labbygabby的个人主页 - 老虎社区

labbygabby

labbygabby

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16关注

3粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-09

Halro

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-02

Let goooo

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-02

Getting my hilton stock guys

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-01

Why dont have more spins

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-30

Gooood day

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-29

Litt

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-29

Lit leh liddat

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-06-29

Thats right my man

@labbygabby:$AMD(AMD)$told yall amd is a x10 bagger

2021-06-29

Dun buy sg stocks only usa

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

$AMD(AMD)$told yall amd is a x10 bagger

2021-06-29

Sell now only buy at 30

2021-06-29

Boooooo stonk only go up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

$AMD(AMD)$yeeet

2021-06-23

Vrooooooom

2021-06-20

$AMD(AMD)$heehehhe

2021-06-20

Go singapore

2021-06-19

Brahhhh can we pump it

2021-06-19

$AMD(AMD)$lit brahhh lets go

2021-06-18

Its fake just buy amc

AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote>

2021-06-18

Dont weak guys keep going

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843470167,"gmtCreate":1635854633394,"gmtModify":1635854633499,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Getting my hilton stock guys","listText":"Getting my hilton stock guys","text":"Getting my hilton stock guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843470167","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? 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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840135873,"gmtCreate":1635604159111,"gmtModify":1635604159111,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gooood day","listText":"Gooood day","text":"Gooood day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840135873","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. 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only usa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159639386","repostId":"1106928760","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159630657,"gmtCreate":1624960621579,"gmtModify":1631885995359,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>told yall amd is a x10 bagger","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>told yall amd is a x10 bagger","text":"$AMD(AMD)$told yall amd is a x10 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it","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15457a40e5328ff3b2f2a22a3beafc2e","width":"1080","height":"3313"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165159409","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165159667,"gmtCreate":1624109275959,"gmtModify":1631889740255,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>lit brahhh lets go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>lit brahhh lets go","text":"$AMD(AMD)$lit brahhh lets go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8295b4b947f2062e2e4ca0e17a3b36fa","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165159667","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166952540,"gmtCreate":1623989361580,"gmtModify":1631889740260,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Its fake just buy amc","listText":"Its fake just buy amc","text":"Its fake just buy amc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166952540","repostId":"1131310015","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131310015","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623987347,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131310015?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131310015","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pul","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>  <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>  <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>  <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我站在巨人的肩膀上，在AMC上指导你。</li><li>对于投资者来说，没有盈利前景的引力对该股几乎没有支撑。</li><li>对于指望轧空的投机者来说，这是一个百年的警示故事。</li><li>在其他投机者之前卖出。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RgStudio/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p><p><blockquote>我们如何看待模因股票现象？几周前，我与AMC院线控股公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）一起尝试了一下。在读了两篇有趣的文章后，我回来看更多。正如艾萨克·牛顿在1676年所说，“<i>如果说我看得更远了一点，那就是站在巨人的肩膀上。</i>“现在我不是艾萨克·牛顿了。首先，我看起来好多了。但就像齐克一样——艾萨克的朋友们可能从未使用过这个昵称——我也站在巨人的肩膀上。在这种情况下，杰森·茨威格（Jason Zweig）是一位出色的金融市场作家<i>华尔街日报</i>，以及约翰·布鲁克斯，《<i>商业冒险</i>》，比尔盖茨推荐的一本书。我将在本文中大量引用两者，然后为您划清界限AMC。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者、交易者、投机者</b></blockquote></p><p> Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p><p><blockquote>Jason Zweig在他的2021年6月11日以图形方式区分了这三种类型的股票买家<i>华尔街日报</i>柱：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>  So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>每当你因为有预感或只是为了好玩而购买任何金融资产，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传，或者其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你支付更多的钱。”“投资者依赖内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。”</i>那么为什么AMC的股价一直在上涨呢？我有一个非正式的数据来源，即我6月4日AMC文章的300多条评论。收益，收入，资产价值的增长<i>没有</i>上来了。出现的是“轧空”和股票图表。因此，我预计茨威格先生会将AMC的股票描述为由交易员和投机者推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p><p><blockquote>茨威格先生还让我意识到，我的AMC文章遗漏了盈利预测。我给出了很多关于历史趋势的数据，这些数据只是暗示了未来的方向。我在这里纠正这个遗漏。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年AMC盈利预测</b></blockquote></p><p> I start with the key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>我从关键假设开始：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p><p><blockquote><i>我的参考时间框架</i>是2017年到2019年。早期的数据相关性较低，因为AMC在2016年进行了一项大型收购，而2020年和2021年的数据则因为新冠疫情而相关性更低。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p><p><blockquote><i>全国票房</i>是主要假设。我6月4日的文章显示，自2002年以来，电影上座率一直在下降。明年票房会是多少？流媒体在订户和内容方面的稳定增长无疑是一个阻力。从逻辑上讲，COVID应该增加从场外（剧院）娱乐到家庭娱乐的转变，就像购物和工作一样。保持电影上座率接近19年的水平将是一个小小的奇迹。下降10%，甚至20%的可能性要大得多。如上表所示，我使用所有三种票房假设对2022年AMC每股收益进行预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>AMC市场份额。</i></b>我假设AMC的份额会比17-19年的水平有所增加，因为一些竞争影院肯定因新冠疫情的财务压力而退出。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>招生毛利率。</i></b>这是门票销售的利润减去制片人授权电影的成本。我认为AMC在17-19年保持稳定，但我也可以想象电影制片人会寻求更好的条款，因为AMC必须与越来越多渴望内容的流媒体服务竞标。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品费用占销售额的百分比。</i></b>我继承了低得惊人的数字。AMC，大概还有它的同行，承担他们的食品和饮料成本和<i>将它们对美国电影观众的定价乘以7。</i>走私你自己的Jujifruits，省下一捆。我今年最好的理财建议。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品和饮料销售额占票价的百分比。</i></b>我认为AMC小幅上涨的趋势仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>营业费用</i></b>是剧院人员、公用事业等的成本。我认为运营费用率的逐步上升趋势仍在继续，原因有二。第一，这些运营费用基本上是固定的，收入将面临压力。其次，当前的劳动力短缺将给低端剧院工作的薪酬水平带来压力，这似乎是合乎逻辑的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p><p><blockquote>我们现在已经为我的盈利和现金流模型做好了准备：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p><p><blockquote>22年的预测是根据上述假设通过“毛利润”线设定的。我的管理费用预测假设AMC正在努力限制费用度过充满挑战的时期：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>  <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li> </ul> <b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>折旧/摊销</i>是房地产和收购的会计费用的组合。疫情期间进行的减记本应减少这些费用。</li><li><i>利息支出</i>随着AMC用其筹集的股权偿还部分债务，这一数字应该会下降。</li></ul><b>盈利的引力</b></blockquote></p><p> We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p><p><blockquote>我们到达了底线。我能看到的2022年每股收益的最佳情况是大致盈亏平衡。更有可能的是适度的损失。现金流应该会更糟，因为AMC保持影院对不断萎缩的观众的吸引力所需的现金资本支出应该超过其非现金折旧/摊销费用。如果资本支出远低于我的预测，可能是因为AMC管理层承认自己正处于死亡螺旋之中，并希望尽可能榨取现金。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p><p><blockquote><i>底线是——不支持投资者。</i>AMC的账面价值为负。在COVID之后，它似乎无法赚取任何物质收入。其业务因技术变革而长期下滑，新的竞争对手是拥有巨大资源的怪兽公司——奈飞、迪士尼、康卡斯特等。投资者只能看着AMC目前55美元的股价，不寒而栗地说，用不朽的话来说<i>交易场所</i>、“卖莫蒂默，卖！”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投机游戏——轧空：历史警示</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代并没有发明轧空。它几乎和金融市场存在的时间一样长。这本书<i>商业冒险</i>约翰·布鲁克斯<i>,</i>早在1969年就出版了，生动地讲述了20世纪20年代初的空头挤压故事。一个世纪前。我将引用书中的话来说明在没有投资者支持的情况下，投机的故事将如何结束。所以，给自己倒点非法烈酒（我们正走向禁酒令时代），继续读下去。这是第一家超市Piggly Wiggly Stores的创始人克拉伦斯·桑德斯的故事；他那个时代的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p><p><blockquote>1922年，空头追捧克拉伦斯的股票，将其从50美元推至40美元以下。桑德斯发誓要用空头挤压进行报复。以下是布鲁克斯先生讲述这个故事的摘录：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”  The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>桑德斯……购买了33,000股Piggly Wiggly股票，大部分来自卖空者；不到一周，他就将总数增加到了10.5万股——超过了20万股已发行股票的一半。桑德斯购买活动的有效性显而易见；到1923年1月下旬，它已将价格推高了60多美元……</i>“昔日唯一的空头挤压者如今已被成群的“猿”所取代，而猿在推高价格方面要好得多。顺便说一句，信不信由你，一群猿显然被称为“精明”。一群猿很精明——有意思。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>  Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>他赚了一大笔钱，证明了一个贫穷的南方男孩是如何教训城市里的狡猾分子的。”</i>今天，我们有猿类坚持对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”  Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>角落里最大的危险之一总是，即使一个玩家可能会击败他的对手，他也会发现他赢得了一场得不偿失的胜利。一旦卖空者被榨干，卖空者可能会发现他在这个过程中积累的大量股票是他脖子上的沉重负担；通过将其全部推回市场，他会将其价格降至零。</i>“值得思考的事情。桑德斯该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   “[  <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”  Pretty clever, no? No:</p><p><blockquote>“[<i>桑德斯的解决方案是出售分期付款计划中价值55美元的股票。在他二月份的广告中，他规定公众只需支付25美元的首付，余款分三期支付10美元即可购买股票</i>“很聪明，不是吗？没有：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>  Uh oh. What now?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>在第三天结束时，认购的股份总数仍低于2.5万股，所做的卖出被取消。桑德斯不得不承认这次旅行是失败的。”</i>呃哦。现在怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>  Ouch.</p><p><blockquote><i>“8月22日，Adrian H.Muller&amp;Son的纽约拍卖公司……以每股1美元的价格拍卖了1,500股Piggly Wiggly股票……第二年春天，Saunders进入了正式破产程序。”</i>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyers beware</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买家当心</b></blockquote></p><p> As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p><p><blockquote>正如杰森·茨威格上面指出的，投机者依赖于以更高的价格找到买家。如今AMC股票的持有者无疑让许多卖空者的生活变得痛苦。但真的有足够多的新买家来收购AMC目前280亿美元市值以上的现有股东吗？尤其是在没有盈利的情况下不断给股票带来压力的情况下？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股东们，不要赢得克拉伦斯·桑德斯得不偿失的胜利。拿着每股55美元跑吧。快的。在其他投机持有者首先这样做之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Danger Signals For Investors And Speculators<blockquote>AMC：投资者和投机者的危险信号</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.</li>  <li>For investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.</li>  <li>A century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.</li>  <li>Sell before the other speculators do.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabb985556b9f549dd561bf919495d08\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我站在巨人的肩膀上，在AMC上指导你。</li><li>对于投资者来说，没有盈利前景的引力对该股几乎没有支撑。</li><li>对于指望轧空的投机者来说，这是一个百年的警示故事。</li><li>在其他投机者之前卖出。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>RgStudio/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “<i>If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.</i>” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer for<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>, and John Brooks, author of “<i>Business Adventures</i>”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.</p><p><blockquote>我们如何看待模因股票现象？几周前，我与AMC院线控股公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）一起尝试了一下。在读了两篇有趣的文章后，我回来看更多。正如艾萨克·牛顿在1676年所说，“<i>如果说我看得更远了一点，那就是站在巨人的肩膀上。</i>“现在我不是艾萨克·牛顿了。首先，我看起来好多了。但就像齐克一样——艾萨克的朋友们可能从未使用过这个昵称——我也站在巨人的肩膀上。在这种情况下，杰森·茨威格（Jason Zweig）是一位出色的金融市场作家<i>华尔街日报</i>，以及约翰·布鲁克斯，《<i>商业冒险</i>》，比尔盖茨推荐的一本书。我将在本文中大量引用两者，然后为您划清界限AMC。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor vs. trader vs. speculator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者、交易者、投机者</b></blockquote></p><p> Jason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021<i>Wall Street Journal</i>column:</p><p><blockquote>Jason Zweig在他的2021年6月11日以图形方式区分了这三种类型的股票买家<i>华尔街日报</i>柱：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”</i>  So why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assets<i>never</i>came up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>每当你因为有预感或只是为了好玩而购买任何金融资产，或者因为某个名人正在大肆宣传，或者其他人似乎也在购买它，你就不是在投资。你绝对是一个交易者：刚刚购买了一项资产的人。你可能是一个投机者：认为其他人会比你支付更多的钱。”“投资者依赖内部回报来源：收益、收入、资产价值的增长。投机者依赖外部回报来源：主要是其他人是否会支付更多，而不考虑基本价值。”</i>那么为什么AMC的股价一直在上涨呢？我有一个非正式的数据来源，即我6月4日AMC文章的300多条评论。收益，收入，资产价值的增长<i>没有</i>上来了。出现的是“轧空”和股票图表。因此，我预计茨威格先生会将AMC的股票描述为由交易员和投机者推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.</p><p><blockquote>茨威格先生还让我意识到，我的AMC文章遗漏了盈利预测。我给出了很多关于历史趋势的数据，这些数据只是暗示了未来的方向。我在这里纠正这个遗漏。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A 2022 AMC earnings forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年AMC盈利预测</b></blockquote></p><p> I start with the key assumptions:</p><p><blockquote>我从关键假设开始：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f5311cb0ff00c046d122c2c84fc3aea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>My time frame for reference</i>&nbsp;is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.</p><p><blockquote><i>我的参考时间框架</i>是2017年到2019年。早期的数据相关性较低，因为AMC在2016年进行了一项大型收购，而2020年和2021年的数据则因为新冠疫情而相关性更低。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The national box office</i>is the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.</p><p><blockquote><i>全国票房</i>是主要假设。我6月4日的文章显示，自2002年以来，电影上座率一直在下降。明年票房会是多少？流媒体在订户和内容方面的稳定增长无疑是一个阻力。从逻辑上讲，COVID应该增加从场外（剧院）娱乐到家庭娱乐的转变，就像购物和工作一样。保持电影上座率接近19年的水平将是一个小小的奇迹。下降10%，甚至20%的可能性要大得多。如上表所示，我使用所有三种票房假设对2022年AMC每股收益进行预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>AMC market share.</i></b>I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>AMC市场份额。</i></b>我假设AMC的份额会比17-19年的水平有所增加，因为一些竞争影院肯定因新冠疫情的财务压力而退出。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Admissions gross margin.</i></b>This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>招生毛利率。</i></b>这是门票销售的利润减去制片人授权电影的成本。我认为AMC在17-19年保持稳定，但我也可以想象电影制片人会寻求更好的条款，因为AMC必须与越来越多渴望内容的流媒体服务竞标。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food expenses as a percent of sales.</i></b>I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs and<i>multiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.</i>Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品费用占销售额的百分比。</i></b>我继承了低得惊人的数字。AMC，大概还有它的同行，承担他们的食品和饮料成本和<i>将它们对美国电影观众的定价乘以7。</i>走私你自己的Jujifruits，省下一捆。我今年最好的理财建议。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Food and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.</i></b>I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>食品和饮料销售额占票价的百分比。</i></b>我认为AMC小幅上涨的趋势仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Operating expenses</i></b>are the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>营业费用</i></b>是剧院人员、公用事业等的成本。我认为运营费用率的逐步上升趋势仍在继续，原因有二。第一，这些运营费用基本上是固定的，收入将面临压力。其次，当前的劳动力短缺将给低端剧院工作的薪酬水平带来压力，这似乎是合乎逻辑的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:</p><p><blockquote>我们现在已经为我的盈利和现金流模型做好了准备：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b8a5ce8ad10adb3336126cdb0a5e598\" tg-width=\"537\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:</p><p><blockquote>22年的预测是根据上述假设通过“毛利润”线设定的。我的管理费用预测假设AMC正在努力限制费用度过充满挑战的时期：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Depreciation/amortization</i>is a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.</li>  <li><i>Interest expense</i>should decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.</li> </ul> <b>The gravitational pull of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>折旧/摊销</i>是房地产和收购的会计费用的组合。疫情期间进行的减记本应减少这些费用。</li><li><i>利息支出</i>随着AMC用其筹集的股权偿还部分债务，这一数字应该会下降。</li></ul><b>盈利的引力</b></blockquote></p><p> We arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.</p><p><blockquote>我们到达了底线。我能看到的2022年每股收益的最佳情况是大致盈亏平衡。更有可能的是适度的损失。现金流应该会更糟，因为AMC保持影院对不断萎缩的观众的吸引力所需的现金资本支出应该超过其非现金折旧/摊销费用。如果资本支出远低于我的预测，可能是因为AMC管理层承认自己正处于死亡螺旋之中，并希望尽可能榨取现金。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The bottom line - no support for investors.</i>AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words of<i>Trading Places</i>, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”</p><p><blockquote><i>底线是——不支持投资者。</i>AMC的账面价值为负。在COVID之后，它似乎无法赚取任何物质收入。其业务因技术变革而长期下滑，新的竞争对手是拥有巨大资源的怪兽公司——奈飞、迪士尼、康卡斯特等。投资者只能看着AMC目前55美元的股价，不寒而栗地说，用不朽的话来说<i>交易场所</i>、“卖莫蒂默，卖！”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投机游戏——轧空：历史警示</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The book<i>Business Adventures</i>by John Brooks<i>,</i>published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代并没有发明轧空。它几乎和金融市场存在的时间一样长。这本书<i>商业冒险</i>约翰·布鲁克斯<i>,</i>早在1969年就出版了，生动地讲述了20世纪20年代初的空头挤压故事。一个世纪前。我将引用书中的话来说明在没有投资者支持的情况下，投机的故事将如何结束。所以，给自己倒点非法烈酒（我们正走向禁酒令时代），继续读下去。这是第一家超市Piggly Wiggly Stores的创始人克拉伦斯·桑德斯的故事；他那个时代的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> Shorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:</p><p><blockquote>1922年，空头追捧克拉伦斯的股票，将其从50美元推至40美元以下。桑德斯发誓要用空头挤压进行报复。以下是布鲁克斯先生讲述这个故事的摘录：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…</i>”  The sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>桑德斯……购买了33,000股Piggly Wiggly股票，大部分来自卖空者；不到一周，他就将总数增加到了10.5万股——超过了20万股已发行股票的一半。桑德斯购买活动的有效性显而易见；到1923年1月下旬，它已将价格推高了60多美元……</i>“昔日唯一的空头挤压者如今已被成群的“猿”所取代，而猿在推高价格方面要好得多。顺便说一句，信不信由你，一群猿显然被称为“精明”。一群猿很精明——有意思。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”</i>  Today we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>他赚了一大笔钱，证明了一个贫穷的南方男孩是如何教训城市里的狡猾分子的。”</i>今天，我们有猿类坚持对冲基金。</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.</i>”  Something to think about. What was Saunders to do?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>角落里最大的危险之一总是，即使一个玩家可能会击败他的对手，他也会发现他赢得了一场得不偿失的胜利。一旦卖空者被榨干，卖空者可能会发现他在这个过程中积累的大量股票是他脖子上的沉重负担；通过将其全部推回市场，他会将其价格降至零。</i>“值得思考的事情。桑德斯该怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   “[  <i>Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments</i>.”  Pretty clever, no? No:</p><p><blockquote>“[<i>桑德斯的解决方案是出售分期付款计划中价值55美元的股票。在他二月份的广告中，他规定公众只需支付25美元的首付，余款分三期支付10美元即可购买股票</i>“很聪明，不是吗？没有：</blockquote></p><p>   “  <i>At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”</i>  Uh oh. What now?</p><p><blockquote>“<i>在第三天结束时，认购的股份总数仍低于2.5万股，所做的卖出被取消。桑德斯不得不承认这次旅行是失败的。”</i>呃哦。现在怎么办？</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller &amp; Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”</i>  Ouch.</p><p><blockquote><i>“8月22日，Adrian H.Muller&amp;Son的纽约拍卖公司……以每股1美元的价格拍卖了1,500股Piggly Wiggly股票……第二年春天，Saunders进入了正式破产程序。”</i>哎哟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buyers beware</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买家当心</b></blockquote></p><p> As Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?</p><p><blockquote>正如杰森·茨威格上面指出的，投机者依赖于以更高的价格找到买家。如今AMC股票的持有者无疑让许多卖空者的生活变得痛苦。但真的有足够多的新买家来收购AMC目前280亿美元市值以上的现有股东吗？尤其是在没有盈利的情况下不断给股票带来压力的情况下？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股东们，不要赢得克拉伦斯·桑德斯得不偿失的胜利。拿着每股55美元跑吧。快的。在其他投机持有者首先这样做之前。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435360-amc-stock-danger-signals-for-investors-and-speculators","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131310015","content_text":"Summary\n\nI stand on the shoulder of giants to guide you on AMC.\nFor investors, the gravitational pull of no earning prospects provides little support to the stock.\nA century-old cautionary tale for speculators counting on a short squeeze.\nSell before the other speculators do.\n\nRgStudio/E+ via Getty Images\nWhat are we to make of the meme stock phenomena? I tookone stab at itwith AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:AMC)a few weeks ago. I’m back for more, after reading two interesting pieces. As Isaac Newton said in 1676, “If I have seen a little further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.” Now I’m no Isaac Newton. For one, I’m far better looking. But like Zeke – a nickname Isaac’s friends probably never used – I too stand on the shoulders of giants. In this case the shoulders of Jason Zweig, a wonderful financial markets writer forThe Wall Street Journal, and John Brooks, author of “Business Adventures”, a book recommended by Bill Gates. I will quote liberally from both in this article, then draw the line for you to AMC.\nInvestor vs. trader vs. speculator\nJason Zweig graphically distinguished between these three types of stock buyers in hisJune 11, 2021Wall Street Journalcolumn:\n\n “\n Whenever you buy any financial asset because you have a hunch or just for kicks, or because somebody famous is hyping the heck out of it, or everybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may be a speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.”“An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarily whether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.”\n\nSo why has AMC’s stock price been on a tear? I have one informal data source, namely the 300+ comments on my June 4 AMC article. Earnings, income, growth in the value of assetsnevercame up. What did come up was “short squeeze” and stock charts. So I expect Mr. Zweig would describe AMC’s stock as driven by traders and speculators.\nMr. Zweig also made me realize that my AMC article left out an earnings forecast. I gave lots of data on historic trends, which only implied a future direction. I correct that omission here.\nA 2022 AMC earnings forecast\nI start with the key assumptions:\n\nMy time frame for reference is 2017 to 2019. Earlier data is less relevant because AMC made a big acquisition in 2016, and 2020 and 2021 data is even less relevant because of COVID.\nThe national box officeis the major assumption.My June 4 articleshows that movie attendance has been declining since 2002. What will box office be next year? The steady growth in streaming, both in subscribers and content, certainly is a headwind. And COVID logically should increase the shift from offsite (theater) entertainment to home entertainment, as it has for shopping and working. Holding movie attendance near its ’19 level would be a minor miracle. A 10%, or even a 20%, decline is far more likely. As you can see in the table above, I make 2022 AMC EPS forecasts using all three box office assumptions.\nAMC market share.I assume a share increase from AMC’s ’17-’19 level because some competing theaters must have dropped out because of COVID financial pressures.\nAdmissions gross margin.This is the profit from ticket sales less the cost of licensing movies from their producers. I hold AMC steady with ’17-’19, but I can also imagine that movie producers seek better terms because AMC has to bid against a growing pool of streaming services desperate for content.\nFood expenses as a percent of sales.I carry forward the shockingly low number. AMC, and presumably its peers, take their food and beverage costs andmultiply them by 7 in their pricing to us moviegoers.Smuggle in your own Jujifruits and save a bundle. My best financial advice for the year.\nFood and beverage sales as a percent of ticket prices.I assume that AMC’s trend of modest increases continues.\nOperating expensesare the cost of the theater personnel, utilities, etc. I assume the gradual uptrend in the operating expense ratio continues, for two reasons. One, these operating expenses are largely fixed, and revenues will be under pressure. Second, it seems logical that the current labor shortage will pressure pay levels for low-end theater jobs.\nWe’re now ready for my earnings and cash flow models:\n\nThe ’22 forecasts are set by the assumptions above through the “gross profit” line. My overhead expense forecast assumes that AMC is working hard to limit expenses through its challenging times:\n\nDepreciation/amortizationis a combination of accounting expenses for real estate and acquisitions. Write-downs taken during the pandemic should have reduced these expenses.\nInterest expenseshould decline as AMC pays down some debt with the equity it has been raising.\n\nThe gravitational pull of earnings\nWe arrive at the bottom line. The best-case scenario I can see for 2022 EPS is roughly breakeven. More likely is a modest loss. Cash flow should be somewhat worse, because the cash capital spending needed by AMC to keep its theaters attractive to a shrinking audience should exceed its non-cash depreciation/amortization expenses. If capital spending is much lower than I forecast, it is probably because AMC management is conceding that it is in a death spiral and wants to milk what cash it can.\nThe bottom line - no support for investors.AMC’s book value is negative. It appears incapable of earning any material money post-COVID. Its business is in long-term decline due to technology changes, and its new competitors are monster companies – Netflix, Disney, Comcast, etc. – with huge resources. An investor can only look at AMC’s current $55 stock price and with a shudder say, in the immortal words ofTrading Places, “Sell Mortimer, sell!”\nThe speculative play - a short squeeze: A historical cautionary tale\nMillennials did not invent the short squeeze. It has been around almost as long financial markets have existed. The bookBusiness Adventuresby John Brooks,published way back in 1969, tells a vivid tale of a short squeeze even farther back, in the early 1920s. Literally a century ago. I’m going to quote from the book to suggest how the story ends for speculations with no investor support. So pour yourself some illegal hooch (we’re heading to the Prohibition Era) and read on. This is the story of Clarence Saunders, the founder of Piggly Wiggly Stores, the first supermarket; the Amazon of his day.\nShorts went after Clarence’s stock in 1922, driving it from $50 to below $40. Saunders vowed revenge with a short squeeze. Here are excerpts of Mr. Brooks’ recounting of the story:\n\n “\n Saunders…bought 33,000 shares of Piggly Wiggly, mostly from short sellers; within a week he had brought the total to 105,000 – more than half of the 200,000 shares outstanding. The effectiveness of Saunders’ buying campaign was readily apparent; by late January of 1923 it had driven he price up over $60…”\n\nThe sole short squeezer of yore has been replaced by herds of “apes” today, and the apes have been far better in driving up prices. By the way, believe it or not, a group of apes is apparently called a “shrewdness”. A group of apes is shrewd – interesting.\n\n “\n He had made himself a bundle and had demonstrated how a poor Southern boy could teach the city slickers a lesson.”\n\nToday we have apes sticking it to hedge funds.\n\n “\n One of the great hazards in the Corner was always that even though a player might defeat his opponents, he would discover that he had won a Pyrrhic victory. Once the short sellers had been squeezed dry, the cornerer might find that the reams of stock he had accumulated in the process were a dead weight around his neck; by pushing it all back into the market, he would drive its price down to zero.”\n\nSomething to think about. What was Saunders to do?\n\n “[\n Saunders’] solution was to sell his $55 shares on the installment plan. In his February advertisements, he stipulated that the public could buy shares only by paying $25 down and the balance in three $10 installments.”\n\nPretty clever, no? No:\n\n “\n At the end of the third day, the total number of shares subscribed for was still under 25,000, and the sales that were made were canceled. Saunders had to admit that the drive had been a failure.”\n\nUh oh. What now?\n\n“On August 22nd, the New York auction firm of Adrian H. Muller & Son…knocked down 1,500 shares of Piggly Wiggly at $1 a share…The following spring Saunders went through formal bankruptcy proceedings.”\n\nOuch.\nBuyers beware\nAs Jason Zweig noted above, speculators depend upon finding a buyer at a higher price. Today’s holders of AMC stock certainly have made life painful for many short sellers. But are there really enough new buyers to take out current shareholders above AMC’s present $28 billion market cap? Especially with the gravity of no earnings constantly weighing on the stock?\nAMC shareholders, don’t win Clarence Saunders’ Pyrrhic victory. Take your $55 a share and run. Fast. Before the other speculating holders do so first.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166952065,"gmtCreate":1623989326557,"gmtModify":1631889740266,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570622042872208","idStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dont weak guys keep going","listText":"Dont weak guys keep going","text":"Dont weak guys keep 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me","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5335497d3d1581f1631b24dad964a62","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118031101","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159639386,"gmtCreate":1624960651345,"gmtModify":1631885995347,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun buy sg stocks only usa","listText":"Dun buy sg stocks only usa","text":"Dun buy sg stocks only 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$1000","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8654d78140357f41bb7d9e6c9870450","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113705323","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159630657,"gmtCreate":1624960621579,"gmtModify":1631885995359,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>told yall amd is a x10 bagger","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>told yall amd is a x10 bagger","text":"$AMD(AMD)$told yall amd is a x10 bagger","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae5882ec38a7207a99edaea7d951b6e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159630657","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161719706,"gmtCreate":1623940316505,"gmtModify":1631889740274,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>millionaire stock","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>millionaire stock","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$millionaire stock","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbcf8aee155ed5f2f77a2476186c80d6","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161719706","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347823295,"gmtCreate":1618486601317,"gmtModify":1634292622318,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huat&nbsp;","listText":"Huat&nbsp;","text":"Huat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347823295","repostId":"1128319234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128319234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618486201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128319234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 19:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128319234","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Retail reboundThe market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the ec","content":"<p><b>Retail rebound</b></p><p><blockquote><b>零售反弹</b></blockquote></p><p>The market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&amp;P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.</p><p><blockquote>通过今天最新的零售销售数据，市场将深入了解消费者对经济复苏的参与程度。标准普尔期货（SPX）、纳斯达克期货（NDX：IND）和道指期货（INDU）均呈绿色。</blockquote></p><p>The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.</p><p><blockquote>商务部将于美国东部时间上午8:30发布3月份零售销售数据。平均而言，经济学家预计销售额将强劲反弹，销售额将增长5.9%，而2月份则下降了3%。不包括汽车在内的核心零售额预计将增长5%，扭转上个月2.7%的降幅。自去年实施封锁措施以来，零售额在短短四个月内就实现了增长，最近一次是1月份增长了5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果销售额按预期增长，这将是一个很好的迹象，表明最新一轮1400美元的直接支票正在进入经济，提供白宫打算的刺激措施。错过可能表明资金被转移到其他途径，例如储蓄或资产购买。纽约联储上周表示，每一美元的刺激资金中有42美分被节省下来，而25%的资金被支出，其余的用于偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p>Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&amp;P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀交易：对于股市来说，强劲的零售销售数据可能会启动有利于周期性股票的通货再膨胀交易，而周期性股票最近已经失去了动力。尽管发生了一系列影响市场的事件，但标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）仍难以在两个方向上获得牵引力，本周下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理首席信息官马克·海菲尔表示：“通货再膨胀交易一直在放春假。”据彭博社报道，他补充道，随着疫苗接种的推出和经济的复苏，“我们认为投资者应该继续为通货再膨胀做好准备”。金融股（NYSEARCA：XLF）、工业股（NYSEARCA：XLI）和能源股（NYSEARCA：XLE）可能会跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱策略师Emmanuel Cau表示，价值作为对冲过热的手段具有吸引力，但他对休闲、食品零售和汽车不太乐观。</blockquote></p><p>Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.</p><p><blockquote>经济加速，但仍然温和：美联储昨天发布的褐皮书称，美国经济正在以温和的速度加速，而一些受疫情打击最严重的行业正显示出复苏的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“旅游业报告更加乐观，这得益于春假、疫情相关限制放松、疫苗接种增加以及最近的刺激付款等因素对休闲活动和旅行需求的回升。”</blockquote></p><p>Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research写道，经济增长和消费者支出“在过去6周内加速，被压抑的休闲活动和旅行需求开始实现”。“通胀加剧，企业同时面临劳动力短缺和供应链中断。最终，我们继续同意美联储的观点，即近期通胀是暂时性的，而不是结构性的，因此我们认为鲍威尔主席不会将这些通胀压力视为一个重大危险信号。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek补充道：“此外，最新的美联储褐皮书报告继续显示雇主在让工人重返劳动力市场方面面临的挑战。”“随着疫苗的推出和儿童保育变得更加容易，这需要时间，这些因素超出了鲍威尔主席的控制范围。这就是为什么他和美联储继续暗示至少在2022年之前将利率维持在接近零的水平，以让经济足够热以实现他们的双重使命。”</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest snaps up Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ARK Invest抢购Coinbase</b></blockquote></p><p>ARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Investment Management为三只不同的基金购买了新上市的Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）的股票，同时出售了其持有的部分特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股份。</blockquote></p><p>Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood为ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）购买了89,589股Coinbase股票。她为旗舰ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKK）购买了512,535股加密货币交易平台股票。她还向ARK下一代互联网ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKW）添加了147,081股COIN股票。这相当于价值约2.46亿美元的Coinbase股票。</blockquote></p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.</p><p><blockquote>伍德告诉彭博社：“从现在到五年后，逢低买入（Coinbase）将会有很好的机会。”ARK认为机构兴趣可能会使比特币（BTC-USD）的价格增加50万美元。ARK从ARKK出售了185,712股特斯拉股票，从ARKW出售了57,043股该汽车制造商股票。特斯拉是ARKW和ARKK的最大持股。Coinbase昨天首次亮相就上涨了30%，但收盘时较当天开盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>SpaceX valued at $74B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SpaceX估值$74B</b></blockquote></p><p>SpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交的文件，SpaceX(SPACE)增加了上次股权融资的规模。该公司在之前报告的8.5亿美元的基础上又带来了3.14亿美元。新的1.16 B美元的股权融资总额使SpaceX的估值约为740亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.</p><p><blockquote>SpaceX的投资者可能会从Starlink(STRLK)互联网卫星业务中寻求回报。有人猜测Starlink将在某个时候通过IPO获得自由。看看SpaceX的发射计划，最早计划在2022年进行月球之旅，猎鹰9号火箭将代表阿拉伯联合酋长国运送一辆探索漫游车。</blockquote></p><p><b>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司TuSimple已通过IPO筹集了1.35 B美元。</b></blockquote></p><p>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.</p><p><blockquote>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司TuSimple(TSP)在IPO中筹集了1.35 B美元，股价为40美元，高于之前的区间。据彭博社报道，图森未来和一名售股股东以每股40美元的价格出售了3400万股股票，高于35-39美元的预估价格。</blockquote></p><p>The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到了战略投资者的支持，包括大众汽车公司（OTCPK：VLKAF）的重型卡车业务Traton Group、Navistar（纽约证券交易所：NAV）、固特异（纳斯达克：GT）、U.S.Xpress（纽约证券交易所：USX）、NVIDIA（纳斯达克：NVDA）和联合包裹服务公司（纽约证券交易所：UPS）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid Motors表示其新型电动汽车已做好应对寒冷天气的准备</b></blockquote></p><p>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid Motors(LUCIDM)更新了Lucid Air在-40摄氏度下进行的寒冷天气测试。</blockquote></p><p>\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>“Lucid Air达到了所有寒冷天气测试目标，从快速预热到启动、充电等。尽管气温很低，但机舱的安静度还是很显著的。通常情况下，随着温度的下降，车辆的内部部件会变得更加嘈杂。不是Lucid Air。它的NVH方面——或噪音、振动和声振粗糙度——测试得非常好。对于豪华车车主来说，这是一个至关重要的结果。”</blockquote></p><p><b>What else is happening...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还发生了什么...</b></blockquote></p><p>Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.</p><p><blockquote>台积电(NYSE：TSM)每股收益超过预期0.04美元，营收超出预期。Shopify(NYSE：SHOP)在增长推动下失去了一些关键高管。比特币(BTC-USD)徘徊在历史新高附近。石油(CL1：COM)触及3月中旬以来的最高水平强劲的需求前景。高盛表示，由于绿色转型，铜(HG1：COM)将在2025年达到15,000美元/吨。阿斯利康(纳斯达克：AZN)的COVID-19疫苗在印度研究中击败了Ocugen的Covaxinin。</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日市场</b></blockquote></p><p><b>In Asia,</b>Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在亚洲，</b>日本+0.1%。香港-0.4%。中国-0.5%。印度+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In Europe,</b>at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在欧洲，</b>午盘，伦敦+0.4%。巴黎+0.3%。法兰克福+0.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Futures at 6:20,</b>Dow+0.4%. S&amp;P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.</p><p><blockquote><b>6点20分期货，</b>道指+0.4%。标准普尔+0.4%。纳斯达克+0.5%。原油-0.7%至62.70美元。黄金上涨0.6%，至1747.60美元。比特币-2%至62311美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ten-year Treasury Yield</b>-2 bps to1.615%</p><p><blockquote><b>十年期国债收益率</b>-2个基点至1.615%</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Economic Calendar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>8:30首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Philly Fed Business Outlook</p><p><blockquote>8:30费城联储商业展望</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Retail Sales</p><p><blockquote>8:30零售额</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Empire State Mfg Survey</p><p><blockquote>8:30帝国大厦制造业调查</blockquote></p><p>9:15&nbsp;Industrial Production</p><p><blockquote>9:15工业生产</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;Business Inventories</p><p><blockquote>10:00业务库存</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;NAHB Housing Market Index</p><p><blockquote>10:00 NAHB房地产市场指数</blockquote></p><p>10:30&nbsp;EIA Natural Gas Inventory</p><p><blockquote>10:30 EIA天然气库存</blockquote></p><p>11:30&nbsp;Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"</p><p><blockquote>11:30美联储博斯蒂克：《大西洋月刊进展报告：黑人社区状况》</blockquote></p><p>2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech</p><p><blockquote>下午2:00美联储戴利演讲</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"</p><p><blockquote>下午4:00美联储梅斯特：“经济包容性”</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMTreasury International Capital</p><p><blockquote>下午4:00财资国际资本</blockquote></p><p>4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet</p><p><blockquote>下午4:30美联储资产负债表</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Breakfast: Retail Rebound<blockquote>华尔街早餐：零售业反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-15 19:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Retail rebound</b></p><p><blockquote><b>零售反弹</b></blockquote></p><p>The market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&amp;P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.</p><p><blockquote>通过今天最新的零售销售数据，市场将深入了解消费者对经济复苏的参与程度。标准普尔期货（SPX）、纳斯达克期货（NDX：IND）和道指期货（INDU）均呈绿色。</blockquote></p><p>The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.</p><p><blockquote>商务部将于美国东部时间上午8:30发布3月份零售销售数据。平均而言，经济学家预计销售额将强劲反弹，销售额将增长5.9%，而2月份则下降了3%。不包括汽车在内的核心零售额预计将增长5%，扭转上个月2.7%的降幅。自去年实施封锁措施以来，零售额在短短四个月内就实现了增长，最近一次是1月份增长了5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.</p><p><blockquote>如果销售额按预期增长，这将是一个很好的迹象，表明最新一轮1400美元的直接支票正在进入经济，提供白宫打算的刺激措施。错过可能表明资金被转移到其他途径，例如储蓄或资产购买。纽约联储上周表示，每一美元的刺激资金中有42美分被节省下来，而25%的资金被支出，其余的用于偿还债务。</blockquote></p><p>Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&amp;P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.</p><p><blockquote>通货再膨胀交易：对于股市来说，强劲的零售销售数据可能会启动有利于周期性股票的通货再膨胀交易，而周期性股票最近已经失去了动力。尽管发生了一系列影响市场的事件，但标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）仍难以在两个方向上获得牵引力，本周下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p>“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理首席信息官马克·海菲尔表示：“通货再膨胀交易一直在放春假。”据彭博社报道，他补充道，随着疫苗接种的推出和经济的复苏，“我们认为投资者应该继续为通货再膨胀做好准备”。金融股（NYSEARCA：XLF）、工业股（NYSEARCA：XLI）和能源股（NYSEARCA：XLE）可能会跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p>Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱策略师Emmanuel Cau表示，价值作为对冲过热的手段具有吸引力，但他对休闲、食品零售和汽车不太乐观。</blockquote></p><p>Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.</p><p><blockquote>经济加速，但仍然温和：美联储昨天发布的褐皮书称，美国经济正在以温和的速度加速，而一些受疫情打击最严重的行业正显示出复苏的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“旅游业报告更加乐观，这得益于春假、疫情相关限制放松、疫苗接种增加以及最近的刺激付款等因素对休闲活动和旅行需求的回升。”</blockquote></p><p>Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research写道，经济增长和消费者支出“在过去6周内加速，被压抑的休闲活动和旅行需求开始实现”。“通胀加剧，企业同时面临劳动力短缺和供应链中断。最终，我们继续同意美联储的观点，即近期通胀是暂时性的，而不是结构性的，因此我们认为鲍威尔主席不会将这些通胀压力视为一个重大危险信号。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek补充道：“此外，最新的美联储褐皮书报告继续显示雇主在让工人重返劳动力市场方面面临的挑战。”“随着疫苗的推出和儿童保育变得更加容易，这需要时间，这些因素超出了鲍威尔主席的控制范围。这就是为什么他和美联储继续暗示至少在2022年之前将利率维持在接近零的水平，以让经济足够热以实现他们的双重使命。”</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest snaps up Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ARK Invest抢购Coinbase</b></blockquote></p><p>ARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Investment Management为三只不同的基金购买了新上市的Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）的股票，同时出售了其持有的部分特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）股份。</blockquote></p><p>Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood为ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）购买了89,589股Coinbase股票。她为旗舰ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKK）购买了512,535股加密货币交易平台股票。她还向ARK下一代互联网ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKW）添加了147,081股COIN股票。这相当于价值约2.46亿美元的Coinbase股票。</blockquote></p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.</p><p><blockquote>伍德告诉彭博社：“从现在到五年后，逢低买入（Coinbase）将会有很好的机会。”ARK认为机构兴趣可能会使比特币（BTC-USD）的价格增加50万美元。ARK从ARKK出售了185,712股特斯拉股票，从ARKW出售了57,043股该汽车制造商股票。特斯拉是ARKW和ARKK的最大持股。Coinbase昨天首次亮相就上涨了30%，但收盘时较当天开盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p><b>SpaceX valued at $74B</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SpaceX估值$74B</b></blockquote></p><p>SpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)提交的文件，SpaceX(SPACE)增加了上次股权融资的规模。该公司在之前报告的8.5亿美元的基础上又带来了3.14亿美元。新的1.16 B美元的股权融资总额使SpaceX的估值约为740亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.</p><p><blockquote>SpaceX的投资者可能会从Starlink(STRLK)互联网卫星业务中寻求回报。有人猜测Starlink将在某个时候通过IPO获得自由。看看SpaceX的发射计划，最早计划在2022年进行月球之旅，猎鹰9号火箭将代表阿拉伯联合酋长国运送一辆探索漫游车。</blockquote></p><p><b>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司TuSimple已通过IPO筹集了1.35 B美元。</b></blockquote></p><p>Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.</p><p><blockquote>据称，自动驾驶卡车初创公司TuSimple(TSP)在IPO中筹集了1.35 B美元，股价为40美元，高于之前的区间。据彭博社报道，图森未来和一名售股股东以每股40美元的价格出售了3400万股股票，高于35-39美元的预估价格。</blockquote></p><p>The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).</p><p><blockquote>该公司得到了战略投资者的支持，包括大众汽车公司（OTCPK：VLKAF）的重型卡车业务Traton Group、Navistar（纽约证券交易所：NAV）、固特异（纳斯达克：GT）、U.S.Xpress（纽约证券交易所：USX）、NVIDIA（纳斯达克：NVDA）和联合包裹服务公司（纽约证券交易所：UPS）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Lucid Motors表示其新型电动汽车已做好应对寒冷天气的准备</b></blockquote></p><p>Lucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid Motors(LUCIDM)更新了Lucid Air在-40摄氏度下进行的寒冷天气测试。</blockquote></p><p>\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>“Lucid Air达到了所有寒冷天气测试目标，从快速预热到启动、充电等。尽管气温很低，但机舱的安静度还是很显著的。通常情况下，随着温度的下降，车辆的内部部件会变得更加嘈杂。不是Lucid Air。它的NVH方面——或噪音、振动和声振粗糙度——测试得非常好。对于豪华车车主来说，这是一个至关重要的结果。”</blockquote></p><p><b>What else is happening...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还发生了什么...</b></blockquote></p><p>Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.</p><p><blockquote>台积电(NYSE：TSM)每股收益超过预期0.04美元，营收超出预期。Shopify(NYSE：SHOP)在增长推动下失去了一些关键高管。比特币(BTC-USD)徘徊在历史新高附近。石油(CL1：COM)触及3月中旬以来的最高水平强劲的需求前景。高盛表示，由于绿色转型，铜(HG1：COM)将在2025年达到15,000美元/吨。阿斯利康(纳斯达克：AZN)的COVID-19疫苗在印度研究中击败了Ocugen的Covaxinin。</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日市场</b></blockquote></p><p><b>In Asia,</b>Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在亚洲，</b>日本+0.1%。香港-0.4%。中国-0.5%。印度+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In Europe,</b>at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在欧洲，</b>午盘，伦敦+0.4%。巴黎+0.3%。法兰克福+0.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Futures at 6:20,</b>Dow+0.4%. S&amp;P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.</p><p><blockquote><b>6点20分期货，</b>道指+0.4%。标准普尔+0.4%。纳斯达克+0.5%。原油-0.7%至62.70美元。黄金上涨0.6%，至1747.60美元。比特币-2%至62311美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ten-year Treasury Yield</b>-2 bps to1.615%</p><p><blockquote><b>十年期国债收益率</b>-2个基点至1.615%</blockquote></p><p><b>Today's Economic Calendar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>今日经济日历</b></blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>8:30首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Philly Fed Business Outlook</p><p><blockquote>8:30费城联储商业展望</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Retail Sales</p><p><blockquote>8:30零售额</blockquote></p><p>8:30&nbsp;Empire State Mfg Survey</p><p><blockquote>8:30帝国大厦制造业调查</blockquote></p><p>9:15&nbsp;Industrial Production</p><p><blockquote>9:15工业生产</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;Business Inventories</p><p><blockquote>10:00业务库存</blockquote></p><p>10:00&nbsp;NAHB Housing Market Index</p><p><blockquote>10:00 NAHB房地产市场指数</blockquote></p><p>10:30&nbsp;EIA Natural Gas Inventory</p><p><blockquote>10:30 EIA天然气库存</blockquote></p><p>11:30&nbsp;Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"</p><p><blockquote>11:30美联储博斯蒂克：《大西洋月刊进展报告：黑人社区状况》</blockquote></p><p>2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech</p><p><blockquote>下午2:00美联储戴利演讲</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"</p><p><blockquote>下午4:00美联储梅斯特：“经济包容性”</blockquote></p><p>4:00 PMTreasury International Capital</p><p><blockquote>下午4:00财资国际资本</blockquote></p><p>4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet</p><p><blockquote>下午4:30美联储资产负债表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419172-wall-street-breakfast-retail-rebound\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419172-wall-street-breakfast-retail-rebound","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128319234","content_text":"Retail reboundThe market will get some insight into how much the consumer is participating in the economic recovery with the latest retail sales numbers today. S&P futures(SPX), Nasdaq futures(NDX:IND)and Dow futures(INDU)are all in the green.The Commerce Department will release March retail sales at 8:30 AM ET. Economists, on average, are looking for a strong rebound, with sales rising 5.9%, compared with a 3% drop in February. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to rise 5%, reversing a 2.7% decline the month before. Retail sales have posted gains in just four months since the lockdown measures took hold last year, the most recent being a 5.3% gain for January.If sales rise as anticipated, that would be a good indication that the latest round of $1,400 direct checks are making their way into the economy, providing the stimulus intended by the White House. A miss may indicate that the money is being channeled to other avenues, such as savings or asset purchases. The New York Fed said last week that 42 cents of every stimulus dollar were being saved, while 25% of funds are being spent and the rest is being used to pay down debt.Reflation trade: For the stock market, a strong retail sales number could kick-start the reflation trade that favors cyclicals, which has lost steam of late. Despite a number of market-moving events, the S&P(NYSEARCA:SPY)has struggled to gain traction in either direction and is down 0.1% for the week.“The reflation trade has been taking a spring break,” says UBS Global Wealth Management CIO Mark Haefele. “We believe investors should continue to position for reflation” as vaccinations roll out and economies recover, he adds, according to Bloomberg. Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF), Industrials(NYSEARCA:XLI)and Energy(NYSEARCA:XLE)are likely to outperform.Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau says value is attractive as a hedge to overheating, but he's less positive on leisure, food retail and autos.Economy accelerating, but still moderate: The Fed's Beige Book, out yesterday, said the U.S. economy is accelerating to a moderate pace, while some of the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic are showing signs of recovery.\"Reports on tourism were more upbeat, bolstered by a pickup in demand for leisure activities and travel which contacts attributed to spring break, an easing of pandemic-related restrictions, increased vaccinations, and recent stimulus payments among other factors,\" the report said.Economic growth and consumer spending \"accelerated over the last 6 weeks and pent-up demand for leisure activity and travel are starting to materialize,\" DataTrek Research writes. \"Inflation has picked up and companies face both labor shortages and supply chain disruptions. In the end, we continue to agree with the Fed that near-term inflation is transitory rather than structural, so we don’t think Chair Powell will view these inflationary pressures as a major red flag.\"\"Moreover, the latest Fed Beige Book reports continue to show employers’ challenge of pulling workers back into the labor force,\" DataTrek adds. \"That will take time as vaccines roll out and childcare becomes more accessible, factors that are out of Chair Powell’s control. That’s why he and the Fed continue to signal holding rates near zero through at least 2022 to let the economy run hot enough to achieve their dual mandate.\"ARK Invest snaps up CoinbaseARK Investment Management bought shares of newly-public Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)for three different funds, while selling some of its Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)holdings.Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 COIN shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKW). That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg. ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). ARK sold 185,712 shares of Tesla from ARKK and 57,043 shares of the automaker from ARKW. Tesla is the top holding in ARKW and ARKK. Coinbase rose 30% in its debut yesterday, but closed down from where it opened the day.SpaceX valued at $74BSpaceX (SPACE) increased the size of its last equity raise, according to an SEC filing. The company brought in another $314M to add to the $850M previously reported. The new total equity raise of $1.16B values SpaceX at around $74B.Investors in SpaceX are likely to be looking for a payoff from the Starlink (STRLK) Internet satellite business. There is speculation that Starlink will be set free in an IPO at some point. Looking at SpaceX's launch plans, a trip to the moon is planned for as early as 2022 with the Falcon 9 rocket slated to deliver an exploration rover on behalf of the United Arab Emirates.Self-driving truck startup TuSimple is said to have raised $1.35B in IPO.Self-driving truck startup TuSimple (TSP) is said to have raised $1.35B in an IPO, pricing the shares at $40, above an earlier range. TuSimple and a selling shareholder sold 34M shares at $40 each, above an estimated price of $35-$39, according to a Bloomberg report.The company is backed by strategic investors, including Volkswagen AG’s(OTCPK:VLKAF)heavy-truck business The Traton Group, Navistar(NYSE:NAV), Goodyear(NASDAQ:GT), U.S. Xpress(NYSE:USX), NVIDIA(NASDAQ:NVDA)and United Parcel Service(NYSE:UPS).Lucid Motors says its new electric vehicle is ready for the cold stuffLucid Motors (LUCIDM) updates on a cold weather test run on the Lucid Air at -40 degrees Celsius.\"Lucid Air hit all its cold weather testing targets from quickly warming up, to starting, charging, and more. And despite cold temperatures, the quietness of the cabin was notable. Typically, interior components of a vehicle get noisier as its temperature drops. Not Lucid Air. Its NVH aspect - or Noise, Vibration, and Harshness rating - tested exceptionally well. And for luxury vehicle owners, that's a crucial outcome.\"What else is happening...Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)EPS beats by $0.04, beats on revenue.Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)loses some key execsamid growth push.Bitcoin (BTC-USD)hangs near record high.Oil(CL1:COM)hits highest since mid-Marchon strong demand outlook.Copper(HG1:COM)on path to $15K/ton in 2025thanks to green transition, Goldman says.AstraZenca’s(NASDAQ:AZN)COVID-19 vaccine trumps Ocugen's Covaxinin Indian study.Today's MarketsIn Asia,Japan+0.1%. Hong Kong-0.4%. China-0.5%. India+0.6%.In Europe,at midday, London+0.4%. Paris+0.3%. Frankfurt+0.3%.Futures at 6:20,Dow+0.4%. S&P+0.4%. Nasdaq+0.5%. Crude-0.7%to $62.70. Gold+0.6%at $1747.60. Bitcoin-2%to $62311.Ten-year Treasury Yield-2 bps to1.615%Today's Economic Calendar8:30 Initial Jobless Claims8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook8:30 Retail Sales8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey9:15 Industrial Production10:00 Business Inventories10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory11:30 Fed's Bostic: \"The Atlantic's Progress Report: The State of the Black Community\"2:00 PMFed’s Daly Speech4:00 PMFed’s Mester: \"Economic Inclusion\"4:00 PMTreasury International Capital4:30 PMFed Balance Sheet","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159694519,"gmtCreate":1624960550331,"gmtModify":1631885995384,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Boooooo stonk only go up","listText":"Boooooo stonk only go up","text":"Boooooo stonk only go 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>lets go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>lets go","text":"$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$lets 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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347821684","repostId":"2127001675","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328276245,"gmtCreate":1615536327287,"gmtModify":1703490579201,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lit brooo","listText":"Lit brooo","text":"Lit brooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328276245","repostId":"1174750381","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174750381","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615536038,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174750381?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Have Nvidia Shares Finally Hit Bottom?<blockquote>英伟达股价终于触底了吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174750381","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Nvidia has been hammered from its highs, down about 25% at the recent low. Is that the bottom?\nNvidi","content":"<p>Nvidia has been hammered from its highs, down about 25% at the recent low. Is that the bottom?</p><p><blockquote>英伟达从高点遭受重创，较近期低点下跌约25%。那是底部吗？</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;has been a bit of an anomaly. It hasn’t participated in the rally that growth stocks have seen for the last several quarters, but it’s not exactly considered a FAANG holding.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达有点反常。它没有参与成长型股票过去几个季度的反弹，但它并不完全被视为FAANG持有的股票。</blockquote></p><p> While lacking the hyper growth that some of its smaller peers boast, Nvidia has pretty respectable growth among the investment community.</p><p><blockquote>虽然缺乏一些规模较小的同行所吹嘘的高速增长，但英伟达在投资界却取得了相当可观的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In essence, it sits somewhere between FAANG and high-growth stocks. Yet, it seems to be punished on both fronts.</p><p><blockquote>本质上，它介于FAANG和高增长股票之间。然而，它似乎在两方面都受到了惩罚。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has stagnated like FAANG stocks have over the past few quarters, as Apple, Amazon&nbsp;and others continue to consolidate in a sideways manner.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果、亚马逊和其他公司继续横向盘整，英伟达与FAANG股票在过去几个季度一样停滞不前。</blockquote></p><p> Now it’s selling off with high-growth stocks. At its recent low, Nvidia stock was down almost 25%.</p><p><blockquote>现在它正在抛售高增长股票。英伟达股价在近期低点下跌了近25%。</blockquote></p><p> It’s worth mentioning that those losses outpaced Advanced Micro Devices&nbsp;as well, which dipped 21.6% at its low.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是，这些跌幅也超过了Advanced Micro Devices，后者在低点下跌了21.6%。</blockquote></p><p> With shares bouncing now, has Nvidia bottomed?</p><p><blockquote>随着股价反弹，英伟达已经触底了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Nvidia</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易英伟达</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a77cb6d210dcab8ae58e739e9223be2\" tg-width=\"1070\" tg-height=\"736\"><span>Daily chart of Nvidia stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>英伟达股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Late last week, Nvidia looked like it was ready to break down, as shares were trading below the September low and the 200-day moving average. Then the stock posted a strong bounce before the close.</p><p><blockquote>上周晚些时候，英伟达看起来已经准备好崩溃，因为股价低于9月低点和200日移动平均线。随后该股在收盘前出现强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great lesson on applying multiple timeframes to one’s analysis.</p><p><blockquote>这是将多个时间框架应用于分析的一个很好的教训。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, shares closed at the lows and aggressively below the 200-day moving average. For what it’s worth, this was also below the preceding session’s low (Friday March 5), as well as the September low.</p><p><blockquote>周一，股价收于低点，并大幅低于200日移动均线。无论如何，这也低于前一交易日的低点（3月5日星期五），以及9月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> By the looks of the daily chart, this stock was toast.</p><p><blockquote>从日线图来看，这只股票已经完蛋了。</blockquote></p><p> But look at that 50-<i>week</i>moving average sitting down there. Not that there’s anything particularly special about thismoving average in particular, but it was a signal that Nvidia may not be ready to roll over quite yet.</p><p><blockquote>但看看那50-<i>星期</i>移动平均线坐在那里。这条移动平均线并没有什么特别之处，但这是一个信号，表明英伟达可能还没有准备好滚动。</blockquote></p><p> It may not have been enough to inspire bulls to buy, but perhaps it was enough to keep them from selling.</p><p><blockquote>这可能不足以激励多头买入，但也许足以阻止他们卖出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has&nbsp;since ricocheted higher, as it now tries to close above its 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>此后，英伟达股价反弹走高，目前试图收于10日移动均线上方。</blockquote></p><p> I want to say Nvidia stock has bottomed at this point. Perhaps growth stocks have one more leg down, but even if that’s the case, I’d like to see this name avoid another new low.</p><p><blockquote>我想说英伟达股票目前已经触底。也许成长型股票还有一条腿，但即使是这样，我也希望看到这个名字避免再创新低。</blockquote></p><p> If it can stay above $500 and the 200-day moving average, look to see how it handles its 50-day and 100-day moving averages near $540.</p><p><blockquote>如果它能保持在500美元和200日移动平均线上方，看看它如何处理540美元附近的50日和100日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> The action might remain choppy, but Nvidia is a great company with strong fundamentals. Let’s see if the current lows hold.</p><p><blockquote>行动可能仍然波动，但英伟达是一家拥有强劲基本面的伟大公司。让我们看看当前的低点是否会持续。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Have Nvidia Shares Finally Hit Bottom?<blockquote>英伟达股价终于触底了吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHave Nvidia Shares Finally Hit Bottom?<blockquote>英伟达股价终于触底了吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-12 16:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia has been hammered from its highs, down about 25% at the recent low. Is that the bottom?</p><p><blockquote>英伟达从高点遭受重创，较近期低点下跌约25%。那是底部吗？</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;has been a bit of an anomaly. It hasn’t participated in the rally that growth stocks have seen for the last several quarters, but it’s not exactly considered a FAANG holding.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达有点反常。它没有参与成长型股票过去几个季度的反弹，但它并不完全被视为FAANG持有的股票。</blockquote></p><p> While lacking the hyper growth that some of its smaller peers boast, Nvidia has pretty respectable growth among the investment community.</p><p><blockquote>虽然缺乏一些规模较小的同行所吹嘘的高速增长，但英伟达在投资界却取得了相当可观的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In essence, it sits somewhere between FAANG and high-growth stocks. Yet, it seems to be punished on both fronts.</p><p><blockquote>本质上，它介于FAANG和高增长股票之间。然而，它似乎在两方面都受到了惩罚。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has stagnated like FAANG stocks have over the past few quarters, as Apple, Amazon&nbsp;and others continue to consolidate in a sideways manner.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果、亚马逊和其他公司继续横向盘整，英伟达与FAANG股票在过去几个季度一样停滞不前。</blockquote></p><p> Now it’s selling off with high-growth stocks. At its recent low, Nvidia stock was down almost 25%.</p><p><blockquote>现在它正在抛售高增长股票。英伟达股价在近期低点下跌了近25%。</blockquote></p><p> It’s worth mentioning that those losses outpaced Advanced Micro Devices&nbsp;as well, which dipped 21.6% at its low.</p><p><blockquote>值得一提的是，这些跌幅也超过了Advanced Micro Devices，后者在低点下跌了21.6%。</blockquote></p><p> With shares bouncing now, has Nvidia bottomed?</p><p><blockquote>随着股价反弹，英伟达已经触底了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Nvidia</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易英伟达</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a77cb6d210dcab8ae58e739e9223be2\" tg-width=\"1070\" tg-height=\"736\"><span>Daily chart of Nvidia stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>英伟达股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Late last week, Nvidia looked like it was ready to break down, as shares were trading below the September low and the 200-day moving average. Then the stock posted a strong bounce before the close.</p><p><blockquote>上周晚些时候，英伟达看起来已经准备好崩溃，因为股价低于9月低点和200日移动平均线。随后该股在收盘前出现强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great lesson on applying multiple timeframes to one’s analysis.</p><p><blockquote>这是将多个时间框架应用于分析的一个很好的教训。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, shares closed at the lows and aggressively below the 200-day moving average. For what it’s worth, this was also below the preceding session’s low (Friday March 5), as well as the September low.</p><p><blockquote>周一，股价收于低点，并大幅低于200日移动均线。无论如何，这也低于前一交易日的低点（3月5日星期五），以及9月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> By the looks of the daily chart, this stock was toast.</p><p><blockquote>从日线图来看，这只股票已经完蛋了。</blockquote></p><p> But look at that 50-<i>week</i>moving average sitting down there. Not that there’s anything particularly special about thismoving average in particular, but it was a signal that Nvidia may not be ready to roll over quite yet.</p><p><blockquote>但看看那50-<i>星期</i>移动平均线坐在那里。这条移动平均线并没有什么特别之处，但这是一个信号，表明英伟达可能还没有准备好滚动。</blockquote></p><p> It may not have been enough to inspire bulls to buy, but perhaps it was enough to keep them from selling.</p><p><blockquote>这可能不足以激励多头买入，但也许足以阻止他们卖出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia has&nbsp;since ricocheted higher, as it now tries to close above its 10-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>此后，英伟达股价反弹走高，目前试图收于10日移动均线上方。</blockquote></p><p> I want to say Nvidia stock has bottomed at this point. Perhaps growth stocks have one more leg down, but even if that’s the case, I’d like to see this name avoid another new low.</p><p><blockquote>我想说英伟达股票目前已经触底。也许成长型股票还有一条腿，但即使是这样，我也希望看到这个名字避免再创新低。</blockquote></p><p> If it can stay above $500 and the 200-day moving average, look to see how it handles its 50-day and 100-day moving averages near $540.</p><p><blockquote>如果它能保持在500美元和200日移动平均线上方，看看它如何处理540美元附近的50日和100日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> The action might remain choppy, but Nvidia is a great company with strong fundamentals. Let’s see if the current lows hold.</p><p><blockquote>行动可能仍然波动，但英伟达是一家拥有强劲基本面的伟大公司。让我们看看当前的低点是否会持续。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-stock-buy-the-dip-trading-031121\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nvidia-nvda-stock-buy-the-dip-trading-031121","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174750381","content_text":"Nvidia has been hammered from its highs, down about 25% at the recent low. Is that the bottom?\nNvidia has been a bit of an anomaly. It hasn’t participated in the rally that growth stocks have seen for the last several quarters, but it’s not exactly considered a FAANG holding.\nWhile lacking the hyper growth that some of its smaller peers boast, Nvidia has pretty respectable growth among the investment community.\nIn essence, it sits somewhere between FAANG and high-growth stocks. Yet, it seems to be punished on both fronts.\nNvidia has stagnated like FAANG stocks have over the past few quarters, as Apple, Amazon and others continue to consolidate in a sideways manner.\nNow it’s selling off with high-growth stocks. At its recent low, Nvidia stock was down almost 25%.\nIt’s worth mentioning that those losses outpaced Advanced Micro Devices as well, which dipped 21.6% at its low.\nWith shares bouncing now, has Nvidia bottomed?\nTrading Nvidia\nDaily chart of Nvidia stock.\nLate last week, Nvidia looked like it was ready to break down, as shares were trading below the September low and the 200-day moving average. Then the stock posted a strong bounce before the close.\nThis is a great lesson on applying multiple timeframes to one’s analysis.\nOn Monday, shares closed at the lows and aggressively below the 200-day moving average. For what it’s worth, this was also below the preceding session’s low (Friday March 5), as well as the September low.\nBy the looks of the daily chart, this stock was toast.\nBut look at that 50-weekmoving average sitting down there. Not that there’s anything particularly special about thismoving average in particular, but it was a signal that Nvidia may not be ready to roll over quite yet.\nIt may not have been enough to inspire bulls to buy, but perhaps it was enough to keep them from selling.\nNvidia has since ricocheted higher, as it now tries to close above its 10-day moving average.\nI want to say Nvidia stock has bottomed at this point. Perhaps growth stocks have one more leg down, but even if that’s the case, I’d like to see this name avoid another new low.\nIf it can stay above $500 and the 200-day moving average, look to see how it handles its 50-day and 100-day moving averages near $540.\nThe action might remain choppy, but Nvidia is a great company with strong fundamentals. Let’s see if the current lows hold.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164904014,"gmtCreate":1624163945838,"gmtModify":1631885995420,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>heehehhe","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>heehehhe","text":"$AMD(AMD)$heehehhe","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8295b4b947f2062e2e4ca0e17a3b36fa","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164904014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187363536,"gmtCreate":1623741869025,"gmtModify":1631889740298,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>boooooomz","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>boooooomz","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$boooooomz","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a086bc6b2c002558a0827dd6667fae48","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187363536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187382001,"gmtCreate":1623741387503,"gmtModify":1631889740299,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy amc wtf dude","listText":"Buy amc wtf dude","text":"Buy amc wtf dude","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187382001","repostId":"2143178756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181616891,"gmtCreate":1623389623713,"gmtModify":1634033851237,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like pls, buy Microsoft trust me millionaire stock&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like pls, buy Microsoft trust me millionaire stock&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like pls, buy Microsoft trust me millionaire stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181616891","repostId":"2142365279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183127869,"gmtCreate":1623316521451,"gmtModify":1631883892304,"author":{"id":"3570622042872208","authorId":"3570622042872208","name":"labbygabby","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa797ffcaf2dfcc6d6c6457f3cd25536","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570622042872208","authorIdStr":"3570622042872208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BUG\">$Global X Funds - 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