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Mike04257
2021-10-01
Good news 👍
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Mike04257
2021-09-23
To the moon 👍
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Mike04257
2021-09-17
PLTR got potential 👍
Why Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-08-06
Good start
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Mike04257
2021-08-05
Good information
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Mike04257
2021-07-28
👍
AMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-25
Good information
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Mike04257
2021-07-18
Good news for Moderna
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Mike04257
2021-07-15
Good infor
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Mike04257
2021-07-15
Good information
Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-13
Tesla will go beyond $700 👍
Tesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-11
Good information 👍
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Mike04257
2021-07-10
TSM better
Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-10
Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍
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Mike04257
2021-07-09
Good progress 👍
TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.<blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-08
Good information 👍
Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>
Mike04257
2021-07-08
Now Chinese stock down trend
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Mike04257
2021-07-08
Good infor👍
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863044047","repostId":"1143821004","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885478140,"gmtCreate":1631830823780,"gmtModify":1631890232384,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR got potential 👍","listText":"PLTR got potential 👍","text":"PLTR got potential 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885478140","repostId":"1187895428","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187895428","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1631805240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187895428?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187895428","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Palantir Technologies is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.The average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. 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Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>100天内的平均会话量约为4200万次。周四交易不到一个小时,Palantir的日交易量就已经接近3000万。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,Palantir是Stocktwits上最受欢迎的两只股票之一。该股是过去24小时内Reddit r/wallstreetbets子版块上提及次数最多的五只股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不断表示,预计到2025年收入将增长30%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.</p><p><blockquote>该公司生产用于人类驱动的现实世界数据分析的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势:</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元,最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,该股上涨5%,至28.45美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-16 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b> is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术</b>由于社交媒体上散户投资者对该股的兴趣增加,周四上午该股的交易量高于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ab0249e536a33b1fd6c306c047556b8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>100天内的平均会话量约为4200万次。周四交易不到一个小时,Palantir的日交易量就已经接近3000万。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,Palantir是Stocktwits上最受欢迎的两只股票之一。该股是过去24小时内Reddit r/wallstreetbets子版块上提及次数最多的五只股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不断表示,预计到2025年收入将增长30%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.</p><p><blockquote>该公司生产用于人类驱动的现实世界数据分析的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势:</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元,最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,该股上涨5%,至28.45美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187895428","content_text":"Palantir Technologies is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.\n\nThe average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.\nPalantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.\nPalantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.\nThe company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.\nPLTR Price Action:Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.\nThe stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899422464,"gmtCreate":1628211769358,"gmtModify":1631890232396,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good start ","listText":"Good start ","text":"Good start","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899422464","repostId":"1133501951","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2923,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890628796,"gmtCreate":1628115760815,"gmtModify":1631890232390,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890628796","repostId":"2157488069","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803356499,"gmtCreate":1627424569211,"gmtModify":1631890232394,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803356499","repostId":"2154917580","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2154917580","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627418550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2154917580?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 04:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154917580","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.","content":"<p><strong>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.</p><p><blockquote><strong>先进微设备公司。</strong>(纳斯达克:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)公布了好于预期的第二季度业绩,这得益于强劲的锐龙、图形处理器和EPYC服务器处理器销售以及更高的游戏收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司发布了对第三季度的乐观预测,并上调了全年收入增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Key Q2 Metrics: </strong> AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD第二季度的关键指标:</strong>AMD公布第二季度非GAAP每股收益为63美分,高于市场普遍预期的每股54美分。该指标还超过了去年同期18美分和上一季度52美分的每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> Revenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>收入同比增长99%,从19.3亿美元增至38.5亿美元。第一季度,这家芯片制造商报告营收为34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>分析师平均预计该季度营收为36.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <strong>Intel, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.</p><p><blockquote>对手<strong>英特尔公司。</strong>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)上周公布了高于市场普遍预期的第二季度业绩,非GAAP收入同比增长2%至185亿美元,非GAAP每股收益从1.14美元增至1.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的季度毛利率为48%,而上一季度为46%。截至本季度末,现金、现金等价物和短期投资为37.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <em>Related Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print</em></p><p><blockquote><em>相关链接:AMD在财报公布前进行整合</em></blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: </strong> AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的部门收入细分:</strong>AMD的计算和图形部门包括台式机和笔记本处理器和芯片组以及GPU,而企业、嵌入式和半定制部门包括服务器和嵌入式处理器、片上系统产品以及游戏机服务和技术。这两个部门都报告了稳健的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799126272586aeb2351c1c7fe734e2bd\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <em><strong>Source: </strong> AMD's Earnings Release</em></p><p><blockquote><em><strong>资料来源:</strong>AMD财报发布</em></blockquote></p><p> The company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将计算和图形领域的实力归因于客户端处理器的平均售价较高,这得益于锐龙台式机和笔记本处理器销量的增加。包括数据中心GPU销售在内的高端图形产品销售提振了GPU ASP。</blockquote></p><p> The increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,企业、嵌入式和半定制部门收入的增长是由EPYC处理器收入和半定制产品销售额的增加推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>Alphabet, Inc.'s </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and <strong>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company </strong>(NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.</p><p><blockquote><strong>Alphabet公司的</strong>(纳斯达克:GOOGL)谷歌云和<strong>慧与公司</strong>(纳斯达克:HPE)是已经开始使用AMD EPYC处理器的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在5月份宣布了40亿美元的股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Forward Outlook: </strong> AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的展望:</strong>AMD预计第二季度营收为41亿美元,正负1亿美元。相比之下,华尔街估计为38.2亿美元。该公司将强劲的同比增长归因于所有业务的增长,而环比增长则是由数据中心和游戏业务推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Non-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.</p><p><blockquote>非GAAP毛利率预计为48%。该公司将全年收入增长预期从50%上调至60%。</blockquote></p><p> With Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.</p><p><blockquote>随着英特尔以其积极的新路线图发起攻势,旨在到2025年及以后实现性能和效率的提高,AMD必须保持警惕,以保持其相对于竞争对手的优势。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD Stock: </strong>AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD股票:</strong>AMD股价于1月11日达到99.23美元的峰值,随后开始区间交易。3月初,该股跌破该交易区间,恰逢科技股抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.</p><p><blockquote>直到6月底,该股一直锁定在73-85美元的交易区间。从那以后,AMD的势头有所增强。第二季度,该股上涨了约24%,尽管今年迄今略有下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价周二收盘下跌0.86%,至91.03美元。盘后交易中,该股上涨0.52%,至90.56美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 04:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><strong>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.</p><p><blockquote><strong>先进微设备公司。</strong>(纳斯达克:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)公布了好于预期的第二季度业绩,这得益于强劲的锐龙、图形处理器和EPYC服务器处理器销售以及更高的游戏收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司发布了对第三季度的乐观预测,并上调了全年收入增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Key Q2 Metrics: </strong> AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD第二季度的关键指标:</strong>AMD公布第二季度非GAAP每股收益为63美分,高于市场普遍预期的每股54美分。该指标还超过了去年同期18美分和上一季度52美分的每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> Revenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>收入同比增长99%,从19.3亿美元增至38.5亿美元。第一季度,这家芯片制造商报告营收为34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>分析师平均预计该季度营收为36.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <strong>Intel, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.</p><p><blockquote>对手<strong>英特尔公司。</strong>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)上周公布了高于市场普遍预期的第二季度业绩,非GAAP收入同比增长2%至185亿美元,非GAAP每股收益从1.14美元增至1.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的季度毛利率为48%,而上一季度为46%。截至本季度末,现金、现金等价物和短期投资为37.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <em>Related Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print</em></p><p><blockquote><em>相关链接:AMD在财报公布前进行整合</em></blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: </strong> AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的部门收入细分:</strong>AMD的计算和图形部门包括台式机和笔记本处理器和芯片组以及GPU,而企业、嵌入式和半定制部门包括服务器和嵌入式处理器、片上系统产品以及游戏机服务和技术。这两个部门都报告了稳健的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799126272586aeb2351c1c7fe734e2bd\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <em><strong>Source: </strong> AMD's Earnings Release</em></p><p><blockquote><em><strong>资料来源:</strong>AMD财报发布</em></blockquote></p><p> The company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将计算和图形领域的实力归因于客户端处理器的平均售价较高,这得益于锐龙台式机和笔记本处理器销量的增加。包括数据中心GPU销售在内的高端图形产品销售提振了GPU ASP。</blockquote></p><p> The increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,企业、嵌入式和半定制部门收入的增长是由EPYC处理器收入和半定制产品销售额的增加推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>Alphabet, Inc.'s </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and <strong>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company </strong>(NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.</p><p><blockquote><strong>Alphabet公司的</strong>(纳斯达克:GOOGL)谷歌云和<strong>慧与公司</strong>(纳斯达克:HPE)是已经开始使用AMD EPYC处理器的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在5月份宣布了40亿美元的股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Forward Outlook: </strong> AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的展望:</strong>AMD预计第二季度营收为41亿美元,正负1亿美元。相比之下,华尔街估计为38.2亿美元。该公司将强劲的同比增长归因于所有业务的增长,而环比增长则是由数据中心和游戏业务推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Non-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.</p><p><blockquote>非GAAP毛利率预计为48%。该公司将全年收入增长预期从50%上调至60%。</blockquote></p><p> With Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.</p><p><blockquote>随着英特尔以其积极的新路线图发起攻势,旨在到2025年及以后实现性能和效率的提高,AMD必须保持警惕,以保持其相对于竞争对手的优势。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD Stock: </strong>AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD股票:</strong>AMD股价于1月11日达到99.23美元的峰值,随后开始区间交易。3月初,该股跌破该交易区间,恰逢科技股抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.</p><p><blockquote>直到6月底,该股一直锁定在73-85美元的交易区间。从那以后,AMD的势头有所增强。第二季度,该股上涨了约24%,尽管今年迄今略有下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价周二收盘下跌0.86%,至91.03美元。盘后交易中,该股上涨0.52%,至90.56美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QTWO":"Q2 Holdings Inc","AMD":"美国超微公司","GOOGL":"谷歌A","INTC":"英特尔","HPE":"慧与科技"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/07/22183973/amd-reports-beat-and-raise-q2-earnings-amid-ongoing-product-momentum","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154917580","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.\nThe company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.\nAMD's Key Q2 Metrics: AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.\nRevenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.\nAnalysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.\nRival Intel, Inc. (NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.\nAMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.\nRelated Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print\nAMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.\n\nSource: AMD's Earnings Release\nThe company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.\nThe increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.\nAlphabet, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.\nAMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.\nAMD's Forward Outlook: AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.\nNon-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.\nWith Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.\nAMD Stock: AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.\nThe stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.\nAMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1,"INTC":0.9,"HPE":0.9,"QTWO":1,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177958034,"gmtCreate":1627177511328,"gmtModify":1631890232401,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177958034","repostId":"2153936266","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1062,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173026485,"gmtCreate":1626588404747,"gmtModify":1631890232401,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news for Moderna ","listText":"Good news for Moderna ","text":"Good news for Moderna","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173026485","repostId":"2152681156","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147076190,"gmtCreate":1626323862010,"gmtModify":1631890232403,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good infor ","listText":"Good infor ","text":"Good infor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147076190","repostId":"1104897195","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147070701,"gmtCreate":1626323565303,"gmtModify":1631890232410,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147070701","repostId":"1122873304","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1122873304","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626320892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122873304?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122873304","media":"zerohedge","summary":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”“Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”…The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.I should warn readers this morning’","content":"<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶,必后生;善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀?“哦,这没什么好担心的,央行别无选择,只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期,忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果,以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要,而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者,今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机(“GFC”)如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC:2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀?</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation <i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was <i><u>absolutely</u></i> nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊?上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平,债券收紧,尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季,但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and <b>Absolutely</b> are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: <i>Apparently</i> you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were <i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性,即:<i>显然</i>你不能输,但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样,英国通胀率已升至2.5%,这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%,比上个月增长0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦,但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。(顶级投资提示:长期使用独轮车。)</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌,但是,它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上,金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示,以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术,可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别,对评论和数字进行法医剖析,并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的,因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers, </b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们,</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>,明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么?好吧,这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择,只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前,麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是,央行除了希望和坚持之外,对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择,只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高,或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时,他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来,就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点,并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化,摆脱腐败的金融资产,进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分(也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀,前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如;可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素;制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增,并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转,这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者,但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机,导致价格飙升,事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样,当没有储存时,交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车,价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节,具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道,全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺,推高新车价格,随着消费者寻求替代品,二手车价格上涨。另一方面,新车价格多年来一直在上涨,越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明,更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车,我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点,请考虑路虎:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带,WD40和锤子来固定。(如果它动了,不应该:Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动;更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动:WD40并用锤子说服它。)</li></ul><b>然而,通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方,富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人,那些在封锁期间过得很好,并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出,直到他们看到他们想买的东西,阶梯实际上是一个金字塔,每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周,鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事,该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构,旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数,房地产泡沫比2007年更大。(顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是,我以前已经说过很多次了……)</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础,这是正确的。然而,这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响,而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘,处于他们负担不起的阶梯上,并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国,我们生活在负资产中。在美国,你走开。不管怎样,这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府,并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产!聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产,因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关,但现实是,来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产,现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验,结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶,必后生;善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀?“哦,这没什么好担心的,央行别无选择,只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期,忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果,以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要,而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者,今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机(“GFC”)如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC:2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀?</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation <i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was <i><u>absolutely</u></i> nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊?上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平,债券收紧,尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季,但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and <b>Absolutely</b> are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: <i>Apparently</i> you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were <i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性,即:<i>显然</i>你不能输,但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样,英国通胀率已升至2.5%,这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%,比上个月增长0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦,但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。(顶级投资提示:长期使用独轮车。)</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌,但是,它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上,金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示,以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术,可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别,对评论和数字进行法医剖析,并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的,因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers, </b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们,</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>,明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么?好吧,这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择,只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前,麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是,央行除了希望和坚持之外,对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择,只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高,或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时,他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来,就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点,并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化,摆脱腐败的金融资产,进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分(也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀,前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如;可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素;制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增,并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转,这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者,但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机,导致价格飙升,事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样,当没有储存时,交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车,价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节,具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道,全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺,推高新车价格,随着消费者寻求替代品,二手车价格上涨。另一方面,新车价格多年来一直在上涨,越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明,更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车,我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点,请考虑路虎:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带,WD40和锤子来固定。(如果它动了,不应该:Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动;更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动:WD40并用锤子说服它。)</li></ul><b>然而,通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方,富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人,那些在封锁期间过得很好,并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出,直到他们看到他们想买的东西,阶梯实际上是一个金字塔,每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周,鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事,该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构,旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数,房地产泡沫比2007年更大。(顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是,我以前已经说过很多次了……)</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础,这是正确的。然而,这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响,而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘,处于他们负担不起的阶梯上,并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国,我们生活在负资产中。在美国,你走开。不管怎样,这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府,并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产!聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产,因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关,但现实是,来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产,现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验,结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122873304","content_text":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”\nWhat Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.\nI should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.\nThis morning – What inflation?\nHuh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation apparentlywasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was absolutely nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…\nApparentlyand Absolutely are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: Apparently you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were Absolutelyguaranteed.. till the company went burst.\nAs we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)\nInflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.\nFed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.\nNot today.\nFed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.\nThe brutal reality is the Central Bankers, who are all honourable men and women, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.\nThe start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.\nMost of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.\nThe reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..\nLots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)\nGoing back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.\nOil is an outlier.OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.\nSome of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.\nTo explain, consider the Land Rover:\n\nA 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)\n\nHowever, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.\nEverywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.\nThe result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)\nRightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.\nIn the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.\nThe structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…\nThis is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…\nFinancial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….\nTime to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142507064,"gmtCreate":1626158630358,"gmtModify":1631890232413,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","listText":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","text":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142507064","repostId":"1176339718","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176339718","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626154586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176339718?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176339718","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Innovation ETF ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22.","content":"<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.</p><p><blockquote><b>凯西·伍德</b>-led<b>方舟创新ETF</b>ARKK 0.68%在触及97.22美元低点后于5月13日开始反弹。自2月16日达到159.70美元的历史高点以来,该ETF一直处于大幅下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Back in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as <b>ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</b> ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.</p><p><blockquote>早在二月份,ARKK和该公司的其他一些投资部门,例如<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 0.43%创下新高,散户投资者正在关注ETF内完成的每一笔交易,作为他们自己对个别证券交易想法的基础。当ARK投资组合开始呈下降趋势时,Cathie Wood的受欢迎程度开始下降,ARK交易更新在很大程度上被忽视。</blockquote></p><p> This might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; <b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这种情况可能即将改变,ARKK自5月中旬以来已上涨近30%,随着财报季的开始,焦点又回到了伍德最喜欢的许多股票上。ARKK基金内的多只个股近期和周一也出现看涨走势; <b>特斯拉公司</b>TSLA 4.38%上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> The top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金前五名持股:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla with a 9.93% weighting.</li> <li><b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.</li> <li><b>Teledoc Health Inc</b>TDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.</li> <li><b>Shopify Inc</b>SHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.</li> <li><b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.</li> </ul> On Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉,权重为9.93%。</li><li><b>Roku公司</b>ROKU 0.42%,权重5.88%。</li><li><b>Teledoc健康公司</b>TDOC 1.69%,权重5.72%。</li><li><b>Shopify公司</b>商店0.07%,权重4.55%。</li><li><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 1.55%,权重4.52%。</li></ul>周一,期权交易员决定通过ARK Innovation ETF来推动科技股盈利上涨。大部分配售的评级的执行价为126美元,到期日为7月16日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要:</b>当出现扫单时,表明交易者希望快速建仓,并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格,而不是出价,清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即填充订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出,散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用,因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ARKK Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>ARKK交易:</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>At 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上午9点41分,一名交易员在207份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为128美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表26,910美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付1.30美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1230份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了188,190美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.53美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在2314份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了356,356美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.54美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1168份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了181,040美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在371份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了57,505美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在200份ARK Innovation ETF期权中点附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价格为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了31,400美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.57美元。</li><li>中午12点24分,一名交易员在1055份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月23日到期。该交易代表298,565美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付2.83美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 13:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.</p><p><blockquote><b>凯西·伍德</b>-led<b>方舟创新ETF</b>ARKK 0.68%在触及97.22美元低点后于5月13日开始反弹。自2月16日达到159.70美元的历史高点以来,该ETF一直处于大幅下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Back in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as <b>ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</b> ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.</p><p><blockquote>早在二月份,ARKK和该公司的其他一些投资部门,例如<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 0.43%创下新高,散户投资者正在关注ETF内完成的每一笔交易,作为他们自己对个别证券交易想法的基础。当ARK投资组合开始呈下降趋势时,Cathie Wood的受欢迎程度开始下降,ARK交易更新在很大程度上被忽视。</blockquote></p><p> This might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; <b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这种情况可能即将改变,ARKK自5月中旬以来已上涨近30%,随着财报季的开始,焦点又回到了伍德最喜欢的许多股票上。ARKK基金内的多只个股近期和周一也出现看涨走势; <b>特斯拉公司</b>TSLA 4.38%上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> The top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金前五名持股:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla with a 9.93% weighting.</li> <li><b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.</li> <li><b>Teledoc Health Inc</b>TDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.</li> <li><b>Shopify Inc</b>SHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.</li> <li><b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.</li> </ul> On Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉,权重为9.93%。</li><li><b>Roku公司</b>ROKU 0.42%,权重5.88%。</li><li><b>Teledoc健康公司</b>TDOC 1.69%,权重5.72%。</li><li><b>Shopify公司</b>商店0.07%,权重4.55%。</li><li><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 1.55%,权重4.52%。</li></ul>周一,期权交易员决定通过ARK Innovation ETF来推动科技股盈利上涨。大部分配售的评级的执行价为126美元,到期日为7月16日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要:</b>当出现扫单时,表明交易者希望快速建仓,并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格,而不是出价,清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即填充订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出,散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用,因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ARKK Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>ARKK交易:</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>At 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上午9点41分,一名交易员在207份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为128美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表26,910美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付1.30美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1230份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了188,190美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.53美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在2314份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了356,356美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.54美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1168份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了181,040美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在371份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了57,505美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在200份ARK Innovation ETF期权中点附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价格为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了31,400美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.57美元。</li><li>中午12点24分,一名交易员在1055份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月23日到期。该交易代表298,565美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付2.83美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176339718","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Innovation ETF ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.\nBack in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as ARK Fintech Innovation ETF ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.\nThis might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; Tesla IncTSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.\nThe top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:\n\nTesla with a 9.93% weighting.\nRoku IncROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.\nTeledoc Health IncTDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.\nShopify IncSHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.\nZoom Video Communications IncZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.\n\nOn Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.\nWhy It’s Important:When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.\nThese types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.\nThe ARKK Trades:Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:\n\nAt 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.\nAt 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKF":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148260014,"gmtCreate":1625979300838,"gmtModify":1631890232414,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information 👍","listText":"Good information 👍","text":"Good information 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148260014","repostId":"2150301762","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141459405,"gmtCreate":1625887333707,"gmtModify":1633936366323,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TSM better","listText":"TSM better","text":"TSM better","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141459405","repostId":"1145284684","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1145284684","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625878443,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145284684?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145284684","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, man","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li> <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li> <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li> <li>40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂,使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自<14nm的节点,低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾,均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务,专注于逻辑和各种专业技术,为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务,并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处,但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司,并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面,台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异,图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于<14纳米节点,台积电占其收入的41.4%,而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示,台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元,而联电为60亿美元。重要的是,这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位,因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自<14纳米节点,占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm,联电在该节点上投入巨资,营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下,2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米,台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月,12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中,台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出:</blockquote></p><p> “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.” TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求,我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术,包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造,大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能,以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年,在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年,2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元,每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM),并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一,特别是在28纳米节点,因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器,但在这篇文章中,为了便于讨论,我将承认这不是由于囤积,而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此,各国政府在该行业投入巨资,以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加,上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外,联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产,因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而,全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场,而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体,以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体,这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡,因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点,但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心,同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器(“CIS”)设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日,台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元,预计2023年量产,此次扩建将使产能翻一番,达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆,仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米(迁移到40纳米)工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产,每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持,其中包括负载保护机制,可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产,总产能接近每月80万片晶圆(相当于8英寸)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理,同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足,直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元,而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出(建筑+设备)为每块晶圆100,000美元,而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多,达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示,苹果(AAPL)是2020年台积电最大的客户,占收入的21%。请记住,除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外,台积电还制造M1,为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力,并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来,台积电已无数次升级其制造能力,以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示,晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者必须考虑:</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响,台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如,只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商,苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术(如汽车或ADAS),那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次,由于产能限制和技术节点需求,台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果,因为它转向更小的节点,同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低,不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商,如德州仪器(纳斯达克:TXN)和英特尔移动(纳斯达克:INTC),以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司,如联发科(OTCPK:MDTKF)、瑞昱、高通(纳斯达克:QCOM)和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月,联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示,自2018年起,公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零,但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点,占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>:TSM或UMC股票更值得购买?</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争,但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点(图1),其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%,高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加(图3),但毛利润也会增加(图2)。因此,TSM的收入高于UMC:$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高:$33B,而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电($613B)的市值高于联电($234亿)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多:$23.3 B vs UMC($37.6 B)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益(3.99)高于联电(0.59)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中,两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63,联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说,这是一个利好,毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计,鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高,2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比,联电的财务状况更强劲:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电:21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM:$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高:10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年,联电股票的表现优于台积电,在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里,台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在<7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上,它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂,这是联电的“最佳地点”,再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际(OTCQX:SMICY)晶圆厂,这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li> <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li> <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li> <li>40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂,使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自<14nm的节点,低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾,均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务,专注于逻辑和各种专业技术,为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务,并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处,但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司,并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面,台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异,图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于<14纳米节点,台积电占其收入的41.4%,而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示,台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元,而联电为60亿美元。重要的是,这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位,因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自<14纳米节点,占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm,联电在该节点上投入巨资,营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下,2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米,台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月,12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中,台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出:</blockquote></p><p> “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.” TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求,我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术,包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造,大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能,以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年,在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年,2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元,每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM),并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一,特别是在28纳米节点,因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器,但在这篇文章中,为了便于讨论,我将承认这不是由于囤积,而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此,各国政府在该行业投入巨资,以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加,上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外,联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产,因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而,全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场,而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体,以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体,这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡,因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点,但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心,同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器(“CIS”)设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日,台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元,预计2023年量产,此次扩建将使产能翻一番,达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆,仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米(迁移到40纳米)工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产,每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持,其中包括负载保护机制,可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产,总产能接近每月80万片晶圆(相当于8英寸)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理,同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足,直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元,而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出(建筑+设备)为每块晶圆100,000美元,而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多,达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示,苹果(AAPL)是2020年台积电最大的客户,占收入的21%。请记住,除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外,台积电还制造M1,为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力,并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来,台积电已无数次升级其制造能力,以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示,晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者必须考虑:</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响,台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如,只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商,苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术(如汽车或ADAS),那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次,由于产能限制和技术节点需求,台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果,因为它转向更小的节点,同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低,不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商,如德州仪器(纳斯达克:TXN)和英特尔移动(纳斯达克:INTC),以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司,如联发科(OTCPK:MDTKF)、瑞昱、高通(纳斯达克:QCOM)和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月,联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示,自2018年起,公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零,但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点,占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>:TSM或UMC股票更值得购买?</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争,但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点(图1),其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%,高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加(图3),但毛利润也会增加(图2)。因此,TSM的收入高于UMC:$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高:$33B,而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电($613B)的市值高于联电($234亿)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多:$23.3 B vs UMC($37.6 B)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益(3.99)高于联电(0.59)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中,两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63,联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说,这是一个利好,毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计,鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高,2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比,联电的财务状况更强劲:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电:21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM:$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高:10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年,联电股票的表现优于台积电,在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里,台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在<7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上,它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂,这是联电的“最佳地点”,再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际(OTCQX:SMICY)晶圆厂,这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UMC":"联电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145284684","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.\nTSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.\nTSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.\n40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.\n\nBING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.\nWhile they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.\nTo illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.\nChart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.\nChart 1\nMuch of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.\nExpanding Capacity\nLeading Edge Nodes\nTSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).\nIn TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:\n\n “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”\n\nTSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.\nAmong TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.\n28nm Nodes\nThe global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.\nAs a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.\nA strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.\nThere is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.\nOn April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.\nTSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.\nUMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.\nThe P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.\nUMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).\nPrice Per Wafer\nChart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.\nGross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.\nChart 2\nChart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.\nChart 3\nCustomer Base\nChart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.\nChart 4\nTSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.\nChart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.\nChart 5\nThus, investors must consider that:\nAny positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.\nSecondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.\nUMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.\nIn August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.\nInvestor Takeaways: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?\nBoth companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.\nTSMC Positives\nTSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.\nTSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.\n\nTSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.\nTSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).\nTSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).\nTSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).\n\nSeeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.\n\nGross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.\n\nUMC Positives\nThe comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:\n\nUMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9\nUMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.\nUMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).\n\nTable 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.\n\nTSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UMC":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141427763,"gmtCreate":1625887250652,"gmtModify":1633936368226,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","listText":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","text":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141427763","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141022169,"gmtCreate":1625826357351,"gmtModify":1633936953039,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good progress 👍","listText":"Good progress 👍","text":"Good progress 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141022169","repostId":"1116278502","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116278502","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625819152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116278502?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.<blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116278502","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.\n\nTaiwan S","content":"<p>TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f5c760eabc1c11f08d954cc0de41289\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"614\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.reported a 20% jump in quarterly sales, as the company raced to meet demand for chips from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电公司报告称,由于该公司竞相满足汽车和其他行业对芯片的需求,季度销售额增长了20%。</blockquote></p><p> Sales for the quarter ended in June came in at NT$372.1 billion ($13.3 billion), in line with the average analyst estimate of NT$371.3 billion. Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月份的季度销售额为3,721亿新台币(合133亿美元),与分析师平均预期的3,713亿新台币一致。6月营收为新台币1485亿元,同比增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> “TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>“在产能紧张的背景下,台积电更好的定价能力应该会在很大程度上抵消其大规模资本支出带来的利润压力。与此同时,台积电在EUV方面的技术/生产力突破应该会扩大其与同行的技术差距,并确保更好的成本领先技术节点的结构,”花旗分析师Roland Shu和Grant Chi在最近的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,戴姆勒和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初想象的差50%。台积电规模较小的竞争对手联华电子周三表示,芯片需求可能会持续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.<blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月份的季度销售额为3,721亿新台币(合133亿美元),与分析师平均预期的3,713亿新台币一致。6月营收为新台币1485亿元,同比增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> “TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>“在产能紧张的背景下,台积电更好的定价能力应该会在很大程度上抵消其大规模资本支出带来的利润压力。与此同时,台积电在EUV方面的技术/生产力突破应该会扩大其与同行的技术差距,并确保更好的成本领先技术节点的结构,”花旗分析师Roland Shu和Grant Chi在最近的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,戴姆勒和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初想象的差50%。台积电规模较小的竞争对手联华电子周三表示,芯片需求可能会持续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116278502","content_text":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.\n\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.reported a 20% jump in quarterly sales, as the company raced to meet demand for chips from the automotive and other industries.\nSales for the quarter ended in June came in at NT$372.1 billion ($13.3 billion), in line with the average analyst estimate of NT$371.3 billion. Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.\n“TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.\nEarlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149207480,"gmtCreate":1625727353940,"gmtModify":1633937952059,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information 👍","listText":"Good information 👍","text":"Good information 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149207480","repostId":"1140881081","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140881081","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625714447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140881081?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 11:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140881081","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Shares of $Apple$rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500and$Nasdaq$in the first half of 202","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>(纳斯达克:AAPL)周三上涨1.8%,至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元,此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级,并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出,苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而,他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此,Chatterjee认为,在iPhone 13推出之前,苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此,如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据,苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润,加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息,为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 11:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>(纳斯达克:AAPL)周三上涨1.8%,至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元,此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级,并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出,苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而,他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此,Chatterjee认为,在iPhone 13推出之前,苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此,如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据,苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润,加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息,为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","AAPL":"苹果","NGD":"New Gold"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140881081","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.\nSo what\nJPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.\nChatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500andNasdaqin the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.\nNow what\nThe recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03086":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"09086":0.9,"NGD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149205262,"gmtCreate":1625727190856,"gmtModify":1633937953450,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now Chinese stock down trend ","listText":"Now Chinese stock down trend ","text":"Now Chinese stock down trend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149205262","repostId":"2149310495","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149202878,"gmtCreate":1625727116694,"gmtModify":1633937954273,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576022902493162","idStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good infor👍","listText":"Good infor👍","text":"Good infor👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149202878","repostId":"2149310495","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":863044047,"gmtCreate":1632349386589,"gmtModify":1632801115470,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon 👍","listText":"To the moon 👍","text":"To the moon 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863044047","repostId":"1143821004","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142507064,"gmtCreate":1626158630358,"gmtModify":1631890232413,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","listText":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","text":"Tesla will go beyond $700 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142507064","repostId":"1176339718","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176339718","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626154586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176339718?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176339718","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Innovation ETF ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22.","content":"<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.</p><p><blockquote><b>凯西·伍德</b>-led<b>方舟创新ETF</b>ARKK 0.68%在触及97.22美元低点后于5月13日开始反弹。自2月16日达到159.70美元的历史高点以来,该ETF一直处于大幅下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Back in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as <b>ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</b> ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.</p><p><blockquote>早在二月份,ARKK和该公司的其他一些投资部门,例如<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 0.43%创下新高,散户投资者正在关注ETF内完成的每一笔交易,作为他们自己对个别证券交易想法的基础。当ARK投资组合开始呈下降趋势时,Cathie Wood的受欢迎程度开始下降,ARK交易更新在很大程度上被忽视。</blockquote></p><p> This might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; <b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这种情况可能即将改变,ARKK自5月中旬以来已上涨近30%,随着财报季的开始,焦点又回到了伍德最喜欢的许多股票上。ARKK基金内的多只个股近期和周一也出现看涨走势; <b>特斯拉公司</b>TSLA 4.38%上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> The top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金前五名持股:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla with a 9.93% weighting.</li> <li><b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.</li> <li><b>Teledoc Health Inc</b>TDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.</li> <li><b>Shopify Inc</b>SHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.</li> <li><b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.</li> </ul> On Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉,权重为9.93%。</li><li><b>Roku公司</b>ROKU 0.42%,权重5.88%。</li><li><b>Teledoc健康公司</b>TDOC 1.69%,权重5.72%。</li><li><b>Shopify公司</b>商店0.07%,权重4.55%。</li><li><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 1.55%,权重4.52%。</li></ul>周一,期权交易员决定通过ARK Innovation ETF来推动科技股盈利上涨。大部分配售的评级的执行价为126美元,到期日为7月16日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要:</b>当出现扫单时,表明交易者希望快速建仓,并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格,而不是出价,清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即填充订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出,散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用,因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ARKK Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>ARKK交易:</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>At 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上午9点41分,一名交易员在207份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为128美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表26,910美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付1.30美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1230份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了188,190美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.53美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在2314份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了356,356美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.54美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1168份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了181,040美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在371份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了57,505美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在200份ARK Innovation ETF期权中点附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价格为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了31,400美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.57美元。</li><li>中午12点24分,一名交易员在1055份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月23日到期。该交易代表298,565美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付2.83美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Soars, Options Traders Place Bets Through ARKK<blockquote>特斯拉飙升,期权交易员通过ARKK下注</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-13 13:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led <b>ARK Innovation ETF</b> ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.</p><p><blockquote><b>凯西·伍德</b>-led<b>方舟创新ETF</b>ARKK 0.68%在触及97.22美元低点后于5月13日开始反弹。自2月16日达到159.70美元的历史高点以来,该ETF一直处于大幅下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Back in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as <b>ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</b> ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.</p><p><blockquote>早在二月份,ARKK和该公司的其他一些投资部门,例如<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 0.43%创下新高,散户投资者正在关注ETF内完成的每一笔交易,作为他们自己对个别证券交易想法的基础。当ARK投资组合开始呈下降趋势时,Cathie Wood的受欢迎程度开始下降,ARK交易更新在很大程度上被忽视。</blockquote></p><p> This might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; <b>Tesla Inc</b>TSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这种情况可能即将改变,ARKK自5月中旬以来已上涨近30%,随着财报季的开始,焦点又回到了伍德最喜欢的许多股票上。ARKK基金内的多只个股近期和周一也出现看涨走势; <b>特斯拉公司</b>TSLA 4.38%上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> The top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金前五名持股:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla with a 9.93% weighting.</li> <li><b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.</li> <li><b>Teledoc Health Inc</b>TDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.</li> <li><b>Shopify Inc</b>SHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.</li> <li><b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.</li> </ul> On Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉,权重为9.93%。</li><li><b>Roku公司</b>ROKU 0.42%,权重5.88%。</li><li><b>Teledoc健康公司</b>TDOC 1.69%,权重5.72%。</li><li><b>Shopify公司</b>商店0.07%,权重4.55%。</li><li><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 1.55%,权重4.52%。</li></ul>周一,期权交易员决定通过ARK Innovation ETF来推动科技股盈利上涨。大部分配售的评级的执行价为126美元,到期日为7月16日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要:</b>当出现扫单时,表明交易者希望快速建仓,并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格,而不是出价,清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即填充订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出,散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用,因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ARKK Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>ARKK交易:</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>At 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.</li> <li>At 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上午9点41分,一名交易员在207份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为128美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表26,910美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付1.30美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1230份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了188,190美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.53美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在2314份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了356,356美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.54美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在1168份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了181,040美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在371份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了57,505美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>中午12点20分,一名交易员在200份ARK Innovation ETF期权中点附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价格为126美元,将于7月16日到期。该交易代表了31,400美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.57美元。</li><li>中午12点24分,一名交易员在1055份ARK Innovation ETF期权要价附近执行了看涨期权清仓,执行价为126美元,将于7月23日到期。该交易代表298,565美元的看涨押注,交易者为每份期权合约支付2.83美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176339718","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led ARK Innovation ETF ARKK 0.68% began to rebound May 13 after hitting a low of $97.22. The ETF had been trading in a sharp downtrend since reaching an all-time high of $159.70 Feb. 16.\nBack in February, when ARKK and a few of the firm's other investment arms such as ARK Fintech Innovation ETF ARKF 0.43%were reaching new highs, retail investors were watching every trade completed within the ETFs as a basis for their own trading ideas of individual securities. When the ARK portfolios began to trend downwards, Cathie Wood’s popularity began to wane and ARK trade updates were largely ignored.\nThis might be about to change, however, with ARKK now up almost 30% since mid-May and focus returning to many of Wood’s favorites as earnings season kicks into gear. A number of individual securities within the ARKK fund have also made bullish moves recently and on Monday; Tesla IncTSLA 4.38%was trading up over 4%.\nThe top fiveholdingsin the ARKK fund:\n\nTesla with a 9.93% weighting.\nRoku IncROKU 0.42%with 5.88% weighting.\nTeledoc Health IncTDOC 1.69%with a 5.72% weighting.\nShopify IncSHOP 0.07%with a 4.55% weighting.\nZoom Video Communications IncZM 1.55%with a 4.52% weighting.\n\nOn Monday, options traders decided to play the run up to tech earnings through the ARK Innovation ETF. The majority of the calls placed had a strike price of $126 and an expiry of July 16.\nWhy It’s Important:When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in the stock price. A sweeper pays the market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.\nThese types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.\nThe ARKK Trades:Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:\n\nAt 9:41 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 207 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $128 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $26,910 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.30 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1230 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $188,190 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.53 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 2314 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $356,356 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.54 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1168 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $181,040 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 371 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $57,505 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 12:20 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the midpoint of 200 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $31,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.57 per option contract.\nAt 12:24 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the ask of 1055 ARK Innovation ETF options with a strike price of $126 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $298,565 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.83 per option contract.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKF":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885478140,"gmtCreate":1631830823780,"gmtModify":1631890232384,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR got potential 👍","listText":"PLTR got potential 👍","text":"PLTR got potential 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885478140","repostId":"1187895428","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187895428","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1631805240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187895428?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187895428","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Palantir Technologies is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.The average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.Palantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over","content":"<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b> is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术</b>由于社交媒体上散户投资者对该股的兴趣增加,周四上午该股的交易量高于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ab0249e536a33b1fd6c306c047556b8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>100天内的平均会话量约为4200万次。周四交易不到一个小时,Palantir的日交易量就已经接近3000万。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,Palantir是Stocktwits上最受欢迎的两只股票之一。该股是过去24小时内Reddit r/wallstreetbets子版块上提及次数最多的五只股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不断表示,预计到2025年收入将增长30%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.</p><p><blockquote>该公司生产用于人类驱动的现实世界数据分析的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势:</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元,最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,该股上涨5%,至28.45美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么Palantir股价今天走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-16 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b> is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术</b>由于社交媒体上散户投资者对该股的兴趣增加,周四上午该股的交易量高于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ab0249e536a33b1fd6c306c047556b8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>100天内的平均会话量约为4200万次。周四交易不到一个小时,Palantir的日交易量就已经接近3000万。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,Palantir是Stocktwits上最受欢迎的两只股票之一。该股是过去24小时内Reddit r/wallstreetbets子版块上提及次数最多的五只股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不断表示,预计到2025年收入将增长30%或更多。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.</p><p><blockquote>该公司生产用于人类驱动的现实世界数据分析的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Price Action:</b>Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.</p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR价格走势:</b>Palantir在52周内的交易价格最高为45美元,最低为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.</p><p><blockquote>截至发稿时,该股上涨5%,至28.45美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187895428","content_text":"Palantir Technologies is trading higher Thursday morning on above-average volume amid increased retail investor interest in the stock on social media.\n\nThe average session volume is about 42 million over a 100-day period. Palantir's daily trading volume was already approaching 30 million less than an hour into trading Thursday.\nPalantir was one the top two trending stocks on Stocktwits at publication time. The stock was among the top five most mentioned stocks on the subreddit r/wallstreetbets over the last 24 hours.\nPalantir has continually said that it expects revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.\nThe company makes products for human-driven analysis of real-world data.\nPLTR Price Action:Palantir has traded as high as $45 and as low as $8.90 over a 52-week period.\nThe stock was up 5% at $28.45 at time of publication.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141427763,"gmtCreate":1625887250652,"gmtModify":1633936368226,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","listText":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","text":"Can buy can keep for mid to long term 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141427763","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803356499,"gmtCreate":1627424569211,"gmtModify":1631890232394,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803356499","repostId":"2154917580","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2154917580","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627418550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2154917580?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 04:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154917580","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.","content":"<p><strong>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.</p><p><blockquote><strong>先进微设备公司。</strong>(纳斯达克:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)公布了好于预期的第二季度业绩,这得益于强劲的锐龙、图形处理器和EPYC服务器处理器销售以及更高的游戏收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司发布了对第三季度的乐观预测,并上调了全年收入增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Key Q2 Metrics: </strong> AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD第二季度的关键指标:</strong>AMD公布第二季度非GAAP每股收益为63美分,高于市场普遍预期的每股54美分。该指标还超过了去年同期18美分和上一季度52美分的每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> Revenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>收入同比增长99%,从19.3亿美元增至38.5亿美元。第一季度,这家芯片制造商报告营收为34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>分析师平均预计该季度营收为36.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <strong>Intel, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.</p><p><blockquote>对手<strong>英特尔公司。</strong>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)上周公布了高于市场普遍预期的第二季度业绩,非GAAP收入同比增长2%至185亿美元,非GAAP每股收益从1.14美元增至1.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的季度毛利率为48%,而上一季度为46%。截至本季度末,现金、现金等价物和短期投资为37.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <em>Related Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print</em></p><p><blockquote><em>相关链接:AMD在财报公布前进行整合</em></blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: </strong> AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的部门收入细分:</strong>AMD的计算和图形部门包括台式机和笔记本处理器和芯片组以及GPU,而企业、嵌入式和半定制部门包括服务器和嵌入式处理器、片上系统产品以及游戏机服务和技术。这两个部门都报告了稳健的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799126272586aeb2351c1c7fe734e2bd\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <em><strong>Source: </strong> AMD's Earnings Release</em></p><p><blockquote><em><strong>资料来源:</strong>AMD财报发布</em></blockquote></p><p> The company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将计算和图形领域的实力归因于客户端处理器的平均售价较高,这得益于锐龙台式机和笔记本处理器销量的增加。包括数据中心GPU销售在内的高端图形产品销售提振了GPU ASP。</blockquote></p><p> The increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,企业、嵌入式和半定制部门收入的增长是由EPYC处理器收入和半定制产品销售额的增加推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>Alphabet, Inc.'s </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and <strong>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company </strong>(NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.</p><p><blockquote><strong>Alphabet公司的</strong>(纳斯达克:GOOGL)谷歌云和<strong>慧与公司</strong>(纳斯达克:HPE)是已经开始使用AMD EPYC处理器的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在5月份宣布了40亿美元的股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Forward Outlook: </strong> AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的展望:</strong>AMD预计第二季度营收为41亿美元,正负1亿美元。相比之下,华尔街估计为38.2亿美元。该公司将强劲的同比增长归因于所有业务的增长,而环比增长则是由数据中心和游戏业务推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Non-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.</p><p><blockquote>非GAAP毛利率预计为48%。该公司将全年收入增长预期从50%上调至60%。</blockquote></p><p> With Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.</p><p><blockquote>随着英特尔以其积极的新路线图发起攻势,旨在到2025年及以后实现性能和效率的提高,AMD必须保持警惕,以保持其相对于竞争对手的优势。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD Stock: </strong>AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD股票:</strong>AMD股价于1月11日达到99.23美元的峰值,随后开始区间交易。3月初,该股跌破该交易区间,恰逢科技股抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.</p><p><blockquote>直到6月底,该股一直锁定在73-85美元的交易区间。从那以后,AMD的势头有所增强。第二季度,该股上涨了约24%,尽管今年迄今略有下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价周二收盘下跌0.86%,至91.03美元。盘后交易中,该股上涨0.52%,至90.56美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Reports Beat-And-Raise Q2 Earnings Amid Ongoing Product Momentum<blockquote>AMD报告称,在持续的产品势头下,第二季度盈利超出预期并提高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 04:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><strong>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.</p><p><blockquote><strong>先进微设备公司。</strong>(纳斯达克:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>)公布了好于预期的第二季度业绩,这得益于强劲的锐龙、图形处理器和EPYC服务器处理器销售以及更高的游戏收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司发布了对第三季度的乐观预测,并上调了全年收入增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Key Q2 Metrics: </strong> AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD第二季度的关键指标:</strong>AMD公布第二季度非GAAP每股收益为63美分,高于市场普遍预期的每股54美分。该指标还超过了去年同期18美分和上一季度52美分的每股收益。</blockquote></p><p> Revenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.</p><p><blockquote>收入同比增长99%,从19.3亿美元增至38.5亿美元。第一季度,这家芯片制造商报告营收为34.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>分析师平均预计该季度营收为36.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rival <strong>Intel, Inc. </strong>(NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.</p><p><blockquote>对手<strong>英特尔公司。</strong>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC)上周公布了高于市场普遍预期的第二季度业绩,非GAAP收入同比增长2%至185亿美元,非GAAP每股收益从1.14美元增至1.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的季度毛利率为48%,而上一季度为46%。截至本季度末,现金、现金等价物和短期投资为37.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <em>Related Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print</em></p><p><blockquote><em>相关链接:AMD在财报公布前进行整合</em></blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: </strong> AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的部门收入细分:</strong>AMD的计算和图形部门包括台式机和笔记本处理器和芯片组以及GPU,而企业、嵌入式和半定制部门包括服务器和嵌入式处理器、片上系统产品以及游戏机服务和技术。这两个部门都报告了稳健的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799126272586aeb2351c1c7fe734e2bd\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <em><strong>Source: </strong> AMD's Earnings Release</em></p><p><blockquote><em><strong>资料来源:</strong>AMD财报发布</em></blockquote></p><p> The company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将计算和图形领域的实力归因于客户端处理器的平均售价较高,这得益于锐龙台式机和笔记本处理器销量的增加。包括数据中心GPU销售在内的高端图形产品销售提振了GPU ASP。</blockquote></p><p> The increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,企业、嵌入式和半定制部门收入的增长是由EPYC处理器收入和半定制产品销售额的增加推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>Alphabet, Inc.'s </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and <strong>Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company </strong>(NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.</p><p><blockquote><strong>Alphabet公司的</strong>(纳斯达克:GOOGL)谷歌云和<strong>慧与公司</strong>(纳斯达克:HPE)是已经开始使用AMD EPYC处理器的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在5月份宣布了40亿美元的股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD's Forward Outlook: </strong> AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD的展望:</strong>AMD预计第二季度营收为41亿美元,正负1亿美元。相比之下,华尔街估计为38.2亿美元。该公司将强劲的同比增长归因于所有业务的增长,而环比增长则是由数据中心和游戏业务推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Non-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.</p><p><blockquote>非GAAP毛利率预计为48%。该公司将全年收入增长预期从50%上调至60%。</blockquote></p><p> With Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.</p><p><blockquote>随着英特尔以其积极的新路线图发起攻势,旨在到2025年及以后实现性能和效率的提高,AMD必须保持警惕,以保持其相对于竞争对手的优势。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>AMD Stock: </strong>AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.</p><p><blockquote><strong>AMD股票:</strong>AMD股价于1月11日达到99.23美元的峰值,随后开始区间交易。3月初,该股跌破该交易区间,恰逢科技股抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.</p><p><blockquote>直到6月底,该股一直锁定在73-85美元的交易区间。从那以后,AMD的势头有所增强。第二季度,该股上涨了约24%,尽管今年迄今略有下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价周二收盘下跌0.86%,至91.03美元。盘后交易中,该股上涨0.52%,至90.56美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QTWO":"Q2 Holdings Inc","AMD":"美国超微公司","GOOGL":"谷歌A","INTC":"英特尔","HPE":"慧与科技"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/07/22183973/amd-reports-beat-and-raise-q2-earnings-amid-ongoing-product-momentum","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154917580","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) announced better-than-expected second-quarter results, thanks to strong Ryzen, graphic processor and EPYC server processor sales as well as higher gaming revenues.\nThe company issued an upbeat forecast for the third quarter and raised its revenue growth outlook for the full year.\nAMD's Key Q2 Metrics: AMD reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share of 63 cents per share, above the consensus estimate of 54 cents per share. The metric also exceeded the year-ago EPS of 18 cents and the previous quarter's 52 cents.\nRevenues climbed 99% year-over-year from $1.93 billion to $3.85 billion. In the first quarter, the chipmaker reported revenues of $3.45 billion.\nAnalysts, on average, estimates revenues of $3.62 billion for the quarter.\nRival Intel, Inc. (NASDAQ:INTC) reported last week above-consensus second-quarter results, with non-GAAP revenues climbing 2% year-over-year to $18.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS increasing from $1.14 to $1.28.\nAMD's quarterly gross margin came in at 48% compared to 46% in the previous quarter. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $3.79 billion at the end of the quarter.\nRelated Link: AMD Consolidates Ahead Of Earnings Print\nAMD's Segmental Revenue Breakup: AMD's Computing & Graphics segment comprises desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, and GPUs, while the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-custom segment consists of server and embedded processors, system-on-chip products as well as services and technology for game consoles. Both the segments reported solid revenues growth.\n\nSource: AMD's Earnings Release\nThe company attributed the strength in the Computing and Graphics segment to higher ASPs for client processors, helped by a higher mix of Ryzen desktop and notebook processor sales. High-end graphic product sales, including data center GPU sales, boosted GPU ASP.\nThe increases in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment revenue, according to the company, were driven by higher EPYC processor revenue and semi-custom product sales.\nAlphabet, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google Cloud and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NASDAQ:HPE) were among the companies that have begun using AMD's EPYC processors.\nAMD announced a $4 billion stock buyback program in May.\nAMD's Forward Outlook: AMD guided second-quarter revenues to $4.1 billion, plus or minus $100 million. This compares to the Street estimate of $3.82 billion. The company attributed a strong year-over-year increase to growth across all business, while the sequential growth is driven by data center and gaming business.\nNon-GAAP gross margin is estimated at 48%. The company lifted its full-year revenue growth forecast from 50% to 60%.\nWith Intel going on the offensive with its aggressive new roadmap that aims at achieving performance and efficiency improvements through 2025 and beyond, AMD has to be on guard to preserve the gains it has made over its rival.\nAMD Stock: AMD's shares peaked at $99.23 on Jan. 11 and then began to trade in a range. In early March, the stock moved below this trading range, coinciding with the tech sell-off.\nThe stock was locked in the $73-$85 trading range until late June. Since then, AMD has picked up some momentum. For the second quarter, the stock was up about 24%, although it is down marginally for the year-to-date period.\nAMD shares closed Tuesday's trading down 0.86% at $91.03. In after-hours trading, the stock was shedding an incremental 0.52% at $90.56.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1,"INTC":0.9,"HPE":0.9,"QTWO":1,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864957801,"gmtCreate":1633051369435,"gmtModify":1633051369598,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news 👍","listText":"Good news 👍","text":"Good news 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864957801","repostId":"1121656910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141459405,"gmtCreate":1625887333707,"gmtModify":1633936366323,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"TSM better","listText":"TSM better","text":"TSM better","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141459405","repostId":"1145284684","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1145284684","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625878443,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145284684?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145284684","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, man","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li> <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li> <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li> <li>40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂,使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自<14nm的节点,低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾,均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务,专注于逻辑和各种专业技术,为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务,并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处,但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司,并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面,台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异,图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于<14纳米节点,台积电占其收入的41.4%,而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示,台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元,而联电为60亿美元。重要的是,这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位,因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自<14纳米节点,占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm,联电在该节点上投入巨资,营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下,2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米,台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月,12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中,台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出:</blockquote></p><p> “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.” TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求,我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术,包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造,大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能,以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年,在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年,2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元,每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM),并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一,特别是在28纳米节点,因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器,但在这篇文章中,为了便于讨论,我将承认这不是由于囤积,而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此,各国政府在该行业投入巨资,以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加,上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外,联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产,因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而,全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场,而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体,以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体,这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡,因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点,但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心,同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器(“CIS”)设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日,台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元,预计2023年量产,此次扩建将使产能翻一番,达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆,仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米(迁移到40纳米)工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产,每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持,其中包括负载保护机制,可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产,总产能接近每月80万片晶圆(相当于8英寸)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理,同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足,直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元,而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出(建筑+设备)为每块晶圆100,000美元,而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多,达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示,苹果(AAPL)是2020年台积电最大的客户,占收入的21%。请记住,除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外,台积电还制造M1,为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力,并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来,台积电已无数次升级其制造能力,以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示,晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者必须考虑:</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响,台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如,只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商,苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术(如汽车或ADAS),那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次,由于产能限制和技术节点需求,台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果,因为它转向更小的节点,同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低,不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商,如德州仪器(纳斯达克:TXN)和英特尔移动(纳斯达克:INTC),以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司,如联发科(OTCPK:MDTKF)、瑞昱、高通(纳斯达克:QCOM)和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月,联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示,自2018年起,公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零,但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点,占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>:TSM或UMC股票更值得购买?</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争,但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点(图1),其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%,高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加(图3),但毛利润也会增加(图2)。因此,TSM的收入高于UMC:$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高:$33B,而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电($613B)的市值高于联电($234亿)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多:$23.3 B vs UMC($37.6 B)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益(3.99)高于联电(0.59)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中,两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63,联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说,这是一个利好,毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计,鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高,2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比,联电的财务状况更强劲:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电:21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM:$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高:10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年,联电股票的表现优于台积电,在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里,台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在<7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上,它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂,这是联电的“最佳地点”,再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际(OTCQX:SMICY)晶圆厂,这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票:哪个更值得购买?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li> <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li> <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li> <li>40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂,使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自<14nm的节点,低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾,均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务,专注于逻辑和各种专业技术,为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务,并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处,但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司,并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面,台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异,图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于<14纳米节点,台积电占其收入的41.4%,而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示,台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元,而联电为60亿美元。重要的是,这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位,因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自<14纳米节点,占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm,联电在该节点上投入巨资,营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下,2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米,台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月,12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中,台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出:</blockquote></p><p> “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.” TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求,我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术,包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造,大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能,以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年,在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年,2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元,每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM),并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一,特别是在28纳米节点,因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器,但在这篇文章中,为了便于讨论,我将承认这不是由于囤积,而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此,各国政府在该行业投入巨资,以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加,上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外,联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产,因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而,全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场,而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体,以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体,这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡,因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点,但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心,同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器(“CIS”)设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日,台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元,预计2023年量产,此次扩建将使产能翻一番,达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月(12英寸当量)。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆,仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米(迁移到40纳米)工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产,每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持,其中包括负载保护机制,可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产,总产能接近每月80万片晶圆(相当于8英寸)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理,同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足,直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元,而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出(建筑+设备)为每块晶圆100,000美元,而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多,达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示,苹果(AAPL)是2020年台积电最大的客户,占收入的21%。请记住,除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外,台积电还制造M1,为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力,并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来,台积电已无数次升级其制造能力,以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示,晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者必须考虑:</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响,台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如,只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商,苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术(如汽车或ADAS),那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次,由于产能限制和技术节点需求,台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果,因为它转向更小的节点,同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低,不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商,如德州仪器(纳斯达克:TXN)和英特尔移动(纳斯达克:INTC),以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司,如联发科(OTCPK:MDTKF)、瑞昱、高通(纳斯达克:QCOM)和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月,联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示,自2018年起,公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零,但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点,占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>:TSM或UMC股票更值得购买?</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争,但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点(图1),其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%,高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加(图3),但毛利润也会增加(图2)。因此,TSM的收入高于UMC:$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高:$33B,而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电($613B)的市值高于联电($234亿)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多:$23.3 B vs UMC($37.6 B)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益(3.99)高于联电(0.59)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中,两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63,联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说,这是一个利好,毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计,鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高,2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比,联电的财务状况更强劲:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电:21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM:$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高:10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年,联电股票的表现优于台积电,在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里,台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在<7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上,它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂,这是联电的“最佳地点”,再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际(OTCQX:SMICY)晶圆厂,这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UMC":"联电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145284684","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.\nTSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.\nTSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.\n40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.\n\nBING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.\nWhile they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.\nTo illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.\nChart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.\nChart 1\nMuch of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.\nExpanding Capacity\nLeading Edge Nodes\nTSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).\nIn TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:\n\n “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”\n\nTSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.\nAmong TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.\n28nm Nodes\nThe global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.\nAs a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.\nA strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.\nThere is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.\nOn April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.\nTSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.\nUMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.\nThe P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.\nUMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).\nPrice Per Wafer\nChart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.\nGross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.\nChart 2\nChart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.\nChart 3\nCustomer Base\nChart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.\nChart 4\nTSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.\nChart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.\nChart 5\nThus, investors must consider that:\nAny positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.\nSecondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.\nUMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.\nIn August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.\nInvestor Takeaways: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?\nBoth companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.\nTSMC Positives\nTSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.\nTSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.\n\nTSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.\nTSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).\nTSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).\nTSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).\n\nSeeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.\n\nGross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.\n\nUMC Positives\nThe comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:\n\nUMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9\nUMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.\nUMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).\n\nTable 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.\n\nTSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UMC":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149207480,"gmtCreate":1625727353940,"gmtModify":1633937952059,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information 👍","listText":"Good information 👍","text":"Good information 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149207480","repostId":"1140881081","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140881081","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625714447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140881081?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 11:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140881081","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Shares of $Apple$rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500and$Nasdaq$in the first half of 202","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>(纳斯达克:AAPL)周三上涨1.8%,至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元,此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级,并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出,苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而,他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此,Chatterjee认为,在iPhone 13推出之前,苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此,如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据,苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润,加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息,为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Stock Climbed to a New High Today<blockquote>为什么苹果股价今天攀升至新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 11:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b>(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>(纳斯达克:AAPL)周三上涨1.8%,至创纪录的收盘高点144.57美元,此前一家受人尊敬的华尔街投行对热门科技股发表了看涨评论。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee昨日重申了对苹果股票的跑赢大盘评级,并将股价预期从165美元上调至170美元。他的新估计意味着投资者来年的潜在收益约为18%。</blockquote></p><p> Chatterjee noted that Apple underperformed the<b>S&P 500</b>and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a></b>in the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.</p><p><blockquote>查特吉指出,苹果的表现逊于<b>标普500</b>和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a></b>2021年上半年。然而,他预计这家科技巨头将在当前和未来型号的iPhone上实现强劲销售。因此,Chatterjee认为,在iPhone 13推出之前,苹果的股票可能会在下半年为股东带来强劲收益。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> The recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价最近的上涨表明许多投资者同意查特吉的看涨前景。他们这样做可能是正确的。强劲的iPhone销量往往也会推动苹果高利润服务的销售和快速增长的可穿戴设备收入。因此,如果它确实带来了井喷式的iPhone销售数据,苹果可能会在今年晚些时候享受到丰厚的盈利。这种潜在的意外利润,加上苹果丰厚的股票回购和稳步增长的股息,为股东提供了多种获胜方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","AAPL":"苹果","NGD":"New Gold"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/07/why-apple-stock-climbed-to-a-new-high-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140881081","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)rose 1.8% to a record closing high of $144.57 on Wednesday after a respected Wall Street investment bank issued bullish commentary on the popular tech stock.\nSo what\nJPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reiterated his overweight rating on Apple's stock yesterday and boosted his share price forecast from $165 to $170. His new estimate implies potential gains to investors of roughly 18% in the coming year.\nChatterjee noted that Apple underperformed theS&P 500andNasdaqin the first half of 2021. Yet he expects thetechtitan to post strong sales of both current and future models of the iPhone. Thus, Chatterjee posits that Apple's shares could generate strong gains for shareholders in the second half of the year ahead of the launch of the iPhone 13.\nNow what\nThe recent rally in Apple's stock price suggests many investors agree with Chatterjee's bullish outlook. They're likely correct to do so. Robust iPhone volumes tend to also drive sales of Apple's high-margin services and fast-growing wearables revenue. So, if it does deliver blowout iPhone sales figures, Apple could enjoy an earnings bonanza later this year. This potential profit windfall, combined with Apple's bountiful share repurchases and steadily growing dividend, gives shareholders multiple ways to win.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03086":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"09086":0.9,"NGD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177958034,"gmtCreate":1627177511328,"gmtModify":1631890232401,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177958034","repostId":"2153936266","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1062,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899422464,"gmtCreate":1628211769358,"gmtModify":1631890232396,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good start ","listText":"Good start ","text":"Good start","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899422464","repostId":"1133501951","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2923,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890628796,"gmtCreate":1628115760815,"gmtModify":1631890232390,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890628796","repostId":"2157488069","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147070701,"gmtCreate":1626323565303,"gmtModify":1631890232410,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information ","listText":"Good information ","text":"Good information","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147070701","repostId":"1122873304","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1122873304","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626320892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122873304?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122873304","media":"zerohedge","summary":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”“Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”…The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.I should warn readers this morning’","content":"<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶,必后生;善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀?“哦,这没什么好担心的,央行别无选择,只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期,忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果,以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要,而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者,今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机(“GFC”)如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC:2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀?</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation <i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was <i><u>absolutely</u></i> nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊?上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平,债券收紧,尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季,但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and <b>Absolutely</b> are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: <i>Apparently</i> you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were <i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性,即:<i>显然</i>你不能输,但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样,英国通胀率已升至2.5%,这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%,比上个月增长0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦,但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。(顶级投资提示:长期使用独轮车。)</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌,但是,它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上,金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示,以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术,可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别,对评论和数字进行法医剖析,并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的,因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers, </b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们,</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>,明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么?好吧,这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择,只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前,麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是,央行除了希望和坚持之外,对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择,只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高,或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时,他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来,就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点,并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化,摆脱腐败的金融资产,进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分(也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀,前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如;可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素;制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增,并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转,这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者,但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机,导致价格飙升,事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样,当没有储存时,交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车,价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节,具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道,全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺,推高新车价格,随着消费者寻求替代品,二手车价格上涨。另一方面,新车价格多年来一直在上涨,越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明,更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车,我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点,请考虑路虎:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带,WD40和锤子来固定。(如果它动了,不应该:Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动;更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动:WD40并用锤子说服它。)</li></ul><b>然而,通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方,富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人,那些在封锁期间过得很好,并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出,直到他们看到他们想买的东西,阶梯实际上是一个金字塔,每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周,鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事,该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构,旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数,房地产泡沫比2007年更大。(顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是,我以前已经说过很多次了……)</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础,这是正确的。然而,这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响,而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘,处于他们负担不起的阶梯上,并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国,我们生活在负资产中。在美国,你走开。不管怎样,这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府,并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产!聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产,因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关,但现实是,来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产,现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验,结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀:2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所行的恶,必后生;善人常与尸骨一同埋葬。凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀?“哦,这没什么好担心的,央行别无选择,只能继续刺激市场”……市场如此关注短期,忽视了过去10年量化宽松、货币实验和宽松利率的后果,以至于它陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要,而且已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者,今天早上的粥将是我关于2007年开始的全球金融危机(“GFC”)如何仍然伴随着我们的又一次不定期笔记..我们正在进入一个新的阶段……欣赏《金钱的陨落——GFC:2007-2031》的第384章。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀?</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation <i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was <i><u>absolutely</u></i> nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>啊?上周市场确信通胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线变平,债券收紧,尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季,但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>价格上涨没什么可担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and <b>Absolutely</b> are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: <i>Apparently</i> you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were <i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域是两个非常危险的词……它们增加了你完全弄错的可能性,即:<i>显然</i>你不能输,但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天早上了解到的那样,英国通胀率已升至2.5%,这增加了央行致函解释原因的可能性。昨天的总体美国CPI数据甚至更强劲——同比增长5.4%,比上个月增长0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦,但是…你明白了…当它发生在欧洲时…德国人会大发脾气。(顶级投资提示:长期使用独轮车。)</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。这对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场应该看起来像是被猖獗的通胀打了一巴掌,但是,它似乎还没有吸取教训。今天早上,金融评论充斥着对美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何避免对通胀做出任何“缩减”反应的暗示,以防止泡沫市场崩溃的分析。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术,可以理解美联储言论中难以理解的细微差别,对评论和数字进行法医剖析,并根据对未说的话和美联储使命的清晰理解得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天的观察是为了了解杰罗姆·鲍威尔和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚和绊倒的,因为他们没有因为加息、缩减开支或做任何可能放松他们过去12年所做的事情而惊吓市场——泡沫市场无限量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers, </b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长们,</b><b><i>他们都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>,明白他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用了。为什么?好吧,这些可敬的男人和女人因为他们的行为而打破了这个系统。哎呀。现在他们别无选择,只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前,麻烦还在后头。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是,央行除了希望和坚持之外,对通胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的“锡拉”和市场崩溃的“腹背受敌”之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将获胜并继续走高——因为央行别无选择,只能随波逐流并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场关注的是标准普尔指数今天下午的走势、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高,或者亚马逊本季度将超越何处。当涉及到远远超出他们一年时间范围的任何事情时,他们有一个盲人的视野。甚至债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来,就很容易忽视证据…通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常现实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点,并看到市场已经变得多么扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化,摆脱腐败的金融资产,进入实物资产——这是市场的热门部分(也是我过去12年来在另类资产领域所做的事情)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通胀,前景很复杂——这也是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视通胀的另一个原因。例如;可以说大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素;制造商预计新冠疫情复苏将激增,并为大流行后的巨大需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在已经逆转,这支持了市场关于通胀数据有些超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是一个异常值。</b>欧佩克是垄断价格制定者,但正在经历另一场周期性组织危机,导致价格飙升,事实证明难以对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样,当没有储存时,交易员发现自己拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如二手车,价格正在上涨。它暗示了它的细节,具体的通货膨胀因素在每个价格是重要的。汽车就是一个很好的例子——我们都知道,全球芯片短缺导致汽车制造商减产并造成短缺,推高新车价格,随着消费者寻求替代品,二手车价格上涨。另一方面,新车价格多年来一直在上涨,越来越多的科技垃圾被投入汽车所证明,更高的成本是“合理的”..随着欧盟宣布到2040年将禁止新型内燃机汽车,我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>为了解释这一点,请考虑路虎:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆拥有10年低里程、完整保养历史、状况完美的路虎揽胜可能价值1.6万英镑。一个被打了20年却没有任何证件的卫士价值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带,WD40和锤子来固定。(如果它动了,不应该:Gaffa胶带它。如果它仍然动;更多的Gaffa胶带。如果它不动:WD40并用锤子说服它。)</li></ul><b>然而,通胀自满可能是央行最不担心的问题。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自全球各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在地球上的任何地方,富裕阶层——那些有储蓄的人,那些在封锁期间过得很好,并且已经在房地产阶梯上的人——一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它助长了债务和缺乏流动性的市场——没有人会卖出,直到他们看到他们想买的东西,阶梯实际上是一个金字塔,每一个连续更高的梯级上的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创历史新高。本周,鲍威尔和美国财政部Sec珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)将在金融稳定监督委员会(Financial Stability Oversight Council)上谈论此事,该委员会是2010年全球金融危机(“GFC”)后成立的机构,旨在识别美国金融体系的过度风险。差不多时间了..根据Case-Shiller美国房地产价值指数,房地产泡沫比2007年更大。(顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是,我以前已经说过很多次了……)</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础,这是正确的。然而,这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款人违约的影响,而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘,处于他们负担不起的阶梯上,并坐在负资产上泡沫破裂时。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国,我们生活在负资产中。在美国,你走开。不管怎样,这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷了。他们将风险转移到了投资领域。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划返还给政府,并返还给现在融资、发放和服务抵押贷款的非银行金融机构……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段的真正大问题。</b>实物资产!聪明的资金一直在买入实物资产,因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业无关,但现实是,来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等领域的实物资产,现在都变得越来越泡沫由于所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济。</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了……央行里所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的鬼魂会回来困扰他们在2010年开始的货币实验,结果却出了如此严重的问题……</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122873304","content_text":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”\nWhat Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.\nI should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.\nThis morning – What inflation?\nHuh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation apparentlywasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was absolutely nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…\nApparentlyand Absolutely are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: Apparently you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were Absolutelyguaranteed.. till the company went burst.\nAs we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)\nInflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.\nFed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.\nNot today.\nFed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.\nThe brutal reality is the Central Bankers, who are all honourable men and women, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.\nThe start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.\nMost of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.\nThe reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..\nLots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)\nGoing back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.\nOil is an outlier.OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.\nSome of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.\nTo explain, consider the Land Rover:\n\nA 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)\n\nHowever, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.\nEverywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.\nThe result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)\nRightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.\nIn the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.\nThe structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…\nThis is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…\nFinancial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….\nTime to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148260014,"gmtCreate":1625979300838,"gmtModify":1631890232414,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good information 👍","listText":"Good information 👍","text":"Good information 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148260014","repostId":"2150301762","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173026485,"gmtCreate":1626588404747,"gmtModify":1631890232401,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news for Moderna ","listText":"Good news for Moderna ","text":"Good news for Moderna","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173026485","repostId":"2152681156","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141022169,"gmtCreate":1625826357351,"gmtModify":1633936953039,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good progress 👍","listText":"Good progress 👍","text":"Good progress 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141022169","repostId":"1116278502","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116278502","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625819152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116278502?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.<blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116278502","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.\n\nTaiwan S","content":"<p>TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f5c760eabc1c11f08d954cc0de41289\" tg-width=\"1286\" tg-height=\"614\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.reported a 20% jump in quarterly sales, as the company raced to meet demand for chips from the automotive and other industries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电公司报告称,由于该公司竞相满足汽车和其他行业对芯片的需求,季度销售额增长了20%。</blockquote></p><p> Sales for the quarter ended in June came in at NT$372.1 billion ($13.3 billion), in line with the average analyst estimate of NT$371.3 billion. Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月份的季度销售额为3,721亿新台币(合133亿美元),与分析师平均预期的3,713亿新台币一致。6月营收为新台币1485亿元,同比增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> “TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>“在产能紧张的背景下,台积电更好的定价能力应该会在很大程度上抵消其大规模资本支出带来的利润压力。与此同时,台积电在EUV方面的技术/生产力突破应该会扩大其与同行的技术差距,并确保更好的成本领先技术节点的结构,”花旗分析师Roland Shu和Grant Chi在最近的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,戴姆勒和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初想象的差50%。台积电规模较小的竞争对手联华电子周三表示,芯片需求可能会持续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.<blockquote>台积电股价在盘前交易中上涨,第二季度营收因芯片需求增长20%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>截至6月份的季度销售额为3,721亿新台币(合133亿美元),与分析师平均预期的3,713亿新台币一致。6月营收为新台币1485亿元,同比增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> “TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>“在产能紧张的背景下,台积电更好的定价能力应该会在很大程度上抵消其大规模资本支出带来的利润压力。与此同时,台积电在EUV方面的技术/生产力突破应该会扩大其与同行的技术差距,并确保更好的成本领先技术节点的结构,”花旗分析师Roland Shu和Grant Chi在最近的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,戴姆勒和捷豹路虎警告称,持续的芯片短缺将进一步削减销量,后者表示第二季度的交付量将比最初想象的差50%。台积电规模较小的竞争对手联华电子周三表示,芯片需求可能会持续超过供应,直到2023年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116278502","content_text":"TSMC shares gains in premarket trading,as Second-Quarter Revenue Jumps 20% on Chip Demand.\n\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.reported a 20% jump in quarterly sales, as the company raced to meet demand for chips from the automotive and other industries.\nSales for the quarter ended in June came in at NT$372.1 billion ($13.3 billion), in line with the average analyst estimate of NT$371.3 billion. Revenue for June was NT$148.5 billion, up 23% from a year ago.\n“TSMC’s better pricing power on the back of the capacity tightness should largely offset the margin pressure it is seeing from the massive capex spending. Meanwhile, TSMC’s technology/productivity breakthrough in EUV should enlarge its technology gap with peers and insure a better cost structure for leading edge technology nodes,” Citi analysts Roland Shu and Grant Chi wrote in a recent note.\nEarlier this week,Daimler AGandJaguar Land Roverwarned that sales will be furthercurtailedby the persistent chip shortage, with the latter saying deliveries in the second quarter will be 50% worse than initially thought.United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller rival to TSMC, said Wednesday that chip demand couldcontinueto outpace supply until 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147076190,"gmtCreate":1626323862010,"gmtModify":1631890232403,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good infor ","listText":"Good infor ","text":"Good infor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147076190","repostId":"1104897195","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149205262,"gmtCreate":1625727190856,"gmtModify":1633937953450,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now Chinese stock down trend ","listText":"Now Chinese stock down trend ","text":"Now Chinese stock down trend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149205262","repostId":"2149310495","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149202878,"gmtCreate":1625727116694,"gmtModify":1633937954273,"author":{"id":"3576022902493162","authorId":"3576022902493162","name":"Mike04257","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576022902493162","authorIdStr":"3576022902493162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good infor👍","listText":"Good infor👍","text":"Good infor👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149202878","repostId":"2149310495","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}