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Zuoshiling
2021-10-19
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
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2021-10-19
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
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2021-10-01
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2021-09-30
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2021-09-29
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2021-09-29
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Technically Speaking: Is The Market "Melting-Up?"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote>
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2021-09-20
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
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2021-09-20
$Alibaba(09988)$
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2021-09-20
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2021-09-17
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2021-09-17
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2021-09-14
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2021-09-14
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Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>
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2021-09-06
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2021-09-06
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2021-09-03
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2021-09-02
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2021-09-02
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2021-09-01
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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634645497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193102851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193102851","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter ear","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨,主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益,缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-mini上涨171点,涨幅0.49%,标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点,涨幅0.51%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点,涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li> <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li> <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li> <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices</li> <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li> <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li> <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX, </b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振,比特币继续攀升至历史新高,加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%,Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%,Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议,以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly,股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后,在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动,Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高,此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度,此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后,股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后,TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中,</b>到目前为止,美元是一个悲观的交易日,因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落,扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高(尽管低于近期高点),而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态,因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面,国会山缺乏进展,美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. </p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议,而另有报道称,参议员曼钦表示,他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities, </b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口,尽管缺乏新的催化剂,而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化,但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应,b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩,以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方,白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压,要求其解决石油供应问题,同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外,白宫将动用一切手段,联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨,主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益,缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-mini上涨171点,涨幅0.49%,标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点,涨幅0.51%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点,涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li> <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li> <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li> <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices</li> <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li> <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li> <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX, </b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振,比特币继续攀升至历史新高,加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%,Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%,Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议,以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly,股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后,在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动,Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高,此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度,此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后,股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后,TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中,</b>到目前为止,美元是一个悲观的交易日,因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落,扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高(尽管低于近期高点),而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态,因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面,国会山缺乏进展,美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. </p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议,而另有报道称,参议员曼钦表示,他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities, </b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口,尽管缺乏新的催化剂,而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化,但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应,b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩,以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方,白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压,要求其解决石油供应问题,同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外,白宫将动用一切手段,联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193102851","content_text":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\n\nCrypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%\nAgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock\nSteel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate\nFrontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices\nApple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products\nEverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook\nTaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan\n\nIn FX, a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is \n\"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. \nIn commodities, WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864375556,"gmtCreate":1633064879797,"gmtModify":1633064880015,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864375556","repostId":"2172951249","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865461785,"gmtCreate":1633011498287,"gmtModify":1633011498556,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865461785","repostId":"2171955677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862434022,"gmtCreate":1632900969479,"gmtModify":1632900969730,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>[Cry] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>[Cry] ","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$[Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/039ddc0b6fc6282595b7cab9821094b6","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862434022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862435178,"gmtCreate":1632900916546,"gmtModify":1632900916795,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862435178","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li> <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li> <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的,但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化?”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长,这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然,我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i> <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i> <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>– <i>Investopedia</i> Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说:“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善,部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至,</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前,有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述:</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i> <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i> <ul> <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li> <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时,投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”,即“这次不同了”。那么,你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢?通过情绪交易者:”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于:</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷(太宽松,条款宽松)</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而,虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎,但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来,只有两个市场时期符合融化的条件:1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要,因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样,投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨,足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而,支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示,价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪,在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身,而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间,投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆,试图利用价格的快速上涨,基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看,无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么,都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比,时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配,有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回,以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场,承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后,不可避免的是,“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化,</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此,投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损害<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述,这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用,它们可以持续更长时间,走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件,它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候,价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是,当然,困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理,这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此,我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li> <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。(当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。)</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>(非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权)</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中(重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益,但继续参与上涨。)</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用,那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。)</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。(定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。)</i></li></ol><b>注意,里面没有任何东西说,</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西,去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时,水平被触发,风险减少,现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它,但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li> <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li> <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的,但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化?”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长,这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然,我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i> <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i> <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>– <i>Investopedia</i> Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说:“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善,部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至,</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前,有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述:</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i> <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i> <ul> <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li> <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时,投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”,即“这次不同了”。那么,你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢?通过情绪交易者:”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于:</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷(太宽松,条款宽松)</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而,虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎,但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来,只有两个市场时期符合融化的条件:1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要,因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样,投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨,足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而,支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示,价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪,在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身,而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间,投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆,试图利用价格的快速上涨,基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看,无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么,都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比,时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配,有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回,以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场,承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后,不可避免的是,“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化,</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此,投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损害<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述,这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用,它们可以持续更长时间,走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件,它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候,价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是,当然,困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理,这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此,我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li> <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。(当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。)</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>(非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权)</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中(重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益,但继续参与上涨。)</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用,那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。)</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。(定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。)</i></li></ol><b>注意,里面没有任何东西说,</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西,去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时,水平被触发,风险减少,现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它,但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860198027,"gmtCreate":1632143845269,"gmtModify":1632802569547,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>[Facepalm] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>[Facepalm] ","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$[Facepalm]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a2bf25312b966cb5f5d5f06c2f66bf","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860198027","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887559687,"gmtCreate":1632070961149,"gmtModify":1632803033505,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>😭","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cd76f0e93db50b32fc244da79d1e292","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887559687","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887559873,"gmtCreate":1632070892592,"gmtModify":1632803033627,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887559873","repostId":"2168508161","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885494115,"gmtCreate":1631808583437,"gmtModify":1631890998816,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885494115","repostId":"2167651799","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885495653,"gmtCreate":1631808534272,"gmtModify":1631883567956,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>[Cry] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>[Cry] ","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$[Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dc2bbf878a34a2117cdec498ac79bc1","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885495653","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886423024,"gmtCreate":1631618386368,"gmtModify":1631883568144,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a>😭","text":"$Alibaba(09988)$😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/561f196b0922e2b76f003293697bde18","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886423024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886429237,"gmtCreate":1631618331129,"gmtModify":1631890998821,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583660072689907","idStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886429237","repostId":"1160275332","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160275332","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631604098,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160275332?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 15:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160275332","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit th","content":"<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙,预计本周将有11家公司定价,筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示,如果所有交易都实现,2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年,并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称,预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易,筹集1250亿美元,超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道:“在漫长的暑假之后,本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks,该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks,并表示将发行总计3684万股股票,由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该交易预计定价在每股18美元至20美元之间,该股将在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司2020年净利润为7930万美元,营收为8.034亿美元,2019年营收为7.722亿美元,营收为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股,每股价格为18至20美元,股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period, according to its IPO documents. Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件,在截至6月30日的六个月中,该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎(合410万美元),而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎,而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎,高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票,估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million, according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件,该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元,营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商,计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票,每股价格为18至20美元,公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市,股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元,即每股亏损32美分,低于去年同期的1,650万美元,即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有:</b></blockquote></p><p> • Definitive Healthcare Corp., a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票,预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价,该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> • Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票,每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元,处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示,Genworth将出售所有股份,不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> • ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a> a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票,每股价格在21美元至24美元之间,筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市,股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元,营收为1.276亿美元,而2019年营收为1.045亿美元,亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元,并在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元,并计划在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示:“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统,这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统,用于微创泌尿外科手术,最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生(BPH)。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元,估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司,计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&P 500 has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止,Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%,而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Busy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBusy IPO market this week poised to make 2021 the biggest year ever by proceeds<blockquote>本周繁忙的IPO市场有望使2021年成为有史以来收益最大的一年</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 15:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week </p><p><blockquote>罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司和得来速咖啡连锁店预计将于本周上市</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18111af5f5bda21b3128860fe616c5ca\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Swiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞士网球巨头罗杰·费德勒是本周最大IPO之一的支持者。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. </p><p><blockquote>上周一系列首次公开募股引发市场交易繁忙,预计本周将有11家公司定价,筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> If all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. </p><p><blockquote>机构研究和交易所交易基金提供商Renaissance Capital创始人兼首席执行官比尔·史密斯(Bill Smith)表示,如果所有交易都实现,2021年将成为有史以来IPO收益最大的一年,并将之前的记录打破约30%。以IPO为导向的基金。据Renaissance称,预计今年市场将出现约375笔交易,筹集1250亿美元,超过2000年互联网繁荣期间筹集的970亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. </p><p><blockquote>史密斯在市场评论中写道:“在漫长的暑假之后,本周是即将到来的科技、生物技术和消费者IPO的试金石。”该名单包括一家由网球巨头罗杰·费德勒支持的瑞士跑鞋公司、一家得来速咖啡亭运营商以及一家从保险公司Genworth Financial分拆出来的抵押贷款保险公司。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易预计将来自总部位于芝加哥的技术咨询公司Thoughtworks,该公司将以高达61亿美元的估值上市。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计在IPO完成后将更名从Turing Holding Corp.更名为Thoughtworks,并表示将发行总计3684万股股票,由公司和出售股东分配。</blockquote></p><p> The deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该交易预计定价在每股18美元至20美元之间,该股将在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“TWKS”。高盛和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司2020年净利润为7930万美元,营收为8.034亿美元,2019年营收为7.722亿美元,营收为2840万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”</p><p><blockquote>这家持有股份的瑞士运动鞋制造商预计将以近60亿美元的估值筹集至多6.22亿美元。On已申请在纽约证券交易所上市3110万股,每股价格为18至20美元,股票代码为“ONON”。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.</p><p><blockquote>高盛、摩根士丹利和摩根士丹利是此次交易的九家银行组成的银团的主承销商。收益将用于一般公司用途。该公司有一条与费德勒共同开发的生产线。</blockquote></p><p> The company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period, according to its IPO documents. Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.</p><p><blockquote>根据其IPO文件,在截至6月30日的六个月中,该公司的净利润为380万瑞士法郎(合410万美元),而上年同期为亏损3310万瑞士法郎,而去年同期的销售额为3.155亿瑞士法郎,高于1.709亿瑞士法郎。</blockquote></p><p> Also from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>同样来自瑞士的体育博彩网站Sportrader Group AG计划以每股25至28美元的价格发行1900万股股票,估值高达310亿美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“SRAD”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利、花旗集团和瑞银是参与该交易的13家银行组成的银团的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million, according to its filing documents.</p><p><blockquote>收益将用于营运资金和刺激增长。根据其备案文件,该公司今年前六个月净利润为2990万美元,营收为3.21亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Dutch Bros Inc.是一家主要在美国西部各州提供冷热饮料的免下车商店运营商,计划在IPO中发行2110万股股票,每股价格为18至20美元,公司估值高达33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> BofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”</p><p><blockquote>美国银行证券、摩根大通和杰富瑞是参与该交易的13家银行组成的财团的主承销商。该公司已申请在纽约证券交易所上市,股票代码为“BROS”。</blockquote></p><p> Proceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.</p><p><blockquote>所得款项将用于购买额外的A类股票——该公司计划拥有四类具有不同投票权的股票。该公司今年前六个月的净亏损为1,360万美元,即每股亏损32美分,低于去年同期的1,650万美元,即每股亏损38美分。收入从3.274亿美元降至2.279亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rounding out the list are:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>名单上还有:</b></blockquote></p><p> • Definitive Healthcare Corp., a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•总部位于马萨诸塞州的医疗保健商业情报提供商Definitive Healthcare Corp.计划在其PO中发行1556万股股票,预计定价在每股21美元至24美元之间。按照这个定价,该公司的估值可能高达35.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> • Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>Genworth旗下的抵押贷款保险公司Enact Holdings Inc.计划发行1330万股股票,每股价格为19至20美元。该公司的估值为33亿美元,处于该范围的顶部。该公司表示,Genworth将出售所有股份,不会获得任何收益。它已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“ACT”。高盛和摩根大通是参与该交易的九家银行团队的主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> • ForgeRock<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a> a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.</p><p><blockquote>•锻造岩石<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/FORG?mod=MW_story_quote&mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\">,</a>一家总部位于加州的身份安全平台希望通过发行1100万股股票,每股价格在21美元至24美元之间,筹集至多2.64亿美元。该定价将使该公司估值高达19.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该股预计将在纽约证券交易所上市,股票代码为“FORG”。摩根士丹利和摩根大通是主承销商。该公司在2020年录得净亏损4180万美元,营收为1.276亿美元,而2019年营收为1.045亿美元,亏损3690万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Dice Therapeutics预计将以高达5.83亿美元的估值筹集至多1.7亿美元,并在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“DICE”。该生物技术公司正在免疫学领域开发治疗慢性疾病的疗法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>手术机器人开发商Procept BioRobotics计划以约10亿美元的估值筹集至多1.32亿美元,并计划在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“PRCT”。美银证券和高盛是主承销商。</blockquote></p><p> “We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在其IPO文件中表示:“我们开发、制造和销售AquaBeam机器人系统,这是一种先进的图像引导手术机器人系统,用于微创泌尿外科手术,最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生(BPH)。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>Tyra Biosciences的目标是通过IPO筹集1.072亿美元,估值为5.89亿美元。该生物技术公司的领先候选产品是膀胱癌的治疗方法。它已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“TYRA”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•</b>EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “EZFL.” ThinkEquity is sole underwriter.</p><p><blockquote><b>•</b>EzFill Holdings是一家位于南佛罗里达州的基于应用程序的移动加油公司,计划以1亿美元的估值筹集2500万美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“EZFL”。ThinkEquity是独家承销商。</blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO ETF has gained 6% to date in 2021, while the S&P 500 has advanced 19%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止,Renaissance IPO ETF已上涨6%,而标普500则上涨19%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRNA":"Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","ONON":"On Holding AG",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp.","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/busy-ipo-market-this-week-may-make-2021-the-biggest-year-for-proceeds-and-break-previous-record-by-30-11631554372?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160275332","content_text":"Swiss running-shoe company backed by Roger Federer and drive-through coffee chain expected to hit the market this week \nSwiss tennis giant Roger Federer is a backer of one of this week's bigger IPOs.\n\n\nAfter a flurry of initial-public-offering launches last week set the market up for a busy fall for deals, 11 are expected to price this week and raise more than $3 billion in proceeds. \n\nIf all deals materialize, it will make 2021 the biggest year for IPO proceeds ever, and shatter the previous record by about 30%, according to Bill Smith, founder and chief executive of Renaissance Capital, a provider of institutional research and exchange-traded funds oriented around IPOs. The market is expected to see some 375 deals for the year, raising $125 billion, according to Renaissance, beating the $97 billion raised in 2000 during the dot-com boom. \n\n“After the long summer break, this week is a litmus test for upcoming tech, biotech, and consumer IPOs,” Smith wrote in a market commentary. The list includes a Swiss running-shoe company backed by tennis giant Roger Federer, a drive-through coffee kiosk operator and a mortgage insurer that was spun out of insurer Genworth Financial. \n\nThe biggest deal of the week is expected to come from Thoughtworks,a Chicago-based technology consultancy that will go public at a valuation of up to $6.1 billion.\nThe company, which expects to change its name from Turing Holding Corp. to Thoughtworks with completion of the IPO, said a total of 36.84 million shares will be offered, split between the company and selling shareholders.\n\nThe deal is expected to price at between $18 and $20 a share, and the stock will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “TWKS.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded net income of $79.3 million on revenue of $803.4 million in 2020, after income of $28.4 million on revenue of $772.2 million in 2019.\nThe Swiss athletic-footwear maker On Holding is expected to raise up to $622 million at a valuation of almost $6 billion. On has applied to list 31.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each on the New York Stock Exchange, under the ticker symbol “ONON.”\n\nGoldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Morgan Stanley are lead underwriters in a syndicate of nine banks on the On deal. Proceeds are to be used for general corporate purposes. The company has a line that it co-developed with Federer.\n\nThe company had net income of 3.8 million Swiss francs ($4.1 million) in the six months through June 30, after a loss of 33.1 million francs in the year-earlier period, according to its IPO documents. Sales came to 315.5 million francs, up from 170.9 million francs.\n\nAlso from Switzerland, sports betting site Sportrader Group AG plans to offer 19 million shares priced at $25 to $28 each, for a valuation of up to $31 billion. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “SRAD.” JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup and UBS are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal.\n\nProceeds are to be used for working capital and to spur growth. The company had a net profit of $29.9 million in the first six months of the year, on revenue of $321 million, according to its filing documents.\n\nDutch Bros Inc.,an operator of drive-through shops that serve hot and cold drinks mostly in western U.S. states, is planning to offer 21.1 million shares priced at $18 to $20 each in its IPO, valuing the company at up to $3.3 billion.\n\nBofA Securities, JPMorgan and Jefferies are lead underwriters in a syndicate of 13 banks working on the deal. The company has applied to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “BROS.”\nProceeds are to be used to purchase additional Class A shares — the company is planning to have four classes of stock with differing voting rights. The company had a net loss of $13.6 million, or 32 cents a share, in the first six months of the year, narrower than the loss of $16.5 million, or 38 cents a share, posted in the year-earlier period. Revenue fell to $227.9 million from $327.4 million.\n\nRounding out the list are:\n• Definitive Healthcare Corp., a Massachusetts-based provider of healthcare commercial intelligence, is planning to offer 15.56 million shares in its PO, which is expected to price between $21 and $24 a share. At that pricing, the company could be valued at up to $3.55 billion.\n• Enact Holdings Inc., a mortgage insurer owned by Genworth, is planning to offer 13.3 million shares priced at $19 to $20 each. The company would be valued at $3.3 billion at the top of that range. The company said all shares will be sold by Genworth and it will not receive any proceeds. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “ACT.” Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are lead underwriters in a team of nine banks working on the deal.\n• ForgeRock, a California-based identity security platform, is looking to raise up to $264 million with an offering of 11 million shares priced between $21 and $24 a share. That pricing would value the company a valuation of up to $1.91 billion.\nThe stock is expected to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol “FORG.” Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are the lead underwriters. The company recorded a net loss of $41.8 million on revenue of $127.6 million in 2020, after a loss of $36.9 million on revenue of $104.5 million in 2019.\n•Dice Therapeutics is expected to raise up to $170 million at a valuation of up to $583 million and list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “DICE.” The biotech is developing therapies to treat chronic diseases in the field of immunology.\n•Surgical robotics developer Procept BioRobotics,is aiming to raise up to $132 million at a valuation of about $1 billion with plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “PRCT.” BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs are lead underwriters.\n“We develop, manufacture and sell the AquaBeam Robotic System, an advanced, image-guided, surgical robotic system for use in minimally invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia, or BPH,” the company says in its IPO documents.\n•Tyra Biosciences is aiming to raise $107.2 million in IPO proceeds at a valuation of $589 million. The biotech’s leading product candidate is a treatment for bladder cancer. It has applied to list on Nasdaq under the symbol “TYRA.”\n•EzFill Holdings, an app-based mobile fueling company in South Florida, is planning to raise $25 million at a valuation of $100 million. 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No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外,至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市,DraftKings、Canopy Growth和猫途鹰将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人,而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右,这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元,周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8,高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后,预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%,而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆,而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8,而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人,6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测,继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","GE":"GE航空航天","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","UBER":"优步","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","EA":"艺电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"GE":0.9,"EA":0.9,"GM":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172975820,"gmtCreate":1626931585660,"gmtModify":1633769602773,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls thank u","listText":"Like pls thank u","text":"Like pls thank 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pls thank u","listText":"Like pls thank u","text":"Like pls thank u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179241845","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":859992892,"gmtCreate":1634648485579,"gmtModify":1634648485865,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859992892","repostId":"1193102851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193102851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634645497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193102851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193102851","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter ear","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨,主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益,缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-mini上涨171点,涨幅0.49%,标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点,涨幅0.51%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点,涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li> <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li> <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li> <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices</li> <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li> <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li> <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX, </b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振,比特币继续攀升至历史新高,加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%,Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%,Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议,以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly,股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后,在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动,Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高,此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度,此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后,股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后,TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中,</b>到目前为止,美元是一个悲观的交易日,因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落,扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高(尽管低于近期高点),而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态,因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面,国会山缺乏进展,美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. </p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议,而另有报道称,参议员曼钦表示,他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities, </b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口,尽管缺乏新的催化剂,而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化,但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应,b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩,以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方,白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压,要求其解决石油供应问题,同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外,白宫将动用一切手段,联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨,主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益,缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-mini上涨171点,涨幅0.49%,标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点,涨幅0.51%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点,涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li> <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li> <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li> <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices</li> <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li> <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li> <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX, </b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振,比特币继续攀升至历史新高,加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%,Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%,Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%,Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议,以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly,股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后,在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动,Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高,此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度,此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后,股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后,TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中,</b>到目前为止,美元是一个悲观的交易日,因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落,扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高(尽管低于近期高点),而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态,因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面,国会山缺乏进展,美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. </p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议,而另有报道称,参议员曼钦表示,他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities, </b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中,</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口,尽管缺乏新的催化剂,而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化,但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应,b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩,以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方,白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压,要求其解决石油供应问题,同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外,白宫将动用一切手段,联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193102851","content_text":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\n\nCrypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%\nAgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock\nSteel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate\nFrontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices\nApple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products\nEverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook\nTaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan\n\nIn FX, a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is \n\"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. \nIn commodities, WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862435178,"gmtCreate":1632900916546,"gmtModify":1632900916795,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862435178","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li> <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li> <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的,但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化?”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长,这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然,我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i> <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i> <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>– <i>Investopedia</i> Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说:“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善,部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至,</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前,有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述:</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i> <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i> <ul> <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li> <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时,投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”,即“这次不同了”。那么,你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢?通过情绪交易者:”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于:</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷(太宽松,条款宽松)</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而,虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎,但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来,只有两个市场时期符合融化的条件:1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要,因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样,投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨,足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而,支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示,价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪,在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身,而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间,投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆,试图利用价格的快速上涨,基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看,无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么,都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比,时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配,有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回,以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场,承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后,不可避免的是,“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化,</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此,投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损害<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述,这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用,它们可以持续更长时间,走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件,它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候,价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是,当然,困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理,这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此,我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li> <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。(当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。)</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>(非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权)</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中(重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益,但继续参与上涨。)</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用,那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。)</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。(定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。)</i></li></ol><b>注意,里面没有任何东西说,</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西,去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时,水平被触发,风险减少,现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它,但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲:市场正在“融化”吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li> <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li> <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的,但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化?”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长,这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然,我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i> <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i> <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>– <i>Investopedia</i> Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说:“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善,部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至,</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前,有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述:</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i> <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i> <ul> <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li> <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近峰值时,投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”,即“这次不同了”。那么,你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢?通过情绪交易者:”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于:</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷(太宽松,条款宽松)</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而,虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎,但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作,投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来,只有两个市场时期符合融化的条件:1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要,因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样,投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样,投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨,足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而,支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示,价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪,在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身,而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间,投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆,试图利用价格的快速上涨,基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看,无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么,都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比,时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配,有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li> <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回,以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场,承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后,不可避免的是,“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化,</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此,投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损害<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述,这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用,它们可以持续更长时间,走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件,它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候,价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是,当然,困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理,这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此,我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li> <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li> <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。(当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。)</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>(非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权)</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中(重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益,但继续参与上涨。)</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用,那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。)</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。(定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。)</i></li></ol><b>注意,里面没有任何东西说,</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西,去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时,水平被触发,风险减少,现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它,但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":816963779,"gmtCreate":1630461002791,"gmtModify":1631890998833,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816963779","repostId":"2164869989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818930297,"gmtCreate":1630369640319,"gmtModify":1704959169964,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818930297","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834621309,"gmtCreate":1629799214401,"gmtModify":1631890998841,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like thanks ","listText":"Like thanks ","text":"Like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834621309","repostId":"2161777691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161777691","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629798945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2161777691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell unlikely to fire starting pistol for tapering at Jackson Hole<blockquote>鲍威尔不太可能因杰克逊霍尔的减缩而发射发令枪</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161777691","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"A November announcement seems more likely, but strong jobs report could alter equation\nFed Chairman ","content":"<p>A November announcement seems more likely, but strong jobs report could alter equation</p><p><blockquote>11月份发布公告的可能性似乎更大,但强劲的就业报告可能会改变等式</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccf044ab98780d1f80e4d5cae2c03f24\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, left, and Mark Carney, former governor of the Bank of England, walk the grounds during the last in-person Jackson Hole economic symposium in 2019.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(左)和英国央行前行长马克·卡尼在2019年最后一次杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会上走在会场。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be able to equivocate about when the central bank will start slowing down the pace of its bond-buying, essentially signaling a delay until November, economists said Monday.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家周一表示,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将能够对央行何时开始放缓债券购买步伐含糊其辞,实质上是推迟到11月。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman \"can do a 'on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> hand and other the other hand,' leaving you with the sense he's not going to fire the starting pistol at the September meeting,\" said Vince Reinhart, chief economist at Mellon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席“可以对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>梅隆大学首席经济学家文斯·莱因哈特(Vince Reinhart)表示:“这让你感觉他不会在9月份的会议上打响发令枪。”</blockquote></p><p> Powell is expected to emphasize the risk management and repeat that the delta strain's impact remains unknown.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计将强调风险管理,并重申德尔塔毒株的影响仍然未知。</blockquote></p><p> Powell's messaging is helped by the fact that the Jackson Hole, Wyo., retreat was switched to a virtual single-day meeting on Friday instead of the traditional two-day event marked by Western-attire dinners, fishing and hiking, after a spike of recent COVID-19 cases in western Wyoming.</p><p><blockquote>在怀俄明州西部最近的新冠肺炎病例激增后,怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔的静修活动于周五改为虚拟的单日会议,而不是传统的为期两天的活动,以西式服装晚宴、钓鱼和徒步旅行为标志,这一事实有助于鲍威尔的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's kind of hard for a central banker, who is meeting virtually with his colleagues because of a health risk, to assert that it's time to start slowing policy accommodation without acknowledging the health risk that can affect the economy,\" Reinhart said.</p><p><blockquote>莱因哈特表示:“对于一位因健康风险而与同事进行虚拟会面的央行行长来说,在不承认可能影响经济的健康风险的情况下,很难断言是时候开始放缓政策宽松了。”</blockquote></p><p> But Fed watchers think that the central bank will announce tapering, and launch it, before the year is out.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储观察人士认为,美联储将在年底前宣布并启动缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> \"I view them as quite likely to taper between now and the end of the year, irrespective of delta,\" said Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.</p><p><blockquote>彼得森国际经济研究所所长亚当·波森表示:“我认为,无论达美航空如何,从现在到年底,它们都很可能会缩减规模。”</blockquote></p><p> The exact timing doesn't matter much \"unless you're a day trader,\" Posen added.</p><p><blockquote>波森补充说,确切的时间并不重要,“除非你是日内交易者”。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, a strong advocate of slowing down asset purchases, said last week that he might rethink his push for a September announcement given the spread of the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>大力提倡放缓资产购买的达拉斯联储主席Rob Kaplan上周表示,鉴于德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延,他可能会重新考虑推动9月份的公告。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is buying $120 billion of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities each month. The taper is not a tightening. The gradual slowing of purchases is expected to last for at least six months, meaning the Fed will still be accumulating bonds and maintaining an easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。锥度不是拧紧。购买的逐步放缓预计将持续至少六个月,这意味着美联储仍将积累债券并维持宽松的政策立场。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed's benchmark interest rate is near zero. It would have to raise this rate above 2.5% before policy was considered tight.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的基准利率接近于零。在政策被认为是紧缩之前,它必须将这一利率提高到2.5%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Many economists say that the high inflation rate seen this year means the Fed has to move more quickly, to at least a neutral policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家表示,今年的高通胀率意味着美联储必须更快地采取行动,至少采取中性政策立场。</blockquote></p><p> A new survey from the National Association for Business Economics found that, for the first time since the pandemic began, a majority of business economists believe the Fed is providing too much stimulus, a marked shift from last spring that reflects growing worries about high U.S. inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国商业经济协会的一项新调查发现,自疫情爆发以来,大多数商业经济学家首次认为美联储提供了过多的刺激措施,这与去年春天相比发生了明显转变,反映出人们对美国高通胀的担忧日益加剧。</blockquote></p><p> Powell will speak at 10 a.m. Eastern on Friday. There will be a slew of Fed officials speaking on television ahead of the chairman's remarks.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔将于上午10点发表讲话。周五东部。在主席发表讲话之前,将有许多美联储官员在电视上发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors, sees two broad camps at the Fed: most officials who want to start to taper this year, and a smaller group of \"several\" officials who want to delay into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>SGH Macro Advisors首席美国经济学家蒂姆·杜伊(Tim Duy)认为,美联储存在两大阵营:大多数官员希望今年开始缩减规模,以及一小部分“几名”官员希望推迟到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> Duy said he thinks that Powell and his inner circle are in the \"most\" camp.</p><p><blockquote>杜伊说,他认为鲍威尔和他的核心圈子属于“最”阵营。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell can firm up the view that tapering will occur in 2021 simply by reiterating the main themes of the most recent minutes and position the [Fed] board as more hawkish than the position elaborated by the most dovish members,\" Duy said.</p><p><blockquote>杜伊表示:“鲍威尔只需重申最近会议纪要的主题,并将[美联储]董事会定位为比最鸽派成员阐述的立场更加鹰派,就可以坚定2021年将发生缩减购债规模的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> At this juncture, economists said Fed policy will depend on the economic data.</p><p><blockquote>在这个节骨眼上,经济学家表示美联储的政策将取决于经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is really no longer about the conceptual issues, it's about the actual economic issues,\" Posen said.</p><p><blockquote>波森说:“这真的不再是概念问题,而是实际的经济问题。”</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department will release the August job report on Sept. 3. The economy has added an average of 831,000 jobs over the past three months. Another strong report could push forward the taper announcement into September.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部将于9月3日发布8月份就业报告。过去三个月,经济平均增加了831,000个就业岗位。另一份强劲的报告可能会将taper的宣布推迟到9月份。</blockquote></p><p> \"If it's a very strong report then it moves things up,\" Reinhart said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果这是一份非常强有力的报告,那么它就会推动事情的发展,”莱因哈特说。</blockquote></p><p> But a few economists, like Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs, think that the tapering announcement may be delayed past November.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛(Goldman Sachs)的Jan Hatzius等少数经济学家认为,缩减规模的宣布可能会推迟到11月之后。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks moved higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 index closing up 0.9%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.255%, well below the 1.75% level last seen in March.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市走高,标普500指数收盘上涨0.9%。10年期国债收益率下滑至1.255%,远低于3月份1.75%的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell unlikely to fire starting pistol for tapering at Jackson Hole<blockquote>鲍威尔不太可能因杰克逊霍尔的减缩而发射发令枪</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell unlikely to fire starting pistol for tapering at Jackson Hole<blockquote>鲍威尔不太可能因杰克逊霍尔的减缩而发射发令枪</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A November announcement seems more likely, but strong jobs report could alter equation</p><p><blockquote>11月份发布公告的可能性似乎更大,但强劲的就业报告可能会改变等式</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccf044ab98780d1f80e4d5cae2c03f24\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, left, and Mark Carney, former governor of the Bank of England, walk the grounds during the last in-person Jackson Hole economic symposium in 2019.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(左)和英国央行前行长马克·卡尼在2019年最后一次杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会上走在会场。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be able to equivocate about when the central bank will start slowing down the pace of its bond-buying, essentially signaling a delay until November, economists said Monday.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家周一表示,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将能够对央行何时开始放缓债券购买步伐含糊其辞,实质上是推迟到11月。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chairman \"can do a 'on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> hand and other the other hand,' leaving you with the sense he's not going to fire the starting pistol at the September meeting,\" said Vince Reinhart, chief economist at Mellon.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席“可以对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>梅隆大学首席经济学家文斯·莱因哈特(Vince Reinhart)表示:“这让你感觉他不会在9月份的会议上打响发令枪。”</blockquote></p><p> Powell is expected to emphasize the risk management and repeat that the delta strain's impact remains unknown.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔预计将强调风险管理,并重申德尔塔毒株的影响仍然未知。</blockquote></p><p> Powell's messaging is helped by the fact that the Jackson Hole, Wyo., retreat was switched to a virtual single-day meeting on Friday instead of the traditional two-day event marked by Western-attire dinners, fishing and hiking, after a spike of recent COVID-19 cases in western Wyoming.</p><p><blockquote>在怀俄明州西部最近的新冠肺炎病例激增后,怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔的静修活动于周五改为虚拟的单日会议,而不是传统的为期两天的活动,以西式服装晚宴、钓鱼和徒步旅行为标志,这一事实有助于鲍威尔的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's kind of hard for a central banker, who is meeting virtually with his colleagues because of a health risk, to assert that it's time to start slowing policy accommodation without acknowledging the health risk that can affect the economy,\" Reinhart said.</p><p><blockquote>莱因哈特表示:“对于一位因健康风险而与同事进行虚拟会面的央行行长来说,在不承认可能影响经济的健康风险的情况下,很难断言是时候开始放缓政策宽松了。”</blockquote></p><p> But Fed watchers think that the central bank will announce tapering, and launch it, before the year is out.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储观察人士认为,美联储将在年底前宣布并启动缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> \"I view them as quite likely to taper between now and the end of the year, irrespective of delta,\" said Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.</p><p><blockquote>彼得森国际经济研究所所长亚当·波森表示:“我认为,无论达美航空如何,从现在到年底,它们都很可能会缩减规模。”</blockquote></p><p> The exact timing doesn't matter much \"unless you're a day trader,\" Posen added.</p><p><blockquote>波森补充说,确切的时间并不重要,“除非你是日内交易者”。</blockquote></p><p> Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, a strong advocate of slowing down asset purchases, said last week that he might rethink his push for a September announcement given the spread of the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>大力提倡放缓资产购买的达拉斯联储主席Rob Kaplan上周表示,鉴于德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延,他可能会重新考虑推动9月份的公告。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is buying $120 billion of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities each month. The taper is not a tightening. The gradual slowing of purchases is expected to last for at least six months, meaning the Fed will still be accumulating bonds and maintaining an easy policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>美联储每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。锥度不是拧紧。购买的逐步放缓预计将持续至少六个月,这意味着美联储仍将积累债券并维持宽松的政策立场。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed's benchmark interest rate is near zero. It would have to raise this rate above 2.5% before policy was considered tight.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的基准利率接近于零。在政策被认为是紧缩之前,它必须将这一利率提高到2.5%以上。</blockquote></p><p> Many economists say that the high inflation rate seen this year means the Fed has to move more quickly, to at least a neutral policy stance.</p><p><blockquote>许多经济学家表示,今年的高通胀率意味着美联储必须更快地采取行动,至少采取中性政策立场。</blockquote></p><p> A new survey from the National Association for Business Economics found that, for the first time since the pandemic began, a majority of business economists believe the Fed is providing too much stimulus, a marked shift from last spring that reflects growing worries about high U.S. inflation.</p><p><blockquote>美国商业经济协会的一项新调查发现,自疫情爆发以来,大多数商业经济学家首次认为美联储提供了过多的刺激措施,这与去年春天相比发生了明显转变,反映出人们对美国高通胀的担忧日益加剧。</blockquote></p><p> Powell will speak at 10 a.m. Eastern on Friday. There will be a slew of Fed officials speaking on television ahead of the chairman's remarks.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔将于上午10点发表讲话。周五东部。在主席发表讲话之前,将有许多美联储官员在电视上发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors, sees two broad camps at the Fed: most officials who want to start to taper this year, and a smaller group of \"several\" officials who want to delay into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>SGH Macro Advisors首席美国经济学家蒂姆·杜伊(Tim Duy)认为,美联储存在两大阵营:大多数官员希望今年开始缩减规模,以及一小部分“几名”官员希望推迟到2022年。</blockquote></p><p> Duy said he thinks that Powell and his inner circle are in the \"most\" camp.</p><p><blockquote>杜伊说,他认为鲍威尔和他的核心圈子属于“最”阵营。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell can firm up the view that tapering will occur in 2021 simply by reiterating the main themes of the most recent minutes and position the [Fed] board as more hawkish than the position elaborated by the most dovish members,\" Duy said.</p><p><blockquote>杜伊表示:“鲍威尔只需重申最近会议纪要的主题,并将[美联储]董事会定位为比最鸽派成员阐述的立场更加鹰派,就可以坚定2021年将发生缩减购债规模的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> At this juncture, economists said Fed policy will depend on the economic data.</p><p><blockquote>在这个节骨眼上,经济学家表示美联储的政策将取决于经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is really no longer about the conceptual issues, it's about the actual economic issues,\" Posen said.</p><p><blockquote>波森说:“这真的不再是概念问题,而是实际的经济问题。”</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department will release the August job report on Sept. 3. The economy has added an average of 831,000 jobs over the past three months. Another strong report could push forward the taper announcement into September.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部将于9月3日发布8月份就业报告。过去三个月,经济平均增加了831,000个就业岗位。另一份强劲的报告可能会将taper的宣布推迟到9月份。</blockquote></p><p> \"If it's a very strong report then it moves things up,\" Reinhart said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果这是一份非常强有力的报告,那么它就会推动事情的发展,”莱因哈特说。</blockquote></p><p> But a few economists, like Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs, think that the tapering announcement may be delayed past November.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛(Goldman Sachs)的Jan Hatzius等少数经济学家认为,缩减规模的宣布可能会推迟到11月之后。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks moved higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 index closing up 0.9%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.255%, well below the 1.75% level last seen in March.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市走高,标普500指数收盘上涨0.9%。10年期国债收益率下滑至1.255%,远低于3月份1.75%的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-unlikely-to-fire-starting-pistol-for-tapering-at-jackson-hole-11629752727?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-unlikely-to-fire-starting-pistol-for-tapering-at-jackson-hole-11629752727?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161777691","content_text":"A November announcement seems more likely, but strong jobs report could alter equation\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell, left, and Mark Carney, former governor of the Bank of England, walk the grounds during the last in-person Jackson Hole economic symposium in 2019.\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be able to equivocate about when the central bank will start slowing down the pace of its bond-buying, essentially signaling a delay until November, economists said Monday.\nThe Fed chairman \"can do a 'on the one hand and other the other hand,' leaving you with the sense he's not going to fire the starting pistol at the September meeting,\" said Vince Reinhart, chief economist at Mellon.\nPowell is expected to emphasize the risk management and repeat that the delta strain's impact remains unknown.\nPowell's messaging is helped by the fact that the Jackson Hole, Wyo., retreat was switched to a virtual single-day meeting on Friday instead of the traditional two-day event marked by Western-attire dinners, fishing and hiking, after a spike of recent COVID-19 cases in western Wyoming.\n\"It's kind of hard for a central banker, who is meeting virtually with his colleagues because of a health risk, to assert that it's time to start slowing policy accommodation without acknowledging the health risk that can affect the economy,\" Reinhart said.\nBut Fed watchers think that the central bank will announce tapering, and launch it, before the year is out.\n\"I view them as quite likely to taper between now and the end of the year, irrespective of delta,\" said Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.\nThe exact timing doesn't matter much \"unless you're a day trader,\" Posen added.\nDallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, a strong advocate of slowing down asset purchases, said last week that he might rethink his push for a September announcement given the spread of the delta variant.\nThe Fed is buying $120 billion of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities each month. The taper is not a tightening. The gradual slowing of purchases is expected to last for at least six months, meaning the Fed will still be accumulating bonds and maintaining an easy policy stance.\nThe Fed's benchmark interest rate is near zero. It would have to raise this rate above 2.5% before policy was considered tight.\nMany economists say that the high inflation rate seen this year means the Fed has to move more quickly, to at least a neutral policy stance.\nA new survey from the National Association for Business Economics found that, for the first time since the pandemic began, a majority of business economists believe the Fed is providing too much stimulus, a marked shift from last spring that reflects growing worries about high U.S. inflation.\nPowell will speak at 10 a.m. Eastern on Friday. There will be a slew of Fed officials speaking on television ahead of the chairman's remarks.\nTim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors, sees two broad camps at the Fed: most officials who want to start to taper this year, and a smaller group of \"several\" officials who want to delay into 2022.\nDuy said he thinks that Powell and his inner circle are in the \"most\" camp.\n\"Powell can firm up the view that tapering will occur in 2021 simply by reiterating the main themes of the most recent minutes and position the [Fed] board as more hawkish than the position elaborated by the most dovish members,\" Duy said.\nAt this juncture, economists said Fed policy will depend on the economic data.\n\"It is really no longer about the conceptual issues, it's about the actual economic issues,\" Posen said.\nThe Labor Department will release the August job report on Sept. 3. The economy has added an average of 831,000 jobs over the past three months. Another strong report could push forward the taper announcement into September.\n\"If it's a very strong report then it moves things up,\" Reinhart said.\nBut a few economists, like Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs, think that the tapering announcement may be delayed past November.\nStocks moved higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 index closing up 0.9%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipped to 1.255%, well below the 1.75% level last seen in March.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836885569,"gmtCreate":1629469887551,"gmtModify":1633684604792,"author":{"id":"3583660072689907","authorId":"3583660072689907","name":"Zuoshiling","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2fc8ca6700334d697b886a1e8d95e15","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583660072689907","authorIdStr":"3583660072689907"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Up up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Up up","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Up up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfce05eb431a94d438c6dc19d61991e8","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836885569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}