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maigis
2021-10-30
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
如果不行就别来海外祸害大家了
maigis
2021-10-28
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
富途都慢慢起来了,你还趴着
maigis
2021-10-18
[财迷]
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-10-15
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
杯弓蛇影,感觉大家已经被中概股监管PTSD了
maigis
2021-08-29
[强]
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-08-20
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
天天跟着中概股跌,你不是针对海外客户的吗?天天跟个毛
maigis
2021-08-09
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
喉舌来了[重磅!《人民日报》旗下官媒“踏浪青年”评#阿里巴巴#性侵事件]1、不仅要把权力关进笼子里,更要把资本关进笼子里。2、从蒋凡事件开始,国家态度已经非常明确,资本绝不能控制媒体。3、不要妄想大而不倒,自然规律告诉我们,一鲸落,万物生。4、更不要妄想像韩国财阀一样操控一切,这里是中国
maigis
2021-08-06
故意搞在周末锤
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-08-06
$腾讯控股ADR(TCEHY)$
海淀区人民检察院对腾讯提起民事公益诉讼
maigis
2021-07-30
$YYY(YYY.SI)$
中签的多吗?还是有申请有中?
maigis
2021-07-27
现在叫中丐互怜了
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-07-15
$维珍银河(SPCE)$
永远拉黑这只股票,恶心死了
maigis
2021-07-08
滴滴一己之力带崩全线中概股,滴滴该自豪了
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-06-24
所以这个白酒税率到底是干啥?利好还是利空
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-06-23
[捂脸]
这个赛道真热!终止IPO不影响融资,高瓴小米美团杀入
maigis
2021-06-19
[财迷]
“粽子股”要来,五芳斋的单品焦虑和地域束缚
maigis
2021-06-17
[得意]
美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次
maigis
2021-06-16
所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?
万众瞩目!美联储会议重磅来袭,美股动荡一触即发?
maigis
2021-06-15
会失败吗?
抱歉,原内容已删除
maigis
2021-06-13
[强] [鼓掌]
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","listText":"[捂脸] ","text":"[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129754959","repostId":"2145375520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145375520","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624359304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145375520?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 18:55","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"这个赛道真热!终止IPO不影响融资,高瓴小米美团杀入","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145375520","media":"投中网","summary":"自动驾驶融资的下半场,再不上车真的晚了。\n近期只要跟朋友聊自动驾驶,一定绕回的一个话题肯定是“融资”。我了解了一圈,好几家公司的说法都是:新一轮融资马上就到位了,机构投资人争抢中。\n最近的一个消息是,","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ecc839fbbe41181dfa43cf7a63e6229\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>自动驾驶融资的下半场,再不上车真的晚了。</p>\n<p>近期只要跟朋友聊自动驾驶,一定绕回的一个话题肯定是“融资”。我了解了一圈,好几家公司的说法都是:新一轮融资马上就到位了,机构投资人争抢中。</p>\n<p>最近的一个消息是,文远知行新一轮融资价格已经抬升到了33亿美元,这个数字,在半年前还是14亿美元。</p>\n<p>终止上市非得是坏事吗?禾赛科技这轮融资让我小小地刷新了一下认知,终止IPO以后,这家公司刚刚又拿下了D轮融资,额度超过3亿美元,领投方很有说服力:高瓴创投、小米集团、美团和中信产业基金。</p>\n<p>禾赛官宣之前,我就不止一次听到,说融资被很多一线机构争抢,传闻一变再变,最后这几家入局。</p>\n<p>“(自动驾驶赛道)最近有大量的新资本介入,除了之前投过几波的美元机构,还有源源不断的新资本入局,之前还有人说坚决不投,现在全忘了,很多企业基本面没变化,却突然半年内融了两三轮。”一家自动驾驶企业创始人告诉我,“甚至有投资人托我带话给竞争对手的创始人,就为抢份额。”</p>\n<p>按照多位受访者的说法,这一波自动驾驶融资热潮,开始于2020年下半年,热度比几年前更甚,理由很简单:量产。</p>\n<p>天眼查数据显示,2020年1月至今,自动驾驶赛道融资事件243起以上,很多公司拿到2-3轮,同期新申请的专利达到近5000件。</p>\n<p><b>赛道有多热?</b></p>\n<p>自动驾驶赛道有多热?</p>\n<p>首先,头部频传融资甚至IPO。卡车赛道上,图森4月成功上市,智加科技也在5月宣布将通过SPAC(海外借壳)登陆美股;</p>\n<p>前几天,《晚点 LatePost》报道称,滴滴自动驾驶即将完成新一轮融资,融资额超3亿美元,投后估值超小马智行。今年2月,小马智行宣布B轮融资4.62亿美元,当时的估值超过30亿美元。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>旗下的集度汽车发布会上,负责人夏一平称,将会在Q3-Q4发起外部融资。</p>\n<p>5月,文远知行完成C轮,投后估值33亿美元,是其年内第三轮融资。1月,这家公司宣布完成B2、B3两轮融资,总融资额3.1亿美元。</p>\n<p>文远知行COO张力在接受媒体采访时表示,每周都要见很多投资人,行程非常满;而一年前,融资部门大多数时间只是在整理PPT,或者开远程会议。</p>\n<p>再往下,初创公司的融资可谓开在盛夏,密集宣布。</p>\n<p>Momenta,5亿美元C轮融资;纵目科技,1.9亿美元D轮融资;飞步科技,B轮数亿元;智驾科技MAXIEY,1.5亿元A+轮;Autowise.ai仙途<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>,1.2亿元B1轮;宏景智驾,近亿元A轮;觉非科技,近亿元A轮;斯年智驾,数千万人民币Pre-A轮;蛮酷科技,近亿元Pre-A轮;环宇智行,5500万Pre-A轮融资……</p>\n<p>买家是谁呢?先来看高瓴,围绕自动驾驶,2015年天使轮领投了地平线,到今年,高瓴创投又连续投资了毫末智行、禾赛科技、极飞科技、以及AutoCore。</p>\n<p>高瓴逻辑是,先抓产业链上的核心节点——包括系统、芯片、激光雷达、计算平台。找到最关键环节,然后在细分方向里挑最强的团队,支持他们开拓。</p>\n<p>那么,自动驾驶赛道的核心变化因素是什么?一位高瓴的朋友告诉我,主因在汽车智能化渗透率的迅速提升。“L1-L3的落地速度超出期待,另外像物流配送、送餐、清洁、农业等领域,商业化进展非常快。”</p>\n<p>在采访中,智驾科技CEO周圣砚说,智驾并不是一家擅长融资的企业,在2020年前,甚至没有专职岗位。但最近一年明显感觉到规模化的需求,起因就是智能化的落地速度,所以2020年成了融资最快的一年。“资金投入会在各个维度提升,这是一个抢占制高点的过程。”</p>\n<p>陆奇提供的视角是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>,“一旦苹果进场,往往证明风口来了。2024年苹果的汽车要来了,所以越来越多的大厂造车。它们是对的,就应该进场。今天的生态制高点是手机,创新机会都围绕着苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>。下一个时代的生态制高点,很大概率是从自动驾驶衍生出来。”</p>\n<p><b>为何如此之热?</b></p>\n<p>在周圣砚看来,自动驾驶已经从概念和口号,进入现实。</p>\n<p>一方面,跨界玩家涌入,传统车企求变,商业模式变化,一些过去罕见的场景正在发生;另一方面,政策制定部门的导向,相关法规逐步健全;第三,技术日趋成熟,渗透率的数据真实地开始提升,具备了规模化的基础。</p>\n<p>软件、电气在汽车中的比重增加,研发、生产、功能形态都在变化,车厂和供应商的结构、关系也被重塑,一切尚未形成定局,给能够提供技术服务的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>留下很大机会,参与定义未来的产业链格局。</p>\n<p>比如,智驾科技MAXIEYE在2020年融了4轮,总金额超过两亿。“又掀起了一波高潮,几个赛道包括矿区、港口等细分场景,以及新能源车都到了爆发节点。”</p>\n<p>头部企业的动态影响着赛道,比如“百团造车”,比如图森上市。驱动的是资本进一步的热情,觉非科技CEO李东旻表示,甚至有些机构没有跟上节奏以后,主动提出估值上涨,再追加一轮投资。</p>\n<p>“我切身的感受,从去年下半年开始,自动驾驶的投资、认知,又是新一波热浪。”李冬旻说。</p>\n<p>李冬旻还指出,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>解决了产量和产能问题之后,加速做数据和智能化迭代,榜样力量很强。</p>\n<p>“主机厂这么激进地去推进技术和系统的上线,都是想要赶超特斯拉。特斯拉凭一己之力颠覆了各种造车势力,让产业界看到了依靠数据和算法的自动驾驶发展路径带来了多大的效果。”</p>\n<p>在两者的推动之下,自动驾驶呈现出了商用车先落地,乘用车后放量的态势。除此之外,从2020年下半年开始,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>理想小鹏,吉利长城<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>等也纷纷跟上了自研的步伐并不断加速。</p>\n<p>资本的火热的确加速了落地。李冬旻表示,通过资本扫描,可以扫清一些南郭先生。</p>\n<p>他告诉我,不出意外,自动驾驶的加速按钮已经按下,现在商用车的终端用户已经开始认可自动驾驶技术,感受到了降本增效的效果,剩下的就是看谁可以用一个相对比较高效率低成本的方式去提供规模化的解决方案;至于乘用车,终极在于消费者,主机厂就会直接引导未来两三年的汽车研发和生产制造的方向,也会产生配备某种功能的产品链。</p>\n<p>所以,2021年下半年大概率会保持高速融资的状态。尤其是进入到了限定场景下,相对容易落地,且资源消耗不那么明显但又对产业有影响的场景之中,众多企业发展迅速也是可以预见的。</p>\n<p>跟前几年的自动驾驶热的不同呢?李冬旻表示,“第一波的投入基本上还是以美元为主的机构,关注的是大模式下产业的变革;如今,除了美元基金和人民币基金之外,以合肥投资蔚来为典型案例,各个行业积累到的原始资源和财富都跑步进场,速度砸向了细分赛道。”</p>\n<p>斯年智驾CEO何贝也称,今年的热闹程度要跟第一波自动驾驶融资热潮差不多,甚至更甚。“很多投资人觉得当年可能看不清楚自动驾驶这个赛道,但现在,类似于钢化玻璃已经有很多裂缝,市场一触即发。如果再不出手,后面可能就真的跟不上了。”</p>\n<p>有些公司短时间内获得多轮融资,则是因为可供选择的标的越来越少了。除了细分赛道的头部公司,新晋黑马越来越少,很多投资人会根据体量和知名度来选择合适的标的,何贝如此说。</p>\n<p><b>热度之后?</b></p>\n<p>那么问题来了,热潮之后,企业们究竟如何选择之后的发展道路?</p>\n<p>周圣砚也表示,风口的背后也意味着激烈残酷的竞争,无论企业还是资本,都要避免“上头”,应该认真审视需求,考量自身核心能力。</p>\n<p>比如对智驾科技而言,就选择了在2018年先撬动商用客车这个细分市场,量不大,但可以按照量产的要求,让团队闭环运转起来,从研发到投产到交付到量产,包括售后的维护,先跑通再说其他。</p>\n<p>于智驾科技而言,就选择了在2018年先撬动商用客车这样一个细分市场,虽然总体量不大,但可以真正按照量产的要求,让团队闭环运转起来,从技术研发到投产到量产交付,包括售后的维护,先跑通再说其他。</p>\n<p>“1~2年之内,港口就会进入一个大规模的批量化复制和落地的商业化运营,并且可以看到钱,”何贝提及,“所以我们更多的是把精力放在港口这块,当下也拿到了两个港口的商业化运营订单。”</p>\n<p>何贝判断,从2020年下半年到2021年上半年,留给初创公司的时间窗口已经不多了,除非是团队建制完整且商业模型清晰的。一来厚积薄发,爆发力强和速度快,二来场景理解深刻,跳过前面的试错阶段。</p>\n<p>要么是像轻舟智航这样有waymo模式且有字节等资本加持的,一来资本喜欢,一来整体团队研发能力比较强,但除了钱本身之外,一定是在自己的技术跟团队上有一些壁垒性的优势才能出来。</p>\n<p>也因此,他提及,“重新再来一个团队,做到跟文远知行、小马等一样优秀,机会很小了。”</p>\n<p>所以何贝也选择了跟周圣砚一样小步快跑的方式,团队、订单、融资额、估值,都同步往前推进,“比如说一年融两轮,每一轮可能翻一个三倍的样子,所以我们去年就从一两个亿做到三五个亿,到今年年末可能是将近20个亿,大概是这样的一个翻倍的规模才能快速增长。”</p>\n<p>当然这非常考验创始人的统筹能力,如何面对逆势翻牌,商业模式要看准,客户商务、BD都能做,还能够招募到很多盟友,团队扩张及规模要匹配得到。</p>\n<p>李冬旻提出,要始终提供技术壁垒,给到客户有竞争力的方案,那些已经用真正的发展证明自己变成了成长型企业的,才是有资格拿到下一轮融资的初创企业。</p>\n<p>所以这样一来,就需要符合两个特点,第一是高配低打,无论是基础还是产品,一定要是瞄准的是未来半年或者一年产业可能会用到的东西,而不能只是做现在这些车辆需要用的东西。</p>\n<p>第二则是一定要做新物种,而不是在现有基础上改进。换言之,只有做了新场景新物种,传统巨头也好,头部公司也好,才算站在同一起跑线上。也只有把大家都拉在同一起跑线上面,剩下的才是给创业公司的机会。</p>\n<p>“汽车第一波增长动力是电动化,第二波增长动力一定是智能化,智能化这一波里面肯定会跑出来一批优秀的公司。”</p>","source":"tzw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>这个赛道真热!终止IPO不影响融资,高瓴小米美团杀入</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n这个赛道真热!终止IPO不影响融资,高瓴小米美团杀入\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 18:55 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/q5hIU7-8K8psa5d_oTTGOg><strong>投中网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>自动驾驶融资的下半场,再不上车真的晚了。\n近期只要跟朋友聊自动驾驶,一定绕回的一个话题肯定是“融资”。我了解了一圈,好几家公司的说法都是:新一轮融资马上就到位了,机构投资人争抢中。\n最近的一个消息是,文远知行新一轮融资价格已经抬升到了33亿美元,这个数字,在半年前还是14亿美元。\n终止上市非得是坏事吗?禾赛科技这轮融资让我小小地刷新了一下认知,终止IPO以后,这家公司刚刚又拿下了D轮融资,额度超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/q5hIU7-8K8psa5d_oTTGOg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ecc839fbbe41181dfa43cf7a63e6229","relate_stocks":{"03690":"美团-W","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/q5hIU7-8K8psa5d_oTTGOg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145375520","content_text":"自动驾驶融资的下半场,再不上车真的晚了。\n近期只要跟朋友聊自动驾驶,一定绕回的一个话题肯定是“融资”。我了解了一圈,好几家公司的说法都是:新一轮融资马上就到位了,机构投资人争抢中。\n最近的一个消息是,文远知行新一轮融资价格已经抬升到了33亿美元,这个数字,在半年前还是14亿美元。\n终止上市非得是坏事吗?禾赛科技这轮融资让我小小地刷新了一下认知,终止IPO以后,这家公司刚刚又拿下了D轮融资,额度超过3亿美元,领投方很有说服力:高瓴创投、小米集团、美团和中信产业基金。\n禾赛官宣之前,我就不止一次听到,说融资被很多一线机构争抢,传闻一变再变,最后这几家入局。\n“(自动驾驶赛道)最近有大量的新资本介入,除了之前投过几波的美元机构,还有源源不断的新资本入局,之前还有人说坚决不投,现在全忘了,很多企业基本面没变化,却突然半年内融了两三轮。”一家自动驾驶企业创始人告诉我,“甚至有投资人托我带话给竞争对手的创始人,就为抢份额。”\n按照多位受访者的说法,这一波自动驾驶融资热潮,开始于2020年下半年,热度比几年前更甚,理由很简单:量产。\n天眼查数据显示,2020年1月至今,自动驾驶赛道融资事件243起以上,很多公司拿到2-3轮,同期新申请的专利达到近5000件。\n赛道有多热?\n自动驾驶赛道有多热?\n首先,头部频传融资甚至IPO。卡车赛道上,图森4月成功上市,智加科技也在5月宣布将通过SPAC(海外借壳)登陆美股;\n前几天,《晚点 LatePost》报道称,滴滴自动驾驶即将完成新一轮融资,融资额超3亿美元,投后估值超小马智行。今年2月,小马智行宣布B轮融资4.62亿美元,当时的估值超过30亿美元。\n百度旗下的集度汽车发布会上,负责人夏一平称,将会在Q3-Q4发起外部融资。\n5月,文远知行完成C轮,投后估值33亿美元,是其年内第三轮融资。1月,这家公司宣布完成B2、B3两轮融资,总融资额3.1亿美元。\n文远知行COO张力在接受媒体采访时表示,每周都要见很多投资人,行程非常满;而一年前,融资部门大多数时间只是在整理PPT,或者开远程会议。\n再往下,初创公司的融资可谓开在盛夏,密集宣布。\nMomenta,5亿美元C轮融资;纵目科技,1.9亿美元D轮融资;飞步科技,B轮数亿元;智驾科技MAXIEY,1.5亿元A+轮;Autowise.ai仙途智能,1.2亿元B1轮;宏景智驾,近亿元A轮;觉非科技,近亿元A轮;斯年智驾,数千万人民币Pre-A轮;蛮酷科技,近亿元Pre-A轮;环宇智行,5500万Pre-A轮融资……\n买家是谁呢?先来看高瓴,围绕自动驾驶,2015年天使轮领投了地平线,到今年,高瓴创投又连续投资了毫末智行、禾赛科技、极飞科技、以及AutoCore。\n高瓴逻辑是,先抓产业链上的核心节点——包括系统、芯片、激光雷达、计算平台。找到最关键环节,然后在细分方向里挑最强的团队,支持他们开拓。\n那么,自动驾驶赛道的核心变化因素是什么?一位高瓴的朋友告诉我,主因在汽车智能化渗透率的迅速提升。“L1-L3的落地速度超出期待,另外像物流配送、送餐、清洁、农业等领域,商业化进展非常快。”\n在采访中,智驾科技CEO周圣砚说,智驾并不是一家擅长融资的企业,在2020年前,甚至没有专职岗位。但最近一年明显感觉到规模化的需求,起因就是智能化的落地速度,所以2020年成了融资最快的一年。“资金投入会在各个维度提升,这是一个抢占制高点的过程。”\n陆奇提供的视角是苹果,“一旦苹果进场,往往证明风口来了。2024年苹果的汽车要来了,所以越来越多的大厂造车。它们是对的,就应该进场。今天的生态制高点是手机,创新机会都围绕着苹果、三星、谷歌、高通。下一个时代的生态制高点,很大概率是从自动驾驶衍生出来。”\n为何如此之热?\n在周圣砚看来,自动驾驶已经从概念和口号,进入现实。\n一方面,跨界玩家涌入,传统车企求变,商业模式变化,一些过去罕见的场景正在发生;另一方面,政策制定部门的导向,相关法规逐步健全;第三,技术日趋成熟,渗透率的数据真实地开始提升,具备了规模化的基础。\n软件、电气在汽车中的比重增加,研发、生产、功能形态都在变化,车厂和供应商的结构、关系也被重塑,一切尚未形成定局,给能够提供技术服务的创业公司留下很大机会,参与定义未来的产业链格局。\n比如,智驾科技MAXIEYE在2020年融了4轮,总金额超过两亿。“又掀起了一波高潮,几个赛道包括矿区、港口等细分场景,以及新能源车都到了爆发节点。”\n头部企业的动态影响着赛道,比如“百团造车”,比如图森上市。驱动的是资本进一步的热情,觉非科技CEO李东旻表示,甚至有些机构没有跟上节奏以后,主动提出估值上涨,再追加一轮投资。\n“我切身的感受,从去年下半年开始,自动驾驶的投资、认知,又是新一波热浪。”李冬旻说。\n李冬旻还指出,特斯拉解决了产量和产能问题之后,加速做数据和智能化迭代,榜样力量很强。\n“主机厂这么激进地去推进技术和系统的上线,都是想要赶超特斯拉。特斯拉凭一己之力颠覆了各种造车势力,让产业界看到了依靠数据和算法的自动驾驶发展路径带来了多大的效果。”\n在两者的推动之下,自动驾驶呈现出了商用车先落地,乘用车后放量的态势。除此之外,从2020年下半年开始,蔚来理想小鹏,吉利长城比亚迪等也纷纷跟上了自研的步伐并不断加速。\n资本的火热的确加速了落地。李冬旻表示,通过资本扫描,可以扫清一些南郭先生。\n他告诉我,不出意外,自动驾驶的加速按钮已经按下,现在商用车的终端用户已经开始认可自动驾驶技术,感受到了降本增效的效果,剩下的就是看谁可以用一个相对比较高效率低成本的方式去提供规模化的解决方案;至于乘用车,终极在于消费者,主机厂就会直接引导未来两三年的汽车研发和生产制造的方向,也会产生配备某种功能的产品链。\n所以,2021年下半年大概率会保持高速融资的状态。尤其是进入到了限定场景下,相对容易落地,且资源消耗不那么明显但又对产业有影响的场景之中,众多企业发展迅速也是可以预见的。\n跟前几年的自动驾驶热的不同呢?李冬旻表示,“第一波的投入基本上还是以美元为主的机构,关注的是大模式下产业的变革;如今,除了美元基金和人民币基金之外,以合肥投资蔚来为典型案例,各个行业积累到的原始资源和财富都跑步进场,速度砸向了细分赛道。”\n斯年智驾CEO何贝也称,今年的热闹程度要跟第一波自动驾驶融资热潮差不多,甚至更甚。“很多投资人觉得当年可能看不清楚自动驾驶这个赛道,但现在,类似于钢化玻璃已经有很多裂缝,市场一触即发。如果再不出手,后面可能就真的跟不上了。”\n有些公司短时间内获得多轮融资,则是因为可供选择的标的越来越少了。除了细分赛道的头部公司,新晋黑马越来越少,很多投资人会根据体量和知名度来选择合适的标的,何贝如此说。\n热度之后?\n那么问题来了,热潮之后,企业们究竟如何选择之后的发展道路?\n周圣砚也表示,风口的背后也意味着激烈残酷的竞争,无论企业还是资本,都要避免“上头”,应该认真审视需求,考量自身核心能力。\n比如对智驾科技而言,就选择了在2018年先撬动商用客车这个细分市场,量不大,但可以按照量产的要求,让团队闭环运转起来,从研发到投产到交付到量产,包括售后的维护,先跑通再说其他。\n于智驾科技而言,就选择了在2018年先撬动商用客车这样一个细分市场,虽然总体量不大,但可以真正按照量产的要求,让团队闭环运转起来,从技术研发到投产到量产交付,包括售后的维护,先跑通再说其他。\n“1~2年之内,港口就会进入一个大规模的批量化复制和落地的商业化运营,并且可以看到钱,”何贝提及,“所以我们更多的是把精力放在港口这块,当下也拿到了两个港口的商业化运营订单。”\n何贝判断,从2020年下半年到2021年上半年,留给初创公司的时间窗口已经不多了,除非是团队建制完整且商业模型清晰的。一来厚积薄发,爆发力强和速度快,二来场景理解深刻,跳过前面的试错阶段。\n要么是像轻舟智航这样有waymo模式且有字节等资本加持的,一来资本喜欢,一来整体团队研发能力比较强,但除了钱本身之外,一定是在自己的技术跟团队上有一些壁垒性的优势才能出来。\n也因此,他提及,“重新再来一个团队,做到跟文远知行、小马等一样优秀,机会很小了。”\n所以何贝也选择了跟周圣砚一样小步快跑的方式,团队、订单、融资额、估值,都同步往前推进,“比如说一年融两轮,每一轮可能翻一个三倍的样子,所以我们去年就从一两个亿做到三五个亿,到今年年末可能是将近20个亿,大概是这样的一个翻倍的规模才能快速增长。”\n当然这非常考验创始人的统筹能力,如何面对逆势翻牌,商业模式要看准,客户商务、BD都能做,还能够招募到很多盟友,团队扩张及规模要匹配得到。\n李冬旻提出,要始终提供技术壁垒,给到客户有竞争力的方案,那些已经用真正的发展证明自己变成了成长型企业的,才是有资格拿到下一轮融资的初创企业。\n所以这样一来,就需要符合两个特点,第一是高配低打,无论是基础还是产品,一定要是瞄准的是未来半年或者一年产业可能会用到的东西,而不能只是做现在这些车辆需要用的东西。\n第二则是一定要做新物种,而不是在现有基础上改进。换言之,只有做了新场景新物种,传统巨头也好,头部公司也好,才算站在同一起跑线上。也只有把大家都拉在同一起跑线上面,剩下的才是给创业公司的机会。\n“汽车第一波增长动力是电动化,第二波增长动力一定是智能化,智能化这一波里面肯定会跑出来一批优秀的公司。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":165042898,"gmtCreate":1624083264814,"gmtModify":1631889020052,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165042898","repostId":"2144708733","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144708733","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"经济观察报官方账号","home_visible":1,"media_name":"经济观察报","id":"1014835943","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53947f6c3e232c366cc0bd0fd311397d"},"pubTimestamp":1624073310,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2144708733?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-19 11:28","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"“粽子股”要来,五芳斋的单品焦虑和地域束缚","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144708733","media":"经济观察报","summary":"经济观察报 记者 叶心冉每年的端午时节,甜粽和咸粽总会在人们的津津乐道中上演一场PK战,今年不同的是,在这一波讨论声中,A股或将迎来一支“粽子股”。端午前夕,百岁老字号五芳斋提交招股书,谋求A股上市。尽管证监会网站披露的五芳斋上市预披露文件指出,“发行申请尚未得到中国证监会核准,仅供预先披露之用”,但市场对其冲击“粽子第一股”的讨论声已一波又一波。股份公司设立3年后,五芳斋开始进行国有股转让。","content":"<div>\n<p>经济观察报 记者 叶心冉 每年的端午时节,甜粽和咸粽总会在人们的津津乐道中上演一场PK战,今年不同的是,在这一波讨论声中,A股或将迎来一支“粽子股”。\n端午前夕,百岁老字号五芳斋提交招股书,谋求A股上市。尽管证监会网站披露的五芳斋上市预披露文件指出,“发行申请尚未得到中国证监会核准,仅供预先披露之用”,但市场对其冲击“粽子第一股”的讨论声已一波又一波。\n品类单一与地域束缚\n资料显示,五芳斋始于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“粽子股”要来,五芳斋的单品焦虑和地域束缚</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“粽子股”要来,五芳斋的单品焦虑和地域束缚\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-06-19 11:28 北京时间 <strong>经济观察报</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>经济观察报 记者 叶心冉 每年的端午时节,甜粽和咸粽总会在人们的津津乐道中上演一场PK战,今年不同的是,在这一波讨论声中,A股或将迎来一支“粽子股”。\n端午前夕,百岁老字号五芳斋提交招股书,谋求A股上市。尽管证监会网站披露的五芳斋上市预披露文件指出,“发行申请尚未得到中国证监会核准,仅供预先披露之用”,但市场对其冲击“粽子第一股”的讨论声已一波又一波。\n品类单一与地域束缚\n资料显示,五芳斋始于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dffa1df38264cbd5ddb690a66b76f38","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144708733","content_text":"经济观察报 记者 叶心冉 每年的端午时节,甜粽和咸粽总会在人们的津津乐道中上演一场PK战,今年不同的是,在这一波讨论声中,A股或将迎来一支“粽子股”。\n端午前夕,百岁老字号五芳斋提交招股书,谋求A股上市。尽管证监会网站披露的五芳斋上市预披露文件指出,“发行申请尚未得到中国证监会核准,仅供预先披露之用”,但市场对其冲击“粽子第一股”的讨论声已一波又一波。\n品类单一与地域束缚\n资料显示,五芳斋始于1921年,主要从事以糯米食品为主导的食品研发、生产和销售,目前已形成以粽子为主导,集月饼、汤圆、糕点、蛋制品、其他米制品等食品为一体的产品群,拥有嘉兴、成都两大生产基地。\n当前的公司主体——浙江五芳斋实业股份有限公司系1998年由嘉兴市五芳斋粽子公司整体改组,并吸纳嘉兴百货、嘉兴肉类中心、嘉兴酿造及部分自然人共同作为发起人,采取发起设立方式组建的股份有限公司。\n股份公司设立3年后,五芳斋开始进行国有股转让。2001年4月,嘉兴酿造、嘉兴肉类中心与远洋实业(五芳斋集团前身)签署股权转让协议。2004年,远洋实业又先后从原股东嘉兴商业控股、嘉兴市中华化工,及赵建平、魏荣明、倪嘉能处分别受让股份。\n经过多轮增资扩股和股权转让后,五芳斋集团现直接持有公司40.36%的股份,并通过其全资子公司远洋装饰间接持股9.7%,合计持有公司50.06%股份,为公司控股股东。\n招股书显示,五芳斋董事长厉建平持有五芳斋集团20%的股份,其子厉昊嘉持有五芳斋集团 20%的股份,厉建平与厉昊嘉从而间接持有公司主体50.06%的股份,为公司的实际控制人。\n对于这类区域性的老字号餐饮品牌,市场对其的关注和质疑多存在于品类单一和地域束缚两大点上,而再聚焦于粽子占据大幅营收的五芳斋,其还面临时令性的限制。\n招股书显示,2018年-2020年,粽子系列的营收分别为15.02亿元、16.09亿元、16.44亿元,占据主业总营收的比重分别为66.28%、67.74%、70.77%。\n并且,华东区域的营收多年来占据半壁江山。2018年-2020年,华东区域的营收分别为14.33亿元、14.60亿元、12.97亿元,分别占主业总营收的63.23%、61.45%、55.82%。\n资料显示,五芳斋主营业务收入按类别分为粽子系列、月饼系列、餐食系列和蛋制品、糕点及其他。但从2020年的营收来看,月饼系列和蛋糕系列分别占营收的比重为7.96%、11.41%。\n无论是粽子还是月饼,均带有明显的节令性。五芳斋在招股书中亦提示,公司主要产品为粽子、月饼等传统节令食品,存在明显的季节性特征。如果在粽子、月饼的集中消费季节,公司不能做好市场预测,公司将面临部分产品备货不足进而失去业务机会,或者由于外部环境重大变化造成生产过剩进而导致积压浪费的季节性经营风险。\n同时,五芳斋面临着营收增速与毛利率的双重下滑。招股书显示,2018年-2020年,公司营收分别为24.23亿元、25.07亿元和24.21亿元;归母净利润分别为9698.50万元、1.63亿元和1.42亿元。2020年公司的营收和净利润同比均为负增长。\n2018年-2020年,公司综合毛利率分别为45.24%、45.43%和 44.57%,出现一定程度的下滑。粽子销量也同样下滑,2018年-2020年,五芳斋粽子的销量分别为5027.25万kg、5024.15万kg、4462.05万kg。\n与此同时,是公司主要产品系列销售单价的提升。2018年-2020年,五芳斋粽子的销售单价从2.99元/100g上涨至3.68元/100g,涨幅达23.1%;月饼则从2018年的64.91元/kg上涨至74.42元/kg,涨幅达14.65%。\n截至 2020年 12月 31日,公司共拥有169家直营店、合作经营店43家。而在招股书中披露的各直营店相关经营指标显示,在2020年至少有118家直营门店处于亏损状态,有25家合作门店亏损。相比2018年203家的直营门店,三年之间净减少34家。\n同时,根据招股书披露的子公司经营情况,包括五芳斋餐饮、杭州五芳斋、上海优米一家、香港五芳斋、澳门五芳斋在内的多家子公司在2020年的净利润均为负值。\n老字号的新颜\n在国内,老字号品牌多以餐饮企业为主,老字号的品牌老化问题一直是明显的桎梏。根据商务部流通产业促进中心发布的《老字号数字化转型与创新发展报告》(下简称“老字号报告”)显示,在1128家中华老字号企业中,食品餐饮类企业占比高达约50%。报告提到,老字号企业的“老”“旧”“弱”等问题对其数字化转型发展造成一定程度的阻碍。\n而对于品牌焕新问题,企业们都在想方设法抓住当下代表消费主力的年轻人。五芳斋一直在致力于“破圈”,在B站,有用户戏称五芳斋是被卖粽子耽误的电影厂,称其为“五芳影业”。2017年,环时互动公司开始负责五芳斋的互联网营销,先后推出《还乡记》《招待所》等广告短片,今年端午节前夕,五芳斋推出了故事片《寻找李小芳》。\n这背后是“老”品牌对抓住新型消费者的急迫与焦虑。\n华鑫证券食品饮料分析师万蓉在接受采访时指出,总体上来说,老字号的餐饮企业在产品创新、品牌运作、多元化发展等方面落后于新兴品牌。现在的消费环境已经发生了深度变化,从产品为王、到渠道为王、再到现在的消费者为王,在消费者体验方面老字号可能还需要更多的思考和改革。\n上述老字号报告提示,未来老字号品牌可有5大发展方向,涉及加快推进数字化转型、大力开展全渠道运营、不断提升产品创新力、深入挖掘历史文化价值、持续推进体制改革。\n万蓉同时表示,“老字号”的珍贵在于它通过文化穿透所呈现出的经典,是社会发展的缩影,也是历史发展的见证者。如果能利用好这些点,在国货国潮路上找到适合自己的新打法,把话题和流量转化为实实在在的消费力,“老字号”也可以焕发新活力。\n未来走向哪\n五芳斋未来三年的发展战略是:未来三年,公司以消费者体验为核心,以“糯米”为主线,围绕“端午、中秋、春节、元宵、清明、七夕、重阳”等中华节令场景,重点打造高价值产品线。以“热爱中国味”为品牌主张,加强消费者沟通,引导消费者,形成“五芳斋=中华节令美食”的品牌心智认知,并实现品牌年轻化及品牌持续增值的目标。\n对于“五芳斋=中华节令美食”这一的品牌定位,品牌定位专家、红箭头品牌营销公司总经理张健分析指出,五芳斋试图用“热爱中国味”作为品牌主张,这没有问题,与消费者沟通也没有问题。但把“五芳斋=中华节令美食”是存在诸多不足的。“中华节令美食”并不是一个具象的、可衡量的 “产品”,把品牌等同于“中华节令美食”的价值并不大。\n并且,五芳斋提出,将扩大公司月饼、绿豆糕、蛋黄酥等焙烤类食品以及汤圆、烧卖、馄饨等速冻类食品的生产能力。但需要注意的是,在糕点、速冻食品领域,五芳斋还要面临来自于广州酒家、三全食品、安井食品等多家企业的强势竞争。张健指出,对于五芳斋而言,突破单一品类的束缚有一定难度。这是因为,在消费者的认知中,五芳斋已与粽子深度捆绑,五芳斋就是粽子,粽子就是五芳斋。“实际上,这对于五芳斋来讲是优势。突破单一品类可以通过新品牌来创建,虽然短期效果没那么明显,但长期来看,这对于企业是有利的。”\n新品类、新业务是市场对于五芳斋接下来的期待方向。万蓉表示,接下来会比较关注五芳斋在其他产品类别或者现有品类下新产品的研发和创新突破,“从财报中可以发现,50%以上的营收都发生在二季度,也就是传统的端午节前后。粽子的市场规模还相对有限。在已经做到行业龙头、市占率第一的情况下,未来企业的发展空间更多还是要来自于新品类的开发与创新。”\n在招股书中,五芳斋的门店拓展规划指出,直营门店将在2021年增加8家,2022年增加13家,2023年增加30家。但具体的全国性扩张的步伐,五芳斋并未提及。同时,对于突破单一品类的具体规划招股书中也没有提及,坊间流传按照五芳斋董事长厉建平2018年的计划,五芳斋计划在2021年将粽子营收占比降至50%以下。从现有数据来看,该目标还仍未达成。对于上述情况,记者联系五芳斋方面并发送采访提纲,了解具体计划,截至发稿,尚未获得回应。\n张健指出,五芳斋应该重新思考自己的战略,是选择多品牌还是品牌延伸。即便是品牌延伸,也要有一定的边界,要考虑消费者对五芳斋的认知范围及企业的能力边界。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163617071,"gmtCreate":1623882662393,"gmtModify":1631889020070,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意] ","listText":"[得意] ","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163617071","repostId":"1109204514","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109204514","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623866545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109204514?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 02:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109204514","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将","content":"<p>虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。</p> \n<p>美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。</p> \n<p>和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。</p> \n<p>会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:</p> \n<ul> \n <li>在18名发布预期的官员中,<b>本次有7人预计2022年将加息</b>,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,<b>人数占比将近40%。</b></li> \n <li>本次18人中有<b>13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%</b>,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人<b>。</b></li> \n <li><b>在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,</b>人数<b>占比超过61%</b>,比上次这样预期者多5人,<b>预计届时利率超过1%的有5人</b>,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数<b>占比将近30%</b>。</li> \n</ul> \n<p>这意味着,<b>若一次加息25个基点</b>,那么,<b>本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息</b>。</p> \n<p>在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。</p> \n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-17 02:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。</p> \n<p>美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。</p> \n<p>和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。</p> \n<p>会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:</p> \n<ul> \n <li>在18名发布预期的官员中,<b>本次有7人预计2022年将加息</b>,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,<b>人数占比将近40%。</b></li> \n <li>本次18人中有<b>13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%</b>,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人<b>。</b></li> \n <li><b>在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,</b>人数<b>占比超过61%</b>,比上次这样预期者多5人,<b>预计届时利率超过1%的有5人</b>,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数<b>占比将近30%</b>。</li> \n</ul> \n<p>这意味着,<b>若一次加息25个基点</b>,那么,<b>本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息</b>。</p> \n<p>在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。</p> \n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109204514","content_text":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。\n和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。\n会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:\n\n在18名发布预期的官员中,本次有7人预计2022年将加息,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,人数占比将近40%。\n本次18人中有13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人。\n在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,人数占比超过61%,比上次这样预期者多5人,预计届时利率超过1%的有5人,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数占比将近30%。\n\n这意味着,若一次加息25个基点,那么,本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息。\n在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160662976,"gmtCreate":1623796262895,"gmtModify":1631889020087,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","listText":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","text":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160662976","repostId":"1169602512","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169602512","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623766296,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169602512?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"万众瞩目!美联储会议重磅来袭,美股动荡一触即发?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169602512","media":"腾讯美股","summary":"美联储到底会表现出怎样的态度,不单单关乎他们自己的信誉,对于拜登总统的经济改革前景,乃至于全球金融稳定性也都有着不小的影响。\n\n\n最近一段时间以来,美联储的货币政策会议其实颇多都只是在走过场而已,但是","content":"<blockquote>\n <i>美联储到底会表现出怎样的态度,不单单关乎他们自己的信誉,对于拜登总统的经济改革前景,乃至于全球金融稳定性也都有着不小的影响。</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc344fe6e243ed2e64063f21c4a4307d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>最近一段时间以来,美联储的货币政策会议其实颇多都只是在走过场而已,但是本周这次却不同,突然变成了一场实实在在的考验。著名经济学家埃里安(Mohamed El-Erian)撰文指出,这次大家将密切关注会议,以确定联储是否还能够继续控制住他们一直以来灌输给市场的叙事——当下的通货膨胀高企只是暂时性的。</p>\n<p>联储到底会表现出怎样的态度,不单单关乎他们自己的信誉,对于拜登总统的经济改革前景,乃至于全球金融稳定性也都有着不小的影响。</p>\n<p>局面的不断发展已经将联储逼进了一个自我制造的困境之中——他们一直以来都承诺只有看到真实的证据,显示就业和通货膨胀都已经达到目标水平,才会考虑收紧货币政策,单单预期的提升是不足以成为行动理由的,这也就是所谓基于结果的政策架构;然而现在,经济复苏日益凸显出强势,恰恰对他们的承诺构成了挑战。</p>\n<p>虽然各种较为长期的变数依然存在,但是客观来说,美国经济复苏的透明度正在日益提升。</p>\n<p>无论是公共还是私营部门,消费都在大幅增长,带动总需求迅速提升,而与此同时,企业投资和制造出口都呈现出抬头的态势。应该说,供应面已经对需求的变化做出了反应,但是力度依然不够充分。</p>\n<p>由此就造成了一系列的问题:供应瓶颈、库存问题,以及交通运输方面的挑战等。与此同时,企业增加人手的旺盛需求也撞上了冰冷的现实——虽然空缺岗位的数量达到了创纪录的水平,但是有能力或者有意愿去填补这些缺口的人却太少了。</p>\n<p>这些趋势当中,有一部分只是短期性的,而且也必须在短期内得到扭转。不然的话,工资和价格恐怕就将大幅度上涨,产生一系列消极影响。</p>\n<p>上周的经济数据要点之一就是消费者价格报告,后者再度显示,美国的通货膨胀增长速度超过了预期,同比增幅5月间达到了5%,核心部分同比增幅为3.8%。通货膨胀抬头的速度要超过许多人的预想,由此再度得到了证实。</p>\n<p>可是与此同时,虽然大家对通货膨胀的规模和发展速度都越来越感到担心,但是美国政府债券的收益率却迅速降低了。</p>\n<p>有些意见认为,这正说明市场开始同意美国央行的叙事,即当前的价格上涨只是暂时性的,因此这对于联储其实是一个好消息。虽然这样的解读不能说没有道理,但是对此寄予过高期待显然是站不住脚的。</p>\n<p>事实上,过去几年以来,市场上最响亮的警告声之一就是,各家央行高度反传统的政策会导致收益率受到重大和长期的压制,扭曲市场信号。具体来说,这种作用有两种发生的途径。</p>\n<p>首先,央行大力度地,而且是可预见地持续购买证券,让市场上许多人感到安心,相信对债券收益率的压制力将长期存在,尤其是央行还充分证明,他们这么做没有丝毫利润方面的考虑,因此也根本不在乎买进时的价格是否过高。其次,超低的基准利率之下,投资者为了寻求更高的收益率,只好转向那些更长期的债券。</p>\n<p>当央行不但重复着这样的操作,而且还重复强调其超级宽松的政策前瞻指引,这两种效应就会体现得更加明显。</p>\n<p>就联储的具体情况而言,这种吹风大致是有三个要点:一是反复强调自己根本就没有想过任何缩减购债力度的可能性;二是承诺零利率会保持尽可能长的时间;三是转向基于结果的货币政策架构。</p>\n<p>在这三者的联合作用之下,便出现了虽然经济现实发出警告,但是市场依然对超级宽松金融环境预期信心满满的一幕。</p>\n<p>这种流动性配置的错位当然是受到股市投资者,以及企业债券和新兴市场债券投资者的欢迎的。这种架构的最主要影响之一,就是事实上鼓励大家去各种风险较高的领域寻找机会。</p>\n<p>不过不必说,这种架构也有其内涵的风险。事实上,局面的成败是高度取决于联储的判断力的,即美国的通货膨胀猛增必须被证明只是暂时性的,而这一点,单单靠意愿显然是不够的。一旦联储出现了失误,则他们的声誉就会严重受损,而后者对于他们未来政策效力的发挥是至关重要的。</p>\n<p>比如,联储很大的风险之一就在于,一旦他们发现自己判断失误,就只能被迫迅速踩下货币政策刹车,使得衰退发生的可能性加大。此外,未来金融市场大幅波动也是完全可以想见的,这显然也不利于维持经济的稳定高增长。</p>\n<p>最后,这种不均衡的政策组合还会对拜登政府的各种经济和社会改革起到釜底抽薪的作用,使得改革消除贫困,提升生产率的目标难以达成。</p>\n<p>如果觉得市场对通货膨胀风险的反应并不剧烈,是说明后者原本也不成其为威胁,那就大错特错了。事实上,这是对联储能力的一种勉勉强强的信任——市场相信他们能够在更长时间内扭曲价格。可是,这想法本身就构成了一种风险,也许大家都该得到提醒,知道在通货膨胀问题上,大家的思路必须再开阔一点,必须保持适当的谦恭。</p>","source":"txmg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n万众瞩目!美联储会议重磅来袭,美股动荡一触即发?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:11 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YpIeFpsNTeMYTFsQF-MdXg><strong>腾讯美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储到底会表现出怎样的态度,不单单关乎他们自己的信誉,对于拜登总统的经济改革前景,乃至于全球金融稳定性也都有着不小的影响。\n\n\n最近一段时间以来,美联储的货币政策会议其实颇多都只是在走过场而已,但是本周这次却不同,突然变成了一场实实在在的考验。著名经济学家埃里安(Mohamed El-Erian)撰文指出,这次大家将密切关注会议,以确定联储是否还能够继续控制住他们一直以来灌输给市场的叙事——当下...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YpIeFpsNTeMYTFsQF-MdXg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a5ce75491d6450131e7fe1ba690b539","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指反向ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/YpIeFpsNTeMYTFsQF-MdXg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169602512","content_text":"美联储到底会表现出怎样的态度,不单单关乎他们自己的信誉,对于拜登总统的经济改革前景,乃至于全球金融稳定性也都有着不小的影响。\n\n\n最近一段时间以来,美联储的货币政策会议其实颇多都只是在走过场而已,但是本周这次却不同,突然变成了一场实实在在的考验。著名经济学家埃里安(Mohamed 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05:36","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"滴滴递交上市申请 ,管理层投票权超过50%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179767026","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美东时间6月10日,滴滴出行正式向美国证券交易委员会递交IPO申请,拟于纽交所或纳斯达克挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。招股书显示,截至2021年3月,滴滴在全球15个国家4000多个城市开展业务,平台全球年活跃用户达到4.93亿。招股书显示,IPO之前,滴滴创始人、CEO程维持股7%,联合创始人、总裁柳青持股1.7%。根据中概股常规的同股不同权的安排,程维柳青合计拥有超过48%的投票权,包括程维柳青在内的滴滴管理层拥有超过50%的投票权。","content":"<p>美东时间6月10日,滴滴出行正式向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)递交IPO申请,拟于纽交所或纳斯达克挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。招股书显示,截至2021年3月,滴滴在全球15个国家4000多个城市开展业务,平台全球年活跃用户达到4.93亿。</p>\n<p>招股书显示,IPO之前,滴滴创始人、CEO程维持股7%,联合创始人、总裁柳青持股1.7%。根据中概股常规的同股不同权的安排,程维柳青合计拥有超过48%的投票权,包括程维柳青在内的滴滴管理层拥有超过50%的投票权。</p>\n<p>目前国内京东、小米、拼多多等多家互联网公司都采用了AB股即同股不同权的模式,刘强东、雷军、黄峥等创始人也正是借此拥有的股份尽管没有达到绝对控股的程度,却能够牢牢地掌控住公司。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>滴滴递交上市申请 ,管理层投票权超过50%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n滴滴递交上市申请 ,管理层投票权超过50%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-11 05:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美东时间6月10日,滴滴出行正式向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)递交IPO申请,拟于纽交所或纳斯达克挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。招股书显示,截至2021年3月,滴滴在全球15个国家4000多个城市开展业务,平台全球年活跃用户达到4.93亿。</p>\n<p>招股书显示,IPO之前,滴滴创始人、CEO程维持股7%,联合创始人、总裁柳青持股1.7%。根据中概股常规的同股不同权的安排,程维柳青合计拥有超过48%的投票权,包括程维柳青在内的滴滴管理层拥有超过50%的投票权。</p>\n<p>目前国内京东、小米、拼多多等多家互联网公司都采用了AB股即同股不同权的模式,刘强东、雷军、黄峥等创始人也正是借此拥有的股份尽管没有达到绝对控股的程度,却能够牢牢地掌控住公司。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf210b0a9da00c82cb2c925171714e26","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179767026","content_text":"美东时间6月10日,滴滴出行正式向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)递交IPO申请,拟于纽交所或纳斯达克挂牌上市,股票代码为“DIDI”。招股书显示,截至2021年3月,滴滴在全球15个国家4000多个城市开展业务,平台全球年活跃用户达到4.93亿。\n招股书显示,IPO之前,滴滴创始人、CEO程维持股7%,联合创始人、总裁柳青持股1.7%。根据中概股常规的同股不同权的安排,程维柳青合计拥有超过48%的投票权,包括程维柳青在内的滴滴管理层拥有超过50%的投票权。\n目前国内京东、小米、拼多多等多家互联网公司都采用了AB股即同股不同权的模式,刘强东、雷军、黄峥等创始人也正是借此拥有的股份尽管没有达到绝对控股的程度,却能够牢牢地掌控住公司。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196791661,"gmtCreate":1621119434653,"gmtModify":1634194011816,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"请帮忙回复","listText":"请帮忙回复","text":"请帮忙回复","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196791661","repostId":"1164480285","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":386428926,"gmtCreate":1613261239165,"gmtModify":1634554092397,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"拼多多还要涨?","listText":"拼多多还要涨?","text":"拼多多还要涨?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386428926","repostId":"1189712134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163617071,"gmtCreate":1623882662393,"gmtModify":1631889020070,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意] ","listText":"[得意] ","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163617071","repostId":"1109204514","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109204514","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623866545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109204514?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 02:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109204514","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将","content":"<p>虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。</p> \n<p>美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。</p> \n<p>和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。</p> \n<p>会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:</p> \n<ul> \n <li>在18名发布预期的官员中,<b>本次有7人预计2022年将加息</b>,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,<b>人数占比将近40%。</b></li> \n <li>本次18人中有<b>13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%</b>,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人<b>。</b></li> \n <li><b>在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,</b>人数<b>占比超过61%</b>,比上次这样预期者多5人,<b>预计届时利率超过1%的有5人</b>,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数<b>占比将近30%</b>。</li> \n</ul> \n<p>这意味着,<b>若一次加息25个基点</b>,那么,<b>本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息</b>。</p> \n<p>在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。</p> \n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储点阵图:中位数预期到2023年底美联储将加息两次\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-17 02:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。</p> \n<p>美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。</p> \n<p>和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。</p> \n<p>会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:</p> \n<ul> \n <li>在18名发布预期的官员中,<b>本次有7人预计2022年将加息</b>,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,<b>人数占比将近40%。</b></li> \n <li>本次18人中有<b>13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%</b>,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人<b>。</b></li> \n <li><b>在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,</b>人数<b>占比超过61%</b>,比上次这样预期者多5人,<b>预计届时利率超过1%的有5人</b>,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数<b>占比将近30%</b>。</li> \n</ul> \n<p>这意味着,<b>若一次加息25个基点</b>,那么,<b>本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息</b>。</p> \n<p>在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。</p> \n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a1de7aced7748879f251930783a3cb1","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109204514","content_text":"虽然依然保持近零利率和QE购债规模不变,但本周美联储会议释放了两年后、即2023年较有可能加息不止一次的明显信号。\n美东时间6月16日周三,美联储会后公布,联储货币政策委员会FOMC的委员一致同意,将政策利率联邦基金利率的目标水平保持在0-0.25%不变,符合市场预期,同时将超额准备金利率(IOER)和贴现利率仍分别维持在0.10%和0.25%。\n和前八次会后声明一样,美联储继续承诺,将为了支持美国经济而运用联储“所有范围”的政策工具。\n会后公布的点阵图显示,和今年3月上次发布的点阵图一样,所有美联储官员均预计今年利率保持不变,在2023年之后的更长时间内,多数联储官员预计利率会升至2.5%,高于联储长期目标2%。不同于上次点阵图的是:\n\n在18名发布预期的官员中,本次有7人预计2022年将加息,比上次这样预期的人数多3人,人数占比将近40%。\n本次18人中有13人预计2023年会加息,人数占比超过72%,比上次预期2023年加息者多6人。\n在预计2023年加息的这13人中,有11人预计届时利率将超过0.5%,人数占比超过61%,比上次这样预期者多5人,预计届时利率超过1%的有5人,比上次这样预期者多3人,人数占比将近30%。\n\n这意味着,若一次加息25个基点,那么,本次有六成以上的多数官员都预计,到2023年末,美联储将在当前基础上至少两次加息。\n在美东下午2点FOMC决策公布后,10年期美债收益率升破1.50%和1.51%两道关口,日内转涨并升近2个基点。美股跌幅扩大,道指跌近370点或超1%,标普500指数跌近1%,纳指跌0.7%。5分钟后,道指跌幅小幅收窄至285点,标普500指数和纳指均跌0.7%。金银跳水,现货黄金日内重新下跌0.5%并失守1850美元,短线跌超10美元。比特币跌幅收窄,重回3.9万美元上方,美元指数升破90.70和90.80两道关口,刷新一个月高位。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160662976,"gmtCreate":1623796262895,"gmtModify":1631889020087,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","listText":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","text":"所以这种情况下需要配点什么股来抵消风险呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160662976","repostId":"1169602512","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199626634,"gmtCreate":1620701276428,"gmtModify":1634196983722,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"其实这个数字才是最直观对比的,2010年六普家庭人均3.1人,2020年七普家庭人均2.62人,这还是最近几年全面开放二胎的情况下的数字","listText":"其实这个数字才是最直观对比的,2010年六普家庭人均3.1人,2020年七普家庭人均2.62人,这还是最近几年全面开放二胎的情况下的数字","text":"其实这个数字才是最直观对比的,2010年六普家庭人均3.1人,2020年七普家庭人均2.62人,这还是最近几年全面开放二胎的情况下的数字","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199626634","repostId":"1178159521","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468658323336580","authorId":"3468658323336580","name":"小石头W","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213fa3ba9cd3173261a3b6b51fbab243","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3468658323336580","authorIdStr":"3468658323336580"},"content":"80.90后陆续在这10年内成家,这个数字很正常啊","text":"80.90后陆续在这10年内成家,这个数字很正常啊","html":"80.90后陆续在这10年内成家,这个数字很正常啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101797266,"gmtCreate":1619940792555,"gmtModify":1634208960509,"author":{"id":"3574303298498844","authorId":"3574303298498844","name":"maigis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3cdf4124d95b8b66db647d3a424254","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574303298498844","authorIdStr":"3574303298498844"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[666] 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