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2022-01-10

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Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>

2022-01-09

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Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>

2022-01-08

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2022-01-07

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2022-01-06

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2022-01-05

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2022-01-03

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2022-01-02

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XPeng, NIO, Li Auto Report Big December Deliveries. That’s Good For Tesla<blockquote>小鹏汽车、蔚来、理想汽车报告12月份交付量较大。这对特斯拉有好处</blockquote>

2022-01-01

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2021-12-30

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5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>

2021-12-29

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Why Are LG Display Shares Trading Higher Premarket?<blockquote>为什么LG Display股价盘前走高？</blockquote>

2021-12-28

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Disney+ Has a Late Gift for Star Wars Fans; What's Coming in 2022?<blockquote>迪士尼+为《星球大战》粉丝准备了一份迟到的礼物；2022年会发生什么？</blockquote>

2021-12-27

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Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-12-26

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2021-12-25

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Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗？2022年10项技术预测</blockquote>

2021-12-24

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2021-12-22

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Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-12-21

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Palantir: 3 Reasons Against It And Why It's Still A Buy<blockquote>Palantir：反对它的3个理由以及为什么它仍然值得买入</blockquote>

2021-12-20

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Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>

2021-12-19

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t":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694385929","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694068347,"gmtCreate":1641705901026,"gmtModify":1641705901422,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694068347","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694009329,"gmtCreate":1641644098563,"gmtModify":1641644100145,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694009329","repostId":"2201424321","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695583018,"gmtCreate":1641520220781,"gmtModify":1641520225204,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695583018","repostId":"2201295996","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695627372,"gmtCreate":1641450774417,"gmtModify":1641450774784,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695627372","repostId":"2201255535","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695374198,"gmtCreate":1641355568236,"gmtModify":1641355577024,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695374198","repostId":"2201418283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692442390,"gmtCreate":1641192674609,"gmtModify":1641192675024,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692442390","repostId":"2200403714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692496952,"gmtCreate":1641131716204,"gmtModify":1641131716607,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692496952","repostId":"1173416252","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173416252","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641085354,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173416252?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-02 09:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng, NIO, Li Auto Report Big December Deliveries. That’s Good For Tesla<blockquote>小鹏汽车、蔚来、理想汽车报告12月份交付量较大。这对特斯拉有好处</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173416252","media":"Barrons","summary":"The three U.S.-listed Chinese electric vehicle makers started 2022 off with a bang, all reporting big delivery figures for December.NIO (ticker: NIO), XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI) on Saturday morning","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The three U.S.-listed Chinese electric vehicle makers started 2022 off with a bang, all reporting big delivery figures for December.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>三家在美国上市的中国电动汽车制造商在2022年开局良好，均公布了12月份的大幅交付数据。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>NIO (ticker: NIO), XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI) on Saturday morning each reported deliveries. Combined, the three shipped more than 40,000 units. That’s a monthly record and is one sign that Tesla (TSLA) should post its own big number when it reports fourth delivery figures in coming days.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）、小鹏汽车（XPEV）和理想汽车（LI）周六上午分别报告了交付情况。三者合计出货量超过4万台。这是一个月度记录，也是特斯拉(TSLA)在未来几天报告第四次交付数据时应该公布自己的大数字的一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>About 25% of all Tesla deliveries are generated in China. Investors expect Tesla to report north of 280,000 deliveries worldwide for the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>约25%的特斯拉交付量来自中国。投资者预计特斯拉第四季度全球交付量将超过28万辆。</blockquote></p><p>Among the Chinese three, XPeng took the December, and 2021, crown reporting 16,000 deliveries, a new monthly record. For all of 2021, XPeng delivered 98,155 vehicles, up 263% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在中国三大汽车中，小鹏汽车在12月和2021年交付量均为16,000辆，创下月度新纪录。2021年全年，小鹏汽车交付了98,155辆汽车，较2020年增长263%。</blockquote></p><p>Li delivered 14,087 units in December. That’s a monthly record for Li too. For all of 2021, Li delivered 90,491 vehicles, up 177% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Li在12月份交付了14,087台。这也是李的月度记录。2021年全年，理想汽车交付了90,491辆汽车，较2020年增长177%。</blockquote></p><p>NIO didn’t set a new monthly record, just missing it by a few hundred units. The company shipped 10,489 vehicles in December. NIO’s monthly delivery record came in November, when it shipped 10,878 units. For the full year, NIO delivered 91,429 vehicles in 2021, up 109% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来没有创造新的月度纪录，只是差了几百台。该公司12月份出货量为10,489辆。蔚来的月度交付记录出现在11月份，当时出货量为10,878辆。2021年全年，蔚来交付了91,429辆汽车，较2020年增长109%。</blockquote></p><p>Even though XPeng delivered more cars in 2021, NIO has still delivered the most of the three over the company’s life. NIO has delivered more than 167,000 vehicles life to date. XPeng and Li have delivered about 125,000 and 123,000 vehicle, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管小鹏汽车在2021年交付了更多汽车，但蔚来在公司生命周期中仍然交付了这三款汽车中最多的。迄今为止，蔚来已交付超过167,000辆汽车。小鹏汽车和理想汽车分别交付了约125,000辆和123,000辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p>December vehicle deliveries for all EV producers might have been boosted by a subsidy cut coming for Chinese car buyers in 2022. Buyers rushed to get a slightly better deal. The Chinese purchase subsidy for an EV is about 10,000 Yuan, ($1,500), from 14,400 Yuan ($2,200). The $700 difference amounts to about a 2% price bump for typical EVs.</p><p><blockquote>2022年中国购车者补贴削减可能会提振所有电动汽车生产商12月份的汽车交付量。买家争先恐后地想要一个稍微好一点的交易。中国对电动汽车的购买补贴约为10,000元人民币（1,500美元），从14,400元人民币（2,200美元）起。700美元的差异相当于典型电动汽车的价格上涨约2%。</blockquote></p><p>Falling subsidies are one factor investors will have to consider regarding Tesla and Chinese EV makers in 2022. But higher December deliveries mean that earnings estimates for NIO, XPeng, Li, and likely Tesla, will rise in coming weeks. More cars than expected means more sales and better bottom line results.</p><p><blockquote>补贴下降是投资者在2022年考虑特斯拉和中国电动汽车制造商时必须考虑的因素之一。但12月份交付量的增加意味着蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车以及特斯拉的盈利预期将在未来几周内上升。比预期更多的汽车意味着更多的销量和更好的底线结果。</blockquote></p><p>Strong delivery results might also help shares early in 2022. Shares of Tesla, XPeng and Li had a good to great 2021, gaining 50%, 18% and 11%, respectively. NIO shares struggled, dropping 35% in 2021. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 27% and 19%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付业绩也可能有助于2022年初的股价上涨。特斯拉、小鹏汽车和理想汽车的股价在2021年表现良好，分别上涨50%、18%和11%。蔚来股价陷入困境，2021年下跌35%。标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨27%和19%。</blockquote></p><p>Starting valuation is one reason for NIO stock’s struggles. Even after underperforming, NIO’s market capitalization is about $54 billion, more than the $43 billion market cap of XPeng and the $33 billion market cap of Li.</p><p><blockquote>开始估值是蔚来股票陷入困境的原因之一。即使表现不佳，蔚来的市值仍约为540亿美元，超过了小鹏汽车430亿美元的市值和理想汽车330亿美元的市值。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla, of course, ended 2021 with a market capitalization north of $1 trillion. It’s expected to deliver about 900,000 vehicles for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>当然，特斯拉在2021年底的市值超过了1万亿美元。预计2021年将交付约90万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng, NIO, Li Auto Report Big December Deliveries. That’s Good For Tesla<blockquote>小鹏汽车、蔚来、理想汽车报告12月份交付量较大。这对特斯拉有好处</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng, NIO, Li Auto Report Big December Deliveries. That’s Good For Tesla<blockquote>小鹏汽车、蔚来、理想汽车报告12月份交付量较大。这对特斯拉有好处</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-02 09:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The three U.S.-listed Chinese electric vehicle makers started 2022 off with a bang, all reporting big delivery figures for December.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>三家在美国上市的中国电动汽车制造商在2022年开局良好，均公布了12月份的大幅交付数据。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>NIO (ticker: NIO), XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI) on Saturday morning each reported deliveries. Combined, the three shipped more than 40,000 units. That’s a monthly record and is one sign that Tesla (TSLA) should post its own big number when it reports fourth delivery figures in coming days.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）、小鹏汽车（XPEV）和理想汽车（LI）周六上午分别报告了交付情况。三者合计出货量超过4万台。这是一个月度记录，也是特斯拉(TSLA)在未来几天报告第四次交付数据时应该公布自己的大数字的一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>About 25% of all Tesla deliveries are generated in China. Investors expect Tesla to report north of 280,000 deliveries worldwide for the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>约25%的特斯拉交付量来自中国。投资者预计特斯拉第四季度全球交付量将超过28万辆。</blockquote></p><p>Among the Chinese three, XPeng took the December, and 2021, crown reporting 16,000 deliveries, a new monthly record. For all of 2021, XPeng delivered 98,155 vehicles, up 263% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在中国三大汽车中，小鹏汽车在12月和2021年交付量均为16,000辆，创下月度新纪录。2021年全年，小鹏汽车交付了98,155辆汽车，较2020年增长263%。</blockquote></p><p>Li delivered 14,087 units in December. That’s a monthly record for Li too. For all of 2021, Li delivered 90,491 vehicles, up 177% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Li在12月份交付了14,087台。这也是李的月度记录。2021年全年，理想汽车交付了90,491辆汽车，较2020年增长177%。</blockquote></p><p>NIO didn’t set a new monthly record, just missing it by a few hundred units. The company shipped 10,489 vehicles in December. NIO’s monthly delivery record came in November, when it shipped 10,878 units. For the full year, NIO delivered 91,429 vehicles in 2021, up 109% compared with 2020.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来没有创造新的月度纪录，只是差了几百台。该公司12月份出货量为10,489辆。蔚来的月度交付记录出现在11月份，当时出货量为10,878辆。2021年全年，蔚来交付了91,429辆汽车，较2020年增长109%。</blockquote></p><p>Even though XPeng delivered more cars in 2021, NIO has still delivered the most of the three over the company’s life. NIO has delivered more than 167,000 vehicles life to date. XPeng and Li have delivered about 125,000 and 123,000 vehicle, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管小鹏汽车在2021年交付了更多汽车，但蔚来在公司生命周期中仍然交付了这三款汽车中最多的。迄今为止，蔚来已交付超过167,000辆汽车。小鹏汽车和理想汽车分别交付了约125,000辆和123,000辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p>December vehicle deliveries for all EV producers might have been boosted by a subsidy cut coming for Chinese car buyers in 2022. Buyers rushed to get a slightly better deal. The Chinese purchase subsidy for an EV is about 10,000 Yuan, ($1,500), from 14,400 Yuan ($2,200). The $700 difference amounts to about a 2% price bump for typical EVs.</p><p><blockquote>2022年中国购车者补贴削减可能会提振所有电动汽车生产商12月份的汽车交付量。买家争先恐后地想要一个稍微好一点的交易。中国对电动汽车的购买补贴约为10,000元人民币（1,500美元），从14,400元人民币（2,200美元）起。700美元的差异相当于典型电动汽车的价格上涨约2%。</blockquote></p><p>Falling subsidies are one factor investors will have to consider regarding Tesla and Chinese EV makers in 2022. But higher December deliveries mean that earnings estimates for NIO, XPeng, Li, and likely Tesla, will rise in coming weeks. More cars than expected means more sales and better bottom line results.</p><p><blockquote>补贴下降是投资者在2022年考虑特斯拉和中国电动汽车制造商时必须考虑的因素之一。但12月份交付量的增加意味着蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车以及特斯拉的盈利预期将在未来几周内上升。比预期更多的汽车意味着更多的销量和更好的底线结果。</blockquote></p><p>Strong delivery results might also help shares early in 2022. Shares of Tesla, XPeng and Li had a good to great 2021, gaining 50%, 18% and 11%, respectively. NIO shares struggled, dropping 35% in 2021. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 27% and 19%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付业绩也可能有助于2022年初的股价上涨。特斯拉、小鹏汽车和理想汽车的股价在2021年表现良好，分别上涨50%、18%和11%。蔚来股价陷入困境，2021年下跌35%。标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨27%和19%。</blockquote></p><p>Starting valuation is one reason for NIO stock’s struggles. Even after underperforming, NIO’s market capitalization is about $54 billion, more than the $43 billion market cap of XPeng and the $33 billion market cap of Li.</p><p><blockquote>开始估值是蔚来股票陷入困境的原因之一。即使表现不佳，蔚来的市值仍约为540亿美元，超过了小鹏汽车430亿美元的市值和理想汽车330亿美元的市值。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla, of course, ended 2021 with a market capitalization north of $1 trillion. It’s expected to deliver about 900,000 vehicles for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>当然，特斯拉在2021年底的市值超过了1万亿美元。预计2021年将交付约90万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/xpeng-nio-li-auto-report-big-december-deliveries-thats-good-for-tesla-51641056522?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/xpeng-nio-li-auto-report-big-december-deliveries-thats-good-for-tesla-51641056522?mod=newsviewer_click_seemore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1173416252","content_text":"The three U.S.-listed Chinese electric vehicle makers started 2022 off with a bang, all reporting big delivery figures for December.NIO (ticker: NIO), XPeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI) on Saturday morning each reported deliveries. Combined, the three shipped more than 40,000 units. That’s a monthly record and is one sign that Tesla (TSLA) should post its own big number when it reports fourth delivery figures in coming days.About 25% of all Tesla deliveries are generated in China. Investors expect Tesla to report north of 280,000 deliveries worldwide for the fourth quarter.Among the Chinese three, XPeng took the December, and 2021, crown reporting 16,000 deliveries, a new monthly record. For all of 2021, XPeng delivered 98,155 vehicles, up 263% compared with 2020.Li delivered 14,087 units in December. That’s a monthly record for Li too. For all of 2021, Li delivered 90,491 vehicles, up 177% compared with 2020.NIO didn’t set a new monthly record, just missing it by a few hundred units. The company shipped 10,489 vehicles in December. NIO’s monthly delivery record came in November, when it shipped 10,878 units. For the full year, NIO delivered 91,429 vehicles in 2021, up 109% compared with 2020.Even though XPeng delivered more cars in 2021, NIO has still delivered the most of the three over the company’s life. NIO has delivered more than 167,000 vehicles life to date. XPeng and Li have delivered about 125,000 and 123,000 vehicle, respectively.December vehicle deliveries for all EV producers might have been boosted by a subsidy cut coming for Chinese car buyers in 2022. Buyers rushed to get a slightly better deal. The Chinese purchase subsidy for an EV is about 10,000 Yuan, ($1,500), from 14,400 Yuan ($2,200). The $700 difference amounts to about a 2% price bump for typical EVs.Falling subsidies are one factor investors will have to consider regarding Tesla and Chinese EV makers in 2022. But higher December deliveries mean that earnings estimates for NIO, XPeng, Li, and likely Tesla, will rise in coming weeks. More cars than expected means more sales and better bottom line results.Strong delivery results might also help shares early in 2022. Shares of Tesla, XPeng and Li had a good to great 2021, gaining 50%, 18% and 11%, respectively. NIO shares struggled, dropping 35% in 2021. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 27% and 19%, respectively.Starting valuation is one reason for NIO stock’s struggles. Even after underperforming, NIO’s market capitalization is about $54 billion, more than the $43 billion market cap of XPeng and the $33 billion market cap of Li.Tesla, of course, ended 2021 with a market capitalization north of $1 trillion. It’s expected to deliver about 900,000 vehicles for 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692589121,"gmtCreate":1641045334170,"gmtModify":1641045334602,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692589121","repostId":"2200448674","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692324017,"gmtCreate":1640856052848,"gmtModify":1640856053243,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692324017","repostId":"1194675549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194675549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640855408,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194675549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194675549","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million","content":"<p><div> Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Four Corners Property Trust，Inc.报告以250万美元收购了Tire先生的三处房产。该公司以280万美元收购了Red Robin和AT&amp;T outparcel properties，以及Portillo的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-30 17:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Four Corners Property Trust，Inc.报告以250万美元收购了Tire先生的三处房产。该公司以280万美元收购了Red Robin和AT&amp;T outparcel properties，以及Portillo的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EGY":"瓦可能源","BIIB":"渤健公司","FCPT":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194675549","content_text":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s restaurant property for $3.3 million. FCPT shares gained 1.6% to close at $29.69 on Wednesday.Biogen Inc. shares jumped over 9% on Wednesday after Korea Economic Daily reported that Samsung Group is in talks to buy the company. Biogen shares jumped 9.5% to close at $258.31 on Wednesday, adding another 0.7% in after-hours trading.VAALCO Energy, Inc. reported the filing of a $50 million shelf registration. VAALCO Energy shares fell 4.5% to $3.2001 in the after-hours trading session.TPG Pace Beneficial Finance Corp. and EVBox Group have mutually agreed to terminate their earlier announced business combination agreement. TPG Pace Beneficial Finance shares dropped 0.8% to $9.74 in the after-hours trading session.Shares of Scienjoy Holding Corporation gained more than 6% on Wednesday as the company agreed to acquire Hongle.tv for $43.8 million. Scienjoy shares rose further by 1.4% to $5.80 in the after-hours trading session.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCPT":0.9,"EGY":0.9,"TPGY":0.9,"SJOYW":0.9,"BIIB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692009410,"gmtCreate":1640785099224,"gmtModify":1640785134560,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692009410","repostId":"1165021822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165021822","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1640781378,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165021822?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 20:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Are LG Display Shares Trading Higher Premarket?<blockquote>为什么LG Display股价盘前走高？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165021822","media":"Benzinga","summary":"LG Display Co Ltd showcased its latest OLED TV technology, 'OLED EX.'The next-generation OLED EX dis","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>LG Display Co Ltd</b> showcased its latest OLED TV technology, &#39;OLED EX.&#39;</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>LG显示器有限公司</b>展示了其最新的OLED电视技术“OLED EX。”</body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The next-generation OLED EX display implements LG Display&#39;s deuterium and personalized algorithm-based &#39;EX Technology,&#39; which helps boost the innovative display&#39;s overall picture quality by enhancing brightness up to 30% versus conventional OLED displays.</li><li>The OLED EX name is an acronym of &#39;Evolution&#39; and &#39;eXperience,&#39; representing the company&#39;s goal of providing customers with new experiences through its ever-evolving OLED technology.</li><li>LG Display is the world&#39;s leading innovator of display technologies.</li><li>&#34;Despite the global TV market experiencing a 12 percent decline this year, we still observed a 70 percent growth in OLED sales,&#34; said Dr. Oh Chang-ho, Executive Vice President &amp; Head of the TV Business Unit at LG Display. &#34;With our new OLED EX technology, we aim to provide even more innovative, high-end customer experiences through the evolution of our OLED technology, algorithms, and designs.&#34;</li><li><b>Price Action:</b>LPL shares traded higher by 4.28% at $10 in the premarket session on the last check Wednesday.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc4bfa4670a6f4ac90e2bc8dc98e652\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"622\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>下一代有机发光二极管EX显示器实现了LG Display的氘和基于个性化算法的“EX技术”，与传统有机发光二极管显示器相比，亮度提高了30%，有助于提高创新显示器的整体画质。</li><li>OLED EX名称是“Evolution”和“e Xperience”的缩写，代表了该公司通过不断发展的OLED技术为客户提供新体验的目标。</li><li>LG Display是全球领先的显示技术创新者。</li><li>LG Display执行副总裁兼电视业务部负责人Oh Chang-ho博士表示：“尽管今年全球电视市场下降了12%，但我们仍然观察到OLED销售额增长了70%。”“凭借我们新的OLED EX技术，我们的目标是通过OLED技术、算法和设计的发展提供更具创新性的高端客户体验。”</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>周三最后一次盘前交易中，LPL股价上涨4.28%，至10美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Are LG Display Shares Trading Higher Premarket?<blockquote>为什么LG Display股价盘前走高？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Are LG Display Shares Trading Higher Premarket?<blockquote>为什么LG Display股价盘前走高？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-29 20:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>LG Display Co Ltd</b> showcased its latest OLED TV technology, &#39;OLED EX.&#39;</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>LG显示器有限公司</b>展示了其最新的OLED电视技术“OLED EX。”</body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>The next-generation OLED EX display implements LG Display&#39;s deuterium and personalized algorithm-based &#39;EX Technology,&#39; which helps boost the innovative display&#39;s overall picture quality by enhancing brightness up to 30% versus conventional OLED displays.</li><li>The OLED EX name is an acronym of &#39;Evolution&#39; and &#39;eXperience,&#39; representing the company&#39;s goal of providing customers with new experiences through its ever-evolving OLED technology.</li><li>LG Display is the world&#39;s leading innovator of display technologies.</li><li>&#34;Despite the global TV market experiencing a 12 percent decline this year, we still observed a 70 percent growth in OLED sales,&#34; said Dr. Oh Chang-ho, Executive Vice President &amp; Head of the TV Business Unit at LG Display. &#34;With our new OLED EX technology, we aim to provide even more innovative, high-end customer experiences through the evolution of our OLED technology, algorithms, and designs.&#34;</li><li><b>Price Action:</b>LPL shares traded higher by 4.28% at $10 in the premarket session on the last check Wednesday.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc4bfa4670a6f4ac90e2bc8dc98e652\" tg-width=\"842\" tg-height=\"622\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>下一代有机发光二极管EX显示器实现了LG Display的氘和基于个性化算法的“EX技术”，与传统有机发光二极管显示器相比，亮度提高了30%，有助于提高创新显示器的整体画质。</li><li>OLED EX名称是“Evolution”和“e Xperience”的缩写，代表了该公司通过不断发展的OLED技术为客户提供新体验的目标。</li><li>LG Display是全球领先的显示技术创新者。</li><li>LG Display执行副总裁兼电视业务部负责人Oh Chang-ho博士表示：“尽管今年全球电视市场下降了12%，但我们仍然观察到OLED销售额增长了70%。”“凭借我们新的OLED EX技术，我们的目标是通过OLED技术、算法和设计的发展提供更具创新性的高端客户体验。”</li><li><b>价格走势：</b>周三最后一次盘前交易中，LPL股价上涨4.28%，至10美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LPL":"LG Display Co ADS"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165021822","content_text":"LG Display Co Ltd showcased its latest OLED TV technology, 'OLED EX.'The next-generation OLED EX display implements LG Display's deuterium and personalized algorithm-based 'EX Technology,' which helps boost the innovative display's overall picture quality by enhancing brightness up to 30% versus conventional OLED displays.The OLED EX name is an acronym of 'Evolution' and 'eXperience,' representing the company's goal of providing customers with new experiences through its ever-evolving OLED technology.LG Display is the world's leading innovator of display technologies.\"Despite the global TV market experiencing a 12 percent decline this year, we still observed a 70 percent growth in OLED sales,\" said Dr. Oh Chang-ho, Executive Vice President & Head of the TV Business Unit at LG Display. \"With our new OLED EX technology, we aim to provide even more innovative, high-end customer experiences through the evolution of our OLED technology, algorithms, and designs.\"Price Action:LPL shares traded higher by 4.28% at $10 in the premarket session on the last check Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696612313,"gmtCreate":1640680546215,"gmtModify":1640680547758,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696612313","repostId":"1140453622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140453622","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640672028,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140453622?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 14:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney+ Has a Late Gift for Star Wars Fans; What's Coming in 2022?<blockquote>迪士尼+为《星球大战》粉丝准备了一份迟到的礼物；2022年会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140453622","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Walt Disney's(DIS) closed the year strong with its latest Marvel series, \"Hawkeye,\" the Beatles Docu","content":"<p>Walt Disney's(<b>DIS</b>)&nbsp;closed the year strong with its latest Marvel series, \"Hawkeye,\" the Beatles Documentary \"Get Back,\" and the December 29 premiere of the highly anticipated \"Star Wars\" series \"Book of Boba Fett.\" A sort of companion series to the wildly popular \"The Mandalorian,\" the show fills in the backstory of exactly how the popular bounty hunter survived Han Solo knocking him into the Sarlacc pit in \"Return of the Jedi.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃尔特·迪斯尼的<b>说</b>）凭借最新的漫威系列电影《鹰眼》、披头士乐队纪录片《归来》以及12月29日备受期待的《星球大战》系列电影《波巴·费特之书》的首映，强势结束了这一年。该剧是广受欢迎的《曼达洛人》的姊妹篇，讲述了广受欢迎的赏金猎人如何在《绝地归来》中被汉·索洛撞进沙拉克坑后幸存下来的背景故事。</blockquote></p><p> If the second half of that last sentence didn't mean anything to you, well, Disney+ also added Pixar's \"Encanto\" and Marvel's \"Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings\" in the fourth quarter. It was a veritable explosion of content to finish the year, which wasn't exactly the plan, but the company did have to deal with production slowdowns creating some delays due to the ongoing pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>如果最后一句话的后半部分对你来说没有任何意义，那么，Disney+在第四季度还增加了皮克斯的《Encanto》和漫威的《尚气与十环传奇》。这是一个名副其实的内容爆炸式增长，这并不完全是计划，但该公司确实不得不应对生产放缓，由于持续的疫情造成了一些延误。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Bob Chapek seemed pleased with the company's streaming services and Disney+ in particular, during his remarks in the Mouse House'sfourth-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Bob Chapek在Mouse House第四季度收益看涨期权上发表讲话时，似乎对公司的流媒体服务，尤其是Disney+感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> \"On the direct-to-consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services, Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu continued to perform incredibly well with 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of 179 million subscriptions,\" he said. \"To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48% and Disney+ subs, in particular, by 60%.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在直接面向消费者的方面，我们对我们的流媒体服务组合的成功感到非常满意，Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿，”他说。“从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅数量增长了60%。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney's CEO Has a Long-term View</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪士尼CEO着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p> While DIsney+ has exceeded all initial growth projections, Chapek has refused to get caught up in the moment. He's instead focusing on where the company plans to take the business over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>虽然DIsney+已经超出了所有最初的增长预测，但查佩克拒绝沉迷于当下。相反，他专注于公司计划在未来几年将业务推向何方。</blockquote></p><p> \"I want to reiterate that we remain focused on managing our DTC business for the long term, not quarter to quarter, and we're confident we are on the right trajectory to achieve the guidance that we provided at last year's Investors Day, reaching between 230 million and 260 million paid Disney+ subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024, and with Disney+ achieving profitability that same year,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“我想重申，我们仍然专注于长期管理我们的DTC业务，而不是逐季度管理，我们相信我们正走在正确的轨道上，以实现我们在去年投资者日提供的指导，达到到2024财年末，全球Disney+付费用户将达到2.3亿至2.6亿，Disney+将在同年实现盈利，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Coming on Disney+ in 2022?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年迪士尼+会有什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney has a different business model than its chief rival, Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>). The company owns so much high-end, incredibly well-known intellectual property (IP) that its shows are nearly guaranteed to find an audience. That's very different from Netflix, which largely has to create shows from nothing and then hope they're good enough to find viewers.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼的商业模式与其主要竞争对手Netflix不同（<b>NFLX</b>).该公司拥有如此多高端、令人难以置信的知名知识产权(IP)，以至于其节目几乎可以保证找到观众。这与网飞非常不同，后者在很大程度上必须从无到有地创作节目，然后希望它们足够好以找到观众。</blockquote></p><p> Basically, Disney knows its customers and potential customers. It can build its family audience by creating more shows from its well-known IP and franchises.</p><p><blockquote>基本上，迪士尼了解自己的客户和潜在客户。它可以通过利用其知名IP和特许经营权创作更多节目来建立家庭观众。</blockquote></p><p> \"In total, we are nearly doubling the amount of original content from our marquee brands, Disney, Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars, and National Geographic coming to Disney+ in fiscal year '22, with the majority of our highly anticipated titles arriving July through September,\" Chapek said. \"This represents the beginning of the surge of new content shared last December at our investor conference 2.0.\"</p><p><blockquote>“总的来说，在22财年，我们的知名品牌迪士尼、漫威、皮克斯、星球大战和国家地理进入Disney+的原创内容数量几乎增加了一倍，其中大部分备受期待的作品都将于7月上市。到九月，”查佩克说。“这代表着去年12月在我们的投资者大会2.0上分享的新内容激增的开始。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney intends to give its audience more of what they like. That, Chapek said, will help the streaming service reach its ambitious subscriber goals.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼打算给观众更多他们喜欢的东西。查佩克表示，这将有助于流媒体服务实现其雄心勃勃的用户目标。</blockquote></p><p> \"We recognize that the single, most effective way to grow our streaming platforms worldwide is with great content, and we are singularly focused on making new high-quality entertainment including local and regional content that we believe will resonate with audiences,\" the CEO said. \" Of note, we have 340-plus local original titles in various stages of development and production for our DTC platforms over the next few years.\"</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官表示：“我们认识到，在全球范围内发展流媒体平台的唯一、最有效的方法是提供优秀的内容，我们非常专注于制作新的高质量娱乐，包括我们相信会引起观众共鸣的本地和区域内容。”“值得注意的是，未来几年，我们的DTC平台将有340多款本地原创游戏处于开发和生产的不同阶段。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney+ Has a Late Gift for Star Wars Fans; What's Coming in 2022?<blockquote>迪士尼+为《星球大战》粉丝准备了一份迟到的礼物；2022年会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney+ Has a Late Gift for Star Wars Fans; What's Coming in 2022?<blockquote>迪士尼+为《星球大战》粉丝准备了一份迟到的礼物；2022年会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 14:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Walt Disney's(<b>DIS</b>)&nbsp;closed the year strong with its latest Marvel series, \"Hawkeye,\" the Beatles Documentary \"Get Back,\" and the December 29 premiere of the highly anticipated \"Star Wars\" series \"Book of Boba Fett.\" A sort of companion series to the wildly popular \"The Mandalorian,\" the show fills in the backstory of exactly how the popular bounty hunter survived Han Solo knocking him into the Sarlacc pit in \"Return of the Jedi.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃尔特·迪斯尼的<b>说</b>）凭借最新的漫威系列电影《鹰眼》、披头士乐队纪录片《归来》以及12月29日备受期待的《星球大战》系列电影《波巴·费特之书》的首映，强势结束了这一年。该剧是广受欢迎的《曼达洛人》的姊妹篇，讲述了广受欢迎的赏金猎人如何在《绝地归来》中被汉·索洛撞进沙拉克坑后幸存下来的背景故事。</blockquote></p><p> If the second half of that last sentence didn't mean anything to you, well, Disney+ also added Pixar's \"Encanto\" and Marvel's \"Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings\" in the fourth quarter. It was a veritable explosion of content to finish the year, which wasn't exactly the plan, but the company did have to deal with production slowdowns creating some delays due to the ongoing pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>如果最后一句话的后半部分对你来说没有任何意义，那么，Disney+在第四季度还增加了皮克斯的《Encanto》和漫威的《尚气与十环传奇》。这是一个名副其实的内容爆炸式增长，这并不完全是计划，但该公司确实不得不应对生产放缓，由于持续的疫情造成了一些延误。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Bob Chapek seemed pleased with the company's streaming services and Disney+ in particular, during his remarks in the Mouse House'sfourth-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Bob Chapek在Mouse House第四季度收益看涨期权上发表讲话时，似乎对公司的流媒体服务，尤其是Disney+感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> \"On the direct-to-consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services, Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu continued to perform incredibly well with 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of 179 million subscriptions,\" he said. \"To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48% and Disney+ subs, in particular, by 60%.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在直接面向消费者的方面，我们对我们的流媒体服务组合的成功感到非常满意，Disney+、ESPN+和Hulu继续表现出色，分别拥有1.181亿、1710万和4380万订阅用户，订阅总数为1.79亿，”他说。“从这个角度来看，仅在上一财年，我们DTC产品组合的订阅总数就增长了48%，尤其是Disney+订阅数量增长了60%。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Disney's CEO Has a Long-term View</b></p><p><blockquote><b>迪士尼CEO着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p> While DIsney+ has exceeded all initial growth projections, Chapek has refused to get caught up in the moment. He's instead focusing on where the company plans to take the business over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>虽然DIsney+已经超出了所有最初的增长预测，但查佩克拒绝沉迷于当下。相反，他专注于公司计划在未来几年将业务推向何方。</blockquote></p><p> \"I want to reiterate that we remain focused on managing our DTC business for the long term, not quarter to quarter, and we're confident we are on the right trajectory to achieve the guidance that we provided at last year's Investors Day, reaching between 230 million and 260 million paid Disney+ subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024, and with Disney+ achieving profitability that same year,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“我想重申，我们仍然专注于长期管理我们的DTC业务，而不是逐季度管理，我们相信我们正走在正确的轨道上，以实现我们在去年投资者日提供的指导，达到到2024财年末，全球Disney+付费用户将达到2.3亿至2.6亿，Disney+将在同年实现盈利，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Coming on Disney+ in 2022?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2022年迪士尼+会有什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney has a different business model than its chief rival, Netflix(<b>NFLX</b>). The company owns so much high-end, incredibly well-known intellectual property (IP) that its shows are nearly guaranteed to find an audience. That's very different from Netflix, which largely has to create shows from nothing and then hope they're good enough to find viewers.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼的商业模式与其主要竞争对手Netflix不同（<b>NFLX</b>).该公司拥有如此多高端、令人难以置信的知名知识产权(IP)，以至于其节目几乎可以保证找到观众。这与网飞非常不同，后者在很大程度上必须从无到有地创作节目，然后希望它们足够好以找到观众。</blockquote></p><p> Basically, Disney knows its customers and potential customers. It can build its family audience by creating more shows from its well-known IP and franchises.</p><p><blockquote>基本上，迪士尼了解自己的客户和潜在客户。它可以通过利用其知名IP和特许经营权创作更多节目来建立家庭观众。</blockquote></p><p> \"In total, we are nearly doubling the amount of original content from our marquee brands, Disney, Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars, and National Geographic coming to Disney+ in fiscal year '22, with the majority of our highly anticipated titles arriving July through September,\" Chapek said. \"This represents the beginning of the surge of new content shared last December at our investor conference 2.0.\"</p><p><blockquote>“总的来说，在22财年，我们的知名品牌迪士尼、漫威、皮克斯、星球大战和国家地理进入Disney+的原创内容数量几乎增加了一倍，其中大部分备受期待的作品都将于7月上市。到九月，”查佩克说。“这代表着去年12月在我们的投资者大会2.0上分享的新内容激增的开始。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney intends to give its audience more of what they like. That, Chapek said, will help the streaming service reach its ambitious subscriber goals.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼打算给观众更多他们喜欢的东西。查佩克表示，这将有助于流媒体服务实现其雄心勃勃的用户目标。</blockquote></p><p> \"We recognize that the single, most effective way to grow our streaming platforms worldwide is with great content, and we are singularly focused on making new high-quality entertainment including local and regional content that we believe will resonate with audiences,\" the CEO said. \" Of note, we have 340-plus local original titles in various stages of development and production for our DTC platforms over the next few years.\"</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官表示：“我们认识到，在全球范围内发展流媒体平台的唯一、最有效的方法是提供优秀的内容，我们非常专注于制作新的高质量娱乐，包括我们相信会引起观众共鸣的本地和区域内容。”“值得注意的是，未来几年，我们的DTC平台将有340多款本地原创游戏处于开发和生产的不同阶段。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/disney-has-a-late-gift-for-star-wars-fans-whats-coming-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/disney-has-a-late-gift-for-star-wars-fans-whats-coming-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140453622","content_text":"Walt Disney's(DIS) closed the year strong with its latest Marvel series, \"Hawkeye,\" the Beatles Documentary \"Get Back,\" and the December 29 premiere of the highly anticipated \"Star Wars\" series \"Book of Boba Fett.\" A sort of companion series to the wildly popular \"The Mandalorian,\" the show fills in the backstory of exactly how the popular bounty hunter survived Han Solo knocking him into the Sarlacc pit in \"Return of the Jedi.\"\nIf the second half of that last sentence didn't mean anything to you, well, Disney+ also added Pixar's \"Encanto\" and Marvel's \"Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings\" in the fourth quarter. It was a veritable explosion of content to finish the year, which wasn't exactly the plan, but the company did have to deal with production slowdowns creating some delays due to the ongoing pandemic.\nCEO Bob Chapek seemed pleased with the company's streaming services and Disney+ in particular, during his remarks in the Mouse House'sfourth-quarter earnings call.\n\"On the direct-to-consumer side, we are extremely pleased with the success of our portfolio streaming services, Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu continued to perform incredibly well with 118.1 million, 17.1 million, and 43.8 million subscribers, respectively, for a total of 179 million subscriptions,\" he said. \"To put this growth in perspective, in the past fiscal year alone, we have grown the total number of subscriptions across our DTC portfolio by 48% and Disney+ subs, in particular, by 60%.\"\nDisney's CEO Has a Long-term View\nWhile DIsney+ has exceeded all initial growth projections, Chapek has refused to get caught up in the moment. He's instead focusing on where the company plans to take the business over the next few years.\n\"I want to reiterate that we remain focused on managing our DTC business for the long term, not quarter to quarter, and we're confident we are on the right trajectory to achieve the guidance that we provided at last year's Investors Day, reaching between 230 million and 260 million paid Disney+ subscribers globally by the end of fiscal year 2024, and with Disney+ achieving profitability that same year,\" he said.\nWhat's Coming on Disney+ in 2022?\nDisney has a different business model than its chief rival, Netflix(NFLX). The company owns so much high-end, incredibly well-known intellectual property (IP) that its shows are nearly guaranteed to find an audience. That's very different from Netflix, which largely has to create shows from nothing and then hope they're good enough to find viewers.\nBasically, Disney knows its customers and potential customers. It can build its family audience by creating more shows from its well-known IP and franchises.\n\"In total, we are nearly doubling the amount of original content from our marquee brands, Disney, Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars, and National Geographic coming to Disney+ in fiscal year '22, with the majority of our highly anticipated titles arriving July through September,\" Chapek said. \"This represents the beginning of the surge of new content shared last December at our investor conference 2.0.\"\nDisney intends to give its audience more of what they like. That, Chapek said, will help the streaming service reach its ambitious subscriber goals.\n\"We recognize that the single, most effective way to grow our streaming platforms worldwide is with great content, and we are singularly focused on making new high-quality entertainment including local and regional content that we believe will resonate with audiences,\" the CEO said. \" Of note, we have 340-plus local original titles in various stages of development and production for our DTC platforms over the next few years.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696314546,"gmtCreate":1640617601389,"gmtModify":1640617739102,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696314546","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FCEL":"燃料电池能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4541":"氢能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698705479,"gmtCreate":1640525829862,"gmtModify":1640525830236,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698705479","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698279757,"gmtCreate":1640425480472,"gmtModify":1640425480857,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698279757","repostId":"1195657371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195657371","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640394204,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195657371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-25 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗？2022年10项技术预测</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195657371","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is b","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth&nbsp;from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.</li>  <li>Analyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.</li>  <li>As part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.</li>  <li>The&nbsp;metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).</li>  <li>Cybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).</li>  <li>Despite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&amp;A candidates for next year.</li>  <li>On the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"</li>  <li>Keeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack&nbsp;down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.</li>  <li>Lastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街已经开始对明年进行年度前瞻预测，韦德布什证券看好多个主题，包括苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）、微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）、Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）和其他大型科技公司。</li><li>分析师Dan Ives认为，股市最近出现的一些波动只不过是“痛苦的消化期（以及对奥密克戎的担忧）”，因为盈利预期现在考虑了鹰派美联储和科技股估值过高的因素。然而，艾夫斯看好明年的科技股。</li><li>作为他预测清单的一部分，Ives认为苹果(AAPL)将在夏季推出其期待已久且经常被猜测的AR/VR耳机苹果眼镜，这将“为该股带来另一个主要增长催化剂”，因为世界上最有价值的公司继续从其用户群中获利。</li><li>Ives还认为，以景顺QQQ Trust Series 1（纳斯达克股票代码：QQQ）为代表的更广泛的纳斯达克（COMP.IND）到年底可能会从目前的15,400左右达到19,000点，因为企业和消费者之间的数字化转型仍在继续。他补充说，更广泛的科技行业的潜在增长前景是正常化或历史模式的两到三倍。</li><li>Ives表示，随着Meta Platforms（纳斯达克股票代码：FB）、苹果（AAPL）、谷歌（GOOGL）等公司和微软（MSFT）明年将在该领域投资“数十亿”美元，并且可能会出现“大量”合并活动。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为，随着进入者在未来十年追求1万亿美元的支出，云军备竞赛将保持激烈。他认为，到2022年底，超过50%的工作负载将位于云上，高于目前的43%，这主要有利于亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）、微软（MSFT）和谷歌（GOOGL），其次是甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）和IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）。</li><li>艾夫斯预测，明年网络安全预算似乎将大幅增加，2022年将增长21%，比2021年“强劲”的一年高出约1%。因此，他相信Zscaler（纳斯达克股票代码：ZS）、Tenable（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TEN）、CyberArk（纳斯达克股票代码：CYBR）、Varonis（纳斯达克股票代码：VRNS）、Sailpoint（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SAIL）、Fortinet（纳斯达克股票代码：FTNT）和Palo Alto Networks（纳斯达克股票代码：PANW）。</li><li>艾夫斯认为，尽管利率环境可能会上升，但科技公司明年可能会继续大举支出和收购。Cerence（纳斯达克：CRNC）、Matterport（纳斯达克：MTTR）、Varonis（VRNS）、Rapid7（纳斯达克：RPD）和Sailpoint（SAIL）是该分析师明年的五大并购候选者。</li><li>在宏观方面，艾夫斯认为芯片短缺，特别是亚洲以外的芯片短缺，将在今年上半年“显着缓解”。苹果（AAPL）和芯片公司——艾夫斯没有提到任何具体的公司——是“从这一关键动态宽松中受益的最佳跳板赌注”。</li><li>艾夫斯认为，与更广泛的想法保持一致，美国和欧洲的监管环境将围绕反垄断和垄断问题对大型科技公司构成威胁，但这可能会在很大程度上导致公司被罚款，并可能阻碍他们购买或收购其他公司的能力。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为，随着政府继续打击企业，中国科技公司将继续成为全球投资者“非常危险”的空间。因此，这可能会导致更多美元从中国科技股流出并流入美国科技股。</li><li>最后，Ives认为苹果(AAPL)明年的市值将达到3万亿美元，随后是微软(MSFT)。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗？2022年10项技术预测</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗？2022年10项技术预测</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-25 09:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth&nbsp;from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.</li>  <li>Analyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.</li>  <li>As part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.</li>  <li>The&nbsp;metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).</li>  <li>Cybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).</li>  <li>Despite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&amp;A candidates for next year.</li>  <li>On the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"</li>  <li>Keeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.</li>  <li>Ives also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack&nbsp;down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.</li>  <li>Lastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街已经开始对明年进行年度前瞻预测，韦德布什证券看好多个主题，包括苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）、微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）、Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）和其他大型科技公司。</li><li>分析师Dan Ives认为，股市最近出现的一些波动只不过是“痛苦的消化期（以及对奥密克戎的担忧）”，因为盈利预期现在考虑了鹰派美联储和科技股估值过高的因素。然而，艾夫斯看好明年的科技股。</li><li>作为他预测清单的一部分，Ives认为苹果(AAPL)将在夏季推出其期待已久且经常被猜测的AR/VR耳机苹果眼镜，这将“为该股带来另一个主要增长催化剂”，因为世界上最有价值的公司继续从其用户群中获利。</li><li>Ives还认为，以景顺QQQ Trust Series 1（纳斯达克股票代码：QQQ）为代表的更广泛的纳斯达克（COMP.IND）到年底可能会从目前的15,400左右达到19,000点，因为企业和消费者之间的数字化转型仍在继续。他补充说，更广泛的科技行业的潜在增长前景是正常化或历史模式的两到三倍。</li><li>Ives表示，随着Meta Platforms（纳斯达克股票代码：FB）、苹果（AAPL）、谷歌（GOOGL）等公司和微软（MSFT）明年将在该领域投资“数十亿”美元，并且可能会出现“大量”合并活动。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为，随着进入者在未来十年追求1万亿美元的支出，云军备竞赛将保持激烈。他认为，到2022年底，超过50%的工作负载将位于云上，高于目前的43%，这主要有利于亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN）、微软（MSFT）和谷歌（GOOGL），其次是甲骨文（纽约证券交易所代码：ORCL）和IBM（纽约证券交易所代码：IBM）。</li><li>艾夫斯预测，明年网络安全预算似乎将大幅增加，2022年将增长21%，比2021年“强劲”的一年高出约1%。因此，他相信Zscaler（纳斯达克股票代码：ZS）、Tenable（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TEN）、CyberArk（纳斯达克股票代码：CYBR）、Varonis（纳斯达克股票代码：VRNS）、Sailpoint（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SAIL）、Fortinet（纳斯达克股票代码：FTNT）和Palo Alto Networks（纳斯达克股票代码：PANW）。</li><li>艾夫斯认为，尽管利率环境可能会上升，但科技公司明年可能会继续大举支出和收购。Cerence（纳斯达克：CRNC）、Matterport（纳斯达克：MTTR）、Varonis（VRNS）、Rapid7（纳斯达克：RPD）和Sailpoint（SAIL）是该分析师明年的五大并购候选者。</li><li>在宏观方面，艾夫斯认为芯片短缺，特别是亚洲以外的芯片短缺，将在今年上半年“显着缓解”。苹果（AAPL）和芯片公司——艾夫斯没有提到任何具体的公司——是“从这一关键动态宽松中受益的最佳跳板赌注”。</li><li>艾夫斯认为，与更广泛的想法保持一致，美国和欧洲的监管环境将围绕反垄断和垄断问题对大型科技公司构成威胁，但这可能会在很大程度上导致公司被罚款，并可能阻碍他们购买或收购其他公司的能力。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为，随着政府继续打击企业，中国科技公司将继续成为全球投资者“非常危险”的空间。因此，这可能会导致更多美元从中国科技股流出并流入美国科技股。</li><li>最后，Ives认为苹果(AAPL)明年的市值将达到3万亿美元，随后是微软(MSFT)。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3782833-will-apple-or-microsoft-hit-3-trillion-next-year-10-tech-predictions-for-2022\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3782833-will-apple-or-microsoft-hit-3-trillion-next-year-10-tech-predictions-for-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195657371","content_text":"Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.\nAnalyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.\nAs part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.\nIves also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.\nThe metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.\nIves also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).\nCybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).\nDespite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&A candidates for next year.\nOn the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"\nKeeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.\nIves also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.\nLastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698837488,"gmtCreate":1640335865652,"gmtModify":1640335866055,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698837488","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691692543,"gmtCreate":1640180144285,"gmtModify":1640180145778,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691692543","repostId":"1158577227","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158577227","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640178165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158577227?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158577227","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, cooling off after a day-earlier rally","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, cooling off after a day-earlier rally, as worries lingered about the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus and its impact on global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>由于对新冠病毒奥密克戎变种及其对全球经济复苏影响的担忧挥之不去，美国股指期货周三难以把握方向，在前一天的反弹后有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 42 points, or 0.12%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 7.75 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨42点，涨幅0.12%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨1.25点，涨幅0.03%，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌7.75点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/512d5749bf54708c7063a6e721fa99f2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"329\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's main indexes ended with hefty gains on Tuesday, but few market-moving catalysts and thin volumes in the last two weeks of trading this year are seen aiding higher volatility. The S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is up roughly 24% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街主要股指周二收盘大幅上涨，但今年最后两周交易中几乎没有推动市场的催化剂和清淡的交易量被视为加剧了波动性。标普500指数在2021年上涨了约24%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors looked for updates on the Omicron variant after Germany, Scotland, Ireland, Portugal, the Netherlands and South Korea re-imposed lockdowns or other curbs.</p><p><blockquote>在德国、苏格兰、爱尔兰、葡萄牙、荷兰和南韩重新实施封锁或其他限制措施后，投资者寻找奥密克戎变体的最新消息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMX\">CarMax</a> (KMX) – The auto retailer’s stock jumped 5.1% in premarket trading after CarMax beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as posting comparable dealer sales that were above analyst forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMX\">CarMax</a>(KMX)-CarMax最近一个季度的营收和利润超出预期，并且可比经销商销售额也高于分析师预测，该汽车零售商的股价在盘前交易中上涨5.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) – Tesla shares rose 3.4% in the premarket after CEO Elon Musk said he has now sold enough stock to reach his goal of selling 10% of his shares. Over that time, however, Musk has actually increased his holdings in Tesla due to the exercising of options.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)-特斯拉股价在盘前上涨3.4%，此前首席执行官Elon Musk表示，他现在已经出售了足够的股票，以达到出售10%股份的目标。然而，在那段时间里，由于行使期权，马斯克实际上已经增持了特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> (BB) – BlackBerry reported a breakeven quarter, on an adjusted basis, compared with analyst forecasts of a 7 cents per share loss. The communications software maker also saw revenue beat estimates, helped by strong demand for cybersecurity products, but current quarter forecasts for those products is shy of some analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>(BB)-黑莓报告调整后季度实现盈亏平衡，而分析师预测为每股亏损7美分。得益于对网络安全产品的强劲需求，这家通信软件制造商的收入也超出了预期，但当前季度对这些产品的预测低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a> (CAT) – Caterpillar rose 1.6% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the heavy equipment maker’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform.” Bernstein said concerns about a machinery upgrade cycle ending in 2022 are overdone.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>(CAT)-伯恩斯坦将重型设备制造商卡特彼勒的股票评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，该公司盘前上涨1.6%。伯恩斯坦表示，对机械升级周期将于2022年结束的担忧有些过头了。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAMP\">CalAmp</a> (CAMP) – CalAmp lost an adjusted 8 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a profit of 8 cents per share. The maker of wireless data communications products and software also saw revenue fall short of forecasts, with component shortages a key factor impacting its results. CalAmp plunged 15.7% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAMP\">CalAmp</a>（CAMP）——CalAmp最近一个季度调整后每股亏损8美分，令此前预期每股盈利8美分的分析师感到惊讶。这家无线数据通信产品和软件制造商的收入也低于预期，零部件短缺是影响其业绩的关键因素。CalAmp在盘前股价暴跌15.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> (BABA) – Alibaba shares fell 4% in the premarket after Atlantic Equities downgraded the Chinese e-commerce company’s stock to “neutral” from “overweight.” The firm cites concerns that Alibaba shopping platforms Tmall and Taobao won’t see improvement in their performances in the near term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>（阿里巴巴）——大西洋股票将这家中国电子商务公司的股票评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“中性”后，阿里巴巴-SW股价盘前下跌4%。该公司担心阿里巴巴-SW购物平台天猫和淘宝的业绩短期内不会改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">Darden Restaurants</a> (DRI) – Darden Restaurants was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which pointed to the Olive Garden parent’s upbeat quarterly results last week. The stock had fallen after that report, but Stifel believes that was driven by the announcement that CEO Gene Lee will retire in May. Darden added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">达顿餐厅</a>(DRI)-Stifel Financial将Darden Restaurants的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明Olive Garden母公司上周公布了乐观的季度业绩。该报告发布后，该股下跌，但Stifel认为，这是由首席执行官Gene Lee将于5月退休的消息推动的。达顿在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">Williams-Sonoma</a> (WSM) – Williams-Sonoma was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Loop Capital, which thinks the household products retailer has a “premier” brand and that the tailwinds provided by the pandemic will continue well into 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">威廉姆斯-索诺玛</a>(WSM)——Loop Capital将Williams-Sonoma的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，该公司认为这家家居用品零售商拥有“顶级”品牌，疫情带来的推动力将持续到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> (COIN) – The cryptocurrency infrastructure company was named a “top pick” for 2022 at Oppenheimer, which pointed to an accelerating move into the mainstream for digital assets.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>（COIN）-加密货币基础设施公司在奥本海默被评为2022年的“首选”，这表明数字资产正在加速进入主流。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-22 21:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, cooling off after a day-earlier rally, as worries lingered about the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus and its impact on global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>由于对新冠病毒奥密克戎变种及其对全球经济复苏影响的担忧挥之不去，美国股指期货周三难以把握方向，在前一天的反弹后有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 42 points, or 0.12%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 7.75 points, or 0.05%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨42点，涨幅0.12%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨1.25点，涨幅0.03%，纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌7.75点，涨幅0.05%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/512d5749bf54708c7063a6e721fa99f2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"329\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's main indexes ended with hefty gains on Tuesday, but few market-moving catalysts and thin volumes in the last two weeks of trading this year are seen aiding higher volatility. The S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is up roughly 24% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街主要股指周二收盘大幅上涨，但今年最后两周交易中几乎没有推动市场的催化剂和清淡的交易量被视为加剧了波动性。标普500指数在2021年上涨了约24%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors looked for updates on the Omicron variant after Germany, Scotland, Ireland, Portugal, the Netherlands and South Korea re-imposed lockdowns or other curbs.</p><p><blockquote>在德国、苏格兰、爱尔兰、葡萄牙、荷兰和南韩重新实施封锁或其他限制措施后，投资者寻找奥密克戎变体的最新消息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMX\">CarMax</a> (KMX) – The auto retailer’s stock jumped 5.1% in premarket trading after CarMax beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as posting comparable dealer sales that were above analyst forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMX\">CarMax</a>(KMX)-CarMax最近一个季度的营收和利润超出预期，并且可比经销商销售额也高于分析师预测，该汽车零售商的股价在盘前交易中上涨5.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) – Tesla shares rose 3.4% in the premarket after CEO Elon Musk said he has now sold enough stock to reach his goal of selling 10% of his shares. Over that time, however, Musk has actually increased his holdings in Tesla due to the exercising of options.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA)-特斯拉股价在盘前上涨3.4%，此前首席执行官Elon Musk表示，他现在已经出售了足够的股票，以达到出售10%股份的目标。然而，在那段时间里，由于行使期权，马斯克实际上已经增持了特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">BlackBerry</a> (BB) – BlackBerry reported a breakeven quarter, on an adjusted basis, compared with analyst forecasts of a 7 cents per share loss. The communications software maker also saw revenue beat estimates, helped by strong demand for cybersecurity products, but current quarter forecasts for those products is shy of some analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">黑莓</a>(BB)-黑莓报告调整后季度实现盈亏平衡，而分析师预测为每股亏损7美分。得益于对网络安全产品的强劲需求，这家通信软件制造商的收入也超出了预期，但当前季度对这些产品的预测低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a> (CAT) – Caterpillar rose 1.6% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the heavy equipment maker’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform.” Bernstein said concerns about a machinery upgrade cycle ending in 2022 are overdone.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>(CAT)-伯恩斯坦将重型设备制造商卡特彼勒的股票评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，该公司盘前上涨1.6%。伯恩斯坦表示，对机械升级周期将于2022年结束的担忧有些过头了。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAMP\">CalAmp</a> (CAMP) – CalAmp lost an adjusted 8 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a profit of 8 cents per share. The maker of wireless data communications products and software also saw revenue fall short of forecasts, with component shortages a key factor impacting its results. CalAmp plunged 15.7% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAMP\">CalAmp</a>（CAMP）——CalAmp最近一个季度调整后每股亏损8美分，令此前预期每股盈利8美分的分析师感到惊讶。这家无线数据通信产品和软件制造商的收入也低于预期，零部件短缺是影响其业绩的关键因素。CalAmp在盘前股价暴跌15.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> (BABA) – Alibaba shares fell 4% in the premarket after Atlantic Equities downgraded the Chinese e-commerce company’s stock to “neutral” from “overweight.” The firm cites concerns that Alibaba shopping platforms Tmall and Taobao won’t see improvement in their performances in the near term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>（阿里巴巴）——大西洋股票将这家中国电子商务公司的股票评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“中性”后，阿里巴巴-SW股价盘前下跌4%。该公司担心阿里巴巴-SW购物平台天猫和淘宝的业绩短期内不会改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">Darden Restaurants</a> (DRI) – Darden Restaurants was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which pointed to the Olive Garden parent’s upbeat quarterly results last week. The stock had fallen after that report, but Stifel believes that was driven by the announcement that CEO Gene Lee will retire in May. Darden added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">达顿餐厅</a>(DRI)-Stifel Financial将Darden Restaurants的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明Olive Garden母公司上周公布了乐观的季度业绩。该报告发布后，该股下跌，但Stifel认为，这是由首席执行官Gene Lee将于5月退休的消息推动的。达顿在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">Williams-Sonoma</a> (WSM) – Williams-Sonoma was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Loop Capital, which thinks the household products retailer has a “premier” brand and that the tailwinds provided by the pandemic will continue well into 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">威廉姆斯-索诺玛</a>(WSM)——Loop Capital将Williams-Sonoma的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，该公司认为这家家居用品零售商拥有“顶级”品牌，疫情带来的推动力将持续到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> (COIN) – The cryptocurrency infrastructure company was named a “top pick” for 2022 at Oppenheimer, which pointed to an accelerating move into the mainstream for digital assets.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>（COIN）-加密货币基础设施公司在奥本海默被评为2022年的“首选”，这表明数字资产正在加速进入主流。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158577227","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures struggled for direction on Wednesday, cooling off after a day-earlier rally, as worries lingered about the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus and its impact on global economic recovery.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 42 points, or 0.12%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 7.75 points, or 0.05%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00\nWall Street's main indexes ended with hefty gains on Tuesday, but few market-moving catalysts and thin volumes in the last two weeks of trading this year are seen aiding higher volatility. The S&P 500 index is up roughly 24% in 2021.\nInvestors looked for updates on the Omicron variant after Germany, Scotland, Ireland, Portugal, the Netherlands and South Korea re-imposed lockdowns or other curbs.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nCarMax (KMX) – The auto retailer’s stock jumped 5.1% in premarket trading after CarMax beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, as well as posting comparable dealer sales that were above analyst forecasts.\nTesla Motors (TSLA) – Tesla shares rose 3.4% in the premarket after CEO Elon Musk said he has now sold enough stock to reach his goal of selling 10% of his shares. Over that time, however, Musk has actually increased his holdings in Tesla due to the exercising of options.\nBlackBerry (BB) – BlackBerry reported a breakeven quarter, on an adjusted basis, compared with analyst forecasts of a 7 cents per share loss. The communications software maker also saw revenue beat estimates, helped by strong demand for cybersecurity products, but current quarter forecasts for those products is shy of some analyst estimates.\nCaterpillar (CAT) – Caterpillar rose 1.6% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the heavy equipment maker’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform.” Bernstein said concerns about a machinery upgrade cycle ending in 2022 are overdone.\nCalAmp (CAMP) – CalAmp lost an adjusted 8 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a profit of 8 cents per share. The maker of wireless data communications products and software also saw revenue fall short of forecasts, with component shortages a key factor impacting its results. CalAmp plunged 15.7% in premarket action.\nAlibaba (BABA) – Alibaba shares fell 4% in the premarket after Atlantic Equities downgraded the Chinese e-commerce company’s stock to “neutral” from “overweight.” The firm cites concerns that Alibaba shopping platforms Tmall and Taobao won’t see improvement in their performances in the near term.\nDarden Restaurants (DRI) – Darden Restaurants was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which pointed to the Olive Garden parent’s upbeat quarterly results last week. The stock had fallen after that report, but Stifel believes that was driven by the announcement that CEO Gene Lee will retire in May. Darden added 1.1% in premarket trading.\nWilliams-Sonoma (WSM) – Williams-Sonoma was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Loop Capital, which thinks the household products retailer has a “premier” brand and that the tailwinds provided by the pandemic will continue well into 2022.\nCoinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) – The cryptocurrency infrastructure company was named a “top pick” for 2022 at Oppenheimer, which pointed to an accelerating move into the mainstream for digital assets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0,"YMmain":0,".IXIC":0,".SPX":0,"NQmain":0,".DJI":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693707957,"gmtCreate":1640073769135,"gmtModify":1640073769612,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooooo","listText":"Ooooo","text":"Ooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693707957","repostId":"1117226796","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117226796","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640057164,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117226796?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: 3 Reasons Against It And Why It's Still A Buy<blockquote>Palantir：反对它的3个理由以及为什么它仍然值得买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117226796","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir Technologies is a battleground stock. Listening to the bears' arguments is a good ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir Technologies is a battleground stock. Listening to the bears' arguments is a good idea for bulls.</li>  <li>PLTR dilutes its shareholders, but that is not necessarily a huge problem.</li>  <li>Despite some interest rate headwinds, PLTR seems like a good investment to me, thanks to a strong moat and great growth outlook.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7230cdd890b86f9941b99b1503d04049\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>spxChrome/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir Technologies是一只战场股票。听空头的论点对多头来说是个好主意。</li><li>PLTR稀释了其股东，但这不一定是一个大问题。</li><li>尽管存在一些利率阻力，但PLTR对我来说似乎是一项不错的投资，这要归功于强大的护城河和巨大的增长前景。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>spxChrome/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is an embattled growth stock, and in recent weeks, bears have been winning as shares continued to decline. There are, indeed some important bear arguments, such as dilution, reliance on government contracts, and rising interest rates. I do, however, still believe that Palantir Technologies is an attractive long-term investment, due to the act that its technology could lead to massive growth for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)是一只陷入困境的成长型股票，最近几周，随着股价持续下跌，空头一直在获胜。确实有一些重要的看跌论点，例如稀释、对政府合同的依赖以及利率上升。然而，我仍然相信Palantir Technologies是一项有吸引力的长期投资，因为其技术可能会在未来许多年带来巨大增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3 Issues Brought Up By Bears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>空头提出的3个问题</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is a growth stock that brings out highly convinced bulls as well as highly convinced bears. Generally, I am in the bullish camp here, but taking a look at the bear arguments can be a good idea as well. Three of the most common arguments against Palantir are the following ones:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir是一只成长型股票，可以带来高度确信的多头和高度确信的空头。总的来说，我在这里是看涨阵营，但看看看跌的论点也是一个好主意。反对Palantir的三个最常见的论点如下：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Shareholder Dilution</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.股东稀释</b></blockquote></p><p> Growth on a company-wide basis is important, but growth on a per-share basis is even more important. There are many examples that show that changes in a company's share count can create or destroy a lot of shareholder value. Apple (AAPL), for example, has seen its net income grow by roughly 190% over the last decade:</p><p><blockquote>全公司的增长很重要，但每股的增长更重要。有许多例子表明，公司股票数量的变化可以创造或破坏大量股东价值。例如，苹果(AAPL)的净利润在过去十年中增长了约190%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b5263c8346cfbbb898f1d1ac9a5bead\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to a declining share count, its earnings per share rose by a much more attractive 350%, however -- buybacks created a lot of shareholder value. There are also examples where a rising share count destroyed a lot of shareholder value, e.g. at Citigroup (C):</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于股票数量下降，其每股收益增长了更具吸引力的350%——回购创造了大量股东价值。也有股票数量增加破坏了大量股东价值的例子，例如花旗集团（C）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc39008812f5e2d0082dedc95b025c68\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Massive share issuance during the Great Recession has resulted in a 75% earnings per share decline since 2007, even though net profits were up over the same time frame. Looking at the changes in a company's share count thus makes sense, as those changes can have a large impact in the long run. At Palantir, we see that the share count has been rising considerably since the company went public. During the most recent quarter, Palantir's share count looked like this:</p><p><blockquote>自2007年以来，大衰退期间的大规模股票发行导致每股收益下降75%，尽管同期净利润有所增长。因此，关注公司股票数量的变化是有意义的，因为从长远来看，这些变化可能会产生很大的影响。在Palantir，我们看到自公司上市以来，股票数量一直在大幅增加。最近一个季度，Palantir的股票数量如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917ca4d7a390ced61d7c92d528f84fc1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"539\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir Press Release</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir新闻稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Compared to the second quarter, Palantir's average share count was&nbsp;1.895 billion, which makes for a 3.5% quarterly increase, which pencils out to an annual growth rate in the mid-teens. That is, of course, not negligible at all, and bears to have an argument when they state that shareholders get diluted at a meaningful pace. On the other hand, Palantir's business growth rate is way higher than 3% per quarter, as the company has guided for ~40% revenue growth this year, and since Palantir should also deliver outsized business growth in the coming years. Even if Palantir's share count were to climb by 10%-15% a year going forward, revenue per share would still climb by 25%+ a year thanks to the fact that PLTR is growing rapidly. I also believe that dilution will, over the years, decline. Not only has this been the case at many other growth companies, e.g. Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), or Meta (FB), but it is also logical from an option rewards perspective. Option rewards are especially generous when a company is not yet publicly traded and when its future is still more uncertain, but as a company matures, employees get more comfortable as risks for the company decline, and they do not demand large option packages any longer. Last but not least, Palantir also generates strong free cash flows that should allow the company to do share buybacks in the future, which should help improve the dilution rate as well.</p><p><blockquote>与第二季度相比，Palantir的平均股票数量为18.95亿股，季度增长3.5%，年增长率在十几岁左右。当然，这一点根本不可忽视，当他们说股东以有意义的速度被稀释时，就值得争论。另一方面，Palantir的业务增长率远高于每季度3%，因为该公司预计今年的收入增长约为40%，而且Palantir也应该在未来几年实现巨大的业务增长。即使Palantir的股票数量未来每年增长10%-15%，由于PLTR的快速增长，每股收入仍将每年增长25%以上。我还相信，随着时间的推移，稀释度将会下降。这不仅适用于许多其他成长型公司，例如亚马逊（AMZN）、Alphabet（GOOG）或Meta（FB），但从期权回报的角度来看，这也是合乎逻辑的。当一家公司尚未公开交易且其未来仍然更加不确定时，期权奖励尤其丰厚，但随着公司成熟，随着公司风险的下降，员工会变得更加舒适，他们不再要求大笔期权套餐。最后但并非最不重要的是，Palantir还产生了强劲的自由现金流，这应该使该公司能够在未来进行股票回购，这也应该有助于提高稀释率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Reliance on government contracts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.对政府合同的依赖</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In a recent bearish&nbsp;article, fellow Seeking Alpha contributor On The Pulse argued that Palantir was overvalued and that its reliance on government contracts was an issue. Palantir Technologies is, indeed, reliant on government contracts to a large degree today, but I do not believe that this is a major issue. First, Palantir has diversified away from government contracts in the recent past, thanks to massive growth in its commercial business:</p><p><blockquote>在最近的一篇看跌文章中，The Pulse的Seeking Alpha撰稿人认为Palantir被高估，其对政府合同的依赖是一个问题。Palantir Technologies如今确实在很大程度上依赖政府合同，但我不认为这是一个主要问题。首先，由于商业业务的大幅增长，Palantir最近实现了多元化，摆脱了政府合同：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de23409915ee3811691b986a42ece899\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir Technologies presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir技术演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In fact, Palantir's commercial business has been growing much faster than its government business in the recent past, which shows that commercial customers from all kinds of industries apparently see a lot of value in Palantir's technology -- otherwise, they wouldn't be buying at a rapid pace. With</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Palantir的商业业务近年来的增长速度远远快于其政府业务，这表明来自各个行业的商业客户显然看到了Palantir技术的巨大价值——否则，他们不会购买Palantir技术。速度很快。和</blockquote></p><p> With the commercial business growth rate outpacing the government business growth rate, Palantir will, over the years, become a company that is less and less dependent on government contracts, and that will ultimately turn into a B2B-focused software/technology player. Even if Palantir were to remain a government-focused company forever, which seems unlikely based on the current growth rates of the individual business units, that would not necessarily be an issue. Working for the government means that there is very little counterparty risk and that existing relations can easily be used to get future contracts. Last but not least, with government budgets rising relatively steadily, good government connections allow for considerable growth opportunities -- especially in the defense tech/security tech space Palantir is active in, as there is a huge need for further investments in this space.</p><p><blockquote>随着商业业务增长率超过政府业务增长率，Palantir将在多年后成为一家越来越不依赖政府合同的公司，并最终成为一家专注于B2B的软件/技术公司。即使Palantir永远是一家以政府为中心的公司（根据各个业务部门目前的增长率，这似乎不太可能），但这也不一定是一个问题。为政府工作意味着交易对手风险很小，现有关系可以很容易地用来获得未来的合同。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，随着政府预算相对稳定地增长，良好的政府关系带来了相当大的增长机会——特别是在Palantir活跃的国防技术/安全技术领域，因为该领域非常需要进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> The claim that a government focus leads to lacking scalability is also false, I believe. Per Palantir's most recent quarterly report (linked above), its operating expenses rose by $9 million between Q3 2020 and Q3 2021 -- whereas revenues rose by $103 million in the same time frame. This backs out changes in share-based compensation. If one were to include those SBC expenses, Palantir's expenses actually<i>declined</i>year-over-year while the company managed to grow its revenue by close to 40%. The claim that Palantir will not generate any scale advantages over the years thus seems to be unfounded, I believe. Instead, the data suggest that Palantir will be able to grow its margins considerably -- the company was able to grow its adjusted gross profit by a massive $90 million while growing its adjusted operating expenses by just $9 million -- making for excellent operating leverage.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，政府关注导致缺乏可扩展性的说法也是错误的。根据Palantir最新的季度报告（上面链接），2020年第三季度至2021年第三季度期间，其运营费用增加了900万美元，而同期收入增加了1.03亿美元。这抵消了股权激励的变化。如果将这些SBC费用包括在内，Palantir的费用实际上<i>拒绝</i>而该公司的收入同比增长了近40%。因此，我认为Palantir多年来不会产生任何规模优势的说法似乎是没有根据的。相反，数据表明Palantir将能够大幅提高其利润率——该公司调整后毛利润大幅增长9000万美元，而调整后运营费用仅增长900万美元——从而实现出色的运营杠杆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Exposure to rising rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.利率上升的风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Massive inflation will force the Fed to raise rates in 2022 and beyond, and that could be an issue for growth stocks. Companies that are not profitable today, or that have the vast majority of their profits in the distant future, are more exposed to a rising discount rate compared to companies that have low or no growth and that generate a large amount of all future profits in the near term. This could result in outperformance of value stocks versus growth stocks in the coming years, I believe. Palantir, which is not profitable yet, naturally belongs in the \"growth\" bucket that could see an above-average impact from rising interest rates. There is no real counter-argument here, I believe -- it is indeed true that the impact of rising rates on Palantir, all else equal, will be larger compared to a value stock like AbbVie (ABBV), for example.</p><p><blockquote>大规模通胀将迫使美联储在2022年及以后加息，这可能是成长型股票的一个问题。与增长较低或没有增长且在短期内产生大量未来利润的公司相比，今天不盈利或绝大多数利润在遥远未来的公司更容易面临贴现率上升的风险。我相信，这可能会导致未来几年价值股优于成长股。Palantir尚未盈利，自然属于“增长”类别，利率上升可能会产生高于平均水平的影响。我认为，这里没有真正的反驳——确实，在其他条件相同的情况下，利率上升对Palantir的影响将比艾伯维(ABBV)等价值股更大。</blockquote></p><p> This being an incremental negative for Palantir doesn't mean that shares have to be avoided under any circumstances, however. Indeed, even despite some potential headwinds from rising rates, Palantir could still be an attractive investment if other arguments have a larger weight -- I believe this to be true, as I see PLTR's massive growth potential and huge moat outweighing some near-term headwinds from rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这对Palantir来说是一个增量负面影响，并不意味着在任何情况下都必须避免股票。事实上，即使利率上升带来了一些潜在的阻力，如果其他论点具有更大的权重，Palantir仍然可能是一项有吸引力的投资——我相信这是真的，因为我认为PLTR巨大的增长潜力和巨大的护城河超过了近期的一些阻力来自利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Palantir Is Still Attractive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么Palantir仍然有吸引力</b></blockquote></p><p> Bears bring up a range of arguments against Palantir, and as shown above, those can have merit. I believe that they might be overblown in some cases, but taking a look at the bear's arguments doesn't hurt -- in fact, it seems like a good idea to look at both sides in order to make a more informed decision. Dilution is indeed an issue, although I do not believe that this will be too much of a headwind, since PLTR's business growth easily outpaces dilution and since dilution, overall, should slow down over the years. Government reliance will wane over the years due to an above-average commercial business growth rate, and in general, doing business with the government is not a bad thing anyway. The claim that PLTR lacks scalability seems to be false, from what I see in PLTR's data.</p><p><blockquote>看空者提出了一系列反对Palantir的论点，如上所示，这些论点可能有其优点。我相信在某些情况下他们可能被夸大了，但看看空头的论点并没有什么坏处——事实上，为了做出更明智的决定，看看双方似乎是个好主意。稀释确实是一个问题，尽管我不认为这会是太大的阻力，因为PLTR的业务增长很容易超过稀释，而且总体而言，稀释应该会在几年内放缓。由于高于平均水平的商业业务增长率，对政府的依赖将会随着时间的推移而减弱，总的来说，与政府做生意无论如何都不是一件坏事。从我在PLTR的数据中看到的来看，PLTR缺乏可扩展性的说法似乎是错误的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is, despite these arguments, attractive, I believe: The company is growing rapidly, has decades-long growth potential in both its government business as well as on the commercial side, and Palantir seems to have a very wide moat. This combination could turn Palantir into one of the largest and most important companies eventually -- although investors shouldn't expect this to happen in the very near term. Instead, I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will grow at a considerable rate throughout the 2020s and beyond, as our world becomes ever more data-hungry -- both governments, as well as enterprises, will try to get the most value out of all of this data, and Palantir, with its tailored solutions, will be there to offer that value to its customers. With new tools such as the recently-showcased&nbsp;Foundry&nbsp;for crypto, Palantir is at the forefront of all kinds of emerging technologies. Thanks to the fact that Palantir has access to top talent -- the result of SBC and of an&nbsp;excellent working environment-- I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will be able to be highly competitive in all kinds of future markets in the Big Data/AI space that may not even exist yet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些论点，我相信Palantir仍然很有吸引力：该公司发展迅速，在政府业务和商业方面都具有数十年的增长潜力，而且Palantir似乎拥有非常宽的护城河。这种合并最终可能会将Palantir变成最大、最重要的公司之一——尽管投资者不应指望这种情况会在短期内发生。相反，我相信Palantir很有可能在整个2020年代及以后以相当大的速度增长，因为我们的世界变得越来越需要数据——政府和企业都将努力获得最大的价值从所有这些数据中获得，Palantir将凭借其量身定制的解决方案，为其客户提供这种价值。凭借最近展示的Foundry for Crypto等新工具，Palantir处于各种新兴技术的前沿。由于Palantir能够接触到顶尖人才——SBC的结果和良好的工作环境——我相信Palantir很有可能能够在未来的各种市场中具有高度竞争力。大数据/人工智能领域可能还不存在。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> In general, I am not much of a growth investor -- instead, I primarily focus on attractively priced stocks with strong cash flows, oftentimes those that pay dividends. Palantir, however, is somewhat of an outlier in my portfolio -- it's a growth stock, it is not really profitable yet, and most of its potential is years away. Due to the highly attractive combination of a massive market opportunity, excellent talent, and a wide moat, Palantir still seems like an attractive long-term investment to me. This isn't a stock that will make investors rich quickly, but I believe that there is a very good chance that Palantir will turn into a very dominant, important company over the next 10+ years. At 19x next year's revenue, PLTR is not cheap, but when we expect that the company will grow at a strong rate for many years, that also doesn't seem outlandish to me at all. It makes sense to listen to the bears' arguments, but I believe that the pros outweigh the cons here.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，我不是一个成长型投资者——相反，我主要关注价格有吸引力、现金流强劲的股票，通常是那些支付股息的股票。然而，Palantir在我的投资组合中有点异类——它是一只成长型股票，尚未真正盈利，而且其大部分潜力还需要数年时间。由于巨大的市场机会、优秀的人才和宽阔的护城河的极具吸引力的组合，Palantir对我来说仍然是一项有吸引力的长期投资。这不是一只能让投资者快速致富的股票，但我相信Palantir很有可能在未来10多年成为一家非常占主导地位的重要公司。PLTR明年收入的19倍并不便宜，但当我们预计该公司将在许多年内以强劲的速度增长时，这对我来说一点也不奇怪。听空头的论点是有道理的，但我相信这里利大于弊。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: 3 Reasons Against It And Why It's Still A Buy<blockquote>Palantir：反对它的3个理由以及为什么它仍然值得买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: 3 Reasons Against It And Why It's Still A Buy<blockquote>Palantir：反对它的3个理由以及为什么它仍然值得买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 11:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir Technologies is a battleground stock. Listening to the bears' arguments is a good idea for bulls.</li>  <li>PLTR dilutes its shareholders, but that is not necessarily a huge problem.</li>  <li>Despite some interest rate headwinds, PLTR seems like a good investment to me, thanks to a strong moat and great growth outlook.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7230cdd890b86f9941b99b1503d04049\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>spxChrome/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir Technologies是一只战场股票。听空头的论点对多头来说是个好主意。</li><li>PLTR稀释了其股东，但这不一定是一个大问题。</li><li>尽管存在一些利率阻力，但PLTR对我来说似乎是一项不错的投资，这要归功于强大的护城河和巨大的增长前景。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>spxChrome/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is an embattled growth stock, and in recent weeks, bears have been winning as shares continued to decline. There are, indeed some important bear arguments, such as dilution, reliance on government contracts, and rising interest rates. I do, however, still believe that Palantir Technologies is an attractive long-term investment, due to the act that its technology could lead to massive growth for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)是一只陷入困境的成长型股票，最近几周，随着股价持续下跌，空头一直在获胜。确实有一些重要的看跌论点，例如稀释、对政府合同的依赖以及利率上升。然而，我仍然相信Palantir Technologies是一项有吸引力的长期投资，因为其技术可能会在未来许多年带来巨大增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3 Issues Brought Up By Bears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>空头提出的3个问题</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir is a growth stock that brings out highly convinced bulls as well as highly convinced bears. Generally, I am in the bullish camp here, but taking a look at the bear arguments can be a good idea as well. Three of the most common arguments against Palantir are the following ones:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir是一只成长型股票，可以带来高度确信的多头和高度确信的空头。总的来说，我在这里是看涨阵营，但看看看跌的论点也是一个好主意。反对Palantir的三个最常见的论点如下：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Shareholder Dilution</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.股东稀释</b></blockquote></p><p> Growth on a company-wide basis is important, but growth on a per-share basis is even more important. There are many examples that show that changes in a company's share count can create or destroy a lot of shareholder value. Apple (AAPL), for example, has seen its net income grow by roughly 190% over the last decade:</p><p><blockquote>全公司的增长很重要，但每股的增长更重要。有许多例子表明，公司股票数量的变化可以创造或破坏大量股东价值。例如，苹果(AAPL)的净利润在过去十年中增长了约190%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b5263c8346cfbbb898f1d1ac9a5bead\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to a declining share count, its earnings per share rose by a much more attractive 350%, however -- buybacks created a lot of shareholder value. There are also examples where a rising share count destroyed a lot of shareholder value, e.g. at Citigroup (C):</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于股票数量下降，其每股收益增长了更具吸引力的350%——回购创造了大量股东价值。也有股票数量增加破坏了大量股东价值的例子，例如花旗集团（C）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc39008812f5e2d0082dedc95b025c68\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Massive share issuance during the Great Recession has resulted in a 75% earnings per share decline since 2007, even though net profits were up over the same time frame. Looking at the changes in a company's share count thus makes sense, as those changes can have a large impact in the long run. At Palantir, we see that the share count has been rising considerably since the company went public. During the most recent quarter, Palantir's share count looked like this:</p><p><blockquote>自2007年以来，大衰退期间的大规模股票发行导致每股收益下降75%，尽管同期净利润有所增长。因此，关注公司股票数量的变化是有意义的，因为从长远来看，这些变化可能会产生很大的影响。在Palantir，我们看到自公司上市以来，股票数量一直在大幅增加。最近一个季度，Palantir的股票数量如下所示：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/917ca4d7a390ced61d7c92d528f84fc1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"539\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir Press Release</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir新闻稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Compared to the second quarter, Palantir's average share count was&nbsp;1.895 billion, which makes for a 3.5% quarterly increase, which pencils out to an annual growth rate in the mid-teens. That is, of course, not negligible at all, and bears to have an argument when they state that shareholders get diluted at a meaningful pace. On the other hand, Palantir's business growth rate is way higher than 3% per quarter, as the company has guided for ~40% revenue growth this year, and since Palantir should also deliver outsized business growth in the coming years. Even if Palantir's share count were to climb by 10%-15% a year going forward, revenue per share would still climb by 25%+ a year thanks to the fact that PLTR is growing rapidly. I also believe that dilution will, over the years, decline. Not only has this been the case at many other growth companies, e.g. Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), or Meta (FB), but it is also logical from an option rewards perspective. Option rewards are especially generous when a company is not yet publicly traded and when its future is still more uncertain, but as a company matures, employees get more comfortable as risks for the company decline, and they do not demand large option packages any longer. Last but not least, Palantir also generates strong free cash flows that should allow the company to do share buybacks in the future, which should help improve the dilution rate as well.</p><p><blockquote>与第二季度相比，Palantir的平均股票数量为18.95亿股，季度增长3.5%，年增长率在十几岁左右。当然，这一点根本不可忽视，当他们说股东以有意义的速度被稀释时，就值得争论。另一方面，Palantir的业务增长率远高于每季度3%，因为该公司预计今年的收入增长约为40%，而且Palantir也应该在未来几年实现巨大的业务增长。即使Palantir的股票数量未来每年增长10%-15%，由于PLTR的快速增长，每股收入仍将每年增长25%以上。我还相信，随着时间的推移，稀释度将会下降。这不仅适用于许多其他成长型公司，例如亚马逊（AMZN）、Alphabet（GOOG）或Meta（FB），但从期权回报的角度来看，这也是合乎逻辑的。当一家公司尚未公开交易且其未来仍然更加不确定时，期权奖励尤其丰厚，但随着公司成熟，随着公司风险的下降，员工会变得更加舒适，他们不再要求大笔期权套餐。最后但并非最不重要的是，Palantir还产生了强劲的自由现金流，这应该使该公司能够在未来进行股票回购，这也应该有助于提高稀释率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Reliance on government contracts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.对政府合同的依赖</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In a recent bearish&nbsp;article, fellow Seeking Alpha contributor On The Pulse argued that Palantir was overvalued and that its reliance on government contracts was an issue. Palantir Technologies is, indeed, reliant on government contracts to a large degree today, but I do not believe that this is a major issue. First, Palantir has diversified away from government contracts in the recent past, thanks to massive growth in its commercial business:</p><p><blockquote>在最近的一篇看跌文章中，The Pulse的Seeking Alpha撰稿人认为Palantir被高估，其对政府合同的依赖是一个问题。Palantir Technologies如今确实在很大程度上依赖政府合同，但我不认为这是一个主要问题。首先，由于商业业务的大幅增长，Palantir最近实现了多元化，摆脱了政府合同：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de23409915ee3811691b986a42ece899\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir Technologies presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir技术演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In fact, Palantir's commercial business has been growing much faster than its government business in the recent past, which shows that commercial customers from all kinds of industries apparently see a lot of value in Palantir's technology -- otherwise, they wouldn't be buying at a rapid pace. With</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Palantir的商业业务近年来的增长速度远远快于其政府业务，这表明来自各个行业的商业客户显然看到了Palantir技术的巨大价值——否则，他们不会购买Palantir技术。速度很快。和</blockquote></p><p> With the commercial business growth rate outpacing the government business growth rate, Palantir will, over the years, become a company that is less and less dependent on government contracts, and that will ultimately turn into a B2B-focused software/technology player. Even if Palantir were to remain a government-focused company forever, which seems unlikely based on the current growth rates of the individual business units, that would not necessarily be an issue. Working for the government means that there is very little counterparty risk and that existing relations can easily be used to get future contracts. Last but not least, with government budgets rising relatively steadily, good government connections allow for considerable growth opportunities -- especially in the defense tech/security tech space Palantir is active in, as there is a huge need for further investments in this space.</p><p><blockquote>随着商业业务增长率超过政府业务增长率，Palantir将在多年后成为一家越来越不依赖政府合同的公司，并最终成为一家专注于B2B的软件/技术公司。即使Palantir永远是一家以政府为中心的公司（根据各个业务部门目前的增长率，这似乎不太可能），但这也不一定是一个问题。为政府工作意味着交易对手风险很小，现有关系可以很容易地用来获得未来的合同。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，随着政府预算相对稳定地增长，良好的政府关系带来了相当大的增长机会——特别是在Palantir活跃的国防技术/安全技术领域，因为该领域非常需要进一步投资。</blockquote></p><p> The claim that a government focus leads to lacking scalability is also false, I believe. Per Palantir's most recent quarterly report (linked above), its operating expenses rose by $9 million between Q3 2020 and Q3 2021 -- whereas revenues rose by $103 million in the same time frame. This backs out changes in share-based compensation. If one were to include those SBC expenses, Palantir's expenses actually<i>declined</i>year-over-year while the company managed to grow its revenue by close to 40%. The claim that Palantir will not generate any scale advantages over the years thus seems to be unfounded, I believe. Instead, the data suggest that Palantir will be able to grow its margins considerably -- the company was able to grow its adjusted gross profit by a massive $90 million while growing its adjusted operating expenses by just $9 million -- making for excellent operating leverage.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，政府关注导致缺乏可扩展性的说法也是错误的。根据Palantir最新的季度报告（上面链接），2020年第三季度至2021年第三季度期间，其运营费用增加了900万美元，而同期收入增加了1.03亿美元。这抵消了股权激励的变化。如果将这些SBC费用包括在内，Palantir的费用实际上<i>拒绝</i>而该公司的收入同比增长了近40%。因此，我认为Palantir多年来不会产生任何规模优势的说法似乎是没有根据的。相反，数据表明Palantir将能够大幅提高其利润率——该公司调整后毛利润大幅增长9000万美元，而调整后运营费用仅增长900万美元——从而实现出色的运营杠杆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Exposure to rising rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.利率上升的风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Massive inflation will force the Fed to raise rates in 2022 and beyond, and that could be an issue for growth stocks. Companies that are not profitable today, or that have the vast majority of their profits in the distant future, are more exposed to a rising discount rate compared to companies that have low or no growth and that generate a large amount of all future profits in the near term. This could result in outperformance of value stocks versus growth stocks in the coming years, I believe. Palantir, which is not profitable yet, naturally belongs in the \"growth\" bucket that could see an above-average impact from rising interest rates. There is no real counter-argument here, I believe -- it is indeed true that the impact of rising rates on Palantir, all else equal, will be larger compared to a value stock like AbbVie (ABBV), for example.</p><p><blockquote>大规模通胀将迫使美联储在2022年及以后加息，这可能是成长型股票的一个问题。与增长较低或没有增长且在短期内产生大量未来利润的公司相比，今天不盈利或绝大多数利润在遥远未来的公司更容易面临贴现率上升的风险。我相信，这可能会导致未来几年价值股优于成长股。Palantir尚未盈利，自然属于“增长”类别，利率上升可能会产生高于平均水平的影响。我认为，这里没有真正的反驳——确实，在其他条件相同的情况下，利率上升对Palantir的影响将比艾伯维(ABBV)等价值股更大。</blockquote></p><p> This being an incremental negative for Palantir doesn't mean that shares have to be avoided under any circumstances, however. Indeed, even despite some potential headwinds from rising rates, Palantir could still be an attractive investment if other arguments have a larger weight -- I believe this to be true, as I see PLTR's massive growth potential and huge moat outweighing some near-term headwinds from rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这对Palantir来说是一个增量负面影响，并不意味着在任何情况下都必须避免股票。事实上，即使利率上升带来了一些潜在的阻力，如果其他论点具有更大的权重，Palantir仍然可能是一项有吸引力的投资——我相信这是真的，因为我认为PLTR巨大的增长潜力和巨大的护城河超过了近期的一些阻力来自利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Palantir Is Still Attractive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么Palantir仍然有吸引力</b></blockquote></p><p> Bears bring up a range of arguments against Palantir, and as shown above, those can have merit. I believe that they might be overblown in some cases, but taking a look at the bear's arguments doesn't hurt -- in fact, it seems like a good idea to look at both sides in order to make a more informed decision. Dilution is indeed an issue, although I do not believe that this will be too much of a headwind, since PLTR's business growth easily outpaces dilution and since dilution, overall, should slow down over the years. Government reliance will wane over the years due to an above-average commercial business growth rate, and in general, doing business with the government is not a bad thing anyway. The claim that PLTR lacks scalability seems to be false, from what I see in PLTR's data.</p><p><blockquote>看空者提出了一系列反对Palantir的论点，如上所示，这些论点可能有其优点。我相信在某些情况下他们可能被夸大了，但看看空头的论点并没有什么坏处——事实上，为了做出更明智的决定，看看双方似乎是个好主意。稀释确实是一个问题，尽管我不认为这会是太大的阻力，因为PLTR的业务增长很容易超过稀释，而且总体而言，稀释应该会在几年内放缓。由于高于平均水平的商业业务增长率，对政府的依赖将会随着时间的推移而减弱，总的来说，与政府做生意无论如何都不是一件坏事。从我在PLTR的数据中看到的来看，PLTR缺乏可扩展性的说法似乎是错误的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is, despite these arguments, attractive, I believe: The company is growing rapidly, has decades-long growth potential in both its government business as well as on the commercial side, and Palantir seems to have a very wide moat. This combination could turn Palantir into one of the largest and most important companies eventually -- although investors shouldn't expect this to happen in the very near term. Instead, I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will grow at a considerable rate throughout the 2020s and beyond, as our world becomes ever more data-hungry -- both governments, as well as enterprises, will try to get the most value out of all of this data, and Palantir, with its tailored solutions, will be there to offer that value to its customers. With new tools such as the recently-showcased&nbsp;Foundry&nbsp;for crypto, Palantir is at the forefront of all kinds of emerging technologies. Thanks to the fact that Palantir has access to top talent -- the result of SBC and of an&nbsp;excellent working environment-- I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will be able to be highly competitive in all kinds of future markets in the Big Data/AI space that may not even exist yet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管有这些论点，我相信Palantir仍然很有吸引力：该公司发展迅速，在政府业务和商业方面都具有数十年的增长潜力，而且Palantir似乎拥有非常宽的护城河。这种合并最终可能会将Palantir变成最大、最重要的公司之一——尽管投资者不应指望这种情况会在短期内发生。相反，我相信Palantir很有可能在整个2020年代及以后以相当大的速度增长，因为我们的世界变得越来越需要数据——政府和企业都将努力获得最大的价值从所有这些数据中获得，Palantir将凭借其量身定制的解决方案，为其客户提供这种价值。凭借最近展示的Foundry for Crypto等新工具，Palantir处于各种新兴技术的前沿。由于Palantir能够接触到顶尖人才——SBC的结果和良好的工作环境——我相信Palantir很有可能能够在未来的各种市场中具有高度竞争力。大数据/人工智能领域可能还不存在。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> In general, I am not much of a growth investor -- instead, I primarily focus on attractively priced stocks with strong cash flows, oftentimes those that pay dividends. Palantir, however, is somewhat of an outlier in my portfolio -- it's a growth stock, it is not really profitable yet, and most of its potential is years away. Due to the highly attractive combination of a massive market opportunity, excellent talent, and a wide moat, Palantir still seems like an attractive long-term investment to me. This isn't a stock that will make investors rich quickly, but I believe that there is a very good chance that Palantir will turn into a very dominant, important company over the next 10+ years. At 19x next year's revenue, PLTR is not cheap, but when we expect that the company will grow at a strong rate for many years, that also doesn't seem outlandish to me at all. It makes sense to listen to the bears' arguments, but I believe that the pros outweigh the cons here.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，我不是一个成长型投资者——相反，我主要关注价格有吸引力、现金流强劲的股票，通常是那些支付股息的股票。然而，Palantir在我的投资组合中有点异类——它是一只成长型股票，尚未真正盈利，而且其大部分潜力还需要数年时间。由于巨大的市场机会、优秀的人才和宽阔的护城河的极具吸引力的组合，Palantir对我来说仍然是一项有吸引力的长期投资。这不是一只能让投资者快速致富的股票，但我相信Palantir很有可能在未来10多年成为一家非常占主导地位的重要公司。PLTR明年收入的19倍并不便宜，但当我们预计该公司将在许多年内以强劲的速度增长时，这对我来说一点也不奇怪。听空头的论点是有道理的，但我相信这里利大于弊。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475960-palantir-3-reasons-against-it-and-why-its-still-a-buy\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475960-palantir-3-reasons-against-it-and-why-its-still-a-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117226796","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir Technologies is a battleground stock. Listening to the bears' arguments is a good idea for bulls.\nPLTR dilutes its shareholders, but that is not necessarily a huge problem.\nDespite some interest rate headwinds, PLTR seems like a good investment to me, thanks to a strong moat and great growth outlook.\n\nspxChrome/E+ via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nPalantir Technologies (PLTR) is an embattled growth stock, and in recent weeks, bears have been winning as shares continued to decline. There are, indeed some important bear arguments, such as dilution, reliance on government contracts, and rising interest rates. I do, however, still believe that Palantir Technologies is an attractive long-term investment, due to the act that its technology could lead to massive growth for many years to come.\n3 Issues Brought Up By Bears\nPalantir is a growth stock that brings out highly convinced bulls as well as highly convinced bears. Generally, I am in the bullish camp here, but taking a look at the bear arguments can be a good idea as well. Three of the most common arguments against Palantir are the following ones:\n1. Shareholder Dilution\nGrowth on a company-wide basis is important, but growth on a per-share basis is even more important. There are many examples that show that changes in a company's share count can create or destroy a lot of shareholder value. Apple (AAPL), for example, has seen its net income grow by roughly 190% over the last decade:\nData by YCharts\nThanks to a declining share count, its earnings per share rose by a much more attractive 350%, however -- buybacks created a lot of shareholder value. There are also examples where a rising share count destroyed a lot of shareholder value, e.g. at Citigroup (C):\nData by YCharts\nMassive share issuance during the Great Recession has resulted in a 75% earnings per share decline since 2007, even though net profits were up over the same time frame. Looking at the changes in a company's share count thus makes sense, as those changes can have a large impact in the long run. At Palantir, we see that the share count has been rising considerably since the company went public. During the most recent quarter, Palantir's share count looked like this:\nSource: Palantir Press Release\nCompared to the second quarter, Palantir's average share count was 1.895 billion, which makes for a 3.5% quarterly increase, which pencils out to an annual growth rate in the mid-teens. That is, of course, not negligible at all, and bears to have an argument when they state that shareholders get diluted at a meaningful pace. On the other hand, Palantir's business growth rate is way higher than 3% per quarter, as the company has guided for ~40% revenue growth this year, and since Palantir should also deliver outsized business growth in the coming years. Even if Palantir's share count were to climb by 10%-15% a year going forward, revenue per share would still climb by 25%+ a year thanks to the fact that PLTR is growing rapidly. I also believe that dilution will, over the years, decline. Not only has this been the case at many other growth companies, e.g. Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), or Meta (FB), but it is also logical from an option rewards perspective. Option rewards are especially generous when a company is not yet publicly traded and when its future is still more uncertain, but as a company matures, employees get more comfortable as risks for the company decline, and they do not demand large option packages any longer. Last but not least, Palantir also generates strong free cash flows that should allow the company to do share buybacks in the future, which should help improve the dilution rate as well.\n2. Reliance on government contracts\nIn a recent bearish article, fellow Seeking Alpha contributor On The Pulse argued that Palantir was overvalued and that its reliance on government contracts was an issue. Palantir Technologies is, indeed, reliant on government contracts to a large degree today, but I do not believe that this is a major issue. First, Palantir has diversified away from government contracts in the recent past, thanks to massive growth in its commercial business:\nSource: Palantir Technologies presentation\nIn fact, Palantir's commercial business has been growing much faster than its government business in the recent past, which shows that commercial customers from all kinds of industries apparently see a lot of value in Palantir's technology -- otherwise, they wouldn't be buying at a rapid pace. With\nWith the commercial business growth rate outpacing the government business growth rate, Palantir will, over the years, become a company that is less and less dependent on government contracts, and that will ultimately turn into a B2B-focused software/technology player. Even if Palantir were to remain a government-focused company forever, which seems unlikely based on the current growth rates of the individual business units, that would not necessarily be an issue. Working for the government means that there is very little counterparty risk and that existing relations can easily be used to get future contracts. Last but not least, with government budgets rising relatively steadily, good government connections allow for considerable growth opportunities -- especially in the defense tech/security tech space Palantir is active in, as there is a huge need for further investments in this space.\nThe claim that a government focus leads to lacking scalability is also false, I believe. Per Palantir's most recent quarterly report (linked above), its operating expenses rose by $9 million between Q3 2020 and Q3 2021 -- whereas revenues rose by $103 million in the same time frame. This backs out changes in share-based compensation. If one were to include those SBC expenses, Palantir's expenses actuallydeclinedyear-over-year while the company managed to grow its revenue by close to 40%. The claim that Palantir will not generate any scale advantages over the years thus seems to be unfounded, I believe. Instead, the data suggest that Palantir will be able to grow its margins considerably -- the company was able to grow its adjusted gross profit by a massive $90 million while growing its adjusted operating expenses by just $9 million -- making for excellent operating leverage.\n3. Exposure to rising rates\nMassive inflation will force the Fed to raise rates in 2022 and beyond, and that could be an issue for growth stocks. Companies that are not profitable today, or that have the vast majority of their profits in the distant future, are more exposed to a rising discount rate compared to companies that have low or no growth and that generate a large amount of all future profits in the near term. This could result in outperformance of value stocks versus growth stocks in the coming years, I believe. Palantir, which is not profitable yet, naturally belongs in the \"growth\" bucket that could see an above-average impact from rising interest rates. There is no real counter-argument here, I believe -- it is indeed true that the impact of rising rates on Palantir, all else equal, will be larger compared to a value stock like AbbVie (ABBV), for example.\nThis being an incremental negative for Palantir doesn't mean that shares have to be avoided under any circumstances, however. Indeed, even despite some potential headwinds from rising rates, Palantir could still be an attractive investment if other arguments have a larger weight -- I believe this to be true, as I see PLTR's massive growth potential and huge moat outweighing some near-term headwinds from rising rates.\nWhy Palantir Is Still Attractive\nBears bring up a range of arguments against Palantir, and as shown above, those can have merit. I believe that they might be overblown in some cases, but taking a look at the bear's arguments doesn't hurt -- in fact, it seems like a good idea to look at both sides in order to make a more informed decision. Dilution is indeed an issue, although I do not believe that this will be too much of a headwind, since PLTR's business growth easily outpaces dilution and since dilution, overall, should slow down over the years. Government reliance will wane over the years due to an above-average commercial business growth rate, and in general, doing business with the government is not a bad thing anyway. The claim that PLTR lacks scalability seems to be false, from what I see in PLTR's data.\nPalantir is, despite these arguments, attractive, I believe: The company is growing rapidly, has decades-long growth potential in both its government business as well as on the commercial side, and Palantir seems to have a very wide moat. This combination could turn Palantir into one of the largest and most important companies eventually -- although investors shouldn't expect this to happen in the very near term. Instead, I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will grow at a considerable rate throughout the 2020s and beyond, as our world becomes ever more data-hungry -- both governments, as well as enterprises, will try to get the most value out of all of this data, and Palantir, with its tailored solutions, will be there to offer that value to its customers. With new tools such as the recently-showcased Foundry for crypto, Palantir is at the forefront of all kinds of emerging technologies. Thanks to the fact that Palantir has access to top talent -- the result of SBC and of an excellent working environment-- I believe that there is a good chance that Palantir will be able to be highly competitive in all kinds of future markets in the Big Data/AI space that may not even exist yet.\nTakeaway\nIn general, I am not much of a growth investor -- instead, I primarily focus on attractively priced stocks with strong cash flows, oftentimes those that pay dividends. Palantir, however, is somewhat of an outlier in my portfolio -- it's a growth stock, it is not really profitable yet, and most of its potential is years away. Due to the highly attractive combination of a massive market opportunity, excellent talent, and a wide moat, Palantir still seems like an attractive long-term investment to me. This isn't a stock that will make investors rich quickly, but I believe that there is a very good chance that Palantir will turn into a very dominant, important company over the next 10+ years. At 19x next year's revenue, PLTR is not cheap, but when we expect that the company will grow at a strong rate for many years, that also doesn't seem outlandish to me at all. It makes sense to listen to the bears' arguments, but I believe that the pros outweigh the cons here.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693134012,"gmtCreate":1639983705017,"gmtModify":1639983708103,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693134012","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>  <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>  <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>  <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>  <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段，美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表，并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀，加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票，但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下，苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金，而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此，尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险，但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元，其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票：抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>  <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>  <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>  <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>  <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段，美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表，并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀，加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票，但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下，苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金，而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此，尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险，但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元，其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一，苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值，目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%，仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来，苹果的市值增长了220倍以上，这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平，美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐，从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划，该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的，而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始，以应对不断上涨的物价压力，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认，这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示，从2022年初开始，联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点，2023年再上升三个百分点，2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现，这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险，因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀，以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞，尤其是高增长股票，但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元，接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后，苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%，这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利，该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息，但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景，我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭，导致销售额损失超过90亿美元，但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%，达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入，比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列，以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%，是其他细分市场中增长最快的，占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比，当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快，预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额，并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后，最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头，升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&amp;T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售，以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络，这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本，iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长，收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后，苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求，从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计，该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台，这推动了该部门创纪录的收入，同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位，使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备，这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中，以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用，全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年，这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元，这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步，并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统（“SoC”）”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成，并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性，使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面，强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元，比上一年增长27%。迄今为止，苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户，比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台（从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案）中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式，再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品，一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围，例如，全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张，预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元，凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者，吸引新用户为订阅服务付费，如果没有捆绑折扣，他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长，未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一，有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查，尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度，因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分，苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更，这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称，法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前，开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利，该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉，法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决，即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率，App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元，这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视，实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户，苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此，未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜，这是一项新兴技术，近几个月来，随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多，这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似，苹果的将配备3D显示屏，为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片，以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础，苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年，与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上，而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力，该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会，还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别，届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬，例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面，据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发，用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称，最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中，以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试，这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移，新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”，但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出，这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移，当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时，苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入，这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测，我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元，到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变，并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说，2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失（即6月季度约30亿美元，9月季度约60亿美元）预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善，但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此，苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备，这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测（苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情，请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑，我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格，这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析得出的，并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似，我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表，贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据，预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况，管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长，而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心，因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍，这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出，所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善，并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析：</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析，预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点，从基本面和估值角度来看，预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求，加上新的创新，预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此，这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表，并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上，为应对即将加息带来的风险，对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加，甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素，苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一，尽管加息即将到来，但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693019104,"gmtCreate":1639925714142,"gmtModify":1639925714535,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooooo","listText":"Ooooo","text":"Ooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693019104","repostId":"2192035909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":114931517,"gmtCreate":1623041280939,"gmtModify":1634095933413,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lastest. 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Thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183837332","repostId":"1156471121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":694068347,"gmtCreate":1641705901026,"gmtModify":1641705901422,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694068347","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":135560951,"gmtCreate":1622170164673,"gmtModify":1634183170801,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lastest","listText":"Lastest","text":"Lastest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135560951","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138339280,"gmtCreate":1621908857740,"gmtModify":1634185583866,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lastest. Like n comment pls.&nbsp;","listText":"Lastest. Like n comment pls.&nbsp;","text":"Lastest. Like n comment pls.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138339280","repostId":"1136664271","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":845367998,"gmtCreate":1636287522186,"gmtModify":1636287522565,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845367998","repostId":"2181409167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2181409167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636262820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2181409167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-07 13:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"US to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2181409167","media":"BusinessDay","summary":"Biden wants the cartel to pump more oil to bring down prices and keep the post-Covid economic recovery on course","content":"<p><div> The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国本周警告称，石油输出国组织+未能向全球市场注入更多石油，有可能损害世界经济复苏，这表明其缓解高原油价格的努力没有成功...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"businessday_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">BusinessDay</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-07 13:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国本周警告称，石油输出国组织+未能向全球市场注入更多石油，有可能损害世界经济复苏，这表明其缓解高原油价格的努力没有成功...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">BusinessDay</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2181409167","content_text":"The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t over.Hours after Saudi Arabia and its allies in Opec+ — the 14 members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries plus 10 non-members, including Russia — approved a 400,000 barrel-a-day output hike for December, the White House reiterated that it will consider “the full range of tools” to protect the economy.Other major consumers also say the Opec+ decision, at a meeting of the cartel this week, is not enough to sustain the post-Covid economic recovery, with the US asking for as much as double that amount. “They have the capacity and the power now to act and make sure this critical moment of global recovery is not impaired,” White House spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre said.The US operates in “a competitive free market system”, she said, and Opec+ “is what impacts global oil prices, which is what has an effect on gas [petrol] prices at home”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692442390,"gmtCreate":1641192674609,"gmtModify":1641192675024,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692442390","repostId":"2200403714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843275960,"gmtCreate":1635837962960,"gmtModify":1635837963376,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843275960","repostId":"1145229046","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":811406420,"gmtCreate":1630334378960,"gmtModify":1704958706194,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811406420","repostId":"2163842578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":877938259,"gmtCreate":1637856019639,"gmtModify":1637856019798,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"......","listText":"......","text":"......","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877938259","repostId":"1143924299","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143924299","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637846658,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143924299?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 21:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Inflation? Small Investors Keep Piling Into Flashy Growth Stocks<blockquote>什么通货膨胀？小投资者不断涌入华丽的成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143924299","media":"WSJ","summary":"Conventional Wall Street wisdom says inflation is bad for growth and technology stocks. Many small i","content":"<p>Conventional Wall Street wisdom says inflation is bad for growth and technology stocks. Many small investors don’t care.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的传统观点认为，通胀不利于增长股和科技股。很多小投资者不在乎。</blockquote></p><p> Individual investors continue to stampede into shares of growth companies, the types of buzzy stocks that have enjoyed explosive price gains this year. Advanced Micro Devices Inc.,&nbsp;Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. are the three stocks most purchased this month by individual investors, according to VandaTrack, a Vanda Research flow tracker that measures net purchases.</p><p><blockquote>个人投资者继续涌入成长型公司的股票，这些热门股票今年价格出现了爆炸性上涨。根据衡量净购买量的Vanda Research流量跟踪机构VandaTrack的数据，Advanced Micro Devices Inc.、Nvidia Corp.和苹果公司是本月个人投资者购买最多的三只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Growth stocks are typically companies—often tech firms—that are expected to deliver faster-than-average profit growth in the future. They tend to flourish in a low-rate environment, including over the past year and a half. Investors are typically willing to pay higher prices for such companies when they don’t see many alternatives for making sizable profits.</p><p><blockquote>成长型股票通常是预计未来利润增长快于平均水平的公司（通常是科技公司）。它们往往在低利率环境中蓬勃发展，包括在过去一年半的时间里。当投资者看不到许多赚取可观利润的替代方案时，他们通常愿意为此类公司支付更高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> For example, 18 of the stocks that are most favored by individual investors, including the chip makers AMD and Nvidia, trade on average at nearly 13 times their trailing 12-month sales, according to an analysis by Dow Jones Market Data. Stocks in the S&amp;P 500 trade at an average of three times their sales.</p><p><blockquote>例如，根据道琼斯市场数据的分析，包括芯片制造商AMD和英伟达在内的18只最受个人投资者青睐的股票的平均交易价格是其过去12个月销售额的近13倍。标普500股票的平均交易价格是其销售额的三倍。</blockquote></p><p> But mounting inflation can be troublesome for growth stocks. That is because inflation brings the prospect of higher interest rates and higher bond yields, making the future cash flows of growth stocks less attractive. Traders, in turn, typically shuffle their portfolios to include other investments that stand to benefit from rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>但通胀上升可能会给成长型股票带来麻烦。这是因为通胀带来了利率上升和债券收益率上升的前景，使得成长型股票的未来现金流吸引力下降。反过来，交易者通常会调整他们的投资组合，纳入其他将从利率上升中受益的投资。</blockquote></p><p> A government report this month showed that the consumer-price index jumped 6.2% in October from a year earlier, climbing atthe fastest pace in three decades. Fund-flow tracker EPFR, whose data captures mostly institutional investor behavior, estimates that investors responded by yanking more than $2 billion out of U.S. tech-focused mutual and exchange-traded funds in the two weeks ended Nov. 17. That marks the worst stretch since a two-week period ended in early January 2019.</p><p><blockquote>本月的一份政府报告显示，10月份消费者价格指数同比上涨6.2%，以三十年来最快的速度攀升。资金流追踪公司EPFR的数据主要捕捉机构投资者的行为，该公司估计，截至11月17日的两周内，投资者从美国以科技为重点的共同基金和交易所交易基金中撤出了超过20亿美元。这是自2019年1月初结束的两周以来最糟糕的一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, institutional investors are pumping money into more value-oriented sectors, such as consumer goods, healthcare and utilities, EPFR data show. Those industries tend to trade at lower valuations and tend to be more defensive moves for investors during times of heightened uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>EPFR数据显示，与此同时，机构投资者正在向消费品、医疗保健和公用事业等更具价值导向的行业注入资金。这些行业的估值往往较低，在不确定性加剧的时期，投资者往往会采取更具防御性的举措。</blockquote></p><p> Greg Hahn, chief investment officer of Indianapolis-based Winthrop Capital Management, said his team has been paring back exposure to large-cap technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于印第安纳波利斯的温思罗普资本管理公司首席投资官格雷格·哈恩表示，他的团队一直在削减对大型科技股的投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re shifting out of growth,” Mr. Hahn said. Instead, the firm is focused on finding quality companies that have reasonable valuations and strong balance sheets—ones that are “sustainable in a potentially rough next market cycle,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在摆脱增长，”哈恩先生说。相反，该公司专注于寻找估值合理、资产负债表强劲的优质公司——这些公司“在可能艰难的下一个市场周期中可持续发展”，他表示。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, Mr. Hahn said, he has added exposure to a company that manufactures engines and generators and a pharmaceutical company that produces medicines and other products for animals.</p><p><blockquote>哈恩先生说，最近，他增加了对一家制造发动机和发电机的公司以及一家为动物生产药品和其他产品的制药公司的投资。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, U.S. stocks are still hovering near records, bond yields remain historically low and&nbsp;an earlier rally in gold prices&nbsp;has subsided. That suggests that inflation fears haven’t yet spurred many professional investors to entirely upend their playbooks. Some 61% of fund managers surveyed this month believe inflation is transitory, according to Bank of America Global Research.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，美国股市仍在纪录附近徘徊，债券收益率仍处于历史低位，金价早些时候的涨势已经消退。这表明通胀担忧尚未刺激许多专业投资者完全颠覆他们的策略。根据美国银行全球研究部的数据，本月接受调查的约61%的基金经理认为通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the recent divergence in strategy between professional and individual investors is the latest example of&nbsp;the unusual dynamics that have played out in financial markets&nbsp;this year. Repeatedly, small investors&nbsp;have upended longstanding trading strategies&nbsp;by sending stocks such asGameStopCorp.andHertz Global HoldingsInc.HTZ11.06%soaring, with little regard for the companies’ underlying value. Some rely on classic momentum investing—a strategy of buying assets simply because they are rising.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，最近专业投资者和个人投资者之间的策略分歧是今年金融市场异常动态的最新例子。小投资者多次颠覆了长期的交易策略，推动GameStopCorp.和Hertz Global HoldingsInc.等股票飙升，而很少考虑这些公司的潜在价值。有些人依赖经典的动量投资——一种仅仅因为资产正在上涨就购买资产的策略。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t uncommon for stocks favored by individual investors to be volatile. But those stocks can pay off too: AMD and Nvidia are each up 28% or more month-to-date, while Apple has climbed 8.1%. That compares with a 2.1% rise for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>个人投资者青睐的股票波动并不罕见。但这些股票也可以获得回报：AMD和Nvidia本月迄今均上涨了28%或更多，而苹果则上涨了8.1%。相比之下，标普500的涨幅为2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The lesson we’ve learned over the past 12 to 18 months…is that IPOs, fiscal stimulus and other micro [events] are much bigger drivers for retail investor behavior” than inflation readings, said Viraj Patel, global macro strategist at Vanda Research. “We’ve never woken up the day after the CPI and seen huge selling from retail investors.”</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research全球宏观策略师Viraj Patel表示，“我们在过去12至18个月中吸取的教训……是，IPO、财政刺激和其他微观[事件]是散户投资者行为的更大驱动因素”。“我们从来没有在CPI公布后的第二天醒来，看到散户投资者大量抛售。”</blockquote></p><p> Matt Delao, a 28-year-old individual investor from California, said he has followed data on inflation and supply-chain snarls this year. But he said his trading strategy has focused mostly on screening for stocks that appear priced for a significant move. Recently, he has traded options for AMD and bitcoin-mining companyRiot Blockchain&nbsp;Inc.</p><p><blockquote>来自加州的28岁个人投资者马特·德劳(Matt Delao)表示，他今年一直在关注通胀和供应链混乱的数据。但他表示，他的交易策略主要集中在筛选那些定价似乎会出现重大波动的股票。最近，他交易了AMD和比特币矿业公司Riot Blockchain Inc.的期权。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Inflation? Small Investors Keep Piling Into Flashy Growth Stocks<blockquote>什么通货膨胀？小投资者不断涌入华丽的成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Inflation? Small Investors Keep Piling Into Flashy Growth Stocks<blockquote>什么通货膨胀？小投资者不断涌入华丽的成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 21:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Conventional Wall Street wisdom says inflation is bad for growth and technology stocks. Many small investors don’t care.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的传统观点认为，通胀不利于增长股和科技股。很多小投资者不在乎。</blockquote></p><p> Individual investors continue to stampede into shares of growth companies, the types of buzzy stocks that have enjoyed explosive price gains this year. Advanced Micro Devices Inc.,&nbsp;Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. are the three stocks most purchased this month by individual investors, according to VandaTrack, a Vanda Research flow tracker that measures net purchases.</p><p><blockquote>个人投资者继续涌入成长型公司的股票，这些热门股票今年价格出现了爆炸性上涨。根据衡量净购买量的Vanda Research流量跟踪机构VandaTrack的数据，Advanced Micro Devices Inc.、Nvidia Corp.和苹果公司是本月个人投资者购买最多的三只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Growth stocks are typically companies—often tech firms—that are expected to deliver faster-than-average profit growth in the future. They tend to flourish in a low-rate environment, including over the past year and a half. Investors are typically willing to pay higher prices for such companies when they don’t see many alternatives for making sizable profits.</p><p><blockquote>成长型股票通常是预计未来利润增长快于平均水平的公司（通常是科技公司）。它们往往在低利率环境中蓬勃发展，包括在过去一年半的时间里。当投资者看不到许多赚取可观利润的替代方案时，他们通常愿意为此类公司支付更高的价格。</blockquote></p><p> For example, 18 of the stocks that are most favored by individual investors, including the chip makers AMD and Nvidia, trade on average at nearly 13 times their trailing 12-month sales, according to an analysis by Dow Jones Market Data. Stocks in the S&amp;P 500 trade at an average of three times their sales.</p><p><blockquote>例如，根据道琼斯市场数据的分析，包括芯片制造商AMD和英伟达在内的18只最受个人投资者青睐的股票的平均交易价格是其过去12个月销售额的近13倍。标普500股票的平均交易价格是其销售额的三倍。</blockquote></p><p> But mounting inflation can be troublesome for growth stocks. That is because inflation brings the prospect of higher interest rates and higher bond yields, making the future cash flows of growth stocks less attractive. Traders, in turn, typically shuffle their portfolios to include other investments that stand to benefit from rising rates.</p><p><blockquote>但通胀上升可能会给成长型股票带来麻烦。这是因为通胀带来了利率上升和债券收益率上升的前景，使得成长型股票的未来现金流吸引力下降。反过来，交易者通常会调整他们的投资组合，纳入其他将从利率上升中受益的投资。</blockquote></p><p> A government report this month showed that the consumer-price index jumped 6.2% in October from a year earlier, climbing atthe fastest pace in three decades. Fund-flow tracker EPFR, whose data captures mostly institutional investor behavior, estimates that investors responded by yanking more than $2 billion out of U.S. tech-focused mutual and exchange-traded funds in the two weeks ended Nov. 17. That marks the worst stretch since a two-week period ended in early January 2019.</p><p><blockquote>本月的一份政府报告显示，10月份消费者价格指数同比上涨6.2%，以三十年来最快的速度攀升。资金流追踪公司EPFR的数据主要捕捉机构投资者的行为，该公司估计，截至11月17日的两周内，投资者从美国以科技为重点的共同基金和交易所交易基金中撤出了超过20亿美元。这是自2019年1月初结束的两周以来最糟糕的一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, institutional investors are pumping money into more value-oriented sectors, such as consumer goods, healthcare and utilities, EPFR data show. Those industries tend to trade at lower valuations and tend to be more defensive moves for investors during times of heightened uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote>EPFR数据显示，与此同时，机构投资者正在向消费品、医疗保健和公用事业等更具价值导向的行业注入资金。这些行业的估值往往较低，在不确定性加剧的时期，投资者往往会采取更具防御性的举措。</blockquote></p><p> Greg Hahn, chief investment officer of Indianapolis-based Winthrop Capital Management, said his team has been paring back exposure to large-cap technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于印第安纳波利斯的温思罗普资本管理公司首席投资官格雷格·哈恩表示，他的团队一直在削减对大型科技股的投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re shifting out of growth,” Mr. Hahn said. Instead, the firm is focused on finding quality companies that have reasonable valuations and strong balance sheets—ones that are “sustainable in a potentially rough next market cycle,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在摆脱增长，”哈恩先生说。相反，该公司专注于寻找估值合理、资产负债表强劲的优质公司——这些公司“在可能艰难的下一个市场周期中可持续发展”，他表示。</blockquote></p><p> Recently, Mr. Hahn said, he has added exposure to a company that manufactures engines and generators and a pharmaceutical company that produces medicines and other products for animals.</p><p><blockquote>哈恩先生说，最近，他增加了对一家制造发动机和发电机的公司以及一家为动物生产药品和其他产品的制药公司的投资。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, U.S. stocks are still hovering near records, bond yields remain historically low and&nbsp;an earlier rally in gold prices&nbsp;has subsided. That suggests that inflation fears haven’t yet spurred many professional investors to entirely upend their playbooks. Some 61% of fund managers surveyed this month believe inflation is transitory, according to Bank of America Global Research.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，美国股市仍在纪录附近徘徊，债券收益率仍处于历史低位，金价早些时候的涨势已经消退。这表明通胀担忧尚未刺激许多专业投资者完全颠覆他们的策略。根据美国银行全球研究部的数据，本月接受调查的约61%的基金经理认为通胀是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the recent divergence in strategy between professional and individual investors is the latest example of&nbsp;the unusual dynamics that have played out in financial markets&nbsp;this year. Repeatedly, small investors&nbsp;have upended longstanding trading strategies&nbsp;by sending stocks such asGameStopCorp.andHertz Global HoldingsInc.HTZ11.06%soaring, with little regard for the companies’ underlying value. Some rely on classic momentum investing—a strategy of buying assets simply because they are rising.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，最近专业投资者和个人投资者之间的策略分歧是今年金融市场异常动态的最新例子。小投资者多次颠覆了长期的交易策略，推动GameStopCorp.和Hertz Global HoldingsInc.等股票飙升，而很少考虑这些公司的潜在价值。有些人依赖经典的动量投资——一种仅仅因为资产正在上涨就购买资产的策略。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t uncommon for stocks favored by individual investors to be volatile. But those stocks can pay off too: AMD and Nvidia are each up 28% or more month-to-date, while Apple has climbed 8.1%. That compares with a 2.1% rise for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>个人投资者青睐的股票波动并不罕见。但这些股票也可以获得回报：AMD和Nvidia本月迄今均上涨了28%或更多，而苹果则上涨了8.1%。相比之下，标普500的涨幅为2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The lesson we’ve learned over the past 12 to 18 months…is that IPOs, fiscal stimulus and other micro [events] are much bigger drivers for retail investor behavior” than inflation readings, said Viraj Patel, global macro strategist at Vanda Research. “We’ve never woken up the day after the CPI and seen huge selling from retail investors.”</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research全球宏观策略师Viraj Patel表示，“我们在过去12至18个月中吸取的教训……是，IPO、财政刺激和其他微观[事件]是散户投资者行为的更大驱动因素”。“我们从来没有在CPI公布后的第二天醒来，看到散户投资者大量抛售。”</blockquote></p><p> Matt Delao, a 28-year-old individual investor from California, said he has followed data on inflation and supply-chain snarls this year. But he said his trading strategy has focused mostly on screening for stocks that appear priced for a significant move. Recently, he has traded options for AMD and bitcoin-mining companyRiot Blockchain&nbsp;Inc.</p><p><blockquote>来自加州的28岁个人投资者马特·德劳(Matt Delao)表示，他今年一直在关注通胀和供应链混乱的数据。但他表示，他的交易策略主要集中在筛选那些定价似乎会出现重大波动的股票。最近，他交易了AMD和比特币矿业公司Riot Blockchain Inc.的期权。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-inflation-small-investors-keep-piling-into-flashy-growth-stocks-11637836200?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-inflation-small-investors-keep-piling-into-flashy-growth-stocks-11637836200?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143924299","content_text":"Conventional Wall Street wisdom says inflation is bad for growth and technology stocks. Many small investors don’t care.\nIndividual investors continue to stampede into shares of growth companies, the types of buzzy stocks that have enjoyed explosive price gains this year. Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. are the three stocks most purchased this month by individual investors, according to VandaTrack, a Vanda Research flow tracker that measures net purchases.\nGrowth stocks are typically companies—often tech firms—that are expected to deliver faster-than-average profit growth in the future. They tend to flourish in a low-rate environment, including over the past year and a half. Investors are typically willing to pay higher prices for such companies when they don’t see many alternatives for making sizable profits.\nFor example, 18 of the stocks that are most favored by individual investors, including the chip makers AMD and Nvidia, trade on average at nearly 13 times their trailing 12-month sales, according to an analysis by Dow Jones Market Data. Stocks in the S&P 500 trade at an average of three times their sales.\nBut mounting inflation can be troublesome for growth stocks. That is because inflation brings the prospect of higher interest rates and higher bond yields, making the future cash flows of growth stocks less attractive. Traders, in turn, typically shuffle their portfolios to include other investments that stand to benefit from rising rates.\nA government report this month showed that the consumer-price index jumped 6.2% in October from a year earlier, climbing atthe fastest pace in three decades. Fund-flow tracker EPFR, whose data captures mostly institutional investor behavior, estimates that investors responded by yanking more than $2 billion out of U.S. tech-focused mutual and exchange-traded funds in the two weeks ended Nov. 17. That marks the worst stretch since a two-week period ended in early January 2019.\nAt the same time, institutional investors are pumping money into more value-oriented sectors, such as consumer goods, healthcare and utilities, EPFR data show. Those industries tend to trade at lower valuations and tend to be more defensive moves for investors during times of heightened uncertainty.\nGreg Hahn, chief investment officer of Indianapolis-based Winthrop Capital Management, said his team has been paring back exposure to large-cap technology stocks.\n“We’re shifting out of growth,” Mr. Hahn said. Instead, the firm is focused on finding quality companies that have reasonable valuations and strong balance sheets—ones that are “sustainable in a potentially rough next market cycle,” he said.\nRecently, Mr. Hahn said, he has added exposure to a company that manufactures engines and generators and a pharmaceutical company that produces medicines and other products for animals.\nTo be sure, U.S. stocks are still hovering near records, bond yields remain historically low and an earlier rally in gold prices has subsided. That suggests that inflation fears haven’t yet spurred many professional investors to entirely upend their playbooks. Some 61% of fund managers surveyed this month believe inflation is transitory, according to Bank of America Global Research.\nStill, the recent divergence in strategy between professional and individual investors is the latest example of the unusual dynamics that have played out in financial markets this year. Repeatedly, small investors have upended longstanding trading strategies by sending stocks such asGameStopCorp.andHertz Global HoldingsInc.HTZ11.06%soaring, with little regard for the companies’ underlying value. Some rely on classic momentum investing—a strategy of buying assets simply because they are rising.\nIt isn’t uncommon for stocks favored by individual investors to be volatile. But those stocks can pay off too: AMD and Nvidia are each up 28% or more month-to-date, while Apple has climbed 8.1%. That compares with a 2.1% rise for the S&P 500.\n“The lesson we’ve learned over the past 12 to 18 months…is that IPOs, fiscal stimulus and other micro [events] are much bigger drivers for retail investor behavior” than inflation readings, said Viraj Patel, global macro strategist at Vanda Research. “We’ve never woken up the day after the CPI and seen huge selling from retail investors.”\nMatt Delao, a 28-year-old individual investor from California, said he has followed data on inflation and supply-chain snarls this year. But he said his trading strategy has focused mostly on screening for stocks that appear priced for a significant move. Recently, he has traded options for AMD and bitcoin-mining companyRiot Blockchain Inc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860559863,"gmtCreate":1632190391252,"gmtModify":1632802175672,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860559863","repostId":"1163068688","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885671736,"gmtCreate":1631792517225,"gmtModify":1631888716790,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".....","listText":".....","text":".....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885671736","repostId":"1126607843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126607843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631785252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126607843?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 17:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126607843","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nObjectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves at","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Objectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.</li>  <li>In the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.</li>  <li>Apple and&nbsp;Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</li>  <li>In the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a07b4e98bb726c0044932fc29b3089b3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>vicnt/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>客观而言，现在股市大幅回调的可能性值得关注。</li><li>最近，苹果和微软对股市大幅下跌的反应不同。</li><li>苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</li><li>在假设回调的情况下，微软下跌的可能性低于苹果。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>vicnt/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>As an introduction...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>作为介绍...</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:</p><p><blockquote>自2020年3月美股上一次大回调结束以来，纳斯达克指数累计上涨近170%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a849f8e9ddf15f484770a5f0227fcd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.<i>This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.</i></p><p><blockquote>对于一年半来说，考虑到该指数过去十年的年均总价格回报率不超过20%，这是一个非常强劲的结果。<i>仅这一事实就让我们估计股市有可能出现新的大幅回调。</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37eb0178d9d463c7419b99632a6ec614\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有其他因素让我们对市场目前的价格水平保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> First, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:</p><p><blockquote>首先，今年流入股市的流动性创历史新高。我现在不说原因，很明显。但仅这一事实就让市场异常波动：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10623d7cecd8dec70bb229b809458b68\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"918\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bank of America</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Second, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is&nbsp;already outlined.</p><p><blockquote>第二，美国股市的相对规模已经超过名义GDP的200%。原则上，这不是一个根本性的限制。但正是超软货币政策让美国股市达到了目前的创纪录水平。最有可能的是，在这种情况下，逆转已经出现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f69cd6450737ddf3e5fcbd6406c793ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>最后是第三个。宏观周期也让我们预计市场将进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a6a794dde6f4e1d3e6e9149b55060\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:<i>in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?</i></p><p><blockquote>所以，客观而言，股市下一次回调的可能性至少值得关注。在这种情况下，我建议回答这个问题：<i>如果出现调整，苹果（AAPL）和微软（MSFT）哪家公司的跌幅更大？</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple vs. Microsoft?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么是苹果对微软？</b></blockquote></p><p> The decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>准确比较这两家公司的决定由两个因素决定。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:</p><p><blockquote>首先，这是科技行业最大的两家公司，合计占美国股市总市值的10%以上。这些公司规模如此之大，以至于原则上，仅凭它们的动态就可以引发新一波的调整：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3ef401b67c298ecbd9d56d31fc6927\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31417d34d6eacb724c20b3a274068467\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Secondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.</p><p><blockquote>其次，两家公司都支付股息。在基本面估值方面，这一因素发挥着重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Some Statistics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看两家公司在近期市场剧烈波动期间表现出的价格动态。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:</p><p><blockquote>为了做到这一点，我将三年的时间跨度分为八个市场运动时期：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfd9dec91d94990cf5217aa649758ac\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"578\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView, Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView，作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:</p><p><blockquote>以下是公司在每个时期显示的结果：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/868067f19c2251bfdb0658a251596fcc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> At first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:<i>during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.</i>But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，统计数据毫不含糊：<i>在回调期间，微软价格的跌幅往往小于苹果。</i>但另一方面，苹果在市场增长时期的表现一直更好。并且在这种情况下，得到的结果可以简单地用市场行为的技术因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> But in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...</p><p><blockquote>但在当前的增长期，两家公司的回报大致相同。因此，在这里我们找不到问题的线索...</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本原则</b></blockquote></p><p> Exclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.</p><p><blockquote>仅在投资背景下，公司股票的价格可以从两个角度来看待。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's&nbsp;<b>future cash flow</b>. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of&nbsp;<b>all potential dividends</b>that the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.</p><p><blockquote>价格一方面反映了公司的现值<b>未来现金流量</b>另一方面，价格是以下各项之和的现值<b>所有潜在股息</b>公司未来将支付的费用。让我们对苹果和微软的价格进行建模。为此，我将分别建立贴现现金流模型和股息贴现模型。</blockquote></p><p> In order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>为了使模型不那么主观，我将以分析师对公司未来十年收入和每股收益的平均预期为基础。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start with&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从<b>苹果</b>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f8fc4e5dc7025dd1227ea5279073aa5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notes:</p><p><blockquote>附注：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).</li>  <li>I used the current&nbsp;value&nbsp;of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.</li> </ul> Here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.33%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2020年的利息支出除以2019年和2018年的平均债务。</li></ul>以下是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfb45a9125bb1f465cd34a6a8a6d06a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的苹果股票目标价约为181美元（+22%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> In the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:</p><p><blockquote>以苹果为例，在构建股息贴现模型时还需要考虑公司持续积极回购的事实：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84076d0fc1bb5dbec8c1e6e19434153\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Continuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>继续当前的动态，该模型假设到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少至135亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Apple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果平均将净利润的25%用于股息。我假设派息率将保持在这个水平。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model itself:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8990a8299cc0652d77815710f0ab427\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的苹果股票目标价为69美元（-54%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Now let's take a look at Microsoft.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们来看看微软。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the WACC:</p><p><blockquote>以下是WACC的计算：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15889e90904c69497b749f28bd64190f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote>这是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dca7339e43f534807bf043b1931e1db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的微软股票目标价约为353美元（+18%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is also actively buying back shares:</p><p><blockquote>微软也在积极回购股票：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1deec463f584b5eb7913d72938d3e1ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我假设过去两年的动态将持续下去，到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少到72亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c863b92e948f78e518d5619b44647d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的微软股票目标价为203美元（-32%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Let's summarize:</p><p><blockquote>我们来总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b527d82270843e021a89a9ecdf68e6\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"212\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我长期以来一直在观察这些公司的类似结果。我的意思是，苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.</p><p><blockquote>这表明，在市场增长期间，投资者并不特别倾向于关注股息。此外，最有可能的股息被简单地视为奖金。</blockquote></p><p> But during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.</p><p><blockquote>但在市场调整期间，潜在股息的现值是价格难以下跌的最低水平。在这种背景下，我认为微软比苹果处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> At the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在市场周期的当前阶段，当回调的可能性已经超出形式时，在我看来，与苹果相比，投资微软的风险较小。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-16 17:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Objectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.</li>  <li>In the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.</li>  <li>Apple and&nbsp;Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</li>  <li>In the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a07b4e98bb726c0044932fc29b3089b3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>vicnt/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>客观而言，现在股市大幅回调的可能性值得关注。</li><li>最近，苹果和微软对股市大幅下跌的反应不同。</li><li>苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</li><li>在假设回调的情况下，微软下跌的可能性低于苹果。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>vicnt/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>As an introduction...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>作为介绍...</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:</p><p><blockquote>自2020年3月美股上一次大回调结束以来，纳斯达克指数累计上涨近170%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a849f8e9ddf15f484770a5f0227fcd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.<i>This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.</i></p><p><blockquote>对于一年半来说，考虑到该指数过去十年的年均总价格回报率不超过20%，这是一个非常强劲的结果。<i>仅这一事实就让我们估计股市有可能出现新的大幅回调。</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37eb0178d9d463c7419b99632a6ec614\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有其他因素让我们对市场目前的价格水平保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> First, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:</p><p><blockquote>首先，今年流入股市的流动性创历史新高。我现在不说原因，很明显。但仅这一事实就让市场异常波动：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10623d7cecd8dec70bb229b809458b68\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"918\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bank of America</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Second, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is&nbsp;already outlined.</p><p><blockquote>第二，美国股市的相对规模已经超过名义GDP的200%。原则上，这不是一个根本性的限制。但正是超软货币政策让美国股市达到了目前的创纪录水平。最有可能的是，在这种情况下，逆转已经出现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f69cd6450737ddf3e5fcbd6406c793ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>最后是第三个。宏观周期也让我们预计市场将进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a6a794dde6f4e1d3e6e9149b55060\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:<i>in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?</i></p><p><blockquote>所以，客观而言，股市下一次回调的可能性至少值得关注。在这种情况下，我建议回答这个问题：<i>如果出现调整，苹果（AAPL）和微软（MSFT）哪家公司的跌幅更大？</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple vs. Microsoft?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么是苹果对微软？</b></blockquote></p><p> The decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>准确比较这两家公司的决定由两个因素决定。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:</p><p><blockquote>首先，这是科技行业最大的两家公司，合计占美国股市总市值的10%以上。这些公司规模如此之大，以至于原则上，仅凭它们的动态就可以引发新一波的调整：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3ef401b67c298ecbd9d56d31fc6927\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31417d34d6eacb724c20b3a274068467\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Secondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.</p><p><blockquote>其次，两家公司都支付股息。在基本面估值方面，这一因素发挥着重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Some Statistics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看两家公司在近期市场剧烈波动期间表现出的价格动态。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:</p><p><blockquote>为了做到这一点，我将三年的时间跨度分为八个市场运动时期：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfd9dec91d94990cf5217aa649758ac\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"578\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView, Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView，作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:</p><p><blockquote>以下是公司在每个时期显示的结果：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/868067f19c2251bfdb0658a251596fcc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> At first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:<i>during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.</i>But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，统计数据毫不含糊：<i>在回调期间，微软价格的跌幅往往小于苹果。</i>但另一方面，苹果在市场增长时期的表现一直更好。并且在这种情况下，得到的结果可以简单地用市场行为的技术因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> But in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...</p><p><blockquote>但在当前的增长期，两家公司的回报大致相同。因此，在这里我们找不到问题的线索...</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本原则</b></blockquote></p><p> Exclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.</p><p><blockquote>仅在投资背景下，公司股票的价格可以从两个角度来看待。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's&nbsp;<b>future cash flow</b>. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of&nbsp;<b>all potential dividends</b>that the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.</p><p><blockquote>价格一方面反映了公司的现值<b>未来现金流量</b>另一方面，价格是以下各项之和的现值<b>所有潜在股息</b>公司未来将支付的费用。让我们对苹果和微软的价格进行建模。为此，我将分别建立贴现现金流模型和股息贴现模型。</blockquote></p><p> In order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>为了使模型不那么主观，我将以分析师对公司未来十年收入和每股收益的平均预期为基础。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start with&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从<b>苹果</b>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f8fc4e5dc7025dd1227ea5279073aa5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notes:</p><p><blockquote>附注：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).</li>  <li>I used the current&nbsp;value&nbsp;of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.</li> </ul> Here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.33%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2020年的利息支出除以2019年和2018年的平均债务。</li></ul>以下是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfb45a9125bb1f465cd34a6a8a6d06a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的苹果股票目标价约为181美元（+22%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> In the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:</p><p><blockquote>以苹果为例，在构建股息贴现模型时还需要考虑公司持续积极回购的事实：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84076d0fc1bb5dbec8c1e6e19434153\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Continuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>继续当前的动态，该模型假设到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少至135亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Apple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果平均将净利润的25%用于股息。我假设派息率将保持在这个水平。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model itself:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8990a8299cc0652d77815710f0ab427\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的苹果股票目标价为69美元（-54%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Now let's take a look at Microsoft.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们来看看微软。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the WACC:</p><p><blockquote>以下是WACC的计算：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15889e90904c69497b749f28bd64190f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote>这是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dca7339e43f534807bf043b1931e1db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的微软股票目标价约为353美元（+18%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is also actively buying back shares:</p><p><blockquote>微软也在积极回购股票：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1deec463f584b5eb7913d72938d3e1ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我假设过去两年的动态将持续下去，到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少到72亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c863b92e948f78e518d5619b44647d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的微软股票目标价为203美元（-32%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Let's summarize:</p><p><blockquote>我们来总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b527d82270843e021a89a9ecdf68e6\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"212\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我长期以来一直在观察这些公司的类似结果。我的意思是，苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.</p><p><blockquote>这表明，在市场增长期间，投资者并不特别倾向于关注股息。此外，最有可能的股息被简单地视为奖金。</blockquote></p><p> But during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.</p><p><blockquote>但在市场调整期间，潜在股息的现值是价格难以下跌的最低水平。在这种背景下，我认为微软比苹果处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> At the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在市场周期的当前阶段，当回调的可能性已经超出形式时，在我看来，与苹果相比，投资微软的风险较小。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455478-apple-stock-vs-microsoft-stock-who-is-inclined-to-fall-harder-in-case-of-correction\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455478-apple-stock-vs-microsoft-stock-who-is-inclined-to-fall-harder-in-case-of-correction","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126607843","content_text":"Summary\n\nObjectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.\nIn the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.\nApple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.\nIn the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.\n\nvicnt/iStock via Getty Images\nAs an introduction...\nSince the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:\nData by YCharts\nFor a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nIn addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.\nFirst, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:\nSource: Bank of America\nSecond, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is already outlined.\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nAnd finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nSo, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?\nWhy Apple vs. Microsoft?\nThe decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.\nFirstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:\n\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nSecondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.\nSome Statistics\nTo begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.\nTo do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:\nSource: TradingView, Author\nHere are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:\nSource: Author\nAt first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.\nBut in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...\nFundamentals\nExclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.\nOn the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's future cash flow. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of all potential dividendsthat the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.\nIn order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.\nLet's start with Apple. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:\nSource: Author\nNotes:\n\nIn order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).\nI used the current value of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.\nTo calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.\n\nHere is the DCF model:\nSource: Author\nThe DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).\nIn the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:\nData by YCharts\nContinuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.\nApple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.\nHere is the Dividend Discount Model itself:\nSource: Author\nThe DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).\nNow let's take a look at Microsoft.\nHere is the calculation of the WACC:\nSource: Author\nAnd here is the DCF model:\nSource: Author\nThe DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).\nMicrosoft is also actively buying back shares:\nData by YCharts\nI proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.\nHere is the Dividend Discount Model:\nSource: Author\nThe DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).\nLet's summarize:\n\nIt is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.\nThis suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.\nBut during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.\nBottom line\nAt the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889460947,"gmtCreate":1631170237089,"gmtModify":1631888716806,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889460947","repostId":"2165399556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157702381,"gmtCreate":1625614110643,"gmtModify":1633939166960,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lastest","listText":"Lastest","text":"Lastest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157702381","repostId":"1106187901","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132857593,"gmtCreate":1622081574912,"gmtModify":1634184018297,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give a like pls.&nbsp;","listText":"Give a like pls.&nbsp;","text":"Give a like pls.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132857593","repostId":"1174912010","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":695583018,"gmtCreate":1641520220781,"gmtModify":1641520225204,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695583018","repostId":"2201295996","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692324017,"gmtCreate":1640856052848,"gmtModify":1640856053243,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692324017","repostId":"1194675549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194675549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640855408,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194675549?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194675549","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million","content":"<p><div> Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Four Corners Property Trust，Inc.报告以250万美元收购了Tire先生的三处房产。该公司以280万美元收购了Red Robin和AT&amp;T outparcel properties，以及Portillo的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For December 30, 2021<blockquote>2021年12月30日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-30 17:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Four Corners Property Trust，Inc.报告以250万美元收购了Tire先生的三处房产。该公司以280万美元收购了Red Robin和AT&amp;T outparcel properties，以及Portillo的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EGY":"瓦可能源","BIIB":"渤健公司","FCPT":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24825536/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-30-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194675549","content_text":"Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. reported acquisition of three Mr. Tire Properties for $2.5 million. The company acquired Red Robin and AT&T outparcel properties for $2.8 million, and Portillo’s restaurant property for $3.3 million. FCPT shares gained 1.6% to close at $29.69 on Wednesday.Biogen Inc. shares jumped over 9% on Wednesday after Korea Economic Daily reported that Samsung Group is in talks to buy the company. Biogen shares jumped 9.5% to close at $258.31 on Wednesday, adding another 0.7% in after-hours trading.VAALCO Energy, Inc. reported the filing of a $50 million shelf registration. VAALCO Energy shares fell 4.5% to $3.2001 in the after-hours trading session.TPG Pace Beneficial Finance Corp. and EVBox Group have mutually agreed to terminate their earlier announced business combination agreement. TPG Pace Beneficial Finance shares dropped 0.8% to $9.74 in the after-hours trading session.Shares of Scienjoy Holding Corporation gained more than 6% on Wednesday as the company agreed to acquire Hongle.tv for $43.8 million. Scienjoy shares rose further by 1.4% to $5.80 in the after-hours trading session.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCPT":0.9,"EGY":0.9,"TPGY":0.9,"SJOYW":0.9,"BIIB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607274689,"gmtCreate":1639554691614,"gmtModify":1639554765441,"author":{"id":"3582512755660221","authorId":"3582512755660221","name":"JoyJoyce","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb5d46e6bc286bef17e50a5c3c12d88","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582512755660221","idStr":"3582512755660221"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607274689","repostId":"1107549050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107549050","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639552499,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107549050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 15:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sanofi and GSK announce positive preliminary booster data for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate and continuation of Phase 3 trial per independent Monitoring Board recommendation<blockquote>赛诺菲和葛兰素史克宣布其COVID-19候选疫苗的积极初步加强数据，并根据独立监测委员会的建议继续进行3期试验</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107549050","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sanofi and GSK announce positive preliminary booster data for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate and c","content":"<p><b>Sanofi and GSK announce positive preliminary booster data for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate and continuation of Phase 3 trial per independent Monitoring Board recommendation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>赛诺菲和葛兰素史克宣布其COVID-19候选疫苗的积极初步加强数据，并根据独立监测委员会的建议继续进行3期试验</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Positive booster data show that neutralizing antibodies increased across all primary vaccines received (mRNA or adenovirus) in a 9- to 43-fold range and for all age groups tested, with a good safety and tolerability profile</li>  <li>Phase 3 trial continues to accrue number of events needed for analysis as populations around the world are increasingly exposed to COVID-19 variants; results expected in Q1, 2022</li>  <li>Companies intend to file booster data with regulatory authorities following the Phase 3 results</li> </ul> Sanofi and GSK announced today that a single booster dose of their recombinant adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccine candidate delivered consistently strong immune responses. Preliminary results from the VAT0002 clinical trial investigating the safety and immunogenicity of the booster showed neutralizing antibodies increased 9- to 43-fold regardless of the primary vaccine received (AstraZeneca, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech) and for all age groups tested. The booster was well tolerated, with a safety profile similar to currently approved COVID-19 vaccines. This is the most comprehensive booster trial to date to explore boosting across different vaccine technologies used for primary vaccination.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阳性加强剂数据显示，接受的所有初级疫苗（mRNA或腺病毒）中的中和抗体增加了9至43倍，并且对于所有测试的年龄组，具有良好的安全性和耐受性</li><li>随着世界各地的人群越来越多地暴露于新冠肺炎变种，3期试验继续增加分析所需的事件数量；预计2022年第一季度业绩</li><li>公司打算在第三阶段结果公布后向监管机构提交加强数据</li></ul>赛诺菲和葛兰素史克今天宣布，他们的重组佐剂新冠肺炎候选疫苗的单次加强剂量产生了持续强烈的免疫反应。调查加强剂安全性和免疫原性的VAT0002临床试验的初步结果显示，无论接受的初级疫苗（阿斯利康、强生、Moderna、辉瑞/BioNTech）和所有测试年龄组，中和抗体都增加了9至43倍。加强剂耐受性良好，安全性与目前批准的新冠肺炎疫苗相似。这是迄今为止最全面的加强试验，旨在探索用于初级疫苗接种的不同疫苗技术的加强。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing global Phase 3 trial, VAT0008, includes regular reviews by an independent Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB). During its last review, the DSMB identified no safety concerns and recommended the trial to continue into early 2022 to accrue more data.</p><p><blockquote>正在进行的全球3期试验VAT0008包括独立数据安全监测委员会(DSMB)的定期审查。在上次审查中，DSMB没有发现任何安全问题，并建议试验继续到2022年初，以积累更多数据。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory authorities require Phase 3 efficacy to be demonstrated in “naive” populations, i.e. participants who have never been infected by the COVID-19 virus (seronegative). The Phase 3 trial recruited most participants in Q3 2021, coinciding with a significant increase in the number of people infected by the COVID-19 virus globally due to the Delta variant. To provide the necessary data to regulatory authorities for the booster vaccine submission, the trial will continue to accrue the number of events needed for analysis, with results expected in Q1, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构要求在“幼稚”人群中证明3期疗效，即从未感染过新冠肺炎病毒（血清阴性）的参与者。3期试验在2021年第三季度招募了大多数参与者，恰逢德尔塔变异毒株导致全球感染COVID-19病毒的人数大幅增加。为了向监管机构提供加强疫苗提交所需的数据，该试验将继续累积分析所需的事件数量，预计将于2022年第一季度得出结果。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“These preliminary data show we have a strong booster candidate, whatever primary vaccine you have received.”</i>said Thomas Triomphe, Executive Vice President, Sanofi Pasteur.<i>“This is consistent with our efforts to provide relevantresponses to evolving public health needs. While pursuing a phase 3 trial is a challenge in a quickly shifting pandemic environment, we look forward to seeing the results to support submissions of our booster vaccine as quickly as possible.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“这些初步数据表明，无论您接种的是什么初级疫苗，我们都有一种强大的加强候选疫苗。”</i>赛诺菲巴斯德执行副总裁Thomas Triomphe说道。<i>“这与我们为不断变化的公共卫生需求提供相关响应的努力是一致的。虽然在快速变化的大流行环境中进行3期试验是一项挑战，但我们期待看到结果，以支持尽快提交我们的加强疫苗。”</i></blockquote></p><p> Roger Connor, President of GSK Vaccines, added<i>: “As the pandemic threat continues with the current dominant Delta variant and Omicron rapidly gaining ground, booster vaccines will continue to be needed to help protect people over time. The initial booster data are promising, and we await the phase III results to determine the next steps on making protein-based adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccines available.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克疫苗总裁罗杰·康纳补充道<i>：“随着大流行威胁的持续，目前占主导地位的德尔塔变异毒株和奥密克戎迅速取得进展，随着时间的推移，将继续需要加强疫苗来帮助保护人们。最初的加强数据很有希望，我们正在等待III期结果，以确定提供基于蛋白质的佐剂COVID-19疫苗的下一步措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In parallel, Sanofi continues its contribution to global public health needs with the manufacturing of up to half a billion doses from BioNTech/Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson &amp; Johnson vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，赛诺菲继续为全球公共卫生需求做出贡献，生产了多达5亿剂BioNTech/辉瑞、Moderna和强生疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the booster trial (VAT0002)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于加强试验（VAT0002）</b></blockquote></p><p> The VAT0002 extension trial is the most comprehensive heterologous booster trial conducted to date. In the first cohort of this trial, the four most-widely approved COVID-19 primary vaccines using mRNA and adenovirus vector technologies were boosted with the Sanofi/GSK protein-based adjuvanted vaccine candidate after full primary vaccination to assess its safety profile and immunogenicity.</p><p><blockquote>VAT0002扩展试验是迄今为止进行的最全面的异源加强试验。在该试验的第一个队列中，使用mRNA和腺病毒载体技术的四种最广泛批准的新冠肺炎初级疫苗在完全初级疫苗接种后用赛诺菲/GSK基于蛋白质的佐剂候选疫苗加强，以评估其安全性和免疫原性。</blockquote></p><p> Participants in the first cohort (n=521) had previously been vaccinated with the approved dosing schedule of an authorized COVID-19 mRNA vaccine (Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech,) or adenovirus vector vaccine (AstraZeneca, Johnson &amp; Johnson,). This preliminary analysis includes data from trial participants who received one 5µg booster dose of the adjuvanted recombinant protein vaccine targeting the D614 parent virus, between four and ten months after a complete primary vaccination schedule.</p><p><blockquote>第一个队列（n=521）的参与者之前已经接种了授权的新冠肺炎mRNA疫苗（Moderna，辉瑞/BioNTech）或腺病毒载体疫苗（阿斯利康，强生）的批准给药方案。该初步分析包括试验参与者的数据，这些参与者在完成初级疫苗接种计划后4至10个月期间接受了一次5µg加强剂量的针对D614亲本病毒的佐剂重组蛋白疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The trial is ongoing across sites in multiple countries, including the U.S., France, and the UK. To address the emergence of COVID-19 variants of concern, additional trial cohorts are assessing the boosting potential of monovalent and bivalent vaccine formulations also containing the Beta (B.1.351) variant. More data from this trial are expected during the first half of 2022. The Omicron variant was not circulating during the trial. Using sera from booster trial participants, testing is underway to establish the ability of the vaccine candidate to cross-neutralize against Omicron.</p><p><blockquote>该试验正在多个国家进行，包括美国、法国和英国。为了解决令人担忧的新冠肺炎变异体的出现，其他试验队列正在评估也含有β（B.1.351）变异体的单价和二价疫苗制剂的加强潜力。该试验的更多数据预计将在2022年上半年公布。奥密克戎变种在试验期间没有传播。使用加强试验参与者的血清，正在进行测试，以确定候选疫苗交叉中和奥密克戎病毒的能力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the Phase 3 efficacy trial (VAT0008)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于3期疗效试验（VAT0008）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The primary endpoint of this ongoing Phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial is the prevention of symptomatic COVID-19 in SARS-CoV-2 naïve adults, with secondary endpoints of preventing severe COVID-19 disease and infection. Stage one of the trial is assessing the efficacy of a vaccine formulation containing the spike protein against the original D614 (parent) virus in more than 10,000 participants &gt;18 years of age, randomized to receive two doses of 10µg vaccine or placebo at day 1 and day 22 across sites in the US, Asia, Africa and Latin America. A second stage in the trial is evaluating a second bivalent formulation, adding the spike protein of the B.1.351 (Beta) variant.</p><p><blockquote>这项正在进行的3期、随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验的主要终点是在新型冠状病毒初治成人中预防有症状的COVID-19，次要终点是预防严重的COVID-19疾病和感染。该试验的第一阶段正在评估含有刺突蛋白的疫苗制剂对原始D614（亲代）病毒的功效，超过10,000名年龄&gt;18岁的参与者随机接受两剂10µg疫苗或安慰剂在美国、亚洲、非洲和拉丁美洲的研究中心第1天和第22天。试验的第二阶段是评估第二种二价制剂，添加B.1.351（β）变体的刺突蛋白。</blockquote></p><p> These efforts are supported by federal funds from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, part of the office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Defense Joint Program Executive Office for Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Defense under Contract # W15QKN-16-9-1002.</p><p><blockquote>这些努力得到了生物医学高级研究与发展局的联邦资金的支持，该局是美国负责准备和响应的助理部长办公室的一部分。卫生与公众服务部与美国合作。国防部化学、生物、辐射和核防御联合计划执行办公室，合同号为W15QKN-16-9-1002。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the Sanofi and GSK collaboration</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于赛诺菲与葛兰素史克合作</b></blockquote></p><p> In the collaboration between the two companies, Sanofi provides its recombinant antigen and GSK contributes its pandemic adjuvant, both established vaccine platforms that have proven successful against influenza.</p><p><blockquote>在两家公司的合作中，赛诺菲提供其重组抗原，葛兰素史克提供其大流行佐剂，这两个已建立的疫苗平台已被证明在对抗流感方面是成功的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About GSK</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于GSK</b></blockquote></p><p> GSK is a science-led global healthcare company with a special purpose: to help people do more, feel better, live longer. GSK is the leading manufacturer of vaccines globally.</p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克是一家以科学为主导的全球医疗保健公司，有着特殊的目标：帮助人们做得更多，感觉更好，活得更长。葛兰素史克是全球领先的疫苗制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About Sanofi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于赛诺菲</b></blockquote></p><p> Sanofi is dedicated to supporting people through their health challenges. It is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on human health. It prevent illness with vaccines, provide innovative treatments to fight pain and ease suffering. It stand by the few who suffer from rare diseases and the millions with long-term chronic conditions.</p><p><blockquote>赛诺菲致力于支持人们应对健康挑战。是一家专注于人类健康的全球性生物制药公司。它通过疫苗预防疾病，提供创新的治疗方法来对抗疼痛和减轻痛苦。它支持少数患有罕见疾病的人和数百万患有长期慢性病的人。</blockquote></p><p> With more than 100,000 people in 100 countries, Sanofi is transforming scientific innovation into healthcare solutions around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>赛诺菲在100个国家拥有超过100,000名员工，正在将科学创新转化为全球医疗保健解决方案。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sanofi and GSK announce positive preliminary booster data for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate and continuation of Phase 3 trial per independent Monitoring Board recommendation<blockquote>赛诺菲和葛兰素史克宣布其COVID-19候选疫苗的积极初步加强数据，并根据独立监测委员会的建议继续进行3期试验</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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results expected in Q1, 2022</li>  <li>Companies intend to file booster data with regulatory authorities following the Phase 3 results</li> </ul> Sanofi and GSK announced today that a single booster dose of their recombinant adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccine candidate delivered consistently strong immune responses. Preliminary results from the VAT0002 clinical trial investigating the safety and immunogenicity of the booster showed neutralizing antibodies increased 9- to 43-fold regardless of the primary vaccine received (AstraZeneca, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech) and for all age groups tested. The booster was well tolerated, with a safety profile similar to currently approved COVID-19 vaccines. This is the most comprehensive booster trial to date to explore boosting across different vaccine technologies used for primary vaccination.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阳性加强剂数据显示，接受的所有初级疫苗（mRNA或腺病毒）中的中和抗体增加了9至43倍，并且对于所有测试的年龄组，具有良好的安全性和耐受性</li><li>随着世界各地的人群越来越多地暴露于新冠肺炎变种，3期试验继续增加分析所需的事件数量；预计2022年第一季度业绩</li><li>公司打算在第三阶段结果公布后向监管机构提交加强数据</li></ul>赛诺菲和葛兰素史克今天宣布，他们的重组佐剂新冠肺炎候选疫苗的单次加强剂量产生了持续强烈的免疫反应。调查加强剂安全性和免疫原性的VAT0002临床试验的初步结果显示，无论接受的初级疫苗（阿斯利康、强生、Moderna、辉瑞/BioNTech）和所有测试年龄组，中和抗体都增加了9至43倍。加强剂耐受性良好，安全性与目前批准的新冠肺炎疫苗相似。这是迄今为止最全面的加强试验，旨在探索用于初级疫苗接种的不同疫苗技术的加强。</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing global Phase 3 trial, VAT0008, includes regular reviews by an independent Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB). During its last review, the DSMB identified no safety concerns and recommended the trial to continue into early 2022 to accrue more data.</p><p><blockquote>正在进行的全球3期试验VAT0008包括独立数据安全监测委员会(DSMB)的定期审查。在上次审查中，DSMB没有发现任何安全问题，并建议试验继续到2022年初，以积累更多数据。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory authorities require Phase 3 efficacy to be demonstrated in “naive” populations, i.e. participants who have never been infected by the COVID-19 virus (seronegative). The Phase 3 trial recruited most participants in Q3 2021, coinciding with a significant increase in the number of people infected by the COVID-19 virus globally due to the Delta variant. To provide the necessary data to regulatory authorities for the booster vaccine submission, the trial will continue to accrue the number of events needed for analysis, with results expected in Q1, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>监管机构要求在“幼稚”人群中证明3期疗效，即从未感染过新冠肺炎病毒（血清阴性）的参与者。3期试验在2021年第三季度招募了大多数参与者，恰逢德尔塔变异毒株导致全球感染COVID-19病毒的人数大幅增加。为了向监管机构提供加强疫苗提交所需的数据，该试验将继续累积分析所需的事件数量，预计将于2022年第一季度得出结果。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“These preliminary data show we have a strong booster candidate, whatever primary vaccine you have received.”</i>said Thomas Triomphe, Executive Vice President, Sanofi Pasteur.<i>“This is consistent with our efforts to provide relevantresponses to evolving public health needs. While pursuing a phase 3 trial is a challenge in a quickly shifting pandemic environment, we look forward to seeing the results to support submissions of our booster vaccine as quickly as possible.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“这些初步数据表明，无论您接种的是什么初级疫苗，我们都有一种强大的加强候选疫苗。”</i>赛诺菲巴斯德执行副总裁Thomas Triomphe说道。<i>“这与我们为不断变化的公共卫生需求提供相关响应的努力是一致的。虽然在快速变化的大流行环境中进行3期试验是一项挑战，但我们期待看到结果，以支持尽快提交我们的加强疫苗。”</i></blockquote></p><p> Roger Connor, President of GSK Vaccines, added<i>: “As the pandemic threat continues with the current dominant Delta variant and Omicron rapidly gaining ground, booster vaccines will continue to be needed to help protect people over time. The initial booster data are promising, and we await the phase III results to determine the next steps on making protein-based adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccines available.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克疫苗总裁罗杰·康纳补充道<i>：“随着大流行威胁的持续，目前占主导地位的德尔塔变异毒株和奥密克戎迅速取得进展，随着时间的推移，将继续需要加强疫苗来帮助保护人们。最初的加强数据很有希望，我们正在等待III期结果，以确定提供基于蛋白质的佐剂COVID-19疫苗的下一步措施。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In parallel, Sanofi continues its contribution to global public health needs with the manufacturing of up to half a billion doses from BioNTech/Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson &amp; Johnson vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，赛诺菲继续为全球公共卫生需求做出贡献，生产了多达5亿剂BioNTech/辉瑞、Moderna和强生疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the booster trial (VAT0002)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于加强试验（VAT0002）</b></blockquote></p><p> The VAT0002 extension trial is the most comprehensive heterologous booster trial conducted to date. In the first cohort of this trial, the four most-widely approved COVID-19 primary vaccines using mRNA and adenovirus vector technologies were boosted with the Sanofi/GSK protein-based adjuvanted vaccine candidate after full primary vaccination to assess its safety profile and immunogenicity.</p><p><blockquote>VAT0002扩展试验是迄今为止进行的最全面的异源加强试验。在该试验的第一个队列中，使用mRNA和腺病毒载体技术的四种最广泛批准的新冠肺炎初级疫苗在完全初级疫苗接种后用赛诺菲/GSK基于蛋白质的佐剂候选疫苗加强，以评估其安全性和免疫原性。</blockquote></p><p> Participants in the first cohort (n=521) had previously been vaccinated with the approved dosing schedule of an authorized COVID-19 mRNA vaccine (Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech,) or adenovirus vector vaccine (AstraZeneca, Johnson &amp; Johnson,). This preliminary analysis includes data from trial participants who received one 5µg booster dose of the adjuvanted recombinant protein vaccine targeting the D614 parent virus, between four and ten months after a complete primary vaccination schedule.</p><p><blockquote>第一个队列（n=521）的参与者之前已经接种了授权的新冠肺炎mRNA疫苗（Moderna，辉瑞/BioNTech）或腺病毒载体疫苗（阿斯利康，强生）的批准给药方案。该初步分析包括试验参与者的数据，这些参与者在完成初级疫苗接种计划后4至10个月期间接受了一次5µg加强剂量的针对D614亲本病毒的佐剂重组蛋白疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> The trial is ongoing across sites in multiple countries, including the U.S., France, and the UK. To address the emergence of COVID-19 variants of concern, additional trial cohorts are assessing the boosting potential of monovalent and bivalent vaccine formulations also containing the Beta (B.1.351) variant. More data from this trial are expected during the first half of 2022. The Omicron variant was not circulating during the trial. Using sera from booster trial participants, testing is underway to establish the ability of the vaccine candidate to cross-neutralize against Omicron.</p><p><blockquote>该试验正在多个国家进行，包括美国、法国和英国。为了解决令人担忧的新冠肺炎变异体的出现，其他试验队列正在评估也含有β（B.1.351）变异体的单价和二价疫苗制剂的加强潜力。该试验的更多数据预计将在2022年上半年公布。奥密克戎变种在试验期间没有传播。使用加强试验参与者的血清，正在进行测试，以确定候选疫苗交叉中和奥密克戎病毒的能力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the Phase 3 efficacy trial (VAT0008)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于3期疗效试验（VAT0008）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The primary endpoint of this ongoing Phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial is the prevention of symptomatic COVID-19 in SARS-CoV-2 naïve adults, with secondary endpoints of preventing severe COVID-19 disease and infection. Stage one of the trial is assessing the efficacy of a vaccine formulation containing the spike protein against the original D614 (parent) virus in more than 10,000 participants &gt;18 years of age, randomized to receive two doses of 10µg vaccine or placebo at day 1 and day 22 across sites in the US, Asia, Africa and Latin America. A second stage in the trial is evaluating a second bivalent formulation, adding the spike protein of the B.1.351 (Beta) variant.</p><p><blockquote>这项正在进行的3期、随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验的主要终点是在新型冠状病毒初治成人中预防有症状的COVID-19，次要终点是预防严重的COVID-19疾病和感染。该试验的第一阶段正在评估含有刺突蛋白的疫苗制剂对原始D614（亲代）病毒的功效，超过10,000名年龄&gt;18岁的参与者随机接受两剂10µg疫苗或安慰剂在美国、亚洲、非洲和拉丁美洲的研究中心第1天和第22天。试验的第二阶段是评估第二种二价制剂，添加B.1.351（β）变体的刺突蛋白。</blockquote></p><p> These efforts are supported by federal funds from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, part of the office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Defense Joint Program Executive Office for Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Defense under Contract # W15QKN-16-9-1002.</p><p><blockquote>这些努力得到了生物医学高级研究与发展局的联邦资金的支持，该局是美国负责准备和响应的助理部长办公室的一部分。卫生与公众服务部与美国合作。国防部化学、生物、辐射和核防御联合计划执行办公室，合同号为W15QKN-16-9-1002。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About the Sanofi and GSK collaboration</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于赛诺菲与葛兰素史克合作</b></blockquote></p><p> In the collaboration between the two companies, Sanofi provides its recombinant antigen and GSK contributes its pandemic adjuvant, both established vaccine platforms that have proven successful against influenza.</p><p><blockquote>在两家公司的合作中，赛诺菲提供其重组抗原，葛兰素史克提供其大流行佐剂，这两个已建立的疫苗平台已被证明在对抗流感方面是成功的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About GSK</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于GSK</b></blockquote></p><p> GSK is a science-led global healthcare company with a special purpose: to help people do more, feel better, live longer. GSK is the leading manufacturer of vaccines globally.</p><p><blockquote>葛兰素史克是一家以科学为主导的全球医疗保健公司，有着特殊的目标：帮助人们做得更多，感觉更好，活得更长。葛兰素史克是全球领先的疫苗制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About Sanofi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于赛诺菲</b></blockquote></p><p> Sanofi is dedicated to supporting people through their health challenges. It is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on human health. It prevent illness with vaccines, provide innovative treatments to fight pain and ease suffering. It stand by the few who suffer from rare diseases and the millions with long-term chronic conditions.</p><p><blockquote>赛诺菲致力于支持人们应对健康挑战。是一家专注于人类健康的全球性生物制药公司。它通过疫苗预防疾病，提供创新的治疗方法来对抗疼痛和减轻痛苦。它支持少数患有罕见疾病的人和数百万患有长期慢性病的人。</blockquote></p><p> With more than 100,000 people in 100 countries, Sanofi is transforming scientific innovation into healthcare solutions around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>赛诺菲在100个国家拥有超过100,000名员工，正在将科学创新转化为全球医疗保健解决方案。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GSK":"葛兰素史克","SNY":"赛诺菲安万特"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107549050","content_text":"Sanofi and GSK announce positive preliminary booster data for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate and continuation of Phase 3 trial per independent Monitoring Board recommendation\n\nPositive booster data show that neutralizing antibodies increased across all primary vaccines received (mRNA or adenovirus) in a 9- to 43-fold range and for all age groups tested, with a good safety and tolerability profile\nPhase 3 trial continues to accrue number of events needed for analysis as populations around the world are increasingly exposed to COVID-19 variants; results expected in Q1, 2022\nCompanies intend to file booster data with regulatory authorities following the Phase 3 results\n\nSanofi and GSK announced today that a single booster dose of their recombinant adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccine candidate delivered consistently strong immune responses. Preliminary results from the VAT0002 clinical trial investigating the safety and immunogenicity of the booster showed neutralizing antibodies increased 9- to 43-fold regardless of the primary vaccine received (AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech) and for all age groups tested. The booster was well tolerated, with a safety profile similar to currently approved COVID-19 vaccines. This is the most comprehensive booster trial to date to explore boosting across different vaccine technologies used for primary vaccination.\nThe ongoing global Phase 3 trial, VAT0008, includes regular reviews by an independent Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB). During its last review, the DSMB identified no safety concerns and recommended the trial to continue into early 2022 to accrue more data.\nRegulatory authorities require Phase 3 efficacy to be demonstrated in “naive” populations, i.e. participants who have never been infected by the COVID-19 virus (seronegative). The Phase 3 trial recruited most participants in Q3 2021, coinciding with a significant increase in the number of people infected by the COVID-19 virus globally due to the Delta variant. To provide the necessary data to regulatory authorities for the booster vaccine submission, the trial will continue to accrue the number of events needed for analysis, with results expected in Q1, 2022.\n“These preliminary data show we have a strong booster candidate, whatever primary vaccine you have received.”said Thomas Triomphe, Executive Vice President, Sanofi Pasteur.“This is consistent with our efforts to provide relevantresponses to evolving public health needs. While pursuing a phase 3 trial is a challenge in a quickly shifting pandemic environment, we look forward to seeing the results to support submissions of our booster vaccine as quickly as possible.”\nRoger Connor, President of GSK Vaccines, added: “As the pandemic threat continues with the current dominant Delta variant and Omicron rapidly gaining ground, booster vaccines will continue to be needed to help protect people over time. The initial booster data are promising, and we await the phase III results to determine the next steps on making protein-based adjuvanted COVID-19 vaccines available.\"\nIn parallel, Sanofi continues its contribution to global public health needs with the manufacturing of up to half a billion doses from BioNTech/Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson vaccines.\nAbout the booster trial (VAT0002)\nThe VAT0002 extension trial is the most comprehensive heterologous booster trial conducted to date. In the first cohort of this trial, the four most-widely approved COVID-19 primary vaccines using mRNA and adenovirus vector technologies were boosted with the Sanofi/GSK protein-based adjuvanted vaccine candidate after full primary vaccination to assess its safety profile and immunogenicity.\nParticipants in the first cohort (n=521) had previously been vaccinated with the approved dosing schedule of an authorized COVID-19 mRNA vaccine (Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech,) or adenovirus vector vaccine (AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson,). This preliminary analysis includes data from trial participants who received one 5µg booster dose of the adjuvanted recombinant protein vaccine targeting the D614 parent virus, between four and ten months after a complete primary vaccination schedule.\nThe trial is ongoing across sites in multiple countries, including the U.S., France, and the UK. To address the emergence of COVID-19 variants of concern, additional trial cohorts are assessing the boosting potential of monovalent and bivalent vaccine formulations also containing the Beta (B.1.351) variant. More data from this trial are expected during the first half of 2022. The Omicron variant was not circulating during the trial. Using sera from booster trial participants, testing is underway to establish the ability of the vaccine candidate to cross-neutralize against Omicron.\nAbout the Phase 3 efficacy trial (VAT0008)\nThe primary endpoint of this ongoing Phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial is the prevention of symptomatic COVID-19 in SARS-CoV-2 naïve adults, with secondary endpoints of preventing severe COVID-19 disease and infection. Stage one of the trial is assessing the efficacy of a vaccine formulation containing the spike protein against the original D614 (parent) virus in more than 10,000 participants >18 years of age, randomized to receive two doses of 10µg vaccine or placebo at day 1 and day 22 across sites in the US, Asia, Africa and Latin America. A second stage in the trial is evaluating a second bivalent formulation, adding the spike protein of the B.1.351 (Beta) variant.\nThese efforts are supported by federal funds from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, part of the office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Defense Joint Program Executive Office for Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Defense under Contract # W15QKN-16-9-1002.\nAbout the Sanofi and GSK collaboration\nIn the collaboration between the two companies, Sanofi provides its recombinant antigen and GSK contributes its pandemic adjuvant, both established vaccine platforms that have proven successful against influenza.\nAbout GSK\nGSK is a science-led global healthcare company with a special purpose: to help people do more, feel better, live longer. GSK is the leading manufacturer of vaccines globally.\nAbout Sanofi\nSanofi is dedicated to supporting people through their health challenges. It is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on human health. It prevent illness with vaccines, provide innovative treatments to fight pain and ease suffering. It stand by the few who suffer from rare diseases and the millions with long-term chronic conditions.\nWith more than 100,000 people in 100 countries, Sanofi is transforming scientific innovation into healthcare solutions around the globe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GSK":0.9,"SNY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}