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Freddyd
2021-08-18
Ok
@交易员Owen:丢失阿富汗,美国的损失远超你的想象
Freddyd
2021-08-05
Woww
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-08-03
Yess
Are next-gen Singaporeans keen on investing?<blockquote>下一代新加坡人热衷于投资吗?</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-08-03
Woww
Square Just Bought Afterpay, and Wall Street's Betting This Fintech Stock Could Be Next<blockquote>Square刚刚收购了Afterpay,华尔街押注这只金融科技股可能是下一只</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-08-01
Oh no
Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-28
Oh no
Apple’s blowout earnings didn’t help its stock, and here’s why<blockquote>苹果的井喷式盈利并没有帮助其股价,原因如下</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-26
Wow
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-25
Good
What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么?也许比平时多</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-23
Oh ya
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-22
Ooo
Warburg Pincus-Backed AI Drug Firm Insilico Weighs U.S. IPO<blockquote>华平投资支持的人工智能药物公司Insilico考虑在美国IPO</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-21
Great
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-20
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-20
Good
Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-17
Woww
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-14
As expected
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-14
Great
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-12
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-12
Oh no
抱歉,原内容已删除
Freddyd
2021-07-11
Great 👍
The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>
Freddyd
2021-07-11
Great 👍
The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>
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今天上证指数午后突遭砸盘,暴跌了2个百分点,之前刚有企稳迹象的大白马,消费类,机械制造,有色金属,材料等板块几乎尽墨,再看港股,腾讯,快手,阿里都跌了4个点以上,小米也跟跌了将近2%,不用说,今晚的美股也好不到哪里去,特别是这次利空风暴的重点板块:中概股。 好在我们之前早有预警,已经预判到A股在涨过前期阻力位后肯定有一波二次探底,但没想到会是以这样一种激烈的方式出现。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/896769047\" target=\"_blank\">回顾:换一种姿态,重新拥抱A股</a> 一天多的时间,发生了太多的事情,从阿富汗的政变成功,到中国再度升级监管,再到美国证券交易委员会暂停中资企业的VIE架构申请(并无官宣),甚至SEC的主席亲自发文提醒美国投资者注意美国上市的中国企业的市场风险。 感觉两边的对抗性已经越来越明显,当然,如果咱们非要考虑一下这三个事件的背后联系,其实想象空间还是非常大的。但最终事实还是要以官方媒体的论调为准,起码有一点是确定的,塔利班在阿富汗的政变成功对中 国有着间接的利好,而美国的损失则远远超过你的想象。 先谈谈美国的损失吧 且不说美国在这么些年里往阿富汗战争和后期控制上投入了几万亿的经费,这次撤军葬送的,是一个中亚地区的咽喉要地,更是一个可以用来牵制俄罗斯,印度,袭扰中G,打压伊朗的战略部署中心。 阿富汗这个主要以逊尼派穆斯林为主的国度,可以利用宗教冲突为话题,煽动一切可能的矛盾来制造麻烦干扰中俄的外交局面,同时压制甚至控制伊朗和印度的政z局面。你要知道,伊印两国的穆斯林人口占有绝大部分,而俄罗斯和中 国的 新 疆 地区","listText":"利空总喜欢扎推儿爆发,而且是在你以为市场已经企稳,刚刚要喘口气,喝口茶的间歇,突然瞅冷子给你来这么一下。 今天上证指数午后突遭砸盘,暴跌了2个百分点,之前刚有企稳迹象的大白马,消费类,机械制造,有色金属,材料等板块几乎尽墨,再看港股,腾讯,快手,阿里都跌了4个点以上,小米也跟跌了将近2%,不用说,今晚的美股也好不到哪里去,特别是这次利空风暴的重点板块:中概股。 好在我们之前早有预警,已经预判到A股在涨过前期阻力位后肯定有一波二次探底,但没想到会是以这样一种激烈的方式出现。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/896769047\" target=\"_blank\">回顾:换一种姿态,重新拥抱A股</a> 一天多的时间,发生了太多的事情,从阿富汗的政变成功,到中国再度升级监管,再到美国证券交易委员会暂停中资企业的VIE架构申请(并无官宣),甚至SEC的主席亲自发文提醒美国投资者注意美国上市的中国企业的市场风险。 感觉两边的对抗性已经越来越明显,当然,如果咱们非要考虑一下这三个事件的背后联系,其实想象空间还是非常大的。但最终事实还是要以官方媒体的论调为准,起码有一点是确定的,塔利班在阿富汗的政变成功对中 国有着间接的利好,而美国的损失则远远超过你的想象。 先谈谈美国的损失吧 且不说美国在这么些年里往阿富汗战争和后期控制上投入了几万亿的经费,这次撤军葬送的,是一个中亚地区的咽喉要地,更是一个可以用来牵制俄罗斯,印度,袭扰中G,打压伊朗的战略部署中心。 阿富汗这个主要以逊尼派穆斯林为主的国度,可以利用宗教冲突为话题,煽动一切可能的矛盾来制造麻烦干扰中俄的外交局面,同时压制甚至控制伊朗和印度的政z局面。你要知道,伊印两国的穆斯林人口占有绝大部分,而俄罗斯和中 国的 新 疆 地区","text":"利空总喜欢扎推儿爆发,而且是在你以为市场已经企稳,刚刚要喘口气,喝口茶的间歇,突然瞅冷子给你来这么一下。 今天上证指数午后突遭砸盘,暴跌了2个百分点,之前刚有企稳迹象的大白马,消费类,机械制造,有色金属,材料等板块几乎尽墨,再看港股,腾讯,快手,阿里都跌了4个点以上,小米也跟跌了将近2%,不用说,今晚的美股也好不到哪里去,特别是这次利空风暴的重点板块:中概股。 好在我们之前早有预警,已经预判到A股在涨过前期阻力位后肯定有一波二次探底,但没想到会是以这样一种激烈的方式出现。 回顾:换一种姿态,重新拥抱A股 一天多的时间,发生了太多的事情,从阿富汗的政变成功,到中国再度升级监管,再到美国证券交易委员会暂停中资企业的VIE架构申请(并无官宣),甚至SEC的主席亲自发文提醒美国投资者注意美国上市的中国企业的市场风险。 感觉两边的对抗性已经越来越明显,当然,如果咱们非要考虑一下这三个事件的背后联系,其实想象空间还是非常大的。但最终事实还是要以官方媒体的论调为准,起码有一点是确定的,塔利班在阿富汗的政变成功对中 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17:32","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Are next-gen Singaporeans keen on investing?<blockquote>下一代新加坡人热衷于投资吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169761670","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"One in two among people aged 18 to 35 said it is important to invest early.\n\nOne in two next-gen Sin","content":"<p> <b><i>One in two among people aged 18 to 35 said it is important to invest early.</i></b> One in two next-gen Singaporeans aged between 18 to 35 believes that it is important to start an investment journey early, according to Next-Gen Investor Survey by Franklin Templeton.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>18至35岁的人中有二分之一表示尽早投资很重要。</i></b>富兰克林邓普顿的下一代投资者调查显示,年龄在18至35岁之间的下一代新加坡人中,有二分之一认为尽早开始投资之旅很重要。</blockquote></p><p> Franklin Templeton, however, found in the survey of 502 respondents that limited budget (36%), fear of incurring losses (32%), and lack of investment knowledge (28%) were the key challenges faced when mulling investment.</p><p><blockquote>然而,富兰克林邓普顿在对502名受访者的调查中发现,预算有限(36%)、担心遭受损失(32%)和缺乏投资知识(28%)是考虑投资时面临的主要挑战。</blockquote></p><p> A third also find investing difficult and expressed in making the right investment, it said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称,三分之一的人还发现投资很困难,并表示难以做出正确的投资。</blockquote></p><p> The COVID-19 pandemic has also affected the young investors financially, with 29% of respondents saying they were positively affected, 33% said the pandemic did not have an impact, and 39% were negatively affected. Respondents who were affected positively invested more (71%) since the start of the health crisis, whilst 59% of those not affected and 40% of those negatively affected had invested.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫情也对年轻投资者产生了财务影响,29%的受访者表示他们受到了积极影响,33%的受访者表示疫情没有影响,39%的受访者受到了负面影响。自健康危机开始以来,受积极影响的受访者投资更多(71%),而59%未受影响的受访者和40%受负面影响的受访者进行了投资。</blockquote></p><p> One in two of the respondents were also expecting a salary increase in the next year as the economy of Singapore recovers.</p><p><blockquote>二分之一的受访者还预计,随着新加坡经济的复苏,明年的工资会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Of the respondents, 37% had monthly personal income below S$3,000, 31% between S$3,000 and S$5,999; 20% between S$6,000 and S$9,999; and 11% above S$10,000. 83% of them save monthly and 50% set aside monthly spending for investment.</p><p><blockquote>受访者中,37%的月个人收入低于3000新元,31%在3000新元至5999新元之间;20%在6000新元至9999新元之间;其中83%每月储蓄,50%每月支出用于投资。</blockquote></p><p> The average annual investment among them is slightly above S$18,000 and dollar-cost averaging through recurring investments (56%) topped lumpsum (24%) as their preferred approach. A total of 57% of them adopted a “60% equity and 40% fixed income” asset allocation, while 23% were employing other allocation strategies and the rest do not have a strategy.</p><p><blockquote>他们的平均年投资略高于18,000新元,通过经常性投资的平均成本(56%)超过了一次性投资(24%)作为他们的首选方法。其中共有57%的人采用了“60%股票和40%固定收益”的资产配置,而23%的人采用了其他配置策略,其余的人没有策略。</blockquote></p><p> More than half of them or 52% were expecting more than 10% annual returns, followed by 33% who were expecting 5% to 10% and 15% were expecting 1% to 5% annual returns.</p><p><blockquote>其中超过一半(52%)的预期年回报率超过10%,其次是33%的预期年回报率为5%至10%,15%的预期年回报率为1%至5%。</blockquote></p><p> Dora Seow, Country Head for Singapore, Franklin Templeton, said young investors who are maximizing returns in non-traditional asset classes in platforms such as cryptocurrencies should consider “diversifying” their portfolio “to better ride out high volatility in such spaces.”</p><p><blockquote>富兰克林邓普顿新加坡国家主管Dora Seow表示,在加密货币等平台上实现非传统资产类别回报最大化的年轻投资者应该考虑“多元化”他们的投资组合,“以更好地度过此类领域的高波动”。</blockquote></p><p> “We would encourage young investors to remain invested over the long term and rebalance their portfolio on a regular basis in line with their risk tolerance and investment goals as they grow through different milestones in their life,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说:“我们鼓励年轻投资者保持长期投资,并在他们人生不同里程碑的成长过程中,根据他们的风险承受能力和投资目标定期重新平衡他们的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p> Respondents currently hold at least one investment product in their portfolio including equities (36%), fixed income (29%), cryptocurrency (28%), exchange-traded fund (25%), and mutual funds (23%).</p><p><blockquote>受访者目前在其投资组合中至少持有一种投资产品,包括股票(36%)、固定收益(29%)、加密货币(28%)、交易所交易基金(25%)和共同基金(23%)。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from investing, next-gen Singaporeans are citing financial freedom (66%), living a happy life (64%), and good health (62%) as the most important goals in life, Franklin Templeton said.</p><p><blockquote>富兰克林邓普顿表示,除了投资之外,下一代新加坡人还将财务自由(66%)、幸福生活(64%)和身体健康(62%)视为人生最重要的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Are next-gen Singaporeans keen on investing?<blockquote>下一代新加坡人热衷于投资吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAre next-gen Singaporeans keen on investing?<blockquote>下一代新加坡人热衷于投资吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b><i>One in two among people aged 18 to 35 said it is important to invest early.</i></b> One in two next-gen Singaporeans aged between 18 to 35 believes that it is important to start an investment journey early, according to Next-Gen Investor Survey by Franklin Templeton.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>18至35岁的人中有二分之一表示尽早投资很重要。</i></b>富兰克林邓普顿的下一代投资者调查显示,年龄在18至35岁之间的下一代新加坡人中,有二分之一认为尽早开始投资之旅很重要。</blockquote></p><p> Franklin Templeton, however, found in the survey of 502 respondents that limited budget (36%), fear of incurring losses (32%), and lack of investment knowledge (28%) were the key challenges faced when mulling investment.</p><p><blockquote>然而,富兰克林邓普顿在对502名受访者的调查中发现,预算有限(36%)、担心遭受损失(32%)和缺乏投资知识(28%)是考虑投资时面临的主要挑战。</blockquote></p><p> A third also find investing difficult and expressed in making the right investment, it said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称,三分之一的人还发现投资很困难,并表示难以做出正确的投资。</blockquote></p><p> The COVID-19 pandemic has also affected the young investors financially, with 29% of respondents saying they were positively affected, 33% said the pandemic did not have an impact, and 39% were negatively affected. Respondents who were affected positively invested more (71%) since the start of the health crisis, whilst 59% of those not affected and 40% of those negatively affected had invested.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫情也对年轻投资者产生了财务影响,29%的受访者表示他们受到了积极影响,33%的受访者表示疫情没有影响,39%的受访者受到了负面影响。自健康危机开始以来,受积极影响的受访者投资更多(71%),而59%未受影响的受访者和40%受负面影响的受访者进行了投资。</blockquote></p><p> One in two of the respondents were also expecting a salary increase in the next year as the economy of Singapore recovers.</p><p><blockquote>二分之一的受访者还预计,随着新加坡经济的复苏,明年的工资会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Of the respondents, 37% had monthly personal income below S$3,000, 31% between S$3,000 and S$5,999; 20% between S$6,000 and S$9,999; and 11% above S$10,000. 83% of them save monthly and 50% set aside monthly spending for investment.</p><p><blockquote>受访者中,37%的月个人收入低于3000新元,31%在3000新元至5999新元之间;20%在6000新元至9999新元之间;其中83%每月储蓄,50%每月支出用于投资。</blockquote></p><p> The average annual investment among them is slightly above S$18,000 and dollar-cost averaging through recurring investments (56%) topped lumpsum (24%) as their preferred approach. A total of 57% of them adopted a “60% equity and 40% fixed income” asset allocation, while 23% were employing other allocation strategies and the rest do not have a strategy.</p><p><blockquote>他们的平均年投资略高于18,000新元,通过经常性投资的平均成本(56%)超过了一次性投资(24%)作为他们的首选方法。其中共有57%的人采用了“60%股票和40%固定收益”的资产配置,而23%的人采用了其他配置策略,其余的人没有策略。</blockquote></p><p> More than half of them or 52% were expecting more than 10% annual returns, followed by 33% who were expecting 5% to 10% and 15% were expecting 1% to 5% annual returns.</p><p><blockquote>其中超过一半(52%)的预期年回报率超过10%,其次是33%的预期年回报率为5%至10%,15%的预期年回报率为1%至5%。</blockquote></p><p> Dora Seow, Country Head for Singapore, Franklin Templeton, said young investors who are maximizing returns in non-traditional asset classes in platforms such as cryptocurrencies should consider “diversifying” their portfolio “to better ride out high volatility in such spaces.”</p><p><blockquote>富兰克林邓普顿新加坡国家主管Dora Seow表示,在加密货币等平台上实现非传统资产类别回报最大化的年轻投资者应该考虑“多元化”他们的投资组合,“以更好地度过此类领域的高波动”。</blockquote></p><p> “We would encourage young investors to remain invested over the long term and rebalance their portfolio on a regular basis in line with their risk tolerance and investment goals as they grow through different milestones in their life,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说:“我们鼓励年轻投资者保持长期投资,并在他们人生不同里程碑的成长过程中,根据他们的风险承受能力和投资目标定期重新平衡他们的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p> Respondents currently hold at least one investment product in their portfolio including equities (36%), fixed income (29%), cryptocurrency (28%), exchange-traded fund (25%), and mutual funds (23%).</p><p><blockquote>受访者目前在其投资组合中至少持有一种投资产品,包括股票(36%)、固定收益(29%)、加密货币(28%)、交易所交易基金(25%)和共同基金(23%)。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from investing, next-gen Singaporeans are citing financial freedom (66%), living a happy life (64%), and good health (62%) as the most important goals in life, Franklin Templeton said.</p><p><blockquote>富兰克林邓普顿表示,除了投资之外,下一代新加坡人还将财务自由(66%)、幸福生活(64%)和身体健康(62%)视为人生最重要的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/markets-investing/news/are-next-gen-singaporeans-keen-investing\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af47ab6c10e46f0aea6733871f311696","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/markets-investing/news/are-next-gen-singaporeans-keen-investing","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169761670","content_text":"One in two among people aged 18 to 35 said it is important to invest early.\n\nOne in two next-gen Singaporeans aged between 18 to 35 believes that it is important to start an investment journey early, according to Next-Gen Investor Survey by Franklin Templeton.\nFranklin Templeton, however, found in the survey of 502 respondents that limited budget (36%), fear of incurring losses (32%), and lack of investment knowledge (28%) were the key challenges faced when mulling investment.\nA third also find investing difficult and expressed in making the right investment, it said.\nThe COVID-19 pandemic has also affected the young investors financially, with 29% of respondents saying they were positively affected, 33% said the pandemic did not have an impact, and 39% were negatively affected. Respondents who were affected positively invested more (71%) since the start of the health crisis, whilst 59% of those not affected and 40% of those negatively affected had invested.\nOne in two of the respondents were also expecting a salary increase in the next year as the economy of Singapore recovers.\nOf the respondents, 37% had monthly personal income below S$3,000, 31% between S$3,000 and S$5,999; 20% between S$6,000 and S$9,999; and 11% above S$10,000. 83% of them save monthly and 50% set aside monthly spending for investment.\nThe average annual investment among them is slightly above S$18,000 and dollar-cost averaging through recurring investments (56%) topped lumpsum (24%) as their preferred approach. A total of 57% of them adopted a “60% equity and 40% fixed income” asset allocation, while 23% were employing other allocation strategies and the rest do not have a strategy.\nMore than half of them or 52% were expecting more than 10% annual returns, followed by 33% who were expecting 5% to 10% and 15% were expecting 1% to 5% annual returns.\nDora Seow, Country Head for Singapore, Franklin Templeton, said young investors who are maximizing returns in non-traditional asset classes in platforms such as cryptocurrencies should consider “diversifying” their portfolio “to better ride out high volatility in such spaces.”\n“We would encourage young investors to remain invested over the long term and rebalance their portfolio on a regular basis in line with their risk tolerance and investment goals as they grow through different milestones in their life,” she said.\nRespondents currently hold at least one investment product in their portfolio including equities (36%), fixed income (29%), cryptocurrency (28%), exchange-traded fund (25%), and mutual funds (23%).\nAside from investing, next-gen Singaporeans are citing financial freedom (66%), living a happy life (64%), and good health (62%) as the most important goals in life, Franklin Templeton said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804224656,"gmtCreate":1627959549975,"gmtModify":1633754859314,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woww","listText":"Woww","text":"Woww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804224656","repostId":"1145722957","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145722957","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627959318,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145722957?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Square Just Bought Afterpay, and Wall Street's Betting This Fintech Stock Could Be Next<blockquote>Square刚刚收购了Afterpay,华尔街押注这只金融科技股可能是下一只</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145722957","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market moved higher on Monday to start the new month.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Markets moved higher on Monday.</li> <li>Square made a massive acquisition in the buy-now, pay-later space.</li> <li>A competing stock also saw big gains.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周一市场走高。</li><li>Square在先买后付领域进行了大规模收购。</li><li>一只竞争股票也出现了大幅上涨。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Investors often seem to start a new month on a positive note, and Monday saw sustained gains for major market benchmarks. Market participants seem to be comfortable that the economy will be able to find ways to overcome any challenges from rising COVID-19 case counts. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT, the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> (DJINDICES: ^DJI) was up 121 points to 35,057. The <b>S&P 500</b> (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) gained 18 points to 4,414, and the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) picked up 93 points to 14,765.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎经常以积极的态度开始新的一个月,周一主要市场基准持续上涨。市场参与者似乎对经济将能够找到克服COVID-19病例数上升带来的任何挑战的方法感到放心。截至美国东部时间上午11:30,<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI)上涨121点,至35,057点。The<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)上涨18点至4,414点,而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(纳斯达克指数:^IXIC)上涨93点,至14,765点。</blockquote></p><p> Over the weekend,<b>Square</b>(NYSE: SQ) surprised investors by releasing earnings early and announcing a huge acquisition. Yet even though the move will ramp up competition pressures on another key player in the buy-now, pay-later fintech space, shares of a key rival to the company that Square bought out also moved higher. Below, we'll look at why Wall Street seems to think this competitor could be the next acquisition target.</p><p><blockquote>周末期间,<b>平方</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SQ)提前发布财报并宣布一项巨额收购,令投资者感到惊讶。然而,尽管此举将加大对先买后付金融科技领域另一家主要参与者的竞争压力,但Square收购的公司的主要竞争对手的股价也走高。下面,我们将看看为什么华尔街似乎认为这个竞争对手可能是下一个收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square buys Afterpay</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Square购买Afterpay</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Square moved higher by 11% on Monday morning. The electronic payments specialist and fintech disruptor made a major strategic move by acquiring Australia's <b>Afterpay</b>(OTC: AFTP.F) in a deal worth $29 billion.</p><p><blockquote>周一上午,Square股价上涨11%。这家电子支付专家和金融科技颠覆者通过收购澳大利亚的<b>Afterpay</b>(场外交易代码:AFTP.F)的交易价值290亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2f0523d278e42ca08e7b9fb7e9f13de\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1505\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:SQUARE。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the deal,Afterpay shareholders will receive 0.375 shares of Square for every Afterpay share they own. Square reserved the right to pay a modest 1% of the total value of the deal in cash rather than shares, presumably allowing for redemptions of fractional shares as necessary.</p><p><blockquote>根据交易条款,Afterpay股东持有的每股Afterpay股票将获得0.375股Square股票。Square保留以现金而非股票支付交易总价值1%的权利,大概允许在必要时赎回零碎股票。</blockquote></p><p> The deal has benefits for both parties. For Afterpay, access to Square will dramatically accelerate its efforts to penetrate the U.S. market with its installment payment service. Meanwhile, Square will gain visibility in the increasingly popular buy-now, pay-later space, as younger consumers seem to prefer that method of shopping compared with credit cards and other ways to buy without making full payment up front.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易对双方都有好处。对于Afterpay来说,进入Square将大大加快其通过分期付款服务渗透美国市场的努力。与此同时,Square将在越来越受欢迎的先买后付领域获得知名度,因为与信用卡和其他无需预先全额付款的购买方式相比,年轻消费者似乎更喜欢这种购物方式。</blockquote></p><p> The all-stock deal allows Square to use its high-flying shares as currency for a smart acquisition. Interestingly, though, a company that's going to be one of Square's main competitors also gained on the day.</p><p><blockquote>这笔全股票交易使Square能够使用其飞涨的股票作为明智收购的货币。不过有趣的是,一家将成为Square主要竞争对手之一的公司也在当天获得了收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Affirming the value of buy-now, pay-later</b></p><p><blockquote><b>肯定先买后付的价值</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b>Affirm Holdings</b>(Nasdaq: AFRM) were up even more sharply than Square, gaining 14%. The move comes despite the fact that Affirm will face plenty of pressure from a combined Square and Afterpay, but it seems to reflect expectations that another player in the fintech industry will swoop in to offer Affirm a deal that shareholders can't refuse.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>确认控股</b>(纳斯达克:AFRM)的涨幅甚至比Square还要大,上涨了14%。尽管Affirm将面临来自Square和Afterpay合并后的巨大压力,但此举似乎反映了人们的预期,即金融科技行业的另一家参与者将介入,向Affirm提供一项股东无法拒绝的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm has made big strides forward, building on an initial relationship with connected fitness specialist <b>Peloton Interactive</b> by forging a partnership with e-commerce enabler <b>Shopify</b>. The move higher for the stock comes after a brief drop on news that <b>Apple</b> would look to offer its own direct installment payment service.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm在与互联健身专家建立初步关系的基础上取得了长足的进步<b>Peloton互动</b>通过与电子商务推动者建立伙伴关系<b>Shopify</b>.该股在短暂下跌后走高,此前有消息称<b>苹果</b>将寻求提供自己的直接分期付款服务。</blockquote></p><p> Square's strategic acquisition raised the obvious question of whether another company will come in to buy Affirm.<b>PayPal Holdings</b>was seen building its own buy-now, pay-later service, but it could seek to accelerate its efforts by buying Affirm. Similarly, card giants lik e<b>Visa</b> or <b>Mastercard</b> have been known to make strategic acquisitions of innovative companies in order to keep pace with transformative efforts in the payments space.</p><p><blockquote>Square的战略收购提出了一个明显的问题:是否会有另一家公司介入收购Affirm。<b>PayPal控股</b>人们看到它正在建立自己的先买后付服务,但它可能会寻求通过收购Affirm来加速其努力。同样,卡巨头喜欢e<b>签证</b>or<b>万事达卡</b>众所周知,他们会对创新公司进行战略收购,以跟上支付领域的转型努力。</blockquote></p><p> It's too early to tell exactly what will happen with Affirm. However, Square's purchase of Afterpay ups the stakes in what was already a popular investment area.</p><p><blockquote>现在判断Affirm会发生什么还为时过早。然而,Square收购Afterpay增加了这个已经很受欢迎的投资领域的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square Just Bought Afterpay, and Wall Street's Betting This Fintech Stock Could Be Next<blockquote>Square刚刚收购了Afterpay,华尔街押注这只金融科技股可能是下一只</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare Just Bought Afterpay, and Wall Street's Betting This Fintech Stock Could Be Next<blockquote>Square刚刚收购了Afterpay,华尔街押注这只金融科技股可能是下一只</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Markets moved higher on Monday.</li> <li>Square made a massive acquisition in the buy-now, pay-later space.</li> <li>A competing stock also saw big gains.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周一市场走高。</li><li>Square在先买后付领域进行了大规模收购。</li><li>一只竞争股票也出现了大幅上涨。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Investors often seem to start a new month on a positive note, and Monday saw sustained gains for major market benchmarks. Market participants seem to be comfortable that the economy will be able to find ways to overcome any challenges from rising COVID-19 case counts. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT, the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b> (DJINDICES: ^DJI) was up 121 points to 35,057. The <b>S&P 500</b> (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) gained 18 points to 4,414, and the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) picked up 93 points to 14,765.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎经常以积极的态度开始新的一个月,周一主要市场基准持续上涨。市场参与者似乎对经济将能够找到克服COVID-19病例数上升带来的任何挑战的方法感到放心。截至美国东部时间上午11:30,<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI)上涨121点,至35,057点。The<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)上涨18点至4,414点,而<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>(纳斯达克指数:^IXIC)上涨93点,至14,765点。</blockquote></p><p> Over the weekend,<b>Square</b>(NYSE: SQ) surprised investors by releasing earnings early and announcing a huge acquisition. Yet even though the move will ramp up competition pressures on another key player in the buy-now, pay-later fintech space, shares of a key rival to the company that Square bought out also moved higher. Below, we'll look at why Wall Street seems to think this competitor could be the next acquisition target.</p><p><blockquote>周末期间,<b>平方</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SQ)提前发布财报并宣布一项巨额收购,令投资者感到惊讶。然而,尽管此举将加大对先买后付金融科技领域另一家主要参与者的竞争压力,但Square收购的公司的主要竞争对手的股价也走高。下面,我们将看看为什么华尔街似乎认为这个竞争对手可能是下一个收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square buys Afterpay</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Square购买Afterpay</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Square moved higher by 11% on Monday morning. The electronic payments specialist and fintech disruptor made a major strategic move by acquiring Australia's <b>Afterpay</b>(OTC: AFTP.F) in a deal worth $29 billion.</p><p><blockquote>周一上午,Square股价上涨11%。这家电子支付专家和金融科技颠覆者通过收购澳大利亚的<b>Afterpay</b>(场外交易代码:AFTP.F)的交易价值290亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2f0523d278e42ca08e7b9fb7e9f13de\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1505\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:SQUARE。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Under the terms of the deal,Afterpay shareholders will receive 0.375 shares of Square for every Afterpay share they own. Square reserved the right to pay a modest 1% of the total value of the deal in cash rather than shares, presumably allowing for redemptions of fractional shares as necessary.</p><p><blockquote>根据交易条款,Afterpay股东持有的每股Afterpay股票将获得0.375股Square股票。Square保留以现金而非股票支付交易总价值1%的权利,大概允许在必要时赎回零碎股票。</blockquote></p><p> The deal has benefits for both parties. For Afterpay, access to Square will dramatically accelerate its efforts to penetrate the U.S. market with its installment payment service. Meanwhile, Square will gain visibility in the increasingly popular buy-now, pay-later space, as younger consumers seem to prefer that method of shopping compared with credit cards and other ways to buy without making full payment up front.</p><p><blockquote>这笔交易对双方都有好处。对于Afterpay来说,进入Square将大大加快其通过分期付款服务渗透美国市场的努力。与此同时,Square将在越来越受欢迎的先买后付领域获得知名度,因为与信用卡和其他无需预先全额付款的购买方式相比,年轻消费者似乎更喜欢这种购物方式。</blockquote></p><p> The all-stock deal allows Square to use its high-flying shares as currency for a smart acquisition. Interestingly, though, a company that's going to be one of Square's main competitors also gained on the day.</p><p><blockquote>这笔全股票交易使Square能够使用其飞涨的股票作为明智收购的货币。不过有趣的是,一家将成为Square主要竞争对手之一的公司也在当天获得了收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Affirming the value of buy-now, pay-later</b></p><p><blockquote><b>肯定先买后付的价值</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b>Affirm Holdings</b>(Nasdaq: AFRM) were up even more sharply than Square, gaining 14%. The move comes despite the fact that Affirm will face plenty of pressure from a combined Square and Afterpay, but it seems to reflect expectations that another player in the fintech industry will swoop in to offer Affirm a deal that shareholders can't refuse.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>确认控股</b>(纳斯达克:AFRM)的涨幅甚至比Square还要大,上涨了14%。尽管Affirm将面临来自Square和Afterpay合并后的巨大压力,但此举似乎反映了人们的预期,即金融科技行业的另一家参与者将介入,向Affirm提供一项股东无法拒绝的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Affirm has made big strides forward, building on an initial relationship with connected fitness specialist <b>Peloton Interactive</b> by forging a partnership with e-commerce enabler <b>Shopify</b>. The move higher for the stock comes after a brief drop on news that <b>Apple</b> would look to offer its own direct installment payment service.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm在与互联健身专家建立初步关系的基础上取得了长足的进步<b>Peloton互动</b>通过与电子商务推动者建立伙伴关系<b>Shopify</b>.该股在短暂下跌后走高,此前有消息称<b>苹果</b>将寻求提供自己的直接分期付款服务。</blockquote></p><p> Square's strategic acquisition raised the obvious question of whether another company will come in to buy Affirm.<b>PayPal Holdings</b>was seen building its own buy-now, pay-later service, but it could seek to accelerate its efforts by buying Affirm. Similarly, card giants lik e<b>Visa</b> or <b>Mastercard</b> have been known to make strategic acquisitions of innovative companies in order to keep pace with transformative efforts in the payments space.</p><p><blockquote>Square的战略收购提出了一个明显的问题:是否会有另一家公司介入收购Affirm。<b>PayPal控股</b>人们看到它正在建立自己的先买后付服务,但它可能会寻求通过收购Affirm来加速其努力。同样,卡巨头喜欢e<b>签证</b>or<b>万事达卡</b>众所周知,他们会对创新公司进行战略收购,以跟上支付领域的转型努力。</blockquote></p><p> It's too early to tell exactly what will happen with Affirm. However, Square's purchase of Afterpay ups the stakes in what was already a popular investment area.</p><p><blockquote>现在判断Affirm会发生什么还为时过早。然而,Square收购Afterpay增加了这个已经很受欢迎的投资领域的风险。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/02/square-just-bought-afterpay-and-wall-streets-betti/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/02/square-just-bought-afterpay-and-wall-streets-betti/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145722957","content_text":"Key Points\n\nMarkets moved higher on Monday.\nSquare made a massive acquisition in the buy-now, pay-later space.\nA competing stock also saw big gains.\n\n\nInvestors often seem to start a new month on a positive note, and Monday saw sustained gains for major market benchmarks. Market participants seem to be comfortable that the economy will be able to find ways to overcome any challenges from rising COVID-19 case counts. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) was up 121 points to 35,057. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) gained 18 points to 4,414, and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) picked up 93 points to 14,765.\nOver the weekend,Square(NYSE: SQ) surprised investors by releasing earnings early and announcing a huge acquisition. Yet even though the move will ramp up competition pressures on another key player in the buy-now, pay-later fintech space, shares of a key rival to the company that Square bought out also moved higher. Below, we'll look at why Wall Street seems to think this competitor could be the next acquisition target.\nSquare buys Afterpay\nShares of Square moved higher by 11% on Monday morning. The electronic payments specialist and fintech disruptor made a major strategic move by acquiring Australia's Afterpay(OTC: AFTP.F) in a deal worth $29 billion.\nIMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.\nUnder the terms of the deal,Afterpay shareholders will receive 0.375 shares of Square for every Afterpay share they own. Square reserved the right to pay a modest 1% of the total value of the deal in cash rather than shares, presumably allowing for redemptions of fractional shares as necessary.\nThe deal has benefits for both parties. For Afterpay, access to Square will dramatically accelerate its efforts to penetrate the U.S. market with its installment payment service. Meanwhile, Square will gain visibility in the increasingly popular buy-now, pay-later space, as younger consumers seem to prefer that method of shopping compared with credit cards and other ways to buy without making full payment up front.\nThe all-stock deal allows Square to use its high-flying shares as currency for a smart acquisition. Interestingly, though, a company that's going to be one of Square's main competitors also gained on the day.\nAffirming the value of buy-now, pay-later\nShares of Affirm Holdings(Nasdaq: AFRM) were up even more sharply than Square, gaining 14%. The move comes despite the fact that Affirm will face plenty of pressure from a combined Square and Afterpay, but it seems to reflect expectations that another player in the fintech industry will swoop in to offer Affirm a deal that shareholders can't refuse.\nAffirm has made big strides forward, building on an initial relationship with connected fitness specialist Peloton Interactive by forging a partnership with e-commerce enabler Shopify. The move higher for the stock comes after a brief drop on news that Apple would look to offer its own direct installment payment service.\nSquare's strategic acquisition raised the obvious question of whether another company will come in to buy Affirm.PayPal Holdingswas seen building its own buy-now, pay-later service, but it could seek to accelerate its efforts by buying Affirm. Similarly, card giants lik eVisa or Mastercard have been known to make strategic acquisitions of innovative companies in order to keep pace with transformative efforts in the payments space.\nIt's too early to tell exactly what will happen with Affirm. However, Square's purchase of Afterpay ups the stakes in what was already a popular investment area.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805026430,"gmtCreate":1627826104720,"gmtModify":1633756105521,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805026430","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的,现在是夏天,我一年中的这个时候,”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》,回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增,这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据,8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%,这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上,它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道,八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%,其中59.1%的时间为正,而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%,只有不到一半的时间(即45%)出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平,标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据,这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨,这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间,其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间,平均标普500回报率为0.70%,58.1%的时间为积极结果,标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现,毫不奇怪,8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后,在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕,但如果是,如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期,Robinhood Markets(股票代码:HOOD)首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资,周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中,它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课:低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求,高价出售其股票,尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升,但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末,持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt),他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森(Alan Abelson)喜欢观察的那样,卖出股票有很多好的理由,但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化,并且无需缴纳资本利得税,这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样,按首次发行价计算,这些股票价值25亿美元,Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元,或者接近众所周知的十倍,两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励,Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等,这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元,这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的:“多好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计,增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关;他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为,一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应,尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息,请参阅本周的封面故事。)</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的,现在是夏天,我一年中的这个时候,”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》,回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增,这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据,8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%,这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上,它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道,八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%,其中59.1%的时间为正,而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%,只有不到一半的时间(即45%)出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平,标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据,这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨,这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间,其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间,平均标普500回报率为0.70%,58.1%的时间为积极结果,标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现,毫不奇怪,8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后,在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕,但如果是,如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期,Robinhood Markets(股票代码:HOOD)首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资,周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中,它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课:低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求,高价出售其股票,尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升,但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末,持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt),他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森(Alan Abelson)喜欢观察的那样,卖出股票有很多好的理由,但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化,并且无需缴纳资本利得税,这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样,按首次发行价计算,这些股票价值25亿美元,Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元,或者接近众所周知的十倍,两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励,Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等,这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元,这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的:“多好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计,增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关;他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为,一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应,尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息,请参阅本周的封面故事。)</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803453789,"gmtCreate":1627459428741,"gmtModify":1633764800759,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803453789","repostId":"1195067283","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195067283","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627459353,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195067283?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s blowout earnings didn’t help its stock, and here’s why<blockquote>苹果的井喷式盈利并没有帮助其股价,原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195067283","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"CFO suggests that sales growth will slow overall and in the hot services sector, sending shares lower in after-hours trading despite stunning beat in earnings and iPhone sales. Apple racked up nearly $40 billion in iPhone sales last quarter. BLOOMBERG NEWS. Apple reported its strongest June quarter ever on Tuesday, with a near doubling of its profits and a whopping iPhone beat— iPhone revenue surpassed Wall Street’s expectations by a stunning $5 billion. But the celebration came to a crashing ha","content":"<p>Apple shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌1。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b6dcdfd6c3341849a132b84908df8a\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> CFO suggests that sales growth will slow overall and in the hot services sector, sending shares lower in after-hours trading despite stunning beat in earnings and iPhone sales</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官表示,尽管盈利和iPhone销量大幅增长,但整体和热门服务业的销售增长将放缓,导致盘后交易中股价走低</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df758af59b72a37be435c6d3859ce151\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Apple racked up nearly $40 billion in iPhone sales last quarter. BLOOMBERG NEWS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果上季度iPhone销售额接近400亿美元。彭博新闻社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.’s whopping fiscal third quarter was overshadowed by the company’s forecast for slowing growth Tuesday, putting a damper on its record results and sending shares south.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司周二对增长放缓的预测给该公司第三财季的巨大业绩蒙上了阴影,这削弱了其创纪录的业绩,并导致股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported its strongest June quarter ever on Tuesday, with a near doubling of its profits and a whopping iPhone beat— iPhone revenue surpassed Wall Street’s expectations by a stunning $5 billion. But the celebration came to a crashing halt when Apple Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said in a conference call that the company’s revenue growth would slow in the current quarter due to foreign exchange rates, the semiconductor shortage and tougher comparisons with the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周二公布了有史以来最强劲的6月份季度业绩,利润几乎翻了一番,并大幅超越iPhone——iPhone收入超出华尔街预期高达50亿美元。但当苹果首席财务官卢卡·马埃斯特里(Luca Maestri)在电话会议上表示,由于汇率、半导体短缺以及与上一年的比较更加严格,该公司本季度的收入增长将放缓时,庆祝活动戛然而止。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect very strong double-digit year-over-year revenue growth during the September quarter,” Maestri said, while continuing to avoid exact revenue guidance due to uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic. “We expect revenue growth to be lower than our June quarter year-over-year growth of 36%.”</p><p><blockquote>Maestri表示:“我们预计9月份季度的收入将实现非常强劲的两位数同比增长。”同时,由于与COVID-19大流行相关的不确定性,他继续避免提供确切的收入指引。“我们预计收入增长将低于6月份季度36%的同比增长。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s shares had gained in after-hours trading to that point, but immediately fell back and ultimately ended the extended trading session with a 2% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当时,苹果股价在盘后交易中上涨,但立即回落,最终以2%的跌幅结束延长交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond overall revenue, Maestri also warned about one of Apple’s hottest businesses and declined to give any hints about prolonged declines in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>除了整体收入之外,Maestri还对苹果最热门的业务之一发出警告,并拒绝就销售增长长期下降给出任何暗示。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect our services growth rate to return to a more typical level,” Maestri said, referring to Apple’s services business, which reached record-high revenue in the quarter by growing 33% to $17.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Maestri表示:“我们预计我们的服务增长率将恢复到更典型的水平。”他指的是苹果的服务业务,该业务本季度收入增长33%,达到175亿美元,创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> That growth rate also benefited from a favorable comparison as certain services were significantly impacted by the very beginning of the COVID-19 lockdowns a year ago, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说,这一增长率还受益于有利的比较,因为某些服务在一年前就受到了COVID-19封锁的重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect significant growth in services, but not to the level that we’ve seen in June,” he said in response to a question about the company’s guidance.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计服务业将大幅增长,但不会达到6月份的水平,”他在回答有关公司指引的问题时表示。</blockquote></p><p> When asked about the upcoming holiday period, and whether the semiconductor and component shortage would have an impact on what is typically Apple’s biggest quarter, Maestri said he only wanted to talk about one quarter at a time. Some analysts have already been wondering if the second half of this year is going to be as strong as the first half among tech companies, especially the tech giants, and Apple’s June quarter seemed to be reflective of those fears.</p><p><blockquote>当被问及即将到来的假期,以及半导体和零部件短缺是否会对苹果通常最大的季度产生影响时,马埃斯特里表示,他只想一次谈论一个季度。一些分析师已经在想,科技公司,尤其是科技巨头,今年下半年是否会像上半年一样强劲,而苹果6月份的季度似乎反映了这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> While it seems ridiculous to see shares decline after reporting such a mind-blowing quarter — iPhone total revenue alone was nearly $40 billion and Chief Executive Tim Cook said that 5G penetration is still “very very low, and so we feel really good about the future of the iPhone” — concerns that we are at a peak for tech are valid. And as the delta variant continues to create uncertainty about the path of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is even more uncertainty ahead</p><p><blockquote>虽然在报告了如此令人兴奋的季度后看到股价下跌似乎很荒谬——仅iPhone的总收入就接近400亿美元,首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)表示,5G渗透率仍然“非常非常低,因此我们对iPhone的未来感觉非常好”——对我们正处于科技巅峰的担忧是有道理的。随着德尔塔变异毒株继续给COVID-19大流行的路径带来不确定性,未来的不确定性更大</blockquote></p><p> As Cook phrased it Tuesday, “the road to recovery will be a winding one.”</p><p><blockquote>正如库克周二所说,“复苏之路将是曲折的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s blowout earnings didn’t help its stock, and here’s why<blockquote>苹果的井喷式盈利并没有帮助其股价,原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s blowout earnings didn’t help its stock, and here’s why<blockquote>苹果的井喷式盈利并没有帮助其股价,原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 16:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌1。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b6dcdfd6c3341849a132b84908df8a\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> CFO suggests that sales growth will slow overall and in the hot services sector, sending shares lower in after-hours trading despite stunning beat in earnings and iPhone sales</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官表示,尽管盈利和iPhone销量大幅增长,但整体和热门服务业的销售增长将放缓,导致盘后交易中股价走低</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df758af59b72a37be435c6d3859ce151\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Apple racked up nearly $40 billion in iPhone sales last quarter. BLOOMBERG NEWS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果上季度iPhone销售额接近400亿美元。彭博新闻社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.’s whopping fiscal third quarter was overshadowed by the company’s forecast for slowing growth Tuesday, putting a damper on its record results and sending shares south.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司周二对增长放缓的预测给该公司第三财季的巨大业绩蒙上了阴影,这削弱了其创纪录的业绩,并导致股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported its strongest June quarter ever on Tuesday, with a near doubling of its profits and a whopping iPhone beat— iPhone revenue surpassed Wall Street’s expectations by a stunning $5 billion. But the celebration came to a crashing halt when Apple Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said in a conference call that the company’s revenue growth would slow in the current quarter due to foreign exchange rates, the semiconductor shortage and tougher comparisons with the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>苹果周二公布了有史以来最强劲的6月份季度业绩,利润几乎翻了一番,并大幅超越iPhone——iPhone收入超出华尔街预期高达50亿美元。但当苹果首席财务官卢卡·马埃斯特里(Luca Maestri)在电话会议上表示,由于汇率、半导体短缺以及与上一年的比较更加严格,该公司本季度的收入增长将放缓时,庆祝活动戛然而止。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect very strong double-digit year-over-year revenue growth during the September quarter,” Maestri said, while continuing to avoid exact revenue guidance due to uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic. “We expect revenue growth to be lower than our June quarter year-over-year growth of 36%.”</p><p><blockquote>Maestri表示:“我们预计9月份季度的收入将实现非常强劲的两位数同比增长。”同时,由于与COVID-19大流行相关的不确定性,他继续避免提供确切的收入指引。“我们预计收入增长将低于6月份季度36%的同比增长。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s shares had gained in after-hours trading to that point, but immediately fell back and ultimately ended the extended trading session with a 2% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当时,苹果股价在盘后交易中上涨,但立即回落,最终以2%的跌幅结束延长交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond overall revenue, Maestri also warned about one of Apple’s hottest businesses and declined to give any hints about prolonged declines in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>除了整体收入之外,Maestri还对苹果最热门的业务之一发出警告,并拒绝就销售增长长期下降给出任何暗示。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect our services growth rate to return to a more typical level,” Maestri said, referring to Apple’s services business, which reached record-high revenue in the quarter by growing 33% to $17.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Maestri表示:“我们预计我们的服务增长率将恢复到更典型的水平。”他指的是苹果的服务业务,该业务本季度收入增长33%,达到175亿美元,创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> That growth rate also benefited from a favorable comparison as certain services were significantly impacted by the very beginning of the COVID-19 lockdowns a year ago, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说,这一增长率还受益于有利的比较,因为某些服务在一年前就受到了COVID-19封锁的重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect significant growth in services, but not to the level that we’ve seen in June,” he said in response to a question about the company’s guidance.</p><p><blockquote>“我们预计服务业将大幅增长,但不会达到6月份的水平,”他在回答有关公司指引的问题时表示。</blockquote></p><p> When asked about the upcoming holiday period, and whether the semiconductor and component shortage would have an impact on what is typically Apple’s biggest quarter, Maestri said he only wanted to talk about one quarter at a time. Some analysts have already been wondering if the second half of this year is going to be as strong as the first half among tech companies, especially the tech giants, and Apple’s June quarter seemed to be reflective of those fears.</p><p><blockquote>当被问及即将到来的假期,以及半导体和零部件短缺是否会对苹果通常最大的季度产生影响时,马埃斯特里表示,他只想一次谈论一个季度。一些分析师已经在想,科技公司,尤其是科技巨头,今年下半年是否会像上半年一样强劲,而苹果6月份的季度似乎反映了这些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> While it seems ridiculous to see shares decline after reporting such a mind-blowing quarter — iPhone total revenue alone was nearly $40 billion and Chief Executive Tim Cook said that 5G penetration is still “very very low, and so we feel really good about the future of the iPhone” — concerns that we are at a peak for tech are valid. And as the delta variant continues to create uncertainty about the path of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is even more uncertainty ahead</p><p><blockquote>虽然在报告了如此令人兴奋的季度后看到股价下跌似乎很荒谬——仅iPhone的总收入就接近400亿美元,首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)表示,5G渗透率仍然“非常非常低,因此我们对iPhone的未来感觉非常好”——对我们正处于科技巅峰的担忧是有道理的。随着德尔塔变异毒株继续给COVID-19大流行的路径带来不确定性,未来的不确定性更大</blockquote></p><p> As Cook phrased it Tuesday, “the road to recovery will be a winding one.”</p><p><blockquote>正如库克周二所说,“复苏之路将是曲折的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-blowout-earnings-didnt-help-its-stock-and-heres-why-11627430752?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-blowout-earnings-didnt-help-its-stock-and-heres-why-11627430752?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195067283","content_text":"Apple shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.\n\nCFO suggests that sales growth will slow overall and in the hot services sector, sending shares lower in after-hours trading despite stunning beat in earnings and iPhone sales\nApple racked up nearly $40 billion in iPhone sales last quarter. BLOOMBERG NEWS\nApple Inc.’s whopping fiscal third quarter was overshadowed by the company’s forecast for slowing growth Tuesday, putting a damper on its record results and sending shares south.\nApple reported its strongest June quarter ever on Tuesday, with a near doubling of its profits and a whopping iPhone beat— iPhone revenue surpassed Wall Street’s expectations by a stunning $5 billion. But the celebration came to a crashing halt when Apple Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said in a conference call that the company’s revenue growth would slow in the current quarter due to foreign exchange rates, the semiconductor shortage and tougher comparisons with the previous year.\n“We expect very strong double-digit year-over-year revenue growth during the September quarter,” Maestri said, while continuing to avoid exact revenue guidance due to uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic. “We expect revenue growth to be lower than our June quarter year-over-year growth of 36%.”\nApple’s shares had gained in after-hours trading to that point, but immediately fell back and ultimately ended the extended trading session with a 2% decline.\nBeyond overall revenue, Maestri also warned about one of Apple’s hottest businesses and declined to give any hints about prolonged declines in sales growth.\n“We expect our services growth rate to return to a more typical level,” Maestri said, referring to Apple’s services business, which reached record-high revenue in the quarter by growing 33% to $17.5 billion.\nThat growth rate also benefited from a favorable comparison as certain services were significantly impacted by the very beginning of the COVID-19 lockdowns a year ago, he added.\n“We expect significant growth in services, but not to the level that we’ve seen in June,” he said in response to a question about the company’s guidance.\nWhen asked about the upcoming holiday period, and whether the semiconductor and component shortage would have an impact on what is typically Apple’s biggest quarter, Maestri said he only wanted to talk about one quarter at a time. Some analysts have already been wondering if the second half of this year is going to be as strong as the first half among tech companies, especially the tech giants, and Apple’s June quarter seemed to be reflective of those fears.\nWhile it seems ridiculous to see shares decline after reporting such a mind-blowing quarter — iPhone total revenue alone was nearly $40 billion and Chief Executive Tim Cook said that 5G penetration is still “very very low, and so we feel really good about the future of the iPhone” — concerns that we are at a peak for tech are valid. And as the delta variant continues to create uncertainty about the path of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is even more uncertainty ahead\nAs Cook phrased it Tuesday, “the road to recovery will be a winding one.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800079645,"gmtCreate":1627268476387,"gmtModify":1633766677524,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800079645","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177110949,"gmtCreate":1627185875381,"gmtModify":1633767332601,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177110949","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么?也许比平时多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览:最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益,苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论,这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线,而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是,苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多,目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反,苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”,以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何,但众所周知,它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&Co.分析师Brian写道:“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素,因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好,即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道:“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲,但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战,2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布,但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较,而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益:</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元,高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize(对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测)的数据,平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入:</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元,高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize,平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面,FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元,iPad收入为71.7亿美元,Mac收入为78.6亿美元,服务收入为162.6亿美元,可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动:</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌,尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中,33名给予买入评级,9名给予持有评级,2名给予卖出评级,平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率,仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元,同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动,试图与竞争对手AT&T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示:“整个季度势头强劲,我们安排了促销活动,以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出,升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素,因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现,它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号,消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号,”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观,他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象,例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出,需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题,因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业,该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题,预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元,预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是,考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动,这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎,但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道:“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较,但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到,随着全球经济全面重新开放,企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标,这两款产品都是在春季推出的,并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么?也许比平时多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么?也许比平时多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览:最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益,苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论,这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线,而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是,苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多,目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反,苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”,以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何,但众所周知,它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&Co.分析师Brian写道:“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素,因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好,即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道:“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲,但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战,2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布,但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较,而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益:</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元,高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize(对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测)的数据,平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入:</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元,高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize,平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面,FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元,iPad收入为71.7亿美元,Mac收入为78.6亿美元,服务收入为162.6亿美元,可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动:</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌,尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中,33名给予买入评级,9名给予持有评级,2名给予卖出评级,平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率,仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元,同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动,试图与竞争对手AT&T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示:“整个季度势头强劲,我们安排了促销活动,以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出,升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素,因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现,它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号,消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号,”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观,他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象,例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出,需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题,因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业,该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题,预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元,预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是,考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动,这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎,但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道:“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较,但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到,随着全球经济全面重新开放,企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标,这两款产品都是在春季推出的,并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175143908,"gmtCreate":1627016391204,"gmtModify":1633768734871,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh ya","listText":"Oh ya","text":"Oh ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175143908","repostId":"2153793716","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172380975,"gmtCreate":1626935856697,"gmtModify":1633769573532,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172380975","repostId":"1157055369","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157055369","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626932797,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157055369?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warburg Pincus-Backed AI Drug Firm Insilico Weighs U.S. IPO<blockquote>华平投资支持的人工智能药物公司Insilico考虑在美国IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157055369","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Insilico Medicine, a company that uses artificial intelligence to drive drug discover","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Insilico Medicine, a company that uses artificial intelligence to drive drug discovery, is considering a U.S. initial public offering that could raise about $300 million, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——据知情人士透露,利用人工智能推动药物发现的公司Insilico Medicine正在考虑在美国进行首次公开募股,可能筹集约3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Hong Kong-based firm is in talks with investment banks about a possible first-time share sale as soon as later this year, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,这家总部位于香港的公司正在与投资银行就最早可能在今年晚些时候首次出售股票进行谈判。由于此事属于私人性质,因此要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> No final decisions have been made and details such as size, timing and venue could change, the people said. Insilico could also opt to do another private funding round, they said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,尚未做出最终决定,规模、时间和地点等细节可能会发生变化。他们表示,Insilico还可以选择进行另一轮私人融资。</blockquote></p><p> Insilico founder and Chief Executive Officer Alex Zhavoronkov declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico创始人兼首席执行官Alex Zhavoronkov拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, Insilico works with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies and uses AI to help improve their research and development capabilities, according to its website. The firm’s technology has helped generate drug candidates and complete pre-clinical studies to treat a pulmonary disease. Its partners include U.S. pharma giants Pfizer Inc. and Johnson & Johnson, and Japanese drugmakers Astellas Pharma Inc. and Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings Co.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico成立于2014年,据其网站称,它与制药和生物技术公司合作,并使用人工智能来帮助提高他们的研发能力。该公司的技术帮助产生了候选药物并完成了治疗肺部疾病的临床前研究。其合作伙伴包括美国制药巨头辉瑞公司和强生公司,以及日本制药商安斯泰来制药公司和大正制药控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> The company has also partnered with Syngenta Group, the Swiss seed and fertilizer business owned by China National Chemical Corp., on the discovery of novel molecules for sustainable regenerative farming.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还与中国化工集团公司旗下的瑞士种子和化肥企业先正达集团合作,发现用于可持续再生农业的新分子。</blockquote></p><p> Insilico raised $255 million in June in a series C financing led by private equity firm Warburg Pincus. Existing investors including Qiming Venture Partners and Baidu Ventures, the venture capital arm of Chinese search giant Baidu Inc., also participated in the round. OrbiMed, Mirae Asset Capital and Sequoia Capital China are among the new backers.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico于6月份在私募股权公司Warburg Pincus领投的C轮融资中筹集了2.55亿美元。包括启明创投(Chiming Venture Partners)和百度风投(China Ventures)在内的现有投资者也参与了本轮融资。OrbiMed、Mirae Asset Capital和红杉资本中国是新的支持者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warburg Pincus-Backed AI Drug Firm Insilico Weighs U.S. IPO<blockquote>华平投资支持的人工智能药物公司Insilico考虑在美国IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarburg Pincus-Backed AI Drug Firm Insilico Weighs U.S. IPO<blockquote>华平投资支持的人工智能药物公司Insilico考虑在美国IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Insilico Medicine, a company that uses artificial intelligence to drive drug discovery, is considering a U.S. initial public offering that could raise about $300 million, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——据知情人士透露,利用人工智能推动药物发现的公司Insilico Medicine正在考虑在美国进行首次公开募股,可能筹集约3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Hong Kong-based firm is in talks with investment banks about a possible first-time share sale as soon as later this year, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,这家总部位于香港的公司正在与投资银行就最早可能在今年晚些时候首次出售股票进行谈判。由于此事属于私人性质,因此要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> No final decisions have been made and details such as size, timing and venue could change, the people said. Insilico could also opt to do another private funding round, they said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,尚未做出最终决定,规模、时间和地点等细节可能会发生变化。他们表示,Insilico还可以选择进行另一轮私人融资。</blockquote></p><p> Insilico founder and Chief Executive Officer Alex Zhavoronkov declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico创始人兼首席执行官Alex Zhavoronkov拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, Insilico works with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies and uses AI to help improve their research and development capabilities, according to its website. The firm’s technology has helped generate drug candidates and complete pre-clinical studies to treat a pulmonary disease. Its partners include U.S. pharma giants Pfizer Inc. and Johnson & Johnson, and Japanese drugmakers Astellas Pharma Inc. and Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings Co.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico成立于2014年,据其网站称,它与制药和生物技术公司合作,并使用人工智能来帮助提高他们的研发能力。该公司的技术帮助产生了候选药物并完成了治疗肺部疾病的临床前研究。其合作伙伴包括美国制药巨头辉瑞公司和强生公司,以及日本制药商安斯泰来制药公司和大正制药控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> The company has also partnered with Syngenta Group, the Swiss seed and fertilizer business owned by China National Chemical Corp., on the discovery of novel molecules for sustainable regenerative farming.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还与中国化工集团公司旗下的瑞士种子和化肥企业先正达集团合作,发现用于可持续再生农业的新分子。</blockquote></p><p> Insilico raised $255 million in June in a series C financing led by private equity firm Warburg Pincus. Existing investors including Qiming Venture Partners and Baidu Ventures, the venture capital arm of Chinese search giant Baidu Inc., also participated in the round. OrbiMed, Mirae Asset Capital and Sequoia Capital China are among the new backers.</p><p><blockquote>Insilico于6月份在私募股权公司Warburg Pincus领投的C轮融资中筹集了2.55亿美元。包括启明创投(Chiming Venture Partners)和百度风投(China Ventures)在内的现有投资者也参与了本轮融资。OrbiMed、Mirae Asset Capital和红杉资本中国是新的支持者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warburg-pincus-backed-ai-drug-035541170.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WPCA":"Warburg Pincus Capital I-A Corp"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warburg-pincus-backed-ai-drug-035541170.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157055369","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Insilico Medicine, a company that uses artificial intelligence to drive drug discovery, is considering a U.S. initial public offering that could raise about $300 million, according to people familiar with the matter.\nThe Hong Kong-based firm is in talks with investment banks about a possible first-time share sale as soon as later this year, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private.\nNo final decisions have been made and details such as size, timing and venue could change, the people said. Insilico could also opt to do another private funding round, they said.\nInsilico founder and Chief Executive Officer Alex Zhavoronkov declined to comment.\nFounded in 2014, Insilico works with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies and uses AI to help improve their research and development capabilities, according to its website. The firm’s technology has helped generate drug candidates and complete pre-clinical studies to treat a pulmonary disease. Its partners include U.S. pharma giants Pfizer Inc. and Johnson & Johnson, and Japanese drugmakers Astellas Pharma Inc. and Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings Co.\nThe company has also partnered with Syngenta Group, the Swiss seed and fertilizer business owned by China National Chemical Corp., on the discovery of novel molecules for sustainable regenerative farming.\nInsilico raised $255 million in June in a series C financing led by private equity firm Warburg Pincus. Existing investors including Qiming Venture Partners and Baidu Ventures, the venture capital arm of Chinese search giant Baidu Inc., also participated in the round. OrbiMed, Mirae Asset Capital and Sequoia Capital China are among the new backers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WPCA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176814450,"gmtCreate":1626876002470,"gmtModify":1633770201393,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176814450","repostId":"1161684365","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178806080,"gmtCreate":1626794823340,"gmtModify":1633770942195,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178806080","repostId":"1146716847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178976387,"gmtCreate":1626786087749,"gmtModify":1633771072822,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178976387","repostId":"1107562561","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107562561","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626781673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107562561?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107562561","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns ov","content":"<p>(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>(7月20日)美国。由于担心Covid-19变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折,主要股指周一暴跌,周二股指期货小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&P 500 futures and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 futures also climbed about 0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:46,与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨0.65%,这表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转,周一跌幅超过700点,创10月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数期货也攀升约0.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c7cf976c90c31e5beb9ae8a2d1ee346\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧日益加剧,促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此,三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%,凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示:“当出现像昨天那样的抛售时,肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。”“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势,这仍然表明投资者的默认头寸是做多股票,因为其他选择很少。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Amazon</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> gains 0.6% in premarket trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Watch Live<<</b></a></p><p><blockquote><b>1)亚马逊</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>在杰夫·贝索斯(Elon Musk)与蓝色起源(Blue Origin)机组人员飞往太空之前,盘前交易上涨0.6%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>观看直播<<</b></a></blockquote></p><p> <b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>在该公司云和咨询业务季度强劲增长后,券商提高了该股的目标价,盘前交易中上涨4.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Halliburton</b> - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">Halliburton</a> added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)哈里伯顿</b> - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">哈里伯顿</a>由于原油价格从大流行低点反弹提振了对油田服务的需求,该公司连续第二个季度实现盈利,股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <b>Energy stocks</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.</p><p><blockquote>4) <b>能源股</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">斯伦贝谢</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">菲利普斯66</a>油价在前一交易日下跌7%后小幅走高,涨幅在0.8%至2.7%之间。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> slumps as much as 73% in premarket after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Drug Application for</p><p><blockquote>5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>在FDA发现该公司的产品存在缺陷后,上市前股价暴跌73%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>药品申请</blockquote></p><p> 6) Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.</p><p><blockquote>6)用于控制血清磷的Tenapanor。Piper Sandler将该股评级从买入下调至中性,并将目标价从14美元下调至4美元,并补充说它很难看到Tenapanor的前进道路。</blockquote></p><p> 7) Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in premarket trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">Marathon</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">Digital</a> (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>7)在比特币抛售加速并将代币推低至30,000美元左右后,加密货币敞口股票在盘前交易中下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">马拉松</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">数字的</a>(MARA)下跌2.3%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT)下跌2.4%,Bit Digital(BTBT)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 8) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>8)航空股、邮轮股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c010156919e7a9a142d3f1526e159338\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">9) EV stocks are up in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed864e7f35620844cc2cbbffe42e24b\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>9)电动汽车股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>由于对未来需求的担忧以及欧佩克+达成增加供应的协议,油价在前一交易日暴跌7%左右后企稳。布伦特原油上涨0.7%,至每桶69.11美元。周二晚些时候到期的美国8月原油合约上涨0.9%,至每桶66.64美元。现货黄金在触及1,815美元/盎司后,在亚洲小幅上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-前一交易日触及一周低点1,794.06美元。基本金属涨跌互现,LME铅、LME铜跑赢大盘;锌跌幅高达0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> In a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.</p><p><blockquote>在另一项衡量投资者风险偏好的指标中,比特币自6月22日以来首次跌破3万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a> later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>同时,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>报告季正在进行中,标普500已有41家公司提交了报告。根据Refinitiv的数据,其中90%超出了普遍预期。现在的焦点是公司的收益报告,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a>今天晚些时候。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, Chipotle, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines and Halliburton.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天,数据亮点包括美国6月份新屋开工和建筑许可。在央行方面,我们将听取欧洲央行Villeroy的发言,而财报发布包括Netflix、菲利普莫里斯、HCA<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>,墨西哥卷饼,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司和哈里伯顿公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>(7月20日)美国。由于担心Covid-19变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折,主要股指周一暴跌,周二股指期货小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&P 500 futures and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 futures also climbed about 0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:46,与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨0.65%,这表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转,周一跌幅超过700点,创10月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数期货也攀升约0.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c7cf976c90c31e5beb9ae8a2d1ee346\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧日益加剧,促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此,三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%,凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示:“当出现像昨天那样的抛售时,肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。”“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势,这仍然表明投资者的默认头寸是做多股票,因为其他选择很少。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Amazon</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> gains 0.6% in premarket trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Watch Live<<</b></a></p><p><blockquote><b>1)亚马逊</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>在杰夫·贝索斯(Elon Musk)与蓝色起源(Blue Origin)机组人员飞往太空之前,盘前交易上涨0.6%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>观看直播<<</b></a></blockquote></p><p> <b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>在该公司云和咨询业务季度强劲增长后,券商提高了该股的目标价,盘前交易中上涨4.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Halliburton</b> - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">Halliburton</a> added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.</p><p><blockquote><b>3)哈里伯顿</b> - <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">哈里伯顿</a>由于原油价格从大流行低点反弹提振了对油田服务的需求,该公司连续第二个季度实现盈利,股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <b>Energy stocks</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.</p><p><blockquote>4) <b>能源股</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">斯伦贝谢</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">菲利普斯66</a>油价在前一交易日下跌7%后小幅走高,涨幅在0.8%至2.7%之间。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> slumps as much as 73% in premarket after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Drug Application for</p><p><blockquote>5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>在FDA发现该公司的产品存在缺陷后,上市前股价暴跌73%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>药品申请</blockquote></p><p> 6) Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.</p><p><blockquote>6)用于控制血清磷的Tenapanor。Piper Sandler将该股评级从买入下调至中性,并将目标价从14美元下调至4美元,并补充说它很难看到Tenapanor的前进道路。</blockquote></p><p> 7) Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in premarket trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">Marathon</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">Digital</a> (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>7)在比特币抛售加速并将代币推低至30,000美元左右后,加密货币敞口股票在盘前交易中下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">马拉松</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">数字的</a>(MARA)下跌2.3%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT)下跌2.4%,Bit Digital(BTBT)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 8) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>8)航空股、邮轮股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c010156919e7a9a142d3f1526e159338\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">9) EV stocks are up in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed864e7f35620844cc2cbbffe42e24b\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>9)电动汽车股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>由于对未来需求的担忧以及欧佩克+达成增加供应的协议,油价在前一交易日暴跌7%左右后企稳。布伦特原油上涨0.7%,至每桶69.11美元。周二晚些时候到期的美国8月原油合约上涨0.9%,至每桶66.64美元。现货黄金在触及1,815美元/盎司后,在亚洲小幅上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-前一交易日触及一周低点1,794.06美元。基本金属涨跌互现,LME铅、LME铜跑赢大盘;锌跌幅高达0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> In a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.</p><p><blockquote>在另一项衡量投资者风险偏好的指标中,比特币自6月22日以来首次跌破3万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a> later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>同时,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>报告季正在进行中,标普500已有41家公司提交了报告。根据Refinitiv的数据,其中90%超出了普遍预期。现在的焦点是公司的收益报告,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a>今天晚些时候。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, Chipotle, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines and Halliburton.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天,数据亮点包括美国6月份新屋开工和建筑许可。在央行方面,我们将听取欧洲央行Villeroy的发言,而财报发布包括Netflix、菲利普莫里斯、HCA<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>,墨西哥卷饼,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司和哈里伯顿公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107562561","content_text":"(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.\nAt 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also climbed about 0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.\n\nInvestors have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.\n“When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) Amazon - Amazon.com gains 0.6% in premarket trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew. Watch Live<<\n2) IBM gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.\n3) Halliburton - Halliburton added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.\n4) Energy stocks Chevron, Schlumberger, Occidental and Phillips 66 rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.\n5) Ardelyx - Ardelyx slumps as much as 73% in premarket after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s New Drug Application for\n6) Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.\n7) Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in premarket trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. Marathon Digital (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.\n8) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in premarket trading.\n9) EV stocks are up in premarket trading.\nIn commodities, oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a one-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.\nIn a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.\nMeanwhile, Q2 reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including Netflix Inc, Philip Morris and Chipotle Mexican Grill later in the day.\nLooking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA Healthcare, Chipotle, United Airlines and Halliburton.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179635401,"gmtCreate":1626515103403,"gmtModify":1633926100258,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woww","listText":"Woww","text":"Woww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179635401","repostId":"2152168594","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145732456,"gmtCreate":1626244555875,"gmtModify":1633928675942,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As expected ","listText":"As expected ","text":"As expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145732456","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145119464,"gmtCreate":1626195851658,"gmtModify":1633929142686,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145119464","repostId":"1120348548","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142080105,"gmtCreate":1626103807207,"gmtModify":1633930065084,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142080105","repostId":"2150531471","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146864381,"gmtCreate":1626067580043,"gmtModify":1633930450732,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146864381","repostId":"1105201166","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148563932,"gmtCreate":1625989477626,"gmtModify":1633931048877,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great 👍 ","listText":"Great 👍 ","text":"Great 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148563932","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达(Blockbuster)的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了,核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降,但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元,超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包;交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱,”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,今年不到一半,经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车,也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade(现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有)交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示,多年来,“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好,因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏,并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说,这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌,华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:“就像蝉一样,模因交易者在看似地下几个月后,又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道:“我认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后,模因股票重新焕发生机,这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年,零售活动占股本的24%,高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨(Joshua Mits)说,“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs,26岁,每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活,并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯(Matt Kohrs)为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作,搬到了费城,并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝,正在支付账单。科尔斯表示,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年,AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示,他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是,许多不是”的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在“阿尔法”,但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然,并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨,而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下,零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单,以限制他们的下行风险,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的,也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望,就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场,有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪,没有人因此惹上麻烦,”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以,我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者,她在从朋友那里听说此事后,于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气,”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,直到你成为合伙人后,你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你永远不会离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权,从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上,成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人,推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬,AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%,低于1月份的28%,但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨,空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示,他们开始“流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”,多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义,即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头不断回来,”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们,而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit人群需要团结一致,但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快,以至于失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板,如r/superstonk,希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在,他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的议论,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑,”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵,Rehl表示,他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示:“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%,那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则,意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵,这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为,这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校;父母可以再次自由地去工作,”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,这几乎肯定是一件好事,只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式,这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之,挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加,以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法,”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达(Blockbuster)的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了,核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降,但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元,超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包;交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱,”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,今年不到一半,经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车,也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade(现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有)交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示,多年来,“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好,因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏,并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说,这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌,华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:“就像蝉一样,模因交易者在看似地下几个月后,又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道:“我认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后,模因股票重新焕发生机,这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年,零售活动占股本的24%,高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨(Joshua Mits)说,“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs,26岁,每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活,并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯(Matt Kohrs)为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作,搬到了费城,并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝,正在支付账单。科尔斯表示,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年,AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示,他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是,许多不是”的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在“阿尔法”,但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然,并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨,而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下,零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单,以限制他们的下行风险,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的,也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望,就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场,有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪,没有人因此惹上麻烦,”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以,我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者,她在从朋友那里听说此事后,于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气,”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,直到你成为合伙人后,你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你永远不会离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权,从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上,成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人,推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬,AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%,低于1月份的28%,但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨,空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示,他们开始“流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”,多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义,即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头不断回来,”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们,而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit人群需要团结一致,但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快,以至于失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板,如r/superstonk,希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在,他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的议论,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑,”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵,Rehl表示,他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示:“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%,那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则,意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵,这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为,这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校;父母可以再次自由地去工作,”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,这几乎肯定是一件好事,只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式,这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之,挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加,以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法,”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","SCHW":"嘉信理财","AMC":"AMC院线","BB":"黑莓","GME":"游戏驿站","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","CARV":"卡弗储蓄"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BB":0.9,"BBBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148569561,"gmtCreate":1625989461853,"gmtModify":1633931049347,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great 👍 ","listText":"Great 👍 ","text":"Great 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148569561","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达(Blockbuster)的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了,核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降,但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元,超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包;交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱,”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,今年不到一半,经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车,也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade(现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有)交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示,多年来,“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好,因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏,并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说,这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌,华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:“就像蝉一样,模因交易者在看似地下几个月后,又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道:“我认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后,模因股票重新焕发生机,这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年,零售活动占股本的24%,高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨(Joshua Mits)说,“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs,26岁,每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活,并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯(Matt Kohrs)为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作,搬到了费城,并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝,正在支付账单。科尔斯表示,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年,AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示,他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是,许多不是”的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在“阿尔法”,但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然,并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨,而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下,零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单,以限制他们的下行风险,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的,也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望,就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场,有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪,没有人因此惹上麻烦,”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以,我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者,她在从朋友那里听说此事后,于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气,”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,直到你成为合伙人后,你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你永远不会离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权,从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上,成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人,推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬,AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%,低于1月份的28%,但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨,空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示,他们开始“流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”,多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义,即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头不断回来,”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们,而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit人群需要团结一致,但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快,以至于失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板,如r/superstonk,希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在,他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的议论,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑,”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵,Rehl表示,他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示:“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%,那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则,意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵,这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为,这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校;父母可以再次自由地去工作,”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,这几乎肯定是一件好事,只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式,这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之,挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加,以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法,”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站(股票代码:GME)、黑莓(BB),甚至百视达(Blockbuster)的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时,他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周?</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了,核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上,它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位,并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象,但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱,并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端;消息传出后,该股下跌,但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降,但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如,AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元,超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退,大多数新交易者表示,他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中,58%的日内交易者表示,他们计划在未来进行更多交易,只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包;交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口,就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言,下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱,”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年,在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户,新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露,今年不到一半,经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车,也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的,然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序,只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现,15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood,该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如,富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户,比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下,所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易,但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们,允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股,分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade(现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有)交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示,多年来,“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好,因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏,并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说,这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌,华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道:“就像蝉一样,模因交易者在看似地下几个月后,又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为,模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反,因为随着势头的变化,它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道:“我认为,在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后,模因股票重新焕发生机,这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”,他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票,分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走,也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年,零售活动占股本的24%,高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨(Joshua Mits)说,“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离,而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs,26岁,每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活,并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯(Matt Kohrs)为例,他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月,他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作,搬到了费城,并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝,正在支付账单。科尔斯表示,凭借广告和股票的收入,他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道,像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人,要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言,这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资,因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年,AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示,他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是,许多不是”的反应,因此该提议将被取消,而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现,大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪,但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里,美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告,得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说,信号中可能存在“阿尔法”,但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然,并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨,而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下,零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者,摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票,做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示,目前,许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险,而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单,以限制他们的下行风险,”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说,这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的,也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示,他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望,就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场,有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪,没有人因此惹上麻烦,”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以,我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱,还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者,她在从朋友那里听说此事后,于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法,但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应,他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气,”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样,新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道,直到你成为合伙人后,你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前,你永远不会离开办公室,你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦,而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为,是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事,也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃,即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权,从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上,成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人,推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示,他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然,其他人并没有采纳这一建议,而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬,AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%,低于1月份的28%,但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨,空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示,他们开始“流口水,耳朵里冒出火焰”,多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义,即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情,每次都希望有不同的结果,而空头不断回来,”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们,而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者,Reddit人群需要团结一致,但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军,他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升,但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延,一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快,以至于失去了最初的精神,并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板,如r/superstonk,希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示,他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说,炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在,他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上,收到积极的议论,然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑,”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵,Rehl表示,他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示:“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应,让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%,那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则,意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵,这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为,这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校;父母可以再次自由地去工作,”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍,这几乎肯定是一件好事,只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示,他们正在自学如何交易,并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式,这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究,发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之,挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此,他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加,以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法,”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","SCHW":"嘉信理财","AMC":"AMC院线","BB":"黑莓","GME":"游戏驿站","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","CARV":"卡弗储蓄"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BB":0.9,"BBBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":180960378,"gmtCreate":1623169360594,"gmtModify":1634036175823,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowwww","listText":"Wowwww","text":"Wowwww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180960378","repostId":"1109039533","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119308883,"gmtCreate":1622516756842,"gmtModify":1634100893467,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119308883","repostId":"1105273964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105273964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622511256,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105273964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 09:34","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105273964","media":"Barron's","summary":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac, which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its ","content":"<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这些类型的机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦周刊</i>研究了过去12个月内上市的企业,发现了一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司:这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并的企业。然后,我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为10亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>我们只剩下11个名字了。首先是CureVac(股票代码:CVAC),这是银幕上表现最好的IPO,总回报率为596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术,该技术是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司于8月份以每股16美元的价格上市,首日飙升249%,收于55.90美元。一月份,CureVac与Bayerto达成协议,加速其Covid-19候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于mRNA的新冠疫苗目前正在进行临床试验,预计今年夏天将获得2b/3期数据。自首次公开募股以来,该股几乎翻了一番,周五收于111.48美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。上榜的公司中有四家交易失败,这意味着它们的股价在交易首日就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型的例子:以星综合航运(ZIM)。这家轻资产航运公司于1月份上市,发行价为15美元,但当天收盘价为11.50美元。然而,到5月19日,以星公布第一季度盈利5.896亿美元(即每股5.35美元)后,其股价已上涨295%。该公司还宣布派发每股2美元的特别现金股息。FactSet的数据显示,以星是过去12个月中表现第二好的IPO,总回报率为209.33%。周五收于46.40美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是Academy Sports&Outdoors(ASO):该公司于10月份上市,发行价为13美元,公开交易首日收盘价为12.99美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时实现盈利,这在IPO市场上是罕见的。今年3月,该公司报告称,截至1月30日的第四财季净利润飙升416%,达到9150万美元,即每股97美分。自IPO以来,其股价已上涨近两倍,周五交易价格为36.53美元。FactSet表示,Academy Sports排名第三,发行价总回报率为181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲上涨者这些公司均于去年上市,与IPO价格相比,总回报率较高。这一类别的还有Corsair Gaming(CRSR),一家为游戏玩家生产高性能装备的加州公司,以及总部位于迪拜的Yalla Group(YALA),该公司生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为Yalla的语音聊天应用程序。在9月份IPO表现不佳后,这两只股票均强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜公司在首次亮相时股价飙升,但此后股价出现回落。尽管如此,这些公司仍在产生收益。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下BigCommerce(BIGC),它提供了一个云电子商务平台,被SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co和Cleveland Cavaliers等客户使用。BigCommerce于8月上市,发行价为24美元,当天股价飙升201%,收于72.27美元。自IPO以来,由于更广泛的科技股抛售,该股股价已下跌近25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而,该公司报告了一些积极的进展,例如2月份的一项交易,该交易将使BigCommerce客户能够直接在沃尔玛市场上销售。它还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据FactSet的数据,BigCommerce的总回报率接近127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司的股价自上市以来也出现了上涨。Dream Finders Homes(DFH)在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋,在1月份以每股13美元的价格首次上市时已经实现盈利。首日股价飙升61%,至20.95美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长,这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders股价自IPO以来已上涨近52%,周五交易价格为31.77美元。Dream Finders的总发行价回报率为144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 09:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这些类型的机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦周刊</i>研究了过去12个月内上市的企业,发现了一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司:这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并的企业。然后,我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为10亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>我们只剩下11个名字了。首先是CureVac(股票代码:CVAC),这是银幕上表现最好的IPO,总回报率为596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术,该技术是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司于8月份以每股16美元的价格上市,首日飙升249%,收于55.90美元。一月份,CureVac与Bayerto达成协议,加速其Covid-19候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于mRNA的新冠疫苗目前正在进行临床试验,预计今年夏天将获得2b/3期数据。自首次公开募股以来,该股几乎翻了一番,周五收于111.48美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。上榜的公司中有四家交易失败,这意味着它们的股价在交易首日就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型的例子:以星综合航运(ZIM)。这家轻资产航运公司于1月份上市,发行价为15美元,但当天收盘价为11.50美元。然而,到5月19日,以星公布第一季度盈利5.896亿美元(即每股5.35美元)后,其股价已上涨295%。该公司还宣布派发每股2美元的特别现金股息。FactSet的数据显示,以星是过去12个月中表现第二好的IPO,总回报率为209.33%。周五收于46.40美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是Academy Sports&Outdoors(ASO):该公司于10月份上市,发行价为13美元,公开交易首日收盘价为12.99美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时实现盈利,这在IPO市场上是罕见的。今年3月,该公司报告称,截至1月30日的第四财季净利润飙升416%,达到9150万美元,即每股97美分。自IPO以来,其股价已上涨近两倍,周五交易价格为36.53美元。FactSet表示,Academy Sports排名第三,发行价总回报率为181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲上涨者这些公司均于去年上市,与IPO价格相比,总回报率较高。这一类别的还有Corsair Gaming(CRSR),一家为游戏玩家生产高性能装备的加州公司,以及总部位于迪拜的Yalla Group(YALA),该公司生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为Yalla的语音聊天应用程序。在9月份IPO表现不佳后,这两只股票均强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜公司在首次亮相时股价飙升,但此后股价出现回落。尽管如此,这些公司仍在产生收益。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下BigCommerce(BIGC),它提供了一个云电子商务平台,被SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co和Cleveland Cavaliers等客户使用。BigCommerce于8月上市,发行价为24美元,当天股价飙升201%,收于72.27美元。自IPO以来,由于更广泛的科技股抛售,该股股价已下跌近25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而,该公司报告了一些积极的进展,例如2月份的一项交易,该交易将使BigCommerce客户能够直接在沃尔玛市场上销售。它还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据FactSet的数据,BigCommerce的总回报率接近127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司的股价自上市以来也出现了上涨。Dream Finders Homes(DFH)在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋,在1月份以每股13美元的价格首次上市时已经实现盈利。首日股价飙升61%,至20.95美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长,这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders股价自IPO以来已上涨近52%,周五交易价格为31.77美元。Dream Finders的总发行价回报率为144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105273964","content_text":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.Barron’slooked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading.Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BOTB.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152824989,"gmtCreate":1625282309741,"gmtModify":1633941771818,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted ","listText":"Noted ","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152824989","repostId":"1114445293","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114445293","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625277820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114445293?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Robinhood’s IPO Could Be a Sign the Stock Market Has Peaked<blockquote>Robinhood的IPO可能是股市已见顶的迹象</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114445293","media":"Barron's","summary":"Nothing succeeds like excess, as the old quip goes. Until it doesn’t, which has been the distinguish","content":"<p>Nothing succeeds like excess, as the old quip goes. Until it doesn’t, which has been the distinguishing aspect of market cycles forever and, most dramatically, in this century. Unlike last year’s pandemic-induced paroxysm, the 2000 bursting of the dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis were marked by initial public offerings by companies eager to seize the moment—and investors’ money.</p><p><blockquote>正如一句老话所说,没有什么比过度更成功的了。直到它没有,这一直是市场周期的显著特征,最引人注目的是在本世纪。与去年大流行引发的爆发不同,2000年互联网泡沫破裂和2008年金融危机的标志是渴望抓住时机和投资者资金的公司进行首次公开募股。</blockquote></p><p> All of which is prologue to what could shape up as this cycle’s bell-ringing event, theinitial public offering of Robinhood, the online broker that pioneered zero commissions and hooked a new generation on investing and trading. Thepaperwork was filedwith the SEC this past week. Financial details about the upstart that purports to democratize investing (and, in the process, was hit with a record$70 million fine by Finra, the brokerage business’s self-regulatory body) are discussedhere, but a few salient points are buried deep in the S-1 filing.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都是可能成为本周期敲响钟声的事件的序幕,即Robinhood的首次公开募股,这家在线经纪商开创了零佣金的先河,吸引了新一代人进行投资和交易。该文件已于上周提交给SEC。这里讨论了这家声称投资民主化的新贵的财务细节(并在此过程中被经纪业务自律机构Finra处以创纪录的7000万美元罚款),但有几个要点深深地埋藏在S-1文件中。</blockquote></p><p> Customer assets more than quadrupled, to $80.9 billion, on March 31 from the total a year earlier, with the lion’s share—some $65.1 billion—accounted for by equities. Options comprised a relatively small $2 billion in assets, but generated nearly half ($197.9 million) of the March quarter’s $420.4 million in transactions revenue. Stocks produced $133.3 million in revenue, even though assets in equities were 40 times as large as those in options. Revenue from cryptocurrencies totaled $87.6 million, with customers’ crypto assets totaling $11.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日,客户资产总额比去年同期增加了四倍多,达到809亿美元,其中股票占了最大份额(约651亿美元)。期权资产规模相对较小,为20亿美元,但占3月份季度4.204亿美元交易收入的近一半(1.979亿美元)。尽管股票资产是期权资产的40倍,但股票产生了1.333亿美元的收入。来自加密货币的收入总计8760万美元,客户的加密资产总计116亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While Robinhood makes much of opening the market to neophyte investors with limited means by letting them buy fractional shares of their favorite stocks, that’s not its biggest business. Instead, it’s speculative options trading, which exploded early this year especially among the YOLO (You Only Live Once) crowd willing to stake a few bucks on cheap, about-to-expire calls of stocks talked up on Reddit.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Robinhood非常重视向手段有限的新手投资者开放市场,让他们购买自己喜欢的股票的部分股票,但这并不是其最大的业务。相反,投机性期权交易在今年早些时候爆发,尤其是在YOLO(你只能活一次)人群中,他们愿意在Reddit上谈论的廉价、即将到期的评级股票上押上几美元。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs that the frenzied trading, which peaked during the winter, has eased with the reopening of the economy and the return to the prepandemic normal (and with it an uptick in Covid cases after a steady decline). Trading crypto might be simpler on a brokerage platform like Robinhood, but wasn’t the advantage of DeFi (decentralized finance) supposed to be that intermediaries wouldn’t be needed at all?</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明,随着经济重新开放和恢复到大流行前的正常状态(新冠病例在稳步下降后也随之上升),在冬季达到顶峰的疯狂交易已经有所缓解。在Robinhood这样的经纪平台上交易加密货币可能更简单,但DeFi(去中心化金融)的优势不应该是根本不需要中介吗?</blockquote></p><p> Bulls on Robinhood would be betting on continued growth of its independent trading model, rather than investors using passive funds through advisors, which the filing derides. The broker pledged to reserve up to 35% of its IPO for its customers, who are apt to be enthusiastic buyers and, more importantly, hold onto them with “diamond hands” through volatile times.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood的多头将押注于其独立交易模式的持续增长,而不是投资者通过顾问使用被动基金,文件对此进行了嘲笑。该经纪商承诺为其客户保留高达35%的IPO资金,这些客户往往是热情的买家,更重要的是,在动荡时期用“钻石手”抓住他们。</blockquote></p><p> And, indeed, turbulence, or worse, could lie ahead,Michael Burry told our colleague Connor Smith. Burry, a key player in both the book and film versions of<i>The Big Short</i>, won a fortune by betting against the housing market before the subprime mortgage collapse. More recently, he was an early bull onGamestop(ticker: GME), but took his profits in 2020’s fourth quarter before the frenzy around the original meme stock took off. Now he’s warning that the craze will end in tears.</p><p><blockquote>迈克尔·伯里告诉我们的同事康纳·史密斯,事实上,未来可能会出现动荡,甚至更糟。伯里,书和电影版本中的关键人物<i>大空头</i>,在次贷崩溃之前,通过做空房地产市场而赚了一大笔钱。最近,他是GameStop(股票代码:GME)的早期看涨者,但在围绕原始meme股票的狂热开始之前,他在2020年第四季度获利了结。现在他警告说,这种狂热将以眼泪告终。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” he told Connor in an email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道像这样的模因股票什么时候会崩溃,但我们可能不必等太久,因为我相信散户人群已经完全投资于这个主题,而华尔街也抓住了这一机会,”他在一封电子邮件中告诉康纳。“我们已经没有新的资金来跟上潮流了。”</blockquote></p><p> The Robinhood offering wouldn’t be the first stock sale that could be a top-of-the-market event. Back in mid-2007,<i>Barron’s</i>Andrew Bary calledthe IPO ofBlackstone Group(BX) precisely that, just weeks before concerns about excesses of subprime lending rumbled through the global money markets and months before theDow Jones Industrial Averagepeaked the following October.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood的发行并不是第一次可能成为市场顶级事件的股票销售。早在2007年中期,<i>巴伦周刊</i>安德鲁·巴里(Andrew Bary)正是这样称呼黑石集团(BX)的IPO,就在对过度次级贷款的担忧席卷全球货币市场的几周前,以及道琼斯工业平均指数在次年10月见顶的几个月前。</blockquote></p><p> And who could forget the parade of wacky IPOs in the late 1990s that presaged the potential of the internet, but lacked earnings or revenue or even a viable business plan? By March 2000,<i>Barron’s</i>published itsseminal cover storyrevealing that these dot-com darlings were rapidly burning cash. That very month marked theNasdaq Composite’speak; the index would fall nearly 80% by October 2002.</p><p><blockquote>谁能忘记20世纪90年代末一系列古怪的IPO,这些IPO预示着互联网的潜力,但缺乏盈利或收入,甚至缺乏可行的商业计划?到2000年3月,<i>巴伦周刊</i>发表了开创性的封面故事,揭示了这些互联网宠儿正在迅速烧钱。就在那个月,纳斯达克综合指数发表了讲话;到2002年10月,该指数将下跌近80%。</blockquote></p><p> While Burry warns of a crash in meme stocks from their vastly elevated levels, which some of the companies have exploited by issuing richly valued shares, the overall market—now trading at about 21.5 times estimated earnings for the next 12 months—hasn’t approached the bubble levels of past cycles. But surveys of market strategists and institutional investors see little upside, with year-end targets averaging around 4200 on theS&P 500—shy of Thursday’s close of 4319.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Burry警告称,模因股票将从大幅上涨的水平暴跌(一些公司通过发行估值丰厚的股票来利用这一点),但整体市场——目前的交易价格约为未来12个月预期市盈率的21.5倍——尚未接近过去周期的泡沫水平。但对市场策略师和机构投资者的调查认为上涨空间不大,标准普尔500指数的年终目标平均约为4200点,低于周四收盘价4319点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And while it’s always dangerous to say this, it<i>is</i>different this time around from 2000 and 2008. Ahead of crashes in those years, the Federal Reserve had been tightening policy for some time, resulting in a flat-to-negatively sloped yield curve. Shorter-term Treasury yields were pushed above longer-term ones, leading the bond market to predict that the economy was headed for the rocks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这么说总是很危险,但<i>是</i>这一次与2000年和2008年不同。在那些年的崩盘之前,美联储已经收紧政策一段时间了,导致收益率曲线持平至负斜率。短期国债收益率被推高至长期国债收益率之上,导致债券市场预测经济将走向悬崖。</blockquote></p><p> Now, in contrast, the Fed has only begun talking about talking about reducing its massive purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities. That would be preparation for the initial liftoff of the Fed’s key federal-funds target rate, currently in a rock-bottom 0% to 0.25% range, in 2022 at the earliest and maybe not until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>现在,相比之下,美联储才刚刚开始谈论减少对美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券的大量购买。这将为美联储关键联邦基金目标利率的初步上调做准备,目前该利率处于0%至0.25%的最低范围,最早将于2022年,也可能要到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> The yield curve has flattened a bit in the past three months, with thespread between the two- and 10-year notenarrowing to 1.23 percentage points (still a sign of an accommodative policy), from 1.59 points on March 29, according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>根据圣路易斯的数据,过去三个月收益率曲线略有平坦,2年期和10年期国债之间的利差从3月29日的1.59个百分点收窄至1.23个百分点(仍然是宽松政策的迹象)美联储。</blockquote></p><p> But there is also a psychological element at play in any market frenzy. “Most investors also seem to view the stock market as a force of nature itself. They do not fully realize that they themselves, as a group, determine the level of the market,” Nobel laureate Robert Shiller wrote in his now-classic book<i>Irrational Exuberance</i>.</p><p><blockquote>但任何市场狂热也有心理因素在起作用。诺贝尔奖得主罗伯特·席勒在他的经典著作中写道:“大多数投资者似乎也将股市本身视为一种自然力量。他们没有充分意识到,作为一个群体,他们自己决定了市场的水平。”<i>非理性繁荣</i>.</blockquote></p><p> “In short, the price level is driven to a certain extent by a self-fulfilling prophecy, based on similar hunches held by a vast cross-section of large and small investors and reinforced by news media that are often content to ratify this investor-induced conventional wisdom.”</p><p><blockquote>“简而言之,价格水平在一定程度上是由自我实现的预言驱动的,该预言基于广大大小投资者持有的类似预感,并得到新闻媒体的强化,这些媒体往往满足于认可这种投资者诱导的传统智慧。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers can weigh the relevance of the point about traders’ hunches to the Robinhood IPO. As for the latter statement regarding the media, we demur; contrary opinion rather than conventional wisdom has been<i>Barron’s</i>credo in the century since its founding.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以权衡交易者的预感与Robinhood IPO的相关性。至于后一种关于媒体的说法,我们表示反对;相反的意见而不是传统的智慧<i>巴伦周刊</i>自成立以来的一个世纪里的信条。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Robinhood’s IPO Could Be a Sign the Stock Market Has Peaked<blockquote>Robinhood的IPO可能是股市已见顶的迹象</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRobinhood’s IPO Could Be a Sign the Stock Market Has Peaked<blockquote>Robinhood的IPO可能是股市已见顶的迹象</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 10:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nothing succeeds like excess, as the old quip goes. Until it doesn’t, which has been the distinguishing aspect of market cycles forever and, most dramatically, in this century. Unlike last year’s pandemic-induced paroxysm, the 2000 bursting of the dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis were marked by initial public offerings by companies eager to seize the moment—and investors’ money.</p><p><blockquote>正如一句老话所说,没有什么比过度更成功的了。直到它没有,这一直是市场周期的显著特征,最引人注目的是在本世纪。与去年大流行引发的爆发不同,2000年互联网泡沫破裂和2008年金融危机的标志是渴望抓住时机和投资者资金的公司进行首次公开募股。</blockquote></p><p> All of which is prologue to what could shape up as this cycle’s bell-ringing event, theinitial public offering of Robinhood, the online broker that pioneered zero commissions and hooked a new generation on investing and trading. Thepaperwork was filedwith the SEC this past week. Financial details about the upstart that purports to democratize investing (and, in the process, was hit with a record$70 million fine by Finra, the brokerage business’s self-regulatory body) are discussedhere, but a few salient points are buried deep in the S-1 filing.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都是可能成为本周期敲响钟声的事件的序幕,即Robinhood的首次公开募股,这家在线经纪商开创了零佣金的先河,吸引了新一代人进行投资和交易。该文件已于上周提交给SEC。这里讨论了这家声称投资民主化的新贵的财务细节(并在此过程中被经纪业务自律机构Finra处以创纪录的7000万美元罚款),但有几个要点深深地埋藏在S-1文件中。</blockquote></p><p> Customer assets more than quadrupled, to $80.9 billion, on March 31 from the total a year earlier, with the lion’s share—some $65.1 billion—accounted for by equities. Options comprised a relatively small $2 billion in assets, but generated nearly half ($197.9 million) of the March quarter’s $420.4 million in transactions revenue. Stocks produced $133.3 million in revenue, even though assets in equities were 40 times as large as those in options. Revenue from cryptocurrencies totaled $87.6 million, with customers’ crypto assets totaling $11.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日,客户资产总额比去年同期增加了四倍多,达到809亿美元,其中股票占了最大份额(约651亿美元)。期权资产规模相对较小,为20亿美元,但占3月份季度4.204亿美元交易收入的近一半(1.979亿美元)。尽管股票资产是期权资产的40倍,但股票产生了1.333亿美元的收入。来自加密货币的收入总计8760万美元,客户的加密资产总计116亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> While Robinhood makes much of opening the market to neophyte investors with limited means by letting them buy fractional shares of their favorite stocks, that’s not its biggest business. Instead, it’s speculative options trading, which exploded early this year especially among the YOLO (You Only Live Once) crowd willing to stake a few bucks on cheap, about-to-expire calls of stocks talked up on Reddit.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Robinhood非常重视向手段有限的新手投资者开放市场,让他们购买自己喜欢的股票的部分股票,但这并不是其最大的业务。相反,投机性期权交易在今年早些时候爆发,尤其是在YOLO(你只能活一次)人群中,他们愿意在Reddit上谈论的廉价、即将到期的评级股票上押上几美元。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs that the frenzied trading, which peaked during the winter, has eased with the reopening of the economy and the return to the prepandemic normal (and with it an uptick in Covid cases after a steady decline). Trading crypto might be simpler on a brokerage platform like Robinhood, but wasn’t the advantage of DeFi (decentralized finance) supposed to be that intermediaries wouldn’t be needed at all?</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明,随着经济重新开放和恢复到大流行前的正常状态(新冠病例在稳步下降后也随之上升),在冬季达到顶峰的疯狂交易已经有所缓解。在Robinhood这样的经纪平台上交易加密货币可能更简单,但DeFi(去中心化金融)的优势不应该是根本不需要中介吗?</blockquote></p><p> Bulls on Robinhood would be betting on continued growth of its independent trading model, rather than investors using passive funds through advisors, which the filing derides. The broker pledged to reserve up to 35% of its IPO for its customers, who are apt to be enthusiastic buyers and, more importantly, hold onto them with “diamond hands” through volatile times.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood的多头将押注于其独立交易模式的持续增长,而不是投资者通过顾问使用被动基金,文件对此进行了嘲笑。该经纪商承诺为其客户保留高达35%的IPO资金,这些客户往往是热情的买家,更重要的是,在动荡时期用“钻石手”抓住他们。</blockquote></p><p> And, indeed, turbulence, or worse, could lie ahead,Michael Burry told our colleague Connor Smith. Burry, a key player in both the book and film versions of<i>The Big Short</i>, won a fortune by betting against the housing market before the subprime mortgage collapse. More recently, he was an early bull onGamestop(ticker: GME), but took his profits in 2020’s fourth quarter before the frenzy around the original meme stock took off. Now he’s warning that the craze will end in tears.</p><p><blockquote>迈克尔·伯里告诉我们的同事康纳·史密斯,事实上,未来可能会出现动荡,甚至更糟。伯里,书和电影版本中的关键人物<i>大空头</i>,在次贷崩溃之前,通过做空房地产市场而赚了一大笔钱。最近,他是GameStop(股票代码:GME)的早期看涨者,但在围绕原始meme股票的狂热开始之前,他在2020年第四季度获利了结。现在他警告说,这种狂热将以眼泪告终。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” he told Connor in an email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不知道像这样的模因股票什么时候会崩溃,但我们可能不必等太久,因为我相信散户人群已经完全投资于这个主题,而华尔街也抓住了这一机会,”他在一封电子邮件中告诉康纳。“我们已经没有新的资金来跟上潮流了。”</blockquote></p><p> The Robinhood offering wouldn’t be the first stock sale that could be a top-of-the-market event. Back in mid-2007,<i>Barron’s</i>Andrew Bary calledthe IPO ofBlackstone Group(BX) precisely that, just weeks before concerns about excesses of subprime lending rumbled through the global money markets and months before theDow Jones Industrial Averagepeaked the following October.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood的发行并不是第一次可能成为市场顶级事件的股票销售。早在2007年中期,<i>巴伦周刊</i>安德鲁·巴里(Andrew Bary)正是这样称呼黑石集团(BX)的IPO,就在对过度次级贷款的担忧席卷全球货币市场的几周前,以及道琼斯工业平均指数在次年10月见顶的几个月前。</blockquote></p><p> And who could forget the parade of wacky IPOs in the late 1990s that presaged the potential of the internet, but lacked earnings or revenue or even a viable business plan? By March 2000,<i>Barron’s</i>published itsseminal cover storyrevealing that these dot-com darlings were rapidly burning cash. That very month marked theNasdaq Composite’speak; the index would fall nearly 80% by October 2002.</p><p><blockquote>谁能忘记20世纪90年代末一系列古怪的IPO,这些IPO预示着互联网的潜力,但缺乏盈利或收入,甚至缺乏可行的商业计划?到2000年3月,<i>巴伦周刊</i>发表了开创性的封面故事,揭示了这些互联网宠儿正在迅速烧钱。就在那个月,纳斯达克综合指数发表了讲话;到2002年10月,该指数将下跌近80%。</blockquote></p><p> While Burry warns of a crash in meme stocks from their vastly elevated levels, which some of the companies have exploited by issuing richly valued shares, the overall market—now trading at about 21.5 times estimated earnings for the next 12 months—hasn’t approached the bubble levels of past cycles. But surveys of market strategists and institutional investors see little upside, with year-end targets averaging around 4200 on theS&P 500—shy of Thursday’s close of 4319.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Burry警告称,模因股票将从大幅上涨的水平暴跌(一些公司通过发行估值丰厚的股票来利用这一点),但整体市场——目前的交易价格约为未来12个月预期市盈率的21.5倍——尚未接近过去周期的泡沫水平。但对市场策略师和机构投资者的调查认为上涨空间不大,标准普尔500指数的年终目标平均约为4200点,低于周四收盘价4319点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> And while it’s always dangerous to say this, it<i>is</i>different this time around from 2000 and 2008. Ahead of crashes in those years, the Federal Reserve had been tightening policy for some time, resulting in a flat-to-negatively sloped yield curve. Shorter-term Treasury yields were pushed above longer-term ones, leading the bond market to predict that the economy was headed for the rocks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这么说总是很危险,但<i>是</i>这一次与2000年和2008年不同。在那些年的崩盘之前,美联储已经收紧政策一段时间了,导致收益率曲线持平至负斜率。短期国债收益率被推高至长期国债收益率之上,导致债券市场预测经济将走向悬崖。</blockquote></p><p> Now, in contrast, the Fed has only begun talking about talking about reducing its massive purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities. That would be preparation for the initial liftoff of the Fed’s key federal-funds target rate, currently in a rock-bottom 0% to 0.25% range, in 2022 at the earliest and maybe not until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>现在,相比之下,美联储才刚刚开始谈论减少对美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券的大量购买。这将为美联储关键联邦基金目标利率的初步上调做准备,目前该利率处于0%至0.25%的最低范围,最早将于2022年,也可能要到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> The yield curve has flattened a bit in the past three months, with thespread between the two- and 10-year notenarrowing to 1.23 percentage points (still a sign of an accommodative policy), from 1.59 points on March 29, according to the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>根据圣路易斯的数据,过去三个月收益率曲线略有平坦,2年期和10年期国债之间的利差从3月29日的1.59个百分点收窄至1.23个百分点(仍然是宽松政策的迹象)美联储。</blockquote></p><p> But there is also a psychological element at play in any market frenzy. “Most investors also seem to view the stock market as a force of nature itself. They do not fully realize that they themselves, as a group, determine the level of the market,” Nobel laureate Robert Shiller wrote in his now-classic book<i>Irrational Exuberance</i>.</p><p><blockquote>但任何市场狂热也有心理因素在起作用。诺贝尔奖得主罗伯特·席勒在他的经典著作中写道:“大多数投资者似乎也将股市本身视为一种自然力量。他们没有充分意识到,作为一个群体,他们自己决定了市场的水平。”<i>非理性繁荣</i>.</blockquote></p><p> “In short, the price level is driven to a certain extent by a self-fulfilling prophecy, based on similar hunches held by a vast cross-section of large and small investors and reinforced by news media that are often content to ratify this investor-induced conventional wisdom.”</p><p><blockquote>“简而言之,价格水平在一定程度上是由自我实现的预言驱动的,该预言基于广大大小投资者持有的类似预感,并得到新闻媒体的强化,这些媒体往往满足于认可这种投资者诱导的传统智慧。”</blockquote></p><p> Readers can weigh the relevance of the point about traders’ hunches to the Robinhood IPO. As for the latter statement regarding the media, we demur; contrary opinion rather than conventional wisdom has been<i>Barron’s</i>credo in the century since its founding.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以权衡交易者的预感与Robinhood IPO的相关性。至于后一种关于媒体的说法,我们表示反对;相反的意见而不是传统的智慧<i>巴伦周刊</i>自成立以来的一个世纪里的信条。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/analyst-explains-why-netflix-should-sell-ads-51624987059\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/analyst-explains-why-netflix-should-sell-ads-51624987059","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114445293","content_text":"Nothing succeeds like excess, as the old quip goes. Until it doesn’t, which has been the distinguishing aspect of market cycles forever and, most dramatically, in this century. Unlike last year’s pandemic-induced paroxysm, the 2000 bursting of the dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis were marked by initial public offerings by companies eager to seize the moment—and investors’ money.\nAll of which is prologue to what could shape up as this cycle’s bell-ringing event, theinitial public offering of Robinhood, the online broker that pioneered zero commissions and hooked a new generation on investing and trading. Thepaperwork was filedwith the SEC this past week. Financial details about the upstart that purports to democratize investing (and, in the process, was hit with a record$70 million fine by Finra, the brokerage business’s self-regulatory body) are discussedhere, but a few salient points are buried deep in the S-1 filing.\nCustomer assets more than quadrupled, to $80.9 billion, on March 31 from the total a year earlier, with the lion’s share—some $65.1 billion—accounted for by equities. Options comprised a relatively small $2 billion in assets, but generated nearly half ($197.9 million) of the March quarter’s $420.4 million in transactions revenue. Stocks produced $133.3 million in revenue, even though assets in equities were 40 times as large as those in options. Revenue from cryptocurrencies totaled $87.6 million, with customers’ crypto assets totaling $11.6 billion.\nWhile Robinhood makes much of opening the market to neophyte investors with limited means by letting them buy fractional shares of their favorite stocks, that’s not its biggest business. Instead, it’s speculative options trading, which exploded early this year especially among the YOLO (You Only Live Once) crowd willing to stake a few bucks on cheap, about-to-expire calls of stocks talked up on Reddit.\nThere are signs that the frenzied trading, which peaked during the winter, has eased with the reopening of the economy and the return to the prepandemic normal (and with it an uptick in Covid cases after a steady decline). Trading crypto might be simpler on a brokerage platform like Robinhood, but wasn’t the advantage of DeFi (decentralized finance) supposed to be that intermediaries wouldn’t be needed at all?\nBulls on Robinhood would be betting on continued growth of its independent trading model, rather than investors using passive funds through advisors, which the filing derides. The broker pledged to reserve up to 35% of its IPO for its customers, who are apt to be enthusiastic buyers and, more importantly, hold onto them with “diamond hands” through volatile times.\nAnd, indeed, turbulence, or worse, could lie ahead,Michael Burry told our colleague Connor Smith. Burry, a key player in both the book and film versions ofThe Big Short, won a fortune by betting against the housing market before the subprime mortgage collapse. More recently, he was an early bull onGamestop(ticker: GME), but took his profits in 2020’s fourth quarter before the frenzy around the original meme stock took off. Now he’s warning that the craze will end in tears.\n“I don’t know when meme stocks such as this will crash, but we probably do not have to wait too long, as I believe the retail crowd is fully invested in this theme, and Wall Street has jumped on the coattails,” he told Connor in an email. “We’re running out of new money available to jump on the bandwagon.”\nThe Robinhood offering wouldn’t be the first stock sale that could be a top-of-the-market event. Back in mid-2007,Barron’sAndrew Bary calledthe IPO ofBlackstone Group(BX) precisely that, just weeks before concerns about excesses of subprime lending rumbled through the global money markets and months before theDow Jones Industrial Averagepeaked the following October.\nAnd who could forget the parade of wacky IPOs in the late 1990s that presaged the potential of the internet, but lacked earnings or revenue or even a viable business plan? By March 2000,Barron’spublished itsseminal cover storyrevealing that these dot-com darlings were rapidly burning cash. That very month marked theNasdaq Composite’speak; the index would fall nearly 80% by October 2002.\nWhile Burry warns of a crash in meme stocks from their vastly elevated levels, which some of the companies have exploited by issuing richly valued shares, the overall market—now trading at about 21.5 times estimated earnings for the next 12 months—hasn’t approached the bubble levels of past cycles. But surveys of market strategists and institutional investors see little upside, with year-end targets averaging around 4200 on theS&P 500—shy of Thursday’s close of 4319.\nAnd while it’s always dangerous to say this, itisdifferent this time around from 2000 and 2008. Ahead of crashes in those years, the Federal Reserve had been tightening policy for some time, resulting in a flat-to-negatively sloped yield curve. Shorter-term Treasury yields were pushed above longer-term ones, leading the bond market to predict that the economy was headed for the rocks.\nNow, in contrast, the Fed has only begun talking about talking about reducing its massive purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities. That would be preparation for the initial liftoff of the Fed’s key federal-funds target rate, currently in a rock-bottom 0% to 0.25% range, in 2022 at the earliest and maybe not until 2023.\nThe yield curve has flattened a bit in the past three months, with thespread between the two- and 10-year notenarrowing to 1.23 percentage points (still a sign of an accommodative policy), from 1.59 points on March 29, according to the St. Louis Fed.\nBut there is also a psychological element at play in any market frenzy. “Most investors also seem to view the stock market as a force of nature itself. They do not fully realize that they themselves, as a group, determine the level of the market,” Nobel laureate Robert Shiller wrote in his now-classic bookIrrational Exuberance.\n“In short, the price level is driven to a certain extent by a self-fulfilling prophecy, based on similar hunches held by a vast cross-section of large and small investors and reinforced by news media that are often content to ratify this investor-induced conventional wisdom.”\nReaders can weigh the relevance of the point about traders’ hunches to the Robinhood IPO. As for the latter statement regarding the media, we demur; contrary opinion rather than conventional wisdom has beenBarron’scredo in the century since its founding.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125669304,"gmtCreate":1624671885608,"gmtModify":1633949817449,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowww","listText":"Wowww","text":"Wowww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125669304","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153481659,"gmtCreate":1625042500371,"gmtModify":1633945523913,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for the info","listText":"Thanks for the info","text":"Thanks for the info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153481659","repostId":"1166772342","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165355078,"gmtCreate":1624099593794,"gmtModify":1634010703778,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thats great news","listText":"Thats great news","text":"Thats great news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165355078","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185311670,"gmtCreate":1623633141090,"gmtModify":1634030954704,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yess","listText":"Yess","text":"Yess","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185311670","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117463067,"gmtCreate":1623157886359,"gmtModify":1634036361716,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117463067","repostId":"1135953958","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135953958","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623157482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135953958?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 21:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Millions of J&J Covid-19 Vaccines Are at Risk of Expiring in June<blockquote>数百万J&J Covid-19疫苗面临6月过期风险</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135953958","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"States, hospitals try to reroute such vaccines, while efforts to export them face hurdles.\n\nHospital","content":"<p> <b>States, hospitals try to reroute such vaccines, while efforts to export them face hurdles.</b> Hospitals, state health departments and the federal government are racing to decide how to use up millions ofJohnson & Johnson’sJNJ-0.68%Covid-19vaccine doses that are set to expire this month.</p><p><blockquote><b>各州、医院试图改变此类疫苗的路线,而出口疫苗的努力则面临障碍。</b>医院、州卫生部门和联邦政府正在竞相决定如何用完将于本月到期的数百万剂强生公司JNJ-0.68%COVID-19疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The prospect of so many doses going to waste in the U.S. whendeveloping nations are desperatefor shots would add pressure on the Biden administration to share stockpiled vaccines. But there are few practical solutions to administering them quickly in the U.S. or distributing them in time to foreign countries, according to those involved in the vaccination drive.</p><p><blockquote>当发展中国家迫切需要疫苗时,美国可能会浪费如此多的疫苗,这将增加拜登政府分享库存疫苗的压力。但据参与疫苗接种活动的人士称,几乎没有切实可行的解决方案可以在美国快速注射或及时分发给外国。</blockquote></p><p> The stockpile is, in part, an unintended consequence of the U.S.’s decision in April totemporarily suspend administrationof J&J doses to assess a rare blood-clot risk. The pause forced states and providers tocancel large blocksof appointments that were never rescheduled, leaving a surplus of supply, andin some areas increasing hesitancyover the J&J vaccine’s safety, according to industry officials.</p><p><blockquote>这种库存在一定程度上是美国四月份决定暂时停止使用强生剂量以评估罕见血栓风险的意外后果。据行业官员称,这一暂停迫使各州和供应商取消了大量从未重新安排的预约,导致供应过剩,一些地区对强生疫苗的安全性越来越犹豫。</blockquote></p><p> Some hospitals and states say that vaccines fromPfizerInc.and partnerBioNTech SE,as well asModernaInc.,are due to expire later this summer, but the stockpiles so far are largely of J&J doses. Pfizer’s vaccine expires six months after manufacture. Moderna’s vaccine can remain frozen for up to six months, during which it can be refrigerated for one month.</p><p><blockquote>一些医院和州表示,辉瑞公司和partnerBioNTech SE以及asModernaInc.的疫苗将于今年夏天晚些时候到期,但迄今为止的库存主要是强生疫苗。辉瑞的疫苗在生产后六个月到期。Moderna的疫苗可以冷冻长达六个月,在此期间可以冷藏一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Philadelphia has 42,000 J&J doses set to expire, most of which came from a Federal Emergency Management Agency clinic at the city’s convention center a few days before the pause, a city spokesman said. Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Oklahoma and Arkansas are among states that report having thousands of J&J doses set to expire this month and have been unable to redistribute them.</p><p><blockquote>费城发言人表示,费城有42,000剂强生疫苗即将过期,其中大部分来自暂停前几天位于该市会议中心的联邦紧急事务管理局诊所。宾夕法尼亚州、西弗吉尼亚州、俄克拉荷马州和阿肯色州等州报告称,数千剂强生疫苗将于本月到期,但无法重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s no way at the end of June that we’re not going to have a couple thousand expiring,” said Danielle Hilborn, who helps oversee Covid-19 vaccines for McLaren Health Care Corp. The hospital system based outside Flint, Mich., has more than 3,500 J&J doses set to expire this month, despite having moved doses among its hospitals and shipped 1,100 to a county health department.</p><p><blockquote>迈凯伦医疗保健公司(McLaren Health Care Corp.)帮助监督Covid-19疫苗的丹妮尔·希尔伯恩(Danielle Hilborn)表示:“到6月底,我们不可能不会有数千种疫苗过期。”密歇根州弗林特郊外的医院系统有超过3500剂J&J疫苗将于本月到期,尽管它已经在医院之间转移了剂量,并将1100剂运送到了县卫生部门。</blockquote></p><p> Hospitals and public-health departments offering the shots have begun special promotions to use J&J’s shots before they go bad. Some health systems have redistributed them inside and outside their networks, and some states have rerouted them to physician offices, pharmacies or other states.</p><p><blockquote>提供疫苗的医院和公共卫生部门已经开始特别促销,在强生的疫苗变质之前使用它们。一些卫生系统已经将它们在网络内外重新分配,一些州已经将它们重新路由到医生办公室、药房或其他州。</blockquote></p><p> The efforts have had limited success because of thenation’s slowdown in overall vaccinationsand because many states and vaccination sites also have expiring J&J supply and don’t see demand for more doses. Just over half of the 21.4 million J&J shots distributed to providers have been administered, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, versus 83% for shots from Moderna Inc. as well as Pfizer Inc. and its partner, BioNTech.</p><p><blockquote>这些努力取得了有限的成功,因为全国整体疫苗接种速度放缓,而且许多州和疫苗接种点的强生供应也即将到期,看不到对更多剂量的需求。根据美国疾病控制与预防中心的数据,分发给供应商的2140万剂强生疫苗中,只有一半多一点已经接种,而Moderna Inc.以及辉瑞公司及其合作伙伴BioNTech的疫苗接种比例为83%。</blockquote></p><p> J&J stores doses frozen until shipment by the government, at which point they are refrigerated. Doses can be refrigerated for three months, and the drugmaker is studying whether the shelf life can be extended, a company spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>J&J将剂量冷冻储存,直到政府装运,然后冷藏。公司发言人表示,剂量可以冷藏三个月,制药商正在研究是否可以延长保质期。</blockquote></p><p> Many drugs and vaccines can remain effective for years, but all eventually start to lose potency. Typically, expiring prescription drugs and vaccines for other diseases are sent to other healthcare facilities, overseas or back to manufacturers, hospital officials said.</p><p><blockquote>许多药物和疫苗可以保持有效多年,但最终都会开始失去效力。医院官员表示,通常情况下,过期的处方药和其他疾病的疫苗会被送往海外的其他医疗机构或送回制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Covid-19 vaccines come with expiration information, which is determined by manufacturers based on testing data that is later cleared by regulators. Vaccines may still work after the expiration dates, according to manufacturing experts, but data was limited when the vaccines were authorized.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗带有过期信息,这是由制造商根据测试数据确定的,然后由监管机构批准。据生产专家称,疫苗在有效期后可能仍然有效,但疫苗获得授权时的数据有限。</blockquote></p><p> The issue of expiring doses is the latest setback for J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine effort. An accident at a contract manufacturer’s plant led to thecontamination of materialthat could have yielded up to 15 million doses and led to a halt in production of the J&J vaccine there.</p><p><blockquote>过期剂量问题是强生新冠肺炎疫苗工作的最新挫折。一家合同制造商工厂发生事故,导致本可生产多达1500万剂疫苗的材料受到污染,并导致强生疫苗生产停止。</blockquote></p><p> Dr. Bechara Choucair, the White House vaccine coordinator, has briefed governors and local health officials on best practices to maximize supply, according to a White House official, who also cited ongoing U.S. Food and Drug Administration reviews of whether J&J doses may have longer shelf lives. A second administration official said recalling doses that have already been shipped out to vaccination sites to potentially redistribute them would be logistically and legally challenging.</p><p><blockquote>据一名白宫官员称,白宫疫苗协调员Bechara Choucair博士已向州长和当地卫生官员简要介绍了最大限度增加供应的最佳做法。美国食品药品监督管理局审查强生剂量是否可能有更长的保质期。第二位政府官员表示,召回已经运往疫苗接种点的疫苗并可能重新分配,在后勤和法律上都具有挑战性。</blockquote></p><p> One of the administration officials said most Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. aren’t close to expiring.</p><p><blockquote>一名政府官员表示,美国大多数新冠肺炎疫苗还没有接近过期。</blockquote></p><p> State health departments and hospital officials say the guidance from states and the CDC is to destroy or discard expired doses. The CDC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>州卫生部门和医院官员表示,各州和疾病预防控制中心的指导是销毁或丢弃过期的剂量。疾病预防控制中心没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In early April, U.S. regulators paused the use of J&J’s vaccine after reports ofrare but severe blood clots. In response, vaccination sites across the country canceled thousands of appointments and instead offered people Pfizer or Moderna doses. Regulators lifted the pause 10 days later, with J&J and regulators adding language to the vaccine’s label warning of a risk of blood clots.</p><p><blockquote>四月初,在有报道称出现罕见但严重的血栓后,美国监管机构暂停了强生疫苗的使用。作为回应,全国各地的疫苗接种点取消了数千次预约,转而向人们提供辉瑞或Moderna疫苗。10天后,监管机构解除了暂停,强生和监管机构在疫苗标签上添加了警告血栓风险的措辞。</blockquote></p><p> By then, patient demand for Covid-19 vaccines shifted from mass-vaccination to smaller community settings amid lingering concerns about the rare clots, according to industry and state officials.</p><p><blockquote>据行业和州政府官员称,到那时,由于对罕见血栓的担忧挥之不去,患者对Covid-19疫苗的需求从大规模疫苗接种转向了较小的社区环境。</blockquote></p><p> The regulatory pause and overall slowdown in vaccinations has left UofL Health in Louisville, Ky., with more than 6,000 J&J doses that expire this month, after having administered about 2,600 since early April, said Dr. Jason Smith, chief medical officer. “My bet is that we will wind up wasting some of that, unfortunately,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>监管暂停和疫苗接种的整体放缓使得肯塔基州路易斯维尔的UofL Health。首席医疗官杰森·史密斯博士说,自4月初以来,已注射了约2600剂强生疫苗,本月将到期6000多剂强生疫苗。“不幸的是,我敢打赌,我们最终会浪费其中的一些,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> To use them, the health system is trying to reach physician offices outside its network, Dr. Smith said.</p><p><blockquote>史密斯博士说,为了使用它们,卫生系统正试图联系其网络之外的医生办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Pennsylvania’s Department of Health said it worked with the CDC and Chester County to try to transfer the county’s 50,000 expiring J&J doses to Oregon. The deal fell through when Oregon experienced a decline in demand and no longer wanted them, a Pennsylvania health department spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚州卫生部表示,它与疾病预防控制中心和切斯特县合作,试图将该县5万剂即将过期的强生疫苗转移到俄勒冈州。宾夕法尼亚州卫生部门发言人表示,当俄勒冈州需求下降并且不再需要它们时,该交易失败了。</blockquote></p><p> The full extent of expiring Covid-19 vaccines is unknown because providers aren’t required to report it to the federal government, said Jessica Daley, a pharmacist and executive atPremierInc.,a large group-purchasing organization for hospitals.</p><p><blockquote>大型医院团购组织PremierInc.的药剂师兼高管杰西卡·戴利(Jessica Daley)表示,过期新冠肺炎疫苗的全部范围尚不清楚,因为供应商不需要向联邦政府报告。</blockquote></p><p> Premier is asking members whether they have expiring vaccines, and at least a dozen have said they have expiring J&J doses, Ms. Daley said. “It’s not as simple as just moving the vaccine somewhere else,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利女士说,Premier正在询问会员是否有过期的疫苗,至少有十几个人说他们有过期的强生疫苗。“这不仅仅是将疫苗转移到其他地方那么简单,”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some states say they have asked the U.S. government whether doses can be shipped to developing nations. Doing so faces significant logistical and legal hurdles, according to the United Nations Children’s Fund, because those countries are wary of using vaccines after expiration dates and may not be able to administer them quickly.</p><p><blockquote>一些州表示,他们已经询问美国政府是否可以将疫苗运往发展中国家。联合国儿童基金会表示,这样做面临着重大的后勤和法律障碍,因为这些国家对使用过期疫苗持谨慎态度,可能无法快速接种。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Millions of J&J Covid-19 Vaccines Are at Risk of Expiring in June<blockquote>数百万J&J Covid-19疫苗面临6月过期风险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMillions of J&J Covid-19 Vaccines Are at Risk of Expiring in June<blockquote>数百万J&J Covid-19疫苗面临6月过期风险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-08 21:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>States, hospitals try to reroute such vaccines, while efforts to export them face hurdles.</b> Hospitals, state health departments and the federal government are racing to decide how to use up millions ofJohnson & Johnson’sJNJ-0.68%Covid-19vaccine doses that are set to expire this month.</p><p><blockquote><b>各州、医院试图改变此类疫苗的路线,而出口疫苗的努力则面临障碍。</b>医院、州卫生部门和联邦政府正在竞相决定如何用完将于本月到期的数百万剂强生公司JNJ-0.68%COVID-19疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The prospect of so many doses going to waste in the U.S. whendeveloping nations are desperatefor shots would add pressure on the Biden administration to share stockpiled vaccines. But there are few practical solutions to administering them quickly in the U.S. or distributing them in time to foreign countries, according to those involved in the vaccination drive.</p><p><blockquote>当发展中国家迫切需要疫苗时,美国可能会浪费如此多的疫苗,这将增加拜登政府分享库存疫苗的压力。但据参与疫苗接种活动的人士称,几乎没有切实可行的解决方案可以在美国快速注射或及时分发给外国。</blockquote></p><p> The stockpile is, in part, an unintended consequence of the U.S.’s decision in April totemporarily suspend administrationof J&J doses to assess a rare blood-clot risk. The pause forced states and providers tocancel large blocksof appointments that were never rescheduled, leaving a surplus of supply, andin some areas increasing hesitancyover the J&J vaccine’s safety, according to industry officials.</p><p><blockquote>这种库存在一定程度上是美国四月份决定暂时停止使用强生剂量以评估罕见血栓风险的意外后果。据行业官员称,这一暂停迫使各州和供应商取消了大量从未重新安排的预约,导致供应过剩,一些地区对强生疫苗的安全性越来越犹豫。</blockquote></p><p> Some hospitals and states say that vaccines fromPfizerInc.and partnerBioNTech SE,as well asModernaInc.,are due to expire later this summer, but the stockpiles so far are largely of J&J doses. Pfizer’s vaccine expires six months after manufacture. Moderna’s vaccine can remain frozen for up to six months, during which it can be refrigerated for one month.</p><p><blockquote>一些医院和州表示,辉瑞公司和partnerBioNTech SE以及asModernaInc.的疫苗将于今年夏天晚些时候到期,但迄今为止的库存主要是强生疫苗。辉瑞的疫苗在生产后六个月到期。Moderna的疫苗可以冷冻长达六个月,在此期间可以冷藏一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Philadelphia has 42,000 J&J doses set to expire, most of which came from a Federal Emergency Management Agency clinic at the city’s convention center a few days before the pause, a city spokesman said. Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Oklahoma and Arkansas are among states that report having thousands of J&J doses set to expire this month and have been unable to redistribute them.</p><p><blockquote>费城发言人表示,费城有42,000剂强生疫苗即将过期,其中大部分来自暂停前几天位于该市会议中心的联邦紧急事务管理局诊所。宾夕法尼亚州、西弗吉尼亚州、俄克拉荷马州和阿肯色州等州报告称,数千剂强生疫苗将于本月到期,但无法重新分配。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s no way at the end of June that we’re not going to have a couple thousand expiring,” said Danielle Hilborn, who helps oversee Covid-19 vaccines for McLaren Health Care Corp. The hospital system based outside Flint, Mich., has more than 3,500 J&J doses set to expire this month, despite having moved doses among its hospitals and shipped 1,100 to a county health department.</p><p><blockquote>迈凯伦医疗保健公司(McLaren Health Care Corp.)帮助监督Covid-19疫苗的丹妮尔·希尔伯恩(Danielle Hilborn)表示:“到6月底,我们不可能不会有数千种疫苗过期。”密歇根州弗林特郊外的医院系统有超过3500剂J&J疫苗将于本月到期,尽管它已经在医院之间转移了剂量,并将1100剂运送到了县卫生部门。</blockquote></p><p> Hospitals and public-health departments offering the shots have begun special promotions to use J&J’s shots before they go bad. Some health systems have redistributed them inside and outside their networks, and some states have rerouted them to physician offices, pharmacies or other states.</p><p><blockquote>提供疫苗的医院和公共卫生部门已经开始特别促销,在强生的疫苗变质之前使用它们。一些卫生系统已经将它们在网络内外重新分配,一些州已经将它们重新路由到医生办公室、药房或其他州。</blockquote></p><p> The efforts have had limited success because of thenation’s slowdown in overall vaccinationsand because many states and vaccination sites also have expiring J&J supply and don’t see demand for more doses. Just over half of the 21.4 million J&J shots distributed to providers have been administered, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, versus 83% for shots from Moderna Inc. as well as Pfizer Inc. and its partner, BioNTech.</p><p><blockquote>这些努力取得了有限的成功,因为全国整体疫苗接种速度放缓,而且许多州和疫苗接种点的强生供应也即将到期,看不到对更多剂量的需求。根据美国疾病控制与预防中心的数据,分发给供应商的2140万剂强生疫苗中,只有一半多一点已经接种,而Moderna Inc.以及辉瑞公司及其合作伙伴BioNTech的疫苗接种比例为83%。</blockquote></p><p> J&J stores doses frozen until shipment by the government, at which point they are refrigerated. Doses can be refrigerated for three months, and the drugmaker is studying whether the shelf life can be extended, a company spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>J&J将剂量冷冻储存,直到政府装运,然后冷藏。公司发言人表示,剂量可以冷藏三个月,制药商正在研究是否可以延长保质期。</blockquote></p><p> Many drugs and vaccines can remain effective for years, but all eventually start to lose potency. Typically, expiring prescription drugs and vaccines for other diseases are sent to other healthcare facilities, overseas or back to manufacturers, hospital officials said.</p><p><blockquote>许多药物和疫苗可以保持有效多年,但最终都会开始失去效力。医院官员表示,通常情况下,过期的处方药和其他疾病的疫苗会被送往海外的其他医疗机构或送回制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Covid-19 vaccines come with expiration information, which is determined by manufacturers based on testing data that is later cleared by regulators. Vaccines may still work after the expiration dates, according to manufacturing experts, but data was limited when the vaccines were authorized.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎疫苗带有过期信息,这是由制造商根据测试数据确定的,然后由监管机构批准。据生产专家称,疫苗在有效期后可能仍然有效,但疫苗获得授权时的数据有限。</blockquote></p><p> The issue of expiring doses is the latest setback for J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine effort. An accident at a contract manufacturer’s plant led to thecontamination of materialthat could have yielded up to 15 million doses and led to a halt in production of the J&J vaccine there.</p><p><blockquote>过期剂量问题是强生新冠肺炎疫苗工作的最新挫折。一家合同制造商工厂发生事故,导致本可生产多达1500万剂疫苗的材料受到污染,并导致强生疫苗生产停止。</blockquote></p><p> Dr. Bechara Choucair, the White House vaccine coordinator, has briefed governors and local health officials on best practices to maximize supply, according to a White House official, who also cited ongoing U.S. Food and Drug Administration reviews of whether J&J doses may have longer shelf lives. A second administration official said recalling doses that have already been shipped out to vaccination sites to potentially redistribute them would be logistically and legally challenging.</p><p><blockquote>据一名白宫官员称,白宫疫苗协调员Bechara Choucair博士已向州长和当地卫生官员简要介绍了最大限度增加供应的最佳做法。美国食品药品监督管理局审查强生剂量是否可能有更长的保质期。第二位政府官员表示,召回已经运往疫苗接种点的疫苗并可能重新分配,在后勤和法律上都具有挑战性。</blockquote></p><p> One of the administration officials said most Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. aren’t close to expiring.</p><p><blockquote>一名政府官员表示,美国大多数新冠肺炎疫苗还没有接近过期。</blockquote></p><p> State health departments and hospital officials say the guidance from states and the CDC is to destroy or discard expired doses. The CDC didn’t respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>州卫生部门和医院官员表示,各州和疾病预防控制中心的指导是销毁或丢弃过期的剂量。疾病预防控制中心没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In early April, U.S. regulators paused the use of J&J’s vaccine after reports ofrare but severe blood clots. In response, vaccination sites across the country canceled thousands of appointments and instead offered people Pfizer or Moderna doses. Regulators lifted the pause 10 days later, with J&J and regulators adding language to the vaccine’s label warning of a risk of blood clots.</p><p><blockquote>四月初,在有报道称出现罕见但严重的血栓后,美国监管机构暂停了强生疫苗的使用。作为回应,全国各地的疫苗接种点取消了数千次预约,转而向人们提供辉瑞或Moderna疫苗。10天后,监管机构解除了暂停,强生和监管机构在疫苗标签上添加了警告血栓风险的措辞。</blockquote></p><p> By then, patient demand for Covid-19 vaccines shifted from mass-vaccination to smaller community settings amid lingering concerns about the rare clots, according to industry and state officials.</p><p><blockquote>据行业和州政府官员称,到那时,由于对罕见血栓的担忧挥之不去,患者对Covid-19疫苗的需求从大规模疫苗接种转向了较小的社区环境。</blockquote></p><p> The regulatory pause and overall slowdown in vaccinations has left UofL Health in Louisville, Ky., with more than 6,000 J&J doses that expire this month, after having administered about 2,600 since early April, said Dr. Jason Smith, chief medical officer. “My bet is that we will wind up wasting some of that, unfortunately,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>监管暂停和疫苗接种的整体放缓使得肯塔基州路易斯维尔的UofL Health。首席医疗官杰森·史密斯博士说,自4月初以来,已注射了约2600剂强生疫苗,本月将到期6000多剂强生疫苗。“不幸的是,我敢打赌,我们最终会浪费其中的一些,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> To use them, the health system is trying to reach physician offices outside its network, Dr. Smith said.</p><p><blockquote>史密斯博士说,为了使用它们,卫生系统正试图联系其网络之外的医生办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Pennsylvania’s Department of Health said it worked with the CDC and Chester County to try to transfer the county’s 50,000 expiring J&J doses to Oregon. The deal fell through when Oregon experienced a decline in demand and no longer wanted them, a Pennsylvania health department spokesman said.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚州卫生部表示,它与疾病预防控制中心和切斯特县合作,试图将该县5万剂即将过期的强生疫苗转移到俄勒冈州。宾夕法尼亚州卫生部门发言人表示,当俄勒冈州需求下降并且不再需要它们时,该交易失败了。</blockquote></p><p> The full extent of expiring Covid-19 vaccines is unknown because providers aren’t required to report it to the federal government, said Jessica Daley, a pharmacist and executive atPremierInc.,a large group-purchasing organization for hospitals.</p><p><blockquote>大型医院团购组织PremierInc.的药剂师兼高管杰西卡·戴利(Jessica Daley)表示,过期新冠肺炎疫苗的全部范围尚不清楚,因为供应商不需要向联邦政府报告。</blockquote></p><p> Premier is asking members whether they have expiring vaccines, and at least a dozen have said they have expiring J&J doses, Ms. Daley said. “It’s not as simple as just moving the vaccine somewhere else,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利女士说,Premier正在询问会员是否有过期的疫苗,至少有十几个人说他们有过期的强生疫苗。“这不仅仅是将疫苗转移到其他地方那么简单,”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Some states say they have asked the U.S. government whether doses can be shipped to developing nations. Doing so faces significant logistical and legal hurdles, according to the United Nations Children’s Fund, because those countries are wary of using vaccines after expiration dates and may not be able to administer them quickly.</p><p><blockquote>一些州表示,他们已经询问美国政府是否可以将疫苗运往发展中国家。联合国儿童基金会表示,这样做面临着重大的后勤和法律障碍,因为这些国家对使用过期疫苗持谨慎态度,可能无法快速接种。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/millions-of-j-j-covid-19-vaccines-are-at-risk-of-expiring-in-june-11623152775?mod=hp_lead_pos10\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/millions-of-j-j-covid-19-vaccines-are-at-risk-of-expiring-in-june-11623152775?mod=hp_lead_pos10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135953958","content_text":"States, hospitals try to reroute such vaccines, while efforts to export them face hurdles.\n\nHospitals, state health departments and the federal government are racing to decide how to use up millions ofJohnson & Johnson’sJNJ-0.68%Covid-19vaccine doses that are set to expire this month.\nThe prospect of so many doses going to waste in the U.S. whendeveloping nations are desperatefor shots would add pressure on the Biden administration to share stockpiled vaccines. But there are few practical solutions to administering them quickly in the U.S. or distributing them in time to foreign countries, according to those involved in the vaccination drive.\nThe stockpile is, in part, an unintended consequence of the U.S.’s decision in April totemporarily suspend administrationof J&J doses to assess a rare blood-clot risk. The pause forced states and providers tocancel large blocksof appointments that were never rescheduled, leaving a surplus of supply, andin some areas increasing hesitancyover the J&J vaccine’s safety, according to industry officials.\nSome hospitals and states say that vaccines fromPfizerInc.and partnerBioNTech SE,as well asModernaInc.,are due to expire later this summer, but the stockpiles so far are largely of J&J doses. Pfizer’s vaccine expires six months after manufacture. Moderna’s vaccine can remain frozen for up to six months, during which it can be refrigerated for one month.\nPhiladelphia has 42,000 J&J doses set to expire, most of which came from a Federal Emergency Management Agency clinic at the city’s convention center a few days before the pause, a city spokesman said. Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Oklahoma and Arkansas are among states that report having thousands of J&J doses set to expire this month and have been unable to redistribute them.\n“There’s no way at the end of June that we’re not going to have a couple thousand expiring,” said Danielle Hilborn, who helps oversee Covid-19 vaccines for McLaren Health Care Corp. The hospital system based outside Flint, Mich., has more than 3,500 J&J doses set to expire this month, despite having moved doses among its hospitals and shipped 1,100 to a county health department.\nHospitals and public-health departments offering the shots have begun special promotions to use J&J’s shots before they go bad. Some health systems have redistributed them inside and outside their networks, and some states have rerouted them to physician offices, pharmacies or other states.\nThe efforts have had limited success because of thenation’s slowdown in overall vaccinationsand because many states and vaccination sites also have expiring J&J supply and don’t see demand for more doses. Just over half of the 21.4 million J&J shots distributed to providers have been administered, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, versus 83% for shots from Moderna Inc. as well as Pfizer Inc. and its partner, BioNTech.\nJ&J stores doses frozen until shipment by the government, at which point they are refrigerated. Doses can be refrigerated for three months, and the drugmaker is studying whether the shelf life can be extended, a company spokesman said.\nMany drugs and vaccines can remain effective for years, but all eventually start to lose potency. Typically, expiring prescription drugs and vaccines for other diseases are sent to other healthcare facilities, overseas or back to manufacturers, hospital officials said.\nCovid-19 vaccines come with expiration information, which is determined by manufacturers based on testing data that is later cleared by regulators. Vaccines may still work after the expiration dates, according to manufacturing experts, but data was limited when the vaccines were authorized.\nThe issue of expiring doses is the latest setback for J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine effort. An accident at a contract manufacturer’s plant led to thecontamination of materialthat could have yielded up to 15 million doses and led to a halt in production of the J&J vaccine there.\nDr. Bechara Choucair, the White House vaccine coordinator, has briefed governors and local health officials on best practices to maximize supply, according to a White House official, who also cited ongoing U.S. Food and Drug Administration reviews of whether J&J doses may have longer shelf lives. A second administration official said recalling doses that have already been shipped out to vaccination sites to potentially redistribute them would be logistically and legally challenging.\nOne of the administration officials said most Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. aren’t close to expiring.\nState health departments and hospital officials say the guidance from states and the CDC is to destroy or discard expired doses. The CDC didn’t respond to requests for comment.\nIn early April, U.S. regulators paused the use of J&J’s vaccine after reports ofrare but severe blood clots. In response, vaccination sites across the country canceled thousands of appointments and instead offered people Pfizer or Moderna doses. Regulators lifted the pause 10 days later, with J&J and regulators adding language to the vaccine’s label warning of a risk of blood clots.\nBy then, patient demand for Covid-19 vaccines shifted from mass-vaccination to smaller community settings amid lingering concerns about the rare clots, according to industry and state officials.\nThe regulatory pause and overall slowdown in vaccinations has left UofL Health in Louisville, Ky., with more than 6,000 J&J doses that expire this month, after having administered about 2,600 since early April, said Dr. Jason Smith, chief medical officer. “My bet is that we will wind up wasting some of that, unfortunately,” he said.\nTo use them, the health system is trying to reach physician offices outside its network, Dr. Smith said.\nPennsylvania’s Department of Health said it worked with the CDC and Chester County to try to transfer the county’s 50,000 expiring J&J doses to Oregon. The deal fell through when Oregon experienced a decline in demand and no longer wanted them, a Pennsylvania health department spokesman said.\nThe full extent of expiring Covid-19 vaccines is unknown because providers aren’t required to report it to the federal government, said Jessica Daley, a pharmacist and executive atPremierInc.,a large group-purchasing organization for hospitals.\nPremier is asking members whether they have expiring vaccines, and at least a dozen have said they have expiring J&J doses, Ms. Daley said. “It’s not as simple as just moving the vaccine somewhere else,” she said.\nSome states say they have asked the U.S. government whether doses can be shipped to developing nations. Doing so faces significant logistical and legal hurdles, according to the United Nations Children’s Fund, because those countries are wary of using vaccines after expiration dates and may not be able to administer them quickly.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JNJ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104465148,"gmtCreate":1620404267784,"gmtModify":1634205453016,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104465148","repostId":"2133668845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142080105,"gmtCreate":1626103807207,"gmtModify":1633930065084,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142080105","repostId":"2150531471","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156893849,"gmtCreate":1625207955781,"gmtModify":1633942525035,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO will fly high ","listText":"NIO will fly high ","text":"NIO will fly high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156893849","repostId":"1171098897","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171098897","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625207375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171098897?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 14:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Nio Rally Over For Now?<blockquote>蔚来反弹暂时结束了吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171098897","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Shares of Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. declined more than 4% in the regular trading sessi","content":"<p><div> Shares of Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. declined more than 4% in the regular trading session on Thursday. What Happened:The decline in Nio’s shares comes after three straight days of gains. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股价在周四常规交易时段下跌超过4%。发生了什么:蔚来股价在连续三天上涨后下跌。...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Nio Rally Over For Now?<blockquote>蔚来反弹暂时结束了吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Nio Rally Over For Now?<blockquote>蔚来反弹暂时结束了吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 14:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Shares of Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. declined more than 4% in the regular trading session on Thursday. What Happened:The decline in Nio’s shares comes after three straight days of gains. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来的股价在周四常规交易时段下跌超过4%。发生了什么:蔚来股价在连续三天上涨后下跌。...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/07/21821955/is-nio-rally-over-for-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171098897","content_text":"Shares of Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. declined more than 4% in the regular trading session on Thursday.\nWhat Happened:The decline in Nio’s shares comes after three straight days of gains. The shares had risen above the $50 mark on Tuesday for the first time since early March amid bullish sentiment in the electric vehicle sector.\nNio’s shares closed 4.3% lower in Thursday’s regular trading session at $50.90.\nThe loss of momentum in Nio stock was attributed to concerns over theresurgance of COVID-19in the Asia-Pacific region, with a focus on the Delta variant.\nDo Bullish Factors Remain?Nio stock closed above the 30 days and 200 days simple moving averages on Thursday, indicating overall bullish sentiments, as per Trading View data. A relative strength index (RSI) of 65.91 is also on the higher side, indicating a potential uptrend.\nNioreported a 116.1% year-over-year surgein June deliveries on Tuesday, with the monthly increase representing a record for the company.\nIn addition, Citi has recently increased its price target on the Nio stock to $72 from $58.30 and maintained a buy rating on the stock.\nNio is also seeing high interest from retail investors.As of late Thursday, the company was the eleventh most-discussed stock on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum, data from Quiver Quantitative showed. The WSB forum has 10.6 million members and is known for short squeezes.\nNio, seen as a rival to Tesla Inc., has pioneered the concept ofbattery-as-a-servicethat would allow users to rent a battery instead of purchasing one.\nNio has significantly accelerated the pace of building swap stations in the past two weeks. The EV maker aims to have 500 battery swap stations in operation in China by the end of this year.\nIn addition, Nio has recentlyexpandedinto Norway and is on track to sell its ES8 SUV in the European nation.\nThe ET7, Nio’sfourth mass-produced model, is scheduled for commercial launch in the first quarter of 2022.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137948649,"gmtCreate":1622291365181,"gmtModify":1634102490017,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment 🙏","listText":"Please like and comment 🙏","text":"Please like and comment 🙏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137948649","repostId":"2138488613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805026430,"gmtCreate":1627826104720,"gmtModify":1633756105521,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805026430","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的,现在是夏天,我一年中的这个时候,”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》,回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增,这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据,8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%,这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上,它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道,八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%,其中59.1%的时间为正,而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%,只有不到一半的时间(即45%)出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平,标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据,这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨,这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间,其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间,平均标普500回报率为0.70%,58.1%的时间为积极结果,标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现,毫不奇怪,8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后,在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕,但如果是,如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期,Robinhood Markets(股票代码:HOOD)首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资,周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中,它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课:低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求,高价出售其股票,尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升,但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末,持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt),他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森(Alan Abelson)喜欢观察的那样,卖出股票有很多好的理由,但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化,并且无需缴纳资本利得税,这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样,按首次发行价计算,这些股票价值25亿美元,Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元,或者接近众所周知的十倍,两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励,Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等,这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元,这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的:“多好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计,增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关;他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为,一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应,尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息,请参阅本周的封面故事。)</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心!股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的,现在是夏天,我一年中的这个时候,”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》,回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增,这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据,8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%,这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上,它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道,八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%,其中59.1%的时间为正,而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%,只有不到一半的时间(即45%)出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平,标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据,这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨,这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间,其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间,平均标普500回报率为0.70%,58.1%的时间为积极结果,标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现,毫不奇怪,8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后,在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕,但如果是,如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期,Robinhood Markets(股票代码:HOOD)首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资,周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中,它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课:低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求,高价出售其股票,尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升,但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末,持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt),他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森(Alan Abelson)喜欢观察的那样,卖出股票有很多好的理由,但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化,并且无需缴纳资本利得税,这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样,按首次发行价计算,这些股票价值25亿美元,Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元,或者接近众所周知的十倍,两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励,Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等,这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元,这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的:“多好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计,增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关;他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为,一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应,尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息,请参阅本周的封面故事。)</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111353302,"gmtCreate":1622654307706,"gmtModify":1634099494338,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gambling's stocks.. do not make any sense at all ","listText":"Gambling's stocks.. do not make any sense at all ","text":"Gambling's stocks.. do not make any sense at all","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111353302","repostId":"1188552613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188552613","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622627641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188552613?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188552613","media":"Barrons","summary":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, th","content":"<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into speculative territory.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线股价飙升很容易被视为迷因交易疯狂,社交媒体推动的投资者狂热将游戏驿站和黑莓等公司带入了投机领域。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.</p><p><blockquote>但传统投资者可能错过了电影院业务的根本性变化——而且这已经不是第一次了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office. Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>AMC(股票代码:AMC)股价周二飙升23%,收于32.04美元,略低于5月底创下的36.72美元的历史高点。这使得这家连锁影院的市值约为160亿美元,是2018年票房破纪录的一年的15倍多。周三盘前交易中,该公司股价又上涨34%,至42.92美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.</p><p><blockquote>不过,即使投资者错过了拐点,数学也不成立。原因可能是市值不是正确的衡量标准。也许是企业价值,本质上是市值和债务。AMC的企业价值约为260亿美元,而2018年底为62亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> AMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在疫情期间增加了债务,因为该国最大城市的影院连续几个月处于黑暗之中。这些数字很容易理解原因:2020年美国票房收入约为21亿美元,比2018年创纪录的119亿美元下降了81%。</blockquote></p><p> So, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者似乎对电影院经济感到恼火。但这不是第一次了。这个行业在世纪之交基本上破产了。例如,富豪影院于2001年宣布破产。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.</p><p><blockquote>当时,该行业有足够的容量,因为一种新的剧院设计——体育场座位可以更好地观看屏幕。这种转变意味着连锁电影院必须翻新,否则就有可能失去所有顾客到视野更好的电影院。最终,太多的座位和不够的顾客意味着体育场座位投资的回报从未实现。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>结果是整合。随着操作员的减少,屏幕数量稳定下来。2002年至2007年间,Regal Cinemas因股票定价错误而成为现金产生机器。该股平均每年回报率为21%。同期,标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的平均年回报率均低于9%。</blockquote></p><p> In those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当年,富豪影院的企业价值约为50亿美元,约占美国票房总收入的50%。这与今天的AMC相去甚远。新的东西必须与众不同,AMC才值得。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.</p><p><blockquote>也许电影院业务又要经历一段盘整期,可以迎来又一个回报的黄金时代。事实上,AMC周二的上涨是由筹集的新资金推动的,因此该公司可以继续进攻,收购已倒闭的连锁店。毕竟,垄断有利于股票回报。</blockquote></p><p> If AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果AMC能够增加市场份额,并且美国票房销售额能够在几年内恢复到2018年的水平,那么总销售额可能会达到90亿美元——60亿美元来自门票,30亿美元来自特许经营。2018年销售额达55亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Then, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.</p><p><blockquote>然后,随着规模的扩大带来更好的毛利率,AMC每年可能能够产生6亿美元的自由现金流,这使得该股的自由现金流收益率约为4%。标普500的自由现金流收益率约为3%。这些数字可以发挥作用——如果它们被拉伸的话。</blockquote></p><p> There are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.</p><p><blockquote>不过,这种情况存在问题。有很多如果和可能——AMC过去从未产生过这样的现金流。达到6亿美元的自由现金流更多的是为了证明当前估值的合理性,而不是预测可能发生的情况。</blockquote></p><p> Also, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.</p><p><blockquote>此外,通过并购,AMC的市场份额可能会上升,但仍然存在竞争对手。富豪影院仍然存在,归电影世界控股公司所有。伦敦)。喜满客(CNK)也是如此。没有真正的垄断。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其同行也必须应对流媒体问题。独家影院放映的窗口正在缩小。疫情加速了这一点。如果AMC变得太大,对电影制作人的要求太高,人才总是可以更快地转向流媒体,从而损害票房销售。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>还有同行股票的问题。他们并不认为这是剧院的一个勇敢的新世界。Cineworld股价较52周低点上涨484%,但仍较历史高点下跌72%。喜满客股价较52周低点上涨222%。它们比历史高点下跌了47%。</blockquote></p><p> AMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价再次较52周低点上涨近1,600%,较5月份历史高点仅下跌13%。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也没有看到潜力。九名分析师关注该股。分析师平均目标价约为5美元。在疫情爆发之前,分析师的平均目标价为15美元。但当时股票较少。旧的目标企业价值约为70亿美元。很难从70亿美元增加到260亿美元来预测更好的利润率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Analysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.</p><p><blockquote>不过,分析师确实模拟了正自由现金流——2022年为1300万美元,2023年为9000万美元。这距离6亿美元还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.</p><p><blockquote>这只是AMC多头距离实现数学计算还有很长的路要走的另一种说法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 17:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into speculative territory.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线股价飙升很容易被视为迷因交易疯狂,社交媒体推动的投资者狂热将游戏驿站和黑莓等公司带入了投机领域。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.</p><p><blockquote>但传统投资者可能错过了电影院业务的根本性变化——而且这已经不是第一次了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office. Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>AMC(股票代码:AMC)股价周二飙升23%,收于32.04美元,略低于5月底创下的36.72美元的历史高点。这使得这家连锁影院的市值约为160亿美元,是2018年票房破纪录的一年的15倍多。周三盘前交易中,该公司股价又上涨34%,至42.92美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.</p><p><blockquote>不过,即使投资者错过了拐点,数学也不成立。原因可能是市值不是正确的衡量标准。也许是企业价值,本质上是市值和债务。AMC的企业价值约为260亿美元,而2018年底为62亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> AMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在疫情期间增加了债务,因为该国最大城市的影院连续几个月处于黑暗之中。这些数字很容易理解原因:2020年美国票房收入约为21亿美元,比2018年创纪录的119亿美元下降了81%。</blockquote></p><p> So, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者似乎对电影院经济感到恼火。但这不是第一次了。这个行业在世纪之交基本上破产了。例如,富豪影院于2001年宣布破产。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.</p><p><blockquote>当时,该行业有足够的容量,因为一种新的剧院设计——体育场座位可以更好地观看屏幕。这种转变意味着连锁电影院必须翻新,否则就有可能失去所有顾客到视野更好的电影院。最终,太多的座位和不够的顾客意味着体育场座位投资的回报从未实现。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>结果是整合。随着操作员的减少,屏幕数量稳定下来。2002年至2007年间,Regal Cinemas因股票定价错误而成为现金产生机器。该股平均每年回报率为21%。同期,标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的平均年回报率均低于9%。</blockquote></p><p> In those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当年,富豪影院的企业价值约为50亿美元,约占美国票房总收入的50%。这与今天的AMC相去甚远。新的东西必须与众不同,AMC才值得。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.</p><p><blockquote>也许电影院业务又要经历一段盘整期,可以迎来又一个回报的黄金时代。事实上,AMC周二的上涨是由筹集的新资金推动的,因此该公司可以继续进攻,收购已倒闭的连锁店。毕竟,垄断有利于股票回报。</blockquote></p><p> If AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果AMC能够增加市场份额,并且美国票房销售额能够在几年内恢复到2018年的水平,那么总销售额可能会达到90亿美元——60亿美元来自门票,30亿美元来自特许经营。2018年销售额达55亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Then, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.</p><p><blockquote>然后,随着规模的扩大带来更好的毛利率,AMC每年可能能够产生6亿美元的自由现金流,这使得该股的自由现金流收益率约为4%。标普500的自由现金流收益率约为3%。这些数字可以发挥作用——如果它们被拉伸的话。</blockquote></p><p> There are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.</p><p><blockquote>不过,这种情况存在问题。有很多如果和可能——AMC过去从未产生过这样的现金流。达到6亿美元的自由现金流更多的是为了证明当前估值的合理性,而不是预测可能发生的情况。</blockquote></p><p> Also, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.</p><p><blockquote>此外,通过并购,AMC的市场份额可能会上升,但仍然存在竞争对手。富豪影院仍然存在,归电影世界控股公司所有。伦敦)。喜满客(CNK)也是如此。没有真正的垄断。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其同行也必须应对流媒体问题。独家影院放映的窗口正在缩小。疫情加速了这一点。如果AMC变得太大,对电影制作人的要求太高,人才总是可以更快地转向流媒体,从而损害票房销售。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>还有同行股票的问题。他们并不认为这是剧院的一个勇敢的新世界。Cineworld股价较52周低点上涨484%,但仍较历史高点下跌72%。喜满客股价较52周低点上涨222%。它们比历史高点下跌了47%。</blockquote></p><p> AMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价再次较52周低点上涨近1,600%,较5月份历史高点仅下跌13%。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也没有看到潜力。九名分析师关注该股。分析师平均目标价约为5美元。在疫情爆发之前,分析师的平均目标价为15美元。但当时股票较少。旧的目标企业价值约为70亿美元。很难从70亿美元增加到260亿美元来预测更好的利润率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Analysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.</p><p><blockquote>不过,分析师确实模拟了正自由现金流——2022年为1300万美元,2023年为9000万美元。这距离6亿美元还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.</p><p><blockquote>这只是AMC多头距离实现数学计算还有很长的路要走的另一种说法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188552613","content_text":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into speculative territory.\nBut it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.\nShares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office. Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.\nEven if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.\nAMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.\nSo, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.\nBack then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.\nThe upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.\nIn those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.\nMaybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.\nIf AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.\nThen, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.\nThere are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.\nAlso, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.\nAMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.\nThere is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.\nAMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.\nWall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.\nAnalysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.\nAnd that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145732456,"gmtCreate":1626244555875,"gmtModify":1633928675942,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As expected ","listText":"As expected ","text":"As expected","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145732456","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161948581,"gmtCreate":1623902610643,"gmtModify":1634026091026,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161948581","repostId":"2143379379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131497507,"gmtCreate":1621871720309,"gmtModify":1634185898354,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wowww","listText":"Wowww","text":"Wowww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131497507","repostId":"2137155161","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139875235,"gmtCreate":1621609447727,"gmtModify":1634187657232,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks ","listText":"Thanks ","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139875235","repostId":"2137909294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193985140,"gmtCreate":1620745307580,"gmtModify":1634196629950,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news 👌","listText":"Great news 👌","text":"Great news 👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193985140","repostId":"1168906033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890875089,"gmtCreate":1628097269241,"gmtModify":1633753618764,"author":{"id":"3574854386909318","authorId":"3574854386909318","name":"Freddyd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7967e4125926fdf32d9965f6fe32519d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574854386909318","authorIdStr":"3574854386909318"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woww","listText":"Woww","text":"Woww","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890875089","repostId":"1132985416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}