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Snowwhite
2021-11-25
Why the drama keep repeating, u not sainz I already sainzzzzzz let
抱歉,原内容已删除
Snowwhite
2021-11-19
😢[流泪] 😭
Snowwhite
2021-11-16
Pls drip further but pls let me sell away my balance 2 shares first [Miser]
抱歉,原内容已删除
Snowwhite
2021-11-15
Che, tot CICT can break 2.20... Still diving
抱歉,原内容已删除
Snowwhite
2021-11-08
$Sea Ltd(SE)$
Tempted to buy back
Snowwhite
2021-11-08
$Shopify(SHOP)$
我的唯一,还真是不舍得卖呢![Love you] [Miser]
Snowwhite
2021-11-06
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Wat a waste, I missed to buy Coin Coin at 225+ [Cry]
Snowwhite
2021-11-05
$Datadog(DDOG)$
No 🐎 run yeah
Snowwhite
2021-11-02
$Sea Ltd(SE)$
sold too early [Cry]
Snowwhite
2021-11-02
Wow Nio Nio my small Tesla [Love you] [Miser]
抱歉,原内容已删除
Snowwhite
2021-11-02
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Almost there, my OneBagger! [Cool] [Miser] [Love you]
Snowwhite
2021-11-01
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
What's the best month for stocks? Hint: the next four weeks<blockquote>股票最好的月份是哪个月?提示:接下来的四周</blockquote>
Snowwhite
2021-10-30
Oh yeah [Cool] [Miser]
Tesla's shares price reached 1100 dollars and its market value exceeded over 1.1 trillion dollars<blockquote>特斯拉股价达到1100美元,市值超过1.1万亿美元</blockquote>
Snowwhite
2021-10-30
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
[Cool] [Miser]
Snowwhite
2021-10-28
$Shopify(SHOP)$
Juz bit yesterday nite [Yummy] [Miser] [Cool]
Snowwhite
2021-10-26
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Up to the 🌙! [Love you] [Miser] [Cool]
Snowwhite
2021-10-22
$Roku Inc(ROKU)$
Tempted to buy
Snowwhite
2021-10-19
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Wat a waste [Facepalm]
Snowwhite
2021-10-19
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
🆙 ⬆️ 🆙 [Cool] [Miser] [Love you]
Snowwhite
2021-10-15
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
My first buy of SoFi, hope it will 🆙 ⬆️ 🆙 [Miser]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871138506","repostId":"1118366658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873264386,"gmtCreate":1636949574674,"gmtModify":1636949574784,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Che, tot CICT can break 2.20... 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buy Coin Coin at 225+ [Cry] ","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Wat a waste, I missed to buy Coin Coin at 225+ [Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb37c8ebaa23082eace20e6f7b92637c","width":"750","height":"2701"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842645962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846165233,"gmtCreate":1636068795540,"gmtModify":1636068795905,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">$Datadog(DDOG)$</a>No 🐎 run yeah","listText":"<a 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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843203167","repostId":"1162227762","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843390081,"gmtCreate":1635806877359,"gmtModify":1635806877475,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Almost there, my OneBagger! [Cool] [Miser] [Love you] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Almost there, my OneBagger! [Cool] [Miser] [Love you] ","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Almost there, my OneBagger! [Cool] [Miser] [Love you]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ba27b25a3ee9c3033db7151e590efb1","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843390081","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849100963,"gmtCreate":1635732266964,"gmtModify":1635732267072,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849100963","repostId":"1150912013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150912013","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635724788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150912013?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-01 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What's the best month for stocks? Hint: the next four weeks<blockquote>股票最好的月份是哪个月?提示:接下来的四周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150912013","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"The stock market’s record run is poised to gain steam in the weeks ahead — if history is any indication.The start of the holiday season is typically a strong time of year on Wall Street, a pattern that analysts point to as a reason to remain optimistic that the stock market will remain at all-time highs following a turbulent September.Historically, November has been the best month of the year for the stock market—both since 1950 and over the past decade, according to LPL Financial.“November is t","content":"<p>The stock market’s record run is poised to gain steam in the weeks ahead — if history is any indication.</p><p><blockquote>如果历史有任何迹象的话,股市创纪录的走势将在未来几周内获得动力。</blockquote></p><p> The start of the holiday season is typically a strong time of year on Wall Street, a pattern that analysts point to as a reason to remain optimistic that the stock market will remain at all-time highs following a turbulent September.</p><p><blockquote>假期的开始通常是华尔街一年中的强劲时期,分析师指出,这种模式是保持乐观的理由,即股市在经历了动荡的9月份后将保持在历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, November has been the best month of the year for the stock market—both since 1950 and over the past decade, according to LPL Financial.</p><p><blockquote>根据LPL Financial的数据,从历史上看,11月一直是股市一年中表现最好的月份——无论是自1950年以来还是过去十年。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not all. History shows the stock market’s strongest six-month period is November to April, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. November is also the first month of the market’s best three-month stretch, November to January.</p><p><blockquote>这还不是全部。根据股票交易者年鉴,历史表明股市最强劲的六个月是11月至4月。11月也是市场最好三个月的首月,11月至1月。</blockquote></p><p> Why is November the best?</p><p><blockquote>为什么11月是最好的?</blockquote></p><p> This seasonal strength is created by a combination of factors. For one thing, the final three months of the year are typically the best for stocks, with stocks rising 3.8% on average, according to LPL Financial.</p><p><blockquote>这种季节性强势是由多种因素共同造成的。一方面,根据LPL Financial的数据,一年中的最后三个月通常是股市最好的月份,股市平均上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Strong spending by shoppers during the holidays also tends to translate into strong quarters for consumer-focused businesses. Some analysts also attribute it to optimism during the holiday season, year-end portfolio adjustments and investors being on vacation.</p><p><blockquote>购物者在假期期间的强劲支出也往往会转化为以消费者为中心的企业的强劲季度。一些分析师还将其归因于假期期间的乐观情绪、年终投资组合调整以及投资者正在度假。</blockquote></p><p> “November is the best month of the year, but it doesn’t seem to get nearly as much love as you’d think,” Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, said in a note to clients. “We all assume December is the best month, but November is actually better and gets very little fanfare. Maybe it should be a month for the bulls, not for turkeys.”</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在给客户的一份报告中表示:“11月是一年中最好的月份,但它似乎并没有你想象的那么受欢迎。”“我们都认为12月是最好的月份,但11月实际上更好,而且很少大张旗鼓。也许这应该是多头的月份,而不是火鸡的月份。”</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street avoids spooky October</p><p><blockquote>华尔街避免幽灵般的十月</blockquote></p><p> While October is often considered a spooky month for investors, earning a bad reputation following the crashes of 1929, 1987 and during the global financial crisis in 2008, investors weren’t so fearful this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然10月份对投资者来说通常被认为是一个幽灵般的月份,在1929年、1987年的崩盘和2008年全球金融危机期间赢得了坏名声,但今年投资者并没有那么害怕。</blockquote></p><p> After the S&P 500 recorded its biggest monthly loss since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in September, the broad index rebounded more than 6% in October on further signs that corporate profits are growing once again following last year's recession.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 9月份录得自冠状病毒大流行开始以来的最大月度跌幅后,由于有进一步迹象表明企业利润在去年衰退后再次增长,该指数在10月份反弹了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks as though the market has resisted ‘Octoberphobia’ and averted the feared crashes or massacres that have given the month its bad reputation,” Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, said in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>《股票交易者年鉴》编辑杰夫·赫希(Jeff Hirsch)在给客户的一份报告中表示:“看起来市场已经抵制了‘十月恐惧症’,避免了令人恐惧的崩盘或大屠杀,这些崩盘或大屠杀给这个月带来了坏名声。”</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, November has taken hits during bear markets, when major averages drop more than 20% from a recent peak.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,11月份在熊市期间遭受了打击,主要股指较近期峰值下跌了20%以上。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, November 2000 was the Nasdaq Composite’s second-worst month on record, with the technology-focused index plunging nearly 23%, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Only October 1987 was worse, and that is when the \"Black Monday\" stock market crash occurred</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据股票交易者年鉴,2000年11月是纳斯达克综合指数有记录以来第二糟糕的月份,以科技为重点的指数暴跌近23%。只有1987年10月更糟糕,那是“黑色星期一”股灾发生的时候</blockquote></p><p> Why investors should be optimistic</p><p><blockquote>为什么投资者应该乐观</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy slowed substantially from July through September following a series of obstacles, including a surge in COVID-19 cases, supply chain bottlenecks, rising consumer prices and the fading effects of federal stimulus measures.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一系列障碍后,美国经济从7月到9月大幅放缓,包括COVID-19病例激增、供应链瓶颈、消费者价格上涨以及联邦刺激措施效果减弱。</blockquote></p><p> But with COVID-19 cases now falling and vaccinations rising, most economists are branding the weak showing a soft patch in a still-robust recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, with a healthy rebound projected in the final months of the year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着新冠肺炎病例的下降和疫苗接种的增加,大多数经济学家认为,疲软显示出从大流行引发的衰退中仍然强劲复苏的疲软,预计今年最后几个月将出现健康反弹。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs that there could be more gains to come on Wall Street in the final months of the year on strong seasonality trends, better-than-expected corporate earnings and falling COVID-19 cases. Market breadth has also improved, meaning that more stocks are participating in the rally, a sign of a healthy and strong market.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明,由于强劲的季节性趋势、好于预期的企业盈利以及COVID-19病例下降,今年最后几个月华尔街可能会出现更多上涨。市场广度也有所改善,这意味着更多股票参与涨势,这是市场健康强劲的标志。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims have also fallen steadily in recent weeks, with continuing claims sliding below 2.5 million recently for the first time since the coronavirus pandemic began.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周,申请失业救济人数也在稳步下降,最近申请失业救济人数自冠状病毒大流行开始以来首次降至250万以下。</blockquote></p><p> After suffering its first 5% pullback of 2021 in early October, the S&P 500 has come roaring back and closed at a record high on October 21. The S&P 500 Index has gained more than 20% so far this year, making more than 50 record highs along the way.</p><p><blockquote>在10月初经历了2021年首次5%的回调后,标普500卷土重来,并于10月21日收于历史新高。标普500指数今年迄今已上涨超过20%,一路上创下50多个历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> That could be a positive sign for investors in the coming months. The past seven times the S&P 500 had risen 15% for the year heading into the fourth quarter, that final quarter ended up higher each time, rising 5.8%, data from LPL Financial showed.</p><p><blockquote>这对未来几个月的投资者来说可能是一个积极的信号。LPL Financial的数据显示,过去七次标普500在第四季度之前上涨了15%,最后一个季度每次都上涨了5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “We firmly believe that new highs are something to be embraced, not feared, and history shows that new highs tend to come in bunches—something that has certainly been true so far this year,” according to Detrick.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示:“我们坚信,新高是值得拥抱的,而不是害怕的,历史表明,新高往往会成群结队地出现——今年到目前为止,情况确实如此。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What's the best month for stocks? Hint: the next four weeks<blockquote>股票最好的月份是哪个月?提示:接下来的四周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat's the best month for stocks? Hint: the next four weeks<blockquote>股票最好的月份是哪个月?提示:接下来的四周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market’s record run is poised to gain steam in the weeks ahead — if history is any indication.</p><p><blockquote>如果历史有任何迹象的话,股市创纪录的走势将在未来几周内获得动力。</blockquote></p><p> The start of the holiday season is typically a strong time of year on Wall Street, a pattern that analysts point to as a reason to remain optimistic that the stock market will remain at all-time highs following a turbulent September.</p><p><blockquote>假期的开始通常是华尔街一年中的强劲时期,分析师指出,这种模式是保持乐观的理由,即股市在经历了动荡的9月份后将保持在历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, November has been the best month of the year for the stock market—both since 1950 and over the past decade, according to LPL Financial.</p><p><blockquote>根据LPL Financial的数据,从历史上看,11月一直是股市一年中表现最好的月份——无论是自1950年以来还是过去十年。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not all. History shows the stock market’s strongest six-month period is November to April, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. November is also the first month of the market’s best three-month stretch, November to January.</p><p><blockquote>这还不是全部。根据股票交易者年鉴,历史表明股市最强劲的六个月是11月至4月。11月也是市场最好三个月的首月,11月至1月。</blockquote></p><p> Why is November the best?</p><p><blockquote>为什么11月是最好的?</blockquote></p><p> This seasonal strength is created by a combination of factors. For one thing, the final three months of the year are typically the best for stocks, with stocks rising 3.8% on average, according to LPL Financial.</p><p><blockquote>这种季节性强势是由多种因素共同造成的。一方面,根据LPL Financial的数据,一年中的最后三个月通常是股市最好的月份,股市平均上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Strong spending by shoppers during the holidays also tends to translate into strong quarters for consumer-focused businesses. Some analysts also attribute it to optimism during the holiday season, year-end portfolio adjustments and investors being on vacation.</p><p><blockquote>购物者在假期期间的强劲支出也往往会转化为以消费者为中心的企业的强劲季度。一些分析师还将其归因于假期期间的乐观情绪、年终投资组合调整以及投资者正在度假。</blockquote></p><p> “November is the best month of the year, but it doesn’t seem to get nearly as much love as you’d think,” Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, said in a note to clients. “We all assume December is the best month, but November is actually better and gets very little fanfare. Maybe it should be a month for the bulls, not for turkeys.”</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)在给客户的一份报告中表示:“11月是一年中最好的月份,但它似乎并没有你想象的那么受欢迎。”“我们都认为12月是最好的月份,但11月实际上更好,而且很少大张旗鼓。也许这应该是多头的月份,而不是火鸡的月份。”</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street avoids spooky October</p><p><blockquote>华尔街避免幽灵般的十月</blockquote></p><p> While October is often considered a spooky month for investors, earning a bad reputation following the crashes of 1929, 1987 and during the global financial crisis in 2008, investors weren’t so fearful this year.</p><p><blockquote>虽然10月份对投资者来说通常被认为是一个幽灵般的月份,在1929年、1987年的崩盘和2008年全球金融危机期间赢得了坏名声,但今年投资者并没有那么害怕。</blockquote></p><p> After the S&P 500 recorded its biggest monthly loss since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in September, the broad index rebounded more than 6% in October on further signs that corporate profits are growing once again following last year's recession.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 9月份录得自冠状病毒大流行开始以来的最大月度跌幅后,由于有进一步迹象表明企业利润在去年衰退后再次增长,该指数在10月份反弹了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks as though the market has resisted ‘Octoberphobia’ and averted the feared crashes or massacres that have given the month its bad reputation,” Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, said in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>《股票交易者年鉴》编辑杰夫·赫希(Jeff Hirsch)在给客户的一份报告中表示:“看起来市场已经抵制了‘十月恐惧症’,避免了令人恐惧的崩盘或大屠杀,这些崩盘或大屠杀给这个月带来了坏名声。”</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, November has taken hits during bear markets, when major averages drop more than 20% from a recent peak.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,11月份在熊市期间遭受了打击,主要股指较近期峰值下跌了20%以上。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, November 2000 was the Nasdaq Composite’s second-worst month on record, with the technology-focused index plunging nearly 23%, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Only October 1987 was worse, and that is when the \"Black Monday\" stock market crash occurred</p><p><blockquote>例如,根据股票交易者年鉴,2000年11月是纳斯达克综合指数有记录以来第二糟糕的月份,以科技为重点的指数暴跌近23%。只有1987年10月更糟糕,那是“黑色星期一”股灾发生的时候</blockquote></p><p> Why investors should be optimistic</p><p><blockquote>为什么投资者应该乐观</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy slowed substantially from July through September following a series of obstacles, including a surge in COVID-19 cases, supply chain bottlenecks, rising consumer prices and the fading effects of federal stimulus measures.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一系列障碍后,美国经济从7月到9月大幅放缓,包括COVID-19病例激增、供应链瓶颈、消费者价格上涨以及联邦刺激措施效果减弱。</blockquote></p><p> But with COVID-19 cases now falling and vaccinations rising, most economists are branding the weak showing a soft patch in a still-robust recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, with a healthy rebound projected in the final months of the year.</p><p><blockquote>但随着新冠肺炎病例的下降和疫苗接种的增加,大多数经济学家认为,疲软显示出从大流行引发的衰退中仍然强劲复苏的疲软,预计今年最后几个月将出现健康反弹。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs that there could be more gains to come on Wall Street in the final months of the year on strong seasonality trends, better-than-expected corporate earnings and falling COVID-19 cases. Market breadth has also improved, meaning that more stocks are participating in the rally, a sign of a healthy and strong market.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明,由于强劲的季节性趋势、好于预期的企业盈利以及COVID-19病例下降,今年最后几个月华尔街可能会出现更多上涨。市场广度也有所改善,这意味着更多股票参与涨势,这是市场健康强劲的标志。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims have also fallen steadily in recent weeks, with continuing claims sliding below 2.5 million recently for the first time since the coronavirus pandemic began.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周,申请失业救济人数也在稳步下降,最近申请失业救济人数自冠状病毒大流行开始以来首次降至250万以下。</blockquote></p><p> After suffering its first 5% pullback of 2021 in early October, the S&P 500 has come roaring back and closed at a record high on October 21. The S&P 500 Index has gained more than 20% so far this year, making more than 50 record highs along the way.</p><p><blockquote>在10月初经历了2021年首次5%的回调后,标普500卷土重来,并于10月21日收于历史新高。标普500指数今年迄今已上涨超过20%,一路上创下50多个历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> That could be a positive sign for investors in the coming months. The past seven times the S&P 500 had risen 15% for the year heading into the fourth quarter, that final quarter ended up higher each time, rising 5.8%, data from LPL Financial showed.</p><p><blockquote>这对未来几个月的投资者来说可能是一个积极的信号。LPL Financial的数据显示,过去七次标普500在第四季度之前上涨了15%,最后一个季度每次都上涨了5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “We firmly believe that new highs are something to be embraced, not feared, and history shows that new highs tend to come in bunches—something that has certainly been true so far this year,” according to Detrick.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示:“我们坚信,新高是值得拥抱的,而不是害怕的,历史表明,新高往往会成群结队地出现——今年到目前为止,情况确实如此。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/whats-best-month-stocks-hint-110106336.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/whats-best-month-stocks-hint-110106336.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150912013","content_text":"The stock market’s record run is poised to gain steam in the weeks ahead — if history is any indication.\nThe start of the holiday season is typically a strong time of year on Wall Street, a pattern that analysts point to as a reason to remain optimistic that the stock market will remain at all-time highs following a turbulent September.\nHistorically, November has been the best month of the year for the stock market—both since 1950 and over the past decade, according to LPL Financial.\nThat’s not all. History shows the stock market’s strongest six-month period is November to April, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. November is also the first month of the market’s best three-month stretch, November to January.\nWhy is November the best?\nThis seasonal strength is created by a combination of factors. For one thing, the final three months of the year are typically the best for stocks, with stocks rising 3.8% on average, according to LPL Financial.\nStrong spending by shoppers during the holidays also tends to translate into strong quarters for consumer-focused businesses. Some analysts also attribute it to optimism during the holiday season, year-end portfolio adjustments and investors being on vacation.\n“November is the best month of the year, but it doesn’t seem to get nearly as much love as you’d think,” Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, said in a note to clients. “We all assume December is the best month, but November is actually better and gets very little fanfare. Maybe it should be a month for the bulls, not for turkeys.”\nWall Street avoids spooky October\nWhile October is often considered a spooky month for investors, earning a bad reputation following the crashes of 1929, 1987 and during the global financial crisis in 2008, investors weren’t so fearful this year.\nAfter the S&P 500 recorded its biggest monthly loss since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in September, the broad index rebounded more than 6% in October on further signs that corporate profits are growing once again following last year's recession.\n“It looks as though the market has resisted ‘Octoberphobia’ and averted the feared crashes or massacres that have given the month its bad reputation,” Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, said in a note to clients.\nTo be sure, November has taken hits during bear markets, when major averages drop more than 20% from a recent peak.\nFor instance, November 2000 was the Nasdaq Composite’s second-worst month on record, with the technology-focused index plunging nearly 23%, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Only October 1987 was worse, and that is when the \"Black Monday\" stock market crash occurred\nWhy investors should be optimistic\nThe U.S. economy slowed substantially from July through September following a series of obstacles, including a surge in COVID-19 cases, supply chain bottlenecks, rising consumer prices and the fading effects of federal stimulus measures.\nBut with COVID-19 cases now falling and vaccinations rising, most economists are branding the weak showing a soft patch in a still-robust recovery from the pandemic-induced recession, with a healthy rebound projected in the final months of the year.\nThere are signs that there could be more gains to come on Wall Street in the final months of the year on strong seasonality trends, better-than-expected corporate earnings and falling COVID-19 cases. Market breadth has also improved, meaning that more stocks are participating in the rally, a sign of a healthy and strong market.\nJobless claims have also fallen steadily in recent weeks, with continuing claims sliding below 2.5 million recently for the first time since the coronavirus pandemic began.\nAfter suffering its first 5% pullback of 2021 in early October, the S&P 500 has come roaring back and closed at a record high on October 21. The S&P 500 Index has gained more than 20% so far this year, making more than 50 record highs along the way.\nThat could be a positive sign for investors in the coming months. The past seven times the S&P 500 had risen 15% for the year heading into the fourth quarter, that final quarter ended up higher each time, rising 5.8%, data from LPL Financial showed.\n“We firmly believe that new highs are something to be embraced, not feared, and history shows that new highs tend to come in bunches—something that has certainly been true so far this year,” according to Detrick.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857283102,"gmtCreate":1635529208745,"gmtModify":1635529208858,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh yeah [Cool] [Miser] ","listText":"Oh yeah [Cool] [Miser] ","text":"Oh yeah [Cool] [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857283102","repostId":"1147653984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147653984","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635516830,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147653984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's shares price reached 1100 dollars and its market value exceeded over 1.1 trillion dollars<blockquote>特斯拉股价达到1100美元,市值超过1.1万亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147653984","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla's shares price reached 1100 dollars and its market value exceeded over 1.1 trillion dollars.Th","content":"<p>Tesla's shares price reached 1100 dollars and its market value exceeded over 1.1 trillion dollars.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bb955d6a1040e777a3b731000c0df75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The interim CEO of Hertz, a car rental company, said that it may increase the order of Tesla Motors electric vehicles to 200,000.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价达到1100美元,市值超过1.1万亿美元。汽车租赁公司赫兹临时CEO表示,可能会将特斯拉电动汽车的订单增加到20万辆。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's shares price reached 1100 dollars and its market value exceeded over 1.1 trillion dollars<blockquote>特斯拉股价达到1100美元,市值超过1.1万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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Am wait till gonna neck long long leh","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4edd5653fdf34f099b6dc5346fc07a3d","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365110989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3518437135749434","authorId":"3518437135749434","name":"els","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46ffce4cf3a3c17473797ed78ccb14b5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3518437135749434","idStr":"3518437135749434"},"content":"Break through $2.25 resistance level first then head towards $3 ✈️","text":"Break through $2.25 resistance level first then head towards $3 ✈️","html":"Break through $2.25 resistance level first then head towards $3 ✈️"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885097750,"gmtCreate":1631742792170,"gmtModify":1631889363243,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR up up to the 🌙! 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During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p> <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b> Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前,没有人能肯定地说,所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末,美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭,最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助(按2021年计算)。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年,亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司(LTCM)几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大,以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说,当LTCM失败时,“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”,他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后,其中一些机构的过度杠杆化,以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂,导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒,纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势?每隔10年左右,它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发,我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段?</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说,家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思:咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室,但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称,管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据,现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定,拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用,没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱,它投资于什么,使用了多少杠杆,以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。(交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。)</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票,包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS,-1.19%,在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX,-10.63%,以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC,-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌,引发Archegos的大量抛售(约300亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是,其中只有大约三分之一,即100亿美元,是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作,包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS,+1.59%,瑞银集团AGUBS,+1.01%,高盛集团Inc.GS,-1.25%,摩根士丹利MS,-0.28%,德意志银行AGDB,+0.74%,野村控股公司NMR,+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营,谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大?我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称,Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空,上述银行考虑到自己的损失,以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股,而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓,这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗?似乎不是。即便如此,美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年,黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款,此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此,Hwang开设了Archegos,同样,家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示,需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会(FSOC)重新成立了一个工作组,以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯(Abe Lincoln)的话,家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业,在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中,很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪,由超级富豪经营,为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么,以及类似的问题是否会爆发?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点:金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点:金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b> Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前,没有人能肯定地说,所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末,美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭,最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助(按2021年计算)。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年,亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司(LTCM)几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大,以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说,当LTCM失败时,“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”,他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后,其中一些机构的过度杠杆化,以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂,导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒,纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势?每隔10年左右,它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发,我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段?</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说,家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思:咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室,但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称,管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据,现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定,拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用,没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱,它投资于什么,使用了多少杠杆,以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。(交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。)</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票,包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS,-1.19%,在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX,-10.63%,以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC,-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌,引发Archegos的大量抛售(约300亿美元)。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是,其中只有大约三分之一,即100亿美元,是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作,包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS,+1.59%,瑞银集团AGUBS,+1.01%,高盛集团Inc.GS,-1.25%,摩根士丹利MS,-0.28%,德意志银行AGDB,+0.74%,野村控股公司NMR,+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营,谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大?我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称,Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空,上述银行考虑到自己的损失,以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股,而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓,这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗?似乎不是。即便如此,美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年,黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款,此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此,Hwang开设了Archegos,同样,家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示,需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会(FSOC)重新成立了一个工作组,以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯(Abe Lincoln)的话,家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业,在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中,很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪,由超级富豪经营,为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么,以及类似的问题是否会爆发?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356563158,"gmtCreate":1616798499474,"gmtModify":1634523981760,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy or Bye [思考] ","listText":"Buy or Bye [思考] ","text":"Buy or Bye [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356563158","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元,比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端,公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS,筹集了5.225亿美元,而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似,数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年为69.2%,2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底,知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是,它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿次问答,跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年,公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,公司推出Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料,中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC(用户生成内容)(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容))的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创作者也是用户,他们积极参与社区。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币,预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是,越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长,这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍,2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容社区的市场规模(以收益计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模(以收入计),2015年至2025年(估计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元,比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端,公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS,筹集了5.225亿美元,而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似,数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年为69.2%,2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底,知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是,它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿次问答,跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年,公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,公司推出Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料,中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC(用户生成内容)(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容))的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创作者也是用户,他们积极参与社区。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币,预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是,越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长,这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍,2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容社区的市场规模(以收益计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模(以收入计),2015年至2025年(估计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322128837,"gmtCreate":1615785140029,"gmtModify":1703492914760,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tempted to buy","listText":"Tempted to buy","text":"Tempted to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322128837","repostId":"1139451069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139451069","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615777682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139451069?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coupang Is the Amazon.com of South Korea, but Maybe Even Better. And Now You Can Buy the Stock.<blockquote>Coupang是南韩的亚马逊,但也许更好。现在你可以买股票了。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139451069","media":"Barrons","summary":"The more I learn aboutCoupang,the more I want to move to Seoul.\nThe largest e-commerce company in So","content":"<p>The more I learn aboutCoupang,the more I want to move to Seoul.</p><p><blockquote>我对Coupang了解得越多,就越想搬到首尔。</blockquote></p><p> The largest e-commerce company in South Korea, Coupang (ticker: CPNG), went public this past week in spectacular fashion. It now ranks as the country’s second-largest publicly held company, trailing onlySamsung Electronics.It was the biggest U.S. initial public offering by a foreign issuer sinceAlibaba Group Holdingin 2014, and the biggest U.S. new issue of any kind sinceUber Technologiesin 2019.</p><p><blockquote>韩国最大的电子商务公司Coupang(股票代码:CPNG)上周以惊人的方式上市。它现在是该国第二大上市公司,仅次于三星电子。这是自2014年阿里巴巴集团控股以来外国发行人在美国最大规模的首次公开募股,也是自2019年优步科技以来美国最大规模的新股发行。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2010 by Harvard Business School dropout Bom Kim, Coupang has become a huge force in the South Korean economy. The company accounts for 4% of the country’s consumer commerce, with a broad array of online retailing services: ThinkAmazon.com<i>plus</i>Instacart,DoorDash,andNetflix.Coupang has about 50,000 employees and expects to hire another 50,000 Koreans by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang由哈佛商学院辍学生Bom Kim于2010年创立,现已成为韩国经济中的一股巨大力量。该公司占该国消费者商业的4%,拥有广泛的在线零售服务:ThinkAmazon.com<i>加</i>Instacart、DoorDash和Netflix.Coupang拥有约50,000名员工,预计到2025年将再雇用50,000名韩国人。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang may be like Amazon, but it has important geographical advantages. South Korea is a tech-savvy, superdense, highly populated country of more than 50 million people. Eric Kim, who sat on the Coupang board from 2011 to 2017 while a managing director at Maverick Capital, an investor in the company, notes that South Korea has about the same land mass as Indiana—but almost 10 times the population. Take out the uninhabitable mountain regions, he adds, and all of those people are jammed into an area the size of Rhode Island.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang可能像亚马逊,但它拥有重要的地理优势。韩国是一个精通技术、密度过高、人口超过5000万的国家。埃里克·金(Eric Kim)于2011年至2017年担任Coupang董事会成员,同时也是该公司投资者Maverick Capital的董事总经理,他指出,韩国的陆地面积与印第安纳州大致相同,但人口几乎是印第安纳州的10倍。他补充道,除去不适合居住的山区,所有这些人都被挤在一个相当于罗德岛州大小的地区。</blockquote></p><p> That high density helps make Coupang superresponsive. The company has 25 million square feet of warehouse space, spread over 100 locations in more than 30 cities. Coupang says that 70% of Koreans live within seven miles of one of its distribution centers. Almost anything can be ordered same-day, and “dawn delivery” assures that goods ordered by midnight are delivered by 7 a.m.</p><p><blockquote>这种高密度有助于使Coupang反应灵敏。该公司拥有2500万平方英尺的仓库空间,分布在30多个城市的100多个地点。Coupang表示,70%的韩国人居住在其配送中心之一7英里范围内。几乎任何东西都可以当天订购,“黎明送货”保证午夜前订购的商品在早上7点前送达。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang has also eliminated the need for cardboard boxes and bubble wrap for 75% of deliveries. (Let’s see you do that, Amazon.) Coupang Fresh, the company’s market-leading online grocery service, ships goods in reusable containers—leave them by the door and they are whisked away by one of Coupang’s 15,000 delivery staff members for reuse. Returning goods? Leave them outside your door—no special packaging or printed label required.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang还消除了75%的交付对纸箱和气泡包装的需求。(让我们看看你怎么做,亚马逊。)该公司市场领先的在线杂货服务Coupang Fresh用可重复使用的容器运送货物——将它们放在门口,然后由Coupang的15,000名送货人员中的一名迅速带走以供重复使用。退货?把它们放在门外——不需要特殊的包装或印刷标签。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang had 2020 revenue of $12 billion, up 91% from the previous year, as the pandemic helped accelerate growth from 55% in 2019 and 69% in 2018. Growth was above 90% in each of the past four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang 2020年收入为120亿美元,比上一年增长91%,疫情帮助其从2019年的55%和2018年的69%加速增长。过去四个季度每个季度的增长率都在90%以上。</blockquote></p><p> While not profitable yet, the company is getting close. Coupang’s profit margin, as measured by adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, was minus 2.1% last year, versus minus 8.8% the previous year. And that reflects some unusual costs to protect workers from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚未盈利,但该公司已接近盈利。以调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润衡量,Coupang去年的利润率为负2.1%,而前年为负8.8%。这反映了保护工人免受疫情影响的一些不寻常成本。</blockquote></p><p> In the IPO, Coupang sold 130 million shares at $35 apiece. The stock opened for trading at $63.50, giving the company a $114 billion market cap. The stock then drifted lower, closing on Thursday at just under $50 a share, for a valuation just shy of $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO中,Coupang以每股35美元的价格出售了1.3亿股股票。该股开盘价为63.50美元,使该公司市值达到1140亿美元。该股随后走低,周四收于每股略低于50美元,估值略低于900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang shares aren’t cheap—eBay(EBAY) has comparable revenue and less than half the market cap. And the stock trades at a slight premium to Alibaba (BABA) based on trailing 12-months sales. But Coupang has some distinct advantages. Alibaba faces fierce competition from companies like Pinduoduo andJD.com.Alibaba’s growth rate is less than half that of Coupang. And Coupang doesn’t have the Chinese Communist Party looking over its shoulder.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang的股价并不便宜——eBay(EBAY)的收入相当,但市值还不到一半。根据过去12个月的销售额,该股的交易价格略高于阿里巴巴-SW(BABA)。但Coupang有一些明显的优势。阿里巴巴-SW面临着来自拼多多和京东等公司的激烈竞争。阿里巴巴的增长率还不到Coupang的一半。Coupang也没有中国共产党的监视。</blockquote></p><p> One thing that Alibaba and Coupang have in common is a tight relationship withSoftBank Group(SFTBY)—the Japanese holding company is the largest investor in both companies.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW和Coupang的一个共同点是与软银集团(SFTBY)关系密切——这家日本控股公司是两家公司的最大投资者。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank invested $700 million in Coupang in 2015. In 2018, the SoftBank Vision Fund, the company’s $100 billion venture portfolio founded in 2016, invested another $2 billion in a deal led by Lydia Jett, a Vision Fund executive who now sits on the Coupang board. The original investment was rolled into the Vision Fund, for a total bet of $2.7 billion. That stake is now worth $30 billion. It’s a monster win—and possibly the biggest exit ever for a deal led by a woman venture investor.</p><p><blockquote>软银在2015年向Coupang投资了7亿美元。2018年,软银愿景基金(该公司成立于2016年的1000亿美元风险投资组合)在一项由愿景基金高管、现任Coupang董事会成员的莉迪亚·杰特(Lydia Jett)牵头的交易中又投资了20亿美元。最初的投资被转入愿景基金,总赌注为27亿美元。这些股份现在价值300亿美元。这是一场巨大的胜利,也可能是女性风险投资者主导的交易有史以来最大的退出。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank did not sell any shares in the offering, and Jett says in an interview with<i>Barron’s</i>that the company intends to be a long-term investor, as it has been with Alibaba. More than 20 years after its initial investment, SoftBank’s remains the single largest holder in Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>杰特在接受采访时表示,软银在此次发行中没有出售任何股票<i>巴伦周刊</i>该公司打算成为长期投资者,就像阿里巴巴-SW一样。在最初投资20多年后,软银仍然是阿里巴巴-SW最大的单一持有者。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re set up to hold Coupang for the long term,” Jett says. “There is a lot of room left in what is a $500 billion retail market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们准备长期持有Coupang,”杰特说。“5000亿美元的零售市场还有很大的空间。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It seems odd that South Korea, one of the world’s most technologically advanced nations, has played such a small role in the U.S. stock market. Coupang was the first Korean tech company to go public here in more than a decade. Jay Ritter, a University of Florida business school professor who studies the IPO market, says just six Korean tech firms have gone public in the U.S. market, all from 1999 to 2006. That list actually includes Gmarket, an e-commerce company that went public in 2006 and was acquired by eBay for $1.2 billion in 2009. EBay has announced that it is seeking a buyer for its Korean business. None of the best-known Korean tech and manufacturing companies—Samsung,LG,Hyundai Motor,Kia,SK Hynix—have U.S. listings.</p><p><blockquote>韩国作为世界上技术最先进的国家之一,在美国股市中发挥的作用如此之小,这似乎很奇怪。Coupang是十多年来第一家在这里上市的韩国科技公司。佛罗里达大学商学院(University of Florida business school)研究IPO市场的教授杰伊·里特(Jay Ritter)表示,只有六家韩国科技公司在美国市场上市,都是从1999年到2006年。这份名单实际上包括Gmarket,这是一家电子商务公司,于2006年上市,并于2009年被eBay以12亿美元收购。EBay宣布正在为其韩国业务寻找买家。韩国最著名的科技和制造公司——三星、LG、现代汽车、起亚、SK海力士——都没有在美国上市。</blockquote></p><p> Jett thinks the Coupang deal will be a turning point for Korea’s venture capital market. She says there has been a misconception that Korean tech companies weren’t innovative enough. “That door has now been blown off,” she says. “This will transform how Korean companies are funded. This is just the beginning.”</p><p><blockquote>Jett认为Coupang交易将成为韩国风险投资市场的转折点。她说,人们有一种误解,认为韩国科技公司不够创新。“那扇门现在已经被吹掉了,”她说。“这将改变韩国企业的融资方式。这只是一个开始。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coupang Is the Amazon.com of South Korea, but Maybe Even Better. And Now You Can Buy the Stock.<blockquote>Coupang是南韩的亚马逊,但也许更好。现在你可以买股票了。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoupang Is the Amazon.com of South Korea, but Maybe Even Better. And Now You Can Buy the Stock.<blockquote>Coupang是南韩的亚马逊,但也许更好。现在你可以买股票了。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-15 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The more I learn aboutCoupang,the more I want to move to Seoul.</p><p><blockquote>我对Coupang了解得越多,就越想搬到首尔。</blockquote></p><p> The largest e-commerce company in South Korea, Coupang (ticker: CPNG), went public this past week in spectacular fashion. It now ranks as the country’s second-largest publicly held company, trailing onlySamsung Electronics.It was the biggest U.S. initial public offering by a foreign issuer sinceAlibaba Group Holdingin 2014, and the biggest U.S. new issue of any kind sinceUber Technologiesin 2019.</p><p><blockquote>韩国最大的电子商务公司Coupang(股票代码:CPNG)上周以惊人的方式上市。它现在是该国第二大上市公司,仅次于三星电子。这是自2014年阿里巴巴集团控股以来外国发行人在美国最大规模的首次公开募股,也是自2019年优步科技以来美国最大规模的新股发行。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2010 by Harvard Business School dropout Bom Kim, Coupang has become a huge force in the South Korean economy. The company accounts for 4% of the country’s consumer commerce, with a broad array of online retailing services: ThinkAmazon.com<i>plus</i>Instacart,DoorDash,andNetflix.Coupang has about 50,000 employees and expects to hire another 50,000 Koreans by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang由哈佛商学院辍学生Bom Kim于2010年创立,现已成为韩国经济中的一股巨大力量。该公司占该国消费者商业的4%,拥有广泛的在线零售服务:ThinkAmazon.com<i>加</i>Instacart、DoorDash和Netflix.Coupang拥有约50,000名员工,预计到2025年将再雇用50,000名韩国人。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang may be like Amazon, but it has important geographical advantages. South Korea is a tech-savvy, superdense, highly populated country of more than 50 million people. Eric Kim, who sat on the Coupang board from 2011 to 2017 while a managing director at Maverick Capital, an investor in the company, notes that South Korea has about the same land mass as Indiana—but almost 10 times the population. Take out the uninhabitable mountain regions, he adds, and all of those people are jammed into an area the size of Rhode Island.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang可能像亚马逊,但它拥有重要的地理优势。韩国是一个精通技术、密度过高、人口超过5000万的国家。埃里克·金(Eric Kim)于2011年至2017年担任Coupang董事会成员,同时也是该公司投资者Maverick Capital的董事总经理,他指出,韩国的陆地面积与印第安纳州大致相同,但人口几乎是印第安纳州的10倍。他补充道,除去不适合居住的山区,所有这些人都被挤在一个相当于罗德岛州大小的地区。</blockquote></p><p> That high density helps make Coupang superresponsive. The company has 25 million square feet of warehouse space, spread over 100 locations in more than 30 cities. Coupang says that 70% of Koreans live within seven miles of one of its distribution centers. Almost anything can be ordered same-day, and “dawn delivery” assures that goods ordered by midnight are delivered by 7 a.m.</p><p><blockquote>这种高密度有助于使Coupang反应灵敏。该公司拥有2500万平方英尺的仓库空间,分布在30多个城市的100多个地点。Coupang表示,70%的韩国人居住在其配送中心之一7英里范围内。几乎任何东西都可以当天订购,“黎明送货”保证午夜前订购的商品在早上7点前送达。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang has also eliminated the need for cardboard boxes and bubble wrap for 75% of deliveries. (Let’s see you do that, Amazon.) Coupang Fresh, the company’s market-leading online grocery service, ships goods in reusable containers—leave them by the door and they are whisked away by one of Coupang’s 15,000 delivery staff members for reuse. Returning goods? Leave them outside your door—no special packaging or printed label required.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang还消除了75%的交付对纸箱和气泡包装的需求。(让我们看看你怎么做,亚马逊。)该公司市场领先的在线杂货服务Coupang Fresh用可重复使用的容器运送货物——将它们放在门口,然后由Coupang的15,000名送货人员中的一名迅速带走以供重复使用。退货?把它们放在门外——不需要特殊的包装或印刷标签。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang had 2020 revenue of $12 billion, up 91% from the previous year, as the pandemic helped accelerate growth from 55% in 2019 and 69% in 2018. Growth was above 90% in each of the past four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang 2020年收入为120亿美元,比上一年增长91%,疫情帮助其从2019年的55%和2018年的69%加速增长。过去四个季度每个季度的增长率都在90%以上。</blockquote></p><p> While not profitable yet, the company is getting close. Coupang’s profit margin, as measured by adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, was minus 2.1% last year, versus minus 8.8% the previous year. And that reflects some unusual costs to protect workers from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚未盈利,但该公司已接近盈利。以调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润衡量,Coupang去年的利润率为负2.1%,而前年为负8.8%。这反映了保护工人免受疫情影响的一些不寻常成本。</blockquote></p><p> In the IPO, Coupang sold 130 million shares at $35 apiece. The stock opened for trading at $63.50, giving the company a $114 billion market cap. The stock then drifted lower, closing on Thursday at just under $50 a share, for a valuation just shy of $90 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO中,Coupang以每股35美元的价格出售了1.3亿股股票。该股开盘价为63.50美元,使该公司市值达到1140亿美元。该股随后走低,周四收于每股略低于50美元,估值略低于900亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coupang shares aren’t cheap—eBay(EBAY) has comparable revenue and less than half the market cap. And the stock trades at a slight premium to Alibaba (BABA) based on trailing 12-months sales. But Coupang has some distinct advantages. Alibaba faces fierce competition from companies like Pinduoduo andJD.com.Alibaba’s growth rate is less than half that of Coupang. And Coupang doesn’t have the Chinese Communist Party looking over its shoulder.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang的股价并不便宜——eBay(EBAY)的收入相当,但市值还不到一半。根据过去12个月的销售额,该股的交易价格略高于阿里巴巴-SW(BABA)。但Coupang有一些明显的优势。阿里巴巴-SW面临着来自拼多多和京东等公司的激烈竞争。阿里巴巴的增长率还不到Coupang的一半。Coupang也没有中国共产党的监视。</blockquote></p><p> One thing that Alibaba and Coupang have in common is a tight relationship withSoftBank Group(SFTBY)—the Japanese holding company is the largest investor in both companies.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW和Coupang的一个共同点是与软银集团(SFTBY)关系密切——这家日本控股公司是两家公司的最大投资者。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank invested $700 million in Coupang in 2015. In 2018, the SoftBank Vision Fund, the company’s $100 billion venture portfolio founded in 2016, invested another $2 billion in a deal led by Lydia Jett, a Vision Fund executive who now sits on the Coupang board. The original investment was rolled into the Vision Fund, for a total bet of $2.7 billion. That stake is now worth $30 billion. It’s a monster win—and possibly the biggest exit ever for a deal led by a woman venture investor.</p><p><blockquote>软银在2015年向Coupang投资了7亿美元。2018年,软银愿景基金(该公司成立于2016年的1000亿美元风险投资组合)在一项由愿景基金高管、现任Coupang董事会成员的莉迪亚·杰特(Lydia Jett)牵头的交易中又投资了20亿美元。最初的投资被转入愿景基金,总赌注为27亿美元。这些股份现在价值300亿美元。这是一场巨大的胜利,也可能是女性风险投资者主导的交易有史以来最大的退出。</blockquote></p><p> SoftBank did not sell any shares in the offering, and Jett says in an interview with<i>Barron’s</i>that the company intends to be a long-term investor, as it has been with Alibaba. More than 20 years after its initial investment, SoftBank’s remains the single largest holder in Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>杰特在接受采访时表示,软银在此次发行中没有出售任何股票<i>巴伦周刊</i>该公司打算成为长期投资者,就像阿里巴巴-SW一样。在最初投资20多年后,软银仍然是阿里巴巴-SW最大的单一持有者。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re set up to hold Coupang for the long term,” Jett says. “There is a lot of room left in what is a $500 billion retail market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们准备长期持有Coupang,”杰特说。“5000亿美元的零售市场还有很大的空间。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It seems odd that South Korea, one of the world’s most technologically advanced nations, has played such a small role in the U.S. stock market. Coupang was the first Korean tech company to go public here in more than a decade. Jay Ritter, a University of Florida business school professor who studies the IPO market, says just six Korean tech firms have gone public in the U.S. market, all from 1999 to 2006. That list actually includes Gmarket, an e-commerce company that went public in 2006 and was acquired by eBay for $1.2 billion in 2009. EBay has announced that it is seeking a buyer for its Korean business. None of the best-known Korean tech and manufacturing companies—Samsung,LG,Hyundai Motor,Kia,SK Hynix—have U.S. listings.</p><p><blockquote>韩国作为世界上技术最先进的国家之一,在美国股市中发挥的作用如此之小,这似乎很奇怪。Coupang是十多年来第一家在这里上市的韩国科技公司。佛罗里达大学商学院(University of Florida business school)研究IPO市场的教授杰伊·里特(Jay Ritter)表示,只有六家韩国科技公司在美国市场上市,都是从1999年到2006年。这份名单实际上包括Gmarket,这是一家电子商务公司,于2006年上市,并于2009年被eBay以12亿美元收购。EBay宣布正在为其韩国业务寻找买家。韩国最著名的科技和制造公司——三星、LG、现代汽车、起亚、SK海力士——都没有在美国上市。</blockquote></p><p> Jett thinks the Coupang deal will be a turning point for Korea’s venture capital market. She says there has been a misconception that Korean tech companies weren’t innovative enough. “That door has now been blown off,” she says. “This will transform how Korean companies are funded. This is just the beginning.”</p><p><blockquote>Jett认为Coupang交易将成为韩国风险投资市场的转折点。她说,人们有一种误解,认为韩国科技公司不够创新。“那扇门现在已经被吹掉了,”她说。“这将改变韩国企业的融资方式。这只是一个开始。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/coupang-is-the-amazon-com-of-south-korea-but-maybe-even-better-51615590150?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CPNG":"Coupang, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/coupang-is-the-amazon-com-of-south-korea-but-maybe-even-better-51615590150?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139451069","content_text":"The more I learn aboutCoupang,the more I want to move to Seoul.\nThe largest e-commerce company in South Korea, Coupang (ticker: CPNG), went public this past week in spectacular fashion. It now ranks as the country’s second-largest publicly held company, trailing onlySamsung Electronics.It was the biggest U.S. initial public offering by a foreign issuer sinceAlibaba Group Holdingin 2014, and the biggest U.S. new issue of any kind sinceUber Technologiesin 2019.\nFounded in 2010 by Harvard Business School dropout Bom Kim, Coupang has become a huge force in the South Korean economy. The company accounts for 4% of the country’s consumer commerce, with a broad array of online retailing services: ThinkAmazon.complusInstacart,DoorDash,andNetflix.Coupang has about 50,000 employees and expects to hire another 50,000 Koreans by 2025.\nCoupang may be like Amazon, but it has important geographical advantages. South Korea is a tech-savvy, superdense, highly populated country of more than 50 million people. Eric Kim, who sat on the Coupang board from 2011 to 2017 while a managing director at Maverick Capital, an investor in the company, notes that South Korea has about the same land mass as Indiana—but almost 10 times the population. Take out the uninhabitable mountain regions, he adds, and all of those people are jammed into an area the size of Rhode Island.\nThat high density helps make Coupang superresponsive. The company has 25 million square feet of warehouse space, spread over 100 locations in more than 30 cities. Coupang says that 70% of Koreans live within seven miles of one of its distribution centers. Almost anything can be ordered same-day, and “dawn delivery” assures that goods ordered by midnight are delivered by 7 a.m.\nCoupang has also eliminated the need for cardboard boxes and bubble wrap for 75% of deliveries. (Let’s see you do that, Amazon.) Coupang Fresh, the company’s market-leading online grocery service, ships goods in reusable containers—leave them by the door and they are whisked away by one of Coupang’s 15,000 delivery staff members for reuse. Returning goods? Leave them outside your door—no special packaging or printed label required.\nCoupang had 2020 revenue of $12 billion, up 91% from the previous year, as the pandemic helped accelerate growth from 55% in 2019 and 69% in 2018. Growth was above 90% in each of the past four quarters.\nWhile not profitable yet, the company is getting close. Coupang’s profit margin, as measured by adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, was minus 2.1% last year, versus minus 8.8% the previous year. And that reflects some unusual costs to protect workers from the pandemic.\nIn the IPO, Coupang sold 130 million shares at $35 apiece. The stock opened for trading at $63.50, giving the company a $114 billion market cap. The stock then drifted lower, closing on Thursday at just under $50 a share, for a valuation just shy of $90 billion.\nCoupang shares aren’t cheap—eBay(EBAY) has comparable revenue and less than half the market cap. And the stock trades at a slight premium to Alibaba (BABA) based on trailing 12-months sales. But Coupang has some distinct advantages. Alibaba faces fierce competition from companies like Pinduoduo andJD.com.Alibaba’s growth rate is less than half that of Coupang. And Coupang doesn’t have the Chinese Communist Party looking over its shoulder.\nOne thing that Alibaba and Coupang have in common is a tight relationship withSoftBank Group(SFTBY)—the Japanese holding company is the largest investor in both companies.\nSoftBank invested $700 million in Coupang in 2015. In 2018, the SoftBank Vision Fund, the company’s $100 billion venture portfolio founded in 2016, invested another $2 billion in a deal led by Lydia Jett, a Vision Fund executive who now sits on the Coupang board. The original investment was rolled into the Vision Fund, for a total bet of $2.7 billion. That stake is now worth $30 billion. It’s a monster win—and possibly the biggest exit ever for a deal led by a woman venture investor.\nSoftBank did not sell any shares in the offering, and Jett says in an interview withBarron’sthat the company intends to be a long-term investor, as it has been with Alibaba. More than 20 years after its initial investment, SoftBank’s remains the single largest holder in Alibaba.\n“We’re set up to hold Coupang for the long term,” Jett says. “There is a lot of room left in what is a $500 billion retail market.”\nIt seems odd that South Korea, one of the world’s most technologically advanced nations, has played such a small role in the U.S. stock market. Coupang was the first Korean tech company to go public here in more than a decade. Jay Ritter, a University of Florida business school professor who studies the IPO market, says just six Korean tech firms have gone public in the U.S. market, all from 1999 to 2006. That list actually includes Gmarket, an e-commerce company that went public in 2006 and was acquired by eBay for $1.2 billion in 2009. EBay has announced that it is seeking a buyer for its Korean business. None of the best-known Korean tech and manufacturing companies—Samsung,LG,Hyundai Motor,Kia,SK Hynix—have U.S. listings.\nJett thinks the Coupang deal will be a turning point for Korea’s venture capital market. She says there has been a misconception that Korean tech companies weren’t innovative enough. “That door has now been blown off,” she says. “This will transform how Korean companies are funded. This is just the beginning.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CPNG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895164337,"gmtCreate":1628729387829,"gmtModify":1631889363250,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tonite Nio Nio chiong le lah [Miser] ","listText":"Tonite Nio Nio chiong le lah [Miser] ","text":"Tonite Nio Nio chiong le lah [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895164337","repostId":"1106699544","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106699544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628723648,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106699544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-12 07:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Stock: EV Maker's Second-Quarter Loss Narrows as Revenue Rises<blockquote>蔚来股票:随着收入增长,电动汽车制造商第二季度亏损收窄</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106699544","media":"The Street","summary":"Nio beats Wall Street's expectations as second-quarter vehicle sales surge 127%.Nio -Get Report posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings Wednesday as the Chinese electric vehicle company reported a jump in revenue and raised its guidance.Shares of the Shanghai company were essentially flat at $43.99 in after-hours trading.Nio reported a net loss of 7 cents a share. The adjusted loss coming to 3 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were calling for a loss of 9 cents a share.Rev","content":"<p> Nio beats Wall Street's expectations as second-quarter vehicle sales surge 127%. Nio (<b>NIO</b>) -Get Report posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings Wednesday as the Chinese electric vehicle company reported a jump in revenue and raised its guidance.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来第二季度汽车销量飙升127%,超出华尔街预期。蔚来(<b>蔚来</b>)-Get Report周三公布了好于预期的第二季度收益,这家中国电动汽车公司报告收入大幅增长并上调了指引。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the Shanghai company were essentially flat at $43.99 in after-hours trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a746dc007dc46d29bf188a45bbc86aec\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nio reported a net loss of 7 cents a share. The adjusted loss coming to 3 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were calling for a loss of 9 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>这家上海公司的股价在盘后交易中基本持平于43.99美元。蔚来报告每股净亏损7美分。调整后每股亏损为3美分。FactSet调查的分析师预计每股亏损9美分。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue totaled $1.31 billion, up 127.2% from a year ago. The FactSet consensus called for revenue of $1.30 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63e109b5f649ae97d7a9d377b88b71e9\" tg-width=\"1797\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Vehicle sales came to $1.23 billion, up 127% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>收入总计13.1亿美元,同比增长127.2%。FactSet共识要求收入为13亿美元。汽车销售额达到12.3亿美元,同比增长127%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said the increase in vehicle sales in the quarter was mainly attributed to higher deliveries achieved from more product mix offered to Nio's users.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,本季度汽车销量的增长主要归因于向蔚来用户提供的更多产品组合实现了更高的交付量。</blockquote></p><p> Niodelivered 7,931 vehicles in July, up 124.5% year-over-year, but down 1.9% from 8,083 in June.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bf75d58d683b265aadac1f3bad5be7c\" tg-width=\"1690\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the third quarter, Nio is said it expects to deliver between 23,00 and 25,000 vehicles, up 88.4% to 104.8% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来汽车7月份交付了7,931辆汽车,同比增长124.5%,但较6月份的8,083辆下降了1.9%。蔚来表示,第三季度预计将交付23,000至25,000辆汽车,同比增长88.4%至104.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue for the third quarter is expected to range from $1.38 billion to $1.49 billion, up 96.9% to 112.8% from a year ago. FactSet is calling for revenue of $1.32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度营收预计在13.8亿美元至14.9亿美元之间,同比增长96.9%至112.8%。FactSet预计营收为13.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> William Bin Li, Nio's founder, chairman and CEO, said in a statement that the company achieved a record-high quarterly delivery of 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter of 2021:</p><p><blockquote>蔚来创始人、董事长兼首席执行官William Bin Li在一份声明中表示,该公司在2021年第二季度实现了创纪录的21896辆季度交付量:</blockquote></p><p> \"While the global supply chain still faces uncertainties, we have been working closely with our partners to improve the overall supply chain production capacity,\" Bin said. \"We aim to deliver three new products based on the NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022, including ET7, a flagship premium smart electric sedan.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bin表示:“虽然全球供应链仍面临不确定性,但我们一直在与合作伙伴密切合作,以提高整体供应链产能。”“我们的目标是在2022年交付三款基于蔚来技术平台2.0的新产品,包括旗舰级高端智能电动轿车ET7。”</blockquote></p><p> Steven Wei Feng, Nio's chief financial officer, said vehicle margin and gross margin reached 20.3% and 18.6% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来首席财务官Steven Wei Feng表示,整车利润率和毛利率分别达到20.3%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The increase of vehicle margin was mainly driven by the increase of vehicle delivery volume, higher average selling price, as well as lower material cost, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,车辆利润率的增长主要是由于车辆交付量的增加、平均售价的提高以及材料成本的降低。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Nio saidthat by the end of 2025it planned to add 3,700 battery-swap stations, which would give it 4,000.</p><p><blockquote>上个月,蔚来表示,计划到2025年底增加3,700个电池交换站,这将使其达到4,000个。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Stock: EV Maker's Second-Quarter Loss Narrows as Revenue Rises<blockquote>蔚来股票:随着收入增长,电动汽车制造商第二季度亏损收窄</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Stock: EV Maker's Second-Quarter Loss Narrows as Revenue Rises<blockquote>蔚来股票:随着收入增长,电动汽车制造商第二季度亏损收窄</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-12 07:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Nio beats Wall Street's expectations as second-quarter vehicle sales surge 127%. Nio (<b>NIO</b>) -Get Report posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings Wednesday as the Chinese electric vehicle company reported a jump in revenue and raised its guidance.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来第二季度汽车销量飙升127%,超出华尔街预期。蔚来(<b>蔚来</b>)-Get Report周三公布了好于预期的第二季度收益,这家中国电动汽车公司报告收入大幅增长并上调了指引。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the Shanghai company were essentially flat at $43.99 in after-hours trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a746dc007dc46d29bf188a45bbc86aec\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Nio reported a net loss of 7 cents a share. The adjusted loss coming to 3 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were calling for a loss of 9 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>这家上海公司的股价在盘后交易中基本持平于43.99美元。蔚来报告每股净亏损7美分。调整后每股亏损为3美分。FactSet调查的分析师预计每股亏损9美分。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue totaled $1.31 billion, up 127.2% from a year ago. The FactSet consensus called for revenue of $1.30 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63e109b5f649ae97d7a9d377b88b71e9\" tg-width=\"1797\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Vehicle sales came to $1.23 billion, up 127% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>收入总计13.1亿美元,同比增长127.2%。FactSet共识要求收入为13亿美元。汽车销售额达到12.3亿美元,同比增长127%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said the increase in vehicle sales in the quarter was mainly attributed to higher deliveries achieved from more product mix offered to Nio's users.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,本季度汽车销量的增长主要归因于向蔚来用户提供的更多产品组合实现了更高的交付量。</blockquote></p><p> Niodelivered 7,931 vehicles in July, up 124.5% year-over-year, but down 1.9% from 8,083 in June.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bf75d58d683b265aadac1f3bad5be7c\" tg-width=\"1690\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the third quarter, Nio is said it expects to deliver between 23,00 and 25,000 vehicles, up 88.4% to 104.8% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来汽车7月份交付了7,931辆汽车,同比增长124.5%,但较6月份的8,083辆下降了1.9%。蔚来表示,第三季度预计将交付23,000至25,000辆汽车,同比增长88.4%至104.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue for the third quarter is expected to range from $1.38 billion to $1.49 billion, up 96.9% to 112.8% from a year ago. FactSet is calling for revenue of $1.32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度营收预计在13.8亿美元至14.9亿美元之间,同比增长96.9%至112.8%。FactSet预计营收为13.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> William Bin Li, Nio's founder, chairman and CEO, said in a statement that the company achieved a record-high quarterly delivery of 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter of 2021:</p><p><blockquote>蔚来创始人、董事长兼首席执行官William Bin Li在一份声明中表示,该公司在2021年第二季度实现了创纪录的21896辆季度交付量:</blockquote></p><p> \"While the global supply chain still faces uncertainties, we have been working closely with our partners to improve the overall supply chain production capacity,\" Bin said. \"We aim to deliver three new products based on the NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022, including ET7, a flagship premium smart electric sedan.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bin表示:“虽然全球供应链仍面临不确定性,但我们一直在与合作伙伴密切合作,以提高整体供应链产能。”“我们的目标是在2022年交付三款基于蔚来技术平台2.0的新产品,包括旗舰级高端智能电动轿车ET7。”</blockquote></p><p> Steven Wei Feng, Nio's chief financial officer, said vehicle margin and gross margin reached 20.3% and 18.6% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来首席财务官Steven Wei Feng表示,整车利润率和毛利率分别达到20.3%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The increase of vehicle margin was mainly driven by the increase of vehicle delivery volume, higher average selling price, as well as lower material cost, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,车辆利润率的增长主要是由于车辆交付量的增加、平均售价的提高以及材料成本的降低。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Nio saidthat by the end of 2025it planned to add 3,700 battery-swap stations, which would give it 4,000.</p><p><blockquote>上个月,蔚来表示,计划到2025年底增加3,700个电池交换站,这将使其达到4,000个。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nio-stock-ev-makers-second-quarter-loss-narrows-as-revenue-rises\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nio-stock-ev-makers-second-quarter-loss-narrows-as-revenue-rises","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106699544","content_text":"Nio beats Wall Street's expectations as second-quarter vehicle sales surge 127%.\n\nNio (NIO) -Get Report posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings Wednesday as the Chinese electric vehicle company reported a jump in revenue and raised its guidance.\nShares of the Shanghai company were essentially flat at $43.99 in after-hours trading.Nio reported a net loss of 7 cents a share. The adjusted loss coming to 3 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were calling for a loss of 9 cents a share.\nRevenue totaled $1.31 billion, up 127.2% from a year ago. The FactSet consensus called for revenue of $1.30 billion.Vehicle sales came to $1.23 billion, up 127% from a year ago.\nThe company said the increase in vehicle sales in the quarter was mainly attributed to higher deliveries achieved from more product mix offered to Nio's users.\nNiodelivered 7,931 vehicles in July, up 124.5% year-over-year, but down 1.9% from 8,083 in June.For the third quarter, Nio is said it expects to deliver between 23,00 and 25,000 vehicles, up 88.4% to 104.8% from a year ago.\nRevenue for the third quarter is expected to range from $1.38 billion to $1.49 billion, up 96.9% to 112.8% from a year ago. FactSet is calling for revenue of $1.32 billion.\nWilliam Bin Li, Nio's founder, chairman and CEO, said in a statement that the company achieved a record-high quarterly delivery of 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter of 2021:\n\"While the global supply chain still faces uncertainties, we have been working closely with our partners to improve the overall supply chain production capacity,\" Bin said. \"We aim to deliver three new products based on the NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022, including ET7, a flagship premium smart electric sedan.\"\nSteven Wei Feng, Nio's chief financial officer, said vehicle margin and gross margin reached 20.3% and 18.6% respectively.\nThe increase of vehicle margin was mainly driven by the increase of vehicle delivery volume, higher average selling price, as well as lower material cost, the company said.\nLast month, Nio saidthat by the end of 2025it planned to add 3,700 battery-swap stations, which would give it 4,000.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176557104,"gmtCreate":1626909634508,"gmtModify":1631892272560,"author":{"id":"3562979576963766","authorId":"3562979576963766","name":"Snowwhite","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b8537e21be09b6dce060ffe87a88e8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562979576963766","idStr":"3562979576963766"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio go go [Love you] ","listText":"Nio go go [Love you] ","text":"Nio go go [Love you]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176557104","repostId":"1161684365","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}