+关注
Joseph6688
暂无个人介绍
IP属地：北京
41
关注
2
粉丝
10
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
Joseph6688
2023-07-31
熬出头了
抱歉，原内容已删除
Joseph6688
2023-03-22
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@美股解毒师:腾讯Q4前瞻：是时候该买点回来了？
Joseph6688
2022-12-30
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3571453143271407","uuid":"3571453143271407","gmtCreate":1608359119915,"gmtModify":1608359119915,"name":"Joseph6688","pinyin":"joseph6688","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":41,"tweetSize":3,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":10,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":5,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.01.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.06.28","exceedPercentage":"80.82%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.03.10","exceedPercentage":"80.85%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.02.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.08","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":203846000500816,"gmtCreate":1690805262758,"gmtModify":1690806188931,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"熬出头了","listText":"熬出头了","text":"熬出头了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/203846000500816","repostId":"1174423630","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650467313,"gmtCreate":1679459017332,"gmtModify":1679459282596,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650467313","repostId":"650520088","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":650520088,"gmtCreate":1679385691145,"gmtModify":1679385882380,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3440721572920950","authorIdStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"腾讯Q4前瞻：是时候该买点回来了？","htmlText":"3月22日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","listText":"3月22日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","text":"3月22日$腾讯控股(00700)$ 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73e5a740fa40b70fea404b4f3eb51f3c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650520088","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":2632,"gmtBegin":1679386268796,"gmtEnd":1679472655394,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你认为腾讯Q4财报会超预期吗？","choices":[{"id":9716,"sort":1,"name":"大超预期","userSize":26,"voted":false},{"id":9717,"sort":2,"name":"微超预期","userSize":50,"voted":false},{"id":9720,"sort":3,"name":"持平预期","userSize":7,"voted":false},{"id":9719,"sort":4,"name":"不及预期","userSize":13,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621254170,"gmtCreate":1672330365390,"gmtModify":1672330607741,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621254170","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":621254170,"gmtCreate":1672330365390,"gmtModify":1672330607741,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621254170","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":203846000500816,"gmtCreate":1690805262758,"gmtModify":1690806188931,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"熬出头了","listText":"熬出头了","text":"熬出头了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/203846000500816","repostId":"1174423630","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650467313,"gmtCreate":1679459017332,"gmtModify":1679459282596,"author":{"id":"3571453143271407","authorId":"3571453143271407","name":"Joseph6688","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571453143271407","authorIdStr":"3571453143271407"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650467313","repostId":"650520088","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":650520088,"gmtCreate":1679385691145,"gmtModify":1679385882380,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3440721572920950","authorIdStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"腾讯Q4前瞻：是时候该买点回来了？","htmlText":"3月22日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","listText":"3月22日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","text":"3月22日$腾讯控股(00700)$ 即将公布22Q4财报，此前市场预期马化腾所说的“降本增效”，会更大程度上地体现在22年下半年的财报上，Q4显然是一个重要节点。目前市场预期的Q4业绩营收1445亿元，同比基本持平；游戏收入418亿元，同比下降2.3%；社交网络（直播、视频等）292亿元，同比持平；在线广告221亿元，同比增长2.6%；金融和企业收入502亿元，同比增长4.8%；EBITDA 426.8亿元，同比增长16.7%调整后净利润308亿元，同比增长24%。基本上也能从市场一致预期中看出来对降本增效的预期。不过值得注意的是，过去5个季度腾讯的营收不及预期，最近两个季度的调整后净利润超过市场预期，换句话说，降本增效的实际效果可能还会超过市场预期。而现在市场上对腾讯业绩预期较高的，认为Q4的营收增长可能到2%Q4是疫情最后一个季度，线下活动受到一定的影响，支付端、企业端也有可能受到影响，不过相应地，可能利好线上娱乐。而游戏、社交娱乐在腾讯营收中的占比更高一些，因此投资者也可以适当考量这个因素，对腾讯业绩预期微微调高一些。我们认为，游戏方面，2022年前三个季度的表现来看，腾讯游戏表现出的韧性要略好于整体游戏大盘，其中海外游戏中的《Valorant》、《Apex 英雄》以及代理发行的《幻塔》更有不俗表现。而2023整个游戏行业呈现出温和复苏之势，更多的版号发放，包括腾讯这样的大厂。虽然这些未必能在2023年前两个季度就能展现，有望在2023年下半年迎来业绩拐点。内容方面，腾讯视频在Q4仍然可能受到广告低迷的影响，但是进入2023以后，随着《三体》等多部重要作品的上线，市场反馈较为乐观，也为后续的订阅及广告增长埋下伏笔。此外，视频号将成为生态内容的关键。2022年6月微信视频号月活规模突破8","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73e5a740fa40b70fea404b4f3eb51f3c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650520088","isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"vote":{"id":2632,"gmtBegin":1679386268796,"gmtEnd":1679472655394,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你认为腾讯Q4财报会超预期吗？","choices":[{"id":9716,"sort":1,"name":"大超预期","userSize":26,"voted":false},{"id":9717,"sort":2,"name":"微超预期","userSize":50,"voted":false},{"id":9720,"sort":3,"name":"持平预期","userSize":7,"voted":false},{"id":9719,"sort":4,"name":"不及预期","userSize":13,"voted":false}]},"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
