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ElenaM
2021-12-17
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ElenaM
2021-12-17
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ElenaM
2021-09-16
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昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止
ElenaM
2021-09-06
Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲
ElenaM
2021-08-24
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ElenaM
2021-08-09
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Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote>
ElenaM
2021-08-07
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ElenaM
2021-08-06
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ElenaM
2021-08-05
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ElenaM
2021-08-01
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ElenaM
2021-07-31
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ElenaM
2021-07-30
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ElenaM
2021-07-29
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S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>
ElenaM
2021-07-27
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ElenaM
2021-07-25
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Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
ElenaM
2021-07-24
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ElenaM
2021-07-23
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ElenaM
2021-07-22
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ElenaM
2021-07-21
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ElenaM
2021-07-20
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🥲","listText":" 🥲","text":"🥲","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d099edbc05b36acc4e0990e41e74ee1","width":"1284","height":"1824"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690270584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885363984,"gmtCreate":1631757341148,"gmtModify":1631891797189,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885363984","repostId":"1138329020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138329020","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631749342,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138329020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 07:42","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138329020","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therape","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前</b></p>\n<p>美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。</p>\n<p>油气股涨幅居前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MUR\">墨菲石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPE\">卡隆石油</a>涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股方面,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、新东方、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近0.4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌0.2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌</b></p>\n<p>英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。</p>\n<p><b>4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨</b></p>\n<p>因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划</b></p>\n<p>美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模</b></p>\n<p>在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。</p>\n<p><b>3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平</b></p>\n<p>全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。</p>\n<p><b>4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单</b></p>\n<p>根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。</p>\n<p><b>5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化</b></p>\n<p>达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。</p>\n<p><b>6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁</b></p>\n<p>原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。</p>\n<p><b>7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策</b></p>\n<p>日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167923405\" target=\"_blank\"><b>微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命</b></a></p>\n<p>微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167903285\" target=\"_blank\"><b>辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%</b></a></p>\n<p>根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167599064\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167543599\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167592152\" target=\"_blank\"><b>ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期</b></a></p>\n<p>周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167921590\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域</b></a></p>\n<p>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167630594\" target=\"_blank\"><b>生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%</b></a></p>\n<p>Dice Therapeutics美国IPO首日暴涨117%,报36.89美元。此前给出的IPO发行价为每股17美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>证券、SVB Leerink和 Evercore ISI是此次上市的承销商。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-16 07:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前</b></p>\n<p>美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。</p>\n<p>油气股涨幅居前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MUR\">墨菲石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPE\">卡隆石油</a>涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股方面,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、新东方、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近0.4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌0.2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌</b></p>\n<p>英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。</p>\n<p><b>4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨</b></p>\n<p>因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划</b></p>\n<p>美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模</b></p>\n<p>在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。</p>\n<p><b>3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平</b></p>\n<p>全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。</p>\n<p><b>4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单</b></p>\n<p>根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。</p>\n<p><b>5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化</b></p>\n<p>达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。</p>\n<p><b>6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁</b></p>\n<p>原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。</p>\n<p><b>7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策</b></p>\n<p>日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167923405\" target=\"_blank\"><b>微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命</b></a></p>\n<p>微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167903285\" target=\"_blank\"><b>辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%</b></a></p>\n<p>根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167599064\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167543599\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167592152\" target=\"_blank\"><b>ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期</b></a></p>\n<p>周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167921590\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域</b></a></p>\n<p>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167630594\" target=\"_blank\"><b>生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%</b></a></p>\n<p>Dice Therapeutics美国IPO首日暴涨117%,报36.89美元。此前给出的IPO发行价为每股17美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>证券、SVB Leerink和 Evercore ISI是此次上市的承销商。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","UNG":"美国天然气基金","UGAZ":"三倍做多天然气ETN(VelocityShares)","USO":"美国原油ETF","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DGAZ":"三倍做空天然气ETN(VelocityShares)","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138329020","content_text":"摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n\n海外市场\n1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前\n美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。\n油气股涨幅居前,墨菲石油、卡隆石油涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。\n2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低\n热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,网易有道跌近9%,好未来跌超6%,新东方跌4%,高途跌超2%。\n其他中概股方面,百度涨近1%,哔哩哔哩、新东方、汽车之家跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,拼多多、贝壳跌超2%,阿里巴巴、爱奇艺、京东跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,蔚来汽车涨近0.4%,小鹏汽车跌近1%,理想汽车跌0.2%。\n3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌\n英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,英国富时100指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。\n4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高\n美国能源信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。\n5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨\n因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。\n国际宏观\n1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划\n美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。\n2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模\n在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。\n3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平\n全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。\n4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单\n根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。\n5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化\n达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。\n6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁\n原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。\n7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策\n日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。\n公司新闻\n1、微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命\n微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。\n2、辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%\n根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。\n3、美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据\n据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。\n4、美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元\n据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。\n5、ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期\n周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰ARK Innovation ETF(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。\n6、Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域\n美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。\n7、生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%\nDice Therapeutics美国IPO首日暴涨117%,报36.89美元。此前给出的IPO发行价为每股17美元。美国银行证券、SVB Leerink和 Evercore ISI是此次上市的承销商。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DWT":0.9,"QGmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"NGmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"UCO":0.9,"USO":0.9,"UNG":0.9,"DUG":0.9,"SCO":0.9,"DWTIF":0.9,"DDG":0.9,"UWTIF":0.9,"UGAZ":0.9,"DGAZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817956381,"gmtCreate":1630900251243,"gmtModify":1631891797194,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲","listText":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲","text":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 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[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834984799","repostId":"1197906344","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898827122,"gmtCreate":1628486131366,"gmtModify":1631891797199,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898827122","repostId":"1117756865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117756865","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628485462,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117756865?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 13:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117756865","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiF","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of <b>Apple TV</b> or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote <b>Mark Gurman</b> in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降价<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和HomePod扬声器的高端版本那样发送它<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and <b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么:</b>古尔曼指出了“流媒体时代”的到来以及诸如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>葫芦</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼表示,这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成为“毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点,该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场的2%。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼写道:“保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果TV+订阅,不收取额外费用。”</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法包括降低盒子的价格或将其变成具有4K功能的“棍子”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要:</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能很快实现。他表示,苹果工程师告诉他,这家iPhone制造商“没有强有力的客厅硬件战略,内部也没有太多乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的时事通讯中,古尔曼指出,与任何其他苹果产品相比,苹果电视经历了更多的“界面检修”,“尽管进行了近15年的尝试,但苹果尚未创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品。”</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the <b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者为Mac朝九晚五做出了六年多的贡献,被视为该领域的权威<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-led公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new <b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月,苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控器系列,</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周五,苹果股价常规交易时段收跌近0.5%,报146.14美元,盘后交易下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-09 13:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of <b>Apple TV</b> or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote <b>Mark Gurman</b> in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降价<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和HomePod扬声器的高端版本那样发送它<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and <b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么:</b>古尔曼指出了“流媒体时代”的到来以及诸如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>葫芦</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼表示,这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成为“毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点,该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场的2%。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼写道:“保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果TV+订阅,不收取额外费用。”</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法包括降低盒子的价格或将其变成具有4K功能的“棍子”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要:</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能很快实现。他表示,苹果工程师告诉他,这家iPhone制造商“没有强有力的客厅硬件战略,内部也没有太多乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的时事通讯中,古尔曼指出,与任何其他苹果产品相比,苹果电视经历了更多的“界面检修”,“尽管进行了近15年的尝试,但苹果尚未创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品。”</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the <b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者为Mac朝九晚五做出了六年多的贡献,被视为该领域的权威<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-led公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new <b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月,苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控器系列,</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周五,苹果股价常规交易时段收跌近0.5%,报146.14美元,盘后交易下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117756865","content_text":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote Mark Gurman in the latest edition of his newsletter.\nWhat Happened: Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by Netflix, Amazon.com, and Hulu.\nThis, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.\n“One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.\nGurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”\nWhy It Matters: Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”\nIn the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”\nThe Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the Tim Cook-led company.\nAppleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new Siri Remote,which features clickpad and touch controls.\nPrice Action: On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893756404,"gmtCreate":1628302571308,"gmtModify":1631891797206,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] 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","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806755822","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806314030,"gmtCreate":1627632438820,"gmtModify":1631891797219,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","text":"[Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806314030","repostId":"1137121621","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801277483,"gmtCreate":1627521096042,"gmtModify":1631893509147,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801277483","repostId":"1127264445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127264445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627514621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127264445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127264445","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after th","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大,但脱离盘中低点,此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上,主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场,科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓,股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔还表示,在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前,美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季,以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示:“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后,标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势,但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示,通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近,并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩,Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点,跌幅0.36%,至34,930.93点;标普500下跌0.82点,跌幅0.02%,至4,400.64点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点,跌幅0.7%,至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示:“他们有机会发出信号,表明他们将变得更加鹰派,但他们选择不接受。最重要的是,他们是可预测的,而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>,马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期,但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1;在纳斯达克,2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点;鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 07:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大,但脱离盘中低点,此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上,主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场,科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓,股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔还表示,在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前,美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季,以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示:“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后,标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势,但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示,通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近,并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩,Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点,跌幅0.36%,至34,930.93点;标普500下跌0.82点,跌幅0.02%,至4,400.64点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点,跌幅0.7%,至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示:“他们有机会发出信号,表明他们将变得更加鹰派,但他们选择不接受。最重要的是,他们是可预测的,而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>,马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期,但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1;在纳斯达克,2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127264445","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.\nKeeping the market in check, shares of tech giant Apple Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.\nIn a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.\n“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.\nRight after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.\nInvestors have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.\nThe central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.\nThe Nasdaq ended higher and shares of Google parent Alphabet Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.\nThe Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.\n“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.\nIn other earnings news, Microsoft Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809123543,"gmtCreate":1627353287182,"gmtModify":1631893509150,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809123543","repostId":"2154964378","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177343032,"gmtCreate":1627182853326,"gmtModify":1631893509153,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","text":"[Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177343032","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. 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","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898827122","repostId":"1117756865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117756865","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628485462,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117756865?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 13:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117756865","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiF","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of <b>Apple TV</b> or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote <b>Mark Gurman</b> in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降价<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和HomePod扬声器的高端版本那样发送它<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and <b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么:</b>古尔曼指出了“流媒体时代”的到来以及诸如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>葫芦</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼表示,这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成为“毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点,该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场的2%。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼写道:“保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果TV+订阅,不收取额外费用。”</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法包括降低盒子的价格或将其变成具有4K功能的“棍子”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要:</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能很快实现。他表示,苹果工程师告诉他,这家iPhone制造商“没有强有力的客厅硬件战略,内部也没有太多乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的时事通讯中,古尔曼指出,与任何其他苹果产品相比,苹果电视经历了更多的“界面检修”,“尽管进行了近15年的尝试,但苹果尚未创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品。”</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the <b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者为Mac朝九晚五做出了六年多的贡献,被视为该领域的权威<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-led公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new <b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月,苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控器系列,</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周五,苹果股价常规交易时段收跌近0.5%,报146.14美元,盘后交易下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Needs To Cut Apple TV Prices Or Cull The Beleaguered Living Room Gadget: Gurman<blockquote>苹果需要降低苹果电视价格或淘汰陷入困境的客厅小工具:古尔曼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-09 13:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>needs to cut the prices of <b>Apple TV</b> or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote <b>Mark Gurman</b> in the latest edition of his newsletter.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>需要降价<b>苹果电视台</b>或者像iPod HiFi和HomePod扬声器的高端版本那样发送它<b>马克·古尔曼</b>在他最新一期的时事通讯中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b> Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b>,<b> </b>and <b>Hulu</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么:</b>古尔曼指出了“流媒体时代”的到来以及诸如<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b>,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>,<b></b>和<b>葫芦</b>.</blockquote></p><p> This, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼表示,这使得苹果电视在很大程度上成为“毫无意义的配件”。这位分析师通过分享Strategy Analytics 2020年的数据来支持他的观点,该数据发现苹果电视仅占据流媒体设备市场的2%。</blockquote></p><p> “One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼写道:“保持苹果电视相关性的一个想法是无限期捆绑苹果TV+订阅,不收取额外费用。”</blockquote></p><p> Gurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”</p><p><blockquote>古尔曼的其他想法包括降低盒子的价格或将其变成具有4K功能的“棍子”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b> Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要:</b>古尔曼的建议不太可能很快实现。他表示,苹果工程师告诉他,这家iPhone制造商“没有强有力的客厅硬件战略,内部也没有太多乐观情绪”。</blockquote></p><p> In the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”</p><p><blockquote>在最新的时事通讯中,古尔曼指出,与任何其他苹果产品相比,苹果电视经历了更多的“界面检修”,“尽管进行了近15年的尝试,但苹果尚未创造出任何接近市场领导者的产品。”</blockquote></p><p> The Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the <b>Tim Cook</b>-led company.</p><p><blockquote>这位彭博社记者为Mac朝九晚五做出了六年多的贡献,被视为该领域的权威<b>蒂姆·库克</b>-led公司。</blockquote></p><p> Appleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new <b>Siri Remote,</b>which features clickpad and touch controls.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月,苹果推出了包含A12仿生芯片的下一代4K盒子。该设备带有一个新的<b>遥控器系列,</b>它具有点击板和触摸控制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b> On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>周五,苹果股价常规交易时段收跌近0.5%,报146.14美元,盘后交易下跌0.12%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117756865","content_text":"Apple needs to cut the prices of Apple TV or send it the way of other retired products like iPod HiFi and the high-end version of its HomePod speakers, wrote Mark Gurman in the latest edition of his newsletter.\nWhat Happened: Gurman noted the coming of the “age of streaming” and the abundance of services like those offered by Netflix, Amazon.com, and Hulu.\nThis, according to Gurman, has made Apple TV a largely “pointless accessory.” The analyst buttressed his point by sharing 2020 data from Strategy Analytics that found that Apple TV only held 2% of the streaming device market.\n“One idea for keeping the Apple TV relevant would be to bundle an Apple TV+ subscription indefinitely at no additional charge,” wrote Gurman.\nGurman’s other ideas include cutting the price of the box or turning it into a 4K capable “stick.”\nWhy It Matters: Gurman’s suggestions are unlikely to come to fruition anytime soon. He said that Apple engineers have told him that the iPhone maker “doesn’t have a strong living room hardware strategy and that there isn’t much internal optimism.”\nIn the latest newsletter, Gurman noted that the Apple TV had gone through more “interface overhauls” compared with any other Apple products and “despite nearly 15 years of attempts, Apple hasn’t created anything close to a market leader.”\nThe Bloomberg Journalist contributed to 9 to 5 Mac for over six years and isregardedas an authority on the Tim Cook-led company.\nAppleunveiled the next generationof its 4K box containing an A12 Bionic chip in April this year. The device comes with a new Siri Remote,which features clickpad and touch controls.\nPrice Action: On Friday, Apple shares closed nearly 0.5% lower at $146.14 in the regular session and fell 0.12% in the after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890405577,"gmtCreate":1628126714099,"gmtModify":1631891797209,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890405577","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806755822,"gmtCreate":1627696128766,"gmtModify":1631891797214,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806755822","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175318964,"gmtCreate":1627006629158,"gmtModify":1631893509158,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser] ","listText":"[Miser] ","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175318964","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172383701,"gmtCreate":1626936077203,"gmtModify":1631893509163,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin] ","listText":"[Grin] ","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172383701","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817956381,"gmtCreate":1630900251243,"gmtModify":1631891797194,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲","listText":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲","text":"Please UpUp Tiger Broker Share !! 🥲🥲","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a6dfdcbf9bcf4b762a8453456f43b5","width":"1125","height":"2551"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817956381","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893756404,"gmtCreate":1628302571308,"gmtModify":1631891797206,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893756404","repostId":"1119792130","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158173987,"gmtCreate":1625140854649,"gmtModify":1633944372412,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158173987","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来,标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨,不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声,标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来,只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场,帮助美国经济重新开放,而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测,但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间,央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动,并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期,导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说,没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来,标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次,下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是,该指数在下半年有11次(即79%的时间)走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失,当它们发生时,也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%,在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月,该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一,当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%,仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度,但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期,就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,市场一直表现得想要走高,而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件,在2021年表现温和,最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道:“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升,始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示,这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言,阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来,标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨,不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声,标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来,只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场,帮助美国经济重新开放,而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测,但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间,央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动,并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期,导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说,没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来,标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次,下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是,该指数在下半年有11次(即79%的时间)走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失,当它们发生时,也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%,在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月,该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一,当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%,仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度,但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期,就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,市场一直表现得想要走高,而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件,在2021年表现温和,最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道:“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升,始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示,这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言,阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171275105,"gmtCreate":1626748427707,"gmtModify":1631893509169,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171275105","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148847808,"gmtCreate":1625969104404,"gmtModify":1633931287941,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148847808","repostId":"1184476863","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184476863","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625967744,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184476863?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:42","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts<blockquote>小鹏汽车:中国汽车电动化的领导者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184476863","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.</li> <li>By being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.</li> <li>We continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebea80a575c2b5a2b022a046308936\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>交付量的大幅增长应该有助于小鹏汽车在接下来的几个季度继续提高其营收业绩并扩大其在中国电动汽车市场的立足点。</li><li>作为中国技术最先进的电动汽车公司之一,小鹏汽车完全有机会成为首批达到5级自动化的汽车制造商之一。</li><li>我们仍然相信小鹏汽车是一家稳健增长的公司,如果您是动量投资者,那么现在是购买其股票的好时机。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Robert Way/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</p><p><blockquote>交付量的大幅增长应该有助于小鹏汽车(XPEV)在接下来的几个季度继续提高其营收业绩并扩大其在中国电动汽车市场的立足点。此外,作为中国技术最先进的电动汽车公司之一,小鹏汽车也完全有机会在接下来的几年里成为首批达到5级自动化的汽车制造商之一。考虑到这一点,我们仍然相信小鹏汽车是一家稳健增长的公司,如果您是动量投资者,那么现在是购买其股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Firing On All Cylinders</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全气缸点火</b></blockquote></p><p> XPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest article about its business was published in June.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车是中国最大的电动汽车制造商之一。目前,它生产一款名为G3的SUV和一款名为P7的轿车。此外,该公司计划在9月份发布一款名为G3i的SUV升级版,并在年底发布一款新的家庭友好型轿车P5。总体而言,小鹏汽车的股票近几个月表现不错,去年大部分时间都跑赢了标普500指数,自我们6月份发表有关其业务的最新文章以来,目前已上涨约5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f7c530182ce2c7abde426fcff7f474\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最大的成就之一是成功度过了芯片短缺危机的初始阶段,并在提高交付量方面取得了很大进展。最新数据表明,精通技术的中国消费者对其产品的需求仍然强劲,仅在6月份,该公司就交付了创纪录的6,565辆汽车,同比增长617%。此外,其第二季度交付量为17,398辆,同比增长439%,而第一季度交付量为30,738辆,同比增长459%。另一个好消息是,尽管受到大流行的影响,该公司第二季度的交付量仍超出了15,500-16,000辆的预期,并且有充分的理由相信这种势头很可能至少持续到今年年底。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0479a72617e0ff9759beb7f820fc0494\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>Source:InsideEVs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:InsideEVs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最大的优势是在中国运营,中国被认为是全球最大的电动汽车市场。得益于此,小鹏汽车不需要将其制造或销售外包到其他国家,因为它拥有巨大的当地市场可以销往国内。更重要的是,它还得到了政府的大力支持,因为目前正在建设的一些制造设施是由中国地方政府共同资助的。通过获得这样的帮助,小鹏汽车现在有望在武汉建成第三家制造工厂,这将有助于其达到至少30万辆的年产能。相比之下,2020年特斯拉(TSLA)在华仅售出13.7万辆Model 3。因此,运力增加到如此可观的数量表明小鹏汽车已准备好应对竞争并提高其在大陆的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Another important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.</p><p><blockquote>另一个重要事实是,小鹏在国内的技术比特斯拉等更先进。其近一半的研发人员从事自动驾驶软件工作,因此,该公司成功开发了最先进的导航系统之一,这将有助于其在接下来的几年里成为首批达到5级自动化的公司之一。最重要的是,自今年早些时候推出以来,在导航系统的帮助下已经行驶了超过500万公里,如果最新版本的软件记得车辆所在的位置,现在可以在没有人工帮助的情况下自动将汽车停放在车库中。之前停过。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> As for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.</p><p><blockquote>至于风险,我们看到了其中的一些。首先,XPengTrade的市销率约为16倍,以其目前约370亿美元的市值计算,可以被认为估值很高。因此,对于长期价值股东以及那些不想将投资组合投资于中国资产的人来说,这不是一项好的投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote>此外,潜在的中美贸易战的爆发可能会阻止小鹏汽车进入美国资本市场,因为其目前的股票可能会退市。为了解决这个问题,该公司最近刚刚在香港联交所以双重主要上市结构进行了另一次IPO,筹集了近20亿美元。这不仅有助于该公司进入主要资本市场,还将使中国大陆投资者能够通过港股通购买该股票,这应该会在不久的将来提振小鹏汽车的估值。最重要的是,由于小鹏汽车的业务在外部市场没有重大敞口,潜在贸易战的影响将很小。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在这些风险,但我们不应忘记,中国有望在未来四十年大幅减少碳足迹。因此,可以肯定的是,电动汽车在中国道路上的渗透率在未来几十年只会增加。因此,我们相信小鹏汽车现阶段有很大的推动增长空间,考虑到其第二季度的出色表现,我们也相信它完全有机会成为该地区最大的电动汽车制造商之一。</blockquote></p><p> The latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.</p><p><blockquote>最新预测表明,小鹏汽车的收入可能会从2020财年的90万美元增长364%至2022财年的41.8亿美元,而其每股收益损失预计也将从21年第二季度的-0.33美元降至第三季度和第四季度的-0.06美元。除此之外,该公司截至第一季度末拥有51.2亿美元现金,长期债务仅为4.97亿美元,由于最近香港的发行,其流动性状况已达到70亿美元左右。因此,小鹏汽车的资产负债表并没有过度杠杆化,而且由于新现金的涌入,它不太可能需要通过发行新股来筹集新债务或稀释股东权益来为其扩张提供资金。因此,我们认为其股票可以被视为成长股,特别是因为它最近被纳入富时指数,这应该有助于它吸引更多机构投资者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> With all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们还认为现在是购买该公司股票的一个很好的切入点,因为交付量和产能可能会增加,以及未来几个月即将推出的P5轿车可能会推动其股票上涨更高的水平。因此,我们没有计划短期内回补我们在小鹏汽车的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts<blockquote>小鹏汽车:中国汽车电动化的领导者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng: Leader Of Chinese Vehicle Electrification Efforts<blockquote>小鹏汽车:中国汽车电动化的领导者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.</li> <li>By being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.</li> <li>We continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ebea80a575c2b5a2b022a046308936\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>交付量的大幅增长应该有助于小鹏汽车在接下来的几个季度继续提高其营收业绩并扩大其在中国电动汽车市场的立足点。</li><li>作为中国技术最先进的电动汽车公司之一,小鹏汽车完全有机会成为首批达到5级自动化的汽车制造商之一。</li><li>我们仍然相信小鹏汽车是一家稳健增长的公司,如果您是动量投资者,那么现在是购买其股票的好时机。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Robert Way/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.</p><p><blockquote>交付量的大幅增长应该有助于小鹏汽车(XPEV)在接下来的几个季度继续提高其营收业绩并扩大其在中国电动汽车市场的立足点。此外,作为中国技术最先进的电动汽车公司之一,小鹏汽车也完全有机会在接下来的几年里成为首批达到5级自动化的汽车制造商之一。考虑到这一点,我们仍然相信小鹏汽车是一家稳健增长的公司,如果您是动量投资者,那么现在是购买其股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Firing On All Cylinders</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全气缸点火</b></blockquote></p><p> XPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest article about its business was published in June.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车是中国最大的电动汽车制造商之一。目前,它生产一款名为G3的SUV和一款名为P7的轿车。此外,该公司计划在9月份发布一款名为G3i的SUV升级版,并在年底发布一款新的家庭友好型轿车P5。总体而言,小鹏汽车的股票近几个月表现不错,去年大部分时间都跑赢了标普500指数,自我们6月份发表有关其业务的最新文章以来,目前已上涨约5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f7c530182ce2c7abde426fcff7f474\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最大的成就之一是成功度过了芯片短缺危机的初始阶段,并在提高交付量方面取得了很大进展。最新数据表明,精通技术的中国消费者对其产品的需求仍然强劲,仅在6月份,该公司就交付了创纪录的6,565辆汽车,同比增长617%。此外,其第二季度交付量为17,398辆,同比增长439%,而第一季度交付量为30,738辆,同比增长459%。另一个好消息是,尽管受到大流行的影响,该公司第二季度的交付量仍超出了15,500-16,000辆的预期,并且有充分的理由相信这种势头很可能至少持续到今年年底。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0479a72617e0ff9759beb7f820fc0494\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"445\"><span>Source:InsideEVs</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:InsideEVs</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最大的优势是在中国运营,中国被认为是全球最大的电动汽车市场。得益于此,小鹏汽车不需要将其制造或销售外包到其他国家,因为它拥有巨大的当地市场可以销往国内。更重要的是,它还得到了政府的大力支持,因为目前正在建设的一些制造设施是由中国地方政府共同资助的。通过获得这样的帮助,小鹏汽车现在有望在武汉建成第三家制造工厂,这将有助于其达到至少30万辆的年产能。相比之下,2020年特斯拉(TSLA)在华仅售出13.7万辆Model 3。因此,运力增加到如此可观的数量表明小鹏汽车已准备好应对竞争并提高其在大陆的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Another important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.</p><p><blockquote>另一个重要事实是,小鹏在国内的技术比特斯拉等更先进。其近一半的研发人员从事自动驾驶软件工作,因此,该公司成功开发了最先进的导航系统之一,这将有助于其在接下来的几年里成为首批达到5级自动化的公司之一。最重要的是,自今年早些时候推出以来,在导航系统的帮助下已经行驶了超过500万公里,如果最新版本的软件记得车辆所在的位置,现在可以在没有人工帮助的情况下自动将汽车停放在车库中。之前停过。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> As for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.</p><p><blockquote>至于风险,我们看到了其中的一些。首先,XPengTrade的市销率约为16倍,以其目前约370亿美元的市值计算,可以被认为估值很高。因此,对于长期价值股东以及那些不想将投资组合投资于中国资产的人来说,这不是一项好的投资。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.</p><p><blockquote>此外,潜在的中美贸易战的爆发可能会阻止小鹏汽车进入美国资本市场,因为其目前的股票可能会退市。为了解决这个问题,该公司最近刚刚在香港联交所以双重主要上市结构进行了另一次IPO,筹集了近20亿美元。这不仅有助于该公司进入主要资本市场,还将使中国大陆投资者能够通过港股通购买该股票,这应该会在不久的将来提振小鹏汽车的估值。最重要的是,由于小鹏汽车的业务在外部市场没有重大敞口,潜在贸易战的影响将很小。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在这些风险,但我们不应忘记,中国有望在未来四十年大幅减少碳足迹。因此,可以肯定的是,电动汽车在中国道路上的渗透率在未来几十年只会增加。因此,我们相信小鹏汽车现阶段有很大的推动增长空间,考虑到其第二季度的出色表现,我们也相信它完全有机会成为该地区最大的电动汽车制造商之一。</blockquote></p><p> The latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.</p><p><blockquote>最新预测表明,小鹏汽车的收入可能会从2020财年的90万美元增长364%至2022财年的41.8亿美元,而其每股收益损失预计也将从21年第二季度的-0.33美元降至第三季度和第四季度的-0.06美元。除此之外,该公司截至第一季度末拥有51.2亿美元现金,长期债务仅为4.97亿美元,由于最近香港的发行,其流动性状况已达到70亿美元左右。因此,小鹏汽车的资产负债表并没有过度杠杆化,而且由于新现金的涌入,它不太可能需要通过发行新股来筹集新债务或稀释股东权益来为其扩张提供资金。因此,我们认为其股票可以被视为成长股,特别是因为它最近被纳入富时指数,这应该有助于它吸引更多机构投资者的关注。</blockquote></p><p> With all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们还认为现在是购买该公司股票的一个很好的切入点,因为交付量和产能可能会增加,以及未来几个月即将推出的P5轿车可能会推动其股票上涨更高的水平。因此,我们没有计划短期内回补我们在小鹏汽车的多头头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438413-xpeng-leader-of-chinese-vehicle-electrification-efforts","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184476863","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters.\nBy being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation.\nWe continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you’re a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\n\nRobert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe aggressive growth of deliveries should help XPeng (XPEV) to continue to improve its top-line performance and expand its foothold in the Chinese EV market in the following quarters. In addition, by being one of the most technologically advanced electric vehicle companies in China, XPeng also has all the chances to become one of the first automakers to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. Considering this, we continue to believe that XPeng is a solid growth play and if you're a momentum investor, then now is a good time to purchase its shares.\nFiring On All Cylinders\nXPeng is one of the biggest EV manufacturers in China. Currently, it produces an SUV that goes under the name G3 and a sedan that's called P7. In addition, the company plans to release an upgraded version of its SUV called G3i in September and a new family-friendly sedan P5 by the end of the year. Overall, XPeng's stock showed decent results in recent months, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 Index for most of the last year, and is currently up ~5% since our latest article about its business was published in June.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nOne of the biggest achievements of XPeng is that it has managed to successfully navigate through the initial stages of the chip shortage crisis and made a lot of progress on improving its deliveries. The latestdatasuggests that there's still a strong demand for its offerings among tech-savvy Chinese consumers, as in June alone the company delivered a record 6,565 vehicles, an increase of 617% Y/Y. In addition, its Q2 deliveries were 17,398, up 439% Y/Y, while its 1H deliveries were 30,738 vehicles, up 459% Y/Y. Another good news is that the company's Q2 deliveries beat its projections of 15,500 - 16,000 units despite the pandemic and there's every reason to believe that the momentum is very likely to hold until the end of the year at the very least.\nSource:InsideEVs\nThe biggest advantage of XPeng is that it operates in China, which is considered to be the biggest EV market in the world. Thanks to it, XPeng doesn't need to outsource its manufacturing or sales to other countries as it has a huge local market to sell to back at home. What's more important is that it also has strong governmental support, as some of its manufacturing facilities that are currently being built were co-financed by Chinese local governments. By receiving such help, XPeng is now on track to complete its third manufacturing facility in Wuhan, which will help it to reach an annual capacity of at least 300,000 vehicles. For comparison, Tesla (TSLA) in 2020 sold only 137,000 Model 3s in China. Therefore, an increase of the capacity to such substantial numbers signals that XPeng is ready to tackle the competition and increase its traction across the mainland going forward.\nAnother important fact is that XPeng is more technologically advanced in China than Tesla and others. Almost half of its R&D workforce works on autonomous driving software, and as a result, the company has managed to develop one of the most advanced navigation systems, which should help it to become one of the first to reach Level 5 automation in the following years. On top of that, over 5 million kilometers were alreadydrivenwith the help of the navigation system since its launch earlier this year, and the latest version of the software can now automaticallyparkthe car in garages without human help if it remembers the spot in which the vehicle was parked before.\nRisks\nAs for the risks, we see a couple of them. First of all, XPengtradesat a price-to-sales ratio of ~16x and could be considered richly valued at its current market cap of around $37 billion. For that reason, it's not a good investment for long-term value shareholders, and for those who don't want to expose their portfolios to Chinese assets.\nIn addition, there's a risk that the start of the potential China-US trade war could prevent XPeng from accessing the US capital markets, as its current shares could be delisted. To tackle this issue, the company just recentlyraisednearly $2 billion by executing another IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange with a double main listing structure. This will help the company not only to have an access to the major capital market, but it will also give the Chinese mainland investors the ability to buy the stock through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which should boost XPeng's valuation in the near future. On top of that, since XPeng's business doesn't have major exposure to outside markets, the blowback from the potential trade war will be minimal.\nTakeaway\nDespite those risks, we should not forget that China is on track to significantly decrease its carbon footprint in the next four decades. Therefore, it's safe to assume that the penetration rate of electric vehicles on Chinese roads is only going to increase in the following decades. As a result, we believe that there's plenty of room for XPeng to drive growth at this stage, and considering its great performance in Q2, we also believe that it has all the chances to become one of the biggest EV manufacturers in the region.\nThe latest forecast suggests that XPeng could increase its revenues by 364% from $0.9 million in FY20 to $4.18 billion in FY22, while its EPS loss is also expected todecreasefrom -$0.33 in Q2'21 to only -$0.06 in Q3 and Q4. On top of that, the companyhad$5.12 billion in cash at the end of Q1, only $497 million in long-term debt, and thanks to the recent Honk Kong offering its liquidity position is already around $7 billion. As a result, XPeng doesn't have an overleveraged balance sheet, and thanks to the influx of new cash it's very unlikely that it'll be required to raise new debt or dilute its shareholders by offering new shares to fund its expansion. Therefore, we believe that its stock could be considered a growth play, especially since it has beenaddedto FTSE's indexes recently, which should help it to attract more attention from institutional investors.\nWith all of this in mind, we also think that right now is a good entry point to purchase the company's shares, as the likely increase in deliveries and capacity along with the launch of the upcoming P5 sedan in the following months could push its stock to higher levels. For that reason, we have no plans to cover our long position in XPeng anytime soon.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09868":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141434135,"gmtCreate":1625884477727,"gmtModify":1633936405114,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141434135","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一周的缓慢假期后,未来一周将有9起IPO筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier <b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>Stevanato集团</b>(STVN)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集9亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制,向700多家客户供应玻璃瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器,其中包括排名前50的制药公司中的41家。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT <b>Phillips Edison & Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心房地产投资信托基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集5.02亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国300家购物中心的股权,重点关注Kroger和Public等杂货商入驻的地点。它的中点年化收益率目标为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名,<b>会员集体组</b>(MCG)计划以32亿美元的市值筹集450美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础,尽管它没有盈利记录,而且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise <b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼,在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去12个月中实现了37%的EBITDA,尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数字中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider <b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND)计划以45亿美元的市值筹集3.4亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台,改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番,但由于研发和S&M支出,核心软件业务非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日,桥梁投资集团拥有约260亿美元的AUM,在25个投资工具中拥有超过6,500名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider <b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT)计划以10亿美元的市值筹集1.5亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和手术设备,为眼病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性手术后,这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象(+32%)。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company <b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>(SERA)计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发旨在改善妊娠结局的生物标志物测试。Sera Prognostics唯一的商业产品PreTRM测试可以预测早产的风险,尽管它尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech <b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延期,早期肾病生物技术<b>单环疗法</b>(UNCY)计划以7900万美元的市值筹集2500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年7月8日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌0.8%,而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌5.2%,而ACWX指数上涨7.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:9周IPO中的房地产、大流行后的游戏等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了一周的缓慢假期后,未来一周将有9起IPO筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier <b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>Stevanato集团</b>(STVN)计划以68亿美元的市值筹集9亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制,向700多家客户供应玻璃瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器,其中包括排名前50的制药公司中的41家。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT <b>Phillips Edison & Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心房地产投资信托基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集5.02亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国300家购物中心的股权,重点关注Kroger和Public等杂货商入驻的地点。它的中点年化收益率目标为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名,<b>会员集体组</b>(MCG)计划以32亿美元的市值筹集450美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础,尽管它没有盈利记录,而且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise <b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼,在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去12个月中实现了37%的EBITDA,尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数字中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider <b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押贷款软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND)计划以45亿美元的市值筹集3.4亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台,改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番,但由于研发和S&M支出,核心软件业务非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG)计划以18亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日,桥梁投资集团拥有约260亿美元的AUM,在25个投资工具中拥有超过6,500名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider <b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT)计划以10亿美元的市值筹集1.5亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和手术设备,为眼病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性手术后,这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象(+32%)。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company <b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>(SERA)计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发旨在改善妊娠结局的生物标志物测试。Sera Prognostics唯一的商业产品PreTRM测试可以预测早产的风险,尽管它尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech <b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延期,早期肾病生物技术<b>单环疗法</b>(UNCY)计划以7900万美元的市值筹集2500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2011年7月8日,文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今下跌0.8%,而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPO)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake(SNOW)和Palantir Technologies(PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌5.2%,而ACWX指数上涨7.3%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IPOS)跟踪该指数,持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc.","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc.","FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SERA":0.9,"SGHT":0.9,"STVN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"FXLV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MCG":0.9,"PECO":0.9,"BLND":0.9,"BRDG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177343032,"gmtCreate":1627182853326,"gmtModify":1631893509153,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] [Smile] ","text":"[Smile] [Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177343032","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145679462,"gmtCreate":1626223329256,"gmtModify":1633928922736,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145679462","repostId":"1171237961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171237961","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626221936,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171237961?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?<blockquote>美联储能否在下一次低迷时期避免负利率?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171237961","media":"yahoo","summary":"The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into short-term borrowing rates below zero?</p><p><blockquote>美联储在2020年大流行引发的衰退中成功避免了转向负利率。但如果经济再次面临低迷,央行会支持将短期借款利率降至零以下吗?</blockquote></p><p> In aUBS surveyof almost 30 central banks around the world, 21% of respondents said they could see the Fed turning to negative interest rates if needed.</p><p><blockquote>在aUBS对全球近30家央行的调查中,21%的受访者表示,如果需要,他们可能会看到美联储转向负利率。</blockquote></p><p> The concern: With U.S. short-term rates yet again backed up at near-zero, a Fed that may beslower to raise interest rateswill not have the room to again cut rates in the next crisis.</p><p><blockquote>令人担忧的是:随着美国短期利率再次维持在接近于零的水平,美联储可能会降低利率以提高利率,但在下一次危机中将没有再次降息的空间。</blockquote></p><p> But Fed officials, who managed to avoid the tool through an economic shutdown of unprecedented scale, have made it clear that negative interest rates are low on their lists of preferred policy tools.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储官员通过规模空前的经济停摆成功避免了这一工具,他们明确表示,负利率在他们首选的政策工具清单上排名靠后。</blockquote></p><p> “Negative rates I think have a worse cost-benefit relationship than the other tools that we have,” New York Fed President John Williams told reporters on Monday morning.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯周一上午对记者表示:“我认为负利率的成本效益关系比我们拥有的其他工具更差。”</blockquote></p><p> AnOctober 2019 discussionof negative rates noted that all of the Fed’s policy-setting members disliked the idea of implementing the policy in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>2019年10月关于负利率的讨论指出,所有美联储政策制定成员都不喜欢在美国实施该政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “The committee’s view on negative rates really has not changed. This is not something we’re looking at,” Powell said in May 2020.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在2020年5月表示:“委员会对负利率的看法确实没有改变。这不是我们正在考虑的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, the central bank hasn’t explicitly ruled out its possible use in the future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,央行尚未明确排除其未来可能使用的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>‘Rather stay out of that game’</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“宁愿置身事外”</b></blockquote></p><p> Negative interest rate policies, such as those deployed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, attempt to stimulate the economy by penalizing banks for parking money at the central bank. The idea is to push banks to lend into the economy by further discouraging saving.</p><p><blockquote>负利率政策,如欧洲央行和日本央行部署的负利率政策,试图通过惩罚银行将资金存放在央行来刺激经济。这个想法是通过进一步抑制储蓄来推动银行向经济放贷。</blockquote></p><p> But Fed officials have worried about the distortions that could come with negative short-term rates in the U.S., where the importance of U.S. government debt markets and the U.S. dollar could have wide-reaching and international financial stability consequences.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储官员担心美国短期负利率可能带来的扭曲,美国政府债务市场和美元的重要性可能会对国际金融稳定产生广泛影响。</blockquote></p><p> “You’ve got Japan and Europe mired in negative interest rates,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullardtold Yahoo Finance on May 24. “We’d rather stay out of that game.”</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德(James Bullard)5月24日对雅虎财经表示:“日本和欧洲陷入了负利率的泥潭。”“我们宁愿置身事外。”</blockquote></p><p> UBS noted that the $4.5 trillion money market, which is heavily reliant on short-term rates, is too large — and too interconnected to public and private sectors — to be toyed around with.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银指出,严重依赖短期利率的4.5万亿美元货币市场规模太大,而且与公共和私营部门联系太紧密,不容玩弄。</blockquote></p><p> “Implementing a negative interest rate policy in the U.S. would be too much of a disruptor (not the same issue overseas),” UBS Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli wrote.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银首席投资官Solita Marcelli写道:“在美国实施负利率政策会造成太大的干扰(海外不是同样的问题)。”</blockquote></p><p> The playbook in the next crisis might therefore look similar to the one used last year: near-zero rates, aggressive asset purchases, and an armada of liquidity facilities to backstop various financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,下一场危机的剧本可能与去年相似:接近零的利率、激进的资产购买以及支持各种金融市场的大量流动性工具。</blockquote></p><p> Williams specifically said the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities have been \"critically important.\" The Fed has only recently begun conversations about slowing the pace of those purchases, as the central bank's balance sheet soars past the $8 trillion mark.</p><p><blockquote>威廉姆斯特别表示,美联储购买美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券“至关重要”。随着美联储的资产负债表飙升超过8万亿美元大关,美联储最近才开始讨论放缓这些购买步伐。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7accbdd2071471c525d7cd6ecce430ae\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “These tools, they’re not really as unconventional as they used to be,” Williams said Monday.</p><p><blockquote>威廉姆斯周一表示:“这些工具并不像以前那样非传统。”</blockquote></p><p> The UBS survey notes that the Fed could still get creative if it needed to. About 45% of respondents said they could see the Fed buying stocks and about 65% said they could see the Fed targeting medium- to longer-dated bond yields (through a tool calledyield curve control) in the next crisis.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的调查指出,如果需要,美联储仍然可以发挥创造力。约45%的受访者表示,他们可能会看到美联储购买股票,约65%的受访者表示,他们可能会看到美联储在下一次危机中瞄准中长期债券收益率(通过一种称为收益率曲线控制的工具)。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?<blockquote>美联储能否在下一次低迷时期避免负利率?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the Fed avoid negative interest rates in the next downturn?<blockquote>美联储能否在下一次低迷时期避免负利率?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-14 08:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into short-term borrowing rates below zero?</p><p><blockquote>美联储在2020年大流行引发的衰退中成功避免了转向负利率。但如果经济再次面临低迷,央行会支持将短期借款利率降至零以下吗?</blockquote></p><p> In aUBS surveyof almost 30 central banks around the world, 21% of respondents said they could see the Fed turning to negative interest rates if needed.</p><p><blockquote>在aUBS对全球近30家央行的调查中,21%的受访者表示,如果需要,他们可能会看到美联储转向负利率。</blockquote></p><p> The concern: With U.S. short-term rates yet again backed up at near-zero, a Fed that may beslower to raise interest rateswill not have the room to again cut rates in the next crisis.</p><p><blockquote>令人担忧的是:随着美国短期利率再次维持在接近于零的水平,美联储可能会降低利率以提高利率,但在下一次危机中将没有再次降息的空间。</blockquote></p><p> But Fed officials, who managed to avoid the tool through an economic shutdown of unprecedented scale, have made it clear that negative interest rates are low on their lists of preferred policy tools.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储官员通过规模空前的经济停摆成功避免了这一工具,他们明确表示,负利率在他们首选的政策工具清单上排名靠后。</blockquote></p><p> “Negative rates I think have a worse cost-benefit relationship than the other tools that we have,” New York Fed President John Williams told reporters on Monday morning.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯周一上午对记者表示:“我认为负利率的成本效益关系比我们拥有的其他工具更差。”</blockquote></p><p> AnOctober 2019 discussionof negative rates noted that all of the Fed’s policy-setting members disliked the idea of implementing the policy in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>2019年10月关于负利率的讨论指出,所有美联储政策制定成员都不喜欢在美国实施该政策的想法。</blockquote></p><p> “The committee’s view on negative rates really has not changed. This is not something we’re looking at,” Powell said in May 2020.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在2020年5月表示:“委员会对负利率的看法确实没有改变。这不是我们正在考虑的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, the central bank hasn’t explicitly ruled out its possible use in the future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,央行尚未明确排除其未来可能使用的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>‘Rather stay out of that game’</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“宁愿置身事外”</b></blockquote></p><p> Negative interest rate policies, such as those deployed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, attempt to stimulate the economy by penalizing banks for parking money at the central bank. The idea is to push banks to lend into the economy by further discouraging saving.</p><p><blockquote>负利率政策,如欧洲央行和日本央行部署的负利率政策,试图通过惩罚银行将资金存放在央行来刺激经济。这个想法是通过进一步抑制储蓄来推动银行向经济放贷。</blockquote></p><p> But Fed officials have worried about the distortions that could come with negative short-term rates in the U.S., where the importance of U.S. government debt markets and the U.S. dollar could have wide-reaching and international financial stability consequences.</p><p><blockquote>但美联储官员担心美国短期负利率可能带来的扭曲,美国政府债务市场和美元的重要性可能会对国际金融稳定产生广泛影响。</blockquote></p><p> “You’ve got Japan and Europe mired in negative interest rates,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullardtold Yahoo Finance on May 24. “We’d rather stay out of that game.”</p><p><blockquote>圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德(James Bullard)5月24日对雅虎财经表示:“日本和欧洲陷入了负利率的泥潭。”“我们宁愿置身事外。”</blockquote></p><p> UBS noted that the $4.5 trillion money market, which is heavily reliant on short-term rates, is too large — and too interconnected to public and private sectors — to be toyed around with.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银指出,严重依赖短期利率的4.5万亿美元货币市场规模太大,而且与公共和私营部门联系太紧密,不容玩弄。</blockquote></p><p> “Implementing a negative interest rate policy in the U.S. would be too much of a disruptor (not the same issue overseas),” UBS Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli wrote.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银首席投资官Solita Marcelli写道:“在美国实施负利率政策会造成太大的干扰(海外不是同样的问题)。”</blockquote></p><p> The playbook in the next crisis might therefore look similar to the one used last year: near-zero rates, aggressive asset purchases, and an armada of liquidity facilities to backstop various financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,下一场危机的剧本可能与去年相似:接近零的利率、激进的资产购买以及支持各种金融市场的大量流动性工具。</blockquote></p><p> Williams specifically said the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities have been \"critically important.\" The Fed has only recently begun conversations about slowing the pace of those purchases, as the central bank's balance sheet soars past the $8 trillion mark.</p><p><blockquote>威廉姆斯特别表示,美联储购买美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券“至关重要”。随着美联储的资产负债表飙升超过8万亿美元大关,美联储最近才开始讨论放缓这些购买步伐。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7accbdd2071471c525d7cd6ecce430ae\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “These tools, they’re not really as unconventional as they used to be,” Williams said Monday.</p><p><blockquote>威廉姆斯周一表示:“这些工具并不像以前那样非传统。”</blockquote></p><p> The UBS survey notes that the Fed could still get creative if it needed to. About 45% of respondents said they could see the Fed buying stocks and about 65% said they could see the Fed targeting medium- to longer-dated bond yields (through a tool calledyield curve control) in the next crisis.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的调查指出,如果需要,美联储仍然可以发挥创造力。约45%的受访者表示,他们可能会看到美联储购买股票,约65%的受访者表示,他们可能会看到美联储在下一次危机中瞄准中长期债券收益率(通过一种称为收益率曲线控制的工具)。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/can-the-fed-avoid-negative-interest-rates-in-the-next-downturn-133021653.html\">yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/can-the-fed-avoid-negative-interest-rates-in-the-next-downturn-133021653.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171237961","content_text":"The Federal Reserve managed to avoid turning to negative interest rates through the pandemic-induced recession of 2020. But if the economy faces another downturn, will the central bank be backed into short-term borrowing rates below zero?\nIn aUBS surveyof almost 30 central banks around the world, 21% of respondents said they could see the Fed turning to negative interest rates if needed.\nThe concern: With U.S. short-term rates yet again backed up at near-zero, a Fed that may beslower to raise interest rateswill not have the room to again cut rates in the next crisis.\nBut Fed officials, who managed to avoid the tool through an economic shutdown of unprecedented scale, have made it clear that negative interest rates are low on their lists of preferred policy tools.\n“Negative rates I think have a worse cost-benefit relationship than the other tools that we have,” New York Fed President John Williams told reporters on Monday morning.\nAnOctober 2019 discussionof negative rates noted that all of the Fed’s policy-setting members disliked the idea of implementing the policy in the U.S.\n“The committee’s view on negative rates really has not changed. This is not something we’re looking at,” Powell said in May 2020.\nStill, the central bank hasn’t explicitly ruled out its possible use in the future.\n‘Rather stay out of that game’\nNegative interest rate policies, such as those deployed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, attempt to stimulate the economy by penalizing banks for parking money at the central bank. The idea is to push banks to lend into the economy by further discouraging saving.\nBut Fed officials have worried about the distortions that could come with negative short-term rates in the U.S., where the importance of U.S. government debt markets and the U.S. dollar could have wide-reaching and international financial stability consequences.\n“You’ve got Japan and Europe mired in negative interest rates,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullardtold Yahoo Finance on May 24. “We’d rather stay out of that game.”\nUBS noted that the $4.5 trillion money market, which is heavily reliant on short-term rates, is too large — and too interconnected to public and private sectors — to be toyed around with.\n“Implementing a negative interest rate policy in the U.S. would be too much of a disruptor (not the same issue overseas),” UBS Chief Investment Officer Solita Marcelli wrote.\nThe playbook in the next crisis might therefore look similar to the one used last year: near-zero rates, aggressive asset purchases, and an armada of liquidity facilities to backstop various financial markets.\nWilliams specifically said the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities have been \"critically important.\" The Fed has only recently begun conversations about slowing the pace of those purchases, as the central bank's balance sheet soars past the $8 trillion mark.\n\n“These tools, they’re not really as unconventional as they used to be,” Williams said Monday.\nThe UBS survey notes that the Fed could still get creative if it needed to. About 45% of respondents said they could see the Fed buying stocks and about 65% said they could see the Fed targeting medium- to longer-dated bond yields (through a tool calledyield curve control) in the next crisis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885363984,"gmtCreate":1631757341148,"gmtModify":1631891797189,"author":{"id":"3584572781964958","authorId":"3584572781964958","name":"ElenaM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0a5516432035eff4ce07be8b32afb7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584572781964958","idStr":"3584572781964958"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile] ","listText":"[Smile] ","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885363984","repostId":"1138329020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138329020","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631749342,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138329020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 07:42","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138329020","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therape","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前</b></p>\n<p>美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。</p>\n<p>油气股涨幅居前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MUR\">墨菲石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPE\">卡隆石油</a>涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股方面,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、新东方、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近0.4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌0.2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌</b></p>\n<p>英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。</p>\n<p><b>4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨</b></p>\n<p>因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划</b></p>\n<p>美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模</b></p>\n<p>在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。</p>\n<p><b>3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平</b></p>\n<p>全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。</p>\n<p><b>4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单</b></p>\n<p>根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。</p>\n<p><b>5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化</b></p>\n<p>达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。</p>\n<p><b>6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁</b></p>\n<p>原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。</p>\n<p><b>7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策</b></p>\n<p>日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167923405\" target=\"_blank\"><b>微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命</b></a></p>\n<p>微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167903285\" target=\"_blank\"><b>辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%</b></a></p>\n<p>根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167599064\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167543599\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167592152\" target=\"_blank\"><b>ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期</b></a></p>\n<p>周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167921590\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域</b></a></p>\n<p>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167630594\" target=\"_blank\"><b>生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%</b></a></p>\n<p>Dice Therapeutics美国IPO首日暴涨117%,报36.89美元。此前给出的IPO发行价为每股17美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>证券、SVB Leerink和 Evercore ISI是此次上市的承销商。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨:三大指数集体收涨!本轮修正是否就此终止\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-16 07:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p><b>1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前</b></p>\n<p>美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。</p>\n<p>油气股涨幅居前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MUR\">墨菲石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPE\">卡隆石油</a>涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。</p>\n<p><b>2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低</b></p>\n<p>热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道跌近9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>跌超2%。</p>\n<p>其他中概股方面,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、新东方、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近0.4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌近1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌0.2%。</p>\n<p><b>3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌</b></p>\n<p>英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。</p>\n<p><b>4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USEG\">美国能源</a>信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。</p>\n<p><b>5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨</b></p>\n<p>因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p><b>1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划</b></p>\n<p>美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。</p>\n<p><b>2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模</b></p>\n<p>在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。</p>\n<p><b>3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平</b></p>\n<p>全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。</p>\n<p><b>4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单</b></p>\n<p>根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。</p>\n<p><b>5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化</b></p>\n<p>达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。</p>\n<p><b>6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁</b></p>\n<p>原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。</p>\n<p><b>7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策</b></p>\n<p>日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p><b>1、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167923405\" target=\"_blank\"><b>微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命</b></a></p>\n<p>微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167903285\" target=\"_blank\"><b>辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%</b></a></p>\n<p>根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。</p>\n<p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167599064\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。</p>\n<p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167543599\" target=\"_blank\"><b>美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元</b></a></p>\n<p>据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。</p>\n<p><b>5、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167592152\" target=\"_blank\"><b>ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期</b></a></p>\n<p>周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。</p>\n<p><b>6、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167921590\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域</b></a></p>\n<p>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。</p>\n<p><b>7、</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2167630594\" target=\"_blank\"><b>生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%</b></a></p>\n<p>Dice Therapeutics美国IPO首日暴涨117%,报36.89美元。此前给出的IPO发行价为每股17美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>证券、SVB Leerink和 Evercore ISI是此次上市的承销商。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","UNG":"美国天然气基金","UGAZ":"三倍做多天然气ETN(VelocityShares)","USO":"美国原油ETF","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DGAZ":"三倍做空天然气ETN(VelocityShares)","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138329020","content_text":"摘要:美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前;美国WTI原油收高3.1%,天然气再创7年半新高;美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划;微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划;生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%。\n\n海外市场\n1、美三大指数集体收涨,油气股涨幅居前\n美股周三收高,主要股指在连续下跌之后反弹。美国8月制造业产出增长0.2%不及预期。市场仍在权衡美国8月CPI数据,并担忧德尔塔异毒株影响全球经济复苏。截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨0.68%,标普500指数涨0.85%,纳斯达克指数涨0.82%。\n油气股涨幅居前,墨菲石油、卡隆石油涨超8%,戴文能源涨超7%。\n2、热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑 教育股普遍走低\n热门中概股周三收盘多数下滑,教育股普遍走低,网易有道跌近9%,好未来跌超6%,新东方跌4%,高途跌超2%。\n其他中概股方面,百度涨近1%,哔哩哔哩、新东方、汽车之家跌超4%,雾芯科技跌近3%,拼多多、贝壳跌超2%,阿里巴巴、爱奇艺、京东跌超1%。新能源汽车股中,蔚来汽车涨近0.4%,小鹏汽车跌近1%,理想汽车跌0.2%。\n3、英国8月通胀率达9年新高 欧股全线下跌\n英国通胀率飙升,使欧洲股市的主要指数承受压力。周三欧股主要股指普遍收跌,德国DAX指数跌0.66%,法国CAC40指数跌1.04%,英国富时100指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数跌1.08%。\n4、美国WTI原油收高3.1% 天然气再创7年半新高\n美国能源信息署报告产美国上周原油供应减少640万桶,令油价得到支撑。天然气期货价格再创7年半新高。最终,WTI10月期货价格上涨2.15美元,涨幅约3.1%,收于每桶72.61美元,创7月30日以来的最高收盘价。天然气期货同样上涨,并再创2014年2月以来的最高收盘价。纽交所10月天然气期货价额上涨20美分,涨幅3.8%,收于每百万英热单位5.46美元。\n5、黄金期货周三收跌0.7% 结束两连涨\n因美联储缩减刺激政策的不确定性,黄金期货周三录得3个交易日来的首次下跌,几乎完全回吐了周二的涨幅。最终,纽交所12月交割的黄金期货价格下跌12.30美元,跌幅0.7%,收于每盎司1794.80美元。\n国际宏观\n1、美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进税改计划\n美国众议院筹款委员会投票推进对美国富人和公司增税的计划,作为民主党“预算和解”开支法案的一部分。\n2、欧洲央行告诫投资者不要专注于债券购买规模\n在欧洲央行官员决定第四季度放慢资产购买步伐的几天后,该行首席经济学家Philip Lane表示,投资者在评估欧洲央行的货币政策时,不应该单纯地关注资产购买规模。\n3、美国原油库存受飓风影响持续下降 达2019年9月以来最低水平\n全美原油库存降至2019年9月以来最低水平,部分原因是墨西哥湾沿岸供应减少到新冠疫情前低点。毋庸置疑,这主要是飓风“艾达”所致。距离飓风过境时隔近三周,遭受影响的生产商仍在恢复当中,墨西哥湾沿岸产量仅恢复了60%。\n4、1950年以来首次!英国或跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国名单\n根据德国联邦统计局公布的最新数据,2021年,英国可能将自1950年以来首次跌出德国十大贸易伙伴国之列。两国间的贸易额在今年上半年下降2.3%至483亿欧元,由此英国跌到了德国重要贸易伙伴国的第十一位。其中,德国从英国的进口贸易下降了11%,仅为160亿欧元。具体来看,食品行业下降了38.5%,纺织品下降了53%,医药产品下降了47%。\n5、桥水基金创始人达利欧:“现金仍然是垃圾” 对投资者而言最关键是投资多元化\n达利欧表示,现金仍然是垃圾。股市目前享有的优势会逐步减少。对投资者而言,最重要的是在不同货币、资产类别和国家之间进行多元化分配,不只是在股市内部。达利欧对比特币有一定的投资,说相比于他对黄金的投资额,“百分比比率较小”,而他对黄金的投资与其他资产类别相比“百分比比率相对较小”。达利欧目前持有一些比特币,并表示可以考虑将加密货币用作现金和部分金融资产的替代品之一。\n6、英国首相约翰逊改组内阁\n原国际贸易大臣伊丽莎白·特拉斯被任命为外交大臣。原外交大臣多米尼克·拉布转任副首相、大法官和司法大臣,英国媒体称之为“降职”。原商业国务大臣安妮-玛丽·特里维廉接任国际贸易大臣职务。此外还有三位大臣遭解职。\n7、日本央行行长黑田东彦:必要时将进一步放松货币政策\n日本央行行长黑田东彦表示,如有必要,日本央行将进一步放松货币政策,如降低利率。日本央行致力于通过尽可能灵活、宽松的货币政策,尽早实现2%的通胀目标。\n公司新闻\n1、微软宣布600亿美元股票回购计划 还做了这一重要人事任命\n微软宣布了一个重磅消息——批准一项高达600亿美元的股份回购计划。微软表示,回购没有截止日期,可能随时终止,每股0.62美元的新股息比上一季度的股息增加了6美分。微软上一次回购计划是在2019年9月,当时规模是400亿美元。\n2、辉瑞“逼宫”FDA放行第三针 以色列数据显示保护率能恢复到95%\n根据辉瑞公司提交给美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)一份长达52页的报告,以色列的临床数据显示,在接种第二剂疫苗6个月后,接种第三剂辉瑞疫苗可将感染保护率恢复到95%。目前FDA在审核加强针的方面不仅面临辉瑞公司的压力。白宫首席医学顾问福奇曾表示,FDA可能在9月20日前批准辉瑞新冠疫苗加强针。\n3、美版“饿了么”DoorDash将纽约市告上法庭:不想与餐厅共享用户数据\n据报道,美国外卖配送公司DoorDash今日对纽约市提起诉讼,原因是一项新法律要求快递公司向餐厅分享更多客户数据。\n4、美国社区论坛Reddit广告雄心初见成效:今年营收至少翻翻至3.5亿美元\n据报道,今年早些时候GameStop和AMC等公司股价的飙升,在很大程度上得益于拥有16年历史的在线新闻聚合和讨论社区Reddit的推动。这反映出了Reddit的受众规模,最新一份文件显示,Reddit在全球的月度用户达到4.3亿,接近于图片社交网络Pinterest的4.54亿月度用户。\n5、ETF发行商排名方舟跌出前10!女股神: 经济复苏不如预期\n周三(9月15日),“女股神”凯茜伍德的方舟投资在美国ETF发行商中的排名正在下滑,方舟目前拥有约424亿美元的ETF,排名第11。由于投资者大量的资金流入,方舟在今年早些时候进入了前10名,但是,正当方舟价值210亿美元的旗舰ARK Innovation ETF(股票代码ARKK)大放异彩时,竞争也在加剧。由于方舟的资产略有下降,竞争对手WisdomTree已经领先,与此同时,行业新人Dimensional Fund Advisors紧随方舟之后,两家发行商之间的差距不到30亿美元。\n6、Coinbase正计划进军加密货币衍生品领域\n美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase周三向美国全国期货协会提交了注册为期货委员会商户的申请。加密货币期货和期权长期以来一直是Coinbase产品组合中的一个明显不足之处,与此同时比特币衍生品已成长为一个巨大的市场。今年早些时候,Coinbase还收购了以跟踪衍生品市场而闻名的分析公司Skew。\n7、生物制药公司Dice Therapeutics上市首日暴涨117%\nDice 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