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Sam4533

Sam4533

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2021-06-18

$Cellect Biotechnology(APOP)$OP

2021-06-18

Hey there

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2021-06-18

Hey u

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2021-06-18

Hey Upz

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2021-06-17

Al the best!

2021-06-17

still cab buy?

2021-06-17

$UBS Group AG(UBS)$Free share. tks tigr!

2021-06-17

Sure or not?!

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2021-06-17

I m too late for this!

AMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Maybe Time for a come bk?

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2021-06-17

Crash cmg soon?!

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2021-06-16

Support my SG always!

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2021-06-16

$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$How can that happen!?

2021-06-16

Real smart n grrat stuff

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2021-06-16

Bitcoin is energy killer?

Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Seriously that bad?

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2021-06-16

That is cool stuff

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2021-06-16

Pls push up the stcks

The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote>

2021-06-15

So what is your pedictions today???

2021-06-15

Gold is Go!

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Upz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168839966","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161213218,"gmtCreate":1623928220834,"gmtModify":1634025775473,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Al the best!&nbsp;","listText":"Al the best!&nbsp;","text":"Al the best!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161213218","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161028959,"gmtCreate":1623897207871,"gmtModify":1634026182795,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"still cab buy?","listText":"still cab buy?","text":"still cab buy?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a686463beb2be70eea6d0a39ac4ee2a0","width":"750","height":"1537"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161028959","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161021335,"gmtCreate":1623897163327,"gmtModify":1631885992284,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$UBS Group AG(UBS)$</a>Free share. tks tigr!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$UBS Group AG(UBS)$</a>Free share. tks tigr!","text":"$UBS Group AG(UBS)$Free share. tks tigr!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2d7f515bd5940a00d091dc9e5590157","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161021335","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163793409,"gmtCreate":1623892830801,"gmtModify":1634026311183,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure or not?!","listText":"Sure or not?!","text":"Sure or not?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163793409","repostId":"2144554790","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163707556,"gmtCreate":1623892782675,"gmtModify":1634026314385,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I m too late for this!","listText":"I m too late for this!","text":"I m too late for this!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163707556","repostId":"1157739738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157739738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623891796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157739738?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157739738","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.When I look at AMC’s cha","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>  <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>  <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在成为第二波“模因”或动量股的领头羊后，AMC的举动与游戏驿站一月份的举动类似，表明可能会出现大幅下跌。</li><li>技术面、动量和搜索兴趣等重要短期指标开始形成类似于1月下旬GME的看跌模式。</li><li>鉴于7日和50日移动平均线之间的巨大差距，风险/回报似乎建议获利了结，启动对冲或空头/看跌头寸。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BCFC/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>在过去两周左右的时间里，AMC（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）的股价经历了历史性的上涨。部分由于空头兴趣水平上升、期权的使用以及AMC采取的行动，股价在上个月上涨了约485%。今年，AMC上涨了约763.5%，至每股约55美元，市值为$28.4 B，尽管这一年对公司及其长期业务前景来说是根本性的破坏性。在今年早些时候游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME和其他“reddit”推动的股票的空头和伽马挤压中上涨后，AMC再次获得了动力，并以其表现从该集团中脱颖而出。这篇文章将比较GME在2月份惨败中的领导地位与AMC目前的领导地位，并将评估推动这些举措的催化剂及其寿命。鉴于这种股票价格走势的性质，不断重新考虑你的投资论点并重新评估是什么推动了价格走势是很重要的。在我看来，在这些情况下，技术分析占据了主导地位，我将指出许多因素表明现在可能是获利了结或在预期抛售的情况下建仓的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p><p><blockquote>想想今年早些时候GME的上涨，当时它在一群动量或“模因”股票中处于领先地位。图表上顶部的红色带表示7日移动平均线，蓝色表示50日移动平均线，绿色表示200日移动平均线。从图表中可以看出，突破7日移动平均线之后总是会出现两个方向的大幅波动。在这些剧烈波动的情况下，7日移动平均线似乎是价格走势最有用的指标。正如您在图表中看到的，在2月、3月和6月，当GME价格突破7日移动平均线时，随之而来的是大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，50日移动平均线（蓝线）似乎在这一上升趋势中提供了一定程度的一致支撑，为走势中的几次反弹提供了一定程度的支撑。随着这种上升趋势的持续，50天和7天之间的差距已经缩小，从而在阻力和支撑位方面提供了更小的波动性和更大的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p><p><blockquote>当我看AMC的图表时，它让我想起了2021年2月的GME。上涨迅速而明显（约23天内上涨约350%），类似于GME 2月份的上涨（约21天内上涨约1,525%）。两者都导致短期内7日移动平均线和50日移动平均线之间存在较大差异，因此在上行和下行方面都提供了较高的波动潜力。从GME的图表中可以看出，在前一周触及约350美元后，它最终测试了约45-50美元附近的50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p><p><blockquote>与GME类似，AMC在此次上涨后也在7日均线附近盘整，并使其能够赶上价格走势。如果AMC无法突破62.55美元并呈现新的动能，则有双重见顶的风险，向下突破7日均线，并重新测试20美元附近的50日均线。<i>这种情况会带来约60%的负面影响。</i>尽管我通常不会通过观察时间段来评估未来潜在的价格走势，但我认为重要的是要注意两种走势在时间段方面的相似性，并对GME走势后端的情况保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谷歌搜索兴趣：动量故事</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些举措在很大程度上基于势头，谷歌搜索兴趣可能值得考虑。从图表中可以看出，GME的搜索兴趣在1月底2月初迅速上升和下降，与其股票表现非常一致。它的利息峰值几乎与价格峰值完全一致，利息下降与价格下降完全一致。同样，在测试45美元左右的50日移动平均线后，其利息反弹跟随价格反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p><p><blockquote>当您查看AMC的谷歌搜索兴趣时，您还可以看到它在短时间内急剧飙升，然后随后急剧下降。由于搜索兴趣和交易量是GME 2月份下跌的领先指标，因此该图表可能表明如果无法反弹，可能会出现潜在的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cross-Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交叉分析</b></blockquote></p><p> When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p><p><blockquote>当你将股票价格、搜索兴趣和交易量相互绘制图表时，它们之间的关系都会变得更加清晰，尽管在测量大量数字（如交易量与兴趣）时存在缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑GME时，图表显示变量具有相关性，尤其是在剧烈波动的上下波动中。虽然他们可能会在波动相对较小的时候偏离，但当事情以波动的方式发展时，他们会保持一种关系。在股价上涨后，搜索兴趣和交易量似乎直接引领或下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的图表实际上更清楚地展示了这些变量之间的关系和相关性。考虑一下GME的搜索兴趣和交易量实际上是如何先于价格下跌的，以及AMC的搜索兴趣最近是如何以类似的方式突破其价格的。</blockquote></p><p> While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种分析方法并不完美，但重要的是要记住你的头寸的催化剂是什么，并不断分析它们在市场中的影响持续时间和寿命。与所有短期波动一样，基本面很少提供太多指示或近期价格走势。通常，技术面、成交量和动量提供了对未来价格走势最准确的预测，因此对分析最有用。</blockquote></p><p> Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p><p><blockquote>许多人为推动这一举措提供了催化剂，包括重新开放的叙述、伽马或轧空，或者股票发行带来的新资本涌入。底线是所有这些催化剂的有效寿命都依赖于动量。即使它们是随着时间的推移而发生的催化剂，像这样的价格大幅上涨也会缩短催化剂每日动量的寿命，直到它们重新测试长期平均值并通过增加交易量建立稳定性。</blockquote></p><p> I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p><p><blockquote>我认为谨慎的做法是在这里获利了结，或者至少暂时获利了结超过50%，对于那些感兴趣的人来说，在预期大幅下跌的情况下建仓似乎是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p><p><blockquote>AMC看跌论点的风险包括新的动能和7日移动平均线上方的持续强势。正如我之前所阐述的，这似乎是这些情况下短期价格变动的最关键指标，并且一直是上行和下行剧烈波动的指标。如果AMC保持在该平均线之上并缩小7日与20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，它可能会保持这一较高的成交量和价格水平，并在触及新高之前进行盘整。我从根本上相信，虽然这里有催化剂在起作用，但当在这么短的时间内出现如此戏剧性的走势时，动量和技术因素就会接管决定未来的价格走势。因此，如果技术面崩溃，应该会有明显的下行空间。然而，如果技术面继续看涨，未来可能会有更多上涨空间。然而，AMC看起来与GME 2月份的走势类似，看跌双顶形态似乎正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion</p><p><blockquote>结论</blockquote></p><p></p><p> After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p><p><blockquote>在1月份写了一篇关于AMC的看涨文章后，我们现在看跌该股，认识到关键动量指标的恶化以及与GME 2月份上涨和回落的技术相似性。在这样的事件中，催化剂会变得不稳定，评估投资论文中要点的寿命非常重要。当股价大幅上涨时，通常会有一段获利了结的时间，市场会重新定价催化剂的价值。如果只是动力作为催化剂，那么重新定价往往是鲜明且不稳定的。如果是更长期的催化剂，获利了结可以更加温和。虽然推动AMC崛起的催化剂可能有很多，但毫无疑问，有一个催化剂比所有催化剂都更重要，那就是动量故事。根据我们对GME的研究，考虑到20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，7日移动平均线似乎是大幅下跌之前值得关注的价格水平。随着谷歌搜索趋势、交易量和价格（双顶模式）似乎表明情况正在崩溃，至少与2月份的GME相似。人们应该考虑在这里获利了结，如果倾向于站在另一边，现在就考虑相应地建仓。虽然期权费很高，但我认为仍然有能力用一些短期期权（2周-4周）发起小仓位或对冲。如果价格走势向下，走势将会剧烈，因为下一个支撑位比当前价格低40美元。虽然我认为做空在这里可能是有意义的，而且借贷成本似乎没有那么高，因为做空股票的百分比不是GME的水平，但那里固有的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 09:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>  <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>  <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在成为第二波“模因”或动量股的领头羊后，AMC的举动与游戏驿站一月份的举动类似，表明可能会出现大幅下跌。</li><li>技术面、动量和搜索兴趣等重要短期指标开始形成类似于1月下旬GME的看跌模式。</li><li>鉴于7日和50日移动平均线之间的巨大差距，风险/回报似乎建议获利了结，启动对冲或空头/看跌头寸。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BCFC/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>在过去两周左右的时间里，AMC（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）的股价经历了历史性的上涨。部分由于空头兴趣水平上升、期权的使用以及AMC采取的行动，股价在上个月上涨了约485%。今年，AMC上涨了约763.5%，至每股约55美元，市值为$28.4 B，尽管这一年对公司及其长期业务前景来说是根本性的破坏性。在今年早些时候游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME和其他“reddit”推动的股票的空头和伽马挤压中上涨后，AMC再次获得了动力，并以其表现从该集团中脱颖而出。这篇文章将比较GME在2月份惨败中的领导地位与AMC目前的领导地位，并将评估推动这些举措的催化剂及其寿命。鉴于这种股票价格走势的性质，不断重新考虑你的投资论点并重新评估是什么推动了价格走势是很重要的。在我看来，在这些情况下，技术分析占据了主导地位，我将指出许多因素表明现在可能是获利了结或在预期抛售的情况下建仓的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p><p><blockquote>想想今年早些时候GME的上涨，当时它在一群动量或“模因”股票中处于领先地位。图表上顶部的红色带表示7日移动平均线，蓝色表示50日移动平均线，绿色表示200日移动平均线。从图表中可以看出，突破7日移动平均线之后总是会出现两个方向的大幅波动。在这些剧烈波动的情况下，7日移动平均线似乎是价格走势最有用的指标。正如您在图表中看到的，在2月、3月和6月，当GME价格突破7日移动平均线时，随之而来的是大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，50日移动平均线（蓝线）似乎在这一上升趋势中提供了一定程度的一致支撑，为走势中的几次反弹提供了一定程度的支撑。随着这种上升趋势的持续，50天和7天之间的差距已经缩小，从而在阻力和支撑位方面提供了更小的波动性和更大的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p><p><blockquote>当我看AMC的图表时，它让我想起了2021年2月的GME。上涨迅速而明显（约23天内上涨约350%），类似于GME 2月份的上涨（约21天内上涨约1,525%）。两者都导致短期内7日移动平均线和50日移动平均线之间存在较大差异，因此在上行和下行方面都提供了较高的波动潜力。从GME的图表中可以看出，在前一周触及约350美元后，它最终测试了约45-50美元附近的50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p><p><blockquote>与GME类似，AMC在此次上涨后也在7日均线附近盘整，并使其能够赶上价格走势。如果AMC无法突破62.55美元并呈现新的动能，则有双重见顶的风险，向下突破7日均线，并重新测试20美元附近的50日均线。<i>这种情况会带来约60%的负面影响。</i>尽管我通常不会通过观察时间段来评估未来潜在的价格走势，但我认为重要的是要注意两种走势在时间段方面的相似性，并对GME走势后端的情况保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谷歌搜索兴趣：动量故事</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些举措在很大程度上基于势头，谷歌搜索兴趣可能值得考虑。从图表中可以看出，GME的搜索兴趣在1月底2月初迅速上升和下降，与其股票表现非常一致。它的利息峰值几乎与价格峰值完全一致，利息下降与价格下降完全一致。同样，在测试45美元左右的50日移动平均线后，其利息反弹跟随价格反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p><p><blockquote>当您查看AMC的谷歌搜索兴趣时，您还可以看到它在短时间内急剧飙升，然后随后急剧下降。由于搜索兴趣和交易量是GME 2月份下跌的领先指标，因此该图表可能表明如果无法反弹，可能会出现潜在的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cross-Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交叉分析</b></blockquote></p><p> When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p><p><blockquote>当你将股票价格、搜索兴趣和交易量相互绘制图表时，它们之间的关系都会变得更加清晰，尽管在测量大量数字（如交易量与兴趣）时存在缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑GME时，图表显示变量具有相关性，尤其是在剧烈波动的上下波动中。虽然他们可能会在波动相对较小的时候偏离，但当事情以波动的方式发展时，他们会保持一种关系。在股价上涨后，搜索兴趣和交易量似乎直接引领或下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的图表实际上更清楚地展示了这些变量之间的关系和相关性。考虑一下GME的搜索兴趣和交易量实际上是如何先于价格下跌的，以及AMC的搜索兴趣最近是如何以类似的方式突破其价格的。</blockquote></p><p> While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种分析方法并不完美，但重要的是要记住你的头寸的催化剂是什么，并不断分析它们在市场中的影响持续时间和寿命。与所有短期波动一样，基本面很少提供太多指示或近期价格走势。通常，技术面、成交量和动量提供了对未来价格走势最准确的预测，因此对分析最有用。</blockquote></p><p> Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p><p><blockquote>许多人为推动这一举措提供了催化剂，包括重新开放的叙述、伽马或轧空，或者股票发行带来的新资本涌入。底线是所有这些催化剂的有效寿命都依赖于动量。即使它们是随着时间的推移而发生的催化剂，像这样的价格大幅上涨也会缩短催化剂每日动量的寿命，直到它们重新测试长期平均值并通过增加交易量建立稳定性。</blockquote></p><p> I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p><p><blockquote>我认为谨慎的做法是在这里获利了结，或者至少暂时获利了结超过50%，对于那些感兴趣的人来说，在预期大幅下跌的情况下建仓似乎是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p><p><blockquote>AMC看跌论点的风险包括新的动能和7日移动平均线上方的持续强势。正如我之前所阐述的，这似乎是这些情况下短期价格变动的最关键指标，并且一直是上行和下行剧烈波动的指标。如果AMC保持在该平均线之上并缩小7日与20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，它可能会保持这一较高的成交量和价格水平，并在触及新高之前进行盘整。我从根本上相信，虽然这里有催化剂在起作用，但当在这么短的时间内出现如此戏剧性的走势时，动量和技术因素就会接管决定未来的价格走势。因此，如果技术面崩溃，应该会有明显的下行空间。然而，如果技术面继续看涨，未来可能会有更多上涨空间。然而，AMC看起来与GME 2月份的走势类似，看跌双顶形态似乎正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion</p><p><blockquote>结论</blockquote></p><p></p><p> After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p><p><blockquote>在1月份写了一篇关于AMC的看涨文章后，我们现在看跌该股，认识到关键动量指标的恶化以及与GME 2月份上涨和回落的技术相似性。在这样的事件中，催化剂会变得不稳定，评估投资论文中要点的寿命非常重要。当股价大幅上涨时，通常会有一段获利了结的时间，市场会重新定价催化剂的价值。如果只是动力作为催化剂，那么重新定价往往是鲜明且不稳定的。如果是更长期的催化剂，获利了结可以更加温和。虽然推动AMC崛起的催化剂可能有很多，但毫无疑问，有一个催化剂比所有催化剂都更重要，那就是动量故事。根据我们对GME的研究，考虑到20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，7日移动平均线似乎是大幅下跌之前值得关注的价格水平。随着谷歌搜索趋势、交易量和价格（双顶模式）似乎表明情况正在崩溃，至少与2月份的GME相似。人们应该考虑在这里获利了结，如果倾向于站在另一边，现在就考虑相应地建仓。虽然期权费很高，但我认为仍然有能力用一些短期期权（2周-4周）发起小仓位或对冲。如果价格走势向下，走势将会剧烈，因为下一个支撑位比当前价格低40美元。虽然我认为做空在这里可能是有意义的，而且借贷成本似乎没有那么高，因为做空股票的百分比不是GME的水平，但那里固有的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157739738","content_text":"Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.\nGiven the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.\n\nBCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nOver the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.\nTechnical Analysis\nSource: CNBC(GameStop)\nConsider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.\nInterestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.\nSource: CNBC [AMC]\nWhen I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.\nSimilarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.This scenario offers ~60% downside.Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.\nGoogle Search Interest: The Momentum Story\nSource: Google Search Trends (GameStop)\nAs these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.\nSource: Google Search Trends [AMC]\nWhen you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.\nCross-Analysis\nWhen you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.\nSource: ValueMan\nWhen considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.\nSource: ValueMan\nAMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.\nWhile this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.\nMany have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.\nI think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.\nRisks\nThe risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.\nConclusion\nAfter writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163705042,"gmtCreate":1623892737286,"gmtModify":1631885484405,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe&nbsp;Time for a come bk?","listText":"Maybe&nbsp;Time for a come bk?","text":"Maybe Time for a come bk?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163705042","repostId":"1162107156","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163708884,"gmtCreate":1623892671748,"gmtModify":1634026319075,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash cmg soon?!","listText":"Crash cmg soon?!","text":"Crash cmg soon?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163708884","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169860074,"gmtCreate":1623827854998,"gmtModify":1634027471124,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Support my SG always!","listText":"Support my SG always!","text":"Support my SG always!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169860074","repostId":"2143897767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169319800,"gmtCreate":1623816703000,"gmtModify":1631890020442,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACST\">$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$</a>How can that happen!?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACST\">$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$</a>How can that happen!?","text":"$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$How can that happen!?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da054fc91820ee6aed3ccddbe92102e1","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169319800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169931369,"gmtCreate":1623811639651,"gmtModify":1634027731818,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Real smart n grrat stuff","listText":"Real smart n grrat stuff","text":"Real smart n grrat stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169931369","repostId":"2143806765","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169933266,"gmtCreate":1623811621055,"gmtModify":1634027732434,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bitcoin is energy killer?","listText":"Bitcoin is energy killer?","text":"Bitcoin is energy killer?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169933266","repostId":"1169657028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169657028","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623803407,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169657028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:30","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169657028","media":"Barrons","summary":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a","content":"<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•在合同基础上产生稳定、可靠的现金流，如债券</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Is a Fail for Retail Investors, Goldman Sachs Team Warns<blockquote>高盛团队警告称，比特币是散户投资者的失败</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 08:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs&nbsp;is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.</p><p><blockquote>随着比特币在过去一年飙升至新高，许多人想知道他们是否应该投资它。现在，高盛的一个团队告诉散户投资者，数字货币不值得大多数投资组合——至少现在还不值得。</blockquote></p><p> In a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛投资策略集团（ISG）在给私人财富管理客户的一份新报告中指出，比特币和其他加密货币不符合其认为确定资产类别是否“可投资”的标准。</blockquote></p><p> “While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“虽然数字资产生态系统很可能会彻底改变未来的一切，但这并不意味着加密货币是一种可投资的资产类别。”</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:</p><p><blockquote>高盛的ISG团队采用五项标准来确定包括比特币在内的资产是否是合理的投资，并且要求至少满足三项标准：</blockquote></p><p> • Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds</p><p><blockquote>•在合同基础上产生稳定、可靠的现金流，如债券</blockquote></p><p> • Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities</p><p><blockquote>•通过投资于经济增长（如股票）来创造收益</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio</p><p><blockquote>•为投资组合提供一致且可靠的多样化收益</blockquote></p><p> • Dampen volatility</p><p><blockquote>•抑制波动性</blockquote></p><p> • Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value</p><p><blockquote>•提供一致可靠的证据，证明对冲通货膨胀或通货紧缩是一种价值储存手段</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在每一项标准上都没有达到。该团队指出，加密货币的数据有限，有时质量“很差”。</blockquote></p><p> The note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>该报告发布之际，高盛正在向机构客户扩展其加密货币产品。今年早些时候，高盛投资银行推出了专注于比特币的加密货币交易部门。据彭博社报道，未来几个月，该银行将向客户提供以太币期权和期货。</blockquote></p><p> For typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>对于缺乏资产或无法获得能够承受波动的投资组合策略的典型投资者来说，加密货币没有多大意义。ISG团队写道，作为消费者和私人财富客户的战略资产类别，它们也不太可能增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> By the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.</p><p><blockquote>根据该团队的衡量，基于比特币的“风险、回报和不确定性特征”，在中等风险投资组合中分配1%的加密货币必须产生165%的年回报率才能在投资组合中有意义。2%的分配需要365%的年回报率。但在过去七年里，比特币的年化回报率为69%。</blockquote></p><p> Just a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization&nbsp;lost has been much greater.</p><p><blockquote>就在几个月前，比特币的交易价格还高达6万美元。尽管比特币数量有所增加，但最近的下跌还是发生了，这意味着总市值损失要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> “Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.</p><p><blockquote>该团队写道：“有人在2021年4月以峰值价格购买了比特币，有人在5月晚些时候以较低价格出售，因此实际上损失了一些实际价值。”</blockquote></p><p> Also of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”</p><p><blockquote>该团队还担心加密货币的安全性。曾出现过投资者私钥被盗的情况，因此他们无法访问自己的代币。黑客和网络攻击也发生在所谓的“传统金融体系”中，但投资者有更多的追索权。就加密货币而言，一旦钥匙被盗，投资者通常没有中央机构可以上诉以收回其资产——换句话说，“不是你的钥匙，也不是你的硬币”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-is-a-fail-for-retail-investors-goldman-sachs-team-warns-51623781467?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169657028","content_text":"As Bitcoin soared to new highs over the past year, many wondered if they should invest in it. Now, a team at Goldman Sachs is telling retail investors that the digital currency isn’t worthy of most portfolios—at least not yet.\nIn a new report to private-wealth management clients, Goldman’s Investment Strategy Group (ISG) noted that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fail to meet the criteria it believes determine whether an asset class is “investable.”\n“While the digital asset ecosystem may well revolutionize the future of everything,” the team wrote, “that does not imply that cryptocurrencies are an investable asset class.”\nGoldman’s ISG team applies five criteria to determine whether an asset, including Bitcoin, is a sound investment—and requires at least three to be met:\n• Generate steady, reliable cash flow on a contractual basis, like bonds\n• Generate earnings through exposure to economic growth, like equities\n• Provide consistent and reliable diversification benefits to a portfolio\n• Dampen volatility\n• Provide consistent and reliable evidence of hedging inflation or deflation as a store of value\nBitcoin fell short in each criteria. And the team pointed out that data on cryptocurrency has been limited and sometimes of “poor” quality.\nThe note comes as Goldman is expanding its crypto offerings to institutional clients. Earlier this year, Goldman’s investment bank launched a cryptocurrency trading desk that focused on Bitcoin. In the coming months, the bank will offer ether options and futures to its clients, Bloomberg reported.\nFor typical investors who lack the assets or access to portfolio strategies that would allow them to stomach volatility, cryptos don’t make much sense. Nor are they likely to add value to as a strategic asset class for consumer and private-wealth clients, the ISG team wrote.\nBy the team’s measure, based on Bitcoin’s “risk, return and uncertainty characteristics,” a 1% allocation to the crypto in a moderate-risk portfolio would have to generate an annual return of 165% to make sense in a portfolio. A 2% allocation would require 365% annual return. But over the last seven years Bitcoin has delivered an annualized return of 69%.\nJust a few months ago, Bitcoin traded as high as $60,000.The recent drops occurred even as the number of Bitcoins has increased, meaning the total market capitalization lost has been much greater.\n“Someone bought Bitcoin at peak prices in April 2021 and someone sold at the lower prices later in May, so some real value was actually lost,” the team wrote.\nAlso of concern to the team is the security of cryptocurrencies. There have been instances where investors’ private keys have been stolen, so they can’t access their coins. Hacking and cyberattacks occur in the so-called “traditional financial system,” too, but investors have more recourse. In the case of cryptocurrencies, once a key is stolen, the investor generallydoesn’t have a central authority to appeal to to recoup their assets—in other words, “not your keys, not your coins.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"MBTmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169939210,"gmtCreate":1623811560630,"gmtModify":1634027732924,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously that bad?","listText":"Seriously that bad?","text":"Seriously that bad?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169939210","repostId":"1179874077","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169939970,"gmtCreate":1623811543090,"gmtModify":1634027733292,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is cool stuff","listText":"That is cool stuff","text":"That is cool stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169939970","repostId":"2143753069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169997409,"gmtCreate":1623811499001,"gmtModify":1634027734230,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls push up the stcks","listText":"Pls push up the stcks","text":"Pls push up the stcks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169997409","repostId":"1185142374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185142374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811255,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185142374?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185142374","media":"Barrons","summary":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But ","content":"<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。但央行犯错的余地有限，任何信息传递失误都可能给股市带来高昂的代价。</blockquote></p><p> Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储不会对当前的宽松货币政策做出任何突然或剧烈的改变。尽管通胀高于预期，但10年期国债收益率已从一个月前的1.64%降至1.51%。纳斯达克100指数是大型市值和快速增长的科技公司指数，过去一个月上涨了5%以上。当长期债券收益率保持在低位时，成长型股票的估值会显着提升，因为成长型公司预计利润会在特别长期的基础上增长。不过，尽管投资者预计美联储将很快缩减债券购买计划的规模，这将提高债券价格并降低其收益率，但大多数人认为美联储不会立即或大幅这样做。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfe Research首席投资策略师Chris Senyek写道：“很明显，市场预计美联储主席鲍威尔将强烈重申他的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果美联储不明智地选择措辞，它可能会引发科技股大幅下跌。由于纳斯达克100指数徘徊在6月14日创下的历史新高以下，加上10年期国债收益率远低于2021年1.75%的峰值，如果美联储说错了，科技股很容易受到下行冲击。森耶克指出，美联储可能确实比一些人想象的更愿意缩减或缩小债券购买计划的规模。他引用了最近火爆的通货膨胀。可以肯定的是，大多数市场参与者认为通胀是暂时的，这是从去年封锁期间的低价自然同比反弹的结果。即便如此，如果美联储的讲话表明将在年底前开始缩减规模——这是预期的时间——股市可能会大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p><p><blockquote>“由于股票和债券目前都‘定价完美’，最轻微的沟通失误都可能引发大幅抛售，”Senyek表示，他引用了Nasdsaq 100指数最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储是否即将开始缩减规模，或者只是考虑在未来几个季度采取行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。但央行犯错的余地有限，任何信息传递失误都可能给股市带来高昂的代价。</blockquote></p><p> Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储不会对当前的宽松货币政策做出任何突然或剧烈的改变。尽管通胀高于预期，但10年期国债收益率已从一个月前的1.64%降至1.51%。纳斯达克100指数是大型市值和快速增长的科技公司指数，过去一个月上涨了5%以上。当长期债券收益率保持在低位时，成长型股票的估值会显着提升，因为成长型公司预计利润会在特别长期的基础上增长。不过，尽管投资者预计美联储将很快缩减债券购买计划的规模，这将提高债券价格并降低其收益率，但大多数人认为美联储不会立即或大幅这样做。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfe Research首席投资策略师Chris Senyek写道：“很明显，市场预计美联储主席鲍威尔将强烈重申他的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果美联储不明智地选择措辞，它可能会引发科技股大幅下跌。由于纳斯达克100指数徘徊在6月14日创下的历史新高以下，加上10年期国债收益率远低于2021年1.75%的峰值，如果美联储说错了，科技股很容易受到下行冲击。森耶克指出，美联储可能确实比一些人想象的更愿意缩减或缩小债券购买计划的规模。他引用了最近火爆的通货膨胀。可以肯定的是，大多数市场参与者认为通胀是暂时的，这是从去年封锁期间的低价自然同比反弹的结果。即便如此，如果美联储的讲话表明将在年底前开始缩减规模——这是预期的时间——股市可能会大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p><p><blockquote>“由于股票和债券目前都‘定价完美’，最轻微的沟通失误都可能引发大幅抛售，”Senyek表示，他引用了Nasdsaq 100指数最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储是否即将开始缩减规模，或者只是考虑在未来几个季度采取行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185142374","content_text":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.\nMarkets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.\n“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.\nNow, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.\n“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.\nWatch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187420322,"gmtCreate":1623762435266,"gmtModify":1634028778982,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So what is your pedictions today???","listText":"So what is your pedictions today???","text":"So what is your pedictions today???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187420322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187552403,"gmtCreate":1623760101602,"gmtModify":1634028851218,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571104418346194","idStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gold is Go!","listText":"Gold is Go!","text":"Gold is Go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187552403","repostId":"2143383753","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":169319800,"gmtCreate":1623816703000,"gmtModify":1631890020442,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACST\">$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$</a>How can that happen!?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACST\">$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$</a>How can that happen!?","text":"$Acasti Pharma(ACST)$How can that happen!?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da054fc91820ee6aed3ccddbe92102e1","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169319800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":991,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315183865,"gmtCreate":1612221368157,"gmtModify":1703758930477,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope the market will pickup fast🙏🏻","listText":"Hope the market will pickup fast🙏🏻","text":"Hope the market will pickup fast🙏🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315183865","repostId":"2108271388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163708884,"gmtCreate":1623892671748,"gmtModify":1634026319075,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crash cmg soon?!","listText":"Crash cmg soon?!","text":"Crash cmg soon?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163708884","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187556556,"gmtCreate":1623760080875,"gmtModify":1634028852428,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article","listText":"Great article","text":"Great article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187556556","repostId":"1122638224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168839486,"gmtCreate":1623970455345,"gmtModify":1634025172552,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey u","listText":"Hey u","text":"Hey u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168839486","repostId":"2144742672","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168839966,"gmtCreate":1623970419155,"gmtModify":1634025173284,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey Upz","listText":"Hey Upz","text":"Hey Upz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168839966","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163707556,"gmtCreate":1623892782675,"gmtModify":1634026314385,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I m too late for this!","listText":"I m too late for this!","text":"I m too late for this!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163707556","repostId":"1157739738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157739738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623891796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157739738?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157739738","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.When I look at AMC’s cha","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>  <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>  <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在成为第二波“模因”或动量股的领头羊后，AMC的举动与游戏驿站一月份的举动类似，表明可能会出现大幅下跌。</li><li>技术面、动量和搜索兴趣等重要短期指标开始形成类似于1月下旬GME的看跌模式。</li><li>鉴于7日和50日移动平均线之间的巨大差距，风险/回报似乎建议获利了结，启动对冲或空头/看跌头寸。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BCFC/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>在过去两周左右的时间里，AMC（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）的股价经历了历史性的上涨。部分由于空头兴趣水平上升、期权的使用以及AMC采取的行动，股价在上个月上涨了约485%。今年，AMC上涨了约763.5%，至每股约55美元，市值为$28.4 B，尽管这一年对公司及其长期业务前景来说是根本性的破坏性。在今年早些时候游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME和其他“reddit”推动的股票的空头和伽马挤压中上涨后，AMC再次获得了动力，并以其表现从该集团中脱颖而出。这篇文章将比较GME在2月份惨败中的领导地位与AMC目前的领导地位，并将评估推动这些举措的催化剂及其寿命。鉴于这种股票价格走势的性质，不断重新考虑你的投资论点并重新评估是什么推动了价格走势是很重要的。在我看来，在这些情况下，技术分析占据了主导地位，我将指出许多因素表明现在可能是获利了结或在预期抛售的情况下建仓的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p><p><blockquote>想想今年早些时候GME的上涨，当时它在一群动量或“模因”股票中处于领先地位。图表上顶部的红色带表示7日移动平均线，蓝色表示50日移动平均线，绿色表示200日移动平均线。从图表中可以看出，突破7日移动平均线之后总是会出现两个方向的大幅波动。在这些剧烈波动的情况下，7日移动平均线似乎是价格走势最有用的指标。正如您在图表中看到的，在2月、3月和6月，当GME价格突破7日移动平均线时，随之而来的是大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，50日移动平均线（蓝线）似乎在这一上升趋势中提供了一定程度的一致支撑，为走势中的几次反弹提供了一定程度的支撑。随着这种上升趋势的持续，50天和7天之间的差距已经缩小，从而在阻力和支撑位方面提供了更小的波动性和更大的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p><p><blockquote>当我看AMC的图表时，它让我想起了2021年2月的GME。上涨迅速而明显（约23天内上涨约350%），类似于GME 2月份的上涨（约21天内上涨约1,525%）。两者都导致短期内7日移动平均线和50日移动平均线之间存在较大差异，因此在上行和下行方面都提供了较高的波动潜力。从GME的图表中可以看出，在前一周触及约350美元后，它最终测试了约45-50美元附近的50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p><p><blockquote>与GME类似，AMC在此次上涨后也在7日均线附近盘整，并使其能够赶上价格走势。如果AMC无法突破62.55美元并呈现新的动能，则有双重见顶的风险，向下突破7日均线，并重新测试20美元附近的50日均线。<i>这种情况会带来约60%的负面影响。</i>尽管我通常不会通过观察时间段来评估未来潜在的价格走势，但我认为重要的是要注意两种走势在时间段方面的相似性，并对GME走势后端的情况保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谷歌搜索兴趣：动量故事</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些举措在很大程度上基于势头，谷歌搜索兴趣可能值得考虑。从图表中可以看出，GME的搜索兴趣在1月底2月初迅速上升和下降，与其股票表现非常一致。它的利息峰值几乎与价格峰值完全一致，利息下降与价格下降完全一致。同样，在测试45美元左右的50日移动平均线后，其利息反弹跟随价格反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p><p><blockquote>当您查看AMC的谷歌搜索兴趣时，您还可以看到它在短时间内急剧飙升，然后随后急剧下降。由于搜索兴趣和交易量是GME 2月份下跌的领先指标，因此该图表可能表明如果无法反弹，可能会出现潜在的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cross-Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交叉分析</b></blockquote></p><p> When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p><p><blockquote>当你将股票价格、搜索兴趣和交易量相互绘制图表时，它们之间的关系都会变得更加清晰，尽管在测量大量数字（如交易量与兴趣）时存在缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑GME时，图表显示变量具有相关性，尤其是在剧烈波动的上下波动中。虽然他们可能会在波动相对较小的时候偏离，但当事情以波动的方式发展时，他们会保持一种关系。在股价上涨后，搜索兴趣和交易量似乎直接引领或下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的图表实际上更清楚地展示了这些变量之间的关系和相关性。考虑一下GME的搜索兴趣和交易量实际上是如何先于价格下跌的，以及AMC的搜索兴趣最近是如何以类似的方式突破其价格的。</blockquote></p><p> While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种分析方法并不完美，但重要的是要记住你的头寸的催化剂是什么，并不断分析它们在市场中的影响持续时间和寿命。与所有短期波动一样，基本面很少提供太多指示或近期价格走势。通常，技术面、成交量和动量提供了对未来价格走势最准确的预测，因此对分析最有用。</blockquote></p><p> Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p><p><blockquote>许多人为推动这一举措提供了催化剂，包括重新开放的叙述、伽马或轧空，或者股票发行带来的新资本涌入。底线是所有这些催化剂的有效寿命都依赖于动量。即使它们是随着时间的推移而发生的催化剂，像这样的价格大幅上涨也会缩短催化剂每日动量的寿命，直到它们重新测试长期平均值并通过增加交易量建立稳定性。</blockquote></p><p> I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p><p><blockquote>我认为谨慎的做法是在这里获利了结，或者至少暂时获利了结超过50%，对于那些感兴趣的人来说，在预期大幅下跌的情况下建仓似乎是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p><p><blockquote>AMC看跌论点的风险包括新的动能和7日移动平均线上方的持续强势。正如我之前所阐述的，这似乎是这些情况下短期价格变动的最关键指标，并且一直是上行和下行剧烈波动的指标。如果AMC保持在该平均线之上并缩小7日与20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，它可能会保持这一较高的成交量和价格水平，并在触及新高之前进行盘整。我从根本上相信，虽然这里有催化剂在起作用，但当在这么短的时间内出现如此戏剧性的走势时，动量和技术因素就会接管决定未来的价格走势。因此，如果技术面崩溃，应该会有明显的下行空间。然而，如果技术面继续看涨，未来可能会有更多上涨空间。然而，AMC看起来与GME 2月份的走势类似，看跌双顶形态似乎正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion</p><p><blockquote>结论</blockquote></p><p></p><p> After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p><p><blockquote>在1月份写了一篇关于AMC的看涨文章后，我们现在看跌该股，认识到关键动量指标的恶化以及与GME 2月份上涨和回落的技术相似性。在这样的事件中，催化剂会变得不稳定，评估投资论文中要点的寿命非常重要。当股价大幅上涨时，通常会有一段获利了结的时间，市场会重新定价催化剂的价值。如果只是动力作为催化剂，那么重新定价往往是鲜明且不稳定的。如果是更长期的催化剂，获利了结可以更加温和。虽然推动AMC崛起的催化剂可能有很多，但毫无疑问，有一个催化剂比所有催化剂都更重要，那就是动量故事。根据我们对GME的研究，考虑到20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，7日移动平均线似乎是大幅下跌之前值得关注的价格水平。随着谷歌搜索趋势、交易量和价格（双顶模式）似乎表明情况正在崩溃，至少与2月份的GME相似。人们应该考虑在这里获利了结，如果倾向于站在另一边，现在就考虑相应地建仓。虽然期权费很高，但我认为仍然有能力用一些短期期权（2周-4周）发起小仓位或对冲。如果价格走势向下，走势将会剧烈，因为下一个支撑位比当前价格低40美元。虽然我认为做空在这里可能是有意义的，而且借贷成本似乎没有那么高，因为做空股票的百分比不是GME的水平，但那里固有的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC: Take Profits<blockquote>AMC：获利了结</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 09:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>After emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.</li>  <li>Important short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.</li>  <li>Given the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd621cec481d173c0f0d3b9be49ed335\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1241\"><span>BCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在成为第二波“模因”或动量股的领头羊后，AMC的举动与游戏驿站一月份的举动类似，表明可能会出现大幅下跌。</li><li>技术面、动量和搜索兴趣等重要短期指标开始形成类似于1月下旬GME的看跌模式。</li><li>鉴于7日和50日移动平均线之间的巨大差距，风险/回报似乎建议获利了结，启动对冲或空头/看跌头寸。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BCFC/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>在过去两周左右的时间里，AMC（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）的股价经历了历史性的上涨。部分由于空头兴趣水平上升、期权的使用以及AMC采取的行动，股价在上个月上涨了约485%。今年，AMC上涨了约763.5%，至每股约55美元，市值为$28.4 B，尽管这一年对公司及其长期业务前景来说是根本性的破坏性。在今年早些时候游戏驿站（纽约证券交易所代码：GME和其他“reddit”推动的股票的空头和伽马挤压中上涨后，AMC再次获得了动力，并以其表现从该集团中脱颖而出。这篇文章将比较GME在2月份惨败中的领导地位与AMC目前的领导地位，并将评估推动这些举措的催化剂及其寿命。鉴于这种股票价格走势的性质，不断重新考虑你的投资论点并重新评估是什么推动了价格走势是很重要的。在我看来，在这些情况下，技术分析占据了主导地位，我将指出许多因素表明现在可能是获利了结或在预期抛售的情况下建仓的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d813be28f7a34550ff50814b55a68e45\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"308\"><span>Source: CNBC(GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Consider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.</p><p><blockquote>想想今年早些时候GME的上涨，当时它在一群动量或“模因”股票中处于领先地位。图表上顶部的红色带表示7日移动平均线，蓝色表示50日移动平均线，绿色表示200日移动平均线。从图表中可以看出，突破7日移动平均线之后总是会出现两个方向的大幅波动。在这些剧烈波动的情况下，7日移动平均线似乎是价格走势最有用的指标。正如您在图表中看到的，在2月、3月和6月，当GME价格突破7日移动平均线时，随之而来的是大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，50日移动平均线（蓝线）似乎在这一上升趋势中提供了一定程度的一致支撑，为走势中的几次反弹提供了一定程度的支撑。随着这种上升趋势的持续，50天和7天之间的差距已经缩小，从而在阻力和支撑位方面提供了更小的波动性和更大的可预测性。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30a18cedd2df4fa0530b6c94859b3021\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"252\"><span>Source: CNBC [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.</p><p><blockquote>当我看AMC的图表时，它让我想起了2021年2月的GME。上涨迅速而明显（约23天内上涨约350%），类似于GME 2月份的上涨（约21天内上涨约1,525%）。两者都导致短期内7日移动平均线和50日移动平均线之间存在较大差异，因此在上行和下行方面都提供了较高的波动潜力。从GME的图表中可以看出，在前一周触及约350美元后，它最终测试了约45-50美元附近的50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.<i>This scenario offers ~60% downside.</i>Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.</p><p><blockquote>与GME类似，AMC在此次上涨后也在7日均线附近盘整，并使其能够赶上价格走势。如果AMC无法突破62.55美元并呈现新的动能，则有双重见顶的风险，向下突破7日均线，并重新测试20美元附近的50日均线。<i>这种情况会带来约60%的负面影响。</i>尽管我通常不会通过观察时间段来评估未来潜在的价格走势，但我认为重要的是要注意两种走势在时间段方面的相似性，并对GME走势后端的情况保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Google Search Interest: The Momentum Story</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谷歌搜索兴趣：动量故事</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dda9563f56dc1df868212408e969418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends (GameStop)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势（游戏驿站）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些举措在很大程度上基于势头，谷歌搜索兴趣可能值得考虑。从图表中可以看出，GME的搜索兴趣在1月底2月初迅速上升和下降，与其股票表现非常一致。它的利息峰值几乎与价格峰值完全一致，利息下降与价格下降完全一致。同样，在测试45美元左右的50日移动平均线后，其利息反弹跟随价格反弹。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fba476b389598252d5156f43d0962f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"190\"><span>Source: Google Search Trends [AMC]</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：谷歌搜索趋势[AMC]</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.</p><p><blockquote>当您查看AMC的谷歌搜索兴趣时，您还可以看到它在短时间内急剧飙升，然后随后急剧下降。由于搜索兴趣和交易量是GME 2月份下跌的领先指标，因此该图表可能表明如果无法反弹，可能会出现潜在的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cross-Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交叉分析</b></blockquote></p><p> When you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.</p><p><blockquote>当你将股票价格、搜索兴趣和交易量相互绘制图表时，它们之间的关系都会变得更加清晰，尽管在测量大量数字（如交易量与兴趣）时存在缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71c144385e0530f21df9f305b4eef2f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑GME时，图表显示变量具有相关性，尤其是在剧烈波动的上下波动中。虽然他们可能会在波动相对较小的时候偏离，但当事情以波动的方式发展时，他们会保持一种关系。在股价上涨后，搜索兴趣和交易量似乎直接引领或下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c1aab35454d89a6f58f78341bf918b\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"375\"><span>Source: ValueMan</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ValueMan</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的图表实际上更清楚地展示了这些变量之间的关系和相关性。考虑一下GME的搜索兴趣和交易量实际上是如何先于价格下跌的，以及AMC的搜索兴趣最近是如何以类似的方式突破其价格的。</blockquote></p><p> While this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这种分析方法并不完美，但重要的是要记住你的头寸的催化剂是什么，并不断分析它们在市场中的影响持续时间和寿命。与所有短期波动一样，基本面很少提供太多指示或近期价格走势。通常，技术面、成交量和动量提供了对未来价格走势最准确的预测，因此对分析最有用。</blockquote></p><p> Many have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.</p><p><blockquote>许多人为推动这一举措提供了催化剂，包括重新开放的叙述、伽马或轧空，或者股票发行带来的新资本涌入。底线是所有这些催化剂的有效寿命都依赖于动量。即使它们是随着时间的推移而发生的催化剂，像这样的价格大幅上涨也会缩短催化剂每日动量的寿命，直到它们重新测试长期平均值并通过增加交易量建立稳定性。</blockquote></p><p> I think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.</p><p><blockquote>我认为谨慎的做法是在这里获利了结，或者至少暂时获利了结超过50%，对于那些感兴趣的人来说，在预期大幅下跌的情况下建仓似乎是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.</p><p><blockquote>AMC看跌论点的风险包括新的动能和7日移动平均线上方的持续强势。正如我之前所阐述的，这似乎是这些情况下短期价格变动的最关键指标，并且一直是上行和下行剧烈波动的指标。如果AMC保持在该平均线之上并缩小7日与20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，它可能会保持这一较高的成交量和价格水平，并在触及新高之前进行盘整。我从根本上相信，虽然这里有催化剂在起作用，但当在这么短的时间内出现如此戏剧性的走势时，动量和技术因素就会接管决定未来的价格走势。因此，如果技术面崩溃，应该会有明显的下行空间。然而，如果技术面继续看涨，未来可能会有更多上涨空间。然而，AMC看起来与GME 2月份的走势类似，看跌双顶形态似乎正在形成。</blockquote></p><p> Conclusion</p><p><blockquote>结论</blockquote></p><p></p><p> After writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.</p><p><blockquote>在1月份写了一篇关于AMC的看涨文章后，我们现在看跌该股，认识到关键动量指标的恶化以及与GME 2月份上涨和回落的技术相似性。在这样的事件中，催化剂会变得不稳定，评估投资论文中要点的寿命非常重要。当股价大幅上涨时，通常会有一段获利了结的时间，市场会重新定价催化剂的价值。如果只是动力作为催化剂，那么重新定价往往是鲜明且不稳定的。如果是更长期的催化剂，获利了结可以更加温和。虽然推动AMC崛起的催化剂可能有很多，但毫无疑问，有一个催化剂比所有催化剂都更重要，那就是动量故事。根据我们对GME的研究，考虑到20日和50日移动平均线之间的差距，7日移动平均线似乎是大幅下跌之前值得关注的价格水平。随着谷歌搜索趋势、交易量和价格（双顶模式）似乎表明情况正在崩溃，至少与2月份的GME相似。人们应该考虑在这里获利了结，如果倾向于站在另一边，现在就考虑相应地建仓。虽然期权费很高，但我认为仍然有能力用一些短期期权（2周-4周）发起小仓位或对冲。如果价格走势向下，走势将会剧烈，因为下一个支撑位比当前价格低40美元。虽然我认为做空在这里可能是有意义的，而且借贷成本似乎没有那么高，因为做空股票的百分比不是GME的水平，但那里固有的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435124-amc-stock-take-profits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157739738","content_text":"Summary\n\nAfter emerging as the leader in the second wave of \"meme\" or momentum stocks, AMC's move resembles that of GameStop in January, indicating the potential for stark downside.\nImportant short-term indicators such as technicals, momentum, and search interest are beginning to form a bearish pattern similar to GME in late January.\nGiven the large gap between the 7 and 50-day moving average, the risk/reward seems to suggest taking profits, initiating a hedge or short/put position.\n\nBCFC/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nOver the past two weeks or so, AMC(NYSE:AMC)has undergone a historic rise in its stock price. Due in part to elevated levels of short interest, the use of options, and actions taken by AMC, the equities price has risen ~485% in the last month. For the year, AMC has risen by ~763.5% to a price of ~$55 a share and a market cap of $28.4B, despite a fundamentally destructive year to the company and its long-term business prospects. After rising earlier this year amongst the short and gamma squeeze of GameStop(NYSE:GMEand other “reddit” fueled equities, AMC has gained momentum again and has separated itself from the group with its performance. This piece will compare GME’s leadership in the February fiasco with AMC’s current leadership and will evaluate the catalysts driving the moves and their lifespans. Given the nature of this equities price action, it is important to consistently reconsider your investment thesis and re-evaluate what is driving price action. In my opinion, technical analysis takes over in these scenarios, and I will point to many factors that indicate this might be the time to take profit or initiate a position in anticipation of a sell-off.\nTechnical Analysis\nSource: CNBC(GameStop)\nConsider the run-up in GME earlier this year when it had leadership amongst the pack of momentum or “meme” stocks. The top red band on the chart indicates the 7-day moving average, while the blue indicates the 50-day moving average and the green the 200-day moving average. As you can see from the chart, breakthroughs of the 7-day moving average are consistently followed by large moves in both directions. It seems, with these drastically volatile moves, the 7-day moving average is the most useful indicator for price action. As you can see in the chart, in February, March, and June, when GME’s price broke through the 7-day moving average, stark downside followed.\nInterestingly enough, the 50-day moving average (blue line) has seemed to provide some level of consistent support in this upward trend, providing a level of support for a couple bounces along the move. And as this upward trend has continued, the gap between the 50-day and the 7-day has contracted, thus providing less volatility and greater predictability in terms of levels of resistance and support.\nSource: CNBC [AMC]\nWhen I look at AMC’s chart, it reminds me of GME’s in February of 2021. The upward move has been quick and stark (~350% in ~23 days) similar to GME’s move in February (~1,525% in ~21 days). Both led to a large dispersion between the 7-day and 50-day moving averages in the short term and, thus, offered elevated potential for volatility both in terms of the upside and downside. As you can see from GME’s chart, it eventually tested the 50-day moving average around ~$45-50 after touching ~$350 the week prior.\nSimilarly to GME, AMC has also now consolidated around its 7-day average after this run-up and allowed it to catch up to the price action. If AMC is unable to break through $62.55 and present new momentum, it is at risk of double topping, breaking through its 7-day average on the downside and retesting the 50-day around $20.This scenario offers ~60% downside.Although I don’t usual look at time periods in an effort to evaluate potential future price action, I think it is important to note the similarity in terms of the time period of both moves and stay wary about what followed on the back end of GME’s move.\nGoogle Search Interest: The Momentum Story\nSource: Google Search Trends (GameStop)\nAs these moves are very much based upon momentum, Google search interest may be of value to consider. As you can see from the chart, GME’s search interest rose and fell quickly in late Jan. early Feb., pretty much in line with its equities performance. Its peak in interest pretty much aligned exactly with its peak in price, and its fall in interest aligned exactly with its fall in price. Similarly, its rebound in interest followed its rebound in price after testing the 50-day moving average around ~$45.\nSource: Google Search Trends [AMC]\nWhen you look at AMC’s Google Search Interest, you can also see its dramatic spike in a short period of time and then a subsequent stark decline. As search interest and volume were leading indicators for GME's move downward back in February, this chart might indicate a potential sell-off if it is not able to rebound.\nCross-Analysis\nWhen you chart stock price, search interest, and volume over each other, the relationship between them all becomes clearer, despite the imperfections in measuring a large number like volume to interest.\nSource: ValueMan\nWhen considering GME, the chart demonstrates that the variables have a correlation, especially in the stark and volatile moves upward and downward. While they may stray during times of relative muted volatility, they retain a relationship when things are moving in a volatile nature. Search interest and volume seemingly led or fell directly in line with the stock price following the move upward.\nSource: ValueMan\nAMC’s chart actually demonstrates the relationship and correlation between these variables more clearly. Consider how search interest and volume actually preceded price in GME’s move down and how AMC’s search interest recently broke through its price in a similar manner.\nWhile this method of analysis is not perfect, it is important to remember what the catalysts for your positions are and constantly analyze the duration of their impact and lifespan in the marketplace. As with all short-term volatile moves, fundamentals rarely provide too much of an indication or near term price action. Often, technicals, volume, and momentum provide the most accurate forecasts of future price action and, thus, are the most useful to analyze.\nMany have offered catalysts for what has driven this move, ranging from the re-opening narrative, a gamma or short squeeze, or the influx of new capital from shares issuances. The bottom line is all these catalysts depend upon momentum for their effective lifespan. Even if they are catalysts that will take place over time, dramatic price appreciation like this shortens the lifespan of the catalysts' daily momentum until they retest the longer term averages and establishes stability with heightened volume.\nI think it would be prudent to take profit here or at least take more than 50% off the table for the time being, and for those interested, a position in anticipation of a stark downside seems sensible.\nRisks\nThe risks to the bearish thesis on AMC involve renewed momentum and continued strength above the 7-day moving average. As I elaborated on earlier, that seems to be the most critical indicator of short-term price movement in these scenarios and consistently has been an indicator of a dramatic move to come both on the upside and downside. If AMC holds above this average and tightens the gap between the 7-day and the 20 and 50-day moving averages, it could potentially hold this heightened volume and price level and consolidate before making a move to new highs. I fundamentally believe that, while there are catalysts here at play, when a move is this dramatic in this short of a time frame momentum and technicals take over in determining future price action. And, thus, if the technicals break down, there should be stark downside. However, if the technicals continue to stay bullish, there may be more upside ahead. AMC looks to similar, however, to GME’s February move, and the bearish double top pattern seems to be forming.\nConclusion\nAfter writing a bullish article on AMC in January, we are now bearish on the equity, recognizing the deterioration of key momentum indicators and the technical similarity to the GME’s rise and fall back in February. In events like this, the catalysts get choppy, and it’s important to evaluate the lifespan of the main points to in your investment thesis. When things rise dramatically, there is often a time off profit taken in which the market re-prices just how valuable catalysts are. If it’s just momentum as a catalyst, the re-pricing is often stark and volatile. If it is a more long-term catalyst, the profit taking can be more muted. While there may be many catalysts driving AMC’s rise, there is without doubt one that takes precedent over them all, and that is the momentum story. Given our examination of GME, it seems the 7-day moving average is the price level to look at before dramatic downside, given the gap between the 20 and 50 day moving average. As Google search trends, volume, and price (double top pattern) seem to indicate things are breaking down and are similar at least to GME in February. One should consider taking profits here, and if inclined to take the other side, consider initiating a position accordingly now. While option premiums are high, I think there is still an ability to initiate a small position or a hedge with some short-term options (2 weeks-4 weeks). If price action were to head to the downside, the move would be drastic as the next level of support is $40 lower than the current price. While I think shorting could make sense here, and the cost to borrow doesn’t seem that high as the percentage of shares short is not GME’s level, there is inherently more risk there.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169860074,"gmtCreate":1623827854998,"gmtModify":1634027471124,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Support my SG always!","listText":"Support my SG always!","text":"Support my SG always!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169860074","repostId":"2143897767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169939970,"gmtCreate":1623811543090,"gmtModify":1634027733292,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is cool stuff","listText":"That is cool stuff","text":"That is cool stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169939970","repostId":"2143753069","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168833673,"gmtCreate":1623970487892,"gmtModify":1634025171699,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey there","listText":"Hey there","text":"Hey there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168833673","repostId":"1100514296","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169939210,"gmtCreate":1623811560630,"gmtModify":1634027732924,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seriously that bad?","listText":"Seriously that bad?","text":"Seriously that bad?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169939210","repostId":"1179874077","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187552403,"gmtCreate":1623760101602,"gmtModify":1634028851218,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gold is Go!","listText":"Gold is Go!","text":"Gold is Go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187552403","repostId":"2143383753","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168832131,"gmtCreate":1623970684023,"gmtModify":1631885544015,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APOP\">$Cellect Biotechnology(APOP)$</a>OP","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APOP\">$Cellect Biotechnology(APOP)$</a>OP","text":"$Cellect Biotechnology(APOP)$OP","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95099c26840786a86d4cdb31879d8170","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168832131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163793409,"gmtCreate":1623892830801,"gmtModify":1634026311183,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure or not?!","listText":"Sure or not?!","text":"Sure or not?!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163793409","repostId":"2144554790","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163705042,"gmtCreate":1623892737286,"gmtModify":1631885484405,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe&nbsp;Time for a come bk?","listText":"Maybe&nbsp;Time for a come bk?","text":"Maybe Time for a come bk?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163705042","repostId":"1162107156","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169997409,"gmtCreate":1623811499001,"gmtModify":1634027734230,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls push up the stcks","listText":"Pls push up the stcks","text":"Pls push up the stcks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169997409","repostId":"1185142374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185142374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623811255,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185142374?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185142374","media":"Barrons","summary":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But ","content":"<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。但央行犯错的余地有限，任何信息传递失误都可能给股市带来高昂的代价。</blockquote></p><p> Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储不会对当前的宽松货币政策做出任何突然或剧烈的改变。尽管通胀高于预期，但10年期国债收益率已从一个月前的1.64%降至1.51%。纳斯达克100指数是大型市值和快速增长的科技公司指数，过去一个月上涨了5%以上。当长期债券收益率保持在低位时，成长型股票的估值会显着提升，因为成长型公司预计利润会在特别长期的基础上增长。不过，尽管投资者预计美联储将很快缩减债券购买计划的规模，这将提高债券价格并降低其收益率，但大多数人认为美联储不会立即或大幅这样做。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfe Research首席投资策略师Chris Senyek写道：“很明显，市场预计美联储主席鲍威尔将强烈重申他的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果美联储不明智地选择措辞，它可能会引发科技股大幅下跌。由于纳斯达克100指数徘徊在6月14日创下的历史新高以下，加上10年期国债收益率远低于2021年1.75%的峰值，如果美联储说错了，科技股很容易受到下行冲击。森耶克指出，美联储可能确实比一些人想象的更愿意缩减或缩小债券购买计划的规模。他引用了最近火爆的通货膨胀。可以肯定的是，大多数市场参与者认为通胀是暂时的，这是从去年封锁期间的低价自然同比反弹的结果。即便如此，如果美联储的讲话表明将在年底前开始缩减规模——这是预期的时间——股市可能会大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p><p><blockquote>“由于股票和债券目前都‘定价完美’，最轻微的沟通失误都可能引发大幅抛售，”Senyek表示，他引用了Nasdsaq 100指数最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储是否即将开始缩减规模，或者只是考虑在未来几个季度采取行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Should Talk About Tapering. Here’s What Could Happen to the Stock Market.<blockquote>美联储应该讨论缩减规模。以下是股市可能发生的情况。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计美联储将继续支持经济和金融市场。但央行犯错的余地有限，任何信息传递失误都可能给股市带来高昂的代价。</blockquote></p><p> Markets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while&nbsp;investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储不会对当前的宽松货币政策做出任何突然或剧烈的改变。尽管通胀高于预期，但10年期国债收益率已从一个月前的1.64%降至1.51%。纳斯达克100指数是大型市值和快速增长的科技公司指数，过去一个月上涨了5%以上。当长期债券收益率保持在低位时，成长型股票的估值会显着提升，因为成长型公司预计利润会在特别长期的基础上增长。不过，尽管投资者预计美联储将很快缩减债券购买计划的规模，这将提高债券价格并降低其收益率，但大多数人认为美联储不会立即或大幅这样做。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfe Research首席投资策略师Chris Senyek写道：“很明显，市场预计美联储主席鲍威尔将强烈重申他的立场。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the&nbsp;recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see&nbsp;inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果美联储不明智地选择措辞，它可能会引发科技股大幅下跌。由于纳斯达克100指数徘徊在6月14日创下的历史新高以下，加上10年期国债收益率远低于2021年1.75%的峰值，如果美联储说错了，科技股很容易受到下行冲击。森耶克指出，美联储可能确实比一些人想象的更愿意缩减或缩小债券购买计划的规模。他引用了最近火爆的通货膨胀。可以肯定的是，大多数市场参与者认为通胀是暂时的，这是从去年封锁期间的低价自然同比反弹的结果。即便如此，如果美联储的讲话表明将在年底前开始缩减规模——这是预期的时间——股市可能会大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.</p><p><blockquote>“由于股票和债券目前都‘定价完美’，最轻微的沟通失误都可能引发大幅抛售，”Senyek表示，他引用了Nasdsaq 100指数最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Watch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储是否即将开始缩减规模，或者只是考虑在未来几个季度采取行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-fed-tapering-stock-market-51623777984?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185142374","content_text":"Investors expect the Federal Reserve to remain supportive of the economy and financial markets. But the central bank has limited margin for error, and any miscues on messaging could be costly to the stock market.\nMarkets do not expect the Fed to make any sudden or drastic changes to its current easy-money policy. The 10-year Treasury bond’s yield has fallen to 1.51% from 1.64% a month ago, even as inflation has run hotter than expected. The Nasdaq 100, an index of large capitalization and fast-growing technology companies,is up more than 5% in the past month. Growth stocks see a significant valuation booster when long-dated bond yields remain low, as growth companies expect growing profits on a particularly long-term basis. But while investors expect the Fed to soon reduce the size of its bond-buying program, which would raise bond prices and lower their yields, most don’t think the Fed will do so immediately or drastically.\n“It’s pretty clear that the market expects Fed Chair Powell to strongly reiterate his stances,” writes Chris Senyek, chief investment strategist at Wolfe Research.\nNow, the Fed could stoke a harsh move downwards in tech stocks if it doesn’t choose its words wisely. With the Nasdaq 100 hovering just below a new all-time high set on June 14—accompanied with a 10-year Treasury bond yield that’s well below its 2021 peak of 1.75%—tech stocks are vulnerable to a downward jolt if the Fed misspeaks. Senyek notes that the Fed may indeed be more ready to taper—or reduce the size of its bond-buying program—than some appreciate. He cites the recently hot inflation. To be sure, most market participants see inflation as transitory, a result of a natural year-over-year bounce from low prices during last year’s lockdown. Even so, if the Fed speaks in a way that indicates it will begin tapering before the end of the year—which is the expected timing—stocks could fall sharply.\n“With both stocks and bonds currently ‘priced for perfection,’ the slightest miscommunication could spark a sharp selloff,” says Senyek, who cites the Nasdsaq 100’s recent rise.\nWatch to see if the Fed is about to begin tapering, or is merely considering the move in the coming quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187565223,"gmtCreate":1623759471062,"gmtModify":1634028867683,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe in the coy","listText":"I believe in the coy","text":"I believe in the coy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187565223","repostId":"1127014300","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187566692,"gmtCreate":1623759419916,"gmtModify":1634028869730,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All the way. Nvr gv upz!","listText":"All the way. Nvr gv upz!","text":"All the way. Nvr gv upz!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187566692","repostId":"1127660571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127660571","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623760680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127660571?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127660571","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record clo","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出，客户获取量出现平静，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将利用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 20:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出，客户获取量出现平静，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将利用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127660571","content_text":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.\nIncrease in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\n\n(June 15) Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record. Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.\nOn a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.\nStock Market\nU.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.\nAt 8:38 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.\n\nInvestors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics & more\n1) Vroom(VRM) – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.\n2) Ping Identity(PING) – Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.\n3) Sage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.\n4) Boeing(BA) – The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.\n5) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.\n6) Spirit Airlines(SAVE) – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.\n7) Fastenal(FAST) – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.\n8) AstraZeneca(AZN) – AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.\n9) Cracker Barrel(CBRL) – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.\n10) Novavax(NVAX) – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.\n11) Intuit(INTU) – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.\n12) Vimeo(VMEO) – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187566151,"gmtCreate":1623759402873,"gmtModify":1634028869852,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187566151","repostId":"1127660571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127660571","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623760680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127660571?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127660571","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record clo","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出，客户获取量出现平静，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将利用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 20:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出，客户获取量出现平静，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将利用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127660571","content_text":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.\nIncrease in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\n\n(June 15) Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record. Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.\nOn a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.\nStock Market\nU.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.\nAt 8:38 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.\n\nInvestors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics & more\n1) Vroom(VRM) – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.\n2) Ping Identity(PING) – Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.\n3) Sage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.\n4) Boeing(BA) – The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.\n5) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.\n6) Spirit Airlines(SAVE) – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.\n7) Fastenal(FAST) – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.\n8) AstraZeneca(AZN) – AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.\n9) Cracker Barrel(CBRL) – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.\n10) Novavax(NVAX) – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.\n11) Intuit(INTU) – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.\n12) Vimeo(VMEO) – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161213218,"gmtCreate":1623928220834,"gmtModify":1634025775473,"author":{"id":"3571104418346194","authorId":"3571104418346194","name":"Sam4533","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/606cfe4064306bb22a8fcba8baaa44b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571104418346194","authorIdStr":"3571104418346194"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Al the best!&nbsp;","listText":"Al the best!&nbsp;","text":"Al the best!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161213218","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}