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457fe3dd

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2021-07-15

Nice

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2021-06-22

Nice

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2021-06-21

Nice

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2021-06-20

Ok good

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2021-06-16

:(

Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>

2021-06-15

fingers crossed!

Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>

2021-03-02

Oh nice

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2021-02-28

nice!

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2021-02-22

yas

Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>

2021-02-21

nice

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2021-02-19

nice

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2021-02-11

👍

Why did Tesla buy bitcoin?<blockquote>特斯拉为什么要收购比特币？</blockquote>

2021-01-25

YAS

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2021-01-25

Still believe in this stock!!

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08:30","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169657028","media":"Barrons","summary":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a","content":"<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•根据合同（如债券）产生稳定可靠的现金流</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 08:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•根据合同（如债券）产生稳定可靠的现金流</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169657028","content_text":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.\nIn a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”\n“While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”\nGoldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:\n• Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds\n• Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities\n• Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio\n• Dampen volatility\n• Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value\nBitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.\nThe note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.\nFor typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.\nBy the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.\nJust a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization lost has been much greater.\n“Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.\nAlso of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187519329,"gmtCreate":1623758476161,"gmtModify":1631889093648,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fingers crossed!","listText":"fingers crossed!","text":"fingers crossed!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187519329","repostId":"2142788371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142788371","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623627985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2142788371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142788371","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GET","content":"<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 07:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142788371","content_text":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION\nYou couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:\nTransitory, or not transitory?\nTherein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.\nWhether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.\nOf course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.\nThat is especially true with the S&P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.\nThe Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.\nLast Thursday’s consumer-price index report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.\n“The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.\nThe fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note and the 30-year Treasury bond hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.\nTreasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.\nIs isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?\n“Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.\n“That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.\nSome traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.\nThe Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.\nIn the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report and the job openings data from last week which hit a record 9.3 million.\nLawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.\n“The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.\n“Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.\nAndrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.\n“While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.\nIndeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.\n“Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.\n“We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.\n“Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.\nWhat else is on investors’ radar?\nMeanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362285454,"gmtCreate":1614642837878,"gmtModify":1703479189117,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh nice","listText":"Oh nice","text":"Oh nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362285454","repostId":"1102947994","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366642460,"gmtCreate":1614480005650,"gmtModify":1703477730871,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!","listText":"nice!","text":"nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366642460","repostId":"2114111304","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360519710,"gmtCreate":1613955275230,"gmtModify":1631889093662,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yas","listText":"yas","text":"yas","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360519710","repostId":"1100960455","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100960455","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613717993,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100960455?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 14:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100960455","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disapp","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.</li>  <li>Palantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.</li>  <li>Palantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.</li>  <li>Palantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!</li> </ul> One of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir公布了稳健的收入，但未能实现盈利。未来的预测有点令人失望。</li><li>Palantir预计2020年收入将同比增长30%，此前预计2020年收入将增长47%。</li><li>Palantir继续扩大其在多个行业的客户群。</li><li>Palantir的锁定期于2月19日结束。下注吧！</li></ul>最近最热门的股票之一是最近直接上市的Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)。一些投资者预计该公司今天将发布井喷式收益，但未能如愿。该公司确实实现了令人难以置信的收入增长，而且前进的道路看起来也很光明。然而，投资者对该公司表示的光明前景感到失望。正如预期的那样，在禁售期结束之前，该股正在下跌。下周将讲述一个更好的故事，说明这只股票的走向。如果你觉得有风险，就跳上船。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Are They?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们是谁？</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果你和我一样，你可能不知道这家公司是谁，也不知道他们做什么。Palantir Technologies Inc.成立于2003年，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。简而言之，他们为美国情报界构建和部署软件平台，以协助反恐调查和行动。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Gothamis是一个软件程序，可以识别隐藏在数据集中深处的模式。这有助于对平台内已识别的威胁执行真实世界的响应。这被用于帮助2018年佛罗伦萨飓风中有需要的人。Palantir Gotham将公开可用的洪水数据与天气信息和社会脆弱性普查数据相结合，以找到最需要的社区并适当部署资源。最近，他们向美国政府提供冠状病毒跟踪软件。</blockquote></p><p> The company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还提供Palantir Foundry，这是一个通过为组织的数据创建中央操作系统来改变组织运营方式的平台；并允许个人用户在一个地方集成和分析他们需要的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Pretty cool hey?</p><p><blockquote>很酷嘿？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Is Driving The Company?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了公司？</b></blockquote></p><p> Revenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.</p><p><blockquote>收入。这是一部成长剧，简单明了。往下看，我们可以看到未来的预测。缺失的区块是2020年，我们今天发现是11亿美元。同比增长约47%。展望未来，分析师预计年收入增长率将保持在35%以上。通常我们认为20%是强的，所以这看起来真的很好。第四季度，该公司营收为3.221亿美元，增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2926257ca97794e55159ce8c6021a745\" tg-width=\"2978\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TIKR.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TIKR.com）</blockquote></p><p> The shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>令人震惊的是每股亏损总计0.08美元，而市场普遍预期为0.02美元。受财报消息影响，该股今天下跌超过12%。深入研究后，大多数投资者似乎对前瞻性预测感到失望。我个人认为他们有点沙袋，以消除共识，但时间会证明这有多真实。根据该公司发布的所有新闻，约翰·罗兹(John Rhodes)的文章对此进行了很好的概述：Palantir：潜在的第四季度收入井喷大多数人预计收入会超出预期，但该股上周的表现却并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Data has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>数据变得比以往任何时候都更加与普通人相关。当地新闻有各种各样关于新冠肺炎的数据。2020年，Palantir帮助100家商业组织和10个国家政府应对COVID-19。这对Palantir来说是一个巨大的机会，他们并没有浪费它。这一回应帮助thema赢得了价值3150万美元的为期两年的英国卫生服务工作合同。仅在第四季度，该公司就签署了21笔价值超过500万美元的交易。其中12个价值1000万美元或以上。收入增长将继续是Palantir的未来。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>一些最好的业务是政府业务。今年，Palantir 56%的收入（即6.1亿美元）来自政府合同。虽然商业方面的同比增长高达107%，但政府收入增长77%并不是什么可笑的事情。更令人印象深刻的一件事是我们在普通客户身上看到的情况。收入同比增长41%。每位客户从560万美元增至790万美元。随着客户继续开发和改进其系统，将越来越多的业务移交给Palantir，这是一个需要关注的重要指标。另一个因素是Palantir吸引了更大的客户。2020年获得的新客户创造了4200万美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9284f5fd3e26d0c55fcd9b2f6355371e\" tg-width=\"1752\" tg-height=\"983\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> (Company Presentation)</p><p><blockquote>（公司介绍）</blockquote></p><p> So all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>所以所有这些，我们今天仍然坐在12%？正如我上面提到的，人们对前瞻性预测感到有点震惊。Palantir表示，预计2021年收入增长将超过30%。对于大多数公司来说，这将是一个好消息，但在您刚刚公布了47%的增长年度之后，这有点令人难过。但正如我所说，我认为他们有点沙袋。分析师仍预计2021年将增长约35%。直觉告诉我，随着时间的推移，他们会超越这一目标。该公司确实表示，他们的目标是到2025年实现40亿美元的收入，从现在开始每年增长30%。根据目前的预测，我完全预计这个数字将接近50亿美元。Palantir正在追逐多个行业的“大鱼”。他们的客户中有8家属于财富100强，12家属于全球100强。随着他们产品的不断开发和改进，他们的底线只会越来越好。我认为从长远来看，这里有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are The Risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有哪些风险？</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.</p><p><blockquote>即将到来的风险之一是禁售期结束，我将在下面谈到这一点。除此之外，我会看看政府的合同。是的，它们是最重要的，但这并不是说它们没有风险。Palantir过去曾表示，他们需要更多地关注商业客户，以帮助盈利并扭亏为盈（这是盈利抛售的部分原因）。正如我们所看到的，他们已经获得了一些大型商业客户，但政府方面仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Something to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.</p><p><blockquote>还要记住的是，与政府打交道可能会导致跨越一些人不同意的界限。据《华盛顿邮报》报道，2018年，200多名员工签署了一封致首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普的信，理由是对与移民和海关执法局合作的担忧。过去，其他多家大型科技公司因潜在侵犯人权而被迫切断与政府机构的联系。</blockquote></p><p> That said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我确实认为该公司将继续在商业领域表现出色，并随着时间的推移减少整体政府风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是“禁售期”？</b></blockquote></p><p> The one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.</p><p><blockquote>许多人对Palantir的一个担忧是锁定期，锁定期将于2月19日（星期五）结束。通常情况下，这是我们会看到走这条路线的IPO出现低点的地方，但情况并非总是如此。</blockquote></p><p>   Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.  What is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.</p><p><blockquote>从10月前两周锁定期到期的15只股票来看，大多数股票在到期日前几天开始下跌，三到五天后反弹。然而，一些人当天几乎没有抛售压力，锁定结束后股价立即攀升。这是什么？简而言之，我们不是通过首次公开募股（IPO）来创建公司的新股并由中介机构承销，而是直接上市。这是企业直接向公众出售股票的方式，无需任何中介机构的帮助。不涉及任何承销商或其他中介机构，不存在发行新股。这意味着该业务的最大股东只能在IPO禁售期到期后自由出售其股份。Spotify(SPOT)和Slack(WORK)是直接上市公司的两个例子。也就是说，这两家公司都没有员工锁定期。</blockquote></p><p> So what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:</p><p><blockquote>那么这意味着什么呢？好吧，鉴于MarketWatch表示：</blockquote></p><p>   For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.  It means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于Palantir来说，多年的风险资本投资已经创造了足够的股票来启动公开交易：大约16.4亿股，尽管在包括归属期权在内的完全稀释公式中，这一数字将增长至21.7亿股。这意味着，目前流通股约为4.97亿股，我们可能会看到约17亿股上市。现在这种可能性不大，但这确实意味着，考虑到IPO通常占已发行股票的10%，而根据上面提供的数字，Palantir发行的股票超过20%，该股的抛售压力应该低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Where are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在在哪里？根据前面引用的研究，我们正走在正轨上。就在禁售期结束之前，该股正在有序抛售。现在我们必须拭目以待，看看反弹的情况如何。还是每个人都卖得很高，然后试图买得更低？这有点观望。让我们来看看技术向我们展示了什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does The Price Say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下技术面，我们可以看到几个非常强大的支撑位。首先，我们今天突破了30美元的一个相当大的水平，而且是以一种很大的方式突破的，这在短期内有点令人担忧，但有可能快速反弹以迅速重新测试30美元大关。如果说这些市场教会了我们什么，那就是它们可以快速行动！在正常情况下，这可能是我的停留点。但是直到今天我才有了头寸，随着我承担更多的风险，游戏发生了一些变化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b568bf73db2c1b38aaa1546a10427dc\" tg-width=\"3837\" tg-height=\"1813\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.</p><p><blockquote>当像Palantir这样受欢迎的股票像我们今天看到的那样下跌时，会发生两件事之一。要么逢低买入，这只股票将飞回40美元，要么我们看到Palantir跌至23美元左右。因为股票太新了，我们确实没有一个好的支撑指标。看下面，我们可以大致看到我从哪里提取了23美元。这是一个相当大的举措。大约会下降20%。如果突破23美元，它可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e3505c465c407b7387cbedf16a1b233\" tg-width=\"3840\" tg-height=\"1808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.</p><p><blockquote>当试图抓住反弹时，你必须做好平均下跌的准备。这是一种完全不同的方法。横向扩展和横向扩展....同时知道什么时候该放松。如果你想安全起见，留意反弹，然后试着进去。我确实认为该股会出现不错的反弹，回到36-40美元，但问题是什么时候。这对我个人来说不是长期持有的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. Stay safe out there!</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，公司的发展方向有很多值得喜欢的地方。估值总是可以争论的，但归根结底，价值就是有人愿意为此付出的任何代价。Palantir是一台收入机器，而且不会放缓。他们在玩“大鱼”，只要他们能继续实现目标，收入就会随之而来。我目前做多，但密切关注本周禁售期结束。如果你打算做多，确保在接下来的几天里扩大规模，并为下周的走势下注。在外面注意安全！</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 14:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.</li>  <li>Palantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.</li>  <li>Palantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.</li>  <li>Palantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!</li> </ul> One of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir公布了稳健的收入，但未能实现盈利。未来的预测有点令人失望。</li><li>Palantir预计2020年收入将同比增长30%，此前预计2020年收入将增长47%。</li><li>Palantir继续扩大其在多个行业的客户群。</li><li>Palantir的锁定期于2月19日结束。下注吧！</li></ul>最近最热门的股票之一是最近直接上市的Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)。一些投资者预计该公司今天将发布井喷式收益，但未能如愿。该公司确实实现了令人难以置信的收入增长，而且前进的道路看起来也很光明。然而，投资者对该公司表示的光明前景感到失望。正如预期的那样，在禁售期结束之前，该股正在下跌。下周将讲述一个更好的故事，说明这只股票的走向。如果你觉得有风险，就跳上船。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Are They?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们是谁？</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果你和我一样，你可能不知道这家公司是谁，也不知道他们做什么。Palantir Technologies Inc.成立于2003年，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。简而言之，他们为美国情报界构建和部署软件平台，以协助反恐调查和行动。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Gothamis是一个软件程序，可以识别隐藏在数据集中深处的模式。这有助于对平台内已识别的威胁执行真实世界的响应。这被用于帮助2018年佛罗伦萨飓风中有需要的人。Palantir Gotham将公开可用的洪水数据与天气信息和社会脆弱性普查数据相结合，以找到最需要的社区并适当部署资源。最近，他们向美国政府提供冠状病毒跟踪软件。</blockquote></p><p> The company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还提供Palantir Foundry，这是一个通过为组织的数据创建中央操作系统来改变组织运营方式的平台；并允许个人用户在一个地方集成和分析他们需要的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Pretty cool hey?</p><p><blockquote>很酷嘿？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Is Driving The Company?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了公司？</b></blockquote></p><p> Revenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.</p><p><blockquote>收入。这是一部成长剧，简单明了。往下看，我们可以看到未来的预测。缺失的区块是2020年，我们今天发现是11亿美元。同比增长约47%。展望未来，分析师预计年收入增长率将保持在35%以上。通常我们认为20%是强的，所以这看起来真的很好。第四季度，该公司营收为3.221亿美元，增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2926257ca97794e55159ce8c6021a745\" tg-width=\"2978\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TIKR.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TIKR.com）</blockquote></p><p> The shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>令人震惊的是每股亏损总计0.08美元，而市场普遍预期为0.02美元。受财报消息影响，该股今天下跌超过12%。深入研究后，大多数投资者似乎对前瞻性预测感到失望。我个人认为他们有点沙袋，以消除共识，但时间会证明这有多真实。根据该公司发布的所有新闻，约翰·罗兹(John Rhodes)的文章对此进行了很好的概述：Palantir：潜在的第四季度收入井喷大多数人预计收入会超出预期，但该股上周的表现却并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Data has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>数据变得比以往任何时候都更加与普通人相关。当地新闻有各种各样关于新冠肺炎的数据。2020年，Palantir帮助100家商业组织和10个国家政府应对COVID-19。这对Palantir来说是一个巨大的机会，他们并没有浪费它。这一回应帮助thema赢得了价值3150万美元的为期两年的英国卫生服务工作合同。仅在第四季度，该公司就签署了21笔价值超过500万美元的交易。其中12个价值1000万美元或以上。收入增长将继续是Palantir的未来。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>一些最好的业务是政府业务。今年，Palantir 56%的收入（即6.1亿美元）来自政府合同。虽然商业方面的同比增长高达107%，但政府收入增长77%并不是什么可笑的事情。更令人印象深刻的一件事是我们在普通客户身上看到的情况。收入同比增长41%。每位客户从560万美元增至790万美元。随着客户继续开发和改进其系统，将越来越多的业务移交给Palantir，这是一个需要关注的重要指标。另一个因素是Palantir吸引了更大的客户。2020年获得的新客户创造了4200万美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9284f5fd3e26d0c55fcd9b2f6355371e\" tg-width=\"1752\" tg-height=\"983\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> (Company Presentation)</p><p><blockquote>（公司介绍）</blockquote></p><p> So all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>所以所有这些，我们今天仍然坐在12%？正如我上面提到的，人们对前瞻性预测感到有点震惊。Palantir表示，预计2021年收入增长将超过30%。对于大多数公司来说，这将是一个好消息，但在您刚刚公布了47%的增长年度之后，这有点令人难过。但正如我所说，我认为他们有点沙袋。分析师仍预计2021年将增长约35%。直觉告诉我，随着时间的推移，他们会超越这一目标。该公司确实表示，他们的目标是到2025年实现40亿美元的收入，从现在开始每年增长30%。根据目前的预测，我完全预计这个数字将接近50亿美元。Palantir正在追逐多个行业的“大鱼”。他们的客户中有8家属于财富100强，12家属于全球100强。随着他们产品的不断开发和改进，他们的底线只会越来越好。我认为从长远来看，这里有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are The Risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有哪些风险？</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.</p><p><blockquote>即将到来的风险之一是禁售期结束，我将在下面谈到这一点。除此之外，我会看看政府的合同。是的，它们是最重要的，但这并不是说它们没有风险。Palantir过去曾表示，他们需要更多地关注商业客户，以帮助盈利并扭亏为盈（这是盈利抛售的部分原因）。正如我们所看到的，他们已经获得了一些大型商业客户，但政府方面仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Something to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.</p><p><blockquote>还要记住的是，与政府打交道可能会导致跨越一些人不同意的界限。据《华盛顿邮报》报道，2018年，200多名员工签署了一封致首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普的信，理由是对与移民和海关执法局合作的担忧。过去，其他多家大型科技公司因潜在侵犯人权而被迫切断与政府机构的联系。</blockquote></p><p> That said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我确实认为该公司将继续在商业领域表现出色，并随着时间的推移减少整体政府风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是“禁售期”？</b></blockquote></p><p> The one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.</p><p><blockquote>许多人对Palantir的一个担忧是锁定期，锁定期将于2月19日（星期五）结束。通常情况下，这是我们会看到走这条路线的IPO出现低点的地方，但情况并非总是如此。</blockquote></p><p>   Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.  What is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.</p><p><blockquote>从10月前两周锁定期到期的15只股票来看，大多数股票在到期日前几天开始下跌，三到五天后反弹。然而，一些人当天几乎没有抛售压力，锁定结束后股价立即攀升。这是什么？简而言之，我们不是通过首次公开募股（IPO）来创建公司的新股并由中介机构承销，而是直接上市。这是企业直接向公众出售股票的方式，无需任何中介机构的帮助。不涉及任何承销商或其他中介机构，不存在发行新股。这意味着该业务的最大股东只能在IPO禁售期到期后自由出售其股份。Spotify(SPOT)和Slack(WORK)是直接上市公司的两个例子。也就是说，这两家公司都没有员工锁定期。</blockquote></p><p> So what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:</p><p><blockquote>那么这意味着什么呢？好吧，鉴于MarketWatch表示：</blockquote></p><p>   For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.  It means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于Palantir来说，多年的风险资本投资已经创造了足够的股票来启动公开交易：大约16.4亿股，尽管在包括归属期权在内的完全稀释公式中，这一数字将增长至21.7亿股。这意味着，目前流通股约为4.97亿股，我们可能会看到约17亿股上市。现在这种可能性不大，但这确实意味着，考虑到IPO通常占已发行股票的10%，而根据上面提供的数字，Palantir发行的股票超过20%，该股的抛售压力应该低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Where are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在在哪里？根据前面引用的研究，我们正走在正轨上。就在禁售期结束之前，该股正在有序抛售。现在我们必须拭目以待，看看反弹的情况如何。还是每个人都卖得很高，然后试图买得更低？这有点观望。让我们来看看技术向我们展示了什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does The Price Say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下技术面，我们可以看到几个非常强大的支撑位。首先，我们今天突破了30美元的一个相当大的水平，而且是以一种很大的方式突破的，这在短期内有点令人担忧，但有可能快速反弹以迅速重新测试30美元大关。如果说这些市场教会了我们什么，那就是它们可以快速行动！在正常情况下，这可能是我的停留点。但是直到今天我才有了头寸，随着我承担更多的风险，游戏发生了一些变化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b568bf73db2c1b38aaa1546a10427dc\" tg-width=\"3837\" tg-height=\"1813\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.</p><p><blockquote>当像Palantir这样受欢迎的股票像我们今天看到的那样下跌时，会发生两件事之一。要么逢低买入，这只股票将飞回40美元，要么我们看到Palantir跌至23美元左右。因为股票太新了，我们确实没有一个好的支撑指标。看下面，我们可以大致看到我从哪里提取了23美元。这是一个相当大的举措。大约会下降20%。如果突破23美元，它可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e3505c465c407b7387cbedf16a1b233\" tg-width=\"3840\" tg-height=\"1808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.</p><p><blockquote>当试图抓住反弹时，你必须做好平均下跌的准备。这是一种完全不同的方法。横向扩展和横向扩展....同时知道什么时候该放松。如果你想安全起见，留意反弹，然后试着进去。我确实认为该股会出现不错的反弹，回到36-40美元，但问题是什么时候。这对我个人来说不是长期持有的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. Stay safe out there!</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，公司的发展方向有很多值得喜欢的地方。估值总是可以争论的，但归根结底，价值就是有人愿意为此付出的任何代价。Palantir是一台收入机器，而且不会放缓。他们在玩“大鱼”，只要他们能继续实现目标，收入就会随之而来。我目前做多，但密切关注本周禁售期结束。如果你打算做多，确保在接下来的几天里扩大规模，并为下周的走势下注。在外面注意安全！</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4406809-palantir-buy-the-dip\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4406809-palantir-buy-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100960455","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.\nPalantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.\nPalantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.\nPalantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!\n\nOne of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.\nWho Are They?\nIf you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.\nPalantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.\nThe company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.\nPretty cool hey?\nWhat Is Driving The Company?\nRevenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.\n\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThe shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.\nData has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.\nSome of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.\n\n(Company Presentation)\nSo all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.\nWhat Are The Risks?\nOne of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.\nSomething to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.\nThat said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.\nWhat's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?\nThe one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.\n\n Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.\n\nWhat is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.\nSo what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:\n\n For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.\n\nIt means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.\nWhere are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.\nWhat Does The Price Say?\nTaking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.\n\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nWhen a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.\n\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nWhen trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.\nWrap-Up\nAs you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. Stay safe out there!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360132437,"gmtCreate":1613868152329,"gmtModify":1631889093664,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360132437","repostId":"1143100356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387683042,"gmtCreate":1613745320386,"gmtModify":1631891696832,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387683042","repostId":"1179306002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388610850,"gmtCreate":1613053686070,"gmtModify":1703768860842,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388610850","repostId":"2110098829","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2110098829","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1612942404,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2110098829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-10 15:33","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Why did Tesla buy bitcoin?<blockquote>特斯拉为什么要收购比特币？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2110098829","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Tesla Inc. has become the latest major corporation to make an investment in bitcoin, underscoring the increasing acceptability of the digital asset.The big question observers are asking is, why is the Elon Musk-run company doing this?Monday, electric-car maker Tesla said in a public filing that it purchased $1.5 billion of bitcoin and that it expects to begin accepting payment in the cryptocurrency for its products in the future.The move by Tesla to invest in bitcoins was seen as further confirm","content":"<p>Tesla Inc. has become the latest major corporation to make an investment in bitcoin, underscoring the increasing acceptability of the digital asset.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司成为最新一家投资比特币的大公司，突显出这种数字资产的接受度越来越高。</blockquote></p><p> The big question observers are asking is, why is the Elon Musk-run company doing this?</p><p><blockquote>观察家们问的一个大问题是，埃隆·马斯克经营的公司为什么要这样做？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, electric-car maker&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;said in&nbsp;a&nbsp;public filing&nbsp;that it purchased $1.5 billion of bitcoin&nbsp;and that it expects to begin accepting payment in the cryptocurrency for its products in the future.</p><p><blockquote>周一，电动汽车制造商特斯拉在一份公开文件中表示，它购买了15亿美元的比特币，并预计未来将开始接受其产品的加密货币支付。</blockquote></p><p> The move by Tesla to invest in bitcoins was seen as further confirmation of the legitimacy of the nascent asset that didn’t exist until about 12 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资比特币的举动被视为进一步证实了这种新兴资产的合法性，这种资产直到大约12年前才存在。</blockquote></p><p> However, bitcoin is seen as a volatile asset that is prone to sharp price volatility and Monday’s announcement by Tesla was described by some&nbsp;corporate finance professionals&nbsp;as an unnecessary addition of risk to the vehicle maker’s balance sheet in the form of currency or a commodity, depending on how you classify bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>然而，比特币被视为一种波动性资产，容易出现价格剧烈波动，一些企业财务专业人士将特斯拉周一的声明描述为以货币或商品形式给汽车制造商的资产负债表增加了不必要的风险，取决于您如何对比特币进行分类。</blockquote></p><p> While it’s not clear, at this point, why Musk &amp; Co. have opted to expose the company to the possible risk of owning bitcoin, here are a few reasons why the revolutionary company may have aligned itself with the crypto crowd.</p><p><blockquote>虽然目前尚不清楚为什么Musk&amp;Co.选择让该公司面临拥有比特币的可能风险，但以下是这家革命性公司可能与加密货币人群结盟的一些原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Diversification</b></p><p><blockquote><b>多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla made it clear in its statement filed with its regulator the Securities and Exchange Commission that it sees bitcoin as a chance to diversify its cash and cash-equivalent holdings.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在向其监管机构美国证券交易委员会提交的声明中明确表示，它将比特币视为实现现金和现金等价物持有多元化的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Corporations usually hold excess cash and/or cash-equivalents, like Treasury bills or commercial paper on their books to provide operational liquidity and generate returns while limiting risks.</p><p><blockquote>公司通常持有多余的现金和/或现金等价物，如国库券或商业票据，以提供运营流动性并在限制风险的同时产生回报。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla wrote, “we updated our investment policy to provide us with more flexibility to further diversify and maximize returns on our cash that is not required to maintain adequate operating liquidity.”</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉写道，“我们更新了投资政策，为我们提供了更大的灵活性，以进一步实现现金回报的多元化和最大化，而这并不是维持充足运营流动性所必需的。”</blockquote></p><p> The move isn’t without risk, Tesla acknowledges as the price of bitcoin could slump.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉承认，此举并非没有风险，因为比特币的价格可能会暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we hold digital assets and their values decrease relative to our purchase prices, our financial condition may be harmed,” the company acknowledges.</p><p><blockquote>该公司承认：“如果我们持有数字资产，其价值相对于我们的购买价格下降，我们的财务状况可能会受到损害。”</blockquote></p><p> But a single bitcoin, which has soared 62% so far this year, could easily be headed for a six-digit value if bullish momentum continues to build, which would make Musk look smart.</p><p><blockquote>但今年迄今已飙升62%的单一比特币，如果看涨势头继续增强，很容易达到六位数的价值，这将使马斯克看起来很聪明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Publicity stunt?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宣传噱头？</b></blockquote></p><p> “Thankfully, Elon Musk on Monday once again ensured no one would be bored, with the unexpected announcement that Tesla will buy&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;and accept them as payment for vehicles,” writes Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a Tuesday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师Craig Erlam在周二的一份研究报告中写道：“值得庆幸的是，Elon Musk周一再次确保没有人会感到无聊，他出人意料地宣布特斯拉将收购比特币并接受它们作为车辆付款。”</blockquote></p><p> The analyst referred to the move as a “publicity stunt,” a move that everbody is talking about, but there are a number of ways to think about it.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师将此举称为“宣传噱头”，每个人都在谈论这一举措，但有多种思考方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Brand management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>品牌管理</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin is associated with a group of iconoclastic founders who were attempting to break the mold on payments and fiat money. That was the idea behind cryptos being written into code back in 2009 by a person or persons known as Satoshi Nakamoto.</p><p><blockquote>比特币与一群打破传统的创始人有联系，他们试图打破支付和法定货币的模式。这就是2009年中本聪(Satoshi Nakamoto)将密码写入代码背后的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Those rebellious notions align somewhat with Musk’s own agenda of disruption. Tesla is making electric-powered vehicles in a world that has thus far been dominated by fossil-fuel driven cars.</p><p><blockquote>这些叛逆的想法在某种程度上符合马斯克自己的颠覆议程。特斯拉正在一个迄今为止由化石燃料驱动的汽车主导的世界中制造电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Tesla’s direct-to-customer sales model also is viewed as trendsetting, since many companies sell their cars through unaffiliated dealerships.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉的直接面向客户的销售模式也被视为引领潮流，因为许多公司通过非附属经销商销售汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin’s image as a decentralized asset, not controlled by any one body, also fits with Tesla’s image and that of its leader Musk.</p><p><blockquote>比特币作为一个去中心化资产的形象，不受任何一个机构的控制，也符合特斯拉及其领导人马斯克的形象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33c354045da9bf1b0b8bbe93d0eb9e43\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"673\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The future of $</b></p><p><blockquote><b>$的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin could also be a simple hedge against the hegemony of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency since World War Two.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在比特币的15亿美元投资也可能是对美元自二战以来作为世界储备货币的霸权的简单对冲。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, or something like it, represents the future of payment systems to many supporters, even if it isn’t currently an effective means of exchange due to its current volatility.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多支持者来说，比特币或类似的东西代表了支付系统的未来，即使由于当前的波动性，它目前还不是一种有效的交换手段。</blockquote></p><p> “Yesterday’s move by Tesla to invest in&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;and start accepting it as payment for its own products really moved the needle,” wrote Simon Peters, cryptoasset analyst at multiasset investment platform eToro, in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>多资产投资平台eToro的加密资产分析师Simon Peters在电子邮件评论中写道：“特斯拉昨天投资比特币并开始接受其作为自己产品的付款，这确实起到了推动作用。”</blockquote></p><p> The eToro analyst said that there are unconfirmed talks about technology behemoths Apple Inc.&nbsp;and Google-parent Alphabet Inc.,linking it to their own payment systems.</p><p><blockquote>这位eToro分析师表示，有未经证实的传言称科技巨头苹果公司和谷歌母公司Alphabet公司将其与自己的支付系统联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> Musk is viewed as an innovator tied to electric vehicles, batteries and space exploration via SpaceX, but one of his early ventures was in payments.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克被视为通过SpaceX与电动汽车、电池和太空探索相关的创新者，但他早期的投资之一是支付领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Writing on the wall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>写在墙上</b></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Wall Street Journal notes&nbsp;that, the Tesla CEO invested most of the $22 million he earned from the sale of an internet business into a new startup, X.com, which became PayPal Holdings&nbsp;about 20 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》指出，这位特斯拉首席执行官将出售互联网业务获得的2200万美元中的大部分投资于一家新初创公司X.com，该公司大约20年前成为PayPal控股公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> PayPal currently is among the vanguard of bitcoin revolution. PayPal&nbsp;back in November opened up its cryptocurrency platform to all U.S. customers after conducting a more narrow rollout.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal目前是比特币革命的先锋之一。PayPal早在11月就向所有美国客户开放了其加密货币平台，此前该平台进行了较窄的推广。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, several high-profile Wall Street investors, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in&nbsp;a letter to clients&nbsp;earlier this month&nbsp;published on the firm’s website, reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>此外，包括Stanley Druckenmiller和Paul Tudor Jones在内的几位知名华尔街投资者已经接受了比特币。Miller Value Partners创始人、著名投资者Bill Miller本月早些时候在该公司网站上发表的一封致客户的信中重申了他对比特币的看涨前景。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, Tesla and Musk may be among the biggest to wade into the crypto pool, but a growing cadre of investors are starting to view the volatile digital-ledger-backed cryptos as a bona fide asset.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，特斯拉和马斯克可能是涉足加密货币领域最大的公司之一，但越来越多的投资者开始将不稳定的数字账本支持的加密货币视为真正的资产。</blockquote></p><p> “Corporate adoption takes another leap forward with Tesla announcement,” writes Devin Ryan, analyst at JMP Securities in a Monday research note.</p><p><blockquote>JMP Securities分析师Devin Ryan在周一的研究报告中写道：“随着特斯拉的宣布，企业采用率又向前迈出了一大步。”</blockquote></p><p> The researcher, along with fellow analyst Brian McKenna, noted they “believe the building ‘network effect’ around bitcoin is moving the broader crypto asset class into the mainstream, and with many hundreds of billions of dollars of value in infrastructure supporting the asset class, we see the already substantial (and growing) vested interest in its success as bullish for the industry.”</p><p><blockquote>该研究人员和分析师同事Brian McKenna指出，他们“相信围绕比特币构建的‘网络效应’正在将更广泛的加密资产类别推向主流，并且价值数千亿美元的基础设施支持该资产类别，我们认为其成功中已经存在的大量（且不断增长的）既得利益对该行业有利。”</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, bitcoin touched a record high around $48,000 before pulling back, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average,the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;indexes have seen relatively tepid trade on the day.</p><p><blockquote>周二，比特币触及48,000美元左右的历史新高，随后回落，道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500和纳斯达克综合指数当天交易相对不温不火。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why did Tesla buy bitcoin?<blockquote>特斯拉为什么要收购比特币？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy did Tesla buy bitcoin?<blockquote>特斯拉为什么要收购比特币？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-10 15:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla Inc. has become the latest major corporation to make an investment in bitcoin, underscoring the increasing acceptability of the digital asset.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司成为最新一家投资比特币的大公司，突显出这种数字资产的接受度越来越高。</blockquote></p><p> The big question observers are asking is, why is the Elon Musk-run company doing this?</p><p><blockquote>观察家们问的一个大问题是，埃隆·马斯克经营的公司为什么要这样做？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, electric-car maker&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;said in&nbsp;a&nbsp;public filing&nbsp;that it purchased $1.5 billion of bitcoin&nbsp;and that it expects to begin accepting payment in the cryptocurrency for its products in the future.</p><p><blockquote>周一，电动汽车制造商特斯拉在一份公开文件中表示，它购买了15亿美元的比特币，并预计未来将开始接受其产品的加密货币支付。</blockquote></p><p> The move by Tesla to invest in bitcoins was seen as further confirmation of the legitimacy of the nascent asset that didn’t exist until about 12 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉投资比特币的举动被视为进一步证实了这种新兴资产的合法性，这种资产直到大约12年前才存在。</blockquote></p><p> However, bitcoin is seen as a volatile asset that is prone to sharp price volatility and Monday’s announcement by Tesla was described by some&nbsp;corporate finance professionals&nbsp;as an unnecessary addition of risk to the vehicle maker’s balance sheet in the form of currency or a commodity, depending on how you classify bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>然而，比特币被视为一种波动性资产，容易出现价格剧烈波动，一些企业财务专业人士将特斯拉周一的声明描述为以货币或商品形式给汽车制造商的资产负债表增加了不必要的风险，取决于您如何对比特币进行分类。</blockquote></p><p> While it’s not clear, at this point, why Musk &amp; Co. have opted to expose the company to the possible risk of owning bitcoin, here are a few reasons why the revolutionary company may have aligned itself with the crypto crowd.</p><p><blockquote>虽然目前尚不清楚为什么Musk&amp;Co.选择让该公司面临拥有比特币的可能风险，但以下是这家革命性公司可能与加密货币人群结盟的一些原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Diversification</b></p><p><blockquote><b>多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla made it clear in its statement filed with its regulator the Securities and Exchange Commission that it sees bitcoin as a chance to diversify its cash and cash-equivalent holdings.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在向其监管机构美国证券交易委员会提交的声明中明确表示，它将比特币视为实现现金和现金等价物持有多元化的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Corporations usually hold excess cash and/or cash-equivalents, like Treasury bills or commercial paper on their books to provide operational liquidity and generate returns while limiting risks.</p><p><blockquote>公司通常持有多余的现金和/或现金等价物，如国库券或商业票据，以提供运营流动性并在限制风险的同时产生回报。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla wrote, “we updated our investment policy to provide us with more flexibility to further diversify and maximize returns on our cash that is not required to maintain adequate operating liquidity.”</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉写道，“我们更新了投资政策，为我们提供了更大的灵活性，以进一步实现现金回报的多元化和最大化，而这并不是维持充足运营流动性所必需的。”</blockquote></p><p> The move isn’t without risk, Tesla acknowledges as the price of bitcoin could slump.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉承认，此举并非没有风险，因为比特币的价格可能会暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we hold digital assets and their values decrease relative to our purchase prices, our financial condition may be harmed,” the company acknowledges.</p><p><blockquote>该公司承认：“如果我们持有数字资产，其价值相对于我们的购买价格下降，我们的财务状况可能会受到损害。”</blockquote></p><p> But a single bitcoin, which has soared 62% so far this year, could easily be headed for a six-digit value if bullish momentum continues to build, which would make Musk look smart.</p><p><blockquote>但今年迄今已飙升62%的单一比特币，如果看涨势头继续增强，很容易达到六位数的价值，这将使马斯克看起来很聪明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Publicity stunt?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宣传噱头？</b></blockquote></p><p> “Thankfully, Elon Musk on Monday once again ensured no one would be bored, with the unexpected announcement that Tesla will buy&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;and accept them as payment for vehicles,” writes Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a Tuesday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师Craig Erlam在周二的一份研究报告中写道：“值得庆幸的是，Elon Musk周一再次确保没有人会感到无聊，他出人意料地宣布特斯拉将收购比特币并接受它们作为车辆付款。”</blockquote></p><p> The analyst referred to the move as a “publicity stunt,” a move that everbody is talking about, but there are a number of ways to think about it.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师将此举称为“宣传噱头”，每个人都在谈论这一举措，但有多种思考方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Brand management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>品牌管理</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin is associated with a group of iconoclastic founders who were attempting to break the mold on payments and fiat money. That was the idea behind cryptos being written into code back in 2009 by a person or persons known as Satoshi Nakamoto.</p><p><blockquote>比特币与一群打破传统的创始人有联系，他们试图打破支付和法定货币的模式。这就是2009年中本聪(Satoshi Nakamoto)将密码写入代码背后的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Those rebellious notions align somewhat with Musk’s own agenda of disruption. Tesla is making electric-powered vehicles in a world that has thus far been dominated by fossil-fuel driven cars.</p><p><blockquote>这些叛逆的想法在某种程度上符合马斯克自己的颠覆议程。特斯拉正在一个迄今为止由化石燃料驱动的汽车主导的世界中制造电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Tesla’s direct-to-customer sales model also is viewed as trendsetting, since many companies sell their cars through unaffiliated dealerships.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉的直接面向客户的销售模式也被视为引领潮流，因为许多公司通过非附属经销商销售汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin’s image as a decentralized asset, not controlled by any one body, also fits with Tesla’s image and that of its leader Musk.</p><p><blockquote>比特币作为一个去中心化资产的形象，不受任何一个机构的控制，也符合特斯拉及其领导人马斯克的形象。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33c354045da9bf1b0b8bbe93d0eb9e43\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"673\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The future of $</b></p><p><blockquote><b>$的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin could also be a simple hedge against the hegemony of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency since World War Two.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在比特币的15亿美元投资也可能是对美元自二战以来作为世界储备货币的霸权的简单对冲。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, or something like it, represents the future of payment systems to many supporters, even if it isn’t currently an effective means of exchange due to its current volatility.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多支持者来说，比特币或类似的东西代表了支付系统的未来，即使由于当前的波动性，它目前还不是一种有效的交换手段。</blockquote></p><p> “Yesterday’s move by Tesla to invest in&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;and start accepting it as payment for its own products really moved the needle,” wrote Simon Peters, cryptoasset analyst at multiasset investment platform eToro, in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>多资产投资平台eToro的加密资产分析师Simon Peters在电子邮件评论中写道：“特斯拉昨天投资比特币并开始接受其作为自己产品的付款，这确实起到了推动作用。”</blockquote></p><p> The eToro analyst said that there are unconfirmed talks about technology behemoths Apple Inc.&nbsp;and Google-parent Alphabet Inc.,linking it to their own payment systems.</p><p><blockquote>这位eToro分析师表示，有未经证实的传言称科技巨头苹果公司和谷歌母公司Alphabet公司将其与自己的支付系统联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> Musk is viewed as an innovator tied to electric vehicles, batteries and space exploration via SpaceX, but one of his early ventures was in payments.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克被视为通过SpaceX与电动汽车、电池和太空探索相关的创新者，但他早期的投资之一是支付领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Writing on the wall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>写在墙上</b></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Wall Street Journal notes&nbsp;that, the Tesla CEO invested most of the $22 million he earned from the sale of an internet business into a new startup, X.com, which became PayPal Holdings&nbsp;about 20 years ago.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》指出，这位特斯拉首席执行官将出售互联网业务获得的2200万美元中的大部分投资于一家新初创公司X.com，该公司大约20年前成为PayPal控股公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> PayPal currently is among the vanguard of bitcoin revolution. PayPal&nbsp;back in November opened up its cryptocurrency platform to all U.S. customers after conducting a more narrow rollout.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal目前是比特币革命的先锋之一。PayPal早在11月就向所有美国客户开放了其加密货币平台，此前该平台进行了较窄的推广。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, several high-profile Wall Street investors, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in&nbsp;a letter to clients&nbsp;earlier this month&nbsp;published on the firm’s website, reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>此外，包括Stanley Druckenmiller和Paul Tudor Jones在内的几位知名华尔街投资者已经接受了比特币。Miller Value Partners创始人、著名投资者Bill Miller本月早些时候在该公司网站上发表的一封致客户的信中重申了他对比特币的看涨前景。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, Tesla and Musk may be among the biggest to wade into the crypto pool, but a growing cadre of investors are starting to view the volatile digital-ledger-backed cryptos as a bona fide asset.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，特斯拉和马斯克可能是涉足加密货币领域最大的公司之一，但越来越多的投资者开始将不稳定的数字账本支持的加密货币视为真正的资产。</blockquote></p><p> “Corporate adoption takes another leap forward with Tesla announcement,” writes Devin Ryan, analyst at JMP Securities in a Monday research note.</p><p><blockquote>JMP Securities分析师Devin Ryan在周一的研究报告中写道：“随着特斯拉的宣布，企业采用率又向前迈出了一大步。”</blockquote></p><p> The researcher, along with fellow analyst Brian McKenna, noted they “believe the building ‘network effect’ around bitcoin is moving the broader crypto asset class into the mainstream, and with many hundreds of billions of dollars of value in infrastructure supporting the asset class, we see the already substantial (and growing) vested interest in its success as bullish for the industry.”</p><p><blockquote>该研究人员和分析师同事Brian McKenna指出，他们“相信围绕比特币构建的‘网络效应’正在将更广泛的加密资产类别推向主流，并且价值数千亿美元的基础设施支持该资产类别，我们认为其成功中已经存在的大量（且不断增长的）既得利益对该行业有利。”</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, bitcoin touched a record high around $48,000 before pulling back, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average,the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;indexes have seen relatively tepid trade on the day.</p><p><blockquote>周二，比特币触及48,000美元左右的历史新高，随后回落，道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500和纳斯达克综合指数当天交易相对不温不火。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-did-tesla-buy-bitcoin-11612902220?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-did-tesla-buy-bitcoin-11612902220?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"2110098829","content_text":"Tesla Inc. has become the latest major corporation to make an investment in bitcoin, underscoring the increasing acceptability of the digital asset.\nThe big question observers are asking is, why is the Elon Musk-run company doing this?\nMonday, electric-car maker Tesla said in a public filing that it purchased $1.5 billion of bitcoin and that it expects to begin accepting payment in the cryptocurrency for its products in the future.\nThe move by Tesla to invest in bitcoins was seen as further confirmation of the legitimacy of the nascent asset that didn’t exist until about 12 years ago.\nHowever, bitcoin is seen as a volatile asset that is prone to sharp price volatility and Monday’s announcement by Tesla was described by some corporate finance professionals as an unnecessary addition of risk to the vehicle maker’s balance sheet in the form of currency or a commodity, depending on how you classify bitcoin.\nWhile it’s not clear, at this point, why Musk & Co. have opted to expose the company to the possible risk of owning bitcoin, here are a few reasons why the revolutionary company may have aligned itself with the crypto crowd.\nDiversification\nTesla made it clear in its statement filed with its regulator the Securities and Exchange Commission that it sees bitcoin as a chance to diversify its cash and cash-equivalent holdings.\nCorporations usually hold excess cash and/or cash-equivalents, like Treasury bills or commercial paper on their books to provide operational liquidity and generate returns while limiting risks.\nTesla wrote, “we updated our investment policy to provide us with more flexibility to further diversify and maximize returns on our cash that is not required to maintain adequate operating liquidity.”\nThe move isn’t without risk, Tesla acknowledges as the price of bitcoin could slump.\n“If we hold digital assets and their values decrease relative to our purchase prices, our financial condition may be harmed,” the company acknowledges.\nBut a single bitcoin, which has soared 62% so far this year, could easily be headed for a six-digit value if bullish momentum continues to build, which would make Musk look smart.\nPublicity stunt?\n“Thankfully, Elon Musk on Monday once again ensured no one would be bored, with the unexpected announcement that Tesla will buy bitcoin and accept them as payment for vehicles,” writes Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a Tuesday research note.\nThe analyst referred to the move as a “publicity stunt,” a move that everbody is talking about, but there are a number of ways to think about it.\nBrand management\nBitcoin is associated with a group of iconoclastic founders who were attempting to break the mold on payments and fiat money. That was the idea behind cryptos being written into code back in 2009 by a person or persons known as Satoshi Nakamoto.\nThose rebellious notions align somewhat with Musk’s own agenda of disruption. Tesla is making electric-powered vehicles in a world that has thus far been dominated by fossil-fuel driven cars.\nMoreover, Tesla’s direct-to-customer sales model also is viewed as trendsetting, since many companies sell their cars through unaffiliated dealerships.\nBitcoin’s image as a decentralized asset, not controlled by any one body, also fits with Tesla’s image and that of its leader Musk.\n\nThe future of $\nTesla’s $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin could also be a simple hedge against the hegemony of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency since World War Two.\nBitcoin, or something like it, represents the future of payment systems to many supporters, even if it isn’t currently an effective means of exchange due to its current volatility.\n“Yesterday’s move by Tesla to invest in bitcoin and start accepting it as payment for its own products really moved the needle,” wrote Simon Peters, cryptoasset analyst at multiasset investment platform eToro, in emailed comments.\nThe eToro analyst said that there are unconfirmed talks about technology behemoths Apple Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc.,linking it to their own payment systems.\nMusk is viewed as an innovator tied to electric vehicles, batteries and space exploration via SpaceX, but one of his early ventures was in payments.\nWriting on the wall\nThe Wall Street Journal notes that, the Tesla CEO invested most of the $22 million he earned from the sale of an internet business into a new startup, X.com, which became PayPal Holdings about 20 years ago.\nPayPal currently is among the vanguard of bitcoin revolution. PayPal back in November opened up its cryptocurrency platform to all U.S. customers after conducting a more narrow rollout.\nMoreover, several high-profile Wall Street investors, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones, have embraced bitcoin. Famed investor Bill Miller, founder of Miller Value Partners, in a letter to clients earlier this month published on the firm’s website, reaffirmed his bullish outlook on bitcoin.\nIn other words, Tesla and Musk may be among the biggest to wade into the crypto pool, but a growing cadre of investors are starting to view the volatile digital-ledger-backed cryptos as a bona fide asset.\n“Corporate adoption takes another leap forward with Tesla announcement,” writes Devin Ryan, analyst at JMP Securities in a Monday research note.\nThe researcher, along with fellow analyst Brian McKenna, noted they “believe the building ‘network effect’ around bitcoin is moving the broader crypto asset class into the mainstream, and with many hundreds of billions of dollars of value in infrastructure supporting the asset class, we see the already substantial (and growing) vested interest in its success as bullish for the industry.”\nOn Tuesday, bitcoin touched a record high around $48,000 before pulling back, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average,the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite indexes have seen relatively tepid trade on the day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319837143,"gmtCreate":1611566514982,"gmtModify":1703750958478,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"YAS","listText":"YAS","text":"YAS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319837143","repostId":"1187175147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319308938,"gmtCreate":1611507299924,"gmtModify":1703750639665,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still believe in this stock!!","listText":"Still believe in this stock!!","text":"Still believe in this stock!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319308938","repostId":"2105593894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667803686145","idStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":319308938,"gmtCreate":1611507299924,"gmtModify":1703750639665,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still believe in this stock!!","listText":"Still believe in this stock!!","text":"Still believe in this stock!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319308938","repostId":"2105593894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667803686145","idStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144277234,"gmtCreate":1626304587628,"gmtModify":1631889093634,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144277234","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187519329,"gmtCreate":1623758476161,"gmtModify":1631889093648,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fingers crossed!","listText":"fingers crossed!","text":"fingers crossed!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187519329","repostId":"2142788371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142788371","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623627985,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2142788371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142788371","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GET","content":"<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s what the market wants — and doesn’t want — to hear from Powell at this week’s Fed meeting<blockquote>以下是市场希望——和不希望——在本周的美联储会议上听到鲍威尔的话</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 07:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>All eyes on the Fed!</p><p><blockquote>所有人都在关注美联储！</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4c83a98ead1e0406f6e21bde6e1f550\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>“唉，可怜的通货膨胀！我认识他，霍雷肖。”MARKETWATCH照片插图/盖蒂图片社，埃弗雷特收藏</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:</p><p><blockquote>你不能责怪华尔街在下周的联邦公开市场委员会六月政策会议上设想杰罗姆·鲍威尔有点像哈姆雷特：</blockquote></p><p> Transitory, or not transitory?</p><p><blockquote>短暂的，还是不短暂的？</blockquote></p><p> Therein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.</p><p><blockquote>这就是周三FOMC为期两天的会议结束时，制定利率的美联储委员会需要为金融市场回答的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Whether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.</p><p><blockquote>如果哈姆雷特是央行行长，他可能会说，忍受令人愤慨的通货膨胀的弹弓和箭，还是拿起武器对抗麻烦的海洋，在思想上更高尚。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人预计即将到来的会议会有烟花，但它仍可能证明是股票和债券的关键点。</blockquote></p><p> That is especially true with the S&amp;P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数、道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数尤其如此，它们徘徊在或接近历史收盘高点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议召开之际，越来越多的证据表明，随着经济从过去一年的新冠疫情中复苏，以及疫苗接种的推出使企业恢复了某种程度的正常状态，定价压力正在加大。</blockquote></p><p> Last Thursday’s&nbsp;consumer-price index report&nbsp;from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the&nbsp;pace of inflation&nbsp;to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部上周四发布的消费者价格指数报告显示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点，反映出美国人面临的物价普遍上涨。</blockquote></p><p> “The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>Forex.com全球市场研究主管马特·韦勒(Matt Weller)在周五的一份研究报告中写道：“现在的关键问题是，通胀率上升是否是‘暂时的’，或者价格上涨是否有可能在心理上根深蒂固。”</blockquote></p><p> The fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;and the 30-year Treasury bond&nbsp;hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益市场可能已经对通胀有了发言权，10年期国债和30年期国债收益率徘徊在至少3月初以来的最低水平附近。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>财政部和股市投资者认为，随着消费者在大流行后挥霍，供应链扭曲加剧了通胀飙升，以及去年价格下跌退出年度计算的统计基数效应，因此可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> Is isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?</p><p><blockquote>然而，不清楚过渡到底是什么意思——几个月、几年？在市场参与者和美联储对破坏资产价格的通胀失去耐心之前，高通胀水平还要容忍多久？</blockquote></p><p> “Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Lindsey Piegza写道：“展望2021年底和2022年，政策制定者继续预计通胀将回落至接近2%的目标，委员会可能会在下周的会议上重申这一信息。”Stifel在周五的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> “That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“话虽如此，美国经济显然正在获得动力，劳动力市场每月增加超过50万个工作岗位。因此，虽然预计6月份不会进行政策调整，也不会宣布最终调整政策的时间表，但至少一些美联储成员预计将在未来几个月推动讨论最终取消紧急措施，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一些交易员、分析师和经济学家押注，美联储将致力于阐明这样一种观点，即在疫情最严重时期实施的每月1200亿美元资产购买计划将于2021年底开始缩减。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.</p><p><blockquote>美联储可能会在6月份谈论缩减规模，并在8月或9月开始缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> In the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the&nbsp;weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report&nbsp;and the job openings data from last week&nbsp;which hit a record 9.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>面对通胀上升，任何缩减购债规模的时机对美联储来说都很棘手，因为相对于对工人的需求，劳动力市场的复苏看起来仍然不稳定，这反映在弱于预期的5月份非农就业报告和上周的职位空缺数据达到创纪录的930万个。</blockquote></p><p> Lawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial固定收益策略师Lawrence Gillum表示，市场想要的关键是美联储缩减购债规模的时机。他还指出，央行缩减400亿美元抵押贷款支持证券尤其重要，因为人们普遍认为房地产市场过热。</blockquote></p><p> “The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.</p><p><blockquote>吉勒姆表示：“下周我们最想听到的是美联储计划如何以及何时缩减债券购买计划。”</blockquote></p><p> “Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，为什么美联储继续每月购买400亿美元的抵押贷款证券，而从各方面来看，房地产市场都不需要这种支持。我们会弄清楚吗？可能不会，”他提出。</blockquote></p><p> Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在周五的一份报告中表示，在这种背景下，他仍然预计政策制定者将对任何缩减货币宽松政策采取缓慢态度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s&nbsp;FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们怀疑美联储官员可能最终会在下周的FOMC会议上开始‘谈论谈论’缩减资产购买，但他们很可能会强调，经济距离朝着他们的目标取得‘实质性的进一步进展’还有一段路要走，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network&nbsp;said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，联邦金融网络投资管理主管Peter Essele表示，市场可能需要听到美联储官员更多的鸽派言论，即使他们回避了缩减宽松货币政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.</p><p><blockquote>埃塞尔在电子邮件评论中对MarketWatch表示：“市场参与者显然预计美联储下周将采取鸽派基调，最近的利率走势就证明了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.</p><p><blockquote>Essele表示：“我们预计美联储下周将继续踩下宽松踏板，在通胀不再是暂时的、经济恢复充分就业之前，这种情况不会改变。”</blockquote></p><p> “Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“在此之前，美国国债利率应保持长期区间波动，短期锚定，短期内债券投资者无需担心。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else is on investors’ radar?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者还关注什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt issuance.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，下周议程上唯一的另一个主要项目是周二的美国5月零售销售，而投资者将继续关注拜登政府与共和党之间关于基础设施支出计划的谈判，因为该计划对经济增长和债务发行有影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-market-wants-and-doesnt-want-to-hear-from-powell-at-next-weeks-fed-meeting-11623452360?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142788371","content_text":"All eyes on the Fed!\n\"Alas, poor inflation! I knew him, Horatio.\" MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/GETTY IMAGES, EVERETT COLLECTION\nYou couldn’t fault Wall Street for envisaging a bit of Hamlet in Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s June policy meeting this coming week:\nTransitory, or not transitory?\nTherein lies the question that the interest rate-setting Fed committee needs to answer for financial markets on Wednesday, at the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day gathering.\nWhether ’tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous inflation or to take arms against a sea of troubles, as Hamlet might have said if he had been a central bank governor.\nOf course, no one is expecting fireworks at this coming meeting but it could still proof a pivotal point for stocks and bonds.\nThat is especially true with the S&P 500 index,the Dow Jones Industrial Average,and the Nasdaq Composite Index,hovering at, or near, record closing highs.\nThe Fed meeting comes against the backdrop of growing evidence of pricing pressures building in the economy as it recovers from the COVID pandemic of the past year and vaccination rollouts allow businesses to return to some semblance of normality.\nLast Thursday’s consumer-price index report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%, reflecting a broad increase in prices confronting Americans.\n“The critical question now is whether this elevated rate of inflation is ‘transitory’ or whether higher prices risk becoming psychologically entrenched,” wrote Matt Weller, global head of market research at Forex.com in a Friday research note.\nThe fixed-income market may already have had its say on inflation, with the yields on the 10-year Treasury note and the 30-year Treasury bond hanging around their lowest levels since at least early March.\nTreasury and stock-market investors are viewing the surge in inflation as fostered by supply chain distortions as consumers splurge after the pandemic, along with statistical base effects as last year’s falling prices drop out of the annual calculations, and therefore likely to be fleeting.\nIs isn’t clear exactly however what transitory means — months, years ? How long are elevated levels of inflation to be tolerated before market participants and the Fed lose patience with inflation that undermines asset prices?\n“Going forward to the end of 2021 and into 2022, policy makers continue to expect inflation to subside back down nearer their 2% objective, is a message the Committee is likely to reiterate at next week’s meeting,” wrote Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel in a Friday note.\n“That being said, the U.S. economy is clearly gaining momentum, with the labor market adding more than 500,000 jobs a month. Therefore, while no policy adjustment is expected in June, nor an announcement of a timeline for an eventual adjustment to policy, at least some Fed members are expected to push for a discussion in the coming months regarding an eventual rollback of emergency measures,” she said.\nSome traders, analysts and economists are betting the Fed will aim to articulate the view that the tapering of its $120 billion a month purchase of assets, implemented during the worst of the pandemic, will begin by towards the end of 2021.\nThe Fed may talk about talking about tapering in June and by August or September begin the work toward a roll back.\nIn the face of rising inflation, the timing of any tapering looks tricky for the U.S. central bank since the recovery in the labor market still looks shaky, relative to the the demand for workers, and is reflected in the weaker-than-expected May nonfarm payrolls report and the job openings data from last week which hit a record 9.3 million.\nLawrence Gillum, fixed-income strategist for LPL Financial, said that the key thing the market wants to here is the timing of the Fed’s tapering. He also noted the tapering of the central bank’s $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities in particular will be important because the housing market is widely viewed as overheated.\n“The main thing we’d like to hear next week is how and when the Fed plans to reduce its bond purchase programs,” Gillum said.\n“Additionally, why the Fed continues to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities every month when the housing market, by all accounts, doesn’t need that support. Will we get that clarity? Probably not,” he offered.\nAndrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday report, said that in that context, he still expects policy makers to convey a go-slow approach to any scaling back of monetary accommodation.\n“While we suspect that Fed officials may finally begin ‘talking about talking about’ tapering their asset purchases at next week’s FOMC meeting, they are likely to emphasize that the economy is still some way from making ‘substantial further progress’ towards their goals,” he said.\nIndeed, Peter Essele, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network said the market may need to hear more dovishness from Fed officials, even as they circumnavigate the notion of scaling back easy-money policies.\n“Market participants are clearly expecting a dovish tone from the Fed next week, as evidenced by the recent path of interest rates,” Essele told MarketWatch in emailed comments.\n“We expect the Fed will keep its foot on the accommodative pedal next week, which won’t change until inflation is no longer transitory and the economy is back to full employment,” Essele said.\n“Until then, Treasury rates should remain range-bound on the long end and anchored on the short end, offering bond investors little to worry about in the near term,” he said.\nWhat else is on investors’ radar?\nMeanwhile, the only other main item on the docket for next week is U.S. May retail sales on Tuesday, while investors continue to watch negotiations between the Biden administration and Republicans on an infrastructure spending plan, given it has implications for economic growth and debt 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good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165774920","repostId":"1138062216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160424906,"gmtCreate":1623804898205,"gmtModify":1631889093648,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":":(","listText":":(","text":":(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160424906","repostId":"1169657028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169657028","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623803407,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169657028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:30","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169657028","media":"Barrons","summary":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a","content":"<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•根据合同（如债券）产生稳定可靠的现金流</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 08:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•根据合同（如债券）产生稳定可靠的现金流</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169657028","content_text":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.\nIn a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”\n“While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”\nGoldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:\n• Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds\n• Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities\n• Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio\n• Dampen volatility\n• Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value\nBitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.\nThe note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.\nFor typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.\nBy the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.\nJust a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization lost has been much greater.\n“Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.\nAlso of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366642460,"gmtCreate":1614480005650,"gmtModify":1703477730871,"author":{"id":"3566960557485103","authorId":"3566960557485103","name":"457fe3dd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566960557485103","idStr":"3566960557485103"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!","listText":"nice!","text":"nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366642460","repostId":"2114111304","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}