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JaydenNg

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2021-12-12

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2021-11-10

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2021-11-10

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2021-11-09

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Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>

2021-11-09

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2021-11-09

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2021-11-06

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2021-11-06

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2021-11-04

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2021-11-04

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2021-11-01

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Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-11-01

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2021-11-01

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2021-10-31

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2021-10-31

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2021-10-31

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2021-10-24

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2021-10-23

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2021-10-23

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2021-10-23

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Motors(TSLA)$Hshhs","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62302db879c3a3031e404a525fe93dce","width":"1125","height":"3714"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847699475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844531349,"gmtCreate":1636438002091,"gmtModify":1636438002368,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","listText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","text":"Likeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844531349","repostId":"1151111395","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151111395","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636436840,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151111395?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 13:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151111395","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with pr","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 13:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151111395","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.\nUnfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.\n\"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.\nLike much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.\nDue to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.\nThat's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.\nThe inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.\nInstead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.\n30-year high for inflation\nAnnual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.\nThe Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.\n\"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"\nEveryday Americans seem to agree.\nConsumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.\nThe Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.\nThe good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.\n\"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.\nIn other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.\nRisks tilted towards more, not less, inflation\nStill, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.\nLikewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.\nThat's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.\nAs Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.\n\"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844539117,"gmtCreate":1636437821720,"gmtModify":1636437821985,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bnn","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bnn","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bnn","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c92473997493c61d81c05500bdd0d5a0","width":"1125","height":"2842"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844539117","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844539324,"gmtCreate":1636437813426,"gmtModify":1636438465552,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Sbns","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Sbns","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Sbns","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/211ee6df6be78aaf450ae2c12b25def1","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844539324","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842248254,"gmtCreate":1636188669327,"gmtModify":1636188669536,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a>Bb","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a>Bb","text":"$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$Bb","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/341400e1e7387334b94b57c2176687e4","width":"1125","height":"3800"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842248254","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842248833,"gmtCreate":1636188648054,"gmtModify":1636188648283,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bb","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APPS\">$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$</a>Bb","text":"$APPS 20211112 70.0 PUT(APPS)$Bb","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e91ab74c0fdcf71785553a8b0f9f69","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842248833","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848506702,"gmtCreate":1636008864919,"gmtModify":1636008865188,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">$Johnson &amp; 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Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"APO":"阿波罗全球管理",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","RL":"拉夫劳伦","PFE":"辉瑞","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc.","UBER":"优步","ATVI":"动视暴雪","EL":"雅诗兰黛",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","COP":"康菲石油","CLX":"高乐氏","BLMN":"Bloomin' Brands"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179250221","content_text":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also await more data on the U.S. economic recovery with the Labor Department's monthly jobs report later this week.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) November meeting will take place from Tuesday to Wednesday, with the policy statement and press conference from the meeting serving as the central bank's penultimate opportunity this year to announce formal plans to begin rolling back its crisis-era quantitative easing program. For the past year-and-a-half, the central bank has been purchasing $120 billion per month in agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries, as one major tool to support the economy during the pandemic.\nIn late September, the FOMC's latest monetary policy statement and press conference from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank was apt to announce the start of tapering before year-end, and continue the tapering process until \"around the middle of next year.\"\n\"The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note.\n\"The statement that announces the new pace of asset purchases will be followed by a note regarding flexibility stating that asset purchases are not on a pre-set course and will depend on the outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as an assessment of the efficacy of asset purchases,\" she predicted.\nShe noted that Powell may also use the press conference to reiterate that the end of tapering would not necessarily indicate the start of rate hikes, and that both policy actions are distinct. In previous public remarks, Powell has already made a similar point in previous public remarks, saying, \"the timing and pace of the coming reduction in asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate liftoff.\"\nGiven the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. Investors and economists have mulled whether the Fed may need to act more quickly than previously telegraphed on adjusting interest rates to stave off inflation, which has proven more long-lasting than some had suggested.\nWASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Drew Angerer via Getty Images\nIn September, core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation — rose 3.6% over last year for a fourth consecutive month, coming in at the fastest clip since 1991. And earlier this month, Powell acknowledged in public remarks that the supply chain constraints and shortages that spurred the latest rise in prices are \"likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year.\"\nWhile the central bank will not release an updated Summary of Economic Projections with their policy statement on Wednesday, the latest projections from the September meeting suggested the committee was split on rate hikes for 2022, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.\n\"I think the Fed has pretty well determined to start the taper pretty quickly. We expect them to announce it next week and then start it soon thereafter, so that's pretty well carved in stone,\" Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab chief fixed income strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live last week. \"I think the big debate now is how quickly the Fed moves toward actually raising rates. The expectation in the market has really shifted to expecting as many as two rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 ... that’s a pretty aggressive pace of tightening.\"\nOctober jobs report\nOne of this week's most closely watched pieces of economic data will be the October jobs report, which is due for release on Friday from the Labor Department.\nEconomists are looking to see a pick-up in the pace of hiring for October after a disappointing print in September, when just 194,000 non-farm payrolls returned versus the half million expected. Over the past two months, payroll gains averaged at just 280,000. The unemployment rate is expected to take another small step toward pre-pandemic levels in October as well, with the jobless rate anticipated to dip to 4.7% from 4.8% the prior month.\nStill, the labor market has still fallen short its pre-pandemic conditions on a number of fronts. The unemployment rate has yet to return to its 50-year low of 3.5% from February 2020. And as of September, the civilian labor force was still down by about 3.1 million individuals from pre-virus levels.\nOne factor weighing on the labor market in August and September was the Delta variant, which may have deterred some workers from seeking employment in person for risk of infection. And an ongoing element dragging on the labor market's recovery has been a mismatch of supply and demand, with employers struggling to fill a near-record number of job openings while voluntary quits jumped to a historically high level.\n\"Next week’s October payrolls report will shed light on whether supply eased on diminishing constraints or if the labor market continues to face headwinds for now,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note last week.\nBut some data from the past couple weeks has reflected favorably on conditions in the labor market in October. Weekly new unemployment claims broke below 300,000 for the first time since the start of the pandemic during the survey week for the October jobs report, or the week that includes the 12th of the month. And in the Conference Board's October Consumer Confidence Index, just 10.6% of consumers said jobs were \"hard to get,\" down from 13.0% in September. That brought the Conference Board's closely watched labor market differential, or percentage of consumers saying jobs are \"hard to get\" subtracted from the percentage saying jobs \"are plentiful,\" to 45, or its highest level since 2000.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, Oct. final (59.3 expected, 59.2 in September); Constructing spending, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.0% in August); ISM Manufacturing Index, Oct. (60.5 expected, 61.1 in September)\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 29 (0.3% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, Oct. (400,000 expected, 568,000 in September); ISM Services Index, October (62.0 expected, 61.9 in September); Factory Orders, September (-0.1% expected, 1.2% in August); Durable goods orders, September final (-0.4% in prior print; Durable goods orders excluding transportation, September final (0.4% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, September final (0.8% in prior print); Markit U.S. Services PMI, October final (58.2 expected, 58.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, October final (57.3 in prior print); Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy decision\nThursday: Challenger job cuts, year-over-year, October (-84.9% in September); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 30 (275,000 expected, 281,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 23 (2.147 million expected, 2.243 million during prior week); Non-farm productivity, Q3 preliminary (-3.2% expected, 2.1% in Q2); Unit Labor Costs, Q3 preliminary (6.9% expected, 1.3% in Q2); Trade balance, September (-$80.1 billion expected, -$73.3 billion in August)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, October (450,000 expected, 194,000 in September); Unemployment rate, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, October (4.9% expected, 4.6% in September); Labor Force Participation Rate, October (61.8% expected, 61.6% in September); Consumer Credit, September ($16.200 billion expected, $14.379 million in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Clorox (CLX), Avis Budget Group (CAR), ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI), Chegg Inc. (CHGG), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Simon Property Group (SPG) after market close\nTuesday: Under Armour (UAA), Estee Lauder (EL), Ralph Lauren (RL), Apollo Global Management (APO), Corsair Gaming (CRSR), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pfizer (PFE), Groupon (GPN), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) before market open; Mondelez (MDLZ), T-Mobile (TMUS), Akamai (AKAM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Lyft (LYFT), Match Group (MTCH), Devon Energy (DVN), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Coursera (COUR), Zillow Group (ZG), Amgen (AMGN) after market close\nWednesday: Humana (HUM), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), The New York Times (NYT), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Marriott International (MAR), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI) before market open; Booking Holdings (BKNG), Qorvo (QRVO), The Allstate Corp. (ALL), MGM Resorts International (MGM), $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Vimeo (VMEO), Etsy (ETSY), GoDaddy (GDDY), Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Roku (ROKU), Qualcomm (QCOM) after market close\nThursday: Cigna (CI), Wayfair (W), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Nikola (NKLA), Duke Energy (DUK), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Hanesbrands (HBI), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Vulcan Material (VMC), Kellogg (K), Square (SQ), Cloudflare (NET), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Uber Technologies (UBER), American International Group (AIG), Shake Shack (SHAK), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Novavax (NVAX), IAC Interactive Corp. (IAC), Peloton (PTON), Dropbox (DBX), DataDog (DDOG), Pinterest (PINS), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Expedia (EXPE), Rocket Cos. 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外，至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后，Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙：通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市，DraftKings、Canopy Growth和Tripadvisor将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人，而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数，随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右，这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&amp;Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元，周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8，高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后，预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&amp;Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%，而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆，而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8，而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人，6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&amp;Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测，继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后，非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外，至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后，Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙：通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市，DraftKings、Canopy Growth和Tripadvisor将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人，而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数，随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右，这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&amp;Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元，周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8，高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后，预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&amp;Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%，而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆，而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8，而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人，6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&amp;Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测，继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后，非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","EA":"艺电","GE":"GE航空航天",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","BABA":"阿里巴巴",".DJI":"道琼斯","ROKU":"Roku Inc","UBER":"优步",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GE":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GM":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"EA":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"ROKU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835390896,"gmtCreate":1629686345115,"gmtModify":1631893462084,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"likeeeeeeee thx","listText":"likeeeeeeee thx","text":"likeeeeeeee thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835390896","repostId":"2161208742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172008610,"gmtCreate":1626918828830,"gmtModify":1633769744099,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172008610","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822192794,"gmtCreate":1634098724963,"gmtModify":1634098725182,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeee thx","listText":"Likeeee thx","text":"Likeeee thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822192794","repostId":"2175132100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832336010,"gmtCreate":1629589340830,"gmtModify":1633683975157,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likkkkkkkee","listText":"Likkkkkkkee","text":"Likkkkkkkee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832336010","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","AMZN":"亚马逊","NVDA":"英伟达","ON":"安森美半导体","AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","ASML":"阿斯麦","SNPS":"新思科技","SSNLF":"三星电子","CDNS":"铿腾电子","GOOG":"谷歌","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"ON":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830258450,"gmtCreate":1629077345370,"gmtModify":1633687595603,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeeee","listText":"Likeeeeee","text":"Likeeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830258450","repostId":"1129589874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129589874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629067868,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129589874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129589874","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.","content":"<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia, Tencent,Walmart, Target and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>英伟达、腾讯控股、沃尔玛、塔吉特等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday.&nbsp;Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>现在是第二季度财报季的最后几局，零售商已准备好采取行动。沃尔玛和家得宝周二发布报告，劳氏、塔吉特和TJX周三紧随其后。美国柯尔百货公司、梅西百货、BJ批发和L品牌是周四的零售亮点，然后Foot Locker将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p> The Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a&nbsp;0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.</p><p><blockquote>人口普查局7月份零售销售数据也将于本周周二公布。经济学家平均预测，上个月经季节性调整后的增长率为0。</blockquote></p><p> Major non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and&nbsp;Krispy Kreme&nbsp;on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and&nbsp;Lumentum Holdings&nbsp;all report.Applied Materials&nbsp;goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布业绩的主要非零售公司包括周二发布业绩的Pandora和Krispy Kreme，随后是繁忙的周三：Nvidia、腾讯控股控股公司、思科系统公司、Analog Devices和Lumentum Holdings均发布业绩。应用材料公司周四公布业绩，Deere公司本周收盘周五。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include several housing-market metrics:&nbsp;The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括几项房地产市场指标：周二公布的全国住宅建筑商协会8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数，以及周三公布的人口普查局7月份新住宅建设报告。</blockquote></p><p> Also on Wednesday, the&nbsp;Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周三，美联储货币政策委员会公布了7月底上次会议的纪要。然后，世界大型企业联合会将于周四公布7月份领先经济指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Tencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and&nbsp;Clear Secure&nbsp;are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股音乐娱乐集团、Tokyo Electron和Clear Secure等公司在评级举行财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>纽约银行发布八月份帝国州制造业调查。普遍估计读数为26.5。相比之下，7月份的历史新高为43.0，当时总体商业状况指数上涨了26点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/17</b></blockquote></p><p> BHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>必和必拓、沃尔玛、家得宝、安捷伦科技、Pandora和Krispy Kreme等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> America’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry &amp; Associates,and&nbsp;La-Z-Boy&nbsp;report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.</p><p><blockquote>America's Car-Mart、Jack Henry&amp;Associates和La-Z-Boy在收盘后报告财务业绩，并将于第二天（8月18日）上午举行收益评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布7月工业部门产能利用率。评级共识为75.7%，与6月份的75.4%几乎没有变化。工业生产预计将比6月份经季节调整后的0.4%增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了8月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测读数为80，与7月份相同。该指数较11月份创下的历史高点90有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Federal Reserve Board</b>&nbsp;Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦储备委员会</b>主席杰伊·鲍威尔将与教育工作者和学生一起主持一个虚拟市政厅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau reports</b>&nbsp;retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局报告</b>7月零售销售数据。继6月份上涨0.6%后，预计经季节调整后环比下降0.3%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.2%，而上个月为增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b>&nbsp;Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会公布了7月底货币政策会议的纪要。</blockquote></p><p> Cisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>思科系统、劳氏、塔吉特、TJX、腾讯控股控股、Brinker International、Analog Devices、Synopsys、Lumentum Holdings和Nvidia在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau’s</b>new residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局的</b>7月份新住宅建设报告预计显示，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161.0万套，低于6月份的164.3万套。3月份新屋开工量达到173万套的疫情后峰值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/19</b></blockquote></p><p> BJ’s Wholesale,<b>L Brands</b>, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>BJ的批发，<b>L品牌</b>、Applied Materials、Ross Stores、雅诗兰黛、Kohl's、Macy's、Performance Food Group、Petco Health and Wellness和Farfetch将在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>releases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布7月份领先经济指数。继6月份上涨0.7%后，LEI预计将环比上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 8/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五8/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Deere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere和Foot Locker在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TME":"腾讯音乐","TGT":"塔吉特","NVDA":"英伟达","WMT":"沃尔玛",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51629054047?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129589874","content_text":"It’s the late innings of second-quarter earnings season, with retailers ready to step up to the plate. Walmart and Home Depot report on Tuesday, followed by Lowe’s, Target, and TJX on Wednesday. Kohl’s, Macy’s, BJ’s Wholesale, and L Brands are Thursday’s retail highlights, then Foot Locker closes the week on Friday.\nThe Census Bureau’s July retail sales data for July is also out this week, on Tuesday. Economists on average are forecasting a 0.2% seasonally adjusted increase last month, after a 0.6% rise in June.\nMajor non-retail companies releasing results this week include Pandora and Krispy Kreme on Tuesday, followed by a busy Wednesday:Nvidia,Tencent Holdings,CiscoSystems,Analog Devices,and Lumentum Holdings all report.Applied Materials goes on Thursday and Deere closes the week on Friday.\nEconomic data out this week include several housing-market metrics: The National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August on Tuesday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction report for July on Wednesday.\nAlso on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee releases the minutes from its last meeting in late July. Then, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for July on Thursday.\nMonday 8/16\nTencent Music Entertainment Group,Tokyo Electron,and Clear Secure are among the companies holding earnings conference calls.\nThe Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for August. The consensus estimate is for a 26.5 reading. That compares with a record high of 43.0 in July, when the general business conditions index rose 26 points.\nTuesday 8/17\nBHP, Walmart, Home Depot,Agilent Technologies,Pandora, and Krispy Kreme are among the companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nAmerica’s Car-Mart,Jack Henry & Associates,and La-Z-Boy report financial results after the market closes and will hold earnings calls the following morning, Aug. 18.\nThe Federal Reserve releases capacity utilization in the industrial sector for July. Consensus calls for a 75.7% reading, little changed from June’s 75.4% reading. Industrial production is seen rising 0.5% from June’s 0.4% seasonally adjusted increase.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for August. Economists forecast an 80 reading, the same as in July. The index is down from its all-time high of 90 set in November.\nFederal Reserve Board Chairman Jay Powell will host a virtual town hall with educators and students.\nThe Census Bureau reports retail sales data for July. Expectations are for a 0.3% seasonally adjusted month-over-month decrease, following a 0.6% rise in June. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.2%, compared with a 1.3% rise in the previous month.\nWednesday 8/18\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its late-July monetary-policy meeting.\nCisco Systems, Lowe’s, Target, TJX, Tencent Holdings,Brinker International,Analog Devices,Synopsys,Lumentum Holdings, and Nvidia host earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureau’snew residential construction report for July is expected to show the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts at 1.610 million, down from June’s 1.643 million. Housing starts hit a postpandemic peak of 1.73 million in March.\nThursday 8/19\nBJ’s Wholesale,L Brands, Applied Materials,Ross Stores,Estée Lauder,Kohl’s, Macy’s,Performance Food Group,Petco Health and Wellness,and Farfetch host earnings conference calls.\nThe Conference Boardreleases its Leading Economic Index for July. The LEI is expected to increase 0.7% month over month, after gaining 0.7% in June.\nFriday 8/20\nDeere and Foot Locker host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WMT":0.9,"TGT":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893023853,"gmtCreate":1628222504472,"gmtModify":1633752447521,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee thx","listText":"Likeeeee thx","text":"Likeeeee thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893023853","repostId":"1193751771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193751771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628222237,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193751771?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why automakers like Biden more than Obama<blockquote>为什么汽车制造商比奥巴马更喜欢拜登</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193751771","media":"yahoo finance","summary":"When President Obama ratcheted up fuel economy standards in 2012, some carmakers quietly dug in thei","content":"<p>When President Obama&nbsp;ratcheted up fuel economy standards in 2012, some carmakers quietly dug in their tires. The new rules nearly doubled fuel-efficiency requirements by 2025, forcing the rapid adoption of expensive new technology. A midway review in 2018 was supposed to provide an off-ramp if the technology wasn’t maturing quickly enough. But when Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Obama moved up the deadline and&nbsp;locked in the new rules, with no industry input.</p><p><blockquote>当奥巴马总统在2012年提高燃油经济性标准时，一些汽车制造商悄悄地提高了轮胎。到2025年，新规则将燃油效率要求提高了近一倍，迫使昂贵的新技术迅速采用。如果技术成熟得不够快，2018年的中途审查本应提供一个出口。但当唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在2016年赢得总统大选时，奥巴马提前了最后期限并锁定了新规则，没有行业投入。</blockquote></p><p> The shunned auto industry asked Trump for relief, and got it. Two months into his presidency,&nbsp;Trump reopened the midway review, and in 2020 Trump&nbsp;sharply reduced the 2025 target. Trump also tried to stop California and two dozen other states from setting their own mileage standards higher than federal levels. That split the industry, assome carmakers sided with Trump and others with California.</p><p><blockquote>被回避的汽车行业向特朗普寻求救济，并得到了救济。就任总统两个月后，特朗普重新启动了中途审查，2020年特朗普大幅降低了2025年的目标。特朗普还试图阻止加州和其他24个州设定高于联邦水平的里程标准。这导致了该行业的分裂，一些汽车制造商站在特朗普一边，另一些则站在加州一边。</blockquote></p><p> President Biden is now undoing Trump’s undoing, and once again pushing for sharp increases in fuel economy. But he’s doing it with much more cooperation from automakers, and an advantage Obama didn’t have: Electric vehicles are much further along than they were nine years ago, with every major automaker rushing EVs to market. That now makes it much easier for automakers to slash emissions across their fleets, while, ironically, allowing the government to soften efficiency targets for vehicles that still run on gasoline.</p><p><blockquote>拜登总统现在正在撤销特朗普的撤销，并再次推动燃油经济性的大幅提高。但他在汽车制造商的更多合作下做到了这一点，这也是奥巴马没有的优势：电动汽车比九年前走得更远，每个主要汽车制造商都在将电动汽车推向市场。现在，这使得汽车制造商更容易削减其车队的排放，同时具有讽刺意味的是，这使得政府能够软化仍使用汽油的车辆的效率目标。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Automakers are on board</b></h3> A new Biden executive order sets a target for up to&nbsp;50% of all new vehicles sold by 2030 being electrified, which means they will either be full plug-ins, hybrids with both a gas engine and an electric motor, or hydrogen-powered cars. Notice that it’s a “target,” not a requirement. Biden’s target is largely in line with goals automakers have already announced, such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>' aim to fully phase out gas- and diesel-powered cars by 2035. The penalty for failing to meet the target? Nada.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>汽车制造商纷纷加入</b></h3>拜登的一项新行政命令设定了到2030年销售的所有新车中高达50%实现电气化的目标，这意味着它们要么是全插电式汽车，要么是兼有燃气发动机和电动机的混合动力汽车，要么是氢动力汽车。请注意，这是一个“目标”，而不是一个需求。拜登的目标与汽车制造商已经宣布的目标基本一致，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>目标是到2035年全面淘汰汽油和柴油动力汽车。达不到目标的惩罚？什么都没有。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1af6cf6099a51f8b7b2be1a35f29a84\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>A sign that reads \"EV Charging Only\" at a ChargePoint vehicle (EV) charging station at the Homewood Suites by Hilton hotel in Spring Township, PA Wednesday morning July 21, 2021. (Photo by Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>2021年7月21日星期三上午，宾夕法尼亚州斯普林镇希尔顿酒店Homewood Suites的ChargePoint车辆(EV)充电站上写着“仅限电动汽车充电”的标志。（摄影：Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle，盖蒂图片社）</i></blockquote></p><p> Biden will also start the process of raising fuel-economy standards for gas-powered cars above the Trump levels. The Obama rules required fuel-economy improvements of about 5% per year. Trump&nbsp;lowered that to 1.5%. Biden will reportedly propose new rules that&nbsp;would require a 3.7% annual improvement.</p><p><blockquote>拜登还将启动将汽油动力汽车燃油经济性标准提高到特朗普水平之上的进程。奥巴马的规定要求燃油经济性每年提高约5%。特朗普将这一比例下调至1.5%。据报道，拜登将提出新规则，要求每年提高3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> It will take time to formulate the federal regulation governing increases in fuel economy, but the auto industry seems less likely to try watering that down behind the scenes than it has during previous battles over fuel-economy increases. Seven automakers—<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMWYY\">Bayerische Motoren Werke AG</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HMC\">Honda</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLKAF\">Volkswagen AG</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLVLY\">Volvo AB</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and Jeep-Chrysler parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis NV</a>—provided supporting statements the White House distributed when it announced Biden’s new EV target. “We look forward to working with the Biden Administration … to enact policies that will enable these ambitious objectives,” GM, Ford and Stellantis said in unison. It’s not often automakers join hands to praise new federal regulations.</p><p><blockquote>制定管理燃油经济性提高的联邦法规需要时间，但汽车行业似乎不太可能在幕后试图淡化这一点，而不是在之前的燃油经济性提高之争中。七家汽车制造商——<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMWYY\">巴伐利亚汽车厂股份公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HMC\">本田</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLKAF\">大众汽车公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLVLY\">沃尔沃AB</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和吉普-克莱斯勒母公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">斯特兰蒂斯公司</a>-提供了白宫在宣布拜登新的电动汽车目标时分发的支持声明。通用汽车、福特和Stellantis异口同声地表示：“我们期待与拜登政府合作……制定能够实现这些雄心勃勃目标的政策。”汽车制造商联手赞扬新的联邦法规的情况并不常见。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a huge sweetener for automakers: Billions of dollars in federal spending to support EV development. The bipartisan infrastructure bill working through Congress includes $7.5 billion to help build EV charging stations. Biden wants more than $150 billion in additional spending on clean-car tax credits, subsidies for battery plants, school-bus electrification and other initiatives. Congress probably won’t provide all that spending, but even a portion of it would be a windfall supporting EV development that would be much risker without a huge government assist.</p><p><blockquote>对于汽车制造商来说，这是一个巨大的甜头：数十亿美元的联邦支出用于支持电动汽车的开发。国会正在通过的两党基础设施法案包括75亿美元用于帮助建设电动汽车充电站。拜登希望在清洁汽车税收抵免、电池厂补贴、校车电气化和其他举措上增加超过1500亿美元的支出。国会可能不会提供所有这些支出，但即使是其中的一部分也将是支持电动汽车开发的意外之财，如果没有政府的巨额援助，电动汽车开发的风险会大得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb3cdc7ae94763d9e64dee84b0bcdfeb\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> Supercharger Station in Kettleman City, California is an EV charging station for electric cars in the San Joaquin Valley, California. Photograph taken on July 12, 2021. (Carolyn Cole / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>加利福尼亚州凯特曼市的超级充电站是加利福尼亚州圣华金河谷的电动汽车充电站。照片拍摄于2021年7月12日。（卡罗琳·科尔/洛杉矶时报，盖蒂图片社）</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One sign of the coziness developing between the Biden administration and the auto industry is criticism from environmental groups hoping Biden would go further. While applauding Biden’s pending reversal of the Trump rules, some groups say he’s moving too slowly. “Setting an aspirational target of 40%-50% electric vehicle sales by 2030 is simply not enough,” the advocacy group Evergreen Action said in a statement. “The Biden administration should … drive toward 100% EV sales by 2030.” The gas-powered car is an endangered species, it's just a matter of when the extinction occurs.</p><p><blockquote>拜登政府和汽车行业之间关系日益密切的一个迹象是环保组织的批评，他们希望拜登走得更远。一些团体在称赞拜登即将推翻特朗普规则的同时，表示他行动太慢。倡导组织Evergreen Action在一份声明中表示：“设定到2030年电动汽车销量占40%-50%的远大目标是不够的。”“拜登政府应该……到2030年实现100%的电动汽车销量。”汽油动力汽车是濒危物种，只是灭绝何时发生的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why automakers like Biden more than Obama<blockquote>为什么汽车制造商比奥巴马更喜欢拜登</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy automakers like Biden more than Obama<blockquote>为什么汽车制造商比奥巴马更喜欢拜登</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When President Obama&nbsp;ratcheted up fuel economy standards in 2012, some carmakers quietly dug in their tires. The new rules nearly doubled fuel-efficiency requirements by 2025, forcing the rapid adoption of expensive new technology. A midway review in 2018 was supposed to provide an off-ramp if the technology wasn’t maturing quickly enough. But when Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Obama moved up the deadline and&nbsp;locked in the new rules, with no industry input.</p><p><blockquote>当奥巴马总统在2012年提高燃油经济性标准时，一些汽车制造商悄悄地提高了轮胎。到2025年，新规则将燃油效率要求提高了近一倍，迫使昂贵的新技术迅速采用。如果技术成熟得不够快，2018年的中途审查本应提供一个出口。但当唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在2016年赢得总统大选时，奥巴马提前了最后期限并锁定了新规则，没有行业投入。</blockquote></p><p> The shunned auto industry asked Trump for relief, and got it. Two months into his presidency,&nbsp;Trump reopened the midway review, and in 2020 Trump&nbsp;sharply reduced the 2025 target. Trump also tried to stop California and two dozen other states from setting their own mileage standards higher than federal levels. That split the industry, assome carmakers sided with Trump and others with California.</p><p><blockquote>被回避的汽车行业向特朗普寻求救济，并得到了救济。就任总统两个月后，特朗普重新启动了中途审查，2020年特朗普大幅降低了2025年的目标。特朗普还试图阻止加州和其他24个州设定高于联邦水平的里程标准。这导致了该行业的分裂，一些汽车制造商站在特朗普一边，另一些则站在加州一边。</blockquote></p><p> President Biden is now undoing Trump’s undoing, and once again pushing for sharp increases in fuel economy. But he’s doing it with much more cooperation from automakers, and an advantage Obama didn’t have: Electric vehicles are much further along than they were nine years ago, with every major automaker rushing EVs to market. That now makes it much easier for automakers to slash emissions across their fleets, while, ironically, allowing the government to soften efficiency targets for vehicles that still run on gasoline.</p><p><blockquote>拜登总统现在正在撤销特朗普的撤销，并再次推动燃油经济性的大幅提高。但他在汽车制造商的更多合作下做到了这一点，这也是奥巴马没有的优势：电动汽车比九年前走得更远，每个主要汽车制造商都在将电动汽车推向市场。现在，这使得汽车制造商更容易削减其车队的排放，同时具有讽刺意味的是，这使得政府能够软化仍使用汽油的车辆的效率目标。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Automakers are on board</b></h3> A new Biden executive order sets a target for up to&nbsp;50% of all new vehicles sold by 2030 being electrified, which means they will either be full plug-ins, hybrids with both a gas engine and an electric motor, or hydrogen-powered cars. Notice that it’s a “target,” not a requirement. Biden’s target is largely in line with goals automakers have already announced, such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>' aim to fully phase out gas- and diesel-powered cars by 2035. The penalty for failing to meet the target? Nada.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>汽车制造商纷纷加入</b></h3>拜登的一项新行政命令设定了到2030年销售的所有新车中高达50%实现电气化的目标，这意味着它们要么是全插电式汽车，要么是兼有燃气发动机和电动机的混合动力汽车，要么是氢动力汽车。请注意，这是一个“目标”，而不是一个需求。拜登的目标与汽车制造商已经宣布的目标基本一致，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>目标是到2035年全面淘汰汽油和柴油动力汽车。达不到目标的惩罚？什么都没有。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1af6cf6099a51f8b7b2be1a35f29a84\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>A sign that reads \"EV Charging Only\" at a ChargePoint vehicle (EV) charging station at the Homewood Suites by Hilton hotel in Spring Township, PA Wednesday morning July 21, 2021. (Photo by Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>2021年7月21日星期三上午，宾夕法尼亚州斯普林镇希尔顿酒店Homewood Suites的ChargePoint车辆(EV)充电站上写着“仅限电动汽车充电”的标志。（摄影：Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle，盖蒂图片社）</i></blockquote></p><p> Biden will also start the process of raising fuel-economy standards for gas-powered cars above the Trump levels. The Obama rules required fuel-economy improvements of about 5% per year. Trump&nbsp;lowered that to 1.5%. Biden will reportedly propose new rules that&nbsp;would require a 3.7% annual improvement.</p><p><blockquote>拜登还将启动将汽油动力汽车燃油经济性标准提高到特朗普水平之上的进程。奥巴马的规定要求燃油经济性每年提高约5%。特朗普将这一比例下调至1.5%。据报道，拜登将提出新规则，要求每年提高3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> It will take time to formulate the federal regulation governing increases in fuel economy, but the auto industry seems less likely to try watering that down behind the scenes than it has during previous battles over fuel-economy increases. Seven automakers—<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMWYY\">Bayerische Motoren Werke AG</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HMC\">Honda</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLKAF\">Volkswagen AG</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLVLY\">Volvo AB</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and Jeep-Chrysler parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">Stellantis NV</a>—provided supporting statements the White House distributed when it announced Biden’s new EV target. “We look forward to working with the Biden Administration … to enact policies that will enable these ambitious objectives,” GM, Ford and Stellantis said in unison. It’s not often automakers join hands to praise new federal regulations.</p><p><blockquote>制定管理燃油经济性提高的联邦法规需要时间，但汽车行业似乎不太可能在幕后试图淡化这一点，而不是在之前的燃油经济性提高之争中。七家汽车制造商——<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMWYY\">巴伐利亚汽车厂股份公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HMC\">本田</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLKAF\">大众汽车公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VLVLY\">沃尔沃AB</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和吉普-克莱斯勒母公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLA\">斯特兰蒂斯公司</a>-提供了白宫在宣布拜登新的电动汽车目标时分发的支持声明。通用汽车、福特和Stellantis异口同声地表示：“我们期待与拜登政府合作……制定能够实现这些雄心勃勃目标的政策。”汽车制造商联手赞扬新的联邦法规的情况并不常见。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a huge sweetener for automakers: Billions of dollars in federal spending to support EV development. The bipartisan infrastructure bill working through Congress includes $7.5 billion to help build EV charging stations. Biden wants more than $150 billion in additional spending on clean-car tax credits, subsidies for battery plants, school-bus electrification and other initiatives. Congress probably won’t provide all that spending, but even a portion of it would be a windfall supporting EV development that would be much risker without a huge government assist.</p><p><blockquote>对于汽车制造商来说，这是一个巨大的甜头：数十亿美元的联邦支出用于支持电动汽车的开发。国会正在通过的两党基础设施法案包括75亿美元用于帮助建设电动汽车充电站。拜登希望在清洁汽车税收抵免、电池厂补贴、校车电气化和其他举措上增加超过1500亿美元的支出。国会可能不会提供所有这些支出，但即使是其中的一部分也将是支持电动汽车开发的意外之财，如果没有政府的巨额援助，电动汽车开发的风险会大得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb3cdc7ae94763d9e64dee84b0bcdfeb\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> Supercharger Station in Kettleman City, California is an EV charging station for electric cars in the San Joaquin Valley, California. Photograph taken on July 12, 2021. (Carolyn Cole / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>加利福尼亚州凯特曼市的超级充电站是加利福尼亚州圣华金河谷的电动汽车充电站。照片拍摄于2021年7月12日。（卡罗琳·科尔/洛杉矶时报，盖蒂图片社）</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One sign of the coziness developing between the Biden administration and the auto industry is criticism from environmental groups hoping Biden would go further. While applauding Biden’s pending reversal of the Trump rules, some groups say he’s moving too slowly. “Setting an aspirational target of 40%-50% electric vehicle sales by 2030 is simply not enough,” the advocacy group Evergreen Action said in a statement. “The Biden administration should … drive toward 100% EV sales by 2030.” The gas-powered car is an endangered species, it's just a matter of when the extinction occurs.</p><p><blockquote>拜登政府和汽车行业之间关系日益密切的一个迹象是环保组织的批评，他们希望拜登走得更远。一些团体在称赞拜登即将推翻特朗普规则的同时，表示他行动太慢。倡导组织Evergreen Action在一份声明中表示：“设定到2030年电动汽车销量占40%-50%的远大目标是不够的。”“拜登政府应该……到2030年实现100%的电动汽车销量。”汽油动力汽车是濒危物种，只是灭绝何时发生的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-automakers-like-biden-more-than-obama-154815643.html\">yahoo finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-automakers-like-biden-more-than-obama-154815643.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193751771","content_text":"When President Obama ratcheted up fuel economy standards in 2012, some carmakers quietly dug in their tires. The new rules nearly doubled fuel-efficiency requirements by 2025, forcing the rapid adoption of expensive new technology. A midway review in 2018 was supposed to provide an off-ramp if the technology wasn’t maturing quickly enough. But when Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Obama moved up the deadline and locked in the new rules, with no industry input.\nThe shunned auto industry asked Trump for relief, and got it. Two months into his presidency, Trump reopened the midway review, and in 2020 Trump sharply reduced the 2025 target. Trump also tried to stop California and two dozen other states from setting their own mileage standards higher than federal levels. That split the industry, assome carmakers sided with Trump and others with California.\nPresident Biden is now undoing Trump’s undoing, and once again pushing for sharp increases in fuel economy. But he’s doing it with much more cooperation from automakers, and an advantage Obama didn’t have: Electric vehicles are much further along than they were nine years ago, with every major automaker rushing EVs to market. That now makes it much easier for automakers to slash emissions across their fleets, while, ironically, allowing the government to soften efficiency targets for vehicles that still run on gasoline.\nAutomakers are on board\nA new Biden executive order sets a target for up to 50% of all new vehicles sold by 2030 being electrified, which means they will either be full plug-ins, hybrids with both a gas engine and an electric motor, or hydrogen-powered cars. Notice that it’s a “target,” not a requirement. Biden’s target is largely in line with goals automakers have already announced, such as General Motors' aim to fully phase out gas- and diesel-powered cars by 2035. The penalty for failing to meet the target? Nada.\nA sign that reads \"EV Charging Only\" at a ChargePoint vehicle (EV) charging station at the Homewood Suites by Hilton hotel in Spring Township, PA Wednesday morning July 21, 2021. (Photo by Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)\nBiden will also start the process of raising fuel-economy standards for gas-powered cars above the Trump levels. The Obama rules required fuel-economy improvements of about 5% per year. Trump lowered that to 1.5%. Biden will reportedly propose new rules that would require a 3.7% annual improvement.\nIt will take time to formulate the federal regulation governing increases in fuel economy, but the auto industry seems less likely to try watering that down behind the scenes than it has during previous battles over fuel-economy increases. Seven automakers—Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, Honda, Volkswagen AG, Volvo AB, General Motors, Ford and Jeep-Chrysler parent Stellantis NV—provided supporting statements the White House distributed when it announced Biden’s new EV target. “We look forward to working with the Biden Administration … to enact policies that will enable these ambitious objectives,” GM, Ford and Stellantis said in unison. It’s not often automakers join hands to praise new federal regulations.\nThere’s a huge sweetener for automakers: Billions of dollars in federal spending to support EV development. The bipartisan infrastructure bill working through Congress includes $7.5 billion to help build EV charging stations. Biden wants more than $150 billion in additional spending on clean-car tax credits, subsidies for battery plants, school-bus electrification and other initiatives. Congress probably won’t provide all that spending, but even a portion of it would be a windfall supporting EV development that would be much risker without a huge government assist.\nThe Tesla Motors Supercharger Station in Kettleman City, California is an EV charging station for electric cars in the San Joaquin Valley, California. Photograph taken on July 12, 2021. (Carolyn Cole / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\nOne sign of the coziness developing between the Biden administration and the auto industry is criticism from environmental groups hoping Biden would go further. While applauding Biden’s pending reversal of the Trump rules, some groups say he’s moving too slowly. “Setting an aspirational target of 40%-50% electric vehicle sales by 2030 is simply not enough,” the advocacy group Evergreen Action said in a statement. “The Biden administration should … drive toward 100% EV sales by 2030.” The gas-powered car is an endangered species, it's just a matter of when the extinction occurs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885642264,"gmtCreate":1631791457058,"gmtModify":1631891578584,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeeeee thx","listText":"Likeeeeeee thx","text":"Likeeeeeee thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885642264","repostId":"2167517393","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177772440,"gmtCreate":1627264300180,"gmtModify":1633766751372,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls [Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls [Smile]&nbsp;","text":"Like pls [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177772440","repostId":"2154893468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143542766,"gmtCreate":1625804923055,"gmtModify":1633937133961,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For the win!","listText":"For the win!","text":"For the win!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143542766","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":844531349,"gmtCreate":1636438002091,"gmtModify":1636438002368,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","listText":"Likeeeee&nbsp;","text":"Likeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844531349","repostId":"1151111395","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151111395","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636436840,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151111395?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 13:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151111395","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with pr","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrices are skyrocketing. Goldman Sachs says prices will go even higher<blockquote>物价飞涨。高盛表示价格将会更高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 13:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）随着汽油、食品杂货和二手车的价格飙升，价格冲击正在引起数百万美国人的焦虑。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.</p><p><blockquote>高盛周日晚上警告客户，不幸的是，解决通胀核心的供需失衡需要比预期更长的时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.</p><p><blockquote>该行经济学家在一份研究报告中写道：“通胀超调在好转之前可能会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> Like much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.</p><p><blockquote>与华尔街和美联储的大部分人一样，高盛一直预计高价格将迅速回归现实。现在，人们意识到，随着供应难以跟上需求的激增，通胀将持续更长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Due to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认，由于“长期”的供需失衡、房地产繁荣期间工资飙升和租金上涨，通胀指标将“在明年的大部分时间里保持相当高”。</blockquote></p><p> That's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>对于在高生活成本中挣扎的美国人以及受到短缺和物价上涨挤压的企业来说，这是个坏消息。低收入家庭和那些靠固定预算生活的人受到汽油、食品和衣服等必需品价格上涨的伤害最大。</blockquote></p><p> The inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.</p><p><blockquote>通胀预测对白宫来说也是一个挫折，因为高物价和供应链问题正在恶化美国人对美国经济的看法——此前预计美国经济将成为总统乔·拜登今年的强项。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>相反，在上周公布的一项民意调查中，近三分之二的美国人将经济描述为糟糕。近一半的人预计明年经济会变得更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>30-year high for inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀创30年新高</b></blockquote></p><p> Annual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.</p><p><blockquote>据美国商务部称，9月份年度通胀率以30多年来最快的速度攀升。这是基于个人消费支出价格指数4.4%的涨幅。不包括食品和能源，美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE在8月和9月上涨了3.6%，为1991年5月以来的最快增速。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经改变了对通胀的态度，承认高物价不会很快消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的新闻发布会上对记者表示：“我们认为短缺和瓶颈将持续到明年，甚至明年。”“我们看到通胀持续走高。”</blockquote></p><p> Everyday Americans seem to agree.</p><p><blockquote>普通美国人似乎都同意。</blockquote></p><p> Consumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.</p><p><blockquote>纽约美联储周一发布的一项调查显示，消费者目前预计明年物价将上涨5.7%。这是自2013年6月调查开始以来的最高水平，也是连续第12个月增长。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储密切关注这些调查，因为对高通胀的预期可能会改变消费者和企业的行为，从而创造一个自我实现的预言。</blockquote></p><p> The good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，高盛表示，其核心观点仍然是供需失衡将“在很大程度上自行解决，使通胀接近美联储的目标”。这与鲍威尔最近几周所说的一致。</blockquote></p><p> \"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在报告中写道：“我们不认为总需求处于不可持续的轨道上，也不认为通胀预期已经失控，因此超调最终应该是暂时的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，美联储可能不需要给经济踩刹车，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks tilted towards more, not less, inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险倾向于通胀上升而不是下降</b></blockquote></p><p> Still, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，高盛预计，到2021年底，核心PCE通胀率将从目前的30年高点3.6%升至4.4%。美联储首选的通胀指标预计最终将在2022年底降至2.3%，在2023年底降至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.</p><p><blockquote>同样，高盛表示，核心消费者价格预计将在“冬季大部分时间”保持在5%左右的范围内，然后在明年夏天降至4%，到2022年底降至3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> That's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.</p><p><blockquote>这远高于美联储2%的目标，可能会让人们对经济的焦虑情绪居高不下。</blockquote></p><p> As Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.</p><p><blockquote>正如鲍威尔在新闻发布会上所说，通胀前景仍存在巨大不确定性。没有人能确定价格何时会恢复正常。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.</p><p><blockquote>高盛承认：“我们预测的风险可能倾向于上行。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/08/economy/inflation-economy-goldman-sachs/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151111395","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Sticker shock is causing anxiety for millions of Americans right now, with prices soaring for gasoline, groceries and used cars.\nUnfortunately, it's going to take longer than expected to work out the supply-demand imbalances at the heart of inflation, Goldman Sachs warned clients Sunday night.\n\"The inflation overshoot will likely get worse before it gets better,\" the bank's economists wrote in a research report.\nLike much of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs had been anticipating high prices would swiftly come back to earth. Now, there is a realization that inflation will be sticking around longer as supply struggles to keep up with surging demand.\nDue to \"prolonged\" supply-demand imbalances, soaring wages and rising rent amid the housing boom, inflation metrics will remain \"quite high for much of next year,\" Goldman Sachs conceded.\nThat's bad news for Americans struggling with the high cost of living, as well as businesses squeezed by shortages and rising prices. Low-income families and those living on a fixed budget are hurt the most by rising prices on necessities like gas, food and clothing.\nThe inflation forecast is also a setback for the White House because high prices and supply chain problems are souring Americans' views on the US economy — which had been expected to be a strongpoint for President Joe Biden this year.\nInstead, nearly two-thirds of Americans described the economy as poor in a poll released last week. Nearly half expect the economy to get worse in the next year.\n30-year high for inflation\nAnnual inflation climbed at the fastest pace in more than 30 years during September, according to the Commerce Department. That's based on the 4.4% increase in the personal consumption expenditures price index. Excluding food and energy, core PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rose 3.6% in August and September, the fastest pace since May 1991.\nThe Fed has now changed its tune on inflation, acknowledging that high prices won't go away anytime soon.\n\"We see shortages and bottlenecks persisting into next year, well into next year,\" Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters during a press conference last week. \"We see higher inflation persisting.\"\nEveryday Americans seem to agree.\nConsumers are now expecting prices to rise by 5.7% over the next year, according to a survey released Monday by the NY Federal Reserve. That marks the highest level since the survey began in June 2013 and the 12th consecutive monthly increase.\nThe Fed watches these surveys closely because expectations of high inflation can change consumer and business behavior, creating a self-fulfilling prophesy.\nThe good news is that Goldman Sachs says its core view remains that supply-demand imbalances will \"largely work themselves out, leaving inflation near the Fed's goal.\" That jives with what Powell has said in recent weeks.\n\"We do not think that aggregate demand is on an unsustainable trajectory or that inflation expectations have become unanchored, and the overshoot should therefore ultimately prove transitory,\" Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report.\nIn other words, the Fed likely won't need to slam the brakes on the economy to fight inflation through sharp interest rate hikes.\nRisks tilted towards more, not less, inflation\nStill, Goldman Sachs expects core PCE inflation to rise from the current 30-year high of 3.6% to 4.4% by the end of 2021. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to eventually cool off to 2.3% at the end of 2022 and 2.1% at the end of 2023.\nLikewise, core consumer prices are expected to remain in the mid-5% range for \"much of the winter,\" before easing to 4% next summer and 3.2% at the end of 2022, Goldman Sachs said.\nThat's well above the Fed's 2% goal and may keep anxiety about the economy high.\nAs Powell said during his press conference, there remains vast uncertainty over the inflation outlook. No one can say for certain when prices will get back to normal.\n\"The risks to our forecast are probably tilted to the upside,\" Goldman Sachs acknowledged.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881793768,"gmtCreate":1631402843254,"gmtModify":1631891578597,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeeee thx","listText":"Likeeeeee thx","text":"Likeeeeee thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881793768","repostId":"1147045390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147045390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631321547,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147045390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple  to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式，这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中，美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令，要求苹果（股票代码：AAPL）允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示，2020年，苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元，产生的费用估计为217亿美元，约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出，产生约63亿美元的费用，约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计，2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元，产生143亿美元的费用，略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计，App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力，利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后，app store的增长率将恢复正常，”他说。“最重要的是，这最多是一年的逆风，不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示，这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折，但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收，包括其不断增长的店内广告业务，最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出，苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利：法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击，并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示，华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜，但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念，投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like&nbsp;Spotify Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Match Group&nbsp;than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and&nbsp;4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的，而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%，至148.97美元，Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-11 08:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序中的购买提供替代支付方式，这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games提起的案件中，美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers发布了一项永久禁令，要求苹果（股票代码：AAPL）允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里收取30%的提成。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪器SensorTower的数据显示，2020年，苹果从App Store获得的总收入为723亿美元，产生的费用估计为217亿美元，约占苹果总收入的7%。其中包括在美国的210亿美元支出，产生约63亿美元的费用，约占年收入的2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower估计，2020年App Store中的手机游戏支出为476亿美元，产生143亿美元的费用，略低于苹果总收入的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司Loup Capital董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计，App Store约占该公司利润的14%。但他认为周五裁决的风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>蒙斯特认为大多数应用程序开发人员将留在苹果系统内。他认为整体收入“最多”会受到2%的阻力，利润可能会受到4%的打击。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“在这些变化的第一年之后，app store的增长率将恢复正常，”他说。“最重要的是，这最多是一年的逆风，不会改变苹果未来5年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani在一份研究报告中表示，这一裁决对苹果来说是一次挫折，但鉴于苹果有其他方式从商店创收，包括其不断增长的店内广告业务，最终的影响可能是可控的。他指出，苹果实际上在该案中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利：法官驳回了Epic关于App Store是非法垄断的主张。Daryanani估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到3%至4%的打击，并将这种风险描述为“舍入误差”。虽然Ives表示，华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜，但这一喜忧参半的决定消除了该股的悬念，投资者可能会因为解决这个问题而松一口气。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like&nbsp;Spotify Technology&nbsp;and&nbsp;Match Group&nbsp;than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97&nbsp;on&nbsp;Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and&nbsp;4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，这一裁决对Spotify Technology和Match Group等公司来说更多的是积极的，而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌3.3%，至148.97美元，Spotify和March分别上涨0.7%和4.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880260067,"gmtCreate":1631060195059,"gmtModify":1631891578637,"author":{"id":"3574894755868229","authorId":"3574894755868229","name":"JaydenNg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dc5bdc12b4163b2931f9a4fe2c6713","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574894755868229","idStr":"3574894755868229"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likeeeee thx","listText":"Likeeeee thx","text":"Likeeeee 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