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流动的时光BXY
10-02
$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$
借用段永平的话,买股票就是买公司,企业的业绩和潜力是决定因素。1月买入,之后亏损,年底开始发力增长。 长期投资的股票,须耐得住寂寞,守得住卖出冲动,直到大目标实现。 我的大目标,希望持有到阿里巴巴股价翻倍(4年前美股220美金时买过阿里巴巴,之后最低跌到约70美金)
流动的时光BXY
09-16
$JD 20260116 60.0 CALL$
期权练习一年多了,唯二的一次赚钱,整体还是亏了一万多美刀。
流动的时光BXY
09-10
等着3.99再入手[开心]
美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%
流动的时光BXY
09-01
$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$
这种大盘股,波动比较小,更适合中长期持有,不适合波段。 五月买入,后来陆续加仓,有高有低,财报前还是亏损的,财报后一波拉升就盈利了。 持股一年后,会不会冲到200?
流动的时光BXY
07-30
小晒一下,美股相对比较容易看懂,找准标的,价值投资,长期持有就有的赚。
流动的时光BXY
07-16
$英伟达(NVDA)$
晒一下长期持有的价值[龇牙] ,只是持股比较少,不是富豪们动辄成千上万股的级别。 目标180就清仓走人了。
流动的时光BXY
06-28
$英伟达(NVDA)$
低调一点就不秀盈亏金额了,2-3月的大恐慌时逢低补了一些。 但是,英伟达期权亏了很多,亏损占了盈利的一半。 个人心得,正股是慢热的长期主义,期权玩的就是时间和心跳,是投机。
流动的时光BXY
06-10
$英伟达(NVDA)$
英伟达正股小赚一笔,但期权亏了不少。刚开始琢磨期权,交了不少学费。 正股是长期价值投资,期权是短期时间投资。没有太多时间看股票,还是回归投资正股。
流动的时光BXY
06-07
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
商业归商业,政治归政治。3个月前预测过,因马斯克从政,股价从200爆拉至400+。这一波不是基于商业价值逻辑,而是政治泡沫。 现在政治泡沫破裂,特斯拉应回归其原本商业价值区间,200+左右的水位。 在商言商,从产品,技术和商业模式等看,还是看好特斯拉的长期增长空间。
流动的时光BXY
05-13
$英伟达(NVDA)$
持仓了小半年,成本从140,一路加仓摊低到105。关税战最低90多时无弹药可加,现在终于见到曙光。 英伟达期权亏了不少,只能靠正股来填坑。 目标长期持有至180。
流动的时光BXY
05-03
2025遇到关税贸易战,收益2月一度暴跌,割肉损失惨重,4-5月逐步回血,拉通看还行。 感谢阿里巴巴,这只股票共享了大部分的收益!
流动的时光BXY
04-26
写的很好,务实的将供应链与电力等基础设施能力结合,视角独特
雁默:科技战中国必赢,特朗普则会宣称获胜并失去“铁王座”
流动的时光BXY
04-12
$苹果(AAPL)$
坚定割肉回笼资金,中美关税贸易战的受害者之一,苹果高度依赖中国供应链,股价短期内不会有好转。但长期还是看好。
流动的时光BXY
04-12
$AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL$
行情之多艰,一点苍蝇肉,共勉。
流动的时光BXY
04-09
$英伟达(NVDA)$
原本坚定看好并一直加仓持有,从130一路补仓到90。无奈子弹打光了,只能割肉回笼一些资金。贸易战是黑天鹅事件,原本有预期管理。只是低估了贸易战的杀伤力! 随着美国再次加增50%关税,中国势必跟进报复,股市短期只会继续恶化,沽空拿着现金方是上策。
流动的时光BXY
03-14
$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$
刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。
流动的时光BXY
03-13
$英伟达(NVDA)$
我一点也不慌,2月发布会前,call 150踩空。中长期还是看好150,下一波看3月发布会。AI算力优势无可替代。
流动的时光BXY
03-12
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
落袋为安,美股最近总让人感觉不太平,回笼资金避一避风头,长期继续看好。
流动的时光BXY
03-12
$TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT$
晒一下昨天成交的Put,运气成分多一些。 特斯拉最近麻烦比较多,业绩下滑+政治树敌+高管抛售,短期股价还是不看好。
流动的时光BXY
02-28
$NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL$
英伟达看多150,方向看错了,亏的没脾气,还有救吗?[笑哭] [笑哭]
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我的大目标,希望持有到阿里巴巴股价翻倍(4年前美股220美金时买过阿里巴巴,之后最低跌到约70美金)","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/580df552b1248462ff3224c256732a23","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/484737212944496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479237767778488,"gmtCreate":1758036787847,"gmtModify":1758036799952,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20260116 60.0 CALL\">$JD 20260116 60.0 CALL$ </a> 期权练习一年多了,唯二的一次赚钱,整体还是亏了一万多美刀。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD 20260116 60.0 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","text":"等着3.99再入手[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477056837415400","repostId":"2566656683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2566656683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1757377486,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2566656683?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-09 08:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2566656683","media":"格隆汇","summary":"中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。","content":"<html><body><div>中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUO\">房多多</a>涨47.38%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MGIH\">禧图集团</a>涨42.14%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUD\">禄达技术</a>涨29.53%。</div></body></html>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-09 08:24 北京时间 <a href=https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4563":"昨日强势股","KRKR":"36氪","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务"},"source_url":"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2566656683","content_text":"中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KRKR":1,"TTTN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":473840953700568,"gmtCreate":1756715786016,"gmtModify":1756720108898,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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感谢阿里巴巴,这只股票共享了大部分的收益!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcb5f2b42c89bec10b507e4335975a5d","width":"960","height":"1496"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431129300394224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":428428444459688,"gmtCreate":1745627673471,"gmtModify":1745627675450,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"写的很好,务实的将供应链与电力等基础设施能力结合,视角独特","listText":"写的很好,务实的将供应链与电力等基础设施能力结合,视角独特","text":"写的很好,务实的将供应链与电力等基础设施能力结合,视角独特","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428428444459688","repostId":"2530091324","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2530091324","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1745538480,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2530091324?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-04-25 07:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"雁默:科技战中国必赢,特朗普则会宣称获胜并失去“铁王座”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2530091324","media":"观察者网","summary":"在特朗普政府对境外半导体相关制品课征关税前,我想说的是:科技战,中国必赢,关税只会扩大赢面,而不是相反。特朗普政府向英伟达下达H20对中国出口的禁令,让这家甫宣布要投资美国5000亿的公司难堪不已,就像苹果。由此,中方正式拒绝“美国制”就是件大事,因为这意味着美科技大厂在美国本土的投资,除了要负担高成本,还要承担“有限市场”的销售压力。对美国而言,特朗普最能吸引到或“掠夺到”的大规模投资,都是“吃电怪兽”。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\">【文/观察者网专栏作者 雁默】 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">排除擅用权力图利自己的部分不谈,特朗普为美国治病的想法是对的,包含重建制造业、重建财政纪律、摆脱“世界警察”的包袱等等,都有必要,但急就章的各种疗法,让对的全成了错的。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">关税战没有赢家,是的,但有最大的输家,即美国。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">一般认为,美国在科技战上具有优势,但同时也认为,其优势正在迅速消失。在各种高科技领域中,AI技术是最显眼的擂台,以时间作为衡量指标,中外专家多认同“中国只落后数个月”的看法。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">若以法规作为指标,从今年开始,中方已最大程度摆脱了被卡脖子的困境,即便在半导体领域,中国海关于4月11日调整了芯片原产地认定规则,这意味着美国制半导体与全球最大芯片消费市场绝缘,真正被卡脖子的是那些身价不菲的美国科技厂。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">在特朗普政府对境外半导体相关制品课征关税前,我想说的是:科技战,中国必赢,关税只会扩大赢面,而不是相反。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">主要原因是,美国科技大厂正面临种种牵制,各种成本必然暴增,可供盈利的市场则在萎缩。相反地,这些美企的中国同行已找到有效的赶超模式。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">本文就浅谈AI产业现况,以窥科技战。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">AI从技术到市场,谁卡谁的脖子?</font></p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">自2008年金融危机以来,美国科技行业的美股收益已飙升400%,其他行业增长仅25%。往好的一面解读此一现象,是云端运算能力的大需求与高获利;往坏的一面解读,巨额资金集中在少数科技巨头,使得市场依赖少数人的命运,七巨头(Mag 7)中若任何一家出了问题,就可能造成泡沫破裂的骨牌效应。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">以上好坏两面都是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>的看法,而高盛对于当前的AI泡沫,还算是最乐观的。换言之,多数专家担忧保罗·克鲁曼所言不虚——美国科技业正站在悬崖边缘。克鲁曼认为,AI投资是防御性质的,各大厂只是怕自己没有,以致遭对手超越,而不是经过客观的需求估算。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">因此之故,特朗普继续加大对中国的科技产品出口与投资限制,恰恰是在美国科技大厂最需要盈利以摊平庞大AI投资的时候,从某种角度说,也就是最需要中国市场的时候。表现得最明显的就是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>,这家公司的股价在2023年飙升238.9%、在2024年飙升171.2%,但今年以来,坏消息没有断过,截至我撰稿时,股价已下跌23.2%。 </p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/sinakd20250425s/277/w640h437/20250425/68c6-5cc7e7a8df6317145ab74f697b5c8038.png\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\">特朗普政府向英伟达下达H20对中国出口的禁令,让这家甫宣布要投资美国5000亿的公司难堪不已,就像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>。这两家公司都以为花钱消灾就能拿到免死金牌,就像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">在特朗普扬言要对半导体——包括那些内含半导体的终端产品——课征关税的前夕,传出台积电美国厂生产的4纳米芯片要涨价3成。这对七巨头而言是雪上加霜,但坏消息一个接一个,华为在几乎同时,推出了CloudMatrix 384超节点集群,对标英伟达GB200 NVL72,并在部分性能指标上实现超越。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">根据知名专业半导体媒体semianalysis的说明,华为正在突破AI系统效能的极限。在当前的AI发展阶段里,增强整体系统效能比单纯追求芯片性能更重要,这同时也是DeepSeek告诉我们的故事,掌握“以小搏大”的技术路径,就能克服个别元件技术不足的问题。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">CloudMatrix 384使用384个升腾910C(7纳米制程),GB200 NVL72使用72个4纳米制程的Blackwell GPU(外加32个Grace CPU),意思是,升腾910C的效能既然只有Blackwell GPU的1/3,那就用5倍数量的升腾910C弥补效能,而芯片数量越多,系统优化的要求就越高,如此才能实现“以小搏大”。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">虽然CloudMatrix 384并未实现全国产化,但距离目标已经不远,这对于美国AI大厂而言,已经不是技术卡脖子所能阻止的进度,相对地,美企迫在眉睫的问题是市场占有率,因为当投资人怀疑AI是否过度投资时,实现盈利便是唯一重要的事。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">由此,中方正式拒绝“美国制”就是件大事,因为这意味着美科技大厂在美国本土的投资,除了要负担高成本,还要承担“有限市场”的销售压力。白话说,即做的东西变贵了,能卖的地方却变少了。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">从供应链的角度看,想卖到中国,产品含零件都要在美国境外生产,但特朗普正在将境外的零件厂都抓到美国,包括但不限于芯片、服务器、手机等等庞大的供应链生态体系。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">重点是,这些零件供应商若因美国厂成本高昂而不得不涨价,会连美国境外的产品一起涨,如台积电涨价4纳米芯片,美国厂与台湾厂都得同步上涨,买家找不到省钱途径,除非转向中国大陆,或其他有能力生产零件又没在美国设厂的企业下单。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">换言之,仅从AI产业看,从技术到市场,美国现在是卡了自己的脖子,股市终将反应此一现实。 </p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/sinakd20250425s/266/w640h426/20250425/e452-465e141b28bd602006ddd9d6dbfbd180.png\"/><span>2022年,台积电在亚利桑那州的新工厂举行首批设备到厂仪式。 图源:彭博社 </span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">“美积电”产能不够美国大厂塞牙缝</font></p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美国在芯片上的优势,也是弱点,因为依赖优势,使得中国被逼出了“系统超越”的技术路径,相反地,美企却得承受芯片成本上升,并扩散到整个系统成本上升的潜在危机。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">苹果与英伟达先后给出了5000亿投资承诺,但台积电亚利桑那厂(以下称“美积电”)杯水车薪的产能,根本满足不了这两家公司的订单。而特朗普对半导体进口课税,形同关闭了这些大厂的逃生门。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">2023年,台积电在台湾的年产量是1600万约当晶圆(用来衡量和比较不同尺寸晶圆生产量的标准化单位),目前“美积电”第一期工厂已实现的年产量是54万约当晶圆。第二期N3厂,估计2026年量产,产量略高于第一期,于此我们假设是年产36万片12寸晶圆,相当于81万约当晶圆。那么,第一期加第二期就是年产量135万约当晶圆。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">换言之,在明年底前,台积电美国厂的产量只有台湾厂(2023年)的8.43%。如果再加上千亿增资的第三期、第四期,就算赶在特朗普卸任前都实现量产,粗估顶多也只占2023年台湾厂产量的20%。我怀疑这符合特朗普的胃口,所以不排除台积电还会被要求增资。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">光是苹果目前的年需求量,就是“美积电”现在的54万约当晶圆,接下来还要投资5000亿于AI服务器,需求量自然上升。其余如英伟达、AMD、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>的需求量也不遑多让,估计特朗普卸任前,“美积电”的产能远不能满足所有美国客户,即便再加上<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>与SK海力士。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">此一现实,使得美科技厂投资再多,都无法满足美国市场需求,因为本土产芯片不足。也就是说,嘴巴喊5000亿,但投资要全数落地,还是得看若干工厂建成后,有没有原料供应生产,这是第二个困境。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">第三个困境是,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEP\">美国电力</a>供应够不够这些美商大肆兴建AI基础建设。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">能源供应跟不上特朗普雄心</font></p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">德国西门子能源公司(Siemens Energy)的股价去年飙升超过300%,比英伟达还猛,为什么?其中一个主要原因,就是AI数据中心蓬勃发展,需要高额电力供应。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">2019-2023年,美国在AI基础设施投资规模约3285亿美元,中国约1327亿美元。根据国际能源总署估计,到2030年,预计80%的数据中心需求成长将发生在美国、中国和欧盟。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">另根据Gartner的最新报告预测,未来两年AI应用所需的电力消耗可能激增160%,2027年将是2023年消耗量的两倍。从全球范围来看,最快明年,AI产业的需求就会超过目前的电力供应能力,40%的AI数据中心可能因电力限制而遭受营运限制。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">对美国而言,特朗普最能吸引到或“掠夺到”的大规模投资,都是“吃电怪兽”。对中小企业乃至一般人而言,这意味着更贵的电费。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">从制造业的角度看,虽然美国是全球最大天然气生产国,但总体而言,中国的能源成本低于美国,尤其在电网的升级与建设成本上占有优势。相较之下,美国现有电网升级需要花费约7200亿美元。因此,中国当前的工业环境与能源成本比美国更适合发展能源密集型产业。台积电落脚的亚利桑那州,大力支持半导体厂与AI产业,但其能源成本是台湾地区的4倍。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">虽然,无论是中、美或欧洲,AI大厂的投资建设都会包含“能源自给”项目,并倾向投资清洁能源,但当前AI产业正处战国时期,全世界各大厂都将自家投资在AI基建的规模,视为生存要素,所以耗电速度会比产电速度更快。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">值得一提的是,CloudMatrix 384由于使用的芯片数量多,芯片制程也比英伟达GB200 NVL72落后,所以耗电量自然也比较大。美国专家认为,这凸显了中国不缺电,反观美国落后的电网设备,才是抑制AI基建的短板。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">这里又不能不提DeepSeek,这家公司推出的低能耗模型,能一定程度减少对AI数据中心规模与电力需求负担。DeepSeek之所以震撼美国业界与股市,主因就是它的省钱与节能。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">总言之,能源问题或将成为美国AI大厂发展的天花板,因为它们必须支付比中国同行更高的能源成本。 </p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/sinakd20250425s/147/w640h307/20250425/4b17-15dfaba34328cabbe2ca9827b97d465e.png\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">就算获得了台湾“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5HT.SI\">皇冠</a>上的明珠”,代价却是铁王座</font></p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">H20是英伟达专为中国市场打造的产品,现在无法供应给中国,我认为是好消息,因为这意味着美国科技大厂的前景会被投资人看衰,并有助于中国相关企业脱美。再者,投资美国能产生的正面效果,远低于投资中国,于此,美大厂也被断了生路。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">美前财长耶伦称,用关税促使制造业回流美国,是白日梦,原因可以简化为一个,即成本。特朗普不会不知道这个道理,但至少有两个原因促使他往死路走,其一是他的自尊性格,其二是必然会收获的一点点战利品,迷惑他将作死视为机遇。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">这一点点战利品中,包含来自台湾的降书……或许是投降内容最完整的降书。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">由于“台独”当局的政治取向,以及台湾地区经贸上对美依赖的程度,整个电子业大规模赴美设厂的趋势应该是确定的,甚至,“台独”当局有可能会谨遵“圣旨”,对两岸最大的贸易项目电子零组件予以课税,这会给予特朗普一些文宣材料,宣称胜利。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">然而,台商一旦加入美国队,就会陷入与美商一样的窘境,成本飙高,市场缩减,并致使研发速度减缓,待中国大陆的技术追上来,就会被困在世界孤岛上。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">如果特朗普仍执意对半导体相关制品课税,就意味着他还没认清,科技战是持久战,用急就章的做法幻想速战速决,只会输得更快、更彻底。就算获得了台湾“皇冠上的明珠”,代价却是铁王座。 </p><p cms-style=\"font-L\">因此,需要警惕的不是特朗普课关税,而是如果他放弃对半导体相关制品课税——尽管机率很低——那中方应对科技战就需要换个战法,但赢的结果不会改变。 </p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/sinakd20250425s/756/w640h116/20250425/f5e6-60b584d33aff34bab350e658f2a3c753.jpg\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\"><font cms-style=\"font-L strong-Bold\">本文系观察者网独家稿件,文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不代表平台观点,未经授权,不得转载,否则将追究法律责任。关注观察者网微信guanchacn,每日阅读趣味文章。</font></p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>雁默:科技战中国必赢,特朗普则会宣称获胜并失去“铁王座”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n雁默:科技战中国必赢,特朗普则会宣称获胜并失去“铁王座”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-25 07:48 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-04-25/doc-ineuirkc2820106.shtml><strong>观察者网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【文/观察者网专栏作者 雁默】 排除擅用权力图利自己的部分不谈,特朗普为美国治病的想法是对的,包含重建制造业、重建财政纪律、摆脱“世界警察”的包袱等等,都有必要,但急就章的各种疗法,让对的全成了错的。 关税战没有赢家,是的,但有最大的输家,即美国。 一般认为,美国在科技战上具有优势,但同时也认为,其优势正在迅速消失。在各种高科技领域中,AI技术是最显眼的擂台,以时间作为衡量指标,中外专家多认同“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-04-25/doc-ineuirkc2820106.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVIW.SI":"NVDA 3xLongSG261006","LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0787776722.HKD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1804176565.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1868837565.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"1\" (USD) ACC","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0572939691.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asian Dividend Income A2 SGD","NVDS":"Tradr 1.5X Short NVDA Daily ETF","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) ACC","SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","LU0265550946.USD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL ENHANCED 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排除擅用权力图利自己的部分不谈,特朗普为美国治病的想法是对的,包含重建制造业、重建财政纪律、摆脱“世界警察”的包袱等等,都有必要,但急就章的各种疗法,让对的全成了错的。 关税战没有赢家,是的,但有最大的输家,即美国。 一般认为,美国在科技战上具有优势,但同时也认为,其优势正在迅速消失。在各种高科技领域中,AI技术是最显眼的擂台,以时间作为衡量指标,中外专家多认同“中国只落后数个月”的看法。 若以法规作为指标,从今年开始,中方已最大程度摆脱了被卡脖子的困境,即便在半导体领域,中国海关于4月11日调整了芯片原产地认定规则,这意味着美国制半导体与全球最大芯片消费市场绝缘,真正被卡脖子的是那些身价不菲的美国科技厂。 在特朗普政府对境外半导体相关制品课征关税前,我想说的是:科技战,中国必赢,关税只会扩大赢面,而不是相反。 主要原因是,美国科技大厂正面临种种牵制,各种成本必然暴增,可供盈利的市场则在萎缩。相反地,这些美企的中国同行已找到有效的赶超模式。 本文就浅谈AI产业现况,以窥科技战。 AI从技术到市场,谁卡谁的脖子?自2008年金融危机以来,美国科技行业的美股收益已飙升400%,其他行业增长仅25%。往好的一面解读此一现象,是云端运算能力的大需求与高获利;往坏的一面解读,巨额资金集中在少数科技巨头,使得市场依赖少数人的命运,七巨头(Mag 7)中若任何一家出了问题,就可能造成泡沫破裂的骨牌效应。 以上好坏两面都是高盛的看法,而高盛对于当前的AI泡沫,还算是最乐观的。换言之,多数专家担忧保罗·克鲁曼所言不虚——美国科技业正站在悬崖边缘。克鲁曼认为,AI投资是防御性质的,各大厂只是怕自己没有,以致遭对手超越,而不是经过客观的需求估算。 因此之故,特朗普继续加大对中国的科技产品出口与投资限制,恰恰是在美国科技大厂最需要盈利以摊平庞大AI投资的时候,从某种角度说,也就是最需要中国市场的时候。表现得最明显的就是英伟达,这家公司的股价在2023年飙升238.9%、在2024年飙升171.2%,但今年以来,坏消息没有断过,截至我撰稿时,股价已下跌23.2%。 特朗普政府向英伟达下达H20对中国出口的禁令,让这家甫宣布要投资美国5000亿的公司难堪不已,就像苹果。这两家公司都以为花钱消灾就能拿到免死金牌,就像台积电。 在特朗普扬言要对半导体——包括那些内含半导体的终端产品——课征关税的前夕,传出台积电美国厂生产的4纳米芯片要涨价3成。这对七巨头而言是雪上加霜,但坏消息一个接一个,华为在几乎同时,推出了CloudMatrix 384超节点集群,对标英伟达GB200 NVL72,并在部分性能指标上实现超越。 根据知名专业半导体媒体semianalysis的说明,华为正在突破AI系统效能的极限。在当前的AI发展阶段里,增强整体系统效能比单纯追求芯片性能更重要,这同时也是DeepSeek告诉我们的故事,掌握“以小搏大”的技术路径,就能克服个别元件技术不足的问题。 CloudMatrix 384使用384个升腾910C(7纳米制程),GB200 NVL72使用72个4纳米制程的Blackwell GPU(外加32个Grace CPU),意思是,升腾910C的效能既然只有Blackwell GPU的1/3,那就用5倍数量的升腾910C弥补效能,而芯片数量越多,系统优化的要求就越高,如此才能实现“以小搏大”。 虽然CloudMatrix 384并未实现全国产化,但距离目标已经不远,这对于美国AI大厂而言,已经不是技术卡脖子所能阻止的进度,相对地,美企迫在眉睫的问题是市场占有率,因为当投资人怀疑AI是否过度投资时,实现盈利便是唯一重要的事。 由此,中方正式拒绝“美国制”就是件大事,因为这意味着美科技大厂在美国本土的投资,除了要负担高成本,还要承担“有限市场”的销售压力。白话说,即做的东西变贵了,能卖的地方却变少了。 从供应链的角度看,想卖到中国,产品含零件都要在美国境外生产,但特朗普正在将境外的零件厂都抓到美国,包括但不限于芯片、服务器、手机等等庞大的供应链生态体系。 重点是,这些零件供应商若因美国厂成本高昂而不得不涨价,会连美国境外的产品一起涨,如台积电涨价4纳米芯片,美国厂与台湾厂都得同步上涨,买家找不到省钱途径,除非转向中国大陆,或其他有能力生产零件又没在美国设厂的企业下单。 换言之,仅从AI产业看,从技术到市场,美国现在是卡了自己的脖子,股市终将反应此一现实。 2022年,台积电在亚利桑那州的新工厂举行首批设备到厂仪式。 图源:彭博社 “美积电”产能不够美国大厂塞牙缝美国在芯片上的优势,也是弱点,因为依赖优势,使得中国被逼出了“系统超越”的技术路径,相反地,美企却得承受芯片成本上升,并扩散到整个系统成本上升的潜在危机。 苹果与英伟达先后给出了5000亿投资承诺,但台积电亚利桑那厂(以下称“美积电”)杯水车薪的产能,根本满足不了这两家公司的订单。而特朗普对半导体进口课税,形同关闭了这些大厂的逃生门。 2023年,台积电在台湾的年产量是1600万约当晶圆(用来衡量和比较不同尺寸晶圆生产量的标准化单位),目前“美积电”第一期工厂已实现的年产量是54万约当晶圆。第二期N3厂,估计2026年量产,产量略高于第一期,于此我们假设是年产36万片12寸晶圆,相当于81万约当晶圆。那么,第一期加第二期就是年产量135万约当晶圆。 换言之,在明年底前,台积电美国厂的产量只有台湾厂(2023年)的8.43%。如果再加上千亿增资的第三期、第四期,就算赶在特朗普卸任前都实现量产,粗估顶多也只占2023年台湾厂产量的20%。我怀疑这符合特朗普的胃口,所以不排除台积电还会被要求增资。 光是苹果目前的年需求量,就是“美积电”现在的54万约当晶圆,接下来还要投资5000亿于AI服务器,需求量自然上升。其余如英伟达、AMD、高通的需求量也不遑多让,估计特朗普卸任前,“美积电”的产能远不能满足所有美国客户,即便再加上三星与SK海力士。 此一现实,使得美科技厂投资再多,都无法满足美国市场需求,因为本土产芯片不足。也就是说,嘴巴喊5000亿,但投资要全数落地,还是得看若干工厂建成后,有没有原料供应生产,这是第二个困境。 第三个困境是,美国电力供应够不够这些美商大肆兴建AI基础建设。 能源供应跟不上特朗普雄心德国西门子能源公司(Siemens Energy)的股价去年飙升超过300%,比英伟达还猛,为什么?其中一个主要原因,就是AI数据中心蓬勃发展,需要高额电力供应。 2019-2023年,美国在AI基础设施投资规模约3285亿美元,中国约1327亿美元。根据国际能源总署估计,到2030年,预计80%的数据中心需求成长将发生在美国、中国和欧盟。 另根据Gartner的最新报告预测,未来两年AI应用所需的电力消耗可能激增160%,2027年将是2023年消耗量的两倍。从全球范围来看,最快明年,AI产业的需求就会超过目前的电力供应能力,40%的AI数据中心可能因电力限制而遭受营运限制。 对美国而言,特朗普最能吸引到或“掠夺到”的大规模投资,都是“吃电怪兽”。对中小企业乃至一般人而言,这意味着更贵的电费。 从制造业的角度看,虽然美国是全球最大天然气生产国,但总体而言,中国的能源成本低于美国,尤其在电网的升级与建设成本上占有优势。相较之下,美国现有电网升级需要花费约7200亿美元。因此,中国当前的工业环境与能源成本比美国更适合发展能源密集型产业。台积电落脚的亚利桑那州,大力支持半导体厂与AI产业,但其能源成本是台湾地区的4倍。 虽然,无论是中、美或欧洲,AI大厂的投资建设都会包含“能源自给”项目,并倾向投资清洁能源,但当前AI产业正处战国时期,全世界各大厂都将自家投资在AI基建的规模,视为生存要素,所以耗电速度会比产电速度更快。 值得一提的是,CloudMatrix 384由于使用的芯片数量多,芯片制程也比英伟达GB200 NVL72落后,所以耗电量自然也比较大。美国专家认为,这凸显了中国不缺电,反观美国落后的电网设备,才是抑制AI基建的短板。 这里又不能不提DeepSeek,这家公司推出的低能耗模型,能一定程度减少对AI数据中心规模与电力需求负担。DeepSeek之所以震撼美国业界与股市,主因就是它的省钱与节能。 总言之,能源问题或将成为美国AI大厂发展的天花板,因为它们必须支付比中国同行更高的能源成本。 就算获得了台湾“皇冠上的明珠”,代价却是铁王座H20是英伟达专为中国市场打造的产品,现在无法供应给中国,我认为是好消息,因为这意味着美国科技大厂的前景会被投资人看衰,并有助于中国相关企业脱美。再者,投资美国能产生的正面效果,远低于投资中国,于此,美大厂也被断了生路。 美前财长耶伦称,用关税促使制造业回流美国,是白日梦,原因可以简化为一个,即成本。特朗普不会不知道这个道理,但至少有两个原因促使他往死路走,其一是他的自尊性格,其二是必然会收获的一点点战利品,迷惑他将作死视为机遇。 这一点点战利品中,包含来自台湾的降书……或许是投降内容最完整的降书。 由于“台独”当局的政治取向,以及台湾地区经贸上对美依赖的程度,整个电子业大规模赴美设厂的趋势应该是确定的,甚至,“台独”当局有可能会谨遵“圣旨”,对两岸最大的贸易项目电子零组件予以课税,这会给予特朗普一些文宣材料,宣称胜利。 然而,台商一旦加入美国队,就会陷入与美商一样的窘境,成本飙高,市场缩减,并致使研发速度减缓,待中国大陆的技术追上来,就会被困在世界孤岛上。 如果特朗普仍执意对半导体相关制品课税,就意味着他还没认清,科技战是持久战,用急就章的做法幻想速战速决,只会输得更快、更彻底。就算获得了台湾“皇冠上的明珠”,代价却是铁王座。 因此,需要警惕的不是特朗普课关税,而是如果他放弃对半导体相关制品课税——尽管机率很低——那中方应对科技战就需要换个战法,但赢的结果不会改变。 本文系观察者网独家稿件,文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不代表平台观点,未经授权,不得转载,否则将追究法律责任。关注观察者网微信guanchacn,每日阅读趣味文章。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03145":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"EWT":0.6,"TWmain":0.74,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDA":0.9,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":423650322227856,"gmtCreate":1744449291562,"gmtModify":1744597291233,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a> 坚定割肉回笼资金,中美关税贸易战的受害者之一,苹果高度依赖中国供应链,股价短期内不会有好转。但长期还是看好。","listText":"<a 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坚定割肉回笼资金,中美关税贸易战的受害者之一,苹果高度依赖中国供应链,股价短期内不会有好转。但长期还是看好。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/493bff95f7ec267628d6d33c4c9facbb","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423650322227856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3443826848886074","authorId":"3443826848886074","name":"淡定哥哥","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/624b926735f5dfec7f6475bf91a9145e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3443826848886074","authorIdStr":"3443826848886074"},"content":"早就关税豁免了,对苹果没有影响","text":"早就关税豁免了,对苹果没有影响","html":"早就关税豁免了,对苹果没有影响"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":423405383566144,"gmtCreate":1744389065712,"gmtModify":1744392686046,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL$ </a> 行情之多艰,一点苍蝇肉,共勉。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL$ </a> 行情之多艰,一点苍蝇肉,共勉。","text":"$AAPL 20250509 235.0 CALL$ 行情之多艰,一点苍蝇肉,共勉。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/178b604274b37c6421e209360bb23643","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423405383566144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":422401398927472,"gmtCreate":1744155507208,"gmtModify":1744162370580,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 原本坚定看好并一直加仓持有,从130一路补仓到90。无奈子弹打光了,只能割肉回笼一些资金。贸易战是黑天鹅事件,原本有预期管理。只是低估了贸易战的杀伤力! 随着美国再次加增50%关税,中国势必跟进报复,股市短期只会继续恶化,沽空拿着现金方是上策。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 原本坚定看好并一直加仓持有,从130一路补仓到90。无奈子弹打光了,只能割肉回笼一些资金。贸易战是黑天鹅事件,原本有预期管理。只是低估了贸易战的杀伤力! 随着美国再次加增50%关税,中国势必跟进报复,股市短期只会继续恶化,沽空拿着现金方是上策。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 原本坚定看好并一直加仓持有,从130一路补仓到90。无奈子弹打光了,只能割肉回笼一些资金。贸易战是黑天鹅事件,原本有预期管理。只是低估了贸易战的杀伤力! 随着美国再次加增50%关税,中国势必跟进报复,股市短期只会继续恶化,沽空拿着现金方是上策。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12b7e0afdcc517e6a39b47a206d71256","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422401398927472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4161932824255432","authorId":"4161932824255432","name":"小岛大浪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dc0a4c7aeb739550456dabecfe0925e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4161932824255432","authorIdStr":"4161932824255432"},"content":"后续感觉不会有更大的恶化了吧,估计会低位震荡一段时间","text":"后续感觉不会有更大的恶化了吧,估计会低位震荡一段时间","html":"后续感觉不会有更大的恶化了吧,估计会低位震荡一段时间"},{"author":{"id":"3557459315149714","authorId":"3557459315149714","name":"兔司机不开车","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3ff0e3fcc9ed29b70b06a572e6d97f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557459315149714","authorIdStr":"3557459315149714"},"content":"感觉刚刚开始,估计下一次会探250周均线","text":"感觉刚刚开始,估计下一次会探250周均线","html":"感觉刚刚开始,估计下一次会探250周均线"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413136979087536,"gmtCreate":1741895421695,"gmtModify":1741941100832,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$ </a> 刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$ </a> 刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。","text":"$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$ 刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ac9f966670c37478e4397b8a8fc49e","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413136979087536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412768608604264,"gmtCreate":1741812006677,"gmtModify":1741816955445,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 我一点也不慌,2月发布会前,call 150踩空。中长期还是看好150,下一波看3月发布会。AI算力优势无可替代。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 我一点也不慌,2月发布会前,call 150踩空。中长期还是看好150,下一波看3月发布会。AI算力优势无可替代。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 我一点也不慌,2月发布会前,call 150踩空。中长期还是看好150,下一波看3月发布会。AI算力优势无可替代。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a62b4dea2d799d90dadfc6e088e8b1f","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412768608604264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412399571505688,"gmtCreate":1741718462514,"gmtModify":1741747525656,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT$ </a> 晒一下昨天成交的Put,运气成分多一些。 特斯拉最近麻烦比较多,业绩下滑+政治树敌+高管抛售,短期股价还是不看好。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT$ </a> 晒一下昨天成交的Put,运气成分多一些。 特斯拉最近麻烦比较多,业绩下滑+政治树敌+高管抛售,短期股价还是不看好。","text":"$TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT$ 晒一下昨天成交的Put,运气成分多一些。 特斯拉最近麻烦比较多,业绩下滑+政治树敌+高管抛售,短期股价还是不看好。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/009cd81252e10b61a84f10ed50071fe7","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412398603366888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":408252666909144,"gmtCreate":1740692275204,"gmtModify":1740692551606,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL$ </a> 英伟达看多150,方向看错了,亏的没脾气,还有救吗?[笑哭] [笑哭] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL$ </a> 英伟达看多150,方向看错了,亏的没脾气,还有救吗?[笑哭] [笑哭] ","text":"$NVDA 20250307 150.0 CALL$ 英伟达看多150,方向看错了,亏的没脾气,还有救吗?[笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce7e7a2ecd349b0650e6fbd693964c7","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408252666909144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547680607221960","authorId":"3547680607221960","name":"nbnbynmm","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3547680607221960","authorIdStr":"3547680607221960"},"content":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。","text":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。","html":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":402860024819912,"gmtCreate":1739373310807,"gmtModify":1739373671953,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 这波股价是因马斯克追捧川普而导致的虚高,从250涨到400+,属于非理性且脱离实际业务的虚假繁荣,预估还要挤一挤水分。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> 这波股价是因马斯克追捧川普而导致的虚高,从250涨到400+,属于非理性且脱离实际业务的虚假繁荣,预估还要挤一挤水分。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这波股价是因马斯克追捧川普而导致的虚高,从250涨到400+,属于非理性且脱离实际业务的虚假繁荣,预估还要挤一挤水分。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/402860024819912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"content":"一个月前的预测,特斯拉水分要挤一下,回到大选前的水平。","text":"一个月前的预测,特斯拉水分要挤一下,回到大选前的水平。","html":"一个月前的预测,特斯拉水分要挤一下,回到大选前的水平。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":473840953700568,"gmtCreate":1756715786016,"gmtModify":1756720108898,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ </a>这种大盘股,波动比较小,更适合中长期持有,不适合波段。 五月买入,后来陆续加仓,有高有低,财报前还是亏损的,财报后一波拉升就盈利了。 持股一年后,会不会冲到200?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ </a>这种大盘股,波动比较小,更适合中长期持有,不适合波段。 五月买入,后来陆续加仓,有高有低,财报前还是亏损的,财报后一波拉升就盈利了。 持股一年后,会不会冲到200?","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 这种大盘股,波动比较小,更适合中长期持有,不适合波段。 五月买入,后来陆续加仓,有高有低,财报前还是亏损的,财报后一波拉升就盈利了。 持股一年后,会不会冲到200?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/848c9b43d75636e4e6ae0db6a9c8a035","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/473840953700568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3435636066792375","authorId":"3435636066792375","name":"不大考斯特斯诺一","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcaf6240a6b75f933b12887c499bd6c7","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3435636066792375","authorIdStr":"3435636066792375"},"content":"$宝尊电商-W(09991)$$宝尊电商(BZUN)$阿里最大代运营商,盘子一个多亿美金。电商净利润同比增490%且有gap$Gap, Inc(GAP)$大中华区独家经营权,快上车!","text":"$宝尊电商-W(09991)$$宝尊电商(BZUN)$阿里最大代运营商,盘子一个多亿美金。电商净利润同比增490%且有gap$Gap, Inc(GAP)$大中华区独家经营权,快上车!","html":"$宝尊电商-W(09991)$$宝尊电商(BZUN)$阿里最大代运营商,盘子一个多亿美金。电商净利润同比增490%且有gap$Gap, 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刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$ </a> 刚入市时苹果150,没有耐心放弃了。现在重新看多255,希望4月中国市场与阿里巴巴AI发布能惊艳一把。","text":"$AAPL 20250417 255.0 CALL$ 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持有三年了,一点点加仓,价值投资长期持有。今天出差在飞机上错过了144的卖点,目标150先落袋为安。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c0f3c6f595dbf0e251a59c3a525e310","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/405703355490928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"content":"继续看涨,预期从150调到160。业绩支撑+AI科技+低估值三重投资属性,长期趋势看好。","text":"继续看涨,预期从150调到160。业绩支撑+AI科技+低估值三重投资属性,长期趋势看好。","html":"继续看涨,预期从150调到160。业绩支撑+AI科技+低估值三重投资属性,长期趋势看好。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":423405383566144,"gmtCreate":1744389065712,"gmtModify":1744392686046,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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行情之多艰,一点苍蝇肉,共勉。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/178b604274b37c6421e209360bb23643","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/423405383566144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":407047507988528,"gmtCreate":1740425896826,"gmtModify":1740433411209,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 今天阿里回调10%,稍稍加仓了一些正股,主要买了165的Call。长期目标看到180。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 今天阿里回调10%,稍稍加仓了一些正股,主要买了165的Call。长期目标看到180。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今天阿里回调10%,稍稍加仓了一些正股,主要买了165的Call。长期目标看到180。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6ccf0f6247b2869228f81d6c7d0238c","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407047507988528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3541403488067812","authorId":"3541403488067812","name":"冰河之恋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12799f9e84ddbe716d59f31b6cdde9cb","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3541403488067812","authorIdStr":"3541403488067812"},"content":"你好 能问一下买的什么时候的期权么[财迷]","text":"你好 能问一下买的什么时候的期权么[财迷]","html":"你好 能问一下买的什么时候的期权么[财迷]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434658367484784,"gmtCreate":1747151271472,"gmtModify":1747153541444,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 持仓了小半年,成本从140,一路加仓摊低到105。关税战最低90多时无弹药可加,现在终于见到曙光。 英伟达期权亏了不少,只能靠正股来填坑。 目标长期持有至180。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 持仓了小半年,成本从140,一路加仓摊低到105。关税战最低90多时无弹药可加,现在终于见到曙光。 英伟达期权亏了不少,只能靠正股来填坑。 目标长期持有至180。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 持仓了小半年,成本从140,一路加仓摊低到105。关税战最低90多时无弹药可加,现在终于见到曙光。 英伟达期权亏了不少,只能靠正股来填坑。 目标长期持有至180。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1e693f58609a31d11d15710a1b8137","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434658367484784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412398603366888,"gmtCreate":1741718241619,"gmtModify":1741747541379,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20250404 190.0 PUT$ </a> 晒一下昨天成交的Put,运气成分多一些。 特斯拉最近麻烦比较多,业绩下滑+政治树敌+高管抛售,短期股价还是不看好。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250404 190.0 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[笑哭]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ce7e7a2ecd349b0650e6fbd693964c7","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408252666909144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547680607221960","authorId":"3547680607221960","name":"nbnbynmm","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3547680607221960","authorIdStr":"3547680607221960"},"content":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。","text":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。","html":"都7块钱一手了,我是不知道你买了多少,涨回150不大可能。不如1:1甚至1:2补仓。把成本打下来,后面来个大反弹,iv抬一抬回本甚至都是可能的。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479237767778488,"gmtCreate":1758036787847,"gmtModify":1758036799952,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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期权练习一年多了,唯二的一次赚钱,整体还是亏了一万多美刀。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26621fbe2fb8f7295b67958089020565","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479237767778488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412399571505688,"gmtCreate":1741718462514,"gmtModify":1741747525656,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 落袋为安,美股最近总让人感觉不太平,回笼资金避一避风头,长期继续看好。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> 落袋为安,美股最近总让人感觉不太平,回笼资金避一避风头,长期继续看好。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 落袋为安,美股最近总让人感觉不太平,回笼资金避一避风头,长期继续看好。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95293185f786a48edab157c3f126481d","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412399571505688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":484737212944496,"gmtCreate":1759373016418,"gmtModify":1759374026819,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ </a> 借用段永平的话,买股票就是买公司,企业的业绩和潜力是决定因素。1月买入,之后亏损,年底开始发力增长。 长期投资的股票,须耐得住寂寞,守得住卖出冲动,直到大目标实现。 我的大目标,希望持有到阿里巴巴股价翻倍(4年前美股220美金时买过阿里巴巴,之后最低跌到约70美金)","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ </a> 借用段永平的话,买股票就是买公司,企业的业绩和潜力是决定因素。1月买入,之后亏损,年底开始发力增长。 长期投资的股票,须耐得住寂寞,守得住卖出冲动,直到大目标实现。 我的大目标,希望持有到阿里巴巴股价翻倍(4年前美股220美金时买过阿里巴巴,之后最低跌到约70美金)","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 借用段永平的话,买股票就是买公司,企业的业绩和潜力是决定因素。1月买入,之后亏损,年底开始发力增长。 长期投资的股票,须耐得住寂寞,守得住卖出冲动,直到大目标实现。 我的大目标,希望持有到阿里巴巴股价翻倍(4年前美股220美金时买过阿里巴巴,之后最低跌到约70美金)","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/580df552b1248462ff3224c256732a23","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/484737212944496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477056837415400,"gmtCreate":1757491330347,"gmtModify":1757491332124,"author":{"id":"3585151682456033","authorId":"3585151682456033","name":"流动的时光BXY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1b3c0ae80e960b3fa74cfae867d77a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585151682456033","authorIdStr":"3585151682456033"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"等着3.99再入手[开心] ","listText":"等着3.99再入手[开心] ","text":"等着3.99再入手[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477056837415400","repostId":"2566656683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2566656683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1757377486,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2566656683?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-09 08:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2566656683","media":"格隆汇","summary":"中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。","content":"<html><body><div>中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DUO\">房多多</a>涨47.38%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MGIH\">禧图集团</a>涨42.14%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUD\">禄达技术</a>涨29.53%。</div></body></html>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动丨中概股36氪收涨92.75%,盘中一度涨超307%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-09 08:24 北京时间 <a href=https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4563":"昨日强势股","KRKR":"36氪","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务"},"source_url":"https://24h.jrj.com.cn/2025/09/09082453006458.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2566656683","content_text":"中概股收盘涨幅前五的个股为:Sentage涨237.13%,36氪涨92.75%,该股盘中一度涨超307%累计熔断超20次,房多多涨47.38%,禧图集团涨42.14%,禄达技术涨29.53%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KRKR":1,"TTTN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}