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evan888
2021-11-17
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2021-11-16
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2021-11-15
Muce
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2021-11-10
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2021-11-09
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Opinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote>
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2021-11-06
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evan888
2021-11-04
$Microsoft(MSFT)$
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2021-11-01
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2021-08-13
Water is important
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2021-08-05
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2021-08-03
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2021-08-01
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2021-07-29
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2021-07-28
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2021-07-26
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2021-07-26
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2021-07-25
$Apple(AAPL)$
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2021-07-23
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2021-07-23
Nooooii
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2021-07-22
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10:59","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182010893","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Fu","content":"<p>How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储开始提高联邦基金利率时,股市投资者应该如何反应?那个问题,在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>如今,几乎所有投资者都在问这样或那样的问题。虽然没有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>确切地知道美联储加息周期何时开始,它可能很快就会发生——也许是在今年年底。随着联邦基金利率接近于零,美国经济正在增长,问题是何时,而不是是否。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为加息是坏消息。较高的利率意味着股票面临来自债券的更激烈竞争。根据标准贴现现金流分析,这也意味着股票的价值较低:较高的利率意味着股票未来收益和股息的现值较低。</blockquote></p><p> Yet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而,用历史数据来支持这种传统观点却出奇的困难。事实上,平均而言,标准普尔500SPX,+0.09%在美联储决定提高联邦基金利率后的表现好于降息后。</blockquote></p><p> I reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.</p><p><blockquote>我在分析了美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)自1990年以来宣布的所有加息和降息后得出了这个结论。对于每一个利率变动决定,我计算了标普500从加息之日起、随后12个月内或直到FOMC下一次利率变动决定之日(以先发生者为准)的总回报率。结果总结在下表中。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e2f1f93d49dd2c6accbf0ab1aac2787\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> If other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果其他条件相同,这些结果将表明投资者实际上更喜欢更高的利率。但是,正如经常发生的那样,事情并不平等。例如,正如埃里克·斯旺森在一次采访中告诉我的那样,美联储在担心经济可能过热时就会加息。斯旺森是加州大学欧文分校的金融学教授。由于当经济全速运转时,股市通常表现良好,因此平均而言,股市在加息周期中表现良好也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> For similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因,股市在降息周期中陷入困境也就不足为奇了。这是因为当FOMC担心经济有收缩的危险时,它会下调联邦基金利率。举个最近的例子,回想一下2020年2月和3月由新冠肺炎疫情引发的瀑布下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other tools in the Fed tool chest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储工具箱中的其他工具</b></blockquote></p><p> There are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.</p><p><blockquote>股市没有按照传统观点对加息做出反应还有另外两个重要原因。第一个是美联储近年来变得日益透明,提前向市场电报可能何时改变美联储基金利率。这意味着当加息实际发生时,股市将有足够的时间做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> This certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.</p><p><blockquote>例如,今年的情况确实如此。几个月来,美联储已经明确宣布打算开始缩减货币刺激。此外,美联储在每次利率制定会议后都会分发一张“点阵图”,显示FOMC成员对未来几个月联邦基金利率的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Advisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>顾问们常说:“买入谣言,卖出消息。”这似乎适用于这里,因此很难衡量股市对利率上升的反应。降息周期中看似糟糕的表现实际上可能是对加息周期开始的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).</p><p><blockquote>股市并不总是以可预测的方式对加息决定做出反应的另一个原因是:美联储近年来除了改变联邦基金利率(也称为量化宽松(QE))之外,越来越依赖大规模资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of the<i>Journal of Monetary Economics</i>. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,根据加州大学欧文分校斯旺森的研究,量化宽松对股市的影响似乎与在我们任何人听说量化宽松之前的几十年里削减联邦基金利率一样大。这项名为“衡量美联储前瞻性指引和资产购买对金融市场的影响”的研究发表在2021年3月号的<i>货币经济学杂志</i>事实上,Swanson报告称,在联邦基金为零的世界里,量化宽松对股市的影响可能比利率变化更大。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>底线?联邦基金加息并不是好消息。但与此同时,没有简单、直接或机械的方法可以利用联邦基金利率的变化来把握股市时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储开始提高联邦基金利率时,股市投资者应该如何反应?那个问题,在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>如今,几乎所有投资者都在问这样或那样的问题。虽然没有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>确切地知道美联储加息周期何时开始,它可能很快就会发生——也许是在今年年底。随着联邦基金利率接近于零,美国经济正在增长,问题是何时,而不是是否。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为加息是坏消息。较高的利率意味着股票面临来自债券的更激烈竞争。根据标准贴现现金流分析,这也意味着股票的价值较低:较高的利率意味着股票未来收益和股息的现值较低。</blockquote></p><p> Yet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而,用历史数据来支持这种传统观点却出奇的困难。事实上,平均而言,标准普尔500SPX,+0.09%在美联储决定提高联邦基金利率后的表现好于降息后。</blockquote></p><p> I reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.</p><p><blockquote>我在分析了美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)自1990年以来宣布的所有加息和降息后得出了这个结论。对于每一个利率变动决定,我计算了标普500从加息之日起、随后12个月内或直到FOMC下一次利率变动决定之日(以先发生者为准)的总回报率。结果总结在下表中。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e2f1f93d49dd2c6accbf0ab1aac2787\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> If other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果其他条件相同,这些结果将表明投资者实际上更喜欢更高的利率。但是,正如经常发生的那样,事情并不平等。例如,正如埃里克·斯旺森在一次采访中告诉我的那样,美联储在担心经济可能过热时就会加息。斯旺森是加州大学欧文分校的金融学教授。由于当经济全速运转时,股市通常表现良好,因此平均而言,股市在加息周期中表现良好也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> For similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因,股市在降息周期中陷入困境也就不足为奇了。这是因为当FOMC担心经济有收缩的危险时,它会下调联邦基金利率。举个最近的例子,回想一下2020年2月和3月由新冠肺炎疫情引发的瀑布下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other tools in the Fed tool chest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储工具箱中的其他工具</b></blockquote></p><p> There are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.</p><p><blockquote>股市没有按照传统观点对加息做出反应还有另外两个重要原因。第一个是美联储近年来变得日益透明,提前向市场电报可能何时改变美联储基金利率。这意味着当加息实际发生时,股市将有足够的时间做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> This certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.</p><p><blockquote>例如,今年的情况确实如此。几个月来,美联储已经明确宣布打算开始缩减货币刺激。此外,美联储在每次利率制定会议后都会分发一张“点阵图”,显示FOMC成员对未来几个月联邦基金利率的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Advisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>顾问们常说:“买入谣言,卖出消息。”这似乎适用于这里,因此很难衡量股市对利率上升的反应。降息周期中看似糟糕的表现实际上可能是对加息周期开始的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).</p><p><blockquote>股市并不总是以可预测的方式对加息决定做出反应的另一个原因是:美联储近年来除了改变联邦基金利率(也称为量化宽松(QE))之外,越来越依赖大规模资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of the<i>Journal of Monetary Economics</i>. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,根据加州大学欧文分校斯旺森的研究,量化宽松对股市的影响似乎与在我们任何人听说量化宽松之前的几十年里削减联邦基金利率一样大。这项名为“衡量美联储前瞻性指引和资产购买对金融市场的影响”的研究发表在2021年3月号的<i>货币经济学杂志</i>事实上,Swanson报告称,在联邦基金为零的世界里,量化宽松对股市的影响可能比利率变化更大。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>底线?联邦基金加息并不是好消息。但与此同时,没有简单、直接或机械的方法可以利用联邦基金利率的变化来把握股市时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-fed-rate-hike-could-be-just-the-medicine-stocks-need-to-keep-this-bull-market-going-11635955739?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-fed-rate-hike-could-be-just-the-medicine-stocks-need-to-keep-this-bull-market-going-11635955739?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182010893","content_text":"How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in one form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no one knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.\nConventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.\nYet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.\nI reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.\n\nIf other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.\nFor similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.\nOther tools in the Fed tool chest\nThere are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.\nThis certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.\nAdvisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.\nThe other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).\nIndeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of theJournal of Monetary Economics. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.\nThe bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842622786,"gmtCreate":1636172304192,"gmtModify":1636172304332,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842622786","repostId":"1173813098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846041060,"gmtCreate":1636036746760,"gmtModify":1636036853265,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>hahahahah","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>hahahahah","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$hahahahah","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/070f24602af8d2afc2c521db9a290fd5","width":"1080","height":"3234"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846041060","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843000555,"gmtCreate":1635780008106,"gmtModify":1635780069942,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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10:59","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182010893","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Fu","content":"<p>How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储开始提高联邦基金利率时,股市投资者应该如何反应?那个问题,在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>如今,几乎所有投资者都在问这样或那样的问题。虽然没有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>确切地知道美联储加息周期何时开始,它可能很快就会发生——也许是在今年年底。随着联邦基金利率接近于零,美国经济正在增长,问题是何时,而不是是否。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为加息是坏消息。较高的利率意味着股票面临来自债券的更激烈竞争。根据标准贴现现金流分析,这也意味着股票的价值较低:较高的利率意味着股票未来收益和股息的现值较低。</blockquote></p><p> Yet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而,用历史数据来支持这种传统观点却出奇的困难。事实上,平均而言,标准普尔500SPX,+0.09%在美联储决定提高联邦基金利率后的表现好于降息后。</blockquote></p><p> I reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.</p><p><blockquote>我在分析了美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)自1990年以来宣布的所有加息和降息后得出了这个结论。对于每一个利率变动决定,我计算了标普500从加息之日起、随后12个月内或直到FOMC下一次利率变动决定之日(以先发生者为准)的总回报率。结果总结在下表中。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e2f1f93d49dd2c6accbf0ab1aac2787\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> If other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果其他条件相同,这些结果将表明投资者实际上更喜欢更高的利率。但是,正如经常发生的那样,事情并不平等。例如,正如埃里克·斯旺森在一次采访中告诉我的那样,美联储在担心经济可能过热时就会加息。斯旺森是加州大学欧文分校的金融学教授。由于当经济全速运转时,股市通常表现良好,因此平均而言,股市在加息周期中表现良好也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> For similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因,股市在降息周期中陷入困境也就不足为奇了。这是因为当FOMC担心经济有收缩的危险时,它会下调联邦基金利率。举个最近的例子,回想一下2020年2月和3月由新冠肺炎疫情引发的瀑布下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other tools in the Fed tool chest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储工具箱中的其他工具</b></blockquote></p><p> There are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.</p><p><blockquote>股市没有按照传统观点对加息做出反应还有另外两个重要原因。第一个是美联储近年来变得日益透明,提前向市场电报可能何时改变美联储基金利率。这意味着当加息实际发生时,股市将有足够的时间做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> This certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.</p><p><blockquote>例如,今年的情况确实如此。几个月来,美联储已经明确宣布打算开始缩减货币刺激。此外,美联储在每次利率制定会议后都会分发一张“点阵图”,显示FOMC成员对未来几个月联邦基金利率的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Advisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>顾问们常说:“买入谣言,卖出消息。”这似乎适用于这里,因此很难衡量股市对利率上升的反应。降息周期中看似糟糕的表现实际上可能是对加息周期开始的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).</p><p><blockquote>股市并不总是以可预测的方式对加息决定做出反应的另一个原因是:美联储近年来除了改变联邦基金利率(也称为量化宽松(QE))之外,越来越依赖大规模资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of the<i>Journal of Monetary Economics</i>. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,根据加州大学欧文分校斯旺森的研究,量化宽松对股市的影响似乎与在我们任何人听说量化宽松之前的几十年里削减联邦基金利率一样大。这项名为“衡量美联储前瞻性指引和资产购买对金融市场的影响”的研究发表在2021年3月号的<i>货币经济学杂志</i>事实上,Swanson报告称,在联邦基金为零的世界里,量化宽松对股市的影响可能比利率变化更大。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>底线?联邦基金加息并不是好消息。但与此同时,没有简单、直接或机械的方法可以利用联邦基金利率的变化来把握股市时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Why a Fed rate hike could be just the medicine stocks need to keep this bull market going<blockquote>观点:为什么美联储加息可能正是医药股维持牛市所需的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-09 10:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储开始提高联邦基金利率时,股市投资者应该如何反应?那个问题,在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>如今,几乎所有投资者都在问这样或那样的问题。虽然没有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>确切地知道美联储加息周期何时开始,它可能很快就会发生——也许是在今年年底。随着联邦基金利率接近于零,美国经济正在增长,问题是何时,而不是是否。</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为加息是坏消息。较高的利率意味着股票面临来自债券的更激烈竞争。根据标准贴现现金流分析,这也意味着股票的价值较低:较高的利率意味着股票未来收益和股息的现值较低。</blockquote></p><p> Yet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.</p><p><blockquote>然而,用历史数据来支持这种传统观点却出奇的困难。事实上,平均而言,标准普尔500SPX,+0.09%在美联储决定提高联邦基金利率后的表现好于降息后。</blockquote></p><p> I reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.</p><p><blockquote>我在分析了美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)自1990年以来宣布的所有加息和降息后得出了这个结论。对于每一个利率变动决定,我计算了标普500从加息之日起、随后12个月内或直到FOMC下一次利率变动决定之日(以先发生者为准)的总回报率。结果总结在下表中。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e2f1f93d49dd2c6accbf0ab1aac2787\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> If other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>如果其他条件相同,这些结果将表明投资者实际上更喜欢更高的利率。但是,正如经常发生的那样,事情并不平等。例如,正如埃里克·斯旺森在一次采访中告诉我的那样,美联储在担心经济可能过热时就会加息。斯旺森是加州大学欧文分校的金融学教授。由于当经济全速运转时,股市通常表现良好,因此平均而言,股市在加息周期中表现良好也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> For similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因,股市在降息周期中陷入困境也就不足为奇了。这是因为当FOMC担心经济有收缩的危险时,它会下调联邦基金利率。举个最近的例子,回想一下2020年2月和3月由新冠肺炎疫情引发的瀑布下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other tools in the Fed tool chest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储工具箱中的其他工具</b></blockquote></p><p> There are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.</p><p><blockquote>股市没有按照传统观点对加息做出反应还有另外两个重要原因。第一个是美联储近年来变得日益透明,提前向市场电报可能何时改变美联储基金利率。这意味着当加息实际发生时,股市将有足够的时间做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> This certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.</p><p><blockquote>例如,今年的情况确实如此。几个月来,美联储已经明确宣布打算开始缩减货币刺激。此外,美联储在每次利率制定会议后都会分发一张“点阵图”,显示FOMC成员对未来几个月联邦基金利率的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Advisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.</p><p><blockquote>顾问们常说:“买入谣言,卖出消息。”这似乎适用于这里,因此很难衡量股市对利率上升的反应。降息周期中看似糟糕的表现实际上可能是对加息周期开始的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).</p><p><blockquote>股市并不总是以可预测的方式对加息决定做出反应的另一个原因是:美联储近年来除了改变联邦基金利率(也称为量化宽松(QE))之外,越来越依赖大规模资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of the<i>Journal of Monetary Economics</i>. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,根据加州大学欧文分校斯旺森的研究,量化宽松对股市的影响似乎与在我们任何人听说量化宽松之前的几十年里削减联邦基金利率一样大。这项名为“衡量美联储前瞻性指引和资产购买对金融市场的影响”的研究发表在2021年3月号的<i>货币经济学杂志</i>事实上,Swanson报告称,在联邦基金为零的世界里,量化宽松对股市的影响可能比利率变化更大。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>底线?联邦基金加息并不是好消息。但与此同时,没有简单、直接或机械的方法可以利用联邦基金利率的变化来把握股市时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-fed-rate-hike-could-be-just-the-medicine-stocks-need-to-keep-this-bull-market-going-11635955739?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-fed-rate-hike-could-be-just-the-medicine-stocks-need-to-keep-this-bull-market-going-11635955739?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182010893","content_text":"How should stock market investors react when the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to raise the Federal Funds rate? That question, in one form or another, is being asked by almost all investors these days. While no one knows for sure when the Fed’s rate hike cycle will begin, it could happen soon —perhaps by the end of the year. With the Fed funds rate near zero and the U.S. economy growing, the question is when, not if.\nConventional wisdom dictates that rate increases are bad news. Higher rates mean that stocks face stiffer competition from bonds. It also means that stocks are worth less, according to standard discounted cash flow analysis: Higher rates mean that the present value of stocks’ future earnings and dividends are lower.\nYet it’s surprisingly difficult to support this conventional wisdom with historical data. In fact, the S&P 500SPX,+0.09%has performed better in the wake of Fed decisions to raise the Fed funds rate than in the wake of rate cuts, on average.\nI reached this conclusion upon analyzing all rate hike increases and decreases announced by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) dating back to 1990. For each rate change decision I calculated the S&P 500’s total return from the date of the increase, either over the subsequent 12 months or until the date of the FOMC’s next rate change decision, whichever came first. The results are summarized in the table below.\n\nIf other things were equal, these results would suggest that investors actually prefer higher rates. But, as is so often the case, things are not equal. For example, as Eric Swanson told me in an interview, the Fed raises rates when it worries that the economy may be overheating. Swanson is a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Since the stock market typically does well when the economy is firing on all cylinders, it’s not particularly surprising that the stock market will do well, on average, during a rate-hike cycle.\nFor similar reasons, it’s not surprising that the stock market will struggle during a rate-cut cycle. That’s because the FOMC will cut the Fed funds rate when it is worried that the economy is in danger of contracting. For a recent example of that, just think back to the waterfall decline in February and March of 2020 that was precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic.\nOther tools in the Fed tool chest\nThere are two other big reasons why the stock market doesn’t react to rate hikes in the way conventional wisdom would suggest. The first is that the Federal Reserve in recent years has become increasingly transparent, telegraphing to the markets well in advance about when it may change the Fed funds rate. This means that the stock market will have had plenty of time to react by the time a rate hike actually occurs.\nThis certainly has been the case this year, for example. For a number of months now, the Fed has explicitly announced its intention to begin tapering its monetary stimulus. In addition, the Fed circulates a “dot plot” after each rate-setting meeting showing FOMC members’ projections of where the Fed funds rate will be in coming months.\nAdvisers often say: “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This appears to apply here, making it difficult to measure the stock market’s reaction to higher rates. What appears to be the poor performance during a rate-cutting cycle might in fact be anticipation of the beginning of a rate-hike cycle.\nThe other reason the stock market doesn’t always react in predictable ways to rate hike decisions: The Fed in recent years has increasingly relied on large-scale asset purchases in addition to changing the Fed funds rate —otherwise known as quantitative easing (QE).\nIndeed, according to research from UC Irvine’s Swanson, QE appears to have just as much impact on the stock market as cutting the Fed funds rate used to have in the decades before any of us had ever heard of QE. The study, “Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets,” appeared in the March 2021 issue of theJournal of Monetary Economics. In fact, Swanson reports that, in a zero-Fed-funds world, QE may have even more impact on the stock market than rate changes.\nThe bottom line? It’s not the case that a Fed funds rate hike is good news. But, at the same time, there is no easy, straightforward or mechanical way in which you can use changes to the Fed funds rate to time the stock market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":148285769,"gmtCreate":1625979064651,"gmtModify":1631893613824,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow please like","listText":"Wow please like","text":"Wow please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148285769","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一周的缓慢假期后,未来一周将有9起IPO筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier <b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>Stevanato集团</b>(STVN)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集9亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制,向700多家客户供应玻璃瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器,其中包括排名前50的制药公司中的41家。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT <b>Phillips Edison & Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心房地产投资信托基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集5.02亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国300家购物中心的股权,重点关注Kroger和Public等杂货商入驻的地点。它的中点年化收益率目标为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名,<b>会员集体组</b>(MCG)计划以32亿美元的市值筹集450美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础,尽管它没有盈利记录,而且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise <b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼,在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去12个月中实现了37%的EBITDA,尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数字中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider <b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND)计划以45亿美元的市值筹集3.4亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台,改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番,但由于研发和S&M支出,核心软件业务非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日,桥梁投资集团拥有约260亿美元的AUM,在25个投资工具中拥有超过6,500名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider <b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT)计划以10亿美元的市值筹集1.5亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和手术设备,为眼病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性手术后,这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象(+32%)。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company <b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>(SERA)计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发旨在改善妊娠结局的生物标志物测试。Sera Prognostics唯一的商业产品PreTRM测试可以预测早产的风险,尽管它尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech <b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延期,早期肾病生物技术<b>单环疗法</b>(UNCY)计划以7900万美元的市值筹集2500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年7月8日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌0.8%,而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌5.2%,而ACWX指数上涨7.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一周的缓慢假期后,未来一周将有9起IPO筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier <b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>Stevanato集团</b>(STVN)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集9亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制,向700多家客户供应玻璃瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器,其中包括排名前50的制药公司中的41家。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT <b>Phillips Edison & Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心房地产投资信托基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集5.02亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国300家购物中心的股权,重点关注Kroger和Public等杂货商入驻的地点。它的中点年化收益率目标为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名,<b>会员集体组</b>(MCG)计划以32亿美元的市值筹集450美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础,尽管它没有盈利记录,而且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise <b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼,在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去12个月中实现了37%的EBITDA,尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数字中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider <b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND)计划以45亿美元的市值筹集3.4亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台,改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番,但由于研发和S&M支出,核心软件业务非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日,桥梁投资集团拥有约260亿美元的AUM,在25个投资工具中拥有超过6,500名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider <b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT)计划以10亿美元的市值筹集1.5亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和手术设备,为眼病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性手术后,这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象(+32%)。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company <b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>(SERA)计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发旨在改善妊娠结局的生物标志物测试。Sera Prognostics唯一的商业产品PreTRM测试可以预测早产的风险,尽管它尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech <b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延期,早期肾病生物技术<b>单环疗法</b>(UNCY)计划以7900万美元的市值筹集2500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年7月8日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌0.8%,而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌5.2%,而ACWX指数上涨7.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BLND":0.9,"SERA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SGHT":0.9,"MCG":0.9,"PECO":0.9,"FXLV":0.9,"BRDG":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"STVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":878003889,"gmtCreate":1637118524763,"gmtModify":1637119255002,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878003889","repostId":"2184889903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870062198,"gmtCreate":1636559213936,"gmtModify":1636559213936,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870062198","repostId":"2182670032","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":800090113,"gmtCreate":1627264857832,"gmtModify":1631891316549,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmmmm","listText":"Hmmmmm","text":"Hmmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800090113","repostId":"2154593428","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156104376,"gmtCreate":1625200098395,"gmtModify":1633942603151,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156104376","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高,新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨,上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示:“历史数据显示,如果上半年表现强劲,那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨,但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示:“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说,无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲,足以支撑价格,许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧,持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据,初请失业金人数继续下降,达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平,Challenger,Gray&Christmas的一份报告显示,美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%,创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI),6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓,其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据,在当前供需失衡的推动下,支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道:“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万,失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示:“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期,那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点,涨幅0.38%,至34,633.53点;标普500上涨22.44点,涨幅0.52%,至4,319.94点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点,涨幅0.13%,至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中,必需消费品是唯一的跌幅,下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量,股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂,该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1;在纳斯达克,1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128495003,"gmtCreate":1624526533902,"gmtModify":1634004865407,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>nice","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>nice","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$nice","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a61901a50b904b68e59a40527396137","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128495003","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172379475,"gmtCreate":1626940951197,"gmtModify":1631893613796,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hahahah","listText":"Hahahah","text":"Hahahah","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b097aa6ee6cb17fccad7f5fa47f017b","width":"1080","height":"3372"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172379475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":871368918,"gmtCreate":1637027132963,"gmtModify":1637027134783,"author":{"id":"3579921751160387","authorId":"3579921751160387","name":"evan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c91c6bcedcd239e2764be0d38f277f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579921751160387","idStr":"3579921751160387"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871368918","repostId":"1108331726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}