Muan的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Muan

Muan

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34粉丝

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0勋章

2021-12-20

Noted

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-19

Helo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-12

$MasterCard(MA)$tthe only green

2021-11-12

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$jjuicy

2021-11-11

$MasterCard(MA)$steady👍

2021-11-10

$MasterCard(MA)$can be better

2021-11-10

Power?

2021-11-09

$MasterCard(MA)$online selling means use of credit cards

2021-11-09

$Zillow(ZG)$rising giant

2021-11-08

$Intel(INTC)$llaggard

2021-11-07

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$only way is up

2021-11-05

$Intel(INTC)$show your mettle

2021-11-05

$MasterCard(MA)$can do better

2021-11-03

$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$lousy

2021-11-03

$MasterCard(MA)$when will it see the light that shine up forever

2021-11-02

$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$not showing the green

2021-11-02

$Microvision(MVIS)$small punt

2021-11-02

$FuelCell(FCEL)$amazing run

2021-11-01

$Microvision(MVIS)$rose

2021-11-01

$CSE GLOBAL LTD(544.SI)$ook so far

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to know","listText":"Good to know","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350754051","repostId":"1117450855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117450855","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616166767,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117450855?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117450855","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration o","content":"<p>  <b>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.</b>  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储主席在《华尔街日报》专栏中表示，前景一片光明，但复苏“远未完成”。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周五表示，虽然美国经济前景“一片光明”，但复苏“远未完成”。</blockquote></p><p> In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.</p><p><blockquote>在《华尔街日报》发表的一篇专栏文章中，鲍威尔讲述了去年2月他意识到冠状病毒大流行将席卷全国的那一刻。</blockquote></p><p> “The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“美国经济面临的危险是严重的。面临的挑战是限制后果的严重程度和持续时间，以避免长期损害，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和他的同事根据从2008-2009年大衰退的缓慢复苏中吸取的教训，设计了对危机的快速反应，即迅速采取行动可能会更好。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.</p><p><blockquote>央行迅速将政策利率下调至零，并启动了被称为量化宽松的开放式资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> With economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济学家预测2021年将出现强劲增长，每天都有更多的美国人接种疫苗，金融市场想知道美联储的支持将持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> In the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在专栏中表示，情况“有了很大改善”。</blockquote></p><p> “But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示：“但复苏远未完成，因此美联储将继续为经济提供所需的支持，只要经济需要。”</blockquote></p><p> “I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我真的相信，我们将从这场危机中变得更强大、更好，就像我们以前经常做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储在最近的政策会议上再次承诺了宽松的货币政策立场，尽管预计今年经济增长将更加强劲，通胀将上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席在周五的文章中没有提及通胀前景。华尔街许多人担心，在美联储收回宽松政策立场之前，经济会过热。</blockquote></p><p> Yields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.734%的收益率在年初低于1%后，本周已升至1.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周五股市走低，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA在早盘交易中下跌187点，-0.71%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell says Fed will keep supporting economy ‘for as long as it takes’<blockquote>鲍威尔表示美联储将“只要需要”继续支持经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.</b>  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储主席在《华尔街日报》专栏中表示，前景一片光明，但复苏“远未完成”。</b>美联储主席鲍威尔周五表示，虽然美国经济前景“一片光明”，但复苏“远未完成”。</blockquote></p><p> In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.</p><p><blockquote>在《华尔街日报》发表的一篇专栏文章中，鲍威尔讲述了去年2月他意识到冠状病毒大流行将席卷全国的那一刻。</blockquote></p><p> “The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“美国经济面临的危险是严重的。面临的挑战是限制后果的严重程度和持续时间，以避免长期损害，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和他的同事根据从2008-2009年大衰退的缓慢复苏中吸取的教训，设计了对危机的快速反应，即迅速采取行动可能会更好。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.</p><p><blockquote>央行迅速将政策利率下调至零，并启动了被称为量化宽松的开放式资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> With economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济学家预测2021年将出现强劲增长，每天都有更多的美国人接种疫苗，金融市场想知道美联储的支持将持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> In the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在专栏中表示，情况“有了很大改善”。</blockquote></p><p> “But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示：“但复苏远未完成，因此美联储将继续为经济提供所需的支持，只要经济需要。”</blockquote></p><p> “I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说：“我真的相信，我们将从这场危机中变得更强大、更好，就像我们以前经常做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储在最近的政策会议上再次承诺了宽松的货币政策立场，尽管预计今年经济增长将更加强劲，通胀将上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席在周五的文章中没有提及通胀前景。华尔街许多人担心，在美联储收回宽松政策立场之前，经济会过热。</blockquote></p><p> Yields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.734%的收益率在年初低于1%后，本周已升至1.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周五股市走低，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA在早盘交易中下跌187点，-0.71%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-fed-will-keep-supporting-economy-for-as-long-as-it-takes-11616165178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1117450855","content_text":"Outlook is brightening, but recovery ‘far from complete,’ Fed chairman says in WSJ op-ed.\n\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday said that while the U.S. economic outlook is “brightening,” the recovery is “far from complete.”\nIn an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal,Powell recounted the moment last February when he realized that the coronavirus pandemic would sweep across the country.\n“The danger to the U.S. economy was grave. The challenge was to limit the severity and duration of the fallout to avoid longer-run damage,” he said.\nPowell and his colleagues engineered a rapid response to the crisis, based on the lesson learned from slow recovery to the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that swift action might have been better.\nThe central bank quickly slashed its policy interest rate to zero and launched an open-ended asset purchase program known as quantitative easing.\nWith economists penciling in strong growth for 2021 and more Americans getting vaccinated every day, financial markets are wondering how long Fed support will last.\nIn the op-ed, Powell said the situation “is much improved.”\n“But the recovery is far from complete, so at the Fed we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes,” Powell said.\n“I truly believe that we will emerge from this crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before,” he said.\nOn Wednesday, the Fed recommitted to its easy money policy stance at its latest policy meeting despite a forecast for stronger economic growth and higher inflation this year.\nThe Fed chairman did not mention the outlook for inflation in his Friday article . Many on Wall Street are worried that the economy will overheat before the Fed pulls back its easy policy stance.\nYields on the 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.734%have risen to 1.73% this week after starting the year below 1%.\nStocks were trading lower on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.71%down 187 points in mid-morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":876351556,"gmtCreate":1637276295072,"gmtModify":1637276295254,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Helo","listText":"Helo","text":"Helo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876351556","repostId":"1125341334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350267280,"gmtCreate":1616214181440,"gmtModify":1631889837580,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">$Maxar Technologies Ltd.(MAXR)$</a>To consider","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXR\">$Maxar Technologies Ltd.(MAXR)$</a>To consider","text":"$Maxar Technologies Ltd.(MAXR)$To consider","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350267280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360812841,"gmtCreate":1613883265083,"gmtModify":1631892670117,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gosh","listText":"Gosh","text":"Gosh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360812841","repostId":"2113282987","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815005155,"gmtCreate":1630628236477,"gmtModify":1631883610130,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>sad sad","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>sad sad","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$sad sad","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f34614f323a7374a7991cded462e023","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815005155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170220059,"gmtCreate":1626437278971,"gmtModify":1631892670117,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fair choice a","listText":"Fair choice a","text":"Fair choice a","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170220059","repostId":"2151506043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189698284,"gmtCreate":1623254372348,"gmtModify":1631892670120,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189698284","repostId":"1135487602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135487602","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623254102,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135487602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-09 23:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135487602","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, ","content":"<p>With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储隔夜逆回购工具的使用量周二再次创下历史新高，升至4974亿美元的历史新高……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9d2bb6af82c6f76849da52e9583a94\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"259\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.</p><p><blockquote>...利率交易员正试图决定美联储是否会调整IOER（超额准备金利息）或逆回购工具（统称为美联储的“管理利率”）的利率，以缓解流动性拥堵，美联储无所作为，无所作为。</blockquote></p><p> One strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的Steven Zeng是一位认为美联储调整IOER/RRP利率的“可能性很小”的策略师，他还提到了对季末资产负债表紧缩的担忧，这低于期货市场目前的定价。</blockquote></p><p> As a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>需要提醒的是，美联储每月持续1200亿美元的量化宽松政策以及财政部持续缩减现金余额，创造了银行资产负债表上的永久储备。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e284a2218c963fffabe80f6e92118f5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"342\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，对存款的需求加剧了通货膨胀，迫使银行提供这些负债并持有收益率较低的资产。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9dd332a2a6bf7d3ef51328649fc99\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,<b>so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans</b>. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.</p><p><blockquote>这给银行的补充杠杆率带来了下行压力，<b>所以现在机构要么筹集资金，要么减少贷款</b>在这种情况下，美联储的RRP充当了存款通过流入货币基金离开银行资产负债表的“释放阀”，然后存入该设施。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/141d0979a36d1c83edb097f1181ee6eb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"345\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”</p><p><blockquote>曾表示，正如我们之前解释的那样，提高建议零售价的主要优点是使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，这可以让机构推出更多存款并更好地管理其资产负债表规模，直到“银行资本规则发生更永久的变化”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db701c691b65734c79e446994ff9334f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"349\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Currently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,<b>so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.</b>Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>目前，货币市场收益率较低，利润率受到挤压，<b>因此，提高RRP利率将使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，从而让更多现金离开银行业。</b>另外，摩根大通写道，大多数货币市场基金尚未达到美联储隔夜逆回购协议工具的交易对手限额，因此目前可能不必调整门槛。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate<b>“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”</b></p><p><blockquote>当然，一种利率不可能在没有另一种利率的情况下提高，因为在联邦基金市场中，有权获得建议零售价的贷方会要求更高的利率，但借款人可能会减少需求，导致“联邦基金利率更加不稳定”。这意味着RRP率的提高<b>“需要伴随着与IOER相等或更大的增长。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Zeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>曾在下表中方便地总结了管理费率调整的成本和收益：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7986a90f98f09803f58aab1f142833b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"350\">On the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯(Thomas Simons)和阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)指出，由于预期美联储可能会调整其管理利率，近期国库券拍卖收益率上升，但两人表示，“这种上升可能会迫使央行按兵不动。”（本周早些时候，财政部以0.025%的利率出售3个月期票据，以0.04%的利率出售6个月期票据，这两个利率都是自4月19日以来的最高止损收益率）。</blockquote></p><p> Simons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"<b>perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”</b></p><p><blockquote>Simons和Markowska对这种反射性悖论的解释如下：“尽管有大量现金在前端寻找归宿，但对IOER上涨的担忧正在阻止收益率进一步下跌。”结果，“<b>反常的是，如果收益率继续徘徊在这些水平，这种担忧实际上可能会阻止IOER的上涨。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Another paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.</p><p><blockquote>另一个悖论是：两人得出的结论是，“即使美联储逆回购预计今天将升至5000亿美元以上，也很难看到美联储判断前端存在‘过度压力’”。</blockquote></p><p> So what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell &amp; Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>那么市场怎么看呢？Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm表示，目前市场似乎并不预计美联储下周会加息，这意味着人们普遍预计鲍威尔公司不会采取任何措施来缓解美联储创纪录的流动性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如这位Curvature策略师在周二的一份报告中所写的那样，“市场正在为美联储的两件事定价。首先，它正在为2023年的首次紧缩定价——根据联邦基金期货合约[右上图]。太远了，甚至无法猜测月份！其次，市场正在定价GC/联邦基金利差在明年逐渐缩小。尽管GC目前平均比联邦基金低5至6个基点，但预计一年内将与联邦基金持平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c7e46d0816b34f2291c95dcffee4c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\">As Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.<b>An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm总结的那样，“只有两种可能的美联储“技术调整”可以提高回购利率：QE缩减和RRP利率上调。<b>IOER的增加将提高联邦基金和回购GC，因此我们可以说市场没有定价IOER的增加。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> One final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:</p><p><blockquote>美联储几乎肯定不会对管理利率采取任何措施并允许流动性过剩继续上升的最后一个原因是，正如美联储在《华尔街日报》的新耳语者迈克尔·达比(Michael Darby)昨天写道，“美联储对接近5000亿美元的逆回购没有意见”他在其中写道：</blockquote></p><p>   Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.  But as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, some<i><b>expert</b></i>market participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>许多市场参与者对逆回购活动有些不安。金融公司愿意接受美联储通过该机制向他们提供的零利率，很大程度上是因为几乎没有其他短期投资，而且在某些情况下，这些私人市场投资实际上需要花钱投资。这使得美联储的零回购利率相对具有吸引力。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯上周四在接受雅虎财经视频采访时表示：“该系统完全按照设计运行。”他补充说，逆回购工具“运作良好，资金在银行系统和我们的隔夜逆回购之间流动的事实，考虑到短期资金流动的水平，这就是我们预期会发生的情况”-术语市场。管理美联储7.9万亿美元现金和证券的萝莉·佩斯特·洛根(Lorie Logan)最近表示，美联储将更多地依赖该工具，并扩大可以使用该工具的公司数量，此后反向回购工具的使用越来越多。这一转变的时机与开始流向美联储的现金墙一致。反向回购工具发生的事情不会产生太大的更广泛的经济影响。与此同时，各国央行行长对金融市场的总体健康状况已经变得足够有信心，可以就撤回每月1200亿美元的债券购买刺激措施进行辩论。但尽管纽约联储职业学术负责人威廉姆斯充满信心，但一些人<i><b>专家</b></i>市场人士心急如焚。“流入美联储的现金数量对回购市场来说并不健康，”上述Scott Skyrm表示；他认为美联储需要缩减债券购买规模，他认为这是“将现金带回市场和退出美联储资产负债表的最明显和最有效的方式”。</blockquote></p><p> Alas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...</p><p><blockquote>唉，现在看来这不会发生了。因此，随着美联储的工具将继续上升，问题是，在美联储同意有人错了之前，我们会在美联储达到1万亿美元的惰性流动性，还是会有比比特币市值更大的现金和以太币仍被冻结在美联储的一些服务器中...</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Fed's Reverse Repo Hitting Half A Trillion, Wall Street Scrambles To Figure Out What Comes Next<blockquote>随着美联储逆回购规模达到5000亿美元，华尔街争先恐后地弄清楚接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-09 23:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...</p><p><blockquote>随着美联储隔夜逆回购工具的使用量周二再次创下历史新高，升至4974亿美元的历史新高……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9d2bb6af82c6f76849da52e9583a94\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"259\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.</p><p><blockquote>...利率交易员正试图决定美联储是否会调整IOER（超额准备金利息）或逆回购工具（统称为美联储的“管理利率”）的利率，以缓解流动性拥堵，美联储无所作为，无所作为。</blockquote></p><p> One strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的Steven Zeng是一位认为美联储调整IOER/RRP利率的“可能性很小”的策略师，他还提到了对季末资产负债表紧缩的担忧，这低于期货市场目前的定价。</blockquote></p><p> As a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.</p><p><blockquote>需要提醒的是，美联储每月持续1200亿美元的量化宽松政策以及财政部持续缩减现金余额，创造了银行资产负债表上的永久储备。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e284a2218c963fffabe80f6e92118f5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"342\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，对存款的需求加剧了通货膨胀，迫使银行提供这些负债并持有收益率较低的资产。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9dd332a2a6bf7d3ef51328649fc99\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,<b>so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans</b>. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.</p><p><blockquote>这给银行的补充杠杆率带来了下行压力，<b>所以现在机构要么筹集资金，要么减少贷款</b>在这种情况下，美联储的RRP充当了存款通过流入货币基金离开银行资产负债表的“释放阀”，然后存入该设施。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/141d0979a36d1c83edb097f1181ee6eb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"345\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”</p><p><blockquote>曾表示，正如我们之前解释的那样，提高建议零售价的主要优点是使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，这可以让机构推出更多存款并更好地管理其资产负债表规模，直到“银行资本规则发生更永久的变化”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db701c691b65734c79e446994ff9334f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"349\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Currently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,<b>so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.</b>Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>目前，货币市场收益率较低，利润率受到挤压，<b>因此，提高RRP利率将使货币基金成为“比银行存款更具吸引力的选择”，从而让更多现金离开银行业。</b>另外，摩根大通写道，大多数货币市场基金尚未达到美联储隔夜逆回购协议工具的交易对手限额，因此目前可能不必调整门槛。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate<b>“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”</b></p><p><blockquote>当然，一种利率不可能在没有另一种利率的情况下提高，因为在联邦基金市场中，有权获得建议零售价的贷方会要求更高的利率，但借款人可能会减少需求，导致“联邦基金利率更加不稳定”。这意味着RRP率的提高<b>“需要伴随着与IOER相等或更大的增长。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Zeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>曾在下表中方便地总结了管理费率调整的成本和收益：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7986a90f98f09803f58aab1f142833b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"350\">On the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯(Thomas Simons)和阿内塔·马科夫斯卡(Aneta Markowska)指出，由于预期美联储可能会调整其管理利率，近期国库券拍卖收益率上升，但两人表示，“这种上升可能会迫使央行按兵不动。”（本周早些时候，财政部以0.025%的利率出售3个月期票据，以0.04%的利率出售6个月期票据，这两个利率都是自4月19日以来的最高止损收益率）。</blockquote></p><p> Simons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"<b>perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”</b></p><p><blockquote>Simons和Markowska对这种反射性悖论的解释如下：“尽管有大量现金在前端寻找归宿，但对IOER上涨的担忧正在阻止收益率进一步下跌。”结果，“<b>反常的是，如果收益率继续徘徊在这些水平，这种担忧实际上可能会阻止IOER的上涨。”</b></blockquote></p><p> Another paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.</p><p><blockquote>另一个悖论是：两人得出的结论是，“即使美联储逆回购预计今天将升至5000亿美元以上，也很难看到美联储判断前端存在‘过度压力’”。</blockquote></p><p> So what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell &amp; Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>那么市场怎么看呢？Curvature的回购专家Scott Skyrm表示，目前市场似乎并不预计美联储下周会加息，这意味着人们普遍预计鲍威尔公司不会采取任何措施来缓解美联储创纪录的流动性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如这位Curvature策略师在周二的一份报告中所写的那样，“市场正在为美联储的两件事定价。首先，它正在为2023年的首次紧缩定价——根据联邦基金期货合约[右上图]。太远了，甚至无法猜测月份！其次，市场正在定价GC/联邦基金利差在明年逐渐缩小。尽管GC目前平均比联邦基金低5至6个基点，但预计一年内将与联邦基金持平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c7e46d0816b34f2291c95dcffee4c9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"337\">As Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.<b>An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm总结的那样，“只有两种可能的美联储“技术调整”可以提高回购利率：QE缩减和RRP利率上调。<b>IOER的增加将提高联邦基金和回购GC，因此我们可以说市场没有定价IOER的增加。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> One final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:</p><p><blockquote>美联储几乎肯定不会对管理利率采取任何措施并允许流动性过剩继续上升的最后一个原因是，正如美联储在《华尔街日报》的新耳语者迈克尔·达比(Michael Darby)昨天写道，“美联储对接近5000亿美元的逆回购没有意见”他在其中写道：</blockquote></p><p>   Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.  But as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, some<i><b>expert</b></i>market participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>许多市场参与者对逆回购活动有些不安。金融公司愿意接受美联储通过该机制向他们提供的零利率，很大程度上是因为几乎没有其他短期投资，而且在某些情况下，这些私人市场投资实际上需要花钱投资。这使得美联储的零回购利率相对具有吸引力。纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯上周四在接受雅虎财经视频采访时表示：“该系统完全按照设计运行。”他补充说，逆回购工具“运作良好，资金在银行系统和我们的隔夜逆回购之间流动的事实，考虑到短期资金流动的水平，这就是我们预期会发生的情况”-术语市场。管理美联储7.9万亿美元现金和证券的萝莉·佩斯特·洛根(Lorie Logan)最近表示，美联储将更多地依赖该工具，并扩大可以使用该工具的公司数量，此后反向回购工具的使用越来越多。这一转变的时机与开始流向美联储的现金墙一致。反向回购工具发生的事情不会产生太大的更广泛的经济影响。与此同时，各国央行行长对金融市场的总体健康状况已经变得足够有信心，可以就撤回每月1200亿美元的债券购买刺激措施进行辩论。但尽管纽约联储职业学术负责人威廉姆斯充满信心，但一些人<i><b>专家</b></i>市场人士心急如焚。“流入美联储的现金数量对回购市场来说并不健康，”上述Scott Skyrm表示；他认为美联储需要缩减债券购买规模，他认为这是“将现金带回市场和退出美联储资产负债表的最明显和最有效的方式”。</blockquote></p><p> Alas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...</p><p><blockquote>唉，现在看来这不会发生了。因此，随着美联储的工具将继续上升，问题是，在美联储同意有人错了之前，我们会在美联储达到1万亿美元的惰性流动性，还是会有比比特币市值更大的现金和以太币仍被冻结在美联储的一些服务器中...</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/feds-reverse-repo-hitting-half-trillion-wall-street-scrambles-figure-out-what-comes-next?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/feds-reverse-repo-hitting-half-trillion-wall-street-scrambles-figure-out-what-comes-next?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135487602","content_text":"With usage of the Fed's overnight reverse repo facility again hitting a new record high on Tuesday, rising to an all-time high of $497.4 billion...\n\n... rates traders are trying to decide if the Fed will tweak the rate on either the IOER (Interest on Excess Reserves) or the Reverse Repo Facility, collectively the Fed's \"administered rates\" in order to ease the liquidity congestion that has parked half a trillion dollars at the Fed where it is sitting inert, doing nothing.\nOne strategist who believes there is a \"small chance\" the Fed will adjust its IOER/RRP rate is Deutsche Bank's Steven Zeng, who also cited concern about the quarter-end balance sheet squeeze, which is less than the futures market is currently pricing.\nAs a reminder, the Fed’s ongoing $120BN in monthly QE and Treasury’s continued drawdown of its cash balance, create permanent reserves that are sitting on bank balance sheets.\n\nAt the same time, demand for deposits adds to the bloat and forces banks to supply these liabilities and hold lower-yielding assets.\n\nThis puts downward pressure on banks’ supplementary leverage ratios,so now institutions must either raise capital or reduce loans. In this context, the Fed’s RRP acts as a “release valve” for deposits to leave banks’ balance sheets via inflows into money funds, which are then deposited at the facility.\n\nAccording to Zeng, and as we have explained previously, the main merit of raising the RRP rate is to make money funds a “more attractive option to bank deposits,” which can allow institutions to push out more deposits and better manage their balance-sheet size until a “more permanent change to bank capital rules is made.”\n\nCurrently, money-market yields are low and their margins are squeezed,so a boost to the RRP rate would make money funds a “more attractive option than bank deposits,” allowing more cash to leave the banking sector.Separately, JPMorgan writes that most money-market funds have not reached their counterparty limits at the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility so they may not have to adjust their thresholds at the moment.\nOf course, one can't have an increase in one rate without the other, since in the fed funds market, lenders who have access to the RRP will demand higher rates, but borrowers may respond with reduced demand leading to a “more erratic fed funds rate.” This means an increase in the RRP rate“needs to be accompanied by an equal or larger increase to the IOER.”\nZeng conveniently summarizes the costs and benefits of an administered rate tweak in the table below:\nOn the other end of the spectrum are Jefferies economists Thomas Simons and Aneta Markowska who pointed to recent rise in yields at Treasury bill auctions in anticipation of potential Federal Reserve adjustments to its adminstered rates, but according to the duo, \"the rise could compel the central bank to stay put.\" (earlier this week, the Treasury sold 3-month bills at 0.025% and 6-month bills at 0.04%, which were both the highest stopout yields since April 19).\nSimons and Markowska explain the reflexive paradox as follows: \"concerns about an IOER hike are preventing yields from falling any further, despite the huge amount of cash looking for a home in the front-end.\" As a result, \"perversely, this concern may actually prevent an IOER hike, should yields continue to hover at these levels.”\nAnother paradox: the two conclude that \"it is hard to see the Fed judging that there is ‘undue pressure’ on the front-end even\" even as the Fed reverse repo is expected to rise above $500 billion today.\nSo what does the market think? Well, according to Curvature's repo guru Scott Skyrm, as of this moment the market does not appear to be expecting an IOER hike by the Fed next week, meaning that consensus expected Powell & Co. to do nothing to ease the record liquidity parked at the Fed.\nAs the Curvature strategist wrote in a Tuesday note, \"the market is pricing two things from the Fed. First, it's pricing the first tightening in 2023 - according to the fed funds futures contracts [graph upper right]. Too far out to even guess the month! Second, the market is pricing the GC/fed funds spread to gradually narrow over the next year. Whereas GC is averaging between 5 and 6 basis points below fed funds now, it's expected to trade flat to fed funds within a year.\"\nAs Skyrm concludes, \"there are only two possible Fed \"technical adjustments\" that can raise Repo rates: QE tapering and an RRP rate increase.An increase in the IOER would raise both fed funds and Repo GC, so we could say the market is NOT pricing an IOER increase.\"\nOne final reason why the Fed is almost guaranteed to do nothing to administered rates and allow the liquidity glut to keep rising is that as the Fed's new whisperer at the WSJ, Michael Darby wrote yesterday \"Fed Is Fine With Reverse Repos Nearing Half a Trillion\" in which he wrote:\n\n Many market participants have looked at the reverse repo activity with some unease. Financial firms have been willing to take the zero percent the Fed offers them through the facility in large part because there are few other short-term investments available, and in some cases, these private market investments actually cost money to invest in. That makes the Fed’s zero percent repo rate attractive on a relative basis.“The system is working exactly as designed,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a video interview on Yahoo Finance last Thursday. The reverse repo facility, he added, is “working really well and the fact that funds are flowing between the banking system and our overnight reverse repos, this is kind of how we would expect that to happen” given the level of money coursing through short-term markets.The growing use of the reverse repo facility follows Lorie Logan, who manages the Fed’s massive $7.9 trillion holdings of cash and securities, having said recently that the central bank would rely on it more and expand the number of firms that could access it. The timing of that shift lined up with the wall of cash that started flowing to the Fed.What is happening at the reverse repo facility doesn’t have much of a broader economic impact. Meanwhile, central bankers have become confident enough in the general health of financial markets to debate pulling back on their $120 billion a month in bond buying stimulus.\n\nBut as confident as the NY Fed's career academic head, Williams, is, someexpertmarket participants are anxious. “That amount of cash flowing into the Fed is not healthy for the repo market,” said the abovementioned Scott Skyrm; He thinks the Fed needs to scale back its bond purchases, which he deemed the “most obvious and most effective way to bring cash back into the market” and out of the Fed’s balance sheet.\nAlas, it now appears that won't happen. And so, with the Fed facility set to keep rising, the question is will we hit $1 trillion in inert liquidity at the Fed before the Fed does agree that someone is wrong, or will an amount of cash greater than the market cap of bitcoin and ethereum remain frozen inside some Fed server...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377620296,"gmtCreate":1619524932115,"gmtModify":1631892670125,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377620296","repostId":"1155157199","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155157199","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619494851,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155157199?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155157199","media":"Barrons","summary":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.J.P. Mo","content":"<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布三月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师普遍预测营收为410亿美元，同比增长17%，每股利润为1.78美元。周一，微软股价创下262.44美元的盘中纪录，距离首次触及2万亿美元估值仅小幅上涨。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至264.55美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的Azure和Office 365云业务将迎来另一个强劲的季度，并将寻找其企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于近期PC购买量大幅增长，Surface硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能导致需求未得到满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，其中包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在1月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官Amy Hood提供了每个部门的收入指引。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为133.5亿至136亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入都处于预测范围的顶部，那么总收入将达到412.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评论来预测强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital的Michael Turits重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从280美元上调至295美元。他表示，该公司可能会受益于强劲的IT需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们继续看到微软不断扩大的Azure范围、广泛的企业应用程序创新和积极的捆绑在市场上取得了成功。”“我们采访的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告微软渠道收入达到或高于计划。”</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Mark Murphy对微软产品经销商进行了新的调查，对前景感到鼓舞。他表示，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出3.3%。他报告了公司企业产品线的实力，包括Azure、Teams、Office 365和安全产品等领域的增长。Murphy对微软的评级为跑赢大盘，目标股价为245美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)预测，在Azure至少增长45%的推动下，这将是“又一个杰作季度”，他认为Azure正在从亚马逊网络服务(Amazon Web Services)手中夺取市场份额。他表示，当前的在家工作环境正在鼓励更多企业采取战略举措，转向基于云的运营，“微软全面展开，Azure增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从292美元上调至302美元，并在业绩公布前对该股设定了“积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查的结合使他更有信心，微软可以推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动，以及由于“企业消费持续强劲增长”，Azure持续走强。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap. Earnings Are Tuesday.<blockquote>微软市值接近2万亿美元。收益将于周二公布。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 11:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计微软将在周二收盘后公布三月份季度数据时公布强劲的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.&nbsp; On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.</p><p><blockquote>分析师普遍预测营收为410亿美元，同比增长17%，每股利润为1.78美元。周一，微软股价创下262.44美元的盘中纪录，距离首次触及2万亿美元估值仅小幅上涨。要实现这一目标，该股需要上涨至264.55美元。</blockquote></p><p>The shares have gained 18% year to date.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，该股已上涨18%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计该公司的Azure和Office 365云业务将迎来另一个强劲的季度，并将寻找其企业运营加速增长的迹象。鉴于近期PC购买量大幅增长，Surface硬件（笔记本电脑和白板）的销售可能在本季度强劲，尽管组件短缺可能导致需求未得到满足。个人电脑市场的强劲也预示着Windows操作系统的销售。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft breaks down its results into&nbsp;three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.</p><p><blockquote>微软将其业绩分为三个部分：生产力和业务流程，其中包括Office 365、Dynamics和LinkedIn；智能云，包括Azure和企业服务器软件；以及更多的个人计算，包括Windows、Xbox、Surface硬件和Bing。</blockquote></p><p>When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>当微软在1月底公布第二财季业绩时，首席财务官Amy Hood提供了每个部门的收入指引。对于生产力和业务流程，她预计收入为133.5亿至136亿美元。智能云的看涨期权是收入为147亿至149.5亿美元，而她预测更多个人计算的收入为123亿至127亿美元。如果每个部门的收入都处于预测范围的顶部，那么总收入将达到412.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.</p><p><blockquote>在研究报告中，几位分析师引用了客户和经销商的积极评论来预测强劲的业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.</p><p><blockquote>上周，KeyBanc Capital的Michael Turits重申了对该股的跑赢大盘评级，同时将目标价从280美元上调至295美元。他表示，该公司可能会受益于强劲的IT需求和个人电脑出货量的持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们继续看到微软不断扩大的Azure范围、广泛的企业应用程序创新和积极的捆绑在市场上取得了成功。”“我们采访的几乎所有北美微软分销商/经销商都报告微软渠道收入达到或高于计划。”</blockquote></p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Mark Murphy对微软产品经销商进行了新的调查，对前景感到鼓舞。他表示，在企业需求改善的推动下，这些公司的微软商品季度销售额平均比预期高出3.3%。他报告了公司企业产品线的实力，包括Azure、Teams、Office 365和安全产品等领域的增长。Murphy对微软的评级为跑赢大盘，目标股价为245美元。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives&nbsp;forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)预测，在Azure至少增长45%的推动下，这将是“又一个杰作季度”，他认为Azure正在从亚马逊网络服务(Amazon Web Services)手中夺取市场份额。他表示，当前的在家工作环境正在鼓励更多企业采取战略举措，转向基于云的运营，“微软全面展开，Azure增长依然强劲”。他维持跑赢大盘评级，目标股价为300美元。</blockquote></p><p>Citi analyst Tyler Radke&nbsp;last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师泰勒·拉德克(Tyler Radke)上周重申了对微软股票的买入评级，将目标价从292美元上调至302美元，并在业绩公布前对该股设定了“积极催化剂观察”。他写道，对经销商的调查和渠道检查的结合使他更有信心，微软可以推动所有三个主要业务部门的收入，消费者和企业对个人电脑的需求强劲，服务器软件的强劲升级活动，以及由于“企业消费持续强劲增长”，Azure持续走强。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/microsoft-nears-2-trillion-market-cap-earnings-are-tuesday-51619457928?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155157199","content_text":"Wall Street is expecting Microsoft to report strong financial results when the company posts its March quarter numbers after the close of trading on Tuesday.The consensus forecast among analysts is for revenue of $41 billion, up 17% from a year ago, with profits of $1.78 a share.  On Monday, Microsoft stock set an intraday record of $262.44, leaving the stock just a modest rally away from hitting a $2 trillion valuation for the first time. To get there, the stock needs to rise to $264.55.The shares have gained 18% year to date.Analysts expect another strong quarter from the company’s Azure and Office 365 cloud businesses, and will be looking for signs of accelerating growth in its enterprise operation. Sales of Surface hardware—laptops and whiteboards—were likely strong in the quarter, given the huge recent growth in PC purchases, although there is some potential that shortages of components resulted in unfilled demand. Strength in the PC market also bodes well for sales of the Windows operating system. Microsoft breaks down its results into three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, which includes Office 365, Dynamics, and LinkedIn; Intelligence Cloud, which includes Azure and enterprise server software; and More Personal Computing, which includes Windows, Xbox, Surface hardware, and Bing.When Microsoft reported its results for its fiscal second quarter in late January,CFO Amy Hood provided revenue guidance for each segment. For Productivity and Business Processes, she projected revenue of $13.35 billion to $13.6 billion. The call for Intelligent Cloud was for revenue of $14.7 billion to $14.95 billion, while she predicted $12.3 billion to $12.7 billion for More Personal Computing. If revenue for each segment came in at the top of its forecast range, the total would be $41.25 billion.In research notes, several analysts cited positive comments from customers and resellers in projecting strong results.Last week, KeyBanc Capital’s Michael Turits repeated his Overweight rating on the stock while lifting his target for the price to $295, from $280. He says the company is likely benefiting from a combination of strong IT demand and continuing strength in PC shipments.“We continue to see Microsoft’s combination of expanding Azure scope, broad enterprise application innovation, and aggressive bundling seeing success in the market,” he wrote. “Nearly all North American Microsoft distributors/resellers we spoke with reported Microsoft channel revenue on or above plan.”J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Murphy came away from his own new survey of resellers of Microsoft products encouraged about the outlook. He says those companies’ quarterly sales of Microsoft goods came in an average of 3.3% above their expectations, driven by improving enterprise demand. He reported strength across the company’s enterprise product lines, with growth in Azure, Teams, Office 365, and security products, among other places. Murphy rates Microsoft at Overweight and has a target of $245 for the stock price.Wedbush analyst Dan Ives forecast “another masterpiece quarter,” driven by growth of at least 45% from Azure, which he thinks is taking market share from Amazon Web Services. He said the current work-from-home environment is encouraging more businesses to make strategic moves toward cloud-based operations “with Microsoft across the board with Azure growth remaining brisk.” He maintained an Outperform rating, with a target of $300 for the share price.Citi analyst Tyler Radke last week reiterated a Buy rating on Microsoft shares, lifting his price target to $302, from $292, and setting a “positive catalyst watch” on the stock ahead of the results. He wrote that a combination of a survey of resellers and channel checks made him more confident that Microsoft can propel revenue across all three primary business segments, with strength in personal computer demand from both consumers and businesses, robust upgrade activity on server software, and continued strength in Azure as a result of “continued strong enterprise consumption growth.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325646723,"gmtCreate":1615898429862,"gmtModify":1703494660743,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325646723","repostId":"1150497697","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322324620,"gmtCreate":1615775574160,"gmtModify":1703492776098,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>oonly you","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>oonly you","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$oonly you","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0437987e0d97c519b024137b6b3bb5b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322324620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328356457,"gmtCreate":1615500991179,"gmtModify":1703489977041,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Missed buying in 1st day😓","listText":"Missed buying in 1st day😓","text":"Missed buying in 1st day😓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328356457","repostId":"1117588517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117588517","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615483663,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117588517?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 01:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coupang spikes 85% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Coupang首日交易飙升85%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117588517","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Coupang shares opened at $64.8 each on Thursday, about 85% higher than the company’s IPO price.Inves","content":"<p>Coupang shares opened at $64.8&nbsp;each on Thursday, about 85% higher than the company’s IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang股价周四开盘价为每股64.8美元，比该公司IPO价格高出约85%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d8a7bec648b4a2f82e6b4923e6d594e\" tg-width=\"1843\" tg-height=\"913\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors looking to buy shares of South Korean e-commerce firm&nbsp;Coupang&nbsp;when it goes public in New York should consider if the company has what it takes to be profitable in the future.</p><p><blockquote>希望在韩国电子商务公司Coupang在纽约上市时购买其股票的投资者应该考虑该公司是否具备未来盈利的条件。</blockquote></p><p>That’s the advice Daniel Yoo, head of global asset allocation at Yuanta Securities, Korea, has for clients.</p><p><blockquote>这是韩国元大证券全球资产配置主管Daniel Yoo给客户的建议。</blockquote></p><p>“What you really need to know is whether or not, in the business environment of Korea and e-commerce, can they be able to generate a huge, profitable return on capital,” Yoo said Thursday on CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia.”</p><p><blockquote>“你真正需要知道的是，在韩国的商业环境和电子商务中，他们是否能够产生巨大的、有利可图的资本回报，”Yoo周四在CNBC的“Street Signs Asia”节目中表示。</blockquote></p><p>Coupang is set to debut on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “CPNG” later in the day when U.S. markets open.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang将于当天晚些时候美国市场开盘时在纽约证券交易所首次亮相，股票代码为“CPNG”。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it had&nbsp;priced 130 million shares at $35 apiece, raising $4.55 billion and valuing the company around $60 billion. That makes Coupang the largest IPO in the U.S. this year and one of the&nbsp;top 25 biggest listings of all time stateside, by deal size.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，已将1.3亿股股票定价为每股35美元，筹集了45.5亿美元，公司估值约为600亿美元。这使得Coupang成为今年美国最大的IPO，也是美国有史以来交易规模最大的25家上市公司之一。</blockquote></p><p>The price is also above the company’s most recent&nbsp;expected range&nbsp;of between $32 and $34 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该价格也高于该公司最近预期的每股32美元至34美元的区间。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market leader</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场领导者</b></blockquote></p><p>Yoo explained that the valuation and IPO price likely rose because Coupang is the only e-commerce company in South Korea that showed a sizeable gain in market share last year. He said its market size rose from 18.1% in 2019 to about 24.6% last year due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>Yoo解释说，估值和IPO价格可能会上涨，因为Coupang是韩国唯一一家去年市场份额大幅增长的电子商务公司。他表示，由于冠状病毒大流行，其市场规模从2019年的18.1%上升至去年的约24.6%。</blockquote></p><p>“Most of the other competitors really did not show any type of changes in terms of market share,” he said. Coupang’s rivals include eBay-owned Gmarket, WeMakePrice, Naver Shopping among others.</p><p><blockquote>“大多数其他竞争对手在市场份额方面确实没有表现出任何类型的变化，”他说。Coupang的竞争对手包括eBay旗下的Gmarket、WeMakePrice、Naver Shopping等。</blockquote></p><p>“The fact is that (Coupang is) becoming the biggest e-commerce business within Korea and 24% market share, I think, it might actually even rise further,” Yoo said. “It is possible that they can actually gain as much as 30%+ over the next few years.” That, he explained, would justify why the company’s IPO price has increased.</p><p><blockquote>“事实是，（Coupang）正在成为韩国最大的电子商务企业，拥有24%的市场份额，我认为，它实际上可能会进一步上升，”Yoo说。“未来几年，他们实际上可能会获得高达30%以上的收益。”他解释说，这将证明该公司IPO价格上涨的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Coupang’s regulatory filing showed the company sustained losses over eight quarters through Dec. 31. But a sharp jump in sales last year helped narrow net losses from $770.2 million in 2019 to $567.6 million in 2020</p><p><blockquote>Coupang的监管文件显示，截至12月31日，该公司在八个季度内持续亏损。但去年销售额的大幅增长帮助净亏损从2019年的7.702亿美元收窄至2020年的5.676亿美元</blockquote></p><p><b>Comparisons with Alibaba, Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与阿里巴巴-SW、亚马逊的比较</b></blockquote></p><p>The company, whose prominent backers include SoftBank’s Vision Fund and Sequoia Capital, has drawn comparisons with&nbsp;Amazon&nbsp;and&nbsp;Alibaba. Those firms have become tech behemoths after making their public debuts.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要支持者包括软银的愿景基金和红杉资本，已将其与亚马逊和阿里巴巴-SW进行了比较。这些公司在首次公开亮相后已成为科技巨头。</blockquote></p><p>But Yoo said that the consumer markets in the U.S. and China are significantly larger than South Korea. So, even if Coupang is able to increase its market share, he said it is unlikely to see the same kind of sales growth the other two companies saw in the last decade.</p><p><blockquote>但Yoo表示，美国和中国的消费市场明显大于韩国。因此，他表示，即使Coupang能够增加其市场份额，也不太可能出现其他两家公司在过去十年中出现的同样的销售增长。</blockquote></p><p>South Korea’s e-commerce market has an estimated value of $90.1 billion in 2020 with an annual growth rate of 22.3%, according to&nbsp;data analytics firm GlobalData. That is expected to grow at a compounded annual rate of 12% to reach $141.8 billion in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>根据数据分析公司GlobalData的数据，2020年韩国电子商务市场的价值估计为901亿美元，年增长率为22.3%。预计这一数字将以12%的复合年增长率增长，到2024年将达到1,418亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Spending some of its IPO proceeds on building out a strong distribution platform within Korea could benefit Coupang, according to Yoo.</p><p><blockquote>Yoo表示，将部分IPO收益用于在韩国建立强大的分销平台可能会使Coupang受益。</blockquote></p><p>The e-commerce firm was founded by Korean-American billionaire Bom Suk Kim in 2010 and is headquartered in Seoul. It has more than 100 fulfilment and logistics centers in over 30 cities that provide next-day delivery for orders placed before midnight. Coupang employs 15,000 drivers in South Korea for its deliveries and has branched out into other services such as food and grocery delivery.</p><p><blockquote>这家电子商务公司由韩裔亿万富翁金邦硕于2010年创立，总部位于首尔。它在30多个城市拥有100多个履行和物流中心，为午夜前下的订单提供次日送达。Coupang在韩国雇用了15,000名司机进行送货，并已扩展到食品和杂货配送等其他服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coupang spikes 85% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Coupang首日交易飙升85%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoupang spikes 85% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Coupang首日交易飙升85%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-12 01:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Coupang shares opened at $64.8&nbsp;each on Thursday, about 85% higher than the company’s IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang股价周四开盘价为每股64.8美元，比该公司IPO价格高出约85%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d8a7bec648b4a2f82e6b4923e6d594e\" tg-width=\"1843\" tg-height=\"913\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors looking to buy shares of South Korean e-commerce firm&nbsp;Coupang&nbsp;when it goes public in New York should consider if the company has what it takes to be profitable in the future.</p><p><blockquote>希望在韩国电子商务公司Coupang在纽约上市时购买其股票的投资者应该考虑该公司是否具备未来盈利的条件。</blockquote></p><p>That’s the advice Daniel Yoo, head of global asset allocation at Yuanta Securities, Korea, has for clients.</p><p><blockquote>这是韩国元大证券全球资产配置主管Daniel Yoo给客户的建议。</blockquote></p><p>“What you really need to know is whether or not, in the business environment of Korea and e-commerce, can they be able to generate a huge, profitable return on capital,” Yoo said Thursday on CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia.”</p><p><blockquote>“你真正需要知道的是，在韩国的商业环境和电子商务中，他们是否能够产生巨大的、有利可图的资本回报，”Yoo周四在CNBC的“Street Signs Asia”节目中表示。</blockquote></p><p>Coupang is set to debut on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “CPNG” later in the day when U.S. markets open.</p><p><blockquote>Coupang将于当天晚些时候美国市场开盘时在纽约证券交易所首次亮相，股票代码为“CPNG”。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it had&nbsp;priced 130 million shares at $35 apiece, raising $4.55 billion and valuing the company around $60 billion. That makes Coupang the largest IPO in the U.S. this year and one of the&nbsp;top 25 biggest listings of all time stateside, by deal size.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，已将1.3亿股股票定价为每股35美元，筹集了45.5亿美元，公司估值约为600亿美元。这使得Coupang成为今年美国最大的IPO，也是美国有史以来交易规模最大的25家上市公司之一。</blockquote></p><p>The price is also above the company’s most recent&nbsp;expected range&nbsp;of between $32 and $34 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该价格也高于该公司最近预期的每股32美元至34美元的区间。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market leader</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场领导者</b></blockquote></p><p>Yoo explained that the valuation and IPO price likely rose because Coupang is the only e-commerce company in South Korea that showed a sizeable gain in market share last year. He said its market size rose from 18.1% in 2019 to about 24.6% last year due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>Yoo解释说，估值和IPO价格可能会上涨，因为Coupang是韩国唯一一家去年市场份额大幅增长的电子商务公司。他表示，由于冠状病毒大流行，其市场规模从2019年的18.1%上升至去年的约24.6%。</blockquote></p><p>“Most of the other competitors really did not show any type of changes in terms of market share,” he said. Coupang’s rivals include eBay-owned Gmarket, WeMakePrice, Naver Shopping among others.</p><p><blockquote>“大多数其他竞争对手在市场份额方面确实没有表现出任何类型的变化，”他说。Coupang的竞争对手包括eBay旗下的Gmarket、WeMakePrice、Naver Shopping等。</blockquote></p><p>“The fact is that (Coupang is) becoming the biggest e-commerce business within Korea and 24% market share, I think, it might actually even rise further,” Yoo said. “It is possible that they can actually gain as much as 30%+ over the next few years.” That, he explained, would justify why the company’s IPO price has increased.</p><p><blockquote>“事实是，（Coupang）正在成为韩国最大的电子商务企业，拥有24%的市场份额，我认为，它实际上可能会进一步上升，”Yoo说。“未来几年，他们实际上可能会获得高达30%以上的收益。”他解释说，这将证明该公司IPO价格上涨的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Coupang’s regulatory filing showed the company sustained losses over eight quarters through Dec. 31. But a sharp jump in sales last year helped narrow net losses from $770.2 million in 2019 to $567.6 million in 2020</p><p><blockquote>Coupang的监管文件显示，截至12月31日，该公司在八个季度内持续亏损。但去年销售额的大幅增长帮助净亏损从2019年的7.702亿美元收窄至2020年的5.676亿美元</blockquote></p><p><b>Comparisons with Alibaba, Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与阿里巴巴-SW、亚马逊的比较</b></blockquote></p><p>The company, whose prominent backers include SoftBank’s Vision Fund and Sequoia Capital, has drawn comparisons with&nbsp;Amazon&nbsp;and&nbsp;Alibaba. Those firms have become tech behemoths after making their public debuts.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要支持者包括软银的愿景基金和红杉资本，已将其与亚马逊和阿里巴巴-SW进行了比较。这些公司在首次公开亮相后已成为科技巨头。</blockquote></p><p>But Yoo said that the consumer markets in the U.S. and China are significantly larger than South Korea. So, even if Coupang is able to increase its market share, he said it is unlikely to see the same kind of sales growth the other two companies saw in the last decade.</p><p><blockquote>但Yoo表示，美国和中国的消费市场明显大于韩国。因此，他表示，即使Coupang能够增加其市场份额，也不太可能出现其他两家公司在过去十年中出现的同样的销售增长。</blockquote></p><p>South Korea’s e-commerce market has an estimated value of $90.1 billion in 2020 with an annual growth rate of 22.3%, according to&nbsp;data analytics firm GlobalData. That is expected to grow at a compounded annual rate of 12% to reach $141.8 billion in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>根据数据分析公司GlobalData的数据，2020年韩国电子商务市场的价值估计为901亿美元，年增长率为22.3%。预计这一数字将以12%的复合年增长率增长，到2024年将达到1,418亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Spending some of its IPO proceeds on building out a strong distribution platform within Korea could benefit Coupang, according to Yoo.</p><p><blockquote>Yoo表示，将部分IPO收益用于在韩国建立强大的分销平台可能会使Coupang受益。</blockquote></p><p>The e-commerce firm was founded by Korean-American billionaire Bom Suk Kim in 2010 and is headquartered in Seoul. It has more than 100 fulfilment and logistics centers in over 30 cities that provide next-day delivery for orders placed before midnight. Coupang employs 15,000 drivers in South Korea for its deliveries and has branched out into other services such as food and grocery delivery.</p><p><blockquote>这家电子商务公司由韩裔亿万富翁金邦硕于2010年创立，总部位于首尔。它在30多个城市拥有100多个履行和物流中心，为午夜前下的订单提供次日送达。Coupang在韩国雇用了15,000名司机进行送货，并已扩展到食品和杂货配送等其他服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CPNG":"Coupang, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117588517","content_text":"Coupang shares opened at $64.8 each on Thursday, about 85% higher than the company’s IPO price.Investors looking to buy shares of South Korean e-commerce firm Coupang when it goes public in New York should consider if the company has what it takes to be profitable in the future.That’s the advice Daniel Yoo, head of global asset allocation at Yuanta Securities, Korea, has for clients.“What you really need to know is whether or not, in the business environment of Korea and e-commerce, can they be able to generate a huge, profitable return on capital,” Yoo said Thursday on CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia.”Coupang is set to debut on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “CPNG” later in the day when U.S. markets open.The company said it had priced 130 million shares at $35 apiece, raising $4.55 billion and valuing the company around $60 billion. That makes Coupang the largest IPO in the U.S. this year and one of the top 25 biggest listings of all time stateside, by deal size.The price is also above the company’s most recent expected range of between $32 and $34 a share.Market leaderYoo explained that the valuation and IPO price likely rose because Coupang is the only e-commerce company in South Korea that showed a sizeable gain in market share last year. He said its market size rose from 18.1% in 2019 to about 24.6% last year due to the coronavirus pandemic.“Most of the other competitors really did not show any type of changes in terms of market share,” he said. Coupang’s rivals include eBay-owned Gmarket, WeMakePrice, Naver Shopping among others.“The fact is that (Coupang is) becoming the biggest e-commerce business within Korea and 24% market share, I think, it might actually even rise further,” Yoo said. “It is possible that they can actually gain as much as 30%+ over the next few years.” That, he explained, would justify why the company’s IPO price has increased.Coupang’s regulatory filing showed the company sustained losses over eight quarters through Dec. 31. But a sharp jump in sales last year helped narrow net losses from $770.2 million in 2019 to $567.6 million in 2020Comparisons with Alibaba, AmazonThe company, whose prominent backers include SoftBank’s Vision Fund and Sequoia Capital, has drawn comparisons with Amazon and Alibaba. Those firms have become tech behemoths after making their public debuts.But Yoo said that the consumer markets in the U.S. and China are significantly larger than South Korea. So, even if Coupang is able to increase its market share, he said it is unlikely to see the same kind of sales growth the other two companies saw in the last decade.South Korea’s e-commerce market has an estimated value of $90.1 billion in 2020 with an annual growth rate of 22.3%, according to data analytics firm GlobalData. That is expected to grow at a compounded annual rate of 12% to reach $141.8 billion in 2024.Spending some of its IPO proceeds on building out a strong distribution platform within Korea could benefit Coupang, according to Yoo.The e-commerce firm was founded by Korean-American billionaire Bom Suk Kim in 2010 and is headquartered in Seoul. It has more than 100 fulfilment and logistics centers in over 30 cities that provide next-day delivery for orders placed before midnight. Coupang employs 15,000 drivers in South Korea for its deliveries and has branched out into other services such as food and grocery delivery.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CPNG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":823818263,"gmtCreate":1633611613298,"gmtModify":1633611613810,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5CP.SI\">$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$</a>looks hot recently","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5CP.SI\">$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$</a>looks hot recently","text":"$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$looks hot recently","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aac7d3c24b1816f9489ed27a2b28927","width":"1080","height":"2822"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823818263","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101192030,"gmtCreate":1619855894220,"gmtModify":1631892670138,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What's the news?","listText":"What's the news?","text":"What's the news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101192030","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376033161,"gmtCreate":1619067955953,"gmtModify":1634288779835,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted Amazon and Microsoft","listText":"Noted Amazon and Microsoft","text":"Noted Amazon and Microsoft","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376033161","repostId":"1143508710","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370818948,"gmtCreate":1618571430984,"gmtModify":1634292015126,"author":{"id":"3567122626731680","authorId":"3567122626731680","name":"Muan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57898e50017c4ba74bca13a29623eab","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567122626731680","authorIdStr":"3567122626731680"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hard","listText":"Hard","text":"Hard","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370818948","repostId":"1118328524","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}