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鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似
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02:32","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188170154","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：1、整体货币政策：美联","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92879259c765dbae9583a2fbc04a9573\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e347064997631f50d80743d3daddcb13\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：</b></p><p>1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。</p><p>2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。</p><p>3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。</p><p>4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。</p><p>5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。</p><p>6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。</p><p>7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。</p><p>8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。</p><p><b>即时市场评论</b></p><p>分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。</p><p>蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。</p><p>NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-17 02:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92879259c765dbae9583a2fbc04a9573\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e347064997631f50d80743d3daddcb13\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：</b></p><p>1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。</p><p>2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。</p><p>3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。</p><p>4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。</p><p>5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。</p><p>6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。</p><p>7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。</p><p>8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。</p><p><b>即时市场评论</b></p><p>分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。</p><p>蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。</p><p>NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/909f0c076f3fff78497a5c9be00e5429","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188170154","content_text":"3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。即时市场评论分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":216808987541608,"gmtCreate":1693965242210,"gmtModify":1693965323443,"author":{"id":"3563440244462230","authorId":"3563440244462230","name":"有钱花的","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f67f689acf2c1589a38b4e68e1a0f4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563440244462230","idStr":"3563440244462230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDCNH.FOREX\">$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ </a>","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a>","text":"$贵州茅台(600519)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665050230","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":634610329,"gmtCreate":1647474374684,"gmtModify":1647481853798,"author":{"id":"3563440244462230","authorId":"3563440244462230","name":"有钱花的","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f67f689acf2c1589a38b4e68e1a0f4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563440244462230","idStr":"3563440244462230"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634610329","repostId":"1188170154","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1188170154","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647455539,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188170154?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-17 02:32","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188170154","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：1、整体货币政策：美联","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92879259c765dbae9583a2fbc04a9573\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e347064997631f50d80743d3daddcb13\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：</b></p><p>1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。</p><p>2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。</p><p>3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。</p><p>4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。</p><p>5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。</p><p>6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。</p><p>7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。</p><p>8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。</p><p><b>即时市场评论</b></p><p>分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。</p><p>蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。</p><p>NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔：最快在5月宣布缩表，计划框架将与上一次相似\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-17 02:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92879259c765dbae9583a2fbc04a9573\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e347064997631f50d80743d3daddcb13\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"245\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：</b></p><p>1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。</p><p>2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。</p><p>3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。</p><p>4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。</p><p>5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。</p><p>6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。</p><p>7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。</p><p>8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。</p><p><b>即时市场评论</b></p><p>分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。</p><p>蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。</p><p>NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/909f0c076f3fff78497a5c9be00e5429","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188170154","content_text":"3月16日，美联储开启加息周期，鲍威尔召开新闻发布会。在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话之际，美股再度走高，纳指涨超2%，标普500指数涨超1%，道指涨0.41%。鲍威尔新闻发布会要点总结：1、整体货币政策：美联储加息和缩表的时间已经到来。形势“高度不确定”，美联储将部署众多工具。2、加息：新版资产负债表框架根本没有造成美联储暂缓加息。3、缩表：美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。美联储最快可能会在5月宣布调整资产负债表，正在敲定资产负债表问题的细节，在若干参数取得了“非常不错的进展”。资产负债表框架将与上次类似，但缩表的速度将比上次更快。美联储在未来缩减资产负债表时，将留意更大范围的经济形势。资产负债表框架完全关乎将通胀预期锚定在2%。无法将美国面临的通胀问题归咎于框架，通胀是“陡然迸发的”。4、通胀：FOMC将坚定地恢复物价稳定性。通胀仍然明显高于美联储2%的通胀目标。能源价格上涨正在推高通胀，石油价格在短期内对美国通胀构成一定程度上的上行压力；乌克兰危机造成更大的通胀上行压力。预计通胀将在就业市场保持强劲的情况下回落至2%，但这个过程所持续的时间将超过预期。美联储正“逐份报告地”关注美国通胀数据。如果通胀没有趋于缓和，美联储将采取若干必要行动。我们看到在通胀方面取得不错的进展。5、就业：劳动力市场继续大范围改善，劳动力需求非常强劲、但供应受抑。薪资增速创多年来最快。6、供应链：相比美联储原来的预估，供应紊乱程度更加严重、持续时间更长。7、地缘政治危机：乌克兰危机可能对美国的贸易活动和供应面造成溢出效应。东欧地区的战争将通过多个渠道冲击到美国。战争将造成供应链问题更加错综复杂。8、金融条件：随着美联储调整政策，金融条件将进一步收紧。金融条件是时候转向一个更加正常的大环境了。需要通过政策来传导至实体经济。即时市场评论分析师Michael MacKenzie：债券交易员越来越担忧经济衰退。美国5年期和10年期国债收益率曲线出现倒挂。美联储主席鲍威尔乐观地认为，明年经济衰退的可能性很低，但交易员们对此并不买账。蒙特利尔银行资本市场Ian Lyngen：在对抗通胀方面，此次会议对于美联储而言是一个增强其可信度的事件，预计这将巩固目前趋平的态势。NATIXIS美国首席经济学家JOSEPH LAVORGNA：美联储是对市场对于通胀的恐惧作出的反应，因此证实了今年加息7次的市场预期。这是一项神奇的预测，认为这经不起历史的审视。目前经济在走弱 ，他们计划将利率提高至远高于所谓的中性水平；中性水平低于其预期的水平。个人不认为美联储能够在目前通胀破坏需求的情况下实施这种紧缩政策。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
