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Jerm15

Jerm15

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2021-12-19

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Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>

2021-12-17

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5 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的5只股票</blockquote>

2021-12-16

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Option Traders Bullish On Ford Heading Into 2022 With Strong Upside Potential<blockquote>期权交易员看好福特进入2022年，具有强劲的上涨潜力</blockquote>

2021-12-15

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U.S. retail sales climb tepid 0.3% in November as Americans confront high inflation<blockquote>由于美国人面临高通胀，美国11月零售额温和增长0.3%</blockquote>

2021-12-02

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2 Ridiculously Cheap Dividend Stocks To Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年值得购买的2只便宜得离谱的股息股票</blockquote>

2021-11-03

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2021-10-19

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Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>

2021-10-16

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2021-10-13

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Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote>

2021-09-05

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2021-09-01

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2021-08-26

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2021-08-25

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HP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote>

2021-08-21

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Is Snowflake Stock A Buy? Software Maker Sets Path To $10 Billion In Revenue By 2028<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？软件制造商计划到2028年收入达到100亿美元</blockquote>

2021-08-16

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2021-08-15

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These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>

2021-08-15

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These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>

2021-08-14

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Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>

2021-08-10

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2021-08-09

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Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>

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,"listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693000140","repostId":"1122414343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122414343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639884070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122414343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122414343","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5","content":"<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","ARNA":"阿里那","BK4007":"制药","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","CERN":"美国塞纳","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122414343","content_text":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. Healthcare technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.\nAmong stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, Arena Pharmaceuticals  dominated with a ~83.8% rise after Pfizer  agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. Cerner  also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from Oracle  for the electronic-medical-records company.\nVaccine developer, Novavax  jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.\nBiohaven Pharmaceutical  posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, Roivant Sciences  added ~22.6%.\nNotable gainer: Pfizer (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the New York-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.\nAmong worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.\nLast week’s best performer, Bright Health Group, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by Goldman Sachs even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.\nAllogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic CAR T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"CERN":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"ARNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699336409,"gmtCreate":1639747717246,"gmtModify":1639747717246,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699336409","repostId":"1116116501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116116501","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639745427,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116116501?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 20:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116116501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view t","content":"<p><div> When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当内部人士出售股票时，表明他们对公司前景的担忧，或者他们认为股票定价过高。不管怎样，这都标志着做空股票的机会。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks Insiders Are Selling<blockquote>内部人士正在抛售的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 20:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当内部人士出售股票时，表明他们对公司前景的担忧，或者他们认为股票定价过高。不管怎样，这都标志着做空股票的机会。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARVN":"Arvinas Holding Company LLC","HPE":"慧与科技","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","MRVL":"迈威尔科技","AEE":"阿曼瑞恩"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24666623/5-stocks-insiders-are-selling","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116116501","content_text":"When insiders sell shares, it indicates their concern in the company’s prospects or that they view the stock as being overpriced. Either way, this signals an opportunity to go short on the stock. Insider sales should not be taken as the only indicator for making an investment or trading decision. At best, it can lend conviction to a selling decision.\nBelow is a look at a few recent notable insider sales.\nLegalZoom.com\n\nThe Trade:LegalZoom.com, Inc. Chief Financial Officer Bertram Noel Watson disposed a total of 69466 shares at an average price of $15.65. The insider received $1,087,351.30 as a result of the transaction.\nWhat’s Happening:Morgan Stanley maintained LegalZoom.com with an Equal-Weight and lowered the price target from $28 to $19.\nWhat LegalZoom.com Does:LegalZoom.com Inc is an online provider of services that meet the legal needs of small businesses and consumers in the United States\n\nArvinas\n\nThe Trade:Arvinas, Inc. Director Liam Ratcliffe sold a total of 355705 shares at an average price of $67.00. The insider received $23,833,380.68 from selling those shares.\nWhat’s Happening:Arvinas and Pfizer recently posted updated data from Phase 1 dose-escalation trial of ARV-471 for locally advanced or metastatic ER-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer (ER+/HER2-).\nWhat Arvinas Does:Arvinas Inc is a United States-based private biopharmaceutical company focused on developing first-in-class protein degradation therapeutics for cancers and other difficult-to-treat diseases.\n\nMarvell Technology\n\nThe Trade:Marvell Technology, Inc. CEO and President Matthew Murphy sold a total of 30000 shares at an average price of $85.98. The insider received $2,579,400.00 as a result of the transaction.\nWhat’s Happening:Marvell recently introduced industry's first 50G PAM4 DSP chipset for next generation 5G RAN optical fronthaul.\nWhat Marvell Technology Does:Marvell Technology is a leading fabless chipmaker focused on networking and storage applications. Marvell serves the data center, carrier, enterprise, automotive, and consumer end markets with processors, optical interconnections, application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), and merchant silicon for Ethernet applications.\n\nHewlett Packard Enterprise\n\nThe Trade:Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company SVP & GM, HPC & AI Business Group Justin Hotard sold a total of 40012 shares at an average price of $14.55. The insider received $582,174.60 from selling those shares.\nWhat’s Happening:Hewlett Packard Enterprise recently reported worse-than-expected Q4 sales results.\nWhat Hewlett Packard Enterprise Does:Hewlett Packard Enterprise is a supplier of IT infrastructure products and services. The company operates as three major segments.\n\nAmeren\n\nThe Trade:Ameren Corporation Chairman, President and CEO Warner L Baxtersold a total of 68300 shares at an average price of $87.31. The insider received $4,976,670.00 from selling those shares.\nWhat’s Happening:BMO Capital recently maintained Ameren with an Outperform and raised the price target from $85 to $95.\nWhat Ameren Does:Ameren owns rate-regulated generation, transmission, and distribution networks that deliver electricity and natural gas in Missouri and Illinois. It serves nearly 2.5 million electricity customers and roughly 1.0 million natural gas customers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LZ":0.9,"MRVL":0.9,"AEE":0.9,"HPE":0.9,"ARVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690938709,"gmtCreate":1639620105596,"gmtModify":1639620241947,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690938709","repostId":"1139620589","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139620589","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1639617287,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139620589?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 09:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Option Traders Bullish On Ford Heading Into 2022 With Strong Upside Potential<blockquote>期权交易员看好福特进入2022年，具有强劲的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139620589","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Ford Motor Company is having an impressive year, up over 125% year-to-date and sitting just below th","content":"<p><b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;is having an impressive year, up over 125% year-to-date and sitting just below the $20 level heading into the holidays.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司</b>今年表现令人印象深刻，今年迄今上涨了125%以上，假期前略低于20美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Even with such a strong year in 2021, option traders are bullish on Ford heading into the new year, both in the short and long term.</p><p><blockquote>即使2021年表现如此强劲，期权交易员仍看好福特进入新的一年，无论是短期还是长期。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the shorter-term Jan. 21 expiry for next year, there has been a lot of call buying at the $20 strike, with over 17,000 options traded at that strike Wednesday. This is combined with the strong open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with 204,000-plus&nbsp;options at the $20 STR and 135,000-plus&nbsp;at the $22 strike (image below).</p><p><blockquote>从明年1月21日的短期到期日来看，有大量看涨期权在20美元的行使价买入，周三在该行使价交易了超过17,000份期权。再加上20美元和25美元行使价的强劲未平仓合约，20美元STR有204,000多份期权，22美元行使价有135,000多份期权（如下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65137fb8894105f2ab49d5bb60db3ae6\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The heavy amount of volume and open interest will create liquidity at those strikes and could pull the stock to these&nbsp;upside targets for the Jan. 21 expiry next year.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>大量的成交量和未平仓合约将在这些罢工中创造流动性，并可能将该股拉至明年1月21日到期的上行目标。</blockquote></p><p> While a portion of the $20 strikes could be call sellers collecting premium on their long stock holdings, it's less likely for the $22&nbsp;strikes considering the premium is so low at 54 cents. Hence, it is more probable the open interest at the $22 strike is long calls.</p><p><blockquote>虽然20美元的执行价中有一部分可能是看涨期权卖家从其持有的多头股票中收取溢价，但考虑到溢价低至54美分，22美元的执行价的可能性较小。因此，22美元执行价的未平仓合约更有可能是多头评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next:</b>In the short term and into the Jan. 21 expiry for next year, Ford option traders are expecting a move above the $20 strike and potentially up to the $22 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么：</b>在短期内以及明年1月21日到期之前，福特期权交易员预计价格将升至20美元以上，并可能升至22美元。</blockquote></p><p> This bullish sentiment in the option flows is also captured in the Jan. 20 expiry for 2023, with heavy open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with a potential \"moonshot\"&nbsp;target of $30 by the first month in 2023 (image below).</p><p><blockquote>期权流中的这种看涨情绪也体现在2023年1月20日到期日上，20美元和25美元的未平仓合约数量较多，到2023年第一个月，潜在的“登月”目标为30美元（如下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/807061111a55fee75ede75b4b967a6e6\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"346\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, should the stock head lower, there is strong volume and open interest between the $15 and $20 strikes, which could be potentially good levels for dip buying.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，如果该股走低，15美元至20美元之间的成交量和未平仓合约都很强劲，这可能是逢低买入的良好水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Traders Bullish On Ford Heading Into 2022 With Strong Upside Potential<blockquote>期权交易员看好福特进入2022年，具有强劲的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Traders Bullish On Ford Heading Into 2022 With Strong Upside Potential<blockquote>期权交易员看好福特进入2022年，具有强劲的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 09:14</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Ford Motor Company</b>&nbsp;is having an impressive year, up over 125% year-to-date and sitting just below the $20 level heading into the holidays.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司</b>今年表现令人印象深刻，今年迄今上涨了125%以上，假期前略低于20美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Even with such a strong year in 2021, option traders are bullish on Ford heading into the new year, both in the short and long term.</p><p><blockquote>即使2021年表现如此强劲，期权交易员仍看好福特进入新的一年，无论是短期还是长期。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the shorter-term Jan. 21 expiry for next year, there has been a lot of call buying at the $20 strike, with over 17,000 options traded at that strike Wednesday. This is combined with the strong open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with 204,000-plus&nbsp;options at the $20 STR and 135,000-plus&nbsp;at the $22 strike (image below).</p><p><blockquote>从明年1月21日的短期到期日来看，有大量看涨期权在20美元的行使价买入，周三在该行使价交易了超过17,000份期权。再加上20美元和25美元行使价的强劲未平仓合约，20美元STR有204,000多份期权，22美元行使价有135,000多份期权（如下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65137fb8894105f2ab49d5bb60db3ae6\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The heavy amount of volume and open interest will create liquidity at those strikes and could pull the stock to these&nbsp;upside targets for the Jan. 21 expiry next year.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>大量的成交量和未平仓合约将在这些罢工中创造流动性，并可能将该股拉至明年1月21日到期的上行目标。</blockquote></p><p> While a portion of the $20 strikes could be call sellers collecting premium on their long stock holdings, it's less likely for the $22&nbsp;strikes considering the premium is so low at 54 cents. Hence, it is more probable the open interest at the $22 strike is long calls.</p><p><blockquote>虽然20美元的执行价中有一部分可能是看涨期权卖家从其持有的多头股票中收取溢价，但考虑到溢价低至54美分，22美元的执行价的可能性较小。因此，22美元执行价的未平仓合约更有可能是多头评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Next:</b>In the short term and into the Jan. 21 expiry for next year, Ford option traders are expecting a move above the $20 strike and potentially up to the $22 strike.</p><p><blockquote><b>下一步是什么：</b>在短期内以及明年1月21日到期之前，福特期权交易员预计价格将升至20美元以上，并可能升至22美元。</blockquote></p><p> This bullish sentiment in the option flows is also captured in the Jan. 20 expiry for 2023, with heavy open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with a potential \"moonshot\"&nbsp;target of $30 by the first month in 2023 (image below).</p><p><blockquote>期权流中的这种看涨情绪也体现在2023年1月20日到期日上，20美元和25美元的未平仓合约数量较多，到2023年第一个月，潜在的“登月”目标为30美元（如下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/807061111a55fee75ede75b4b967a6e6\" tg-width=\"1119\" tg-height=\"346\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, should the stock head lower, there is strong volume and open interest between the $15 and $20 strikes, which could be potentially good levels for dip buying.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，如果该股走低，15美元至20美元之间的成交量和未平仓合约都很强劲，这可能是逢低买入的良好水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139620589","content_text":"Ford Motor Company is having an impressive year, up over 125% year-to-date and sitting just below the $20 level heading into the holidays.\nEven with such a strong year in 2021, option traders are bullish on Ford heading into the new year, both in the short and long term.\nLooking at the shorter-term Jan. 21 expiry for next year, there has been a lot of call buying at the $20 strike, with over 17,000 options traded at that strike Wednesday. This is combined with the strong open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with 204,000-plus options at the $20 STR and 135,000-plus at the $22 strike (image below).\n\nWhy It Matters:The heavy amount of volume and open interest will create liquidity at those strikes and could pull the stock to these upside targets for the Jan. 21 expiry next year.\nWhile a portion of the $20 strikes could be call sellers collecting premium on their long stock holdings, it's less likely for the $22 strikes considering the premium is so low at 54 cents. Hence, it is more probable the open interest at the $22 strike is long calls.\nWhat's Next:In the short term and into the Jan. 21 expiry for next year, Ford option traders are expecting a move above the $20 strike and potentially up to the $22 strike.\nThis bullish sentiment in the option flows is also captured in the Jan. 20 expiry for 2023, with heavy open interest at the $20 and $25 strikes with a potential \"moonshot\" target of $30 by the first month in 2023 (image below).\n\nMeanwhile, should the stock head lower, there is strong volume and open interest between the $15 and $20 strikes, which could be potentially good levels for dip buying.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607427370,"gmtCreate":1639580437231,"gmtModify":1639580437308,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607427370","repostId":"1148643584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148643584","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639575903,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148643584?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. retail sales climb tepid 0.3% in November as Americans confront high inflation<blockquote>由于美国人面临高通胀，美国11月零售额温和增长0.3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148643584","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The numbers: Amazon, Target and other retailers posted a small 0.3% increase in sales in November at","content":"<p><b>The numbers:</b> Amazon, Target and other retailers posted a small 0.3% increase in sales in November at the start of the holiday season, but if high inflation is taken into account, receipts fell in a weak showing for the economy.</p><p><blockquote><b>数字：</b>亚马逊、塔吉特和其他零售商在11月份假期开始时的销售额小幅增长了0.3%，但如果考虑到高通胀，收入会因经济表现疲软而下降。</blockquote></p><p> Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.8% increase.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家此前预测增长0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The increase in sales was outstripped by a rising cost of living. The consumer price index jumped 0.8% in November to push the yearly&nbsp;rate of inflation to a 39-year high of 6.8%<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americans-pay-the-price-for-high-inflation-each-time-they-go-to-the-grocery-store-11639155038?mod=economic-report&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">.</a> Adjusted for inflation retail sales appeared to have declined.</p><p><blockquote>生活成本的上涨超过了销售额的增长。11月份消费者价格指数上涨0.8%，年通胀率升至6.8%的39年高点<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americans-pay-the-price-for-high-inflation-each-time-they-go-to-the-grocery-store-11639155038?mod=economic-report&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">.</a>经通胀调整后，零售额似乎有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Big picture:</b> Americans have lots to spend because of stimulus money, rising wages and high savings amassed during the pandemic. But surging inflation might make them rethink what they buy.</p><p><blockquote><b>大图：</b>由于刺激资金、工资上涨和疫情期间积累的高额储蓄，美国人有很多钱可以花。但通胀飙升可能会让他们重新考虑购买什么。</blockquote></p><p> The big danger is if high inflation persists and price increases become embedded in the economy. That could force the Federal Reserve to jack up interest rates, further raise business costs and discourage consumers from buying as many goods and services.</p><p><blockquote>最大的危险是，如果高通胀持续存在，价格上涨成为经济的一部分。这可能会迫使美联储提高利率，进一步提高企业成本，并阻止消费者购买尽可能多的商品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed still believes inflation will cool off in 2022, but the central bank is worried enough to phase out stimulus for the economy a lot faster than it had planned.</p><p><blockquote>美联储仍然认为通胀将在2022年降温，但央行非常担心，会比原计划更快地逐步取消经济刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market reaction:</b>&nbsp;The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and S&amp;P 500 were set to open slightly lower in Wednesday trades.</p><p><blockquote><b>市场反应：</b>道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500周三开盘小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. retail sales climb tepid 0.3% in November as Americans confront high inflation<blockquote>由于美国人面临高通胀，美国11月零售额温和增长0.3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. retail sales climb tepid 0.3% in November as Americans confront high inflation<blockquote>由于美国人面临高通胀，美国11月零售额温和增长0.3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-15 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The numbers:</b> Amazon, Target and other retailers posted a small 0.3% increase in sales in November at the start of the holiday season, but if high inflation is taken into account, receipts fell in a weak showing for the economy.</p><p><blockquote><b>数字：</b>亚马逊、塔吉特和其他零售商在11月份假期开始时的销售额小幅增长了0.3%，但如果考虑到高通胀，收入会因经济表现疲软而下降。</blockquote></p><p> Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.8% increase.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家此前预测增长0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The increase in sales was outstripped by a rising cost of living. The consumer price index jumped 0.8% in November to push the yearly&nbsp;rate of inflation to a 39-year high of 6.8%<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americans-pay-the-price-for-high-inflation-each-time-they-go-to-the-grocery-store-11639155038?mod=economic-report&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">.</a> Adjusted for inflation retail sales appeared to have declined.</p><p><blockquote>生活成本的上涨超过了销售额的增长。11月份消费者价格指数上涨0.8%，年通胀率升至6.8%的39年高点<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americans-pay-the-price-for-high-inflation-each-time-they-go-to-the-grocery-store-11639155038?mod=economic-report&amp;mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">.</a>经通胀调整后，零售额似乎有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Big picture:</b> Americans have lots to spend because of stimulus money, rising wages and high savings amassed during the pandemic. But surging inflation might make them rethink what they buy.</p><p><blockquote><b>大图：</b>由于刺激资金、工资上涨和疫情期间积累的高额储蓄，美国人有很多钱可以花。但通胀飙升可能会让他们重新考虑购买什么。</blockquote></p><p> The big danger is if high inflation persists and price increases become embedded in the economy. That could force the Federal Reserve to jack up interest rates, further raise business costs and discourage consumers from buying as many goods and services.</p><p><blockquote>最大的危险是，如果高通胀持续存在，价格上涨成为经济的一部分。这可能会迫使美联储提高利率，进一步提高企业成本，并阻止消费者购买尽可能多的商品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed still believes inflation will cool off in 2022, but the central bank is worried enough to phase out stimulus for the economy a lot faster than it had planned.</p><p><blockquote>美联储仍然认为通胀将在2022年降温，但央行非常担心，会比原计划更快地逐步取消经济刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market reaction:</b>&nbsp;The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and S&amp;P 500 were set to open slightly lower in Wednesday trades.</p><p><blockquote><b>市场反应：</b>道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500周三开盘小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148643584","content_text":"The numbers: Amazon, Target and other retailers posted a small 0.3% increase in sales in November at the start of the holiday season, but if high inflation is taken into account, receipts fell in a weak showing for the economy.\n\nEconomists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.8% increase.\nThe increase in sales was outstripped by a rising cost of living. The consumer price index jumped 0.8% in November to push the yearly rate of inflation to a 39-year high of 6.8%. Adjusted for inflation retail sales appeared to have declined.\nBig picture: Americans have lots to spend because of stimulus money, rising wages and high savings amassed during the pandemic. But surging inflation might make them rethink what they buy.\nThe big danger is if high inflation persists and price increases become embedded in the economy. That could force the Federal Reserve to jack up interest rates, further raise business costs and discourage consumers from buying as many goods and services.\nThe Fed still believes inflation will cool off in 2022, but the central bank is worried enough to phase out stimulus for the economy a lot faster than it had planned.\nMarket reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 were set to open slightly lower in Wednesday trades.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603245862,"gmtCreate":1638418618759,"gmtModify":1638418618874,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603245862","repostId":"1182613816","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182613816","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638415076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182613816?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Ridiculously Cheap Dividend Stocks To Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年值得购买的2只便宜得离谱的股息股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182613816","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The S&P 500had its worst day of the year on Friday, falling 900 points on the news that there could ","content":"<p>The&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>had its worst day of the year on Friday, falling 900 points on the news that there could be a new obstacle in the economy's recovery: omicron, the latest COVID-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>标普500</b>周五是今年最糟糕的一天，因有消息称经济复苏可能出现新障碍：最新的COVID-19变种奥密克戎病毒，股价下跌900点。</blockquote></p><p> For investors looking to get away from this volatility and find more safety, holding dividend stocks in your portfolio can be an excellent decision. They can ensure that you're collecting a recurring stream of income you can use to help offset losses in your portfolio. And at best, they can boost your returns. Two dividend stocks that pay an above-average yield and are incredibly cheap right now are&nbsp;<b>AbbVie</b>(NYSE:ABBV)and&nbsp;<b>ViacomCBS</b>(NASDAQ:VIAC).</p><p><blockquote>对于希望摆脱这种波动并找到更多安全性的投资者来说，在投资组合中持有股息股票可能是一个绝佳的决定。他们可以确保您收集经常性收入流，可以用来帮助抵消投资组合的损失。充其量，它们可以提高您的回报。两只股息股票的收益率高于平均水平且目前非常便宜<b>艾伯维</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：ABBV）和<b>ViacomCBS</b>（纳斯达克：VIAC）。</blockquote></p><p> 1. AbbVie</p><p><blockquote>1.艾伯维</blockquote></p><p> AbbVie makes for an ideal buy-and-forget investment. The&nbsp;healthcare stock&nbsp;yields an impressive 4.8% right now -- well above the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>average of just 1.4%. And the dividend is well supported; in the past 12 months, the company has generated free cash flow of $21.7 billion, more than double the $9 billion in dividends it paid out during that time.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯维是一项理想的买了就忘的投资。该医疗保健股目前的收益率高达4.8%，远高于<b>标普500</b>平均仅为1.4%。而且股息得到了很好的支持；在过去12个月中，该公司产生了217亿美元的自由现金流，是同期支付的90亿美元股息的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> When the company released its latest quarterly earnings results on Oct. 29, it reported sales of $14.3 billion, 11% higher than the year-ago period. The company also raised its guidance for a third time in 2021, anticipating that its adjusted diluted earnings per share will come in between $12.63 and $12.67 for the full year. That's well above the $5.64 in dividends that the company is paying out annually per share. TheDividend Aristocratalso raised its dividend by 8.5% in a hike that will come into effect next year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于10月29日发布最新季度财报时，销售额为143亿美元，比去年同期增长11%。该公司还在2021年第三次上调了指引，预计全年调整后摊薄每股收益将在12.63美元至12.67美元之间。这远高于该公司每年支付的每股5.64美元的股息。股息贵族还将股息提高了8.5%，此次上调将于明年生效。</blockquote></p><p> While investors may be worried about the company's expiring patent on rhe&nbsp;umatoid arthritis drug Humira, AbbVie's management anticipates that newer drugs like Skyrizi and Rinvoq will generate long-term growth and make up for the inevitable decline in Humira's sales. Both drugs still have a long way to go. In just the latest quarter, they achieved combined sales of $1.2 billion in sales while Humira brought in more than $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可能担心该公司类风湿性关节炎药物Humira即将到期的专利，但艾伯维管理层预计Skyrizi和Rinvoq等新药将产生长期增长，并弥补Humira销售额不可避免的下降。这两种药物还有很长的路要走。仅在最近一个季度，他们的总销售额就达到了12亿美元，而Humira的销售额则超过了54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Richard Gonzalez said, \"What we're basically trying to accomplish with the company is build a set of assets that could ultimately significantly replace Humira in the marketplace and be superior to Humira.\"</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官理查德·冈萨雷斯(Richard Gonzalez)表示：“我们公司基本上想要实现的目标是建立一套资产，最终可以在市场上显着取代修美乐，并优于修美乐。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if there's a dip in profitability, AbbVie has plenty of room to support its dividend. And with other pharma stocks like&nbsp;<b>Pfizer</b>,<b>Merck</b>, and&nbsp;<b>Amgen</b>&nbsp;trading at forward&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) multiples of more than 12, AbbVie's multiple of nine makes the stock look like a bargain buy.</p><p><blockquote>即使盈利能力下降，艾伯维也有足够的空间来支持其股息。以及其他制药股，例如<b>辉瑞</b>,<b>默克</b>，和<b>安进</b>艾伯维的预期市盈率(P/E)超过12倍，而艾伯维的市盈率为9倍，这使得该股看起来像是逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> 2. ViacomCBS</p><p><blockquote>2.ViacomCBS</blockquote></p><p> Media and entertainment company ViacomCBS pays a dividend that currently yields right around 3% per year. While it's not as high as AbbVie's payout, the stock could more than make up for that with some possibly stronger gains. Viacom currently trades at a forward P/E of less than nine, which is dirt cheap as streaming stocks&nbsp;<b>WaltDisney</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;trade at multiples of 35 and 62, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>媒体和娱乐公司ViacomCBS支付的股息目前每年收益率约为3%。虽然没有艾伯维的派息高，但该股可能会有更强劲的涨幅来弥补这一损失。维亚康姆目前的预期市盈率不到9，与流媒体股票相比非常便宜<b>迪斯尼</b>和<b>Netflix</b>分别以35和62的倍数交易。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons investors aren't as bullish on ViacomCBS is that it still isn't a big rival to those streaming giants. At 47 million global streaming subscribers across its services (including Paramount+), ViacomCBS is nowhere near Netflix's tally of 214 million and has a long way to go in catching up to Disney at over 118 million.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不那么看好维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的原因之一是，它仍然不是这些流媒体巨头的强大竞争对手。维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司（ViacomCBS）的全球流媒体订户为4700万（包括派拉蒙+），远未达到Netflix的2.14亿，距离赶上迪士尼超过1.18亿还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, ViacomCBS's streaming service isn't even the biggest part of its business. In the latest quarter, its advertising, affiliate, and licensing segments together contributed the vast majority of the company's revenue -- about $5.5 billion in all. However, this latest quarter marked the first time that its global streaming revenue surpassed $1 billion. And with revenue growth of 72% over the year-ago period, streaming is by far the company's fastest-growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>此外，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的流媒体服务甚至不是其业务的最大组成部分。在最近一个季度，其广告、附属和许可部门共同贡献了公司收入的绝大部分——总计约55亿美元。然而，最近一个季度标志着其全球流媒体收入首次超过10亿美元。流媒体收入同比增长72%，是该公司迄今为止增长最快的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> Although it may not be as popular as its bigger-name rivals, ViacomCBS is posting some strong results of late and it could be an&nbsp;attractive contrarian betto take. Plus, its dividend makes it an even better buy.</p><p><blockquote>尽管维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司可能不像其大牌竞争对手那样受欢迎，但它最近公布了一些强劲的业绩，这可能是一个有吸引力的逆向投资。此外，它的股息使其成为更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Ridiculously Cheap Dividend Stocks To Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年值得购买的2只便宜得离谱的股息股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Ridiculously Cheap Dividend Stocks To Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年值得购买的2只便宜得离谱的股息股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-02 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>had its worst day of the year on Friday, falling 900 points on the news that there could be a new obstacle in the economy's recovery: omicron, the latest COVID-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>标普500</b>周五是今年最糟糕的一天，因有消息称经济复苏可能出现新障碍：最新的COVID-19变种奥密克戎病毒，股价下跌900点。</blockquote></p><p> For investors looking to get away from this volatility and find more safety, holding dividend stocks in your portfolio can be an excellent decision. They can ensure that you're collecting a recurring stream of income you can use to help offset losses in your portfolio. And at best, they can boost your returns. Two dividend stocks that pay an above-average yield and are incredibly cheap right now are&nbsp;<b>AbbVie</b>(NYSE:ABBV)and&nbsp;<b>ViacomCBS</b>(NASDAQ:VIAC).</p><p><blockquote>对于希望摆脱这种波动并找到更多安全性的投资者来说，在投资组合中持有股息股票可能是一个绝佳的决定。他们可以确保您收集经常性收入流，可以用来帮助抵消投资组合的损失。充其量，它们可以提高您的回报。两只股息股票的收益率高于平均水平且目前非常便宜<b>艾伯维</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：ABBV）和<b>ViacomCBS</b>（纳斯达克：VIAC）。</blockquote></p><p> 1. AbbVie</p><p><blockquote>1.艾伯维</blockquote></p><p> AbbVie makes for an ideal buy-and-forget investment. The&nbsp;healthcare stock&nbsp;yields an impressive 4.8% right now -- well above the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>average of just 1.4%. And the dividend is well supported; in the past 12 months, the company has generated free cash flow of $21.7 billion, more than double the $9 billion in dividends it paid out during that time.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯维是一项理想的买了就忘的投资。该医疗保健股目前的收益率高达4.8%，远高于<b>标普500</b>平均仅为1.4%。而且股息得到了很好的支持；在过去12个月中，该公司产生了217亿美元的自由现金流，是同期支付的90亿美元股息的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> When the company released its latest quarterly earnings results on Oct. 29, it reported sales of $14.3 billion, 11% higher than the year-ago period. The company also raised its guidance for a third time in 2021, anticipating that its adjusted diluted earnings per share will come in between $12.63 and $12.67 for the full year. That's well above the $5.64 in dividends that the company is paying out annually per share. TheDividend Aristocratalso raised its dividend by 8.5% in a hike that will come into effect next year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于10月29日发布最新季度财报时，销售额为143亿美元，比去年同期增长11%。该公司还在2021年第三次上调了指引，预计全年调整后摊薄每股收益将在12.63美元至12.67美元之间。这远高于该公司每年支付的每股5.64美元的股息。股息贵族还将股息提高了8.5%，此次上调将于明年生效。</blockquote></p><p> While investors may be worried about the company's expiring patent on rhe&nbsp;umatoid arthritis drug Humira, AbbVie's management anticipates that newer drugs like Skyrizi and Rinvoq will generate long-term growth and make up for the inevitable decline in Humira's sales. Both drugs still have a long way to go. In just the latest quarter, they achieved combined sales of $1.2 billion in sales while Humira brought in more than $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可能担心该公司类风湿性关节炎药物Humira即将到期的专利，但艾伯维管理层预计Skyrizi和Rinvoq等新药将产生长期增长，并弥补Humira销售额不可避免的下降。这两种药物还有很长的路要走。仅在最近一个季度，他们的总销售额就达到了12亿美元，而Humira的销售额则超过了54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Richard Gonzalez said, \"What we're basically trying to accomplish with the company is build a set of assets that could ultimately significantly replace Humira in the marketplace and be superior to Humira.\"</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官理查德·冈萨雷斯(Richard Gonzalez)表示：“我们公司基本上想要实现的目标是建立一套资产，最终可以在市场上显着取代修美乐，并优于修美乐。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if there's a dip in profitability, AbbVie has plenty of room to support its dividend. And with other pharma stocks like&nbsp;<b>Pfizer</b>,<b>Merck</b>, and&nbsp;<b>Amgen</b>&nbsp;trading at forward&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) multiples of more than 12, AbbVie's multiple of nine makes the stock look like a bargain buy.</p><p><blockquote>即使盈利能力下降，艾伯维也有足够的空间来支持其股息。以及其他制药股，例如<b>辉瑞</b>,<b>默克</b>，和<b>安进</b>艾伯维的预期市盈率(P/E)超过12倍，而艾伯维的市盈率为9倍，这使得该股看起来像是逢低买入。</blockquote></p><p> 2. ViacomCBS</p><p><blockquote>2.ViacomCBS</blockquote></p><p> Media and entertainment company ViacomCBS pays a dividend that currently yields right around 3% per year. While it's not as high as AbbVie's payout, the stock could more than make up for that with some possibly stronger gains. Viacom currently trades at a forward P/E of less than nine, which is dirt cheap as streaming stocks&nbsp;<b>WaltDisney</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;trade at multiples of 35 and 62, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>媒体和娱乐公司ViacomCBS支付的股息目前每年收益率约为3%。虽然没有艾伯维的派息高，但该股可能会有更强劲的涨幅来弥补这一损失。维亚康姆目前的预期市盈率不到9，与流媒体股票相比非常便宜<b>迪斯尼</b>和<b>Netflix</b>分别以35和62的倍数交易。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons investors aren't as bullish on ViacomCBS is that it still isn't a big rival to those streaming giants. At 47 million global streaming subscribers across its services (including Paramount+), ViacomCBS is nowhere near Netflix's tally of 214 million and has a long way to go in catching up to Disney at over 118 million.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不那么看好维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的原因之一是，它仍然不是这些流媒体巨头的强大竞争对手。维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司（ViacomCBS）的全球流媒体订户为4700万（包括派拉蒙+），远未达到Netflix的2.14亿，距离赶上迪士尼超过1.18亿还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, ViacomCBS's streaming service isn't even the biggest part of its business. In the latest quarter, its advertising, affiliate, and licensing segments together contributed the vast majority of the company's revenue -- about $5.5 billion in all. However, this latest quarter marked the first time that its global streaming revenue surpassed $1 billion. And with revenue growth of 72% over the year-ago period, streaming is by far the company's fastest-growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>此外，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的流媒体服务甚至不是其业务的最大组成部分。在最近一个季度，其广告、附属和许可部门共同贡献了公司收入的绝大部分——总计约55亿美元。然而，最近一个季度标志着其全球流媒体收入首次超过10亿美元。流媒体收入同比增长72%，是该公司迄今为止增长最快的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> Although it may not be as popular as its bigger-name rivals, ViacomCBS is posting some strong results of late and it could be an&nbsp;attractive contrarian betto take. Plus, its dividend makes it an even better buy.</p><p><blockquote>尽管维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司可能不像其大牌竞争对手那样受欢迎，但它最近公布了一些强劲的业绩，这可能是一个有吸引力的逆向投资。此外，它的股息使其成为更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/01/2-ridiculously-cheap-dividend-stocks-to-buy-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABBV":"艾伯维公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/01/2-ridiculously-cheap-dividend-stocks-to-buy-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182613816","content_text":"The S&P 500had its worst day of the year on Friday, falling 900 points on the news that there could be a new obstacle in the economy's recovery: omicron, the latest COVID-19 variant.\nFor investors looking to get away from this volatility and find more safety, holding dividend stocks in your portfolio can be an excellent decision. They can ensure that you're collecting a recurring stream of income you can use to help offset losses in your portfolio. And at best, they can boost your returns. Two dividend stocks that pay an above-average yield and are incredibly cheap right now are AbbVie(NYSE:ABBV)and ViacomCBS(NASDAQ:VIAC).\n1. AbbVie\nAbbVie makes for an ideal buy-and-forget investment. The healthcare stock yields an impressive 4.8% right now -- well above the S&P 500average of just 1.4%. And the dividend is well supported; in the past 12 months, the company has generated free cash flow of $21.7 billion, more than double the $9 billion in dividends it paid out during that time.\nWhen the company released its latest quarterly earnings results on Oct. 29, it reported sales of $14.3 billion, 11% higher than the year-ago period. The company also raised its guidance for a third time in 2021, anticipating that its adjusted diluted earnings per share will come in between $12.63 and $12.67 for the full year. That's well above the $5.64 in dividends that the company is paying out annually per share. TheDividend Aristocratalso raised its dividend by 8.5% in a hike that will come into effect next year.\nWhile investors may be worried about the company's expiring patent on rhe umatoid arthritis drug Humira, AbbVie's management anticipates that newer drugs like Skyrizi and Rinvoq will generate long-term growth and make up for the inevitable decline in Humira's sales. Both drugs still have a long way to go. In just the latest quarter, they achieved combined sales of $1.2 billion in sales while Humira brought in more than $5.4 billion.\nCEO Richard Gonzalez said, \"What we're basically trying to accomplish with the company is build a set of assets that could ultimately significantly replace Humira in the marketplace and be superior to Humira.\"\nEven if there's a dip in profitability, AbbVie has plenty of room to support its dividend. And with other pharma stocks like Pfizer,Merck, and Amgen trading at forward price-to-earnings(P/E) multiples of more than 12, AbbVie's multiple of nine makes the stock look like a bargain buy.\n2. ViacomCBS\nMedia and entertainment company ViacomCBS pays a dividend that currently yields right around 3% per year. While it's not as high as AbbVie's payout, the stock could more than make up for that with some possibly stronger gains. Viacom currently trades at a forward P/E of less than nine, which is dirt cheap as streaming stocks WaltDisney and Netflix trade at multiples of 35 and 62, respectively.\nOne of the reasons investors aren't as bullish on ViacomCBS is that it still isn't a big rival to those streaming giants. At 47 million global streaming subscribers across its services (including Paramount+), ViacomCBS is nowhere near Netflix's tally of 214 million and has a long way to go in catching up to Disney at over 118 million.\nPlus, ViacomCBS's streaming service isn't even the biggest part of its business. In the latest quarter, its advertising, affiliate, and licensing segments together contributed the vast majority of the company's revenue -- about $5.5 billion in all. However, this latest quarter marked the first time that its global streaming revenue surpassed $1 billion. And with revenue growth of 72% over the year-ago period, streaming is by far the company's fastest-growing segment.\nAlthough it may not be as popular as its bigger-name rivals, ViacomCBS is posting some strong results of late and it could be an attractive contrarian betto take. Plus, its dividend makes it an even better buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABBV":0.9,"VIAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841511031,"gmtCreate":1635924404437,"gmtModify":1635924404437,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841511031","repostId":"1127572635","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850719551,"gmtCreate":1634626340644,"gmtModify":1634626340783,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850719551","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商几乎占汽车制造商股票价值的一半。这有意义吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他对特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股票给予看跌评级，目标价为300美元，主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能会达到整个行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的16家电动汽车制造商的总价值为1.14万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.Hong Kong）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统车企是：丰田汽车(TM)、大众汽车(VOW3.Germany)、戴姆勒(DAI.Germany)、通用汽车(GM)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着销量，在全球销售了约99%的汽车，其中97%是汽油动力汽车，2%是电动汽车。纯电动汽车在全球范围内销售剩余的1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：“当然，我们的想法是纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者需要相信的第一件事，以证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是保持看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念——市场份额将继续提高。这位分析师在报告中补充道：“我们怀疑市场认为……传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。”OEM是原始设备制造商的缩写，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车的每辆车利润将比传统汽车更高。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或10,000美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品推动的销量和利润增长的组合可能证明估值是合理的，但萨科纳吉并不相信这一点。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化和竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，剩余利润和技术创新可能会被竞争夺走。”</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他对评级·特斯拉估值“过高”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是不是丰田价值的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好，特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了34%。周一股价又上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-19 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商几乎占汽车制造商股票价值的一半。这有意义吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他对特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股票给予看跌评级，目标价为300美元，主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能会达到整个行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的16家电动汽车制造商的总价值为1.14万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.Hong Kong）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统车企是：丰田汽车(TM)、大众汽车(VOW3.Germany)、戴姆勒(DAI.Germany)、通用汽车(GM)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着销量，在全球销售了约99%的汽车，其中97%是汽油动力汽车，2%是电动汽车。纯电动汽车在全球范围内销售剩余的1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：“当然，我们的想法是纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者需要相信的第一件事，以证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是保持看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念——市场份额将继续提高。这位分析师在报告中补充道：“我们怀疑市场认为……传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。”OEM是原始设备制造商的缩写，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车的每辆车利润将比传统汽车更高。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或10,000美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品推动的销量和利润增长的组合可能证明估值是合理的，但萨科纳吉并不相信这一点。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化和竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，剩余利润和技术创新可能会被竞争夺走。”</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他对评级·特斯拉估值“过高”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是不是丰田价值的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好，特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了34%。周一股价又上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01211":"比亚迪股份","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","NIO":"蔚来","TM":"丰田汽车","GM":"通用汽车","LI":"理想汽车","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAF":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"GM":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"TM":0.9,"LI":0.9,"01211":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827923049,"gmtCreate":1634393205516,"gmtModify":1634393205661,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827923049","repostId":"2175485551","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822869138,"gmtCreate":1634115143362,"gmtModify":1634115143362,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822869138","repostId":"1126064042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126064042","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634112106,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126064042?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126064042","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading afte Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due t","content":"<p>Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading&nbsp;afte&nbsp;Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>苹果因芯片短缺而削减iPhone产量目标后，苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59416dec265c2e702b1b0b4cefaedaaa\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.&nbsp;is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露，由于芯片长期短缺打击了其旗舰产品，苹果公司可能会将2021年iPhone 13的预计产量目标削减多达1000万部。</blockquote></p><p> The company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because&nbsp;Broadcom Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments Inc.&nbsp;are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.</p><p><blockquote>该公司曾预计在今年最后三个月生产9000万部新iPhone机型，但现在告诉制造合作伙伴，总数将会更低，因为博通公司和德州仪器公司正在努力交付足够的组件。这些人说，由于情况是私人的，这些人要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> The technology giant is one of the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have&nbsp;warned&nbsp;that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.</p><p><blockquote>这家科技巨头是全球最大的芯片买家之一，并为电子供应链设定了年度节奏。但即使拥有强大的购买力，苹果仍在努力应对对世界各地行业造成严重破坏的供应中断。主要芯片制造商警告称，明年甚至更长时间，需求将继续超过供应。</blockquote></p><p> Apple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从德州仪器获得显示器部件，而博通是其无线部件的长期供应商。最新款iPhone短缺的一款TI芯片与为OLED显示屏供电有关。苹果还面临其他供应商的零部件短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果和TI代表拒绝置评。博通没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08c5763a83cf33b076814728233fce2\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道这一消息后，苹果股价尾盘下跌1.6%，至139.27美元。截至周二收盘，该股今年已上涨6.6%。博通和TI在盘后交易中也下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.</p><p><blockquote>短缺已经影响了苹果向客户运送新车型的能力。iPhone 13 Pro和iPhone 13 Pro Max于9月上市，但订单在大约一个月内不会从苹果网站发货。新设备被列为“目前不可用”，可在该公司的几家零售店提货。苹果的承运商合作伙伴也出现了类似的发货延误。</blockquote></p><p> Current orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.</p><p><blockquote>目前的订单预计在11月中旬左右发货，因此苹果仍然可以在关键的假期及时向消费者提供新的iPhone。预计年底季度将是苹果迄今为止最大的销售闪电战，创造约1200亿美元的收入。这将比去年同期增长约7%，比苹果十年前全年赚的钱还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的困境表明，即使是科技界之王也不能幸免于因疫情而加剧的全球短缺。除了面临iPhone供应紧张之外，该公司还难以生产足够的苹果手表Series 7和其他产品。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，苹果警告称，截至9月份的季度将面临iPhone和iPad的供应限制。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的公司提到了当时全球芯片短缺的情况。那段时间包括大约一周半的iPhone 13收入。</blockquote></p><p> Broadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like&nbsp;Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.&nbsp;to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.</p><p><blockquote>博通没有自己的大型工厂，而是依靠台积电公司等合同芯片制造商来生产产品。德州仪器在内部生产一些芯片，但也依赖外部制造。这意味着他们是确保台积电和其他代工厂产能的日益具有挑战性的斗争的一部分。苹果本身就是台积电的客户——事实上，它是该公司最大的客户。苹果使用该制造商来生产其A系列处理器，但目前它们似乎没有受到短缺的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to&nbsp;an average of 21.7 weeks&nbsp;in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明芯片紧缩正在变得更加严重。根据Susquehanna Financial Group的数据，该行业的交货时间（即下半导体订单和交货之间的差距）连续第九个月上升，9月份平均为21.7周。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading&nbsp;afte&nbsp;Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>苹果因芯片短缺而削减iPhone产量目标后，苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59416dec265c2e702b1b0b4cefaedaaa\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.&nbsp;is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露，由于芯片长期短缺打击了其旗舰产品，苹果公司可能会将2021年iPhone 13的预计产量目标削减多达1000万部。</blockquote></p><p> The company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because&nbsp;Broadcom Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments Inc.&nbsp;are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.</p><p><blockquote>该公司曾预计在今年最后三个月生产9000万部新iPhone机型，但现在告诉制造合作伙伴，总数将会更低，因为博通公司和德州仪器公司正在努力交付足够的组件。这些人说，由于情况是私人的，这些人要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> The technology giant is one of the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have&nbsp;warned&nbsp;that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.</p><p><blockquote>这家科技巨头是全球最大的芯片买家之一，并为电子供应链设定了年度节奏。但即使拥有强大的购买力，苹果仍在努力应对对世界各地行业造成严重破坏的供应中断。主要芯片制造商警告称，明年甚至更长时间，需求将继续超过供应。</blockquote></p><p> Apple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从德州仪器获得显示器部件，而博通是其无线部件的长期供应商。最新款iPhone短缺的一款TI芯片与为OLED显示屏供电有关。苹果还面临其他供应商的零部件短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果和TI代表拒绝置评。博通没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08c5763a83cf33b076814728233fce2\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道这一消息后，苹果股价尾盘下跌1.6%，至139.27美元。截至周二收盘，该股今年已上涨6.6%。博通和TI在盘后交易中也下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.</p><p><blockquote>短缺已经影响了苹果向客户运送新车型的能力。iPhone 13 Pro和iPhone 13 Pro Max于9月上市，但订单在大约一个月内不会从苹果网站发货。新设备被列为“目前不可用”，可在该公司的几家零售店提货。苹果的承运商合作伙伴也出现了类似的发货延误。</blockquote></p><p> Current orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.</p><p><blockquote>目前的订单预计在11月中旬左右发货，因此苹果仍然可以在关键的假期及时向消费者提供新的iPhone。预计年底季度将是苹果迄今为止最大的销售闪电战，创造约1200亿美元的收入。这将比去年同期增长约7%，比苹果十年前全年赚的钱还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的困境表明，即使是科技界之王也不能幸免于因疫情而加剧的全球短缺。除了面临iPhone供应紧张之外，该公司还难以生产足够的苹果手表Series 7和其他产品。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，苹果警告称，截至9月份的季度将面临iPhone和iPad的供应限制。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的公司提到了当时全球芯片短缺的情况。那段时间包括大约一周半的iPhone 13收入。</blockquote></p><p> Broadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like&nbsp;Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.&nbsp;to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.</p><p><blockquote>博通没有自己的大型工厂，而是依靠台积电公司等合同芯片制造商来生产产品。德州仪器在内部生产一些芯片，但也依赖外部制造。这意味着他们是确保台积电和其他代工厂产能的日益具有挑战性的斗争的一部分。苹果本身就是台积电的客户——事实上，它是该公司最大的客户。苹果使用该制造商来生产其A系列处理器，但目前它们似乎没有受到短缺的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to&nbsp;an average of 21.7 weeks&nbsp;in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明芯片紧缩正在变得更加严重。根据Susquehanna Financial Group的数据，该行业的交货时间（即下半导体订单和交货之间的差距）连续第九个月上升，9月份平均为21.7周。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126064042","content_text":"Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading afte Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.\n\nApple Inc. is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.\nThe company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because Broadcom Inc. and Texas Instruments Inc. are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.\nThe technology giant is one of the world’s largest chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have warned that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.\nApple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.\nApple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.\n\nApple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.\nThe shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.\nCurrent orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.\nApple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.\nEarlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.\nBroadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.\nThere are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to an average of 21.7 weeks in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814222594,"gmtCreate":1630828946918,"gmtModify":1632905656085,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814222594","repostId":"2164803577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816647186,"gmtCreate":1630500880145,"gmtModify":1632476218665,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816647186","repostId":"2164892112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810841403,"gmtCreate":1629966666602,"gmtModify":1633681130089,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810841403","repostId":"1116156909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837437010,"gmtCreate":1629904358130,"gmtModify":1633681567945,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837437010","repostId":"1114237972","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114237972","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629903902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114237972?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"HP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114237972","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales. According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said ","content":"<p>Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>美国的个人电脑出货量在今年第二季度保持增长，因为在可预见的未来，由新冠肺炎相关销售推动的市场可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales.&nbsp;According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units&nbsp;between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>这是科技研究公司Canalys的观点，该公司周三发布了美国个人电脑销售的最新统计数据。根据Canalys的数据，4月至6月，美国个人电脑出货量达到3680万台，比去年同期增长17%。Canalys分析师布莱恩·林奇(Brian Lynch)表示，数据表明领先的个人电脑制造商存在“重大的更新机会”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业和教育领域呈爆炸式增长，引发了巨大的更新潜力，”林奇说。“美国经济已从大流行困境中恢复良好，小企业正在复苏，这将导致该领域的采购浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p> Notebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>笔记本电脑出货量领涨该行业，同比增长27%，台式机出货量较去年第二季度增长23%。Canalys表示，平板电脑出货量几乎停滞不前，仅比一年前增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">HP Inc</a> (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：HPQ）以807万的出货量位居美国榜首，比2020年第二季度增长20.2%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>然而，（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）从一年前的第一位跌落，其760万台Mac出货量比一年前下降了近3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔技术公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：戴尔）排名第三，出货量增长10.5%，达到570万部，而联想排名第四，出货量为475万部，比去年第二季度增长25.2%。三星跻身前五名个人电脑公司之列，其出货量为304万台，同比增长超过51%。</blockquote></p><p> Canalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year,&nbsp;but at a slower rate than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Canalys公布美国数据的前一天，IDC表示相信今年全球个人电脑销量将增长，但增速低于此前预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>HP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>美国的个人电脑出货量在今年第二季度保持增长，因为在可预见的未来，由新冠肺炎相关销售推动的市场可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales.&nbsp;According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units&nbsp;between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>这是科技研究公司Canalys的观点，该公司周三发布了美国个人电脑销售的最新统计数据。根据Canalys的数据，4月至6月，美国个人电脑出货量达到3680万台，比去年同期增长17%。Canalys分析师布莱恩·林奇(Brian Lynch)表示，数据表明领先的个人电脑制造商存在“重大的更新机会”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业和教育领域呈爆炸式增长，引发了巨大的更新潜力，”林奇说。“美国经济已从大流行困境中恢复良好，小企业正在复苏，这将导致该领域的采购浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p> Notebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>笔记本电脑出货量领涨该行业，同比增长27%，台式机出货量较去年第二季度增长23%。Canalys表示，平板电脑出货量几乎停滞不前，仅比一年前增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">HP Inc</a> (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：HPQ）以807万的出货量位居美国榜首，比2020年第二季度增长20.2%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>然而，（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）从一年前的第一位跌落，其760万台Mac出货量比一年前下降了近3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔技术公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：戴尔）排名第三，出货量增长10.5%，达到570万部，而联想排名第四，出货量为475万部，比去年第二季度增长25.2%。三星跻身前五名个人电脑公司之列，其出货量为304万台，同比增长超过51%。</blockquote></p><p> Canalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year,&nbsp;but at a slower rate than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Canalys公布美国数据的前一天，IDC表示相信今年全球个人电脑销量将增长，但增速低于此前预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734052-hp-apple-top-us-pc-shipments-according-to-new-report\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","DELL":"戴尔","HPQ":"惠普"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734052-hp-apple-top-us-pc-shipments-according-to-new-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114237972","content_text":"Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.\nThat's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales. According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.\n\"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"\nNotebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.\nHP Inc (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.\nDell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.\nCanalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year, but at a slower rate than previously expected.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"HPQ":0.9,"DELL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836662182,"gmtCreate":1629477332046,"gmtModify":1633684540290,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836662182","repostId":"1189743420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189743420","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629472706,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189743420?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Snowflake Stock A Buy? Software Maker Sets Path To $10 Billion In Revenue By 2028<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？软件制造商计划到2028年收入达到100亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189743420","media":"investors","summary":"Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants Amazon.com (AMZN)","content":"<p>Think of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a> stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>&nbsp;(AMZN),&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b>&nbsp;(MSFT) and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a></b>'s (GOOGL) Google.</p><p><blockquote>想到<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">雪花</a>股票作为云计算巨头快速增长的代表<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>（亚马逊），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a></b>（MSFT）和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a></b>（GOOGL）谷歌。</blockquote></p><p> Many companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.</p><p><blockquote>许多公司正在转向云计算服务，作为“数字化转型”项目的一部分，旨在从处理海量数据中获得商业洞察力。云计算巨头提供自己的数据分析和管理工具。</blockquote></p><p> In a \"coopetition\" model, the&nbsp;cloud giants&nbsp;give their customers a green light to buy&nbsp;<b>Snowflake</b>'s (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.</p><p><blockquote>在“合作竞争”模式下，云巨头为客户的购买开绿灯<b>雪花</b>的（雪）软件。原因是Snowflake的工具在一些关键任务上更好，例如让公司以简单的方式编译、查看、分析和共享大量数据。</blockquote></p><p> Nearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products from&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDC\">Teradata</a></b>&nbsp;(TDC),&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle</a></b>&nbsp;(ORCL) and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></b>&nbsp;(IBM).</p><p><blockquote>近五分之二的财富500强公司在云中使用Snowflake的软件，因为它们正在从<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDC\">Teradata</a></b>（贸发局），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a></b>（ORCL）及<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></b>（IBM）。</blockquote></p><p> One Snowflake customer is pharma giant&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b>&nbsp;(PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into the&nbsp;distribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的一位客户是制药巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a></b>（PFE）。辉瑞使用雪花工具来预测产品销售，并深入了解新冠肺炎疫苗的分销情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Snowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票：来自谷歌云的竞争加剧？</b></blockquote></p><p> Stellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>出色的客户增长使SNOW stock在2020年9月完成了软件公司有史以来最大的首次公开募股。此次IPO筹集了34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote>但雪花现在值得买入吗？在经历了2021年的艰难开局后，软件成长股出现反弹。iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF 7月份上涨3.4%，6月份上涨8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake reports second-quarter earnings on Aug. 25. Analysts project a loss of 15 cents per share, with revenue jumping nearly 100% to $256.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake将于8月25日公布第二季度收益。分析师预计每股亏损15美分，营收增长近100%至2.565亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock tumbled Aug. 20 ahead of its earnings release. One report on the drop cited a Cleveland Research note to clients. The Cleveland Research report ostensibly points to increased competition from Google's cloud business.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价在8月20日财报发布前暴跌。一份关于下降的报告引用了克利夫兰给客户的一份研究报告。克利夫兰研究报告表面上指出，来自谷歌云业务的竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价在12月初创下429点的历史新高。但由于分析师对其高估值的担忧，SNOW股价在2020年底暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.</p><p><blockquote>在6月10日的分析师日上，Snowflake制定了到2029财年（与2028年日历一致）产品收入达到100亿美元的道路。100亿美元的收入目标将带来44%的复合年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，预计产品收入将超过100万美元，从而增加客户数量。Snowflake还预计长期营业利润率为10%以上，低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Possible Threat From Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可能来自亚马逊的威胁</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.</p><p><blockquote>雪花在7月份宣布支持数字广告标准Unified ID 2.0。广告是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>加拿大皇家银行资本(RBC Capital)的一份报告指出，Snowflake是最大的垂直行业之一，其客户占该领域参与者的很大比例。此举正值谷歌逐步淘汰用于定向广告的互联网cookies之际。</blockquote></p><p> Whether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding round&nbsp;valued Databricks at $28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是否会加剧竞争仍然是SNOW股票的一个担忧。此外，与私营Databricks的竞争正在升温。2月份的一轮融资对Databricks的估值为280亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Databricks, which uses&nbsp;artificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.</p><p><blockquote>使用人工智能的Databricks预计将推出自己的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票的多头指出，无论发生什么，其经验丰富的管理团队都是一个优势。</blockquote></p><p> Two former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.</p><p><blockquote>两位前甲骨文工程师Benoit Dageville和Thierry Cruanes以及初创公司Vectorwise前首席执行官Marcin Zukowski于2012年创办了Snowflake。公司在数据库架构、数据仓库等领域拥有专利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a> Veterans Lead Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪库存：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a>退伍军人领导公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake brought in&nbsp;Frank Slootman as chief executive&nbsp;in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake于2019年5月聘请Frank Slootman担任首席执行官。Slootman已于2017年初辞去ServiceNow首席执行官一职。前ServiceNow首席财务官Mike Scarpelli也于2019年加入Snowflake，担任相同的首席财务官职位。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.</p><p><blockquote>与传统的内部数据管理系统不同，Snowflake的平台是为云计算从头开始构建的。它通过互联网提供100%的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake客户可以使用公司的数据仓库在多个在线存储系统中与合作伙伴共享数据。Snowflake还支持在应用程序之间共享易于搜索的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的数据分析工具于2015年在Amazon Web Services上可用，2018年在微软的Azure上可用，2020年在谷歌的云平台上可用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In June, Snowflake partnered with&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">C3.ai, Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;(AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.</p><p><blockquote>6月，雪花与<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">C3.人工智能公司。</a></b>（人工智能）。两家公司将合作向企业提供人工智能工具。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊网络服务是“友敌”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师Karl Keirstead在最近给客户的一份报告中表示：“虽然Snowflake是多云的，但它约85%的收入来自亚马逊网络服务上部署的数据分析工作，亚马逊网络服务也是Snowflake与AWS Redshift的最大竞争对手。”</blockquote></p><p> \"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这种‘友敌’关系对于Snowflake的成功至关重要，”Keirstead继续说道。“AWS从Snowflake在计算和存储基础设施资源上的支出中获得的好处远远超过它们因放弃AWS红移收入而损失的损失。Snowflake代表了AWS和微软Azure的梦想客户和合作伙伴。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake专注于六个核心市场，包括金融服务、医疗保健和生命科学、零售和消费品、广告媒体和娱乐、技术和政府部门。</blockquote></p><p> When Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiders&nbsp;super-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 9月份上市时采用了双层股权结构，赋予其首席执行官和内部人士超级投票权。然而，Snowflake在三月份取消了双层结构。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.</p><p><blockquote>雪花公司的总部设在加利福尼亚州的圣马特奥。在冠状病毒紧急情况促使人们转向远程工作的过程中，Snowflake在5月份表示，它不再设有公司总部。它指定了蒙大拿州的波兹曼。，作为其主要执行办公室。斯洛特曼和斯卡佩利的总部设在波兹曼。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Snowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Software stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such as&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce.com</a></b>&nbsp;(CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.</p><p><blockquote>软件股的交易价格通常是前瞻性收入增长的倍数。软件即服务或SaaS公司，例如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce.com</a></b>（CRM），通常提供最高的收入增长。Salesforce是SNOW stock的主要营销合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake还与德勤等咨询公司和私营Informatica等信息技术公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Snowflake并不是一家SaaS公司。相反，它使用基于消费的商业模式，基于客户处理和存储的数据量。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's revenue growth stands out. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>-quarter&nbsp;sales jumped 110%to $228.9 million. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的收入增长尤为突出。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>-季度销售额跃升110%至2.289亿美元。但分析师表示，与基于订阅、经常性收入的SaaS商业模式相比，透明度和可预测性较低。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFG\">Mizuho</a> Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"</p><p><blockquote>“SNOW有一个消费模式，客户签订一定数量的计算和存储容量的合同，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFG\">瑞穗</a>证券分析师Gregg Moskowitz在一份报告中表示。“然而，公司仅在产能被使用时记录收入，因此在开始确认收入之前可能会有几个月或更长时间的滞后。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的年收入接近10亿美元。对于软件成长型公司来说，这是一个重要的里程碑。但根据两种最常见的会计准则，SNOW股票是无利可图的。</blockquote></p><p> Many software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.</p><p><blockquote>许多软件公司使用GAAP收益或公认会计原则（包括基于股票的薪酬）是无利可图的。但在非公认会计准则或“调整后”收益的基础上，它们是盈利的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock Operates In The Red</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SNOW股票出现亏损</b></blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter, Snowflake reported a GAAP operating loss of $205.6 million and a GAAP per-share loss of 70 cents. Snowflake stock subsequently fell. It recorded an adjusted operating loss of $35.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Snowflake公布的GAAP运营亏损为2.056亿美元，GAAP每股亏损为70美分。雪花股票随后下跌。调整后营业亏损为3580万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake doesn't break out adjusted earnings. Analysts estimate it lost 11 cents on an adjusted basis in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake没有公布调整后收益。分析师估计，第一季度调整后该公司亏损11美分。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake operates in the red amid sizable investments, analysts say. For fiscal 2022, for example, Snowflake has told analysts it plans to hire 1,200 net new employees, which would represent 48% growth in head count.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，由于巨额投资，Snowflake的运营处于亏损状态。例如，Snowflake告诉分析师，2022财年计划净雇用1,200名新员工，这意味着员工人数将增长48%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, investments are paying off in revenue growth. Snowflake had 4,532 customers as of April 30, up 67% from the year-earlier period. That includes 187 of the Fortune 500. In the April quarter, Snowflake added a record 27 customers with more than $1 million per year in product revenue, giving it 104 such customers overall.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资还是在收入增长方面获得了回报。截至4月30日，Snowflake拥有4,532名客户，同比增长67%。其中包括财富500强中的187家。在4月份的季度，Snowflake增加了创纪录的27个客户，每年产品收入超过100万美元，使其总共拥有104个此类客户。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> analyst Kash Rangan is bullish on Snowflake's potential to dominate in cloud-based data analytics and management.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>分析师Kash Rangan看好Snowflake在基于云的数据分析和管理领域占据主导地位的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Snowflake will continue to replace incumbent warehousing solutions owing to their scalable and elastic cloud native data platform while also capitalizing on net new workloads and use cases as digital transformation drives greater digitization within the enterprise, and business intelligence and analytics remains a top priority for spending,\" he said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，由于其可扩展和弹性的云原生数据平台，Snowflake将继续取代现有的仓储解决方案，同时随着数字化转型推动企业内部更大程度的数字化，并且商业智能和分析仍然是重中之重支出，”他在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SNOW股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock went public on Sept. 16 at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股票于9月16日以每股120美元的价格上市。当时，由于投资者在冠状病毒紧急情况下寻求经常性收入，软件成长股炙手可热。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> SNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.</p><p><blockquote>SNOW股价在交易首日飙升至319点，收盘价较IPO价格253.93点高出111.6%。由于分析师对Snowflake的估值存在争议，股价回落。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock forged a&nbsp;cup-with-handle base&nbsp;over the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.</p><p><blockquote>在接下来的两个月里，雪花股票打造了一个带手柄的杯子底座。新基地创造了一个301的切入点。SNOW股价突破买入点，于12月8日触及429点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBTC\">Enterprise</a> group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFSC\">Enterprise</a> group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.</p><p><blockquote>尽管IBD计算机软件公司的估值受到质疑，Snowflake股价在2020年底暴跌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBTC\">企业</a>集团保持弹性。计算机软件<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFSC\">企业</a>直到2月中旬，由于市场向价值轮动，该集团才崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价于5月13日触及184.71的12个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Rating&nbsp;of 44 out of a best possible 99, according to&nbsp;IBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>作为前瞻性收入增长的倍数，雪花股票的交易价格仍然存在大幅溢价。根据IBD Stock Checkup的数据，SNOW股票的IBD综合评级为44分（满分99分）。</blockquote></p><p> IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> One plus is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according to&nbsp;IBD Market&nbsp;Smith&nbsp;analysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD Market Smith的分析，雪花股票的积累/分配评级为B。该评级分析股票在过去13周交易中的价格和交易量变化。</blockquote></p><p> The rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.</p><p><blockquote>该评级为A+至E级，衡量机构对股票的买卖情况。A+表示机构大量买入；E表示大量抛售。把C级想象成中性。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock has yet to&nbsp;form a base&nbsp;with a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.</p><p><blockquote>雪股尚未形成一个合适的切入点。Snowflake股价已突破50日移动平均线。如果它保持在50日线之上，可能会启动深基右侧。</blockquote></p><p> As of Aug. 20, Snowflake stock is not a buy despite an improved relative strength line.</p><p><blockquote>截至8月20日，尽管相对强弱线有所改善，但Snowflake股票仍不值得买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Snowflake Stock A Buy? Software Maker Sets Path To $10 Billion In Revenue By 2028<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？软件制造商计划到2028年收入达到100亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Snowflake Stock A Buy? Software Maker Sets Path To $10 Billion In Revenue By 2028<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？软件制造商计划到2028年收入达到100亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 23:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Think of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a> stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>&nbsp;(AMZN),&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b>&nbsp;(MSFT) and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a></b>'s (GOOGL) Google.</p><p><blockquote>想到<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">雪花</a>股票作为云计算巨头快速增长的代表<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>（亚马逊），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a></b>（MSFT）和<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a></b>（GOOGL）谷歌。</blockquote></p><p> Many companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.</p><p><blockquote>许多公司正在转向云计算服务，作为“数字化转型”项目的一部分，旨在从处理海量数据中获得商业洞察力。云计算巨头提供自己的数据分析和管理工具。</blockquote></p><p> In a \"coopetition\" model, the&nbsp;cloud giants&nbsp;give their customers a green light to buy&nbsp;<b>Snowflake</b>'s (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.</p><p><blockquote>在“合作竞争”模式下，云巨头为客户的购买开绿灯<b>雪花</b>的（雪）软件。原因是Snowflake的工具在一些关键任务上更好，例如让公司以简单的方式编译、查看、分析和共享大量数据。</blockquote></p><p> Nearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products from&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDC\">Teradata</a></b>&nbsp;(TDC),&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle</a></b>&nbsp;(ORCL) and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></b>&nbsp;(IBM).</p><p><blockquote>近五分之二的财富500强公司在云中使用Snowflake的软件，因为它们正在从<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDC\">Teradata</a></b>（贸发局），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a></b>（ORCL）及<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></b>（IBM）。</blockquote></p><p> One Snowflake customer is pharma giant&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b>&nbsp;(PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into the&nbsp;distribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的一位客户是制药巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a></b>（PFE）。辉瑞使用雪花工具来预测产品销售，并深入了解新冠肺炎疫苗的分销情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Snowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票：来自谷歌云的竞争加剧？</b></blockquote></p><p> Stellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>出色的客户增长使SNOW stock在2020年9月完成了软件公司有史以来最大的首次公开募股。此次IPO筹集了34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote>但雪花现在值得买入吗？在经历了2021年的艰难开局后，软件成长股出现反弹。iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF 7月份上涨3.4%，6月份上涨8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake reports second-quarter earnings on Aug. 25. Analysts project a loss of 15 cents per share, with revenue jumping nearly 100% to $256.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake将于8月25日公布第二季度收益。分析师预计每股亏损15美分，营收增长近100%至2.565亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock tumbled Aug. 20 ahead of its earnings release. One report on the drop cited a Cleveland Research note to clients. The Cleveland Research report ostensibly points to increased competition from Google's cloud business.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价在8月20日财报发布前暴跌。一份关于下降的报告引用了克利夫兰给客户的一份研究报告。克利夫兰研究报告表面上指出，来自谷歌云业务的竞争加剧。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价在12月初创下429点的历史新高。但由于分析师对其高估值的担忧，SNOW股价在2020年底暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.</p><p><blockquote>在6月10日的分析师日上，Snowflake制定了到2029财年（与2028年日历一致）产品收入达到100亿美元的道路。100亿美元的收入目标将带来44%的复合年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，预计产品收入将超过100万美元，从而增加客户数量。Snowflake还预计长期营业利润率为10%以上，低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Possible Threat From Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可能来自亚马逊的威胁</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.</p><p><blockquote>雪花在7月份宣布支持数字广告标准Unified ID 2.0。广告是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>加拿大皇家银行资本(RBC Capital)的一份报告指出，Snowflake是最大的垂直行业之一，其客户占该领域参与者的很大比例。此举正值谷歌逐步淘汰用于定向广告的互联网cookies之际。</blockquote></p><p> Whether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding round&nbsp;valued Databricks at $28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是否会加剧竞争仍然是SNOW股票的一个担忧。此外，与私营Databricks的竞争正在升温。2月份的一轮融资对Databricks的估值为280亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Databricks, which uses&nbsp;artificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.</p><p><blockquote>使用人工智能的Databricks预计将推出自己的IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票的多头指出，无论发生什么，其经验丰富的管理团队都是一个优势。</blockquote></p><p> Two former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.</p><p><blockquote>两位前甲骨文工程师Benoit Dageville和Thierry Cruanes以及初创公司Vectorwise前首席执行官Marcin Zukowski于2012年创办了Snowflake。公司在数据库架构、数据仓库等领域拥有专利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a> Veterans Lead Company</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪库存：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a>退伍军人领导公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake brought in&nbsp;Frank Slootman as chief executive&nbsp;in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake于2019年5月聘请Frank Slootman担任首席执行官。Slootman已于2017年初辞去ServiceNow首席执行官一职。前ServiceNow首席财务官Mike Scarpelli也于2019年加入Snowflake，担任相同的首席财务官职位。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.</p><p><blockquote>与传统的内部数据管理系统不同，Snowflake的平台是为云计算从头开始构建的。它通过互联网提供100%的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake客户可以使用公司的数据仓库在多个在线存储系统中与合作伙伴共享数据。Snowflake还支持在应用程序之间共享易于搜索的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的数据分析工具于2015年在Amazon Web Services上可用，2018年在微软的Azure上可用，2020年在谷歌的云平台上可用。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In June, Snowflake partnered with&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">C3.ai, Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;(AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.</p><p><blockquote>6月，雪花与<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">C3.人工智能公司。</a></b>（人工智能）。两家公司将合作向企业提供人工智能工具。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊网络服务是“友敌”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师Karl Keirstead在最近给客户的一份报告中表示：“虽然Snowflake是多云的，但它约85%的收入来自亚马逊网络服务上部署的数据分析工作，亚马逊网络服务也是Snowflake与AWS Redshift的最大竞争对手。”</blockquote></p><p> \"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这种‘友敌’关系对于Snowflake的成功至关重要，”Keirstead继续说道。“AWS从Snowflake在计算和存储基础设施资源上的支出中获得的好处远远超过它们因放弃AWS红移收入而损失的损失。Snowflake代表了AWS和微软Azure的梦想客户和合作伙伴。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake专注于六个核心市场，包括金融服务、医疗保健和生命科学、零售和消费品、广告媒体和娱乐、技术和政府部门。</blockquote></p><p> When Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiders&nbsp;super-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 9月份上市时采用了双层股权结构，赋予其首席执行官和内部人士超级投票权。然而，Snowflake在三月份取消了双层结构。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.</p><p><blockquote>雪花公司的总部设在加利福尼亚州的圣马特奥。在冠状病毒紧急情况促使人们转向远程工作的过程中，Snowflake在5月份表示，它不再设有公司总部。它指定了蒙大拿州的波兹曼。，作为其主要执行办公室。斯洛特曼和斯卡佩利的总部设在波兹曼。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Snowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票基本面分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Software stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such as&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce.com</a></b>&nbsp;(CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.</p><p><blockquote>软件股的交易价格通常是前瞻性收入增长的倍数。软件即服务或SaaS公司，例如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce.com</a></b>（CRM），通常提供最高的收入增长。Salesforce是SNOW stock的主要营销合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake还与德勤等咨询公司和私营Informatica等信息技术公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Snowflake并不是一家SaaS公司。相反，它使用基于消费的商业模式，基于客户处理和存储的数据量。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's revenue growth stands out. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>-quarter&nbsp;sales jumped 110%to $228.9 million. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的收入增长尤为突出。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>-季度销售额跃升110%至2.289亿美元。但分析师表示，与基于订阅、经常性收入的SaaS商业模式相比，透明度和可预测性较低。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFG\">Mizuho</a> Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"</p><p><blockquote>“SNOW有一个消费模式，客户签订一定数量的计算和存储容量的合同，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MFG\">瑞穗</a>证券分析师Gregg Moskowitz在一份报告中表示。“然而，公司仅在产能被使用时记录收入，因此在开始确认收入之前可能会有几个月或更长时间的滞后。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的年收入接近10亿美元。对于软件成长型公司来说，这是一个重要的里程碑。但根据两种最常见的会计准则，SNOW股票是无利可图的。</blockquote></p><p> Many software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.</p><p><blockquote>许多软件公司使用GAAP收益或公认会计原则（包括基于股票的薪酬）是无利可图的。但在非公认会计准则或“调整后”收益的基础上，它们是盈利的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock Operates In The Red</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SNOW股票出现亏损</b></blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter, Snowflake reported a GAAP operating loss of $205.6 million and a GAAP per-share loss of 70 cents. Snowflake stock subsequently fell. It recorded an adjusted operating loss of $35.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度，Snowflake公布的GAAP运营亏损为2.056亿美元，GAAP每股亏损为70美分。雪花股票随后下跌。调整后营业亏损为3580万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake doesn't break out adjusted earnings. Analysts estimate it lost 11 cents on an adjusted basis in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake没有公布调整后收益。分析师估计，第一季度调整后该公司亏损11美分。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake operates in the red amid sizable investments, analysts say. For fiscal 2022, for example, Snowflake has told analysts it plans to hire 1,200 net new employees, which would represent 48% growth in head count.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，由于巨额投资，Snowflake的运营处于亏损状态。例如，Snowflake告诉分析师，2022财年计划净雇用1,200名新员工，这意味着员工人数将增长48%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, investments are paying off in revenue growth. Snowflake had 4,532 customers as of April 30, up 67% from the year-earlier period. That includes 187 of the Fortune 500. In the April quarter, Snowflake added a record 27 customers with more than $1 million per year in product revenue, giving it 104 such customers overall.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资还是在收入增长方面获得了回报。截至4月30日，Snowflake拥有4,532名客户，同比增长67%。其中包括财富500强中的187家。在4月份的季度，Snowflake增加了创纪录的27个客户，每年产品收入超过100万美元，使其总共拥有104个此类客户。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> analyst Kash Rangan is bullish on Snowflake's potential to dominate in cloud-based data analytics and management.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>分析师Kash Rangan看好Snowflake在基于云的数据分析和管理领域占据主导地位的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Snowflake will continue to replace incumbent warehousing solutions owing to their scalable and elastic cloud native data platform while also capitalizing on net new workloads and use cases as digital transformation drives greater digitization within the enterprise, and business intelligence and analytics remains a top priority for spending,\" he said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，由于其可扩展和弹性的云原生数据平台，Snowflake将继续取代现有的仓储解决方案，同时随着数字化转型推动企业内部更大程度的数字化，并且商业智能和分析仍然是重中之重支出，”他在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Stock Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SNOW股票技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock went public on Sept. 16 at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股票于9月16日以每股120美元的价格上市。当时，由于投资者在冠状病毒紧急情况下寻求经常性收入，软件成长股炙手可热。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> SNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.</p><p><blockquote>SNOW股价在交易首日飙升至319点，收盘价较IPO价格253.93点高出111.6%。由于分析师对Snowflake的估值存在争议，股价回落。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock forged a&nbsp;cup-with-handle base&nbsp;over the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.</p><p><blockquote>在接下来的两个月里，雪花股票打造了一个带手柄的杯子底座。新基地创造了一个301的切入点。SNOW股价突破买入点，于12月8日触及429点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBTC\">Enterprise</a> group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFSC\">Enterprise</a> group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.</p><p><blockquote>尽管IBD计算机软件公司的估值受到质疑，Snowflake股价在2020年底暴跌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBTC\">企业</a>集团保持弹性。计算机软件<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFSC\">企业</a>直到2月中旬，由于市场向价值轮动，该集团才崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake股价于5月13日触及184.71的12个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪花股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Rating&nbsp;of 44 out of a best possible 99, according to&nbsp;IBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>作为前瞻性收入增长的倍数，雪花股票的交易价格仍然存在大幅溢价。根据IBD Stock Checkup的数据，SNOW股票的IBD综合评级为44分（满分99分）。</blockquote></p><p> IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最佳成长型股票的综合评级为90或更高。</blockquote></p><p> One plus is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according to&nbsp;IBD Market&nbsp;Smith&nbsp;analysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD Market Smith的分析，雪花股票的积累/分配评级为B。该评级分析股票在过去13周交易中的价格和交易量变化。</blockquote></p><p> The rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.</p><p><blockquote>该评级为A+至E级，衡量机构对股票的买卖情况。A+表示机构大量买入；E表示大量抛售。把C级想象成中性。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock has yet to&nbsp;form a base&nbsp;with a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.</p><p><blockquote>雪股尚未形成一个合适的切入点。Snowflake股价已突破50日移动平均线。如果它保持在50日线之上，可能会启动深基右侧。</blockquote></p><p> As of Aug. 20, Snowflake stock is not a buy despite an improved relative strength line.</p><p><blockquote>截至8月20日，尽管相对强弱线有所改善，但Snowflake股票仍不值得买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/snowflake-snow-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/snowflake-snow-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189743420","content_text":"Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google.\nMany companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.\nIn a \"coopetition\" model, the cloud giants give their customers a green light to buy Snowflake's (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.\nNearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products from Teradata (TDC), Oracle (ORCL) and IBM (IBM).\nOne Snowflake customer is pharma giant Pfizer (PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into the distribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.\nSnowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?\nStellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.\nBut is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.\nSnowflake reports second-quarter earnings on Aug. 25. Analysts project a loss of 15 cents per share, with revenue jumping nearly 100% to $256.5 million.\nSnowflake stock tumbled Aug. 20 ahead of its earnings release. One report on the drop cited a Cleveland Research note to clients. The Cleveland Research report ostensibly points to increased competition from Google's cloud business.\nSnowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.\nAt a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.\nThe company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.\nPossible Threat From Amazon\nSnowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is one of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.\nWhether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding round valued Databricks at $28 billion.\nDatabricks, which uses artificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.\nSnowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.\nTwo former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.\nSNOW Stock: ServiceNow Veterans Lead Company\nSnowflake brought in Frank Slootman as chief executive in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.\nUnlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.\nSnowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.\nSnowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.\nIn June, Snowflake partnered with C3.ai, Inc. (AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.\nAmazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'\n\"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.\n\"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"\nSnowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.\nWhen Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiders super-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.\nSnowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.\nSnowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis\nSoftware stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such as Salesforce.com (CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.\nSnowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.\nSnowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.\nSnowflake's revenue growth stands out. First-quarter sales jumped 110%to $228.9 million. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.\n\"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"\nSnowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.\nMany software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.\nSNOW Stock Operates In The Red\nIn the first quarter, Snowflake reported a GAAP operating loss of $205.6 million and a GAAP per-share loss of 70 cents. Snowflake stock subsequently fell. It recorded an adjusted operating loss of $35.8 million.\nSnowflake doesn't break out adjusted earnings. Analysts estimate it lost 11 cents on an adjusted basis in the first quarter.\nSnowflake operates in the red amid sizable investments, analysts say. For fiscal 2022, for example, Snowflake has told analysts it plans to hire 1,200 net new employees, which would represent 48% growth in head count.\nStill, investments are paying off in revenue growth. Snowflake had 4,532 customers as of April 30, up 67% from the year-earlier period. That includes 187 of the Fortune 500. In the April quarter, Snowflake added a record 27 customers with more than $1 million per year in product revenue, giving it 104 such customers overall.\nGoldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan is bullish on Snowflake's potential to dominate in cloud-based data analytics and management.\n\"We believe Snowflake will continue to replace incumbent warehousing solutions owing to their scalable and elastic cloud native data platform while also capitalizing on net new workloads and use cases as digital transformation drives greater digitization within the enterprise, and business intelligence and analytics remains a top priority for spending,\" he said in a note.\nSNOW Stock Technical Analysis\nSnowflake stock went public on Sept. 16 at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.\nSNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.\nSnowflake stock forged a cup-with-handle base over the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.\nSnowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software Enterprise group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software Enterprise group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.\nSnowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.\nIs Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?\nSnowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Rating of 44 out of a best possible 99, according to IBD Stock Checkup.\nIBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.\nOne plus is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according to IBD Market Smith analysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.\nThe rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.\nSNOW stock has yet to form a base with a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.\nAs of Aug. 20, Snowflake stock is not a buy despite an improved relative strength line.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830786384,"gmtCreate":1629099581748,"gmtModify":1633687412739,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830786384","repostId":"1113794769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830322981,"gmtCreate":1629015414743,"gmtModify":1633687941957,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830322981","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VAC":"万豪度假环球","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","AMED":"阿米斯医疗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STAA":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"AMED":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"VAC":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"TREX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830322096,"gmtCreate":1629015402115,"gmtModify":1633687942078,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830322096","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VAC":"万豪度假环球","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","AMED":"阿米斯医疗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STAA":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"AMED":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"VAC":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"TREX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897571620,"gmtCreate":1628950760360,"gmtModify":1633688336989,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897571620","repostId":"1149823415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149823415","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628909753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149823415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149823415","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149823415","content_text":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.\nHowever, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.\nWe would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.\nLastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.\n\nNastco/iStock via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nBack in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.\nSince then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.\nThis article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.\nLastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.\nRevisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates\nMay's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nScale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nInvestors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.\nPrivate Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22\nSPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.\nAs a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.\nHowever, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:\n\n These enhancements\n could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.\n\nIn addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"\nThe Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"\nSure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:\n\n These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and\n that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today.\"\n\nIf investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:\n\n Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.\n\nWe are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).\nAre There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?\nYes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"\nInvestors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"\nThe company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"\nImportantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.\nVirgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience.And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"\nStrong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage\nAstute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.\nBased on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.\nThe initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.\nHowever, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.\nPart of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.\nCrucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"\nCompeting Against Blue Origin\nWe think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.\nWhile we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”\nWe think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"\nTherefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.\nOne thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.\nVirgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.\nFree Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations\nEBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nDespite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.\nHowever, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.\nStreet's mean price target. Source: TIKR\nThe Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.\nWhile we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.\nSPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWhile we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.\nSPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.\nIn summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892004270,"gmtCreate":1628608467890,"gmtModify":1633745745224,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks","listText":"Like thanks","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892004270","repostId":"2158746004","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898742359,"gmtCreate":1628524573771,"gmtModify":1633746429596,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583542338461065","idStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898742359","repostId":"1128238834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128238834","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628521549,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128238834?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128238834","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for it","content":"<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128238834","content_text":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.\nThe bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.\nSalaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.\nThe new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.\nBanks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.\nCitigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their 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thanks:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124049635","repostId":"2146008543","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816647186,"gmtCreate":1630500880145,"gmtModify":1632476218665,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816647186","repostId":"2164892112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893953283,"gmtCreate":1628232108242,"gmtModify":1633752375065,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893953283","repostId":"2157637144","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850719551,"gmtCreate":1634626340644,"gmtModify":1634626340783,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850719551","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商几乎占汽车制造商股票价值的一半。这有意义吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他对特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股票给予看跌评级，目标价为300美元，主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能会达到整个行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的16家电动汽车制造商的总价值为1.14万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.Hong Kong）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统车企是：丰田汽车(TM)、大众汽车(VOW3.Germany)、戴姆勒(DAI.Germany)、通用汽车(GM)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着销量，在全球销售了约99%的汽车，其中97%是汽油动力汽车，2%是电动汽车。纯电动汽车在全球范围内销售剩余的1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：“当然，我们的想法是纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者需要相信的第一件事，以证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是保持看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念——市场份额将继续提高。这位分析师在报告中补充道：“我们怀疑市场认为……传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。”OEM是原始设备制造商的缩写，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车的每辆车利润将比传统汽车更高。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或10,000美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品推动的销量和利润增长的组合可能证明估值是合理的，但萨科纳吉并不相信这一点。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化和竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，剩余利润和技术创新可能会被竞争夺走。”</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他对评级·特斯拉估值“过高”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是不是丰田价值的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好，特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了34%。周一股价又上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他15只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于50家传统汽车制造商的价值。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-19 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商几乎占汽车制造商股票价值的一半。这有意义吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他对特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股票给予看跌评级，目标价为300美元，主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能会达到整个行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的16家电动汽车制造商的总价值为1.14万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.Hong Kong）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统车企是：丰田汽车(TM)、大众汽车(VOW3.Germany)、戴姆勒(DAI.Germany)、通用汽车(GM)。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着销量，在全球销售了约99%的汽车，其中97%是汽油动力汽车，2%是电动汽车。纯电动汽车在全球范围内销售剩余的1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：“当然，我们的想法是纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者需要相信的第一件事，以证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是保持看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念——市场份额将继续提高。这位分析师在报告中补充道：“我们怀疑市场认为……传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。”OEM是原始设备制造商的缩写，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车的每辆车利润将比传统汽车更高。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或10,000美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品推动的销量和利润增长的组合可能证明估值是合理的，但萨科纳吉并不相信这一点。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化和竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，剩余利润和技术创新可能会被竞争夺走。”</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他对评级·特斯拉估值“过高”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是不是丰田价值的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好，特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了34%。周一股价又上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01211":"比亚迪股份","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","NIO":"蔚来","TM":"丰田汽车","GM":"通用汽车","LI":"理想汽车","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAF":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"GM":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"TM":0.9,"LI":0.9,"01211":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827923049,"gmtCreate":1634393205516,"gmtModify":1634393205661,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827923049","repostId":"2175485551","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":124057069,"gmtCreate":1624711662951,"gmtModify":1633949373035,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124057069","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837437010,"gmtCreate":1629904358130,"gmtModify":1633681567945,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837437010","repostId":"1114237972","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114237972","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629903902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114237972?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"HP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114237972","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales. According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said ","content":"<p>Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>美国的个人电脑出货量在今年第二季度保持增长，因为在可预见的未来，由新冠肺炎相关销售推动的市场可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales.&nbsp;According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units&nbsp;between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>这是科技研究公司Canalys的观点，该公司周三发布了美国个人电脑销售的最新统计数据。根据Canalys的数据，4月至6月，美国个人电脑出货量达到3680万台，比去年同期增长17%。Canalys分析师布莱恩·林奇(Brian Lynch)表示，数据表明领先的个人电脑制造商存在“重大的更新机会”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业和教育领域呈爆炸式增长，引发了巨大的更新潜力，”林奇说。“美国经济已从大流行困境中恢复良好，小企业正在复苏，这将导致该领域的采购浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p> Notebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>笔记本电脑出货量领涨该行业，同比增长27%，台式机出货量较去年第二季度增长23%。Canalys表示，平板电脑出货量几乎停滞不前，仅比一年前增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">HP Inc</a> (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：HPQ）以807万的出货量位居美国榜首，比2020年第二季度增长20.2%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>然而，（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）从一年前的第一位跌落，其760万台Mac出货量比一年前下降了近3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔技术公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：戴尔）排名第三，出货量增长10.5%，达到570万部，而联想排名第四，出货量为475万部，比去年第二季度增长25.2%。三星跻身前五名个人电脑公司之列，其出货量为304万台，同比增长超过51%。</blockquote></p><p> Canalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year,&nbsp;but at a slower rate than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Canalys公布美国数据的前一天，IDC表示相信今年全球个人电脑销量将增长，但增速低于此前预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>HP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHP, Apple top U.S. PC shipments according to new report<blockquote>根据新报告，惠普和苹果在美国个人电脑出货量排名第一</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>美国的个人电脑出货量在今年第二季度保持增长，因为在可预见的未来，由新冠肺炎相关销售推动的市场可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> That's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales.&nbsp;According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units&nbsp;between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>这是科技研究公司Canalys的观点，该公司周三发布了美国个人电脑销售的最新统计数据。根据Canalys的数据，4月至6月，美国个人电脑出货量达到3680万台，比去年同期增长17%。Canalys分析师布莱恩·林奇(Brian Lynch)表示，数据表明领先的个人电脑制造商存在“重大的更新机会”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业和教育领域呈爆炸式增长，引发了巨大的更新潜力，”林奇说。“美国经济已从大流行困境中恢复良好，小企业正在复苏，这将导致该领域的采购浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p> Notebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>笔记本电脑出货量领涨该行业，同比增长27%，台式机出货量较去年第二季度增长23%。Canalys表示，平板电脑出货量几乎停滞不前，仅比一年前增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">HP Inc</a> (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPQ\">惠普公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：HPQ）以807万的出货量位居美国榜首，比2020年第二季度增长20.2%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>然而，（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）从一年前的第一位跌落，其760万台Mac出货量比一年前下降了近3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">Dell Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔技术公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：戴尔）排名第三，出货量增长10.5%，达到570万部，而联想排名第四，出货量为475万部，比去年第二季度增长25.2%。三星跻身前五名个人电脑公司之列，其出货量为304万台，同比增长超过51%。</blockquote></p><p> Canalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year,&nbsp;but at a slower rate than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>Canalys公布美国数据的前一天，IDC表示相信今年全球个人电脑销量将增长，但增速低于此前预期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734052-hp-apple-top-us-pc-shipments-according-to-new-report\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","DELL":"戴尔","HPQ":"惠普"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734052-hp-apple-top-us-pc-shipments-according-to-new-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114237972","content_text":"Personal computer shipments in the United States remained on the rise during the second quarter of the year as a market driven by Covid-19 related sales is seen as likely to continue for the foreseeable future.\nThat's the opinion of tech research firm Canalys, which on Wednesday released its latest statistics on U.S. PC sales. According to Canalys, domestic PC shipments reached 36.8 million units between April and June, a 17% rise from the same period a year ago. Canalys analyst Brian Lynch said that the data suggest there is \"a significant refresh opportunity\" exists for the leading PC manufacturers.\n\"The commercial and education segments have exploded, triggering tremendous refresh potential,\" Lynch said. \"The U.S. economy has bounced back well from its pandemic woes and small businesses are recovering, which will lead to a wave of purchasing from the segment.\"\nNotebook PC shipments led the sector's gains, rising 27% from a year ago, while desktop shipments rose by 23% over last year's second quarter. Canalys said tablet shipments were virtually stagnant, rising just 1% from a year ago.\nHP Inc (NYSE:HPQ)took the top spot in the U.S., with 8.07 million shipments, and a 20.2% increase over the second quarter of 2020. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), however, fell from its No. 1 position a year ago, as its 7.6 million Mac shipments dipped by almost 3% from a year ago.\nDell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL)came in third place, as its shipments grew by 10.5%, to 5.7 million shipments, while Lenovo took fourth place with 4.75 million shipments, a 25.2% gain over last-year's second quarter. Samsung rounded out the top five PC companies, as its 3.04 million shipments surged by more than 51% from a year ago.\nCanalys' U.S. data came a day after IDC said it believes worldwide PC sales to grow this year, but at a slower rate than previously expected.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"HPQ":0.9,"DELL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830322981,"gmtCreate":1629015414743,"gmtModify":1633687941957,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830322981","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VAC":"万豪度假环球","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","AMED":"阿米斯医疗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STAA":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"AMED":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"VAC":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"TREX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830322096,"gmtCreate":1629015402115,"gmtModify":1633687942078,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830322096","repostId":"1127633167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127633167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628997765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127633167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127633167","media":"Barrons","summary":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors loo","content":"<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Standout Stocks Could Be the Next Amazon<blockquote>这10只杰出股票可能成为下一个亚马逊</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>当今投资界最流行的流行语之一是“复合者”。寻找下一个亚马逊、Costco Wholesale、Nike或Visa的成长型投资者寻求寻找能够在未来几年实现收入和盈利两位数复合增长（最好是两者兼而有之）的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock&nbsp;that returns 10 times what you paid for it.</p><p><blockquote>这个想法是，股价应该与收入和利润保持一致，使投资者能够在五到十年的持有期内产生高回报。最终目标是找到难以捉摸的“10 bagger”——一只回报率是你购买价格10倍的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified&nbsp;in a&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师的报告和投资专业人士的客户信函中充满了compounder的参考资料。许多下一代价值管理者，在<i>巴伦周刊</i>五月的封面故事，正在寻找这样的股票，而不是传统的廉价股票的价值票价。</blockquote></p><p> Their search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.</p><p><blockquote>他们的搜索变得更具挑战性，因为买家正在为高增长的故事支付高昂的价格。真正的大赢家很少。Durable Capital Partners的数据显示，在一系列10年期间，只有约35家公司的股价每年复合增长率达到20%或以上，导致股价至少上涨了六倍。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as&nbsp;Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and&nbsp;Eli Lilly(LLY).</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者很乐意继续投资大型知名复合商，例如Alphabet（股票代码：GOOGL）、万事达卡（MA）、联合健康集团（UNH）和礼来公司（LLY）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>试图确定较小的候选人。我们与投资经理进行了交谈，并列出了一份包含10只股票的折衷清单，其中大多数股票的市值低于100亿美元。以下是按字母顺序排列的选择：</blockquote></p><p> Strong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.</p><p><blockquote>强劲而稳定的胜利以下是成长型投资者认为能够多年来持续实现收入或利润高增长的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>YTD Change</th>    <th>2021E P/E</th>    <th>2021E Price/Sales</th>    <th>2022E P/E</th>    <th>2022E Price/Sales</th>    <th>LT Growth Rate*</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>Comment</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Amedysis / AMED</td>    <td>$185.15</td>    <td>-37%</td>    <td>30.2</td>    <td>2.7</td>    <td>27.7</td>    <td>2.4</td>    <td>10.5%</td>    <td>$6.3</td>    <td>Leader in home health care</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Amyris / AMRS</td>    <td>13.64</td>    <td>121</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>10.4</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>9.7</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>4.1</td>    <td>Leading company in synthetic biology</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Booz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH</td>    <td>81.73</td>    <td>-6</td>    <td>19.4</td>    <td>1.3</td>    <td>17.7</td>    <td>1.2</td>    <td>8.6</td>    <td>11.0</td>    <td>Defense-department consultant</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>J.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT</td>    <td>172.76</td>    <td>26</td>    <td>25.8</td>    <td>1.5</td>    <td>22.2</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>18.4</td>    <td>18.2</td>    <td>Strong in intermodal freight</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Marriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC</td>    <td>147.15</td>    <td>7</td>    <td>40.9</td>    <td>1.6</td>    <td>15.7</td>    <td>1.4</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>Top company in vacation timeshares</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE</td>    <td>197.10</td>    <td>24</td>    <td>45.7</td>    <td>2.6</td>    <td>43.5</td>    <td>2.5</td>    <td>19.3</td>    <td>8.8</td>    <td>Big supplier of landscaping supplies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Staar Surgical / STAA</td>    <td>138.19</td>    <td>74</td>    <td>192.3</td>    <td>28.6</td>    <td>140.8</td>    <td>22.5</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>6.6</td>    <td>Maker of implantable lens for myopia</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Stitch Fix / SFIX</td>    <td>44.38</td>    <td>-24</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>1.9</td>    <td>1890.3</td>    <td>1.7</td>    <td>30.0</td>    <td>4.8</td>    <td>Data-driven subscription clothing firm</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Trex / TREX</td>    <td>105.94</td>    <td>27</td>    <td>51.9</td>    <td>10.5</td>    <td>43.6</td>    <td>9.3</td>    <td>18.8</td>    <td>12.2</td>    <td>Top maker of synthetic wood decking</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Upwork / UPWK</td>    <td>44.31</td>    <td>28</td>    <td>NM</td>    <td>11.4</td>    <td>556.8</td>    <td>9.2</td>    <td>NA</td>    <td>5.7</td>    <td>Online clearinghouse for free-lancers</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> E=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>年初至今变化</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>2021E价格/销售额</th><th>2022年预计市盈率</th><th>2022E价格/销售额</th><th>LT增长率*</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>评论</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Amedysis/AMED</td><td>$185.15</td><td>-37%</td><td>30.2</td><td>2.7</td><td>27.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>10.5%</td><td>$6.3</td><td>家庭医疗保健领域的领导者</td></tr><tr><td>Amyris/AMRS</td><td>13.64</td><td>121</td><td>NM</td><td>10.4</td><td>NM</td><td>9.7</td><td>NA</td><td>4.1</td><td>合成生物学领域的领先公司</td></tr><tr><td>博思艾伦控股/BAH</td><td>81.73</td><td>-6</td><td>19.4</td><td>1.3</td><td>17.7</td><td>1.2</td><td>8.6</td><td>11.0</td><td>国防部顾问</td></tr><tr><td>J.B.亨特运输服务/JBHT</td><td>172.76</td><td>26</td><td>25.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>22.2</td><td>1.4</td><td>18.4</td><td>18.2</td><td>多式联运货运实力强劲</td></tr><tr><td>万豪度假全球/VAC</td><td>147.15</td><td>7</td><td>40.9</td><td>1.6</td><td>15.7</td><td>1.4</td><td>NA</td><td>6.3</td><td>度假分时度假顶级公司</td></tr><tr><td>SiteOne景观供应/站点</td><td>197.10</td><td>24</td><td>45.7</td><td>2.6</td><td>43.5</td><td>2.5</td><td>19.3</td><td>8.8</td><td>园林绿化用品大供应商</td></tr><tr><td>Staar外科/STAA</td><td>138.19</td><td>74</td><td>192.3</td><td>28.6</td><td>140.8</td><td>22.5</td><td>30.0</td><td>6.6</td><td>近视植入式镜片制造商</td></tr><tr><td>缝合固定/SFIX</td><td>44.38</td><td>-24</td><td>NM</td><td>1.9</td><td>1890.3</td><td>1.7</td><td>30.0</td><td>4.8</td><td>数据驱动的订阅服装公司</td></tr><tr><td>Trex/Trex</td><td>105.94</td><td>27</td><td>51.9</td><td>10.5</td><td>43.6</td><td>9.3</td><td>18.8</td><td>12.2</td><td>顶级合成木地板制造商</td></tr><tr><td>Upwork/UPWK</td><td>44.31</td><td>28</td><td>NM</td><td>11.4</td><td>556.8</td><td>9.2</td><td>NA</td><td>5.7</td><td>自由职业者在线信息交换所</td></tr></tbody></table>E=估计值。BAH预估适用于截至2022年3月和3月23日的财年。SFIX预估为截至2022年7月和2023年7月的财年。NM=无意义。NA=不可用。*公司未来3-5年可维持的年度每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys(AMED)是一家家庭医疗保健和临终关怀服务提供商，业务仍然分散，业务遍及全国。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚小盘成长基金经理丹·科尔预测，“该行业将会出现大规模整合”。“医疗保健正在向家庭转移。”</blockquote></p><p> Amedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.</p><p><blockquote>Amedisys的股价在过去十年中上涨了十倍多。但该公司最近以与新冠疫情相关的人员配备和成本问题（主要是收购的临终关怀业务）为由，下调了2021年财务指引，股价约为185美元，下跌了近30%。2021年盈利预期目前为每股6.13美元，低于近7美元。该股的交易价格是2021年预计利润的30倍。科尔表示，该公司仍有能力实现每股收益10%的年增长。</blockquote></p><p> Amyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris(AMRS)是合成生物学领域的领导者。它的粉丝们说，它的机会是以一种环保的方式取代一系列现在由石化产品、动物和植物制成的产品。</blockquote></p><p> Using genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.</p><p><blockquote>Amyris使用基因改造的酵母和甘蔗生产角鲨烷等产品，这是一种以前由鲨鱼肝制成的高端保湿剂；香草醛，香草的调味料；和通常来源于植物的无热量甜味剂。该股交易价格约为13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;wrote&nbsp;favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>7月份对该公司进行了好评。Amyris预计，在其消费品牌的推动下，到2025年销售额将达到20亿美元，高于今年预计的4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拥有Amyris股票的Pinnacle Associates的投资组合经理兰迪·巴伦(Randy Baron)表示：“世界需要清洁化学，而Amyris是创造清洁化学的关键。”他认为到2022年底它们可能会达到75美元。</blockquote></p><p> Booz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.</p><p><blockquote>博思艾伦控股公司（BAH）是国防部和其他机构的重要顾问。美国政府最近一财年的收入占其收入的97%。多年来，博思艾伦通过提供网络安全等一系列服务与政府建立了牢固的关系。其股价约为81美元，收益率为1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> “It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price New Horizons基金经理乔什·斯宾塞(Josh Spencer)表示：“它建立了强大的、类似伙伴关系的文化，并拥有长期稳定增长的记录。”他认为博思艾伦有能力实现9%至10%的收入年增长率和15%至16%的盈利年增长率，与其历史表现一致。由于担心军费开支更加克制，该股较100美元的峰值下跌了20%。斯宾塞将回调视为买入机会，该股的市盈率不到20倍。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the&nbsp;Barron’s Roundtable.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.亨特运输服务公司(JBHT)是多式联运货运领域的领导者，该领域涉及卡车在铁路线上的省油运输。它是最成功的卡车运输公司之一。其股价在过去20年中上涨了30倍，最近达到173美元。“它拥有令人难以置信的特许经营权，”Durable Capital Partners首席投资官、《巴伦周刊》圆桌会议成员亨利·埃伦博根(Henry Ellenbogen)表示。</blockquote></p><p> J.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.</p><p><blockquote>J.B.他指出，亨特与伯灵顿北圣达菲铁路公司的关系使其在多式联运货运领域拥有强大的地位。J.B.亨特的业务也在不断增长，接管了小公司的卡车运输业务。它还参与数字货运经纪业务——为卡车司机和航运客户牵线搭桥。</blockquote></p><p> Ellenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Ellenbogen表示，考虑到盈利年增长率为十几岁左右，该股2022年预计利润的22倍是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Marriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.</p><p><blockquote>万豪度假全球（VAC）是分时度假行业的顶级公司之一。它拥有700,000名业主，拥有富有弹性的商业模式，从费用中获得可观的收入，并且比同行更多地接触夏威夷和佛罗里达州奥兰多等地的豪华房产。</blockquote></p><p> “It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.</p><p><blockquote>Baron Focused Growth基金经理David Baron表示：“它拥有最好的客户群、最高的支出和无可挑剔的资产负债表。”他补充道，万豪度假公司的股价最近约为145美元，应该会在今年晚些时候恢复股息。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>Baron认为，根据2022年的预测，该股的自由现金流收益率为11%，价格低廉。他表示，该股自2018年以来几乎没有变化，未来几年可能为股东带来20%的年回报率。</blockquote></p><p> SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.</p><p><blockquote>SiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE)是该国最大的景观美化产品供应商，鉴于其在高度分散的行业中仅占13%的市场份额，因此有充足的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学的科尔表示：“它正在有机增长，并且有很多收购机会。”他认为该公司的年收入有能力增长10%至15%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.</p><p><blockquote>该股股价约为197美元，估值很高，交易价格是2022年预计每股收益4.54美元的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> Staar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.</p><p><blockquote>Staar外科公司（STAA）开发了一种可植入晶状体来矫正近视（近视）。鉴于全球视力问题的发病率不断上升，这解决了一个潜在的巨大市场。该公司预计，这款镜片已在欧洲和亚洲上市至少五年，将于第四季度进入美国市场，等待美国食品和药物管理局的批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”</p><p><blockquote>Baillie Gifford全球经理道格·布罗迪(Doug Brodie)表示：“它的销量可能会很大。它还处于起步阶段，基本上没有竞争。”</blockquote></p><p> Lenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.</p><p><blockquote>双眼的晶状体可以在不到一个小时内植入，而且不需要移除天然晶状体。在美国，每个镜片的批发成本可能在1000美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> At a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>Staar股价最近为138美元，其估值超过2022年预计销售额的20倍，是2022年预计收益的140倍。但市场机会是巨大的：到2050年，全球约有50亿人可能患有近视。</blockquote></p><p> Stitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.</p><p><blockquote>Stitch Fix(SFIX)开发了服装、鞋子和其他配饰的订阅服务，拥有超过400万客户。</blockquote></p><p> “This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.</p><p><blockquote>“这可能是未来的诺德斯特龙，”Stitch Fix持有者Marathon Partners Equity Management首席投资官马里奥·西贝利(Mario Cibelli)表示。“这是一个潜在的巨大市场，没有人以同样的方式解决这个问题。”Stitch Fix利用6000名个人造型师和大量数据，试图确定订户的品味，以产生高满意度，并限制每隔一段时间发送并由订户决定的包裹的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Its shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者对潜在客户流失和业务最终盈利能力的担忧，其股价约为44美元，较今年早些时候的水平下跌了60%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cibelli预计收入每年将增长20%以上，在当前美国和英国市场之外还有机会，并且在两到三年内业务可能会非常有利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Trex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Trex(TREX)是甲板高端木材替代品的顶级生产商，其95%来自回收材料，使其成为一种环保的住房。该股股价为105美元，是2022年预计市盈率的43倍。</blockquote></p><p> T. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price的Spencer认为Trex物有所值，因为他认为它可以产生15%至20%的可持续年收入增长。预计2022年盈利将增长约20%，并在接下来的几年中以类似的速度增长。“如果你把时间拨快三年，它看起来并没有那么贵，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Upwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.</p><p><blockquote>Upwork(UPWK)是一个面向自由职业者的在线市场，受到Baillie Gifford的Brodie的青睐，他表示，它可以让企业更好地接受自由职业者。</blockquote></p><p> The shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.</p><p><blockquote>该股最近约为44美元，并不便宜。Upwork的估值为57亿美元，是今年预计销售额近5亿美元的10倍以上。它的运营略有亏损。</blockquote></p><p> The investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>投资案例是关于快速销售增长带来丰厚收益。预计今年销售额将增长30%以上，2022年将增长25%。</blockquote></p><p> “Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“自由职业者更容易被中小型企业接受，但大型企业的人力资源部门却不喜欢他们，”布罗迪说。Upwork旨在通过审查自由职业者和提供数千种技能来改变这种看法。“Upwork可以成为越来越多企业级合作伙伴值得信赖的合作伙伴，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VAC":"万豪度假环球","BAH":"博思艾伦咨询公司","STAA":"STAAR Surgical Company","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","SITE":"SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.","TREX":"Trex Co Inc","JBHT":"JB Hunt运输服务","UPWK":"Upwork Inc.","AMED":"阿米斯医疗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-potential-compounder-growth-51628888840?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127633167","content_text":"One of the most popular buzzwords in investing today is “compounders.” Growth-oriented investors looking for the next Amazon.com, Costco Wholesale, Nike, or Visa seek to identify companies capable of generating double-digit compound growth in revenue and earnings—preferably both—for years to come.\nThe idea is that stock prices should compound in line with revenue and profits, enabling investors to generate high returns over a holding period of five to 10 years. The ultimate goal is to find the elusive “10 bagger”—a stock that returns 10 times what you paid for it.\nWall Street analyst notes and client letters from investment pros are replete with compounder references. Many of the next generation of value managers, identified in a Barron’s cover story in May, are seeking such shares, rather than the traditional value fare of cheap stocks.\nTheir search has become more challenging, because buyers are paying lofty prices for high-growth stories. Really big winners are scarce. Only about 35 companies in each of a long series of 10-year periods have compounded their stock prices at 20% or more annually, resulting in at least a sixfold increase, according to Durable Capital Partners.\nMany investors are happy to stick with large, well-known compounders, such as Alphabet(ticker: GOOGL),Mastercard(MA),UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Eli Lilly(LLY).\nBarron’s sought to identify smaller candidates. We talked to investment managers and came up with an eclectic list of 10 stocks, most with market values under $10 billion. Here are the selections, in alphabetical order:\nStrong and Steady Wins the RaceHere are 10 stocks that growth investors have identified as being able to generate consistently high growth in revenues or profits for many years.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nYTD Change\n2021E P/E\n2021E Price/Sales\n2022E P/E\n2022E Price/Sales\nLT Growth Rate*\nMarket Value (bil)\nComment\n\n\n\n\nAmedysis / AMED\n$185.15\n-37%\n30.2\n2.7\n27.7\n2.4\n10.5%\n$6.3\nLeader in home health care\n\n\nAmyris / AMRS\n13.64\n121\nNM\n10.4\nNM\n9.7\nNA\n4.1\nLeading company in synthetic biology\n\n\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding / BAH\n81.73\n-6\n19.4\n1.3\n17.7\n1.2\n8.6\n11.0\nDefense-department consultant\n\n\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services / JBHT\n172.76\n26\n25.8\n1.5\n22.2\n1.4\n18.4\n18.2\nStrong in intermodal freight\n\n\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide / VAC\n147.15\n7\n40.9\n1.6\n15.7\n1.4\nNA\n6.3\nTop company in vacation timeshares\n\n\nSiteOne Landscape Supply / SITE\n197.10\n24\n45.7\n2.6\n43.5\n2.5\n19.3\n8.8\nBig supplier of landscaping supplies\n\n\nStaar Surgical / STAA\n138.19\n74\n192.3\n28.6\n140.8\n22.5\n30.0\n6.6\nMaker of implantable lens for myopia\n\n\nStitch Fix / SFIX\n44.38\n-24\nNM\n1.9\n1890.3\n1.7\n30.0\n4.8\nData-driven subscription clothing firm\n\n\nTrex / TREX\n105.94\n27\n51.9\n10.5\n43.6\n9.3\n18.8\n12.2\nTop maker of synthetic wood decking\n\n\nUpwork / UPWK\n44.31\n28\nNM\n11.4\n556.8\n9.2\nNA\n5.7\nOnline clearinghouse for free-lancers\n\n\n\nE=Estimate. BAH estimates are for fiscal years ending March 2022 and March 23. SFIX estimates are for fiscal years ending July 2022 and July 2023. NM=Not Meaningful. NA=Not Available. *The annual EPS growth the company can sustain over the next 3-5 years.\nSource: FactSet\nAmedisys(AMED), a provider of home healthcare and hospice services, has a national footprint in a still-fragmented business.\n“There is going to be massive consolidation of the industry” predicts Dan Cole, a manager of the Columbia Small-Cap Growth fund. “Healthcare is moving to the home.”\nAmedisys stock is up more than tenfold in the past decade. But the shares, around $185, are off nearly 30% after the company recently cut 2021 financial guidance, citing Covid-related staffing and cost issues, mostly in acquired hospice operations. The 2021 earnings estimate is now $6.13 a share, down from nearly $7. The stock trades for 30 times projected 2021 profits. Cole says that the company remains capable of generating 10% annual gains in earnings per share.\nAmyris(AMRS) is a leader in synthetic biology. It fans say its opportunity is to supplant, in an eco-friendly way, a range of products now made from petrochemicals, animals, and plants.\nUsing genetically re-engineered yeast and sugar cane, Amyris produces such things as squalane, a high-end moisturizer formerly made from shark livers; vanillin, the flavoring for vanilla; and a no-calorie sweetener normally derived from plants. The stock trades around $13.\nBarron’s wrote favorably on the company in July. Amyris sees sales reaching $2 billion by 2025, up from an estimated $400 million this year, driven by its consumer brands.\n“The world needs clean chemistry, and Amyris is the point on the spear to create it,” says Randy Baron, a portfolio manager at Pinnacle Associates, which owns Amyris shares. He thinks they could hit $75 by the end of 2022.\nBooz Allen Hamilton Holding(BAH) is an important consultant to the Defense Department and other agencies. The U.S. government accounted for 97% of its revenue in its latest fiscal year. Booz Allen has built robust ties to the government over the years by providing an array of services, like cybersecurity. Its stock trades around $81, for a 1.8% yield.\n“It has built a strong, partnership-like culture and has a long record of steady growth,” says Josh Spencer, manager of the T. Rowe Price New Horizons fund. He sees Booz Allen as capable of generating 9% to 10% annual growth in revenue and yearly gains of 15% to 16% in earnings, in line with its historical performance. The stock is off 20% from its peak of $100, amid concerns about more restrained military spending. Spencer sees the pullback as a buying opportunity, with the stock valued at less than 20 times earnings.\nJ.B. Hunt Transport Services(JBHT) is a leader in intermodal freight, which involves the fuel-efficient movement of trucks over rail lines. It has been one of the most successful trucking companies. Its stock has risen 30-fold over the past 20 years, to a recent $173. “It has an incredible franchise,” says Henry Ellenbogen, chief investment officer at Durable Capital Partners and a member of the Barron’s Roundtable.\nJ.B. Hunt’s relationship with the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad gives it a strong position in intermodal freight, he notes. J.B. Hunt also has a growing business taking over the trucking operations of smaller companies. And it is involved in digital freight brokerage—matching truckers with shipping customers.\nEllenbogen says the stock is reasonable at 22 times estimated 2022 profits, given a mid-teens annual growth outlook for earnings.\nMarriott Vacations Worldwide(VAC) is one of the top companies in the timeshare industry. It has 700,000 owners, a resilient business model with significant revenue from fees, and more exposure than its peers to luxury properties in places including Hawaii and Orlando, Fla.\n“It has the best customer base, with the highest spending and an impeccable balance sheet,” says David Baron, a manager of the Baron Focused Growth fund. Marriott Vacations, whose shares recently were trading around $145, should reinstate its dividend later this year, he adds.\nThe shares, Baron argues, are cheap at a 11% free-cash-flow yield, based on 2022 estimates. He says that the stock, little changed since 2018, could produce 20% annual returns for shareholders in the coming years.\nSiteOne Landscape Supply(SITE) is the country’s top supplier of landscaping products, with ample opportunity to expand, given that it has just a 13% market share in a highly fragmented industry.\n\n“It’s growing organically and has lots of acquisition opportunities,” says Columbia’s Cole, who considers the company to be capable of 10% to 15% annual revenue growth.\nThe stock, around $197, has a rich valuation, trading for 43 times projected 2022 earnings of $4.54 a share.\nStaar Surgical(STAA) has developed an implantable lens to correct myopia (nearsightedness). That addresses a potentially huge market, given the rising global incidence of that vision problem. The company expects the lens, which has been available in Europe and Asia for at least five years, to be on the U.S. market in the fourth quarter, pending Food and Drug Administration approval.\n“It could do substantial volumes,’’ says Doug Brodie, a global manager at Baillie Gifford. “It’s early in a journey and is largely devoid of competition.”\nLenses for both eyes can be implanted in less than an hour, and they don’t involve the removal of the natural lenses. The wholesale cost in the U.S. could be around $1,000 per lens.\nAt a recent $138, Staar shares are richly valued at more than 20 times projected 2022 sales and 140 times estimated 2022 earnings. But the market opportunity is enormous: Some five billion people worldwide could have myopia by 2050.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) has developed a subscription service for clothing, shoes, and other accessories and boasts over four million customers.\n“This could be the Nordstrom of the future,” says Mario Cibelli, chief investment officer at Marathon Partners Equity Management, a Stitch Fix holder. “This a potentially huge market and nobody is addressing it in the same way.” Using a staff of 6,000 personal stylists and lots of data, Stitch Fix seeks to identify subscriber tastes to generate high satisfaction and limit returns on packages sent at intervals and determined by subscribers.\nIts shares, around $44, are down 60% from their level earlier in the year, on investors’ worries about potential churn and the business’s ultimate profitability.\nYet Cibelli sees revenue growth of 20%-plus annually, opportunities outside its current U.S. and U.K. markets, and a potentially very profitable business in two to three years.\nTrex(TREX) is the top producer of a high-end wood alternative for decks that comes from 95% recycled material, making it an eco-friendly housing play. The shares, at $105, trade for 43 times projected 2022 earnings.\nT. Rowe Price’s Spencer views Trex as worth the price, based on his view that it can generate sustainable annual revenue growth of 15% to 20%. Earnings are expected to climb by about 20% in 2022 and at a similar pace in the following years. “If you roll the clock forward three years, it doesn’t look as expensive,” he says.\nUpwork(UPWK), an online marketplace for freelance workers, is favored by Baillie Gifford’s Brodie, who says it offers a play on the greater acceptance of freelancers by businesses.\nThe shares, recently around $44, aren’t cheap. Upwork is valued at $5.7 billion, or more than 10 times this year’s projected sales of nearly $500 million. It operates at a slight loss.\nThe investment case is about rapid sales growth leading to ample earnings. Sales are expected to rise by 30%-plus this year and 25% for 2022.\n“Freelancers are more accepted by small to midsize business, but they’ve been frowned on by the HR departments at large businesses,” Brodie says. Upwork aims to change that perception by vetting its freelancers and by offering thousands of skill sets. “Upwork could become a trusted partner for an increasing number of enterprise-grade partners,” he says.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STAA":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"AMED":0.9,"UPWK":0.9,"JBHT":0.9,"VAC":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"SITE":0.9,"BAH":0.9,"TREX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897571620,"gmtCreate":1628950760360,"gmtModify":1633688336989,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897571620","repostId":"1149823415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149823415","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628909753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149823415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149823415","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149823415","content_text":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.\nHowever, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.\nWe would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.\nLastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.\n\nNastco/iStock via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nBack in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.\nSince then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.\nThis article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.\nLastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.\nRevisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates\nMay's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nScale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nInvestors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.\nPrivate Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22\nSPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.\nAs a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.\nHowever, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:\n\n These enhancements\n could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.\n\nIn addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"\nThe Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"\nSure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:\n\n These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and\n that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today.\"\n\nIf investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:\n\n Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.\n\nWe are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).\nAre There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?\nYes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"\nInvestors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"\nThe company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"\nImportantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.\nVirgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience.And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"\nStrong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage\nAstute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.\nBased on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.\nThe initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.\nHowever, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.\nPart of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.\nCrucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"\nCompeting Against Blue Origin\nWe think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.\nWhile we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”\nWe think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"\nTherefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.\nOne thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.\nVirgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.\nFree Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations\nEBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nDespite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.\nHowever, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.\nStreet's mean price target. Source: TIKR\nThe Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.\nWhile we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.\nSPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWhile we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.\nSPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.\nIn summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898742359,"gmtCreate":1628524573771,"gmtModify":1633746429596,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898742359","repostId":"1128238834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128238834","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628521549,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128238834?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128238834","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for it","content":"<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128238834","content_text":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.\nThe bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.\nSalaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.\nThe new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.\nBanks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.\nCitigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807955158,"gmtCreate":1627998280674,"gmtModify":1633754536033,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807955158","repostId":"1197767735","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822869138,"gmtCreate":1634115143362,"gmtModify":1634115143362,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822869138","repostId":"1126064042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126064042","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634112106,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126064042?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126064042","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading afte Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due t","content":"<p>Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading&nbsp;afte&nbsp;Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>苹果因芯片短缺而削减iPhone产量目标后，苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59416dec265c2e702b1b0b4cefaedaaa\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.&nbsp;is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露，由于芯片长期短缺打击了其旗舰产品，苹果公司可能会将2021年iPhone 13的预计产量目标削减多达1000万部。</blockquote></p><p> The company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because&nbsp;Broadcom Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments Inc.&nbsp;are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.</p><p><blockquote>该公司曾预计在今年最后三个月生产9000万部新iPhone机型，但现在告诉制造合作伙伴，总数将会更低，因为博通公司和德州仪器公司正在努力交付足够的组件。这些人说，由于情况是私人的，这些人要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> The technology giant is one of the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have&nbsp;warned&nbsp;that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.</p><p><blockquote>这家科技巨头是全球最大的芯片买家之一，并为电子供应链设定了年度节奏。但即使拥有强大的购买力，苹果仍在努力应对对世界各地行业造成严重破坏的供应中断。主要芯片制造商警告称，明年甚至更长时间，需求将继续超过供应。</blockquote></p><p> Apple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从德州仪器获得显示器部件，而博通是其无线部件的长期供应商。最新款iPhone短缺的一款TI芯片与为OLED显示屏供电有关。苹果还面临其他供应商的零部件短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果和TI代表拒绝置评。博通没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08c5763a83cf33b076814728233fce2\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道这一消息后，苹果股价尾盘下跌1.6%，至139.27美元。截至周二收盘，该股今年已上涨6.6%。博通和TI在盘后交易中也下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.</p><p><blockquote>短缺已经影响了苹果向客户运送新车型的能力。iPhone 13 Pro和iPhone 13 Pro Max于9月上市，但订单在大约一个月内不会从苹果网站发货。新设备被列为“目前不可用”，可在该公司的几家零售店提货。苹果的承运商合作伙伴也出现了类似的发货延误。</blockquote></p><p> Current orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.</p><p><blockquote>目前的订单预计在11月中旬左右发货，因此苹果仍然可以在关键的假期及时向消费者提供新的iPhone。预计年底季度将是苹果迄今为止最大的销售闪电战，创造约1200亿美元的收入。这将比去年同期增长约7%，比苹果十年前全年赚的钱还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的困境表明，即使是科技界之王也不能幸免于因疫情而加剧的全球短缺。除了面临iPhone供应紧张之外，该公司还难以生产足够的苹果手表Series 7和其他产品。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，苹果警告称，截至9月份的季度将面临iPhone和iPad的供应限制。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的公司提到了当时全球芯片短缺的情况。那段时间包括大约一周半的iPhone 13收入。</blockquote></p><p> Broadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like&nbsp;Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.&nbsp;to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.</p><p><blockquote>博通没有自己的大型工厂，而是依靠台积电公司等合同芯片制造商来生产产品。德州仪器在内部生产一些芯片，但也依赖外部制造。这意味着他们是确保台积电和其他代工厂产能的日益具有挑战性的斗争的一部分。苹果本身就是台积电的客户——事实上，它是该公司最大的客户。苹果使用该制造商来生产其A系列处理器，但目前它们似乎没有受到短缺的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to&nbsp;an average of 21.7 weeks&nbsp;in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明芯片紧缩正在变得更加严重。根据Susquehanna Financial Group的数据，该行业的交货时间（即下半导体订单和交货之间的差距）连续第九个月上升，9月份平均为21.7周。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares fell nearly  1% in premarket trading<blockquote>苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading&nbsp;afte&nbsp;Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>苹果因芯片短缺而削减iPhone产量目标后，苹果股价在盘前交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59416dec265c2e702b1b0b4cefaedaaa\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc.&nbsp;is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露，由于芯片长期短缺打击了其旗舰产品，苹果公司可能会将2021年iPhone 13的预计产量目标削减多达1000万部。</blockquote></p><p> The company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because&nbsp;Broadcom Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Texas Instruments Inc.&nbsp;are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.</p><p><blockquote>该公司曾预计在今年最后三个月生产9000万部新iPhone机型，但现在告诉制造合作伙伴，总数将会更低，因为博通公司和德州仪器公司正在努力交付足够的组件。这些人说，由于情况是私人的，这些人要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> The technology giant is one of the world’s&nbsp;largest&nbsp;chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have&nbsp;warned&nbsp;that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.</p><p><blockquote>这家科技巨头是全球最大的芯片买家之一，并为电子供应链设定了年度节奏。但即使拥有强大的购买力，苹果仍在努力应对对世界各地行业造成严重破坏的供应中断。主要芯片制造商警告称，明年甚至更长时间，需求将继续超过供应。</blockquote></p><p> Apple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果从德州仪器获得显示器部件，而博通是其无线部件的长期供应商。最新款iPhone短缺的一款TI芯片与为OLED显示屏供电有关。苹果还面临其他供应商的零部件短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果和TI代表拒绝置评。博通没有回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08c5763a83cf33b076814728233fce2\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社报道这一消息后，苹果股价尾盘下跌1.6%，至139.27美元。截至周二收盘，该股今年已上涨6.6%。博通和TI在盘后交易中也下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.</p><p><blockquote>短缺已经影响了苹果向客户运送新车型的能力。iPhone 13 Pro和iPhone 13 Pro Max于9月上市，但订单在大约一个月内不会从苹果网站发货。新设备被列为“目前不可用”，可在该公司的几家零售店提货。苹果的承运商合作伙伴也出现了类似的发货延误。</blockquote></p><p> Current orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.</p><p><blockquote>目前的订单预计在11月中旬左右发货，因此苹果仍然可以在关键的假期及时向消费者提供新的iPhone。预计年底季度将是苹果迄今为止最大的销售闪电战，创造约1200亿美元的收入。这将比去年同期增长约7%，比苹果十年前全年赚的钱还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的困境表明，即使是科技界之王也不能幸免于因疫情而加剧的全球短缺。除了面临iPhone供应紧张之外，该公司还难以生产足够的苹果手表Series 7和其他产品。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，苹果警告称，截至9月份的季度将面临iPhone和iPad的供应限制。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的公司提到了当时全球芯片短缺的情况。那段时间包括大约一周半的iPhone 13收入。</blockquote></p><p> Broadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like&nbsp;Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.&nbsp;to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.</p><p><blockquote>博通没有自己的大型工厂，而是依靠台积电公司等合同芯片制造商来生产产品。德州仪器在内部生产一些芯片，但也依赖外部制造。这意味着他们是确保台积电和其他代工厂产能的日益具有挑战性的斗争的一部分。苹果本身就是台积电的客户——事实上，它是该公司最大的客户。苹果使用该制造商来生产其A系列处理器，但目前它们似乎没有受到短缺的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> There are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to&nbsp;an average of 21.7 weeks&nbsp;in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明芯片紧缩正在变得更加严重。根据Susquehanna Financial Group的数据，该行业的交货时间（即下半导体订单和交货之间的差距）连续第九个月上升，9月份平均为21.7周。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126064042","content_text":"Apple shares fell nearly 1% in premarket trading afte Apple set to cut iPhone production goals due to chip crunch.\n\nApple Inc. is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units as prolonged chip shortages hit its flagship product, according to people with knowledge of the matter.\nThe company had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models in the last three months of the year, but it’s now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because Broadcom Inc. and Texas Instruments Inc. are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.\nThe technology giant is one of the world’s largest chip buyers and sets the annual rhythm for the electronics supply chain. But even with strong buying power, Apple is grappling with the same supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc on industries around the world. Major chipmakers have warned that demand will continue to outpace supply throughout next year and potentially beyond.\nApple gets display parts from Texas Instruments, while Broadcom is its longtime supplier of wireless components. One TI chip in short supply for the latest iPhones is related to powering the OLED display. Apple also is facing component shortages from other suppliers.\nApple and TI representatives declined to comment. Broadcom didn’t respond to a request for comment.\n\nApple shares slipped as much as 1.6% to $139.27 in late trading after Bloomberg reported on the news. The stock was up 6.6% this year through Tuesday’s close. Broadcom and TI also dipped in after-hours trading.\nThe shortages have already weighed on Apple’s ability to ship new models to customers. The iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max went on sale in September, but orders won’t be delivered from Apple’s website for about a month. And the new devices are listed as “currently unavailable” for pickup at several of the company’s retail stores. Apple’s carrier partners are also seeing similar shipment delays.\nCurrent orders are slated to ship around mid-November, so Apple could still get the new iPhones to consumers in time for the crucial holiday season. The year-end quarter is expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.\nApple’s woes show that even the king of the tech world isn’t immune from global shortages made worse by the pandemic. In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.\nEarlier this year, Apple warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended in September. The Cupertino, California-based company cited the global chip shortages at the time. That period included about a week and a half of iPhone 13 revenue.\nBroadcom doesn’t have major factories of its own and relies on contract chipmakers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. to build its products. Texas Instruments makes some chips in-house, but also relies on outside manufacturing. That means they’re part of an increasingly challenging fight to secure production capacity at TSMC and other foundries. Apple is a TSMC client itself -- in fact, it’s the company’s largest. Apple uses the manufacturer to make its A-series processors, but they don’t appear to be under threat of shortages for now.\nThere are signs the chip crunch is getting worse. Lead times in the industry -- the gap between putting in a semiconductor order and taking delivery -- rose for the ninth month in a row to an average of 21.7 weeks in September, according to Susquehanna Financial Group.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":899062440,"gmtCreate":1628143606380,"gmtModify":1633753166041,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899062440","repostId":"1149554128","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":693000140,"gmtCreate":1639916996670,"gmtModify":1639916996729,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693000140","repostId":"1122414343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122414343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639884070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122414343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122414343","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5","content":"<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列，辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&amp;P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&amp;A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块，涨幅约为2.5%，主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨，而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&amp;A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司，溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势，本周上涨约20.7%，有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗，股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时，这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后，该公司每周上涨约25.2%，使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时，Vir Biotechnology（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）飙升约23.7%，成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GSK）合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻，再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引，因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%，创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中，两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio（纳斯达克股票代码：TIL）和Exscientia（纳斯达克股票代码：EXAI）脱颖而出，尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级，但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时，处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings（纳斯达克股票代码：GDRX）股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>，暴跌约13.1%，受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics（纳斯达克股票代码：ALLO）在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋，其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management，该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","ARNA":"阿里那","BK4007":"制药","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","CERN":"美国塞纳","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122414343","content_text":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. Healthcare technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.\nAmong stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, Arena Pharmaceuticals  dominated with a ~83.8% rise after Pfizer  agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. Cerner  also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from Oracle  for the electronic-medical-records company.\nVaccine developer, Novavax  jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.\nBiohaven Pharmaceutical  posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, Roivant Sciences  added ~22.6%.\nNotable gainer: Pfizer (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the New York-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.\nAmong worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.\nLast week’s best performer, Bright Health Group, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by Goldman Sachs even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.\nAllogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic CAR T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"CERN":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"ARNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814222594,"gmtCreate":1630828946918,"gmtModify":1632905656085,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814222594","repostId":"2164803577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810841403,"gmtCreate":1629966666602,"gmtModify":1633681130089,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810841403","repostId":"1116156909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805685646,"gmtCreate":1627876360285,"gmtModify":1633755688932,"author":{"id":"3583542338461065","authorId":"3583542338461065","name":"Jerm15","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e3a87ba0e28ca2573a2264ea74e47","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583542338461065","authorIdStr":"3583542338461065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805685646","repostId":"2156741169","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}