kaisx的个人主页 - 老虎社区

kaisx

kaisx

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2022-05-13

$Tencent Music(TME)$ its time to rebound

2022-05-06

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$[惊讶] its shocking that the price would get this low, buy the dip

2022-05-06

$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ historical Singapore reits have always been performaning. Would expect to fall further in short term however no doubt during high inflation these days, it's a good hedging investment.

2022-05-05

$Tencent Music(TME)$[思考]

2022-05-04

$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ long term investment

2022-05-04

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ Opportunity awaits

2022-05-03

$Tencent Music(TME)$[微笑]

2022-04-30

$Apple(AAPL)$[惊讶]

2022-04-30

$Tencent Music(TME)$[微笑]

2022-04-28

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$[呆住]

2022-04-28

$Tencent Music(TME)$ like pls

2022-04-27

$Tencent Music(TME)$[呆住]

2022-04-26

$Apple(AAPL)$[微笑]

2022-04-22

$Alibaba(BABA)$ its time

2022-04-22

$Tencent Music(TME)$[傲娇]

2022-04-21

$GEELY AUTO(00175)$[微笑]

2022-04-21

$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$[微笑]

2022-04-19

$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$[开心]

2022-04-19

$Qudian Inc.(QD)$[流泪]

2022-04-11

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ going back up soon

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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AUTO(00175)$[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c068450cf07178950010c40750d5e2b","width":"1080","height":"2110"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611568541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611568694,"gmtCreate":1650547013466,"gmtModify":1650547013466,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584869808763617","authorIdStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F34.SI\">$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL 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Inc.(QD)$[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58913cc1ce0e83ab5c9e6c2330db9a77","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611172052","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613338302,"gmtCreate":1649692386821,"gmtModify":1649693502140,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584869808763617","authorIdStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> going back up soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> going back up soon","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ going back up soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40d04602731f43eb7df0ff0f2cb817a1","width":"1080","height":"1869"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613338302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":616513023,"gmtCreate":1651824644762,"gmtModify":1651970426128,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRT.SI\">$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$</a>&nbsp;historical Singapore reits have always been performaning.&nbsp;Would expect to fall further in short term however no doubt during high inflation these days, it's a good hedging investment.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRT.SI\">$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$</a>&nbsp;historical Singapore reits have always been performaning.&nbsp;Would expect to fall further in short term however no doubt during high inflation these days, it's a good hedging investment.&nbsp;","text":"$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ historical Singapore reits have always been performaning. Would expect to fall further in short term however no doubt during high inflation these days, it's a good hedging investment.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7186d59e1d7eec502f77dd67da747aeb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":264,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":9,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616513023","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616175317,"gmtCreate":1651634034062,"gmtModify":1651828167707,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRT.SI\">$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$</a> long term investment","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRT.SI\">$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$</a> long term investment","text":"$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ long term investment","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9266c39342d8b7a9ab46c79ec9434f63","width":"1080","height":"2136"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":91,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616175317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616134466,"gmtCreate":1651562302955,"gmtModify":1651562302955,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"$Tencent Music(TME)$[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed28deb49c6077702225e235822cf696","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":41,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616134466","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612439914,"gmtCreate":1652440420438,"gmtModify":1652440420438,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a> its time to rebound","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a> its time to rebound","text":"$Tencent Music(TME)$ its time to rebound","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/393759030853deef7e5174f7b748080e","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612439914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177802397,"gmtCreate":1627192085019,"gmtModify":1627192085019,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article, like and comment please","listText":"Good article, like and comment please","text":"Good article, like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177802397","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>\n <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>\n <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p>\n<p>Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p>\n<p>What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p>\n<p>Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p>\n<p>Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p>\n<p>The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p>\n<p>The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p>\n<p>The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p>\n<p>Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p>\n<p>Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p>\n<p>Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p>\n<p>IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p>\n<p>It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p>\n<p>For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p>\n<p>Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p>\n<p>IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p>\n<p>Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p>\n<p>It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p>\n<p>However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p>\n<p><b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p>\n<p>Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p>\n<blockquote>\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p>\n<p>Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p>\n<p>I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p>\n<p>Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p>\n<p>The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p>\n<p>Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p>\n<p>Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p>\n<p>Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p>\n<p>For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p>\n<p><b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p>\n<p>Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p>\n<p>The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p>\n<p>Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p>\n<p>IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p>\n<p>Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p>\n<p>What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p>\n<p><b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p>\n<p>Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p>\n<p>While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p>\n<p>In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p>\n<p>The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Debt And Dividend</b></p>\n<p>While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p>\n<p>The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p>\n<p>IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p>\n<p><b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p>\n<p>IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p>\n<p>IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p>\n<p>The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p>\n<p>I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p>\n<p><b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p>\n<p>IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p>\n<p>That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p>\n<p>If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p>\n<p>IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p>\n<p>All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p>\n<p>I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698373987,"gmtCreate":1640311277290,"gmtModify":1640311277290,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698373987","repostId":"2193078140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695626686,"gmtCreate":1641449868456,"gmtModify":1641449868456,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695626686","repostId":"2201255535","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878245239,"gmtCreate":1637200894568,"gmtModify":1637200894568,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878245239","repostId":"2184547718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":800298943,"gmtCreate":1627303381182,"gmtModify":1627303381182,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help. Like please","listText":"Help. Like please","text":"Help. Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800298943","repostId":"1184014483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":611172052,"gmtCreate":1650379929390,"gmtModify":1650379929390,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QD\">$Qudian Inc.(QD)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QD\">$Qudian Inc.(QD)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"$Qudian Inc.(QD)$[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58913cc1ce0e83ab5c9e6c2330db9a77","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611172052","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850795453,"gmtCreate":1634624598345,"gmtModify":1634624598345,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help. Like pls","listText":"Help. Like pls","text":"Help. Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850795453","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p>\n<p>Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p>\n<p>Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p>\n<p>As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p>\n<p>Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p>\n<p>“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p>\n<p>That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p>\n<p>That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p>\n<p>The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p>\n<p>The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p>\n<p>His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p>\n<p>Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-19 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","TM":"丰田汽车","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","01211":"比亚迪股份","GM":"通用汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01211":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9,"GM":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TM":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"VLKAF":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875573464,"gmtCreate":1637675267813,"gmtModify":1637675267813,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like. Pls","listText":"Like. Pls","text":"Like. Pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875573464","repostId":"1188126714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858842577,"gmtCreate":1635039808772,"gmtModify":1635039808772,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858842577","repostId":"1111559375","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111559375","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635038026,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111559375?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WISH Stock: What Momentum Investors Wish To See","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111559375","media":"TheStreet","summary":"WISH stock spiked nearly 10% in the past three days. Without company-specific news to properly justi","content":"<p>WISH stock spiked nearly 10% in the past three days. Without company-specific news to properly justify positive momentum, the stock’s popularity may have been the catalyst.</p>\n<p>After trading poorly in the past few months, ContextLogic stock&nbsp;found its way higher again. On October 20 alone, shares were up 14%. Meanwhile, the ticker saw overwhelming volume of comments on Reddit, which may help to justify bullish market action.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e0424b0add4ae09c16fd60a8ab9616b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Wish logo on a box.</span></p>\n<p>As we&nbsp;mentioned in previous articles, and while the stock remains near all-time lows, momentum investors might still not be too late for the party.</p>\n<p><b>Exposure may have done the trick</b></p>\n<p>A likely culprit behind WISH’s brief rally was the stock’s popularity online pushing demand for shares higher. The ticker&nbsp;received&nbsp;150% more mentions and a whopping 35,000 upvotes – understanding that correlation between comments and upticks in share price does not necessarily indicate causation. See below the top trending stocks on Reddit on October 21.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/079bfbb083306bb71a80744d70297d15\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Trending stocks on Reddit on October 21.</span></p>\n<p>Another popularity&nbsp;tracker(see below) suggests that, in the last three months, WISH's popularity remained consistently high. However, share price had not necessarily been moving in lockstep with exposure on the discussion boards until recently. Still, it is not at all surprising that a jolt in stock price could soon follow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e68ad670e6a136155d3e6e9abfbce3c\" tg-width=\"527\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: WISH stock sentiment on the WSB forum.</span></p>\n<p>The correlation between online popularity and WISH’s recent performance is consistent with the SEC’s recently&nbsp;released&nbsp;report on GameStop’s trading frenzy. The rallies seen earlier in 2021 have been primarily attributed to an increase in engagement by retail investors, enabled by platforms like Reddit. The same report also questioned the hypothesis that short covering had much to do with the massive increases in share price.</p>\n<p><b>Dip buying</b></p>\n<p>This week’s bullish attack may have also been motivated by Wish stock being so close to its all-time lows. Growth in the e-commerce space has been pressured by the “beginning of the end” of the pandemic and stay-at-home tailwinds. Also, several Wall Street experts have downgraded WISH following Q2 results, undermining positive sentiment.</p>\n<p>The above seems to have created a bearish wave. WISH has elevated&nbsp;short interest, at almost 25% of the float. Such high ratio can put short sellers in a vulnerable position: an increase in trading volume coupled with overbidding can force some to close their positions, kickstarting a snowball effect.</p>\n<p><b>Experts see upside</b></p>\n<p>Lastly, Wall Street currently assigns a consensus price target of $9.06 to Wish stock, signaling impressive 55% upside potential from the current sub-$6 levels. Despite an average neutral rating, even the more skeptical analysts still see gains ahead.</p>\n<p>Credit Suisse’s Stephen Ju&nbsp;reduced&nbsp;his price target from $24 to $19. He adjusted projections lower after ContexLogic missed Q2 revenue and adjusted EBITDA estimates due to lower customer retention and declining usage rates. However, the analyst still sees massive upside potential of nearly 200% ahead.</p>\n<p>Citigroup’s Nicholas Jones is not as bullish. He&nbsp;has&nbsp;a neutral rating on the stock but forecasts $7.50 on the horizon, for 23% upside potential. Q2 earnings were cited as the key reason for a price target reduction. Mr. Jones also attributed poor stock performance to the company’s difficulty in sustaining growth, especially due to higher-than-expected user churn and ad rates.</p>\n<p>On the bearish side, JPMorgan and Oppenheimer have a sell rating on the stock and $4 to $5 share price target.According&nbsp;to the former, decline in user activity due to the reopening of the economy, alongside Wish’s retention and rising ad costs, are the main concerns.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WISH Stock: What Momentum Investors Wish To See</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWISH Stock: What Momentum Investors Wish To See\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-24 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/wish-stock-what-momentum-investors-wish-to-see><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>WISH stock spiked nearly 10% in the past three days. Without company-specific news to properly justify positive momentum, the stock’s popularity may have been the catalyst.\nAfter trading poorly in the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/wish-stock-what-momentum-investors-wish-to-see\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/wish-stock-what-momentum-investors-wish-to-see","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111559375","content_text":"WISH stock spiked nearly 10% in the past three days. Without company-specific news to properly justify positive momentum, the stock’s popularity may have been the catalyst.\nAfter trading poorly in the past few months, ContextLogic stock found its way higher again. On October 20 alone, shares were up 14%. Meanwhile, the ticker saw overwhelming volume of comments on Reddit, which may help to justify bullish market action.\nFigure 1: Wish logo on a box.\nAs we mentioned in previous articles, and while the stock remains near all-time lows, momentum investors might still not be too late for the party.\nExposure may have done the trick\nA likely culprit behind WISH’s brief rally was the stock’s popularity online pushing demand for shares higher. The ticker received 150% more mentions and a whopping 35,000 upvotes – understanding that correlation between comments and upticks in share price does not necessarily indicate causation. See below the top trending stocks on Reddit on October 21.\nFigure 2: Trending stocks on Reddit on October 21.\nAnother popularity tracker(see below) suggests that, in the last three months, WISH's popularity remained consistently high. However, share price had not necessarily been moving in lockstep with exposure on the discussion boards until recently. Still, it is not at all surprising that a jolt in stock price could soon follow.\nFigure 3: WISH stock sentiment on the WSB forum.\nThe correlation between online popularity and WISH’s recent performance is consistent with the SEC’s recently released report on GameStop’s trading frenzy. The rallies seen earlier in 2021 have been primarily attributed to an increase in engagement by retail investors, enabled by platforms like Reddit. The same report also questioned the hypothesis that short covering had much to do with the massive increases in share price.\nDip buying\nThis week’s bullish attack may have also been motivated by Wish stock being so close to its all-time lows. Growth in the e-commerce space has been pressured by the “beginning of the end” of the pandemic and stay-at-home tailwinds. Also, several Wall Street experts have downgraded WISH following Q2 results, undermining positive sentiment.\nThe above seems to have created a bearish wave. WISH has elevated short interest, at almost 25% of the float. Such high ratio can put short sellers in a vulnerable position: an increase in trading volume coupled with overbidding can force some to close their positions, kickstarting a snowball effect.\nExperts see upside\nLastly, Wall Street currently assigns a consensus price target of $9.06 to Wish stock, signaling impressive 55% upside potential from the current sub-$6 levels. Despite an average neutral rating, even the more skeptical analysts still see gains ahead.\nCredit Suisse’s Stephen Ju reduced his price target from $24 to $19. He adjusted projections lower after ContexLogic missed Q2 revenue and adjusted EBITDA estimates due to lower customer retention and declining usage rates. However, the analyst still sees massive upside potential of nearly 200% ahead.\nCitigroup’s Nicholas Jones is not as bullish. He has a neutral rating on the stock but forecasts $7.50 on the horizon, for 23% upside potential. Q2 earnings were cited as the key reason for a price target reduction. Mr. Jones also attributed poor stock performance to the company’s difficulty in sustaining growth, especially due to higher-than-expected user churn and ad rates.\nOn the bearish side, JPMorgan and Oppenheimer have a sell rating on the stock and $4 to $5 share price target.According to the former, decline in user activity due to the reopening of the economy, alongside Wish’s retention and rising ad costs, are the main concerns.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809688321,"gmtCreate":1627365679663,"gmtModify":1627365679663,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi help like please","listText":"Hi help like please","text":"Hi help like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809688321","repostId":"1129261868","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":872012569,"gmtCreate":1637374746524,"gmtModify":1637374746524,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like. Pls","listText":"Like. Pls","text":"Like. Pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872012569","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":174588327,"gmtCreate":1627111436669,"gmtModify":1627111967427,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only the value of bitcoin that matters for tesla earnings","listText":"Only the value of bitcoin that matters for tesla earnings","text":"Only the value of bitcoin that matters for tesla earnings","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174588327","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p>\n<p>There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p>\n<p>The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p>\n<p>There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p>\n<p>The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p>\n<p>After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p>\n<p>There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p>\n<p>Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p>\n<p>All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 07:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":616175034,"gmtCreate":1651633999851,"gmtModify":1651633999851,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a> Opportunity awaits","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a> Opportunity awaits","text":"$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$ Opportunity awaits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616175034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":610226369,"gmtCreate":1648645616591,"gmtModify":1648645616591,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> down Down&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> down Down&nbsp;","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down Down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/610226369","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605559243,"gmtCreate":1639195710103,"gmtModify":1639195710103,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605559243","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":174582301,"gmtCreate":1627111618403,"gmtModify":1627111967433,"author":{"id":"3584869808763617","authorId":"3584869808763617","name":"kaisx","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40adae7177ebef40c5a18d202e8b58ea","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584869808763617","idStr":"3584869808763617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174582301","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}