sUs的个人主页 - 老虎社区

sUs

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0勋章

2021-09-26

Waiting for an entry point....

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-17

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ thank you...

2021-09-01

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ thank. U...

2021-09-01

👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-31

👍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-31

👍

Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote>

2021-08-17

👍

3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote>

2021-08-15

👍

How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>

2021-06-21

Scary....

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

OK!

NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>

2021-06-18

Go!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ thx...

2021-06-17

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ up mr3

2021-06-14

Noted....

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

Agreed...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

👌

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-08

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ pls. Pls. Pls

2021-06-08

Kudoooss!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-05

Bite teeth...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-04

Hard to tell...

Buy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote>

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630316356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199138618?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-30 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199138618","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar ","content":"<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p><p><blockquote>据《苹果内幕》报道，苹果分析师郭明錤的一份报告称，苹果公司可能会与Globalstar Inc.合作，为即将推出的iPhone 13机型带来卫星通信连接。</blockquote></p><p> A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo在报告中表示，苹果预计将在iPhone 13中使用的高通X60基带芯片的定制版本将支持低地球轨道(LEO)卫星通信。</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo表示，如果苹果与LEO卫星通信服务提供商合作，iPhone 13用户将能够在其设备上直接使用Globalstar的卫星通信服务。</blockquote></p><p> Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p><p><blockquote>郭指出，苹果还可以在其即将推出的苹果AR耳机和苹果汽车中使用卫星通信功能。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-30 17:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p><p><blockquote>据《苹果内幕》报道，苹果分析师郭明錤的一份报告称，苹果公司可能会与Globalstar Inc.合作，为即将推出的iPhone 13机型带来卫星通信连接。</blockquote></p><p> A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo在报告中表示，苹果预计将在iPhone 13中使用的高通X60基带芯片的定制版本将支持低地球轨道(LEO)卫星通信。</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo表示，如果苹果与LEO卫星通信服务提供商合作，iPhone 13用户将能够在其设备上直接使用Globalstar的卫星通信服务。</blockquote></p><p> Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p><p><blockquote>郭指出，苹果还可以在其即将推出的苹果AR耳机和苹果汽车中使用卫星通信功能。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GSAT":"全球星"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199138618","content_text":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar Inc. to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming iPhone 13 models, according to a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple Insider reported.\nA customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.\niPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.\nApple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"GSAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839523736,"gmtCreate":1629167619425,"gmtModify":1631891069331,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839523736","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将会重挫。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年，疫情和/或轧空对这三家公司的待遇非常好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标通常可以持保留态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在近17个月的时间里，广受关注<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在2020年3月冠状病毒崩溃期间触底，现已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。据华尔街分析师和投资公司称，根据每家公司的共识目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失53%至84%的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先是飙升的生物科技股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>，自2020年初以来已上涨近1,900%。即使在从上周盘中高点回调超过20%后，Moderna的股价仍必须再下跌53%才能达到184.92美元的一致目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna升天的原因是其紧急使用授权(EUA)冠状病毒疾病2019(COVID-19)疫苗mRNA-1273的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗的疫苗效力（VE）约为94%。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>该疫苗的VE为95%，在功效方面没有其他EUA疫苗接近。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是Moderna的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，并鼓励了美国。美国食品药品监督管理局将授权为那些免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna飙升的股价似乎表明，在COVID-19局势好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比以前预测的更强劲的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna的估值问题是双重的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>，新冠疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>在未来几个月内收到EUA是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>提高单剂量疫苗的产量应该没有任何问题。我们可能会在2021年看到Moderna的收入高峰年。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的1570亿美元市值可能会也可能不会持续下去，这听起来风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Dillard's：隐含下跌55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶...百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德氏</a></b>8月13日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下196美元的历史收盘新高，使其市值突破40亿美元。但分析师对该公司的一致目标价为87.33美元，该百货商店明年可能会降价55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么Dillard的股价在过去一年中上涨了625%，那么其经营业绩将是一个很好的起点。该公司在疫情爆发后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，过去两个季度的利润绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至7月31日的26周内，该公司回购了约140万股股票，总计1.71亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，迪拉德的可交易流通量相对较小，而且是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为轧空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其2021年26周零售额仅比2019年同期26周零售额高出1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年同店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德反抗华尔街的时间可能会比预期的要长一些，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这一步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行空间84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，最具潜在下行空间的是电影院股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管AMC是今年表现最好的股票之一，但它需要从当前股价下跌84%才能达到每股5.25美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一月份获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司通过发行普通股和债务使自己免于破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对AMC的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性轧空。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC热情的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次轧空。截至7月30日，8585万股被空头持有，几乎占流通股的17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，AMC的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能原谅AMC在过去六个月中消耗了5.765亿美元现金的事实，也不能原谅它距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至6月底，AMC的企业借款为55亿美元，另外还有4.2亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司的股票发行实际上达到最大限度，AMC将被迫依靠其18.1亿美元的现金和2.12亿美元的循环信贷额度来偿还租金义务和债务。由于其2026年和2027年债券的价格分别为面值的58%和62%，债券持有人明确表示担心AMC将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是我们已经见证了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司仅提供45天的独家窗口，比大流行前传统的75天独家期减少到90天。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过12个月的时间，但AMC确实有望跌回2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将会重挫。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年，疫情和/或轧空对这三家公司的待遇非常好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标通常可以持保留态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在近17个月的时间里，广受关注<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在2020年3月冠状病毒崩溃期间触底，现已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。据华尔街分析师和投资公司称，根据每家公司的共识目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失53%至84%的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先是飙升的生物科技股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>，自2020年初以来已上涨近1,900%。即使在从上周盘中高点回调超过20%后，Moderna的股价仍必须再下跌53%才能达到184.92美元的一致目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna升天的原因是其紧急使用授权(EUA)冠状病毒疾病2019(COVID-19)疫苗mRNA-1273的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗的疫苗效力（VE）约为94%。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>该疫苗的VE为95%，在功效方面没有其他EUA疫苗接近。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是Moderna的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，并鼓励了美国。美国食品药品监督管理局将授权为那些免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna飙升的股价似乎表明，在COVID-19局势好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比以前预测的更强劲的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna的估值问题是双重的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>，新冠疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>在未来几个月内收到EUA是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>提高单剂量疫苗的产量应该没有任何问题。我们可能会在2021年看到Moderna的收入高峰年。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的1570亿美元市值可能会也可能不会持续下去，这听起来风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Dillard's：隐含下跌55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶...百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德氏</a></b>8月13日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下196美元的历史收盘新高，使其市值突破40亿美元。但分析师对该公司的一致目标价为87.33美元，该百货商店明年可能会降价55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么Dillard的股价在过去一年中上涨了625%，那么其经营业绩将是一个很好的起点。该公司在疫情爆发后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，过去两个季度的利润绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至7月31日的26周内，该公司回购了约140万股股票，总计1.71亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，迪拉德的可交易流通量相对较小，而且是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为轧空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其2021年26周零售额仅比2019年同期26周零售额高出1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年同店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德反抗华尔街的时间可能会比预期的要长一些，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这一步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行空间84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，最具潜在下行空间的是电影院股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管AMC是今年表现最好的股票之一，但它需要从当前股价下跌84%才能达到每股5.25美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一月份获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司通过发行普通股和债务使自己免于破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对AMC的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性轧空。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC热情的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次轧空。截至7月30日，8585万股被空头持有，几乎占流通股的17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，AMC的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能原谅AMC在过去六个月中消耗了5.765亿美元现金的事实，也不能原谅它距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至6月底，AMC的企业借款为55亿美元，另外还有4.2亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司的股票发行实际上达到最大限度，AMC将被迫依靠其18.1亿美元的现金和2.12亿美元的循环信贷额度来偿还租金义务和债务。由于其2026年和2027年债券的价格分别为面值的58%和62%，债券持有人明确表示担心AMC将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是我们已经见证了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司仅提供45天的独家窗口，比大流行前传统的75天独家期减少到90天。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过12个月的时间，但AMC确实有望跌回2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDS":"狄乐百货","AMC":"AMC院线","JNJ":"强生",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"DDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830932390,"gmtCreate":1628999053510,"gmtModify":1631891069341,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830932390","repostId":"2159214569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159214569","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628989290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159214569?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159214569","media":"MarkeWatch","summary":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.So where does Nio $$","content":"<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarkeWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarkeWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车","GM":"通用汽车","NIO":"蔚来","STLA":"Stellantis NV","HMC":"本田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159214569","content_text":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.\nA Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)\nChinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.\nThat might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.\nSo where does Nio $(NIO)$, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.\nDoubling car production\nFor the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.\nHere's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYou can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc. and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.\nFor now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.\nOne thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.\nAmong those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:\nFor Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.\nVolkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.\nFor Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.\nValuation to earnings estimates\nFor companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.\nA high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.\nThen again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.\nNormally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.\nFirst, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:\n\nNio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.\nValuation to sales\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.\nHere's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:\n\nFor reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.\n\n\n\n\n\nAnalysts' opinions\nHere's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"GM":0.9,"HMC":0.9,"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167337713,"gmtCreate":1624246578832,"gmtModify":1631891069355,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Scary....&nbsp;","listText":"Scary....&nbsp;","text":"Scary....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167337713","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166453001,"gmtCreate":1624023500803,"gmtModify":1631891069365,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK!&nbsp;","listText":"OK!&nbsp;","text":"OK!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166453001","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166467644,"gmtCreate":1624023252688,"gmtModify":1631891069378,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go!&nbsp;","listText":"Go!&nbsp;","text":"Go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166467644","repostId":"1117650695","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166469330,"gmtCreate":1624022967420,"gmtModify":1631891069412,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>&nbsp;thx...&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>&nbsp;thx...&nbsp;","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ thx...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166469330","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163463714,"gmtCreate":1623891485738,"gmtModify":1631891069413,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>&nbsp;up mr3","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>&nbsp;up mr3","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ up 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Pls","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa62ad0aa86e74b5f5e82f0420f47ed5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180936551","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117892792,"gmtCreate":1623127821116,"gmtModify":1634036640790,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kudoooss!&nbsp;","listText":"Kudoooss!&nbsp;","text":"Kudoooss!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117892792","repostId":"1108033863","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112823334,"gmtCreate":1622861318128,"gmtModify":1634097273524,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bite teeth...&nbsp;","listText":"Bite teeth...&nbsp;","text":"Bite teeth...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112823334","repostId":"2140403419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116744722,"gmtCreate":1622821246866,"gmtModify":1634097635115,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574914161995189","authorIdStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hard to tell...&nbsp;","listText":"Hard to tell...&nbsp;","text":"Hard to tell...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116744722","repostId":"1180386317","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180386317","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622616520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180386317?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180386317","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.Cowen analyst Cai von Rumohr upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people boarded","content":"<p>Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周二，波音公司股价上调，一位华尔街分析师指出，这家商业航空航天巨头和整个行业的情况正在好转。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. </p><p><blockquote>波音股票（股票代码：BA）周二上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst&nbsp;Cai von Rumohr&nbsp;upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师Cai von Rumohr将该股评级从持有上调至买入，并将目标价从每股240美元上调至290美元。他对“变革即将到来”的信念支撑了他更乐观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people&nbsp;boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.</p><p><blockquote>第一个变化是空中交通。在经历了受疫情影响的奄奄一息的2020年之后，航空旅行正在回升。周一，美国有超过190万人登机，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。假日周末，美国商业航空运输量与2019年相比下降了不到30%，降幅小于最近几个周末。</blockquote></p><p> More people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>飞机上的人数增加对所有航空航天相关股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Von Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.</p><p><blockquote>冯·鲁莫尔还看到了商用飞机需求的变化。政府和航空公司越来越关注减少二氧化碳排放，新飞机排放的温室气体较少，因此更换需求的增长速度可能会快于投资者的预期。当然，较低的运营成本是更换飞机的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> He also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than&nbsp;Airbus&nbsp;(AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.</p><p><blockquote>他还指出，全球宽体或双通道飞机机队比正在使用的窄体飞机更老。这使得他们更有可能被取代。宽体订单率的快速回升对波音的帮助可能比空客（AIR.France）更大，因为波音在宽体领域拥有更大的市场份额。尽管如此，任何订单提货都将使双方受益。</blockquote></p><p> As air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290&nbsp;target price.</p><p><blockquote>随着空中交通恢复正常，这可能会鼓励航空公司购买，冯·鲁莫尔预计，到2024年，波音公司每股将产生21美元的自由现金流。该现金流支撑了他290美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.</p><p><blockquote>目前，波音公司正在烧钱，因为在Covid-19封锁期间交付量急剧下降。2017年和2018年，在大流行之前，以及2019年737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音每股产生的自由现金流超过20美元。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500的自由现金收益率（本质上是自由现金流除以股价）约为3%，但波音的历史收益率接近6%。凭借21美元的自由现金流和6%的收益率，到2024年股价有可能达到350美元，在未来几年提供有吸引力的回报，股价约为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> With the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>随着评级上调，53%的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行和2019年3月至2020年12月737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音公司是一只更受欢迎的股票。2019年2月，超过76%的研究该公司的分析师将股票评级为买入。股价接近400美元。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价2019年上涨1%，2020年下跌34%。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约19%，好于整体市场的可比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周二，波音公司股价上调，一位华尔街分析师指出，这家商业航空航天巨头和整个行业的情况正在好转。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. </p><p><blockquote>波音股票（股票代码：BA）周二上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst&nbsp;Cai von Rumohr&nbsp;upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师Cai von Rumohr将该股评级从持有上调至买入，并将目标价从每股240美元上调至290美元。他对“变革即将到来”的信念支撑了他更乐观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people&nbsp;boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.</p><p><blockquote>第一个变化是空中交通。在经历了受疫情影响的奄奄一息的2020年之后，航空旅行正在回升。周一，美国有超过190万人登机，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。假日周末，美国商业航空运输量与2019年相比下降了不到30%，降幅小于最近几个周末。</blockquote></p><p> More people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>飞机上的人数增加对所有航空航天相关股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Von Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.</p><p><blockquote>冯·鲁莫尔还看到了商用飞机需求的变化。政府和航空公司越来越关注减少二氧化碳排放，新飞机排放的温室气体较少，因此更换需求的增长速度可能会快于投资者的预期。当然，较低的运营成本是更换飞机的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> He also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than&nbsp;Airbus&nbsp;(AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.</p><p><blockquote>他还指出，全球宽体或双通道飞机机队比正在使用的窄体飞机更老。这使得他们更有可能被取代。宽体订单率的快速回升对波音的帮助可能比空客（AIR.France）更大，因为波音在宽体领域拥有更大的市场份额。尽管如此，任何订单提货都将使双方受益。</blockquote></p><p> As air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290&nbsp;target price.</p><p><blockquote>随着空中交通恢复正常，这可能会鼓励航空公司购买，冯·鲁莫尔预计，到2024年，波音公司每股将产生21美元的自由现金流。该现金流支撑了他290美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.</p><p><blockquote>目前，波音公司正在烧钱，因为在Covid-19封锁期间交付量急剧下降。2017年和2018年，在大流行之前，以及2019年737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音每股产生的自由现金流超过20美元。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500的自由现金收益率（本质上是自由现金流除以股价）约为3%，但波音的历史收益率接近6%。凭借21美元的自由现金流和6%的收益率，到2024年股价有可能达到350美元，在未来几年提供有吸引力的回报，股价约为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> With the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>随着评级上调，53%的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行和2019年3月至2020年12月737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音公司是一只更受欢迎的股票。2019年2月，超过76%的研究该公司的分析师将股票评级为买入。股价接近400美元。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价2019年上涨1%，2020年下跌34%。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约19%，好于整体市场的可比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-boeing-stock-cowen-rating-upgrade-51622566557?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-boeing-stock-cowen-rating-upgrade-51622566557?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180386317","content_text":"Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.\nBoeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. \nCowen analyst Cai von Rumohr upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.\nThe first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.\nMore people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.\nVon Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.\nHe also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than Airbus (AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.\nAs air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290 target price.\nRight now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.\nWhile the S&P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.\nWith the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&P 500 is about 55%.\nBoeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.\nBoeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":830932390,"gmtCreate":1628999053510,"gmtModify":1631891069341,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830932390","repostId":"2159214569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2159214569","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628989290,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2159214569?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159214569","media":"MarkeWatch","summary":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.So where does Nio $$","content":"<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to value Nio's stock compared to Tesla, VW, Ford and other rivals<blockquote>与特斯拉、大众、福特和其他竞争对手相比，如何评估蔚来股票的价值</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarkeWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 09:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来可能是一家相对较小的公司。但投资者看好这家中国电动汽车制造商的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459f713c5dfcf08752165d643a5f1463\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"525\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>上海市中心的一家蔚来店。（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来在美国不销售汽车，其市值为602亿美元。以此衡量，它比1903年成立的福特汽车公司还要大。</blockquote></p><p> That might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.</p><p><blockquote>作为投资者，这对您来说可能是有意义的——毕竟，蔚来是一家只销售电动汽车的创新公司。福特是一家传统汽车制造商，正在努力迎头赶上并最终全面过渡到电动汽车。蔚来的股价在过去一年上涨了两倍多，而福特的股价在过去十年暴跌后几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> So where does Nio <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>那么蔚来在哪里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>该公司在周三股市收盘后公布了第二季度业绩，符合投资理论吗？下面的屏幕显示了其股票估值与汽车产量的比较，以及该估值与2025年预计收益的关系。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Doubling car production</b></p><p><blockquote><b>汽车产量翻倍</b></blockquote></p><p> For the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，蔚来交付了21,896辆汽车，同比增长112%。增长令人印象深刻，但销售的车辆总数仍然相对较少。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:</p><p><blockquote>以下是按市值计算的10家最大汽车制造商，以及它们第二季度的销售额或交付量（如果两者都报告，以较高者为准）以及表下方的附加颜色：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9e9aed76c94544dbe44cde9f7c8bebc\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> You can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc.&nbsp;and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>你可以看到，这些估值是关于未来的，届时电动汽车领域的创新者——名单上的特斯拉公司和蔚来——可能（也可能不会）变得与传统企业一样大。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine&nbsp;vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.</p><p><blockquote>目前，福特主要生产内燃机汽车，其速度几乎是蔚来电动汽车生产速度的35倍。</blockquote></p><p> One thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的一件事是，传统汽车制造商并不都以相同的方式报告其销量。大多数人都没有公布电动汽车销量。</blockquote></p><p> Among those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:</p><p><blockquote>在那些这样做的国家中，定义各不相同。例如，丰田汽车公司（7203.TO）报告称，第二季度“电动汽车”销量占汽车总销量的26.6%。但该类别包括：</blockquote></p><p> For Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.</p><p><blockquote>对于丰田来说，纯电动汽车仅占第二季度销量的0.2%，而蔚来和特斯拉则占100%。丰田的PHEV销量占总销量的1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Volkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车公司报告称，电动汽车销量包括PHEV（占第二季度销量的6.7%）和BEV（占总销量的4.4%）。这些数字令人印象深刻：总计11.1%。</blockquote></p><p> For Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>对于Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft（更广为人知的名称是BWM Group）来说，第二季度电动汽车交付量的细分数据尚未公布，但2021年上半年，交付了153,243辆全电动或插电式混合动力汽车，或占总交付量的11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to earnings estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与盈利预测之比</b></blockquote></p><p> For companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>对于处于早期阶段的公司来说，市盈率的比较可能意义不大。这类公司关注的是增长而不是利润。这方面的一个例子是亚马逊公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>几十年来，该公司的市盈率一直很高，因为它一直在努力扩展到新的业务领域，但牺牲了利润。</blockquote></p><p> A high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>高市盈率可以反映投资者对创新的热情，就电动汽车而言，也可以反映行业转型的政治共识。因此，蔚来和特斯拉的市盈率远高于传统汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，非常低的市盈率可能表明投资者对老牌制造商过于蔑视，因为他们利用持续大量销售传统汽车的现金流来资助电动汽车的开发。机会可能会凸显。</blockquote></p><p> Normally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.</p><p><blockquote>通常，远期市盈率的计算方法是将股价除以12个月每股收益的滚动共识估计。这并不适用于此处列出的所有公司，因此我们使用对2022年净利润的共识估计。</blockquote></p><p> First, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:</p><p><blockquote>首先，以下是基于当前市值和FactSet调查的分析师对2022年普遍预期的市盈率。该表包括截至2025年的年度预测，以及基于当前市值和2025年预测的市盈率：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/459439c822252d09b3dfb73cc5d51211\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> Nio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&amp;P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计将于2023年实现盈利。展望2024年，其远期市盈率低于特斯拉。为了正确看待未来市盈率估值，标普500指数的加权交易价格是2022年每股收益普遍预期的20.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation to sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值与销售额之比</b></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Forward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table>对于利润较低或净亏损的早期公司来说，远期市销率估计可能更有用。话又说回来，同样的扭曲也适用：投资者现在喜欢纯电动汽车制造商，当你考虑到蔚来的股价在过去一年中上涨了两倍多，而特斯拉的股价却上涨了150%时，他们可能会为它们支付过高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:</p><p><blockquote>以下是一组推动市销率的类似数据，再次使用当前市值（在本文顶部的第一个表格中）和以百万美元为单位的共识全年估计：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c0b7d002e07914e42fcdf0e624b25c\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"668\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> For reference, the S&amp;P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.</p><p><blockquote>作为参考，标普500的交易价格是其2022年普遍销售预期的2.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Analysts' opinions</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table><b>分析师观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:</p><p><blockquote>以下是FactSet调查的分析师对10家汽车制造商的看法摘要。对于主要在美国以外上市的公司，使用当地股票代码。所有股价和目标均以当地货币计算：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f38063eabf2e93f73561a0454a44ac\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarkeWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车","GM":"通用汽车","NIO":"蔚来","STLA":"Stellantis NV","HMC":"本田汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nio-releases-earnings-wednesday-heres-how-to-value-its-stock-compared-to-tesla-ford-and-other-rivals-11628716814?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159214569","content_text":"Nio may be a relatively small company. But investors are bullish on the Chinese electric-vehicle maker's prospects.\nA Nio store in downtown Shanghai. (Getty Images)\nChinese electric-vehicle maker Nio Inc., which sells no cars in the U.S., has a market capitalization of $60.2 billion. By that measure, it is larger than Ford Motor Co., which was founded in 1903.\nThat might make sense to you as an investor -- after all, Nio is an innovative company that sells only electric vehicles. Ford is a legacy auto maker that is working to catch up and eventually make a full transition to electric vehicles. Shares of Nio have more than tripled in the past year, while Ford's have almost doubled after cratering in the previous decade.\nSo where does Nio $(NIO)$, which reported second-quarter results after the stock market closes Wednesday, fit in an investment thesis? Below are screens showing how its stock valuation compares to vehicle production, and how that valuation relates to projected earnings through 2025.\nDoubling car production\nFor the second quarter, Nio delivered 21,896 vehicles for a 112% increase from a year earlier. The growth is impressive, but the total number of vehicles sold is still relatively small.\nHere's a look at the 10 largest auto makers by market capitalization, along with their second-quarter sales or delivery numbers (whichever was higher, if both were reported) and additional color below the table:\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYou can see that those valuations are about the future, when innovators in the EV space -- Tesla Inc. and Nio, on this list -- may (or may not) become as large as legacy players.\nFor now, Ford churns out mostly internal combustion engine vehicles at nearly 35 times the rate that Nio makes EVs.\nOne thing to be aware of is that the legacy auto makers don't all report their unit sales the same way. Most don't break out electric vehicle sales.\nAmong those that do, definitions vary. For example, Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) reported that \"electrified vehicle\" sales made up 26.6% of total auto sales during the second quarter. But that category includes:\nFor Toyota, BEV made up only 0.2% of second-quarter sales, while they accounted for 100% of sales for Nio and Tesla. Toyota's PHEV sales made up 1.4% of the total.\nVolkswagen AG reports electric-vehicle sales as including PHEV, which accounted for 6.7% of second-quarter sales, or BEV, which made up 4.4% of total sales. Those are impressive numbers: a combined 11.1%.\nFor Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft , better known as BWM Group, a second-quarter breakdown of electric-vehicle deliveries isn't yet available, but for the first half of 2021, 153,243 all-electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles were delivered, or 11.4% of total deliveries.\nValuation to earnings estimates\nFor companies at early stages, comparisons of price-to-earnings ratios may not mean very much. Such companies are focusing on growth rather than profits. An example of this has been Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$, which has traded at a high P/E for decades as it has worked to expand into new lines of business, at the expense of the bottom line.\nA high P/E ratio can reflect investors' enthusiasm for innovation and in the case of EVs, a political consensus for transforming the industry. So Nio and Tesla trade at much higher P/E ratios than the legacy auto makers.\nThen again, very low P/E may show too much contempt among investors for the older manufacturers, as they use their cash flow from continuing massive sales of traditional vehicles to fund their development of EVs. Opportunities may be highlighted.\nNormally a forward P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the share price by a rolling consensus estimate of earnings per share for 12 months. This isn't available for all the companies listed here, so we're using consensus estimates for net income for calendar 2022.\nFirst, here are P/E ratios based on current market caps and consensus 2022 estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. The table includes the annual estimates going out to 2025, and also a P/E based on current market caps and the 2025 estimates:\n\nNio is expected to become profitable in 2023. Looking out to 2024, its forward P/E is lower than that of Tesla. To put the forward P/E valuations in perspective, the S&P 500 Index trades for a weighted 20.5 times consensus 2022 EPS estimates.\nValuation to sales\n\n\n\n\n\n\nForward price-to-sales estimates might be more useful for early-stage companies that are showing low profits or net losses. Then again, the same distortions apply: Investors love the pure-play EV makers now, and may be paying too much for them when you consider that shares of Nio have more than tripled over the past year, while Tesla's stock has risen 150%.\nHere's a similar set of data driving price-to-sale ratios, again using current market caps (in the first table at the top of this article) and consensus full-calendar-year estimates in millions of U.S. dollars:\n\nFor reference, the S&P 500 trades for 2.7 times its consensus 2022 sales estimate.\n\n\n\n\n\nAnalysts' opinions\nHere's a summary of opinion of the 10 auto makers among analysts polled by FactSet. For companies with primary listings outside the U.S., the local tickers are used. All share prices and targets are in local currencies:","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"GM":0.9,"HMC":0.9,"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130059673,"gmtCreate":1621498067392,"gmtModify":1634188651884,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy dip","listText":"Buy dip","text":"Buy dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130059673","repostId":"2136866946","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194331183,"gmtCreate":1621341300142,"gmtModify":1634192320940,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hokaysss..&nbsp;","listText":"Hokaysss..&nbsp;","text":"Hokaysss..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194331183","repostId":"2136738931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136738931","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621318800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2136738931?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 14:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136738931","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering  to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion  if the deal is priced at the top end.JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibilli","content":"<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 14:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136738931","content_text":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193361156,"gmtCreate":1620767575975,"gmtModify":1634196562986,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193361156","repostId":"1168906033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379685479,"gmtCreate":1618728976191,"gmtModify":1634291211808,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sigh.","listText":"Sigh.","text":"Sigh.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379685479","repostId":"1151923129","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151923129","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618581789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151923129?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bionano Genomics fell about 10% in Friday morning  trading<blockquote>Bionano Genomics周五早盘下跌约10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151923129","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 16) Bionano Genomics fell about 10% in Friday morning trading.\nThere's a genomics revolution ","content":"<p>(April 16)&nbsp;Bionano Genomics&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（4月16日）Bionano Genomics周五早盘下跌约10%。</blockquote></p><p> There's a genomics revolution underway right now. Surprisingly, though, only one pure-play genomics stock is in the top 100 most popular list on Robinhood. That lone ranger is<b>Bionano Genomics</b>(NASDAQ:BNGO). The stock has been a major winner so far this year, with Bionano's shares vaulting 108% higher.</p><p><blockquote>一场基因组学革命正在进行。但令人惊讶的是，只有一只纯基因组学股票出现在Robinhood上最受欢迎的前100名名单中。那个独行侠是<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克：BNGO）。今年迄今为止，该股一直是主要赢家，Bionano股价飙升108%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano had generated even bigger gains earlier in 2021. By mid-February, the stock had more than quintupled year to date. However, a shift away from high-flying growth stocks caused Bionano's share price to tumble over the last couple of months.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano在2021年初取得了更大的收益。截至2月中旬，该股今年迄今已上涨五倍多。然而，从高速增长股票的转变导致Bionano的股价在过去几个月内暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors remain enthusiastic about the company's prospects. Bionanobeat analysts' Q4 revenue expectations. It expects to soon win accreditation in select European markets for Saphyr-based laboratory-developed tests for acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) and facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD). The genomics testing company also thinks that it will have 150 Saphyr gene-sequencing systems installed by the end of this year, which would represent a 50% increase year over year.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者仍然对该公司的前景充满热情。Bionanobeat分析师第四季度收入预期。它预计很快将在选定的欧洲市场赢得基于Saphyr的实验室开发的急性淋巴细胞白血病（ALL）和面肩肱肌营养不良症（FSHD）测试的认证。这家基因组测试公司还认为，到今年年底，它将安装150个Saphyr基因测序系统，同比增长50%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d6d3a8298b2b720b7b4ddcf26507750\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"500\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bionano Genomics fell about 10% in Friday morning  trading<blockquote>Bionano Genomics周五早盘下跌约10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBionano Genomics fell about 10% in Friday morning  trading<blockquote>Bionano Genomics周五早盘下跌约10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-16 22:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 16)&nbsp;Bionano Genomics&nbsp;fell&nbsp;about&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（4月16日）Bionano Genomics周五早盘下跌约10%。</blockquote></p><p> There's a genomics revolution underway right now. Surprisingly, though, only one pure-play genomics stock is in the top 100 most popular list on Robinhood. That lone ranger is<b>Bionano Genomics</b>(NASDAQ:BNGO). The stock has been a major winner so far this year, with Bionano's shares vaulting 108% higher.</p><p><blockquote>一场基因组学革命正在进行。但令人惊讶的是，只有一只纯基因组学股票出现在Robinhood上最受欢迎的前100名名单中。那个独行侠是<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克：BNGO）。今年迄今为止，该股一直是主要赢家，Bionano股价飙升108%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano had generated even bigger gains earlier in 2021. By mid-February, the stock had more than quintupled year to date. However, a shift away from high-flying growth stocks caused Bionano's share price to tumble over the last couple of months.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano在2021年初取得了更大的收益。截至2月中旬，该股今年迄今已上涨五倍多。然而，从高速增长股票的转变导致Bionano的股价在过去几个月内暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors remain enthusiastic about the company's prospects. Bionanobeat analysts' Q4 revenue expectations. It expects to soon win accreditation in select European markets for Saphyr-based laboratory-developed tests for acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) and facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD). The genomics testing company also thinks that it will have 150 Saphyr gene-sequencing systems installed by the end of this year, which would represent a 50% increase year over year.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者仍然对该公司的前景充满热情。Bionanobeat分析师第四季度收入预期。它预计很快将在选定的欧洲市场赢得基于Saphyr的实验室开发的急性淋巴细胞白血病（ALL）和面肩肱肌营养不良症（FSHD）测试的认证。这家基因组测试公司还认为，到今年年底，它将安装150个Saphyr基因测序系统，同比增长50%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d6d3a8298b2b720b7b4ddcf26507750\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"500\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNGO":"Bionano Genomics"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151923129","content_text":"(April 16) Bionano Genomics fell about 10% in Friday morning trading.\nThere's a genomics revolution underway right now. Surprisingly, though, only one pure-play genomics stock is in the top 100 most popular list on Robinhood. That lone ranger isBionano Genomics(NASDAQ:BNGO). The stock has been a major winner so far this year, with Bionano's shares vaulting 108% higher.\nBionano had generated even bigger gains earlier in 2021. By mid-February, the stock had more than quintupled year to date. However, a shift away from high-flying growth stocks caused Bionano's share price to tumble over the last couple of months.\nMany investors remain enthusiastic about the company's prospects. Bionanobeat analysts' Q4 revenue expectations. It expects to soon win accreditation in select European markets for Saphyr-based laboratory-developed tests for acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) and facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD). The genomics testing company also thinks that it will have 150 Saphyr gene-sequencing systems installed by the end of this year, which would represent a 50% increase year over year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352115001,"gmtCreate":1616906047903,"gmtModify":1634523577561,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352115001","repostId":"1119843211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119843211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616770039,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119843211?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 22:47","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"‘Bitcoin could be next domino to fall as investors rush to book profit,’ says technical analyst<blockquote>技术分析师表示，随着投资者急于获利，比特币可能成为下一张倒下的多米诺骨牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119843211","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Bitcoin prices were under pressure on Thursday, and the world’s No. 1 crypto could see further bearish pain in the near term if stocks continue to buckle, according to an analyst.At last check, bitcoin was changing hands at $51.743 on CoinDesk, with the asset briefly touching a low at $50,458.10 over the past 24 hours and trading around its lowest point in over two weeks.“If so, this could be further bad news for Bitcoin. The crypto has been correlating positively with risk assets over the past ","content":"<p>Bitcoin prices were under pressure on Thursday, and the world’s No. 1 crypto could see further bearish pain in the near term if stocks continue to buckle, according to an analyst.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师表示，比特币价格周四面临压力，如果股市继续下跌，世界第一大加密货币短期内可能会面临进一步的看跌痛苦。</blockquote></p><p>At last check, bitcoin&nbsp;was changing hands at $51.743 on CoinDesk, with the asset briefly touching a low at $50,458.10 over the past 24 hours and trading around its lowest point in over two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>根据最新检查，比特币在CoinDesk上的易手价格为51.743美元，该资产在过去24小时内短暂触及50,458.10美元的低点，并在两周多来的最低点附近交易。</blockquote></p><p>Values for the crypto are off more than 11% so far this week, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，本周迄今为止，该加密货币的价值已下跌超过11%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f433365c95d3e6845d8275eea88bafc\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"654\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And at least one analyst fears that the crypto asset could come under pressure as a host of speculative assets have been coming under steady selling pressure so far this week. Bitcoin is often perceived as being uncorrelated with stocks and other assets but it has lately been moving in tandem with selloffs in crude-oil futures, and stocks, with declines in so-called risk assets coming as the U.S. dollar has gained some traction higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少一位分析师担心加密资产可能会面临压力，因为本周迄今为止，许多投机性资产一直面临稳定的抛售压力。比特币通常被认为与股票和其他资产无关，但最近它一直与原油期货和股票的抛售同步波动，随着美元走高，所谓的风险资产也随之下跌。</blockquote></p><p>For that reason, Fawad&nbsp;Razaqzada, market analyst at ThinkMarkets, in a Thursday note cautioned investors to watch out for more pressure on bitcoin that could take it beneath $50,000.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因，ThinkMarkets市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada在周四的一份报告中警告投资者要警惕比特币面临的更大压力，这可能会使其跌破50,000美元。</blockquote></p><p>“Judging by recent events, traders seem happy to be selling into the rallies rather than buying the dip. So, don’t be surprised if we see renewed weakness in the markets later on in the session,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“从最近的事件来看，交易员似乎乐于逢高卖出，而不是逢低买入。因此，如果我们在盘中晚些时候看到市场再次疲软，请不要感到惊讶，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p>“If so, this could be further bad news for Bitcoin. The crypto has been correlating positively with risk assets over the past year and if that relationship remains strong then the digital currency could follow risk assets lower,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“如果是这样，这对比特币来说可能是进一步的坏消息。过去一年，加密货币与风险资产一直呈正相关，如果这种关系保持强劲，那么数字货币可能会跟随风险资产走低，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p>“Even if a proper sell-off does not materialise for stocks and other risk assets today, Bitcoin traders need to proceed with caution because in recent days we have been getting more and more signs that the appetite for risk is slowly fading away across the financial markets,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“即使今天股票和其他风险资产没有出现适当的抛售，比特币交易员也需要谨慎行事，因为最近几天我们得到越来越多的迹象表明，整个金融市场的风险偏好正在慢慢消退，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘Bitcoin could be next domino to fall as investors rush to book profit,’ says technical analyst<blockquote>技术分析师表示，随着投资者急于获利，比特币可能成为下一张倒下的多米诺骨牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘Bitcoin could be next domino to fall as investors rush to book profit,’ says technical analyst<blockquote>技术分析师表示，随着投资者急于获利，比特币可能成为下一张倒下的多米诺骨牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 22:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin prices were under pressure on Thursday, and the world’s No. 1 crypto could see further bearish pain in the near term if stocks continue to buckle, according to an analyst.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师表示，比特币价格周四面临压力，如果股市继续下跌，世界第一大加密货币短期内可能会面临进一步的看跌痛苦。</blockquote></p><p>At last check, bitcoin&nbsp;was changing hands at $51.743 on CoinDesk, with the asset briefly touching a low at $50,458.10 over the past 24 hours and trading around its lowest point in over two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>根据最新检查，比特币在CoinDesk上的易手价格为51.743美元，该资产在过去24小时内短暂触及50,458.10美元的低点，并在两周多来的最低点附近交易。</blockquote></p><p>Values for the crypto are off more than 11% so far this week, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，本周迄今为止，该加密货币的价值已下跌超过11%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f433365c95d3e6845d8275eea88bafc\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"654\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And at least one analyst fears that the crypto asset could come under pressure as a host of speculative assets have been coming under steady selling pressure so far this week. Bitcoin is often perceived as being uncorrelated with stocks and other assets but it has lately been moving in tandem with selloffs in crude-oil futures, and stocks, with declines in so-called risk assets coming as the U.S. dollar has gained some traction higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少一位分析师担心加密资产可能会面临压力，因为本周迄今为止，许多投机性资产一直面临稳定的抛售压力。比特币通常被认为与股票和其他资产无关，但最近它一直与原油期货和股票的抛售同步波动，随着美元走高，所谓的风险资产也随之下跌。</blockquote></p><p>For that reason, Fawad&nbsp;Razaqzada, market analyst at ThinkMarkets, in a Thursday note cautioned investors to watch out for more pressure on bitcoin that could take it beneath $50,000.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因，ThinkMarkets市场分析师Fawad Razaqzada在周四的一份报告中警告投资者要警惕比特币面临的更大压力，这可能会使其跌破50,000美元。</blockquote></p><p>“Judging by recent events, traders seem happy to be selling into the rallies rather than buying the dip. So, don’t be surprised if we see renewed weakness in the markets later on in the session,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“从最近的事件来看，交易员似乎乐于逢高卖出，而不是逢低买入。因此，如果我们在盘中晚些时候看到市场再次疲软，请不要感到惊讶，”他写道。</blockquote></p><p>“If so, this could be further bad news for Bitcoin. The crypto has been correlating positively with risk assets over the past year and if that relationship remains strong then the digital currency could follow risk assets lower,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“如果是这样，这对比特币来说可能是进一步的坏消息。过去一年，加密货币与风险资产一直呈正相关，如果这种关系保持强劲，那么数字货币可能会跟随风险资产走低，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p>“Even if a proper sell-off does not materialise for stocks and other risk assets today, Bitcoin traders need to proceed with caution because in recent days we have been getting more and more signs that the appetite for risk is slowly fading away across the financial markets,” he added.</p><p><blockquote>“即使今天股票和其他风险资产没有出现适当的抛售，比特币交易员也需要谨慎行事，因为最近几天我们得到越来越多的迹象表明，整个金融市场的风险偏好正在慢慢消退，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bitcoin-could-be-next-domino-to-fall-as-investors-rush-to-book-profit-says-technical-analyst-11616701631?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","PYPL":"PayPal","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bitcoin-could-be-next-domino-to-fall-as-investors-rush-to-book-profit-says-technical-analyst-11616701631?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1119843211","content_text":"Bitcoin prices were under pressure on Thursday, and the world’s No. 1 crypto could see further bearish pain in the near term if stocks continue to buckle, according to an analyst.At last check, bitcoin was changing hands at $51.743 on CoinDesk, with the asset briefly touching a low at $50,458.10 over the past 24 hours and trading around its lowest point in over two weeks.Values for the crypto are off more than 11% so far this week, FactSet data show.And at least one analyst fears that the crypto asset could come under pressure as a host of speculative assets have been coming under steady selling pressure so far this week. Bitcoin is often perceived as being uncorrelated with stocks and other assets but it has lately been moving in tandem with selloffs in crude-oil futures, and stocks, with declines in so-called risk assets coming as the U.S. dollar has gained some traction higher.For that reason, Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at ThinkMarkets, in a Thursday note cautioned investors to watch out for more pressure on bitcoin that could take it beneath $50,000.“Judging by recent events, traders seem happy to be selling into the rallies rather than buying the dip. So, don’t be surprised if we see renewed weakness in the markets later on in the session,” he wrote.“If so, this could be further bad news for Bitcoin. The crypto has been correlating positively with risk assets over the past year and if that relationship remains strong then the digital currency could follow risk assets lower,” he added.“Even if a proper sell-off does not materialise for stocks and other risk assets today, Bitcoin traders need to proceed with caution because in recent days we have been getting more and more signs that the appetite for risk is slowly fading away across the financial markets,” he added.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868891273,"gmtCreate":1632625949292,"gmtModify":1632650018426,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for an entry point....","listText":"Waiting for an entry point....","text":"Waiting for an entry point....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868891273","repostId":"1145641034","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354168437,"gmtCreate":1617152318629,"gmtModify":1634522399022,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good? Bad?&nbsp;","listText":"Good? Bad?&nbsp;","text":"Good? Bad?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354168437","repostId":"1185496367","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352115466,"gmtCreate":1616906178555,"gmtModify":1634523576955,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😵😵😵","listText":"😵😵😵","text":"😵😵😵","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352115466","repostId":"2122772444","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818771785,"gmtCreate":1630453108447,"gmtModify":1631891069295,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818771785","repostId":"2163319158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839523736,"gmtCreate":1629167619425,"gmtModify":1631891069331,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839523736","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将会重挫。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年，疫情和/或轧空对这三家公司的待遇非常好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标通常可以持保留态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在近17个月的时间里，广受关注<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在2020年3月冠状病毒崩溃期间触底，现已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。据华尔街分析师和投资公司称，根据每家公司的共识目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失53%至84%的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先是飙升的生物科技股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>，自2020年初以来已上涨近1,900%。即使在从上周盘中高点回调超过20%后，Moderna的股价仍必须再下跌53%才能达到184.92美元的一致目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna升天的原因是其紧急使用授权(EUA)冠状病毒疾病2019(COVID-19)疫苗mRNA-1273的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗的疫苗效力（VE）约为94%。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>该疫苗的VE为95%，在功效方面没有其他EUA疫苗接近。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是Moderna的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，并鼓励了美国。美国食品药品监督管理局将授权为那些免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna飙升的股价似乎表明，在COVID-19局势好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比以前预测的更强劲的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna的估值问题是双重的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>，新冠疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>在未来几个月内收到EUA是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>提高单剂量疫苗的产量应该没有任何问题。我们可能会在2021年看到Moderna的收入高峰年。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的1570亿美元市值可能会也可能不会持续下去，这听起来风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Dillard's：隐含下跌55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶...百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德氏</a></b>8月13日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下196美元的历史收盘新高，使其市值突破40亿美元。但分析师对该公司的一致目标价为87.33美元，该百货商店明年可能会降价55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么Dillard的股价在过去一年中上涨了625%，那么其经营业绩将是一个很好的起点。该公司在疫情爆发后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，过去两个季度的利润绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至7月31日的26周内，该公司回购了约140万股股票，总计1.71亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，迪拉德的可交易流通量相对较小，而且是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为轧空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其2021年26周零售额仅比2019年同期26周零售额高出1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年同店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德反抗华尔街的时间可能会比预期的要长一些，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这一步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行空间84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，最具潜在下行空间的是电影院股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管AMC是今年表现最好的股票之一，但它需要从当前股价下跌84%才能达到每股5.25美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一月份获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司通过发行普通股和债务使自己免于破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对AMC的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性轧空。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC热情的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次轧空。截至7月30日，8585万股被空头持有，几乎占流通股的17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，AMC的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能原谅AMC在过去六个月中消耗了5.765亿美元现金的事实，也不能原谅它距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至6月底，AMC的企业借款为55亿美元，另外还有4.2亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司的股票发行实际上达到最大限度，AMC将被迫依靠其18.1亿美元的现金和2.12亿美元的循环信贷额度来偿还租金义务和债务。由于其2026年和2027年债券的价格分别为面值的58%和62%，债券持有人明确表示担心AMC将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是我们已经见证了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司仅提供45天的独家窗口，比大流行前传统的75天独家期减少到90天。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过12个月的时间，但AMC确实有望跌回2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street<blockquote>据华尔街称，3只飞涨的股票可能下跌53%至84%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.  <b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote>分析师预计这些飙升的股票将会重挫。<b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>  <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li> </ul> It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2021年，疫情和/或轧空对这三家公司的待遇非常好。</li><li>尽管华尔街的价格目标通常可以持保留态度，但这些目标可能是正确的。</li></ul>现在是成为投资者的好时机。在近17个月的时间里，广受关注<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">标普500</a></b>该指数在2020年3月冠状病毒崩溃期间触底，现已翻了一番。耐心一次又一次地在华尔街带来利润。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p><p><blockquote>然而，众所周知，并非每只股票都会成为赢家。据华尔街分析师和投资公司称，根据每家公司的共识目标价，有三只飞涨的股票在未来一年可能会损失53%至84%的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna：隐含下跌53%</b></blockquote></p><p> First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p><p><blockquote>首先是飙升的生物科技股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">莫德纳公司。</a></b>，自2020年初以来已上涨近1,900%。即使在从上周盘中高点回调超过20%后，Moderna的股价仍必须再下跌53%才能达到184.92美元的一致目标价。</blockquote></p><p> As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p><p><blockquote>正如您可能猜到的那样，Moderna升天的原因是其紧急使用授权(EUA)冠状病毒疾病2019(COVID-19)疫苗mRNA-1273的成功。在临床试验中，Moderna的候选疫苗的疫苗效力（VE）约为94%。除了<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>该疫苗的VE为95%，在功效方面没有其他EUA疫苗接近。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的崛起是Moderna的另一大福音。delta的传播性提高了许多发达国家的疫苗接种率，并鼓励了美国。美国食品药品监督管理局将授权为那些免疫系统受损的人注射加强针。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Moderna飙升的股价似乎表明，在COVID-19局势好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟，而加强注射将提供比以前预测的更强劲的收入流。</blockquote></p><p> However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Moderna的估值问题是双重的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">第一</a>，新冠疫苗接种的竞争正在加剧，而不是减少。<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>在未来几个月内收到EUA是一个不错的选择，并且<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>提高单剂量疫苗的产量应该没有任何问题。我们可能会在2021年看到Moderna的收入高峰年。</blockquote></p><p> The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p><p><blockquote>另一个问题是mRNA-1273是Moderna唯一上市的药物。基于单一疗法的1570亿美元市值可能会也可能不会持续下去，这听起来风险很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Dillard's：隐含下跌55%</b></blockquote></p><p> The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>下一只飞涨的股票可能会有点令人惊讶...百货连锁店<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">迪拉德氏</a></b>8月13日星期五，迪拉德的股价创下196美元的历史收盘新高，使其市值突破40亿美元。但分析师对该公司的一致目标价为87.33美元，该百货商店明年可能会降价55%。</blockquote></p><p> If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p><p><blockquote>如果您想知道为什么Dillard的股价在过去一年中上涨了625%，那么其经营业绩将是一个很好的起点。该公司在疫情爆发后大幅削减成本，大力推动直接面向消费者的销售，并严格管理库存。如果没有这些繁重的管理费用，过去两个季度的利润绝对飙升，因为被压抑的需求鼓励消费者走出家门，进入零售店。</blockquote></p><p> Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p><p><blockquote>迪拉德在提高股东价值方面也做得很好。在截至7月31日的26周内，该公司回购了约140万股股票，总计1.71亿美元。这听起来可能不多，但它使公司的流通股数量减少了6%以上。</blockquote></p><p> It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，迪拉德的可交易流通量相对较小，而且是一只被大量卖空的股票。这种组合使其成为轧空的完美目标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些积极因素，但投资者必须认识到零售百货商店通常增长缓慢且具有周期性。尽管迪拉德的同比比较令人印象深刻，但其2021年26周零售额仅比2019年同期26周零售额高出1%。此外，与2019年相比，2021年同店销售额仅增长4%。虽然毛利率明显较高，但这更多地与成本削减有关，而不是显着的销售吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p><p><blockquote>尽管迪拉德反抗华尔街的时间可能会比预期的要长一些，但历史表明它没有机会跟上这一步伐。华尔街的价格目标很可能最终会成为现实。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>：隐含下行空间84%</b></blockquote></p><p> Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街的一致目标价，最具潜在下行空间的是电影院股<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a></b>尽管AMC是今年表现最好的股票之一，但它需要从当前股价下跌84%才能达到每股5.25美元的共识目标。</blockquote></p><p> AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一月份获得了巨大的提振，当时该公司通过发行普通股和债务使自己免于破产。一直押注该公司进一步下跌的卖空者对AMC的融资感到措手不及，这导致了恶性轧空。</blockquote></p><p> Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC热情的散户投资者有着相同的目标——即看到另一次轧空。截至7月30日，8585万股被空头持有，几乎占流通股的17%。</blockquote></p><p> The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其散户投资者面临的问题是，基本面始终很重要，AMC的经营业绩和资产负债表简直就是一部恐怖电影。虽然影院容量的增加推动了第二季度销售额的环比增长，但这并不能原谅AMC在过去六个月中消耗了5.765亿美元现金的事实，也不能原谅它距离盈利还有很长的路要走的事实。</blockquote></p><p> The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p><p><blockquote>资产负债表是一个更大的问题。截至6月底，AMC的企业借款为55亿美元，另外还有4.2亿美元的递延租金需要支付。随着该公司的股票发行实际上达到最大限度，AMC将被迫依靠其18.1亿美元的现金和2.12亿美元的循环信贷额度来偿还租金义务和债务。由于其2026年和2027年债券的价格分别为面值的58%和62%，债券持有人明确表示担心AMC将无法保持偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>锦上添花的是我们已经见证了戏剧排他性的减少。例如，AMC与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T公司</a>华纳兄弟公司仅提供45天的独家窗口，比大流行前传统的75天独家期减少到90天。</blockquote></p><p> It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p><p><blockquote>这可能需要超过12个月的时间，但AMC确实有望跌回2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDS":"狄乐百货","AMC":"AMC院线","JNJ":"强生",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"DDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117892792,"gmtCreate":1623127821116,"gmtModify":1634036640790,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Kudoooss!&nbsp;","listText":"Kudoooss!&nbsp;","text":"Kudoooss!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117892792","repostId":"1108033863","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138105682,"gmtCreate":1621915130346,"gmtModify":1631885616513,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a>&nbsp;thank you...&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$</a>&nbsp;thank you...&nbsp;","text":"$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ thank you...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b716a1bc278e69f295a55e79d37946fc","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138105682","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191506276,"gmtCreate":1620885953395,"gmtModify":1634195547323,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sighhh","listText":"Sighhh","text":"Sighhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191506276","repostId":"2135584610","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884133114,"gmtCreate":1631865583938,"gmtModify":1632805712853,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;thank you...&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;thank you...&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ thank you...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01cff0bfc1d1ffc743d34a6623b92637","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884133114","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818935603,"gmtCreate":1630369949103,"gmtModify":1704959180810,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818935603","repostId":"1199138618","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199138618","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630316356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199138618?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-30 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199138618","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar ","content":"<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p><p><blockquote>据《苹果内幕》报道，苹果分析师郭明錤的一份报告称，苹果公司可能会与Globalstar Inc.合作，为即将推出的iPhone 13机型带来卫星通信连接。</blockquote></p><p> A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo在报告中表示，苹果预计将在iPhone 13中使用的高通X60基带芯片的定制版本将支持低地球轨道(LEO)卫星通信。</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo表示，如果苹果与LEO卫星通信服务提供商合作，iPhone 13用户将能够在其设备上直接使用Globalstar的卫星通信服务。</blockquote></p><p> Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p><p><blockquote>郭指出，苹果还可以在其即将推出的苹果AR耳机和苹果汽车中使用卫星通信功能。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading<blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-30 17:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Globalstar股价在盘前交易中上涨超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p><p><blockquote>据《苹果内幕》报道，苹果分析师郭明錤的一份报告称，苹果公司可能会与Globalstar Inc.合作，为即将推出的iPhone 13机型带来卫星通信连接。</blockquote></p><p> A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo在报告中表示，苹果预计将在iPhone 13中使用的高通X60基带芯片的定制版本将支持低地球轨道(LEO)卫星通信。</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，Kuo表示，如果苹果与LEO卫星通信服务提供商合作，iPhone 13用户将能够在其设备上直接使用Globalstar的卫星通信服务。</blockquote></p><p> Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p><p><blockquote>郭指出，苹果还可以在其即将推出的苹果AR耳机和苹果汽车中使用卫星通信功能。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GSAT":"全球星"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199138618","content_text":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar Inc. to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming iPhone 13 models, according to a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple Insider reported.\nA customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.\niPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.\nApple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"GSAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167337713,"gmtCreate":1624246578832,"gmtModify":1631891069355,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Scary....&nbsp;","listText":"Scary....&nbsp;","text":"Scary....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167337713","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166453001,"gmtCreate":1624023500803,"gmtModify":1631891069365,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK!&nbsp;","listText":"OK!&nbsp;","text":"OK!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166453001","repostId":"1148576248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148576248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623979883,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148576248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576248","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.NIO Inc.  stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla .In ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Is Winning<blockquote>蔚来正在获胜</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.</li>  <li>The company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.</li>  <li>NIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790fae23b830463fec748d2deb2ce336\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来在中国电动SUV市场排名第一是有充分理由的。</li><li>该公司的成功是由其出色的创新和营销策略推动的。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度快于特斯拉，但它的交易价格却有折扣。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PonyWang/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）因其强大的市场地位——在中国电动SUV市场份额第一——以及在快速增长和竞争激烈的电动汽车行业的创新而脱颖而出。本文将讨论为什么蔚来在一些激烈的竞争中获胜，包括特斯拉(TSLA)。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们将讨论蔚来的业务、财务、交易、估值和风险，以便读者能够做出自己明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business: Why NIO Wins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业：蔚来为何获胜</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来将自己定位于高端SUV领域，专注于智能电动汽车，采用差异化的电池策略。</blockquote></p><p> Delivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的首款车型ES8于2019年3月交付，是一款豪华7座SUV，至今仍是该公司的旗舰产品。ES8配备ADAS和AI系统[NOMI]，可与比亚迪宋、特斯拉Model X、奥迪Q7 45 e-Tron等媲美。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443e2773f70c00c6faac8ca063e978a5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.</p><p><blockquote>凭借ES8大获成功带来的装机量和客户好感，蔚来成功推出了ES6和EC6。近日，该公司推出了首款轿车ET7。</blockquote></p><p> Today, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.</p><p><blockquote>根据中国汽车技术研究中心的数据，如今，蔚来以23%的市场份额成为4月份中国全电动SUV市场最畅销的品牌，高于特斯拉的17%、威马汽车和小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所代码：XPEV）的7%。</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>最大的竞争优势之一是蔚来的电池战略，该战略几乎消除了里程焦虑，而里程焦虑是电动汽车大规模采用的最大障碍之一。蔚来汽车不仅可以在任何电动汽车充电站充电，而且该公司还在国内主要城市建设了数百个电池交换站，并计划扩展到欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电池交换战略还使该公司能够提供电池即服务[BaaS]解决方案，从而将购买蔚来汽车的前期成本降低约11,000美元。由于成本是电动汽车大规模采用的另一个主要障碍，蔚来的电池战略似乎很出色，因为它解决了续航里程和成本问题。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b25fbb85bffd39310cd27cbb2bde57a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.</p><p><blockquote>另一个差异化因素是蔚来品牌，管理层在2016年推出了EP9，从而出色地创造了该品牌。六辆EP9已以250万英镑的价格出售给蔚来投资者，为该品牌营造了一种独特和品质的氛围。接下来，蔚来凭借ES8瞄准了大众市场豪华SUV细分市场，牢牢确立了该公司作为豪华汽车OEM的地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad41c960ce02f1e3f3e7575ac00beee0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.</p><p><blockquote>中国企业必须与人们普遍认为他们生产的产品质量低的看法作斗争。这与日本公司在二战后战败后面临的认知问题相同。随着经济的成熟，日本通过向价值链上游移动并创建索尼（纽约证券交易所代码：SONY）等高质量品牌来解决这个问题。今天，日本以其工艺而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> China is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.</p><p><blockquote>中国也在遵循同样的轨迹，蔚来是摧毁“中国制造”等同于劣质观念的新兴品牌之一。我坚信，顽固坚持这种旧观念的投资者将错过投资世界上一些最伟大品牌的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Buying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.</p><p><blockquote>购买蔚来汽车不仅仅意味着获得一辆车；这意味着进入一个服务和便利的专属俱乐部。好处包括使用数百个交换站、终身免费路边救援（包括充电车）、终身免费蜂窝连接、终身免费保修和卓越的客户服务。这是蔚来的一个强大卖点，使其有别于特斯拉，后者最近在中国的客户服务方面名声不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a73482aa0431694b760ab5c2d0aa6f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Company</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company is pushing the envelope even further with&nbsp;NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and&nbsp;NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be&nbsp;working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在进一步挑战极限，推出了蔚来之家（London House）（一个真正的顾客俱乐部会所）和蔚来人寿（Kenneth Life），其中包括蔚来品牌的生活方式产品。蔚来围绕汽车打造生活方式的努力似乎正在发挥作用。这对投资者来说是个好消息，因为逃离汽车代工竞争战场的唯一方法就是向客户推销服务和生活方式。这就是为什么法拉利(RACE)的营业利润率远高于20%，而福特(F)和通用汽车(GM)则为个位数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务与估值</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来正处于高速增长模式。2020年，该公司实现收入25亿美元，同比增长126%。2021年，该公司预计将同比增长117%，达到54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，但预计到2022年将实现盈利。毛利率仅在2020年转正，预计2021年为19.3%。预计2021年EBITDA为负2.58亿美元，2022年为正2.06亿美元。预计2021年自由现金流将为负4200万美元，然后在2022年转为正3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> However, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited&nbsp;2020&nbsp;with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管预计2021年将出现现金消耗，但投资者应该感到放心，因为该公司在2020年退出时拥有59亿美元的现金和现金等价物。包括6亿美元的短期投资，减去约21亿美元的债务和经营租赁以及2021年预期的负自由现金流，蔚来在2021年退出时应拥有超过40亿美元的净现金和投资。这是足够的缓冲，因为蔚来预计将在2022年产生正的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Since NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来尚未盈利，我们将关注预期EV/销售额倍数，这对于尚未盈利的高速增长公司来说是典型的。该公司于2018年9月上市，交易价格约为EV/销售额的7至8倍，随后于2019年5月触底，约为销售额的0.7倍。然而，市场在2020年4月掀起了电动汽车热潮，到2021年1月，蔚来的估值飙升至14.6倍的峰值。在我们最近经历的增长抛售之后，蔚来目前的预期销售额为8倍，这要合理得多。尽管TSLA的增长速度是其两倍，但这与TSLA 10.2倍的预期EV/销售额相比仍有很大折扣（预计TSLA 2021年收入将增长57%，而蔚来为117%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> There are many risks associated with owning NIO.</p><p><blockquote>拥有蔚来有很多风险。</blockquote></p><p> Although its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.</p><p><blockquote>尽管其换电战略高度差异化，且似乎增长迅速，但换电或快充基础设施的最终市场份额仍未定论。如果快速充电技术继续大幅进步，很可能会侵蚀电池交换的一个关键优势：速度。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的商业模式是创新和新的。不幸的是，另一方面是它未经测试，蔚来仍然没有盈利。对于许多投资者来说，在其商业模式的盈利能力改善之前，蔚来仍将是一个“向我展示”的故事。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在全球扩张的能力可能会受到中美之间地缘政治紧张局势加剧的限制，在较小程度上也会受到与日欧之间地缘政治紧张局势的限制。地缘政治局势仍然高度不透明和不确定，是所有汽车原始设备制造商的风险因素。</blockquote></p><p> Auto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip&nbsp;shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.</p><p><blockquote>汽车主机厂目前正面临严重的芯片短缺。此外，汽车中的芯片密度正在增加，使得原始设备制造商越来越依赖半导体供应商和代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的竞争优势可能无法克服内燃机原始设备制造商以及特斯拉和比亚迪等更大的电动汽车制造商的巨大规模优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的技术和商业模式创新使其在令人兴奋且快速增长的电动汽车市场中成为一家高度差异化的公司。该公司正在获胜，随着其车辆和服务生态系统的发展，其竞争护城河也越来越大。相对于行业领导者特斯拉，鉴于其更快的增长率和更低的市盈率，蔚来的股价似乎很便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435341-nio-is-winning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576248","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is #1 in China's electric SUV market for good reason.\nThe company's success is driven by its brilliant innovations and marketing strategy.\nNIO is growing faster than Tesla, and yet, it is trading at a discount.\n\nPonyWang/E+ via Getty Images\nNIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) stands out for its strong market position- #1 market share in electric SUV in China- and innovation in the rapidly growing and highly competitive electric vehicle industry. This article will discuss why NIO is winning against some stiff competition, including against Tesla (TSLA).\nIn addition, we will discuss NIO's business, financials, trading, valuation, and risks so readers could reach their own informed decision.\nBusiness: Why NIO Wins\nNIO positions itself in the premium SUV segment, focusing on smart EVs with a differentiated battery strategy.\nDelivered in March 2019, the company's first model, the ES8, is a luxury 7-seater SUV that is still the company's flagship product today. The ES8 is equipped with ADAS and AI system [NOMI] and is comparable to the BYD Song, Tesla Model X, the Audi Q7 45 e-Tron, etc.\nSource: Company\nLeveraging the installed base and customer goodwill due to the highly successful ES8, NIO successfully launched the ES6 and EC6.Recently, the company launched the ET7, its first sedan.\nToday, NIO is the top-selling brand in China's all-electric SUV market in April with a 23% market share, higher than Tesla's 17%, WM Motor and XPeng Motors'(NYSE:XPEV)7%, according to China Automotive Technology and Research Center data.\nOne of the biggest competitive differentiators is NIO'sbattery strategy, which all but eliminates range anxiety, one of the biggest barriers to mass EV adoption. Not only could NIO cars be charged at any charging station for EVs, but the company also built hundreds of battery swapping stations in key cities in China, with plans to expanding to Europe.\nNIO's battery swapping strategy also gives the company the ability to offer a battery-as-a-service [BaaS] solution, which reduces the upfrontcostof purchasing an NIO vehicle by ~$11,000. Since cost is another major barrier to mass EV adoption, NIO's battery strategy appears brilliant as it solves both the range and cost problems.\nSource: Company\nAnother differentiator is the NIO brand, which management created brilliantly by introducing the EP9 in 2016. Six EP9s have been sold to NIO investors for 2.5 million pounds, creating an aura of exclusivity and quality around the brand. Next, NIO targeted the mass-market luxury SUV segment with the ES8, firmly establishing the company as a luxury car OEM.\nSource: Company\nChinese companies must struggle against the common perception that they make low-quality products. This is the same perception issue that Japanese companies faced following their defeat after WW2. Japan solved this problem by moving up the value chain as their economy matured and creating high-quality brands such as Sony(NYSE:SONY). Today, Japan is known for its craftsmanship.\nChina is following the same trajectory, and NIO is one of the emerging brands destroying the perception that \"made in China\" equates to poor quality. I strongly believe that investors who stubbornly hold on to that old perception will miss out on investing in some of the greatest brands the world will ever see.\nBuying an NIO car means much more than just getting a vehicle; it means getting into an exclusive club of services and convenience. Benefits include access to hundreds of swapping stations, lifetime free roadside rescue (including charge vans), lifetime free cellular connectivity, lifetime free warranty, and excellent customer service. This is a powerful selling point for NIO, differentiating it from Tesla, which hasrecentlydeveloped a poor reputation on the customer service front in China.\nSource: Company\nThe company is pushing the envelope even further with NIO House, a literal clubhouse for customers, and NIO Life, which includes NIO branded lifestyle products. NIO's effort to build a lifestyle around its cars seems to be working. This is good news for investors because the only way to escape the competitive battlefield of automobile OEM is to sell services and lifestyles to customers. This is why Ferrari's (RACE) operating margin is well over 20%, while Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) are in the single digits.\nFinancials & Valuation\nNIO is in hyper-growth mode. In 2020, the company generated $2.5 billion in revenue, up 126% y/y. In 2021, the company is expected to grow 117% y/y to $5.4 billion.\nThe company is not yet profitable but is expected to be by 2022. Gross margin only turned positive in 2020 and is expected to be 19.3% in 2021. EBITDA is expected to be negative $258 million in 2021 and a positive $206 million in 2022. Free cash flow is expected to be negative $42 million in 2021 before turning to a positive $354 million in 2022.\nHowever, despite the cash burn expected in 2021, investors should feel at ease since the company exited 2020 with $5.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. Including $600 million in short-term investments and subtracting ~$2.1 billion in debt and operating leases and the expected negative free cash flow in 2021, NIO should exit 2021 with over $4 billion in net cash and investments. That is plenty of buffers since NIO is expected to generate positive free cash flow in 2022.\nSince NIO is not yet profitable, we will look at the forward EV/Sales multiple as is typical for hyper-growth companies not yet generating a profit. The company went public in September 2018, trading at around 7 to 8 times EV/Sales, before bottoming out at around 0.7 times sales in May 2019. The market, however, caught the EV fever in April 2020 and sent NIO's valuation soaring to a peak of 14.6x by January 2021. After the growth sell-off we recently experienced, NIO is currently sitting at a much more reasonable 8 times forward sales. This is a significant discount to TSLA's 10.2 times forward EV/Sales despite growing twice as fast (TSLA is expected to grow revenues by 57% in 2021 compared to NIO's 117%).\nRisks\nThere are many risks associated with owning NIO.\nAlthough its battery swapping strategy is highly differentiated and seems to be growing rapidly, the jury is still out on the ultimate market share of battery swapping or fast-charging infrastructure. If fast charging technology continues to advance significantly, it will likely erode a key advantage of battery swapping: speed.\nNIO's business model is innovative and new. Unfortunately, the flip side of that is that it is untested, and NIO remains unprofitable. For many investors, NIO will remain a \"show me\" story until the profitability of its business model improves.\nNIO's ability to expand globally may be limited by the rising geopolitical tension between China and the US, and to a lesser extent, with Japan and Europe. The geopolitical situation remains highly opaque and uncertain, and is a risk factor for all auto OEMs.\nAuto OEMs are currently facing a severe chip shortage. In addition, the chip density in automobiles is increasing, making the OEMs increasingly reliant on semiconductor suppliers and foundries.\nNIO's competitive advantages may not overcome the massive scale advantage of ICE OEMs and much bigger EV players like Tesla and China's BYD.\nTakeaway\nNIO's technical and business model innovations make it a highly differentiated company in the exciting and rapidly growing EV market. The company is winning, and its competitive moat is getting bigger as its ecosystem of vehicles and services grows. Relative to the industry leader, Tesla, NIO's stock price seems like a bargain given its faster growth rate and lower multiples.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112823334,"gmtCreate":1622861318128,"gmtModify":1634097273524,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bite teeth...&nbsp;","listText":"Bite teeth...&nbsp;","text":"Bite teeth...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112823334","repostId":"2140403419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116744722,"gmtCreate":1622821246866,"gmtModify":1634097635115,"author":{"id":"3574914161995189","authorId":"3574914161995189","name":"sUs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20333dcc0f0c43df9ba7c18ce429ae93","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574914161995189","idStr":"3574914161995189"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hard to tell...&nbsp;","listText":"Hard to tell...&nbsp;","text":"Hard to tell...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116744722","repostId":"1180386317","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180386317","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622616520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180386317?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180386317","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.Cowen analyst Cai von Rumohr upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people boarded","content":"<p>Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周二，波音公司股价上调，一位华尔街分析师指出，这家商业航空航天巨头和整个行业的情况正在好转。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. </p><p><blockquote>波音股票（股票代码：BA）周二上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst&nbsp;Cai von Rumohr&nbsp;upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师Cai von Rumohr将该股评级从持有上调至买入，并将目标价从每股240美元上调至290美元。他对“变革即将到来”的信念支撑了他更乐观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people&nbsp;boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.</p><p><blockquote>第一个变化是空中交通。在经历了受疫情影响的奄奄一息的2020年之后，航空旅行正在回升。周一，美国有超过190万人登机，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。假日周末，美国商业航空运输量与2019年相比下降了不到30%，降幅小于最近几个周末。</blockquote></p><p> More people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>飞机上的人数增加对所有航空航天相关股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Von Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.</p><p><blockquote>冯·鲁莫尔还看到了商用飞机需求的变化。政府和航空公司越来越关注减少二氧化碳排放，新飞机排放的温室气体较少，因此更换需求的增长速度可能会快于投资者的预期。当然，较低的运营成本是更换飞机的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> He also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than&nbsp;Airbus&nbsp;(AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.</p><p><blockquote>他还指出，全球宽体或双通道飞机机队比正在使用的窄体飞机更老。这使得他们更有可能被取代。宽体订单率的快速回升对波音的帮助可能比空客（AIR.France）更大，因为波音在宽体领域拥有更大的市场份额。尽管如此，任何订单提货都将使双方受益。</blockquote></p><p> As air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290&nbsp;target price.</p><p><blockquote>随着空中交通恢复正常，这可能会鼓励航空公司购买，冯·鲁莫尔预计，到2024年，波音公司每股将产生21美元的自由现金流。该现金流支撑了他290美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.</p><p><blockquote>目前，波音公司正在烧钱，因为在Covid-19封锁期间交付量急剧下降。2017年和2018年，在大流行之前，以及2019年737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音每股产生的自由现金流超过20美元。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500的自由现金收益率（本质上是自由现金流除以股价）约为3%，但波音的历史收益率接近6%。凭借21美元的自由现金流和6%的收益率，到2024年股价有可能达到350美元，在未来几年提供有吸引力的回报，股价约为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> With the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>随着评级上调，53%的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行和2019年3月至2020年12月737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音公司是一只更受欢迎的股票。2019年2月，超过76%的研究该公司的分析师将股票评级为买入。股价接近400美元。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价2019年上涨1%，2020年下跌34%。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约19%，好于整体市场的可比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Boeing Stock Because ‘a Change Is Gonna Come’<blockquote>购买波音股票，因为“变化即将到来”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>周二，波音公司股价上调，一位华尔街分析师指出，这家商业航空航天巨头和整个行业的情况正在好转。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. </p><p><blockquote>波音股票（股票代码：BA）周二上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst&nbsp;Cai von Rumohr&nbsp;upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师Cai von Rumohr将该股评级从持有上调至买入，并将目标价从每股240美元上调至290美元。他对“变革即将到来”的信念支撑了他更乐观的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people&nbsp;boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.</p><p><blockquote>第一个变化是空中交通。在经历了受疫情影响的奄奄一息的2020年之后，航空旅行正在回升。周一，美国有超过190万人登机，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。假日周末，美国商业航空运输量与2019年相比下降了不到30%，降幅小于最近几个周末。</blockquote></p><p> More people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.</p><p><blockquote>飞机上的人数增加对所有航空航天相关股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Von Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.</p><p><blockquote>冯·鲁莫尔还看到了商用飞机需求的变化。政府和航空公司越来越关注减少二氧化碳排放，新飞机排放的温室气体较少，因此更换需求的增长速度可能会快于投资者的预期。当然，较低的运营成本是更换飞机的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> He also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than&nbsp;Airbus&nbsp;(AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.</p><p><blockquote>他还指出，全球宽体或双通道飞机机队比正在使用的窄体飞机更老。这使得他们更有可能被取代。宽体订单率的快速回升对波音的帮助可能比空客（AIR.France）更大，因为波音在宽体领域拥有更大的市场份额。尽管如此，任何订单提货都将使双方受益。</blockquote></p><p> As air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290&nbsp;target price.</p><p><blockquote>随着空中交通恢复正常，这可能会鼓励航空公司购买，冯·鲁莫尔预计，到2024年，波音公司每股将产生21美元的自由现金流。该现金流支撑了他290美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.</p><p><blockquote>目前，波音公司正在烧钱，因为在Covid-19封锁期间交付量急剧下降。2017年和2018年，在大流行之前，以及2019年737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音每股产生的自由现金流超过20美元。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500的自由现金收益率（本质上是自由现金流除以股价）约为3%，但波音的历史收益率接近6%。凭借21美元的自由现金流和6%的收益率，到2024年股价有可能达到350美元，在未来几年提供有吸引力的回报，股价约为250美元。</blockquote></p><p> With the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The&nbsp;average&nbsp;Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is about 55%.</p><p><blockquote>随着评级上调，53%的分析师将该股评级为买入。标普500股票的平均买入评级比率约为55%。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行和2019年3月至2020年12月737 MAX喷气式飞机停飞之前，波音公司是一只更受欢迎的股票。2019年2月，超过76%的研究该公司的分析师将股票评级为买入。股价接近400美元。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价2019年上涨1%，2020年下跌34%。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约19%，好于整体市场的可比涨幅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-boeing-stock-cowen-rating-upgrade-51622566557?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-boeing-stock-cowen-rating-upgrade-51622566557?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180386317","content_text":"Stock in Boeing caught an upgrade Tuesday as a Wall Street analyst noted that things are looking up for the commercial aerospace giant and the industry as a whole.\nBoeing stock (ticker: BA) was up 3% on Tuesday. \nCowen analyst Cai von Rumohr upgraded the shares to Buy from Hold and raised his target for the price to $290 from $240 a share. His belief that “a change is gonna come” underpins his more bullish view.\nThe first change is air traffic. Air travel is picking up after a moribund, pandemic-affected 2020. More than1.9 million people boarded planes in the U.S. on Monday, the highest level since March 2020. Over the holiday weekend, U.S. commercial air traffic was down less than 30% compared with 2019, a smaller drop than on recent weekends.\nMore people on planes is good news for all aerospace-related stocks.\nVon Rumohr also sees a change coming in demand for commercial aircraft. Governments and airlines are increasingly focused on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide, and new planes emit less of the greenhouse gas, so replacement demand could rise faster than investors expect. Lower operating costs, of course, are an additional reason to replace planes.\nHe also pointed out that the global fleet of wide-body, or twin-aisle aircraft, is older than the narrow-body aircraft in use. That makes them more likely to be replaced. A snapback in wide-body order rates has the potential to help Boeing a little more than Airbus (AIR.France) because Boeing has a bigger market share in wide-bodies. Still, any order pickup will benefit both.\nAs air traffic returns to normal, potentially emboldening airlines to buy, von Rumohr projects Boeing will generate $21 of free cash flow per share by 2024. That cash flow supports his $290 target price.\nRight now, Boeing is burning through cash because deliveries dropped dramatically amid Covid-19 lockdowns. In 2017 and 2018, before the pandemic, and before the 737 MAX jet was grounded in 2019, Boeing generated more than $20 in free cash flow per share.\nWhile the S&P 500 trades for a free cash yield—essentially free cash flow divided by the stock price—of about 3%, Boeing has historically traded for a yield closer to 6%. With $21 in free cash flow and a yield of 6%, a share price of $350 is possible by 2024, offering attractive returns in coming years with shares trading at about $250.\nWith the upgrade, 53% of analysts covering the stock rate shares at Buy. The average Buy-rating ratio for stocks in the S&P 500 is about 55%.\nBoeing was a much more popular stock before the pandemic and the grounding of the 737 MAX jet between March 2019 and December 2020. In February 2019, more than 76% of analysts covering the company rated shares Buy. The share price was almost $400.\nBoeing stock rose 1% in 2019 and dropped 34% in 2020. Shares are up about 19% year to date, better than comparable gains of the overall market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}