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2021-06-15

!!!

My 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote>

2021-06-15

sweet

Delicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote>

2021-06-15

sick

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2021-06-15

sweet!

What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>

2021-06-15

nice!!

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10:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"My 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167323938","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These companies make good long-term core holdings.\nStock investing starts with picking the right com","content":"<p>These companies make good long-term core holdings.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司是很好的长期核心持股。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investing&nbsp;starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.</p><p><blockquote>股票投资从选择合适的公司开始。请记住，如果没有时间机器，在价格起飞之前找到下一只模因股票并在高点卖出几乎是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.</p><p><blockquote>相反，我喜欢购买具有强大市场地位、具有不易复制的竞争优势的优质公司的股票。诚然，这说起来容易做起来难，但这些公司符合描述。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/effed739609f2c132bbfba134fe0ff19\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）已经成为电子商务的代名词，但该公司远不止于此。它通过坚持其原则做到了这一点，包括关注客户、创新和长期规划。你可以通过其广受欢迎的亚马逊Prime订阅服务（包括送货费）以及Alexa和Kindle等硬件设备看到这一点。还有其快速增长、利润更高的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）业务，提供云计算服务。</blockquote></p><p> Its presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into&nbsp;offering prescription drugs.</p><p><blockquote>它的存在如此占主导地位，以至于当亚马逊决定加入竞争时，它完全改变了一个行业的动态。这是因为它通常提供便宜的价格和快速的交货——这是一个令人信服的主张。例如，当它进一步进军食品和服装销售时，就会发生这种情况。该公司还进一步提供处方药。</blockquote></p><p> While its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然长期关注意味着亚马逊愿意放弃短期利润，但该公司利润丰厚。其营业利润从2016年的42亿美元增长到去年的229亿美元。第一季度，该公司的利润从40亿美元增长到88亿美元，增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Costco</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Costco</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Costco Wholesale</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:COST)&nbsp;has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.</p><p><blockquote><b>好市多批发</b>（纳斯达克：COST）创造了相当不错的购物体验。它以其宽阔的过道、散装商品和免费样品而闻名，已经建立了忠诚且不断增长的会员。</blockquote></p><p> Costco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.</p><p><blockquote>Costco的简单公式很难复制：它专注于高质量的商品和服务，并以低单价出售。Costco的付费会员从2016年的4760万增长到去年的5810万（财年截至6月30日）。与此同时，其留存率一直徘徊在90%左右。</blockquote></p><p> With a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.</p><p><blockquote>专注于客户需求，它甚至有慷慨的退货政策，以帮助会员对他们的购买充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> Management also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还关注改善结果。多年来，该公司的同店销售额(COMP)一直保持正增长，其中去年在排除汽油价格变化和外币兑换折算的影响后增长了9%。过去五年营业收入从37亿美元增长到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>最近的结果也鼓励管理层继续执行。2021年前三季度业绩增长15.2%，营业收入增长超过26%，达到44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.</p><p><blockquote>虽然收益投资者可以找到比Costco 0.8%更高的收益率，但它确实有每年提高股息的历史。这包括将5月份的付款从上一季度的0.70美元增加到0.79美元。但更好的是，董事会每隔几年就会宣布大笔特别股息。最近一次是去年12月支付的10美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walmart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.沃尔玛</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:WMT)&nbsp;has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.</p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）已成为全球最大的零售商，每周为超过2.4亿客户提供服务。该公司在近60年前开设了第一家折扣店，压缩成本并将这些节省下来的成本转嫁给顾客。这使得沃尔玛能够为其商品提供最低的价格，使竞争对手难以跟上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.</p><p><blockquote>它也没有静止不动。它正在通过投资技术为购物者提供无缝的全渠道体验，与在线竞争对手亚马逊保持同步。这包括推出订阅服务Walmart+，该服务提供送货、汽油折扣和更快的商店结账速度。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.</p><p><blockquote>去年，其调整后收入增长7.7%至5642亿美元，推动营业收入增长9.3%至234亿美元。第一季度收入增长约2%，管理层预计全年将实现低个位数百分比增长。其指导评级营业收入持平。</blockquote></p><p> While this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这一前景无疑让一些投资者感到失望，但我并不担心。管理层着眼于长远，正在投资技术，以更好地服务客户并保持零售商的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛还提供1.6%的收益率，自1974年开始派息以来，它还每年提高季度股息。它已经是股息贵族，当连胜达到50年时，它将成为股息之王。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是处于不同阶段的三家不同公司，但每家公司都是您投资组合的有力补充。添加它们将为您提供一只高增长股票、一只往往每隔几年支付大量股息的稳定增长公司，以及一家持续增长并定期增加向股东支付的占主导地位的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> That's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个成功的组合，应该会使这些核心持股成为您投资组合的重要补充。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These companies make good long-term core holdings.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司是很好的长期核心持股。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investing&nbsp;starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.</p><p><blockquote>股票投资从选择合适的公司开始。请记住，如果没有时间机器，在价格起飞之前找到下一只模因股票并在高点卖出几乎是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.</p><p><blockquote>相反，我喜欢购买具有强大市场地位、具有不易复制的竞争优势的优质公司的股票。诚然，这说起来容易做起来难，但这些公司符合描述。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/effed739609f2c132bbfba134fe0ff19\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）已经成为电子商务的代名词，但该公司远不止于此。它通过坚持其原则做到了这一点，包括关注客户、创新和长期规划。你可以通过其广受欢迎的亚马逊Prime订阅服务（包括送货费）以及Alexa和Kindle等硬件设备看到这一点。还有其快速增长、利润更高的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）业务，提供云计算服务。</blockquote></p><p> Its presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into&nbsp;offering prescription drugs.</p><p><blockquote>它的存在如此占主导地位，以至于当亚马逊决定加入竞争时，它完全改变了一个行业的动态。这是因为它通常提供便宜的价格和快速的交货——这是一个令人信服的主张。例如，当它进一步进军食品和服装销售时，就会发生这种情况。该公司还进一步提供处方药。</blockquote></p><p> While its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然长期关注意味着亚马逊愿意放弃短期利润，但该公司利润丰厚。其营业利润从2016年的42亿美元增长到去年的229亿美元。第一季度，该公司的利润从40亿美元增长到88亿美元，增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Costco</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Costco</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Costco Wholesale</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:COST)&nbsp;has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.</p><p><blockquote><b>好市多批发</b>（纳斯达克：COST）创造了相当不错的购物体验。它以其宽阔的过道、散装商品和免费样品而闻名，已经建立了忠诚且不断增长的会员。</blockquote></p><p> Costco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.</p><p><blockquote>Costco的简单公式很难复制：它专注于高质量的商品和服务，并以低单价出售。Costco的付费会员从2016年的4760万增长到去年的5810万（财年截至6月30日）。与此同时，其留存率一直徘徊在90%左右。</blockquote></p><p> With a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.</p><p><blockquote>专注于客户需求，它甚至有慷慨的退货政策，以帮助会员对他们的购买充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> Management also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还关注改善结果。多年来，该公司的同店销售额(COMP)一直保持正增长，其中去年在排除汽油价格变化和外币兑换折算的影响后增长了9%。过去五年营业收入从37亿美元增长到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>最近的结果也鼓励管理层继续执行。2021年前三季度业绩增长15.2%，营业收入增长超过26%，达到44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.</p><p><blockquote>虽然收益投资者可以找到比Costco 0.8%更高的收益率，但它确实有每年提高股息的历史。这包括将5月份的付款从上一季度的0.70美元增加到0.79美元。但更好的是，董事会每隔几年就会宣布大笔特别股息。最近一次是去年12月支付的10美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walmart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.沃尔玛</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:WMT)&nbsp;has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.</p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）已成为全球最大的零售商，每周为超过2.4亿客户提供服务。该公司在近60年前开设了第一家折扣店，压缩成本并将这些节省下来的成本转嫁给顾客。这使得沃尔玛能够为其商品提供最低的价格，使竞争对手难以跟上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.</p><p><blockquote>它也没有静止不动。它正在通过投资技术为购物者提供无缝的全渠道体验，与在线竞争对手亚马逊保持同步。这包括推出订阅服务Walmart+，该服务提供送货、汽油折扣和更快的商店结账速度。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.</p><p><blockquote>去年，其调整后收入增长7.7%至5642亿美元，推动营业收入增长9.3%至234亿美元。第一季度收入增长约2%，管理层预计全年将实现低个位数百分比增长。其指导评级营业收入持平。</blockquote></p><p> While this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这一前景无疑让一些投资者感到失望，但我并不担心。管理层着眼于长远，正在投资技术，以更好地服务客户并保持零售商的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛还提供1.6%的收益率，自1974年开始派息以来，它还每年提高季度股息。它已经是股息贵族，当连胜达到50年时，它将成为股息之王。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是处于不同阶段的三家不同公司，但每家公司都是您投资组合的有力补充。添加它们将为您提供一只高增长股票、一只往往每隔几年支付大量股息的稳定增长公司，以及一家持续增长并定期增加向股东支付的占主导地位的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> That's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个成功的组合，应该会使这些核心持股成为您投资组合的重要补充。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/my-3-favorite-stocks-right-now/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","WMT":"沃尔玛","COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/my-3-favorite-stocks-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167323938","content_text":"These companies make good long-term core holdings.\nStock investing starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.\nInstead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Amazon\nAmazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.\nIts presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into offering prescription drugs.\nWhile its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.\n2. Costco\nCostco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.\nCostco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.\nWith a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.\nManagement also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.\nRecent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.\nWhile income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.\n3. Walmart\nWalmart (NYSE:WMT) has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.\nIt isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.\nLast year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.\nWhile this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.\nWalmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.\nWhile these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.\nThat's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"COST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187360618,"gmtCreate":1623741703134,"gmtModify":1634029275627,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570418864419786","idStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sweet","listText":"sweet","text":"sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187360618","repostId":"1136326531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136326531","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623738355,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136326531?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 14:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Delicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136326531","media":"Associated Press","summary":"WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised ","content":"<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿（美联社）——随着快速反弹的经济中通胀上升，美联储本周准备讨论何时采取第一步降低超低利率政策。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.</p><p><blockquote>这将是一场令人担忧的讨论，可能会持续几个月。然而，不断升级的通胀迫使消费者和企业支付更多费用，这加大了美联储的压力，要求其确保物价上涨不会在消费者的前景中根深蒂固。如果美国人开始预期价格会上涨，他们可能会采取行动——例如在价格进一步上涨之前加快购买速度——这可能会推高通胀。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned&nbsp;at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>美联储面临两难境地：一方面，通胀上升速度远快于今年早些时候的预期，尽管美联储将价格压力描述为“暂时的”，这是供应短缺和快速复苏的结果。另一方面，招聘速度慢于主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在美联储4月底最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上提到的基准。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔当时表示，他希望看到“一系列”招聘报告显示每月新增约100万个工作岗位。尽管雇主发布了创纪录数量的空缺职位，但今年任何一个月的就业市场都尚未达到这一总数。</blockquote></p><p> With the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济形势仍被从衰退中重新开放的混乱所笼罩，预计周三美联储最新政策会议结束、鲍威尔召开新闻发布会时不会做出重大决定。美联储将把关键短期利率维持在接近零的水平，并继续每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债券。这些购买旨在将长期利率保持在较低水平，以鼓励借贷和支出。</blockquote></p><p> But the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储政策制定委员会似乎可能开始讨论逐步减少债券购买的时机和机制。向公众传达这一决定将是一项敏感的任务。如果美联储表示将比市场预期更早缩减购债规模，就有可能重演2013年的“缩减恐慌”。</blockquote></p><p> That occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.</p><p><blockquote>当时，时任美联储主席本·伯南克暗示美联储可能“在未来几次会议上”缩减债券购买规模，这比交易员预期的要早，震惊了金融市场。伯南克的言论导致长期债券收益率飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Having learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.</p><p><blockquote>从那次事件中吸取教训后，鲍威尔可能会在美联储2017年决定缓慢减少大衰退后积累的债券持有量后采取任何缩减行动。该计划的第一个暗示出现在最终决定做出前六个月。经济学家现在预计会有类似的时间表，这表明年底前不会进行任何缩减。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周，政府报告称，5月份通胀率同比跃升至5%，这是自2008年以来12个月内最大涨幅。这一增长的部分原因是二手车价格大幅上涨，由于半导体短缺导致汽车生产放缓，二手车价格飙升。汽车租赁公司不得不购买二手车来重建车队，其中大部分在疫情期间被出售。</blockquote></p><p> Other inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.</p><p><blockquote>其他通胀驱动因素包括机票、汽车租赁和酒店客房等服务，这些服务的价格在COVID-19爆发之初大幅下跌，现在正在恢复到大流行前的水平。随着越来越多的人亲自重返工作岗位，美国经济的重新开放也迫使服装价格上涨。这样的涨价可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p><blockquote>投资公司麦凯·希尔兹(Mackay Shields)经济学家、纽约联邦储备银行前高级职员史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)表示：“我认为他们仍然强烈地认为我们所看到的只是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> Another key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键考虑因素是通货膨胀是否持续足够长的时间来影响公众的行为。如果美国人开始预期价格上涨，这些预期就会自我实现。</blockquote></p><p> So far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，债券收益率和消费者调查表明，虽然预计短期内通胀会上升，但投资者和大多数公众预计长期内价格只会小幅上涨。鲍威尔长期以来一直坚持认为，公众对未来通胀的看法只是缓慢演变。</blockquote></p><p> “The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储董事会六位理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德本月早些时候表示：“某些类别商品和服务的暂时大幅上涨似乎不太可能对长期通胀行为产生影响。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.</p><p><blockquote>因此，政策制定者可能会在本周开始讨论缩减购债规模。但在做出决定之前，可能还需要几个月的时间。</blockquote></p><p> “We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示：“我们必须提前思考、提前计划，因此我确实认为我们考虑未来可能出现的各种选择是有意义的。”本月早些时候接受雅虎财经采访。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> At the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，被视为与鲍威尔关系密切的威廉姆斯表示，“在我看来，我们距离实现我们真正寻求的实质性进一步进展还有很长的路要走”，以开始放缓债券购买。</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是，美联储官员从未定义过实现充分就业和通胀率达到或略高于2%的双重目标的“实质性进一步进展”会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>弗里德曼表示，这是政策制定者需要讨论的一个问题，以及一旦开始缩减购债规模，他们将以多快的速度减少债券购买。另一个问题是他们是否应该以同样的速度减少购买国债和抵押贷款债券。一些经济学家赞成大幅减少抵押贷款债券的购买，他们认为，这现在为房地产市场提供了不必要的提振。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储还将更新季度经济和利率预测。许多经济学家预计，官员们将发出信号，他们预计将在2023年底开始提高基准利率。这将标志着一个转变：政策制定者此前在3月份的预测显示，2023年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员也可能大幅上调今年的通胀预期，但仅小幅上调未来两年的通胀预期，以表明他们预计物价上涨将减弱。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603278176698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Delicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDelicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Associated Press</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 14:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿（美联社）——随着快速反弹的经济中通胀上升，美联储本周准备讨论何时采取第一步降低超低利率政策。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.</p><p><blockquote>这将是一场令人担忧的讨论，可能会持续几个月。然而，不断升级的通胀迫使消费者和企业支付更多费用，这加大了美联储的压力，要求其确保物价上涨不会在消费者的前景中根深蒂固。如果美国人开始预期价格会上涨，他们可能会采取行动——例如在价格进一步上涨之前加快购买速度——这可能会推高通胀。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned&nbsp;at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>美联储面临两难境地：一方面，通胀上升速度远快于今年早些时候的预期，尽管美联储将价格压力描述为“暂时的”，这是供应短缺和快速复苏的结果。另一方面，招聘速度慢于主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在美联储4月底最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上提到的基准。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔当时表示，他希望看到“一系列”招聘报告显示每月新增约100万个工作岗位。尽管雇主发布了创纪录数量的空缺职位，但今年任何一个月的就业市场都尚未达到这一总数。</blockquote></p><p> With the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济形势仍被从衰退中重新开放的混乱所笼罩，预计周三美联储最新政策会议结束、鲍威尔召开新闻发布会时不会做出重大决定。美联储将把关键短期利率维持在接近零的水平，并继续每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债券。这些购买旨在将长期利率保持在较低水平，以鼓励借贷和支出。</blockquote></p><p> But the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储政策制定委员会似乎可能开始讨论逐步减少债券购买的时机和机制。向公众传达这一决定将是一项敏感的任务。如果美联储表示将比市场预期更早缩减购债规模，就有可能重演2013年的“缩减恐慌”。</blockquote></p><p> That occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.</p><p><blockquote>当时，时任美联储主席本·伯南克暗示美联储可能“在未来几次会议上”缩减债券购买规模，这比交易员预期的要早，震惊了金融市场。伯南克的言论导致长期债券收益率飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Having learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.</p><p><blockquote>从那次事件中吸取教训后，鲍威尔可能会在美联储2017年决定缓慢减少大衰退后积累的债券持有量后采取任何缩减行动。该计划的第一个暗示出现在最终决定做出前六个月。经济学家现在预计会有类似的时间表，这表明年底前不会进行任何缩减。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周，政府报告称，5月份通胀率同比跃升至5%，这是自2008年以来12个月内最大涨幅。这一增长的部分原因是二手车价格大幅上涨，由于半导体短缺导致汽车生产放缓，二手车价格飙升。汽车租赁公司不得不购买二手车来重建车队，其中大部分在疫情期间被出售。</blockquote></p><p> Other inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.</p><p><blockquote>其他通胀驱动因素包括机票、汽车租赁和酒店客房等服务，这些服务的价格在COVID-19爆发之初大幅下跌，现在正在恢复到大流行前的水平。随着越来越多的人亲自重返工作岗位，美国经济的重新开放也迫使服装价格上涨。这样的涨价可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p><blockquote>投资公司麦凯·希尔兹(Mackay Shields)经济学家、纽约联邦储备银行前高级职员史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)表示：“我认为他们仍然强烈地认为我们所看到的只是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> Another key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键考虑因素是通货膨胀是否持续足够长的时间来影响公众的行为。如果美国人开始预期价格上涨，这些预期就会自我实现。</blockquote></p><p> So far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，债券收益率和消费者调查表明，虽然预计短期内通胀会上升，但投资者和大多数公众预计长期内价格只会小幅上涨。鲍威尔长期以来一直坚持认为，公众对未来通胀的看法只是缓慢演变。</blockquote></p><p> “The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储董事会六位理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德本月早些时候表示：“某些类别商品和服务的暂时大幅上涨似乎不太可能对长期通胀行为产生影响。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.</p><p><blockquote>因此，政策制定者可能会在本周开始讨论缩减购债规模。但在做出决定之前，可能还需要几个月的时间。</blockquote></p><p> “We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示：“我们必须提前思考、提前计划，因此我确实认为我们考虑未来可能出现的各种选择是有意义的。”本月早些时候接受雅虎财经采访。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> At the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，被视为与鲍威尔关系密切的威廉姆斯表示，“在我看来，我们距离实现我们真正寻求的实质性进一步进展还有很长的路要走”，以开始放缓债券购买。</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是，美联储官员从未定义过实现充分就业和通胀率达到或略高于2%的双重目标的“实质性进一步进展”会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>弗里德曼表示，这是政策制定者需要讨论的一个问题，以及一旦开始缩减购债规模，他们将以多快的速度减少债券购买。另一个问题是他们是否应该以同样的速度减少购买国债和抵押贷款债券。一些经济学家赞成大幅减少抵押贷款债券的购买，他们认为，这现在为房地产市场提供了不必要的提振。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储还将更新季度经济和利率预测。许多经济学家预计，官员们将发出信号，他们预计将在2023年底开始提高基准利率。这将标志着一个转变：政策制定者此前在3月份的预测显示，2023年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员也可能大幅上调今年的通胀预期，但仅小幅上调未来两年的通胀预期，以表明他们预计物价上涨将减弱。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://apnews.com/article/health-coronavirus-pandemic-business-c96d2b9c8a6a4e6320340dbc8bab449c\">Associated Press</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://apnews.com/article/health-coronavirus-pandemic-business-c96d2b9c8a6a4e6320340dbc8bab449c","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136326531","content_text":"WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.\nIt will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.\nThe Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.\nPowell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.\nWith the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.\nBut the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.\nThat occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.\nHaving learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.\nLast week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.\nOther inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.\n“I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.\nAnother key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.\nSo far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.\n“The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.\nAs a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.\n“We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.\nAt the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.\nAnother challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.\nThat’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.\nOn Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.\nFed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387498,"gmtCreate":1623741670314,"gmtModify":1634029276295,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570418864419786","idStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sick","listText":"sick","text":"sick","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387498","repostId":"2143973689","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387644,"gmtCreate":1623741654988,"gmtModify":1634029276660,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570418864419786","idStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sweet!","listText":"sweet!","text":"sweet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387644","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387322,"gmtCreate":1623741618466,"gmtModify":1634029276906,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570418864419786","idStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!!","listText":"nice!!","text":"nice!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387322","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":187360618,"gmtCreate":1623741703134,"gmtModify":1634029275627,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570418864419786","authorIdStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sweet","listText":"sweet","text":"sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187360618","repostId":"1136326531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136326531","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623738355,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136326531?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 14:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Delicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136326531","media":"Associated Press","summary":"WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised ","content":"<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿（美联社）——随着快速反弹的经济中通胀上升，美联储本周准备讨论何时采取第一步降低超低利率政策。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.</p><p><blockquote>这将是一场令人担忧的讨论，可能会持续几个月。然而，不断升级的通胀迫使消费者和企业支付更多费用，这加大了美联储的压力，要求其确保物价上涨不会在消费者的前景中根深蒂固。如果美国人开始预期价格会上涨，他们可能会采取行动——例如在价格进一步上涨之前加快购买速度——这可能会推高通胀。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned&nbsp;at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>美联储面临两难境地：一方面，通胀上升速度远快于今年早些时候的预期，尽管美联储将价格压力描述为“暂时的”，这是供应短缺和快速复苏的结果。另一方面，招聘速度慢于主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在美联储4月底最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上提到的基准。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔当时表示，他希望看到“一系列”招聘报告显示每月新增约100万个工作岗位。尽管雇主发布了创纪录数量的空缺职位，但今年任何一个月的就业市场都尚未达到这一总数。</blockquote></p><p> With the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济形势仍被从衰退中重新开放的混乱所笼罩，预计周三美联储最新政策会议结束、鲍威尔召开新闻发布会时不会做出重大决定。美联储将把关键短期利率维持在接近零的水平，并继续每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债券。这些购买旨在将长期利率保持在较低水平，以鼓励借贷和支出。</blockquote></p><p> But the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储政策制定委员会似乎可能开始讨论逐步减少债券购买的时机和机制。向公众传达这一决定将是一项敏感的任务。如果美联储表示将比市场预期更早缩减购债规模，就有可能重演2013年的“缩减恐慌”。</blockquote></p><p> That occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.</p><p><blockquote>当时，时任美联储主席本·伯南克暗示美联储可能“在未来几次会议上”缩减债券购买规模，这比交易员预期的要早，震惊了金融市场。伯南克的言论导致长期债券收益率飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Having learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.</p><p><blockquote>从那次事件中吸取教训后，鲍威尔可能会在美联储2017年决定缓慢减少大衰退后积累的债券持有量后采取任何缩减行动。该计划的第一个暗示出现在最终决定做出前六个月。经济学家现在预计会有类似的时间表，这表明年底前不会进行任何缩减。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周，政府报告称，5月份通胀率同比跃升至5%，这是自2008年以来12个月内最大涨幅。这一增长的部分原因是二手车价格大幅上涨，由于半导体短缺导致汽车生产放缓，二手车价格飙升。汽车租赁公司不得不购买二手车来重建车队，其中大部分在疫情期间被出售。</blockquote></p><p> Other inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.</p><p><blockquote>其他通胀驱动因素包括机票、汽车租赁和酒店客房等服务，这些服务的价格在COVID-19爆发之初大幅下跌，现在正在恢复到大流行前的水平。随着越来越多的人亲自重返工作岗位，美国经济的重新开放也迫使服装价格上涨。这样的涨价可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p><blockquote>投资公司麦凯·希尔兹(Mackay Shields)经济学家、纽约联邦储备银行前高级职员史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)表示：“我认为他们仍然强烈地认为我们所看到的只是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> Another key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键考虑因素是通货膨胀是否持续足够长的时间来影响公众的行为。如果美国人开始预期价格上涨，这些预期就会自我实现。</blockquote></p><p> So far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，债券收益率和消费者调查表明，虽然预计短期内通胀会上升，但投资者和大多数公众预计长期内价格只会小幅上涨。鲍威尔长期以来一直坚持认为，公众对未来通胀的看法只是缓慢演变。</blockquote></p><p> “The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储董事会六位理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德本月早些时候表示：“某些类别商品和服务的暂时大幅上涨似乎不太可能对长期通胀行为产生影响。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.</p><p><blockquote>因此，政策制定者可能会在本周开始讨论缩减购债规模。但在做出决定之前，可能还需要几个月的时间。</blockquote></p><p> “We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示：“我们必须提前思考、提前计划，因此我确实认为我们考虑未来可能出现的各种选择是有意义的。”本月早些时候接受雅虎财经采访。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> At the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，被视为与鲍威尔关系密切的威廉姆斯表示，“在我看来，我们距离实现我们真正寻求的实质性进一步进展还有很长的路要走”，以开始放缓债券购买。</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是，美联储官员从未定义过实现充分就业和通胀率达到或略高于2%的双重目标的“实质性进一步进展”会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>弗里德曼表示，这是政策制定者需要讨论的一个问题，以及一旦开始缩减购债规模，他们将以多快的速度减少债券购买。另一个问题是他们是否应该以同样的速度减少购买国债和抵押贷款债券。一些经济学家赞成大幅减少抵押贷款债券的购买，他们认为，这现在为房地产市场提供了不必要的提振。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储还将更新季度经济和利率预测。许多经济学家预计，官员们将发出信号，他们预计将在2023年底开始提高基准利率。这将标志着一个转变：政策制定者此前在3月份的预测显示，2023年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员也可能大幅上调今年的通胀预期，但仅小幅上调未来两年的通胀预期，以表明他们预计物价上涨将减弱。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603278176698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Delicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDelicate task for Fed: When to pull back on low-rate support<blockquote>美联储面临的微妙任务：何时撤回低利率支持</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Associated Press</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 14:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿（美联社）——随着快速反弹的经济中通胀上升，美联储本周准备讨论何时采取第一步降低超低利率政策。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.</p><p><blockquote>这将是一场令人担忧的讨论，可能会持续几个月。然而，不断升级的通胀迫使消费者和企业支付更多费用，这加大了美联储的压力，要求其确保物价上涨不会在消费者的前景中根深蒂固。如果美国人开始预期价格会上涨，他们可能会采取行动——例如在价格进一步上涨之前加快购买速度——这可能会推高通胀。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned&nbsp;at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.</p><p><blockquote>美联储面临两难境地：一方面，通胀上升速度远快于今年早些时候的预期，尽管美联储将价格压力描述为“暂时的”，这是供应短缺和快速复苏的结果。另一方面，招聘速度慢于主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在美联储4月底最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上提到的基准。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔当时表示，他希望看到“一系列”招聘报告显示每月新增约100万个工作岗位。尽管雇主发布了创纪录数量的空缺职位，但今年任何一个月的就业市场都尚未达到这一总数。</blockquote></p><p> With the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济形势仍被从衰退中重新开放的混乱所笼罩，预计周三美联储最新政策会议结束、鲍威尔召开新闻发布会时不会做出重大决定。美联储将把关键短期利率维持在接近零的水平，并继续每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款债券。这些购买旨在将长期利率保持在较低水平，以鼓励借贷和支出。</blockquote></p><p> But the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储政策制定委员会似乎可能开始讨论逐步减少债券购买的时机和机制。向公众传达这一决定将是一项敏感的任务。如果美联储表示将比市场预期更早缩减购债规模，就有可能重演2013年的“缩减恐慌”。</blockquote></p><p> That occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.</p><p><blockquote>当时，时任美联储主席本·伯南克暗示美联储可能“在未来几次会议上”缩减债券购买规模，这比交易员预期的要早，震惊了金融市场。伯南克的言论导致长期债券收益率飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Having learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.</p><p><blockquote>从那次事件中吸取教训后，鲍威尔可能会在美联储2017年决定缓慢减少大衰退后积累的债券持有量后采取任何缩减行动。该计划的第一个暗示出现在最终决定做出前六个月。经济学家现在预计会有类似的时间表，这表明年底前不会进行任何缩减。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周，政府报告称，5月份通胀率同比跃升至5%，这是自2008年以来12个月内最大涨幅。这一增长的部分原因是二手车价格大幅上涨，由于半导体短缺导致汽车生产放缓，二手车价格飙升。汽车租赁公司不得不购买二手车来重建车队，其中大部分在疫情期间被出售。</blockquote></p><p> Other inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.</p><p><blockquote>其他通胀驱动因素包括机票、汽车租赁和酒店客房等服务，这些服务的价格在COVID-19爆发之初大幅下跌，现在正在恢复到大流行前的水平。随着越来越多的人亲自重返工作岗位，美国经济的重新开放也迫使服装价格上涨。这样的涨价可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.</p><p><blockquote>投资公司麦凯·希尔兹(Mackay Shields)经济学家、纽约联邦储备银行前高级职员史蒂夫·弗里德曼(Steve Friedman)表示：“我认为他们仍然强烈地认为我们所看到的只是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> Another key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键考虑因素是通货膨胀是否持续足够长的时间来影响公众的行为。如果美国人开始预期价格上涨，这些预期就会自我实现。</blockquote></p><p> So far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，债券收益率和消费者调查表明，虽然预计短期内通胀会上升，但投资者和大多数公众预计长期内价格只会小幅上涨。鲍威尔长期以来一直坚持认为，公众对未来通胀的看法只是缓慢演变。</blockquote></p><p> “The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储董事会六位理事之一莱尔·布雷纳德本月早些时候表示：“某些类别商品和服务的暂时大幅上涨似乎不太可能对长期通胀行为产生影响。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.</p><p><blockquote>因此，政策制定者可能会在本周开始讨论缩减购债规模。但在做出决定之前，可能还需要几个月的时间。</blockquote></p><p> “We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯表示：“我们必须提前思考、提前计划，因此我确实认为我们考虑未来可能出现的各种选择是有意义的。”本月早些时候接受雅虎财经采访。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> At the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，被视为与鲍威尔关系密切的威廉姆斯表示，“在我看来，我们距离实现我们真正寻求的实质性进一步进展还有很长的路要走”，以开始放缓债券购买。</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是，美联储官员从未定义过实现充分就业和通胀率达到或略高于2%的双重目标的“实质性进一步进展”会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> That’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>弗里德曼表示，这是政策制定者需要讨论的一个问题，以及一旦开始缩减购债规模，他们将以多快的速度减少债券购买。另一个问题是他们是否应该以同样的速度减少购买国债和抵押贷款债券。一些经济学家赞成大幅减少抵押贷款债券的购买，他们认为，这现在为房地产市场提供了不必要的提振。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.</p><p><blockquote>周三，美联储还将更新季度经济和利率预测。许多经济学家预计，官员们将发出信号，他们预计将在2023年底开始提高基准利率。这将标志着一个转变：政策制定者此前在3月份的预测显示，2023年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员也可能大幅上调今年的通胀预期，但仅小幅上调未来两年的通胀预期，以表明他们预计物价上涨将减弱。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://apnews.com/article/health-coronavirus-pandemic-business-c96d2b9c8a6a4e6320340dbc8bab449c\">Associated Press</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://apnews.com/article/health-coronavirus-pandemic-business-c96d2b9c8a6a4e6320340dbc8bab449c","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136326531","content_text":"WASHINGTON (AP) — With inflation rising in a fast-rebounding economy, the Federal Reserve is poised this week to discuss when it will take its first steps toward dialing back its ultra-low interest rate policies.\nIt will be a fraught discussion, one likely to occur over several months. Yet the escalating inflation that has forced consumers and businesses to pay more has intensified pressure on the Fed to ensure that rising prices don’t become entrenched in consumers’ outlooks. If Americans start to anticipate higher prices, they might take actions — such as accelerating their purchases before prices rise further — that could send inflation even higher.\nThe Fed faces a dilemma: On the one hand, inflation is rising much faster than it had projected earlier this year, though the Fed has characterized the price pressures as “transitory,” a consequence of supply shortages and a fast recovery. On the other hand, hiring has been slower than the benchmark that Chair Jerome Powell mentioned at a news conference after the Fed’s most recent meeting in late April.\nPowell said at the time that he would want to see a “string” of hiring reports showing about 1 million added jobs each month. The job market has yet to reach that total in any month this year, though employers have posted a record-high number of open jobs.\nWith the economic picture still clouded by the chaos of reopening from the recession, no major decisions are expected Wednesday when the Fed’s latest policy meeting ends and Powell holds a news conference. The Fed is set to keep its key short-term rate near zero and to continue buying $120 billion a month in Treasury and mortgage bonds. Those purchases are intended to keep longer-term rates low to encourage borrowing and spending.\nBut the Fed’s policymaking committee appears likely to start discussing the timing and mechanics of gradually reducing its bond purchases. Communicating that decision to the public will be a sensitive task. If the Fed indicates that it will taper its purchases earlier than markets expect, it risks a repeat of the “taper tantrum” in 2013.\nThat occurred when then-Chairman Ben Bernanke jolted financial markets by suggesting that the Fed could taper its bond purchases “in the next few meetings” — sooner than traders had expected. Bernanke’s remarks sent longer-term bond yields surging.\nHaving learned from that incident, Powell will likely have any tapering action follow the Fed’s 2017 decision to slowly reduce the bond holdings it had accumulated after the Great Recession. The first hint of that plan emerged six months before a final decision was made. Economists expect a similar timeline now, which suggests that any tapering won’t occur before year’s end.\nLast week, the government reported that inflationjumped to 5% in Maycompared with a year earlier — the largest 12-month spike since 2008. The increase was driven partly by a huge rise in used car prices, which have soared as shortages of semiconductors have slowed vehicle production. Auto rental companies have had to buy up used cars to rebuild their fleets, much of which were sold off in the pandemic.\nOther inflation drivers have included services, like airline tickets, car rentals and hotel rooms, for which prices had tumbled at the outset of COVID-19 outbreak and are now regaining pre-pandemic levels. The reopening of the U.S. economy has also forced up prices for clothing, as more people return to work in person. Such price increases may not last.\n“I think they still feel pretty strongly that what we’re seeing is transitory,” said Steve Friedman, an economist at investment firm Mackay Shields and a former senior staffer at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.\nAnother key consideration is whether inflation persists long enough to affect the public’s behavior. If Americans start expecting price increases, those expectations can become self-fulfilling.\nSo far, bond yields and consumer surveys suggest that while higher inflation is expected in the short term, investors and most of the public expect only modest price gains in the long run. Powell has long maintained that the public’s perceptions of future inflation evolve only slowly.\n“The sharp temporary increases in some categories of goods and services seem unlikely to leave an imprint on longer-run inflation behavior,” Lael Brainard, one of six governors on the Fed’s board, said earlier this month.\nAs a result, the policymakers may begin discussing a tapering of their bond purchases this week. But several more months will likely elapse before a decision is made.\n“We have to be thinking ahead, planning ahead, and so I do think it makes sense for us to be thinking through the various options that we may have in the future,” John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance early this month.\nAt the same time, Williams, who is seen as close to Powell, said that “to my mind, we’re still quite a ways off from reaching the substantial further progress that we’re really looking for” to start slowing the bond purchases.\nAnother challenge is that the Fed officials have never defined what “substantial further progress” toward its dual goals of full employment and inflation at or slightly above 2% would look like.\nThat’s one issue that policymakers will need to discuss, Friedman said, along with how quickly they will reduce their bond purchases once the tapering begins. Another is whether they should reduce their purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds at the same pace. Some economists favor sharper reductions to purchases of mortgage bonds, which, they argue, now provide an unnecessary boost to the housing market.\nOn Wednesday, the Fed will also update its quarterly economic and interest rate projections. Many economists expect the officials to signal that they expect to start raising their benchmark rate in late 2023. That would mark a shift: The policymakers’ previous forecast in March had shown no rate hike through 2023.\nFed officials will also likely sharply increase their forecast for inflation this year, but only slightly for the following two years, to show that they expect price increases to wane.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387322,"gmtCreate":1623741618466,"gmtModify":1634029276906,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570418864419786","authorIdStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice!!","listText":"nice!!","text":"nice!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387322","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387498,"gmtCreate":1623741670314,"gmtModify":1634029276295,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570418864419786","authorIdStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sick","listText":"sick","text":"sick","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387498","repostId":"2143973689","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187387644,"gmtCreate":1623741654988,"gmtModify":1634029276660,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570418864419786","authorIdStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sweet!","listText":"sweet!","text":"sweet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187387644","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187360588,"gmtCreate":1623741718344,"gmtModify":1634029275504,"author":{"id":"3570418864419786","authorId":"3570418864419786","name":"jowell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570418864419786","authorIdStr":"3570418864419786"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"!!!","listText":"!!!","text":"!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187360588","repostId":"1167323938","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167323938","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623723810,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167323938?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 10:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"My 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167323938","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These companies make good long-term core holdings.\nStock investing starts with picking the right com","content":"<p>These companies make good long-term core holdings.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司是很好的长期核心持股。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investing&nbsp;starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.</p><p><blockquote>股票投资从选择合适的公司开始。请记住，如果没有时间机器，在价格起飞之前找到下一只模因股票并在高点卖出几乎是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.</p><p><blockquote>相反，我喜欢购买具有强大市场地位、具有不易复制的竞争优势的优质公司的股票。诚然，这说起来容易做起来难，但这些公司符合描述。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/effed739609f2c132bbfba134fe0ff19\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）已经成为电子商务的代名词，但该公司远不止于此。它通过坚持其原则做到了这一点，包括关注客户、创新和长期规划。你可以通过其广受欢迎的亚马逊Prime订阅服务（包括送货费）以及Alexa和Kindle等硬件设备看到这一点。还有其快速增长、利润更高的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）业务，提供云计算服务。</blockquote></p><p> Its presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into&nbsp;offering prescription drugs.</p><p><blockquote>它的存在如此占主导地位，以至于当亚马逊决定加入竞争时，它完全改变了一个行业的动态。这是因为它通常提供便宜的价格和快速的交货——这是一个令人信服的主张。例如，当它进一步进军食品和服装销售时，就会发生这种情况。该公司还进一步提供处方药。</blockquote></p><p> While its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然长期关注意味着亚马逊愿意放弃短期利润，但该公司利润丰厚。其营业利润从2016年的42亿美元增长到去年的229亿美元。第一季度，该公司的利润从40亿美元增长到88亿美元，增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Costco</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Costco</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Costco Wholesale</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:COST)&nbsp;has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.</p><p><blockquote><b>好市多批发</b>（纳斯达克：COST）创造了相当不错的购物体验。它以其宽阔的过道、散装商品和免费样品而闻名，已经建立了忠诚且不断增长的会员。</blockquote></p><p> Costco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.</p><p><blockquote>Costco的简单公式很难复制：它专注于高质量的商品和服务，并以低单价出售。Costco的付费会员从2016年的4760万增长到去年的5810万（财年截至6月30日）。与此同时，其留存率一直徘徊在90%左右。</blockquote></p><p> With a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.</p><p><blockquote>专注于客户需求，它甚至有慷慨的退货政策，以帮助会员对他们的购买充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> Management also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还关注改善结果。多年来，该公司的同店销售额(COMP)一直保持正增长，其中去年在排除汽油价格变化和外币兑换折算的影响后增长了9%。过去五年营业收入从37亿美元增长到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>最近的结果也鼓励管理层继续执行。2021年前三季度业绩增长15.2%，营业收入增长超过26%，达到44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.</p><p><blockquote>虽然收益投资者可以找到比Costco 0.8%更高的收益率，但它确实有每年提高股息的历史。这包括将5月份的付款从上一季度的0.70美元增加到0.79美元。但更好的是，董事会每隔几年就会宣布大笔特别股息。最近一次是去年12月支付的10美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walmart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.沃尔玛</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:WMT)&nbsp;has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.</p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）已成为全球最大的零售商，每周为超过2.4亿客户提供服务。该公司在近60年前开设了第一家折扣店，压缩成本并将这些节省下来的成本转嫁给顾客。这使得沃尔玛能够为其商品提供最低的价格，使竞争对手难以跟上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.</p><p><blockquote>它也没有静止不动。它正在通过投资技术为购物者提供无缝的全渠道体验，与在线竞争对手亚马逊保持同步。这包括推出订阅服务Walmart+，该服务提供送货、汽油折扣和更快的商店结账速度。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.</p><p><blockquote>去年，其调整后收入增长7.7%至5642亿美元，推动营业收入增长9.3%至234亿美元。第一季度收入增长约2%，管理层预计全年将实现低个位数百分比增长。其指导评级营业收入持平。</blockquote></p><p> While this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这一前景无疑让一些投资者感到失望，但我并不担心。管理层着眼于长远，正在投资技术，以更好地服务客户并保持零售商的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛还提供1.6%的收益率，自1974年开始派息以来，它还每年提高季度股息。它已经是股息贵族，当连胜达到50年时，它将成为股息之王。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是处于不同阶段的三家不同公司，但每家公司都是您投资组合的有力补充。添加它们将为您提供一只高增长股票、一只往往每隔几年支付大量股息的稳定增长公司，以及一家持续增长并定期增加向股东支付的占主导地位的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> That's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个成功的组合，应该会使这些核心持股成为您投资组合的重要补充。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>My 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMy 3 Favorite Stocks Right Now<blockquote>我现在最喜欢的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 10:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These companies make good long-term core holdings.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司是很好的长期核心持股。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investing&nbsp;starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.</p><p><blockquote>股票投资从选择合适的公司开始。请记住，如果没有时间机器，在价格起飞之前找到下一只模因股票并在高点卖出几乎是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.</p><p><blockquote>相反，我喜欢购买具有强大市场地位、具有不易复制的竞争优势的优质公司的股票。诚然，这说起来容易做起来难，但这些公司符合描述。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/effed739609f2c132bbfba134fe0ff19\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）已经成为电子商务的代名词，但该公司远不止于此。它通过坚持其原则做到了这一点，包括关注客户、创新和长期规划。你可以通过其广受欢迎的亚马逊Prime订阅服务（包括送货费）以及Alexa和Kindle等硬件设备看到这一点。还有其快速增长、利润更高的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）业务，提供云计算服务。</blockquote></p><p> Its presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into&nbsp;offering prescription drugs.</p><p><blockquote>它的存在如此占主导地位，以至于当亚马逊决定加入竞争时，它完全改变了一个行业的动态。这是因为它通常提供便宜的价格和快速的交货——这是一个令人信服的主张。例如，当它进一步进军食品和服装销售时，就会发生这种情况。该公司还进一步提供处方药。</blockquote></p><p> While its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然长期关注意味着亚马逊愿意放弃短期利润，但该公司利润丰厚。其营业利润从2016年的42亿美元增长到去年的229亿美元。第一季度，该公司的利润从40亿美元增长到88亿美元，增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Costco</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Costco</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Costco Wholesale</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:COST)&nbsp;has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.</p><p><blockquote><b>好市多批发</b>（纳斯达克：COST）创造了相当不错的购物体验。它以其宽阔的过道、散装商品和免费样品而闻名，已经建立了忠诚且不断增长的会员。</blockquote></p><p> Costco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.</p><p><blockquote>Costco的简单公式很难复制：它专注于高质量的商品和服务，并以低单价出售。Costco的付费会员从2016年的4760万增长到去年的5810万（财年截至6月30日）。与此同时，其留存率一直徘徊在90%左右。</blockquote></p><p> With a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.</p><p><blockquote>专注于客户需求，它甚至有慷慨的退货政策，以帮助会员对他们的购买充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> Management also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还关注改善结果。多年来，该公司的同店销售额(COMP)一直保持正增长，其中去年在排除汽油价格变化和外币兑换折算的影响后增长了9%。过去五年营业收入从37亿美元增长到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>最近的结果也鼓励管理层继续执行。2021年前三季度业绩增长15.2%，营业收入增长超过26%，达到44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.</p><p><blockquote>虽然收益投资者可以找到比Costco 0.8%更高的收益率，但它确实有每年提高股息的历史。这包括将5月份的付款从上一季度的0.70美元增加到0.79美元。但更好的是，董事会每隔几年就会宣布大笔特别股息。最近一次是去年12月支付的10美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walmart</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.沃尔玛</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Walmart</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:WMT)&nbsp;has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.</p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）已成为全球最大的零售商，每周为超过2.4亿客户提供服务。该公司在近60年前开设了第一家折扣店，压缩成本并将这些节省下来的成本转嫁给顾客。这使得沃尔玛能够为其商品提供最低的价格，使竞争对手难以跟上。</blockquote></p><p> It isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.</p><p><blockquote>它也没有静止不动。它正在通过投资技术为购物者提供无缝的全渠道体验，与在线竞争对手亚马逊保持同步。这包括推出订阅服务Walmart+，该服务提供送货、汽油折扣和更快的商店结账速度。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.</p><p><blockquote>去年，其调整后收入增长7.7%至5642亿美元，推动营业收入增长9.3%至234亿美元。第一季度收入增长约2%，管理层预计全年将实现低个位数百分比增长。其指导评级营业收入持平。</blockquote></p><p> While this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这一前景无疑让一些投资者感到失望，但我并不担心。管理层着眼于长远，正在投资技术，以更好地服务客户并保持零售商的主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛还提供1.6%的收益率，自1974年开始派息以来，它还每年提高季度股息。它已经是股息贵族，当连胜达到50年时，它将成为股息之王。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> While these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是处于不同阶段的三家不同公司，但每家公司都是您投资组合的有力补充。添加它们将为您提供一只高增长股票、一只往往每隔几年支付大量股息的稳定增长公司，以及一家持续增长并定期增加向股东支付的占主导地位的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> That's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个成功的组合，应该会使这些核心持股成为您投资组合的重要补充。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/my-3-favorite-stocks-right-now/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","WMT":"沃尔玛","COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/14/my-3-favorite-stocks-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167323938","content_text":"These companies make good long-term core holdings.\nStock investing starts with picking the right companies. Remember, finding the nextmeme stockbefore the price takes off and selling at the high point is virtually impossible without a time machine.\nInstead, I like buying shares in high-quality companies with strong market positions that have competitive advantages that aren't easily duplicated. Granted, this is easier said than done, but these companies fit the description.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Amazon\nAmazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) has become synonymous with e-commerce, but the company is much more than that. It has done this by sticking to its principles, which include focusing on the customer, innovating, and planning for the long term. You can see this through its popular Amazon Prime subscription service, which includes delivery charges, and hardware devices like Alexa and Kindle. There is also its fast-growing, higher-margin Amazon Web Services (AWS) business that provides cloud computing services.\nIts presence is so dominant that Amazon completely changes an industry's dynamics when it decides to enter the fray. That's because it often provides cheap prices and fast delivery -- a compelling proposition. This happened when it pushed further into selling food and apparel, for instance. The company is also moving further into offering prescription drugs.\nWhile its long-term focus means Amazon is willing to forgo short-term profits, the company is hugely profitable. Its operating profit grew from 2016's $4.2 billion to $22.9 billion last year. In the first quarter, the company's profit more than doubled from $4 billion to $8.8 billion.\n2. Costco\nCostco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) has created quite a shopping experience. Known for its wide aisles, bulk items, and free samples, it has built a loyal and growing membership.\nCostco's simple formula is hard to replicate: It focuses on high-quality merchandise and services, and sells them at low unit prices. Costco's paid members have grown from 47.6 million in 2016 to 58.1 million last year (the fiscal year ends on June 30). Meanwhile, its retention rate has hovered around 90%.\nWith a focus on customer needs, it even has a generous return policy to help members have confidence in their purchases.\nManagement also keeps an eye on improving results. It has had positive same-store sales (comps) for many years, including a 9% increase last year after excluding the effects of gasoline price changes and foreign currency exchange translation. Operating income grew from $3.7 billion to $5.4 billion over the last five years.\nRecent results also provide encouragement that management continues to execute. Comps increased by 15.2% for the first three quarters of 2021, and operating income grew by more than 26% to $4.4 billion.\nWhile income investors can find higher yields than Costco's 0.8%, it does have a history of annually raising dividends. This includes increasing May's payment to $0.79 from the previous quarter's $0.70. But better still, the board of directors has declared large special dividends every few years. The most recent was a $10 payment last December.\n3. Walmart\nWalmart (NYSE:WMT) has built itself into the world's largest retailer, serving more than 240 million customers every week. The company, which opened its first discount store nearly six decades ago, squeezes costs and passes these savings on to the customer. This allows Walmart to offer the lowest prices on its goods, making it difficult for competitors to keep up.\nIt isn't sitting still, either. It is keeping pace with online competitors, namely Amazon, by investing in technology to provide a seamless omnichannel experience to its shoppers. This includes launching the subscription service Walmart+, which provides delivery, gasoline discounts, and faster checkout at its stores.\nLast year, its adjusted revenue rose by 7.7% to $564.2 billion, driving operating income 9.3% higher to $23.4 billion. In the first quarter, revenue growth was about 2%, and management expects a low-single-digit percentage increase for the year. Its guidance calls for flattish operating income.\nWhile this outlook undoubtedly disappointed some investors, I'm not concerned. Management has its eyes on the long-term picture, and it is investing in technology to better serve its customers and remain a dominant retailer.\nWalmart also offers a 1.6% yield, and it has also raised its quarterly dividend annually since initiating a payout in 1974. Already aDividend Aristocrat, it will become a Dividend King when the streak hits 50 years.\nWhile these are three different companies in various stages, each is a strong addition to your portfolio. Adding them will give you a high-growth stock, a steady grower that tends to pay large dividends every few years, and a dominant retailer that continues to grow and regularly increase payments to shareholders.\nThat's a winning combination that should make these core holdings a great addition to your portfolio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"COST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}