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Lely84
2021-11-29
$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$
when a bad news is a good news for your stock price...
Lely84
2021-11-18
$Alibaba(BABA)$
Time to load up!
Lely84
2021-11-08
$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$
I see an opportunity...
Lely84
2021-10-28
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lely84
2021-10-20
Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing
Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system "Dragon Lizard"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote>
Lely84
2021-10-11
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lely84
2021-10-07
$Alibaba(BABA)$
we're back baby!
Lely84
2021-09-23
Hooray
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lely84
2021-09-22
Another stumbled giant that shouldn't be ignored by value investors.
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lely84
2021-09-21
Hope all well..just hold on to your investments if you believe in its future prospect. Do not take your loses today.
Lely84
2021-09-17
$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$
Just bought more....there's blood on the street
Lely84
2021-09-17
Long term hold
@TYY123:
$美国电话电报(T)$
f[捂脸]
Lely84
2021-09-04
$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$
all red
Lely84
2021-09-02
$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$
just barely
Lely84
2021-09-01
$Intel(INTC)$
finally a green day
Lely84
2021-08-30
$AT&T Inc(T)$
yawn
Lely84
2021-08-29
$Intel(INTC)$
value play
Lely84
2021-08-26
$Viacom CBS(VIAC)$
let see if this one a value play or a value trap...
Lely84
2021-08-26
Jack Ma f'kd it up...if he just shut his mouth...
抱歉,原内容已删除
Lely84
2021-08-24
$JD.com(JD)$
lets go
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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future for Alibaba cloud computing","listText":"Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing","text":"Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859437807","repostId":"1106162200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106162200","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634717288,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106162200?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 16:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106162200","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.\n\n","content":"<p>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW在盘前交易中飙升近2%,其在港股票今天上涨超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7c6d15113fd10fb36e5f590e6fbdf14\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi </p><p><blockquote>10月20日,阿里巴巴-SW云发布全新操作系统“龙蜥”,并在2021云栖上宣布开源</blockquote></p><p> Conference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.</p><p><blockquote>会议。同时,阿里达摩院操作系统实验室也宣告成立。</blockquote></p><p> The Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios </p><p><blockquote>龙蜥操作系统位于服务器端,支持多种芯片架构和计算场景</blockquote></p><p> such as X86 and ARM. </p><p><blockquote>例如X86和ARM。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW云计划投入20亿龙蜥专项资金,与100家生态伙伴合作,推动生态建设,提供至少十年的技术支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-20 16:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW在盘前交易中飙升近2%,其在港股票今天上涨超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7c6d15113fd10fb36e5f590e6fbdf14\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi </p><p><blockquote>10月20日,阿里巴巴-SW云发布全新操作系统“龙蜥”,并在2021云栖上宣布开源</blockquote></p><p> Conference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.</p><p><blockquote>会议。同时,阿里达摩院操作系统实验室也宣告成立。</blockquote></p><p> The Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios </p><p><blockquote>龙蜥操作系统位于服务器端,支持多种芯片架构和计算场景</blockquote></p><p> such as X86 and ARM. </p><p><blockquote>例如X86和ARM。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW云计划投入20亿龙蜥专项资金,与100家生态伙伴合作,推动生态建设,提供至少十年的技术支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106162200","content_text":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.\n\nOn October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi \nConference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.\nThe Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios \nsuch as X86 and ARM. \nAlibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828554445,"gmtCreate":1633927855106,"gmtModify":1633927870539,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828554445","repostId":"2174345979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823858944,"gmtCreate":1633614294200,"gmtModify":1633614323204,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>we're back baby!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>we're back baby!","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$we're back baby!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823858944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863972262,"gmtCreate":1632356013356,"gmtModify":1632801005035,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hooray","listText":"Hooray","text":"Hooray","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863972262","repostId":"2169650271","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869522452,"gmtCreate":1632307365976,"gmtModify":1632801369280,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another stumbled giant that shouldn't be ignored by value investors.","listText":"Another stumbled giant that shouldn't be ignored by value investors.","text":"Another stumbled giant that shouldn't be ignored by value investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869522452","repostId":"2169635367","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860691969,"gmtCreate":1632165784851,"gmtModify":1632802420304,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope all well..just hold on to your investments if you believe in its future prospect. 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mouth...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810608985","repostId":"1162324682","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834952189,"gmtCreate":1629768348241,"gmtModify":1631889895161,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576653688169426","authorIdStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>lets go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>lets go","text":"$JD.com(JD)$lets go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c26f94f7158a35c82c75fcc90e0993dd","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834952189","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":876925849,"gmtCreate":1637250725881,"gmtModify":1637250726098,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> Time to load up!","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> Time to load up!","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ Time to load up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876925849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":159917160,"gmtCreate":1624935730550,"gmtModify":1633946772713,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Excellent","listText":"Excellent","text":"Excellent","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159917160","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":845735009,"gmtCreate":1636366931170,"gmtModify":1636366931913,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.SI\">$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$</a>I see an opportunity...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.SI\">$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$</a>I see an opportunity...","text":"$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$I see an opportunity...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845735009","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346820324,"gmtCreate":1618022284768,"gmtModify":1634295183779,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> The fine sure seem a bit high but this is Alibaba & the long term future growth of the company still looks strong. Nothing to worry about. In a short term sure it'll be bummer to the stock price but in a long term it's just a small bump on the road. Just my two cents. Still bullish for a long term investment.","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a> The fine sure seem a bit high but this is Alibaba & the long term future growth of the company still looks strong. Nothing to worry about. In a short term sure it'll be bummer to the stock price but in a long term it's just a small bump on the road. Just my two cents. Still bullish for a long term investment.","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$ The fine sure seem a bit high but this is Alibaba & the long term future growth of the company still looks strong. Nothing to worry about. In a short term sure it'll be bummer to the stock price but in a long term it's just a small bump on the road. Just my two cents. Still bullish for a long term investment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346820324","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346860145,"gmtCreate":1618021495587,"gmtModify":1634295190471,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope this will finally end the downtrend of the stock...","listText":"Hope this will finally end the downtrend of the stock...","text":"Hope this will finally end the downtrend of the stock...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346860145","repostId":"2126031945","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2126031945","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1618021088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2126031945?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-10 10:18","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"BRIEF-Alibaba to hold conference call on Monday to dicuss $2.75 bln China regulatory fine<blockquote>简报-阿里巴巴-SW将于周一召开电话会议讨论27.5亿美元中国监管罚款</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2126031945","media":"Reuters","summary":"April 10 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd : * ALIBABA SAYS TO HOLD CONFERENCE CALL ON APRIL","content":"<p><html><body>April 10 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd :</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透4月10日-阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司:</body></html></blockquote></p><p> * ALIBABA SAYS TO HOLD CONFERENCE CALL ON APRIL 12 TO DISCUSS ADMINISTRATIVE PENALTY DECISION AT 8:00 AM HK TIME</p><p><blockquote>*阿里巴巴-SW表示将于香港时间4月12日上午8时举行电话会议讨论行政处罚决定</blockquote></p><p>Further company coverage: </p><p><blockquote>更多公司报道:</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Himani Sarkar)</p><p><blockquote>(希马尼·萨卡尔报道)</blockquote></p><p>((Himani.Sarkar@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>((Himani.Sarkar@thomsonreuters.com;))</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BRIEF-Alibaba to hold conference call on Monday to dicuss $2.75 bln China regulatory fine<blockquote>简报-阿里巴巴-SW将于周一召开电话会议讨论27.5亿美元中国监管罚款</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBRIEF-Alibaba to hold conference call on Monday to dicuss $2.75 bln China regulatory fine<blockquote>简报-阿里巴巴-SW将于周一召开电话会议讨论27.5亿美元中国监管罚款</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-10 10:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>April 10 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd :</p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透4月10日-阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司:</body></html></blockquote></p><p> * ALIBABA SAYS TO HOLD CONFERENCE CALL ON APRIL 12 TO DISCUSS ADMINISTRATIVE PENALTY DECISION AT 8:00 AM HK TIME</p><p><blockquote>*阿里巴巴-SW表示将于香港时间4月12日上午8时举行电话会议讨论行政处罚决定</blockquote></p><p>Further company coverage: </p><p><blockquote>更多公司报道:</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Himani Sarkar)</p><p><blockquote>(希马尼·萨卡尔报道)</blockquote></p><p>((Himani.Sarkar@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>((Himani.Sarkar@thomsonreuters.com;))</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2126031945","content_text":"April 10 (Reuters) - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd : * ALIBABA SAYS TO HOLD CONFERENCE CALL ON APRIL 12 TO DISCUSS ADMINISTRATIVE PENALTY DECISION AT 8:00 AM HK TIMEFurther company coverage: (Reporting by Himani Sarkar)((Himani.Sarkar@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.6,"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600518531,"gmtCreate":1638172320141,"gmtModify":1638172320767,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.SI\">$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$</a>when a bad news is a good news for your stock price...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BVA.SI\">$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$</a>when a bad news is a good news for your stock price...","text":"$TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD(BVA.SI)$when a bad news is a good news for your stock price...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600518531","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859437807,"gmtCreate":1634720519539,"gmtModify":1634720956705,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing","listText":"Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing","text":"Bright future for Alibaba cloud computing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859437807","repostId":"1106162200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106162200","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634717288,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106162200?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 16:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106162200","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.\n\n","content":"<p>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW在盘前交易中飙升近2%,其在港股票今天上涨超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7c6d15113fd10fb36e5f590e6fbdf14\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi </p><p><blockquote>10月20日,阿里巴巴-SW云发布全新操作系统“龙蜥”,并在2021云栖上宣布开源</blockquote></p><p> Conference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.</p><p><blockquote>会议。同时,阿里达摩院操作系统实验室也宣告成立。</blockquote></p><p> The Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios </p><p><blockquote>龙蜥操作系统位于服务器端,支持多种芯片架构和计算场景</blockquote></p><p> such as X86 and ARM. </p><p><blockquote>例如X86和ARM。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW云计划投入20亿龙蜥专项资金,与100家生态伙伴合作,推动生态建设,提供至少十年的技术支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading as it released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\"<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW发布新操作系统“龙蜥”盘前大涨近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-20 16:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW在盘前交易中飙升近2%,其在港股票今天上涨超过6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7c6d15113fd10fb36e5f590e6fbdf14\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> On October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi </p><p><blockquote>10月20日,阿里巴巴-SW云发布全新操作系统“龙蜥”,并在2021云栖上宣布开源</blockquote></p><p> Conference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.</p><p><blockquote>会议。同时,阿里达摩院操作系统实验室也宣告成立。</blockquote></p><p> The Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios </p><p><blockquote>龙蜥操作系统位于服务器端,支持多种芯片架构和计算场景</blockquote></p><p> such as X86 and ARM. </p><p><blockquote>例如X86和ARM。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW云计划投入20亿龙蜥专项资金,与100家生态伙伴合作,推动生态建设,提供至少十年的技术支持。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106162200","content_text":"Alibaba soared nearly 2% in premarket trading and its stocks in Hong Kong rose more than 6% today.\n\nOn October 20th, Alibaba Cloud released a new operating system \"Dragon Lizard\" and announced open source at the 2021 Yunqi \nConference. At the same time, the operating system laboratory of Ali Dharma Institute was also announced.\nThe Dragon Lizard operating system is located on the server side and supports various chip architectures and computing scenarios \nsuch as X86 and ARM. \nAlibaba Cloud plans to invest 2 billion special funds for dragons and lizards, and cooperate with 100 ecological partners to promote ecological construction and provide technical support for at least ten years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":120644027,"gmtCreate":1624322984369,"gmtModify":1634007855235,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120644027","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105770551,"gmtCreate":1620343143373,"gmtModify":1631888854390,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">$Sony(SONY)$</a>Hugely undervalued.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">$Sony(SONY)$</a>Hugely undervalued.","text":"$Sony(SONY)$Hugely undervalued.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105770551","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377884126,"gmtCreate":1619515136465,"gmtModify":1631888854388,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">$Sony(SONY)$</a>humm what happen to Sony? Pre market down 2%....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">$Sony(SONY)$</a>humm what happen to Sony? Pre market down 2%....","text":"$Sony(SONY)$humm what happen to Sony? Pre market down 2%....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377884126","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153179721,"gmtCreate":1625015376163,"gmtModify":1631892503580,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>we can go higher","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$JD.com(JD)$</a>we can go higher","text":"$JD.com(JD)$we can go higher","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7e900e8b1753ece2bdf5a6984db7a81","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153179721","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123306792,"gmtCreate":1624408099316,"gmtModify":1634006624477,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123306792","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340567886,"gmtCreate":1617435530345,"gmtModify":1634520964513,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just standby the cash. ","listText":"Just standby the cash. ","text":"Just standby the cash.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340567886","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<p> You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里,投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性,(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值,但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说,耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实:股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好,但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题:股市崩盘的可能性有多大?让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先,股市调整(即至少下跌10%)在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据,自1950年初以来,标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了,平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而,平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平,即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期,那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题,平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内,调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初(为了简单起见,我随意选择了一年)以来,这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市,包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中,100%的情况下,三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内,总共发生了13次调整(即每次底部之后都有一次或两次)。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而,自2020年3月23日以来,上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明,未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时,经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)。这是一个估值指标,考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率,或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘,标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数,这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上,现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点,而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍,这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而,此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下,基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌,但从历史上看,当估值延长时,就有可能出现大幅下跌,就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边,以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题,数据非常清楚地表明,股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生,下跌将持续多长时间,或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现,但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是,它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看,自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中,每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外,在过去的一个世纪里,标普500的20年滚动总回报率(包括股息)从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入,请记住,标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日(3.5个月或更短)内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈,但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里,投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性,(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值,但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说,耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实:股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好,但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题:股市崩盘的可能性有多大?让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先,股市调整(即至少下跌10%)在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据,自1950年初以来,标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了,平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而,平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平,即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期,那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题,平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内,调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初(为了简单起见,我随意选择了一年)以来,这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市,包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中,100%的情况下,三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内,总共发生了13次调整(即每次底部之后都有一次或两次)。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而,自2020年3月23日以来,上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明,未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时,经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率(P/E)。这是一个估值指标,考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率,或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘,标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数,这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上,现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点,而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍,这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而,此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下,基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌,但从历史上看,当估值延长时,就有可能出现大幅下跌,就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边,以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题,数据非常清楚地表明,股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生,下跌将持续多长时间,或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现,但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是,它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看,自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中,每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外,在过去的一个世纪里,标普500的20年滚动总回报率(包括股息)从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入,请记住,标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日(3.5个月或更短)内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈,但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325961728,"gmtCreate":1615857929064,"gmtModify":1703494049586,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APT\">$Alpha Pro Tech(APT)$</a>Let's go to 15 dollar!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APT\">$Alpha Pro Tech(APT)$</a>Let's go to 15 dollar!","text":"$Alpha Pro Tech(APT)$Let's go to 15 dollar!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc22a7b16946e589ecfae555f7fed811","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325961728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832586406,"gmtCreate":1629669641705,"gmtModify":1631889895171,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832586406","repostId":"1133515985","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832948244,"gmtCreate":1629579208388,"gmtModify":1631889895183,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832948244","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","ASML":"阿斯麦","CDNS":"铿腾电子","SNPS":"新思科技","GOOGL":"谷歌A","NVDA":"英伟达","SSNLF":"三星电子","TSM":"台积电","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","ON":"安森美半导体","AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOG":"谷歌","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127292140,"gmtCreate":1624849733280,"gmtModify":1633947987845,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comeback","listText":"Comeback","text":"Comeback","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127292140","repostId":"1131605721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376756777,"gmtCreate":1619151643399,"gmtModify":1634288152984,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bad policy?","listText":"Bad policy?","text":"Bad policy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376756777","repostId":"2129336573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371095660,"gmtCreate":1618889980750,"gmtModify":1634290108381,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still overpriced","listText":"Still overpriced","text":"Still overpriced","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371095660","repostId":"1130788275","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342611976,"gmtCreate":1618208706495,"gmtModify":1634294414167,"author":{"id":"3576653688169426","authorId":"3576653688169426","name":"Lely84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34f149aed6f506c1cee71310cc6dbf2c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576653688169426","idStr":"3576653688169426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Double down #bullish","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Double down #bullish","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Double down #bullish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342611976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}