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Kendro

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2022-01-25

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@新经济IPO:黄峥5000亿财富背后：涉黄游戏攒金，拼多多假货颠覆上百品牌

2021-12-23

scamm?

Kaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.<blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote>

2021-12-18

hahahha

Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-12-18

funny drop

J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote>

2021-11-02

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-01

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-02-25

sad...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-25

nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-23

all drop

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-23

confirm he sell it

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-22

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-19

nice

Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>

2021-02-18

I tot they was sold some tesla shares

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-17

that's why he go for bitcoin now

The best thing for Tesla is a slow and steady loss of market share?<blockquote>对特斯拉来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额？</blockquote>

2021-02-17

make America great again

With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>

2021-02-16

Nice sharing

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-16

Nice sharing

ROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-02-16

$ZA Online(06060)$ aim for 100

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>&nbsp;又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","listText":"将“本分”挂在嘴上的拼多多<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>&nbsp;又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","text":"将“本分”挂在嘴上的拼多多$拼多多(PDD)$ 又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb852aa177b5fa704eafe8ef7d4695db","width":"632","height":"334"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4262f0f696374a52bef302c99bf46254","width":"632","height":"324"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d201e01a9d2d4836e2eeb9cfae5fe15","width":"632","height":"54"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630623747","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698066295,"gmtCreate":1640264583649,"gmtModify":1640264583709,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"scamm?&nbsp;","listText":"scamm?&nbsp;","text":"scamm?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698066295","repostId":"1166026361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166026361","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640263405,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166026361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 20:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.<blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166026361","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.\nKaixin Auto(NASDAQ:KXIN)has reached a ","content":"<p>Kaixin&nbsp;Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;16%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92af66fed8c7b8aaf9b64914a2c0f998\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"611\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote></p><p> Kaixin Auto(NASDAQ:KXIN)has reached a&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;with Beijing Shencheng Biotechnology Group Limited.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车（纳斯达克：KXIN）与北京申城生物科技集团有限公司达成战略合作伙伴协议。</blockquote></p><p> Shencheng is a well-known biotechnology company&nbsp;engaged in waste sorting and recycling in China.</p><p><blockquote>申城是国内从事垃圾分类回收的知名生物科技公司。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms, Shencheng agrees to purchase 10,000 customized new energy trucks from Kaixin over the next 5 years for its environmental protection and resource recycling projects.</p><p><blockquote>根据条款，申城同意在未来5年内向凯鑫购买10,000辆定制新能源卡车，用于其环保和资源循环利用项目。</blockquote></p><p> The total value is around $250 million.</p><p><blockquote>总价值约为2.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.<blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.<blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-23 20:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kaixin&nbsp;Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;16%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92af66fed8c7b8aaf9b64914a2c0f998\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"611\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>开心汽车股价在盘前交易中上涨超过16%。</blockquote></p><p> Kaixin Auto(NASDAQ:KXIN)has reached a&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;with Beijing Shencheng Biotechnology Group Limited.</p><p><blockquote>开心汽车（纳斯达克：KXIN）与北京申城生物科技集团有限公司达成战略合作伙伴协议。</blockquote></p><p> Shencheng is a well-known biotechnology company&nbsp;engaged in waste sorting and recycling in China.</p><p><blockquote>申城是国内从事垃圾分类回收的知名生物科技公司。</blockquote></p><p> Under the terms, Shencheng agrees to purchase 10,000 customized new energy trucks from Kaixin over the next 5 years for its environmental protection and resource recycling projects.</p><p><blockquote>根据条款，申城同意在未来5年内向凯鑫购买10,000辆定制新能源卡车，用于其环保和资源循环利用项目。</blockquote></p><p> The total value is around $250 million.</p><p><blockquote>总价值约为2.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KXIN":"开心控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166026361","content_text":"Kaixin Auto shares jumped more than 16% in premarket trading.\nKaixin Auto(NASDAQ:KXIN)has reached a strategic partnership agreement with Beijing Shencheng Biotechnology Group Limited.\nShencheng is a well-known biotechnology company engaged in waste sorting and recycling in China.\nUnder the terms, Shencheng agrees to purchase 10,000 customized new energy trucks from Kaixin over the next 5 years for its environmental protection and resource recycling projects.\nThe total value is around $250 million.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KXIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699674303,"gmtCreate":1639799373903,"gmtModify":1639799374006,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hahahha","listText":"hahahha","text":"hahahha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699674303","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699675238,"gmtCreate":1639799270404,"gmtModify":1639799270404,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"funny drop","listText":"funny drop","text":"funny drop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699675238","repostId":"1122501085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122501085","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785898,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122501085?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122501085","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks","content":"<p><ul>  Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.</p><p><blockquote><ul>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师表示，小盘股（NYSEARCA：IWM）和价值股（NYSEARCA：IWN）在过去四周内处于调整状态，而高贝塔值股票正在进入熊市。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Marko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&amp;P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Marko Kolanovic因近期评级逢低买入而受到关注，评级关注“悖论”美国股市平均较高点下跌28%，中位数下跌约21%，而Russell 3000指数（NYSEARCA：IWV）今年迄今上涨约22%，标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）上涨25%。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇在一份报告中写道：“我们不知道这种背离，这表明过去4周内抛售规模较小、波动性更大、通常是价值型和周期性股票的行为出现了历史上前所未有的超调。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"</p><p><blockquote>“卖空活动要想取得成功，必须有定位、流动性，而且往往是系统性的抛售放大器，”他说。“我们认为这些条件没有得到满足，因此这次市场事件可能会以轧空和周期性反弹告终，直至年底和一月份。”</blockquote></p><p>  Retail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>零售弹性。他补充说，月底和季度末将会有股票购买。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，存在激进的做空行为，可能是希望散户股票头寸和加密货币持有量下降——而事实上，这些市场和散户投资者在过去几周都表现出了韧性。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇表示：“应该注意的是，大型空头头寸可能需要在（季节性强劲的）1月份之前平仓，这可能会出现小盘股、价值股和周期性反弹。”“鉴于市场流动性正在减少，当流动性状况较好时，平仓空头的影响可能比开仓空头的影响更大。”</blockquote></p><p>  On the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的一面是，法国兴业银行(SocGen)的艾伯特·爱德华兹(Albert Edwards)正在寻找明年美国科技股的崩盘。</blockquote></p><p>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247ac4dbea015753d0c0d9898d9aab92\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJ.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.</p><p><blockquote><ul>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师表示，小盘股（NYSEARCA：IWM）和价值股（NYSEARCA：IWN）在过去四周内处于调整状态，而高贝塔值股票正在进入熊市。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Marko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&amp;P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Marko Kolanovic因近期评级逢低买入而受到关注，评级关注“悖论”美国股市平均较高点下跌28%，中位数下跌约21%，而Russell 3000指数（NYSEARCA：IWV）今年迄今上涨约22%，标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）上涨25%。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇在一份报告中写道：“我们不知道这种背离，这表明过去4周内抛售规模较小、波动性更大、通常是价值型和周期性股票的行为出现了历史上前所未有的超调。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"</p><p><blockquote>“卖空活动要想取得成功，必须有定位、流动性，而且往往是系统性的抛售放大器，”他说。“我们认为这些条件没有得到满足，因此这次市场事件可能会以轧空和周期性反弹告终，直至年底和一月份。”</blockquote></p><p>  Retail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>零售弹性。他补充说，月底和季度末将会有股票购买。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，存在激进的做空行为，可能是希望散户股票头寸和加密货币持有量下降——而事实上，这些市场和散户投资者在过去几周都表现出了韧性。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇表示：“应该注意的是，大型空头头寸可能需要在（季节性强劲的）1月份之前平仓，这可能会出现小盘股、价值股和周期性反弹。”“鉴于市场流动性正在减少，当流动性状况较好时，平仓空头的影响可能比开仓空头的影响更大。”</blockquote></p><p>  On the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的一面是，法国兴业银行(SocGen)的艾伯特·爱德华兹(Albert Edwards)正在寻找明年美国科技股的崩盘。</blockquote></p><p>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247ac4dbea015753d0c0d9898d9aab92\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781404-short-squeeze-likely-into-end-of-the-year-jp-morgans-kolanovic\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781404-short-squeeze-likely-into-end-of-the-year-jp-morgans-kolanovic","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122501085","content_text":"Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.\nMarko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.\n\"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.\n\"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"\nRetail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.\n\"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"\n\"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"\nOn the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841906210,"gmtCreate":1635866253758,"gmtModify":1635866253758,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841906210","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849557366,"gmtCreate":1635769346056,"gmtModify":1635769346056,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849557366","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while 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it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369210322","repostId":"1136280549","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360752392,"gmtCreate":1613983325916,"gmtModify":1634551670392,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360752392","repostId":"1195232127","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387857784,"gmtCreate":1613740262148,"gmtModify":1634552422412,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387857784","repostId":"1161529893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161529893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613733842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161529893?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161529893","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by so","content":"<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 19:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161529893","content_text":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\n\nRobo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.\nNow anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.\n“Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\nAlthough the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.\n“People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.\nGoldman Sachs declined to comment.\nThe company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.\nFees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.\nThe median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.\nRobo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.\nRobo investing as a self-driving car\nConsumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.\nThe rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.\nSo what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.\nYou put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.\nRobo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.\nThere are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.\nAnd rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.\nCynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.\nAs she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”\nRobos appeal to inexperienced investors\nRobo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.\nThat makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.\n“When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”\nThat said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”\nOthers disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.\n“Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.\nThere is often no door to knock on\nYour robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.\nIt won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.\n“The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.\nNot all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.\nAdditionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.\nFor instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.\nBut with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.\nOn top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.\n“If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.\nDon’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.\nBut not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.\nThe results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":384380850,"gmtCreate":1613614606670,"gmtModify":1634552937408,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","listText":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","text":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384380850","repostId":"2112854153","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385809925,"gmtCreate":1613526920367,"gmtModify":1634553300359,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","listText":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","text":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385809925","repostId":"1168749416","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168749416","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613468978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168749416?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 17:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The best thing for Tesla is a slow and steady loss of market share?<blockquote>对特斯拉来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168749416","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.We love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle  on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.And Tesla’s rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithi","content":"<p>As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手开始认真销售电动汽车，市场将会增长并凸显特斯拉的创新实力，并在此过程中保护地球。</blockquote></p><p> We love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.</p><p><blockquote>我们热爱特斯拉——我们是该公司让电动汽车变得酷的方式的忠实粉丝。</blockquote></p><p> The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle (EV) on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司的Model 3可能是当今市场上最令人垂涎的低成本电动汽车(EV)，并且正在取得巨大成功。</blockquote></p><p> And Tesla’s&nbsp;rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithium-ion batteries. Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has&nbsp;lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉电池产量的快速增长迫使锂离子电池价格下降。然而，我们对Schmidt Automotive Research的消息感到高兴，特斯拉在全球最大的电动汽车市场欧盟失去了市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> We’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.</p><p><blockquote>我们很高兴，因为这清楚地表明了全球对电动汽车的兴趣。在欧盟，特斯拉市场份额的损失部分是由于大型现有汽车制造商越来越热衷于通过定价和设计多样性使自己的电动汽车更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Good for the planet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对地球有益</b></blockquote></p><p> A broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense.&nbsp;In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.</p><p><blockquote>这些省油、无污染的汽车拥有更广阔、更深入的市场对地球有好处，并将进一步降低价格。电动汽车的进一步改进之路也完全有意义。事实上，内燃机（ICE）是今天的马车：众所周知，可靠，拥有良好的基础设施，但最终无法竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices)&nbsp;are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors&nbsp;has already taken the plunge and&nbsp;will phase out combustion engines by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>按照电池价格（以及电动汽车价格）下降和采用率增加的速度，所有汽车制造商都将开始公开逐步淘汰内燃机。通用汽车已经采取了行动，将在2035年之前逐步淘汰内燃机。</blockquote></p><p> We won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.</p><p><blockquote>如果通用汽车在大约三年后修改这一时间表并宣布到2028年将实现全电动化，并且所有其他汽车制造商都效仿，我们不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> The history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.&nbsp; They cost many thousands of dollars.&nbsp;Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and&nbsp;are available on Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>技术的历史预示着电动汽车的未来。加速度计是一种测量物体加速或减速速度的系统，它举例说明了这一过程。在20世纪50年代，早期的加速度计使弹道导弹能够保持其轨迹。它们的成本高达数千美元。如今，比导弹锥体中的加速度计芯片更灵敏，成本仅为几美元或更低，并且可以在阿里巴巴-SW上买到。</blockquote></p><p> This occurred because when Apple’s&nbsp;iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s&nbsp;Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为当苹果的iPhone让智能手机普及时，大量技术变得无处不在。Alphabet的Android操作系统和基于Linux的片上系统帮助提高了规模经济，所有智能手机组件的价格都大幅下降，对许多技术产生了广泛的连锁反应。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，智能手机技术带来了全新的类别。无人机基本上就是主动的手机。它们使用许多相同的计算技术，价格也在类似地下降。</blockquote></p><p> And EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels.&nbsp;They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.</p><p><blockquote>而EV本质上是轮子上的手机，它们有更多的运动部件，需要额外的功能，比如激光、测距仪和安全气囊；尽管如此，它们更像手机或无人机，而不是内燃机汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense.&nbsp;An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将电动汽车视为软件产品和可升级设备：更像iPhone而不是传统汽车。这是有道理的。电动汽车只不过是一个软件控制的发动机，电池装在盒子里，而电池很快就会成为商品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Battery-powered everything</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电池供电的一切</b></blockquote></p><p> Eventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans.&nbsp;All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion.&nbsp;And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.&nbsp; Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.</p><p><blockquote>最终，各种形状和尺寸的车身都将被3D打印出来。电动汽车进入者已经开始涉足电动汽车市场的所有领域，从微型送货机器人和货运无人机到电动自行车和定制货车。所有这些都是电池驱动的运动。最便宜的将被广泛负担得起，这将使服务民主化，因为印度20美元的Jio智能手机已经实现了在线访问的民主化。时速20英里的电动自行车价格已经不到500美元，它们适合城市地区的许多基本通勤任务。</blockquote></p><p> So Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.&nbsp; Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful.&nbsp;Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now.&nbsp;Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，电动汽车的领导者特斯拉没有什么可担心的：通过提高知名度和鼓励创新，它为自己创造了更大的潜在市场。与苹果一样，特斯拉的品牌也很强大。与苹果不同，特斯拉面临着一些相当酷的竞争，即使是现在。保时捷刚刚宣布了其Macan的电动版本，定价与特斯拉Model S轿车相似。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk清楚地认识到并接受了做大蛋糕的战略。电动汽车市场远大于汽车市场：这正是他开源特斯拉专利并让竞争对手更容易扩大规模、制造更好的汽车并扩大市场的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones.&nbsp;Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.</p><p><blockquote>就销量而言，特斯拉在全球汽车市场上可能仍是一个小角色，但仍将保持领先地位，就像苹果在手机领域所做的那样。史蒂夫·乔布斯将苹果牢牢定位在高端市场，并一直保持在那里，攫取了智能手机利润的最大份额。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share.&nbsp;The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对特斯拉和地球的未来来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额。电动汽车的时代已经到来，这意味着特斯拉是时候面对更加激烈的竞争了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The best thing for Tesla is a slow and steady loss of market share?<blockquote>对特斯拉来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has&nbsp;lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉电池产量的快速增长迫使锂离子电池价格下降。然而，我们对Schmidt Automotive Research的消息感到高兴，特斯拉在全球最大的电动汽车市场欧盟失去了市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> We’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.</p><p><blockquote>我们很高兴，因为这清楚地表明了全球对电动汽车的兴趣。在欧盟，特斯拉市场份额的损失部分是由于大型现有汽车制造商越来越热衷于通过定价和设计多样性使自己的电动汽车更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Good for the planet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对地球有益</b></blockquote></p><p> A broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense.&nbsp;In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.</p><p><blockquote>这些省油、无污染的汽车拥有更广阔、更深入的市场对地球有好处，并将进一步降低价格。电动汽车的进一步改进之路也完全有意义。事实上，内燃机（ICE）是今天的马车：众所周知，可靠，拥有良好的基础设施，但最终无法竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices)&nbsp;are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors&nbsp;has already taken the plunge and&nbsp;will phase out combustion engines by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>按照电池价格（以及电动汽车价格）下降和采用率增加的速度，所有汽车制造商都将开始公开逐步淘汰内燃机。通用汽车已经采取了行动，将在2035年之前逐步淘汰内燃机。</blockquote></p><p> We won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.</p><p><blockquote>如果通用汽车在大约三年后修改这一时间表并宣布到2028年将实现全电动化，并且所有其他汽车制造商都效仿，我们不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> The history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.&nbsp; They cost many thousands of dollars.&nbsp;Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and&nbsp;are available on Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>技术的历史预示着电动汽车的未来。加速度计是一种测量物体加速或减速速度的系统，它举例说明了这一过程。在20世纪50年代，早期的加速度计使弹道导弹能够保持其轨迹。它们的成本高达数千美元。如今，比导弹锥体中的加速度计芯片更灵敏，成本仅为几美元或更低，并且可以在阿里巴巴-SW上买到。</blockquote></p><p> This occurred because when Apple’s&nbsp;iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s&nbsp;Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为当苹果的iPhone让智能手机普及时，大量技术变得无处不在。Alphabet的Android操作系统和基于Linux的片上系统帮助提高了规模经济，所有智能手机组件的价格都大幅下降，对许多技术产生了广泛的连锁反应。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，智能手机技术带来了全新的类别。无人机基本上就是主动的手机。它们使用许多相同的计算技术，价格也在类似地下降。</blockquote></p><p> And EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels.&nbsp;They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.</p><p><blockquote>而EV本质上是轮子上的手机，它们有更多的运动部件，需要额外的功能，比如激光、测距仪和安全气囊；尽管如此，它们更像手机或无人机，而不是内燃机汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense.&nbsp;An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将电动汽车视为软件产品和可升级设备：更像iPhone而不是传统汽车。这是有道理的。电动汽车只不过是一个软件控制的发动机，电池装在盒子里，而电池很快就会成为商品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Battery-powered everything</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电池供电的一切</b></blockquote></p><p> Eventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans.&nbsp;All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion.&nbsp;And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.&nbsp; Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.</p><p><blockquote>最终，各种形状和尺寸的车身都将被3D打印出来。电动汽车进入者已经开始涉足电动汽车市场的所有领域，从微型送货机器人和货运无人机到电动自行车和定制货车。所有这些都是电池驱动的运动。最便宜的将被广泛负担得起，这将使服务民主化，因为印度20美元的Jio智能手机已经实现了在线访问的民主化。时速20英里的电动自行车价格已经不到500美元，它们适合城市地区的许多基本通勤任务。</blockquote></p><p> So Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.&nbsp; Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful.&nbsp;Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now.&nbsp;Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，电动汽车的领导者特斯拉没有什么可担心的：通过提高知名度和鼓励创新，它为自己创造了更大的潜在市场。与苹果一样，特斯拉的品牌也很强大。与苹果不同，特斯拉面临着一些相当酷的竞争，即使是现在。保时捷刚刚宣布了其Macan的电动版本，定价与特斯拉Model S轿车相似。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk清楚地认识到并接受了做大蛋糕的战略。电动汽车市场远大于汽车市场：这正是他开源特斯拉专利并让竞争对手更容易扩大规模、制造更好的汽车并扩大市场的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones.&nbsp;Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.</p><p><blockquote>就销量而言，特斯拉在全球汽车市场上可能仍是一个小角色，但仍将保持领先地位，就像苹果在手机领域所做的那样。史蒂夫·乔布斯将苹果牢牢定位在高端市场，并一直保持在那里，攫取了智能手机利润的最大份额。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share.&nbsp;The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对特斯拉和地球的未来来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额。电动汽车的时代已经到来，这意味着特斯拉是时候面对更加激烈的竞争了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-thing-for-tesla-is-a-slow-and-steady-loss-of-market-share-11613062433?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-thing-for-tesla-is-a-slow-and-steady-loss-of-market-share-11613062433?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1168749416","content_text":"As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.\nWe love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.\nThe Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle (EV) on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.\nAnd Tesla’s rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithium-ion batteries. Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.\nWe’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.\nGood for the planet\nA broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense. In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.\nAt the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices) are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors has already taken the plunge and will phase out combustion engines by 2035.\nWe won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.\nThe history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.  They cost many thousands of dollars. Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and are available on Alibaba.\nThis occurred because when Apple’s iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.\nMore importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.\nAnd EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels. They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.\nTesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense. An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.\nBattery-powered everything\nEventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans. All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion. And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.  Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.\nSo Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.  Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful. Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now. Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.\nTesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.\nTesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones. Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.\nSo the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share. The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385800280,"gmtCreate":1613526870240,"gmtModify":1634553300830,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"make America great again","listText":"make America great again","text":"make America great again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385800280","repostId":"1108705396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108705396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613469786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108705396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108705396","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a doubl","content":"<p><b>New York (CNN Business)&nbsp;</b>The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington&nbsp;and millions of families were about to&nbsp;lose crucial benefits.</p><p><blockquote><b>纽约（CNN商业）</b>2020年底，饱受新冠疫情蹂躏的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧，僵局使华盛顿陷入瘫痪，数百万家庭即将失去重要福利。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward two months, and the&nbsp;economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>快进两个月，经济仍在挣扎，但对复苏的信心正在迅速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Economists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家正在迅速上调GDP和失业率预测，并将美联储能够提高最低利率的日期提前。高盛预测美国经济将以三十多年来最快的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> The renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the&nbsp;health crisis is easing&nbsp;and Uncle Sam is&nbsp;coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.</p><p><blockquote>重新燃起的乐观情绪是由两个主要因素推动的：健康危机正在缓解，山姆大叔正在提供惊人数量的援助——比几个月前似乎多了数千亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.</p><p><blockquote>根据穆迪分析公司的数据，继去年提供4万亿美元的救助后，华盛顿预计将在2021年再提供2万亿美元的赤字融资支持。这相当于美国年度GDP的四分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪(Mark Zandi)告诉CNN Business：“这是大量的经济动力。”</blockquote></p><p> The turning point happened last month&nbsp;when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for&nbsp;President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.</p><p><blockquote>转折点发生在上个月，当时民主党在佐治亚州的决选中以微弱优势控制了美国参议院。这为乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元的美国救援计划开辟了道路，该计划包括1400美元的刺激支票、提高失业救济金以及向州和地方政府提供3500亿美元的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Summer mini-boom'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“夏季迷你热潮”</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a&nbsp;forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.</p><p><blockquote>在佐治亚州选举之前，赞迪认为美国经济要到2023年春季或夏季才能恢复充分就业（强劲的劳动力市场，失业率为4%）。现在，他预计这一成就将在明年春天实现，这与财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的预测相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行经济学家在最近给客户的一份报告中写道，“超级财政政策”意味着美国经济增长快于其他国家的论点“似乎日益强烈”。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Gregory Daco呼吁美国出现“夏季小繁荣”，2021年GDP增长5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>同样，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家表示，“爆炸性的收入增长（得益于财政刺激）可能会推动美国GDP今年增长6.4%，明年增长近5%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞在最近的一份报告中告诉客户：“如果说有什么不同的话，那就是我们的预测可能过于保守。”他指出，其观点仅纳入了拜登计划的1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，高盛本周早些时候将2021年GDP预期上调至6.8%，因为这家华尔街银行现在假设额外财政救助为1.5万亿美元，高于此前的1.1万亿美元。根据圣路易斯联储的数据，如果高盛的预测成真，这将是美国自1989年以来最快的年度GDP增长。</blockquote></p><p> The rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的GDP预测远高于美联储的要求。去年12月，美联储预计2021年GDP增长仅为4.2%，并表示失业率要到2023年才会降至4%以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-dip recession averted</b></p><p><blockquote><b>避免了双底衰退</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对经济预测趋于保守。而且，至关重要的是，美联储的预测是在DC政治功能失调给美国经济蒙上阴影之际发布的。</blockquote></p><p> For months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，共和党和民主党试图就延长计划失效的关键失业和驱逐福利以及向小企业提供更多可原谅贷款达成协议，但未能达成协议。然后当最终达成协议时，前总统唐纳德·特朗普威胁要炸毁它。</blockquote></p><p> At the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.</p><p><blockquote>在最后一刻，特朗普将9000亿美元的救助计划签署成为法律，避免了经济灾难。</blockquote></p><p> \"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“如果没有这一点，我们将陷入双底衰退。”</blockquote></p><p> Slammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States&nbsp;added just 49,000 jobs in January.</p><p><blockquote>受疫情冲击，美国经济一瘸一拐地走到2020年底，今年开局缓慢。12月，雇主自春季以来首次裁员。美国1月份仅增加了49,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数仍然高得惊人。仅上周就有793,000名美国人首次申请失业救济。就背景而言，这高于大衰退的最严重水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccines to the rescue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗拯救生命</b></blockquote></p><p> But there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情仍有一线希望。尽管Covid死亡人数仍然高得难以想象，但住院人数和病例数已经下降。</blockquote></p><p> Critically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，冠状病毒疫苗的推出正在加速。据摩根士丹利称，在总共分发的6600万支疫苗中，约70%已经接种。</blockquote></p><p> And Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday&nbsp;that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.</p><p><blockquote>美国顶级传染病专家安东尼·福奇博士周四告诉NBC新闻，美国可能能够在夏季中期或结束前为大多数美国人接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些使得包括加利福尼亚、纽约和新泽西在内的州放松了对餐馆和其他小企业的健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> That's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants&nbsp;force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说疫情已经结束。事实上，一个风险是，新的Covid-19变种迫使美国各州和城市再次收紧健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Low-wage workers are still hurting badly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>低薪工人仍然受到严重伤害</b></blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，许多经济学家敦促华盛顿推进激进的财政刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> \"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“请把脚平放在油门上。”“政策制定101说，错误在于做得太多，而不是做得太少。”</blockquote></p><p> Doing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.</p><p><blockquote>做得太少可能会加剧美国的不平等问题。这是因为与之前的衰退相比，这次衰退对餐馆、儿童保育和酒店业等遭受重创行业的低收入工人造成了不成比例的伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Employment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据Opportunity Insights经济跟踪系统的数据，低工资工人（年收入低于27,000美元的人）的就业水平仍下降了20%以上。相比之下，年收入超过6万美元的人的就业水平高于危机前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的经济学家在给客户的一份报告中写道：“如果收入和种族群体之间的充分就业情况不明显，拜登的团队就不太可能为实现充分就业而开香槟。”</blockquote></p><p> However, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>然而，前美联储官员、现任Quill Intelligence首席执行官丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯(Danielle DiMartino Booth)担心，专注于提供收入，而不是投资基础设施和再培训工人，会让该国沉迷于刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯说：“经济将变成这个依赖患者，总是等待下一次注射。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Bring it on'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“来吧”</b></blockquote></p><p> Some economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington&nbsp;overheats the economy by injecting too much support.</p><p><blockquote>包括前财政部长拉里·萨默斯在内的一些经济学家警告说，华盛顿注入过多支持可能会导致经济过热。</blockquote></p><p> \"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯表示：“未来几个月可能会出现相当大的通胀恐慌，这将考验债券市场和美联储。”</blockquote></p><p> And that in turn would spook the&nbsp;red-hot stock market.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又会惊动炙手可热的股市。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.</p><p><blockquote>美联储观察人士正在提前确定美联储何时能够结束紧急政策的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> Citing \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>高盛援引“通胀前景走强的迹象”，目前预计美联储将在2022年初开始“缩减”资产购买规模，并在2024年上半年加息。</blockquote></p><p> Zandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.</p><p><blockquote>赞迪并没有因为通货膨胀而失眠，主要是因为美国还远未实现充分就业。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一种被大大夸大的担忧，”他说。“来吧。十多年来，我们最大的问题一直是低通胀。更高的通胀将是一个高级问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 18:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>New York (CNN Business)&nbsp;</b>The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington&nbsp;and millions of families were about to&nbsp;lose crucial benefits.</p><p><blockquote><b>纽约（CNN商业）</b>2020年底，饱受新冠疫情蹂躏的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧，僵局使华盛顿陷入瘫痪，数百万家庭即将失去重要福利。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward two months, and the&nbsp;economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>快进两个月，经济仍在挣扎，但对复苏的信心正在迅速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Economists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家正在迅速上调GDP和失业率预测，并将美联储能够提高最低利率的日期提前。高盛预测美国经济将以三十多年来最快的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> The renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the&nbsp;health crisis is easing&nbsp;and Uncle Sam is&nbsp;coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.</p><p><blockquote>重新燃起的乐观情绪是由两个主要因素推动的：健康危机正在缓解，山姆大叔正在提供惊人数量的援助——比几个月前似乎多了数千亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.</p><p><blockquote>根据穆迪分析公司的数据，继去年提供4万亿美元的救助后，华盛顿预计将在2021年再提供2万亿美元的赤字融资支持。这相当于美国年度GDP的四分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪(Mark Zandi)告诉CNN Business：“这是大量的经济动力。”</blockquote></p><p> The turning point happened last month&nbsp;when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for&nbsp;President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.</p><p><blockquote>转折点发生在上个月，当时民主党在佐治亚州的决选中以微弱优势控制了美国参议院。这为乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元的美国救援计划开辟了道路，该计划包括1400美元的刺激支票、提高失业救济金以及向州和地方政府提供3500亿美元的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Summer mini-boom'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“夏季迷你热潮”</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a&nbsp;forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.</p><p><blockquote>在佐治亚州选举之前，赞迪认为美国经济要到2023年春季或夏季才能恢复充分就业（强劲的劳动力市场，失业率为4%）。现在，他预计这一成就将在明年春天实现，这与财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的预测相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行经济学家在最近给客户的一份报告中写道，“超级财政政策”意味着美国经济增长快于其他国家的论点“似乎日益强烈”。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Gregory Daco呼吁美国出现“夏季小繁荣”，2021年GDP增长5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>同样，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家表示，“爆炸性的收入增长（得益于财政刺激）可能会推动美国GDP今年增长6.4%，明年增长近5%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞在最近的一份报告中告诉客户：“如果说有什么不同的话，那就是我们的预测可能过于保守。”他指出，其观点仅纳入了拜登计划的1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，高盛本周早些时候将2021年GDP预期上调至6.8%，因为这家华尔街银行现在假设额外财政救助为1.5万亿美元，高于此前的1.1万亿美元。根据圣路易斯联储的数据，如果高盛的预测成真，这将是美国自1989年以来最快的年度GDP增长。</blockquote></p><p> The rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的GDP预测远高于美联储的要求。去年12月，美联储预计2021年GDP增长仅为4.2%，并表示失业率要到2023年才会降至4%以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-dip recession averted</b></p><p><blockquote><b>避免了双底衰退</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对经济预测趋于保守。而且，至关重要的是，美联储的预测是在DC政治功能失调给美国经济蒙上阴影之际发布的。</blockquote></p><p> For months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，共和党和民主党试图就延长计划失效的关键失业和驱逐福利以及向小企业提供更多可原谅贷款达成协议，但未能达成协议。然后当最终达成协议时，前总统唐纳德·特朗普威胁要炸毁它。</blockquote></p><p> At the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.</p><p><blockquote>在最后一刻，特朗普将9000亿美元的救助计划签署成为法律，避免了经济灾难。</blockquote></p><p> \"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“如果没有这一点，我们将陷入双底衰退。”</blockquote></p><p> Slammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States&nbsp;added just 49,000 jobs in January.</p><p><blockquote>受疫情冲击，美国经济一瘸一拐地走到2020年底，今年开局缓慢。12月，雇主自春季以来首次裁员。美国1月份仅增加了49,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数仍然高得惊人。仅上周就有793,000名美国人首次申请失业救济。就背景而言，这高于大衰退的最严重水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccines to the rescue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗拯救生命</b></blockquote></p><p> But there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情仍有一线希望。尽管Covid死亡人数仍然高得难以想象，但住院人数和病例数已经下降。</blockquote></p><p> Critically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，冠状病毒疫苗的推出正在加速。据摩根士丹利称，在总共分发的6600万支疫苗中，约70%已经接种。</blockquote></p><p> And Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday&nbsp;that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.</p><p><blockquote>美国顶级传染病专家安东尼·福奇博士周四告诉NBC新闻，美国可能能够在夏季中期或结束前为大多数美国人接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些使得包括加利福尼亚、纽约和新泽西在内的州放松了对餐馆和其他小企业的健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> That's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants&nbsp;force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说疫情已经结束。事实上，一个风险是，新的Covid-19变种迫使美国各州和城市再次收紧健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Low-wage workers are still hurting badly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>低薪工人仍然受到严重伤害</b></blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，许多经济学家敦促华盛顿推进激进的财政刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> \"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“请把脚平放在油门上。”“政策制定101说，错误在于做得太多，而不是做得太少。”</blockquote></p><p> Doing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.</p><p><blockquote>做得太少可能会加剧美国的不平等问题。这是因为与之前的衰退相比，这次衰退对餐馆、儿童保育和酒店业等遭受重创行业的低收入工人造成了不成比例的伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Employment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据Opportunity Insights经济跟踪系统的数据，低工资工人（年收入低于27,000美元的人）的就业水平仍下降了20%以上。相比之下，年收入超过6万美元的人的就业水平高于危机前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的经济学家在给客户的一份报告中写道：“如果收入和种族群体之间的充分就业情况不明显，拜登的团队就不太可能为实现充分就业而开香槟。”</blockquote></p><p> However, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>然而，前美联储官员、现任Quill Intelligence首席执行官丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯(Danielle DiMartino Booth)担心，专注于提供收入，而不是投资基础设施和再培训工人，会让该国沉迷于刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯说：“经济将变成这个依赖患者，总是等待下一次注射。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Bring it on'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“来吧”</b></blockquote></p><p> Some economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington&nbsp;overheats the economy by injecting too much support.</p><p><blockquote>包括前财政部长拉里·萨默斯在内的一些经济学家警告说，华盛顿注入过多支持可能会导致经济过热。</blockquote></p><p> \"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯表示：“未来几个月可能会出现相当大的通胀恐慌，这将考验债券市场和美联储。”</blockquote></p><p> And that in turn would spook the&nbsp;red-hot stock market.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又会惊动炙手可热的股市。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.</p><p><blockquote>美联储观察人士正在提前确定美联储何时能够结束紧急政策的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> Citing \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>高盛援引“通胀前景走强的迹象”，目前预计美联储将在2022年初开始“缩减”资产购买规模，并在2024年上半年加息。</blockquote></p><p> Zandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.</p><p><blockquote>赞迪并没有因为通货膨胀而失眠，主要是因为美国还远未实现充分就业。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一种被大大夸大的担忧，”他说。“来吧。十多年来，我们最大的问题一直是低通胀。更高的通胀将是一个高级问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108705396","content_text":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and millions of families were about to lose crucial benefits.\nFast forward two months, and the economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.\nEconomists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.\nThe renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the health crisis is easing and Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.\nAfter supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.\n\"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.\nThe turning point happened last month when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.\n'Summer mini-boom'\nBefore the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.\n\"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.\nOxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.\nLikewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"\n\"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.\nIndeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.\nThe rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.\nDouble-dip recession averted\nThe Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.\nFor months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.\nAt the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.\n\"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.\nSlammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States added just 49,000 jobs in January.\nJobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.\nVaccines to the rescue\nBut there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.\nCritically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.\nAnd Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.\nAll of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.\nThat's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.\nLow-wage workers are still hurting badly\nAgainst this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.\n\"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"\nDoing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.\nEmployment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.\n\"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.\nHowever, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.\n\"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.\n'Bring it on'\nSome economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington overheats the economy by injecting too much support.\n\"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.\nAnd that in turn would spook the red-hot stock market.\nFed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.\nCiting \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.\nZandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.\n\"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382592787,"gmtCreate":1613463653449,"gmtModify":1634553584205,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice sharing","listText":"Nice sharing","text":"Nice sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382592787","repostId":"2111048700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382592896,"gmtCreate":1613463614715,"gmtModify":1634553584427,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice sharing","listText":"Nice sharing","text":"Nice sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382592896","repostId":"1114494462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114494462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613460376,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114494462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114494462","media":"Zacks","summary":"Roku is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.\nThe company expects fourth-quarter year","content":"<p><b>Roku</b>&nbsp;is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b>定于2月18日公布2020年第四季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计第四季度收入同比增长40%左右，而平台收入预计将占总收入的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks对第四季度收入的一致估计为6.158亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长49.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，过去30天内，普遍的亏损水平一直稳定在每股8美分。这一估计数字比去年同期报告的13美分的亏损有所收窄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在过去四个季度的收益超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为42.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看在此公告之前事情是如何发展的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263fff26a2be7ad2e3092f533c1671da\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Roku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Roku公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Roku公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Factors to Consider</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要考虑的因素</b></blockquote></p><p> Investor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者的焦点将是活跃账户的增长，这是Roku的一个重要指标。其免费、广告支持的平台Roku渠道的受欢迎程度预计将有助于2020年第四季度活跃账户的增长。在同一平台上访问免费和优质内容的能力对订户来说具有巨大的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> In the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with&nbsp;<b>Comcast</b> -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，公司与<b>康卡斯特</b>-拥有NBCUniversal，分发后者的Peacock流媒体服务，其中包括围绕Roku频道的营销、广告和内容的合作。</blockquote></p><p> Building on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.</p><p><blockquote>在这种合作伙伴关系的基础上，Roku在最后一场总统辩论之前及时在Roku频道推出了NBC新闻，扩大了NBC新闻的整体覆盖范围和货币化，以及Roku平台上的独立NBC新闻应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku宣布，爱尔兰广播公司RTE提供的点播服务RTE Player正式在爱尔兰的Roku流媒体设备上推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).</p><p><blockquote>2020年第三季度，该公司的活跃账户同比增长43%，达到4600万。此外，ARPU增长了20%，达到27美元（以过去12个月为基础）。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Zacks对第四季度活跃账户和ARPU的一致估计分别为5000万美元和27.44美元，比去年同期报告的数据增长35.5%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.</p><p><blockquote>活跃账户和观看次数的预期稳步增长可能是订阅注册、电影租赁和购买的增长以及设备销售增加带来的收入增加的结果。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，流媒体播放时间的增长预计将提振Roku平台上的电视流媒体广告。流媒体播放时间的共识为169亿小时，比去年同期报告的数字增长了44.4%。</blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such as<i>The Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunter</i>and family friendly Christmas picks like D<i>iana Show, Ryan’s World</i>and crime-drama<i>Little Miracles</i>, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，Roku宣布在英国Roku频道上映一系列电影，包括<i>《魔鬼替身》、《穆里尔的婚礼》、《哈利·普莱斯：捉鬼者》</i>以及D等适合家庭的圣诞精选<i>iana秀，瑞安的世界</i>和犯罪剧<i>小奇迹</i>预计将在即将报告的季度增加流媒体播放时间。</blockquote></p><p> The addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton Interactive为Roku流媒体提供的虚拟健身平台Peloton app的加入预计也将有助于流媒体时长的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在Roku平台上推出流媒体服务（苹果TV+和Disney+）预计将有助于平台收入，占第三季度收入的70.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>平台收入的共识为4.02亿美元，比去年同期增长54.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Improving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善广告业务以提高营收</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku频道的日益受欢迎预计将在即将报告的季度吸引广告商。此外，收购Dataxu（需求方广告平台）预计将加强该公司的OTT广告路线图。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，广告业务预计将见证视频广告活动的延迟启动，主要来自旅游、快餐店、戏剧和汽车等类别，这些类别受到居家政策的严重打击。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着营销人员加速从传统电视转向电视流媒体，Roku预计将受益于广告支出向电视流媒体的重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，克罗格的购物者数据计划等解决方案中的产品创新预计将推动第四季度视频广告展示量的货币化增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.</p><p><blockquote>此外，广告商对该公司提供的新产品（例如增量覆盖保证和Roku的OneView广告平台）的需求不断增加，预计将成为关键催化剂。该广告平台旨在帮助广告商使用电视身份数据从单个中心创建跨OTT、桌面和移动的广告。</blockquote></p><p> However, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于即将报告的季度与国际扩张和内容添加相关的营销费用增加，预计利润将受到成本上升的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.</p><p><blockquote>根据咤克斯模型，正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超过预期的几率。但这里的情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Roku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的收益ESP为-64.1%，咤克斯排名第二。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 15:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Roku</b>&nbsp;is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b>定于2月18日公布2020年第四季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计第四季度收入同比增长40%左右，而平台收入预计将占总收入的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks对第四季度收入的一致估计为6.158亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长49.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，过去30天内，普遍的亏损水平一直稳定在每股8美分。这一估计数字比去年同期报告的13美分的亏损有所收窄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在过去四个季度的收益超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为42.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看在此公告之前事情是如何发展的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263fff26a2be7ad2e3092f533c1671da\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Roku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Roku公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Roku公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Factors to Consider</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要考虑的因素</b></blockquote></p><p> Investor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者的焦点将是活跃账户的增长，这是Roku的一个重要指标。其免费、广告支持的平台Roku渠道的受欢迎程度预计将有助于2020年第四季度活跃账户的增长。在同一平台上访问免费和优质内容的能力对订户来说具有巨大的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> In the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with&nbsp;<b>Comcast</b> -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，公司与<b>康卡斯特</b>-拥有NBCUniversal，分发后者的Peacock流媒体服务，其中包括围绕Roku频道的营销、广告和内容的合作。</blockquote></p><p> Building on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.</p><p><blockquote>在这种合作伙伴关系的基础上，Roku在最后一场总统辩论之前及时在Roku频道推出了NBC新闻，扩大了NBC新闻的整体覆盖范围和货币化，以及Roku平台上的独立NBC新闻应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku宣布，爱尔兰广播公司RTE提供的点播服务RTE Player正式在爱尔兰的Roku流媒体设备上推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).</p><p><blockquote>2020年第三季度，该公司的活跃账户同比增长43%，达到4600万。此外，ARPU增长了20%，达到27美元（以过去12个月为基础）。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Zacks对第四季度活跃账户和ARPU的一致估计分别为5000万美元和27.44美元，比去年同期报告的数据增长35.5%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.</p><p><blockquote>活跃账户和观看次数的预期稳步增长可能是订阅注册、电影租赁和购买的增长以及设备销售增加带来的收入增加的结果。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，流媒体播放时间的增长预计将提振Roku平台上的电视流媒体广告。流媒体播放时间的共识为169亿小时，比去年同期报告的数字增长了44.4%。</blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such as<i>The Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunter</i>and family friendly Christmas picks like D<i>iana Show, Ryan’s World</i>and crime-drama<i>Little Miracles</i>, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，Roku宣布在英国Roku频道上映一系列电影，包括<i>《魔鬼替身》、《穆里尔的婚礼》、《哈利·普莱斯：捉鬼者》</i>以及D等适合家庭的圣诞精选<i>iana秀，瑞安的世界</i>和犯罪剧<i>小奇迹</i>预计将在即将报告的季度增加流媒体播放时间。</blockquote></p><p> The addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton Interactive为Roku流媒体提供的虚拟健身平台Peloton app的加入预计也将有助于流媒体时长的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在Roku平台上推出流媒体服务（苹果TV+和Disney+）预计将有助于平台收入，占第三季度收入的70.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>平台收入的共识为4.02亿美元，比去年同期增长54.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Improving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善广告业务以提高营收</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku频道的日益受欢迎预计将在即将报告的季度吸引广告商。此外，收购Dataxu（需求方广告平台）预计将加强该公司的OTT广告路线图。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，广告业务预计将见证视频广告活动的延迟启动，主要来自旅游、快餐店、戏剧和汽车等类别，这些类别受到居家政策的严重打击。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着营销人员加速从传统电视转向电视流媒体，Roku预计将受益于广告支出向电视流媒体的重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，克罗格的购物者数据计划等解决方案中的产品创新预计将推动第四季度视频广告展示量的货币化增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.</p><p><blockquote>此外，广告商对该公司提供的新产品（例如增量覆盖保证和Roku的OneView广告平台）的需求不断增加，预计将成为关键催化剂。该广告平台旨在帮助广告商使用电视身份数据从单个中心创建跨OTT、桌面和移动的广告。</blockquote></p><p> However, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于即将报告的季度与国际扩张和内容添加相关的营销费用增加，预计利润将受到成本上升的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.</p><p><blockquote>根据咤克斯模型，正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超过预期的几率。但这里的情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Roku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的收益ESP为-64.1%，咤克斯排名第二。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1263307/roku-gears-up-to-report-q4-earnings-whats-in-the-cards\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1263307/roku-gears-up-to-report-q4-earnings-whats-in-the-cards","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114494462","content_text":"Roku is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.\nThe company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.\nThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.\nMoreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.\nThe company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.\nLet’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.\nRoku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise\nRoku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote\nFactors to Consider\nInvestor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.\nIn the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with Comcast -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.\nBuilding on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.\nMoreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.\nThe company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).\nNotably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.\nThe expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.\nAdditionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.\nIn the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such asThe Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunterand family friendly Christmas picks like Diana Show, Ryan’s Worldand crime-dramaLittle Miracles, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.\nThe addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.\nFurther, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.\nThe consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.\nImproving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line\nMoreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.\nMeanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.\nNonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.\nAdditionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.\nMoreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.\nHowever, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.\nWhat Our Model Says\nAccording to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.\nRoku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ROKU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382665242,"gmtCreate":1613442816986,"gmtModify":1631888774608,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574631594846607","authorIdStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06060\">$ZA Online(06060)$</a>&nbsp;aim for 100","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06060\">$ZA Online(06060)$</a>&nbsp;aim for 100","text":"$ZA Online(06060)$ aim for 100","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382665242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":698066295,"gmtCreate":1640264583649,"gmtModify":1640264583709,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"scamm?&nbsp;","listText":"scamm?&nbsp;","text":"scamm?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698066295","repostId":"1166026361","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699675238,"gmtCreate":1639799270404,"gmtModify":1639799270404,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"funny drop","listText":"funny drop","text":"funny drop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699675238","repostId":"1122501085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122501085","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785898,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122501085?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122501085","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks","content":"<p><ul>  Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.</p><p><blockquote><ul>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师表示，小盘股（NYSEARCA：IWM）和价值股（NYSEARCA：IWN）在过去四周内处于调整状态，而高贝塔值股票正在进入熊市。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Marko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&amp;P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Marko Kolanovic因近期评级逢低买入而受到关注，评级关注“悖论”美国股市平均较高点下跌28%，中位数下跌约21%，而Russell 3000指数（NYSEARCA：IWV）今年迄今上涨约22%，标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）上涨25%。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇在一份报告中写道：“我们不知道这种背离，这表明过去4周内抛售规模较小、波动性更大、通常是价值型和周期性股票的行为出现了历史上前所未有的超调。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"</p><p><blockquote>“卖空活动要想取得成功，必须有定位、流动性，而且往往是系统性的抛售放大器，”他说。“我们认为这些条件没有得到满足，因此这次市场事件可能会以轧空和周期性反弹告终，直至年底和一月份。”</blockquote></p><p>  Retail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>零售弹性。他补充说，月底和季度末将会有股票购买。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，存在激进的做空行为，可能是希望散户股票头寸和加密货币持有量下降——而事实上，这些市场和散户投资者在过去几周都表现出了韧性。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇表示：“应该注意的是，大型空头头寸可能需要在（季节性强劲的）1月份之前平仓，这可能会出现小盘股、价值股和周期性反弹。”“鉴于市场流动性正在减少，当流动性状况较好时，平仓空头的影响可能比开仓空头的影响更大。”</blockquote></p><p>  On the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的一面是，法国兴业银行(SocGen)的艾伯特·爱德华兹(Albert Edwards)正在寻找明年美国科技股的崩盘。</blockquote></p><p>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247ac4dbea015753d0c0d9898d9aab92\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJ.P. Morgan's Kolanovic: Short squeeze likely into end of the year<blockquote>摩根大通的科拉诺维奇：轧空可能会持续到年底</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.</p><p><blockquote><ul>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师表示，小盘股（NYSEARCA：IWM）和价值股（NYSEARCA：IWN）在过去四周内处于调整状态，而高贝塔值股票正在进入熊市。</ul></blockquote></p><p>  Marko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&amp;P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Marko Kolanovic因近期评级逢低买入而受到关注，评级关注“悖论”美国股市平均较高点下跌28%，中位数下跌约21%，而Russell 3000指数（NYSEARCA：IWV）今年迄今上涨约22%，标准普尔指数（NYSEARCA：SPDR标普500指数ETF）上涨25%。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇在一份报告中写道：“我们不知道这种背离，这表明过去4周内抛售规模较小、波动性更大、通常是价值型和周期性股票的行为出现了历史上前所未有的超调。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"</p><p><blockquote>“卖空活动要想取得成功，必须有定位、流动性，而且往往是系统性的抛售放大器，”他说。“我们认为这些条件没有得到满足，因此这次市场事件可能会以轧空和周期性反弹告终，直至年底和一月份。”</blockquote></p><p>  Retail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>零售弹性。他补充说，月底和季度末将会有股票购买。</blockquote></p><p>  \"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，存在激进的做空行为，可能是希望散户股票头寸和加密货币持有量下降——而事实上，这些市场和散户投资者在过去几周都表现出了韧性。”</blockquote></p><p>  \"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"</p><p><blockquote>科拉诺维奇表示：“应该注意的是，大型空头头寸可能需要在（季节性强劲的）1月份之前平仓，这可能会出现小盘股、价值股和周期性反弹。”“鉴于市场流动性正在减少，当流动性状况较好时，平仓空头的影响可能比开仓空头的影响更大。”</blockquote></p><p>  On the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.</p><p><blockquote>悲观的一面是，法国兴业银行(SocGen)的艾伯特·爱德华兹(Albert Edwards)正在寻找明年美国科技股的崩盘。</blockquote></p><p>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/247ac4dbea015753d0c0d9898d9aab92\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781404-short-squeeze-likely-into-end-of-the-year-jp-morgans-kolanovic\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781404-short-squeeze-likely-into-end-of-the-year-jp-morgans-kolanovic","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122501085","content_text":"Small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) and value stocks (NYSEARCA:IWN) are in a correction in the last four weeks, while high-beta stocks are entering a beark market, J.P. Morgan's chief global market strategist says.\nMarko Kolanovic, who has gained attention for recent calls to buy the dip, calls attention to a \"paradox\" with U.S. stocks, on average, down 28% from highs, with the median stock down about 21%, while the Russell 3000 (NYSEARCA:IWV) up about 22% year to date and the S&P (NYSEARCA:SPY) up 25%.\n\"Such a divergence is unknown to us, and indicates a historically unprecedented overshoot in selling smaller, more volatile, typically value and cyclical stocks in the last 4 weeks,\" Kolanovic writes in a note.\n\"For short-selling campaigns to succeed, there have to be positioning, liquidity and often systematic amplifiers of the selloff,\" he says. \"We believe these conditions are not met, and hence this market episode may end up in a short squeeze and cyclical rally into year-end and January.\"\nRetail resilience. There will be buying of equities into month- and quarter-end, he adds.\n\"Yet, there is aggressive shorting, likely in a hope of declines in retail equity position and cryptocurrency holdings - while in fact both of these markets and retail investors have shown resilience in the past weeks.\"\n\"One should note that large short positions likely need to be closed before (the seasonally strong) January, which is likely to see a small-cap, value and cyclical rally,\" Kolanovic says. \"And given that market liquidity is dwindling, the impact of closing shorts may be bigger than the impact of opening them, when liquidity conditions were better.\"\nOn the bearish side, SocGen's Albert Edwards is looking for U.S. tech to unravel next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699674303,"gmtCreate":1639799373903,"gmtModify":1639799374006,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hahahha","listText":"hahahha","text":"hahahha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699674303","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对通胀飙升后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360752392,"gmtCreate":1613983325916,"gmtModify":1634551670392,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360752392","repostId":"1195232127","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361894797,"gmtCreate":1614218488519,"gmtModify":1634550656214,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361894797","repostId":"1116750750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369210322,"gmtCreate":1614046419266,"gmtModify":1634551411959,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"confirm he sell it","listText":"confirm he sell it","text":"confirm he sell it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369210322","repostId":"1136280549","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387857784,"gmtCreate":1613740262148,"gmtModify":1634552422412,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387857784","repostId":"1161529893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161529893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613733842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161529893?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161529893","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by so","content":"<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 19:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161529893","content_text":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\n\nRobo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.\nNow anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.\n“Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\nAlthough the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.\n“People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.\nGoldman Sachs declined to comment.\nThe company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.\nFees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.\nThe median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.\nRobo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.\nRobo investing as a self-driving car\nConsumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.\nThe rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.\nSo what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.\nYou put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.\nRobo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.\nThere are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.\nAnd rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.\nCynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.\nAs she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”\nRobos appeal to inexperienced investors\nRobo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.\nThat makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.\n“When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”\nThat said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”\nOthers disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.\n“Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.\nThere is often no door to knock on\nYour robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.\nIt won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.\n“The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.\nNot all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.\nAdditionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.\nFor instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.\nBut with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.\nOn top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.\n“If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.\nDon’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.\nBut not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.\nThe results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382592787,"gmtCreate":1613463653449,"gmtModify":1634553584205,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice sharing","listText":"Nice sharing","text":"Nice sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382592787","repostId":"2111048700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382592896,"gmtCreate":1613463614715,"gmtModify":1634553584427,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice sharing","listText":"Nice sharing","text":"Nice sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382592896","repostId":"1114494462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114494462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613460376,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114494462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114494462","media":"Zacks","summary":"Roku is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.\nThe company expects fourth-quarter year","content":"<p><b>Roku</b>&nbsp;is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b>定于2月18日公布2020年第四季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计第四季度收入同比增长40%左右，而平台收入预计将占总收入的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks对第四季度收入的一致估计为6.158亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长49.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，过去30天内，普遍的亏损水平一直稳定在每股8美分。这一估计数字比去年同期报告的13美分的亏损有所收窄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在过去四个季度的收益超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为42.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看在此公告之前事情是如何发展的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263fff26a2be7ad2e3092f533c1671da\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Roku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Roku公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Roku公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Factors to Consider</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要考虑的因素</b></blockquote></p><p> Investor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者的焦点将是活跃账户的增长，这是Roku的一个重要指标。其免费、广告支持的平台Roku渠道的受欢迎程度预计将有助于2020年第四季度活跃账户的增长。在同一平台上访问免费和优质内容的能力对订户来说具有巨大的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> In the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with&nbsp;<b>Comcast</b> -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，公司与<b>康卡斯特</b>-拥有NBCUniversal，分发后者的Peacock流媒体服务，其中包括围绕Roku频道的营销、广告和内容的合作。</blockquote></p><p> Building on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.</p><p><blockquote>在这种合作伙伴关系的基础上，Roku在最后一场总统辩论之前及时在Roku频道推出了NBC新闻，扩大了NBC新闻的整体覆盖范围和货币化，以及Roku平台上的独立NBC新闻应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku宣布，爱尔兰广播公司RTE提供的点播服务RTE Player正式在爱尔兰的Roku流媒体设备上推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).</p><p><blockquote>2020年第三季度，该公司的活跃账户同比增长43%，达到4600万。此外，ARPU增长了20%，达到27美元（以过去12个月为基础）。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Zacks对第四季度活跃账户和ARPU的一致估计分别为5000万美元和27.44美元，比去年同期报告的数据增长35.5%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.</p><p><blockquote>活跃账户和观看次数的预期稳步增长可能是订阅注册、电影租赁和购买的增长以及设备销售增加带来的收入增加的结果。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，流媒体播放时间的增长预计将提振Roku平台上的电视流媒体广告。流媒体播放时间的共识为169亿小时，比去年同期报告的数字增长了44.4%。</blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such as<i>The Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunter</i>and family friendly Christmas picks like D<i>iana Show, Ryan’s World</i>and crime-drama<i>Little Miracles</i>, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，Roku宣布在英国Roku频道上映一系列电影，包括<i>《魔鬼替身》、《穆里尔的婚礼》、《哈利·普莱斯：捉鬼者》</i>以及D等适合家庭的圣诞精选<i>iana秀，瑞安的世界</i>和犯罪剧<i>小奇迹</i>预计将在即将报告的季度增加流媒体播放时间。</blockquote></p><p> The addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton Interactive为Roku流媒体提供的虚拟健身平台Peloton app的加入预计也将有助于流媒体时长的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在Roku平台上推出流媒体服务（苹果TV+和Disney+）预计将有助于平台收入，占第三季度收入的70.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>平台收入的共识为4.02亿美元，比去年同期增长54.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Improving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善广告业务以提高营收</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku频道的日益受欢迎预计将在即将报告的季度吸引广告商。此外，收购Dataxu（需求方广告平台）预计将加强该公司的OTT广告路线图。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，广告业务预计将见证视频广告活动的延迟启动，主要来自旅游、快餐店、戏剧和汽车等类别，这些类别受到居家政策的严重打击。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着营销人员加速从传统电视转向电视流媒体，Roku预计将受益于广告支出向电视流媒体的重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，克罗格的购物者数据计划等解决方案中的产品创新预计将推动第四季度视频广告展示量的货币化增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.</p><p><blockquote>此外，广告商对该公司提供的新产品（例如增量覆盖保证和Roku的OneView广告平台）的需求不断增加，预计将成为关键催化剂。该广告平台旨在帮助广告商使用电视身份数据从单个中心创建跨OTT、桌面和移动的广告。</blockquote></p><p> However, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于即将报告的季度与国际扩张和内容添加相关的营销费用增加，预计利润将受到成本上升的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.</p><p><blockquote>根据咤克斯模型，正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超过预期的几率。但这里的情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Roku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的收益ESP为-64.1%，咤克斯排名第二。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nROKU Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>ROKU准备报告第四季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 15:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Roku</b>&nbsp;is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b>定于2月18日公布2020年第四季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计第四季度收入同比增长40%左右，而平台收入预计将占总收入的三分之二左右。</blockquote></p><p> The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks对第四季度收入的一致估计为6.158亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长49.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，过去30天内，普遍的亏损水平一直稳定在每股8美分。这一估计数字比去年同期报告的13美分的亏损有所收窄。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在过去四个季度的收益超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为42.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看在此公告之前事情是如何发展的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263fff26a2be7ad2e3092f533c1671da\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Roku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Roku公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Roku公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Factors to Consider</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要考虑的因素</b></blockquote></p><p> Investor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者的焦点将是活跃账户的增长，这是Roku的一个重要指标。其免费、广告支持的平台Roku渠道的受欢迎程度预计将有助于2020年第四季度活跃账户的增长。在同一平台上访问免费和优质内容的能力对订户来说具有巨大的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> In the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with&nbsp;<b>Comcast</b> -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，公司与<b>康卡斯特</b>-拥有NBCUniversal，分发后者的Peacock流媒体服务，其中包括围绕Roku频道的营销、广告和内容的合作。</blockquote></p><p> Building on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.</p><p><blockquote>在这种合作伙伴关系的基础上，Roku在最后一场总统辩论之前及时在Roku频道推出了NBC新闻，扩大了NBC新闻的整体覆盖范围和货币化，以及Roku平台上的独立NBC新闻应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku宣布，爱尔兰广播公司RTE提供的点播服务RTE Player正式在爱尔兰的Roku流媒体设备上推出。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).</p><p><blockquote>2020年第三季度，该公司的活跃账户同比增长43%，达到4600万。此外，ARPU增长了20%，达到27美元（以过去12个月为基础）。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Zacks对第四季度活跃账户和ARPU的一致估计分别为5000万美元和27.44美元，比去年同期报告的数据增长35.5%和18.6%。</blockquote></p><p> The expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.</p><p><blockquote>活跃账户和观看次数的预期稳步增长可能是订阅注册、电影租赁和购买的增长以及设备销售增加带来的收入增加的结果。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，流媒体播放时间的增长预计将提振Roku平台上的电视流媒体广告。流媒体播放时间的共识为169亿小时，比去年同期报告的数字增长了44.4%。</blockquote></p><p> In the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such as<i>The Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunter</i>and family friendly Christmas picks like D<i>iana Show, Ryan’s World</i>and crime-drama<i>Little Miracles</i>, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度，Roku宣布在英国Roku频道上映一系列电影，包括<i>《魔鬼替身》、《穆里尔的婚礼》、《哈利·普莱斯：捉鬼者》</i>以及D等适合家庭的圣诞精选<i>iana秀，瑞安的世界</i>和犯罪剧<i>小奇迹</i>预计将在即将报告的季度增加流媒体播放时间。</blockquote></p><p> The addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton Interactive为Roku流媒体提供的虚拟健身平台Peloton app的加入预计也将有助于流媒体时长的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在Roku平台上推出流媒体服务（苹果TV+和Disney+）预计将有助于平台收入，占第三季度收入的70.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>平台收入的共识为4.02亿美元，比去年同期增长54.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Improving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>改善广告业务以提高营收</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Roku频道的日益受欢迎预计将在即将报告的季度吸引广告商。此外，收购Dataxu（需求方广告平台）预计将加强该公司的OTT广告路线图。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，广告业务预计将见证视频广告活动的延迟启动，主要来自旅游、快餐店、戏剧和汽车等类别，这些类别受到居家政策的严重打击。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着营销人员加速从传统电视转向电视流媒体，Roku预计将受益于广告支出向电视流媒体的重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，克罗格的购物者数据计划等解决方案中的产品创新预计将推动第四季度视频广告展示量的货币化增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.</p><p><blockquote>此外，广告商对该公司提供的新产品（例如增量覆盖保证和Roku的OneView广告平台）的需求不断增加，预计将成为关键催化剂。该广告平台旨在帮助广告商使用电视身份数据从单个中心创建跨OTT、桌面和移动的广告。</blockquote></p><p> However, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于即将报告的季度与国际扩张和内容添加相关的营销费用增加，预计利润将受到成本上升的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.</p><p><blockquote>根据咤克斯模型，正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超过预期的几率。但这里的情况并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Roku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的收益ESP为-64.1%，咤克斯排名第二。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1263307/roku-gears-up-to-report-q4-earnings-whats-in-the-cards\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1263307/roku-gears-up-to-report-q4-earnings-whats-in-the-cards","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114494462","content_text":"Roku is set to report fourth-quarter 2020 results on Feb 18.\nThe company expects fourth-quarter year-over-year revenue growth in the mid-40% range while platform revenues are expected to account for roughly two-thirds of total revenues.\nThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is pegged at $615.8 million, indicating 49.7% growth from the year-ago quarter reported figure.\nMoreover, the consensus mark for loss has remained steady at 8 cents per share in the past 30 days. The estimated figure is narrower than loss of 13 cents reported in the year-ago quarter.\nThe company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 42.7%.\nLet’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.\nRoku, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise\nRoku, Inc. price-eps-surprise|Roku, Inc. Quote\nFactors to Consider\nInvestor focus will be on active accounts growth, which is an important metric for Roku. The popularity of its free, ad-supported platform, The Roku Channel is expected to have aided active accounts growth in the fourth quarter of 2020. The ability to access free and premium content on the same platform has been a huge attraction for subscribers.\nIn the third quarter, the company reached a mutually beneficial agreement with Comcast -owned NBCUniversal to distribute the latter’s Peacock streaming services that include collaboration around marketing, advertising, and content for The Roku Channel.\nBuilding on that partnership, Roku launched NBC News in The Roku Channel in time for the final presidential debate, expanding the overall reach and monetization of NBC News alongside its standalone NBC News app on the Roku platform.\nMoreover, Roku announced that RTE Player, the on-demand service provided by Irish broadcaster RTE, is officially available on Roku streaming devices in Ireland.\nThe company’s active accounts jumped 43% year over year to 46 million in third-quarter 2020. Moreover, ARPU increased 20% to $27 (on a trailing 12-month basis).\nNotably, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter active accounts and ARPU is pegged at $50 million and $27.44, respectively, indicating an increase of 35.5% and 18.6% from the year-ago reported figures.\nThe expected solid surge in active accounts and viewing may have been the result of growth in subscription signups, movie rentals and purchases as well as elevated revenues from increased device sales.\nAdditionally, streaming hours growth is expected to have boosted TV streaming advertising on Roku’s platform. The consensus mark for streaming hours stands at 16.9 billion, implying an increase of 44.4% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.\nIn the fourth quarter, Roku announced a slate of releases on The Roku Channel in the United Kingdom including films such asThe Devils Double, Muriel’s Wedding, Harry Price: Ghost Hunterand family friendly Christmas picks like Diana Show, Ryan’s Worldand crime-dramaLittle Miracles, which are expected to have boosted streaming hours in the to-be reported quarter.\nThe addition of Peloton app, Peloton Interactive’s virtual fitness platform for Roku streamers is also expected to have aided growth in streaming hours.\nFurther, the launch of streaming services — Apple TV+ and Disney+ — on Roku’s platform is expected to have aided Platform revenues, which accounted for 70.7% of revenues in the third quarter.\nThe consensus mark for Platform revenues is pegged at $402 million, indicating growth of 54.6% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.\nImproving Advertising Business to Aid Top-Line\nMoreover, the growing popularity of The Roku Channel is expected to have attracted advertisers in the to-be-reported quarter. Also, the acquisition of Dataxu (a demand-side advertising platform) is expected to have strengthened the company’s OTT advertising roadmap.\nMeanwhile, the advertising business is expected to have witnessed delayed starts in video ad campaign, primarily from categories including travel, quick-serve restaurants, theatrical and automotive among others that were severely hit by stay-at-home policies.\nNonetheless, Roku is expected to have benefited from advertising spend reallocation toward TV streaming as marketers accelerate their shift out of traditional TV and into TV streaming.\nAdditionally, product innovations in solutions like the Shopper Data Program with Kroger are expected to have driven monetized video ad impressions growth in the fourth quarter.\nMoreover, increasing advertiser demand for new products offered by the company such as incremental reach guarantees and Roku’s OneView ad platform are expected to be key catalysts. The ad platform is designed to help advertisers use TV identity data to create ads across OTT, desktop and mobile from a single hub.\nHowever, the bottom line is expected to have been weighed down by cost escalations, resulting from increased marketing expenses related to international expansion and content additions in the to-be-reported quarter.\nWhat Our Model Says\nAccording to the Zacks model, the combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here.\nRoku has an Earnings ESP of -64.1% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ROKU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382665242,"gmtCreate":1613442816986,"gmtModify":1631888774608,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06060\">$ZA Online(06060)$</a>&nbsp;aim for 100","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06060\">$ZA Online(06060)$</a>&nbsp;aim for 100","text":"$ZA Online(06060)$ aim for 100","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382665242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":630764788,"gmtCreate":1643046265599,"gmtModify":1643046265674,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630764788","repostId":"630623747","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":630623747,"gmtCreate":1642824056573,"gmtModify":1744796856130,"author":{"id":"3460459258865476","authorId":"3460459258865476","name":"新经济IPO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d817b2039a58fbb32ab93d2a5d56450","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3460459258865476","idStr":"3460459258865476"},"themes":[],"title":"黄峥5000亿财富背后：涉黄游戏攒金，拼多多假货颠覆上百品牌","htmlText":"将“本分”挂在嘴上的拼多多<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>&nbsp;又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","listText":"将“本分”挂在嘴上的拼多多<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>&nbsp;又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","text":"将“本分”挂在嘴上的拼多多$拼多多(PDD)$ 又上热搜了。这次是因为“拼多多砍价始终差‘亲兄弟’那一刀”。故事是这样的，2021年3月，上海律师刘宇航参加了拼多多的“砍价免费拿”活动，邀请多人砍价后，却发现始终差“0.9%”。他一怒之下将拼多多告上了法庭。当着法官，拼多多排出的代表表示，因为手机显示屏显示百分比位数有限，所以他们把一个至少小数点后有6位数以上的百分比，省略显示为0.9%，砍价页面显示的0.9%其实并不是你认为的那个“0.9%”，而是0.9996427%。据说，拼多多的解释，把法官都逗笑了。创始人奇葩言论：“山寨”不等于“假货”很多人可能不知道，黄峥和他创立的拼多多，一直都是靠这种“智慧”生存的。比如，黄峥著名的言论“山寨”不等于“假货”。从某种程度上，黄峥要感谢中国的监管和大众，过去这么多年，我们对很多互联网创业者过于宽容，以至于他们连坚持基本的底线都觉得多余了。试想，如果亚马逊创始人贝索斯告诉公众，亚马逊上售卖的大量“山寨”商品不是假货，结果会如何？恐怕董事会第二天就会要求他下台，国会议员们大概率也会要求他出席听证会，好好解释清楚。在任何正常商业环境下，一个价值观荒唐的领导人都是不可能长期对外忽悠大众、对内蒙蔽董事会的。黄峥的言论，不仅荒唐，更显得**。众所周知，黄峥本人是浙江大学的优秀毕业生，后来又去美国威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校攻读硕士学位，毕业后，他进入谷歌工作，在那里，他收获了人生中第一桶金。从获取财富上讲，黄峥很成功。但可惜，黄峥并没有学到谷歌的基本行为准则：\"Don't be evil\"（不作恶）。在美国，黄峥还结识了一位对他影响深远的人生导师——段永平。黄峥甚至将段永平的“本分”理念列为拼多多的公司价值观。可是，在很多消费者眼","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb852aa177b5fa704eafe8ef7d4695db","width":"632","height":"334"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4262f0f696374a52bef302c99bf46254","width":"632","height":"324"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d201e01a9d2d4836e2eeb9cfae5fe15","width":"632","height":"54"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630623747","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":22,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841906210,"gmtCreate":1635866253758,"gmtModify":1635866253758,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841906210","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849557366,"gmtCreate":1635769346056,"gmtModify":1635769346056,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849557366","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361897261,"gmtCreate":1614218529353,"gmtModify":1634550655608,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sad...&nbsp;","listText":"sad...&nbsp;","text":"sad...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361897261","repostId":"1109259264","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369219102,"gmtCreate":1614046531606,"gmtModify":1634551411498,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"all drop","listText":"all drop","text":"all drop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369219102","repostId":"2113025058","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":384380850,"gmtCreate":1613614606670,"gmtModify":1634552937408,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","listText":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","text":"I tot they was sold some tesla shares","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384380850","repostId":"2112854153","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385809925,"gmtCreate":1613526920367,"gmtModify":1634553300359,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","listText":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","text":"that's why he go for bitcoin now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385809925","repostId":"1168749416","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168749416","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613468978,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168749416?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 17:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The best thing for Tesla is a slow and steady loss of market share?<blockquote>对特斯拉来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168749416","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.We love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle  on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.And Tesla’s rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithi","content":"<p>As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手开始认真销售电动汽车，市场将会增长并凸显特斯拉的创新实力，并在此过程中保护地球。</blockquote></p><p> We love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.</p><p><blockquote>我们热爱特斯拉——我们是该公司让电动汽车变得酷的方式的忠实粉丝。</blockquote></p><p> The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle (EV) on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司的Model 3可能是当今市场上最令人垂涎的低成本电动汽车(EV)，并且正在取得巨大成功。</blockquote></p><p> And Tesla’s&nbsp;rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithium-ion batteries. Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has&nbsp;lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉电池产量的快速增长迫使锂离子电池价格下降。然而，我们对Schmidt Automotive Research的消息感到高兴，特斯拉在全球最大的电动汽车市场欧盟失去了市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> We’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.</p><p><blockquote>我们很高兴，因为这清楚地表明了全球对电动汽车的兴趣。在欧盟，特斯拉市场份额的损失部分是由于大型现有汽车制造商越来越热衷于通过定价和设计多样性使自己的电动汽车更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Good for the planet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对地球有益</b></blockquote></p><p> A broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense.&nbsp;In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.</p><p><blockquote>这些省油、无污染的汽车拥有更广阔、更深入的市场对地球有好处，并将进一步降低价格。电动汽车的进一步改进之路也完全有意义。事实上，内燃机（ICE）是今天的马车：众所周知，可靠，拥有良好的基础设施，但最终无法竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices)&nbsp;are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors&nbsp;has already taken the plunge and&nbsp;will phase out combustion engines by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>按照电池价格（以及电动汽车价格）下降和采用率增加的速度，所有汽车制造商都将开始公开逐步淘汰内燃机。通用汽车已经采取了行动，将在2035年之前逐步淘汰内燃机。</blockquote></p><p> We won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.</p><p><blockquote>如果通用汽车在大约三年后修改这一时间表并宣布到2028年将实现全电动化，并且所有其他汽车制造商都效仿，我们不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> The history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.&nbsp; They cost many thousands of dollars.&nbsp;Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and&nbsp;are available on Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>技术的历史预示着电动汽车的未来。加速度计是一种测量物体加速或减速速度的系统，它举例说明了这一过程。在20世纪50年代，早期的加速度计使弹道导弹能够保持其轨迹。它们的成本高达数千美元。如今，比导弹锥体中的加速度计芯片更灵敏，成本仅为几美元或更低，并且可以在阿里巴巴-SW上买到。</blockquote></p><p> This occurred because when Apple’s&nbsp;iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s&nbsp;Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为当苹果的iPhone让智能手机普及时，大量技术变得无处不在。Alphabet的Android操作系统和基于Linux的片上系统帮助提高了规模经济，所有智能手机组件的价格都大幅下降，对许多技术产生了广泛的连锁反应。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，智能手机技术带来了全新的类别。无人机基本上就是主动的手机。它们使用许多相同的计算技术，价格也在类似地下降。</blockquote></p><p> And EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels.&nbsp;They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.</p><p><blockquote>而EV本质上是轮子上的手机，它们有更多的运动部件，需要额外的功能，比如激光、测距仪和安全气囊；尽管如此，它们更像手机或无人机，而不是内燃机汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense.&nbsp;An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将电动汽车视为软件产品和可升级设备：更像iPhone而不是传统汽车。这是有道理的。电动汽车只不过是一个软件控制的发动机，电池装在盒子里，而电池很快就会成为商品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Battery-powered everything</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电池供电的一切</b></blockquote></p><p> Eventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans.&nbsp;All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion.&nbsp;And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.&nbsp; Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.</p><p><blockquote>最终，各种形状和尺寸的车身都将被3D打印出来。电动汽车进入者已经开始涉足电动汽车市场的所有领域，从微型送货机器人和货运无人机到电动自行车和定制货车。所有这些都是电池驱动的运动。最便宜的将被广泛负担得起，这将使服务民主化，因为印度20美元的Jio智能手机已经实现了在线访问的民主化。时速20英里的电动自行车价格已经不到500美元，它们适合城市地区的许多基本通勤任务。</blockquote></p><p> So Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.&nbsp; Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful.&nbsp;Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now.&nbsp;Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，电动汽车的领导者特斯拉没有什么可担心的：通过提高知名度和鼓励创新，它为自己创造了更大的潜在市场。与苹果一样，特斯拉的品牌也很强大。与苹果不同，特斯拉面临着一些相当酷的竞争，即使是现在。保时捷刚刚宣布了其Macan的电动版本，定价与特斯拉Model S轿车相似。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk清楚地认识到并接受了做大蛋糕的战略。电动汽车市场远大于汽车市场：这正是他开源特斯拉专利并让竞争对手更容易扩大规模、制造更好的汽车并扩大市场的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones.&nbsp;Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.</p><p><blockquote>就销量而言，特斯拉在全球汽车市场上可能仍是一个小角色，但仍将保持领先地位，就像苹果在手机领域所做的那样。史蒂夫·乔布斯将苹果牢牢定位在高端市场，并一直保持在那里，攫取了智能手机利润的最大份额。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share.&nbsp;The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对特斯拉和地球的未来来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额。电动汽车的时代已经到来，这意味着特斯拉是时候面对更加激烈的竞争了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe best thing for Tesla is a slow and steady loss of market share?<blockquote>对特斯拉来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 17:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.</p><p><blockquote>随着竞争对手开始认真销售电动汽车，市场将会增长并凸显特斯拉的创新实力，并在此过程中保护地球。</blockquote></p><p> We love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.</p><p><blockquote>我们热爱特斯拉——我们是该公司让电动汽车变得酷的方式的忠实粉丝。</blockquote></p><p> The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle (EV) on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司的Model 3可能是当今市场上最令人垂涎的低成本电动汽车(EV)，并且正在取得巨大成功。</blockquote></p><p> And Tesla’s&nbsp;rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithium-ion batteries. Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has&nbsp;lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉电池产量的快速增长迫使锂离子电池价格下降。然而，我们对Schmidt Automotive Research的消息感到高兴，特斯拉在全球最大的电动汽车市场欧盟失去了市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> We’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.</p><p><blockquote>我们很高兴，因为这清楚地表明了全球对电动汽车的兴趣。在欧盟，特斯拉市场份额的损失部分是由于大型现有汽车制造商越来越热衷于通过定价和设计多样性使自己的电动汽车更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Good for the planet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对地球有益</b></blockquote></p><p> A broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense.&nbsp;In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.</p><p><blockquote>这些省油、无污染的汽车拥有更广阔、更深入的市场对地球有好处，并将进一步降低价格。电动汽车的进一步改进之路也完全有意义。事实上，内燃机（ICE）是今天的马车：众所周知，可靠，拥有良好的基础设施，但最终无法竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices)&nbsp;are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors&nbsp;has already taken the plunge and&nbsp;will phase out combustion engines by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>按照电池价格（以及电动汽车价格）下降和采用率增加的速度，所有汽车制造商都将开始公开逐步淘汰内燃机。通用汽车已经采取了行动，将在2035年之前逐步淘汰内燃机。</blockquote></p><p> We won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.</p><p><blockquote>如果通用汽车在大约三年后修改这一时间表并宣布到2028年将实现全电动化，并且所有其他汽车制造商都效仿，我们不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> The history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.&nbsp; They cost many thousands of dollars.&nbsp;Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and&nbsp;are available on Alibaba.</p><p><blockquote>技术的历史预示着电动汽车的未来。加速度计是一种测量物体加速或减速速度的系统，它举例说明了这一过程。在20世纪50年代，早期的加速度计使弹道导弹能够保持其轨迹。它们的成本高达数千美元。如今，比导弹锥体中的加速度计芯片更灵敏，成本仅为几美元或更低，并且可以在阿里巴巴-SW上买到。</blockquote></p><p> This occurred because when Apple’s&nbsp;iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s&nbsp;Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为当苹果的iPhone让智能手机普及时，大量技术变得无处不在。Alphabet的Android操作系统和基于Linux的片上系统帮助提高了规模经济，所有智能手机组件的价格都大幅下降，对许多技术产生了广泛的连锁反应。</blockquote></p><p> More importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，智能手机技术带来了全新的类别。无人机基本上就是主动的手机。它们使用许多相同的计算技术，价格也在类似地下降。</blockquote></p><p> And EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels.&nbsp;They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.</p><p><blockquote>而EV本质上是轮子上的手机，它们有更多的运动部件，需要额外的功能，比如激光、测距仪和安全气囊；尽管如此，它们更像手机或无人机，而不是内燃机汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense.&nbsp;An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将电动汽车视为软件产品和可升级设备：更像iPhone而不是传统汽车。这是有道理的。电动汽车只不过是一个软件控制的发动机，电池装在盒子里，而电池很快就会成为商品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Battery-powered everything</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电池供电的一切</b></blockquote></p><p> Eventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans.&nbsp;All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion.&nbsp;And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.&nbsp; Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.</p><p><blockquote>最终，各种形状和尺寸的车身都将被3D打印出来。电动汽车进入者已经开始涉足电动汽车市场的所有领域，从微型送货机器人和货运无人机到电动自行车和定制货车。所有这些都是电池驱动的运动。最便宜的将被广泛负担得起，这将使服务民主化，因为印度20美元的Jio智能手机已经实现了在线访问的民主化。时速20英里的电动自行车价格已经不到500美元，它们适合城市地区的许多基本通勤任务。</blockquote></p><p> So Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.&nbsp; Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful.&nbsp;Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now.&nbsp;Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.</p><p><blockquote>因此，电动汽车的领导者特斯拉没有什么可担心的：通过提高知名度和鼓励创新，它为自己创造了更大的潜在市场。与苹果一样，特斯拉的品牌也很强大。与苹果不同，特斯拉面临着一些相当酷的竞争，即使是现在。保时捷刚刚宣布了其Macan的电动版本，定价与特斯拉Model S轿车相似。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk清楚地认识到并接受了做大蛋糕的战略。电动汽车市场远大于汽车市场：这正是他开源特斯拉专利并让竞争对手更容易扩大规模、制造更好的汽车并扩大市场的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones.&nbsp;Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.</p><p><blockquote>就销量而言，特斯拉在全球汽车市场上可能仍是一个小角色，但仍将保持领先地位，就像苹果在手机领域所做的那样。史蒂夫·乔布斯将苹果牢牢定位在高端市场，并一直保持在那里，攫取了智能手机利润的最大份额。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share.&nbsp;The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.</p><p><blockquote>因此，对特斯拉和地球的未来来说，最好的事情就是缓慢而稳定地失去市场份额。电动汽车的时代已经到来，这意味着特斯拉是时候面对更加激烈的竞争了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-thing-for-tesla-is-a-slow-and-steady-loss-of-market-share-11613062433?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-thing-for-tesla-is-a-slow-and-steady-loss-of-market-share-11613062433?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1168749416","content_text":"As rivals start to sell electric vehicles in earnest, the market will grow and highlight Tesla’s innovation prowess, protecting the planet in the process.\nWe love Tesla — we’re huge fans of the way the company has made electric cars cool.\nThe Palo Alto, Calif.-based company’s Model 3 is probably the most appetizing lower-cost electric vehicle (EV) on the market today, and is well on its way to becoming a massive success.\nAnd Tesla’s rapid escalation in battery production has forced down prices of lithium-ion batteries. Yet we’re rejoicing in the news from Schmidt Automotive Research that Tesla has lost market share in the world’s largest EV market, the European Union.\nWe’re rejoicing because this is a clear sign of global interest in EVs. In the European Union, Tesla’s loss in market share derived partly from large incumbent automakers’ increasing vigor in making their own EVs more attractive, through both pricing and design diversity.\nGood for the planet\nA broader, deeper market for these fuel-efficient, pollution-free vehicles is good for the planet and will further reduce prices. EVs’ path to further improvement also makes complete sense. In reality, internal combustion engines (ICEs) are today’s horse-and-buggy: well understood, reliable, and with a great infrastructure, but ultimately unable to compete.\nAt the rate at which battery prices (and, by extension, EV prices) are falling and adoption is increasing, all car makers will have commenced publicly phasing out ICEs. General Motors has already taken the plunge and will phase out combustion engines by 2035.\nWe won’t be surprised if GM revises this schedule in about three years from now and declares that it will go all electric by 2028, and all of the other carmakers follow.\nThe history of technology foretells the future of electric cars. The accelerometer, a system that measure how fast an object is accelerating or decelerating, exemplifies the process. In the 1950s, early accelerometers allowed ballistic missiles to maintain their trajectories.  They cost many thousands of dollars. Today, accelerometer chips more sensitive than those that rode in missile cones cost a few dollars or less and are available on Alibaba.\nThis occurred because when Apple’s iPhone made smart phones popular, a host of technologies became ubiquitous. Alphabet’s Android operating system and Linux-based systems-on-chips helped increase economies of scale, and the prices of all smartphone components fell dramatically, with broad ripple effects on many technologies.\nMore importantly, entirely new categories piggybacked on smartphone technology. Drones are basically active mobile phones. They use much of the same computational technology, and their prices are similarly falling.\nAnd EVs are essentially mobile phones on wheels. They have many more moving parts and need additional features, such as lasers, rangefinders and airbags; nonetheless, they resemble mobile phones or drones more than they do ICE cars.\nTesla has approached EVs as software products and upgradeable devices: more like iPhones than like traditional cars. And that makes sense. An EV is little more than a software-controlled engine with a battery in a box, and the batteries will soon become commodities.\nBattery-powered everything\nEventually car bodies of all shapes and sizes will be 3D printed. EV entrants are already tackling all parts of the EV market, from tiny delivery robots and cargo drones to e-bikes and customized vans. All are flavors of battery-powered locomotion. And the cheapest will be widely affordable, which will democratize services as the $20 Jio smartphones in India have democratized online access.  Already, e-bikes that manage 20 miles an hour in speed cost less than $500, and they suit many basic commuting tasks in urban areas.\nSo Tesla, the EV leader, has nothing to worry about: Increasing awareness and fomenting innovation, it has made the addressable market much larger for itself.  Like Apple’s, Tesla’s brand is powerful. Unlike Apple, Tesla faces some pretty cool competition, even now. Porsche has just announced an EV version of its Macan with pricing similar to the Tesla Model S sedans.\nTesla CEO Elon Musk clearly recognizes and embraces a strategy of growing a much bigger pie. The market for EVs is far larger than a market for cars: precisely why he open-sourced Tesla’s patents and made it easier for rivals to scale up and build better cars and expand the market.\nTesla will probably remain a small player in the global vehicle market by sales volume but stay on its cutting edge, just as Apple did in mobile phones. Steve Jobs positioned Apple firmly up market, and it has remained there, capturing the lion’s share of smartphone profits.\nSo the best thing for Tesla — and the planet’s future — is a slow and steady loss of market share. The EV’s time has come, and that means it’s time for Tesla to face much stiffer competition.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385800280,"gmtCreate":1613526870240,"gmtModify":1634553300830,"author":{"id":"3574631594846607","authorId":"3574631594846607","name":"Kendro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e5d9861cdfbe1b10fe5f7072efca08a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574631594846607","idStr":"3574631594846607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"make America great again","listText":"make America great again","text":"make America great again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385800280","repostId":"1108705396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108705396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613469786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108705396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108705396","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a doubl","content":"<p><b>New York (CNN Business)&nbsp;</b>The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington&nbsp;and millions of families were about to&nbsp;lose crucial benefits.</p><p><blockquote><b>纽约（CNN商业）</b>2020年底，饱受新冠疫情蹂躏的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧，僵局使华盛顿陷入瘫痪，数百万家庭即将失去重要福利。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward two months, and the&nbsp;economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>快进两个月，经济仍在挣扎，但对复苏的信心正在迅速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Economists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家正在迅速上调GDP和失业率预测，并将美联储能够提高最低利率的日期提前。高盛预测美国经济将以三十多年来最快的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> The renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the&nbsp;health crisis is easing&nbsp;and Uncle Sam is&nbsp;coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.</p><p><blockquote>重新燃起的乐观情绪是由两个主要因素推动的：健康危机正在缓解，山姆大叔正在提供惊人数量的援助——比几个月前似乎多了数千亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.</p><p><blockquote>根据穆迪分析公司的数据，继去年提供4万亿美元的救助后，华盛顿预计将在2021年再提供2万亿美元的赤字融资支持。这相当于美国年度GDP的四分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪(Mark Zandi)告诉CNN Business：“这是大量的经济动力。”</blockquote></p><p> The turning point happened last month&nbsp;when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for&nbsp;President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.</p><p><blockquote>转折点发生在上个月，当时民主党在佐治亚州的决选中以微弱优势控制了美国参议院。这为乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元的美国救援计划开辟了道路，该计划包括1400美元的刺激支票、提高失业救济金以及向州和地方政府提供3500亿美元的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Summer mini-boom'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“夏季迷你热潮”</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a&nbsp;forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.</p><p><blockquote>在佐治亚州选举之前，赞迪认为美国经济要到2023年春季或夏季才能恢复充分就业（强劲的劳动力市场，失业率为4%）。现在，他预计这一成就将在明年春天实现，这与财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的预测相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行经济学家在最近给客户的一份报告中写道，“超级财政政策”意味着美国经济增长快于其他国家的论点“似乎日益强烈”。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Gregory Daco呼吁美国出现“夏季小繁荣”，2021年GDP增长5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>同样，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家表示，“爆炸性的收入增长（得益于财政刺激）可能会推动美国GDP今年增长6.4%，明年增长近5%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞在最近的一份报告中告诉客户：“如果说有什么不同的话，那就是我们的预测可能过于保守。”他指出，其观点仅纳入了拜登计划的1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，高盛本周早些时候将2021年GDP预期上调至6.8%，因为这家华尔街银行现在假设额外财政救助为1.5万亿美元，高于此前的1.1万亿美元。根据圣路易斯联储的数据，如果高盛的预测成真，这将是美国自1989年以来最快的年度GDP增长。</blockquote></p><p> The rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的GDP预测远高于美联储的要求。去年12月，美联储预计2021年GDP增长仅为4.2%，并表示失业率要到2023年才会降至4%以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-dip recession averted</b></p><p><blockquote><b>避免了双底衰退</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对经济预测趋于保守。而且，至关重要的是，美联储的预测是在DC政治功能失调给美国经济蒙上阴影之际发布的。</blockquote></p><p> For months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，共和党和民主党试图就延长计划失效的关键失业和驱逐福利以及向小企业提供更多可原谅贷款达成协议，但未能达成协议。然后当最终达成协议时，前总统唐纳德·特朗普威胁要炸毁它。</blockquote></p><p> At the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.</p><p><blockquote>在最后一刻，特朗普将9000亿美元的救助计划签署成为法律，避免了经济灾难。</blockquote></p><p> \"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“如果没有这一点，我们将陷入双底衰退。”</blockquote></p><p> Slammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States&nbsp;added just 49,000 jobs in January.</p><p><blockquote>受疫情冲击，美国经济一瘸一拐地走到2020年底，今年开局缓慢。12月，雇主自春季以来首次裁员。美国1月份仅增加了49,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数仍然高得惊人。仅上周就有793,000名美国人首次申请失业救济。就背景而言，这高于大衰退的最严重水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccines to the rescue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗拯救生命</b></blockquote></p><p> But there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情仍有一线希望。尽管Covid死亡人数仍然高得难以想象，但住院人数和病例数已经下降。</blockquote></p><p> Critically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，冠状病毒疫苗的推出正在加速。据摩根士丹利称，在总共分发的6600万支疫苗中，约70%已经接种。</blockquote></p><p> And Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday&nbsp;that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.</p><p><blockquote>美国顶级传染病专家安东尼·福奇博士周四告诉NBC新闻，美国可能能够在夏季中期或结束前为大多数美国人接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些使得包括加利福尼亚、纽约和新泽西在内的州放松了对餐馆和其他小企业的健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> That's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants&nbsp;force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说疫情已经结束。事实上，一个风险是，新的Covid-19变种迫使美国各州和城市再次收紧健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Low-wage workers are still hurting badly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>低薪工人仍然受到严重伤害</b></blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，许多经济学家敦促华盛顿推进激进的财政刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> \"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“请把脚平放在油门上。”“政策制定101说，错误在于做得太多，而不是做得太少。”</blockquote></p><p> Doing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.</p><p><blockquote>做得太少可能会加剧美国的不平等问题。这是因为与之前的衰退相比，这次衰退对餐馆、儿童保育和酒店业等遭受重创行业的低收入工人造成了不成比例的伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Employment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据Opportunity Insights经济跟踪系统的数据，低工资工人（年收入低于27,000美元的人）的就业水平仍下降了20%以上。相比之下，年收入超过6万美元的人的就业水平高于危机前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的经济学家在给客户的一份报告中写道：“如果收入和种族群体之间的充分就业情况不明显，拜登的团队就不太可能为实现充分就业而开香槟。”</blockquote></p><p> However, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>然而，前美联储官员、现任Quill Intelligence首席执行官丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯(Danielle DiMartino Booth)担心，专注于提供收入，而不是投资基础设施和再培训工人，会让该国沉迷于刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯说：“经济将变成这个依赖患者，总是等待下一次注射。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Bring it on'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“来吧”</b></blockquote></p><p> Some economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington&nbsp;overheats the economy by injecting too much support.</p><p><blockquote>包括前财政部长拉里·萨默斯在内的一些经济学家警告说，华盛顿注入过多支持可能会导致经济过热。</blockquote></p><p> \"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯表示：“未来几个月可能会出现相当大的通胀恐慌，这将考验债券市场和美联储。”</blockquote></p><p> And that in turn would spook the&nbsp;red-hot stock market.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又会惊动炙手可热的股市。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.</p><p><blockquote>美联储观察人士正在提前确定美联储何时能够结束紧急政策的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> Citing \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>高盛援引“通胀前景走强的迹象”，目前预计美联储将在2022年初开始“缩减”资产购买规模，并在2024年上半年加息。</blockquote></p><p> Zandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.</p><p><blockquote>赞迪并没有因为通货膨胀而失眠，主要是因为美国还远未实现充分就业。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一种被大大夸大的担忧，”他说。“来吧。十多年来，我们最大的问题一直是低通胀。更高的通胀将是一个高级问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起，华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 18:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>New York (CNN Business)&nbsp;</b>The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington&nbsp;and millions of families were about to&nbsp;lose crucial benefits.</p><p><blockquote><b>纽约（CNN商业）</b>2020年底，饱受新冠疫情蹂躏的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧，僵局使华盛顿陷入瘫痪，数百万家庭即将失去重要福利。</blockquote></p><p> Fast forward two months, and the&nbsp;economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>快进两个月，经济仍在挣扎，但对复苏的信心正在迅速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Economists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家正在迅速上调GDP和失业率预测，并将美联储能够提高最低利率的日期提前。高盛预测美国经济将以三十多年来最快的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> The renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the&nbsp;health crisis is easing&nbsp;and Uncle Sam is&nbsp;coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.</p><p><blockquote>重新燃起的乐观情绪是由两个主要因素推动的：健康危机正在缓解，山姆大叔正在提供惊人数量的援助——比几个月前似乎多了数千亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> After supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.</p><p><blockquote>根据穆迪分析公司的数据，继去年提供4万亿美元的救助后，华盛顿预计将在2021年再提供2万亿美元的赤字融资支持。这相当于美国年度GDP的四分之一以上。</blockquote></p><p> \"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪分析公司首席经济学家马克·赞迪(Mark Zandi)告诉CNN Business：“这是大量的经济动力。”</blockquote></p><p> The turning point happened last month&nbsp;when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for&nbsp;President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.</p><p><blockquote>转折点发生在上个月，当时民主党在佐治亚州的决选中以微弱优势控制了美国参议院。这为乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元的美国救援计划开辟了道路，该计划包括1400美元的刺激支票、提高失业救济金以及向州和地方政府提供3500亿美元的生命线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Summer mini-boom'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“夏季迷你热潮”</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a&nbsp;forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.</p><p><blockquote>在佐治亚州选举之前，赞迪认为美国经济要到2023年春季或夏季才能恢复充分就业（强劲的劳动力市场，失业率为4%）。现在，他预计这一成就将在明年春天实现，这与财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的预测相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行经济学家在最近给客户的一份报告中写道，“超级财政政策”意味着美国经济增长快于其他国家的论点“似乎日益强烈”。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Gregory Daco呼吁美国出现“夏季小繁荣”，2021年GDP增长5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>同样，杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家表示，“爆炸性的收入增长（得益于财政刺激）可能会推动美国GDP今年增长6.4%，明年增长近5%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞在最近的一份报告中告诉客户：“如果说有什么不同的话，那就是我们的预测可能过于保守。”他指出，其观点仅纳入了拜登计划的1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，高盛本周早些时候将2021年GDP预期上调至6.8%，因为这家华尔街银行现在假设额外财政救助为1.5万亿美元，高于此前的1.1万亿美元。根据圣路易斯联储的数据，如果高盛的预测成真，这将是美国自1989年以来最快的年度GDP增长。</blockquote></p><p> The rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>乐观的GDP预测远高于美联储的要求。去年12月，美联储预计2021年GDP增长仅为4.2%，并表示失业率要到2023年才会降至4%以下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-dip recession averted</b></p><p><blockquote><b>避免了双底衰退</b></blockquote></p><p> The Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对经济预测趋于保守。而且，至关重要的是，美联储的预测是在DC政治功能失调给美国经济蒙上阴影之际发布的。</blockquote></p><p> For months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.</p><p><blockquote>几个月来，共和党和民主党试图就延长计划失效的关键失业和驱逐福利以及向小企业提供更多可原谅贷款达成协议，但未能达成协议。然后当最终达成协议时，前总统唐纳德·特朗普威胁要炸毁它。</blockquote></p><p> At the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.</p><p><blockquote>在最后一刻，特朗普将9000亿美元的救助计划签署成为法律，避免了经济灾难。</blockquote></p><p> \"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“如果没有这一点，我们将陷入双底衰退。”</blockquote></p><p> Slammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States&nbsp;added just 49,000 jobs in January.</p><p><blockquote>受疫情冲击，美国经济一瘸一拐地走到2020年底，今年开局缓慢。12月，雇主自春季以来首次裁员。美国1月份仅增加了49,000个就业岗位。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>申请失业救济人数仍然高得惊人。仅上周就有793,000名美国人首次申请失业救济。就背景而言，这高于大衰退的最严重水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccines to the rescue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗拯救生命</b></blockquote></p><p> But there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情仍有一线希望。尽管Covid死亡人数仍然高得难以想象，但住院人数和病例数已经下降。</blockquote></p><p> Critically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，冠状病毒疫苗的推出正在加速。据摩根士丹利称，在总共分发的6600万支疫苗中，约70%已经接种。</blockquote></p><p> And Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday&nbsp;that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.</p><p><blockquote>美国顶级传染病专家安东尼·福奇博士周四告诉NBC新闻，美国可能能够在夏季中期或结束前为大多数美国人接种疫苗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些使得包括加利福尼亚、纽约和新泽西在内的州放松了对餐馆和其他小企业的健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> That's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants&nbsp;force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说疫情已经结束。事实上，一个风险是，新的Covid-19变种迫使美国各州和城市再次收紧健康限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Low-wage workers are still hurting badly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>低薪工人仍然受到严重伤害</b></blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在此背景下，许多经济学家敦促华盛顿推进激进的财政刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> \"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"</p><p><blockquote>穆迪经济学家赞迪表示：“请把脚平放在油门上。”“政策制定101说，错误在于做得太多，而不是做得太少。”</blockquote></p><p> Doing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.</p><p><blockquote>做得太少可能会加剧美国的不平等问题。这是因为与之前的衰退相比，这次衰退对餐馆、儿童保育和酒店业等遭受重创行业的低收入工人造成了不成比例的伤害。</blockquote></p><p> Employment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据Opportunity Insights经济跟踪系统的数据，低工资工人（年收入低于27,000美元的人）的就业水平仍下降了20%以上。相比之下，年收入超过6万美元的人的就业水平高于危机前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的经济学家在给客户的一份报告中写道：“如果收入和种族群体之间的充分就业情况不明显，拜登的团队就不太可能为实现充分就业而开香槟。”</blockquote></p><p> However, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>然而，前美联储官员、现任Quill Intelligence首席执行官丹妮尔·迪马蒂诺·布斯(Danielle DiMartino Booth)担心，专注于提供收入，而不是投资基础设施和再培训工人，会让该国沉迷于刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯说：“经济将变成这个依赖患者，总是等待下一次注射。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>'Bring it on'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“来吧”</b></blockquote></p><p> Some economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington&nbsp;overheats the economy by injecting too much support.</p><p><blockquote>包括前财政部长拉里·萨默斯在内的一些经济学家警告说，华盛顿注入过多支持可能会导致经济过热。</blockquote></p><p> \"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.</p><p><blockquote>布斯表示：“未来几个月可能会出现相当大的通胀恐慌，这将考验债券市场和美联储。”</blockquote></p><p> And that in turn would spook the&nbsp;red-hot stock market.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又会惊动炙手可热的股市。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.</p><p><blockquote>美联储观察人士正在提前确定美联储何时能够结束紧急政策的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> Citing \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>高盛援引“通胀前景走强的迹象”，目前预计美联储将在2022年初开始“缩减”资产购买规模，并在2024年上半年加息。</blockquote></p><p> Zandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.</p><p><blockquote>赞迪并没有因为通货膨胀而失眠，主要是因为美国还远未实现充分就业。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一种被大大夸大的担忧，”他说。“来吧。十多年来，我们最大的问题一直是低通胀。更高的通胀将是一个高级问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108705396","content_text":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and millions of families were about to lose crucial benefits.\nFast forward two months, and the economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.\nEconomists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.\nThe renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the health crisis is easing and Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.\nAfter supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.\n\"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.\nThe turning point happened last month when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.\n'Summer mini-boom'\nBefore the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.\n\"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.\nOxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.\nLikewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"\n\"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.\nIndeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.\nThe rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.\nDouble-dip recession averted\nThe Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.\nFor months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.\nAt the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.\n\"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.\nSlammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States added just 49,000 jobs in January.\nJobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.\nVaccines to the rescue\nBut there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.\nCritically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.\nAnd Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.\nAll of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.\nThat's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.\nLow-wage workers are still hurting badly\nAgainst this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.\n\"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"\nDoing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.\nEmployment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.\n\"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.\nHowever, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.\n\"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.\n'Bring it on'\nSome economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington overheats the economy by injecting too much support.\n\"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.\nAnd that in turn would spook the red-hot stock market.\nFed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.\nCiting \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.\nZandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.\n\"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}