+关注
li1986
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
9
关注
2
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
li1986
2021-07-30
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$
time to load up more?
li1986
2021-06-26
Cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-13
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-12
Ok
The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans
li1986
2021-06-11
Cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-11
Cool
Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?
li1986
2021-06-11
france and mbappe!!
@话题虎:端午节福利:欧洲杯明天开幕!有些看点?
li1986
2021-06-11
Cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-10
Ok
Company spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit
li1986
2021-06-08
Ok cool
The second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say
li1986
2021-06-07
Nice
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-06
Ok
Zillow: Significant Downside Remains
li1986
2021-06-06
Alright man
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-04
Seemsgoodtime
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-06-03
Cool
DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now
li1986
2021-06-02
Ok
Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?
li1986
2021-06-02
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-05-31
I see
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-05-26
Alright
抱歉,原内容已删除
li1986
2021-05-24
Cool//
@Alanleejw
: Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3573205405294282","uuid":"3573205405294282","gmtCreate":1610111538051,"gmtModify":1619598154728,"name":"li1986","pinyin":"li1986","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":9,"tweetSize":25,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":2,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.24","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":806387949,"gmtCreate":1627633050681,"gmtModify":1631889357210,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$time to load up more?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806387949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125551076,"gmtCreate":1624681658695,"gmtModify":1631889357231,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125551076","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186403308,"gmtCreate":1623515676104,"gmtModify":1631889357272,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186403308","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188648173,"gmtCreate":1623436174792,"gmtModify":1631889357275,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188648173","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114257617?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p>\n<p>But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p>\n<p><b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and homes...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p>\n<p>While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p>\n<p>And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p>\n<p>This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> \n <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p>\n<p>What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p>\n<p>One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188087451,"gmtCreate":1623416509273,"gmtModify":1631889357288,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188087451","repostId":"1131879907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188002643,"gmtCreate":1623414811282,"gmtModify":1631889357310,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188002643","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147816654","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623411742,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147816654?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147816654","media":"The Street","summary":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The Reddit army is back in full force!</p>\n<p>Meme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.</p>\n<p>One stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was the<b>iShares Silver Trust (SLV)</b>. It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.</p>\n<p>So they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1d77c395486d36223fb07516c1b28c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"308\">Silver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.</p>\n<p>It turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.</p>\n<p>It's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars & coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.</p>\n<p>With that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.</p>\n<p>Stocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.</p>\n<p>That's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The WallStreetBets Crowd Come After Silver Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 19:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/trade-ideas/will-wallstreetbets-crowd-come-after-silver","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147816654","content_text":"In the last meme stock run up, the precious metal became a Reddit trader crowd target after GameStop and AMC.\n\nThe Reddit army is back in full force!\nMeme stocks, driven by members of the WallStreetBets forum on the site looking to short squeeze big hedge funds, first came to prominence in a major way back at the beginning of 2021. GameStop (GME) was the first stock of choice, which saw its stock price rise from around $18 a share on New Year's Day to nearly $500 at its peak. It was soon joined by names, such as AMC Entertainment (AMC), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Express (EXPR) and BlackBerry (BB). After a brief hiatus, the group is back with AMC as their stock of choice.\nOne stock that this group went after wasn't even a stock at all. It was theiShares Silver Trust (SLV). It started with, not surprisingly, aReddit postwhere one trader argued that precious metals prices have been manipulated by the big banks for years and could be an ideal target for the next big squeeze.\nSo they tried it and they were successful.......for a day.\nSilver prices (and the price of SLV) popped by about 10% on the news that the WallStreetBets crowd was going to go after it, but the rally was short-lived. The share price was back down to where it was before the spike the next day and it still hasn't come near its previous heights again.\nIt turns out that moving a stock, such as AMC, and moving the price of silver are two entirely different things. While many people picture jewelry and silverware when they think of silver, in reality, the major of its demand comes from heavy industry.\nIt's used in the production of solar panels, electrical components, fuses, automobiles and industrial adhesives. Silverdemandin 2020 for industrial fabrication purposes was more than triple that of the jewelry market, more than double that for silver bars & coins and more than 15 times that of silverware.\nWith that much constant global demand for silver, which is only expected to continue growing, it's incredibly difficult to whipsaw its price around to any significant degree (especially up to the $1,000 per ounce price target that Reddit was calling for). I'm honestly a little surprised that it was able to generate a one-day 10% gain just on meme stock speculation alone.\nStocks, such as AMC and GameStop, are small enough (they may not technically be considered \"small\" any more) that with enough trading volume they can be pushed pretty significantly in a fairly short amount of time. Plus, the stocks that the Reddit traders were targeting already had high short interest, meaning that any large buying activity was probably exacerbated by people short covering in order to stop the bleeding.\nThat's going to be difficult to pull off for silver. My guess is that the WallStreetBets group never takes a swing at silver again. It seems content to find new targets, such as Clover (CLOV), to try to push to the moon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181552677,"gmtCreate":1623403337099,"gmtModify":1631889357322,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"france and mbappe!!","listText":"france and mbappe!!","text":"france and mbappe!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181552677","repostId":"181584887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181584887,"gmtCreate":1623401994645,"gmtModify":1623404570813,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"端午节福利:欧洲杯明天开幕!有些看点?","htmlText":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>","listText":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>","text":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! $上证指数(000001.SH)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89b9eaa22e8b15bc372b5519f69295e3","width":"1080","height":"3336"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b408705efb6828321245d11440099f6a","width":"1080","height":"895"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e6968eee982e196011498e7f1789856","width":"1080","height":"2500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181584887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181527925,"gmtCreate":1623402984767,"gmtModify":1631889357336,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181527925","repostId":"2142240312","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183570906,"gmtCreate":1623337848105,"gmtModify":1631889357346,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183570906","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128810191","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623307595,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128810191?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 14:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Company spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128810191","media":"cnbc","summary":"Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.Jefferies’ capital expenditure — or capex — indicator is “going ballistic,” the bank said in a research note Monday, and there has been a surge in corporate spending on big-ticket goods such as ships, as well as on smaller items like plant equipment.Investment bankJPMorganalso picked stocks set to get a boost from the c","content":"<div>\n<p>Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Company spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCompany spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 14:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1128810191","content_text":"Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital expenditure — or capex — indicator is “going ballistic,” the bank said in a research note Monday, and there has been a surge in corporate spending on big-ticket goods such as ships, as well as on smaller items like plant equipment.\nInvestment bankJPMorganalso picked stocks set to get a boost from the capital expenditure “bright spot.” It created two new lists of stocks likely to benefit from President Joe Biden’s $2.3 trillion infrastructure plan, as well as the E.U.’s 750 billion euro ($912 billion) recovery fund.\nThe banks’ stock picks include:\nIndustrials stocks\nMost of Jefferies buy-rated picks are industrials. It said U.S. firms were benefiting from a “huge turnaround” in capex and its picks include semiconductor firmAnalog Devicesand truck-makerPaccar. It also likes farm equipment companyJohn Deere, as well as air conditioning company Carrier Global.\nWhen it comes to international corporate spending, the analysts, led by Sean Darby, said: “We were wrong! It is not just the US that is enjoying a huge turnaround in capital investment intentions – even outside of Tech – but also the Rest-of-the-World.”\nJefferies’ international picks include Swedish leisure product manufacturerDometic Groupand German luxury RV-makerKnaus Tabbert, as well as Japanese firmHitachi Constructionand Chinese engineering firmChina Railway Group. All are buy-rated.\nEnergy and materials\nIn a note Monday, JPMorgan said it had put together two baskets of stocks: those set to benefit from President Biden’s infrastructure plan, and those likely to do well from the EU recovery fund. Firms that appear on both lists include steel firmArcelorMittaland Spanish energy companiesEDP RenewablesandIberdrola.\nTechnology and communications\nAnalysts from JPMorgan also picked semiconductor firmsInfineon TechnologiesandSTMicroelectronicsfor both their U.S. and European lists, as well as German firmDeutsche Telekom.\nFirms that appear on both Jefferies’ and JPMorgan’s lists include medical technology groupSiemens Healthineers, French train manufacturerAlstomand security firmAssa Abloy.\nA number of factors have combined to stimulate a capital spending surge, according to Jefferies’ analysts. These include old equipment that needs replacing, “buoyant” CEO confidence, an earnings turnaround leaving balance sheets “flush with cash,” and low industrial inventories.\n“Our US capex indicator has quite literally gone ballistic. It took around six years from the GFC [global financial crisis] to 2015 before a capex recovery emerged in the previous cycle. This one has taken approximately 13 months and has surged to the highest reading in history,” Jefferies’ analysts wrote.\nFor JPMorgan, company profits have also meant a surge in spending. “Corporate capex is on an accelerating path this year, given the strong rebound in corporate profitability, where profits have tended to lead capex pretty consistently. Further, bank lending standards are continuing to improve, which helps capex decisions,” the bank’s analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114442133,"gmtCreate":1623100609622,"gmtModify":1631889357367,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok cool","listText":"Ok cool","text":"Ok cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114442133","repostId":"1196162025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196162025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623049574,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196162025?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 15:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196162025","media":"cnbc","summary":"The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as ","content":"<div>\n<p>The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 15:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1196162025","content_text":"The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage of the economic recovery and the growing number of quality buying opportunities.CNBC Pro combed through the top Wall Street research to find stocks that should bounce back quickly as 2021 rolls on.They include:Audacy,Booking Holdings,Warner Music Group,MatchandSimon.Match GroupThe online dating app company is poised to break out as mobility improves, according to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil.“Lots of upside potential still left ahead,” Patil wrote in a recent note.Match, which owns Tinder and several other dating websites, reported a robust earnings report in early may where it beat on revenue.“Tinder is continuing its momentum, and non-Tinder brands are crushing expectations, reaching a new record of 30% y/y growth in 1Q,” he said.Even as shares are down about 8.7% this year and have struggled under the weight of the pandemic, Patil said investors should stick with the stock.“We see MTCH as one of the strongest business franchises in the Internet sector, believe a likely second-half recovery should be a strong tail wind and would recommend taking advantage of the recent dip in the shares,” he wrote.It should be no surprise then, Patil added, that Match revenue continues to accelerate, especially as consumers reenter society.“MTCH noted that momentum is continuing across the portfolio, partially driven by the vaccine rollouts, particularly in the U.S.,” the firm wrote.Simon Property GroupA strong recovery is finally in sight for the beleaguered real estate investment trust and owner of malls and outlet centers, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Goldfarb wrote in a recent note.The firm raised its price target on Simon to a Street high price target of $150 per share from $130 after the company reported strong first-quarter earnings in May.“All in all, the strong 1Q21 beat and guidance increase, from a team known to be conservative, bodes well for the balance of this year into next,” he said.Additionally, March sales were back to 2019 levels and that should give investors confidence that more foot traffic is just around corner, Goldfarb said.“As the return to normalcy accelerates, we expect the retail landscape to continue its robust rebound, especially into a mask-free 2021 holiday season,” he said.Goldfarb also predicted that consumers may see a familiar face return to Simon malls as it gets closer to December.“This even opens the door for a return of Santa in-person for the holidays, which further showcases the importance of the mall within the consumer landscape,” Goldfarb said.Shares of Simon are up about 55% this year.AudacyInvestors should buy the dip in shares of the broadcast and website radio platform company, Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall said in a note to clients.The company, formerly known as Radio.com, is coming off a mixed first-quarter earnings report, but Cahall said he believes local customer spending is finally picking up and in some cases exceeding 2019 levels.“Audacy remains in our 2H recovery bucket as we expect the local ad market will snap back with reopening,” he wrote.A return to growth in the second quarter is also possible, making the stock attractive right now, Cahall said.“There are early signs of pent-up demand in impacted verticals, such as restaurants, retail, and sporting events — and we believe the combination of small- and mid-sized businesses returning, local events coming back and digital revenue growth will drive a strong top line acceleration in 2H21,” he said.The stock is also cheap, according to Cahall, who has Street high price target of $7 per share on Audacy.“We see no reason why reopening won’t happen so the recent pullback presents a nice entry point for this value stock, in our view,” the firm wrote.Shares finished the week down 1.8%.Warner Music Group - Guggenheim, Buy rating“WMG delivered strong F2Q results with double-digit revenue growth at both Recorded Music and Music Publishing. Importantly, the company’s investments in international growth and digital initiatives support our positive long-term view based on unique intellectual property control, leadership position in new content sourcing and increasing exposure to secular growth businesses. Looking forward, we expect continued revenue strength in streaming/digital driven by a strong 2H release slate & expanded partnerships as well as recovery of COVID impacted businesses like live performances.Match - Susquehanna, Positive rating“Upside Potential Still Left Ahead. … We see MTCH as one of the strongest business franchises in the Internet sector, believe a likely 2H recovery should be a strong tailwind, and would recommend taking advantage of the recent dip in the shares. Tinder is continuing its momentum, and non-Tinder brands are crushing expectations, reaching a new record of 30% y/y growth in 1Q. We view the outlook as solid yet conservative and believe MTCH has an opportunity to further accelerate revenue in 2Q. … MTCH noted that momentum is continuing across the portfolio, partially driven by the vaccine rollouts, particularly in the U.S.”Simon Property - Piper Sandler, Overweight rating“As the return to normalcy accelerates, we expect the retail landscape to continue its robust rebound, especially into a mask-free 2021 holiday season. … Notably, sales in March were back up to 2019 levels, and with the change in CDC guidance we expect an increasing number of shoppers will feel comfortable shopping indoors post-vaccine. This even opens the door for a return of Santa in-person for the holidays, which further showcases the importance of the mall within the consumer landscape. … The strong 1Q21 beat and guidance increase, from a team known to be conservative, bodes well for the balance of this year into next.”Audacy - Wells Fargo, Overweight rating“While the local ad recovery has lagged national to begin the year, AUD expects a hockey stick return to growth beginning in 2Q. … We see no reason why reopening won’t happen so the recent pullback presents a nice entry point for this value stock, in our view. … There are early signs of pent-up demand in impacted verticals, such as restaurants, retail, and sporting events — and we believe the combination of SMB’s returning, local events coming back and digital revenue growth will drive a strong top line acceleration in 2H21. … AUD remains in our 2H recovery bucket as we expect the local ad market will snap back with reopening.”Booking Holdings - Wolfe, Outperform rating“BKNG reported mixed 1Q results, as total bookings beat consensus estimates by 19%, while Revenue and EBITDA were 2% and $90m below the Street, respectively. Management discussed improving trends through April, with U.S. hotel room nights above pre-COVID levels, as pent-up consumer demand is expected to drive a strong summer travel rebound. Trends across Europe remain more challenged given lagging vaccination rates but are expected to improve ahead of the summer months. Overall, near term results remain at depressed levels, but demand trends are picking up and hopes of a strong 2H recovery are intact.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115267782,"gmtCreate":1623014337646,"gmtModify":1631891040076,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115267782","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115157024,"gmtCreate":1622962329068,"gmtModify":1631891040079,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115157024","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>\n <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>\n <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>\n <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The <b>Zillow Group</b> (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Rationale</b></p>\n<p>Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p>\n<p>Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p>\n<p>But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p>\n<p>When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p>\n<p>However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Q1 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Zillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p>\n<p>The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p>\n<p>However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p>\n<p><b>Going Forward</b></p>\n<p>The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that <b>will be down considerably</b> from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p>\n<p>In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p>\n<p>Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March <i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p>\n<p>That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering <b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p>\n<p>Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p>\n<p>The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p>\n<p>That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p>\n<p><b>Summary & Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p>\n<p>I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115155141,"gmtCreate":1622962168383,"gmtModify":1631891040089,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright man","listText":"Alright man","text":"Alright man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115155141","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118463168,"gmtCreate":1622754735354,"gmtModify":1631891040084,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seemsgoodtime","listText":"Seemsgoodtime","text":"Seemsgoodtime","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118463168","repostId":"2140247164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111830643,"gmtCreate":1622674203482,"gmtModify":1631891040121,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111830643","repostId":"1136539394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136539394","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622645429,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136539394?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136539394","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable reven","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>An investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.</li>\n <li>Investors are being asked to pay up 44x forward contribution profits - a rich price tag.</li>\n <li>In the best case, this investment is already fairly priced. Worst case, the stock is very expensive for what it is.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf069f93e17a1c17f3903683376a3070\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1023\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Tibrina Hobson/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>DoorDash(NYSE:DASH)is a fast-growing food delivery platform. Yet, it's very difficult to find its sustainable revenue growth rate for the coming twelve months.</p>\n<p>What's more, given that the stock is already valued at close to 44x forward contribution profits, I don't see this investment as particularly compelling.</p>\n<p>Moreover, even if DoorDash's growth rates start to stabilize, I am unsure of whether this business has enough pricing power to be rewarded with such a premium valuation.</p>\n<p>Revenue Growth Rates Aren't the Full Story</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41fa2e884d0a9f8e36e9404097228d05\" tg-width=\"413\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source: Q1 2021 Investor Letter</span></p>\n<p>On the one hand, the graph above describes one story. The story that bulls are holding on to. Specifically, bulls make the case that DoorDash is evidently growing at such a fast clip with Q1 2021 reporting 198% y/y revenue growth that investors should be willing to pay up for these sort of revenue growth rates.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, bears contend that if we consider DoorDash's guidance for the quarter ahead it's pointing towards Marketplace GOV of $9.9 billion at the high end, which equates to roughly 61% y/y growth for Marketplace GOV.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Into the Positive and Negatives of DoorDash</b></p>\n<p>Presently we are faced with a slight problem.</p>\n<p>For the bullish thesis to work out positively, investors need to be confident as to what DoorDash's sustainable revenue growth rates are going to be as we move over the next twelve months.</p>\n<p>Because for a high growth stock to guide towards decelerating revenue growth rates, that's always going to cause investor anxiety.</p>\n<p>Although, it's inevitable that at <i>some point</i> DoorDash's revenue growth rates are bound to<i>start</i> to decelerate. In fact, it's fairly obvious that DoorDash wasn't going to continue growing its revenues at north of 170% y/y for a prolonged period of time.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the issue gets further complicated because the<i>pace</i>at which DoorDash is slowing growth is causing some questions to surface, such as, at what revenue growth rate will DoorDash stabilize?</p>\n<p>If, for instance, DoorDash was able to somehow report more than 80% y/y revenue growth rates for its quarter ending June 2021, this would largely put to the rest of the overarching concern investors have that as the economy reopens, that the demand for its platform is slowing demand.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, if DoorDash could indeed grow its revenues at 80% y/y, this would demonstrate to investors that DoorDash's business is not maturing and that it has a leading position in a rapidly growing market and that investors are justified in paying a very large multiple for this high growth stock.</p>\n<p>Having said all this, even if DoorDash were to somehow indeed report 80% y/y revenue growth for its upcoming Q2 2021 period, bears would be right to at least<i>tentatively</i>make the argument that, during Q1 2021, DoorDash's revenue growth rates were close to 200%, whereas 90 days later its growth rates have slowed down by more than 100% from one quarter to the next.</p>\n<p>Please note, I'm not comparing sequential growth rates between Q1 and Q2 2021, but y/y growth rates. Consequently, I'm declaring that DoorDash's growth rates are unpredictable.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the case remains, that as DoorDash comes up against those particularly challenging comps, the most pressing of which being Q3 2021. Investors are going to be tested on their ultimate conviction as to whether DoorDash has enough of a moat around its operation, or not. And, if DoorDash can deliver more value to Dashers than other food delivery companies to their own merchants, or not.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation -- Difficult to Find Upside Potential</b></p>\n<p>I know that DoorDash is not a ''bottom-line stock''. It's a story stock where the narrative is squared on it being a high-growth stock. However, our discussion allows us to momentarily focus on its EBITDA trend.</p>\n<p>For Q2 2021, DoorDash is guiding for $100 million of EBITDA. This is a 27% y/y increase with the same period a year ago. But when a company is largely expected to grow its top-line by somewhere around 60% and perhaps as much as 80% y/y in the quarter ahead, while its EBITDA is only being guided to grow for sub 30% y/y growth, this forces the question as to whether DoorDash has positive operating leverage or not?</p>\n<p>Consider that DoorDash's guided $38 billion Marketplace GOV and let us further make the bullish argument that DoorDash's contribution margin reaches a high of 3% for 2021. This would imply that DoorDash's contribution profit for the year reaches $1.1 billion. In that case, DoorDash is valued at approximately 44x forward contribution profits.</p>\n<p>For a company without tangible pricing power around its operations, and a rapidly decelerating top-line growth, I am struggling to find its upside potential here.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I have attempted to lay out a balanced argument of the puts and takes that investors should consider when it comes to DoorDash.</p>\n<p><i>Bulls would be correct to argue that DoorDash is not looking to maximize its profits at this stage in the game</i>. For now, DoorDash will do whatever it can to reinvest its bottom line, in order to sustainably grow its top line and carve out market share.</p>\n<p>However, given that its revenue growth rates are rapidly decelerating, we are only right to question whether DoorDash's reinvestment of its profit carries compelling ROI?</p>\n<p>I declare that these questions are very difficult to correctly answer so I will be looking elsewhere to deploy my own capital. Happy investing!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoorDash: Best Case Scenario, This Is Fairly Priced Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 22:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.\nInvestors are being asked to pay up 44x forward ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DASH":"DoorDash, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432590-doordash-best-case-scenario-this-is-fairly-priced-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136539394","content_text":"Summary\n\nAn investment in DoorDash brings up many questions, such as, what's DoorDash's stable revenue growth rate once the economy reopens.\nInvestors are being asked to pay up 44x forward contribution profits - a rich price tag.\nIn the best case, this investment is already fairly priced. Worst case, the stock is very expensive for what it is.\n\nPhoto by Tibrina Hobson/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nDoorDash(NYSE:DASH)is a fast-growing food delivery platform. Yet, it's very difficult to find its sustainable revenue growth rate for the coming twelve months.\nWhat's more, given that the stock is already valued at close to 44x forward contribution profits, I don't see this investment as particularly compelling.\nMoreover, even if DoorDash's growth rates start to stabilize, I am unsure of whether this business has enough pricing power to be rewarded with such a premium valuation.\nRevenue Growth Rates Aren't the Full Story\nSource: Q1 2021 Investor Letter\nOn the one hand, the graph above describes one story. The story that bulls are holding on to. Specifically, bulls make the case that DoorDash is evidently growing at such a fast clip with Q1 2021 reporting 198% y/y revenue growth that investors should be willing to pay up for these sort of revenue growth rates.\nOn the other hand, bears contend that if we consider DoorDash's guidance for the quarter ahead it's pointing towards Marketplace GOV of $9.9 billion at the high end, which equates to roughly 61% y/y growth for Marketplace GOV.\nDigging Into the Positive and Negatives of DoorDash\nPresently we are faced with a slight problem.\nFor the bullish thesis to work out positively, investors need to be confident as to what DoorDash's sustainable revenue growth rates are going to be as we move over the next twelve months.\nBecause for a high growth stock to guide towards decelerating revenue growth rates, that's always going to cause investor anxiety.\nAlthough, it's inevitable that at some point DoorDash's revenue growth rates are bound tostart to decelerate. In fact, it's fairly obvious that DoorDash wasn't going to continue growing its revenues at north of 170% y/y for a prolonged period of time.\nNonetheless, the issue gets further complicated because thepaceat which DoorDash is slowing growth is causing some questions to surface, such as, at what revenue growth rate will DoorDash stabilize?\nIf, for instance, DoorDash was able to somehow report more than 80% y/y revenue growth rates for its quarter ending June 2021, this would largely put to the rest of the overarching concern investors have that as the economy reopens, that the demand for its platform is slowing demand.\nFurthermore, if DoorDash could indeed grow its revenues at 80% y/y, this would demonstrate to investors that DoorDash's business is not maturing and that it has a leading position in a rapidly growing market and that investors are justified in paying a very large multiple for this high growth stock.\nHaving said all this, even if DoorDash were to somehow indeed report 80% y/y revenue growth for its upcoming Q2 2021 period, bears would be right to at leasttentativelymake the argument that, during Q1 2021, DoorDash's revenue growth rates were close to 200%, whereas 90 days later its growth rates have slowed down by more than 100% from one quarter to the next.\nPlease note, I'm not comparing sequential growth rates between Q1 and Q2 2021, but y/y growth rates. Consequently, I'm declaring that DoorDash's growth rates are unpredictable.\nNevertheless, the case remains, that as DoorDash comes up against those particularly challenging comps, the most pressing of which being Q3 2021. Investors are going to be tested on their ultimate conviction as to whether DoorDash has enough of a moat around its operation, or not. And, if DoorDash can deliver more value to Dashers than other food delivery companies to their own merchants, or not.\nValuation -- Difficult to Find Upside Potential\nI know that DoorDash is not a ''bottom-line stock''. It's a story stock where the narrative is squared on it being a high-growth stock. However, our discussion allows us to momentarily focus on its EBITDA trend.\nFor Q2 2021, DoorDash is guiding for $100 million of EBITDA. This is a 27% y/y increase with the same period a year ago. But when a company is largely expected to grow its top-line by somewhere around 60% and perhaps as much as 80% y/y in the quarter ahead, while its EBITDA is only being guided to grow for sub 30% y/y growth, this forces the question as to whether DoorDash has positive operating leverage or not?\nConsider that DoorDash's guided $38 billion Marketplace GOV and let us further make the bullish argument that DoorDash's contribution margin reaches a high of 3% for 2021. This would imply that DoorDash's contribution profit for the year reaches $1.1 billion. In that case, DoorDash is valued at approximately 44x forward contribution profits.\nFor a company without tangible pricing power around its operations, and a rapidly decelerating top-line growth, I am struggling to find its upside potential here.\nThe Bottom Line\nI have attempted to lay out a balanced argument of the puts and takes that investors should consider when it comes to DoorDash.\nBulls would be correct to argue that DoorDash is not looking to maximize its profits at this stage in the game. For now, DoorDash will do whatever it can to reinvest its bottom line, in order to sustainably grow its top line and carve out market share.\nHowever, given that its revenue growth rates are rapidly decelerating, we are only right to question whether DoorDash's reinvestment of its profit carries compelling ROI?\nI declare that these questions are very difficult to correctly answer so I will be looking elsewhere to deploy my own capital. Happy investing!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113080053,"gmtCreate":1622585087772,"gmtModify":1631891040089,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113080053","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3><p>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3><p>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 19:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113017515,"gmtCreate":1622585043537,"gmtModify":1631891040125,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113017515","repostId":"2140249804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137729533,"gmtCreate":1622396472722,"gmtModify":1631891040124,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I see","listText":"I see","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137729533","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138742186,"gmtCreate":1621980001845,"gmtModify":1631891040123,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138742186","repostId":"2138193407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133799857,"gmtCreate":1621807900679,"gmtModify":1631891040127,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","listText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","text":"Cool//@Alanleejw: Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133799857","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":133194182,"gmtCreate":1621725304746,"gmtModify":1631893187724,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133194182","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113080053,"gmtCreate":1622585087772,"gmtModify":1631891040089,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113080053","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3><p>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3><p>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-01 19:28 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806387949,"gmtCreate":1627633050681,"gmtModify":1631889357210,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>time to load up more?","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$time to load up more?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806387949","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118463168,"gmtCreate":1622754735354,"gmtModify":1631891040084,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seemsgoodtime","listText":"Seemsgoodtime","text":"Seemsgoodtime","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118463168","repostId":"2140247164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196362415,"gmtCreate":1621026982037,"gmtModify":1631893187725,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196362415","repostId":"2135710626","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113017515,"gmtCreate":1622585043537,"gmtModify":1631891040125,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113017515","repostId":"2140249804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138742186,"gmtCreate":1621980001845,"gmtModify":1631891040123,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138742186","repostId":"2138193407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186403308,"gmtCreate":1623515676104,"gmtModify":1631889357272,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186403308","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188648173,"gmtCreate":1623436174792,"gmtModify":1631889357275,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188648173","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114257617?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p>\n<p>But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p>\n<p><b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and homes...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p>\n<p>While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p>\n<p>And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p>\n<p>This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> \n <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p>\n<p>What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p>\n<p>One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:31 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137729533,"gmtCreate":1622396472722,"gmtModify":1631891040124,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I see","listText":"I see","text":"I see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137729533","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114442133,"gmtCreate":1623100609622,"gmtModify":1631889357367,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok cool","listText":"Ok cool","text":"Ok cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114442133","repostId":"1196162025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196162025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623049574,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196162025?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-07 15:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196162025","media":"cnbc","summary":"The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as ","content":"<div>\n<p>The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe second-half recovery is underway, and these are the top stocks to own, analysts say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 15:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/06/analysts-like-top-stocks-for-the-recovery-match-booking-holdings.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1196162025","content_text":"The reopening is well underway, and this week Wall Street analysts named some of their top ideas as the second half of 2021 nears.Analysts say the time is now for investors to begin taking advantage of the economic recovery and the growing number of quality buying opportunities.CNBC Pro combed through the top Wall Street research to find stocks that should bounce back quickly as 2021 rolls on.They include:Audacy,Booking Holdings,Warner Music Group,MatchandSimon.Match GroupThe online dating app company is poised to break out as mobility improves, according to Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil.“Lots of upside potential still left ahead,” Patil wrote in a recent note.Match, which owns Tinder and several other dating websites, reported a robust earnings report in early may where it beat on revenue.“Tinder is continuing its momentum, and non-Tinder brands are crushing expectations, reaching a new record of 30% y/y growth in 1Q,” he said.Even as shares are down about 8.7% this year and have struggled under the weight of the pandemic, Patil said investors should stick with the stock.“We see MTCH as one of the strongest business franchises in the Internet sector, believe a likely second-half recovery should be a strong tail wind and would recommend taking advantage of the recent dip in the shares,” he wrote.It should be no surprise then, Patil added, that Match revenue continues to accelerate, especially as consumers reenter society.“MTCH noted that momentum is continuing across the portfolio, partially driven by the vaccine rollouts, particularly in the U.S.,” the firm wrote.Simon Property GroupA strong recovery is finally in sight for the beleaguered real estate investment trust and owner of malls and outlet centers, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Goldfarb wrote in a recent note.The firm raised its price target on Simon to a Street high price target of $150 per share from $130 after the company reported strong first-quarter earnings in May.“All in all, the strong 1Q21 beat and guidance increase, from a team known to be conservative, bodes well for the balance of this year into next,” he said.Additionally, March sales were back to 2019 levels and that should give investors confidence that more foot traffic is just around corner, Goldfarb said.“As the return to normalcy accelerates, we expect the retail landscape to continue its robust rebound, especially into a mask-free 2021 holiday season,” he said.Goldfarb also predicted that consumers may see a familiar face return to Simon malls as it gets closer to December.“This even opens the door for a return of Santa in-person for the holidays, which further showcases the importance of the mall within the consumer landscape,” Goldfarb said.Shares of Simon are up about 55% this year.AudacyInvestors should buy the dip in shares of the broadcast and website radio platform company, Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall said in a note to clients.The company, formerly known as Radio.com, is coming off a mixed first-quarter earnings report, but Cahall said he believes local customer spending is finally picking up and in some cases exceeding 2019 levels.“Audacy remains in our 2H recovery bucket as we expect the local ad market will snap back with reopening,” he wrote.A return to growth in the second quarter is also possible, making the stock attractive right now, Cahall said.“There are early signs of pent-up demand in impacted verticals, such as restaurants, retail, and sporting events — and we believe the combination of small- and mid-sized businesses returning, local events coming back and digital revenue growth will drive a strong top line acceleration in 2H21,” he said.The stock is also cheap, according to Cahall, who has Street high price target of $7 per share on Audacy.“We see no reason why reopening won’t happen so the recent pullback presents a nice entry point for this value stock, in our view,” the firm wrote.Shares finished the week down 1.8%.Warner Music Group - Guggenheim, Buy rating“WMG delivered strong F2Q results with double-digit revenue growth at both Recorded Music and Music Publishing. Importantly, the company’s investments in international growth and digital initiatives support our positive long-term view based on unique intellectual property control, leadership position in new content sourcing and increasing exposure to secular growth businesses. Looking forward, we expect continued revenue strength in streaming/digital driven by a strong 2H release slate & expanded partnerships as well as recovery of COVID impacted businesses like live performances.Match - Susquehanna, Positive rating“Upside Potential Still Left Ahead. … We see MTCH as one of the strongest business franchises in the Internet sector, believe a likely 2H recovery should be a strong tailwind, and would recommend taking advantage of the recent dip in the shares. Tinder is continuing its momentum, and non-Tinder brands are crushing expectations, reaching a new record of 30% y/y growth in 1Q. We view the outlook as solid yet conservative and believe MTCH has an opportunity to further accelerate revenue in 2Q. … MTCH noted that momentum is continuing across the portfolio, partially driven by the vaccine rollouts, particularly in the U.S.”Simon Property - Piper Sandler, Overweight rating“As the return to normalcy accelerates, we expect the retail landscape to continue its robust rebound, especially into a mask-free 2021 holiday season. … Notably, sales in March were back up to 2019 levels, and with the change in CDC guidance we expect an increasing number of shoppers will feel comfortable shopping indoors post-vaccine. This even opens the door for a return of Santa in-person for the holidays, which further showcases the importance of the mall within the consumer landscape. … The strong 1Q21 beat and guidance increase, from a team known to be conservative, bodes well for the balance of this year into next.”Audacy - Wells Fargo, Overweight rating“While the local ad recovery has lagged national to begin the year, AUD expects a hockey stick return to growth beginning in 2Q. … We see no reason why reopening won’t happen so the recent pullback presents a nice entry point for this value stock, in our view. … There are early signs of pent-up demand in impacted verticals, such as restaurants, retail, and sporting events — and we believe the combination of SMB’s returning, local events coming back and digital revenue growth will drive a strong top line acceleration in 2H21. … AUD remains in our 2H recovery bucket as we expect the local ad market will snap back with reopening.”Booking Holdings - Wolfe, Outperform rating“BKNG reported mixed 1Q results, as total bookings beat consensus estimates by 19%, while Revenue and EBITDA were 2% and $90m below the Street, respectively. Management discussed improving trends through April, with U.S. hotel room nights above pre-COVID levels, as pent-up consumer demand is expected to drive a strong summer travel rebound. Trends across Europe remain more challenged given lagging vaccination rates but are expected to improve ahead of the summer months. Overall, near term results remain at depressed levels, but demand trends are picking up and hopes of a strong 2H recovery are intact.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115267782,"gmtCreate":1623014337646,"gmtModify":1631891040076,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115267782","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125551076,"gmtCreate":1624681658695,"gmtModify":1631889357231,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125551076","repostId":"1198714523","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183570906,"gmtCreate":1623337848105,"gmtModify":1631889357346,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183570906","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128810191","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623307595,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128810191?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 14:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Company spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128810191","media":"cnbc","summary":"Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.Jefferies’ capital expenditure — or capex — indicator is “going ballistic,” the bank said in a research note Monday, and there has been a surge in corporate spending on big-ticket goods such as ships, as well as on smaller items like plant equipment.Investment bankJPMorganalso picked stocks set to get a boost from the c","content":"<div>\n<p>Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Company spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCompany spending is 'going ballistic.' Wall Street analysts expect these stocks to benefit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-10 14:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/10/investment-banks-pick-top-industrials-and-tech-stocks-to-buy.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1128810191","content_text":"Firms are “flush with cash” and spending is at its highest in history, according to investment firmJefferies, which recommended dozens of U.S. and global stocks to play the trend.\nJefferies’ capital expenditure — or capex — indicator is “going ballistic,” the bank said in a research note Monday, and there has been a surge in corporate spending on big-ticket goods such as ships, as well as on smaller items like plant equipment.\nInvestment bankJPMorganalso picked stocks set to get a boost from the capital expenditure “bright spot.” It created two new lists of stocks likely to benefit from President Joe Biden’s $2.3 trillion infrastructure plan, as well as the E.U.’s 750 billion euro ($912 billion) recovery fund.\nThe banks’ stock picks include:\nIndustrials stocks\nMost of Jefferies buy-rated picks are industrials. It said U.S. firms were benefiting from a “huge turnaround” in capex and its picks include semiconductor firmAnalog Devicesand truck-makerPaccar. It also likes farm equipment companyJohn Deere, as well as air conditioning company Carrier Global.\nWhen it comes to international corporate spending, the analysts, led by Sean Darby, said: “We were wrong! It is not just the US that is enjoying a huge turnaround in capital investment intentions – even outside of Tech – but also the Rest-of-the-World.”\nJefferies’ international picks include Swedish leisure product manufacturerDometic Groupand German luxury RV-makerKnaus Tabbert, as well as Japanese firmHitachi Constructionand Chinese engineering firmChina Railway Group. All are buy-rated.\nEnergy and materials\nIn a note Monday, JPMorgan said it had put together two baskets of stocks: those set to benefit from President Biden’s infrastructure plan, and those likely to do well from the EU recovery fund. Firms that appear on both lists include steel firmArcelorMittaland Spanish energy companiesEDP RenewablesandIberdrola.\nTechnology and communications\nAnalysts from JPMorgan also picked semiconductor firmsInfineon TechnologiesandSTMicroelectronicsfor both their U.S. and European lists, as well as German firmDeutsche Telekom.\nFirms that appear on both Jefferies’ and JPMorgan’s lists include medical technology groupSiemens Healthineers, French train manufacturerAlstomand security firmAssa Abloy.\nA number of factors have combined to stimulate a capital spending surge, according to Jefferies’ analysts. These include old equipment that needs replacing, “buoyant” CEO confidence, an earnings turnaround leaving balance sheets “flush with cash,” and low industrial inventories.\n“Our US capex indicator has quite literally gone ballistic. It took around six years from the GFC [global financial crisis] to 2015 before a capex recovery emerged in the previous cycle. This one has taken approximately 13 months and has surged to the highest reading in history,” Jefferies’ analysts wrote.\nFor JPMorgan, company profits have also meant a surge in spending. “Corporate capex is on an accelerating path this year, given the strong rebound in corporate profitability, where profits have tended to lead capex pretty consistently. Further, bank lending standards are continuing to improve, which helps capex decisions,” the bank’s analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115157024,"gmtCreate":1622962329068,"gmtModify":1631891040079,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115157024","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>\n <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>\n <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>\n <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The <b>Zillow Group</b> (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p><b>Investment Rationale</b></p>\n<p>Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p>\n<p>Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p>\n<p>But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p>\n<p>When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p>\n<p>However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Q1 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Zillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p>\n<p>The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p>\n<p>However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p>\n<p><b>Going Forward</b></p>\n<p>The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p>\n<p>At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that <b>will be down considerably</b> from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p>\n<p>In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p>\n<p>Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March <i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p>\n<p>That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering <b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p>\n<p>Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p>\n<p>The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p>\n<p>That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p>\n<p><b>Summary & Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p>\n<p>I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:55 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133799857,"gmtCreate":1621807900679,"gmtModify":1631891040127,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","listText":"Cool//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3573201524091165\">@Alanleejw</a>: Ok","text":"Cool//@Alanleejw: Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133799857","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188087451,"gmtCreate":1623416509273,"gmtModify":1631889357288,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188087451","repostId":"1131879907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188002643,"gmtCreate":1623414811282,"gmtModify":1631889357310,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188002643","repostId":"1147816654","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102212757,"gmtCreate":1620217476179,"gmtModify":1631893187728,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102212757","repostId":"2133528918","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181552677,"gmtCreate":1623403337099,"gmtModify":1631889357322,"author":{"id":"3573205405294282","authorId":"3573205405294282","name":"li1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/baa3fac0e4b817f045ba87890b5ab650","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573205405294282","authorIdStr":"3573205405294282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"france and mbappe!!","listText":"france and mbappe!!","text":"france and mbappe!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181552677","repostId":"181584887","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181584887,"gmtCreate":1623401994645,"gmtModify":1623404570813,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"端午节福利:欧洲杯明天开幕!有些看点?","htmlText":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>","listText":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>","text":"北京时间明天(6月12日)凌晨,第16届欧洲杯将正式开赛。C罗、姆巴佩、德布劳内、凯恩、诺伊尔……各路巨星同场竞技,豪门球队神仙打架,全欧11座城市共同举办,看点满满! 快收好这份观赛指南,这个夏天,一起享受足球盛宴↓↓↓ 入门篇 仅适用于对足球完全不了解的朋友 “欧洲杯能看到梅西吗?” 如果你的一位爱好足球的朋友听到了这样的问题,内心可能就如上图表情包所示……要想愉快地聊欧洲杯,可以先学学这些小知识,避免出现常识性错误。 进阶篇 本届欧洲杯,哪个小组被称为“死亡之组”?有哪些精彩看点?熬夜看球又该注意些什么?且听小编为你一一道来。 (以上内容转自:央视新闻) 足球运动是人类最伟大、最精彩的运动之一,巧的是这次开幕式正好赶上咱们的端午节,可谓是球迷们的福利啦~ 趁着这些天不开盘,虎友们也可以好好地放松一下! 啤酒、爆米花、花生米燥起来!🤣 …… 最后,大家聊一聊: 你是否喜欢足球运动?看好哪些球队or球星? 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢! $上证指数(000001.SH)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $恒生指数(HSI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89b9eaa22e8b15bc372b5519f69295e3","width":"1080","height":"3336"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b408705efb6828321245d11440099f6a","width":"1080","height":"895"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e6968eee982e196011498e7f1789856","width":"1080","height":"2500"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181584887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":13,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}