weeks ago, especially the Republican victory in Virginia’s gubernatorial race, as moving Democrats more toward the moderates. Moreover, a shift away from the continuity at the Fed that Powell represents would like roil the markets, which is the last thing Biden needs now, she adds in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>她认为两周前的选举结果，特别是共和党在弗吉尼亚州州长竞选中的胜利，使民主党更倾向于温和派。此外，她在接受采访时补充道，鲍威尔所代表的美联储连续性的转变会扰乱市场，这是拜登现在最不需要的事情。</blockquote></p><p> One final curious development also noted by DiMartino Booth: Roger Ferguson late Monday said he wouldn’t join Apollo Group less than a month after the announcement he would come aboard the private-equity powerhouse, according to Bloomberg. The reason given was he still had obligations to TIAA-CREF, from which he resigned last March as chief executive.</p><p><blockquote>迪马蒂诺·布斯还注意到了最后一个奇怪的进展：据彭博社报道，罗杰·弗格森周一晚间表示，在宣布加入阿波罗集团不到一个月后，他不会加入这家私募股权巨头。给出的理由是他仍然对TIAA-CREF负有义务，并于去年3月辞去了该公司首席执行官的职务。</blockquote></p><p> Before that, Ferguson was Fed vice chair in 1999-2006 and won plaudits as the central bank’s crisis manager after 9/11, when Greenspan, then the Fed chief, was stuck out of the country following the terrorist attacks on the U.S. Ferguson also is Black, a consideration given the goal of diversity at the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>在此之前，弗格森曾于1999-2006年担任美联储副主席，并在9/11事件后赢得了美联储危机管理者的赞誉，当时时任美联储主席的格林斯潘在美国遭受恐怖袭击后被困在国外。弗格森也是黑人，考虑到央行多元化的目标，这是一个考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> On Predictit, Powell is still the heavy betting favorite, with a 73% probability of getting another term with Brainard at 23%. Of course, the bettors don’t set the outcome.</p><p><blockquote>在Predictit上，鲍威尔仍然是最受欢迎的人，他有73%的概率连任，布雷纳德的概率为23%。当然，下注者不会决定结果。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/who-will-be-the-next-fed-chair-weighing-the-odds-for-brainard-vs-powell-51637080993?mod=newsviewer_click\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/who-will-be-the-next-fed-chair-weighing-the-odds-for-brainard-vs-powell-51637080993?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1116775921","content_text":"The decision on who will lead the Federal Reserve for the next four years is reportedly imminent, and the implications will go beyond when interest rates will begin to be raised.\nThe horse race currently is between the current chair, Jerome Powell, and Lael Brainard, one of the Fed Board governors. On matters of monetary policy, the two have been on the same page throughout their tenures. But on regulatory and political matters, there are important differences. The decision by President Joe Biden will likely turn on those factors—plus the important question of who can garner 50 votes in the Senate to be confirmed.\nSenate Banking Chairman Sherrod Brown (D., Ohio) said he was told by White House officials a decision on the Fed chair is “imminent,” Bloomberg reported late Monday, while Biden said on Nov. 2 that the choice would be announced “fairly quickly.” The choice of who would lead the central bank when Powell’s term as chair expires next February typically would have been made weeks ago, but apparently the administration has had its hands full getting its key legislative initiatives through Congress.\nAs with the fight over Build Back Better, the social spending measure now mired in the Senate, the choice at the Fed comes down to the tug of war between moderates, who favor Powell, and progressives, who would prefer to replace him with Brainard.\nPowell is a Republican who was nominated by former President Donald Trump as Fed chair after having been picked as a Fed governor by former President Barack Obama in 2011. Powell isn’t a trained economist. Instead, he has a law degree and worked in private equity.\nBrainard is a Democrat and an economist who served in the Obama and Clinton administrations. She also contributed to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 unsuccessful presidential campaign.\nOn matters of monetary policy—which centers on the setting of interest rates and the purchase or sale of securities by the central bank to guide the overall economy—there is little difference between Powell and Brainard. He has overseen a significant change in the Fed’s approach, called Flexible Average Inflation Targeting, or FAIT to Fed watchers.\nThe new tack lets the Fed have inflation run above its 2% nominal target to make up for previous shortfalls. In practical terms, FAIT allows the economy to reach “maximum employment” before the federal-funds rate target, which remains at a rock-bottom 0%-0.25%, is raised.\nThe Fed is only beginning to reduce its massive securities purchases from the $120 billion monthly pace started during the crisis period of March 2020 triggered by the shutdowns to curb Covid-19. Along with massive fiscal injections, this ultra-easy monetary policy has lifted inflation to over 6% annually, according to the latest reading of the consumer price index.\nPowell has admitted inflation has risen more than expected, but he continues to call it transitory and argue it will subside when supply-chain kinks are worked out. Brainard concurred with the decision to taper the Fed’s bond buying but may lean toward more patience on inflation before hiking rates. But until now, the differences on that score are minimal between the two.\nBrainard, however, has been tougher on matters of financial regulation, dissenting regularly on decisions to ease restraints, including those imposed by the Dodd-Frank legislation enacted following the 2008-09 financial crisis. Powell has generally voted in favor of loosening some curbs, which spurred Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) to call him a “dangerous man” whose renomination she said she would would oppose.\nPowell had been thought to be the favorite to be tapped for a second term. Yellen has publicly backed him to maintain continuity and to return to the tradition of a first-term president keeping the sitting Fed chair, even if that person was from the other party. She herself was denied a second term as Fed chair by Trump. Her predecessor, Ben Bernanke, a Republican, was given a second term by Obama. Similarly, Republican Alan Greenspan was renominated by Bill Clinton, and Democrat Paul Volcker was given a second term by Ronald Reagan.\nBut more recently, Yellen has hedged her endorsement. “I’ve said that I think chair Powell has done a very good job of running the Fed, of addressing the issues, particularly that arose when the pandemic struck,” she said Sunday on CBS ‘s Face the Nation. “But what’s important is that President Biden choose someone who’s experienced and credible and there are a range of candidates.”\nPowell and Brainard were both reported to have been interviewed at the White House last week, with only Biden and National Economic Council head Brian Deese present. Yellen’s absence was notable given both her status as Treasury secretary and as the former Fed chair.\n“Like the Senate Banking Chairman and many progressive Democrats, Mr. Deese firmly believes that monetary policy can be used to tackle and solve climate change, eliminate racism, and perhaps even get my 12-year-old son to consistently make his bed. There’s NOTHING that monetary policy—with the right leadership—cannot solve. It’s activist, very progressive…even experimental policy,” John Brady, managing director of institutional sales at Chicago-based institutional futures broker R.J. O’Brien, acidly writes in a client note.\nBrainard is seen as more sympathetic to this broader view of the Fed’s remit than Powell. As such, Danielle DiMartino Booth, former adviser to Richard Fisher, the former Dallas Fed president, and publisher of the Quill Intelligence advisory service, thinks it would be a “massive gamble” for Biden to nominate Brainard now.\nShe sees the election results of two weeks ago, especially the Republican victory in Virginia’s gubernatorial race, as moving Democrats more toward the moderates. Moreover, a shift away from the continuity at the Fed that Powell represents would like roil the markets, which is the last thing Biden needs now, she adds in an interview.\nOne final curious development also noted by DiMartino Booth: Roger Ferguson late Monday said he wouldn’t join Apollo Group less than a month after the announcement he would come aboard the private-equity powerhouse, according to Bloomberg. The reason given was he still had obligations to TIAA-CREF, from which he resigned last March as chief executive.\nBefore that, Ferguson was Fed vice chair in 1999-2006 and won plaudits as the central bank’s crisis manager after 9/11, when Greenspan, then the Fed chief, was stuck out of the country following the terrorist attacks on the U.S. Ferguson also is Black, a consideration given the goal of diversity at the central bank.\nOn Predictit, Powell is still the heavy betting favorite, with a 73% probability of getting another term with Brainard at 23%. Of course, the bettors don’t set the outcome.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847769640,"gmtCreate":1636554799275,"gmtModify":1636554802483,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a>Overextended rally. Time to open shorts.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$</a>Overextended rally. Time to open shorts.&nbsp;","text":"$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$Overextended rally. Time to open shorts.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eddaeb07e7ed3334b7ccc723db7d315d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847769640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851417655,"gmtCreate":1634920822572,"gmtModify":1634920825583,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a>lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a>lol","text":"$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$lol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48351e427a9e19cca874d1c0cecc9540","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851417655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859372986,"gmtCreate":1634660275806,"gmtModify":1634660278950,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>$1000 stock.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>$1000 stock.&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$$1000 stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859372986","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825387808,"gmtCreate":1634201938873,"gmtModify":1634201939672,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[哇塞]&nbsp;[哇塞]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[哇塞]&nbsp;[哇塞]&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[哇塞] [哇塞]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84dfc345a7cd779f4017da3f408cccf5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825387808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825920016,"gmtCreate":1634191975507,"gmtModify":1634191976212,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[邪恶]&nbsp;","listText":"[邪恶]&nbsp;","text":"[邪恶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825920016","repostId":"2175616000","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826706596,"gmtCreate":1634050819083,"gmtModify":1634050822337,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>Down 30% in the past 6months. Does it look bullish to you? 💀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>Down 30% in the past 6months. Does it look bullish to you? 💀","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$Down 30% in the past 6months. Does it look bullish to you? 💀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826706596","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823820229,"gmtCreate":1633613835889,"gmtModify":1633613838842,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[暗中观察]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ee82ecda5ee16efa494013bb25fd422","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823820229","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820426102,"gmtCreate":1633420439501,"gmtModify":1633420442305,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>Am all outta bullets.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>Am all outta bullets.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$Am all outta bullets. [流泪] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4d4fc9dbb187f687a34f019782700f6","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820426102","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864212183,"gmtCreate":1633104786545,"gmtModify":1633104789506,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$[流泪] [流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59f7095ba63b458e001a1f5311b33f1e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864212183","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864133316,"gmtCreate":1633069262961,"gmtModify":1633069265769,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/544.SI\">$CSE GLOBAL LTD(544.SI)$</a>Best dividend play imo. If I was a boomer with lots of cash , I would just throw here and collect divs.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/544.SI\">$CSE GLOBAL LTD(544.SI)$</a>Best dividend play imo. If I was a boomer with lots of cash , I would just throw here and collect divs.&nbsp;","text":"$CSE GLOBAL LTD(544.SI)$Best dividend play imo. If I was a boomer with lots of cash , I would just throw here and collect divs.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864133316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865229656,"gmtCreate":1632989703416,"gmtModify":1632989742380,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>&nbsp;Top of the semi food chain.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$</a>&nbsp;Top of the semi food chain.&nbsp;","text":"$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Top of the semi food chain.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1432ca6a43298023f0cf224181c66412","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865229656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882254729,"gmtCreate":1631699727561,"gmtModify":1631884527108,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3560993393373290","idStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>Dead 💀💀💀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>Dead 💀💀💀","text":"$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL 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太简单了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172413937,"gmtCreate":1626971527329,"gmtModify":1631883829075,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$</a>Fun Fact: 21years ago, on July 14, 2000, Micron hit a high of $96.56. 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Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172413937","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161959777,"gmtCreate":1623901963299,"gmtModify":1631884161800,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lord Powell","listText":"Lord Powell","text":"Lord Powell","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161959777","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107462199,"gmtCreate":1620530203711,"gmtModify":1634198218403,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reply please thank you :)","listText":"Reply please thank you :)","text":"Reply please thank you :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107462199","repostId":"1193602237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193602237","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620471120,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193602237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 18:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193602237","media":"reuters","summary":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in dema","content":"<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 18:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193602237","content_text":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINSSolid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":851417655,"gmtCreate":1634920822572,"gmtModify":1634920825583,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a>lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a>lol","text":"$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$lol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48351e427a9e19cca874d1c0cecc9540","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851417655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171575295,"gmtCreate":1626753488417,"gmtModify":1633771348321,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like bruddas&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like bruddas&nbsp;","text":"Pls like bruddas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171575295","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159104782,"gmtCreate":1624945707146,"gmtModify":1633946640039,"author":{"id":"3560993393373290","authorId":"3560993393373290","name":"Scarface","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70fa3ee23f83dd6d0b963a0aec44bf01","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560993393373290","authorIdStr":"3560993393373290"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hola","listText":"Hola","text":"Hola","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159104782","repostId":"2147859664","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}