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超级白

超级白

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2021-11-18

Hw

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-16

Jai

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

Wha

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-13

What

Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>

2021-11-04

Hdhd

Arhaus Prices IPO At $13/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Arhaus IPO定价为每股13美元，低于预期范围</blockquote>

2021-11-02

Whs

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-01

Who

Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-10-28

Shxhux

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-24

Cc

US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>

2021-10-24

Sh

US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>

2021-10-21

Hs

7 Reasons Why Novavax Is a No-Brainer Pick Over Ocugen<blockquote>Novavax比Ocugen更容易选择的7个原因</blockquote>

2021-10-20

Jd

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-19

Wa

AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote>

2021-10-18

F

Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-10-14

Sh

Plug Power's stock pulls back to snap long win streak after unveiling highlights of annual Symposium<blockquote>在公布年度研讨会亮点后，普拉格能源股价回落至snap长期连胜</blockquote>

2021-10-13

V

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-11

Bai

Visa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote>

2021-10-11

Com

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-10

Om28x

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-06

$Ashford Hospitality(AHT)$pos

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636729318,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139324750?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 23:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139324750","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp t","content":"<p>Nvidia&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b>&nbsp;analyst Matt Bryson downgraded&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA Corp</b>&nbsp;to Neutral from&nbsp;Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调整为中性，目标价从220美元上调至300美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师引用了此次降级的估值，该股的交易价格是2024年股价的55倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到67倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性，这表明Nvidia的估值约为其2024年TAM的7倍，销售额约为25倍。相反，他必须在未来几年内将销售增长假设翻倍（从约20%增加到约40%），才能继续使用40倍的倍数来评估Nvidia的估值。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布赖森认为，对数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘需求的共同帮助下，客户端GPU再次变得难以采购。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机会，特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求，已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”，英伟达的基本面也没有改善，但根据估值下调了该股的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-12 23:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b>&nbsp;analyst Matt Bryson downgraded&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA Corp</b>&nbsp;to Neutral from&nbsp;Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调整为中性，目标价从220美元上调至300美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师引用了此次降级的估值，该股的交易价格是2024年股价的55倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到67倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性，这表明Nvidia的估值约为其2024年TAM的7倍，销售额约为25倍。相反，他必须在未来几年内将销售增长假设翻倍（从约20%增加到约40%），才能继续使用40倍的倍数来评估Nvidia的估值。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布赖森认为，对数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘需求的共同帮助下，客户端GPU再次变得难以采购。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机会，特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求，已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”，英伟达的基本面也没有改善，但根据估值下调了该股的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139324750","content_text":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.\nThe analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.\nHe would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.\nHowever, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.\nNvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.\nClient GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.\nNew opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.\nHe sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848427504,"gmtCreate":1636022117377,"gmtModify":1636022117751,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hdhd","listText":"Hdhd","text":"Hdhd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848427504","repostId":"1127498048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127498048","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636021104,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127498048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-04 18:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Arhaus Prices IPO At $13/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Arhaus IPO定价为每股13美元，低于预期范围</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127498048","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Home furnishings retailer Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 12.9 ","content":"<p><div> Home furnishings retailer Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 12.9 million shares at $13.00 per share. The company had expected to price the IPO at $14 -$17 earlier. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>家居用品零售商Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas将其1,290万股首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股13.00美元。该公司此前预计IPO定价为14-17美元。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Arhaus Prices IPO At $13/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Arhaus IPO定价为每股13美元，低于预期范围</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArhaus Prices IPO At $13/Share, Below Expected Range<blockquote>Arhaus IPO定价为每股13美元，低于预期范围</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-04 18:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Home furnishings retailer Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 12.9 million shares at $13.00 per share. The company had expected to price the IPO at $14 -$17 earlier. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>家居用品零售商Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas将其1,290万股首次公开募股(IPO)定价为每股13.00美元。该公司此前预计IPO定价为14-17美元。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARHS":"Arhaus, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/23882212/arhaus-prices-ipo-at-13share-below-expected-range","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127498048","content_text":"Home furnishings retailer Arhaus Inc NASDAQARHShas priced its initial public offering (IPO) of 12.9 million shares at $13.00 per share.\nThe company had expected to price the IPO at $14 -$17 earlier.\nThe underwriters will have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1.9 million shares from the company.\nThe shares are expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on Thursday, November 4, 2021, under the ticker symbol \"ARHS.\"\nThe offering is expected to close on November 8, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions.\nBofA Securities and Jefferies LLC are acting as joint lead book-running managers and as representatives for the proposed offering.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARHS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843410564,"gmtCreate":1635849141649,"gmtModify":1635849141769,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whs","listText":"Whs","text":"Whs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843410564","repostId":"1163831070","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2033,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849566868,"gmtCreate":1635767756990,"gmtModify":1635774088497,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Who","listText":"Who","text":"Who","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849566868","repostId":"2179250221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179250221","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635721559,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2179250221?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-01 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179250221","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set th","content":"<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLX":"高乐氏","APO":"阿波罗全球管理",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","EL":"雅诗兰黛","COP":"康菲石油","ATVI":"动视暴雪",".DJI":"道琼斯","RL":"拉夫劳伦","UBER":"优步","PFE":"辉瑞","BLMN":"Bloomin' Brands","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179250221","content_text":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also await more data on the U.S. economic recovery with the Labor Department's monthly jobs report later this week.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) November meeting will take place from Tuesday to Wednesday, with the policy statement and press conference from the meeting serving as the central bank's penultimate opportunity this year to announce formal plans to begin rolling back its crisis-era quantitative easing program. For the past year-and-a-half, the central bank has been purchasing $120 billion per month in agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries, as one major tool to support the economy during the pandemic.\nIn late September, the FOMC's latest monetary policy statement and press conference from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank was apt to announce the start of tapering before year-end, and continue the tapering process until \"around the middle of next year.\"\n\"The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note.\n\"The statement that announces the new pace of asset purchases will be followed by a note regarding flexibility stating that asset purchases are not on a pre-set course and will depend on the outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as an assessment of the efficacy of asset purchases,\" she predicted.\nShe noted that Powell may also use the press conference to reiterate that the end of tapering would not necessarily indicate the start of rate hikes, and that both policy actions are distinct. In previous public remarks, Powell has already made a similar point in previous public remarks, saying, \"the timing and pace of the coming reduction in asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate liftoff.\"\nGiven the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. Investors and economists have mulled whether the Fed may need to act more quickly than previously telegraphed on adjusting interest rates to stave off inflation, which has proven more long-lasting than some had suggested.\nWASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Drew Angerer via Getty Images\nIn September, core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation — rose 3.6% over last year for a fourth consecutive month, coming in at the fastest clip since 1991. And earlier this month, Powell acknowledged in public remarks that the supply chain constraints and shortages that spurred the latest rise in prices are \"likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year.\"\nWhile the central bank will not release an updated Summary of Economic Projections with their policy statement on Wednesday, the latest projections from the September meeting suggested the committee was split on rate hikes for 2022, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.\n\"I think the Fed has pretty well determined to start the taper pretty quickly. We expect them to announce it next week and then start it soon thereafter, so that's pretty well carved in stone,\" Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab chief fixed income strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live last week. \"I think the big debate now is how quickly the Fed moves toward actually raising rates. The expectation in the market has really shifted to expecting as many as two rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 ... that’s a pretty aggressive pace of tightening.\"\nOctober jobs report\nOne of this week's most closely watched pieces of economic data will be the October jobs report, which is due for release on Friday from the Labor Department.\nEconomists are looking to see a pick-up in the pace of hiring for October after a disappointing print in September, when just 194,000 non-farm payrolls returned versus the half million expected. Over the past two months, payroll gains averaged at just 280,000. The unemployment rate is expected to take another small step toward pre-pandemic levels in October as well, with the jobless rate anticipated to dip to 4.7% from 4.8% the prior month.\nStill, the labor market has still fallen short its pre-pandemic conditions on a number of fronts. The unemployment rate has yet to return to its 50-year low of 3.5% from February 2020. And as of September, the civilian labor force was still down by about 3.1 million individuals from pre-virus levels.\nOne factor weighing on the labor market in August and September was the Delta variant, which may have deterred some workers from seeking employment in person for risk of infection. And an ongoing element dragging on the labor market's recovery has been a mismatch of supply and demand, with employers struggling to fill a near-record number of job openings while voluntary quits jumped to a historically high level.\n\"Next week’s October payrolls report will shed light on whether supply eased on diminishing constraints or if the labor market continues to face headwinds for now,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note last week.\nBut some data from the past couple weeks has reflected favorably on conditions in the labor market in October. Weekly new unemployment claims broke below 300,000 for the first time since the start of the pandemic during the survey week for the October jobs report, or the week that includes the 12th of the month. And in the Conference Board's October Consumer Confidence Index, just 10.6% of consumers said jobs were \"hard to get,\" down from 13.0% in September. That brought the Conference Board's closely watched labor market differential, or percentage of consumers saying jobs are \"hard to get\" subtracted from the percentage saying jobs \"are plentiful,\" to 45, or its highest level since 2000.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, Oct. final (59.3 expected, 59.2 in September); Constructing spending, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.0% in August); ISM Manufacturing Index, Oct. (60.5 expected, 61.1 in September)\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 29 (0.3% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, Oct. (400,000 expected, 568,000 in September); ISM Services Index, October (62.0 expected, 61.9 in September); Factory Orders, September (-0.1% expected, 1.2% in August); Durable goods orders, September final (-0.4% in prior print; Durable goods orders excluding transportation, September final (0.4% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, September final (0.8% in prior print); Markit U.S. Services PMI, October final (58.2 expected, 58.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, October final (57.3 in prior print); Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy decision\nThursday: Challenger job cuts, year-over-year, October (-84.9% in September); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 30 (275,000 expected, 281,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 23 (2.147 million expected, 2.243 million during prior week); Non-farm productivity, Q3 preliminary (-3.2% expected, 2.1% in Q2); Unit Labor Costs, Q3 preliminary (6.9% expected, 1.3% in Q2); Trade balance, September (-$80.1 billion expected, -$73.3 billion in August)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, October (450,000 expected, 194,000 in September); Unemployment rate, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, October (4.9% expected, 4.6% in September); Labor Force Participation Rate, October (61.8% expected, 61.6% in September); Consumer Credit, September ($16.200 billion expected, $14.379 million in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Clorox (CLX), Avis Budget Group (CAR), ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI), Chegg Inc. (CHGG), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Simon Property Group (SPG) after market close\nTuesday: Under Armour (UAA), Estee Lauder (EL), Ralph Lauren (RL), Apollo Global Management (APO), Corsair Gaming (CRSR), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pfizer (PFE), Groupon (GPN), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) before market open; Mondelez (MDLZ), T-Mobile (TMUS), Akamai (AKAM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Lyft (LYFT), Match Group (MTCH), Devon Energy (DVN), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Coursera (COUR), Zillow Group (ZG), Amgen (AMGN) after market close\nWednesday: Humana (HUM), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), The New York Times (NYT), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Marriott International (MAR), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI) before market open; Booking Holdings (BKNG), Qorvo (QRVO), The Allstate Corp. (ALL), MGM Resorts International (MGM), $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Vimeo (VMEO), Etsy (ETSY), GoDaddy (GDDY), Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Roku (ROKU), Qualcomm (QCOM) after market close\nThursday: Cigna (CI), Wayfair (W), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Nikola (NKLA), Duke Energy (DUK), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Hanesbrands (HBI), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Vulcan Material (VMC), Kellogg (K), Square (SQ), Cloudflare (NET), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Uber Technologies (UBER), American International Group (AIG), Shake Shack (SHAK), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Novavax (NVAX), IAC Interactive Corp. (IAC), Peloton (PTON), Dropbox (DBX), DataDog (DDOG), Pinterest (PINS), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Expedia (EXPE), Rocket Cos. (RKT), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), Airbnb (ABNB)\nFriday: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Dish Networks (DISH), Dominion Energy (D), DraftKings (DKNG), Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT), Cinemark Holdings (CNK) before market open","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRSR":0.9,"EL":0.9,"RL":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"COP":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"CLX":0.9,"APO":0.9,"BLMN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854307175,"gmtCreate":1635416727444,"gmtModify":1635416727577,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shxhux","listText":"Shxhux","text":"Shxhux","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854307175","repostId":"1123114099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858564990,"gmtCreate":1635085192362,"gmtModify":1635085192814,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cc","listText":"Cc","text":"Cc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858564990","repostId":"1174514229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174514229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635035471,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174514229?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 08:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174514229","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.","content":"<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 08:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AIRS":"Airsculpt Technologies","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.","AIP":"Arteris, Inc.","FLNC":"Fluence Energy, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","HRT":"HireRight Holdings Corp.","UDMY":"Udemy, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","INFA":"Informatica Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174514229","content_text":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.\nSemiconductor foundry GlobalFoundries(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.\nEnterprise cloud data management platform Informatica(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.\nEnergy storage provider Fluence Energy(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.\nRevenue cycle management platform Ensemble Health Partners(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.\nHiring solutions provider HireRight Holdings(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.\nOnline education marketplace Udemy(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.\nChinese drug in-licensor LianBio(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.\nRent the Runway(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.\nAesthetic medical device maker Candela Medical(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.\nFire pit brand Solo Brands(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.\nBody contouring provider AirSculpt Technologies(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.\nTechnology firm Arteris(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CDLA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"INFA":0.9,"AIRS":0.9,"AIP":0.9,"FLNC":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"RENT":0.9,"ENSB":0.9,"HRT":0.9,"UDMY":0.9,"DTC":0.9,"LIAN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1992,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858565756,"gmtCreate":1635085179091,"gmtModify":1635085179465,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sh","listText":"Sh","text":"Sh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858565756","repostId":"1174514229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174514229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635035471,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174514229?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 08:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174514229","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.","content":"<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Semiconductors, energy storage, designer apparel, and more in a 12 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：12周IPO中的半导体、储能、设计师服装等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 08:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场继续保持繁忙，未来一周将有12起IPO计划筹集68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor foundry&nbsp;<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.</p><p><blockquote>半导体代工<b>GlobalFoundries</b>(GFS)计划以246亿美元的市值筹集24亿美元。总部位于美国的GlobalFoundries得到阿布扎比穆巴达拉的支持，是全球领先的特种半导体代工厂之一。由于增长不稳定，该公司表示，它是唯一一家业务遍及全球但总部不在中国的规模化纯代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Enterprise cloud data management platform&nbsp;<b>Informatica</b>(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>企业云数据管理平台<b>计算机科学</b>(INFA)计划以87亿美元的市值筹集8.85亿美元。该公司通过许可证和订阅在其人工智能平台上向5,700多家客户提供数据集成服务。尽管IPO后的杠杆率很高，但Informatica是全球数据管理市场公认的领导者，并在2021年上半年实现了强劲的订阅ARR增长。</blockquote></p><p> Energy storage provider&nbsp;<b>Fluence Energy</b>(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>储能提供商<b>注量能</b>(FLNC)计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6.98亿美元。该公司由西门子和AES组成，向公用事业公司、独立电力生产商、项目开发商以及商业和工业客户销售储能产品和服务。快速增长但无利可图，截至2011年6月30日，Fluence Energy部署了942 MW的存储产品。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue cycle management platform&nbsp;<b>Ensemble Health Partners</b>(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.</p><p><blockquote>收益周期管理平台<b>合奏健康合作伙伴</b>(ENSB)计划以36亿美元的市值筹集6.05亿美元。该平台为医疗保健行业提供收入周期管理解决方案。随着2021年上半年的加速增长，Ensemble Health管理的年度客户净患者收入超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>HireRight Holdings</b>(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>雇佣权控股公司</b>(HRT)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集5亿美元。该公司为40,000多名客户提供背景调查、验证、识别、监控以及药物和健康筛查服务。尽管现金流转为负值，但HireRight在2021年上半年的息税前利润仍实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Online education marketplace&nbsp;<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>在线教育市场<b>Udemy</b>(UDMY)计划以43亿美元的市值筹集4.06亿美元。该教育平台为180多个国家的4400万多名客户提供75种语言的183,000多门课程。Udemy不断增长但尚未盈利，自成立以来已注册用户超过7300万。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese drug in-licensor&nbsp;<b>LianBio</b>(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.</p><p><blockquote>中国药品许可人<b>联比奥</b>(LIAN)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。这家生物制药公司专注于中国和其他亚洲市场，开发和商业化多种适应症的药物。联生物的产品线目前包括五个不同治疗领域的九种候选产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rent the Runway</b>(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>租用跑道</b>(RENT)计划以14亿美元的市值筹集2.93亿美元。这家服装租赁公司最初专注于活动服装的点菜租赁，但已逐渐过渡到主要从每月订阅箱中创收。尽管该公司在过去两个季度的活跃订户和收入有所反弹，但IPO后仍未盈利且存在杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Aesthetic medical device maker&nbsp;<b>Candela Medical</b>(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>美容医疗器械制造商<b>坎德拉医疗</b>(CDLA)计划以17亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。该公司直接在18个国家销售产品，间接在66个国家销售产品，开发用于选择性美容手术的医疗设备。尽管受到疫情的严重打击，坎德拉医疗仍实现了强劲增长，并在2021年上半年扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Fire pit brand&nbsp;<b>Solo Brands</b>(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>火坑品牌<b>索罗品牌</b>(DTC)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Solo Brands通过其DTC平台销售火坑、野营炉和其他户外装备。这家户外电子商务发展迅速，利润丰厚，拥有超过230万客户。</blockquote></p><p> Body contouring provider&nbsp;<b>AirSculpt Technologies</b>(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>塑身师<b>空气雕刻技术</b>(AIRS)计划以8.86亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。该公司通过美国13个州的16个中心提供微创塑身手术。AirSculpt Technologies实现盈利并稳健增长，并且由于COVID-19影响的减轻，同中心案例数量有所增加。</blockquote></p><p> Technology firm&nbsp;<b>Arteris</b>(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>科技公司<b>动脉</b>(AIP)计划以5.55亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。这家技术公司开发并许可互连知识产权，管理片上系统半导体器件中的片上通信。Arteris尚未盈利，但在2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99c3b0173e59f4e69ff484c12bd137e7\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64e34b3c49a856e99ba64a2d57410844\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将有6家公司接受街头调查，多达12家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至10/22/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了8.2%，而标普500上涨了21.1%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Uber Technologies（UBER）和Moderna（MRNA）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌15.8%，而ACWX指数上涨9.1%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有最多的ETF包括美团-W大众点评和软银。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AIRS":"Airsculpt Technologies","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.","AIP":"Arteris, Inc.","FLNC":"Fluence Energy, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","HRT":"HireRight Holdings Corp.","UDMY":"Udemy, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","INFA":"Informatica Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/87676/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Semiconductors-energy-storage-designer-apparel-and-more-i","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174514229","content_text":"The IPO market continues to stay busy with 12 IPOs schedule to raise $6.8 billion in the week ahead.\nSemiconductor foundry GlobalFoundries(GFS) plans to raise $2.4 billion at a $24.6 billion market cap. Backed by Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala, US-based GlobalFoundries is one of the world’s leading specialty semiconductor foundries. Unprofitable with lumpy growth, the company states that it is the only scaled pure-play foundry with a global footprint that is not based in China.\nEnterprise cloud data management platform Informatica(INFA) plans to raise $885 million at an $8.7 billion market cap. This company provides data integration services on its AI-powered platform to over 5,700 customers through both licenses and subscriptions. Although it will be highly leveraged post-IPO, Informatica is a recognized leader in the global data management market and saw strong subscription ARR growth in the 1H21.\nEnergy storage provider Fluence Energy(FLNC) plans to raise $698 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Formed by Siemens and AES, this company sells energy storage products and services to utilities, independent power producers, project developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fast growing but unprofitable, Fluence Energy deployed 942 MW of storage products as of 6/30/21.\nRevenue cycle management platform Ensemble Health Partners(ENSB) plans to raise $605 million at a $3.6 billion market cap. This platform provides revenue cycle management solutions to the healthcare industry. Profitable with accelerating growth in the 1H21, Ensemble Health has over $20 billion in annual client net patient revenue under management.\nHiring solutions provider HireRight Holdings(HRT) plans to raise $500 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This company provides background checks, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services to over 40,000 customers. HireRight was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1H21, though cash flow swung negative.\nOnline education marketplace Udemy(UDMY) plans to raise $406 million at a $4.3 billion market cap. This education platform provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages to over 44 million customers in over 180 countries. Growing but unprofitable, Udemy has registered more than 73 million users since its inception.\nChinese drug in-licensor LianBio(LIAN) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. Focused on China and other Asian markets, this biopharmaceutical company develops and commercializes drugs for a variety of indications. LianBio’s pipeline currently consists of nine product candidates across five different therapeutics areas.\nRent the Runway(RENT) plans to raise $293 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. This apparel rental company originally focused on a-la-carte rentals of dresses for events, but has gradually transitioned to mostly generating revenue from monthly subscription boxes. While the company has seen active subscribers and revenue rebound in the last two quarters, it is unprofitable and leveraged post-IPO.\nAesthetic medical device maker Candela Medical(CDLA) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.7 billion market cap. Selling products directly in 18 countries and indirectly in 66 countries, this company develops medical devices for elective aesthetic procedures. Despite being hard hit by the pandemic, Candela Medical saw strong growth and turned profitable in the 1H21.\nFire pit brand Solo Brands(DTC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Solo Brands sells fire pits, camp stoves, and other outdoor gear through its DTC platform. Fast growing and profitable, this outdoor e-commerce has an installed base of more than 2.3 million customers.\nBody contouring provider AirSculpt Technologies(AIRS) plans to raise $160 million at an $886 million market cap. This company provides minimally-invasive body contouring procedures through 16 centers across 13 states in the US. AirSculpt Technologies is profitable with solid growth, and has seen an increase in same-center case volume as a result of lessening effects of COVID-19.\nTechnology firm Arteris(AIP) plans to raise $75 million at a $555 million market cap. This technology company develops and licenses interconnect intellectual property that manages the on-chip communications in System-on-Chip semiconductor devices. Arteris is unprofitable but saw growth accelerate in the 1H21.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 12 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 10/22/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 8.2% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 21.1%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber Technologies (UBER) and Moderna (MRNA). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 15.8% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 9.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Meituan-Dianping and SoftBank.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CDLA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"INFA":0.9,"AIRS":0.9,"AIP":0.9,"FLNC":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"RENT":0.9,"ENSB":0.9,"HRT":0.9,"UDMY":0.9,"DTC":0.9,"LIAN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853227390,"gmtCreate":1634817678966,"gmtModify":1634817679367,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hs","listText":"Hs","text":"Hs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853227390","repostId":"1171915283","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171915283","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634817585,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171915283?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 19:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Reasons Why Novavax Is a No-Brainer Pick Over Ocugen<blockquote>Novavax比Ocugen更容易选择的7个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171915283","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's no contest between the stock performances of Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)and Ocugen(NASDAQ:OCGN)so f","content":"<p>There's no contest between the stock performances of&nbsp;<b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)and&nbsp;<b>Ocugen</b>(NASDAQ:OCGN)so far this year. Ocugen's share price has skyrocketed roughly seven times more than Novavax's has.</p><p><blockquote>股票表现之间不存在竞争<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）和<b>奥库根</b>（纳斯达克：OCGN）今年迄今为止。Ocugen的股价飙升约为Novavax的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make Ocugen the smarter&nbsp;vaccine stock&nbsp;to buy right now? Not at all. Here are seven reasons why Novavax stock is a no-brainer pick over Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>这是否使Ocugen成为现在购买更明智的疫苗股票？一点也不。以下是Novavax股票比Ocugen更容易选择的七个原因。</blockquote></p><p> 1. A path to EUA in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>1.美国EUA之路。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen's share price skyrocketed more than 750% year to date twice in 2021. But much of that massive gain evaporated after the company disclosed in June that it would no longer pursue Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) in the U.S. for COVID-19 vaccine Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen的股价在2021年两次飙升超过750%。但在该公司6月份披露将不再在美国寻求COVID-19疫苗科瓦克辛的紧急使用授权(EUA)后，这一巨大收益大部分消失了。</blockquote></p><p> The company opted to go for full approval once the U.S. Food and Drug Administration limited which vaccines would be reviewed under the EUA program. So far, however, Ocugen hasn't begun the late-stage clinical studies that will be required to win full FDA approval.</p><p><blockquote>该公司选择在美国获得全面批准后立即获得批准。美国食品药品监督管理局限制了哪些疫苗将在EUA计划下接受审查。然而，到目前为止，Ocugen尚未开始获得FDA全面批准所需的后期临床研究。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Novavax still has U.S. EUA for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate NVX-CoV2373 as a top priority. The company will be&nbsp;later than it hoped in filing for authorization in the U.S.However, it has the potential to launch in the U.S. much sooner than Ocugen could.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Novavax仍将其COVID-19候选疫苗NVX-CoV2373的美国EUA作为重中之重。该公司在美国申请授权的时间将比预期的要晚。然而，它有可能比Ocugen更早在美国推出。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen still hopes to obtain authorization for Covaxin in Canada. But the U.S. stands as the big prize. And it's a prize for which Novavax clearly has a better opportunity right now.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen仍希望获得科瓦克辛在加授权。但美国是大奖。Novavax现在显然有更好的机会获得这个奖项。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Supply deals already in hand</p><p><blockquote>2.已在手的供应交易</blockquote></p><p> Some investors focus entirely on the approval or authorization process for COVID-19 vaccines. Without supply agreements in place with at least one country, though, any regulatory wins will be hollow victories.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者完全关注COVID-19疫苗的批准或授权流程。然而，如果没有与至少一个国家达成供应协议，任何监管上的胜利都将是空洞的胜利。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen doesn't have any supply deals finalized yet. Novavax, on the other hand, already has supply deals in place with the U.S., Canada, the EU, Australia, New Zealand, Japan (through its partner,<b>Takeda</b>), and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen尚未敲定任何供应交易。另一方面，Novavax已经与美国、加拿大、欧盟、澳大利亚、新西兰、日本（通过其合作伙伴，<b>武田</b>）和疫苗联盟Gavi。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Full rights to its COVID-19 vaccine</p><p><blockquote>3.对其COVID-19疫苗的完全权利</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen secured commercialization rights from Bharat Biotech for Covaxin only in the U.S. and Canada. Its terms with Bharat allow the company to keep 45% of the profits from any sales of the COVID-19 vaccine in those two markets.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen仅在美国和加拿大从Bharat Biotech获得了科瓦克辛的商业化权利。它与Bharat的条款允许该公司保留在这两个市场销售COVID-19疫苗利润的45%。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax developed NVX-CoV2373 on its own. It retains full rights to the vaccine, although it has partnered with other organizations to target some markets.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax自行开发了NVX-CoV2373。它保留了疫苗的全部权利，尽管它已经与其他组织合作瞄准了一些市场。</blockquote></p><p> 4. A stronger pipeline</p><p><blockquote>4.更强大的管道</blockquote></p><p> Other than Covaxin, Ocugen doesn't have any other pipeline candidates currently in clinical testing. The company has stated that it plans to advance experimental gene therapy OCU400 into two phase 1/2a clinical trials in 2021, but those studies haven't begun yet.</p><p><blockquote>除了科瓦克辛之外，Ocugen目前没有任何其他正在进行临床测试的候选产品。该公司曾表示，计划在2021年将实验性基因疗法OCU400推进到两项1/2a期临床试验中，但这些研究尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax has already reported positive results from a phase 3 study of flu vaccine candidate NanoFlu. It kicked off a phase 1/2 study evaluating a combination of NVX-CoV2373 and NanoFlu in September. The company also has two other clinical-stage candidates -- respiratory syncytial virus vaccine ResVax and an Ebola virus vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax已经报告了候选流感疫苗NanoFlu的3期研究的积极结果。它于9月启动了一项1/2期研究，评估NVX-CoV2373和NanoFlu的组合。该公司还有另外两种处于临床阶段的候选疫苗——呼吸道合胞病毒疫苗ResVax和埃博拉病毒疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> 5. More cash</p><p><blockquote>5.更多现金</blockquote></p><p> Cash is extremely important to clinical-stage biotechs. Without enough cash, they can be forced to raise capital to fund operations and expensive clinical trials through dilutive stock offerings.</p><p><blockquote>现金对于临床阶段的生物技术极其重要。如果没有足够的现金，他们可能被迫通过稀释性股票发行来筹集资金，为运营和昂贵的临床试验提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, Ocugen's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $115.8 million. Novavax's cash stockpile stood at $2.1 billion as of the same date.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Ocugen的现金、现金等价物和限制性现金总计1.158亿美元。截至同日，Novavax的现金储备为21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> 6. More potential near-term catalysts</p><p><blockquote>6.更多潜在的近期催化剂</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen really has only one solid potential near-term catalyst: It's awaiting a decision by Health Canada on the authorization of Covaxin. Any wins for the vaccine outside of Canada or the U.S. benefit Bharat but not Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen实际上只有一个可靠的潜在近期催化剂：它正在等待加拿大卫生部关于科瓦克辛授权的决定。该疫苗在加拿大或美国以外的任何胜利都有利于Bharat，但不利于Ocugen。</blockquote></p><p> What about Novavax? The company hopes to soon win EUAs in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Novavax is awaiting Emergency Use Listing from the World Health Organization for NVX-CoV2373. It's also moving toward regulatory filings in the U.K., Europe, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>诺瓦瓦克斯呢？该公司希望尽快赢得印度、印度尼西亚和菲律宾的EUA。Novavax正在等待世界卫生组织将NVX-CoV2373列入紧急使用清单。它还正在向英国、欧洲、澳大利亚、加拿大、新西兰和美国提交监管文件。</blockquote></p><p> 7. A more defensible valuation</p><p><blockquote>7.更合理的估值</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen's impressive performance so far this year has stemmed in large part from the combination of intense online interest and a large number of shares sold short. This makes the stock a good candidate for ashort squeeze. But the company's market cap tops $1.6 billion with analysts expecting Ocugen to only generate around $135 million in revenue next year.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen今年迄今为止令人印象深刻的表现在很大程度上源于强烈的在线兴趣和大量股票被卖空的结合。这使得该股成为空头挤压的良好候选者。但该公司的市值超过16亿美元，分析师预计Ocugen明年的收入仅为1.35亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax, though, could soon see big bucks flowing in if it wins authorizations and approvals for NVX-CoV2373. The company's market cap stands near $12.4 billion. However, with anticipated revenue of $5.5 billion in 2022, that valuation is much more defensible than Ocugen's is.</p><p><blockquote>不过，如果Novavax获得NVX-CoV2373的授权和批准，它可能很快就会看到大笔资金流入。该公司的市值接近124亿美元。然而，由于预计2022年收入为55亿美元，这一估值比Ocugen的估值更合理。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Reasons Why Novavax Is a No-Brainer Pick Over Ocugen<blockquote>Novavax比Ocugen更容易选择的7个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Reasons Why Novavax Is a No-Brainer Pick Over Ocugen<blockquote>Novavax比Ocugen更容易选择的7个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-21 19:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There's no contest between the stock performances of&nbsp;<b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)and&nbsp;<b>Ocugen</b>(NASDAQ:OCGN)so far this year. Ocugen's share price has skyrocketed roughly seven times more than Novavax's has.</p><p><blockquote>股票表现之间不存在竞争<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）和<b>奥库根</b>（纳斯达克：OCGN）今年迄今为止。Ocugen的股价飙升约为Novavax的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make Ocugen the smarter&nbsp;vaccine stock&nbsp;to buy right now? Not at all. Here are seven reasons why Novavax stock is a no-brainer pick over Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>这是否使Ocugen成为现在购买更明智的疫苗股票？一点也不。以下是Novavax股票比Ocugen更容易选择的七个原因。</blockquote></p><p> 1. A path to EUA in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>1.美国EUA之路。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen's share price skyrocketed more than 750% year to date twice in 2021. But much of that massive gain evaporated after the company disclosed in June that it would no longer pursue Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) in the U.S. for COVID-19 vaccine Covaxin.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen的股价在2021年两次飙升超过750%。但在该公司6月份披露将不再在美国寻求COVID-19疫苗科瓦克辛的紧急使用授权(EUA)后，这一巨大收益大部分消失了。</blockquote></p><p> The company opted to go for full approval once the U.S. Food and Drug Administration limited which vaccines would be reviewed under the EUA program. So far, however, Ocugen hasn't begun the late-stage clinical studies that will be required to win full FDA approval.</p><p><blockquote>该公司选择在美国获得全面批准后立即获得批准。美国食品药品监督管理局限制了哪些疫苗将在EUA计划下接受审查。然而，到目前为止，Ocugen尚未开始获得FDA全面批准所需的后期临床研究。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Novavax still has U.S. EUA for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate NVX-CoV2373 as a top priority. The company will be&nbsp;later than it hoped in filing for authorization in the U.S.However, it has the potential to launch in the U.S. much sooner than Ocugen could.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Novavax仍将其COVID-19候选疫苗NVX-CoV2373的美国EUA作为重中之重。该公司在美国申请授权的时间将比预期的要晚。然而，它有可能比Ocugen更早在美国推出。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen still hopes to obtain authorization for Covaxin in Canada. But the U.S. stands as the big prize. And it's a prize for which Novavax clearly has a better opportunity right now.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen仍希望获得科瓦克辛在加授权。但美国是大奖。Novavax现在显然有更好的机会获得这个奖项。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Supply deals already in hand</p><p><blockquote>2.已在手的供应交易</blockquote></p><p> Some investors focus entirely on the approval or authorization process for COVID-19 vaccines. Without supply agreements in place with at least one country, though, any regulatory wins will be hollow victories.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者完全关注COVID-19疫苗的批准或授权流程。然而，如果没有与至少一个国家达成供应协议，任何监管上的胜利都将是空洞的胜利。</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen doesn't have any supply deals finalized yet. Novavax, on the other hand, already has supply deals in place with the U.S., Canada, the EU, Australia, New Zealand, Japan (through its partner,<b>Takeda</b>), and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen尚未敲定任何供应交易。另一方面，Novavax已经与美国、加拿大、欧盟、澳大利亚、新西兰、日本（通过其合作伙伴，<b>武田</b>）和疫苗联盟Gavi。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Full rights to its COVID-19 vaccine</p><p><blockquote>3.对其COVID-19疫苗的完全权利</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen secured commercialization rights from Bharat Biotech for Covaxin only in the U.S. and Canada. Its terms with Bharat allow the company to keep 45% of the profits from any sales of the COVID-19 vaccine in those two markets.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen仅在美国和加拿大从Bharat Biotech获得了科瓦克辛的商业化权利。它与Bharat的条款允许该公司保留在这两个市场销售COVID-19疫苗利润的45%。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax developed NVX-CoV2373 on its own. It retains full rights to the vaccine, although it has partnered with other organizations to target some markets.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax自行开发了NVX-CoV2373。它保留了疫苗的全部权利，尽管它已经与其他组织合作瞄准了一些市场。</blockquote></p><p> 4. A stronger pipeline</p><p><blockquote>4.更强大的管道</blockquote></p><p> Other than Covaxin, Ocugen doesn't have any other pipeline candidates currently in clinical testing. The company has stated that it plans to advance experimental gene therapy OCU400 into two phase 1/2a clinical trials in 2021, but those studies haven't begun yet.</p><p><blockquote>除了科瓦克辛之外，Ocugen目前没有任何其他正在进行临床测试的候选产品。该公司曾表示，计划在2021年将实验性基因疗法OCU400推进到两项1/2a期临床试验中，但这些研究尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax has already reported positive results from a phase 3 study of flu vaccine candidate NanoFlu. It kicked off a phase 1/2 study evaluating a combination of NVX-CoV2373 and NanoFlu in September. The company also has two other clinical-stage candidates -- respiratory syncytial virus vaccine ResVax and an Ebola virus vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax已经报告了候选流感疫苗NanoFlu的3期研究的积极结果。它于9月启动了一项1/2期研究，评估NVX-CoV2373和NanoFlu的组合。该公司还有另外两种处于临床阶段的候选疫苗——呼吸道合胞病毒疫苗ResVax和埃博拉病毒疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> 5. More cash</p><p><blockquote>5.更多现金</blockquote></p><p> Cash is extremely important to clinical-stage biotechs. Without enough cash, they can be forced to raise capital to fund operations and expensive clinical trials through dilutive stock offerings.</p><p><blockquote>现金对于临床阶段的生物技术极其重要。如果没有足够的现金，他们可能被迫通过稀释性股票发行来筹集资金，为运营和昂贵的临床试验提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> As of June 30, 2021, Ocugen's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $115.8 million. Novavax's cash stockpile stood at $2.1 billion as of the same date.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Ocugen的现金、现金等价物和限制性现金总计1.158亿美元。截至同日，Novavax的现金储备为21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> 6. More potential near-term catalysts</p><p><blockquote>6.更多潜在的近期催化剂</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen really has only one solid potential near-term catalyst: It's awaiting a decision by Health Canada on the authorization of Covaxin. Any wins for the vaccine outside of Canada or the U.S. benefit Bharat but not Ocugen.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen实际上只有一个可靠的潜在近期催化剂：它正在等待加拿大卫生部关于科瓦克辛授权的决定。该疫苗在加拿大或美国以外的任何胜利都有利于Bharat，但不利于Ocugen。</blockquote></p><p> What about Novavax? The company hopes to soon win EUAs in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Novavax is awaiting Emergency Use Listing from the World Health Organization for NVX-CoV2373. It's also moving toward regulatory filings in the U.K., Europe, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>诺瓦瓦克斯呢？该公司希望尽快赢得印度、印度尼西亚和菲律宾的EUA。Novavax正在等待世界卫生组织将NVX-CoV2373列入紧急使用清单。它还正在向英国、欧洲、澳大利亚、加拿大、新西兰和美国提交监管文件。</blockquote></p><p> 7. A more defensible valuation</p><p><blockquote>7.更合理的估值</blockquote></p><p> Ocugen's impressive performance so far this year has stemmed in large part from the combination of intense online interest and a large number of shares sold short. This makes the stock a good candidate for ashort squeeze. But the company's market cap tops $1.6 billion with analysts expecting Ocugen to only generate around $135 million in revenue next year.</p><p><blockquote>Ocugen今年迄今为止令人印象深刻的表现在很大程度上源于强烈的在线兴趣和大量股票被卖空的结合。这使得该股成为空头挤压的良好候选者。但该公司的市值超过16亿美元，分析师预计Ocugen明年的收入仅为1.35亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax, though, could soon see big bucks flowing in if it wins authorizations and approvals for NVX-CoV2373. The company's market cap stands near $12.4 billion. However, with anticipated revenue of $5.5 billion in 2022, that valuation is much more defensible than Ocugen's is.</p><p><blockquote>不过，如果Novavax获得NVX-CoV2373的授权和批准，它可能很快就会看到大笔资金流入。该公司的市值接近124亿美元。然而，由于预计2022年收入为55亿美元，这一估值比Ocugen的估值更合理。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/21/7-reasons-why-novavax-is-a-no-brainer-pick-over-oc/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OCGN":"Ocugen","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/21/7-reasons-why-novavax-is-a-no-brainer-pick-over-oc/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171915283","content_text":"There's no contest between the stock performances of Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)and Ocugen(NASDAQ:OCGN)so far this year. Ocugen's share price has skyrocketed roughly seven times more than Novavax's has.\nDoes that make Ocugen the smarter vaccine stock to buy right now? Not at all. Here are seven reasons why Novavax stock is a no-brainer pick over Ocugen.\n1. A path to EUA in the U.S.\nOcugen's share price skyrocketed more than 750% year to date twice in 2021. But much of that massive gain evaporated after the company disclosed in June that it would no longer pursue Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) in the U.S. for COVID-19 vaccine Covaxin.\nThe company opted to go for full approval once the U.S. Food and Drug Administration limited which vaccines would be reviewed under the EUA program. So far, however, Ocugen hasn't begun the late-stage clinical studies that will be required to win full FDA approval.\nMeanwhile, Novavax still has U.S. EUA for its COVID-19 vaccine candidate NVX-CoV2373 as a top priority. The company will be later than it hoped in filing for authorization in the U.S.However, it has the potential to launch in the U.S. much sooner than Ocugen could.\nOcugen still hopes to obtain authorization for Covaxin in Canada. But the U.S. stands as the big prize. And it's a prize for which Novavax clearly has a better opportunity right now.\n2. Supply deals already in hand\nSome investors focus entirely on the approval or authorization process for COVID-19 vaccines. Without supply agreements in place with at least one country, though, any regulatory wins will be hollow victories.\nOcugen doesn't have any supply deals finalized yet. Novavax, on the other hand, already has supply deals in place with the U.S., Canada, the EU, Australia, New Zealand, Japan (through its partner,Takeda), and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.\n3. Full rights to its COVID-19 vaccine\nOcugen secured commercialization rights from Bharat Biotech for Covaxin only in the U.S. and Canada. Its terms with Bharat allow the company to keep 45% of the profits from any sales of the COVID-19 vaccine in those two markets.\nNovavax developed NVX-CoV2373 on its own. It retains full rights to the vaccine, although it has partnered with other organizations to target some markets.\n4. A stronger pipeline\nOther than Covaxin, Ocugen doesn't have any other pipeline candidates currently in clinical testing. The company has stated that it plans to advance experimental gene therapy OCU400 into two phase 1/2a clinical trials in 2021, but those studies haven't begun yet.\nNovavax has already reported positive results from a phase 3 study of flu vaccine candidate NanoFlu. It kicked off a phase 1/2 study evaluating a combination of NVX-CoV2373 and NanoFlu in September. The company also has two other clinical-stage candidates -- respiratory syncytial virus vaccine ResVax and an Ebola virus vaccine.\n5. More cash\nCash is extremely important to clinical-stage biotechs. Without enough cash, they can be forced to raise capital to fund operations and expensive clinical trials through dilutive stock offerings.\nAs of June 30, 2021, Ocugen's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $115.8 million. Novavax's cash stockpile stood at $2.1 billion as of the same date.\n6. More potential near-term catalysts\nOcugen really has only one solid potential near-term catalyst: It's awaiting a decision by Health Canada on the authorization of Covaxin. Any wins for the vaccine outside of Canada or the U.S. benefit Bharat but not Ocugen.\nWhat about Novavax? The company hopes to soon win EUAs in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Novavax is awaiting Emergency Use Listing from the World Health Organization for NVX-CoV2373. It's also moving toward regulatory filings in the U.K., Europe, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the U.S.\n7. A more defensible valuation\nOcugen's impressive performance so far this year has stemmed in large part from the combination of intense online interest and a large number of shares sold short. This makes the stock a good candidate for ashort squeeze. But the company's market cap tops $1.6 billion with analysts expecting Ocugen to only generate around $135 million in revenue next year.\nNovavax, though, could soon see big bucks flowing in if it wins authorizations and approvals for NVX-CoV2373. The company's market cap stands near $12.4 billion. However, with anticipated revenue of $5.5 billion in 2022, that valuation is much more defensible than Ocugen's is.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVAX":0.9,"OCGN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859694812,"gmtCreate":1634690961857,"gmtModify":1634690962803,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jd","listText":"Jd","text":"Jd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859694812","repostId":"2176710436","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850754934,"gmtCreate":1634631440986,"gmtModify":1634631441358,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wa","listText":"Wa","text":"Wa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850754934","repostId":"1195553793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195553793","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634631109,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195553793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195553793","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.\n\nAgEagle Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS) to acquireand sense","content":"<p>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8c80afbee68c0df216ceefc99307d8\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> AgEagle&nbsp;Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS)&nbsp;to acquireand&nbsp;senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle Aerial Systems（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UAVS）将以价值2300万美元的现金和股票交易收购Parrot Group全资子公司senseFly。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of&nbsp;<i>eBee</i>-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.</p><p><blockquote>senseFly成立于2009年，开发和生产一系列专有的<i>eBee</i>-专业用途的品牌高性能固定翼无人机。</blockquote></p><p> Brandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Brandon Torres Declet评论道：“senseFly被公认为世界上使用最广泛的固定翼无人机生产商，是AgEagle的理想战略选择；预计将加速我们的核心增长战略，重点是为全球农业、建筑、能源、政府部门以及未来的包裹递送提供专有的全栈无人机解决方案。此外，senseFly还为AgEagle带来了专注于先进研发的坚实工程人才、完善的全球经销商网络和强大的知识产权组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8c80afbee68c0df216ceefc99307d8\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> AgEagle&nbsp;Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS)&nbsp;to acquireand&nbsp;senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle Aerial Systems（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UAVS）将以价值2300万美元的现金和股票交易收购Parrot Group全资子公司senseFly。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of&nbsp;<i>eBee</i>-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.</p><p><blockquote>senseFly成立于2009年，开发和生产一系列专有的<i>eBee</i>-专业用途的品牌高性能固定翼无人机。</blockquote></p><p> Brandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Brandon Torres Declet评论道：“senseFly被公认为世界上使用最广泛的固定翼无人机生产商，是AgEagle的理想战略选择；预计将加速我们的核心增长战略，重点是为全球农业、建筑、能源、政府部门以及未来的包裹递送提供专有的全栈无人机解决方案。此外，senseFly还为AgEagle带来了专注于先进研发的坚实工程人才、完善的全球经销商网络和强大的知识产权组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UAVS":"AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195553793","content_text":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.\n\nAgEagle Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS) to acquireand senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.\nFounded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of eBee-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.\nBrandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UAVS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850927457,"gmtCreate":1634547267016,"gmtModify":1634547899499,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850927457","repostId":"1185155570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185155570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634511079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185155570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185155570","media":"Barrons","summary":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. ","content":"<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-18 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AXP":"美国运通","INTC":"英特尔",".DJI":"道琼斯","IBM":"IBM","NFLX":"奈飞","CMG":"墨式烧烤","LUV":"西南航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAL":"美国航空","TSLA":"特斯拉","HAL":"哈里伯顿",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JNJ":"强生","T":"At&T","UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185155570","content_text":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights will include results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.\n\nAlbertsons and State Street get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter & Gamble,Halliburton,and Johnson & Johnson are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by Netflix and United Airlines Holdings after the market closes.\nOn Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and Chipotle Mexican Grill report on Thursday, then American Express,Schlumberger,and Honeywell International close the week on Friday.\nEconomic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.\nOther releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.\nMonday 10/18\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.\nAlbertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.\nTuesday 10/19\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.\nHalliburton, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nWednesday 10/20\nThe Federal Reserve releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.\nAbbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.\nThursday 10/21\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.\nDow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Philadelphia Fed diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.\nFriday 10/22\nIHS Markit releases the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.\nWhirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"T":0.9,"IBM":0.9,"AXP":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"LUV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"CMG":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"HAL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825659240,"gmtCreate":1634223026913,"gmtModify":1634223027024,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sh","listText":"Sh","text":"Sh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825659240","repostId":"1190838949","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190838949","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634221403,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190838949?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Plug Power's stock pulls back to snap long win streak after unveiling highlights of annual Symposium<blockquote>在公布年度研讨会亮点后，普拉格能源股价回落至snap长期连胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190838949","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"In an apparent case of buy the rumor, sell the news, shares of Plug Power Inc. pulled back 4.5% in m","content":"<p>In an apparent case of buy the rumor, sell the news, shares of Plug Power Inc.&nbsp;pulled back 4.5% in morning trading, putting them on track to snap a seven-day win streak, after the after the hydrogen and fuel-cell systems company unveiled some highlights of its much-anticipated annual Symposium. The stock had soared 12.8% on Wednesday,after a Morgan Stanley upgrade, and had soared 38% over the past seven days. The company said it now expects 2022 sales of $825 million to $850 million, which is above the FactSet consensus of $759.7 million. Plug also established 2025 sales guidance of $3 billion, which compares with the current FactSet consensus of $2.22 billion. Among other highlights, Plug said it was partnering with Fortescue Future Industries to form a 50-50 joint venture to build a gigafactory in Australia, entered into an agreement to buy liquified hydrogen transportation company Cryo Technologies and confirmed plans to generate 500 tons per day of liquid green hydrogen by the end of 2025. The stock has run up 21.0% over the past three months, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote>在一个明显的买谣言，卖新闻的案例中，普拉格能源公司的股价在早盘交易中下跌了4.5%，使其有望在氢和燃料电池系统公司公布了其备受期待的年度研讨会的一些亮点。摩根士丹利上调评级后，该股周三飙升12.8%，过去7天飙升38%。该公司表示，目前预计2022年销售额为8.25亿美元至8.5亿美元，高于FactSet预期的7.597亿美元。Plug还将2025年销售指引定为30亿美元，而FactSet目前的共识为22.2亿美元。在其他亮点中，Plug表示，它正在与Fortescue Future Industries合作，组建一家50-50的合资企业，在澳大利亚建造一座超级工厂，签订了收购液化氢运输公司Cryo Technologies的协议，并确认了到2025年底每天生产500吨液态绿色氢的计划。该股在过去三个月上涨了21.0%，而标普500则上涨了1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6739025ca0506c36f68525a8a659af\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Plug Power's stock pulls back to snap long win streak after unveiling highlights of annual Symposium<blockquote>在公布年度研讨会亮点后，普拉格能源股价回落至snap长期连胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPlug Power's stock pulls back to snap long win streak after unveiling highlights of annual Symposium<blockquote>在公布年度研讨会亮点后，普拉格能源股价回落至snap长期连胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-14 22:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In an apparent case of buy the rumor, sell the news, shares of Plug Power Inc.&nbsp;pulled back 4.5% in morning trading, putting them on track to snap a seven-day win streak, after the after the hydrogen and fuel-cell systems company unveiled some highlights of its much-anticipated annual Symposium. The stock had soared 12.8% on Wednesday,after a Morgan Stanley upgrade, and had soared 38% over the past seven days. The company said it now expects 2022 sales of $825 million to $850 million, which is above the FactSet consensus of $759.7 million. Plug also established 2025 sales guidance of $3 billion, which compares with the current FactSet consensus of $2.22 billion. Among other highlights, Plug said it was partnering with Fortescue Future Industries to form a 50-50 joint venture to build a gigafactory in Australia, entered into an agreement to buy liquified hydrogen transportation company Cryo Technologies and confirmed plans to generate 500 tons per day of liquid green hydrogen by the end of 2025. The stock has run up 21.0% over the past three months, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained 1.1%.</p><p><blockquote>在一个明显的买谣言，卖新闻的案例中，普拉格能源公司的股价在早盘交易中下跌了4.5%，使其有望在氢和燃料电池系统公司公布了其备受期待的年度研讨会的一些亮点。摩根士丹利上调评级后，该股周三飙升12.8%，过去7天飙升38%。该公司表示，目前预计2022年销售额为8.25亿美元至8.5亿美元，高于FactSet预期的7.597亿美元。Plug还将2025年销售指引定为30亿美元，而FactSet目前的共识为22.2亿美元。在其他亮点中，Plug表示，它正在与Fortescue Future Industries合作，组建一家50-50的合资企业，在澳大利亚建造一座超级工厂，签订了收购液化氢运输公司Cryo Technologies的协议，并确认了到2025年底每天生产500吨液态绿色氢的计划。该股在过去三个月上涨了21.0%，而标普500则上涨了1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6739025ca0506c36f68525a8a659af\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190838949","content_text":"In an apparent case of buy the rumor, sell the news, shares of Plug Power Inc. pulled back 4.5% in morning trading, putting them on track to snap a seven-day win streak, after the after the hydrogen and fuel-cell systems company unveiled some highlights of its much-anticipated annual Symposium. The stock had soared 12.8% on Wednesday,after a Morgan Stanley upgrade, and had soared 38% over the past seven days. The company said it now expects 2022 sales of $825 million to $850 million, which is above the FactSet consensus of $759.7 million. Plug also established 2025 sales guidance of $3 billion, which compares with the current FactSet consensus of $2.22 billion. Among other highlights, Plug said it was partnering with Fortescue Future Industries to form a 50-50 joint venture to build a gigafactory in Australia, entered into an agreement to buy liquified hydrogen transportation company Cryo Technologies and confirmed plans to generate 500 tons per day of liquid green hydrogen by the end of 2025. The stock has run up 21.0% over the past three months, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822686794,"gmtCreate":1634126799338,"gmtModify":1634126799445,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"V","listText":"V","text":"V","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822686794","repostId":"1153533521","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826923242,"gmtCreate":1633966277446,"gmtModify":1633966277594,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bai","listText":"Bai","text":"Bai","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826923242","repostId":"1174273121","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174273121","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633965002,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174273121?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Visa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174273121","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThis article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalabilit","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>This article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.</li>  <li>This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.</li>  <li>The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4e9c2f1150ac54e1f764f98c0880f1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1039\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>本文从Visa的盈利可持续性和可扩展性的角度对其进行分析。</li><li>该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和资本边际效率。</li><li>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).</p><p><blockquote>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。对于规模如此惊人的企业来说，保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是根据ROCE调整的估值以及与其他示例性可扩展股票（例如FAAMG股票和巴菲特风格股票）相比的估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The moat and the network effects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>护城河与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> V’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.</p><p><blockquote>V的护城河在于其规模和可扩展性，下面两张图表最好地展示了这一点。第一张图表显示了2017年至2019年全球流通的信用卡、借记卡和预付卡数量，并对2023年和2025年进行了预测。2019年，全球有228亿张信用卡、借记卡和预付卡在流通。到2023年，这一数字将达到293.1亿，比2019年的水平增长28%。到2025年，这一数字将进一步增加，超过300亿，比2019年的水平增长34%。也就是说，到2025年流通卡总量将增长1/3以上。数字化交易的趋势势不可挡。</blockquote></p><p> The second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.</p><p><blockquote>第二张图表显示，V作为该领域的领导者，将从这一长期趋势中受益最多。V是全球最大的零售电子支付网络，提供处理服务和支付产品平台。这包括信用卡、借记卡、预付费和商业支付，这些支付以Visa、Visa Electron、Interlink和PLUS品牌提供。Visa/PLUS是全球最大的ATM网络之一。V为200多个国家和地区的数字支付提供便利。它拥有36亿张流通卡，约占全球流通卡总数的16%。它处理了令人难以置信的交易量——2060亿笔支付交易，2020年总交易额为12.5万亿美元——这是支付网络无可争议的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e261998de072e355b6f039912d0f1453\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036bc8c94696fcfd8ed3403b699534c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Visa USA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国签证。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于所谓的“网络效应”，这种主导地位在未来不太可能改变（除非任何重大监管或反托拉斯法发生变化）。网络效应是指某些产品或服务的价值随着更多人使用而增加。换句话说，某些网络随着规模的扩大而变得越来越有价值。并不是每个网络都享有这种神奇的特性，事实上，大多数网络的边际回报率是递减的——即，额外回报随着网络变大而减少——这将在后面详细说明。连锁餐厅网络就是一个例子。随着网络变得更大，节点开始相互竞争客户，回报减少。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).</p><p><blockquote>但某些网络，如V提供的服务，享有这种神奇的特性——网络越大，利润就越高。这个概念没有什么新意。铁路、电话和传真机都是如此。所有这些例子都有这些共同的特征：a）网络变得越大，它就变得越有价值（当连接城市A和B的铁路的一段也连接到连接其他城市的其他铁路时，这段铁路的价值要高得多）；B）网络越大，交换成本就越高（如果每个人都使用传真机，而你不想使用传真机，祝你好运）。</blockquote></p><p> Again, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.</p><p><blockquote>同样，这个概念没有什么新意。但是互联网时代极大地放大了网络效应的威力。一旦建立了线索——不管出于什么原因——网络效应就会开始发挥作用，接管并自我复合。</blockquote></p><p> It is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个自我维持的正反馈循环：这个网络中更多的用户将带来更多的便利、更好的效率、更低的成本，这将使网络对其用户和客户更好、更有价值，这反过来将吸引更多的新用户和客户加入，并使现有用户更难离开，这将再次导致更多的用户和更大的网络。这种反馈将反映在非常高的已用资本回报率（“ROCE”）中，这将在后面看到。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是，就像所有美好的事情最终都会结束一样，上述网络效应的好处也会结束。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始减少。在铁路的例子中，如果已经建造了足够多的铁路来连接所有人口密度高的城市，那么现在建造下一段铁路的回报将会减少。在传真机的例子中，如果每个办公室都已经有一台传真机，那么在每个办公室增加第二台传真机也会减少回报。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.</p><p><blockquote>因此，作为投资者，我们不仅要考察ROCE，同样重要的是要考察边际收益。因为边际回报告诉我们业务是否仍处于可扩展阶段，或者业务是否已经过了可扩展性的临界点，开始出现收益递减。换句话说，MROCE让我们看看收益递减的严重性是否已经赶上了。</blockquote></p><p> And the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，本文的其余部分将研究这两个方面。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Return on capital employed (“ROCE”)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已动用资本回报率（“ROCE”）</b></blockquote></p><p> ROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my&nbsp;earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.</p><p><blockquote>ROCE代表已用资本回报率。请注意，ROCE不同于股本回报率（在我看来更基本、更重要）。ROCE考虑实际使用的资本回报，因此可以深入了解企业如何有效地利用其资本赚取利润。对ROCE分析细节感兴趣的读者可以在我之前的文章中找到。在这里，我将在下面的图表中总结结果。在这些结果中，我考虑了实际使用的以下项目资本a)营运资本（包括应付账款、应收账款、存货），B)不动产、厂房和设备总额，C)资本化的研发费用，以及D)无形账面价值，主要包括此类业务的知识产权和专利。</blockquote></p><p> As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.</p><p><blockquote>正如所见，它在过去十年中能够保持天文数字的ROCE水平：平均约103%。为了正确看待事情，下图将V的ROCE与FAAMG股票进行了比较，FAAMG股票是一组将网络效应发挥到极致的企业。可以看出，V在其中获得了极具竞争力的ROCE——仅次于苹果(AAPL)。平均而言，每1美元的收益再投资将推动超过1美元的未来收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877e3bb73de3e6c4fbab1a0133f74464\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f25b4c6dc0c7ee738ac345c3888ae11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Introduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)</p><p><blockquote>边际资本回报率（“边际资本回报率”）简介</blockquote></p><p> In addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>除了ROCE之外，一个同样重要的概念是边际资本回报率（“MROCE”）。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了盈利能力这个核心问题的最基本的两个方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.</p><p><blockquote>为不熟悉这个概念的读者提供一点背景和介绍。对于已经熟悉这个概念的读者来说，一定要跳过这一部分。据我所知，传奇经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯首先明确表达了这个概念，尽管在他之前的人已经观察和思考了一段时间。这个概念试图捕捉的是经济活动中的一个基本规律：收益递减规律。沃伦·巴菲特喜欢说，利率就像重力一样影响所有经济活动。嗯，只要人性不发生任何根本性的变化，收益递减对所有经济活动也有引力作用，如果不是更大的话。</blockquote></p><p> The next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.</p><p><blockquote>下一个图表说明了这个概念。只要股东寻求利润，上市企业就会首先将资金投资于回报率最高的项目（即，先摘最低的苹果或先获得最大的回报）。因此，第一批可用资源的投资回报率很高——企业可能确定的最高回报率。第二批资金将不得不以较低的回报率进行投资，因为最好的想法已经被第一批资源采纳了，等等。最后一批投入的钱可能会获得仅高于资金成本的回报率。最后，最终结果是如图所示下降的MROCE曲线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1cd59ec1a6da411c303c2bbccaf2425\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常谈论和公司报告的ROCE指的是这条曲线的平均值——平均所有批次投资的回报。显然，平均值本身就是非常有用的信息。它告诉我们企业到目前为止将资源转化为利润的效率——但它的局限性在于，它只告诉我们到目前为止已经投入的资源的效率。对投资者同样重要的是MROCE，它告诉我们下一批资源投入时，业务会产生多少增量利润。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，梦想投资的企业是拥有平坦MROCE曲线的企业，如蓝色实线所示。这将是一个完全可扩展的业务。每投入一批资源都能获得持续稳定利润的企业。然而，这样的生意真的只是梦中生意。我之前提到过，收益递减对所有经济活动都有引力作用——因为它们确实如此。从来没有一个企业（至少在人类历史上没有）能够在保持资本回报率的同时保持增长。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始下降（如蓝色虚线所示）。</blockquote></p><p> V’s MROCE</p><p><blockquote>V的MROCE</blockquote></p><p> So for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对于投资者来说，下一个最好的交易是投资a）具有高且稳定的ROCE，B）仍处于可扩展阶段（回报递减的严重性尚未赶上）的企业。而如下图所示，V在这样一个阶段似乎就是这样一个业务。</blockquote></p><p> This chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>这张图表显示了近年来V的MROCE和ROCE。ROCE数据与上一节所示相同。通过以下步骤估计MROCE数据。首先，计算每年使用的资本。其次，每年计算收益。第三，计算每年使用的资本增量。同样，还计算了同比增量收益。最后，计算增量收益和增量资本使用之间的比率以近似MROCE。在增量盈利或资本使用波动较大的年度，采用多年运行平均法来平滑波动。</blockquote></p><p> Before we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.</p><p><blockquote>在我们开始解释结果之前，让我首先澄清分析边际资本回报率的困难以及我在这里使用的方法的局限性。首先，从数学上讲，估计变化率（例如，MROCE本质上是什么）比平均变化（ROCE本质上是什么）要困难得多。估计后者需要除以两个大数，不确定性很小。估计前者需要除以两个小数字，财务数据中的不确定性可以被放大。其次，对企业的一些资本投资可能需要多年（超过3年）才能取得成果（或失败）。因此，隔离和跟踪某一年投资产生的边际回报本质上是困难的。尽管大多数项目应该在3年内开始显示结果（无论是好的还是坏的），并且这种方法应该能够捕捉边际回报的主导趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.</p><p><blockquote>有了以上的了解，我们来仔细看看结果。首先，请注意，本世纪初极高的MROCE再次有力地说明了从根本上支持业务的网络效应和长期趋势。商业模式太好了。</blockquote></p><p> The results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.</p><p><blockquote>图表中的结果还显示，在这个阶段，V实际上能够保持实际上高于近年来平均ROCE的MROCE。可以看出，近年来ROCE平均为103%，MROCE平均为157%。这明显低于本世纪初350%以上的水平——重力总是试图迎头赶上。但仍远高于ROCE。而且差距超过50%，太大了，不可能是财务数据的不确定性和舍入误差造成的。所以这个结果表明V还没有进入收益递减阶段——重力还没有赶上。而如果目前的MROCE继续下去，V的ROCE将维持目前的高水平，甚至进一步扩大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cea9c214b6d0dd15d8f9c5c1392272e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> After the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.</p><p><blockquote>以上讨论完其盈利持续性，我们再来看看估值。在目前的价格水平上，V的PE约为44倍，FW PE约为39.6倍。估值无论是绝对值还是相对值都很高。例如，与FAAMG pack相比，V目前的估值仅低于亚马逊(AMZN)的市盈率，高于所有其他公司。</blockquote></p><p> It is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.</p><p><blockquote>如果不根据业务质量进行调整，孤立地讨论估值是没有意义的。因此，下一张图表还将根据ROCE调整后的V估值与同行进行了比较。如果您熟悉巴菲特的持股，您就会认识到这张图表中的股票代表了BRK的一些大型持股。</blockquote></p><p> I am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定当我们在这张图表上添加更多数据点时，情况会是什么样子（我确实计划组织我对其他BRK主要持股的笔记，并在这张图表上添加更多数据点）。但凭借我现在掌握的几个数据点，我忍不住画出/看到了绿线——我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线。它是连接艾伯维公司（ABBV）和苹果公司的一条线——物美价廉的好企业和高价的高质量企业。因此，从价值投资者的角度来看，只有沿着这条线或低于这条线进行投资才有意义。因为沿着这条线或以下的投资代表了质量和价格之间的权衡，相当于或优于ABBV或AAPL。投资高于这条线是没有意义的，因为高于这条线的任何东西都代表着质量和价格之间的劣质权衡——我们最好只投资ABBV和AAPL。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，V目前远高于绿线，表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据其ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9fbfdb9a53f0dac2386fcfaf067800\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Catalysts and risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>催化剂和风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.</p><p><blockquote>长期催化剂是文章开头提到的数字化交易趋势。在我看来，这个趋势是不可阻挡的。电子商务平台的广泛部署将进一步加速这一转变。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:</p><p><blockquote>短期内最重要的催化剂，同时也是风险，是经济复苏的方向和步伐。正如首席财务官所评论的，如果经济活动，尤其是旅游活动恢复到正常水平，V将受益匪浅：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"    <i>Vasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)</i>  In terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by&nbsp;Natalie Koo.</p><p><blockquote>“自从热门旅游目的地开放边境以来，我们已经看到了直接的影响。希腊在4月份开放了边境，到6月底，入境持卡消费相对于2019年的水平增长了近30个百分点。法国于6月9日开放，截至6月底，入境持卡量相对于2019年增长了近20个百分点...自4月份以来，从美国到墨西哥的持卡跨境消费增长了近50个百分点，达到2019年水平的170%以上。”<i>Vasant Prabhu，Visa首席财务官（2021财年第三季度看涨期权收益）</i>就风险而言，我看到了前面提到的估值风险。就业务基本面而言，我确实认为短期甚至长期没有任何风险。在我看来，上述疫情的经济复苏并不是真正的根本性风险。即使它朝着错误的方向发展和/或以比预期更慢的速度发展，对V来说也最多是暂时的打嗝。商业模式太健壮，可扩展性太强。从真正的长期来看，我们只能猜测。从长远来看，金融科技和加密货币的破坏肯定是一个潜在的风险。我建议对这些讨论感兴趣的读者阅读Natalie Koo发表的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion and final thought</p><p><blockquote>结论和最后的思考</blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that:</p><p><blockquote>结果表明：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>The ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.</li>  <li>And the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</li> </ul> As such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>ROCE平均约为103%，与表现优异的股票（典型的可扩展股票）相比非常有利。</li><li>近年来MROCE平均为157%。所以这个结果表明V还没有达到收益递减的阶段——重力还没有赶上。对于规模如此惊人（去年处理了15万亿美元的交易量）的企业来说，仍然保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。V目前远高于价值线，这表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</li></ul>因此，我的最终结论是，它仍然是一个完全可扩展的业务，但它的定价不仅仅是完美的。此时的投资需要一些时间、耐心和承诺，让增长赶上估值。它只适合长期承诺的投资者（至少有5年以上的时间范围），他们可以坚持下去，不受任何潜在的近期估值波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Visa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVisa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-11 23:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>This article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.</li>  <li>This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.</li>  <li>The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4e9c2f1150ac54e1f764f98c0880f1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1039\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>本文从Visa的盈利可持续性和可扩展性的角度对其进行分析。</li><li>该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和资本边际效率。</li><li>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).</p><p><blockquote>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。对于规模如此惊人的企业来说，保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是根据ROCE调整的估值以及与其他示例性可扩展股票（例如FAAMG股票和巴菲特风格股票）相比的估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The moat and the network effects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>护城河与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> V’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.</p><p><blockquote>V的护城河在于其规模和可扩展性，下面两张图表最好地展示了这一点。第一张图表显示了2017年至2019年全球流通的信用卡、借记卡和预付卡数量，并对2023年和2025年进行了预测。2019年，全球有228亿张信用卡、借记卡和预付卡在流通。到2023年，这一数字将达到293.1亿，比2019年的水平增长28%。到2025年，这一数字将进一步增加，超过300亿，比2019年的水平增长34%。也就是说，到2025年流通卡总量将增长1/3以上。数字化交易的趋势势不可挡。</blockquote></p><p> The second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.</p><p><blockquote>第二张图表显示，V作为该领域的领导者，将从这一长期趋势中受益最多。V是全球最大的零售电子支付网络，提供处理服务和支付产品平台。这包括信用卡、借记卡、预付费和商业支付，这些支付以Visa、Visa Electron、Interlink和PLUS品牌提供。Visa/PLUS是全球最大的ATM网络之一。V为200多个国家和地区的数字支付提供便利。它拥有36亿张流通卡，约占全球流通卡总数的16%。它处理了令人难以置信的交易量——2060亿笔支付交易，2020年总交易额为12.5万亿美元——这是支付网络无可争议的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e261998de072e355b6f039912d0f1453\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036bc8c94696fcfd8ed3403b699534c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Visa USA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国签证。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于所谓的“网络效应”，这种主导地位在未来不太可能改变（除非任何重大监管或反托拉斯法发生变化）。网络效应是指某些产品或服务的价值随着更多人使用而增加。换句话说，某些网络随着规模的扩大而变得越来越有价值。并不是每个网络都享有这种神奇的特性，事实上，大多数网络的边际回报率是递减的——即，额外回报随着网络变大而减少——这将在后面详细说明。连锁餐厅网络就是一个例子。随着网络变得更大，节点开始相互竞争客户，回报减少。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).</p><p><blockquote>但某些网络，如V提供的服务，享有这种神奇的特性——网络越大，利润就越高。这个概念没有什么新意。铁路、电话和传真机都是如此。所有这些例子都有这些共同的特征：a）网络变得越大，它就变得越有价值（当连接城市A和B的铁路的一段也连接到连接其他城市的其他铁路时，这段铁路的价值要高得多）；B）网络越大，交换成本就越高（如果每个人都使用传真机，而你不想使用传真机，祝你好运）。</blockquote></p><p> Again, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.</p><p><blockquote>同样，这个概念没有什么新意。但是互联网时代极大地放大了网络效应的威力。一旦建立了线索——不管出于什么原因——网络效应就会开始发挥作用，接管并自我复合。</blockquote></p><p> It is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个自我维持的正反馈循环：这个网络中更多的用户将带来更多的便利、更好的效率、更低的成本，这将使网络对其用户和客户更好、更有价值，这反过来将吸引更多的新用户和客户加入，并使现有用户更难离开，这将再次导致更多的用户和更大的网络。这种反馈将反映在非常高的已用资本回报率（“ROCE”）中，这将在后面看到。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是，就像所有美好的事情最终都会结束一样，上述网络效应的好处也会结束。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始减少。在铁路的例子中，如果已经建造了足够多的铁路来连接所有人口密度高的城市，那么现在建造下一段铁路的回报将会减少。在传真机的例子中，如果每个办公室都已经有一台传真机，那么在每个办公室增加第二台传真机也会减少回报。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.</p><p><blockquote>因此，作为投资者，我们不仅要考察ROCE，同样重要的是要考察边际收益。因为边际回报告诉我们业务是否仍处于可扩展阶段，或者业务是否已经过了可扩展性的临界点，开始出现收益递减。换句话说，MROCE让我们看看收益递减的严重性是否已经赶上了。</blockquote></p><p> And the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，本文的其余部分将研究这两个方面。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Return on capital employed (“ROCE”)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已动用资本回报率（“ROCE”）</b></blockquote></p><p> ROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my&nbsp;earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.</p><p><blockquote>ROCE代表已用资本回报率。请注意，ROCE不同于股本回报率（在我看来更基本、更重要）。ROCE考虑实际使用的资本回报，因此可以深入了解企业如何有效地利用其资本赚取利润。对ROCE分析细节感兴趣的读者可以在我之前的文章中找到。在这里，我将在下面的图表中总结结果。在这些结果中，我考虑了实际使用的以下项目资本a)营运资本（包括应付账款、应收账款、存货），B)不动产、厂房和设备总额，C)资本化的研发费用，以及D)无形账面价值，主要包括此类业务的知识产权和专利。</blockquote></p><p> As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.</p><p><blockquote>正如所见，它在过去十年中能够保持天文数字的ROCE水平：平均约103%。为了正确看待事情，下图将V的ROCE与FAAMG股票进行了比较，FAAMG股票是一组将网络效应发挥到极致的企业。可以看出，V在其中获得了极具竞争力的ROCE——仅次于苹果(AAPL)。平均而言，每1美元的收益再投资将推动超过1美元的未来收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877e3bb73de3e6c4fbab1a0133f74464\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f25b4c6dc0c7ee738ac345c3888ae11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Introduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)</p><p><blockquote>边际资本回报率（“边际资本回报率”）简介</blockquote></p><p> In addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>除了ROCE之外，一个同样重要的概念是边际资本回报率（“MROCE”）。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了盈利能力这个核心问题的最基本的两个方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.</p><p><blockquote>为不熟悉这个概念的读者提供一点背景和介绍。对于已经熟悉这个概念的读者来说，一定要跳过这一部分。据我所知，传奇经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯首先明确表达了这个概念，尽管在他之前的人已经观察和思考了一段时间。这个概念试图捕捉的是经济活动中的一个基本规律：收益递减规律。沃伦·巴菲特喜欢说，利率就像重力一样影响所有经济活动。嗯，只要人性不发生任何根本性的变化，收益递减对所有经济活动也有引力作用，如果不是更大的话。</blockquote></p><p> The next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.</p><p><blockquote>下一个图表说明了这个概念。只要股东寻求利润，上市企业就会首先将资金投资于回报率最高的项目（即，先摘最低的苹果或先获得最大的回报）。因此，第一批可用资源的投资回报率很高——企业可能确定的最高回报率。第二批资金将不得不以较低的回报率进行投资，因为最好的想法已经被第一批资源采纳了，等等。最后一批投入的钱可能会获得仅高于资金成本的回报率。最后，最终结果是如图所示下降的MROCE曲线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1cd59ec1a6da411c303c2bbccaf2425\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常谈论和公司报告的ROCE指的是这条曲线的平均值——平均所有批次投资的回报。显然，平均值本身就是非常有用的信息。它告诉我们企业到目前为止将资源转化为利润的效率——但它的局限性在于，它只告诉我们到目前为止已经投入的资源的效率。对投资者同样重要的是MROCE，它告诉我们下一批资源投入时，业务会产生多少增量利润。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，梦想投资的企业是拥有平坦MROCE曲线的企业，如蓝色实线所示。这将是一个完全可扩展的业务。每投入一批资源都能获得持续稳定利润的企业。然而，这样的生意真的只是梦中生意。我之前提到过，收益递减对所有经济活动都有引力作用——因为它们确实如此。从来没有一个企业（至少在人类历史上没有）能够在保持资本回报率的同时保持增长。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始下降（如蓝色虚线所示）。</blockquote></p><p> V’s MROCE</p><p><blockquote>V的MROCE</blockquote></p><p> So for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对于投资者来说，下一个最好的交易是投资a）具有高且稳定的ROCE，B）仍处于可扩展阶段（回报递减的严重性尚未赶上）的企业。而如下图所示，V在这样一个阶段似乎就是这样一个业务。</blockquote></p><p> This chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>这张图表显示了近年来V的MROCE和ROCE。ROCE数据与上一节所示相同。通过以下步骤估计MROCE数据。首先，计算每年使用的资本。其次，每年计算收益。第三，计算每年使用的资本增量。同样，还计算了同比增量收益。最后，计算增量收益和增量资本使用之间的比率以近似MROCE。在增量盈利或资本使用波动较大的年度，采用多年运行平均法来平滑波动。</blockquote></p><p> Before we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.</p><p><blockquote>在我们开始解释结果之前，让我首先澄清分析边际资本回报率的困难以及我在这里使用的方法的局限性。首先，从数学上讲，估计变化率（例如，MROCE本质上是什么）比平均变化（ROCE本质上是什么）要困难得多。估计后者需要除以两个大数，不确定性很小。估计前者需要除以两个小数字，财务数据中的不确定性可以被放大。其次，对企业的一些资本投资可能需要多年（超过3年）才能取得成果（或失败）。因此，隔离和跟踪某一年投资产生的边际回报本质上是困难的。尽管大多数项目应该在3年内开始显示结果（无论是好的还是坏的），并且这种方法应该能够捕捉边际回报的主导趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.</p><p><blockquote>有了以上的了解，我们来仔细看看结果。首先，请注意，本世纪初极高的MROCE再次有力地说明了从根本上支持业务的网络效应和长期趋势。商业模式太好了。</blockquote></p><p> The results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.</p><p><blockquote>图表中的结果还显示，在这个阶段，V实际上能够保持实际上高于近年来平均ROCE的MROCE。可以看出，近年来ROCE平均为103%，MROCE平均为157%。这明显低于本世纪初350%以上的水平——重力总是试图迎头赶上。但仍远高于ROCE。而且差距超过50%，太大了，不可能是财务数据的不确定性和舍入误差造成的。所以这个结果表明V还没有进入收益递减阶段——重力还没有赶上。而如果目前的MROCE继续下去，V的ROCE将维持目前的高水平，甚至进一步扩大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cea9c214b6d0dd15d8f9c5c1392272e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> After the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.</p><p><blockquote>以上讨论完其盈利持续性，我们再来看看估值。在目前的价格水平上，V的PE约为44倍，FW PE约为39.6倍。估值无论是绝对值还是相对值都很高。例如，与FAAMG pack相比，V目前的估值仅低于亚马逊(AMZN)的市盈率，高于所有其他公司。</blockquote></p><p> It is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.</p><p><blockquote>如果不根据业务质量进行调整，孤立地讨论估值是没有意义的。因此，下一张图表还将根据ROCE调整后的V估值与同行进行了比较。如果您熟悉巴菲特的持股，您就会认识到这张图表中的股票代表了BRK的一些大型持股。</blockquote></p><p> I am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定当我们在这张图表上添加更多数据点时，情况会是什么样子（我确实计划组织我对其他BRK主要持股的笔记，并在这张图表上添加更多数据点）。但凭借我现在掌握的几个数据点，我忍不住画出/看到了绿线——我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线。它是连接艾伯维公司（ABBV）和苹果公司的一条线——物美价廉的好企业和高价的高质量企业。因此，从价值投资者的角度来看，只有沿着这条线或低于这条线进行投资才有意义。因为沿着这条线或以下的投资代表了质量和价格之间的权衡，相当于或优于ABBV或AAPL。投资高于这条线是没有意义的，因为高于这条线的任何东西都代表着质量和价格之间的劣质权衡——我们最好只投资ABBV和AAPL。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，V目前远高于绿线，表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据其ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9fbfdb9a53f0dac2386fcfaf067800\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Catalysts and risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>催化剂和风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.</p><p><blockquote>长期催化剂是文章开头提到的数字化交易趋势。在我看来，这个趋势是不可阻挡的。电子商务平台的广泛部署将进一步加速这一转变。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:</p><p><blockquote>短期内最重要的催化剂，同时也是风险，是经济复苏的方向和步伐。正如首席财务官所评论的，如果经济活动，尤其是旅游活动恢复到正常水平，V将受益匪浅：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"    <i>Vasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)</i>  In terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by&nbsp;Natalie Koo.</p><p><blockquote>“自从热门旅游目的地开放边境以来，我们已经看到了直接的影响。希腊在4月份开放了边境，到6月底，入境持卡消费相对于2019年的水平增长了近30个百分点。法国于6月9日开放，截至6月底，入境持卡量相对于2019年增长了近20个百分点...自4月份以来，从美国到墨西哥的持卡跨境消费增长了近50个百分点，达到2019年水平的170%以上。”<i>Vasant Prabhu，Visa首席财务官（2021财年第三季度看涨期权收益）</i>就风险而言，我看到了前面提到的估值风险。就业务基本面而言，我确实认为短期甚至长期没有任何风险。在我看来，上述疫情的经济复苏并不是真正的根本性风险。即使它朝着错误的方向发展和/或以比预期更慢的速度发展，对V来说也最多是暂时的打嗝。商业模式太健壮，可扩展性太强。从真正的长期来看，我们只能猜测。从长远来看，金融科技和加密货币的破坏肯定是一个潜在的风险。我建议对这些讨论感兴趣的读者阅读Natalie Koo发表的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion and final thought</p><p><blockquote>结论和最后的思考</blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that:</p><p><blockquote>结果表明：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>The ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.</li>  <li>And the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</li> </ul> As such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>ROCE平均约为103%，与表现优异的股票（典型的可扩展股票）相比非常有利。</li><li>近年来MROCE平均为157%。所以这个结果表明V还没有达到收益递减的阶段——重力还没有赶上。对于规模如此惊人（去年处理了15万亿美元的交易量）的企业来说，仍然保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。V目前远高于价值线，这表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</li></ul>因此，我的最终结论是，它仍然是一个完全可扩展的业务，但它的定价不仅仅是完美的。此时的投资需要一些时间、耐心和承诺，让增长赶上估值。它只适合长期承诺的投资者（至少有5年以上的时间范围），他们可以坚持下去，不受任何潜在的近期估值波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459179-visa-stock-scalability-and-buffett-value-line\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459179-visa-stock-scalability-and-buffett-value-line","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174273121","content_text":"Summary\n\nThis article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.\nThis analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.\nThe results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.\nLastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nInvestment thesis\nThis article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nThe results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).\nThe moat and the network effects\nV’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.\nThe second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.\nSource: Statista\nSource: Visa USA.\nFurthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.\nBut certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).\nAgain, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.\nIt is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.\nUnfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.\nTherefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.\nAnd the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.\nReturn on capital employed (“ROCE”)\nROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.\nAs seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha.\nIntroduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)\nIn addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nA bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.\nThe next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.\nSource: author\nThe ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.\nFor investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).\nV’s MROCE\nSo for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.\nThis chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.\nBefore we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.\nWith the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.\nThe results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha data.\nValuation\nAfter the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.\nIt is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.\nI am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.\nAs you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha data.\nCatalysts and risks\nThe long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.\nThe most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:\n\n \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"\n\n\nVasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)\n\nIn terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by Natalie Koo.\nConclusion and final thought\nThis article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nThe results show that:\n\nV not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.\nThe ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.\nAnd the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.\nLastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.\n\nAs such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"V":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826923076,"gmtCreate":1633966245746,"gmtModify":1634003518129,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Com","listText":"Com","text":"Com","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826923076","repostId":"2174120900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828189711,"gmtCreate":1633865140583,"gmtModify":1633865140727,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Om28x","listText":"Om28x","text":"Om28x","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828189711","repostId":"2174920514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829209127,"gmtCreate":1633507919223,"gmtModify":1633507919609,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AHT\">$Ashford Hospitality(AHT)$</a>pos","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AHT\">$Ashford Hospitality(AHT)$</a>pos","text":"$Ashford Hospitality(AHT)$pos","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829209127","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":373407059,"gmtCreate":1618876467371,"gmtModify":1634290264328,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Do you like this comment?&nbsp;","listText":"Do you like this comment?&nbsp;","text":"Do you like this comment?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373407059","repostId":"2128509894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850754934,"gmtCreate":1634631440986,"gmtModify":1634631441358,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wa","listText":"Wa","text":"Wa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850754934","repostId":"1195553793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195553793","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634631109,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195553793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195553793","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.\n\nAgEagle Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS) to acquireand sense","content":"<p>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8c80afbee68c0df216ceefc99307d8\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> AgEagle&nbsp;Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS)&nbsp;to acquireand&nbsp;senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle Aerial Systems（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UAVS）将以价值2300万美元的现金和股票交易收购Parrot Group全资子公司senseFly。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of&nbsp;<i>eBee</i>-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.</p><p><blockquote>senseFly成立于2009年，开发和生产一系列专有的<i>eBee</i>-专业用途的品牌高性能固定翼无人机。</blockquote></p><p> Brandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Brandon Torres Declet评论道：“senseFly被公认为世界上使用最广泛的固定翼无人机生产商，是AgEagle的理想战略选择；预计将加速我们的核心增长战略，重点是为全球农业、建筑、能源、政府部门以及未来的包裹递送提供专有的全栈无人机解决方案。此外，senseFly还为AgEagle带来了专注于先进研发的坚实工程人才、完善的全球经销商网络和强大的知识产权组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading<blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 16:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle在盘前交易中上涨超过12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8c80afbee68c0df216ceefc99307d8\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> AgEagle&nbsp;Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS)&nbsp;to acquireand&nbsp;senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.</p><p><blockquote>AgEagle Aerial Systems（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UAVS）将以价值2300万美元的现金和股票交易收购Parrot Group全资子公司senseFly。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of&nbsp;<i>eBee</i>-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.</p><p><blockquote>senseFly成立于2009年，开发和生产一系列专有的<i>eBee</i>-专业用途的品牌高性能固定翼无人机。</blockquote></p><p> Brandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Brandon Torres Declet评论道：“senseFly被公认为世界上使用最广泛的固定翼无人机生产商，是AgEagle的理想战略选择；预计将加速我们的核心增长战略，重点是为全球农业、建筑、能源、政府部门以及未来的包裹递送提供专有的全栈无人机解决方案。此外，senseFly还为AgEagle带来了专注于先进研发的坚实工程人才、完善的全球经销商网络和强大的知识产权组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UAVS":"AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195553793","content_text":"AgEagle gained over 12% in premarket trading.\n\nAgEagle Aerial Systems(NYSE:UAVS) to acquireand senseFly, a Parrot Group wholly-owned subsidiary, in a cash and stock transaction valued at $23M.\nFounded in 2009, senseFly develops and produces a proprietary line of eBee-branded, high performance, fixed wing drones for professional use.\nBrandon Torres Declet, CEO comments: “Recognized as the producer of the world’s most widely used fixed wing drones, senseFly is an ideal strategic fit for AgEagle; and is expected to accelerate our core growth strategy centered on delivering proprietary, full stack drone solutions to the global agriculture, construction, energy, government sectors, and in the future, package delivery. In addition, senseFly brings AgEagle solid engineering talent focused on advanced research and development, a well-established global reseller network and a strong portfolio of intellectual property.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UAVS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":195215389,"gmtCreate":1621296969841,"gmtModify":1634192725414,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"People still fall for these???","listText":"People still fall for these???","text":"People still fall for these???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195215389","repostId":"1183166249","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850927457,"gmtCreate":1634547267016,"gmtModify":1634547899499,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850927457","repostId":"1185155570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185155570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634511079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185155570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185155570","media":"Barrons","summary":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. ","content":"<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-18 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AXP":"美国运通","INTC":"英特尔",".DJI":"道琼斯","IBM":"IBM","NFLX":"奈飞","CMG":"墨式烧烤","LUV":"西南航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAL":"美国航空","TSLA":"特斯拉","HAL":"哈里伯顿",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JNJ":"强生","T":"At&T","UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185155570","content_text":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights will include results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.\n\nAlbertsons and State Street get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter & Gamble,Halliburton,and Johnson & Johnson are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by Netflix and United Airlines Holdings after the market closes.\nOn Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and Chipotle Mexican Grill report on Thursday, then American Express,Schlumberger,and Honeywell International close the week on Friday.\nEconomic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.\nOther releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.\nMonday 10/18\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.\nAlbertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.\nTuesday 10/19\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.\nHalliburton, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nWednesday 10/20\nThe Federal Reserve releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.\nAbbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.\nThursday 10/21\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.\nDow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Philadelphia Fed diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.\nFriday 10/22\nIHS Markit releases the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. 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you LIKE and COMMENT?","listText":"Do you LIKE and COMMENT?","text":"Do you LIKE and COMMENT?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191127752","repostId":"1182933136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":829014671,"gmtCreate":1633442644825,"gmtModify":1633442645276,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shs","listText":"Shs","text":"Shs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829014671","repostId":"1199127096","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199127096","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633441987,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199127096?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 21:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks climb in early trading as bitcoin breaks above $50K<blockquote>随着比特币突破5万美元，加密货币股票在早盘交易中攀升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199127096","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bit Digital shares jumped more than 21% in early trading, Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain, and Sil","content":"<p>Bit&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;21%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early trading,&nbsp;Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain,&nbsp;and Silvergate&nbsp;were&nbsp;up&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital股价早盘上涨超过21%，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain和Silvergate上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c9d20ef3f7a34ac83362be028de2f\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.</p><p><blockquote>比特币是市值最大的加密货币，周二自9月7日以来首次突破5万美元的关键心理关口。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.</p><p><blockquote>Quantum Economics分析师Jason Deane表示：“现在判断这是否会在短期内转变为新的支撑位还为时过早，但很明显，压倒性的市场观点是看涨的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks climb in early trading as bitcoin breaks above $50K<blockquote>随着比特币突破5万美元，加密货币股票在早盘交易中攀升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks climb in early trading as bitcoin breaks above $50K<blockquote>随着比特币突破5万美元，加密货币股票在早盘交易中攀升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-05 21:53</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bit&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;21%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early trading,&nbsp;Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain,&nbsp;and Silvergate&nbsp;were&nbsp;up&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%.</p><p><blockquote>Bit Digital股价早盘上涨超过21%，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain和Silvergate上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c9d20ef3f7a34ac83362be028de2f\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.</p><p><blockquote>比特币是市值最大的加密货币，周二自9月7日以来首次突破5万美元的关键心理关口。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.</p><p><blockquote>Quantum Economics分析师Jason Deane表示：“现在判断这是否会在短期内转变为新的支撑位还为时过早，但很明显，压倒性的市场观点是看涨的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","SI":"Shoulder Innovations, Inc.","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199127096","content_text":"Bit Digital shares jumped more than 21% in early trading, Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain, and Silvergate were up more than 3%.\nBitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, broke above the crucial psychological threshold of $50,000 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 7.\n“It’s too early to say whether this will turn into a new support level in the short term, but it is clear that the overriding market view is bullish,” said Jason Deane, an analyst at Quantum Economics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SI":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"MARA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":162079754,"gmtCreate":1624029414078,"gmtModify":1634023837796,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like this please","listText":"Like this please","text":"Like this 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over?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109388693","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344171053,"gmtCreate":1618391580172,"gmtModify":1631886585636,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RMO\">$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$</a>How is everyone’s favourite scam stock doing? [Happy]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RMO\">$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$</a>How is everyone’s favourite scam stock doing? [Happy]&nbsp;[LOL]&nbsp;","text":"$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$How is everyone’s favourite scam stock doing? [Happy] [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344171053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":871396711,"gmtCreate":1637024265159,"gmtModify":1637024265316,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Jai","listText":"Jai","text":"Jai","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871396711","repostId":"2183607933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879588226,"gmtCreate":1636738282317,"gmtModify":1636738282482,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What","listText":"What","text":"What","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879588226","repostId":"1139324750","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139324750","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636729318,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139324750?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 23:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139324750","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp t","content":"<p>Nvidia&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b>&nbsp;analyst Matt Bryson downgraded&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA Corp</b>&nbsp;to Neutral from&nbsp;Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调整为中性，目标价从220美元上调至300美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师引用了此次降级的估值，该股的交易价格是2024年股价的55倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到67倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性，这表明Nvidia的估值约为其2024年TAM的7倍，销售额约为25倍。相反，他必须在未来几年内将销售增长假设翻倍（从约20%增加到约40%），才能继续使用40倍的倍数来评估Nvidia的估值。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布赖森认为，对数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘需求的共同帮助下，客户端GPU再次变得难以采购。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机会，特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求，已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”，英伟达的基本面也没有改善，但根据估值下调了该股的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-12 23:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b>&nbsp;analyst Matt Bryson downgraded&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA Corp</b>&nbsp;to Neutral from&nbsp;Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调整为中性，目标价从220美元上调至300美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师引用了此次降级的估值，该股的交易价格是2024年股价的55倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到67倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性，这表明Nvidia的估值约为其2024年TAM的7倍，销售额约为25倍。相反，他必须在未来几年内将销售增长假设翻倍（从约20%增加到约40%），才能继续使用40倍的倍数来评估Nvidia的估值。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而，布赖森认为，对数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘需求的共同帮助下，客户端GPU再次变得难以采购。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机会，特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求，已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”，英伟达的基本面也没有改善，但根据估值下调了该股的评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139324750","content_text":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.\nThe analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.\nHe would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.\nHowever, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.\nNvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.\nClient GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.\nNew opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.\nHe sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826923242,"gmtCreate":1633966277446,"gmtModify":1633966277594,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bai","listText":"Bai","text":"Bai","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826923242","repostId":"1174273121","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174273121","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633965002,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174273121?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Visa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174273121","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThis article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalabilit","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>This article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.</li>  <li>This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.</li>  <li>The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4e9c2f1150ac54e1f764f98c0880f1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1039\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>本文从Visa的盈利可持续性和可扩展性的角度对其进行分析。</li><li>该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和资本边际效率。</li><li>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).</p><p><blockquote>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。对于规模如此惊人的企业来说，保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是根据ROCE调整的估值以及与其他示例性可扩展股票（例如FAAMG股票和巴菲特风格股票）相比的估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The moat and the network effects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>护城河与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> V’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.</p><p><blockquote>V的护城河在于其规模和可扩展性，下面两张图表最好地展示了这一点。第一张图表显示了2017年至2019年全球流通的信用卡、借记卡和预付卡数量，并对2023年和2025年进行了预测。2019年，全球有228亿张信用卡、借记卡和预付卡在流通。到2023年，这一数字将达到293.1亿，比2019年的水平增长28%。到2025年，这一数字将进一步增加，超过300亿，比2019年的水平增长34%。也就是说，到2025年流通卡总量将增长1/3以上。数字化交易的趋势势不可挡。</blockquote></p><p> The second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.</p><p><blockquote>第二张图表显示，V作为该领域的领导者，将从这一长期趋势中受益最多。V是全球最大的零售电子支付网络，提供处理服务和支付产品平台。这包括信用卡、借记卡、预付费和商业支付，这些支付以Visa、Visa Electron、Interlink和PLUS品牌提供。Visa/PLUS是全球最大的ATM网络之一。V为200多个国家和地区的数字支付提供便利。它拥有36亿张流通卡，约占全球流通卡总数的16%。它处理了令人难以置信的交易量——2060亿笔支付交易，2020年总交易额为12.5万亿美元——这是支付网络无可争议的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e261998de072e355b6f039912d0f1453\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036bc8c94696fcfd8ed3403b699534c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Visa USA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国签证。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于所谓的“网络效应”，这种主导地位在未来不太可能改变（除非任何重大监管或反托拉斯法发生变化）。网络效应是指某些产品或服务的价值随着更多人使用而增加。换句话说，某些网络随着规模的扩大而变得越来越有价值。并不是每个网络都享有这种神奇的特性，事实上，大多数网络的边际回报率是递减的——即，额外回报随着网络变大而减少——这将在后面详细说明。连锁餐厅网络就是一个例子。随着网络变得更大，节点开始相互竞争客户，回报减少。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).</p><p><blockquote>但某些网络，如V提供的服务，享有这种神奇的特性——网络越大，利润就越高。这个概念没有什么新意。铁路、电话和传真机都是如此。所有这些例子都有这些共同的特征：a）网络变得越大，它就变得越有价值（当连接城市A和B的铁路的一段也连接到连接其他城市的其他铁路时，这段铁路的价值要高得多）；B）网络越大，交换成本就越高（如果每个人都使用传真机，而你不想使用传真机，祝你好运）。</blockquote></p><p> Again, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.</p><p><blockquote>同样，这个概念没有什么新意。但是互联网时代极大地放大了网络效应的威力。一旦建立了线索——不管出于什么原因——网络效应就会开始发挥作用，接管并自我复合。</blockquote></p><p> It is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个自我维持的正反馈循环：这个网络中更多的用户将带来更多的便利、更好的效率、更低的成本，这将使网络对其用户和客户更好、更有价值，这反过来将吸引更多的新用户和客户加入，并使现有用户更难离开，这将再次导致更多的用户和更大的网络。这种反馈将反映在非常高的已用资本回报率（“ROCE”）中，这将在后面看到。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是，就像所有美好的事情最终都会结束一样，上述网络效应的好处也会结束。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始减少。在铁路的例子中，如果已经建造了足够多的铁路来连接所有人口密度高的城市，那么现在建造下一段铁路的回报将会减少。在传真机的例子中，如果每个办公室都已经有一台传真机，那么在每个办公室增加第二台传真机也会减少回报。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.</p><p><blockquote>因此，作为投资者，我们不仅要考察ROCE，同样重要的是要考察边际收益。因为边际回报告诉我们业务是否仍处于可扩展阶段，或者业务是否已经过了可扩展性的临界点，开始出现收益递减。换句话说，MROCE让我们看看收益递减的严重性是否已经赶上了。</blockquote></p><p> And the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，本文的其余部分将研究这两个方面。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Return on capital employed (“ROCE”)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已动用资本回报率（“ROCE”）</b></blockquote></p><p> ROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my&nbsp;earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.</p><p><blockquote>ROCE代表已用资本回报率。请注意，ROCE不同于股本回报率（在我看来更基本、更重要）。ROCE考虑实际使用的资本回报，因此可以深入了解企业如何有效地利用其资本赚取利润。对ROCE分析细节感兴趣的读者可以在我之前的文章中找到。在这里，我将在下面的图表中总结结果。在这些结果中，我考虑了实际使用的以下项目资本a)营运资本（包括应付账款、应收账款、存货），B)不动产、厂房和设备总额，C)资本化的研发费用，以及D)无形账面价值，主要包括此类业务的知识产权和专利。</blockquote></p><p> As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.</p><p><blockquote>正如所见，它在过去十年中能够保持天文数字的ROCE水平：平均约103%。为了正确看待事情，下图将V的ROCE与FAAMG股票进行了比较，FAAMG股票是一组将网络效应发挥到极致的企业。可以看出，V在其中获得了极具竞争力的ROCE——仅次于苹果(AAPL)。平均而言，每1美元的收益再投资将推动超过1美元的未来收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877e3bb73de3e6c4fbab1a0133f74464\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f25b4c6dc0c7ee738ac345c3888ae11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Introduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)</p><p><blockquote>边际资本回报率（“边际资本回报率”）简介</blockquote></p><p> In addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>除了ROCE之外，一个同样重要的概念是边际资本回报率（“MROCE”）。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了盈利能力这个核心问题的最基本的两个方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.</p><p><blockquote>为不熟悉这个概念的读者提供一点背景和介绍。对于已经熟悉这个概念的读者来说，一定要跳过这一部分。据我所知，传奇经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯首先明确表达了这个概念，尽管在他之前的人已经观察和思考了一段时间。这个概念试图捕捉的是经济活动中的一个基本规律：收益递减规律。沃伦·巴菲特喜欢说，利率就像重力一样影响所有经济活动。嗯，只要人性不发生任何根本性的变化，收益递减对所有经济活动也有引力作用，如果不是更大的话。</blockquote></p><p> The next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.</p><p><blockquote>下一个图表说明了这个概念。只要股东寻求利润，上市企业就会首先将资金投资于回报率最高的项目（即，先摘最低的苹果或先获得最大的回报）。因此，第一批可用资源的投资回报率很高——企业可能确定的最高回报率。第二批资金将不得不以较低的回报率进行投资，因为最好的想法已经被第一批资源采纳了，等等。最后一批投入的钱可能会获得仅高于资金成本的回报率。最后，最终结果是如图所示下降的MROCE曲线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1cd59ec1a6da411c303c2bbccaf2425\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常谈论和公司报告的ROCE指的是这条曲线的平均值——平均所有批次投资的回报。显然，平均值本身就是非常有用的信息。它告诉我们企业到目前为止将资源转化为利润的效率——但它的局限性在于，它只告诉我们到目前为止已经投入的资源的效率。对投资者同样重要的是MROCE，它告诉我们下一批资源投入时，业务会产生多少增量利润。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，梦想投资的企业是拥有平坦MROCE曲线的企业，如蓝色实线所示。这将是一个完全可扩展的业务。每投入一批资源都能获得持续稳定利润的企业。然而，这样的生意真的只是梦中生意。我之前提到过，收益递减对所有经济活动都有引力作用——因为它们确实如此。从来没有一个企业（至少在人类历史上没有）能够在保持资本回报率的同时保持增长。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始下降（如蓝色虚线所示）。</blockquote></p><p> V’s MROCE</p><p><blockquote>V的MROCE</blockquote></p><p> So for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对于投资者来说，下一个最好的交易是投资a）具有高且稳定的ROCE，B）仍处于可扩展阶段（回报递减的严重性尚未赶上）的企业。而如下图所示，V在这样一个阶段似乎就是这样一个业务。</blockquote></p><p> This chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>这张图表显示了近年来V的MROCE和ROCE。ROCE数据与上一节所示相同。通过以下步骤估计MROCE数据。首先，计算每年使用的资本。其次，每年计算收益。第三，计算每年使用的资本增量。同样，还计算了同比增量收益。最后，计算增量收益和增量资本使用之间的比率以近似MROCE。在增量盈利或资本使用波动较大的年度，采用多年运行平均法来平滑波动。</blockquote></p><p> Before we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.</p><p><blockquote>在我们开始解释结果之前，让我首先澄清分析边际资本回报率的困难以及我在这里使用的方法的局限性。首先，从数学上讲，估计变化率（例如，MROCE本质上是什么）比平均变化（ROCE本质上是什么）要困难得多。估计后者需要除以两个大数，不确定性很小。估计前者需要除以两个小数字，财务数据中的不确定性可以被放大。其次，对企业的一些资本投资可能需要多年（超过3年）才能取得成果（或失败）。因此，隔离和跟踪某一年投资产生的边际回报本质上是困难的。尽管大多数项目应该在3年内开始显示结果（无论是好的还是坏的），并且这种方法应该能够捕捉边际回报的主导趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.</p><p><blockquote>有了以上的了解，我们来仔细看看结果。首先，请注意，本世纪初极高的MROCE再次有力地说明了从根本上支持业务的网络效应和长期趋势。商业模式太好了。</blockquote></p><p> The results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.</p><p><blockquote>图表中的结果还显示，在这个阶段，V实际上能够保持实际上高于近年来平均ROCE的MROCE。可以看出，近年来ROCE平均为103%，MROCE平均为157%。这明显低于本世纪初350%以上的水平——重力总是试图迎头赶上。但仍远高于ROCE。而且差距超过50%，太大了，不可能是财务数据的不确定性和舍入误差造成的。所以这个结果表明V还没有进入收益递减阶段——重力还没有赶上。而如果目前的MROCE继续下去，V的ROCE将维持目前的高水平，甚至进一步扩大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cea9c214b6d0dd15d8f9c5c1392272e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> After the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.</p><p><blockquote>以上讨论完其盈利持续性，我们再来看看估值。在目前的价格水平上，V的PE约为44倍，FW PE约为39.6倍。估值无论是绝对值还是相对值都很高。例如，与FAAMG pack相比，V目前的估值仅低于亚马逊(AMZN)的市盈率，高于所有其他公司。</blockquote></p><p> It is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.</p><p><blockquote>如果不根据业务质量进行调整，孤立地讨论估值是没有意义的。因此，下一张图表还将根据ROCE调整后的V估值与同行进行了比较。如果您熟悉巴菲特的持股，您就会认识到这张图表中的股票代表了BRK的一些大型持股。</blockquote></p><p> I am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定当我们在这张图表上添加更多数据点时，情况会是什么样子（我确实计划组织我对其他BRK主要持股的笔记，并在这张图表上添加更多数据点）。但凭借我现在掌握的几个数据点，我忍不住画出/看到了绿线——我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线。它是连接艾伯维公司（ABBV）和苹果公司的一条线——物美价廉的好企业和高价的高质量企业。因此，从价值投资者的角度来看，只有沿着这条线或低于这条线进行投资才有意义。因为沿着这条线或以下的投资代表了质量和价格之间的权衡，相当于或优于ABBV或AAPL。投资高于这条线是没有意义的，因为高于这条线的任何东西都代表着质量和价格之间的劣质权衡——我们最好只投资ABBV和AAPL。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，V目前远高于绿线，表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据其ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9fbfdb9a53f0dac2386fcfaf067800\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Catalysts and risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>催化剂和风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.</p><p><blockquote>长期催化剂是文章开头提到的数字化交易趋势。在我看来，这个趋势是不可阻挡的。电子商务平台的广泛部署将进一步加速这一转变。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:</p><p><blockquote>短期内最重要的催化剂，同时也是风险，是经济复苏的方向和步伐。正如首席财务官所评论的，如果经济活动，尤其是旅游活动恢复到正常水平，V将受益匪浅：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"    <i>Vasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)</i>  In terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by&nbsp;Natalie Koo.</p><p><blockquote>“自从热门旅游目的地开放边境以来，我们已经看到了直接的影响。希腊在4月份开放了边境，到6月底，入境持卡消费相对于2019年的水平增长了近30个百分点。法国于6月9日开放，截至6月底，入境持卡量相对于2019年增长了近20个百分点...自4月份以来，从美国到墨西哥的持卡跨境消费增长了近50个百分点，达到2019年水平的170%以上。”<i>Vasant Prabhu，Visa首席财务官（2021财年第三季度看涨期权收益）</i>就风险而言，我看到了前面提到的估值风险。就业务基本面而言，我确实认为短期甚至长期没有任何风险。在我看来，上述疫情的经济复苏并不是真正的根本性风险。即使它朝着错误的方向发展和/或以比预期更慢的速度发展，对V来说也最多是暂时的打嗝。商业模式太健壮，可扩展性太强。从真正的长期来看，我们只能猜测。从长远来看，金融科技和加密货币的破坏肯定是一个潜在的风险。我建议对这些讨论感兴趣的读者阅读Natalie Koo发表的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion and final thought</p><p><blockquote>结论和最后的思考</blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that:</p><p><blockquote>结果表明：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>The ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.</li>  <li>And the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</li> </ul> As such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>ROCE平均约为103%，与表现优异的股票（典型的可扩展股票）相比非常有利。</li><li>近年来MROCE平均为157%。所以这个结果表明V还没有达到收益递减的阶段——重力还没有赶上。对于规模如此惊人（去年处理了15万亿美元的交易量）的企业来说，仍然保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。V目前远高于价值线，这表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</li></ul>因此，我的最终结论是，它仍然是一个完全可扩展的业务，但它的定价不仅仅是完美的。此时的投资需要一些时间、耐心和承诺，让增长赶上估值。它只适合长期承诺的投资者（至少有5年以上的时间范围），他们可以坚持下去，不受任何潜在的近期估值波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Visa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVisa Stock: Scalability And Buffett Value Line<blockquote>Visa股票：可扩展性和巴菲特价值线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-11 23:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>This article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.</li>  <li>This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.</li>  <li>The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4e9c2f1150ac54e1f764f98c0880f1\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1039\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>本文从Visa的盈利可持续性和可扩展性的角度对其进行分析。</li><li>该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和资本边际效率。</li><li>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).</p><p><blockquote>结果表明，V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。对于规模如此惊人的企业来说，保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是根据ROCE调整的估值以及与其他示例性可扩展股票（例如FAAMG股票和巴菲特风格股票）相比的估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The moat and the network effects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>护城河与网络效应</b></blockquote></p><p> V’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.</p><p><blockquote>V的护城河在于其规模和可扩展性，下面两张图表最好地展示了这一点。第一张图表显示了2017年至2019年全球流通的信用卡、借记卡和预付卡数量，并对2023年和2025年进行了预测。2019年，全球有228亿张信用卡、借记卡和预付卡在流通。到2023年，这一数字将达到293.1亿，比2019年的水平增长28%。到2025年，这一数字将进一步增加，超过300亿，比2019年的水平增长34%。也就是说，到2025年流通卡总量将增长1/3以上。数字化交易的趋势势不可挡。</blockquote></p><p> The second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.</p><p><blockquote>第二张图表显示，V作为该领域的领导者，将从这一长期趋势中受益最多。V是全球最大的零售电子支付网络，提供处理服务和支付产品平台。这包括信用卡、借记卡、预付费和商业支付，这些支付以Visa、Visa Electron、Interlink和PLUS品牌提供。Visa/PLUS是全球最大的ATM网络之一。V为200多个国家和地区的数字支付提供便利。它拥有36亿张流通卡，约占全球流通卡总数的16%。它处理了令人难以置信的交易量——2060亿笔支付交易，2020年总交易额为12.5万亿美元——这是支付网络无可争议的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e261998de072e355b6f039912d0f1453\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/036bc8c94696fcfd8ed3403b699534c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Visa USA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国签证。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于所谓的“网络效应”，这种主导地位在未来不太可能改变（除非任何重大监管或反托拉斯法发生变化）。网络效应是指某些产品或服务的价值随着更多人使用而增加。换句话说，某些网络随着规模的扩大而变得越来越有价值。并不是每个网络都享有这种神奇的特性，事实上，大多数网络的边际回报率是递减的——即，额外回报随着网络变大而减少——这将在后面详细说明。连锁餐厅网络就是一个例子。随着网络变得更大，节点开始相互竞争客户，回报减少。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).</p><p><blockquote>但某些网络，如V提供的服务，享有这种神奇的特性——网络越大，利润就越高。这个概念没有什么新意。铁路、电话和传真机都是如此。所有这些例子都有这些共同的特征：a）网络变得越大，它就变得越有价值（当连接城市A和B的铁路的一段也连接到连接其他城市的其他铁路时，这段铁路的价值要高得多）；B）网络越大，交换成本就越高（如果每个人都使用传真机，而你不想使用传真机，祝你好运）。</blockquote></p><p> Again, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.</p><p><blockquote>同样，这个概念没有什么新意。但是互联网时代极大地放大了网络效应的威力。一旦建立了线索——不管出于什么原因——网络效应就会开始发挥作用，接管并自我复合。</blockquote></p><p> It is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个自我维持的正反馈循环：这个网络中更多的用户将带来更多的便利、更好的效率、更低的成本，这将使网络对其用户和客户更好、更有价值，这反过来将吸引更多的新用户和客户加入，并使现有用户更难离开，这将再次导致更多的用户和更大的网络。这种反馈将反映在非常高的已用资本回报率（“ROCE”）中，这将在后面看到。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.</p><p><blockquote>不幸的是，就像所有美好的事情最终都会结束一样，上述网络效应的好处也会结束。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始减少。在铁路的例子中，如果已经建造了足够多的铁路来连接所有人口密度高的城市，那么现在建造下一段铁路的回报将会减少。在传真机的例子中，如果每个办公室都已经有一台传真机，那么在每个办公室增加第二台传真机也会减少回报。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.</p><p><blockquote>因此，作为投资者，我们不仅要考察ROCE，同样重要的是要考察边际收益。因为边际回报告诉我们业务是否仍处于可扩展阶段，或者业务是否已经过了可扩展性的临界点，开始出现收益递减。换句话说，MROCE让我们看看收益递减的严重性是否已经赶上了。</blockquote></p><p> And the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，本文的其余部分将研究这两个方面。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Return on capital employed (“ROCE”)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已动用资本回报率（“ROCE”）</b></blockquote></p><p> ROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my&nbsp;earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.</p><p><blockquote>ROCE代表已用资本回报率。请注意，ROCE不同于股本回报率（在我看来更基本、更重要）。ROCE考虑实际使用的资本回报，因此可以深入了解企业如何有效地利用其资本赚取利润。对ROCE分析细节感兴趣的读者可以在我之前的文章中找到。在这里，我将在下面的图表中总结结果。在这些结果中，我考虑了实际使用的以下项目资本a)营运资本（包括应付账款、应收账款、存货），B)不动产、厂房和设备总额，C)资本化的研发费用，以及D)无形账面价值，主要包括此类业务的知识产权和专利。</blockquote></p><p> As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.</p><p><blockquote>正如所见，它在过去十年中能够保持天文数字的ROCE水平：平均约103%。为了正确看待事情，下图将V的ROCE与FAAMG股票进行了比较，FAAMG股票是一组将网络效应发挥到极致的企业。可以看出，V在其中获得了极具竞争力的ROCE——仅次于苹果(AAPL)。平均而言，每1美元的收益再投资将推动超过1美元的未来收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877e3bb73de3e6c4fbab1a0133f74464\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f25b4c6dc0c7ee738ac345c3888ae11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Introduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)</p><p><blockquote>边际资本回报率（“边际资本回报率”）简介</blockquote></p><p> In addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>除了ROCE之外，一个同样重要的概念是边际资本回报率（“MROCE”）。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了盈利能力这个核心问题的最基本的两个方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.</p><p><blockquote>为不熟悉这个概念的读者提供一点背景和介绍。对于已经熟悉这个概念的读者来说，一定要跳过这一部分。据我所知，传奇经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯首先明确表达了这个概念，尽管在他之前的人已经观察和思考了一段时间。这个概念试图捕捉的是经济活动中的一个基本规律：收益递减规律。沃伦·巴菲特喜欢说，利率就像重力一样影响所有经济活动。嗯，只要人性不发生任何根本性的变化，收益递减对所有经济活动也有引力作用，如果不是更大的话。</blockquote></p><p> The next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.</p><p><blockquote>下一个图表说明了这个概念。只要股东寻求利润，上市企业就会首先将资金投资于回报率最高的项目（即，先摘最低的苹果或先获得最大的回报）。因此，第一批可用资源的投资回报率很高——企业可能确定的最高回报率。第二批资金将不得不以较低的回报率进行投资，因为最好的想法已经被第一批资源采纳了，等等。最后一批投入的钱可能会获得仅高于资金成本的回报率。最后，最终结果是如图所示下降的MROCE曲线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1cd59ec1a6da411c303c2bbccaf2425\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.</p><p><blockquote>我们通常谈论和公司报告的ROCE指的是这条曲线的平均值——平均所有批次投资的回报。显然，平均值本身就是非常有用的信息。它告诉我们企业到目前为止将资源转化为利润的效率——但它的局限性在于，它只告诉我们到目前为止已经投入的资源的效率。对投资者同样重要的是MROCE，它告诉我们下一批资源投入时，业务会产生多少增量利润。</blockquote></p><p> For investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，梦想投资的企业是拥有平坦MROCE曲线的企业，如蓝色实线所示。这将是一个完全可扩展的业务。每投入一批资源都能获得持续稳定利润的企业。然而，这样的生意真的只是梦中生意。我之前提到过，收益递减对所有经济活动都有引力作用——因为它们确实如此。从来没有一个企业（至少在人类历史上没有）能够在保持资本回报率的同时保持增长。在某些时候，重力总是赶上来，回报开始下降（如蓝色虚线所示）。</blockquote></p><p> V’s MROCE</p><p><blockquote>V的MROCE</blockquote></p><p> So for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对于投资者来说，下一个最好的交易是投资a）具有高且稳定的ROCE，B）仍处于可扩展阶段（回报递减的严重性尚未赶上）的企业。而如下图所示，V在这样一个阶段似乎就是这样一个业务。</blockquote></p><p> This chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>这张图表显示了近年来V的MROCE和ROCE。ROCE数据与上一节所示相同。通过以下步骤估计MROCE数据。首先，计算每年使用的资本。其次，每年计算收益。第三，计算每年使用的资本增量。同样，还计算了同比增量收益。最后，计算增量收益和增量资本使用之间的比率以近似MROCE。在增量盈利或资本使用波动较大的年度，采用多年运行平均法来平滑波动。</blockquote></p><p> Before we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.</p><p><blockquote>在我们开始解释结果之前，让我首先澄清分析边际资本回报率的困难以及我在这里使用的方法的局限性。首先，从数学上讲，估计变化率（例如，MROCE本质上是什么）比平均变化（ROCE本质上是什么）要困难得多。估计后者需要除以两个大数，不确定性很小。估计前者需要除以两个小数字，财务数据中的不确定性可以被放大。其次，对企业的一些资本投资可能需要多年（超过3年）才能取得成果（或失败）。因此，隔离和跟踪某一年投资产生的边际回报本质上是困难的。尽管大多数项目应该在3年内开始显示结果（无论是好的还是坏的），并且这种方法应该能够捕捉边际回报的主导趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.</p><p><blockquote>有了以上的了解，我们来仔细看看结果。首先，请注意，本世纪初极高的MROCE再次有力地说明了从根本上支持业务的网络效应和长期趋势。商业模式太好了。</blockquote></p><p> The results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.</p><p><blockquote>图表中的结果还显示，在这个阶段，V实际上能够保持实际上高于近年来平均ROCE的MROCE。可以看出，近年来ROCE平均为103%，MROCE平均为157%。这明显低于本世纪初350%以上的水平——重力总是试图迎头赶上。但仍远高于ROCE。而且差距超过50%，太大了，不可能是财务数据的不确定性和舍入误差造成的。所以这个结果表明V还没有进入收益递减阶段——重力还没有赶上。而如果目前的MROCE继续下去，V的ROCE将维持目前的高水平，甚至进一步扩大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cea9c214b6d0dd15d8f9c5c1392272e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> After the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.</p><p><blockquote>以上讨论完其盈利持续性，我们再来看看估值。在目前的价格水平上，V的PE约为44倍，FW PE约为39.6倍。估值无论是绝对值还是相对值都很高。例如，与FAAMG pack相比，V目前的估值仅低于亚马逊(AMZN)的市盈率，高于所有其他公司。</blockquote></p><p> It is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.</p><p><blockquote>如果不根据业务质量进行调整，孤立地讨论估值是没有意义的。因此，下一张图表还将根据ROCE调整后的V估值与同行进行了比较。如果您熟悉巴菲特的持股，您就会认识到这张图表中的股票代表了BRK的一些大型持股。</blockquote></p><p> I am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>我不确定当我们在这张图表上添加更多数据点时，情况会是什么样子（我确实计划组织我对其他BRK主要持股的笔记，并在这张图表上添加更多数据点）。但凭借我现在掌握的几个数据点，我忍不住画出/看到了绿线——我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线。它是连接艾伯维公司（ABBV）和苹果公司的一条线——物美价廉的好企业和高价的高质量企业。因此，从价值投资者的角度来看，只有沿着这条线或低于这条线进行投资才有意义。因为沿着这条线或以下的投资代表了质量和价格之间的权衡，相当于或优于ABBV或AAPL。投资高于这条线是没有意义的，因为高于这条线的任何东西都代表着质量和价格之间的劣质权衡——我们最好只投资ABBV和AAPL。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，V目前远高于绿线，表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据其ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9fbfdb9a53f0dac2386fcfaf067800\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者和Seeking Alpha数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Catalysts and risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>催化剂和风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.</p><p><blockquote>长期催化剂是文章开头提到的数字化交易趋势。在我看来，这个趋势是不可阻挡的。电子商务平台的广泛部署将进一步加速这一转变。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:</p><p><blockquote>短期内最重要的催化剂，同时也是风险，是经济复苏的方向和步伐。正如首席财务官所评论的，如果经济活动，尤其是旅游活动恢复到正常水平，V将受益匪浅：</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"    <i>Vasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)</i>  In terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by&nbsp;Natalie Koo.</p><p><blockquote>“自从热门旅游目的地开放边境以来，我们已经看到了直接的影响。希腊在4月份开放了边境，到6月底，入境持卡消费相对于2019年的水平增长了近30个百分点。法国于6月9日开放，截至6月底，入境持卡量相对于2019年增长了近20个百分点...自4月份以来，从美国到墨西哥的持卡跨境消费增长了近50个百分点，达到2019年水平的170%以上。”<i>Vasant Prabhu，Visa首席财务官（2021财年第三季度看涨期权收益）</i>就风险而言，我看到了前面提到的估值风险。就业务基本面而言，我确实认为短期甚至长期没有任何风险。在我看来，上述疫情的经济复苏并不是真正的根本性风险。即使它朝着错误的方向发展和/或以比预期更慢的速度发展，对V来说也最多是暂时的打嗝。商业模式太健壮，可扩展性太强。从真正的长期来看，我们只能猜测。从长远来看，金融科技和加密货币的破坏肯定是一个潜在的风险。我建议对这些讨论感兴趣的读者阅读Natalie Koo发表的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion and final thought</p><p><blockquote>结论和最后的思考</blockquote></p><p> This article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.</p><p><blockquote>本文分析Visa Inc(V)，重点关注其利润可持续性和可扩展性。该分析考察了利润可持续性最重要的两个方面：已用资本回报率(“ROCE”)和已用资本边际回报率(“MROCE”)。对我来说，ROCE和MROCE是分析企业最重要的两个指标。它们揭示了利润可持续性这一核心问题的两个最基本的方面。ROCE告诉我们该业务迄今为止的盈利能力。MROCE深入了解了盈利能力可能走向的方向。</blockquote></p><p> The results show that:</p><p><blockquote>结果表明：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.</li>  <li>The ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.</li>  <li>And the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.</li>  <li>Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.</li> </ul> As such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>V不仅在过去获得了持续较高的ROCE，而且在当前阶段仍然具有完美的可扩展性，表明未来将实现可持续利润。</li><li>ROCE平均约为103%，与表现优异的股票（典型的可扩展股票）相比非常有利。</li><li>近年来MROCE平均为157%。所以这个结果表明V还没有达到收益递减的阶段——重力还没有赶上。对于规模如此惊人（去年处理了15万亿美元的交易量）的企业来说，仍然保持完美的可扩展性确实令人印象深刻。</li><li>最后，本文还讨论了其估值，特别是与使用我看涨期权的巴菲特价值线享有卓越可扩展性的其他股票相比，根据ROCE调整的估值。V目前远高于价值线，这表明其估值不仅本身昂贵，而且在根据ROCE进行调整后也很昂贵——即使它的ROCE非常出色。</li></ul>因此，我的最终结论是，它仍然是一个完全可扩展的业务，但它的定价不仅仅是完美的。此时的投资需要一些时间、耐心和承诺，让增长赶上估值。它只适合长期承诺的投资者（至少有5年以上的时间范围），他们可以坚持下去，不受任何潜在的近期估值波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459179-visa-stock-scalability-and-buffett-value-line\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459179-visa-stock-scalability-and-buffett-value-line","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174273121","content_text":"Summary\n\nThis article analyzes Visa from the perspective of its profit sustainability and scalability.\nThis analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and the marginal efficiency of capital.\nThe results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.\nLastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nInvestment thesis\nThis article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nThe results show that V not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale to maintain perfect scalability. Lastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE and valuation compared to the other stocks that are exemplary scalable stocks (such as the FAAMG stocks and Buffett style stocks).\nThe moat and the network effects\nV’s moat is in its scale and scalability, best demonstrated in the following two charts. The first chart shows the number of credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide from 2017 to 2019, with forecasts for 2023 and 2025. In 2019, there were 22.8 billion credit, debit, and prepaid cards in circulation worldwide. This figure is set to reach 29.31 billion by 2023, a 28% increase from the 2019 level. This figure will further increase to surpass 30 billion by 2025, a 34% increase from the 2019 level. In other words, the total cards in circulation will increase by more than 1/3 by 2025. The trend of digital transactions is unstoppable.\nThe second chart shows that V, as the leading player in this space, will benefit the most from this secular trend. V is the world’s largest retail electronic payments network providing processing services and payment product platforms. This includes credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payments, which are offered under the Visa, Visa Electron, Interlink, and PLUS brands. Visa/PLUS is one of the largest global ATM networks. V facilitates digital payments across more than 200 countries and territories. It has 3.6 billion cards in circulation, about 16% of the total number of cards in circulation globally. It processes a mindboggling amount of transactions – 206 billion payment transactions and a total transaction volume of $12.5 trillion in 2020 – an undisputed dominance of the payment network.\nSource: Statista\nSource: Visa USA.\nFurthermore, it is unlikely that such dominance would change in the future (barring any major regulation or antitrust legislation change) due to the so-called \"network effects\". The network effects refer to the fact that the value of certain products or services increases as more people use them. In other words, certain networks become increasingly more valuable as they become bigger. Not every network enjoys this magic feature, and as a matter of fact, most networks suffer a diminishing marginal rate of return – i.e., the additional return decreases as the network becomes bigger – as to be elaborated later. A chain restaurant network is an example. As the network becomes larger, the nodes begin to compete against each other for customers and the return diminishes.\nBut certain networks, like the services V provides, enjoy this magic trait – the network becomes more profitable as it becomes bigger. There is nothing new about the concept. It was true of railways, telephones, and fax machines. All these examples share these common traits: A) the larger the network becomes, the more valuable it becomes (one segment of a railway linking city A and B is far more valuable when this segment also links to other railways linking other cities); and B) the larger the network becomes, the higher the switching cost (if everyone uses a fax machine and you do not want to use one, good luck to you).\nAgain, there is nothing new about the concept. But the internet age dramatically amplified the potency of the network effects. Once a lead is established – for whatever the reason – the network effects would just kick in, take over, and compound itself.\nIt is a self-sustaining positive feedback loop: more users in this network will lead to more convenience, better efficiency, lower cost, which will make the network even better and more valuable for its users and clients, which will, in turn, attract more new users and clients to join and make it harder for existing users to leave, which again will lead back to more users and an even larger network. And such feedback will be reflected in a very high level of return on capital employed (“ROCE”) as to be seen later.\nUnfortunately, like all good things eventually run to an end, so do the benefits of the above network effects. At some point, gravity always catches up, and return begins to diminish. In the railway example, if enough railways have already been built to link all cities with high population density, building the next segment would suffer a diminished return now. In the fax machine example, if every office already has one, adding a second one to each office would also suffer a diminished return.\nTherefore, as investors, we do not only need to examine the ROCE, but also equally importantly, to examine the marginal return. Because the marginal return tells us if the business is still in a scalable stage, or if the business has already passed the tipping point of scalability and begins to see a diminishing return. In another word, MROCE let us see if the gravity of diminishing return has caught up yet or not.\nAnd the remainder of this article will examine both aspects next.\nReturn on capital employed (“ROCE”)\nROCE stands for the return on capital employed. Note that ROCE is different from the return on equity (and more fundamental and important in my view). ROCE considers the return of capital ACTUALLY employed, and therefore provides insight into how effectively the business uses its capital to earn a profit. Readers interested in the details of the ROCE analysis can find them in my earlier article. Here I will just summarize the results in the chart below. In these results, I considered the following items capital actually employed A) Working capital (including payables, receivables, inventory), B) Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment, C) Research and development expenses are capitalized, and D) the intangible book value, mainly consisting of intellectual property and patents for such a business.\nAs seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE over the past decade: on average ~103%. To put things in perspective, the next chart compares V’s ROCE against the FAAMG stocks – a group of businesses that exploits the network effects to the extreme. As can be seen, V earns a very competitive ROCE among them – only second to Apple (AAPL). Every $1 of earning reinvested will fuel more than $1 of additional future earnings growth on average.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha.\nIntroduction to marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”)\nIn addition to ROCE, an equally important concept is the marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the most fundamental two aspects of the same central issue of profitability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nA bit of background and introduction for readers who are new to the concept. For readers familiar with the concept already, definitely skip this section. From what I’ve learned, the legendary economist John Maynard Keynes first explicitly expressed this concept, although people before him have observed and thought about it for some time already. What the concept tries to capture is a basic law in economic activities: the law of diminishing returns. Warren Buffett likes to say that interest rate acts like gravity on all economic activities. Well, diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities too, if not more so, as long as human nature does not change in any fundamental way.\nThe next chart illustrates the concept. As long as shareholders are seeking profit, a public business will first invest its money at projects with the highest possible rate of return (i.e., picking the lowest hanging apples first or getting the most bang for the buck first). Therefore, the first batch of available resources is invested at a high rate of return – the highest the business can possibly identify. The second batch of money will have to be invested at a somewhat lower rate of return since the best ideas have been taken by the first batch of resources already, and so on. The last batch of money invested may earn a rate of return that is only above the cost of capital. And finally, the end result is a declining MROCE curve as shown.\nSource: author\nThe ROCE we normally talk about and companies report refers to the average of this curve – averaging the return on all batches of money invested. Obviously, the average is very useful information by itself. It tells us how efficiently the business has been converting resources into profit so far – but its limitation is that it only tells us the efficiency of the resources that have already been invested SO FAR. What is of equal importance to investors is the MROCE, which tells us how much incremental profit the business WILL generate when the next batch of resources are invested.\nFor investors, a dream business to invest in would be a business that enjoys a flat MROCE curve as shown by the solid blue line. This would be a business that is perfectly scalable. A business that earns a consistent and stable profit for every batch of resources invested. However, such a business is really only a dream business. I mentioned earlier that diminishing returns act like gravity on all economic activities - because they really do. There has been no business (at least not so far in human history) that can keep growing while at the same time maintaining a constant return on capital. At some point, gravity always catches up and the return begins to decline (as shown by the dashed blue line).\nV’s MROCE\nSo for investors, the next best deal is to invest in a business that A) has a high and stable ROCE, and B) that is still in the scalable stage (the gravity of diminishing return has not caught up yet). And as shown in the next chart, V seems to be such a business at such a stage.\nThis chart shows the MROCE and ROCE for V over recent years. The ROCE data are the same as those shown in the previous section. The MROCE data are estimated by the following steps. First, the capital employed was calculated for each year. Second, the earnings were calculated each year. Third, then the incremental of capital employed year over year was calculated. Similarly, the incremental earnings year over year were also calculated. And finally, the ratio between the incremental earnings and incremental capital employed was calculated to approximate the MROCE. During years when there were large fluctuations in either the incremental earnings or the capital employed, a multi-year running average was taken to smooth the fluctuations.\nBefore we began to interpret the results, let me first clarify the difficulties of analyzing marginal return on capital and the limitations of the approach I used here. Firstly, it is just mathematically much harder to estimate the rate of change (e.g., which is what MROCE is essentially is) than the average change (which is what ROCE is essentially is). Estimating the latter involves dividing two large numbers and the uncertainties are small. Estimating the former requires dividing two small numbers and the uncertainties in the financial data can be magnified. Secondly, some capital investments in a business can take multiple years (more than 3 years) to bear fruit (or to fail). Therefore, isolating and tracking the marginal return produced by investments made in a given year is inherently difficult. Although most of the projects should begin to show results (either good or bad) in 3 years and this approach should be able to capture the dominating trend of marginal return.\nWith the above understanding, let’s look at the results closely. First, note that the extraordinarily high MROCE during the early part of the decade again provides a strong illustration of the network effects and the secular trend that support the business at a fundamental level. The business model is just too good.\nThe results in the chart also show that at this stage, V has been actually able to maintain an MROCE that actually is higher than the average ROCE in recent years. As seen, the ROCE has been on average 103% in recent years, and the MROCE has been on average 157%. It was significantly lower than the 350+% level in the earlier part of the decade – gravity always tries to catch up. But it is still higher than the ROCE by a good margin. And the gap is more than 50%, too large to be caused by the uncertainties in the financial data and rounding off errors. So this result suggests that V has not entered a stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. And if the current MROCE continues, V’s ROCE will maintain its current high level or even further expand.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha data.\nValuation\nAfter the above discussion of its profitability sustainability, let’s look at the valuation. At its current price levels, V’s PE is about 44x and FW PE is about 39.6x. The valuation is both high in absolute terms and also high in relative terms. For example, when compared to the FAAMG pack, V’s current valuation is only lower than Amazon (AMZN) in terms of the PE multiple and higher than all the others.\nIt is not that meaningful to discuss valuation in isolation and without adjusting for the quality of the business. The next chart therefore also compares V valuation adjusted for its ROCE with its peers. If you are familiar with Buffett’s holdings, you would recognize that the stocks in this chart represent some of the large BRK holdings.\nI am not sure what the picture will look like as we add more data points on this chart (I do plan to organize my notes on other BRK major holdings and add more data points onto this plot). But with the few data points I have now, I cannot help drawing/seeing the green line - what I call a Buffett value line. It is a line linking AbbVie Inc (ABBV) and AAPL - a good business at a good price and a high-quality business at a high price. So from a value investor point of view, it only makes sense to make investments along this line or below it. Because investment along this line or below represents a trade-off between quality and price that is equivalent or better than ABBV or AAPL. It makes no sense to invest above this line, as anything above this line represents an inferior trade-off between quality and price - we'd be better off just investing in ABBV and AAPL.\nAs you can see, V is currently way above the green line, showing a valuation that is only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.\nSource: author and Seeking Alpha data.\nCatalysts and risks\nThe long-term catalyst is the trend of digital transactions as mentioned at the beginning of the article. In my view, this trend is unstoppable. The expansive deployment of e-commerce platforms will further accelerate this transition.\nThe most significant catalyst and also a risk at the same time in the near term is the direction and the pace of the economic recovery. If economic activities and especially travel activities resume to their normal level, V will benefit significantly, as commented by the CFO:\n\n \"We have seen immediate impacts since popular travel destinations opened their borders. Greece opened borders in April, and inbound card-present spend rose nearly 30 points by the end of June relative to 2019 levels. France opened on June 9, and inbound card-present volumes rose nearly 20 points by the end of June relative to 2019 ... Since April, card-present cross-border spend in Mexico from the U.S. rose nearly 50 points to over 170% of 2019 levels.\"\n\n\nVasant Prabhu, Visa CFO (Q3 FY21 earnings call)\n\nIn terms of risks, I see a valuation risk here as aforementioned. In terms of business fundamentals, I really do not see any risks in the near- or even long-term. The economic recovery from the pandemic mentioned above is not really a fundamental risk in my view. Even if it develops in the wrong direction and/or at a pace slower than expected, it is at most a temporary hiccup for V. The business model is too robust and too scalable. In the really long term, we can only speculate. The disruption from Fintechs and Crypto currency must be a potential risk in the long term. I suggest readers interested in these discussions to read the analysis published by Natalie Koo.\nConclusion and final thought\nThis article analyzes Visa Inc (V), with a focus on its profit sustainability and scalability. This analysis examines the most two important aspects of profit Sustainability: return on capital employed (“ROCE”) and marginal return on capital employed (“MROCE”). To me, ROCE and MROCE are the most two important metrics for analyzing a business. They reveal the two most fundamental aspects of the same central issue of profit Sustainability. ROCE tells us how profitable the business has been or is SO FAR. And MROCE sheds insights into which direction the profitability is likely to go.\nThe results show that:\n\nV not only earns a consistently high ROCE in the past but is still perfectly scalable at its current stage, indicating sustainable profit ahead.\nThe ROCE has been on average about 103% and compares very favorably against overachievers which are exemplary scalable stocks.\nAnd the MROCE has been on average 157% in recent years. So this result suggests that V has not reached the stage of diminishing return yet - gravity has not caught up yet. It is truly impressive for a business at such a staggering scale (which processes $15 trillion of transaction volume last year) to still maintain perfect scalability.\nLastly, this article also discusses its valuation, especially valuation adjusted for ROCE compared to other stocks that enjoy superb scalability using what I call the Buffett value line. V is currently way above the value line, showing its valuation to be only expensive by itself, but also when adjusted for its ROCE – even if it is superb ROCE.\n\nAs such, my final verdict is that it is still a perfectly scalable business, but it is more than perfectly priced. Investment at this point will take some time, patience, and commitment for the growth to catch up with the valuation. It is only for long-term committed investors (with at least 5+ years of time horizon) who could hold to it and sit out any potential near-term valuation volatilities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"V":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862014654,"gmtCreate":1632817345979,"gmtModify":1632817346081,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ed","listText":"Ed","text":"Ed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862014654","repostId":"2170624172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":899195996,"gmtCreate":1628167171615,"gmtModify":1633753016280,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whoa","listText":"Whoa","text":"Whoa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899195996","repostId":"1102649662","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890317178,"gmtCreate":1628083209694,"gmtModify":1633753782109,"author":{"id":"3569976416564978","authorId":"3569976416564978","name":"超级白","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0986d8374c47915334820b2ded4f195f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569976416564978","idStr":"3569976416564978"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890317178","repostId":"1163400390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163400390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628077338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163400390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163400390","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)\n(Aug 4) Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&P 500 hit its ","content":"<p><i>(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月4日上午8:28）</i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug&nbsp;4)&nbsp;Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&amp;P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>（8月4日）在标普500创下今年第42个收盘纪录后，股票期货波动，投资者将强劲的企业盈利与COVID-19 Delta变种的潜在威胁进行权衡。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis fell 7&nbsp;points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid&nbsp;9&nbsp;points, or 0.06%&nbsp;.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午08:28，道指E-minis下跌76点，跌幅0.22%，标普500 E-minis下跌7点，跌幅0.16%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌9点，跌幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f1103ecd5b5a67bec56afafdc8276f\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;General Motors(GM)</b> – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）通用汽车（GM）</b>-通用汽车调整后第二季度利润为每股1.97美元，低于市场普遍预期的每股2.23美元，尽管收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。基于强劲的需求和定价，通用汽车确实上调了今年剩余时间的预测。通用汽车最初在盘前下跌3%，但随后反弹，收复了大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS)</b> – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）CVS健康（CVS）</b>-CVS第二季度调整后每股收益为2.42美元，超出市场普遍预期的2.06美元，营收也超出预期。这家药店和药房福利公司的同店销售额也增长了12.3%，好于预期。另外，CVS还宣布将员工最低工资提高至每小时15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Kraft Heinz(KHC) </b>– Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）卡夫亨氏（KHC）</b>-卡夫亨氏调整后季度收益为每股78美分，超出预期6美分，而该食品生产商的收入也超出预期。本季度对该公司零食和包装食品的需求持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Tupperware(TUP) </b>– Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）特百惠（TUP）</b>-特百惠股价在第二季度营收和利润均超出预期后，盘前上涨2.5%。这家家用存储产品制造商调整后每股收益为95美分，远高于57美分的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Robinhood(HOOD)</b> – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）罗宾汉（胡德）</b>–该交易平台的股价在周二交易中上涨24.2%的基础上，在盘前交易中飙升13.1%，自上周四上市以来首次突破每股38美元的IPO价格。它也是昨天交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Activision Blizzard(ATVI)</b> – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）动视暴雪（ATVI）</b>-动视暴雪调整后季度收益为每股91美分，超出预期15美分，该视频游戏生产商的收入略高于华尔街的预测。它还给出了乐观的预测，预计对《糖果粉碎传奇》和《使命看涨期权》等热门系列的需求将持续强劲。股价在盘前交易中上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amgen(AMGN) </b>– Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）安进（AMGN）</b>-安进最近一个季度调整后每股收益为4.38美元，而市场普遍预期为4.09美元。这家生物技术巨头的收入也超出了分析师的预期，尽管它表示就诊和手术仍低于大流行前的水平。安进还表示，它与美国国税局存在纠纷，对其欠下36亿美元欠税的指控进行抗辩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Lyft(LYFT) </b>– Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Lyft（Lyft）</b>-Lyft公布调整后季度每股亏损5美分，小于分析师预测的24美分亏损，该网约车服务营收好于预期。Lyft看到了强劲的网约车需求，并且确实实现了以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)衡量的盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Match Group(MTCH)</b> – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）匹配组（MTCH）</b>-Match Group的季度收益为每股46美分，比预期低6美分，尽管Tinder和其他约会服务的运营商的收入确实超出了预期。随着疫苗接种率的上升，Tinder的收入增长正在加速，但Match表示，一些重要的海外市场的复苏滞后。股价在盘前交易中下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Caesars Entertainment(CZR) </b>– Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)凯撒娱乐(CZR)</b>-凯撒最近一个季度每股盈利34美分，令此前预期每股亏损18美分的分析师感到惊讶。由于拉斯维加斯市场的强劲反弹，赌场运营商的收入也超出了预期。凯撒在盘前股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Affirm Holdings(AFRM)</b> – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)确认控股(AFRM)</b>-Affirm继昨天上涨3%后，盘前又上涨2.4%。彭博社报道称，该支付服务将与苹果(AAPL)合作，为加拿大购买苹果设备提供“先买后付”服务，该支付服务的股价因此受到提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) </b>– Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Avis Budget(CAR)</b>-Avis Budget在公布其历史上最好的季度后，在盘前交易中上涨1.9%，需求激增和租金价格上涨导致销售额增加了两倍。调整后每股收益为5.90美元，而市场普遍预期为1.21美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Live Nation(LYV) </b>– Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>13)Live Nation(LYV)</b>-Live Nation表示，随着疫苗接种量的增加，现场活动回归，其最近一个季度的销售额飙升了近八倍。现场活动发起人表示，音乐会和其他活动很快就销售一空，票价比大流行前的水平高出10%。Live Nation盘前上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank&nbsp;won’t rush&nbsp;a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.</p><p><blockquote>外汇方面，在欧洲央行政策制定者表示央行不会急于就刺激措施做出决定后，欧元下跌。彭博美元指数几乎没有变化，大多数10国集团货币在窄幅波动中交易。英镑连续第二天上涨，一些投资者预计英国央行周四将转向鹰派；欧元跌至盘中低点1.1842，随后收复跌幅。新西兰就业数据超出经济学家预期后，交易员加大了加息押注，新西兰元兑所有G-10货币均上涨。交易员表示，新西兰元兑澳元也受到基金相关购买的支撑。在中国服务业活动指标超出分析师预期后，澳元从盘中低点反弹。避险货币瑞士法郎和日元领跌，因担心德尔塔变异毒株蔓延可能破坏全球经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> In rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No&nbsp;Treasury&nbsp;supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.&nbsp; Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>利率方面，由于市场等待美国东部时间上午8:30的最新季度退款公告，美国国债收益率在隔夜交易的大部分时间保持稳定后突然跌至1.1555%的盘中低点。亚洲价格走势平静，欧洲早盘收益率窄幅波动。ISM服务业和ADP就业数据也将于周三公布，这可能会在周五公布就业数据之前提供一些见解。本周没有国债供应，尽管美国东部时间上午8:30的季度退款公告将引起关注，因为官员们可能会提供有关减少拍卖规模时间的细节。欧元区政府债券收益率徘徊在近期低点附近，德国10年期国债收益率为-0.489%，受略逊于预期的7月份欧元区采购经理人指数调查数据影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，布伦特原油期货回吐早盘涨幅，尾盘下跌0.2%，至每桶72.30美元，而美国原油下跌0.4%，至每桶70.26美元。现货黄金上涨0.2%，至每盎司1812.9美元。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to&nbsp;speak&nbsp;about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”&nbsp; Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，预期数据包括7月份ADP就业变化以及ISM服务业指数。如果本周美国关键就业数据导致投资者调整对美联储最终缩减刺激措施可能时间表的预期，可能会引发市场波动。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达将于周三就货币政策发表讲话。Swissquote分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示：“今天的就业数据可能会迅速改变市场情绪。”“强劲的数据应该会加速人们的想法，即美联储将比其他情况更快地进入缩减阶段。这可能会给美国股市带来一定的压力。”另外，巴西央行将发布最新的货币政策决定，随后美联储副主席克拉里达将发表讲话。最后，今天发布财报的公司包括CVS Health、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、Uber和丰田。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 19:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月4日上午8:28）</i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug&nbsp;4)&nbsp;Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&amp;P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>（8月4日）在标普500创下今年第42个收盘纪录后，股票期货波动，投资者将强劲的企业盈利与COVID-19 Delta变种的潜在威胁进行权衡。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis fell 7&nbsp;points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid&nbsp;9&nbsp;points, or 0.06%&nbsp;.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午08:28，道指E-minis下跌76点，跌幅0.22%，标普500 E-minis下跌7点，跌幅0.16%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌9点，跌幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f1103ecd5b5a67bec56afafdc8276f\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;General Motors(GM)</b> – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）通用汽车（GM）</b>-通用汽车调整后第二季度利润为每股1.97美元，低于市场普遍预期的每股2.23美元，尽管收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。基于强劲的需求和定价，通用汽车确实上调了今年剩余时间的预测。通用汽车最初在盘前下跌3%，但随后反弹，收复了大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS)</b> – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）CVS健康（CVS）</b>-CVS第二季度调整后每股收益为2.42美元，超出市场普遍预期的2.06美元，营收也超出预期。这家药店和药房福利公司的同店销售额也增长了12.3%，好于预期。另外，CVS还宣布将员工最低工资提高至每小时15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Kraft Heinz(KHC) </b>– Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）卡夫亨氏（KHC）</b>-卡夫亨氏调整后季度收益为每股78美分，超出预期6美分，而该食品生产商的收入也超出预期。本季度对该公司零食和包装食品的需求持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Tupperware(TUP) </b>– Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）特百惠（TUP）</b>-特百惠股价在第二季度营收和利润均超出预期后，盘前上涨2.5%。这家家用存储产品制造商调整后每股收益为95美分，远高于57美分的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Robinhood(HOOD)</b> – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）罗宾汉（胡德）</b>–该交易平台的股价在周二交易中上涨24.2%的基础上，在盘前交易中飙升13.1%，自上周四上市以来首次突破每股38美元的IPO价格。它也是昨天交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Activision Blizzard(ATVI)</b> – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）动视暴雪（ATVI）</b>-动视暴雪调整后季度收益为每股91美分，超出预期15美分，该视频游戏生产商的收入略高于华尔街的预测。它还给出了乐观的预测，预计对《糖果粉碎传奇》和《使命看涨期权》等热门系列的需求将持续强劲。股价在盘前交易中上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amgen(AMGN) </b>– Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）安进（AMGN）</b>-安进最近一个季度调整后每股收益为4.38美元，而市场普遍预期为4.09美元。这家生物技术巨头的收入也超出了分析师的预期，尽管它表示就诊和手术仍低于大流行前的水平。安进还表示，它与美国国税局存在纠纷，对其欠下36亿美元欠税的指控进行抗辩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Lyft(LYFT) </b>– Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Lyft（Lyft）</b>-Lyft公布调整后季度每股亏损5美分，小于分析师预测的24美分亏损，该网约车服务营收好于预期。Lyft看到了强劲的网约车需求，并且确实实现了以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)衡量的盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Match Group(MTCH)</b> – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）匹配组（MTCH）</b>-Match Group的季度收益为每股46美分，比预期低6美分，尽管Tinder和其他约会服务的运营商的收入确实超出了预期。随着疫苗接种率的上升，Tinder的收入增长正在加速，但Match表示，一些重要的海外市场的复苏滞后。股价在盘前交易中下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Caesars Entertainment(CZR) </b>– Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)凯撒娱乐(CZR)</b>-凯撒最近一个季度每股盈利34美分，令此前预期每股亏损18美分的分析师感到惊讶。由于拉斯维加斯市场的强劲反弹，赌场运营商的收入也超出了预期。凯撒在盘前股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Affirm Holdings(AFRM)</b> – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)确认控股(AFRM)</b>-Affirm继昨天上涨3%后，盘前又上涨2.4%。彭博社报道称，该支付服务将与苹果(AAPL)合作，为加拿大购买苹果设备提供“先买后付”服务，该支付服务的股价因此受到提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) </b>– Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Avis Budget(CAR)</b>-Avis Budget在公布其历史上最好的季度后，在盘前交易中上涨1.9%，需求激增和租金价格上涨导致销售额增加了两倍。调整后每股收益为5.90美元，而市场普遍预期为1.21美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Live Nation(LYV) </b>– Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>13)Live Nation(LYV)</b>-Live Nation表示，随着疫苗接种量的增加，现场活动回归，其最近一个季度的销售额飙升了近八倍。现场活动发起人表示，音乐会和其他活动很快就销售一空，票价比大流行前的水平高出10%。Live Nation盘前上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank&nbsp;won’t rush&nbsp;a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.</p><p><blockquote>外汇方面，在欧洲央行政策制定者表示央行不会急于就刺激措施做出决定后，欧元下跌。彭博美元指数几乎没有变化，大多数10国集团货币在窄幅波动中交易。英镑连续第二天上涨，一些投资者预计英国央行周四将转向鹰派；欧元跌至盘中低点1.1842，随后收复跌幅。新西兰就业数据超出经济学家预期后，交易员加大了加息押注，新西兰元兑所有G-10货币均上涨。交易员表示，新西兰元兑澳元也受到基金相关购买的支撑。在中国服务业活动指标超出分析师预期后，澳元从盘中低点反弹。避险货币瑞士法郎和日元领跌，因担心德尔塔变异毒株蔓延可能破坏全球经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> In rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No&nbsp;Treasury&nbsp;supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.&nbsp; Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>利率方面，由于市场等待美国东部时间上午8:30的最新季度退款公告，美国国债收益率在隔夜交易的大部分时间保持稳定后突然跌至1.1555%的盘中低点。亚洲价格走势平静，欧洲早盘收益率窄幅波动。ISM服务业和ADP就业数据也将于周三公布，这可能会在周五公布就业数据之前提供一些见解。本周没有国债供应，尽管美国东部时间上午8:30的季度退款公告将引起关注，因为官员们可能会提供有关减少拍卖规模时间的细节。欧元区政府债券收益率徘徊在近期低点附近，德国10年期国债收益率为-0.489%，受略逊于预期的7月份欧元区采购经理人指数调查数据影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，布伦特原油期货回吐早盘涨幅，尾盘下跌0.2%，至每桶72.30美元，而美国原油下跌0.4%，至每桶70.26美元。现货黄金上涨0.2%，至每盎司1812.9美元。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to&nbsp;speak&nbsp;about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”&nbsp; Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，预期数据包括7月份ADP就业变化以及ISM服务业指数。如果本周美国关键就业数据导致投资者调整对美联储最终缩减刺激措施可能时间表的预期，可能会引发市场波动。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达将于周三就货币政策发表讲话。Swissquote分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示：“今天的就业数据可能会迅速改变市场情绪。”“强劲的数据应该会加速人们的想法，即美联储将比其他情况更快地进入缩减阶段。这可能会给美国股市带来一定的压力。”另外，巴西央行将发布最新的货币政策决定，随后美联储副主席克拉里达将发表讲话。最后，今天发布财报的公司包括CVS Health、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、Uber和丰田。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163400390","content_text":"(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)\n(Aug 4) Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.\nAt 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis fell 7 points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid 9 points, or 0.06% .\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket：\n1) General Motors(GM) – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.\n2) CVS Health(CVS) – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.\n3) Kraft Heinz(KHC) – Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.\n4) Tupperware(TUP) – Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.\n5) Robinhood(HOOD) – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.\n6) Activision Blizzard(ATVI) – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.\n7) Amgen(AMGN) – Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.\n8) Lyft(LYFT) – Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).\n9) Match Group(MTCH) – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.\n10) Caesars Entertainment(CZR) – Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.\n11) Affirm Holdings(AFRM) – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.\n12) Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.\n13) Live Nation(LYV) – Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.\nIn FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank won’t rush a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.\nIn rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No Treasury supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.  Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.\nIn commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.\nLooking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to speak about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”  Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}