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2021-07-16

good

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2021-07-16

good

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2021-06-15

like and comment please

'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>

2021-06-03

like and comment thanks

Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>

2021-06-03

[Cool] [Cool] [Cool]

Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>

2021-05-18

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JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-05-16

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Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>

2021-05-16

nice

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2021-05-14

to the moon

Nio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote>

2021-05-11

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2021-05-10

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US government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote>

2021-05-10

please like and comment

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2021-05-06

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2021-04-23

how is today marjet

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175229651","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in ret","content":"<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 20:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175229651","content_text":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGiven the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)\nSource: Bloomberg\nBofA's forecasts nailed it again:\n\nBofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%\nBofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%\n\nBuilding Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...\nAs the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...\nSource: Bloomberg\nFinally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nHow will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118014827,"gmtCreate":1622707755970,"gmtModify":1634098938719,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118014827","repostId":"1160407593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160407593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622706069,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160407593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160407593","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.Apple  bulls have to be frus","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160407593","content_text":"Summary\n\nDespite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.\nI believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.\nI have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.\n\nPhoto by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nApple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its Q1 holiday quarter and Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The thesis from my last article on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.\n\nNew Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modelingiPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been tracking iPhone sales in China and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.\nWhat is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?\nFrom the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.\nData by YCharts\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated- 50% or more - from their historic norms.\n\nThis is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.\nBut these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.\nApple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time\nSince 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.\nYet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)\n\nUltimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.\n\nDid iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.\nConclusion - Apple is still a Sell\nWall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.\nAdmittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.\n\nApple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.\nApple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118015190,"gmtCreate":1622707726410,"gmtModify":1634098939425,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool] [Cool] [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118015190","repostId":"1160407593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160407593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622706069,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160407593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160407593","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.Apple  bulls have to be frus","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160407593","content_text":"Summary\n\nDespite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.\nI believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.\nI have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.\n\nPhoto by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nApple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its Q1 holiday quarter and Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The thesis from my last article on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.\n\nNew Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modelingiPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been tracking iPhone sales in China and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.\nWhat is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?\nFrom the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.\nData by YCharts\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated- 50% or more - from their historic norms.\n\nThis is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.\nBut these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.\nApple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time\nSince 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.\nYet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)\n\nUltimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.\n\nDid iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.\nConclusion - Apple is still a Sell\nWall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.\nAdmittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.\n\nApple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.\nApple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194360032,"gmtCreate":1621343459026,"gmtModify":1634192302853,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194360032","repostId":"2135161248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135161248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621343169,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2135161248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 21:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135161248","media":"Zacks","summary":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the","content":"<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 21:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135161248","content_text":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.\nFurther, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.\nNotably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.\nJD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise\nJD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote\nKey Factors to Note\nThe company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.\nThe launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.\nJD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.\nFurthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.\nGrowing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.\nAdditionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.\nHowever, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.\nMoreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.\nWhat Our Model Says\nOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.\nJD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192923176,"gmtCreate":1621138523995,"gmtModify":1634193801968,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192923176","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192929639,"gmtCreate":1621138489321,"gmtModify":1634193802749,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192929639","repostId":"2135069756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198577679,"gmtCreate":1620976066691,"gmtModify":1634194825034,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"to the moon","listText":"to the moon","text":"to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198577679","repostId":"1118744845","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118744845","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1620975733,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118744845?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 15:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118744845","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc NIO 7.31% grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rivalTesla IncTSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.What Happened: Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 uni","content":"<p><b>Nio Inc</b>&nbsp;NIO 7.31%&nbsp;grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rival<b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来公司</b>蔚来7.31%4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占最大市场份额，高于美国竞争对手<b>特斯拉公司</b>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，特斯拉上涨3.09%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>据CnEVPosts援引CATRC数据报道，蔚来4月份电动SUV份额为23%，而特斯拉为17%。</blockquote></p><p> Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said.&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>XPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，蔚来4月份SUV总销量为7,404辆，其中ES6车型销量最高，为3,302辆，EC6销量为2,484辆，ES8销量为1,618辆。<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 4.87%占当月全电动SUV市场的7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Elon Musk-led&nbsp;Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk领导的特斯拉4月份售出了5,520辆Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月份销量为25,845辆，较3月份下降27%，降幅超过整体电动汽车市场，环比降幅较小，为12%。据《华尔街日报》报道，其中特斯拉在该国出货了11,671辆，这意味着4月份的大部分销量都是出口。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这些销售数据发布之际，汽车制造商正面临半导体短缺。蔚来已经警告称，短缺可能会影响其第二季度的销售。蔚来不得不从3月29日开始在合肥市制造工厂停产五个工作日。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉在中国也面临着恶劣的天气，中国市场贡献了这家电动汽车制造商全球销量的近30%，是其仅次于美国的第二大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周四收盘下跌7.30%，至31.22美元，特斯拉股价收盘下跌3.09%，至571.69美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-14 15:02</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Nio Inc</b>&nbsp;NIO 7.31%&nbsp;grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rival<b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来公司</b>蔚来7.31%4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占最大市场份额，高于美国竞争对手<b>特斯拉公司</b>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，特斯拉上涨3.09%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>据CnEVPosts援引CATRC数据报道，蔚来4月份电动SUV份额为23%，而特斯拉为17%。</blockquote></p><p> Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said.&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>XPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，蔚来4月份SUV总销量为7,404辆，其中ES6车型销量最高，为3,302辆，EC6销量为2,484辆，ES8销量为1,618辆。<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 4.87%占当月全电动SUV市场的7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Elon Musk-led&nbsp;Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk领导的特斯拉4月份售出了5,520辆Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月份销量为25,845辆，较3月份下降27%，降幅超过整体电动汽车市场，环比降幅较小，为12%。据《华尔街日报》报道，其中特斯拉在该国出货了11,671辆，这意味着4月份的大部分销量都是出口。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这些销售数据发布之际，汽车制造商正面临半导体短缺。蔚来已经警告称，短缺可能会影响其第二季度的销售。蔚来不得不从3月29日开始在合肥市制造工厂停产五个工作日。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉在中国也面临着恶劣的天气，中国市场贡献了这家电动汽车制造商全球销量的近30%，是其仅次于美国的第二大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周四收盘下跌7.30%，至31.22美元，特斯拉股价收盘下跌3.09%，至571.69美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118744845","content_text":"Nio Inc NIO 7.31% grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rivalTesla IncTSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nWhat Happened: Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.\nNioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said. Xpeng IncXPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.\nThe Elon Musk-led Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.\nTesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.\nWhy It Matters: The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.\nIn addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199403859,"gmtCreate":1620723231571,"gmtModify":1634196836365,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199403859","repostId":"2134551566","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190552867,"gmtCreate":1620637248659,"gmtModify":1634197510845,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190552867","repostId":"1120120226","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120120226","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620623863,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120120226?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-10 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120120226","media":"AFP","summary":"The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the Un","content":"<p>The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府周日宣布进入地区紧急状态，因为在发现重大勒索软件攻击两天后，美国最大的燃料管道系统仍基本关闭。</blockquote></p><p>The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial Pipeline Company通过5,500英里（8,850公里）的管道将汽油和喷气燃料从德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸运送到人口稠密的东海岸，为5,000万消费者提供服务。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，它是涉及勒索软件的网络安全攻击的受害者，这种攻击加密计算机系统并试图从运营商那里提取付款。</blockquote></p><p>\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>美国交通部在一份声明中表示：“该声明解决了需要立即运输汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品的紧急情况，并提供了必要的救济。”</blockquote></p><p>The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>紧急声明允许燃料通过公路运输到受影响的州：阿拉巴马州、阿肯色州、哥伦比亚特区、特拉华州、佛罗里达州、佐治亚州、肯塔基州、路易斯安那州、马里兰州、密西西比州、新泽西州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州、南卡罗来纳州、田纳西州、德克萨斯州和弗吉尼亚州。</blockquote></p><p>The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.</p><p><blockquote>该宣言还为作为紧急支持工作一部分的商业机动车辆运营提供了监管救济。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial周日早些时候表示，它已经开通了一些较小的输送线路，但主要系统尚未恢复运行。</blockquote></p><p>\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"</p><p><blockquote>Colonial在一份声明中表示：“虽然我们的主线仍然离线，但航站楼和交付点之间的一些较小的支线现已投入运营。”他补充说，“只有在我们认为安全的情况下，我们的整个系统才会恢复上线。”</blockquote></p><p>\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“我们一直与执法部门和其他联邦机构保持联系，包括领导联邦政府应对措施的能源部。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除了安全地使我们的系统恢复在线之外，维护我们管道的运营安全仍然是我们的首要任务。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Calls for improved oversight</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善监督的评级</b></blockquote></p><p>Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.</p><p><blockquote>商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多周日告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，当局正在努力防止供应中断。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial总部位于南部佐治亚州，是美国运量最大的管道运营商，通常每天运输250万桶汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品。</blockquote></p><p>The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.</p><p><blockquote>此次攻击促使网络安全专家发出评级，要求改善对该行业的监管，为未来的威胁做好准备。</blockquote></p><p>\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济论坛网络战略负责人阿尔吉德·皮皮凯特（Algirde Pipikaite）周六告诉法新社：“这次攻击对美国来说是不寻常的。但底线是，针对运营技术（生产线或工厂车间的工业控制系统）的攻击变得越来越频繁。”论坛网络安全中心。</blockquote></p><p>\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非在技术开发阶段嵌入网络安全措施，否则我们可能会看到针对石油和天然气管道或水处理厂等工业系统的更频繁攻击。”</blockquote></p><p>Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.</p><p><blockquote>勒索软件攻击后，周日美国汽油价格飙升。分析师警告说，如果管道不尽快重新开放，价格可能会攀升得更高。周一油价上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p>The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个月，两起重大网络安全漏洞的消息震惊了美国——网络安全管理软件产品黑客入侵了数千个美国政府和私营部门的计算机网络，并被官方归咎于俄罗斯；以及对微软电子邮件服务器的潜在毁灭性渗透。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1620623854247","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">AFP</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 13:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府周日宣布进入地区紧急状态，因为在发现重大勒索软件攻击两天后，美国最大的燃料管道系统仍基本关闭。</blockquote></p><p>The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial Pipeline Company通过5,500英里（8,850公里）的管道将汽油和喷气燃料从德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸运送到人口稠密的东海岸，为5,000万消费者提供服务。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，它是涉及勒索软件的网络安全攻击的受害者，这种攻击加密计算机系统并试图从运营商那里提取付款。</blockquote></p><p>\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>美国交通部在一份声明中表示：“该声明解决了需要立即运输汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品的紧急情况，并提供了必要的救济。”</blockquote></p><p>The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>紧急声明允许燃料通过公路运输到受影响的州：阿拉巴马州、阿肯色州、哥伦比亚特区、特拉华州、佛罗里达州、佐治亚州、肯塔基州、路易斯安那州、马里兰州、密西西比州、新泽西州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州、南卡罗来纳州、田纳西州、德克萨斯州和弗吉尼亚州。</blockquote></p><p>The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.</p><p><blockquote>该宣言还为作为紧急支持工作一部分的商业机动车辆运营提供了监管救济。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial周日早些时候表示，它已经开通了一些较小的输送线路，但主要系统尚未恢复运行。</blockquote></p><p>\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"</p><p><blockquote>Colonial在一份声明中表示：“虽然我们的主线仍然离线，但航站楼和交付点之间的一些较小的支线现已投入运营。”他补充说，“只有在我们认为安全的情况下，我们的整个系统才会恢复上线。”</blockquote></p><p>\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“我们一直与执法部门和其他联邦机构保持联系，包括领导联邦政府应对措施的能源部。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除了安全地使我们的系统恢复在线之外，维护我们管道的运营安全仍然是我们的首要任务。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Calls for improved oversight</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善监督的评级</b></blockquote></p><p>Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.</p><p><blockquote>商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多周日告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，当局正在努力防止供应中断。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial总部位于南部佐治亚州，是美国运量最大的管道运营商，通常每天运输250万桶汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品。</blockquote></p><p>The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.</p><p><blockquote>此次攻击促使网络安全专家发出评级，要求改善对该行业的监管，为未来的威胁做好准备。</blockquote></p><p>\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济论坛网络战略负责人阿尔吉德·皮皮凯特（Algirde Pipikaite）周六告诉法新社：“这次攻击对美国来说是不寻常的。但底线是，针对运营技术（生产线或工厂车间的工业控制系统）的攻击变得越来越频繁。”论坛网络安全中心。</blockquote></p><p>\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非在技术开发阶段嵌入网络安全措施，否则我们可能会看到针对石油和天然气管道或水处理厂等工业系统的更频繁攻击。”</blockquote></p><p>Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.</p><p><blockquote>勒索软件攻击后，周日美国汽油价格飙升。分析师警告说，如果管道不尽快重新开放，价格可能会攀升得更高。周一油价上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p>The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个月，两起重大网络安全漏洞的消息震惊了美国——网络安全管理软件产品黑客入侵了数千个美国政府和私营部门的计算机网络，并被官方归咎于俄罗斯；以及对微软电子邮件服务器的潜在毁灭性渗透。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20210510-biden-declares-state-of-emergency-after-major-us-pipeline-shut-due-to-cyber-attack\">AFP</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20210510-biden-declares-state-of-emergency-after-major-us-pipeline-shut-due-to-cyber-attack","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120120226","content_text":"The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"Calls for improved oversightCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190552135,"gmtCreate":1620637228227,"gmtModify":1634197510966,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like and comment","listText":"please like and comment","text":"please like and 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marjet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372921629","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190552867,"gmtCreate":1620637248659,"gmtModify":1634197510845,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190552867","repostId":"1120120226","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120120226","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620623863,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120120226?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-10 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120120226","media":"AFP","summary":"The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the Un","content":"<p>The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府周日宣布进入地区紧急状态，因为在发现重大勒索软件攻击两天后，美国最大的燃料管道系统仍基本关闭。</blockquote></p><p>The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial Pipeline Company通过5,500英里（8,850公里）的管道将汽油和喷气燃料从德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸运送到人口稠密的东海岸，为5,000万消费者提供服务。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，它是涉及勒索软件的网络安全攻击的受害者，这种攻击加密计算机系统并试图从运营商那里提取付款。</blockquote></p><p>\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>美国交通部在一份声明中表示：“该声明解决了需要立即运输汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品的紧急情况，并提供了必要的救济。”</blockquote></p><p>The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>紧急声明允许燃料通过公路运输到受影响的州：阿拉巴马州、阿肯色州、哥伦比亚特区、特拉华州、佛罗里达州、佐治亚州、肯塔基州、路易斯安那州、马里兰州、密西西比州、新泽西州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州、南卡罗来纳州、田纳西州、德克萨斯州和弗吉尼亚州。</blockquote></p><p>The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.</p><p><blockquote>该宣言还为作为紧急支持工作一部分的商业机动车辆运营提供了监管救济。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial周日早些时候表示，它已经开通了一些较小的输送线路，但主要系统尚未恢复运行。</blockquote></p><p>\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"</p><p><blockquote>Colonial在一份声明中表示：“虽然我们的主线仍然离线，但航站楼和交付点之间的一些较小的支线现已投入运营。”他补充说，“只有在我们认为安全的情况下，我们的整个系统才会恢复上线。”</blockquote></p><p>\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“我们一直与执法部门和其他联邦机构保持联系，包括领导联邦政府应对措施的能源部。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除了安全地使我们的系统恢复在线之外，维护我们管道的运营安全仍然是我们的首要任务。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Calls for improved oversight</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善监督的评级</b></blockquote></p><p>Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.</p><p><blockquote>商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多周日告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，当局正在努力防止供应中断。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial总部位于南部佐治亚州，是美国运量最大的管道运营商，通常每天运输250万桶汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品。</blockquote></p><p>The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.</p><p><blockquote>此次攻击促使网络安全专家发出评级，要求改善对该行业的监管，为未来的威胁做好准备。</blockquote></p><p>\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济论坛网络战略负责人阿尔吉德·皮皮凯特（Algirde Pipikaite）周六告诉法新社：“这次攻击对美国来说是不寻常的。但底线是，针对运营技术（生产线或工厂车间的工业控制系统）的攻击变得越来越频繁。”论坛网络安全中心。</blockquote></p><p>\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非在技术开发阶段嵌入网络安全措施，否则我们可能会看到针对石油和天然气管道或水处理厂等工业系统的更频繁攻击。”</blockquote></p><p>Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.</p><p><blockquote>勒索软件攻击后，周日美国汽油价格飙升。分析师警告说，如果管道不尽快重新开放，价格可能会攀升得更高。周一油价上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p>The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个月，两起重大网络安全漏洞的消息震惊了美国——网络安全管理软件产品黑客入侵了数千个美国政府和私营部门的计算机网络，并被官方归咎于俄罗斯；以及对微软电子邮件服务器的潜在毁灭性渗透。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1620623854247","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS government declares emergency after cyberattack on major pipeline<blockquote>美国政府在主要管道遭到网络攻击后宣布进入紧急状态</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">AFP</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 13:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府周日宣布进入地区紧急状态，因为在发现重大勒索软件攻击两天后，美国最大的燃料管道系统仍基本关闭。</blockquote></p><p>The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial Pipeline Company通过5,500英里（8,850公里）的管道将汽油和喷气燃料从德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸运送到人口稠密的东海岸，为5,000万消费者提供服务。</blockquote></p><p>The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，它是涉及勒索软件的网络安全攻击的受害者，这种攻击加密计算机系统并试图从运营商那里提取付款。</blockquote></p><p>\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>美国交通部在一份声明中表示：“该声明解决了需要立即运输汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品的紧急情况，并提供了必要的救济。”</blockquote></p><p>The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.</p><p><blockquote>紧急声明允许燃料通过公路运输到受影响的州：阿拉巴马州、阿肯色州、哥伦比亚特区、特拉华州、佛罗里达州、佐治亚州、肯塔基州、路易斯安那州、马里兰州、密西西比州、新泽西州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州、南卡罗来纳州、田纳西州、德克萨斯州和弗吉尼亚州。</blockquote></p><p>The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.</p><p><blockquote>该宣言还为作为紧急支持工作一部分的商业机动车辆运营提供了监管救济。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial周日早些时候表示，它已经开通了一些较小的输送线路，但主要系统尚未恢复运行。</blockquote></p><p>\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"</p><p><blockquote>Colonial在一份声明中表示：“虽然我们的主线仍然离线，但航站楼和交付点之间的一些较小的支线现已投入运营。”他补充说，“只有在我们认为安全的情况下，我们的整个系统才会恢复上线。”</blockquote></p><p>\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.</p><p><blockquote>它补充说：“我们一直与执法部门和其他联邦机构保持联系，包括领导联邦政府应对措施的能源部。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除了安全地使我们的系统恢复在线之外，维护我们管道的运营安全仍然是我们的首要任务。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Calls for improved oversight</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善监督的评级</b></blockquote></p><p>Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.</p><p><blockquote>商务部长吉娜·雷蒙多周日告诉哥伦比亚广播公司，当局正在努力防止供应中断。</blockquote></p><p>Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.</p><p><blockquote>Colonial总部位于南部佐治亚州，是美国运量最大的管道运营商，通常每天运输250万桶汽油、柴油、喷气燃料和其他精炼石油产品。</blockquote></p><p>The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.</p><p><blockquote>此次攻击促使网络安全专家发出评级，要求改善对该行业的监管，为未来的威胁做好准备。</blockquote></p><p>\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>世界经济论坛网络战略负责人阿尔吉德·皮皮凯特（Algirde Pipikaite）周六告诉法新社：“这次攻击对美国来说是不寻常的。但底线是，针对运营技术（生产线或工厂车间的工业控制系统）的攻击变得越来越频繁。”论坛网络安全中心。</blockquote></p><p>\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非在技术开发阶段嵌入网络安全措施，否则我们可能会看到针对石油和天然气管道或水处理厂等工业系统的更频繁攻击。”</blockquote></p><p>Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.</p><p><blockquote>勒索软件攻击后，周日美国汽油价格飙升。分析师警告说，如果管道不尽快重新开放，价格可能会攀升得更高。周一油价上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p>The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个月，两起重大网络安全漏洞的消息震惊了美国——网络安全管理软件产品黑客入侵了数千个美国政府和私营部门的计算机网络，并被官方归咎于俄罗斯；以及对微软电子邮件服务器的潜在毁灭性渗透。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20210510-biden-declares-state-of-emergency-after-major-us-pipeline-shut-due-to-cyber-attack\">AFP</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20210510-biden-declares-state-of-emergency-after-major-us-pipeline-shut-due-to-cyber-attack","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120120226","content_text":"The US government declared a regional emergency Sunday as the largest fuel pipeline system in the United States remained largely shut down, two days after a major ransomware attack was detected.The Colonial Pipeline Company ships gasoline and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast of Texas to the populousEast Coastthrough 5,500 miles (8,850 kilometres) of pipeline, serving 50 million consumers.The company said it was the victim of acybersecurity attackinvolving ransomware -- attacks that encrypt computer systems and seek to extract payments from operators.\"This Declaration addresses the emergency conditions creating a need for immediate transportation of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products and provides necessary relief,\" the Department of Transportation said in a statement.The emergency declaration allows for fuel to be transported by road to the affected states: Alabama, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey,New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.The declaration also provides regulatory relief to commercial motor vehicle operations that are part of the emergency support efforts.Colonial said earlier Sunday that it had opened some smaller delivery lines, but the main system was not yet back up and running.\"While our mainlines remain offline, some smaller lateral lines between terminals and delivery points are now operational,\" Colonial said in a statement, adding it would \"bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.\"\"We have remained in contact with law enforcement and other federal agencies, including the Department of Energy who is leading the Federal Government response,\" it added.\"Maintaining the operational security of our pipeline, in addition to safely bringing our systems back online, remain our highest priorities.\"Calls for improved oversightCommerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told CBS on Sunday that authorities were working to prevent any disruption to supplies.Colonial, based in the southern state of Georgia, is the largest pipeline operator in the United States by volume, normally transporting 2.5 million barrels of gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel and other refined petroleum products per day.The attack prompted calls from cybersecurity experts for improved oversight of the industry to prepare for future threats.\"This attack is unusual for the US. But the bottom line is that attacks targeting operational technology -- the industrial control systems on the production line or plant floor -- are becoming more frequent,\" Algirde Pipikaite, cyber strategy lead at the World Economic Forum's Centre for Cybersecurity, told AFP on Saturday.\"Unless cybersecurity measures are embedded in a technology's development phase, we are likely to see more frequent attacks on industrial systems like oil and gas pipelines or water treatment plants.\"Gas prices jumped in the United States on Sunday following the ransomware attack. Analysts warn that prices could climb even higher if the pipeline is not reopened soon. Oil prices rose more than one percent Monday.The United States was rocked in recent months by news of two major cybersecurity breaches -- the SolarWinds hack that compromised thousands of US government and private sector computer networks and was officially blamed on Russia; and a potentially devastating penetration of Microsoft email servers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199403859,"gmtCreate":1620723231571,"gmtModify":1634196836365,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199403859","repostId":"2134551566","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160081511,"gmtCreate":1623766576333,"gmtModify":1634028634508,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment please","listText":"like and comment please","text":"like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160081511","repostId":"1175229651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175229651","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623761854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175229651?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175229651","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in ret","content":"<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 20:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175229651","content_text":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGiven the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)\nSource: Bloomberg\nBofA's forecasts nailed it again:\n\nBofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%\nBofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%\n\nBuilding Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...\nAs the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...\nSource: Bloomberg\nFinally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nHow will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118014827,"gmtCreate":1622707755970,"gmtModify":1634098938719,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118014827","repostId":"1160407593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160407593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622706069,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160407593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160407593","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.Apple  bulls have to be frus","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160407593","content_text":"Summary\n\nDespite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.\nI believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.\nI have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.\n\nPhoto by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nApple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its Q1 holiday quarter and Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The thesis from my last article on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.\n\nNew Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modelingiPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been tracking iPhone sales in China and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.\nWhat is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?\nFrom the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.\nData by YCharts\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated- 50% or more - from their historic norms.\n\nThis is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.\nBut these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.\nApple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time\nSince 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.\nYet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)\n\nUltimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.\n\nDid iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.\nConclusion - Apple is still a Sell\nWall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.\nAdmittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.\n\nApple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.\nApple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192929639,"gmtCreate":1621138489321,"gmtModify":1634193802749,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192929639","repostId":"2135069756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105167030,"gmtCreate":1620279511720,"gmtModify":1634206405578,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105167030","repostId":"2133652936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170156401,"gmtCreate":1626414832903,"gmtModify":1633926943956,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170156401","repostId":"1124361019","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194360032,"gmtCreate":1621343459026,"gmtModify":1634192302853,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194360032","repostId":"2135161248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135161248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621343169,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2135161248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 21:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135161248","media":"Zacks","summary":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the","content":"<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 21:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135161248","content_text":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.\nFurther, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.\nNotably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.\nJD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise\nJD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote\nKey Factors to Note\nThe company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.\nThe launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.\nJD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.\nFurthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.\nGrowing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.\nAdditionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.\nHowever, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.\nMoreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.\nWhat Our Model Says\nOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.\nJD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192923176,"gmtCreate":1621138523995,"gmtModify":1634193801968,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like and comment","listText":"like and comment","text":"like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192923176","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198577679,"gmtCreate":1620976066691,"gmtModify":1634194825034,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"to the moon","listText":"to the moon","text":"to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198577679","repostId":"1118744845","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118744845","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1620975733,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118744845?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 15:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118744845","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc NIO 7.31% grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rivalTesla IncTSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.What Happened: Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 uni","content":"<p><b>Nio Inc</b>&nbsp;NIO 7.31%&nbsp;grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rival<b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来公司</b>蔚来7.31%4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占最大市场份额，高于美国竞争对手<b>特斯拉公司</b>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，特斯拉上涨3.09%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>据CnEVPosts援引CATRC数据报道，蔚来4月份电动SUV份额为23%，而特斯拉为17%。</blockquote></p><p> Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said.&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>XPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，蔚来4月份SUV总销量为7,404辆，其中ES6车型销量最高，为3,302辆，EC6销量为2,484辆，ES8销量为1,618辆。<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 4.87%占当月全电动SUV市场的7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Elon Musk-led&nbsp;Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk领导的特斯拉4月份售出了5,520辆Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月份销量为25,845辆，较3月份下降27%，降幅超过整体电动汽车市场，环比降幅较小，为12%。据《华尔街日报》报道，其中特斯拉在该国出货了11,671辆，这意味着4月份的大部分销量都是出口。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这些销售数据发布之际，汽车制造商正面临半导体短缺。蔚来已经警告称，短缺可能会影响其第二季度的销售。蔚来不得不从3月29日开始在合肥市制造工厂停产五个工作日。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉在中国也面临着恶劣的天气，中国市场贡献了这家电动汽车制造商全球销量的近30%，是其仅次于美国的第二大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周四收盘下跌7.30%，至31.22美元，特斯拉股价收盘下跌3.09%，至571.69美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Grabbed 23% Share Of China's All-Electric SUV Market In April, Ahead Of Tesla's 17%<blockquote>蔚来4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占23%份额，领先于特斯拉的17%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-14 15:02</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Nio Inc</b>&nbsp;NIO 7.31%&nbsp;grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rival<b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来公司</b>蔚来7.31%4月在华全电动SUV市场抢占最大市场份额，高于美国竞争对手<b>特斯拉公司</b>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，特斯拉上涨3.09%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>据CnEVPosts援引CATRC数据报道，蔚来4月份电动SUV份额为23%，而特斯拉为17%。</blockquote></p><p> Nioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said.&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>XPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，蔚来4月份SUV总销量为7,404辆，其中ES6车型销量最高，为3,302辆，EC6销量为2,484辆，ES8销量为1,618辆。<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 4.87%占当月全电动SUV市场的7%。</blockquote></p><p> The Elon Musk-led&nbsp;Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk领导的特斯拉4月份售出了5,520辆Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉4月份销量为25,845辆，较3月份下降27%，降幅超过整体电动汽车市场，环比降幅较小，为12%。据《华尔街日报》报道，其中特斯拉在该国出货了11,671辆，这意味着4月份的大部分销量都是出口。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这些销售数据发布之际，汽车制造商正面临半导体短缺。蔚来已经警告称，短缺可能会影响其第二季度的销售。蔚来不得不从3月29日开始在合肥市制造工厂停产五个工作日。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.</p><p><blockquote>此外，特斯拉在中国也面临着恶劣的天气，中国市场贡献了这家电动汽车制造商全球销量的近30%，是其仅次于美国的第二大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周四收盘下跌7.30%，至31.22美元，特斯拉股价收盘下跌3.09%，至571.69美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118744845","content_text":"Nio Inc NIO 7.31% grabbed the largest market share in China’s all-electric SUV market in April, higher than its U.S.-based rivalTesla IncTSLA 3.09%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nWhat Happened: Nio grabbed a 23% electric SUV share in April, compared with Tesla’s 17%, CnEVPostreported— citing the CATRC data.\nNioclockeda total of 7,404 SUV sales in April — with the ES6 model selling the most at 3,302 vehicles, EC6 sales were 2,484 units and ES8 sales at 1,618 units, the report said. Xpeng IncXPEV 4.87%made up for 7% of the all-electric SUV market in the month.\nThe Elon Musk-led Tesla sold 5,520 Model Ys in April.\nTesla’s April sales of 25,845 were down 27% from March, down more than the overall EV market which saw a smaller 12% month-on-month decline. Of these Tesla shipped out 11,671 units in the country, implying that most sales in April were exports,accordingto the Wall Street Journal.\nWhy It Matters: The sales numbers come at a time when automakers are facing semiconductor shortages. Nio has already warned the shortage could hit its second-quarter sales. Nio had to halt production at its Hefei manufacturing plant for five working days starting March 29.\nIn addition, Tesla has been facingrough weather in China,a market that contributes nearly 30% of the electric vehicle maker's global sales and is its second-largest market after the United States.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed 7.30% lower at $31.22 on Thursday, while Tesla shares closed 3.09% lower at $571.69.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190552135,"gmtCreate":1620637228227,"gmtModify":1634197510966,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like and comment","listText":"please like and comment","text":"please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190552135","repostId":"2134263864","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170156102,"gmtCreate":1626414796006,"gmtModify":1633926944324,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170156102","repostId":"1124361019","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118015190,"gmtCreate":1622707726410,"gmtModify":1634098939425,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool] [Cool] [Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118015190","repostId":"1160407593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160407593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622706069,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160407593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 15:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160407593","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.Apple  bulls have to be frus","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock Overvalued?<blockquote>苹果股票是否被高估？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 15:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Despite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.</li>  <li>I believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.</li>  <li>Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;significantly elevated&nbsp;to historical levels.</li>  <li>I have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bff81a333ee2ce5596e83df474ea7f56\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"511\"><span>Photo by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管第二季度盈利预期令人震惊，但苹果股价却出现逆转，表现逊于大盘。</li><li>我认为华尔街对苹果2022财年的预期过高，可能是近期疲软的原因之一。</li><li>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍显着高于历史水平。</li><li>我严重怀疑iPhone、iPad和Mac的销售能否在明年继续目前的火爆销售速度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：PeskyMonkey/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its&nbsp;Q1 holiday quarter&nbsp;and&nbsp;Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The&nbsp;thesis from my last article&nbsp;on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）的多头不得不感到沮丧。尽管第一季度假期季度和第二季度1月至3月季度的盈利均大幅超出预期，但股价却毫无进展。我上一篇关于苹果的文章中的论点是，COVID-19封锁、政府施舍和5G的推出都最终将苹果的需求拉入了2021财年，这得到了New Street分析师的支持，他们现在也做出了同样的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e41696d20058f8ca97f59715bca52b8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> New Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modeling<i>iPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.</i>Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been&nbsp;tracking iPhone sales in China&nbsp;and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.</p><p><blockquote>新街没有预言天要塌下来，我也没有。他们只是在做模特<i>iPhone出货量在1.8亿至2亿部之间，而市场普遍预期为2.34亿部。</i>这听起来像是一种极端的观点吗？我不这么认为，特别是因为SA撰稿人Paulo Santos一直在跟踪iPhone在中国的销售情况，并看到从白热化的开局到今年年初明显放缓。我认为iPad和Mac的类似放缓还需要几个季度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL目前的估值是多少？有意义吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> From the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.</p><p><blockquote>从我最近两篇文章收到的评论来看，多头一定认为我讨厌苹果，别有用心。这与事实相去甚远。我过去曾多次直接持有苹果，并且仍然通过我持有的Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)持有该公司的大量股份。因此，我无论如何都不反对它，我只是按照我所看到的来称呼它——而且我认为估值非常过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242125db79bcaf3f8697bf4466c3f0c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain&nbsp;<b>significantly elevated</b>- 50% or more - from their historic norms.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的价格/收益、价格/销售额和价格/自由现金流仍然保持不变<b>显著升高</b>-50%或更多-从他们的历史规范。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2397347f029ba2ba682fa1398109d5e7\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"160\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个关键问题，因为苹果的预期收入增长和盈利预期已经很低，并且预测增长微乎其微。按照这些速度，几乎所有的盈利增长都将来自股票回购。</blockquote></p><p> But these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.</p><p><blockquote>但这些前瞻性预测假设苹果将在2022财年再次重复创纪录的一年。我认为这种情况发生的可能性很小。相反，我预计2014财年至2016财年的情况类似，营业利润从2014财年至2015财年大幅增长，然后在2016财年适度下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果2021财年可能会在很长一段时间内达到销售和盈利峰值</b></blockquote></p><p> Since 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年以来，苹果推出了许多成功的新产品：苹果手表、AirPods和苹果电视，以及许多新版本的Mac、iPhone和iPad，以及令人印象深刻的服务增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管取得了所有这些成功，苹果的营业收入在2015年达到顶峰，直到在过去12个月内打破了之前的峰值。从2015年到2020年，在股票回购和TCJA企业所得税削减的大力帮助下，苹果的每股收益增长了约7%。（如果没有此次减税，2020年每股收益将约为2.88美元，而不是3.28美元，这意味着每股收益增长率约为4.5%。）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a878730fc1ed62d2dc0166d9aa16c21\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"279\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.</p><p><blockquote>最终，我相信苹果最近火爆的销售表现不会重演，也不应该像华尔街分析师所模拟的那样被视为新的运行率。我认为iPad的销量就是一个例证。在过去的几年里，销量一直保持稳定，直到去年爆炸式增长57%，并在今年年初继续保持同样的势头。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c5c505d2f2c147fc7ee546576a5945\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"582\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Did iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>iPads突然变得如此受欢迎吗？或者只是有很多在家工作的父母想给他们的孩子买iPads？我选后者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion - Apple is still a Sell</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论——苹果仍值得卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师不失时机地提高了明年的盈利预期，我认为这主要是对当前业绩的推断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Admittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，我不像大多数人那样看好5G超级周期。我相信创新者和早期采用者会急于升级，但大多数大众市场将保持正常的升级节奏，并继续延长。我认为iPhone是自身成功的受害者——最近的iPhones都很好，升级到更新的手机不太引人注目，因为4G对大多数人来说“足够好”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a5047edb2490f12fb4259f905c7fbac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2019年的收入为2.97美元。他们今年前两个季度的收入已经为3.08美元，目前预计整个财年的收入为5.16美元。即使服务业有所增长，我也不认为他们在下一财年会重复这种表现，并预计每股收益将接近4-4.50美元，远低于目前预期的5.30美元。这将使市盈率回到30以上，并出现负增长率。如果发生这种情况，股价可能会重新测试100美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.</p><p><blockquote>苹果对我来说仍然是个卖点。这是一家伟大的公司，但定价太高了。估值总是很重要的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432646-apple-stock-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160407593","content_text":"Summary\n\nDespite crushing Q2 earnings estimates, Apple shares have gone in reverse and are underperforming the broader market.\nI believe Wall Street expectations for Apple's FY2022 are unreasonably high and likely contributing to the recent weakness.\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated to historical levels.\nI have serious doubt that iPhone, iPad, and Mac sales can continue the current hot sales pace over the next year.\n\nPhoto by PeskyMonkey/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nApple (AAPL) bulls have to be frustrated. Despite massive earnings beats in both its Q1 holiday quarter and Q2 January-March quarter, the shares have gone no where. The thesis from my last article on Apple, that COVID-19 lockdowns, government handouts, and the launch of 5G all culminated to pull demand into Apple's FY21 year,gained a supporter from analysts at New Street, who are now predicting the same.\n\nNew Street isn't predicting that the sky is falling, and neither am I. They are just modelingiPhone shipments in the 180M-200M range versus the 234M consensus.Does this sound like an extreme view? I don't think it is, especially since SA Contributor Paulo Santos has been tracking iPhone sales in China and has seen a significant slowdown from the white-hot start to the beginning of this year. I think similar slowdowns for iPad and Mac are a few quarters away.\nWhat is AAPL's current valuation? Does it make sense?\nFrom the comments I've received on my last two articles, bulls must think I hate Apple and have an axe to grind. This could not be further from the truth. I've owned Apple outright many times in the past, and still own a significant stake in it through my Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) holdings. So I'm not rooting against it by any stretch, I'm just calling it like I see it - and I see the valuation as very stretched.\nData by YCharts\nApple's Price/Earnings, Price/Sales, and Price/Free Cash flow still remain significantly elevated- 50% or more - from their historic norms.\n\nThis is a key issue because the forward revenue growth and earnings estimates for Apple are already low and predict minimal growth. At these rates, nearly all of the earnings growth would come from the share repurchases.\nBut these forward estimates assume Apple will repeat the record year they are having again in FY2022. I think the odds of that happening are slim. Instead, I expect a similar situation of what happened between FY2014-FY2016, where operating earnings increased significantly from FY2014 to FY2015, then declined moderately in FY2016.\nApple's FY21 could be peak sales and earnings for a long time\nSince 2016, Apple has introduced a lot of successful new products: the Apple Watch, AirPods, and Apple TV, to go along with many new versions of Mac, iPhone, and iPad, along with impressive growth in Services.\nYet with all of that success, Apple's Operating Income peaked in 2015 until shattering the prior peak over the last 12 months. From 2015-2020, Apple was able to grow EPS roughly 7%, with significant help from share repurchases and the TCJA corporate income tax cut. (Without this tax cut, 2020 EPS would have been ~$2.88 rather than $3.28, implying an EPS growth rate of around 4.5%.)\n\nUltimately, I believe Apple's recent torrid sales performance will not be repeated and should not be considered a new run rate like Wall Street analysts are modeling. I look at iPad sales as an illustration of this. For the last several years, volumes had been steady until exploding 57% last year and continuing the same strength early this year.\n\nDid iPads suddenly become so much more popular? Or were there just a lot of parents working from home that wanted iPads for their kids? I'm going with the latter.\nConclusion - Apple is still a Sell\nWall St. analysts wasted no time increasing earnings expectations for next year based on what I believe is mostly an extrapolation of the current results.\nAdmittedly, I'm less bullish on the 5G Supercycle than most. I believe that the innovators and early adopters will rush to upgrade, but most of the mass market will remain on the normal upgrade cadence, which continues to lengthen. I think the iPhone is a victim of its own success - that the recent iPhones are all so good, upgrading to newer phones is less compelling, and because 4G is \"good enough\" for most people.\n\nApple earned $2.97 in 2019. They've already earned $3.08 in the first two quarters of this year and current estimates are $5.16 for the full fiscal. Even with the growth in Services, I just do not see them repeating this performance next fiscal year, and expect earnings closer to the $4-4.50/share range, far short of the $5.30 that's currently expected. That would put Price/Earnings back above 30 with a negative growth rate. If this happens, shares could retest the $100 level.\nApple is still a sell here for me. It's a great company that's simply priced too richly. Valuation always matters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372921629,"gmtCreate":1619169619261,"gmtModify":1634288028618,"author":{"id":"3570426503709368","authorId":"3570426503709368","name":"CWei92","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c5dff1b0ab726006ec156ccbcb83c2","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570426503709368","idStr":"3570426503709368"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"how is today marjet","listText":"how is today marjet","text":"how is today marjet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372921629","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}