immryan的个人主页 - 老虎社区

immryan

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

1关注

7粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-08-24

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-22

Good

Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>

2021-08-19

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-17

That is not good

Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote>

2021-08-16

Good

Fed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote>

2021-08-16

Good!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-12

Like !

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-10

Good and like !

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-09

Like !

Morrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote>

2021-08-08

Good and like :)

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-05

Good news

SGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote>

2021-08-04

Like and good !

Tesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote>

2021-08-03

Like ! Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-02

Good ! Like :)

Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘涨近5%</blockquote>

2021-08-01

Good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-01

Good ! like :)

Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>

2021-07-31

Like! Thanks

You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>

2021-07-30

Like thanks!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

Like!

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582024918476098","uuid":"3582024918476098","gmtCreate":1618932477186,"gmtModify":1618932477186,"name":"immryan","pinyin":"immryan","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":7,"headSize":1,"tweetSize":24,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.17","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":834270433,"gmtCreate":1629810577222,"gmtModify":1631891663461,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834270433","repostId":"1154386229","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832955137,"gmtCreate":1629567453829,"gmtModify":1631891663465,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832955137","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","TSM":"台积电","ASML":"阿斯麦","SNPS":"新思科技","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通","AMZN":"亚马逊","CDNS":"铿腾电子","ON":"安森美半导体","AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","SSNLF":"三星电子"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838036371,"gmtCreate":1629357279293,"gmtModify":1631891663468,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838036371","repostId":"1152703663","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833136400,"gmtCreate":1629209562400,"gmtModify":1631891663472,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is not good","listText":"That is not good","text":"That is not good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833136400","repostId":"1146168029","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146168029","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629206834,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146168029?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146168029","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 17) Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.\nDow industrials fall 291","content":"<p>(Aug 17)&nbsp;Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>（8月17日）零售销售降幅大于预期后，股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&amp;P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.</p><p><blockquote>道指下跌291点，跌幅0.8%。标普500下跌0.7%，至4,448.21点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，至14,650.41点。</blockquote></p><p> China tech stocks slump&nbsp;as&nbsp;China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国市场监管机构发布禁止中国在线平台运营商之间不公平竞争的规则草案，中国科技股暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792e1772879dc34b07a1aad8629d5ca1\" tg-width=\"375\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Dow member Home Depot fell more than 4%&nbsp;after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道指成分股家得宝公布二季度业绩后跌超4%，打击期货。虽然季度收益超出预期，但同期同店销售额增长4.5%，低于StreetAccount调查的分析师5%的普遍预期。美国同店销售额仅增长3.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4c94ff0a55a39c655244dde44c44ae\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Walmart shares gained&nbsp;0.27% after&nbsp;second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛股价上涨0.零售商发布了谨慎的指引；根据StreetAccount的数据，该公司表示本季度每股收益将在1.30美元至1.40美元之间，而分析师普遍预期为1.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc921ddb3f633aa1f233242ac43da84c\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-17 21:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 17)&nbsp;Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>（8月17日）零售销售降幅大于预期后，股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&amp;P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.</p><p><blockquote>道指下跌291点，跌幅0.8%。标普500下跌0.7%，至4,448.21点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，至14,650.41点。</blockquote></p><p> China tech stocks slump&nbsp;as&nbsp;China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国市场监管机构发布禁止中国在线平台运营商之间不公平竞争的规则草案，中国科技股暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792e1772879dc34b07a1aad8629d5ca1\" tg-width=\"375\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Dow member Home Depot fell more than 4%&nbsp;after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道指成分股家得宝公布二季度业绩后跌超4%，打击期货。虽然季度收益超出预期，但同期同店销售额增长4.5%，低于StreetAccount调查的分析师5%的普遍预期。美国同店销售额仅增长3.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4c94ff0a55a39c655244dde44c44ae\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Walmart shares gained&nbsp;0.27% after&nbsp;second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛股价上涨0.零售商发布了谨慎的指引；根据StreetAccount的数据，该公司表示本季度每股收益将在1.30美元至1.40美元之间，而分析师普遍预期为1.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc921ddb3f633aa1f233242ac43da84c\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146168029","content_text":"(Aug 17) Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.\nDow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.\nChina tech stocks slump as China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.\nDow member Home Depot fell more than 4% after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.\n\nWalmart shares gained 0.27% after second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839390731,"gmtCreate":1629121217123,"gmtModify":1631891663475,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839390731","repostId":"1165935172","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165935172","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629118103,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165935172?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165935172","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stay","content":"<p>  Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.  Federal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀居高不下、失业率迅速下降，尽早减少债券购买可以为加息提供更大的灵活性。如果经济持续复苏，美联储官员接近同意在大约三个月内开始缩减宽松货币政策，一些人正在推动在明年年中结束资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> In recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的采访和公开声明中，一些人主张制定这一时间表，如果经济朝着他们的目标快速前进，这将使他们能够比目前预期的更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年12月表示，将继续目前的债券购买步伐，直到官员们得出结论，他们在实现2%平均通胀率和强劲就业的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> Officials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.</p><p><blockquote>官员们在7月27日至28日的会议上审议了两个重要问题：何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及多快减少或缩减这些购买量。美联储将于周三发布会议纪要，可能会为这些讨论提供进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> The answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这些答案对金融市场很重要，因为美联储官员曾表示，他们更愿意在考虑何时从接近零的利率上调之前结束债券购买计划。在6月15日至16日的政策会议上，18名美联储官员中有13名预计将在2023年底前加息；预计到2022年底将有7家这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在7月28日的新闻发布会上表示，美联储“距离考虑加息还有很长的路要走。这不是我们现在关注的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> A recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.</p><p><blockquote>最近一系列强劲的招聘报告增强了美联储在9月21日至22日的下一次会议上宣布开始缩减规模的意图的理由，可能最早在11月的下一次会议上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf5a9a0b2244055076f521102b5b4a\" tg-width=\"317\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥联储主席查尔斯·埃文斯上周在与记者举行的虚拟圆桌会议上表示：“我确实预计我们将看到实质性的进一步进展……可能是在今年晚些时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿联储主席Eric Rosengren在接受采访时表示，他预计到9月21日至22日将看到足够的就业增长，以满足减少债券购买的标准。他在上周接受采访时表示：“这将为今年秋季某个时候可能的缩减规模奠定基础，这取决于德尔塔变异毒株和其他不会大幅减缓劳动力市场的变量。”罗森格伦表示，他希望如果经济持续强劲增长，“我们将在明年年中完成缩减计划。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美联储非常缓慢地结束了之前的债券购买计划，在10个月内减少了购买量。但在2013年12月，当它宣布将很快启动这一进程时，经济更加疲软，失业率更高，通胀更低。</blockquote></p><p> Officials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>官员们当时还有另一个谨慎的原因，因为他们对长期国债收益率飙升感到震惊，这被称为“缩减恐慌”，发生在2013年年中，当时的主席本·伯南克暗示他们可能很快就会减少资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在发现自己处于一个截然不同的境地。经济快速增长。7月份失业率要低得多，为5.4%。通货膨胀要高得多。尽管央行讨论了减少债券购买的计划，但债券收益率今年仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>资产购买旨在通过压低长期利率以刺激借贷和支出来刺激经济。罗森格伦先生指出，最近房价的飙升证明该计划可能接近回报递减点。“如果你无法获得住房材料，也无法让建筑工人回到现场，但我们确实增加了对住房的需求，那么这对我们的就业任务没有多大作用——但它确实会增加房价。否则，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”</p><p><blockquote>达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰对此表示同意。他在接受采访时表示：“这些采购旨在刺激需求，但我们没有需求问题。”“在大衰退之后，我们做到了。所以我不想使用2009年至2013年的剧本。”</blockquote></p><p> Some other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.</p><p><blockquote>其他一些官员主张要有更多的耐心。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)上个月表示，她希望看到9月份的招聘数据，该数据要到10月初才能公布，然后再做出决定。这将使任何缩减购债规模推迟到美联储11月2日至3日的会议。</blockquote></p><p> San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利上周在接受采访时表示，她认为经济应该支持“今年晚些时候，或者明年开始缩减规模”。她说，劳动力市场“非常强劲——越来越强劲”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Ms. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利表示，现在说美联储应该如何减少购买还为时过早。“这些事情还没有决定，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>同样，埃文斯没有透露他认为美联储需要多快结束购买。他预计明年年底通胀率将回落至2%，这将证明撤回货币刺激措施的紧迫性降低。</blockquote></p><p> “My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“我自己的前景是，我们将面临更大的挑战，让通胀率自信地保持在2%、2.1%或2.2%的范围内。”“如果其他人更有信心通胀将在可持续的基础上走高，那么……更快的缩减可能是正确的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员尚未决定是否以同样的速度减少美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦先生说，他更愿意每月减少等量。由于美联储购买的国债数量是抵押贷款支持证券的两倍，这将导致抵押贷款债券购买结束的时间是国债购买的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他赞成在八个月内减少这两种债券的购买，即每月减少100亿美元的美国国债和50亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。“在我看来，这是最谨慎的做法：尽快开始，然后逐步进行，对我来说，逐步意味着八个月，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示，他希望从10月份开始削减资产，并在3月份结束该计划，每月减少200亿美元的美国国债购买量，每月减少100亿美元的抵押贷款债券购买量。美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒也概述了类似的偏好。</blockquote></p><p> Even though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管“这将是相当迅速地退出资产购买计划”，但布拉德在上周接受采访时表示，他认为这将使美联储在决定明年晚些时候是否加息方面具有更大的灵活性。“我不想（加息）行动太快，因为这可能具有很大的破坏性，所以我认为，如果我们需要使用它，我建议的步伐将在2022年为我们提供更多选择。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，通过更快地减少资产购买，美联储可能能够等待更长时间才能加息。他表示：“通过现在或很快采取更适当的货币政策立场，实际上可能会让你在未来如何调整联邦基金利率方面更加灵活、更加耐心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.  Federal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀居高不下、失业率迅速下降，尽早减少债券购买可以为加息提供更大的灵活性。如果经济持续复苏，美联储官员接近同意在大约三个月内开始缩减宽松货币政策，一些人正在推动在明年年中结束资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> In recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的采访和公开声明中，一些人主张制定这一时间表，如果经济朝着他们的目标快速前进，这将使他们能够比目前预期的更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年12月表示，将继续目前的债券购买步伐，直到官员们得出结论，他们在实现2%平均通胀率和强劲就业的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> Officials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.</p><p><blockquote>官员们在7月27日至28日的会议上审议了两个重要问题：何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及多快减少或缩减这些购买量。美联储将于周三发布会议纪要，可能会为这些讨论提供进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> The answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这些答案对金融市场很重要，因为美联储官员曾表示，他们更愿意在考虑何时从接近零的利率上调之前结束债券购买计划。在6月15日至16日的政策会议上，18名美联储官员中有13名预计将在2023年底前加息；预计到2022年底将有7家这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在7月28日的新闻发布会上表示，美联储“距离考虑加息还有很长的路要走。这不是我们现在关注的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> A recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.</p><p><blockquote>最近一系列强劲的招聘报告增强了美联储在9月21日至22日的下一次会议上宣布开始缩减规模的意图的理由，可能最早在11月的下一次会议上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf5a9a0b2244055076f521102b5b4a\" tg-width=\"317\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥联储主席查尔斯·埃文斯上周在与记者举行的虚拟圆桌会议上表示：“我确实预计我们将看到实质性的进一步进展……可能是在今年晚些时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿联储主席Eric Rosengren在接受采访时表示，他预计到9月21日至22日将看到足够的就业增长，以满足减少债券购买的标准。他在上周接受采访时表示：“这将为今年秋季某个时候可能的缩减规模奠定基础，这取决于德尔塔变异毒株和其他不会大幅减缓劳动力市场的变量。”罗森格伦表示，他希望如果经济持续强劲增长，“我们将在明年年中完成缩减计划。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美联储非常缓慢地结束了之前的债券购买计划，在10个月内减少了购买量。但在2013年12月，当它宣布将很快启动这一进程时，经济更加疲软，失业率更高，通胀更低。</blockquote></p><p> Officials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>官员们当时还有另一个谨慎的原因，因为他们对长期国债收益率飙升感到震惊，这被称为“缩减恐慌”，发生在2013年年中，当时的主席本·伯南克暗示他们可能很快就会减少资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在发现自己处于一个截然不同的境地。经济快速增长。7月份失业率要低得多，为5.4%。通货膨胀要高得多。尽管央行讨论了减少债券购买的计划，但债券收益率今年仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>资产购买旨在通过压低长期利率以刺激借贷和支出来刺激经济。罗森格伦先生指出，最近房价的飙升证明该计划可能接近回报递减点。“如果你无法获得住房材料，也无法让建筑工人回到现场，但我们确实增加了对住房的需求，那么这对我们的就业任务没有多大作用——但它确实会增加房价。否则，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”</p><p><blockquote>达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰对此表示同意。他在接受采访时表示：“这些采购旨在刺激需求，但我们没有需求问题。”“在大衰退之后，我们做到了。所以我不想使用2009年至2013年的剧本。”</blockquote></p><p> Some other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.</p><p><blockquote>其他一些官员主张要有更多的耐心。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)上个月表示，她希望看到9月份的招聘数据，该数据要到10月初才能公布，然后再做出决定。这将使任何缩减购债规模推迟到美联储11月2日至3日的会议。</blockquote></p><p> San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利上周在接受采访时表示，她认为经济应该支持“今年晚些时候，或者明年开始缩减规模”。她说，劳动力市场“非常强劲——越来越强劲”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Ms. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利表示，现在说美联储应该如何减少购买还为时过早。“这些事情还没有决定，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>同样，埃文斯没有透露他认为美联储需要多快结束购买。他预计明年年底通胀率将回落至2%，这将证明撤回货币刺激措施的紧迫性降低。</blockquote></p><p> “My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“我自己的前景是，我们将面临更大的挑战，让通胀率自信地保持在2%、2.1%或2.2%的范围内。”“如果其他人更有信心通胀将在可持续的基础上走高，那么……更快的缩减可能是正确的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员尚未决定是否以同样的速度减少美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦先生说，他更愿意每月减少等量。由于美联储购买的国债数量是抵押贷款支持证券的两倍，这将导致抵押贷款债券购买结束的时间是国债购买的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他赞成在八个月内减少这两种债券的购买，即每月减少100亿美元的美国国债和50亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。“在我看来，这是最谨慎的做法：尽快开始，然后逐步进行，对我来说，逐步意味着八个月，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示，他希望从10月份开始削减资产，并在3月份结束该计划，每月减少200亿美元的美国国债购买量，每月减少100亿美元的抵押贷款债券购买量。美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒也概述了类似的偏好。</blockquote></p><p> Even though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管“这将是相当迅速地退出资产购买计划”，但布拉德在上周接受采访时表示，他认为这将使美联储在决定明年晚些时候是否加息方面具有更大的灵活性。“我不想（加息）行动太快，因为这可能具有很大的破坏性，所以我认为，如果我们需要使用它，我建议的步伐将在2022年为我们提供更多选择。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，通过更快地减少资产购买，美联储可能能够等待更长时间才能加息。他表示：“通过现在或很快采取更适当的货币政策立场，实际上可能会让你在未来如何调整联邦基金利率方面更加灵活、更加耐心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-officials-weigh-ending-asset-purchases-by-mid-2022-11629106200\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-officials-weigh-ending-asset-purchases-by-mid-2022-11629106200","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165935172","content_text":"Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.\n\nFederal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.\nIn recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.\nThe central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.\nOfficials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.\nThe answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”\nA recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.\n“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.\nBoston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”\nThe Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.\nOfficials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.\nThe Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.\nThe asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.\nDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”\nSome other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.\nSan Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.\nMs. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.\nLikewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.\n“My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”\nFed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.\nMr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.\nMr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.\nSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.\nEven though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”\nMr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830880403,"gmtCreate":1629044252702,"gmtModify":1631891663477,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!","listText":"Good!","text":"Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830880403","repostId":"2159145532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894962291,"gmtCreate":1628783328113,"gmtModify":1631891663479,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like !","listText":"Like !","text":"Like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894962291","repostId":"2158189268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896127739,"gmtCreate":1628563032521,"gmtModify":1631891663481,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good and like !","listText":"Good and like !","text":"Good and like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896127739","repostId":"1122543075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898539550,"gmtCreate":1628508286570,"gmtModify":1631891663486,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like !","listText":"Like !","text":"Like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898539550","repostId":"1122403360","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122403360","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628507058,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122403360?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 19:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122403360","media":"Reuters","summary":"LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), has w","content":"<p>LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice (CD&amp;R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（路透社）-莫里森的收购者、美国私募股权集团Clayton，Dubilier&amp;Rice(CD&amp;R)赢得了更多时间来考虑对Fortress同意的67亿英镑（93亿美元）收购这家英国超市集团的还价。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&amp;R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.</p><p><blockquote>负责监管企业收购的英国收购委员会周一表示，CD&amp;R必须在8月20日之前宣布提出新要约或退出的坚定意图，即所谓的“提出或闭嘴”命令，延长之前的8月9日截止日期。</blockquote></p><p> The battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.</p><p><blockquote>继特易购(Tesco)、塞恩斯伯里(Sainsbury's)和阿斯达(Asda)之后，英国第四大杂货商的争夺战是该国在大量收购和还价中最引人注目的迫在眉睫的收购，反映了私募股权对英国公司的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周五批准了软银旗下Fortress Investment Group牵头的财团提出的每股272便士的要约，较收购兴趣出现前的股价溢价52%。</blockquote></p><p> The retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&amp;R.</p><p><blockquote>该零售商已要求收购小组为CD&amp;R设定修订后的最后期限。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>周五，莫里森还将股东大会从8月16日推迟至8月27日，以就Fortress收购要约进行投票。要通过，它需要代表会议上投票投资者价值至少75%的股东的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.</p><p><blockquote>周一，莫里森的股价交易价格接近279便士，高于Fortress的新报价，表明投资者预计出价会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>分析师还猜测，与莫里森达成合作协议的美国巨头亚马逊仍可能加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SYNERGIES</p><p><blockquote>协同作用</blockquote></p><p> CD&amp;R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.</p><p><blockquote>CD&amp;R的高级顾问是Tesco前老板Terry Leahy，该公司提出的每股230便士、价值55.2亿英镑的提议于6月17日被莫里森拒绝。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&amp;G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，莫里森董事会同意了Fortress每股254便士、价值63亿英镑的报价，但莫里森的主要投资者Silchester、M&amp;G和JO Hambro都表示这一报价太低。</blockquote></p><p> Fortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”</p><p><blockquote>Fortress于2019年收购了英国葡萄酒销售商Majestic Wine，并表示“仍然致力于成为Morrisons的新所有者”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.</p><p><blockquote>Fortress财团还包括加拿大养老金计划投资委员会、科赫房地产投资公司和新加坡主权财富基金GIC，该财团已保证将保留莫里森位于英格兰北部布拉德福德的总部及其由首席执行官David Potts领导的现有管理团队，并执行其现有战略。材料商店出售和回租交易没有计划。</blockquote></p><p> People with knowledge of the situation have said CD&amp;R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士表示，CD&amp;R也能够勾选这些框，以获得莫里森董事会的推荐。</blockquote></p><p> They said CD&amp;R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&amp;M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，CD&amp;R的业绩记录包括对英国折扣零售商B&amp;M的投资，鉴于其现有对汽车燃料集团petrol forecourt chain的所有权，CD&amp;R可能会强调他们将从交易中获得更大的协同效应。</blockquote></p><p> However, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些分析师认为，更高的出价会使资产出售的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 19:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice (CD&amp;R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（路透社）-莫里森的收购者、美国私募股权集团Clayton，Dubilier&amp;Rice(CD&amp;R)赢得了更多时间来考虑对Fortress同意的67亿英镑（93亿美元）收购这家英国超市集团的还价。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&amp;R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.</p><p><blockquote>负责监管企业收购的英国收购委员会周一表示，CD&amp;R必须在8月20日之前宣布提出新要约或退出的坚定意图，即所谓的“提出或闭嘴”命令，延长之前的8月9日截止日期。</blockquote></p><p> The battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.</p><p><blockquote>继特易购(Tesco)、塞恩斯伯里(Sainsbury's)和阿斯达(Asda)之后，英国第四大杂货商的争夺战是该国在大量收购和还价中最引人注目的迫在眉睫的收购，反映了私募股权对英国公司的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周五批准了软银旗下Fortress Investment Group牵头的财团提出的每股272便士的要约，较收购兴趣出现前的股价溢价52%。</blockquote></p><p> The retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&amp;R.</p><p><blockquote>该零售商已要求收购小组为CD&amp;R设定修订后的最后期限。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>周五，莫里森还将股东大会从8月16日推迟至8月27日，以就Fortress收购要约进行投票。要通过，它需要代表会议上投票投资者价值至少75%的股东的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.</p><p><blockquote>周一，莫里森的股价交易价格接近279便士，高于Fortress的新报价，表明投资者预计出价会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>分析师还猜测，与莫里森达成合作协议的美国巨头亚马逊仍可能加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SYNERGIES</p><p><blockquote>协同作用</blockquote></p><p> CD&amp;R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.</p><p><blockquote>CD&amp;R的高级顾问是Tesco前老板Terry Leahy，该公司提出的每股230便士、价值55.2亿英镑的提议于6月17日被莫里森拒绝。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&amp;G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，莫里森董事会同意了Fortress每股254便士、价值63亿英镑的报价，但莫里森的主要投资者Silchester、M&amp;G和JO Hambro都表示这一报价太低。</blockquote></p><p> Fortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”</p><p><blockquote>Fortress于2019年收购了英国葡萄酒销售商Majestic Wine，并表示“仍然致力于成为Morrisons的新所有者”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.</p><p><blockquote>Fortress财团还包括加拿大养老金计划投资委员会、科赫房地产投资公司和新加坡主权财富基金GIC，该财团已保证将保留莫里森位于英格兰北部布拉德福德的总部及其由首席执行官David Potts领导的现有管理团队，并执行其现有战略。材料商店出售和回租交易没有计划。</blockquote></p><p> People with knowledge of the situation have said CD&amp;R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士表示，CD&amp;R也能够勾选这些框，以获得莫里森董事会的推荐。</blockquote></p><p> They said CD&amp;R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&amp;M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，CD&amp;R的业绩记录包括对英国折扣零售商B&amp;M的投资，鉴于其现有对汽车燃料集团petrol forecourt chain的所有权，CD&amp;R可能会强调他们将从交易中获得更大的协同效应。</blockquote></p><p> However, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些分析师认为，更高的出价会使资产出售的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/morrisons-ma-cdr/update-3-morrisons-suitor-cdr-gets-more-time-to-trump-9-3-bln-offer-idUSL8N2PG0X7\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRWSF":"WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc."},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/morrisons-ma-cdr/update-3-morrisons-suitor-cdr-gets-more-time-to-trump-9-3-bln-offer-idUSL8N2PG0X7","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122403360","content_text":"LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.\nBritain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.\nThe battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.\nMorrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.\nThe retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&R.\nOn Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.\nShares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.\nAnalysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.\nSYNERGIES\nCD&R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.\nLast month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.\nFortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”\nThe Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.\nPeople with knowledge of the situation have said CD&R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.\nThey said CD&R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.\nHowever, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRWSF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891545262,"gmtCreate":1628404149456,"gmtModify":1631891663491,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good and like :)","listText":"Good and like :)","text":"Good and like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891545262","repostId":"1190347839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899995071,"gmtCreate":1628149652893,"gmtModify":1633753135327,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news&nbsp;","listText":"Good news&nbsp;","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899995071","repostId":"1192728062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192728062","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628148597,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192728062?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 15:29","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192728062","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.\n\nSingapore Exchange (SGX) announc","content":"<p>  <b><i>It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.</i></b>  Singapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>它指出扩张是他们成功的驱动因素。</i></b>新加坡交易所（SGX）宣布2021财年净利润为4.47亿美元，收入为10.567亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年的净利润4.821亿美元略有下降，今年的收入比10.527亿美元略有增长。</blockquote></p><p> SGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.</p><p><blockquote>新交所将这一增长归因于对扩大业务的持续投资。今年的支出从4.869亿美元增长了8%，达到5.252亿美元。这些主要流向了Scientific Beta和BidFX。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润仍为6.239亿美元，低于去年的6.597亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Loh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.</p><p><blockquote>新交所首席执行官Loh Boon Chye仍然对他们当前的财务摘要感到自豪。</blockquote></p><p> “In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”</p><p><blockquote>“2021财年，我们继续战略性地构建、合作和收购——加强我们跨资产类别的能力、产品和平台。通过投资发展业务，我们取得了强劲的业绩，在充满挑战的环境中实现了与去年类似的创纪录收入。尽管国债收入较低，但我们的核心业务部门仍然强劲，我们快速增长的子公司Scientific Beta和BidFX提供了额外的推动力。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 15:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b><i>It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.</i></b>  Singapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>它指出扩张是他们成功的驱动因素。</i></b>新加坡交易所（SGX）宣布2021财年净利润为4.47亿美元，收入为10.567亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年的净利润4.821亿美元略有下降，今年的收入比10.527亿美元略有增长。</blockquote></p><p> SGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.</p><p><blockquote>新交所将这一增长归因于对扩大业务的持续投资。今年的支出从4.869亿美元增长了8%，达到5.252亿美元。这些主要流向了Scientific Beta和BidFX。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润仍为6.239亿美元，低于去年的6.597亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Loh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.</p><p><blockquote>新交所首席执行官Loh Boon Chye仍然对他们当前的财务摘要感到自豪。</blockquote></p><p> “In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”</p><p><blockquote>“2021财年，我们继续战略性地构建、合作和收购——加强我们跨资产类别的能力、产品和平台。通过投资发展业务，我们取得了强劲的业绩，在充满挑战的环境中实现了与去年类似的创纪录收入。尽管国债收入较低，但我们的核心业务部门仍然强劲，我们快速增长的子公司Scientific Beta和BidFX提供了额外的推动力。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy-stocks/news/sgx-reveals-447m-profit-fy2021\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"S68.SI":"新加坡交易所"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy-stocks/news/sgx-reveals-447m-profit-fy2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192728062","content_text":"It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.\n\nSingapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.\nThis is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.\nSGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.\nMeanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.\nLoh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.\n“In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"S68.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890080543,"gmtCreate":1628066606382,"gmtModify":1633753908367,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and good !","listText":"Like and good !","text":"Like and good !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890080543","repostId":"1183753382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183753382","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628065451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183753382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 16:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183753382","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Motors on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and China, its two biggest markets,&nbsp;the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>周二提高了Model S轿车和Model X SUV远程车型的价格<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>该公司网站显示，美国和中国这两个最大的市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> States.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Model S Long Range和Model X Long Range现在在中国的售价均为4,637美元，在中国为5,000美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">团结的</a>各州。</blockquote></p><p> In China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at&nbsp;$133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，Model S Long Range的售价为133,117美元，Model X Range的售价为140,857美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>Model S Long Range版本现售价为89,990美元，Model X Long Range在美国的起售价已上调至99,990美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉尚未开始交付Model S Long Range，并且已经实现了自1月份推出以来的第二次涨价。该公司网站显示，Model S Long Range的预计交付时间现已从明年初推迟至明年3月至4月。</blockquote></p><p> The last price hikes were done in July when the&nbsp;<b>Elon Musk</b>&nbsp;-led company made similar increases in the two&nbsp;countries it counts as key markets for growth.</p><p><blockquote>上一次涨价是在7月份，当时<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>-led公司在其视为主要增长市场的两个国家也取得了类似的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，马斯克曾表示，特斯拉的目标是每周生产超过2,000辆Model S和Model X，每周产量可能高达2,400至2,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> Both Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.</p><p><blockquote>Model S和X电动汽车都是特斯拉最昂贵的旗舰汽车之一，最近进行了更新，采用了新的内部和外部设计，并提高了效率和续航里程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why The Price Hikes?</b>&nbsp;Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么价格上涨？</b>马斯克一直将价格上涨归咎于全行业的供应链问题和半导体短缺，就在上周与投资者举行的财报后看涨期权上，马斯克表示“全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重”。</blockquote></p><p> “For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定，即各种芯片在不同时期都是供应链中最慢的部分。”马斯克表示。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing&nbsp;the likes of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> Co</b>GM 0.07%,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co</b>F 0.07%,<b>Volkswagen AG</b>&nbsp;OTCVWAGGY&nbsp;and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low&nbsp;inventories.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉并不孤单，全球芯片短缺也打击了传统汽车制造商，迫使<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>Co</b>GM 0.07%，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>发动机公司</b>F 0.07%，<b>大众汽车公司</b>OTCVWAGGY和其他公司在库存创历史新低的情况下停止生产，转而首先生产利润最高的型号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>特斯拉股价自上周公布财报以来一直在上涨，周二小幅收于709.74美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 16:24</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and China, its two biggest markets,&nbsp;the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>周二提高了Model S轿车和Model X SUV远程车型的价格<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>该公司网站显示，美国和中国这两个最大的市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> States.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Model S Long Range和Model X Long Range现在在中国的售价均为4,637美元，在中国为5,000美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">团结的</a>各州。</blockquote></p><p> In China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at&nbsp;$133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，Model S Long Range的售价为133,117美元，Model X Range的售价为140,857美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>Model S Long Range版本现售价为89,990美元，Model X Long Range在美国的起售价已上调至99,990美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉尚未开始交付Model S Long Range，并且已经实现了自1月份推出以来的第二次涨价。该公司网站显示，Model S Long Range的预计交付时间现已从明年初推迟至明年3月至4月。</blockquote></p><p> The last price hikes were done in July when the&nbsp;<b>Elon Musk</b>&nbsp;-led company made similar increases in the two&nbsp;countries it counts as key markets for growth.</p><p><blockquote>上一次涨价是在7月份，当时<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>-led公司在其视为主要增长市场的两个国家也取得了类似的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，马斯克曾表示，特斯拉的目标是每周生产超过2,000辆Model S和Model X，每周产量可能高达2,400至2,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> Both Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.</p><p><blockquote>Model S和X电动汽车都是特斯拉最昂贵的旗舰汽车之一，最近进行了更新，采用了新的内部和外部设计，并提高了效率和续航里程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why The Price Hikes?</b>&nbsp;Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么价格上涨？</b>马斯克一直将价格上涨归咎于全行业的供应链问题和半导体短缺，就在上周与投资者举行的财报后看涨期权上，马斯克表示“全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重”。</blockquote></p><p> “For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定，即各种芯片在不同时期都是供应链中最慢的部分。”马斯克表示。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing&nbsp;the likes of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> Co</b>GM 0.07%,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co</b>F 0.07%,<b>Volkswagen AG</b>&nbsp;OTCVWAGGY&nbsp;and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low&nbsp;inventories.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉并不孤单，全球芯片短缺也打击了传统汽车制造商，迫使<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>Co</b>GM 0.07%，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>发动机公司</b>F 0.07%，<b>大众汽车公司</b>OTCVWAGGY和其他公司在库存创历史新低的情况下停止生产，转而首先生产利润最高的型号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>特斯拉股价自上周公布财报以来一直在上涨，周二小幅收于709.74美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183753382","content_text":"Tesla Motors on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the United States and China, its two biggest markets, the company website shows.\nWhat Happened: The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the United States.\nIn China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at $133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.\nThe Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.\nTesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.\nThe last price hikes were done in July when the Elon Musk -led company made similar increases in the two countries it counts as key markets for growth.\nEarlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.\nBoth Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.\nWhy The Price Hikes? Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”\n“For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.\nTesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing the likes ofGeneral Motors CoGM 0.07%,Ford Motor CoF 0.07%,Volkswagen AG OTCVWAGGY and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low inventories.\nPrice Action: Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804792539,"gmtCreate":1627978585121,"gmtModify":1633754701339,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ! Good&nbsp;","listText":"Like ! Good&nbsp;","text":"Like ! Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804792539","repostId":"2156462011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804902106,"gmtCreate":1627914506905,"gmtModify":1633755311619,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ! Like :)","listText":"Good ! Like :)","text":"Good ! Like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804902106","repostId":"1155693481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155693481","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627913458,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155693481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘涨近5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155693481","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" $Tesla Motors$ rose nearly 5% in morning trading.Elon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.In addition ,Last Thursday, Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.The patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more ","content":"<p>(August 2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> rose nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>早盘涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Elon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk确认特斯拉人工智能日将于8月19日举行。</blockquote></p><p> In&nbsp;addition&nbsp;,Last Thursday,&nbsp;Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.</p><p><blockquote>此外，上周四，Benzinga提醒其用户特斯拉已申请一项专利，允许其从旧锂离子电动汽车电池中回收和再循环镍和钴。</blockquote></p><p> The patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>这项名为“通过电化学溶解的金属硫酸盐制造系统”的专利将使这家电动汽车和技术公司能够回收两种关键的电池金属原料并重复利用它们，从而提高其供应链的效率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faf5c64c1d04f0efe8c72c78addc130\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘涨近5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘涨近5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 22:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(August 2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> rose nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>早盘涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Elon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk确认特斯拉人工智能日将于8月19日举行。</blockquote></p><p> In&nbsp;addition&nbsp;,Last Thursday,&nbsp;Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.</p><p><blockquote>此外，上周四，Benzinga提醒其用户特斯拉已申请一项专利，允许其从旧锂离子电动汽车电池中回收和再循环镍和钴。</blockquote></p><p> The patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>这项名为“通过电化学溶解的金属硫酸盐制造系统”的专利将使这家电动汽车和技术公司能够回收两种关键的电池金属原料并重复利用它们，从而提高其供应链的效率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faf5c64c1d04f0efe8c72c78addc130\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155693481","content_text":"(August 2) Tesla Motors rose nearly 5% in morning trading.\nElon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.\nIn addition ,Last Thursday, Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.\nThe patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802587879,"gmtCreate":1627788636391,"gmtModify":1633756373314,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802587879","repostId":"1122171439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802585244,"gmtCreate":1627788568888,"gmtModify":1633756374621,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ! like :)","listText":"Good ! like :)","text":"Good ! like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802585244","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802361950,"gmtCreate":1627719464970,"gmtModify":1633756816904,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like! Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like! Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like! Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802361950","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三位投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>Ram的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括TeslaTSLA、Amazon.comAMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆在谈到她的基金2016年第二季度的早期头寸时说道。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三位投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>Ram的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括TeslaTSLA、Amazon.comAMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆在谈到她的基金2016年第二季度的早期头寸时说道。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. Hold stocks for the long term\nAll of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806337957,"gmtCreate":1627631843479,"gmtModify":1633757600428,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks!","listText":"Like thanks!","text":"Like thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806337957","repostId":"1137003588","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808662446,"gmtCreate":1627574532785,"gmtModify":1633758127061,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808662446","repostId":"1191327663","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808668638,"gmtCreate":1627574444824,"gmtModify":1633758128574,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808668638","repostId":"2155188411","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":806337957,"gmtCreate":1627631843479,"gmtModify":1633757600428,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks!","listText":"Like thanks!","text":"Like thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806337957","repostId":"1137003588","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804792539,"gmtCreate":1627978585121,"gmtModify":1633754701339,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ! Good&nbsp;","listText":"Like ! Good&nbsp;","text":"Like ! Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804792539","repostId":"2156462011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174518457,"gmtCreate":1627110319079,"gmtModify":1633767857656,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174518457","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174518887,"gmtCreate":1627110286649,"gmtModify":1633767857902,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comments! Thank you!","listText":"Like and comments! Thank you!","text":"Like and comments! Thank you!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174518887","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838036371,"gmtCreate":1629357279293,"gmtModify":1631891663468,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838036371","repostId":"1152703663","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894962291,"gmtCreate":1628783328113,"gmtModify":1631891663479,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like !","listText":"Like !","text":"Like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894962291","repostId":"2158189268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898539550,"gmtCreate":1628508286570,"gmtModify":1631891663486,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like !","listText":"Like !","text":"Like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898539550","repostId":"1122403360","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122403360","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628507058,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122403360?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 19:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122403360","media":"Reuters","summary":"LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), has w","content":"<p>LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice (CD&amp;R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（路透社）-莫里森的收购者、美国私募股权集团Clayton，Dubilier&amp;Rice(CD&amp;R)赢得了更多时间来考虑对Fortress同意的67亿英镑（93亿美元）收购这家英国超市集团的还价。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&amp;R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.</p><p><blockquote>负责监管企业收购的英国收购委员会周一表示，CD&amp;R必须在8月20日之前宣布提出新要约或退出的坚定意图，即所谓的“提出或闭嘴”命令，延长之前的8月9日截止日期。</blockquote></p><p> The battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.</p><p><blockquote>继特易购(Tesco)、塞恩斯伯里(Sainsbury's)和阿斯达(Asda)之后，英国第四大杂货商的争夺战是该国在大量收购和还价中最引人注目的迫在眉睫的收购，反映了私募股权对英国公司的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周五批准了软银旗下Fortress Investment Group牵头的财团提出的每股272便士的要约，较收购兴趣出现前的股价溢价52%。</blockquote></p><p> The retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&amp;R.</p><p><blockquote>该零售商已要求收购小组为CD&amp;R设定修订后的最后期限。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>周五，莫里森还将股东大会从8月16日推迟至8月27日，以就Fortress收购要约进行投票。要通过，它需要代表会议上投票投资者价值至少75%的股东的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.</p><p><blockquote>周一，莫里森的股价交易价格接近279便士，高于Fortress的新报价，表明投资者预计出价会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>分析师还猜测，与莫里森达成合作协议的美国巨头亚马逊仍可能加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SYNERGIES</p><p><blockquote>协同作用</blockquote></p><p> CD&amp;R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.</p><p><blockquote>CD&amp;R的高级顾问是Tesco前老板Terry Leahy，该公司提出的每股230便士、价值55.2亿英镑的提议于6月17日被莫里森拒绝。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&amp;G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，莫里森董事会同意了Fortress每股254便士、价值63亿英镑的报价，但莫里森的主要投资者Silchester、M&amp;G和JO Hambro都表示这一报价太低。</blockquote></p><p> Fortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”</p><p><blockquote>Fortress于2019年收购了英国葡萄酒销售商Majestic Wine，并表示“仍然致力于成为Morrisons的新所有者”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.</p><p><blockquote>Fortress财团还包括加拿大养老金计划投资委员会、科赫房地产投资公司和新加坡主权财富基金GIC，该财团已保证将保留莫里森位于英格兰北部布拉德福德的总部及其由首席执行官David Potts领导的现有管理团队，并执行其现有战略。材料商店出售和回租交易没有计划。</blockquote></p><p> People with knowledge of the situation have said CD&amp;R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士表示，CD&amp;R也能够勾选这些框，以获得莫里森董事会的推荐。</blockquote></p><p> They said CD&amp;R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&amp;M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，CD&amp;R的业绩记录包括对英国折扣零售商B&amp;M的投资，鉴于其现有对汽车燃料集团petrol forecourt chain的所有权，CD&amp;R可能会强调他们将从交易中获得更大的协同效应。</blockquote></p><p> However, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些分析师认为，更高的出价会使资产出售的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorrisons suitor CD&R gets more time to trump $9.3 billion offer<blockquote>莫里森的收购者CD&amp;R有更多时间击败93亿美元的报价</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 19:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier &amp; Rice (CD&amp;R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（路透社）-莫里森的收购者、美国私募股权集团Clayton，Dubilier&amp;Rice(CD&amp;R)赢得了更多时间来考虑对Fortress同意的67亿英镑（93亿美元）收购这家英国超市集团的还价。</blockquote></p><p> Britain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&amp;R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.</p><p><blockquote>负责监管企业收购的英国收购委员会周一表示，CD&amp;R必须在8月20日之前宣布提出新要约或退出的坚定意图，即所谓的“提出或闭嘴”命令，延长之前的8月9日截止日期。</blockquote></p><p> The battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.</p><p><blockquote>继特易购(Tesco)、塞恩斯伯里(Sainsbury's)和阿斯达(Asda)之后，英国第四大杂货商的争夺战是该国在大量收购和还价中最引人注目的迫在眉睫的收购，反映了私募股权对英国公司的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Morrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.</p><p><blockquote>莫里森周五批准了软银旗下Fortress Investment Group牵头的财团提出的每股272便士的要约，较收购兴趣出现前的股价溢价52%。</blockquote></p><p> The retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&amp;R.</p><p><blockquote>该零售商已要求收购小组为CD&amp;R设定修订后的最后期限。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.</p><p><blockquote>周五，莫里森还将股东大会从8月16日推迟至8月27日，以就Fortress收购要约进行投票。要通过，它需要代表会议上投票投资者价值至少75%的股东的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.</p><p><blockquote>周一，莫里森的股价交易价格接近279便士，高于Fortress的新报价，表明投资者预计出价会更高。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>分析师还猜测，与莫里森达成合作协议的美国巨头亚马逊仍可能加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SYNERGIES</p><p><blockquote>协同作用</blockquote></p><p> CD&amp;R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.</p><p><blockquote>CD&amp;R的高级顾问是Tesco前老板Terry Leahy，该公司提出的每股230便士、价值55.2亿英镑的提议于6月17日被莫里森拒绝。</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&amp;G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，莫里森董事会同意了Fortress每股254便士、价值63亿英镑的报价，但莫里森的主要投资者Silchester、M&amp;G和JO Hambro都表示这一报价太低。</blockquote></p><p> Fortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”</p><p><blockquote>Fortress于2019年收购了英国葡萄酒销售商Majestic Wine，并表示“仍然致力于成为Morrisons的新所有者”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.</p><p><blockquote>Fortress财团还包括加拿大养老金计划投资委员会、科赫房地产投资公司和新加坡主权财富基金GIC，该财团已保证将保留莫里森位于英格兰北部布拉德福德的总部及其由首席执行官David Potts领导的现有管理团队，并执行其现有战略。材料商店出售和回租交易没有计划。</blockquote></p><p> People with knowledge of the situation have said CD&amp;R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士表示，CD&amp;R也能够勾选这些框，以获得莫里森董事会的推荐。</blockquote></p><p> They said CD&amp;R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&amp;M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，CD&amp;R的业绩记录包括对英国折扣零售商B&amp;M的投资，鉴于其现有对汽车燃料集团petrol forecourt chain的所有权，CD&amp;R可能会强调他们将从交易中获得更大的协同效应。</blockquote></p><p> However, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一些分析师认为，更高的出价会使资产出售的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/morrisons-ma-cdr/update-3-morrisons-suitor-cdr-gets-more-time-to-trump-9-3-bln-offer-idUSL8N2PG0X7\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRWSF":"WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc."},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/morrisons-ma-cdr/update-3-morrisons-suitor-cdr-gets-more-time-to-trump-9-3-bln-offer-idUSL8N2PG0X7","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122403360","content_text":"LONDON (Reuters) -Morrisons suitor, U.S. private equity group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), has won more time to consider a counter bid to Fortress’ agreed 6.7 billion pounds ($9.3 billion) offer for the British supermarket group.\nBritain’s Takeover Panel, which regulates corporate takeovers, said on Monday CD&R would have until Aug. 20 to announce a firm intention to make a new offer or walk away, a so-called “put-up or shut-up” order, extending a previous Aug. 9 deadline.\nThe battle for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer after Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Asda, is the most high-profile looming takeover in the country amid a raft of bids and counter bids, reflecting private equity’s appetite for UK Plc.\nMorrisons on Friday approved the raised 272 pence a share offer from the consortium led by Softbank owned Fortress Investment Group - a 52% premium to its share price before takeover interest emerged.\nThe retailer had requested the Takeover Panel set a revised deadline for CD&R.\nOn Friday, Morrisons also adjourned from Aug. 16 to Aug. 27 the shareholder meeting to vote on the Fortress offer. To pass, it would need the support of shareholders representing at least 75% in value of voting investors at the meeting.\nShares in Morrisons were trading at nearly 279 pence on Monday - above Fortress’ new offer, indicating investors expect a higher bid.\nAnalysts have also speculated that U.S. giant Amazon, which has a partnership deal with Morrisons, could still enter the fray.\nSYNERGIES\nCD&R, which has former Tesco boss Terry Leahy as a senior adviser, had a 230 pence a share proposal worth 5.52 billion pounds rejected by Morrisons on June 17.\nLast month, Morrisons’ board agreed to Fortress’ 254 pence a share offer worth 6.3 billion pounds but major Morrisons investors Silchester, M&G and JO Hambro all indicated it was too low.\nFortress, which bought British wine seller Majestic Wine in 2019, has said it “remains committed to becoming the new owner of Morrisons.”\nThe Fortress consortium, which also includes Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, Koch Real Estate Investments and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC, has given assurances that it would retain Morrisons’ headquarters in Bradford, northern England, and its existing management team led by Chief Executive David Potts, and execute its existing strategy. Material store sale and leaseback transactions are not planned.\nPeople with knowledge of the situation have said CD&R would also be able to tick those boxes to secure a recommendation from Morrisons’ board.\nThey said CD&R, whose track record includes investment in UK discount retailer B&M, was likely to stress the greater synergies they would get from a deal, given its existing ownership of the Motor Fuel Group petrol forecourt chain.\nHowever, some analysts have argued that a higher bid makes asset sales more likely.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRWSF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802361950,"gmtCreate":1627719464970,"gmtModify":1633756816904,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like! Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Like! Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Like! Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802361950","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三位投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>Ram的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括TeslaTSLA、Amazon.comAMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆在谈到她的基金2016年第二季度的早期头寸时说道。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三位投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>Ram的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括TeslaTSLA、Amazon.comAMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆在谈到她的基金2016年第二季度的早期头寸时说道。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. Hold stocks for the long term\nAll of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801139309,"gmtCreate":1627486440601,"gmtModify":1633764505486,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like!","listText":"Like!","text":"Like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801139309","repostId":"1179923360","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891545262,"gmtCreate":1628404149456,"gmtModify":1631891663491,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good and like :)","listText":"Good and like :)","text":"Good and like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891545262","repostId":"1190347839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890080543,"gmtCreate":1628066606382,"gmtModify":1633753908367,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and good !","listText":"Like and good !","text":"Like and good !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890080543","repostId":"1183753382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183753382","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628065451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183753382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 16:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183753382","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Motors on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and China, its two biggest markets,&nbsp;the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>周二提高了Model S轿车和Model X SUV远程车型的价格<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>该公司网站显示，美国和中国这两个最大的市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> States.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Model S Long Range和Model X Long Range现在在中国的售价均为4,637美元，在中国为5,000美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">团结的</a>各州。</blockquote></p><p> In China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at&nbsp;$133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，Model S Long Range的售价为133,117美元，Model X Range的售价为140,857美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>Model S Long Range版本现售价为89,990美元，Model X Long Range在美国的起售价已上调至99,990美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉尚未开始交付Model S Long Range，并且已经实现了自1月份推出以来的第二次涨价。该公司网站显示，Model S Long Range的预计交付时间现已从明年初推迟至明年3月至4月。</blockquote></p><p> The last price hikes were done in July when the&nbsp;<b>Elon Musk</b>&nbsp;-led company made similar increases in the two&nbsp;countries it counts as key markets for growth.</p><p><blockquote>上一次涨价是在7月份，当时<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>-led公司在其视为主要增长市场的两个国家也取得了类似的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，马斯克曾表示，特斯拉的目标是每周生产超过2,000辆Model S和Model X，每周产量可能高达2,400至2,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> Both Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.</p><p><blockquote>Model S和X电动汽车都是特斯拉最昂贵的旗舰汽车之一，最近进行了更新，采用了新的内部和外部设计，并提高了效率和续航里程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why The Price Hikes?</b>&nbsp;Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么价格上涨？</b>马斯克一直将价格上涨归咎于全行业的供应链问题和半导体短缺，就在上周与投资者举行的财报后看涨期权上，马斯克表示“全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重”。</blockquote></p><p> “For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定，即各种芯片在不同时期都是供应链中最慢的部分。”马斯克表示。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing&nbsp;the likes of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> Co</b>GM 0.07%,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co</b>F 0.07%,<b>Volkswagen AG</b>&nbsp;OTCVWAGGY&nbsp;and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low&nbsp;inventories.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉并不孤单，全球芯片短缺也打击了传统汽车制造商，迫使<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>Co</b>GM 0.07%，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>发动机公司</b>F 0.07%，<b>大众汽车公司</b>OTCVWAGGY和其他公司在库存创历史新低的情况下停止生产，转而首先生产利润最高的型号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>特斯拉股价自上周公布财报以来一直在上涨，周二小幅收于709.74美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Hikes Model S, Model X Long Range Prices In Both US, China: Continued Chip Shortage Woes?<blockquote>特斯拉上调中美Model S、Model X长续航价格：芯片短缺困境持续？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 16:24</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and China, its two biggest markets,&nbsp;the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>周二提高了Model S轿车和Model X SUV远程车型的价格<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>该公司网站显示，美国和中国这两个最大的市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> States.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Model S Long Range和Model X Long Range现在在中国的售价均为4,637美元，在中国为5,000美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">团结的</a>各州。</blockquote></p><p> In China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at&nbsp;$133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，Model S Long Range的售价为133,117美元，Model X Range的售价为140,857美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>Model S Long Range版本现售价为89,990美元，Model X Long Range在美国的起售价已上调至99,990美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉尚未开始交付Model S Long Range，并且已经实现了自1月份推出以来的第二次涨价。该公司网站显示，Model S Long Range的预计交付时间现已从明年初推迟至明年3月至4月。</blockquote></p><p> The last price hikes were done in July when the&nbsp;<b>Elon Musk</b>&nbsp;-led company made similar increases in the two&nbsp;countries it counts as key markets for growth.</p><p><blockquote>上一次涨价是在7月份，当时<b>埃隆·马斯克</b>-led公司在其视为主要增长市场的两个国家也取得了类似的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，马斯克曾表示，特斯拉的目标是每周生产超过2,000辆Model S和Model X，每周产量可能高达2,400至2,500辆。</blockquote></p><p> Both Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.</p><p><blockquote>Model S和X电动汽车都是特斯拉最昂贵的旗舰汽车之一，最近进行了更新，采用了新的内部和外部设计，并提高了效率和续航里程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why The Price Hikes?</b>&nbsp;Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么价格上涨？</b>马斯克一直将价格上涨归咎于全行业的供应链问题和半导体短缺，就在上周与投资者举行的财报后看涨期权上，马斯克表示“全球芯片短缺情况仍然相当严重”。</blockquote></p><p> “For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“在今年剩下的时间里，我们的增长率将由供应链中最慢的部分决定，即各种芯片在不同时期都是供应链中最慢的部分。”马斯克表示。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing&nbsp;the likes of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> Co</b>GM 0.07%,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> Motor Co</b>F 0.07%,<b>Volkswagen AG</b>&nbsp;OTCVWAGGY&nbsp;and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low&nbsp;inventories.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉并不孤单，全球芯片短缺也打击了传统汽车制造商，迫使<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>Co</b>GM 0.07%，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>发动机公司</b>F 0.07%，<b>大众汽车公司</b>OTCVWAGGY和其他公司在库存创历史新低的情况下停止生产，转而首先生产利润最高的型号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>特斯拉股价自上周公布财报以来一直在上涨，周二小幅收于709.74美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183753382","content_text":"Tesla Motors on Tuesday hiked prices of the long-range variants of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV in the United States and China, its two biggest markets, the company website shows.\nWhat Happened: The Model S Long Range and Model X Long-range now both cost an extra $4,637 in China and $5,000 in the United States.\nIn China, the Model S Long Range is now priced at $133,117 and the Model X Range is priced at $140,857.\nThe Model S Long Range version is now priced at $89,990 and the starting price of Model X Long Range has been moved up to $99,990 in the United States.\nTesla is yet to begin deliveries for the Model S Long Range and has already secured a second price hike since it was launched in January. The estimated delivery time for Model S Long Range has now slipped to March-April next year from early next year, the company website shows.\nThe last price hikes were done in July when the Elon Musk -led company made similar increases in the two countries it counts as key markets for growth.\nEarlier this year, Musk had said Tesla aims to make over 2,000 units of the Model S and Model X per week and could probably go as high as 2,400 to 2,500 units per week.\nBoth Model S and X electric vehicles are among Tesla’s most expensive, flagship vehicles and have recently undergone a refresh, with a new interior and exterior design along with efficiency and range improvements.\nWhy The Price Hikes? Musk has been blaming industry-wide supply chain issues and semiconductor shortages for the price hikes and had just last week in a post-earnings call with investors said the “global chip shortage situation remains quite serious.”\n“For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain, which is the wide range of chips that are at various times the slowest parts in the supply chain.” Musk said.\nTesla is not alone as the global chip shortages have hit legacy automakers as well, forcing the likes ofGeneral Motors CoGM 0.07%,Ford Motor CoF 0.07%,Volkswagen AG OTCVWAGGY and others to halt productions and shift to build their most profitable models first amid record-low inventories.\nPrice Action: Tesla shares, which have been rising since it reported earnings last week, closed marginally up at $709.74 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834270433,"gmtCreate":1629810577222,"gmtModify":1631891663461,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834270433","repostId":"1154386229","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832955137,"gmtCreate":1629567453829,"gmtModify":1631891663465,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832955137","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中，芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%，而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入？或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施，进入持续下跌趋势，让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表，但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天，那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因：“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化，现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险，那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先，以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因，以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示：“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑，然后是服务器，然后是电话。”但他表示，现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大，因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”，从各个角度来看，终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出，在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示：“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测，到2030年，芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番，达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”，他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下，从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造，行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中，有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面，公司在极紫外光刻（EUV）领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示，整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为，加上成本削减，意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年，芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善，”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%，而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&amp;Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出，尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数，但它们看起来很便宜，因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度（见下文），但他特别指出了两家公司，它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振：高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击，例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断，但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia，该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计，当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时，他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说，他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图，他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者，但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上，台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上，这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点，”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品，这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示，希望到2025年生产70%的芯片，高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是，有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买，导致未来的平静，这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计，这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出，使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流，但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数（PMI）在4月份达到顶峰，然后连续三个月减速。与此同时，芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出，通常情况下，两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设，而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此，他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器（DRAM）芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情，”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺，而不是表明短缺并不真实（只是库存增加）。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如，福特刚刚宣布，由于芯片短缺，而不是潜在需求短缺，它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测，由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素，良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的，持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","TSM":"台积电","ASML":"阿斯麦","SNPS":"新思科技","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QCOM":"高通","AMZN":"亚马逊","CDNS":"铿腾电子","ON":"安森美半导体","AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","SSNLF":"三星电子"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896127739,"gmtCreate":1628563032521,"gmtModify":1631891663481,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good and like !","listText":"Good and like !","text":"Good and like !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896127739","repostId":"1122543075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899995071,"gmtCreate":1628149652893,"gmtModify":1633753135327,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news&nbsp;","listText":"Good news&nbsp;","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899995071","repostId":"1192728062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192728062","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628148597,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192728062?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 15:29","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192728062","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.\n\nSingapore Exchange (SGX) announc","content":"<p>  <b><i>It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.</i></b>  Singapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>它指出扩张是他们成功的驱动因素。</i></b>新加坡交易所（SGX）宣布2021财年净利润为4.47亿美元，收入为10.567亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年的净利润4.821亿美元略有下降，今年的收入比10.527亿美元略有增长。</blockquote></p><p> SGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.</p><p><blockquote>新交所将这一增长归因于对扩大业务的持续投资。今年的支出从4.869亿美元增长了8%，达到5.252亿美元。这些主要流向了Scientific Beta和BidFX。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润仍为6.239亿美元，低于去年的6.597亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Loh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.</p><p><blockquote>新交所首席执行官Loh Boon Chye仍然对他们当前的财务摘要感到自豪。</blockquote></p><p> “In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”</p><p><blockquote>“2021财年，我们继续战略性地构建、合作和收购——加强我们跨资产类别的能力、产品和平台。通过投资发展业务，我们取得了强劲的业绩，在充满挑战的环境中实现了与去年类似的创纪录收入。尽管国债收入较低，但我们的核心业务部门仍然强劲，我们快速增长的子公司Scientific Beta和BidFX提供了额外的推动力。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSGX reveals $447m profit for FY2021<blockquote>新交所公布2021财年利润4.47亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 15:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b><i>It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.</i></b>  Singapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>它指出扩张是他们成功的驱动因素。</i></b>新加坡交易所（SGX）宣布2021财年净利润为4.47亿美元，收入为10.567亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年的净利润4.821亿美元略有下降，今年的收入比10.527亿美元略有增长。</blockquote></p><p> SGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.</p><p><blockquote>新交所将这一增长归因于对扩大业务的持续投资。今年的支出从4.869亿美元增长了8%，达到5.252亿美元。这些主要流向了Scientific Beta和BidFX。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润仍为6.239亿美元，低于去年的6.597亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Loh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.</p><p><blockquote>新交所首席执行官Loh Boon Chye仍然对他们当前的财务摘要感到自豪。</blockquote></p><p> “In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”</p><p><blockquote>“2021财年，我们继续战略性地构建、合作和收购——加强我们跨资产类别的能力、产品和平台。通过投资发展业务，我们取得了强劲的业绩，在充满挑战的环境中实现了与去年类似的创纪录收入。尽管国债收入较低，但我们的核心业务部门仍然强劲，我们快速增长的子公司Scientific Beta和BidFX提供了额外的推动力。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/economy-stocks/news/sgx-reveals-447m-profit-fy2021\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"S68.SI":"新加坡交易所"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/economy-stocks/news/sgx-reveals-447m-profit-fy2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192728062","content_text":"It points toward expansion as the driving factor of their success.\n\nSingapore Exchange (SGX) announced a net profit of $447m for the financial year 2021 with a revenue of $1,056.7m.\nThis is a slight dip from last year’s net profit $482.1m, with this year’s revenue seeing a slight increase from $1,052.7m.\nSGX attributes this growth to continued investment in expanding their business. From $486.9m, this year’s expenses increased by 8% to $525.2m. These largely went toward Scientific Beta and BidFX.\nMeanwhile, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization remained at $623.9m, down from last year’s $659.7m.\nLoh Boon Chye, CEO of SGX, remains proud of their current financial summary.\n“In FY2021, we continued to build, partner and acquire strategically – strengthening our capabilities, products and platforms across asset classes. We achieved a strong performance as we invested in growing our business, delivering similar record revenues compared to last year amidst a challenging environment. Notwithstanding the lower treasury income, our core business segments remained robust, with our fast-growing subsidiaries, Scientific Beta and BidFX, providing an added boost.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"S68.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174513691,"gmtCreate":1627110026813,"gmtModify":1633767859162,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!&nbsp;","listText":"Good!&nbsp;","text":"Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174513691","repostId":"2153089933","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833136400,"gmtCreate":1629209562400,"gmtModify":1631891663472,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That is not good","listText":"That is not good","text":"That is not good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833136400","repostId":"1146168029","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146168029","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629206834,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146168029?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146168029","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 17) Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.\nDow industrials fall 291","content":"<p>(Aug 17)&nbsp;Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>（8月17日）零售销售降幅大于预期后，股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&amp;P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.</p><p><blockquote>道指下跌291点，跌幅0.8%。标普500下跌0.7%，至4,448.21点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，至14,650.41点。</blockquote></p><p> China tech stocks slump&nbsp;as&nbsp;China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国市场监管机构发布禁止中国在线平台运营商之间不公平竞争的规则草案，中国科技股暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792e1772879dc34b07a1aad8629d5ca1\" tg-width=\"375\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Dow member Home Depot fell more than 4%&nbsp;after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道指成分股家得宝公布二季度业绩后跌超4%，打击期货。虽然季度收益超出预期，但同期同店销售额增长4.5%，低于StreetAccount调查的分析师5%的普遍预期。美国同店销售额仅增长3.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4c94ff0a55a39c655244dde44c44ae\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Walmart shares gained&nbsp;0.27% after&nbsp;second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛股价上涨0.零售商发布了谨慎的指引；根据StreetAccount的数据，该公司表示本季度每股收益将在1.30美元至1.40美元之间，而分析师普遍预期为1.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc921ddb3f633aa1f233242ac43da84c\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales<blockquote>零售额降幅超预期后股市低开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-17 21:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 17)&nbsp;Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>（8月17日）零售销售降幅大于预期后，股市开盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Dow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&amp;P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.</p><p><blockquote>道指下跌291点，跌幅0.8%。标普500下跌0.7%，至4,448.21点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.9%，至14,650.41点。</blockquote></p><p> China tech stocks slump&nbsp;as&nbsp;China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国市场监管机构发布禁止中国在线平台运营商之间不公平竞争的规则草案，中国科技股暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/792e1772879dc34b07a1aad8629d5ca1\" tg-width=\"375\" tg-height=\"853\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Dow member Home Depot fell more than 4%&nbsp;after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.</p><p><blockquote>道指成分股家得宝公布二季度业绩后跌超4%，打击期货。虽然季度收益超出预期，但同期同店销售额增长4.5%，低于StreetAccount调查的分析师5%的普遍预期。美国同店销售额仅增长3.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4c94ff0a55a39c655244dde44c44ae\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Walmart shares gained&nbsp;0.27% after&nbsp;second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛股价上涨0.零售商发布了谨慎的指引；根据StreetAccount的数据，该公司表示本季度每股收益将在1.30美元至1.40美元之间，而分析师普遍预期为1.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc921ddb3f633aa1f233242ac43da84c\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146168029","content_text":"(Aug 17) Stocks open lower after larger-than-expected drop in retail sales.\nDow industrials fall 291 points, or 0.8%. S&P 500 drops 0.7% to 4,448.21. Nasdaq Composite down 0.9% at 14,650.41.\nChina tech stocks slump as China’s market regulator issued draft rules banning unfair competition among the nation’s online platform operators.\nDow member Home Depot fell more than 4% after reporting second-quarter results, knocking futures. While quarterly earnings topped estimates, same-store sales rose 4.5% in the period, below the 5% consensus estimate of analysts polled by StreetAccount. U.S. same store sales increased by just 3.4%.\n\nWalmart shares gained 0.27% after second-quarter earnings topped estimates. The retailer issued cautious guidance; the company said it will earn between $1.30 and $1.40 a share this quarter while the consensus analyst estimate is $1.32, according to StreetAccount.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839390731,"gmtCreate":1629121217123,"gmtModify":1631891663475,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839390731","repostId":"1165935172","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165935172","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629118103,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165935172?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165935172","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stay","content":"<p>  Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.  Federal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀居高不下、失业率迅速下降，尽早减少债券购买可以为加息提供更大的灵活性。如果经济持续复苏，美联储官员接近同意在大约三个月内开始缩减宽松货币政策，一些人正在推动在明年年中结束资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> In recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的采访和公开声明中，一些人主张制定这一时间表，如果经济朝着他们的目标快速前进，这将使他们能够比目前预期的更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年12月表示，将继续目前的债券购买步伐，直到官员们得出结论，他们在实现2%平均通胀率和强劲就业的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> Officials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.</p><p><blockquote>官员们在7月27日至28日的会议上审议了两个重要问题：何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及多快减少或缩减这些购买量。美联储将于周三发布会议纪要，可能会为这些讨论提供进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> The answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这些答案对金融市场很重要，因为美联储官员曾表示，他们更愿意在考虑何时从接近零的利率上调之前结束债券购买计划。在6月15日至16日的政策会议上，18名美联储官员中有13名预计将在2023年底前加息；预计到2022年底将有7家这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在7月28日的新闻发布会上表示，美联储“距离考虑加息还有很长的路要走。这不是我们现在关注的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> A recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.</p><p><blockquote>最近一系列强劲的招聘报告增强了美联储在9月21日至22日的下一次会议上宣布开始缩减规模的意图的理由，可能最早在11月的下一次会议上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf5a9a0b2244055076f521102b5b4a\" tg-width=\"317\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥联储主席查尔斯·埃文斯上周在与记者举行的虚拟圆桌会议上表示：“我确实预计我们将看到实质性的进一步进展……可能是在今年晚些时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿联储主席Eric Rosengren在接受采访时表示，他预计到9月21日至22日将看到足够的就业增长，以满足减少债券购买的标准。他在上周接受采访时表示：“这将为今年秋季某个时候可能的缩减规模奠定基础，这取决于德尔塔变异毒株和其他不会大幅减缓劳动力市场的变量。”罗森格伦表示，他希望如果经济持续强劲增长，“我们将在明年年中完成缩减计划。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美联储非常缓慢地结束了之前的债券购买计划，在10个月内减少了购买量。但在2013年12月，当它宣布将很快启动这一进程时，经济更加疲软，失业率更高，通胀更低。</blockquote></p><p> Officials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>官员们当时还有另一个谨慎的原因，因为他们对长期国债收益率飙升感到震惊，这被称为“缩减恐慌”，发生在2013年年中，当时的主席本·伯南克暗示他们可能很快就会减少资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在发现自己处于一个截然不同的境地。经济快速增长。7月份失业率要低得多，为5.4%。通货膨胀要高得多。尽管央行讨论了减少债券购买的计划，但债券收益率今年仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>资产购买旨在通过压低长期利率以刺激借贷和支出来刺激经济。罗森格伦先生指出，最近房价的飙升证明该计划可能接近回报递减点。“如果你无法获得住房材料，也无法让建筑工人回到现场，但我们确实增加了对住房的需求，那么这对我们的就业任务没有多大作用——但它确实会增加房价。否则，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”</p><p><blockquote>达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰对此表示同意。他在接受采访时表示：“这些采购旨在刺激需求，但我们没有需求问题。”“在大衰退之后，我们做到了。所以我不想使用2009年至2013年的剧本。”</blockquote></p><p> Some other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.</p><p><blockquote>其他一些官员主张要有更多的耐心。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)上个月表示，她希望看到9月份的招聘数据，该数据要到10月初才能公布，然后再做出决定。这将使任何缩减购债规模推迟到美联储11月2日至3日的会议。</blockquote></p><p> San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利上周在接受采访时表示，她认为经济应该支持“今年晚些时候，或者明年开始缩减规模”。她说，劳动力市场“非常强劲——越来越强劲”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Ms. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利表示，现在说美联储应该如何减少购买还为时过早。“这些事情还没有决定，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>同样，埃文斯没有透露他认为美联储需要多快结束购买。他预计明年年底通胀率将回落至2%，这将证明撤回货币刺激措施的紧迫性降低。</blockquote></p><p> “My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“我自己的前景是，我们将面临更大的挑战，让通胀率自信地保持在2%、2.1%或2.2%的范围内。”“如果其他人更有信心通胀将在可持续的基础上走高，那么……更快的缩减可能是正确的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员尚未决定是否以同样的速度减少美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦先生说，他更愿意每月减少等量。由于美联储购买的国债数量是抵押贷款支持证券的两倍，这将导致抵押贷款债券购买结束的时间是国债购买的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他赞成在八个月内减少这两种债券的购买，即每月减少100亿美元的美国国债和50亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。“在我看来，这是最谨慎的做法：尽快开始，然后逐步进行，对我来说，逐步意味着八个月，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示，他希望从10月份开始削减资产，并在3月份结束该计划，每月减少200亿美元的美国国债购买量，每月减少100亿美元的抵押贷款债券购买量。美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒也概述了类似的偏好。</blockquote></p><p> Even though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管“这将是相当迅速地退出资产购买计划”，但布拉德在上周接受采访时表示，他认为这将使美联储在决定明年晚些时候是否加息方面具有更大的灵活性。“我不想（加息）行动太快，因为这可能具有很大的破坏性，所以我认为，如果我们需要使用它，我建议的步伐将在2022年为我们提供更多选择。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，通过更快地减少资产购买，美联储可能能够等待更长时间才能加息。他表示：“通过现在或很快采取更适当的货币政策立场，实际上可能会让你在未来如何调整联邦基金利率方面更加灵活、更加耐心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Weigh Ending Asset Purchases by Mid-2022<blockquote>美联储官员权衡在2022年中期结束资产购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-16 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.  Federal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.</p><p><blockquote>如果通胀居高不下、失业率迅速下降，尽早减少债券购买可以为加息提供更大的灵活性。如果经济持续复苏，美联储官员接近同意在大约三个月内开始缩减宽松货币政策，一些人正在推动在明年年中结束资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> In recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的采访和公开声明中，一些人主张制定这一时间表，如果经济朝着他们的目标快速前进，这将使他们能够比目前预期的更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年12月表示，将继续目前的债券购买步伐，直到官员们得出结论，他们在实现2%平均通胀率和强劲就业的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> Officials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.</p><p><blockquote>官员们在7月27日至28日的会议上审议了两个重要问题：何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及多快减少或缩减这些购买量。美联储将于周三发布会议纪要，可能会为这些讨论提供进一步线索。</blockquote></p><p> The answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这些答案对金融市场很重要，因为美联储官员曾表示，他们更愿意在考虑何时从接近零的利率上调之前结束债券购买计划。在6月15日至16日的政策会议上，18名美联储官员中有13名预计将在2023年底前加息；预计到2022年底将有7家这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在7月28日的新闻发布会上表示，美联储“距离考虑加息还有很长的路要走。这不是我们现在关注的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> A recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.</p><p><blockquote>最近一系列强劲的招聘报告增强了美联储在9月21日至22日的下一次会议上宣布开始缩减规模的意图的理由，可能最早在11月的下一次会议上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf5a9a0b2244055076f521102b5b4a\" tg-width=\"317\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥联储主席查尔斯·埃文斯上周在与记者举行的虚拟圆桌会议上表示：“我确实预计我们将看到实质性的进一步进展……可能是在今年晚些时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿联储主席Eric Rosengren在接受采访时表示，他预计到9月21日至22日将看到足够的就业增长，以满足减少债券购买的标准。他在上周接受采访时表示：“这将为今年秋季某个时候可能的缩减规模奠定基础，这取决于德尔塔变异毒株和其他不会大幅减缓劳动力市场的变量。”罗森格伦表示，他希望如果经济持续强劲增长，“我们将在明年年中完成缩减计划。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美联储非常缓慢地结束了之前的债券购买计划，在10个月内减少了购买量。但在2013年12月，当它宣布将很快启动这一进程时，经济更加疲软，失业率更高，通胀更低。</blockquote></p><p> Officials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>官员们当时还有另一个谨慎的原因，因为他们对长期国债收益率飙升感到震惊，这被称为“缩减恐慌”，发生在2013年年中，当时的主席本·伯南克暗示他们可能很快就会减少资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在发现自己处于一个截然不同的境地。经济快速增长。7月份失业率要低得多，为5.4%。通货膨胀要高得多。尽管央行讨论了减少债券购买的计划，但债券收益率今年仍大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>资产购买旨在通过压低长期利率以刺激借贷和支出来刺激经济。罗森格伦先生指出，最近房价的飙升证明该计划可能接近回报递减点。“如果你无法获得住房材料，也无法让建筑工人回到现场，但我们确实增加了对住房的需求，那么这对我们的就业任务没有多大作用——但它确实会增加房价。否则，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”</p><p><blockquote>达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰对此表示同意。他在接受采访时表示：“这些采购旨在刺激需求，但我们没有需求问题。”“在大衰退之后，我们做到了。所以我不想使用2009年至2013年的剧本。”</blockquote></p><p> Some other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.</p><p><blockquote>其他一些官员主张要有更多的耐心。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)上个月表示，她希望看到9月份的招聘数据，该数据要到10月初才能公布，然后再做出决定。这将使任何缩减购债规模推迟到美联储11月2日至3日的会议。</blockquote></p><p> San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利上周在接受采访时表示，她认为经济应该支持“今年晚些时候，或者明年开始缩减规模”。她说，劳动力市场“非常强劲——越来越强劲”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Ms. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>戴利表示，现在说美联储应该如何减少购买还为时过早。“这些事情还没有决定，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>同样，埃文斯没有透露他认为美联储需要多快结束购买。他预计明年年底通胀率将回落至2%，这将证明撤回货币刺激措施的紧迫性降低。</blockquote></p><p> “My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“我自己的前景是，我们将面临更大的挑战，让通胀率自信地保持在2%、2.1%或2.2%的范围内。”“如果其他人更有信心通胀将在可持续的基础上走高，那么……更快的缩减可能是正确的道路。”</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员尚未决定是否以同样的速度减少美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.</p><p><blockquote>罗森格伦先生说，他更愿意每月减少等量。由于美联储购买的国债数量是抵押贷款支持证券的两倍，这将导致抵押贷款债券购买结束的时间是国债购买的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他赞成在八个月内减少这两种债券的购买，即每月减少100亿美元的美国国债和50亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券。“在我看来，这是最谨慎的做法：尽快开始，然后逐步进行，对我来说，逐步意味着八个月，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席布拉德表示，他希望从10月份开始削减资产，并在3月份结束该计划，每月减少200亿美元的美国国债购买量，每月减少100亿美元的抵押贷款债券购买量。美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒也概述了类似的偏好。</blockquote></p><p> Even though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管“这将是相当迅速地退出资产购买计划”，但布拉德在上周接受采访时表示，他认为这将使美联储在决定明年晚些时候是否加息方面具有更大的灵活性。“我不想（加息）行动太快，因为这可能具有很大的破坏性，所以我认为，如果我们需要使用它，我建议的步伐将在2022年为我们提供更多选择。”</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，通过更快地减少资产购买，美联储可能能够等待更长时间才能加息。他表示：“通过现在或很快采取更适当的货币政策立场，实际上可能会让你在未来如何调整联邦基金利率方面更加灵活、更加耐心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-officials-weigh-ending-asset-purchases-by-mid-2022-11629106200\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-officials-weigh-ending-asset-purchases-by-mid-2022-11629106200","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165935172","content_text":"Reducing bond buying sooner could provide more flexibility to raise interest rates if inflation stays high and unemployment falls rapidly.\n\nFederal Reserve officials are nearing agreement to begin scaling back their easy money policies in about three months if the economic recovery continues, with some pushing to end their asset-purchase program by the middle of next year.\nIn recent interviews and public statements, several have advocated for this timetable, which would enable them to raise interest rates sooner than currently anticipated if the economy makes rapid progress toward their goals.\nThe central bank last December said it would continue the current pace of bond purchases until officials concluded they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of 2% average inflation and robust employment.\nOfficials at their July 27-28 meetingdeliberated on two important questions: when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them. The Fed is set to release on Wednesday minutes of the meeting that could provide further clues about those discussions.\nThe answers are important to financial markets because Fed officials have said they would prefer to conclude the bond-buying program before considering when to raise interest rates from near-zero. At their June 15-16 policy meeting, 13 of 18 Fed officials projected they would raise rates by the end of 2023; seven expected to do so by the end of 2022.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a July 28 news conference that the Fed was still “a ways away from considering raising interest rates. It’s not something that is on our radar screen right now.”\nA recent run ofstrong hiring reportshave strengthened the case for the Fed to announce at its next meeting, Sept. 21-22, its intentions to start tapering, potentially as soon as its following meeting in November.\n“I do expect we are going to be at the point where we’ve seen substantial further progress…probably later this year,” said Chicago Fed President Charles Evans in avirtual roundtable with reporterslast week.\nBoston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in an interview he expected to see by the Sept. 21-22 meeting enough job growth to meet the criteria for reducing bond purchases. “That would set up some time this fall a possible tapering that is dependent on the Delta variant and other variants not slowing down the labor market substantially,” he said in an interview last week. Mr. Rosengren said he hopes that if strong economic growth continues, “we’re done with the tapering program…towards the middle of next year.”\nThe Fed wound down its previous bond-buying program very gradually, reducing its purchases over the course of 10 months. But in December 2013, when it announced that it would soon start that process, the economy was weaker, with higher unemployment and low inflation.\nOfficials had another reason for caution back then because they were stunned by a surge in long-term Treasury yields, dubbed the “taper tantrum,” that occurred in the middle of 2013, after then-Chair Ben Bernanke suggested they might soon reduce their asset purchases.\nThe Fed now finds itself in a very different position. The economy is growing rapidly. Unemployment is much lower, at 5.4% in July.Inflation is much hotter. And bond yields have tumbled this year even as the central bank has discussed plans to reduce bond purchases.\nThe asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by holding down long-term interest rates to spur borrowing and spending. Mr. Rosengren pointed to recentsurges in home pricesas evidence that the program may be nearing a point of diminishing returns. “If you can’t get housing materials and you can’t get construction workers to come back on site, but we do increase demand for housing, then it doesn’t do much for our employment mandate—but it does increase housing prices more than it otherwise would,” he said.\nDallas Fed President Robert Kaplan agreed. “These purchases are very well designed to stimulate demand, but we don’t have a demand problem,” he said in an interview. “In the aftermath of the Great Recession, we did. So I don’t want to use the playbook from 2009 to 2013.”\nSome other officials have argued for more patience. Fed governor Lael Brainard indicated last month she wanted to see September hiring data, which won’t be available until early October, before deciding. That would hold off any tapering until no sooner than the Fed’s Nov. 2-3 meeting.\nSan Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in an interview last week she thinks the economy should support “beginning to taper later this year, or maybe next.” Labor markets are “really strong—getting stronger,” she said.\nMs. Daly said it was too soon to say how the Fed should reduce the purchases. “Those things haven’t been decided,” she said.\nLikewise, Mr. Evans didn’t say how soon he thought the Fed would need to wind down its purchases. He expects inflation to fall back to 2% by the end of next year, which would argue for less urgency to withdraw monetary stimulus.\n“My own outlook is, we’re gonna be more challenged in getting inflation to confidently stay up in the 2% or 2.1% or 2.2%” range, he said. “If others had more confidence that inflation was going to be higher on a sustainable basis, then that…quicker tapering could be the right path.”\nFed officials have yet to decidewhether to reduce their purchasesof Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities at the same pace.\nMr. Rosengren said he would prefer to reduce them monthly by equal quantities. Because the Fed is buying twice as many Treasurys as mortgage-backed securities, that would result in mortgage-bond purchases ending in half the time as Treasury purchases.\nMr. Kaplan said he favors reducing the purchases of both types of bonds over the course of eight months, or by $10 billion for Treasurys and $5 billion for mortgage-backed securities a month. “That strikes me as the most prudent course: start soon, and go gradually, and for me, gradually means eight months,” he said.\nSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he wants to start paring assets in October and conclude the program by March, reducing the purchases of Treasurys by $20 billion a month and mortgage bonds by $10 billion a month. Fed governor Christopher Waller has outlined a similar preference.\nEven though “that would be a fairly rapid pullout of the asset-purchase program,” Mr. Bullard said in an interview last week that he thought it would give the Fed more flexibility to determine whether to raise rates later next year. “I don’t want to have to move too rapidly [to raise rates] because it can be very disruptive, so I think that the pace I’m suggesting would give us a lot more optionality in 2022 if we needed to use it.”\nMr. Kaplan said by reducing asset purchases sooner, the Fed might be able to wait longer before it has to raise interest rates. “By getting a more appropriate stance of monetary policy now or soon, it might actually allow you to be more flexible and be more patient on how you adjust the federal-funds rate down the road,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830880403,"gmtCreate":1629044252702,"gmtModify":1631891663477,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good!","listText":"Good!","text":"Good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830880403","repostId":"2159145532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802585244,"gmtCreate":1627788568888,"gmtModify":1633756374621,"author":{"id":"3582024918476098","authorId":"3582024918476098","name":"immryan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582024918476098","idStr":"3582024918476098"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ! like :)","listText":"Good ! like :)","text":"Good ! like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802585244","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}