MaoMao0314的个人主页 - 老虎社区

MaoMao0314

MaoMao0314

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2021-10-31

https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/850756569?invite=5C6Z2J&lang=en_US

2021-10-13

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2021-10-11

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2021-10-10

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2021-10-09

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S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>

2021-10-08

hi

September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>

2021-10-07

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2021-10-06

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2021-10-05

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Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says<blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官表示，由于芯片短缺，戴姆勒卡车产量远低于销量</blockquote>

2021-10-04

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2021-10-02

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3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>

2021-10-01

Hihihi

Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market<blockquote>为什么九月不会让你对股市感到恐慌</blockquote>

2021-09-30

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2021-09-28

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2021-09-27

hi

Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-09-26

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2021-09-26

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2021-09-25

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2021-09-25

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2021-09-24

hi

IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote>

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07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821926106,"gmtCreate":1633689270282,"gmtModify":1633689270420,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821926106","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的首次申请失业救济报告和稳健的ADP私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午830点发布的周五非农就业报告，市场普遍预计非农就业报告将达到50万份——是上个月令人失望的23.5万份的两倍多——失业率降至5.1%，平均时薪增加至4.6%。与上个月不同的是，当我们正确预测8月份就业人数将大幅下降时，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个节拍，唯一的问题是幅度有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最新24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动参与率：61.8%，上次61.7%</li><li>平均时薪同比：4.6%，过去4.3%</li><li>平均每周工作时间：34.7，最后34.7</li></ul>正如Newsquawk在其NFP预览中所写，9月份的就业数据是美联储11月3日政策会议之前的最后一份数据，将在美联储预期宣布缩减规模的背景下进行，在这种背景下，一份令人满意的报告可能足以让FOMC批准11月份宣布缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，预计9月份非农就业人数增加60万，高于市场普遍预期的+50万，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9月5日全国范围内强化失业救济金到期，提振了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像7月和8月提前结束联邦救济金的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的人数将增加20万，10月份的增幅更大。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业增长约15万人。尽管有这些有利因素，但大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标一直具有建设性：ADP的就业数据出人意料地上升，尽管分析师继续指出，官方数据与ADP数据之间的直接关系很脆弱，尽管过去三份报告的差距低于10万。在8月和9月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近发布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次升至增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日13:30 BST/08：30EDT发布9月就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员实际上已经确认，除非就业数据崩溃，否则美联储将在11月3日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，9月份就业报告可能会降低对交易状况的相关性。因此，交易风险可能偏向下行，而不是上行，就业人数大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力进展如何；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许资金进入12月；一些分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>市场普遍预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将低于三个月和六个月的平均增长率，尽管与12个月的平均增长率一致（3个月的平均增长率为75万/月，6个月的平均增长率为65.3万/月，12个月的平均增长率为50.3万/月——这至少在技术上表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所改善）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍处于失业状态。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛措施：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（此前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而疫情前为63.2%；U6衡量就业不足的指标此前为8.8%，而疫情前为7.0%；就业与人口比率之前为58.5%，而疫情之前为61.1%。这些宽松指标可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，许多人最近几个月指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业人口比率，以便更好地应对经济中仍然存在的宽松程度。这些数据越接近大流行前的水平，分析师就会受到鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均时薪预计为+0.4%M/M（前值为+0.6%）；平均时薪预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（之前为34.7小时）。汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，仍有约533万美国人失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管就业岗位新增速度较第二季度的74.8万个明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏仍在继续取得进展。报告还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是经济复苏的最大受益者之一，但表示招聘仍受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，尤其是对小企业而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能为未来几个月的就业增长奠定基础。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型包含了许多之前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；Pantheon Macroeconomics表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制ADP数据。”“因此，超出共识表明ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超出是模型驱动的还是由于就业数据更强劲在ADP的客户。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与BLS就业报告调查窗口一致的当周首次申请失业救济人数约为35.1万人，与8月份就业数据调查窗口的34.9万人相比变化不大，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而飓风艾达可能会产生一些挥之不去的影响；9月份调查期间相应的持续申领数据已降至280.2万人，而8月份调查期间为290.8万人。总体而言，数据继续显示下降趋势，尽管最近几周初请失业金人数再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>：9月份服务业和制造业ISM报告显示出不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从53.7小幅放缓至53.0，表明增长但速度放缓，而制造业就业分项指数则回升至扩张区域，从之前的49.0升至50.2。在制造业方面，ISM表示，企业仍在努力实现劳资计划，但指出与前几个月相比出现了一些适度的进展迹象：“不到5%的评论指出就业方面有所改善，而8月份没有任何评论”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘”，其中约85%的回复是关于寻求额外人员，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，比8月份有所增加。ISM表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论频率不断增加，延续了8月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，并且缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各个层面都存在劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>主张一份好于预期的报告</b>：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦强化失业救济金结束</b>一些州联邦福利的到期提振了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7月和8月的数据显示，从6月到8月，失去300美元补充付款的工人的找工作概率累计增加了6个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的找工作概率增加了12个百分点。<b>9月5日失去部分或全部福利的600万工人中，一些人在9月18日之前找到了工作——及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将促进就业增长+20万，在随后的报告中会有更大的增长（到年底累计+130万）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校重新开学</b>.最大的100个学区都开放了面对面学习，促进了许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员的回归。虽然就业水平完全正常化将创造60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，BLS的季节性因素已经嵌入了夏季裁员中通常重新雇用教育工作者的情况，因此，如果返回工作岗位的看门人比典型的9月份少，在其他条件相同的情况下，这将减少经季节性调整的就业增长。总而言之，假设明天的报告中学校重新开放将增加大约15万人。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会（Conference Board）的劳动力差异——表示工作岗位充足的受访者与表示工作岗位难以获得的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%小幅降至42.5%，仍处于较高水平。此外，7月份JOLTS职位空缺增加了74.9万个，创下1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP.</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资措施中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8月份，covid感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。尽管美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放式餐桌上的餐厅座位仅小幅反弹。休闲和酒店业就业人数在9月份有所增加，但可能不会像6月和7月那样以每月约40万的速度增长。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查的就业部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将会回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数维持在54.5不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降0.4个百分点至57.8。高盛分析师指数(GSAI)下降0.8%至68.5，但就业指数上涨1.9%至71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>在8月和9月的调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项表明涨幅等于或高于共识（Census Small Business Pulse+0.5百万，ADP+0.6百万，Google mobility+200百万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当弱，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明，随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应阻力大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月的季节门槛比较低：BLS调整系数一般假定私人收入（不包括公立学校）下降60-700K，而7月和8月平均下降10万左右。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏末减少裁员。部分抵消了这一顺风，9月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变——特别是通过适应去年9月重新开放驱动的就业激增（私人就业人数+93.2万环比sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济。</b>尽管个人过渡或试图过渡到州计划，但9月份首次申请失业救济人数有所下降，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万），但也是出于非经济原因（联邦增强计划到期）。从一个调查周到另一个调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray&amp;Christmas报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降14%后，9月份环比反弹11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，根据这一指标，裁员仍接近30年来的最低点（1993年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9月就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的首次申请失业救济报告和稳健的ADP私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午830点发布的周五非农就业报告，市场普遍预计非农就业报告将达到50万份——是上个月令人失望的23.5万份的两倍多——失业率降至5.1%，平均时薪增加至4.6%。与上个月不同的是，当我们正确预测8月份就业人数将大幅下降时，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个节拍，唯一的问题是幅度有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最新24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动参与率：61.8%，上次61.7%</li><li>平均时薪同比：4.6%，过去4.3%</li><li>平均每周工作时间：34.7，最后34.7</li></ul>正如Newsquawk在其NFP预览中所写，9月份的就业数据是美联储11月3日政策会议之前的最后一份数据，将在美联储预期宣布缩减规模的背景下进行，在这种背景下，一份令人满意的报告可能足以让FOMC批准11月份宣布缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，预计9月份非农就业人数增加60万，高于市场普遍预期的+50万，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9月5日全国范围内强化失业救济金到期，提振了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像7月和8月提前结束联邦救济金的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的人数将增加20万，10月份的增幅更大。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业增长约15万人。尽管有这些有利因素，但大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标一直具有建设性：ADP的就业数据出人意料地上升，尽管分析师继续指出，官方数据与ADP数据之间的直接关系很脆弱，尽管过去三份报告的差距低于10万。在8月和9月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近发布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次升至增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日13:30 BST/08：30EDT发布9月就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员实际上已经确认，除非就业数据崩溃，否则美联储将在11月3日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，9月份就业报告可能会降低对交易状况的相关性。因此，交易风险可能偏向下行，而不是上行，就业人数大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力进展如何；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许资金进入12月；一些分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>市场普遍预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将低于三个月和六个月的平均增长率，尽管与12个月的平均增长率一致（3个月的平均增长率为75万/月，6个月的平均增长率为65.3万/月，12个月的平均增长率为50.3万/月——这至少在技术上表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所改善）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍处于失业状态。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛措施：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（此前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而疫情前为63.2%；U6衡量就业不足的指标此前为8.8%，而疫情前为7.0%；就业与人口比率之前为58.5%，而疫情之前为61.1%。这些宽松指标可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，许多人最近几个月指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业人口比率，以便更好地应对经济中仍然存在的宽松程度。这些数据越接近大流行前的水平，分析师就会受到鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均时薪预计为+0.4%M/M（前值为+0.6%）；平均时薪预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（之前为34.7小时）。汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，仍有约533万美国人失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管就业岗位新增速度较第二季度的74.8万个明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏仍在继续取得进展。报告还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是经济复苏的最大受益者之一，但表示招聘仍受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，尤其是对小企业而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能为未来几个月的就业增长奠定基础。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型包含了许多之前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；Pantheon Macroeconomics表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制ADP数据。”“因此，超出共识表明ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超出是模型驱动的还是由于就业数据更强劲在ADP的客户。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与BLS就业报告调查窗口一致的当周首次申请失业救济人数约为35.1万人，与8月份就业数据调查窗口的34.9万人相比变化不大，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而飓风艾达可能会产生一些挥之不去的影响；9月份调查期间相应的持续申领数据已降至280.2万人，而8月份调查期间为290.8万人。总体而言，数据继续显示下降趋势，尽管最近几周初请失业金人数再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>：9月份服务业和制造业ISM报告显示出不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从53.7小幅放缓至53.0，表明增长但速度放缓，而制造业就业分项指数则回升至扩张区域，从之前的49.0升至50.2。在制造业方面，ISM表示，企业仍在努力实现劳资计划，但指出与前几个月相比出现了一些适度的进展迹象：“不到5%的评论指出就业方面有所改善，而8月份没有任何评论”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘”，其中约85%的回复是关于寻求额外人员，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，比8月份有所增加。ISM表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论频率不断增加，延续了8月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，并且缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各个层面都存在劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>主张一份好于预期的报告</b>：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦强化失业救济金结束</b>一些州联邦福利的到期提振了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7月和8月的数据显示，从6月到8月，失去300美元补充付款的工人的找工作概率累计增加了6个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的找工作概率增加了12个百分点。<b>9月5日失去部分或全部福利的600万工人中，一些人在9月18日之前找到了工作——及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将促进就业增长+20万，在随后的报告中会有更大的增长（到年底累计+130万）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校重新开学</b>.最大的100个学区都开放了面对面学习，促进了许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员的回归。虽然就业水平完全正常化将创造60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，BLS的季节性因素已经嵌入了夏季裁员中通常重新雇用教育工作者的情况，因此，如果返回工作岗位的看门人比典型的9月份少，在其他条件相同的情况下，这将减少经季节性调整的就业增长。总而言之，假设明天的报告中学校重新开放将增加大约15万人。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会（Conference Board）的劳动力差异——表示工作岗位充足的受访者与表示工作岗位难以获得的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%小幅降至42.5%，仍处于较高水平。此外，7月份JOLTS职位空缺增加了74.9万个，创下1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP.</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资措施中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8月份，covid感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。尽管美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放式餐桌上的餐厅座位仅小幅反弹。休闲和酒店业就业人数在9月份有所增加，但可能不会像6月和7月那样以每月约40万的速度增长。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查的就业部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将会回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数维持在54.5不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降0.4个百分点至57.8。高盛分析师指数(GSAI)下降0.8%至68.5，但就业指数上涨1.9%至71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>在8月和9月的调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项表明涨幅等于或高于共识（Census Small Business Pulse+0.5百万，ADP+0.6百万，Google mobility+200百万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当弱，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明，随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应阻力大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月的季节门槛比较低：BLS调整系数一般假定私人收入（不包括公立学校）下降60-700K，而7月和8月平均下降10万左右。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏末减少裁员。部分抵消了这一顺风，9月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变——特别是通过适应去年9月重新开放驱动的就业激增（私人就业人数+93.2万环比sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济。</b>尽管个人过渡或试图过渡到州计划，但9月份首次申请失业救济人数有所下降，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万），但也是出于非经济原因（联邦增强计划到期）。从一个调查周到另一个调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray&amp;Christmas报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降14%后，9月份环比反弹11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，根据这一指标，裁员仍接近30年来的最低点（1993年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823695250,"gmtCreate":1633616604306,"gmtModify":1633616647620,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823695250","repostId":"1170599877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829357492,"gmtCreate":1633476875626,"gmtModify":1633476875796,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829357492","repostId":"1101968131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820798137,"gmtCreate":1633428583833,"gmtModify":1633428584003,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820798137","repostId":"1194035077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194035077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633424174,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194035077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 16:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says<blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官表示，由于芯片短缺，戴姆勒卡车产量远低于销量</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194035077","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler ","content":"<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper production.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-戴姆勒卡车公司首席执行官马丁·道姆表示，由于芯片短缺阻碍了生产，这家将于12月从戴姆勒分拆出来的卡车制造商来年的销量无疑将低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will certainly be delivering less than we could have sold, and that also applies to next year,\" he said at a roundtable with journalists on Tuesday, echoing recent warnings from competitors like Traton that profits could fall in the second half.</p><p><blockquote>他在周二与记者举行的圆桌会议上表示：“我们的交付量肯定会低于销量，这也适用于明年。”这呼应了Traton等竞争对手最近发出的下半年利润可能下降的警告。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a fight over every chip,\" Daum said.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一场争夺每一个筹码的战斗，”道姆说。</blockquote></p><p> While passenger vehicle producers like BMW or Daimler can increase prices to offset chip losses, truckmakers do not have this flexibility, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，虽然宝马或戴姆勒等乘用车生产商可以提高价格来抵消芯片损失，但卡车制造商没有这种灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the company has committed to a 15% fixed-cost reduction from 2019 levels by 2025, and cuts are \"well underway\", he said. A concrete update will be provided at the company's Capital Markets Day on Nov. 11.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，尽管如此，该公司仍承诺到2025年将固定成本从2019年的水平降低15%，而且削减工作正在“顺利进行”。具体更新将在11月11日的公司资本市场日提供。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says<blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官表示，由于芯片短缺，戴姆勒卡车产量远低于销量</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDaimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says<blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官表示，由于芯片短缺，戴姆勒卡车产量远低于销量</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-05 16:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper production.</p><p><blockquote>柏林（路透社）-戴姆勒卡车公司首席执行官马丁·道姆表示，由于芯片短缺阻碍了生产，这家将于12月从戴姆勒分拆出来的卡车制造商来年的销量无疑将低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will certainly be delivering less than we could have sold, and that also applies to next year,\" he said at a roundtable with journalists on Tuesday, echoing recent warnings from competitors like Traton that profits could fall in the second half.</p><p><blockquote>他在周二与记者举行的圆桌会议上表示：“我们的交付量肯定会低于销量，这也适用于明年。”这呼应了Traton等竞争对手最近发出的下半年利润可能下降的警告。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a fight over every chip,\" Daum said.</p><p><blockquote>“这是一场争夺每一个筹码的战斗，”道姆说。</blockquote></p><p> While passenger vehicle producers like BMW or Daimler can increase prices to offset chip losses, truckmakers do not have this flexibility, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，虽然宝马或戴姆勒等乘用车生产商可以提高价格来抵消芯片损失，但卡车制造商没有这种灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the company has committed to a 15% fixed-cost reduction from 2019 levels by 2025, and cuts are \"well underway\", he said. A concrete update will be provided at the company's Capital Markets Day on Nov. 11.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，尽管如此，该公司仍承诺到2025年将固定成本从2019年的水平降低15%，而且削减工作正在“顺利进行”。具体更新将在11月11日的公司资本市场日提供。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/daimler-trucks-producing-far-less-083353418.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/daimler-trucks-producing-far-less-083353418.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194035077","content_text":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper production.\n\"We will certainly be delivering less than we could have sold, and that also applies to next year,\" he said at a roundtable with journalists on Tuesday, echoing recent warnings from competitors like Traton that profits could fall in the second half.\n\"It's a fight over every chip,\" Daum said.\nWhile passenger vehicle producers like BMW or Daimler can increase prices to offset chip losses, truckmakers do not have this flexibility, he said.\nStill, the company has committed to a 15% fixed-cost reduction from 2019 levels by 2025, and cuts are \"well underway\", he said. A concrete update will be provided at the company's Capital Markets Day on Nov. 11.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DDAIF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867403424,"gmtCreate":1633305397699,"gmtModify":1633305397970,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867403424","repostId":"2172313961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867994110,"gmtCreate":1633182356865,"gmtModify":1633182356999,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867994110","repostId":"1134305481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134305481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633152909,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134305481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 13:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134305481","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this mo","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-02 13:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","CROX":"卡骆驰","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134305481","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.\nUpstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.\n\n\nIt's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?\nCrocs (NASDAQ:CROX),AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC), andUpstart (NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.\n1. Crocs\nRemember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.\nThe comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.\nThe year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?\nDespite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nYou may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.\nHowever, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?\nFundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Ringsshattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.\n3. Upstart\nI love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.\nGrowth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.\nWith Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPST":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"CROX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864052913,"gmtCreate":1633045180241,"gmtModify":1633045180377,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hihihi&nbsp;","listText":"Hihihi&nbsp;","text":"Hihihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864052913","repostId":"1185076130","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185076130","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633044586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185076130?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 07:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market<blockquote>为什么九月不会让你对股市感到恐慌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185076130","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Key Points\n\nThursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad Septe","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Thursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.</li>  <li>Despite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.</li>  <li>A long-term horizon gives you the ability to weather short-term moves like these.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周四是股市疲软的一天，标志着特别糟糕的九月的结束。</li><li>尽管出现了短期损失，但经济低迷并没有使股市远离高点。</li><li>长期视野让你有能力经受住这样的短期波动。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Thursday was another bad day on Wall Street, as investors tried and failed to mount a convincing advance early in the day. Fears circled around a number of issues affecting the stock market, including inflation, immense liquidity in the monetary system, the COVID-19 pandemic, and a general concern about lurking traps that might not yet even be known.</p><p><blockquote>周四是华尔街又一个糟糕的一天，投资者在当天早些时候试图取得令人信服的上涨，但未能成功。人们的担忧围绕着影响股市的许多问题，包括通货膨胀、货币体系中巨大的流动性、COVID-19大流行，以及对可能还不为人所知的潜在陷阱的普遍担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Losses for the month for the<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI),<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)were substantial, ranging from 4% to 5%.</p><p><blockquote>当月亏损<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI),<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，和<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）的涨幅很大，从4%到5%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th><b>Index</b></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th><b>指数</b></th></tr></thead></table></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Daily Percentage Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>每日百分比变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Daily Point Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>每日点数变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Dow</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td>陶氏化学</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(1.59%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(1.59%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(547)</p><p><blockquote><td>(547)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>标普500</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(1.19%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(1.19%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(52)</p><p><blockquote><td>(52)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nasdaq</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>纳斯达克</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.44%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.44%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(64)</p><p><blockquote><td>(64)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：雅虎！金融。</blockquote></p><p> It's been a while sinceinvestors had to deal with a sizable market pullback. Yet even though the month of October has traditionally been a scary one for investors, there are ample reasons not to panic about the stock market's long-term prospects. Below, we'll take a closer look at the market's performance to try to put the losses for the day and the month in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>投资者已经有一段时间不得不应对市场大幅回调了。然而，尽管10月份传统上对投资者来说是一个可怕的月份，但有充分的理由不要对股市的长期前景感到恐慌。下面，我们将仔细看看市场的表现，试图正确看待当天和本月的损失。</blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> When you're going through stock market corrections in real time, it's easy to get fixated on the short-term impacts. For instance, the following statements make compelling headlines -- and they're absolutely true:</p><p><blockquote>当你实时经历股市调整时，很容易关注短期影响。例如，以下陈述成为引人注目的头条新闻——而且它们绝对是真实的：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dow drops 1,000 points in three sessions</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 loses more than 200 points in September</li>  <li>Nasdaq is down almost 600 points just this week</li> </ul> But before you draw the wrong conclusion from those true statements, you should bear in mind that I chose them for maximum impact. If you focus on other statements that are also true, you might well come away with a completely different attitude about the market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道指三个交易日下跌1000点</li><li>标普500 9月份下跌超过200点</li><li>纳斯达克本周下跌近600点</li></ul>但在你从那些真实的陈述中得出错误的结论之前，你应该记住，我选择它们是为了最大的影响。如果你关注其他同样真实的陈述，你很可能会对市场产生完全不同的态度。</blockquote></p><p> For example, even with all the declines that we've seen lately, major market benchmarks have only given up about two months' worth of gains. Where we ended the month of September is still above the lows that the stock market set in mid-July. The S&amp;P 500 actually finished the third quarter<i>up</i>from where it closed at the end of June.</p><p><blockquote>例如，即使我们最近看到所有下跌，主要市场基准也只回吐了大约两个月的涨幅。我们9月份结束时的水平仍高于7月中旬股市创下的低点。标普500实际上完成了第三季度<i>向上</i>从六月底关闭的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Push back the calendar a little further, and you'll see even more encouraging news. The Dow, the S&amp;P, and the Nasdaq are all still up double-digit percentages for 2021. The S&amp;P has climbed almost 15% -- and that's<i>before</i>you add in the dividend income that its constituent stocks have paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>把日历再往后推一点，你会看到更多令人鼓舞的消息。2021年，道琼斯指数、标准普尔指数和纳斯达克指数仍将以两位数的百分比上涨。标准普尔指数上涨了近15%——这就是<i>以前</i>你加上其成分股支付给股东的股息收入。</blockquote></p><p> And when you take a multiyear look, you'll see that even when you include the impact of the coronavirus bear market in early 2020, the returns forstock market indexesover the past seven quarters have been solid. The Dow's 19% rise over that time frame matches the long-term performance of the index, but gains of 33% for the S&amp;P 500 and 61% for the Nasdaq are exceptional.</p><p><blockquote>当你审视多年来的情况时，你会发现，即使考虑到2020年初冠状病毒熊市的影响，过去七个季度股市指数的回报也很稳健。道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了19%，与该指数的长期表现相符，但标普500上涨了33%，纳斯达克上涨了61%，这是例外。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps the most compelling reason not to panic about the pullback thus far is that it hasn't really caused any significant damage. Despite the headlines, major market benchmarks are only down around 5% to 6% from their all-time highs. Put another way, it's taken just about all the negative sentiment the market could muster just to get Wall Street to go through what most people consider a minor correction.</p><p><blockquote>也许到目前为止，不要对回调感到恐慌的最令人信服的理由是，它并没有真正造成任何重大损害。尽管头条新闻如此，主要市场基准仅较历史高点下跌约5%至6%。换句话说，为了让华尔街经历大多数人认为的小幅调整，市场几乎吸收了所有负面情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's always possible that the declines of the market in September could prove to be just the beginning of a more extensive downward move in the months to come. But long-term investors should always be prepared for market downturns -- while remaining confident in the eventual recovery that has followed those downturns without fail.</p><p><blockquote>是的，9月份市场的下跌总是有可能被证明只是未来几个月更大范围下跌的开始。但长期投资者应该始终为市场低迷做好准备，同时对这些低迷之后的最终复苏保持信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market<blockquote>为什么九月不会让你对股市感到恐慌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market<blockquote>为什么九月不会让你对股市感到恐慌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-01 07:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Thursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.</li>  <li>Despite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.</li>  <li>A long-term horizon gives you the ability to weather short-term moves like these.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周四是股市疲软的一天，标志着特别糟糕的九月的结束。</li><li>尽管出现了短期损失，但经济低迷并没有使股市远离高点。</li><li>长期视野让你有能力经受住这样的短期波动。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Thursday was another bad day on Wall Street, as investors tried and failed to mount a convincing advance early in the day. Fears circled around a number of issues affecting the stock market, including inflation, immense liquidity in the monetary system, the COVID-19 pandemic, and a general concern about lurking traps that might not yet even be known.</p><p><blockquote>周四是华尔街又一个糟糕的一天，投资者在当天早些时候试图取得令人信服的上涨，但未能成功。人们的担忧围绕着影响股市的许多问题，包括通货膨胀、货币体系中巨大的流动性、COVID-19大流行，以及对可能还不为人所知的潜在陷阱的普遍担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Losses for the month for the<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI),<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)were substantial, ranging from 4% to 5%.</p><p><blockquote>当月亏损<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>(DJINDICES：^DJI),<b>标普500</b>(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)，和<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）的涨幅很大，从4%到5%不等。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th><b>Index</b></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th><b>指数</b></th></tr></thead></table></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Daily Percentage Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>每日百分比变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>    <th><b>Daily Point Change</b></p><p><blockquote><th><b>每日点数变化</b></th></blockquote></p><p></th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Dow</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td>陶氏化学</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(1.59%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(1.59%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(547)</p><p><blockquote><td>(547)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>S&amp;P 500</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>标普500</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(1.19%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(1.19%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(52)</p><p><blockquote><td>(52)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Nasdaq</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>纳斯达克</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(0.44%)</p><p><blockquote><td>(0.44%)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>(64)</p><p><blockquote><td>(64)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：雅虎！金融。</blockquote></p><p> It's been a while sinceinvestors had to deal with a sizable market pullback. Yet even though the month of October has traditionally been a scary one for investors, there are ample reasons not to panic about the stock market's long-term prospects. Below, we'll take a closer look at the market's performance to try to put the losses for the day and the month in perspective.</p><p><blockquote>投资者已经有一段时间不得不应对市场大幅回调了。然而，尽管10月份传统上对投资者来说是一个可怕的月份，但有充分的理由不要对股市的长期前景感到恐慌。下面，我们将仔细看看市场的表现，试图正确看待当天和本月的损失。</blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> When you're going through stock market corrections in real time, it's easy to get fixated on the short-term impacts. For instance, the following statements make compelling headlines -- and they're absolutely true:</p><p><blockquote>当你实时经历股市调整时，很容易关注短期影响。例如，以下陈述成为引人注目的头条新闻——而且它们绝对是真实的：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dow drops 1,000 points in three sessions</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 loses more than 200 points in September</li>  <li>Nasdaq is down almost 600 points just this week</li> </ul> But before you draw the wrong conclusion from those true statements, you should bear in mind that I chose them for maximum impact. If you focus on other statements that are also true, you might well come away with a completely different attitude about the market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道指三个交易日下跌1000点</li><li>标普500 9月份下跌超过200点</li><li>纳斯达克本周下跌近600点</li></ul>但在你从那些真实的陈述中得出错误的结论之前，你应该记住，我选择它们是为了最大的影响。如果你关注其他同样真实的陈述，你很可能会对市场产生完全不同的态度。</blockquote></p><p> For example, even with all the declines that we've seen lately, major market benchmarks have only given up about two months' worth of gains. Where we ended the month of September is still above the lows that the stock market set in mid-July. The S&amp;P 500 actually finished the third quarter<i>up</i>from where it closed at the end of June.</p><p><blockquote>例如，即使我们最近看到所有下跌，主要市场基准也只回吐了大约两个月的涨幅。我们9月份结束时的水平仍高于7月中旬股市创下的低点。标普500实际上完成了第三季度<i>向上</i>从六月底关闭的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Push back the calendar a little further, and you'll see even more encouraging news. The Dow, the S&amp;P, and the Nasdaq are all still up double-digit percentages for 2021. The S&amp;P has climbed almost 15% -- and that's<i>before</i>you add in the dividend income that its constituent stocks have paid to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>把日历再往后推一点，你会看到更多令人鼓舞的消息。2021年，道琼斯指数、标准普尔指数和纳斯达克指数仍将以两位数的百分比上涨。标准普尔指数上涨了近15%——这就是<i>以前</i>你加上其成分股支付给股东的股息收入。</blockquote></p><p> And when you take a multiyear look, you'll see that even when you include the impact of the coronavirus bear market in early 2020, the returns forstock market indexesover the past seven quarters have been solid. The Dow's 19% rise over that time frame matches the long-term performance of the index, but gains of 33% for the S&amp;P 500 and 61% for the Nasdaq are exceptional.</p><p><blockquote>当你审视多年来的情况时，你会发现，即使考虑到2020年初冠状病毒熊市的影响，过去七个季度股市指数的回报也很稳健。道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了19%，与该指数的长期表现相符，但标普500上涨了33%，纳斯达克上涨了61%，这是例外。</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps the most compelling reason not to panic about the pullback thus far is that it hasn't really caused any significant damage. Despite the headlines, major market benchmarks are only down around 5% to 6% from their all-time highs. Put another way, it's taken just about all the negative sentiment the market could muster just to get Wall Street to go through what most people consider a minor correction.</p><p><blockquote>也许到目前为止，不要对回调感到恐慌的最令人信服的理由是，它并没有真正造成任何重大损害。尽管头条新闻如此，主要市场基准仅较历史高点下跌约5%至6%。换句话说，为了让华尔街经历大多数人认为的小幅调整，市场几乎吸收了所有负面情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's always possible that the declines of the market in September could prove to be just the beginning of a more extensive downward move in the months to come. But long-term investors should always be prepared for market downturns -- while remaining confident in the eventual recovery that has followed those downturns without fail.</p><p><blockquote>是的，9月份市场的下跌总是有可能被证明只是未来几个月更大范围下跌的开始。但长期投资者应该始终为市场低迷做好准备，同时对这些低迷之后的最终复苏保持信心。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/30/why-september-shouldnt-make-you-panic-stock-market/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=article\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/30/why-september-shouldnt-make-you-panic-stock-market/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=article","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1185076130","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.\nDespite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.\nA long-term horizon gives you the ability to weather short-term moves like these.\n\n\nThursday was another bad day on Wall Street, as investors tried and failed to mount a convincing advance early in the day. Fears circled around a number of issues affecting the stock market, including inflation, immense liquidity in the monetary system, the COVID-19 pandemic, and a general concern about lurking traps that might not yet even be known.\nLosses for the month for theDow Jones Industrial Average(DJINDICES:^DJI),S&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), andNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)were substantial, ranging from 4% to 5%.\n\n\n\nIndex\nDaily Percentage Change\nDaily Point Change\n\n\n\n\nDow\n(1.59%)\n(547)\n\n\nS&P 500\n(1.19%)\n(52)\n\n\nNasdaq\n(0.44%)\n(64)\n\n\n\nDATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.\nIt's been a while sinceinvestors had to deal with a sizable market pullback. Yet even though the month of October has traditionally been a scary one for investors, there are ample reasons not to panic about the stock market's long-term prospects. Below, we'll take a closer look at the market's performance to try to put the losses for the day and the month in perspective.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nWhen you're going through stock market corrections in real time, it's easy to get fixated on the short-term impacts. For instance, the following statements make compelling headlines -- and they're absolutely true:\n\nDow drops 1,000 points in three sessions\nS&P 500 loses more than 200 points in September\nNasdaq is down almost 600 points just this week\n\nBut before you draw the wrong conclusion from those true statements, you should bear in mind that I chose them for maximum impact. If you focus on other statements that are also true, you might well come away with a completely different attitude about the market.\nFor example, even with all the declines that we've seen lately, major market benchmarks have only given up about two months' worth of gains. Where we ended the month of September is still above the lows that the stock market set in mid-July. The S&P 500 actually finished the third quarterupfrom where it closed at the end of June.\nPush back the calendar a little further, and you'll see even more encouraging news. The Dow, the S&P, and the Nasdaq are all still up double-digit percentages for 2021. The S&P has climbed almost 15% -- and that'sbeforeyou add in the dividend income that its constituent stocks have paid to shareholders.\nAnd when you take a multiyear look, you'll see that even when you include the impact of the coronavirus bear market in early 2020, the returns forstock market indexesover the past seven quarters have been solid. The Dow's 19% rise over that time frame matches the long-term performance of the index, but gains of 33% for the S&P 500 and 61% for the Nasdaq are exceptional.\nPerhaps the most compelling reason not to panic about the pullback thus far is that it hasn't really caused any significant damage. Despite the headlines, major market benchmarks are only down around 5% to 6% from their all-time highs. Put another way, it's taken just about all the negative sentiment the market could muster just to get Wall Street to go through what most people consider a minor correction.\nYes, it's always possible that the declines of the market in September could prove to be just the beginning of a more extensive downward move in the months to come. But long-term investors should always be prepared for market downturns -- while remaining confident in the eventual recovery that has followed those downturns without fail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865597004,"gmtCreate":1632997610334,"gmtModify":1632997610514,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865597004","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866264272,"gmtCreate":1632785910696,"gmtModify":1632797597745,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866264272","repostId":"2170627617","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866326079,"gmtCreate":1632737306491,"gmtModify":1632798206773,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866326079","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week<blockquote>国会债务上限辩论、消费者信心：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 03:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>投资者本周将密切关注华盛顿特区的事态发展，因为议员们竞相通过立法，以避免政府在本月底关闭，并就提高...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for releas","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868840027,"gmtCreate":1632631968469,"gmtModify":1632648466780,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868840027","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868857552,"gmtCreate":1632631960976,"gmtModify":1632648475783,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hello","listText":"hello","text":"hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868857552","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861542310,"gmtCreate":1632527751730,"gmtModify":1632712571436,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861542310","repostId":"2170361942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861542006,"gmtCreate":1632527734805,"gmtModify":1632712574437,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hello","listText":"hello","text":"hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861542006","repostId":"2170361942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861234162,"gmtCreate":1632496922556,"gmtModify":1632715918023,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861234162","repostId":"1114004721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114004721","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632496493,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114004721?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114004721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO pric","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">清水分析控股公司。</a></b>开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于爱达荷州博伊西的Clearwater成立的目的是开发一个SaaS平台，为资产管理公司、保险公司和大型企业简化投资会计和分析。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由首席执行官Sandeep Sahai领导，他自2016年9月以来一直在该公司工作，此前曾担任投资合伙企业Solmark的首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Investment accounting and reporting</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资会计和报告</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Performance measurement</p><p><blockquote><li>绩效衡量</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Compliance monitoring</p><p><blockquote><li>合规监控</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Risk analysis</p><p><blockquote><li>风险分析</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater已从Welsh Carson、Permira、Warburg Pincus和Dragoneer等投资者那里获得了至少4.21亿美元的股权投资应付票据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过专注于美国的直销和营销力量寻求与资产管理公司、保险公司和大公司的客户关系。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN还拥有国际客户，并将寻求在IPO后扩大其国际影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater处理1,000多个客户之间超过5.6万亿美元资产的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随收入增加而变化，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>13.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>13.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>10.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近一个报告期下降到1.4倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.4</p><p><blockquote><td>1.4</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.6</p><p><blockquote><td>1.6</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比率的总和等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的六个月内，CWAN的最新计算结果为41%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24%</p><p><blockquote><td>24%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17%</p><p><blockquote><td>17%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41%</p><p><blockquote><td>41%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为109%，这是一个相当不错的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据Market Primes的2021年市场研究报告，2019年全球投资管理软件市场估计为30亿美元，预计到2025年将达到近45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2019年至2025年的预测复合年增长率为10.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p><p><blockquote>这种预期增长的主要驱动力是用户希望自动化重复性任务，这样他们就可以专注于最大化投资组合绩效和创建更复杂的方法。</blockquote></p><p> Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，评估风险和暴露以及能够有效地报告和与利益相关者共享信息将推动对更强大解决方案的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SS&amp;C</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SSC</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>State Street</p><p><blockquote><li>道富街</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>SAP</p><p><blockquote><li>SAP</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p><p><blockquote><li>纽约梅隆银行（鹰）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Simcorp</p><p><blockquote><li>Simcorp</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BlackRock</p><p><blockquote><li>贝莱德</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>FIS</p><p><blockquote><li>FIS</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Northern Trust</p><p><blockquote><li>北方信托</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong topline revenue growth</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收强劲增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>提高毛利及毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li>Uneven cash used in operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营中使用的现金不均衡</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 117,770,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$117,770,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 203,222,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$203,222,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>21.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 168,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$168,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 87,872,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$87,872,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>28.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 149,959,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$149,959,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>24.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 120,856,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$120,856,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>73.79%</p><p><blockquote><td>73.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>71.94%</p><p><blockquote><td>71.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 20,544,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$20,544,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (20,418,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,418,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-10.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-10.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 25,697,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,697,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>15.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 3,200,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,200,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (44,230,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(44,230,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 7,732,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$7,732,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (16,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(16,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,486,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,486,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (230,029,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(230,029,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Clearwater拥有4100万美元现金和4.5亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation Metrics</p><p><blockquote>估值指标</blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,472,178,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,472,178,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,470,109,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,470,109,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.37</p><p><blockquote><td>15.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.36</p><p><blockquote><td>15.36</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-141.93</p><p><blockquote><td>-141.93</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$0.23</p><p><blockquote><td>-$0.23</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>12.96%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.96%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$15.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$15.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$38,024,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$38,024,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-1.10%</p><p><blockquote><td>-1.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN打算上市偿还债务，IPO后净债务为5500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，营收和毛利润增长强劲，营业利润和净利润在2020年出现负面业绩后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流明显为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而变化；最近六个月，其销售和营销效率略有下降至1.4倍。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，CWAN以美元计算的净保留率为109%，这是一个积极的结果，其40法则表现也不错。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p><p><blockquote>销售投资管理软件的市场机会很大，预计在未来几年将大幅增长，但该公司面临广泛的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为40.5%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是其竞争的各个子市场中存在的竞争和专业化程度，以及一些较大的潜在客户在内部开发解决方案的能力。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与竞争对手Simcorp相比，CWAN IPO的收入倍数定价要高得多。在我看来，这是合理的，因为该公司的收入增长率要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了2020年营业亏损的困难时期后，2021年营业利润和净利润也出现了令人印象深刻的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于CWAN的增长轨迹和投资管理软件行业未来几年的强劲增长潜力，此次IPO值得密切关注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">清水分析控股公司。</a></b>开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于爱达荷州博伊西的Clearwater成立的目的是开发一个SaaS平台，为资产管理公司、保险公司和大型企业简化投资会计和分析。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由首席执行官Sandeep Sahai领导，他自2016年9月以来一直在该公司工作，此前曾担任投资合伙企业Solmark的首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Investment accounting and reporting</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资会计和报告</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Performance measurement</p><p><blockquote><li>绩效衡量</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Compliance monitoring</p><p><blockquote><li>合规监控</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Risk analysis</p><p><blockquote><li>风险分析</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater已从Welsh Carson、Permira、Warburg Pincus和Dragoneer等投资者那里获得了至少4.21亿美元的股权投资应付票据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过专注于美国的直销和营销力量寻求与资产管理公司、保险公司和大公司的客户关系。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN还拥有国际客户，并将寻求在IPO后扩大其国际影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater处理1,000多个客户之间超过5.6万亿美元资产的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随收入增加而变化，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>13.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>13.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>10.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近一个报告期下降到1.4倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.4</p><p><blockquote><td>1.4</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.6</p><p><blockquote><td>1.6</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比率的总和等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的六个月内，CWAN的最新计算结果为41%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24%</p><p><blockquote><td>24%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17%</p><p><blockquote><td>17%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41%</p><p><blockquote><td>41%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为109%，这是一个相当不错的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据Market Primes的2021年市场研究报告，2019年全球投资管理软件市场估计为30亿美元，预计到2025年将达到近45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2019年至2025年的预测复合年增长率为10.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p><p><blockquote>这种预期增长的主要驱动力是用户希望自动化重复性任务，这样他们就可以专注于最大化投资组合绩效和创建更复杂的方法。</blockquote></p><p> Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，评估风险和暴露以及能够有效地报告和与利益相关者共享信息将推动对更强大解决方案的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SS&amp;C</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SSC</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>State Street</p><p><blockquote><li>道富街</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>SAP</p><p><blockquote><li>SAP</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p><p><blockquote><li>纽约梅隆银行（鹰）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Simcorp</p><p><blockquote><li>Simcorp</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BlackRock</p><p><blockquote><li>贝莱德</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>FIS</p><p><blockquote><li>FIS</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Northern Trust</p><p><blockquote><li>北方信托</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong topline revenue growth</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收强劲增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>提高毛利及毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li>Uneven cash used in operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营中使用的现金不均衡</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 117,770,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$117,770,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 203,222,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$203,222,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>21.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 168,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$168,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 87,872,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$87,872,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>28.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 149,959,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$149,959,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>24.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 120,856,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$120,856,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>73.79%</p><p><blockquote><td>73.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>71.94%</p><p><blockquote><td>71.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 20,544,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$20,544,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (20,418,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,418,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-10.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-10.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 25,697,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,697,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>15.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 3,200,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,200,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (44,230,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(44,230,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 7,732,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$7,732,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (16,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(16,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,486,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,486,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (230,029,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(230,029,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Clearwater拥有4100万美元现金和4.5亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation Metrics</p><p><blockquote>估值指标</blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,472,178,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,472,178,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,470,109,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,470,109,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.37</p><p><blockquote><td>15.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.36</p><p><blockquote><td>15.36</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-141.93</p><p><blockquote><td>-141.93</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$0.23</p><p><blockquote><td>-$0.23</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>12.96%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.96%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$15.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$15.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$38,024,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$38,024,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-1.10%</p><p><blockquote><td>-1.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN打算上市偿还债务，IPO后净债务为5500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，营收和毛利润增长强劲，营业利润和净利润在2020年出现负面业绩后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流明显为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而变化；最近六个月，其销售和营销效率略有下降至1.4倍。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，CWAN以美元计算的净保留率为109%，这是一个积极的结果，其40法则表现也不错。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p><p><blockquote>销售投资管理软件的市场机会很大，预计在未来几年将大幅增长，但该公司面临广泛的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为40.5%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是其竞争的各个子市场中存在的竞争和专业化程度，以及一些较大的潜在客户在内部开发解决方案的能力。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与竞争对手Simcorp相比，CWAN IPO的收入倍数定价要高得多。在我看来，这是合理的，因为该公司的收入增长率要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了2020年营业亏损的困难时期后，2021年营业利润和净利润也出现了令人印象深刻的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于CWAN的增长轨迹和投资管理软件行业未来几年的强劲增长潜力，此次IPO值得密切关注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114004721","content_text":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nBoise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.\nManagement is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.\nThe company’s primary offerings include:\n\nInvestment accounting and reporting\nPerformance measurement\nCompliance monitoring\nRisk analysis\n\nClearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.\nCWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.\nClearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n13.6%\n\n\n2020\n10.9%\n\n\n2019\n11.4%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.4\n\n\n2020\n1.6\n\n\n\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nCWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n24%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n17%\n\n\nTotal\n41%\n\n\n\nThe firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.\nAlso, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nSS&C\nState Street\nSAP\nBNY Mellon (Eagle)\nSimcorp\nBlackRock\nFIS\nNorthern Trust\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nClearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nStrong topline revenue growth\nIncreasing gross profit and gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net profit\nUneven cash used in operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 117,770,000\n23.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 203,222,000\n21.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 168,001,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 87,872,000\n28.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 149,959,000\n24.1%\n\n\n2019\n$ 120,856,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.61%\n\n\n2020\n73.79%\n\n\n2019\n71.94%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 20,544,000\n17.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (20,418,000)\n-10.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 25,697,000\n15.3%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 3,200,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (44,230,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ 7,732,000\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (16,352,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,486,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (230,029,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,472,178,130\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,470,109,130\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n15.37\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n15.36\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n-141.93\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n-$0.23\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n12.96%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$15.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$38,024,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-1.10%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n23.83%\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.\nThe firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.\nCWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.\nThe market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.\nAs for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.\nAfter a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.\nGiven CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close 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like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comments thank 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10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners<blockquote>这15只股票——6月份跌幅最大的股票——可能成为7月份的赢家</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122056398","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.\n\nJune’s worst stocks are good b","content":"<p>  <b>‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.</b>  June’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>“短期反转策略”通常在7月份表现特别好。</b>6月份表现最差的股票是7月份跑赢美国市场的好机会。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June will have made that month’s poor performers fall even further than they would have otherwise. It’s likely that once this artificial selling pressure disappears, these stocks will bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为6月底的投资组合装饰将使当月表现不佳的股票比其他情况下下跌得更远。一旦这种人为的抛售压力消失，这些股票很可能会反弹。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, window dressing is a powerful force on several occasions throughout the calendar, not just at this time of year. It should have the biggest impact at the end of December, since more investors look at their portfolio holdings in early January than in any other month of the year. Fund managers therefore go out of their way to sell their losers prior to Dec. 31 in order to avoid the embarrassment of having to report that they had ever owned them.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，装点门面在整个日历中的几个场合都是一股强大的力量，不仅仅是在一年中的这个时候。它应该在12月底产生最大的影响，因为1月初查看其投资组合持股的投资者比一年中任何其他月份都多。因此，基金经理会特意在12月31日之前出售亏损股票，以避免不得不报告他们曾经拥有过这些股票的尴尬。</blockquote></p><p> Just the opposite is the case for stocks that managers buy for window dressing. These are the stocks that already have been performing well and which managers want to show in their end-of-quarter holdings report. Their cosmetic buying will cause these stocks to perform even better — which, in turn, results in them falling back to earth once the new quarter comes around.</p><p><blockquote>经理们为了装饰门面而购买的股票的情况恰恰相反。这些股票已经表现良好，经理们希望在季末持股报告中展示这些股票。他们购买化妆品将导致这些股票表现更好——这反过来又会导致它们在新季度到来时回落。</blockquote></p><p> As expected, January is the month in which the previous month’s worst performers fare best relative to the previous month’s best performers — a pattern known as the “short term reversal effect.” This is illustrated in the chart below, which reflects monthly data back to 1926. July is the second-most powerful month for this pattern. That also makes sense because, after January, July is the next most common time for investors to read through their brokerage statements.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，一月份是上个月表现最差的公司相对于上个月表现最好的公司表现最好的月份——这种模式被称为“短期逆转效应”。下图说明了这一点，它反映了1926年以来的月度数据。七月是这种模式第二强的月份。这也是有道理的，因为继一月之后，七月是投资者通读经纪报表的下一个最常见的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac3a509127efd603df1d98de04774e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Also as expected, end-of-quarter window dressing is less of a factor at the end of the first- and third quarters. In fact, as you can see from the chart, the short-term reversal effect is even less dominant in April than in non-quarter-end months.</p><p><blockquote>同样正如预期的那样，在第一季度和第三季度末，季度末的门面装饰不再是一个因素。事实上，正如你从图表中看到的，短期反转效应在4月份甚至不如非季末月份占优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to play the short-term reversal in July</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7月短线反转怎么玩</b></blockquote></p><p> As is often the case, an exchange-traded fund has been created to exploit the short-term reversal effect. Vesper US Large Cap Short-Term Reversal Strategy ETFUTRN,“seeks to capitalize on the tendency for stocks that have experienced sharp recent sell-offs to experience near-term rebounds.”</p><p><blockquote>通常情况下，交易所交易基金的创建是为了利用短期反转效应。Vesper美国大盘股短期反转策略ETFUTRN“寻求利用近期经历大幅抛售的股票近期反弹的趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> Because the fund was only recently created, in September 2018, the ETF’s average monthly returns since then are only suggestive of the long-term pattern. But its average return in July has been better (4.1%) than in any other month.</p><p><blockquote>由于该基金是最近才在2018年9月创建的，该ETF此后的平均月回报率仅暗示了长期模式。但其7月份的平均回报率（4.1%）好于其他任何月份。</blockquote></p><p> For anyone interested in the individual stocks that performed the worst in June, I constructed the following list. I started with the 50 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500 index with the worst June returns, and then eliminated ones not currently recommended by any of the top-performing newsletters monitored by my newsletter-performance-tracking service.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何对6月份表现最差的个股感兴趣的人，我构建了以下列表。我从标准普尔1500指数中6月份回报最差的50只股票开始，然后剔除了我的时事通讯表现跟踪服务监控的任何表现最好的时事通讯目前不推荐的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The 15 stocks listed below survived this winnowing process. I note that, on average, these 15 lost 15.4% during the month of June, versus a gain of 2.3% for the S&amp;P 500SPX.</p><p><blockquote>下面列出的15只股票在这一筛选过程中幸存下来。我注意到，平均而言，这15只股票在6月份下跌了15.4%，而标准普尔500SPX指数则上涨了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Adient PLC&nbsp;ADNT</li>  <li>Alaska Air Group&nbsp;ALK</li>  <li>Alliance Data Systems&nbsp;ADS</li>  <li>America’s Car Mart&nbsp;CRMT</li>  <li>ArcBest&nbsp;ARCB</li>  <li>Goodyear Tire &amp; Rubber&nbsp;GT</li>  <li>KB Home&nbsp;KBH</li>  <li>LCI Industries&nbsp;LCII</li>  <li>Mosaic &amp; Co&nbsp;.MOS</li>  <li>Medifast&nbsp;MED</li>  <li>Newmont Corp.&nbsp;NEM</li>  <li>Organon &amp; Co.&nbsp;OGN</li>  <li>Patrick Industries&nbsp;PATK</li>  <li>Regions Financial&nbsp;RF</li>  <li>Sabre&nbsp;SABR</li> </ul> I also note that these stocks have an average price/book value ratio of 3.3, which is well-below the 4.7 ratio for the S&amp;P 500. Having a below-average price/book ratio is the hallmark of a value stock, and it makes sense that value stocks will be favored by the short-term reversal strategy. That’s because value stocks significantly underperformed growth stocks in June — but their fortunes may soon change.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Adient PLC ADNT</li><li>阿拉斯加航空集团ALK</li><li>联盟数据系统广告</li><li>美国汽车市场CRMT</li><li>ArcBest ArcB</li><li>固特异轮胎橡胶GT</li><li>KB主页KBH</li><li>LCI工业LCII</li><li>马赛克公司MOS</li><li>快验快</li><li>纽蒙特公司NEM</li><li>欧加农公司OGN</li><li>帕特里克工业PATK</li><li>地区金融射频</li><li>军刀</li></ul>我还注意到，这些股票的平均市净率为3.3，远低于标普500 4.7的比率。低于平均水平的市净率是价值股的标志，价值股会受到短期反转策略的青睐是有道理的。这是因为价值股在6月份的表现明显落后于成长股——但它们的命运可能很快就会改变。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners<blockquote>这15只股票——6月份跌幅最大的股票——可能成为7月份的赢家</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners<blockquote>这15只股票——6月份跌幅最大的股票——可能成为7月份的赢家</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 10:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.</b>  June’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>“短期反转策略”通常在7月份表现特别好。</b>6月份表现最差的股票是7月份跑赢美国市场的好机会。</blockquote></p><p> That’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June will have made that month’s poor performers fall even further than they would have otherwise. It’s likely that once this artificial selling pressure disappears, these stocks will bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为6月底的投资组合装饰将使当月表现不佳的股票比其他情况下下跌得更远。一旦这种人为的抛售压力消失，这些股票很可能会反弹。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, window dressing is a powerful force on several occasions throughout the calendar, not just at this time of year. It should have the biggest impact at the end of December, since more investors look at their portfolio holdings in early January than in any other month of the year. Fund managers therefore go out of their way to sell their losers prior to Dec. 31 in order to avoid the embarrassment of having to report that they had ever owned them.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，装点门面在整个日历中的几个场合都是一股强大的力量，不仅仅是在一年中的这个时候。它应该在12月底产生最大的影响，因为1月初查看其投资组合持股的投资者比一年中任何其他月份都多。因此，基金经理会特意在12月31日之前出售亏损股票，以避免不得不报告他们曾经拥有过这些股票的尴尬。</blockquote></p><p> Just the opposite is the case for stocks that managers buy for window dressing. These are the stocks that already have been performing well and which managers want to show in their end-of-quarter holdings report. Their cosmetic buying will cause these stocks to perform even better — which, in turn, results in them falling back to earth once the new quarter comes around.</p><p><blockquote>经理们为了装饰门面而购买的股票的情况恰恰相反。这些股票已经表现良好，经理们希望在季末持股报告中展示这些股票。他们购买化妆品将导致这些股票表现更好——这反过来又会导致它们在新季度到来时回落。</blockquote></p><p> As expected, January is the month in which the previous month’s worst performers fare best relative to the previous month’s best performers — a pattern known as the “short term reversal effect.” This is illustrated in the chart below, which reflects monthly data back to 1926. July is the second-most powerful month for this pattern. That also makes sense because, after January, July is the next most common time for investors to read through their brokerage statements.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，一月份是上个月表现最差的公司相对于上个月表现最好的公司表现最好的月份——这种模式被称为“短期逆转效应”。下图说明了这一点，它反映了1926年以来的月度数据。七月是这种模式第二强的月份。这也是有道理的，因为继一月之后，七月是投资者通读经纪报表的下一个最常见的时间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac3a509127efd603df1d98de04774e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Also as expected, end-of-quarter window dressing is less of a factor at the end of the first- and third quarters. In fact, as you can see from the chart, the short-term reversal effect is even less dominant in April than in non-quarter-end months.</p><p><blockquote>同样正如预期的那样，在第一季度和第三季度末，季度末的门面装饰不再是一个因素。事实上，正如你从图表中看到的，短期反转效应在4月份甚至不如非季末月份占优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to play the short-term reversal in July</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7月短线反转怎么玩</b></blockquote></p><p> As is often the case, an exchange-traded fund has been created to exploit the short-term reversal effect. Vesper US Large Cap Short-Term Reversal Strategy ETFUTRN,“seeks to capitalize on the tendency for stocks that have experienced sharp recent sell-offs to experience near-term rebounds.”</p><p><blockquote>通常情况下，交易所交易基金的创建是为了利用短期反转效应。Vesper美国大盘股短期反转策略ETFUTRN“寻求利用近期经历大幅抛售的股票近期反弹的趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> Because the fund was only recently created, in September 2018, the ETF’s average monthly returns since then are only suggestive of the long-term pattern. But its average return in July has been better (4.1%) than in any other month.</p><p><blockquote>由于该基金是最近才在2018年9月创建的，该ETF此后的平均月回报率仅暗示了长期模式。但其7月份的平均回报率（4.1%）好于其他任何月份。</blockquote></p><p> For anyone interested in the individual stocks that performed the worst in June, I constructed the following list. I started with the 50 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500 index with the worst June returns, and then eliminated ones not currently recommended by any of the top-performing newsletters monitored by my newsletter-performance-tracking service.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何对6月份表现最差的个股感兴趣的人，我构建了以下列表。我从标准普尔1500指数中6月份回报最差的50只股票开始，然后剔除了我的时事通讯表现跟踪服务监控的任何表现最好的时事通讯目前不推荐的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The 15 stocks listed below survived this winnowing process. I note that, on average, these 15 lost 15.4% during the month of June, versus a gain of 2.3% for the S&amp;P 500SPX.</p><p><blockquote>下面列出的15只股票在这一筛选过程中幸存下来。我注意到，平均而言，这15只股票在6月份下跌了15.4%，而标准普尔500SPX指数则上涨了2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Adient PLC&nbsp;ADNT</li>  <li>Alaska Air Group&nbsp;ALK</li>  <li>Alliance Data Systems&nbsp;ADS</li>  <li>America’s Car Mart&nbsp;CRMT</li>  <li>ArcBest&nbsp;ARCB</li>  <li>Goodyear Tire &amp; Rubber&nbsp;GT</li>  <li>KB Home&nbsp;KBH</li>  <li>LCI Industries&nbsp;LCII</li>  <li>Mosaic &amp; Co&nbsp;.MOS</li>  <li>Medifast&nbsp;MED</li>  <li>Newmont Corp.&nbsp;NEM</li>  <li>Organon &amp; Co.&nbsp;OGN</li>  <li>Patrick Industries&nbsp;PATK</li>  <li>Regions Financial&nbsp;RF</li>  <li>Sabre&nbsp;SABR</li> </ul> I also note that these stocks have an average price/book value ratio of 3.3, which is well-below the 4.7 ratio for the S&amp;P 500. Having a below-average price/book ratio is the hallmark of a value stock, and it makes sense that value stocks will be favored by the short-term reversal strategy. That’s because value stocks significantly underperformed growth stocks in June — but their fortunes may soon change.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Adient PLC ADNT</li><li>阿拉斯加航空集团ALK</li><li>联盟数据系统广告</li><li>美国汽车市场CRMT</li><li>ArcBest ArcB</li><li>固特异轮胎橡胶GT</li><li>KB主页KBH</li><li>LCI工业LCII</li><li>马赛克公司MOS</li><li>快验快</li><li>纽蒙特公司NEM</li><li>欧加农公司OGN</li><li>帕特里克工业PATK</li><li>地区金融射频</li><li>军刀</li></ul>我还注意到，这些股票的平均市净率为3.3，远低于标普500 4.7的比率。低于平均水平的市净率是价值股的标志，价值股会受到短期反转策略的青睐是有道理的。这是因为价值股在6月份的表现明显落后于成长股——但它们的命运可能很快就会改变。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-15-stocks-junes-biggest-losers-could-become-julys-winners-11625238769?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADNT":"Adient PLC","KBH":"KB Home","PATK":"Patrick Industries","MED":"快验保","GT":"固特异轮胎橡胶公司","LCII":"LCI Industries","ARCB":"ArcBest Corporation","NEM":"纽曼矿业","SABR":"Sabre Corporation","RF":"地区金融","MOS":"美国美盛","ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司","CRMT":"美国汽车行","OGN":"Organon & Co"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-15-stocks-junes-biggest-losers-could-become-julys-winners-11625238769?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122056398","content_text":"‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.\n\nJune’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.\nThat’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June will have made that month’s poor performers fall even further than they would have otherwise. It’s likely that once this artificial selling pressure disappears, these stocks will bounce back.\nTo be sure, window dressing is a powerful force on several occasions throughout the calendar, not just at this time of year. It should have the biggest impact at the end of December, since more investors look at their portfolio holdings in early January than in any other month of the year. Fund managers therefore go out of their way to sell their losers prior to Dec. 31 in order to avoid the embarrassment of having to report that they had ever owned them.\nJust the opposite is the case for stocks that managers buy for window dressing. These are the stocks that already have been performing well and which managers want to show in their end-of-quarter holdings report. Their cosmetic buying will cause these stocks to perform even better — which, in turn, results in them falling back to earth once the new quarter comes around.\nAs expected, January is the month in which the previous month’s worst performers fare best relative to the previous month’s best performers — a pattern known as the “short term reversal effect.” This is illustrated in the chart below, which reflects monthly data back to 1926. July is the second-most powerful month for this pattern. That also makes sense because, after January, July is the next most common time for investors to read through their brokerage statements.\n\nAlso as expected, end-of-quarter window dressing is less of a factor at the end of the first- and third quarters. In fact, as you can see from the chart, the short-term reversal effect is even less dominant in April than in non-quarter-end months.\nHow to play the short-term reversal in July\nAs is often the case, an exchange-traded fund has been created to exploit the short-term reversal effect. Vesper US Large Cap Short-Term Reversal Strategy ETFUTRN,“seeks to capitalize on the tendency for stocks that have experienced sharp recent sell-offs to experience near-term rebounds.”\nBecause the fund was only recently created, in September 2018, the ETF’s average monthly returns since then are only suggestive of the long-term pattern. But its average return in July has been better (4.1%) than in any other month.\nFor anyone interested in the individual stocks that performed the worst in June, I constructed the following list. I started with the 50 stocks in the S&P 1500 index with the worst June returns, and then eliminated ones not currently recommended by any of the top-performing newsletters monitored by my newsletter-performance-tracking service.\nThe 15 stocks listed below survived this winnowing process. I note that, on average, these 15 lost 15.4% during the month of June, versus a gain of 2.3% for the S&P 500SPX.\n\nAdient PLC ADNT\nAlaska Air Group ALK\nAlliance Data Systems ADS\nAmerica’s Car Mart CRMT\nArcBest ARCB\nGoodyear Tire & Rubber GT\nKB Home KBH\nLCI Industries LCII\nMosaic & Co .MOS\nMedifast MED\nNewmont Corp. NEM\nOrganon & Co. OGN\nPatrick Industries PATK\nRegions Financial RF\nSabre SABR\n\nI also note that these stocks have an average price/book value ratio of 3.3, which is well-below the 4.7 ratio for the S&P 500. Having a below-average price/book ratio is the hallmark of a value stock, and it makes sense that value stocks will be favored by the short-term reversal strategy. That’s because value stocks significantly underperformed growth stocks in June — but their fortunes may soon change.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADS":0.9,"ALK":0.9,"MED":0.9,"NEM":0.9,"RF":0.9,"PATK":0.9,"OGN":0.9,"GT":0.9,"CRMT":0.9,"ADNT":0.9,"LCII":0.9,"MOS":0.9,"SABR":0.9,"KBH":0.9,"ARCB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821285436,"gmtCreate":1633747904398,"gmtModify":1633747904541,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821285436","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":175267542,"gmtCreate":1627035674686,"gmtModify":1633768591926,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175267542","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828762007,"gmtCreate":1633947999951,"gmtModify":1633948000049,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828762007","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155169502,"gmtCreate":1625389103706,"gmtModify":1633941000491,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155169502","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126458312,"gmtCreate":1624582545836,"gmtModify":1633950994073,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126458312","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165265258,"gmtCreate":1624147532874,"gmtModify":1634010367803,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Pls like and comments thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165265258","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168662706,"gmtCreate":1623974329505,"gmtModify":1634025052988,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Pls like and comments thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168662706","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868840027,"gmtCreate":1632631968469,"gmtModify":1632648466780,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868840027","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890310298,"gmtCreate":1628082765814,"gmtModify":1631889878825,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890310298","repostId":"1163400390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163400390","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628077338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163400390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163400390","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)\n(Aug 4) Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&P 500 hit its ","content":"<p><i>(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月4日上午8:28）</i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug&nbsp;4)&nbsp;Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&amp;P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>（8月4日）在标普500创下今年第42个收盘纪录后，股票期货波动，投资者将强劲的企业盈利与COVID-19 Delta变种的潜在威胁进行权衡。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis fell 7&nbsp;points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid&nbsp;9&nbsp;points, or 0.06%&nbsp;.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午08:28，道指E-minis下跌76点，跌幅0.22%，标普500 E-minis下跌7点，跌幅0.16%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌9点，跌幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f1103ecd5b5a67bec56afafdc8276f\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;General Motors(GM)</b> – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）通用汽车（GM）</b>-通用汽车调整后第二季度利润为每股1.97美元，低于市场普遍预期的每股2.23美元，尽管收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。基于强劲的需求和定价，通用汽车确实上调了今年剩余时间的预测。通用汽车最初在盘前下跌3%，但随后反弹，收复了大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS)</b> – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）CVS健康（CVS）</b>-CVS第二季度调整后每股收益为2.42美元，超出市场普遍预期的2.06美元，营收也超出预期。这家药店和药房福利公司的同店销售额也增长了12.3%，好于预期。另外，CVS还宣布将员工最低工资提高至每小时15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Kraft Heinz(KHC) </b>– Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）卡夫亨氏（KHC）</b>-卡夫亨氏调整后季度收益为每股78美分，超出预期6美分，而该食品生产商的收入也超出预期。本季度对该公司零食和包装食品的需求持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Tupperware(TUP) </b>– Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）特百惠（TUP）</b>-特百惠股价在第二季度营收和利润均超出预期后，盘前上涨2.5%。这家家用存储产品制造商调整后每股收益为95美分，远高于57美分的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Robinhood(HOOD)</b> – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）罗宾汉（胡德）</b>–该交易平台的股价在周二交易中上涨24.2%的基础上，在盘前交易中飙升13.1%，自上周四上市以来首次突破每股38美元的IPO价格。它也是昨天交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Activision Blizzard(ATVI)</b> – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）动视暴雪（ATVI）</b>-动视暴雪调整后季度收益为每股91美分，超出预期15美分，该视频游戏生产商的收入略高于华尔街的预测。它还给出了乐观的预测，预计对《糖果粉碎传奇》和《使命看涨期权》等热门系列的需求将持续强劲。股价在盘前交易中上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amgen(AMGN) </b>– Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）安进（AMGN）</b>-安进最近一个季度调整后每股收益为4.38美元，而市场普遍预期为4.09美元。这家生物技术巨头的收入也超出了分析师的预期，尽管它表示就诊和手术仍低于大流行前的水平。安进还表示，它与美国国税局存在纠纷，对其欠下36亿美元欠税的指控进行抗辩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Lyft(LYFT) </b>– Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Lyft（Lyft）</b>-Lyft公布调整后季度每股亏损5美分，小于分析师预测的24美分亏损，该网约车服务营收好于预期。Lyft看到了强劲的网约车需求，并且确实实现了以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)衡量的盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Match Group(MTCH)</b> – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）匹配组（MTCH）</b>-Match Group的季度收益为每股46美分，比预期低6美分，尽管Tinder和其他约会服务的运营商的收入确实超出了预期。随着疫苗接种率的上升，Tinder的收入增长正在加速，但Match表示，一些重要的海外市场的复苏滞后。股价在盘前交易中下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Caesars Entertainment(CZR) </b>– Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)凯撒娱乐(CZR)</b>-凯撒最近一个季度每股盈利34美分，令此前预期每股亏损18美分的分析师感到惊讶。由于拉斯维加斯市场的强劲反弹，赌场运营商的收入也超出了预期。凯撒在盘前股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Affirm Holdings(AFRM)</b> – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)确认控股(AFRM)</b>-Affirm继昨天上涨3%后，盘前又上涨2.4%。彭博社报道称，该支付服务将与苹果(AAPL)合作，为加拿大购买苹果设备提供“先买后付”服务，该支付服务的股价因此受到提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) </b>– Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Avis Budget(CAR)</b>-Avis Budget在公布其历史上最好的季度后，在盘前交易中上涨1.9%，需求激增和租金价格上涨导致销售额增加了两倍。调整后每股收益为5.90美元，而市场普遍预期为1.21美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Live Nation(LYV) </b>– Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>13)Live Nation(LYV)</b>-Live Nation表示，随着疫苗接种量的增加，现场活动回归，其最近一个季度的销售额飙升了近八倍。现场活动发起人表示，音乐会和其他活动很快就销售一空，票价比大流行前的水平高出10%。Live Nation盘前上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank&nbsp;won’t rush&nbsp;a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.</p><p><blockquote>外汇方面，在欧洲央行政策制定者表示央行不会急于就刺激措施做出决定后，欧元下跌。彭博美元指数几乎没有变化，大多数10国集团货币在窄幅波动中交易。英镑连续第二天上涨，一些投资者预计英国央行周四将转向鹰派；欧元跌至盘中低点1.1842，随后收复跌幅。新西兰就业数据超出经济学家预期后，交易员加大了加息押注，新西兰元兑所有G-10货币均上涨。交易员表示，新西兰元兑澳元也受到基金相关购买的支撑。在中国服务业活动指标超出分析师预期后，澳元从盘中低点反弹。避险货币瑞士法郎和日元领跌，因担心德尔塔变异毒株蔓延可能破坏全球经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> In rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No&nbsp;Treasury&nbsp;supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.&nbsp; Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>利率方面，由于市场等待美国东部时间上午8:30的最新季度退款公告，美国国债收益率在隔夜交易的大部分时间保持稳定后突然跌至1.1555%的盘中低点。亚洲价格走势平静，欧洲早盘收益率窄幅波动。ISM服务业和ADP就业数据也将于周三公布，这可能会在周五公布就业数据之前提供一些见解。本周没有国债供应，尽管美国东部时间上午8:30的季度退款公告将引起关注，因为官员们可能会提供有关减少拍卖规模时间的细节。欧元区政府债券收益率徘徊在近期低点附近，德国10年期国债收益率为-0.489%，受略逊于预期的7月份欧元区采购经理人指数调查数据影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，布伦特原油期货回吐早盘涨幅，尾盘下跌0.2%，至每桶72.30美元，而美国原油下跌0.4%，至每桶70.26美元。现货黄金上涨0.2%，至每盎司1812.9美元。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to&nbsp;speak&nbsp;about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”&nbsp; Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，预期数据包括7月份ADP就业变化以及ISM服务业指数。如果本周美国关键就业数据导致投资者调整对美联储最终缩减刺激措施可能时间表的预期，可能会引发市场波动。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达将于周三就货币政策发表讲话。Swissquote分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示：“今天的就业数据可能会迅速改变市场情绪。”“强劲的数据应该会加速人们的想法，即美联储将比其他情况更快地进入缩减阶段。这可能会给美国股市带来一定的压力。”另外，巴西央行将发布最新的货币政策决定，随后美联储副主席克拉里达将发表讲话。最后，今天发布财报的公司包括CVS Health、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、Uber和丰田。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 19:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月4日上午8:28）</i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug&nbsp;4)&nbsp;Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&amp;P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>（8月4日）在标普500创下今年第42个收盘纪录后，股票期货波动，投资者将强劲的企业盈利与COVID-19 Delta变种的潜在威胁进行权衡。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis fell 7&nbsp;points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid&nbsp;9&nbsp;points, or 0.06%&nbsp;.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午08:28，道指E-minis下跌76点，跌幅0.22%，标普500 E-minis下跌7点，跌幅0.16%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌9点，跌幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11f1103ecd5b5a67bec56afafdc8276f\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket：</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;General Motors(GM)</b> – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）通用汽车（GM）</b>-通用汽车调整后第二季度利润为每股1.97美元，低于市场普遍预期的每股2.23美元，尽管收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。基于强劲的需求和定价，通用汽车确实上调了今年剩余时间的预测。通用汽车最初在盘前下跌3%，但随后反弹，收复了大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS)</b> – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）CVS健康（CVS）</b>-CVS第二季度调整后每股收益为2.42美元，超出市场普遍预期的2.06美元，营收也超出预期。这家药店和药房福利公司的同店销售额也增长了12.3%，好于预期。另外，CVS还宣布将员工最低工资提高至每小时15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Kraft Heinz(KHC) </b>– Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）卡夫亨氏（KHC）</b>-卡夫亨氏调整后季度收益为每股78美分，超出预期6美分，而该食品生产商的收入也超出预期。本季度对该公司零食和包装食品的需求持续强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Tupperware(TUP) </b>– Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）特百惠（TUP）</b>-特百惠股价在第二季度营收和利润均超出预期后，盘前上涨2.5%。这家家用存储产品制造商调整后每股收益为95美分，远高于57美分的普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Robinhood(HOOD)</b> – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）罗宾汉（胡德）</b>–该交易平台的股价在周二交易中上涨24.2%的基础上，在盘前交易中飙升13.1%，自上周四上市以来首次突破每股38美元的IPO价格。它也是昨天交易量最大的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Activision Blizzard(ATVI)</b> – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）动视暴雪（ATVI）</b>-动视暴雪调整后季度收益为每股91美分，超出预期15美分，该视频游戏生产商的收入略高于华尔街的预测。它还给出了乐观的预测，预计对《糖果粉碎传奇》和《使命看涨期权》等热门系列的需求将持续强劲。股价在盘前交易中上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Amgen(AMGN) </b>– Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）安进（AMGN）</b>-安进最近一个季度调整后每股收益为4.38美元，而市场普遍预期为4.09美元。这家生物技术巨头的收入也超出了分析师的预期，尽管它表示就诊和手术仍低于大流行前的水平。安进还表示，它与美国国税局存在纠纷，对其欠下36亿美元欠税的指控进行抗辩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Lyft(LYFT) </b>– Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Lyft（Lyft）</b>-Lyft公布调整后季度每股亏损5美分，小于分析师预测的24美分亏损，该网约车服务营收好于预期。Lyft看到了强劲的网约车需求，并且确实实现了以息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)衡量的盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Match Group(MTCH)</b> – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）匹配组（MTCH）</b>-Match Group的季度收益为每股46美分，比预期低6美分，尽管Tinder和其他约会服务的运营商的收入确实超出了预期。随着疫苗接种率的上升，Tinder的收入增长正在加速，但Match表示，一些重要的海外市场的复苏滞后。股价在盘前交易中下跌4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Caesars Entertainment(CZR) </b>– Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)凯撒娱乐(CZR)</b>-凯撒最近一个季度每股盈利34美分，令此前预期每股亏损18美分的分析师感到惊讶。由于拉斯维加斯市场的强劲反弹，赌场运营商的收入也超出了预期。凯撒在盘前股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Affirm Holdings(AFRM)</b> – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)确认控股(AFRM)</b>-Affirm继昨天上涨3%后，盘前又上涨2.4%。彭博社报道称，该支付服务将与苹果(AAPL)合作，为加拿大购买苹果设备提供“先买后付”服务，该支付服务的股价因此受到提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) </b>– Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Avis Budget(CAR)</b>-Avis Budget在公布其历史上最好的季度后，在盘前交易中上涨1.9%，需求激增和租金价格上涨导致销售额增加了两倍。调整后每股收益为5.90美元，而市场普遍预期为1.21美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Live Nation(LYV) </b>– Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>13)Live Nation(LYV)</b>-Live Nation表示，随着疫苗接种量的增加，现场活动回归，其最近一个季度的销售额飙升了近八倍。现场活动发起人表示，音乐会和其他活动很快就销售一空，票价比大流行前的水平高出10%。Live Nation盘前上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank&nbsp;won’t rush&nbsp;a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.</p><p><blockquote>外汇方面，在欧洲央行政策制定者表示央行不会急于就刺激措施做出决定后，欧元下跌。彭博美元指数几乎没有变化，大多数10国集团货币在窄幅波动中交易。英镑连续第二天上涨，一些投资者预计英国央行周四将转向鹰派；欧元跌至盘中低点1.1842，随后收复跌幅。新西兰就业数据超出经济学家预期后，交易员加大了加息押注，新西兰元兑所有G-10货币均上涨。交易员表示，新西兰元兑澳元也受到基金相关购买的支撑。在中国服务业活动指标超出分析师预期后，澳元从盘中低点反弹。避险货币瑞士法郎和日元领跌，因担心德尔塔变异毒株蔓延可能破坏全球经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> In rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No&nbsp;Treasury&nbsp;supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.&nbsp; Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>利率方面，由于市场等待美国东部时间上午8:30的最新季度退款公告，美国国债收益率在隔夜交易的大部分时间保持稳定后突然跌至1.1555%的盘中低点。亚洲价格走势平静，欧洲早盘收益率窄幅波动。ISM服务业和ADP就业数据也将于周三公布，这可能会在周五公布就业数据之前提供一些见解。本周没有国债供应，尽管美国东部时间上午8:30的季度退款公告将引起关注，因为官员们可能会提供有关减少拍卖规模时间的细节。欧元区政府债券收益率徘徊在近期低点附近，德国10年期国债收益率为-0.489%，受略逊于预期的7月份欧元区采购经理人指数调查数据影响不大。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，布伦特原油期货回吐早盘涨幅，尾盘下跌0.2%，至每桶72.30美元，而美国原油下跌0.4%，至每桶70.26美元。现货黄金上涨0.2%，至每盎司1812.9美元。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to&nbsp;speak&nbsp;about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”&nbsp; Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，预期数据包括7月份ADP就业变化以及ISM服务业指数。如果本周美国关键就业数据导致投资者调整对美联储最终缩减刺激措施可能时间表的预期，可能会引发市场波动。美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达将于周三就货币政策发表讲话。Swissquote分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示：“今天的就业数据可能会迅速改变市场情绪。”“强劲的数据应该会加速人们的想法，即美联储将比其他情况更快地进入缩减阶段。这可能会给美国股市带来一定的压力。”另外，巴西央行将发布最新的货币政策决定，随后美联储副主席克拉里达将发表讲话。最后，今天发布财报的公司包括CVS Health、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、Uber和丰田。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163400390","content_text":"(Update: August 4, 2021 at 8:28 a.m. ET)\n(Aug 4) Stock futures arewobblingafter the S&P 500 hit its 42nd record close of the year, as investors weighstrong corporate earningsagainst the potentialthreat of the Delta variantof Covid-19.\nAt 08:28 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 76 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 E-minis fell 7 points, or 0.16% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis slid 9 points, or 0.06% .\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket：\n1) General Motors(GM) – General Motors missed the consensus estimate of $2.23 per share with an adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.97 per share, though revenue did top Wall Street forecasts. GM did raise its forecast for the remainder of the year, based on strong demand and pricing. GM initially fell 3% in the premarket but then bounced back to recover most of that loss.\n2) CVS Health(CVS) – CVS earned an adjusted $2.42 per share for the second quarter, beating the $2.06 consensus estimate, with revenue beating forecasts as well. The drug store and pharmacy benefits company also saw same-store sales rise a better than expected 12.3%. Separately, CVS also announced it was raising its minimum wage for employees to $15 per hour.\n3) Kraft Heinz(KHC) – Kraft Heinz beat estimates by 6 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 78 cents per share, while the food producer’s revenue also exceeded estimates. Demand continued to be strong during the quarter for the company’s snacks and packaged meals.\n4) Tupperware(TUP) – Tupperware shares jumped 2.5% in the premarket, after beating on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter. The maker of household storage products earned an adjusted 95 cents per share, well above the 57 cent consensus estimate.\n5) Robinhood(HOOD) – The trading platform’s stock soared 13.1% in premarket trading, on top of a 24.2% gain in Tuesday trading, when it rose above its $38 per share IPO price for the first time since going public last Thursday. It was also among yesterday’s most heavily traded stocks.\n6) Activision Blizzard(ATVI) – Activision Blizzard beat estimates by 15 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share and the videogame producer’s revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. It also gave an upbeat forecast, anticipating continued strong demand for popular franchises like “Candy Crush” and “Call of Duty”. Shares rallied 5.6% in premarket trading.\n7) Amgen(AMGN) – Amgen earned an adjusted $4.38 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.09. The biotech giant’s revenue topped analyst estimates as well, although it said visits and procedures remain below pre-pandemic levels. Amgen also said it is in a dispute with the IRS, fighting a claim that it owes $3.6 billion in back taxes.\n8) Lyft(LYFT) – Lyft reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, smaller than the 24 cent loss predicted by analysts, with the ride-hailing service coming in with better-than-expected revenue. Lyft saw strong ride-hailing demand and did reach profitability as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).\n9) Match Group(MTCH) – Match Group fell 6 cents shy of estimates with quarterly earnings of 46 cents per share, although the operator of Tinder and other dating services did see revenue exceed forecasts. Revenue growth for Tinder is accelerating as vaccination rates rise, but Match said recovery is lagging in some important overseas markets. Shares fell 4% in premarket trading.\n10) Caesars Entertainment(CZR) – Caesars earned 34 cents per share for its latest quarter, surprising analysts who had expected a loss of 18 cents per share. The casino operator’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, thanks to a strong rebound in the Las Vegas market. Caesars added 2% in premarket action.\n11) Affirm Holdings(AFRM) – Affirm added another 2.4% in the premarket, after jumping 3% yesterday. The payment service’s shares are getting a boost from a Bloomberg report that it will partner withApple(AAPL) to offer “buy now, pay later” services for Canadian purchases of Apple devices.\n12) Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget rose 1.9% in premarket trading after reporting what it called the best quarter in its history, with surging demand and higher rental prices leading to a tripling in sales. Adjusted earnings per share came to $5.90, compared to a consensus estimate of $1.21.\n13) Live Nation(LYV) – Live Nation said sales for its latest quarter surged nearly eight-fold, as live events returned amid an increase in vaccinations. The live event promoter said concerts and other events were selling out quickly, and at ticket prices that were 10% above pre-pandemic levels. Live Nation gained 2.3% in the premarket.\nIn FX, the euro dipped after a European Central Bank policy maker said the central bank won’t rush a decision on stimulus. The Bloomberg Dollar Index held little changed and most Group- of-10 currencies traded in narrow ranges. The pound rose for a second day, with some investors expecting the Bank of England to take a hawkish turn on Thursday; the euro slipped to a session low of 1.1842 before trimming losses. New Zealand’s dollar rose against all its G-10 peers as traders boosted bets for interest- rate hikes after the nation’s jobs data beat economists’ estimates. The kiwi was also bolstered by fund-related purchases against the Australian dollar, traders said. The Australian dollar bounced off a session low after a gauge of China’s services activity topped analysts’ estimates. The safe haven Swiss franc and Japanese yen led losses on concern the spread of the delta variant could derail global growth.\nIn rates, treasury yields suddenly slumped to session lows of 1.1555% after trading steady for much of the overnight session as market awaits latest quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET. Price action calm over Asia, early European session has seen yields trade in a narrow range. ISM services and ADP employment data also due Wednesday, which may provide some insight ahead of Friday payrolls. No Treasury supply this week, although quarterly refunding announcement at 8:30am ET will draw focus as officials may provide details about the timing of reducing auction sizes.  Euro zone government bond yields hovered near recent lows, with the German 10-year yield at -0.489%, little moved by July euro zone purchasing managers index survey data that came in slightly worse than expected.\nIn commodities, Brent futures gave up early gains to last trade 0.2% lower at $72.30 a barrel, while U.S. crude was down 0.4% at $70.26 a barrel. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,812.9 an ounce.\nLooking at the day ahead, expected data include ADP employment change for July as well as the ISM services index. Key U.S. jobs data this week could stoke market swings if they lead investors to adjust expectations over the Federal Reserve’s likely timeline for eventually tapering stimulus. Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida is due to speak about monetary policy Wednesday. “Today’s employment figures could rapidly change the market mood,” said Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya. “A strong read should accelerate the thinking that the Fed will get to the tapering stage quicker than otherwise. That could apply a certain pressure on the U.S. stocks.”  Separately the Central Bank of Brazil will release its latest monetary policy decision and then Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida speaks. Finally, earnings releases today include CVS Health, Booking Holdings, General Motors, Uber, and Toyota.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804722059,"gmtCreate":1627981977971,"gmtModify":1631893602637,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804722059","repostId":"1126428821","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126428821","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627981590,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126428821?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 17:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle<blockquote>如何发现逐渐减少周期的开始</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126428821","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell","content":"<p>Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔表示，就业增长达到大流行前的水平是开始缩减规模的关键。对于担心利率上升和债券多头的固定收益交易员来说，好消息是我们还没有到那一步。</blockquote></p><p> A good gauge for when we do get there,<b>take a look at the spread between the labor participation rate and job openings (JOLTS).</b>It’s nowhere near pre-pandemic levels. Looking back at where labor and job openings were when the Fed announced tapering in December 2013 serves as a decent indication of what this relationship needs to look like before tapering is a more convincing option for the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>一个很好的衡量我们何时到达那里，<b>看看劳动参与率和职位空缺（JOLTS）之间的利差。</b>远未达到大流行前的水平。回顾2013年12月美联储宣布缩减规模时劳动力和职位空缺的情况，可以很好地表明，在缩减规模成为央行更有说服力的选择之前，这种关系需要是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84e3a3f692f7801c67928066e3bedbd6\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The question Fed Chair Powell is asked time and time again and the one he cannot seem to answer is “what does transitory mean and when will inflation point to the beginning of tapering?” The answer is likely not about inflation at all, but jobs. Remember, inflation is transitory for the Fed, or is it?</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔一次又一次地被问到这个问题，但他似乎无法回答的一个问题是“暂时性意味着什么？通胀何时会指向缩减规模的开始？”答案可能根本不是通货膨胀，而是就业。请记住，通货膨胀对美联储来说是暂时的，是吗？</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at another metric of jobs returning to pre-pandemic levels: payroll gains and jobless claims. It seems we’re already there and the Fed is indeed behind the curve. It’s likely to fall even further behind once inflation begins to percolate.</p><p><blockquote>看看就业恢复到大流行前水平的另一个指标：工资增长和初请失业金人数。似乎我们已经到了那里，而美联储确实落后了。一旦通货膨胀开始渗透，它可能会进一步落后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be98f1ce03c5152b6f44c2bf52e81efb\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"248\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That means inflation and inflationary expectations are like a spring wound tight. It is only when you reach the tipping point that it unravels. For the Fed, it appears that time is when labor participation increases sufficiently to fill current job openings.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通胀和通胀预期就像绷紧的弹簧。只有当你达到临界点时，它才会瓦解。对于美联储来说，似乎是劳动力参与率增加到足以填补当前职位空缺的时候。</blockquote></p><p> We may be closer than we think to that moment. School re-openings and the end of extended jobs benefits is right around the corner. That should produce an increase in the labor participation rate and result in fewer job openings. That’s when the first aforementioned metric may come into play.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能比我们想象的更接近那一刻。学校重新开放和延长工作福利的结束指日可待。这应该会提高劳动参与率，减少职位空缺。这时，上述第一个指标可能会发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> For equity investors, it’s not a time to panic. The 2013 taper tantrum didn’t produce an extended selloff but it was a different story for bond traders. As the participation/job opening gap closes, the canary in the coal mine may stop singing. That’ll likely be a sign that tapering is at hand and signal the beginning of a substantial bond correction.</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，现在不是恐慌的时候。2013年的缩减恐慌并没有导致长期抛售，但对于债券交易员来说，情况就不同了。随着参与/职位空缺差距的缩小，煤矿里的金丝雀可能会停止歌唱。这可能是缩减购债规模即将到来的迹象，也标志着债券大幅调整的开始。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle<blockquote>如何发现逐渐减少周期的开始</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle<blockquote>如何发现逐渐减少周期的开始</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 17:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not there yet.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔表示，就业增长达到大流行前的水平是开始缩减规模的关键。对于担心利率上升和债券多头的固定收益交易员来说，好消息是我们还没有到那一步。</blockquote></p><p> A good gauge for when we do get there,<b>take a look at the spread between the labor participation rate and job openings (JOLTS).</b>It’s nowhere near pre-pandemic levels. Looking back at where labor and job openings were when the Fed announced tapering in December 2013 serves as a decent indication of what this relationship needs to look like before tapering is a more convincing option for the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>一个很好的衡量我们何时到达那里，<b>看看劳动参与率和职位空缺（JOLTS）之间的利差。</b>远未达到大流行前的水平。回顾2013年12月美联储宣布缩减规模时劳动力和职位空缺的情况，可以很好地表明，在缩减规模成为央行更有说服力的选择之前，这种关系需要是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84e3a3f692f7801c67928066e3bedbd6\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The question Fed Chair Powell is asked time and time again and the one he cannot seem to answer is “what does transitory mean and when will inflation point to the beginning of tapering?” The answer is likely not about inflation at all, but jobs. Remember, inflation is transitory for the Fed, or is it?</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔一次又一次地被问到这个问题，但他似乎无法回答的一个问题是“暂时性意味着什么？通胀何时会指向缩减规模的开始？”答案可能根本不是通货膨胀，而是就业。请记住，通货膨胀对美联储来说是暂时的，是吗？</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at another metric of jobs returning to pre-pandemic levels: payroll gains and jobless claims. It seems we’re already there and the Fed is indeed behind the curve. It’s likely to fall even further behind once inflation begins to percolate.</p><p><blockquote>看看就业恢复到大流行前水平的另一个指标：工资增长和初请失业金人数。似乎我们已经到了那里，而美联储确实落后了。一旦通货膨胀开始渗透，它可能会进一步落后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be98f1ce03c5152b6f44c2bf52e81efb\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"248\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That means inflation and inflationary expectations are like a spring wound tight. It is only when you reach the tipping point that it unravels. For the Fed, it appears that time is when labor participation increases sufficiently to fill current job openings.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通胀和通胀预期就像绷紧的弹簧。只有当你达到临界点时，它才会瓦解。对于美联储来说，似乎是劳动力参与率增加到足以填补当前职位空缺的时候。</blockquote></p><p> We may be closer than we think to that moment. School re-openings and the end of extended jobs benefits is right around the corner. That should produce an increase in the labor participation rate and result in fewer job openings. That’s when the first aforementioned metric may come into play.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能比我们想象的更接近那一刻。学校重新开放和延长工作福利的结束指日可待。这应该会提高劳动参与率，减少职位空缺。这时，上述第一个指标可能会发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> For equity investors, it’s not a time to panic. The 2013 taper tantrum didn’t produce an extended selloff but it was a different story for bond traders. As the participation/job opening gap closes, the canary in the coal mine may stop singing. That’ll likely be a sign that tapering is at hand and signal the beginning of a substantial bond correction.</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，现在不是恐慌的时候。2013年的缩减恐慌并没有导致长期抛售，但对于债券交易员来说，情况就不同了。随着参与/职位空缺差距的缩小，煤矿里的金丝雀可能会停止歌唱。这可能是缩减购债规模即将到来的迹象，也标志着债券大幅调整的开始。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-spot-start-tapering-cycle\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-spot-start-tapering-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126428821","content_text":"Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not there yet.\nA good gauge for when we do get there,take a look at the spread between the labor participation rate and job openings (JOLTS).It’s nowhere near pre-pandemic levels. Looking back at where labor and job openings were when the Fed announced tapering in December 2013 serves as a decent indication of what this relationship needs to look like before tapering is a more convincing option for the central bank.\nThe question Fed Chair Powell is asked time and time again and the one he cannot seem to answer is “what does transitory mean and when will inflation point to the beginning of tapering?” The answer is likely not about inflation at all, but jobs. Remember, inflation is transitory for the Fed, or is it?\nTake a look at another metric of jobs returning to pre-pandemic levels: payroll gains and jobless claims. It seems we’re already there and the Fed is indeed behind the curve. It’s likely to fall even further behind once inflation begins to percolate.\nThat means inflation and inflationary expectations are like a spring wound tight. It is only when you reach the tipping point that it unravels. For the Fed, it appears that time is when labor participation increases sufficiently to fill current job openings.\nWe may be closer than we think to that moment. School re-openings and the end of extended jobs benefits is right around the corner. That should produce an increase in the labor participation rate and result in fewer job openings. That’s when the first aforementioned metric may come into play.\nFor equity investors, it’s not a time to panic. The 2013 taper tantrum didn’t produce an extended selloff but it was a different story for bond traders. As the participation/job opening gap closes, the canary in the coal mine may stop singing. That’ll likely be a sign that tapering is at hand and signal the beginning of a substantial bond correction.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144562756,"gmtCreate":1626306778975,"gmtModify":1631884081807,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New high","listText":"New high","text":"New high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144562756","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140687601,"gmtCreate":1625654313603,"gmtModify":1633938701482,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140687601","repostId":"2149399705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124168112,"gmtCreate":1624754142036,"gmtModify":1633949124576,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582857435811011","idStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124168112","repostId":"2146009942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146009942","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624753788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146009942?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146009942","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier ","content":"<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement<blockquote>WallStreetBets正在消亡，WallStreetBets运动万岁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>奥利维尔·杜利里/法新社，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如诗人约吉·贝拉曾经打趣的那样，“再也没有人去那里了——那里太拥挤了。”</blockquote></p><p> While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p><p><blockquote>虽然贝拉在谈论20世纪60年代初一家受欢迎的佛罗里达餐厅，但他很容易在2021年夏天谈论WallStreeBets，因为许多使留言板成为金融现象的散户投资者现在正在放弃它，转而选择更新的子版块，称WallStreetBets已因主流金融对社交媒体对市场走势的力量的更好理解而受到损害。</blockquote></p><p> WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets在一月份以游戏驿站的身份成为家喻户晓的名字<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC院线<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a>其他模因股票以疯狂的空头挤压的形式宣布了它们的到来，这让华尔街紧随其后，对冲基金也陷入了困境。</blockquote></p><p> The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p><p><blockquote>留言板不敬和内幕的语气为用户提供了一个分享股票技巧的平台，并对他们认为操纵市场结构以使大银行和基金受益的不公平行为感到愤怒。它还催生了散户投资者独特的有伤风化的沟通方式，称对方为“猿”，鼓励对方用“钻石手”持有轧空股票，并渴望以鸡块或“鸡块”的形式交易利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p><p><blockquote>用户还开始以“DDs”或深度潜水的形式分享详细的投资论文，利用他们自己的分析来推广一个新的股票代码，供该运动参与。</blockquote></p><p> But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>但自1月份以来，WallStreetBets的成功已成为一个沉重的负担，该委员会的版主因该委员会1060万用户中的许多人认为规则执行不一致而受到批评，而且越来越多的人认为版主在害怕激怒华尔街和监管机构时过于安全。</blockquote></p><p> There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p><p><blockquote>还有广泛的猜测认为，WallStreetBets的规模和受欢迎程度使其容易受到不良行为者的影响，他们试图通过向旧的对话线程发送带有特定股票代码的帖子来创建拉高和转储计划，这些帖子看起来像是社交媒体对该股票产生了新的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p><p><blockquote>在已经离开的Reddit用户中，WallStreetBets通常被称为“融化的潜艇”。</blockquote></p><p> The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>这一转变让人想起，在这款流行的交易应用程序在1月份轧空高峰期间冻结了游戏驿站和其他股票的活动后，散户投资者是如何转向Robinhood的。这一决定引发了对Robinhood的愤怒，许多散户在社交媒体上声称该应用程序与挤压另一方的对冲基金和做市商勾结。</blockquote></p><p> Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p><p><blockquote>与Robinhood的外流一样，WallStreetBets的分裂也导致散户投资者转向新平台和其他更专注于投资、期权和个股的子平台。它甚至让他们有机会创建自己的董事会，例如r/Superstonk，这是一个面向游戏驿站投资者的Reddit子网站，从3月份开始发布一系列反WallStreetBets帖子，目前已拥有485,000名会员。</blockquote></p><p> \"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p><p><blockquote>“WSB是Reddit的罗宾汉，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>用户本周在Superstonk上发帖。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>AMC和其他meme股票有自己越来越受欢迎的子Reddit，它们似乎是散户投资运动的下一次迭代，几乎没有失去动力的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然1月份的狂热已经消退，但金融咨询公司Betterment最近的一项调查表明，大多数散户投资者都致力于在可预见的未来进行交易，按理说，他们交易的演变将发生在更小、更集中的subreddits上，比如Superstonk。</blockquote></p><p> As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p><p><blockquote>随着在线迁移的继续，Reddit集会的母舰WallStreetBets将会有一种空巢的感觉。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>向前看</b></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国劳工部下周五发布了有关国会基础设施法案进展的好消息，本周美国股市再次攀升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}