CaptainMiya的个人主页 - 老虎社区

CaptainMiya

CaptainMiya

新手宝宝

IP属地：未知

281关注

104粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-07-07

$Starbucks(SBUX)$bye Starbucks [Onlooker]

2021-12-08

[Strong] [Strong] [Strong]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-25

[Strong] [Strong]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-13

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$😍

2021-11-08

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$[Love you] [Love you] [Love you]

2021-11-04

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$很可以呀[Call] [Call]

2021-11-03

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Shy]

2021-11-02

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$Cool 😎

2021-10-28

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$#YYDS [Grin]

2021-10-25

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$[Cool]

2021-10-20

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Love you]

2021-10-15

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Lovely]

2021-08-01

[Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

[Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-30

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$[Smart]

2021-07-28

[Onlooker] [Onlooker]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

buy

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

[Strong]

Nasdaq 15,000 is near. Do I hear 30,000?<blockquote>纳斯达克15,000就在附近。我听到三万吗？</blockquote>

2021-07-25

[Call] [Call] [Call]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

[Cool]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

[Warning]

U.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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[Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803754767","repostId":"2154405999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809745488,"gmtCreate":1627394585644,"gmtModify":1633765420577,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583738006388208","idStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy","listText":"buy","text":"buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809745488","repostId":"1154449552","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809743894,"gmtCreate":1627394443018,"gmtModify":1633765423638,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583738006388208","idStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"[Strong]&nbsp;","text":"[Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809743894","repostId":"1138487254","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138487254","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627391824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138487254?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 21:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq 15,000 is near. Do I hear 30,000?<blockquote>纳斯达克15,000就在附近。我听到三万吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138487254","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"How the Nasdaq Composite could eclipse the Dow in points in 10 years\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAG","content":"<p>How the Nasdaq Composite could eclipse the Dow in points in 10 years</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数如何在10年内超越道琼斯指数</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8474c2fb4a64f693d66e2d4ffd1d7d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nasdaq 30,000? It’s not as far-fetched as you might think. If the index continues rising at its rate of the past 12 months, it will hit this otherwise unimaginable milestone in just two years — July 2023.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克3万？这并不像你想象的那么牵强。如果该指数继续以过去12个月的速度上涨，它将在短短两年内（2023年7月）达到这一原本难以想象的里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> Welcome to the latest parlor game inspired by the Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;extraordinary performance that has led it to the cusp of the 15,000 mark. The index traded below 7,000 as recently as March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到最新的室内游戏，其灵感来自纳斯达克复合材料的非凡性能，使其达到了15,000大关的尖端。该指数最近在2020年3月交易价格低于7,000点。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the Nasdaq Composite is artificially high because of its artificially low levels in the early days of the coronavirus pandemic. But that explains only part of how quickly the Nasdaq could hit 30,000. If we instead extrapolate the Nasdaq’s return over the past five years, it only marginally increases how long it will take for it to do so — to 3.3 years.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，纳斯达克综合指数是人为高的，因为它在冠状病毒大流行初期的人为低水平。但这只能部分解释纳斯达克能以多快的速度达到30,000。相反，如果我们推断纳斯达克过去五年的回报，它只会略微增加其实现这一目标所需的时间——达到3.3年。</blockquote></p><p> A related parlor game is to imagine how long it will take for the Nasdaq index to eclipse the Dow Jones Industrial Average.That would take somewhat longer, since the Dow itself would rise as the Nasdaq tries to overtake it. But, assuming these two benchmarks’ respective five-year growth rates persist, the Nasdaq would overtake the Dow in 9.9 years — in the summer of 2031.</p><p><blockquote>一个相关的室内游戏是想象纳斯达克指数需要多长时间才能超越道琼斯工业平均指数。这需要更长的时间，因为当纳斯达克试图超越道琼斯指数时，道琼斯指数本身就会上涨。但是，假设这两个基准各自的五年增长率持续下去，纳斯达克将在9.9年内（即2031年夏季）超过道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here’s the catch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是个问题</b></blockquote></p><p> Before you get too excited by the prospect of these lofty Nasdaq Composite levels, you should know there’s a catch: These projections depend crucially on the time period you choose to extrapolate into the future. Not all lead to rosy projections.</p><p><blockquote>在您对这些高纳斯达克综合水平的前景过于兴奋之前，您应该知道有一个问题：这些预测在很大程度上取决于您选择推断未来的时间段。并非所有的预测都是乐观的。</blockquote></p><p> For example, instead of focusing on the last one- or five-year periods, use the past 21+ year period to extrapolate. That takes you back to the top of the internet bubble, right before the Nasdaq Composite shed almost 80% of its value as that bubble deflated. Assuming the Nasdaq’s growth rate since the March 2000 top, it would hit the 30,000 mark in 14 years and never overtake the Dow — since these blue-chip stocks in fact have outperformed the Nasdaq over the past 21+ years.</p><p><blockquote>例如，不要关注过去一年或五年的时期，而是使用过去21年以上的时期进行推断。这让你回到了互联网泡沫的顶部，就在泡沫破灭之前，纳斯达克综合指数的价值下跌了近80%。假设纳斯达克自2000年3月高点以来的增长率，它将在14年内触及30,000点大关，并且永远不会超过道琼斯指数——因为这些蓝筹股实际上在过去21年多的时间里表现优于纳斯达克。</blockquote></p><p> So the real point of these parlor games should be to introduce a reality check into your projections of the market’s future. Recent years have been far better for equities than we have any right to expect going forward.</p><p><blockquote>因此，这些室内游戏的真正意义应该是在你对市场未来的预测中引入现实检验。近年来，股市的表现远好于我们对未来的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b13c6bd176fff9917be367c0d304aa48\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What is realistic? The answer depends on various factors, such as whether you take the&nbsp;market’s current extreme overvaluation&nbsp;into account. But if you simply extrapolate the past into the future without regard to valuation, you should look at as long a past as possible. In the case of the U.S. market, data is available at least as far back as 1793 (courtesy of a&nbsp;database from Edward McQuarrie, professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University).</p><p><blockquote>什么是现实？答案取决于各种因素，比如你是否考虑到市场目前的极度高估。但如果你只是简单地将过去外推到未来而不考虑估值，你应该尽可能长时间地关注过去。就美国市场而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年（由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授爱德华·麦夸里提供的数据库提供）。</blockquote></p><p> Based on his database, here’s what I project for the Nasdaq’s performance in coming years:</p><p><blockquote>根据他的数据库，我对纳斯达克未来几年的表现有以下预测：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Overall market’s annualized return since 1793: 6.1% annualized above inflation</li>  <li>Expected inflation over next decade: 1.6% (per&nbsp;Cleveland Fed model)</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite’s expected return relative to overall market: Minus 0.1% annualized (per&nbsp;data since 1926 from Dartmouth professor Ken French&nbsp;on the performance of the large-cap growth sector, which is closest to the stocks that dominate the Nasdaq Composite)</li> </ul> The net result: A nominal return of 7.6% annualized in future years. That’s a lot lower than the Nasdaq Composite’s 41.8% return over the past 12 months, or its 23.8% annualized return over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自1793年以来整体市场年化回报率：年化回报率高于通胀6.1%</li><li>未来十年预期通胀率：1.6%（根据克利夫兰联储模型）</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的预期回报率：年化负0.1%（根据Dartmouth教授Ken French自1926年以来关于大盘成长板块表现的数据，该板块最接近主导纳斯达克综合指数的股票）</li></ul>最终结果是：未来几年的年化名义回报率为7.6%。这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去12个月41.8%的回报率，或过去五年23.8%的年化回报率。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, 7.6% annualized is not much better than the Nasdaq Composite’s average return since the top of the internet bubble. At a 7.6% annualized clip, it will take 9.7 years for the index to reach 30,000. Keep in mind that, assuming that the market’s current overvaluation impacts equities’ future return, it will take even longer for the Nasdaq Composite index to reach 30,000.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，7.6%的年化回报率并不比纳斯达克综合指数自互联网泡沫顶部以来的平均回报率好多少。按照7.6%的年化增长率计算，该指数需要9.7年才能达到30,000点。请记住，假设市场目前的高估影响了股票的未来回报，那么纳斯达克综合指数需要更长的时间才能达到30,000点。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? Trees don’t grow to the sky. While celebrating the good fortune the markets have produced in recent years, most definitely you should not get greedy.</p><p><blockquote>底线？树不会长到天上。在庆祝近年来市场带来的好运的同时，你绝对不应该变得贪婪。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq 15,000 is near. Do I hear 30,000?<blockquote>纳斯达克15,000就在附近。我听到三万吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq 15,000 is near. Do I hear 30,000?<blockquote>纳斯达克15,000就在附近。我听到三万吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 21:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>How the Nasdaq Composite could eclipse the Dow in points in 10 years</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数如何在10年内超越道琼斯指数</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8474c2fb4a64f693d66e2d4ffd1d7d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nasdaq 30,000? It’s not as far-fetched as you might think. If the index continues rising at its rate of the past 12 months, it will hit this otherwise unimaginable milestone in just two years — July 2023.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克3万？这并不像你想象的那么牵强。如果该指数继续以过去12个月的速度上涨，它将在短短两年内（2023年7月）达到这一原本难以想象的里程碑。</blockquote></p><p> Welcome to the latest parlor game inspired by the Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;extraordinary performance that has led it to the cusp of the 15,000 mark. The index traded below 7,000 as recently as March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到最新的室内游戏，其灵感来自纳斯达克复合材料的非凡性能，使其达到了15,000大关的尖端。该指数最近在2020年3月交易价格低于7,000点。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the Nasdaq Composite is artificially high because of its artificially low levels in the early days of the coronavirus pandemic. But that explains only part of how quickly the Nasdaq could hit 30,000. If we instead extrapolate the Nasdaq’s return over the past five years, it only marginally increases how long it will take for it to do so — to 3.3 years.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，纳斯达克综合指数是人为高的，因为它在冠状病毒大流行初期的人为低水平。但这只能部分解释纳斯达克能以多快的速度达到30,000。相反，如果我们推断纳斯达克过去五年的回报，它只会略微增加其实现这一目标所需的时间——达到3.3年。</blockquote></p><p> A related parlor game is to imagine how long it will take for the Nasdaq index to eclipse the Dow Jones Industrial Average.That would take somewhat longer, since the Dow itself would rise as the Nasdaq tries to overtake it. But, assuming these two benchmarks’ respective five-year growth rates persist, the Nasdaq would overtake the Dow in 9.9 years — in the summer of 2031.</p><p><blockquote>一个相关的室内游戏是想象纳斯达克指数需要多长时间才能超越道琼斯工业平均指数。这需要更长的时间，因为当纳斯达克试图超越道琼斯指数时，道琼斯指数本身就会上涨。但是，假设这两个基准各自的五年增长率持续下去，纳斯达克将在9.9年内（即2031年夏季）超过道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here’s the catch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是个问题</b></blockquote></p><p> Before you get too excited by the prospect of these lofty Nasdaq Composite levels, you should know there’s a catch: These projections depend crucially on the time period you choose to extrapolate into the future. Not all lead to rosy projections.</p><p><blockquote>在您对这些高纳斯达克综合水平的前景过于兴奋之前，您应该知道有一个问题：这些预测在很大程度上取决于您选择推断未来的时间段。并非所有的预测都是乐观的。</blockquote></p><p> For example, instead of focusing on the last one- or five-year periods, use the past 21+ year period to extrapolate. That takes you back to the top of the internet bubble, right before the Nasdaq Composite shed almost 80% of its value as that bubble deflated. Assuming the Nasdaq’s growth rate since the March 2000 top, it would hit the 30,000 mark in 14 years and never overtake the Dow — since these blue-chip stocks in fact have outperformed the Nasdaq over the past 21+ years.</p><p><blockquote>例如，不要关注过去一年或五年的时期，而是使用过去21年以上的时期进行推断。这让你回到了互联网泡沫的顶部，就在泡沫破灭之前，纳斯达克综合指数的价值下跌了近80%。假设纳斯达克自2000年3月高点以来的增长率，它将在14年内触及30,000点大关，并且永远不会超过道琼斯指数——因为这些蓝筹股实际上在过去21年多的时间里表现优于纳斯达克。</blockquote></p><p> So the real point of these parlor games should be to introduce a reality check into your projections of the market’s future. Recent years have been far better for equities than we have any right to expect going forward.</p><p><blockquote>因此，这些室内游戏的真正意义应该是在你对市场未来的预测中引入现实检验。近年来，股市的表现远好于我们对未来的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b13c6bd176fff9917be367c0d304aa48\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What is realistic? The answer depends on various factors, such as whether you take the&nbsp;market’s current extreme overvaluation&nbsp;into account. But if you simply extrapolate the past into the future without regard to valuation, you should look at as long a past as possible. In the case of the U.S. market, data is available at least as far back as 1793 (courtesy of a&nbsp;database from Edward McQuarrie, professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University).</p><p><blockquote>什么是现实？答案取决于各种因素，比如你是否考虑到市场目前的极度高估。但如果你只是简单地将过去外推到未来而不考虑估值，你应该尽可能长时间地关注过去。就美国市场而言，数据至少可以追溯到1793年（由圣克拉拉大学利维商学院名誉教授爱德华·麦夸里提供的数据库提供）。</blockquote></p><p> Based on his database, here’s what I project for the Nasdaq’s performance in coming years:</p><p><blockquote>根据他的数据库，我对纳斯达克未来几年的表现有以下预测：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Overall market’s annualized return since 1793: 6.1% annualized above inflation</li>  <li>Expected inflation over next decade: 1.6% (per&nbsp;Cleveland Fed model)</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite’s expected return relative to overall market: Minus 0.1% annualized (per&nbsp;data since 1926 from Dartmouth professor Ken French&nbsp;on the performance of the large-cap growth sector, which is closest to the stocks that dominate the Nasdaq Composite)</li> </ul> The net result: A nominal return of 7.6% annualized in future years. That’s a lot lower than the Nasdaq Composite’s 41.8% return over the past 12 months, or its 23.8% annualized return over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自1793年以来整体市场年化回报率：年化回报率高于通胀6.1%</li><li>未来十年预期通胀率：1.6%（根据克利夫兰联储模型）</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数相对于整体市场的预期回报率：年化负0.1%（根据Dartmouth教授Ken French自1926年以来关于大盘成长板块表现的数据，该板块最接近主导纳斯达克综合指数的股票）</li></ul>最终结果是：未来几年的年化名义回报率为7.6%。这远低于纳斯达克综合指数过去12个月41.8%的回报率，或过去五年23.8%的年化回报率。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, 7.6% annualized is not much better than the Nasdaq Composite’s average return since the top of the internet bubble. At a 7.6% annualized clip, it will take 9.7 years for the index to reach 30,000. Keep in mind that, assuming that the market’s current overvaluation impacts equities’ future return, it will take even longer for the Nasdaq Composite index to reach 30,000.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，7.6%的年化回报率并不比纳斯达克综合指数自互联网泡沫顶部以来的平均回报率好多少。按照7.6%的年化增长率计算，该指数需要9.7年才能达到30,000点。请记住，假设市场目前的高估影响了股票的未来回报，那么纳斯达克综合指数需要更长的时间才能达到30,000点。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line? Trees don’t grow to the sky. While celebrating the good fortune the markets have produced in recent years, most definitely you should not get greedy.</p><p><blockquote>底线？树不会长到天上。在庆祝近年来市场带来的好运的同时，你绝对不应该变得贪婪。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nasdaq-15-000-is-near-do-i-hear-30-000-11627374665?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nasdaq-15-000-is-near-do-i-hear-30-000-11627374665?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138487254","content_text":"How the Nasdaq Composite could eclipse the Dow in points in 10 years\nAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES\nNasdaq 30,000? It’s not as far-fetched as you might think. If the index continues rising at its rate of the past 12 months, it will hit this otherwise unimaginable milestone in just two years — July 2023.\nWelcome to the latest parlor game inspired by the Nasdaq Composite’s extraordinary performance that has led it to the cusp of the 15,000 mark. The index traded below 7,000 as recently as March 2020.\nTo be sure, the Nasdaq Composite is artificially high because of its artificially low levels in the early days of the coronavirus pandemic. But that explains only part of how quickly the Nasdaq could hit 30,000. If we instead extrapolate the Nasdaq’s return over the past five years, it only marginally increases how long it will take for it to do so — to 3.3 years.\nA related parlor game is to imagine how long it will take for the Nasdaq index to eclipse the Dow Jones Industrial Average.That would take somewhat longer, since the Dow itself would rise as the Nasdaq tries to overtake it. But, assuming these two benchmarks’ respective five-year growth rates persist, the Nasdaq would overtake the Dow in 9.9 years — in the summer of 2031.\nHere’s the catch\nBefore you get too excited by the prospect of these lofty Nasdaq Composite levels, you should know there’s a catch: These projections depend crucially on the time period you choose to extrapolate into the future. Not all lead to rosy projections.\nFor example, instead of focusing on the last one- or five-year periods, use the past 21+ year period to extrapolate. That takes you back to the top of the internet bubble, right before the Nasdaq Composite shed almost 80% of its value as that bubble deflated. Assuming the Nasdaq’s growth rate since the March 2000 top, it would hit the 30,000 mark in 14 years and never overtake the Dow — since these blue-chip stocks in fact have outperformed the Nasdaq over the past 21+ years.\nSo the real point of these parlor games should be to introduce a reality check into your projections of the market’s future. Recent years have been far better for equities than we have any right to expect going forward.\n\nWhat is realistic? The answer depends on various factors, such as whether you take the market’s current extreme overvaluation into account. But if you simply extrapolate the past into the future without regard to valuation, you should look at as long a past as possible. In the case of the U.S. market, data is available at least as far back as 1793 (courtesy of a database from Edward McQuarrie, professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University).\nBased on his database, here’s what I project for the Nasdaq’s performance in coming years:\n\nOverall market’s annualized return since 1793: 6.1% annualized above inflation\nExpected inflation over next decade: 1.6% (per Cleveland Fed model)\nNasdaq Composite’s expected return relative to overall market: Minus 0.1% annualized (per data since 1926 from Dartmouth professor Ken French on the performance of the large-cap growth sector, which is closest to the stocks that dominate the Nasdaq Composite)\n\nThe net result: A nominal return of 7.6% annualized in future years. That’s a lot lower than the Nasdaq Composite’s 41.8% return over the past 12 months, or its 23.8% annualized return over the past five years.\nIn fact, 7.6% annualized is not much better than the Nasdaq Composite’s average return since the top of the internet bubble. At a 7.6% annualized clip, it will take 9.7 years for the index to reach 30,000. Keep in mind that, assuming that the market’s current overvaluation impacts equities’ future return, it will take even longer for the Nasdaq Composite index to reach 30,000.\nThe bottom line? Trees don’t grow to the sky. While celebrating the good fortune the markets have produced in recent years, most definitely you should not get greedy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177878988,"gmtCreate":1627202005144,"gmtModify":1633767189894,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583738006388208","idStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","listText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177878988","repostId":"2153350439","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172635347,"gmtCreate":1626957979789,"gmtModify":1633769405897,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583738006388208","idStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172635347","repostId":"2153153678","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172632474,"gmtCreate":1626957953398,"gmtModify":1633769406265,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583738006388208","idStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Warning]&nbsp;","listText":"[Warning]&nbsp;","text":"[Warning]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172632474","repostId":"1136039581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136039581","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626957159,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136039581?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136039581","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 22) U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.\nTota","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;22)&nbsp;U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）美国。7月中旬首次申请失业救济人数增加51,000人，至419,000人，而预期为350,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于各州切断紧急援助，领取失业救济金的美国人总数锐减120万</b></blockquote></p><p> This was not supposed to happen.</p><p><blockquote>这是不应该发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Initial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as<b>419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time</b>(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...</p><p><blockquote>上周首次申请失业救济人数大幅上升<b>41.9万美国人首次申请失业救济</b>（远高于前一周的36.8万份和35万份的预期）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8eda8482fbe99bba871d16bc5379532\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Michigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...</p><p><blockquote>密歇根州和德克萨斯州的申请人数增幅最大，而纽约州和俄克拉荷马州的增幅最大...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb4d834111a6ca8db1254f129a11ecc\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"1276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">'Traditional'<i>c</i>ontinuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.</p><p><blockquote>“传统”<i>c</i>与前一周的修订相比，持续索赔基本没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> There is some good news though,<b>the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week</b>(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...</p><p><blockquote>不过也有一些好消息，<b>上周索赔总数锐减超过120万</b>（由于各州开始关闭施舍，疫情特定援助大幅下降）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b991ebbb0b2782ffdd1e3059e2fc78\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">But, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...</p><p><blockquote>但是，我们注意到，总的来说，仍有超过1250万美国人领取某种形式的政府救济金...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fe2aeac47f3bbf3eaeb7d11fd96edd3\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"586\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> For context, that compares to the less than 2 million pre-pandemic-lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，大流行前的封锁人数不到200万。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-22 20:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;22)&nbsp;U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）美国。7月中旬首次申请失业救济人数增加51,000人，至419,000人，而预期为350,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于各州切断紧急援助，领取失业救济金的美国人总数锐减120万</b></blockquote></p><p> This was not supposed to happen.</p><p><blockquote>这是不应该发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Initial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as<b>419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time</b>(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...</p><p><blockquote>上周首次申请失业救济人数大幅上升<b>41.9万美国人首次申请失业救济</b>（远高于前一周的36.8万份和35万份的预期）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8eda8482fbe99bba871d16bc5379532\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Michigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...</p><p><blockquote>密歇根州和德克萨斯州的申请人数增幅最大，而纽约州和俄克拉荷马州的增幅最大...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb4d834111a6ca8db1254f129a11ecc\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"1276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">'Traditional'<i>c</i>ontinuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.</p><p><blockquote>“传统”<i>c</i>与前一周的修订相比，持续索赔基本没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> There is some good news though,<b>the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week</b>(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...</p><p><blockquote>不过也有一些好消息，<b>上周索赔总数锐减超过120万</b>（由于各州开始关闭施舍，疫情特定援助大幅下降）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b991ebbb0b2782ffdd1e3059e2fc78\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">But, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...</p><p><blockquote>但是，我们注意到，总的来说，仍有超过1250万美国人领取某种形式的政府救济金...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fe2aeac47f3bbf3eaeb7d11fd96edd3\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"586\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> For context, that compares to the less than 2 million pre-pandemic-lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，大流行前的封锁人数不到200万。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136039581","content_text":"(July 22) U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.\nTotal Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid\nThis was not supposed to happen.\nInitial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nMichigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...\n'Traditional'continuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.\nThere is some good news though,the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...\nBut, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...\n\nSource: Bloomberg\nFor context, that compares to the less than 2 million 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>[Smart]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>[Smart]&nbsp;","text":"$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$[Smart]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f15dc0b04792443c183a5f8550f9c518","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806294935","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132734448,"gmtCreate":1622114597384,"gmtModify":1631884221367,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just need a comment please [Salute]&nbsp;","listText":"Just need a comment please [Salute]&nbsp;","text":"Just need a comment please [Salute]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132734448","repostId":"1101218285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101218285","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622113786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101218285?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 19:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Medtronic profit more than doubles on recovery in base business<blockquote>美敦力利润因基础业务复苏而增长一倍多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101218285","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 20","content":"<p>Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021, which endedApril 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美敦力公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MDT）今天公布了截至2021年4月30日的第四季度和2021财年的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>- Q4 Revenue of$8.2 Billion Increased 37% Reported and 32% Organic.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-第四季度收入为82亿美元，报告收入增长37%，有机收入增长32%。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Q4 GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.00; Q4 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.50.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-第四季度GAAP摊薄每股收益为1.00美元；第四季度非GAAP摊薄每股收益为1.50美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>-Net income attributable to the company rose to $1.36 billion, or $1 per share, in the quarter ended April 30, from $646 million, or 48 cents per share, a year earlier.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-截至4月30日的季度，归属于公司的净利润从去年同期的6.46亿美元（即每股48美分）增至13.6亿美元（即每股1美元）。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Quarterly Dividend Increased to$0.63, Annual$2.52 from Prior$2.32; 44th Consecutive Year of Dividend Increases.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-季度股息从之前的2.32美元增加到0.63美元，年度股息从之前的2.32美元增加到2.52美元；股息连续44年增加。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Company Issues FY22 Guidance.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-公司发布2022财年指引。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Guidance Reflects FY22 Revenue Growth above Street Consensus, Investment Ahead of Major Product Launches, and Largest Planned R&amp;D Increase in Company History.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-指引反映了高于华尔街共识的2022财年收入增长、主要产品发布之前的投资以及公司历史上最大的计划研发增长。</b></blockquote></p><p>Medtronic&nbsp;shares&nbsp;were unchanged&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>美敦力股价在盘前交易中没有变化。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Medtronic profit more than doubles on recovery in base business<blockquote>美敦力利润因基础业务复苏而增长一倍多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMedtronic profit more than doubles on recovery in base business<blockquote>美敦力利润因基础业务复苏而增长一倍多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 19:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021, which endedApril 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美敦力公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MDT）今天公布了截至2021年4月30日的第四季度和2021财年的财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>- Q4 Revenue of$8.2 Billion Increased 37% Reported and 32% Organic.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-第四季度收入为82亿美元，报告收入增长37%，有机收入增长32%。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Q4 GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.00; Q4 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.50.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-第四季度GAAP摊薄每股收益为1.00美元；第四季度非GAAP摊薄每股收益为1.50美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>-Net income attributable to the company rose to $1.36 billion, or $1 per share, in the quarter ended April 30, from $646 million, or 48 cents per share, a year earlier.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-截至4月30日的季度，归属于公司的净利润从去年同期的6.46亿美元（即每股48美分）增至13.6亿美元（即每股1美元）。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Quarterly Dividend Increased to$0.63, Annual$2.52 from Prior$2.32; 44th Consecutive Year of Dividend Increases.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-季度股息从之前的2.32美元增加到0.63美元，年度股息从之前的2.32美元增加到2.52美元；股息连续44年增加。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Company Issues FY22 Guidance.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-公司发布2022财年指引。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>- Guidance Reflects FY22 Revenue Growth above Street Consensus, Investment Ahead of Major Product Launches, and Largest Planned R&amp;D Increase in Company History.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>-指引反映了高于华尔街共识的2022财年收入增长、主要产品发布之前的投资以及公司历史上最大的计划研发增长。</b></blockquote></p><p>Medtronic&nbsp;shares&nbsp;were unchanged&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>美敦力股价在盘前交易中没有变化。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101218285","content_text":"Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) today announced financial results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021, which endedApril 30, 2021.- Q4 Revenue of$8.2 Billion Increased 37% Reported and 32% Organic.- Q4 GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.00; Q4 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS of$1.50.-Net income attributable to the company rose to $1.36 billion, or $1 per share, in the quarter ended April 30, from $646 million, or 48 cents per share, a year earlier.- Quarterly Dividend Increased to$0.63, Annual$2.52 from Prior$2.32; 44th Consecutive Year of Dividend Increases.- Company Issues FY22 Guidance.- Guidance Reflects FY22 Revenue Growth above Street Consensus, Investment Ahead of Major Product Launches, and Largest Planned R&D Increase in Company History.Medtronic shares were unchanged in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114071641,"gmtCreate":1623039326583,"gmtModify":1634095959774,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","listText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","text":"[Salute] [Salute] [Salute]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114071641","repostId":"2141926289","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119267266,"gmtCreate":1622550562855,"gmtModify":1634100587609,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good read! [Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","listText":"Good read! [Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","text":"Good read! [Salute] [Salute]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119267266","repostId":"1138579625","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138579625","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622549906,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138579625?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 20:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138579625","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. equity futures roseAMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raiseU.S. equity futures","content":"<p><ul><li>U.S. equity futures rose</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raise</li></ul>U.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国股指期货上涨</li></ul><ul><li>AMC融资2.3亿美元后领涨“模因股”</li></ul>美国股指期货随股市上涨，包括石油在内的大宗商品上涨，一系列积极的经济数据有助于刺激人们对疫情复苏的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10，道指E-minis上涨233点，涨幅0.68%，标普500 E-minis上涨22.25点，涨幅0.53%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨53.75点，涨幅0.39%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dd5ef316d5e9e8727177f77ead2d21c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC&nbsp;is selling 8.5 million shares&nbsp;to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>–AMC正在向投资公司Mudrick Capital出售850万股股票，价格为2.305亿美元。AMC计划将所得款项用于收购影院资产和租赁，以及可能的债务削减。股价在盘前交易中飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nio&nbsp;(NIO)</b> – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company&nbsp;<b>Xpeng&nbsp;(XPEV) </b>is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来(蔚来)</b>-蔚来5月份交付了6,711辆汽车，同比增长95%。公布这些结果后，花旗将蔚来的评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，并上调了对该公司的销售预期。竞争对手中国电动汽车公司<b>小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>销量也在加速增长，上个月交付了5,686辆汽车，同比增长483%。蔚来在盘前交易中上涨3.7%，小鹏汽车上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth&nbsp;(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–这家加拿大大麻生产商报告第四财季收入增长38%，但增幅略低于分析师的预期。Canopy Growth将季度亏损削减了8%，并重申预计本财年将实现盈利。其股价在盘前交易中上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Boeing&nbsp;(BA)</b> – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>波音(BA)</b>-波音公司在Cowen将其评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，盘前股价上涨1.9%。该公司指出，空中交通需求的快速改善，预计将对喷气式飞机需求产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nokia&nbsp;(NOK)</b> – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.</p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚（挪威克朗）</b>-诺基亚将向汽车制造商戴姆勒收取专利许可费，结束两家公司之间的法律纠纷。和解条款是保密的，但这笔交易将增加诺基亚每年从专利许可中获得的17亿美元收入。</blockquote></p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ)</b> – Johnson &amp; Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.</p><p><blockquote><b>强生公司(JNJ)</b>-强生公司要求最高法院审查一项针对其20亿美元的判决，该判决涉及滑石粉产品，据称该产品导致许多使用者患癌症。法院最早可能在今天决定是否批准复审。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK) </b>– Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)</b>–继《寂静之地第二部》以超过5800万美元的票房收入高居周末票房榜首后，喜满客(Cinemark)是今天情绪积极的连锁影院之一。这是自疫情开始以来电影周末票房最高的一次。AMC、喜满客和富豪影院也取消了对完全接种疫苗的顾客的所有口罩要求。喜满客盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cloudera&nbsp;(CLDR) </b>– Cloudera&nbsp;agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms&nbsp;KKR&nbsp;(KKR) and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Cloudera(CLDR)</b>-Cloudera同意被私募股权公司KKR(KKR)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice以每股16美元的价格收购。这家基于云的数据分析公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升23.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3M&nbsp;(MMM)</b> – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.</p><p><blockquote><b>3米（3M）</b>-在涉及出售给军方的耳塞的二审中，一名法官站在了3M一边。3M已收到超过23万起索赔，称耳塞有缺陷并导致听力问题，第一次审判导致三名退伍军人获得710万美元的赔偿。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Honest Company&nbsp;(HNST) </b>– The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家天然产品公司是多家华尔街公司新的积极分析师报道的主题，花旗和杰富瑞将该股评级为“买入”，摩根大通和摩根士丹利将其评级为“跑赢大盘”。所有人都提到了强劲的增长前景，以及杰西卡·阿尔芭作为创始人和品牌大使的角色。该股盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-01 20:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>U.S. equity futures rose</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raise</li></ul>U.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国股指期货上涨</li></ul><ul><li>AMC融资2.3亿美元后领涨“模因股”</li></ul>美国股指期货随股市上涨，包括石油在内的大宗商品上涨，一系列积极的经济数据有助于刺激人们对疫情复苏的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10，道指E-minis上涨233点，涨幅0.68%，标普500 E-minis上涨22.25点，涨幅0.53%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨53.75点，涨幅0.39%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dd5ef316d5e9e8727177f77ead2d21c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC)</b> – AMC&nbsp;is selling 8.5 million shares&nbsp;to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>–AMC正在向投资公司Mudrick Capital出售850万股股票，价格为2.305亿美元。AMC计划将所得款项用于收购影院资产和租赁，以及可能的债务削减。股价在盘前交易中飙升17%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nio&nbsp;(NIO)</b> – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company&nbsp;<b>Xpeng&nbsp;(XPEV) </b>is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来(蔚来)</b>-蔚来5月份交付了6,711辆汽车，同比增长95%。公布这些结果后，花旗将蔚来的评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，并上调了对该公司的销售预期。竞争对手中国电动汽车公司<b>小鹏汽车(XPEV)</b>销量也在加速增长，上个月交付了5,686辆汽车，同比增长483%。蔚来在盘前交易中上涨3.7%，小鹏汽车上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth&nbsp;(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–这家加拿大大麻生产商报告第四财季收入增长38%，但增幅略低于分析师的预期。Canopy Growth将季度亏损削减了8%，并重申预计本财年将实现盈利。其股价在盘前交易中上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Boeing&nbsp;(BA)</b> – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>波音(BA)</b>-波音公司在Cowen将其评级从“与大盘持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后，盘前股价上涨1.9%。该公司指出，空中交通需求的快速改善，预计将对喷气式飞机需求产生积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><b>Nokia&nbsp;(NOK)</b> – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.</p><p><blockquote><b>诺基亚（挪威克朗）</b>-诺基亚将向汽车制造商戴姆勒收取专利许可费，结束两家公司之间的法律纠纷。和解条款是保密的，但这笔交易将增加诺基亚每年从专利许可中获得的17亿美元收入。</blockquote></p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ)</b> – Johnson &amp; Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.</p><p><blockquote><b>强生公司(JNJ)</b>-强生公司要求最高法院审查一项针对其20亿美元的判决，该判决涉及滑石粉产品，据称该产品导致许多使用者患癌症。法院最早可能在今天决定是否批准复审。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cinemark&nbsp;(CNK) </b>– Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)</b>–继《寂静之地第二部》以超过5800万美元的票房收入高居周末票房榜首后，喜满客(Cinemark)是今天情绪积极的连锁影院之一。这是自疫情开始以来电影周末票房最高的一次。AMC、喜满客和富豪影院也取消了对完全接种疫苗的顾客的所有口罩要求。喜满客盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Cloudera&nbsp;(CLDR) </b>– Cloudera&nbsp;agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms&nbsp;KKR&nbsp;(KKR) and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Cloudera(CLDR)</b>-Cloudera同意被私募股权公司KKR(KKR)和Clayton Dubilier&amp;Rice以每股16美元的价格收购。这家基于云的数据分析公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升23.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3M&nbsp;(MMM)</b> – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.</p><p><blockquote><b>3米（3M）</b>-在涉及出售给军方的耳塞的二审中，一名法官站在了3M一边。3M已收到超过23万起索赔，称耳塞有缺陷并导致听力问题，第一次审判导致三名退伍军人获得710万美元的赔偿。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Honest Company&nbsp;(HNST) </b>– The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家天然产品公司是多家华尔街公司新的积极分析师报道的主题，花旗和杰富瑞将该股评级为“买入”，摩根大通和摩根士丹利将其评级为“跑赢大盘”。所有人都提到了强劲的增长前景，以及杰西卡·阿尔芭作为创始人和品牌大使的角色。该股盘前上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","AMC":"AMC院线",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138579625","content_text":"U.S. equity futures roseAMC led 'meme stocks' higher after $230 mln capital raiseU.S. equity futures rose with stocks, and commodities including oil jumped, as a string of positive economic readings helped spur optimism in the recovery from the pandemic.At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 233 points, or 0.68%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 22.25 points, or 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 53.75 points, or 0.39%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC is selling 8.5 million shares to investment firm Mudrick Capital for $230.5 million, following the recent surge in the movie theater operator’s stock price. AMC plans to use the proceeds to pursue the acquisition of theater assets and leases, as well as possible debt reduction. Shares soared 17% in premarket trading.Nio (NIO) – Nio delivered 6,711 vehicles in May, an increase of 95% compared to a year ago for the China-based electric vehicle maker. Following those results, Citi upgraded Nio to “buy” from “neutral,” and raised its sales forecast for the company. Rival Chinese electric vehicle company Xpeng (XPEV) is also seeing accelerating sales with 5,686 vehicles delivered last month, an increase of 483% from a year earlier. Nio rallied 3.7% in premarket trading, while Xpeng jumped 4.7%.Canopy Growth (CGC) – The Canadian cannabis producer reported a 38% jump in revenue during its fiscal fourth quarter, though that increase was slightly smaller than analysts had been anticipating. Canopy Growth cut its quarterly loss by 8% and reiterated that it expects to become profitable during this fiscal year. Its shares rose 0.1% in premarket trading.Boeing (BA) – Boeing added 1.9% in the premarket after it was upgraded to “outperform” from “market perform” at Cowen. The firm notes the fast improvement in air traffic demand, resulting in what it expects will be a positive impact on jet demand.Nokia (NOK) – Nokia will collect licensing fees from automaker Daimler for its patents, ending a legal dispute between the two companies. Terms of the settlement were confidential, but the deal will add to the annual $1.7 billion that Nokia earns from patent licensing.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – Johnson & Johnson is asking the Supreme Court to review a $2 billion verdict against it involving talc products that allegedly caused cancer in a number of users. The court may decide as soon as today whether it will grant that review.Cinemark (CNK) – Cinemark is among movie theater chains seeing positive sentiment today, after “A Quiet Place, Part II” topped the weekend box office with more than $58 million in ticket sales. That was the highest weekend total for any movie since the pandemic began. AMC, Cinemark and Regal Cinemas have also lifted all mask mandates for fully vaccinated customers. Cinemark rose 1.8% in the premarket.Cloudera (CLDR) – Cloudera agreed to be acquiredby private-equity firms KKR (KKR) and Clayton Dubilier & Rice for $16 per share. The cloud-based data analytics company’s shares surged 23.4% in premarket trading.3M (MMM) – A judge sided with 3M in the second trial involving earplugs sold to the military. 3M has been hit with more than 230,000 claims that the earplugs were faulty and caused hearing problems, and the first trial resulted in a $7.1 million verdict in favor of three veterans.The Honest Company (HNST) – The natural products company is the subject of new – and positive – analyst coverage at multiple Wall Street firms, with Citi and Jefferies rating the stock a “buy” and JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley rating it “overweight.” All mention strong growth prospects, as well as Jessica Alba’s role as founder and brand ambassador. The stock rose 1.4% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NIO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186804598,"gmtCreate":1623482265114,"gmtModify":1634032509390,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","listText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","text":"[Salute] [Salute] [Salute]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186804598","repostId":"2142206100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806294776,"gmtCreate":1627656525395,"gmtModify":1633757350068,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806294776","repostId":"2155015802","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172632474,"gmtCreate":1626957953398,"gmtModify":1633769406265,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Warning]&nbsp;","listText":"[Warning]&nbsp;","text":"[Warning]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172632474","repostId":"1136039581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136039581","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626957159,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136039581?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136039581","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 22) U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.\nTota","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;22)&nbsp;U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）美国。7月中旬首次申请失业救济人数增加51,000人，至419,000人，而预期为350,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于各州切断紧急援助，领取失业救济金的美国人总数锐减120万</b></blockquote></p><p> This was not supposed to happen.</p><p><blockquote>这是不应该发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Initial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as<b>419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time</b>(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...</p><p><blockquote>上周首次申请失业救济人数大幅上升<b>41.9万美国人首次申请失业救济</b>（远高于前一周的36.8万份和35万份的预期）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8eda8482fbe99bba871d16bc5379532\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Michigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...</p><p><blockquote>密歇根州和德克萨斯州的申请人数增幅最大，而纽约州和俄克拉荷马州的增幅最大...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb4d834111a6ca8db1254f129a11ecc\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"1276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">'Traditional'<i>c</i>ontinuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.</p><p><blockquote>“传统”<i>c</i>与前一周的修订相比，持续索赔基本没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> There is some good news though,<b>the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week</b>(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...</p><p><blockquote>不过也有一些好消息，<b>上周索赔总数锐减超过120万</b>（由于各州开始关闭施舍，疫情特定援助大幅下降）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b991ebbb0b2782ffdd1e3059e2fc78\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">But, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...</p><p><blockquote>但是，我们注意到，总的来说，仍有超过1250万美国人领取某种形式的政府救济金...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fe2aeac47f3bbf3eaeb7d11fd96edd3\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"586\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> For context, that compares to the less than 2 million pre-pandemic-lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，大流行前的封锁人数不到200万。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. weekly jobless claims total 419,000 vs. 350,000 estimate<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计41.9万人，预估为35万人</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-22 20:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;22)&nbsp;U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）美国。7月中旬首次申请失业救济人数增加51,000人，至419,000人，而预期为350,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Total Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid</b></p><p><blockquote><b>由于各州切断紧急援助，领取失业救济金的美国人总数锐减120万</b></blockquote></p><p> This was not supposed to happen.</p><p><blockquote>这是不应该发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Initial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as<b>419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time</b>(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...</p><p><blockquote>上周首次申请失业救济人数大幅上升<b>41.9万美国人首次申请失业救济</b>（远高于前一周的36.8万份和35万份的预期）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8eda8482fbe99bba871d16bc5379532\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Michigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...</p><p><blockquote>密歇根州和德克萨斯州的申请人数增幅最大，而纽约州和俄克拉荷马州的增幅最大...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb4d834111a6ca8db1254f129a11ecc\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"1276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">'Traditional'<i>c</i>ontinuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.</p><p><blockquote>“传统”<i>c</i>与前一周的修订相比，持续索赔基本没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> There is some good news though,<b>the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week</b>(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...</p><p><blockquote>不过也有一些好消息，<b>上周索赔总数锐减超过120万</b>（由于各州开始关闭施舍，疫情特定援助大幅下降）...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b991ebbb0b2782ffdd1e3059e2fc78\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">But, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...</p><p><blockquote>但是，我们注意到，总的来说，仍有超过1250万美国人领取某种形式的政府救济金...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fe2aeac47f3bbf3eaeb7d11fd96edd3\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"586\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> For context, that compares to the less than 2 million pre-pandemic-lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，大流行前的封锁人数不到200万。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136039581","content_text":"(July 22) U.S. initial jobless claims jump 51,000 to 419,000 in mid-July, vs. 350,000 estimate.\nTotal Number Of Americans On The Dole Plunges By 1.2 Million As States Cut Off Emergency Aid\nThis was not supposed to happen.\nInitial jobless claims jumped significantly last week as419,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits for the first time(well above the prior week's 368k and expectations of a 350k print)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nMichigan and Texas saw the biggest jump in claims while New York and Oklahoma saw the best improvement...\n'Traditional'continuing claims were basically unchanged over the prior week's revision.\nThere is some good news though,the total number of claims plunged by over 1.2 million last week(driven by a plunge in pandemic specific aid as states began shutting off the handouts)...\nBut, we note that overall, there remains over 12.5 million Americans on some form of government dole...\n\nSource: Bloomberg\nFor context, that compares to the less than 2 million pre-pandemic-lockdowns.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114836605,"gmtCreate":1623064152107,"gmtModify":1634037366235,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","listText":"[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;[Salute]&nbsp;","text":"[Salute] [Salute] 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[Grin]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8280c95f18335592d890a8d0e4622bea","width":"1284","height":"2457"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194914181","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3437864438698016","authorId":"3437864438698016","name":"小do","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3437864438698016","authorIdStr":"3437864438698016"},"content":"这么高都有信心啊，是看sunny的买的吗","text":"这么高都有信心啊，是看sunny的买的吗","html":"这么高都有信心啊，是看sunny的买的吗"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803754767,"gmtCreate":1627467297059,"gmtModify":1633764735850,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","listText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803754767","repostId":"2154405999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180296408,"gmtCreate":1623204778204,"gmtModify":1634035828321,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to get my post trending? [Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"How to get my post trending? [Smug]&nbsp;","text":"How to get my post trending? [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180296408","repostId":"2142299655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149466346,"gmtCreate":1625743821185,"gmtModify":1633937821383,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;Buy more? [Doubt]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;Buy more? [Doubt]&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Buy more? [Doubt]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d674950812a82d6e950dda48d8ad3f7","width":"1125","height":"3370"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149466346","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124745193,"gmtCreate":1624797915812,"gmtModify":1633948542371,"author":{"id":"3583738006388208","authorId":"3583738006388208","name":"CaptainMiya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b66794427d9d57f06bb85d96e46757","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583738006388208","authorIdStr":"3583738006388208"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","listText":"[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;","text":"[Onlooker] [Onlooker] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124745193","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. 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