梭哈是一种智慧。的个人主页 - 老虎社区

梭哈是一种智慧。

梭哈是一种智慧。

一直准备、蓄力、关注着至少翻倍的低位机会诞生的可能，等待，进击，止盈。（凡事都能从两面看，5月13日贾会计法拉第就是这种机会）https://m.toutiao.com/video/73690241

IP属地：湖南

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0勋章

梭哈是一种智慧。

06-06

从现在开始，除非政府不再乱来，美股只能做短期。

梭哈是一种智慧。

06-06

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 胆子小了点，本来昨夜put赚10多倍，1倍多就跑了。

梭哈是一种智慧。

04-07

希望今天双位数的跌幅吧，不然我恒生科技，创业板不好看

梭哈是一种智慧。

04-07

不知道，我前两天已经开了空单。

梭哈是一种智慧。

04-04

已经破100，应该马上做空他们

@shuiyuan:$英伟达(NVDA)$ 132的本还能回去吗[流泪]

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-11-07

马斯克——梭哈的高手。

马斯克身家增长209亿美元稳居全球首富宝座

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-10-02

早上没敢上，拍断腿啊。

港股异动 | 中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447% 近日与野村订立累计认沽期权合约

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-09-24

$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-07-01

$特斯拉概念(BK4511)$ 新能源又来一波？

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-06-21

夏至太阳猛如虎

梭哈是一种智慧。

2024-06-07

这么好的机会，贾布斯要做一点真的改变啊，多搞钱真正做企业。不然没有人敢粘了

梭哈是一种智慧。

2023-08-03

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 纳指今年到顶了。

梭哈是一种智慧。

2022-08-10

$大健云仓(GCT)$家居类细分市场的线上商城，较之其他全品类商城如何在专业化、差异化、口碑、品牌等为客户提**品与服务。具有很深很广的潜在市场。

梭哈是一种智慧。

2022-07-20

$BIT Mining Limited(BTCM)$不容易啊，拿了半个月

梭哈是一种智慧。

2022-06-07

学习了！

直播：Tiger Trade PC版全新升级

梭哈是一种智慧。

2021-07-29

太有道理了。

抱歉，原内容已删除

梭哈是一种智慧。

2021-06-18

技术分析很深入啊。

@爱上趋势股:一文看懂，如何布局全球芯片产业链！！！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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132的本还能回去吗[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/420489576763824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368299091177488,"gmtCreate":1730932716625,"gmtModify":1730932718409,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","listText":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","text":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368299091177488","repostId":"2481257963","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2481257963","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1730930700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2481257963?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-07 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11:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股异动 | 中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%  近日与野村订立累计认沽期权合约","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2472566234","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00605\">中国金融投资管理</a>(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。</p><p>消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2472566234","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00605":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":352998335967416,"gmtCreate":1727190223655,"gmtModify":1727192306066,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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胆子小了点，本来昨夜put赚10多倍，1倍多就跑了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/442934918050128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":442941221830888,"gmtCreate":1749162211620,"gmtModify":1749166489362,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"从现在开始，除非政府不再乱来，美股只能做短期。","listText":"从现在开始，除非政府不再乱来，美股只能做短期。","text":"从现在开始，除非政府不再乱来，美股只能做短期。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/442941221830888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368299091177488,"gmtCreate":1730932716625,"gmtModify":1730932718409,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","listText":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","text":"马斯克——梭哈的高手。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368299091177488","repostId":"2481257963","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2481257963","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1730930700,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2481257963?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-07 06:05","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"马斯克身家增长209亿美元 稳居全球首富宝座","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2481257963","media":"网易新闻","summary":"每经AI快讯，在马斯克支持的特朗普拿下美国总统大选后，特斯拉(TSLA.O)在美国时间周三收涨14.75%。福布斯富豪榜数据显示，特斯拉的大涨使得该公司创始人兼CEO马斯克的身家单日增长了209亿美元，总资产达到2856亿美元，远超位列全球富豪榜第二位的杰夫贝索斯。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\">每经AI快讯，在马斯克支持的特朗普拿下美国总统大选后，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA.O)在美国时间周三收涨14.75%。福布斯富豪榜数据显示，特斯拉的大涨使得该公司创始人兼CEO马斯克的身家单日增长了209亿美元，总资产达到2856亿美元，远超位列全球富豪榜第二位的杰夫贝索斯。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克身家增长209亿美元 稳居全球首富宝座\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-07 06:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-11-07/doc-incvesvr8012686.shtml><strong>网易新闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>每经AI快讯，在马斯克支持的特朗普拿下美国总统大选后，特斯拉(TSLA.O)在美国时间周三收涨14.75%。福布斯富豪榜数据显示，特斯拉的大涨使得该公司创始人兼CEO马斯克的身家单日增长了209亿美元，总资产达到2856亿美元，远超位列全球富豪榜第二位的杰夫贝索斯。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2024-11-07/doc-incvesvr8012686.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GCT\">$大健云仓(GCT)$</a>家居类细分市场的线上商城，较之其他全品类商城如何在专业化、差异化、口碑、品牌等为客户提**品与服务。具有很深很广的潜在市场。","text":"$大健云仓(GCT)$家居类细分市场的线上商城，较之其他全品类商城如何在专业化、差异化、口碑、品牌等为客户提**品与服务。具有很深很广的潜在市场。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/684949874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808882206,"gmtCreate":1627568952305,"gmtModify":1627568952305,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太有道理了。","listText":"太有道理了。","text":"太有道理了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808882206","repostId":"1179645004","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179645004","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627564640,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179645004?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 21:17","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"每当市场震荡时，想想克己复“利”的智慧！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179645004","media":"兴证全球基金","summary":"7月27日，上证指数下跌2.49%，收于3381点，为今年以来最大单日跌幅。有的基民表示：“跌慌了”，也有基民急于“破解下跌真相”，但这是否真的值得忧虑？投资者需要改变既定的投资决策吗？\n\n子曰：“克","content":"<blockquote>\n 7月27日，上证指数下跌2.49%，收于3381点，为今年以来最大单日跌幅。有的基民表示：“跌慌了”，也有基民急于“破解下跌真相”，但这是否真的值得忧虑？投资者需要改变既定的投资决策吗？\n</blockquote>\n<p>子曰：“克己复礼为仁。”克制自己的私欲，修正自己习性的上缺点，而后努力达到至高境界。&nbsp;其中，“克己”或许也是在投资中值得推崇的道理，克服贪婪、谨慎选择，战胜恐惧、长期持有。化用此言，克己复“利”争取的是通过长期投资，静待时间的玫瑰盛开。</p>\n<p><b>耐住寂寞，守住繁华</b></p>\n<p>巴菲特遵循的价值投资有两个核心：一个是寻找投资标的，即为不断成长、有美好未来的公司；另一个，就是在时间的力量下慢慢成长。寻找优秀投资标的好似“毕其功于一役”，细心挑选，长期持有，就有机会陪伴公司一同成长。</p>\n<p>这两种核心并不是相互对立，而是相辅相成的，任何一方都不可或缺。价值投资是中长线的投资方式，即便是选择优秀投资标的，也需要花漫长的时间试错，建立自己的理论体系，深入研究商业模式，进行合理的估值，预留出足够的安全边际，耐得住“远离市场”的寂寞，才可能有机会获得公司成长的红利，因此才有“四十岁之后才懂价值投资”的说法。所以对普通投资者来说，可行的其实是在优秀标的中争取长期回报。</p>\n<p>我们可以继续探究投资的四个方面：时间、收益率、风险控制、以及使用72法则。</p>\n<p><b>时间的力量</b></p>\n<p>时间正如字面意思很好理解，但也是最重要的。有数据统计巴菲特83岁为止财富，巴菲特一生中99%的财富都是他50岁之后获得的。50岁之前，他的个人财富“仅仅”约3亿美元；但凭借着几十年的积累，加上长期约20%的年化回报率，巴菲特在50岁之后进入了财富爆炸期。截至2021年7月26日，他的财富净值已经达到了1011亿美元。</p>\n<p>巴菲特最著名的话之一就是这句：“<b>人生就像滚雪球，关键是要找到足够湿的雪，和足够长的坡。</b>”这里的“雪”或许是指财富，“湿度”是投资收益率，“坡长”是投资的时间。而巴菲特之所以成为巴菲特 ，“长坡”和“厚雪”缺一不可。</p>\n<p>财富的积累也是如此。大部分投资大家都不是生来富裕，他们赚取的第一桶金也往往不足以暴富，积累财富的方法或许是借助时间来使钱生钱。可我们常常对短期收益率抱有过高的期望，却对3年、5年甚至更长时间的收益没有耐心等待。毕竟，<b>很少人希望慢慢变富</b>。</p>\n<p><b>复利中的收益差距有多大？</b></p>\n<p>既然收益率如此被人们看重，它又扮演了怎样的角色呢？</p>\n<p>举例来说，当一位投资者用1000元本金用于投资某两只年化复合收益率分别为10%和12%的基金，一年下来的收益也不过是100元和120元的区别。后一只基金多出的2%年化收益率对很多投资者来说并没有多大的吸引力，他们也不会花上过多额外的时间在市面上八千多只基金的茫茫大海中筛选。但是，当经过十五年，它们的差距被时间从<b>20元放大成了近1300元</b>。复利下本息合计金额（纵轴）随时间（横轴）的变化曲线与如下图。</p>\n<p>1000元本金在10%及12%年化回报率下15年的收益对比</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c15a86128dc231486337baa7ee3e16c1\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"295\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>注：结果为按照10%及12%的年化收益率分别进行简单复利的模拟测算，不代表真实收益水平，仅供参考。</p>\n<p>微小的收益率差异经过足够<b>长的</b>时间也能产生结果的巨大差距。对于投资者来说，<b>接受起步不会太快这个事实，有助于对复利形成正确的期待，并培养足够的耐心。</b>没有一点一滴微小的积累，很难达到最后的目的地。其实，公募基金并不存在类似于存款“利滚利”的概念，期间的波动更是需要适应和面对的常态，年化收益率是指长期时间下总收益的年化平均值。</p>\n<p><b>力控回撤，继续前进</b></p>\n<p>说到微小的收益率差异被时间放大后的结果，很多投资者恐怕会想尽可能提高收益率，收益率的提升绝大多数情况下都伴随着风险的提升。一旦投资标的大幅回撤，投资者的收益也会获得巨大影响。下表假设了四种为期4年的投资方案作为举例。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac5d07b9e27ef65e6464cf895b5ab50c\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>➤<b>假设一：</b>如果第一年盈利100%，第二年亏损50%，反复两次4年后收益率为0。在有可能达到100%收益率的情况下，投资者应该会有50%回撤的预期，但这种<b>极端的波动结果并不理想</b>；</p>\n<p>➤<b>假设二：</b>首年盈利50%，次年亏损25%，反复两次4年后总收益26.6%，<b>年化仅为6.1%</b>；</p>\n<p>➤<b>假设三：</b>在方案二的基础上预期盈亏分别减半，市场上部分理财产品的上涨和回撤情况与这种方案类似。<b>最终的年化收益率为4.6%</b>，尽管方案三相比方案二波动幅度更小，但是收益甚至变低了；</p>\n<p>➤<b>假设四：</b>如果一直保持正收益，收益率随市场而波动如表， 4年后总收益约33%，年化7.4%，亦高出方案二。在这种比较理想的情况下，这只理财产品却很难成为某年的冠军产品。</p>\n<p>注：各假设仅为模拟计算，不代表真实收益水平，仅供参考。基金投资有风险，请谨慎选择。</p>\n<p>因此，风险控制对投资收益来说至关重要。在财富滚雪球的时候，要尽量控制风险，减小回撤，才有机会将雪球越滚越大。</p>\n<p><b>著名的“72法则”</b></p>\n<p>投资界有个著名的72法则，即用<b>72除以你的年化复合收益率得到的结果就是你的资产翻倍所需要的时间</b>。如果年化复合收益率为12%，资产翻倍的时间约需要6年。</p>\n<p>然而投资的收益率受当年市场的影响，因此很难控制每年都是正收益，遑论维持每年特定的收益率。能够承诺每年维持特定收益的产品不仅无人能够做到，更是违法违规。部分投资者可能会陷入收益率的怪圈：他们可能被开始的高收益所吸引，却没想到背后隐藏的高风险；又或者是看到某些产品的过往表现心动不已，却因为可能的波动性超出承受范围无法长期持有。投资好像一场马拉松，与其回望错过的的累累硕果而兴叹，不如坚持到最后，细嗅时间的玫瑰带来的芬芳。</p>\n<p><b>长期投资思维：当投资照进生活</b></p>\n<p>投资最重要的元素莫过于时间的力量。对于投资者来说，长期投资思维能在投资中为我们有效积累财富，而想获得长期投资收益需要牢记以下几点：</p>\n<p>·&nbsp;拉长战线，加长坡道</p>\n<p>·&nbsp;牢记风险，减小回撤</p>\n<p>·&nbsp;坚定持有，谨慎致远</p>\n<p>而在生活中，克己”与长期的思维更是有对我们人生的启迪：</p>\n<p><b>拒绝透支</b>：金钱、财富、人脉、健康……一点微小的透支可能被时间放大成巨大的损失。</p>\n<p><b>有大局观</b>：找到目标，选对赛道，坚定努力，今日的细微投入可能在未来带来巨大的收获。</p>\n<p>对于“股神”巴菲特来说，投资只有三个选项：</p>\n<p>第一，可以投资；</p>\n<p>第二，不能投资；</p>\n<p>第三，太难理解。</p>\n<p>作为世界上最成功的投资家之一，只投“<b>能理解</b>”的项目，就一种极致“<b>克己</b>”的体现。&nbsp;对于投资者来说，这种“克己”体现为战胜自己的心魔，理性投资，坚定持有，而最终或许就能获得丰硕果实。但是<b>坚定持有并不等于教条主义地不发挥任何主观能动性</b>，而是坚守初心，并根据市场进行合理的动态调整。</p>\n<p>现在的小小雪球最后会成长到何种程度，相信时间会给我们答案。</p>","source":"lsy1619314504794","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>每当市场震荡时，想想克己复“利”的智慧！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n每当市场震荡时，想想克己复“利”的智慧！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 21:17 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zOgaNGjA33neY8ZyLjaclA><strong>兴证全球基金</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>7月27日，上证指数下跌2.49%，收于3381点，为今年以来最大单日跌幅。有的基民表示：“跌慌了”，也有基民急于“破解下跌真相”，但这是否真的值得忧虑？投资者需要改变既定的投资决策吗？\n\n子曰：“克己复礼为仁。”克制自己的私欲，修正自己习性的上缺点，而后努力达到至高境界。 其中，“克己”或许也是在投资中值得推崇的道理，克服贪婪、谨慎选择，战胜恐惧、长期持有。化用此言，克己复“利”争取的是通过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zOgaNGjA33neY8ZyLjaclA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zOgaNGjA33neY8ZyLjaclA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179645004","content_text":"7月27日，上证指数下跌2.49%，收于3381点，为今年以来最大单日跌幅。有的基民表示：“跌慌了”，也有基民急于“破解下跌真相”，但这是否真的值得忧虑？投资者需要改变既定的投资决策吗？\n\n子曰：“克己复礼为仁。”克制自己的私欲，修正自己习性的上缺点，而后努力达到至高境界。 其中，“克己”或许也是在投资中值得推崇的道理，克服贪婪、谨慎选择，战胜恐惧、长期持有。化用此言，克己复“利”争取的是通过长期投资，静待时间的玫瑰盛开。\n耐住寂寞，守住繁华\n巴菲特遵循的价值投资有两个核心：一个是寻找投资标的，即为不断成长、有美好未来的公司；另一个，就是在时间的力量下慢慢成长。寻找优秀投资标的好似“毕其功于一役”，细心挑选，长期持有，就有机会陪伴公司一同成长。\n这两种核心并不是相互对立，而是相辅相成的，任何一方都不可或缺。价值投资是中长线的投资方式，即便是选择优秀投资标的，也需要花漫长的时间试错，建立自己的理论体系，深入研究商业模式，进行合理的估值，预留出足够的安全边际，耐得住“远离市场”的寂寞，才可能有机会获得公司成长的红利，因此才有“四十岁之后才懂价值投资”的说法。所以对普通投资者来说，可行的其实是在优秀标的中争取长期回报。\n我们可以继续探究投资的四个方面：时间、收益率、风险控制、以及使用72法则。\n时间的力量\n时间正如字面意思很好理解，但也是最重要的。有数据统计巴菲特83岁为止财富，巴菲特一生中99%的财富都是他50岁之后获得的。50岁之前，他的个人财富“仅仅”约3亿美元；但凭借着几十年的积累，加上长期约20%的年化回报率，巴菲特在50岁之后进入了财富爆炸期。截至2021年7月26日，他的财富净值已经达到了1011亿美元。\n巴菲特最著名的话之一就是这句：“人生就像滚雪球，关键是要找到足够湿的雪，和足够长的坡。”这里的“雪”或许是指财富，“湿度”是投资收益率，“坡长”是投资的时间。而巴菲特之所以成为巴菲特 ，“长坡”和“厚雪”缺一不可。\n财富的积累也是如此。大部分投资大家都不是生来富裕，他们赚取的第一桶金也往往不足以暴富，积累财富的方法或许是借助时间来使钱生钱。可我们常常对短期收益率抱有过高的期望，却对3年、5年甚至更长时间的收益没有耐心等待。毕竟，很少人希望慢慢变富。\n复利中的收益差距有多大？\n既然收益率如此被人们看重，它又扮演了怎样的角色呢？\n举例来说，当一位投资者用1000元本金用于投资某两只年化复合收益率分别为10%和12%的基金，一年下来的收益也不过是100元和120元的区别。后一只基金多出的2%年化收益率对很多投资者来说并没有多大的吸引力，他们也不会花上过多额外的时间在市面上八千多只基金的茫茫大海中筛选。但是，当经过十五年，它们的差距被时间从20元放大成了近1300元。复利下本息合计金额（纵轴）随时间（横轴）的变化曲线与如下图。\n1000元本金在10%及12%年化回报率下15年的收益对比\n\n注：结果为按照10%及12%的年化收益率分别进行简单复利的模拟测算，不代表真实收益水平，仅供参考。\n微小的收益率差异经过足够长的时间也能产生结果的巨大差距。对于投资者来说，接受起步不会太快这个事实，有助于对复利形成正确的期待，并培养足够的耐心。没有一点一滴微小的积累，很难达到最后的目的地。其实，公募基金并不存在类似于存款“利滚利”的概念，期间的波动更是需要适应和面对的常态，年化收益率是指长期时间下总收益的年化平均值。\n力控回撤，继续前进\n说到微小的收益率差异被时间放大后的结果，很多投资者恐怕会想尽可能提高收益率，收益率的提升绝大多数情况下都伴随着风险的提升。一旦投资标的大幅回撤，投资者的收益也会获得巨大影响。下表假设了四种为期4年的投资方案作为举例。\n\n➤假设一：如果第一年盈利100%，第二年亏损50%，反复两次4年后收益率为0。在有可能达到100%收益率的情况下，投资者应该会有50%回撤的预期，但这种极端的波动结果并不理想；\n➤假设二：首年盈利50%，次年亏损25%，反复两次4年后总收益26.6%，年化仅为6.1%；\n➤假设三：在方案二的基础上预期盈亏分别减半，市场上部分理财产品的上涨和回撤情况与这种方案类似。最终的年化收益率为4.6%，尽管方案三相比方案二波动幅度更小，但是收益甚至变低了；\n➤假设四：如果一直保持正收益，收益率随市场而波动如表， 4年后总收益约33%，年化7.4%，亦高出方案二。在这种比较理想的情况下，这只理财产品却很难成为某年的冠军产品。\n注：各假设仅为模拟计算，不代表真实收益水平，仅供参考。基金投资有风险，请谨慎选择。\n因此，风险控制对投资收益来说至关重要。在财富滚雪球的时候，要尽量控制风险，减小回撤，才有机会将雪球越滚越大。\n著名的“72法则”\n投资界有个著名的72法则，即用72除以你的年化复合收益率得到的结果就是你的资产翻倍所需要的时间。如果年化复合收益率为12%，资产翻倍的时间约需要6年。\n然而投资的收益率受当年市场的影响，因此很难控制每年都是正收益，遑论维持每年特定的收益率。能够承诺每年维持特定收益的产品不仅无人能够做到，更是违法违规。部分投资者可能会陷入收益率的怪圈：他们可能被开始的高收益所吸引，却没想到背后隐藏的高风险；又或者是看到某些产品的过往表现心动不已，却因为可能的波动性超出承受范围无法长期持有。投资好像一场马拉松，与其回望错过的的累累硕果而兴叹，不如坚持到最后，细嗅时间的玫瑰带来的芬芳。\n长期投资思维：当投资照进生活\n投资最重要的元素莫过于时间的力量。对于投资者来说，长期投资思维能在投资中为我们有效积累财富，而想获得长期投资收益需要牢记以下几点：\n· 拉长战线，加长坡道\n· 牢记风险，减小回撤\n· 坚定持有，谨慎致远\n而在生活中，克己”与长期的思维更是有对我们人生的启迪：\n拒绝透支：金钱、财富、人脉、健康……一点微小的透支可能被时间放大成巨大的损失。\n有大局观：找到目标，选对赛道，坚定努力，今日的细微投入可能在未来带来巨大的收获。\n对于“股神”巴菲特来说，投资只有三个选项：\n第一，可以投资；\n第二，不能投资；\n第三，太难理解。\n作为世界上最成功的投资家之一，只投“能理解”的项目，就一种极致“克己”的体现。 对于投资者来说，这种“克己”体现为战胜自己的心魔，理性投资，坚定持有，而最终或许就能获得丰硕果实。但是坚定持有并不等于教条主义地不发挥任何主观能动性，而是坚守初心，并根据市场进行合理的动态调整。\n现在的小小雪球最后会成长到何种程度，相信时间会给我们答案。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":421864868213136,"gmtCreate":1744014586235,"gmtModify":1744014588019,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"希望今天双位数的跌幅吧，不然我恒生科技，创业板不好看","listText":"希望今天双位数的跌幅吧，不然我恒生科技，创业板不好看","text":"希望今天双位数的跌幅吧，不然我恒生科技，创业板不好看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421864868213136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":421864113160824,"gmtCreate":1744014524136,"gmtModify":1744014525505,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不知道，我前两天已经开了空单。","listText":"不知道，我前两天已经开了空单。","text":"不知道，我前两天已经开了空单。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421864113160824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":420816448561800,"gmtCreate":1743769583163,"gmtModify":1743769585269,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"已经破100，应该马上做空他们","listText":"已经破100，应该马上做空他们","text":"已经破100，应该马上做空他们","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/420816448561800","repostId":"420489576763824","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":420489576763824,"gmtCreate":1743689735823,"gmtModify":1743689737393,"author":{"id":"54696970503116","authorId":"54696970503116","name":"shuiyuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90139108dc08346255e2b092d55fe766","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"54696970503116","authorIdStr":"54696970503116"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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132的本还能回去吗[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/420489576763824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355669910655144,"gmtCreate":1727843088580,"gmtModify":1727843090583,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"早上没敢上，拍断腿啊。","listText":"早上没敢上，拍断腿啊。","text":"早上没敢上，拍断腿啊。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355669910655144","repostId":"2472566234","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2472566234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1727838260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2472566234?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-10-02 11:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股异动 | 中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%  近日与野村订立累计认沽期权合约","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2472566234","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00605\">中国金融投资管理</a>(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。</p><p>消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1189659.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2472566234","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，中国金融投资管理(00605)飙涨超447%，上一交易日该股收涨超280%。截至发稿，涨447.69%，报3.56港元，成交额2970.28万港元。消息面上，中国金融投资管理近日公布，通过旗下全资附属港佳商业于9月26日与Nomura(野村)订立累计认沽期权合约，涵盖3.19万股阿里巴巴股份，最高名义金额约为382.5万港元。据累计认沽期权合约列明，现货价为99港元，行使价为119.59港元，取消价为94.05港元，年期为12个月，合约到期日为2025年9月29日。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00605":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":352998335967416,"gmtCreate":1727190223655,"gmtModify":1727192306066,"author":{"id":"3578541246471448","authorId":"3578541246471448","name":"梭哈是一种智慧。","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b35c06b28a08d2c86db4bd2a030a178","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578541246471448","authorIdStr":"3578541246471448"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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