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2021-06-17

K

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2021-06-17

Not bad

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2021-06-17

Test

@小虎活动:【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金

2021-06-17

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ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning

2021-06-17

Hold

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2021-06-17

?

Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says

2021-06-17

Ok

Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says

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bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163325041","repostId":"2143792622","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163323434,"gmtCreate":1623860082328,"gmtModify":1634026870537,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Test","listText":"Test","text":"Test","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163323434","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1631884627596,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金","htmlText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。\u0001如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。\u0001 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab28db31a19b458d604a8bf02becddd3","width":"415","height":"125"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5227ebb594fe55b532c840acef147d7b","width":"415","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163367498,"gmtCreate":1623860031314,"gmtModify":1634026873188,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163367498","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1164323104","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623726988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164323104?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164323104","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.</li>\n <li>Structured Lookback is introduced.</li>\n <li>Tails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.</li>\n <li>The concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.</li>\n <li>CO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1271b2416859ceba7776d3cb65f490c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>phongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Kill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.</p>\n<p>Ark Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after&nbsp;Trading Edge&nbsp;was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.</p>\n<p>Another reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.</p>\n<p>Some commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with&nbsp;ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.</p>\n<p><b>Tail Gunning</b></p>\n<p><b>Tail</b>&nbsp;is a statistical term related to&nbsp;<b>data distribution</b>. When data points are plotted, a&nbsp;<b>bell shaped curve</b>&nbsp;forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce a<b>normal distribution</b>, stock returns do not.</p>\n<p>This implies that&nbsp;<b>probabilities</b>&nbsp;based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate&nbsp;<b>risk</b>.</p>\n<p>In this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term&nbsp;<b>tail gunning</b>. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.</p>\n<p>ARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.</p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Data Manipulation</b></p>\n<p>Modern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.</p>\n<p>The revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.</p>\n<p>A trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.</p>\n<p>Major weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time</li>\n <li>High dimensionality</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Volatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.</p>\n<p>In this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.</p>\n<p><b>Price History Data</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d90c98591d40fa964b5d072099898d37\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.</p>\n<p>Looking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.</p>\n<p>A mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.</p>\n<p>Databases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.</p>\n<p>It is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.</p>\n<p><b>Data Transformation - Natural Log Returns</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2b70f7a667237e2fde7818ec22248f\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.</p>\n<p>The human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.</p>\n<p>Natural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.</p>\n<p>The simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.</p>\n<p>Using 3/16 in the table above as an example:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>CC</b>(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.</li>\n <li><b>CO</b>(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.</li>\n <li><b>OC</b>(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.</p>\n<p>I specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>If bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1</li>\n <li>If bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0</li>\n <li>otherwise, you have to check bCC.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Probably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.</p>\n<p><b>1,400-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9152d4c32880ea9b67cfcfba92a528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/816a4f84749432ed63cad49e9629fea1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>CC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400</b></p>\n<p><b>$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400</b></p>\n<p>In my&nbsp;Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC Imbalance</b></p>\n<p>The CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.</p>\n<p>Trading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.</p>\n<p><b>Structured Lookback Design</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3619120948d5766322b4336d698d190f\" tg-width=\"428\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my&nbsp;Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.</p>\n<p>The day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.</p>\n<p>Every total time frame of&nbsp;<b>n days</b>, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>x[1] = 200</li>\n <li>x[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400</li>\n <li>x[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800</li>\n <li>x[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Another time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.</p>\n<p><b>xSig logic.</b>There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>8 = xx1400</li>\n <li>4 = xx200</li>\n <li>2 = xx400</li>\n <li>1 = xx800</li>\n</ul>\n<p>xFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>First/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Second/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Third/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Win Rate</b></p>\n<p>This is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.</p>\n<p><b>400-Day Segment Detail</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7299f454e25cd1b7c76e9270ba0d7555\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.</p>\n<p><b>ARKG</b></p>\n<p>ARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.</p>\n<p><b>Performance Graphs</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62164faed041f049e43de95eae97d7f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Ronin</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>I can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.</p>\n<p>After detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.</p>\n<p>I was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.</p>\n<p><b>Finding Biotech Tail</b></p>\n<p>Virtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.</p>\n<p>Biotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.</p>\n<p>Biotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.</p>\n<p>81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:</p>\n<p><b>Top Biotech CC</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d841bf3f146ef20a3b33e5907560506f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top BioTech CO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d42024dd22967d2389f0bff6f5051b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top Biotech OC and Median</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d670bb51438ece3d1e0ea1af330418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>These are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC or Standard Deviation</b></p>\n<p>The tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.</p>\n<p>Standard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Action</b></p>\n<p>CO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.</p>\n<p><b>252-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d0b19158fd2c03a403a0b4e050337e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.</p>\n<p>xSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d55c932d2bf44bdbc6453973b0deca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8545852036c8982dbfe9b43f7a5cbadb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Win rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8a78565860d28888443a05446a954fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05104399c4fdd23a584cf50f2b0c17f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae737de17a78652910a1d3026bcb38c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149ae96de3fe3e9bae8c62f9d00080d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dcc46d54a59d3ac1078bb04cdefaac4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.</p>\n<p>The plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.</p>\n<p>Is The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?</p>\n<p>252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.</p>\n<p>With<b>Gematria</b>, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to the<b>TzadikimNistarim</b>, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.</p>\n<p>Somehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity and Sequentiality</p>\n<blockquote>\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The Bourne Legacy</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Earlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c17ed7424c6e637ad896c0fbaed4baf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.</p>\n<p>XBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.</p>\n<p>Buy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca6dcb7e38682509246a811e20b4b50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The Specter Clock</p>\n<p>CCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.</p>\n<p>This happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.</p>\n<p><b>CCp1</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c139fe7edf8287f22fb4902d489ee01\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">CC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.</p>\n<p>These might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.</p>\n<p>SPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4b10f70d9011fe586ed6d10f3dff28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fd6dcb993413dabcf4039ed0937c37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.</p>\n<p><b>COn0</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1da4b68139194cb3c20cbdddbfcddd5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14ca38d49389a36c6f2b1c69036409fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.</p>\n<p>Essentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.</p>\n<p>I doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164323104","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.\nCO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.\n\nphongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images\nThe Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active\n\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n\n\nKill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei\n\nThere is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.\nArk Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after Trading Edge was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.\nAnother reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.\nSome commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.\nTail Gunning\nTail is a statistical term related to data distribution. When data points are plotted, a bell shaped curve forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce anormal distribution, stock returns do not.\nThis implies that probabilities based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate risk.\nIn this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term tail gunning. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.\nARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.\nThe Legend of Data Manipulation\nModern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.\nThe revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.\nA trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.\nMajor weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:\n\nTime\nHigh dimensionality\n\nVolatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.\nIn this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.\nPrice History Data\n\nThe analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.\nLooking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.\nA mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.\nDatabases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.\nIt is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.\nData Transformation - Natural Log Returns\n\nThe per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.\nThe human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.\nNatural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.\nThe simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.\nUsing 3/16 in the table above as an example:\n\nCC(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.\nCO(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.\nOC(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.\n\nThe bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.\nI specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:\n\nIf bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1\nIf bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0\notherwise, you have to check bCC.\n\nProbably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.\n1,400-Day Structured Lookback\nCC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400\n$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400\nIn my Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.\nCO/OC Imbalance\nThe CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.\nTrading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.\nStructured Lookback Design\n\nI introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.\nThe day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.\nEvery total time frame of n days, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:\n\nx[1] = 200\nx[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400\nx[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800\nx[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400\n\nAnother time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.\nxSig logic.There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:\n\n8 = xx1400\n4 = xx200\n2 = xx400\n1 = xx800\n\nxFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:\n\nFirst/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.\nSecond/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.\nThird/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.\n\nWin Rate\nThis is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.\n400-Day Segment Detail\n\nThe 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.\nARKG\nARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.\nPerformance Graphs\n\nSam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n\n\nRonin\n\nI can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.\nAfter detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.\nI was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.\nFinding Biotech Tail\nVirtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.\nBiotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.\nBiotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.\n81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:\nTop Biotech CCTop BioTech COTop Biotech OC and Median\n\nThese are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.\nCO/OC or Standard Deviation\nThe tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.\nStandard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.\nRecent Action\nCO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.\n252-Day Structured Lookback\n\nI'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.\nxSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.\n\nI guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.\n\nWin rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.\n\nThe ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.\n\nThe black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.\n\nThe 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.\n\n\nThe recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.\nThe plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.\nIs The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?\n252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.\nWithGematria, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to theTzadikimNistarim, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.\nSomehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.\nSimultaneity and Sequentiality\n\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n\n\nThe Bourne Legacy\n\nEarlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.\n\nThe ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.\nXBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.\nBuy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1The Specter Clock\nCCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.\nThis happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.\nCCp1\nCC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.\nThese might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.\nSPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0\n\nThis is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.\nSimultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.\nThere definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.\nCOn0\nThis shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.\n\nThe 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.\nEssentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.\nI doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKF":0.9,"ARKG":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKO":0.9,"ARKQ":0.9,"ARKR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163380600,"gmtCreate":1623859750000,"gmtModify":1634026889878,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold","listText":"Hold","text":"Hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163380600","repostId":"2143799947","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163336311,"gmtCreate":1623859539033,"gmtModify":1634026901177,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163336311","repostId":"1137784542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137784542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623856057,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137784542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137784542","media":"cnbc","summary":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is be","content":"<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 23:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1137784542","content_text":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy.\nThe largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange’s stock, which last traded at around $233, made itspublic debut in mid-Apriland fell sharply with the price of bitcoin in late May. Bitcoin is currently trading around $39,000 following a rollercoaster month of trading after itsprice drop almost a month ago.\nCoinbase’s revenue is largely driven by trading fees, 81% of which come from retail trading and 5% from institutional trading, according to Canaccord. It has the highest trading fees across crypto exchanges, the bank found.\nStill, Canaccord said it’s confident Coinbase’s business will ultimately expand beyond retail trading and into emerging opportunities for the blockchain – which could include supporting new protocols beyond bitcoin and Ethereum, decentralized finance and cloud solutions – and that crypto exchange will be a “super on-ramp” into that new world.\nCanaccord set its one-year price target on the stock at $285, which is 12 times its 2022 enterprise value-to-sales estimate.Enterprise value-to-salesis a ratio that measures a firm’s value versus its sales revenue.\n“Market share and technology leaders that leverage their positions to drive innovation via creating new customer behaviors present some of most compelling, long-term value propositions in the market,” the bank said. “Although we will see ongoing volatility, we don’t think that comparing the longer-term potential of the blockchain and digital assets to what we have seen in ecommerce is off the mark.”\nThe analysts noted that Coinbase shares are likely to see headwinds in the short term, based on crypto spot price volatility so far in June.\n“If we are in a bitcoin holding pattern here for a while, COIN could likely see sequentially weaker financial performance,” they said.\nStill, “we remain biased to the upside on bitcoin medium term and believe that resilience and elegance in the blockchain provide a great foundation for the entirety of digital assets from here,” the analysts wrote.\nCanaccord’s analysts highlighted bitcoin’s increasingly vertical supply curve – that is, the fact that quantities are limited, regardless of how much investors are willing to pay – as well as institutional interest in digital assets, comparative valuation to other stores of value, and “importantly what we view as an inevitable U.S. ETF.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163338060,"gmtCreate":1623859516550,"gmtModify":1634026902078,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163338060","repostId":"1137784542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137784542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623856057,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137784542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137784542","media":"cnbc","summary":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is be","content":"<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 23:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1137784542","content_text":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy.\nThe largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange’s stock, which last traded at around $233, made itspublic debut in mid-Apriland fell sharply with the price of bitcoin in late May. Bitcoin is currently trading around $39,000 following a rollercoaster month of trading after itsprice drop almost a month ago.\nCoinbase’s revenue is largely driven by trading fees, 81% of which come from retail trading and 5% from institutional trading, according to Canaccord. It has the highest trading fees across crypto exchanges, the bank found.\nStill, Canaccord said it’s confident Coinbase’s business will ultimately expand beyond retail trading and into emerging opportunities for the blockchain – which could include supporting new protocols beyond bitcoin and Ethereum, decentralized finance and cloud solutions – and that crypto exchange will be a “super on-ramp” into that new world.\nCanaccord set its one-year price target on the stock at $285, which is 12 times its 2022 enterprise value-to-sales estimate.Enterprise value-to-salesis a ratio that measures a firm’s value versus its sales revenue.\n“Market share and technology leaders that leverage their positions to drive innovation via creating new customer behaviors present some of most compelling, long-term value propositions in the market,” the bank said. “Although we will see ongoing volatility, we don’t think that comparing the longer-term potential of the blockchain and digital assets to what we have seen in ecommerce is off the mark.”\nThe analysts noted that Coinbase shares are likely to see headwinds in the short term, based on crypto spot price volatility so far in June.\n“If we are in a bitcoin holding pattern here for a while, COIN could likely see sequentially weaker financial performance,” they said.\nStill, “we remain biased to the upside on bitcoin medium term and believe that resilience and elegance in the blockchain provide a great foundation for the entirety of digital assets from here,” the analysts wrote.\nCanaccord’s analysts highlighted bitcoin’s increasingly vertical supply curve – that is, the fact that quantities are limited, regardless of how much investors are willing to pay – as well as institutional interest in digital assets, comparative valuation to other stores of value, and “importantly what we view as an inevitable U.S. ETF.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":163338060,"gmtCreate":1623859516550,"gmtModify":1634026902078,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163338060","repostId":"1137784542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137784542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623856057,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137784542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137784542","media":"cnbc","summary":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is be","content":"<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 23:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1137784542","content_text":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy.\nThe largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange’s stock, which last traded at around $233, made itspublic debut in mid-Apriland fell sharply with the price of bitcoin in late May. Bitcoin is currently trading around $39,000 following a rollercoaster month of trading after itsprice drop almost a month ago.\nCoinbase’s revenue is largely driven by trading fees, 81% of which come from retail trading and 5% from institutional trading, according to Canaccord. It has the highest trading fees across crypto exchanges, the bank found.\nStill, Canaccord said it’s confident Coinbase’s business will ultimately expand beyond retail trading and into emerging opportunities for the blockchain – which could include supporting new protocols beyond bitcoin and Ethereum, decentralized finance and cloud solutions – and that crypto exchange will be a “super on-ramp” into that new world.\nCanaccord set its one-year price target on the stock at $285, which is 12 times its 2022 enterprise value-to-sales estimate.Enterprise value-to-salesis a ratio that measures a firm’s value versus its sales revenue.\n“Market share and technology leaders that leverage their positions to drive innovation via creating new customer behaviors present some of most compelling, long-term value propositions in the market,” the bank said. “Although we will see ongoing volatility, we don’t think that comparing the longer-term potential of the blockchain and digital assets to what we have seen in ecommerce is off the mark.”\nThe analysts noted that Coinbase shares are likely to see headwinds in the short term, based on crypto spot price volatility so far in June.\n“If we are in a bitcoin holding pattern here for a while, COIN could likely see sequentially weaker financial performance,” they said.\nStill, “we remain biased to the upside on bitcoin medium term and believe that resilience and elegance in the blockchain provide a great foundation for the entirety of digital assets from here,” the analysts wrote.\nCanaccord’s analysts highlighted bitcoin’s increasingly vertical supply curve – that is, the fact that quantities are limited, regardless of how much investors are willing to pay – as well as institutional interest in digital assets, comparative valuation to other stores of value, and “importantly what we view as an inevitable U.S. ETF.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163336311,"gmtCreate":1623859539033,"gmtModify":1634026901177,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163336311","repostId":"1137784542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137784542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623856057,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137784542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137784542","media":"cnbc","summary":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is be","content":"<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Coinbase on the dip for a long-term opportunity on the crypto economy, Canaccord says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 23:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/cryptocurrency-buy-the-dip-on-coinbase-says-canaccord.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1137784542","content_text":"Coinbase’s price may fluctuate alongside the value of bitcoin in the short-term, but Canaccord is betting on the future of blockchain technology and initiating coverage of the crypto exchange as a buy.\nThe largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange’s stock, which last traded at around $233, made itspublic debut in mid-Apriland fell sharply with the price of bitcoin in late May. Bitcoin is currently trading around $39,000 following a rollercoaster month of trading after itsprice drop almost a month ago.\nCoinbase’s revenue is largely driven by trading fees, 81% of which come from retail trading and 5% from institutional trading, according to Canaccord. It has the highest trading fees across crypto exchanges, the bank found.\nStill, Canaccord said it’s confident Coinbase’s business will ultimately expand beyond retail trading and into emerging opportunities for the blockchain – which could include supporting new protocols beyond bitcoin and Ethereum, decentralized finance and cloud solutions – and that crypto exchange will be a “super on-ramp” into that new world.\nCanaccord set its one-year price target on the stock at $285, which is 12 times its 2022 enterprise value-to-sales estimate.Enterprise value-to-salesis a ratio that measures a firm’s value versus its sales revenue.\n“Market share and technology leaders that leverage their positions to drive innovation via creating new customer behaviors present some of most compelling, long-term value propositions in the market,” the bank said. “Although we will see ongoing volatility, we don’t think that comparing the longer-term potential of the blockchain and digital assets to what we have seen in ecommerce is off the mark.”\nThe analysts noted that Coinbase shares are likely to see headwinds in the short term, based on crypto spot price volatility so far in June.\n“If we are in a bitcoin holding pattern here for a while, COIN could likely see sequentially weaker financial performance,” they said.\nStill, “we remain biased to the upside on bitcoin medium term and believe that resilience and elegance in the blockchain provide a great foundation for the entirety of digital assets from here,” the analysts wrote.\nCanaccord’s analysts highlighted bitcoin’s increasingly vertical supply curve – that is, the fact that quantities are limited, regardless of how much investors are willing to pay – as well as institutional interest in digital assets, comparative valuation to other stores of value, and “importantly what we view as an inevitable U.S. ETF.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163367498,"gmtCreate":1623860031314,"gmtModify":1634026873188,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163367498","repostId":"1164323104","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1164323104","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623726988,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164323104?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164323104","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.</li>\n <li>Structured Lookback is introduced.</li>\n <li>Tails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.</li>\n <li>The concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.</li>\n <li>CO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1271b2416859ceba7776d3cb65f490c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>phongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Kill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.</p>\n<p>Ark Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after&nbsp;Trading Edge&nbsp;was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.</p>\n<p>Another reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.</p>\n<p>Some commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with&nbsp;ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.</p>\n<p><b>Tail Gunning</b></p>\n<p><b>Tail</b>&nbsp;is a statistical term related to&nbsp;<b>data distribution</b>. When data points are plotted, a&nbsp;<b>bell shaped curve</b>&nbsp;forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce a<b>normal distribution</b>, stock returns do not.</p>\n<p>This implies that&nbsp;<b>probabilities</b>&nbsp;based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate&nbsp;<b>risk</b>.</p>\n<p>In this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term&nbsp;<b>tail gunning</b>. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.</p>\n<p>ARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.</p>\n<p><b>The Legend of Data Manipulation</b></p>\n<p>Modern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.</p>\n<p>The revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.</p>\n<p>A trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.</p>\n<p>Major weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time</li>\n <li>High dimensionality</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Volatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.</p>\n<p>In this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.</p>\n<p><b>Price History Data</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d90c98591d40fa964b5d072099898d37\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.</p>\n<p>Looking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.</p>\n<p>A mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.</p>\n<p>Databases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.</p>\n<p>It is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.</p>\n<p><b>Data Transformation - Natural Log Returns</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2b70f7a667237e2fde7818ec22248f\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"239\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.</p>\n<p>The human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.</p>\n<p>Natural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.</p>\n<p>The simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.</p>\n<p>Using 3/16 in the table above as an example:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>CC</b>(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.</li>\n <li><b>CO</b>(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.</li>\n <li><b>OC</b>(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.</p>\n<p>I specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>If bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1</li>\n <li>If bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0</li>\n <li>otherwise, you have to check bCC.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Probably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.</p>\n<p><b>1,400-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9152d4c32880ea9b67cfcfba92a528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/816a4f84749432ed63cad49e9629fea1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>CC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400</b></p>\n<p><b>$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400</b></p>\n<p>In my&nbsp;Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC Imbalance</b></p>\n<p>The CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.</p>\n<p>Trading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.</p>\n<p><b>Structured Lookback Design</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3619120948d5766322b4336d698d190f\" tg-width=\"428\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my&nbsp;Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.</p>\n<p>The day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.</p>\n<p>Every total time frame of&nbsp;<b>n days</b>, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>x[1] = 200</li>\n <li>x[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400</li>\n <li>x[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800</li>\n <li>x[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Another time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.</p>\n<p><b>xSig logic.</b>There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>8 = xx1400</li>\n <li>4 = xx200</li>\n <li>2 = xx400</li>\n <li>1 = xx800</li>\n</ul>\n<p>xFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>First/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Second/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.</li>\n <li>Third/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Win Rate</b></p>\n<p>This is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.</p>\n<p><b>400-Day Segment Detail</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7299f454e25cd1b7c76e9270ba0d7555\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.</p>\n<p><b>ARKG</b></p>\n<p>ARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.</p>\n<p><b>Performance Graphs</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62164faed041f049e43de95eae97d7f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Ronin</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>I can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.</p>\n<p>After detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.</p>\n<p>I was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.</p>\n<p><b>Finding Biotech Tail</b></p>\n<p>Virtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.</p>\n<p>Biotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.</p>\n<p>Biotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.</p>\n<p>81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:</p>\n<p><b>Top Biotech CC</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d841bf3f146ef20a3b33e5907560506f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top BioTech CO</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d42024dd22967d2389f0bff6f5051b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Top Biotech OC and Median</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71d670bb51438ece3d1e0ea1af330418\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>These are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.</p>\n<p><b>CO/OC or Standard Deviation</b></p>\n<p>The tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.</p>\n<p>Standard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Action</b></p>\n<p>CO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.</p>\n<p><b>252-Day Structured Lookback</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d0b19158fd2c03a403a0b4e050337e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.</p>\n<p>xSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d55c932d2bf44bdbc6453973b0deca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>I guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8545852036c8982dbfe9b43f7a5cbadb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Win rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8a78565860d28888443a05446a954fc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05104399c4fdd23a584cf50f2b0c17f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ae737de17a78652910a1d3026bcb38c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149ae96de3fe3e9bae8c62f9d00080d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dcc46d54a59d3ac1078bb04cdefaac4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.</p>\n<p>The plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.</p>\n<p>Is The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?</p>\n<p>252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.</p>\n<p>With<b>Gematria</b>, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to the<b>TzadikimNistarim</b>, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.</p>\n<p>Somehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity and Sequentiality</p>\n<blockquote>\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>The Bourne Legacy</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Earlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c17ed7424c6e637ad896c0fbaed4baf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.</p>\n<p>XBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.</p>\n<p>Buy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca6dcb7e38682509246a811e20b4b50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The Specter Clock</p>\n<p>CCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.</p>\n<p>This happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.</p>\n<p><b>CCp1</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c139fe7edf8287f22fb4902d489ee01\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">CC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.</p>\n<p>These might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.</p>\n<p>SPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e4b10f70d9011fe586ed6d10f3dff28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.</p>\n<p>Simultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fd6dcb993413dabcf4039ed0937c37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.</p>\n<p><b>COn0</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1da4b68139194cb3c20cbdddbfcddd5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14ca38d49389a36c6f2b1c69036409fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"469\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.</p>\n<p>Essentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.</p>\n<p>I doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK: Cathie Wood And The Exquisite Art Of Tail Gunning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 11:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434708-ark-cathie-wood-and-tail-gunning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164323104","content_text":"Summary\n\nARK Active ETFs are worth the management fee.\nStructured Lookback is introduced.\nTails are shown to have a logical structure and consistent patterns.\nThe concepts of Simultaneity and Sequentiality are introduced.\nCO/OC directional differences are important indicators that are much more useful than two-dimensional measures like standard deviation.\n\nphongphan5922/iStock via Getty Images\nThe Legend of Cathie Wood and Ark Active\n\n Beatrix Kiddo: I am proficient in Tiger Crane style and more than proficient in the exquisite art of the samurai sword.\n\n\nKill Bill Vol 2 - The Cruel Tutelage of Pai Mei\n\nThere is no question that Cathie Wood will be elected to the Stock Picker Hall of Fame on the first year of eligibility. The last person achieving that honor was Peter Lynch.\nArk Active ETFs weren't really on my radar until after Trading Edge was published on June 1. At some point, I planned to make that article more about equity groups instead of ETFs, specifically biotech. Eventually the plan changed because that seemed premature.\nAnother reason for my lack of attention is that I usually look for issues with at least 1500 days of price history and the four horsemen of Ark Active passed that milestone less than 200 trade days ago.\nSome commentators have mentioned recent negative return issues with ARKG, noting that the natives are getting restless. The first argument has some merit and touches on technical details that will affect the entire market. But, call me a romantic, I'm OK with cutting ARK a little slack here.\nTail Gunning\nTail is a statistical term related to data distribution. When data points are plotted, a bell shaped curve forms and the unusual results on either side of the curve are the tails. If the distribution is consistent with the ideal bell pattern, it is considered normal. Results of many coin flips produce anormal distribution, stock returns do not.\nThis implies that probabilities based on normal distributions are accurate while non-normal distribution probabilities are not. This is a serious problem for the academic discipline of Finance as not understanding probabilities suggests that it cannot offer a practical methodology to mitigate risk.\nIn this article, I will try to show that Ark Active returns are highly dependent on exploiting extreme tail activity. Hence the term tail gunning. Surprisingly, tail activity is more structured than one might initially think, so this may have some theoretical importance.\nARK Active has been quite good over many years at staying on the wild side.\nThe Legend of Data Manipulation\nModern stock exchanges and casinos both appeared in the first part of the 17th century, not long after the modern rules of chess were established. Academic disciplines relevant to understanding these innovations such as calculus, linear algebra, statistics, quantum mechanics etc. slowly developed over the next 400 years.\nThe revolutionary implications of data science have not yet been fully appreciated. Practical skill in data manipulation more than compensates for lack of formal academic knowledge in any of the other disciplines. A goal of my work is to demonstrate the soundness of this view.\nA trained practitioner of statistical finance won't approach the stock return problem through data manipulation. No doubt, data manipulation is my hammer, so everything else looks like a nail.\nMajor weaknesses in the academic understanding of stuff in general include:\n\nTime\nHigh dimensionality\n\nVolatility is a function of time, claims by some financial sages that they understand volatility are prima facie absurd. Academic deficiencies can be exploited by competent users of computer power.\nIn this article, I'll discuss how to set up and analyze market data, with attention given to the superb performance of the ARK Active ETFs.\nPrice History Data\n\nThe analysis presented here, only considers the date, open and close. Financial statisticians generally consider daily open, high, and low numbers to be noise. Essentially, that is an admission of the limitations of their analytical framework.\nLooking at one stock at a time is wrong on many different levels. It is absolutely critical to examine groups of stocks.\nA mechanism is needed to produce historical daily prices for many different stocks. Prices must be adjusted for dividends and splits. The data should be stored in Excel csv workbooks where the workbook and worksheet names are the stock symbol.\nDatabases are inappropriate for historical price analysis. Rebuilding the data at least daily from scratch is quick and eliminates many possible points of failure.\nIt is best to solve the data problem by paying for a reliable delivery method like Norgate. Everyone who does this type of work, initially spends a lot of time figuring out how to get prices for free. I did that for about 15 years. It is good to build up the skill and understanding, but eventually the cost of inefficient use of time is substantial.\nData Transformation - Natural Log Returns\n\nThe per share price of a stock has absolutely no rational analytical relevance, assuming the investor has at least enough money to buy one share.\nThe human mind can deal with a limited number of things at once, and with stock groups, price is too much detail. Data transformation is a methodology to remove that complexity. Here, daily prices are transformed to a return stream. That makes it easy to analyze even large groups of equities.\nNatural logs are the correct way to store a return stream, unless you are in a contest to find an inferior solution.\nThe simple calculations below need to be done for each date for each stock in the group being analyzed. It only takes a few minutes on an 8th generation i7 Windows PC to do this for hundreds of stocks containing thousands of days of price history.\nUsing 3/16 in the table above as an example:\n\nCC(Close to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/15 Close = nl(394.62/395.12) = -0.0013.\nCO(Close to Open) = natural log of 3/16 Open / 3/15 Close = nl(395.77/395.12) = 0.0017.\nOC(Open to Close) = natural log of 3/16 Close / 3/16 Open = nl(394.62/395.77) = -0.0029.\n\nThe bCC/bCO/bOC columns are binary answers to the question of whether the excursion was positive (1 = positive 0 = not positive). It is quite useful to answer questions before they are asked. This same technique is used to encode strategies into a return stream.\nI specialize in low level stuff. For example, with the binary codes:\n\nIf bCO = 1 and bOC = 1 Then bCC = 1\nIf bCO = 0 and bOC = 0 Then bCC = 0\notherwise, you have to check bCC.\n\nProbably, most people wouldn't spend months analyzing the implications of that. I'm making good progress but still not finished. xSig, discussed below is related to that analysis. The issue is that if bCC = 4, bCO = 2, and bOC = 1 to create an Octal number; 3 and 4 can't happen.\n1,400-Day Structured Lookback\nCC1400 = CO1400 + OC1400\n$CC1400 = $CO1400 * $OC1400\nIn my Trading Edge article, CC1400 was called tCC.\nCO/OC Imbalance\nThe CO state is clearly dominant over OC. Trading Edge even suggested this may be a permanent market feature. It is somewhat heretical to even whisper of such things. If someone refutes that, I promise not to get mad.\nTrading Edge considered the 3x Bulls to be the most obvious way to exploit the CO edge. ARK Active smokes the leveraged financially engineered abominations.\nStructured Lookback Design\n\nI introduced date yrmolation as a concept in my Kabbalah articlein January. Perhaps structured lookback is a better term, if only because it has more vowels. The idea is to provide a logical methodology for creating segments of sequential time.\nThe day is the standard market unit of time. The traditional day/week/month/year construct does not get us closer to a suitable lookback solution, and mostly just confuses the issue. Generally, one doesn't solve a problem by adding needless complexity.\nEvery total time frame of n days, is broken into 3 consecutive periods. The first period is 1/7 the total period, the second 2/7, and the third 4/7. I worked on this backwards of course, so:\n\nx[1] = 200\nx[2] = x[1] * 2 = 400\nx[3] = x[1] * 4 = 800\nx[0] = Total days = 200 + 400 + 800 = 1400\n\nAnother time concept is iteration. The study is labeled 200i0. i0 means iteration 0. An i1 study implies the 1400 days before 11/13/15.\nxSig logic.There are three hex codes after the x. The bit values go:\n\n8 = xx1400\n4 = xx200\n2 = xx400\n1 = xx800\n\nxFF2 appears most often in the table. This means:\n\nFirst/F - All structured CC periods have positive returns.\nSecond/F - All Structured CO periods have positive returns.\nThird/2 - All OC periods except OC400 have losses.\n\nWin Rate\nThis is another critically important metric that virtually nobody looks at. In the table, the differences between CO and OC win rates are stunning.\n400-Day Segment Detail\n\nThe 400-day segment showed the best numbers for OC so it is worth looking at. All four of the time segments display simultaneously on an HD monitor; the challenge writing about them is mostly how to cut up the information for the article format. The win percentages for OC are notably higher than those seen on the 1400 day study. ARKW performs respectably here, both CO and OC, but even in the best OC environment, with the most favorable ETF, CO is not worse.\nARKG\nARKG performs better CO than any of the 3x Bulls CC or CO. ARK win rates are all at least 62% CO, much better than the bulls. Win rates OC are much worse. Obviously, with the strategy of playing CO, ideally we want to see all positive returns during CO and all the negative returns during OC.\nPerformance Graphs\n\nSam: I never walk into a place I don't know how to walk out of.\n\n\nRonin\n\nI can see how the recent sharp excursion down to about the 38.2 fib line might freak out some of the CC players, especially those who bought near the top. Personally, I'm afraid of parabolic heights, so it is difficult for me to visualize the thought process of the players who were buying at triple digits. Guess that is why I'll never be rich.\nAfter detailed poring over the entrails and consulting entities whose names are best left unspoken, I think holding any of the ARK Active puppies CO is worth serious consideration.\nI was really impressed by ARK's stock selection results and watched a recent interview of Cathie, where she was confident of the funds performing at the historical pace. Needless to say, I've been curious if she knows about the CO/OC imbalance where a CO player could theoretically beat buy and hold by about a factor of 10.\nFinding Biotech Tail\nVirtually all Biotechs are part of the tail when considered with the stock universe, so all one needs is a list of suitable candidates.\nBiotech and Semiconductors are the two industries with the most favorable positive CO vs OC characteristics based on my research. Energy is also quite good, but I haven't looked at that sector closely. Small caps are also consistently favorable.\nBiotech is a bit more persistent and obvious. An ETF performs at some sort of median to the characteristics of the group it is composed of, but ETF numbers pretty much precisely reflect the characteristics of the entire group.\n81 biotech stocks with average daily volume greater than 300K, and current price greater than $10 were assembled. The top stocks in CC, CO, and OC will be shown below:\nTop Biotech CCTop BioTech COTop Biotech OC and Median\n\nThese are just overwhelming numbers arguing for CO. A random pick in this universe is much more likely to be profitable CO than anywhere else and that profit is much more likely to exceed CC. The win rates are lower than seen in most sectors. In general, this type of analysis is a fertile avenue for research.\nCO/OC or Standard Deviation\nThe tendency of stocks to move in opposite directions CO and OC can be measured as has been shown here. These movements appear to be quite persistent and consistent in direction over time. The investor gains important and usable information by studying these structures, as opposed to standard deviation.\nStandard deviation only measures CC and ignores violent movements during the day. A year is usually considered the proper standard deviation sample, mostly because any other length is equally worthless.\nRecent Action\nCO has not been a great performer lately. I've been noting that on my website since at least March I think. The more interesting thing is watching things unfold with a decent toolset and trying to figure out what is happening.\n252-Day Structured Lookback\n\nI'll stick with natural log results only in this pass. A natural log of 0.69 is doubling your money. 0.72 for ARKG is CV$1 2.06. All of the puppies at least tripled CO except for ARKW. Not bad for a year. Note the CO win rate.\nxSig is weaker than long term as xFF is no longer showing. As time ranges get longer, xFF gets more common.\n\nI guess the CC players got annoyed that things were better at this end point than 6/11/21. CO win rates are about the best I've ever seen.\n\nWin rates seriously dropped from the 144 day segment. The Biotech correction started February 9th.\n\nThe ARKG pattern starts with a double top. LABU and XBI made a single top, with a nice dark cloud cover candle that worked out for a change. In some parallel universes, they always work.\n\nThe black candles show the day traders getting slapped. No big deal for CO players. I'm happy I wasn't playing these guys during this period; no question I would have botched things up.\n\nThe 36-day shows weakness coming into CO and a little strength in OC at least for ARKG. Note the two winning percentages are the same. This is less trivial than it appears as that situation also exists in the Biotechs.\n\n\nThe recent low at 72.87 was not only the important ludicrously long term 38.2 fib line but the 52 week moving average, and on the other side of the chasm there is obvious support around 72. I don't see how that can be arranged to spell sell. Note the pop we are seeing off the low is coming on OC strength.\nThe plain meaning of the weekly chart is bullish: Heat sensitive longs from the congestion period, put stops in below the 52 week SMA that were triggered during the week of May 10. That is shown by the head fake and bottoming tail. Even a retest of the low would probably not be too bad, but hopefully that won't part of the near term conversation. The poke above the 13-week SMA is encouraging, a move above 93 doesn't seem excessively optimistic.\nIs The 252-Day Structured Lookback Kosher?\n252 market days is as close to an exact calendar year as you can get. 252 / 7 = 36. Therefore we can say that a market year is divided into 7 periods of 36 days. In this scheme, every day is the end of a year.\nWithGematria, the number 36 is 2 * 18. 18 = Life. 36 is comprised of the letters Lamed Vav, which correspond to theTzadikimNistarim, the 36 hidden righteous ones who support the world in every generation.\nSomehow, that gives me a little confidence that the structured lookback solution isn't completely ridiculous. It is definitely kosher.\nSimultaneity and Sequentiality\n\n Adm Mark Turso USN Ret: You were given a Ferrari and your people treated it like a lawnmower.\n\n\nThe Bourne Legacy\n\nEarlier, I mentioned the binary codes bCC, bCO, and bOC. These probably have to be understood to understand the CO/OC imbalance. They are useful in understanding the forces of simultaneity and sequentiality which propel stock prices.\n\nThe ARK Ferraris are included with the lawn mowers.\nXBI and IBB are weird with their different returns, which is not easily exploitable.\nBuy The Dip Or Pop - CCn1 or CCp1The Specter Clock\nCCn1 means CC negative returns of the Specter stock from the previous day are analyzed. The Specter stock is SPY. The specter functions something like a clock and provides high dimensional order to the group.\nThis happened 105 times in the last 252 days - note end of top line. The bulk of CC profits occurred after this happened. The CC median win rate is 60 instead of 55. Note that this state accounts for more than 100% of OC profits.\nCCp1\nCC is usually positive of course and it was for 147 of the 252 days. It has been best to buy the pop CO and then get out OC.\nThese might be good examples of sequentiality, or not.\nSPY is Positive or Negative CO Today - COp0 or COn0\n\nThis is an example of simultaneity. If SPY is up OC 90% of the sector ETFs will go up.\nSimultaneity has weakened during the last segment and probably a little before that as well.\nThere definitely isn't the same kind of breadth as in the good old days. That seems at least mildly negative.\nCOn0\nThis shows that COn0 weakness in SPY is less of a factor than COp0. Note that if CO is negative, there are better chances for OC to be positive.\n\nThe 36-day view shows the sectors having consensus on SPY down moves rather than up moves lately. There has been no lack of buyers OC.\nEssentially, this type of analysis adds a concrete framework that shows a pretty subtle picture of market state. It confirms a vague feeling many have noticed that things are changing.\nI doubt that mechanical CO playing is ready for prime time just yet. Certainly the CC/CO binary results above need to be better understood. Mostly, I think the analytical framework presented here is quite powerful and worth continued development.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKF":0.9,"ARKG":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKO":0.9,"ARKQ":0.9,"ARKR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163105093,"gmtCreate":1623861249012,"gmtModify":1634026831992,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163105093","repostId":"2143978737","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163325041,"gmtCreate":1623860179183,"gmtModify":1634026866654,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not bad","listText":"Not bad","text":"Not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163325041","repostId":"2143792622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143792622","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1623855000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143792622?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Do Netflix's Retail Ambitions Make Any Sense?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143792622","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"This surprising move will initially spark comparisons to Disney and Amazon, but the company's real inspiration probably comes from China.","content":"<p><b>Netflix</b> (NASDAQ:NFLX) recently launched Netflix.shop, an online store for apparel and lifestyle products, in a surprising leap into the retail sector.</p>\n<p>Its initial products include streetwear and action figures based on the anime series <i>Yasuke</i> and <i>Eden</i>, as well as limited-edition apparel, and products inspired by <i>Lupin</i> and produced in collaboration with the Louvre. It's also selling anime-inspired collectibles from up-and-coming designers like Nathalie Nguyen, Kristopher Kites, and Jordan Bentley.</p>\n<p>Netflix.shop will also eventually sell exclusive tie-in products for popular series like <i>The Witcher</i> and <i>Stranger Things</i>, as well as Netflix-branded apparel from the Japanese fashion house BEAMS. It will initially launch the marketplace in the U.S. before expanding into other countries.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc4c819061f1fb41dd3e6cc33a8a8ae8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Image source: Netflix.</span></p>\n<p>This doesn't represent Netflix's first attempt at selling tie-in products for its streaming franchises. <b>Target</b>, for example, already carries a wide range of <i>Yasuke</i> products. However, Netflix.shop marks Netflix's first attempt to sell all those tie-in products through its own online marketplace.</p>\n<p>Netflix.shop will spark comparisons to <b>Disney</b> (NYSE:DIS) and <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN), but is it actually chasing those companies? Or should investors look overseas to understand Netflix's true goals?</p>\n<h2>Could Netflix be responding to Disney and Amazon?</h2>\n<p>Netflix's online store is much smaller than <b>Disney</b>'s (NYSE:DIS) sprawling retail business. At the end of 2020, Disney owned and operated about 200 stores across North America, 60 stores in Europe, 45 stores in Japan, and two stores in China. It also sells its products online and licenses its brands to third-party companies.</p>\n<p>Netflix competes against Disney in the streaming market, but I doubt it will follow Disney's example and open hundreds of brick-and-mortar stores, for three simple reasons.</p>\n<p>First, brick-and-mortar stores are more capital-intensive than online stores. It would be absurd for Netflix, which already plans to spend $17 billion on new streaming content this year, to set aside fresh cash for new physical stores instead of expanding its streaming library.</p>\n<p>Second, physical stores are highly exposed to online competition and the decline of offline shopping. Lastly, Netflix doesn't own as many popular franchises as Disney, which can easily fill its shelves with merchandise from its namesake properties as well as Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars products.</p>\n<p>Netflix.shop also might seem like an attempt to counter Amazon, which leveraged the strength of its Prime e-commerce ecosystem to tether more viewers to its Prime Video service.</p>\n<p>That strategy would represent a reversal of Amazon's strategy since Netflix would be leveraging its strength in streaming video to expand into the retail market. But I also doubt Netflix plans to pour billions of dollars into challenging Amazon in the cutthroat e-commerce market.</p>\n<h2>So what's Netflix's game plan?</h2>\n<p>Instead of comparing Netflix.shop to Disney or Amazon, investors should look at a Chinese tech company called<b> Bilibili</b> (NASDAQ:BILI) to understand Netflix's angle.</p>\n<p>Bilibili operates a popular streaming-video platform for anime, comics, and gaming (ACG) content in China. It served 223 million monthly active users and 60 million daily active users last quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f1ed32c2ba2313bed33d9a885d976b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"559\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Bilibili also operates an e-commerce site that sells tie-in products for its ACG franchises. The site is integrated with <b>Alibaba</b>'s (NYSE:BABA) Taobao marketplace and accounts for most of Bilibili's \"e-commerce and others\" revenue.</p>\n<p>Bilibili's \"e-commerce and others\" revenue <i>more than doubled </i>last year and accounted for nearly 13% of its top line, which indicates a streaming-video platform that specializes in anime can operate a successful online marketplace for tie-in content.</p>\n<p>That's probably why Netflix repeatedly mentioned \"anime\" in its press release for Netflix.shop.</p>\n<p>Netflix has added a lot of anime and gaming-related content to its streaming library in recent years, including <i>Yasuke</i>, <i>Voltron</i>, <i>Castlevania</i>, <i>The Witcher</i>, and its upcoming<i> Assassin's Creed</i> show. All that niche content could support the expansion of its marketplace for tie-in products, which would possibly lock in more viewers and generate additional revenue.</p>\n<p>Netflix could also offer exclusive discounts for its subscribers, which might convince more of its 208 million subscribers to become regular shoppers. That growth could also convince more companies to license its franchises for third-party products.</p>\n<h2>The bottom line</h2>\n<p>Netflix's retail expansion is surprising but not unprecedented. Instead of comparing Netflix.shop to Disney or Amazon, investors would do well to study Bilibili to gauge Netflix's true growth potential.</p>\n<p>This effort won't move the needle for Netflix anytime soon, but it shows the company is thinking out of the box to promote its franchises and enter new markets. These strategies could help Netflix remain competitive as Disney, Amazon, and other challengers all ramp up their streaming investments.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Do Netflix's Retail Ambitions Make Any Sense?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDo Netflix's Retail Ambitions Make Any Sense?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 22:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/do-netflixs-retail-ambitions-make-any-sense/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) recently launched Netflix.shop, an online store for apparel and lifestyle products, in a surprising leap into the retail sector.\nIts initial products include streetwear and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/do-netflixs-retail-ambitions-make-any-sense/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","DIS":"迪士尼","09086":"华夏纳指-U","NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/do-netflixs-retail-ambitions-make-any-sense/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143792622","content_text":"Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) recently launched Netflix.shop, an online store for apparel and lifestyle products, in a surprising leap into the retail sector.\nIts initial products include streetwear and action figures based on the anime series Yasuke and Eden, as well as limited-edition apparel, and products inspired by Lupin and produced in collaboration with the Louvre. It's also selling anime-inspired collectibles from up-and-coming designers like Nathalie Nguyen, Kristopher Kites, and Jordan Bentley.\nNetflix.shop will also eventually sell exclusive tie-in products for popular series like The Witcher and Stranger Things, as well as Netflix-branded apparel from the Japanese fashion house BEAMS. It will initially launch the marketplace in the U.S. before expanding into other countries.\nImage source: Netflix.\nThis doesn't represent Netflix's first attempt at selling tie-in products for its streaming franchises. Target, for example, already carries a wide range of Yasuke products. However, Netflix.shop marks Netflix's first attempt to sell all those tie-in products through its own online marketplace.\nNetflix.shop will spark comparisons to Disney (NYSE:DIS) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), but is it actually chasing those companies? Or should investors look overseas to understand Netflix's true goals?\nCould Netflix be responding to Disney and Amazon?\nNetflix's online store is much smaller than Disney's (NYSE:DIS) sprawling retail business. At the end of 2020, Disney owned and operated about 200 stores across North America, 60 stores in Europe, 45 stores in Japan, and two stores in China. It also sells its products online and licenses its brands to third-party companies.\nNetflix competes against Disney in the streaming market, but I doubt it will follow Disney's example and open hundreds of brick-and-mortar stores, for three simple reasons.\nFirst, brick-and-mortar stores are more capital-intensive than online stores. It would be absurd for Netflix, which already plans to spend $17 billion on new streaming content this year, to set aside fresh cash for new physical stores instead of expanding its streaming library.\nSecond, physical stores are highly exposed to online competition and the decline of offline shopping. Lastly, Netflix doesn't own as many popular franchises as Disney, which can easily fill its shelves with merchandise from its namesake properties as well as Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars products.\nNetflix.shop also might seem like an attempt to counter Amazon, which leveraged the strength of its Prime e-commerce ecosystem to tether more viewers to its Prime Video service.\nThat strategy would represent a reversal of Amazon's strategy since Netflix would be leveraging its strength in streaming video to expand into the retail market. But I also doubt Netflix plans to pour billions of dollars into challenging Amazon in the cutthroat e-commerce market.\nSo what's Netflix's game plan?\nInstead of comparing Netflix.shop to Disney or Amazon, investors should look at a Chinese tech company called Bilibili (NASDAQ:BILI) to understand Netflix's angle.\nBilibili operates a popular streaming-video platform for anime, comics, and gaming (ACG) content in China. It served 223 million monthly active users and 60 million daily active users last quarter.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nBilibili also operates an e-commerce site that sells tie-in products for its ACG franchises. The site is integrated with Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Taobao marketplace and accounts for most of Bilibili's \"e-commerce and others\" revenue.\nBilibili's \"e-commerce and others\" revenue more than doubled last year and accounted for nearly 13% of its top line, which indicates a streaming-video platform that specializes in anime can operate a successful online marketplace for tie-in content.\nThat's probably why Netflix repeatedly mentioned \"anime\" in its press release for Netflix.shop.\nNetflix has added a lot of anime and gaming-related content to its streaming library in recent years, including Yasuke, Voltron, Castlevania, The Witcher, and its upcoming Assassin's Creed show. All that niche content could support the expansion of its marketplace for tie-in products, which would possibly lock in more viewers and generate additional revenue.\nNetflix could also offer exclusive discounts for its subscribers, which might convince more of its 208 million subscribers to become regular shoppers. That growth could also convince more companies to license its franchises for third-party products.\nThe bottom line\nNetflix's retail expansion is surprising but not unprecedented. Instead of comparing Netflix.shop to Disney or Amazon, investors would do well to study Bilibili to gauge Netflix's true growth potential.\nThis effort won't move the needle for Netflix anytime soon, but it shows the company is thinking out of the box to promote its franchises and enter new markets. These strategies could help Netflix remain competitive as Disney, Amazon, and other challengers all ramp up their streaming investments.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03086":0.9,"09086":0.9,"DIS":0.9,"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163323434,"gmtCreate":1623860082328,"gmtModify":1634026870537,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Test","listText":"Test","text":"Test","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163323434","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1631884627596,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金","htmlText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。\u0001如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。\u0001 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab28db31a19b458d604a8bf02becddd3","width":"415","height":"125"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5227ebb594fe55b532c840acef147d7b","width":"415","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163380600,"gmtCreate":1623859750000,"gmtModify":1634026889878,"author":{"id":"3573277672624019","authorId":"3573277672624019","name":"joyceee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573277672624019","authorIdStr":"3573277672624019"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold","listText":"Hold","text":"Hold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163380600","repostId":"2143799947","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}