soulesstps的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2021-11-03

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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-02

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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-01

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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-31

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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-31

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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-06-24

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2021-06-24

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2021-06-24

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Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>

2021-06-24

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2021-06-24

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2021-06-23

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2021-06-23

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2021-06-23

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Confluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote>

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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840665716,"gmtCreate":1635644088271,"gmtModify":1635644088271,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840665716","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840662359,"gmtCreate":1635643985094,"gmtModify":1635643985094,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840662359","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128022719,"gmtCreate":1624495910531,"gmtModify":1634005320356,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rip","listText":"Rip","text":"Rip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128022719","repostId":"2145016997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128022172,"gmtCreate":1624495897896,"gmtModify":1634005320973,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128022172","repostId":"2145513016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128026491,"gmtCreate":1624495884413,"gmtModify":1634005321448,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128026491","repostId":"1123789211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123789211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624495583,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123789211?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123789211","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its as","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123789211","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.\n“As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.\nKaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.\nFed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.\nKaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.\nFed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.\n“If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”\nKaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.\nBut the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.\nMarket participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.\n“I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”\nThe moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.\nWhile noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.\nThe U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.\n“If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128026347,"gmtCreate":1624495871089,"gmtModify":1634005322176,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128026347","repostId":"2145501913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128028716,"gmtCreate":1624495857435,"gmtModify":1634005322424,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128028716","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123887937,"gmtCreate":1624416019329,"gmtModify":1634006421273,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123887937","repostId":"2145061212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123884427,"gmtCreate":1624416006769,"gmtModify":1634006421619,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123884427","repostId":"1115637073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123883732,"gmtCreate":1624415661726,"gmtModify":1634006426584,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087516570387850","authorIdStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123883732","repostId":"1102577790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102577790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624414731,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102577790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Confluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102577790","media":"FXEmpire","summary":"With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in dema","content":"<p>With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?</p><p><blockquote>由于Covid-19大流行后对直播软件的需求激增，Confluence的估值约为83亿美元，收入也随之滚雪球，它希望通过成功的科技IPO来确保自己的未来。然而，在一个似乎很大程度上被炒作席卷的市场中，从长远来看，这次IPO能否成为一项可行的投资？</blockquote></p><p> As part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>根据其监管文件，作为itsIPO的一部分，Confluent打算以每股29美元至33美元的价格发行2300万股股票。该公司希望通过首次公开募股筹集至多7.59亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO准备过程中，Confluence在其文件中声称，该公司的收入在2020年增长了约58%，仅在2021年第一季度就进一步增长了51%，达到7700万美元。尽管该公司去年4月的估值为45亿美元，但该公司乐观地认为，它可以实现这一数字的几乎两倍，因为它的目标是达到83亿美元的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Over-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?</p><p><blockquote>科技IPO承诺过多而交付不足？</blockquote></p><p> Although Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?</p><p><blockquote>尽管Confluence登陆纳斯达克对该公司来说是一个产生一些收入以确保其未来增长的绝佳机会，但投资者是否也将Confluence的IPO视为确保长期意外之财的关键机会？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e771864f123a3f886a6539c7c995ea\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:VisualCapitalist)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：VisualCapitalist）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>如上述数据所示，就规模而言，科技IPO是迄今为止领先的行业，2019年收集数据时的收益为219亿美元，但IPO后的平均回报率也为-4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Does this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.</p><p><blockquote>这一数据是否意味着科技IPO同时犯了过度承诺和兑现不足的错误？Brownstone研究表明，收益和投资者投资回报率之间的差距是由于公司在选择上市之前等待的时间较晚。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.</p><p><blockquote>例如，像亚马逊这样的公司在经历显着增长之前选择上市。然而，如今科技行业的私营公司通常选择更长时间地保持私有状态。这意味着，当它们最终进行首次公开募股时，这些科技公司的规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> As most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数科技公司在上市之前已经经历了早期增长阶段，散户投资者一旦进入公开市场，很可能会被抛在后面。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，当优步在2019年进行IPO时，其企业价值约为750亿美元，这意味着该公司在首次公开募股时已经是亚马逊的171倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近2020年和2021年初的IPO牛市有助于鼓励更多公司尽早上市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d3064cd4bbfd2705d2216f5c236c6fa\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:Financial Times)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：金融时报）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.</p><p><blockquote>由于公司上市的速度前所未有，许多科技公司正在关注他们在Covid-19大流行后产生的收入，并旨在利用这些收入来提高投资者对其上市的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，上市数量甚至超过了世纪之交的互联网繁荣时期，为IPO破纪录的一年奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.</p><p><blockquote>这对Confluence这样的公司和散户投资者意味着什么？嗯，这表明打算尽早上市的公司出现了新的乐观情绪，这意味着散户投资者有机会投资更多可能比平时更具增长潜力的上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.</p><p><blockquote>Freedom Finance Europe投资研究主管马克西姆·曼图罗夫(Maxim Manturov)解释说，散户和机构投资者之间的竞争环境远非公平。曼图罗夫解释说：“后者通常在IPO中获得更大的份额：从历史上看，机构投资者获得约90%的股份，只有约10%用于零售交易。”</blockquote></p><p> “This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”</p><p><blockquote>“这就是配置的来源：当需求高时，经纪商将不得不减少订单金额，以便至少部分填补所有订单。同时，配置比例取决于投资者的交易活动和交易量。”</blockquote></p><p> Confluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype</p><p><blockquote>融合上市概括了科技IPO炒作</blockquote></p><p> Online brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.</p><p><blockquote>在线券商迅速采取行动，适应合并IPO并将其上市供散户投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.</p><p><blockquote>合流上市表明，IPO热潮开始一年后，上市仍在以加速的速度引起人们的兴奋和投资者的兴趣。尽管Confluence将意识到围绕科技IPO的炒作，但该公司将寻求将充满希望的2020年转变为财政安全的未来。如果其中一些增长能够为投资者带来健康的回报，这将是一个好迹象，表明科技股IPO热潮所包含的不仅仅是简单的股市炒作机器。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Confluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nConfluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FXEmpire</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?</p><p><blockquote>由于Covid-19大流行后对直播软件的需求激增，Confluence的估值约为83亿美元，收入也随之滚雪球，它希望通过成功的科技IPO来确保自己的未来。然而，在一个似乎很大程度上被炒作席卷的市场中，从长远来看，这次IPO能否成为一项可行的投资？</blockquote></p><p> As part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>根据其监管文件，作为itsIPO的一部分，Confluent打算以每股29美元至33美元的价格发行2300万股股票。该公司希望通过首次公开募股筹集至多7.59亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO准备过程中，Confluence在其文件中声称，该公司的收入在2020年增长了约58%，仅在2021年第一季度就进一步增长了51%，达到7700万美元。尽管该公司去年4月的估值为45亿美元，但该公司乐观地认为，它可以实现这一数字的几乎两倍，因为它的目标是达到83亿美元的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Over-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?</p><p><blockquote>科技IPO承诺过多而交付不足？</blockquote></p><p> Although Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?</p><p><blockquote>尽管Confluence登陆纳斯达克对该公司来说是一个产生一些收入以确保其未来增长的绝佳机会，但投资者是否也将Confluence的IPO视为确保长期意外之财的关键机会？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e771864f123a3f886a6539c7c995ea\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:VisualCapitalist)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：VisualCapitalist）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>如上述数据所示，就规模而言，科技IPO是迄今为止领先的行业，2019年收集数据时的收益为219亿美元，但IPO后的平均回报率也为-4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Does this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.</p><p><blockquote>这一数据是否意味着科技IPO同时犯了过度承诺和兑现不足的错误？Brownstone研究表明，收益和投资者投资回报率之间的差距是由于公司在选择上市之前等待的时间较晚。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.</p><p><blockquote>例如，像亚马逊这样的公司在经历显着增长之前选择上市。然而，如今科技行业的私营公司通常选择更长时间地保持私有状态。这意味着，当它们最终进行首次公开募股时，这些科技公司的规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> As most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数科技公司在上市之前已经经历了早期增长阶段，散户投资者一旦进入公开市场，很可能会被抛在后面。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，当优步在2019年进行IPO时，其企业价值约为750亿美元，这意味着该公司在首次公开募股时已经是亚马逊的171倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近2020年和2021年初的IPO牛市有助于鼓励更多公司尽早上市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d3064cd4bbfd2705d2216f5c236c6fa\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:Financial Times)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：金融时报）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.</p><p><blockquote>由于公司上市的速度前所未有，许多科技公司正在关注他们在Covid-19大流行后产生的收入，并旨在利用这些收入来提高投资者对其上市的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，上市数量甚至超过了世纪之交的互联网繁荣时期，为IPO破纪录的一年奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.</p><p><blockquote>这对Confluence这样的公司和散户投资者意味着什么？嗯，这表明打算尽早上市的公司出现了新的乐观情绪，这意味着散户投资者有机会投资更多可能比平时更具增长潜力的上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.</p><p><blockquote>Freedom Finance Europe投资研究主管马克西姆·曼图罗夫(Maxim Manturov)解释说，散户和机构投资者之间的竞争环境远非公平。曼图罗夫解释说：“后者通常在IPO中获得更大的份额：从历史上看，机构投资者获得约90%的股份，只有约10%用于零售交易。”</blockquote></p><p> “This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”</p><p><blockquote>“这就是配置的来源：当需求高时，经纪商将不得不减少订单金额，以便至少部分填补所有订单。同时，配置比例取决于投资者的交易活动和交易量。”</blockquote></p><p> Confluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype</p><p><blockquote>融合上市概括了科技IPO炒作</blockquote></p><p> Online brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.</p><p><blockquote>在线券商迅速采取行动，适应合并IPO并将其上市供散户投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.</p><p><blockquote>合流上市表明，IPO热潮开始一年后，上市仍在以加速的速度引起人们的兴奋和投资者的兴趣。尽管Confluence将意识到围绕科技IPO的炒作，但该公司将寻求将充满希望的2020年转变为财政安全的未来。如果其中一些增长能够为投资者带来健康的回报，这将是一个好迹象，表明科技股IPO热潮所包含的不仅仅是简单的股市炒作机器。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hot-air-confluent-aims-become-064318538.html\">FXEmpire</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CFLT":"Confluent, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hot-air-confluent-aims-become-064318538.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102577790","content_text":"With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?\nAs part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.\nIn the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.\nOver-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?\nAlthough Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?\n(Image:VisualCapitalist)\nAs the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.\nDoes this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.\nFor instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.\nAs most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.\nFor instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.\nHowever, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.\n(Image:Financial Times)\nThanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.\nSo far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.\nWhat does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.\nMaxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.\n“This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”\nConfluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype\nOnline brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.\nThe Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CFLT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":841828954,"gmtCreate":1635902294787,"gmtModify":1635902294787,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841828954","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843170647,"gmtCreate":1635815168589,"gmtModify":1635815168589,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843170647","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849394593,"gmtCreate":1635728430973,"gmtModify":1635728430973,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849394593","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840665716,"gmtCreate":1635644088271,"gmtModify":1635644088271,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840665716","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840662359,"gmtCreate":1635643985094,"gmtModify":1635643985094,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840662359","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128022719,"gmtCreate":1624495910531,"gmtModify":1634005320356,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rip","listText":"Rip","text":"Rip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128022719","repostId":"2145016997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128022172,"gmtCreate":1624495897896,"gmtModify":1634005320973,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128022172","repostId":"2145513016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128026491,"gmtCreate":1624495884413,"gmtModify":1634005321448,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128026491","repostId":"1123789211","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123789211","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624495583,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123789211?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123789211","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its as","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Kaplan Sees Hike in 2022, Taper Starting Sooner<blockquote>美联储卡普兰预计2022年加息，更早开始缩减规模</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 08:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——达拉斯联储主席罗伯特·卡普兰表示，美国经济可能会比人们想象的更快达到美联储缩减资产购买的门槛，他预计明年将加息。</blockquote></p><p> “As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们取得实质性的进一步进展，我认为这将比人们预期的更快发生——宜早不宜迟——而且我们正在度过这一流行病，我认为从风险管理的角度来看，我们的情况会好得多。”卡普兰周三在接受彭博新闻社采访时表示：“从角度来看，开始调整这些国债和抵押贷款支持证券的购买。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，他预计2022年利率将从目前接近零的水平上升，因为今明两年通胀率将超过央行2%的目标，失业率将降至4%以下。他拒绝详细说明2023年的利率预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在6月联邦公开市场委员会会议上上调了利率预期。所谓的点阵图是每个参与者利率预测的图形表示，显示了2023年加息两次的预测中值，而3月份没有加息。虽然明年的中位数仍然表明不会加息，但18名参与者中有7人预计会加息。</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰与亚特兰大联储主席拉斐尔·博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德一起公开宣布了他的2022年起飞预测。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在会后的新闻发布会上表示，政策制定者将在即将举行的会议上开始讨论缩减每月1200亿美元的资产购买规模。卡普兰认为，尽快启动这一进程将使官员们在未来加息方面拥有更大的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> “If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果我们进行这些购买的时间超过了必要的时间，对我来说，实际上可能会降低我们调整利率的灵活性。”“假设我们满足条件，我宁愿尽早开始缩减规模，这样我们就可以更灵活地决定未来的利率措施。”</blockquote></p><p> Kaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰预计今年通胀率为3.4%，明年为2.4%。虽然一些价格压力将在未来六个月内缓解，但其他压力可能代表长期趋势。例如，随着向可持续能源过渡的加剧，对半导体的需求可能会进一步增加。</blockquote></p><p> But the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.</p><p><blockquote>但卡普兰表示，当前的数据环境，经济学家很难准确预测波动，需要“适度的谦逊”，这呼应了鲍威尔上周的言论。</blockquote></p><p> Market participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者认为，美联储更加鹰派的利率预测是央行在连续两个月走高后重申其稳定物价承诺的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“我认为美联储强调我们保持警惕，我们致力于将通胀锚定在平均2%，我们致力于以与2%通胀一致的方式锚定通胀预期，这是一件好事。”“我认为强调这一点可能是一件健康的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美联储6月会议后，美国国债市场的走势可能还需要几周时间才能消退，投资者购买长期债务而不是短期票据。</blockquote></p><p> While noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.</p><p><blockquote>虽然卡普兰指出，许多人因提前退休而退出了劳动力市场，但他乐观地认为，25至54岁工人的参与率将会提高，特别是随着学校重新开放面对面学习以及离开劳动力市场的女性重返工作岗位。疫情期间，劳动力数量不成比例。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰表示，美国劳动力市场需要在更广泛的技能培训、增加幼儿教育和wi-fi接入方面进行“不懈的”多年努力，以创造更好的长期劳动力趋势。</blockquote></p><p> “If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.</p><p><blockquote>卡普兰说：“如果劳动力增长放缓或减速，你必须努力提高工人的适应能力并提高生产力，而教育必须成为其中的核心。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-kaplan-sees-hike-2022-193617178.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123789211","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy will likely meet the Federal Reserve’s threshold for tapering its asset purchases sooner than people think, said Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who has penciled in an interest-rate increase next year.\n“As we make substantial further progress, which I think will happen sooner than people expect -- sooner rather than later -- and we’re weathering the pandemic, I think we’d be far better off, from a risk-management point of view, beginning to adjust these purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities,” Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Bloomberg News.\nKaplan says he’s forecasting rate liftoff in 2022 from its current setting near zero, as inflation surpasses the central bank’s 2% goal this year and next and unemployment dips below 4%. He declined to elaborate on his 2023 rate projection.\nFed officials moved up their rate estimates at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The so-called dot plot, a graphical representation of each participant’s rate forecast, showed the median projection calling for two rate increases in 2023, versus none in March. While the median for next year still indicated no rate hike, seven of the 18 participants penciled in liftoff then.\nKaplan is joined in publicly declaring his 2022 liftoff projection by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and James Bullard, head of the St. Louis Fed.\nFed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference following the meeting, indicated that policy makers would start talking about tapering the $120 billion of monthly asset purchases at upcoming meetings. Starting the process sooner would leave officials with more flexibility on future rate increases, Kaplan argued.\n“If we do these purchases longer than might be necessary, for me it actually may reduce our flexibility in adjusting rates,” Kaplan said. “I’d rather start tapering, assuming we meet our conditions, sooner rather than later so that we have more flexibility in deciding what we want to do on rates down the road.”\nKaplan sees inflation of 3.4% this year and 2.4% next year. While some price pressures will moderate over the next six months, others may represent longer-term trends. Demand for semiconductors, for example, is likely to increase further as the transition to sustainable energy sources intensifies.\nBut the current data environment, with swings that have been difficult for economists to accurately forecast, requires a “healthy dose of humility,” Kaplan said, echoing comments made by Powell last week.\nMarket participants saw the Fed’s more hawkish interest-rate forecasts as a way for the central bank to reaffirm its commitment to stable prices following two months of higher readings.\n“I think it’s a good thing for the Fed to emphasize that we’re vigilant and we’re committed to anchoring inflation at an average of 2% and that we’re committed to anchoring inflation expectations in a manner that’s consistent with 2% inflation,” Kaplan said. “I think just emphasizing that is probably a healthy thing.”\nThe moves in Treasury markets following the Fed’s June meeting, with investors buying longer-dated debt instead of short-term bills, may take a few more weeks to wash out, Kaplan said.\nWhile noting that a number of people have dropped out of the labor force due to early retirement, Kaplan is optimistic that the participation rate of workers aged 25 to 54 will improve, especially as schools reopen to in-person learning and women, who left the workforce in disproportionate numbers during the pandemic, return to work.\nThe U.S. labor market needs a “relentless,” multi-year effort in more widespread skills training, increased early-childhood education and access to wi-fi to create better long-term workforce trends, Kaplan said.\n“If your workforce growth is slowing or decelerating, you’ve got to try to improve worker adaptability and improve productivity, and education has got to be central to that,” Kaplan said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128026347,"gmtCreate":1624495871089,"gmtModify":1634005322176,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128026347","repostId":"2145501913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128028716,"gmtCreate":1624495857435,"gmtModify":1634005322424,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128028716","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123887937,"gmtCreate":1624416019329,"gmtModify":1634006421273,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123887937","repostId":"2145061212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123884427,"gmtCreate":1624416006769,"gmtModify":1634006421619,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123884427","repostId":"1115637073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123883732,"gmtCreate":1624415661726,"gmtModify":1634006426584,"author":{"id":"4087516570387850","authorId":"4087516570387850","name":"soulesstps","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087516570387850","idStr":"4087516570387850"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123883732","repostId":"1102577790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102577790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624414731,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102577790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Confluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102577790","media":"FXEmpire","summary":"With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in dema","content":"<p>With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?</p><p><blockquote>由于Covid-19大流行后对直播软件的需求激增，Confluence的估值约为83亿美元，收入也随之滚雪球，它希望通过成功的科技IPO来确保自己的未来。然而，在一个似乎很大程度上被炒作席卷的市场中，从长远来看，这次IPO能否成为一项可行的投资？</blockquote></p><p> As part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>根据其监管文件，作为itsIPO的一部分，Confluent打算以每股29美元至33美元的价格发行2300万股股票。该公司希望通过首次公开募股筹集至多7.59亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO准备过程中，Confluence在其文件中声称，该公司的收入在2020年增长了约58%，仅在2021年第一季度就进一步增长了51%，达到7700万美元。尽管该公司去年4月的估值为45亿美元，但该公司乐观地认为，它可以实现这一数字的几乎两倍，因为它的目标是达到83亿美元的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Over-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?</p><p><blockquote>科技IPO承诺过多而交付不足？</blockquote></p><p> Although Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?</p><p><blockquote>尽管Confluence登陆纳斯达克对该公司来说是一个产生一些收入以确保其未来增长的绝佳机会，但投资者是否也将Confluence的IPO视为确保长期意外之财的关键机会？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e771864f123a3f886a6539c7c995ea\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:VisualCapitalist)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：VisualCapitalist）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>如上述数据所示，就规模而言，科技IPO是迄今为止领先的行业，2019年收集数据时的收益为219亿美元，但IPO后的平均回报率也为-4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Does this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.</p><p><blockquote>这一数据是否意味着科技IPO同时犯了过度承诺和兑现不足的错误？Brownstone研究表明，收益和投资者投资回报率之间的差距是由于公司在选择上市之前等待的时间较晚。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.</p><p><blockquote>例如，像亚马逊这样的公司在经历显着增长之前选择上市。然而，如今科技行业的私营公司通常选择更长时间地保持私有状态。这意味着，当它们最终进行首次公开募股时，这些科技公司的规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> As most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数科技公司在上市之前已经经历了早期增长阶段，散户投资者一旦进入公开市场，很可能会被抛在后面。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，当优步在2019年进行IPO时，其企业价值约为750亿美元，这意味着该公司在首次公开募股时已经是亚马逊的171倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近2020年和2021年初的IPO牛市有助于鼓励更多公司尽早上市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d3064cd4bbfd2705d2216f5c236c6fa\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:Financial Times)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：金融时报）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.</p><p><blockquote>由于公司上市的速度前所未有，许多科技公司正在关注他们在Covid-19大流行后产生的收入，并旨在利用这些收入来提高投资者对其上市的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，上市数量甚至超过了世纪之交的互联网繁荣时期，为IPO破纪录的一年奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.</p><p><blockquote>这对Confluence这样的公司和散户投资者意味着什么？嗯，这表明打算尽早上市的公司出现了新的乐观情绪，这意味着散户投资者有机会投资更多可能比平时更具增长潜力的上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.</p><p><blockquote>Freedom Finance Europe投资研究主管马克西姆·曼图罗夫(Maxim Manturov)解释说，散户和机构投资者之间的竞争环境远非公平。曼图罗夫解释说：“后者通常在IPO中获得更大的份额：从历史上看，机构投资者获得约90%的股份，只有约10%用于零售交易。”</blockquote></p><p> “This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”</p><p><blockquote>“这就是配置的来源：当需求高时，经纪商将不得不减少订单金额，以便至少部分填补所有订单。同时，配置比例取决于投资者的交易活动和交易量。”</blockquote></p><p> Confluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype</p><p><blockquote>融合上市概括了科技IPO炒作</blockquote></p><p> Online brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.</p><p><blockquote>在线券商迅速采取行动，适应合并IPO并将其上市供散户投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.</p><p><blockquote>合流上市表明，IPO热潮开始一年后，上市仍在以加速的速度引起人们的兴奋和投资者的兴趣。尽管Confluence将意识到围绕科技IPO的炒作，但该公司将寻求将充满希望的2020年转变为财政安全的未来。如果其中一些增长能够为投资者带来健康的回报，这将是一个好迹象，表明科技股IPO热潮所包含的不仅仅是简单的股市炒作机器。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Confluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nConfluent Aims to Become a Value Investment Within a Hype-Driven Tech IPO Market<blockquote>Confluent旨在成为炒作驱动的科技IPO市场中的价值投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FXEmpire</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?</p><p><blockquote>由于Covid-19大流行后对直播软件的需求激增，Confluence的估值约为83亿美元，收入也随之滚雪球，它希望通过成功的科技IPO来确保自己的未来。然而，在一个似乎很大程度上被炒作席卷的市场中，从长远来看，这次IPO能否成为一项可行的投资？</blockquote></p><p> As part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>根据其监管文件，作为itsIPO的一部分，Confluent打算以每股29美元至33美元的价格发行2300万股股票。该公司希望通过首次公开募股筹集至多7.59亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>在IPO准备过程中，Confluence在其文件中声称，该公司的收入在2020年增长了约58%，仅在2021年第一季度就进一步增长了51%，达到7700万美元。尽管该公司去年4月的估值为45亿美元，但该公司乐观地认为，它可以实现这一数字的几乎两倍，因为它的目标是达到83亿美元的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Over-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?</p><p><blockquote>科技IPO承诺过多而交付不足？</blockquote></p><p> Although Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?</p><p><blockquote>尽管Confluence登陆纳斯达克对该公司来说是一个产生一些收入以确保其未来增长的绝佳机会，但投资者是否也将Confluence的IPO视为确保长期意外之财的关键机会？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e771864f123a3f886a6539c7c995ea\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:VisualCapitalist)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：VisualCapitalist）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>如上述数据所示，就规模而言，科技IPO是迄今为止领先的行业，2019年收集数据时的收益为219亿美元，但IPO后的平均回报率也为-4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Does this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.</p><p><blockquote>这一数据是否意味着科技IPO同时犯了过度承诺和兑现不足的错误？Brownstone研究表明，收益和投资者投资回报率之间的差距是由于公司在选择上市之前等待的时间较晚。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.</p><p><blockquote>例如，像亚马逊这样的公司在经历显着增长之前选择上市。然而，如今科技行业的私营公司通常选择更长时间地保持私有状态。这意味着，当它们最终进行首次公开募股时，这些科技公司的规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> As most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数科技公司在上市之前已经经历了早期增长阶段，散户投资者一旦进入公开市场，很可能会被抛在后面。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>例如，当优步在2019年进行IPO时，其企业价值约为750亿美元，这意味着该公司在首次公开募股时已经是亚马逊的171倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近2020年和2021年初的IPO牛市有助于鼓励更多公司尽早上市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d3064cd4bbfd2705d2216f5c236c6fa\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Image:Financial Times)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（图片来源：金融时报）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.</p><p><blockquote>由于公司上市的速度前所未有，许多科技公司正在关注他们在Covid-19大流行后产生的收入，并旨在利用这些收入来提高投资者对其上市的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，上市数量甚至超过了世纪之交的互联网繁荣时期，为IPO破纪录的一年奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.</p><p><blockquote>这对Confluence这样的公司和散户投资者意味着什么？嗯，这表明打算尽早上市的公司出现了新的乐观情绪，这意味着散户投资者有机会投资更多可能比平时更具增长潜力的上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.</p><p><blockquote>Freedom Finance Europe投资研究主管马克西姆·曼图罗夫(Maxim Manturov)解释说，散户和机构投资者之间的竞争环境远非公平。曼图罗夫解释说：“后者通常在IPO中获得更大的份额：从历史上看，机构投资者获得约90%的股份，只有约10%用于零售交易。”</blockquote></p><p> “This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”</p><p><blockquote>“这就是配置的来源：当需求高时，经纪商将不得不减少订单金额，以便至少部分填补所有订单。同时，配置比例取决于投资者的交易活动和交易量。”</blockquote></p><p> Confluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype</p><p><blockquote>融合上市概括了科技IPO炒作</blockquote></p><p> Online brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.</p><p><blockquote>在线券商迅速采取行动，适应合并IPO并将其上市供散户投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.</p><p><blockquote>合流上市表明，IPO热潮开始一年后，上市仍在以加速的速度引起人们的兴奋和投资者的兴趣。尽管Confluence将意识到围绕科技IPO的炒作，但该公司将寻求将充满希望的2020年转变为财政安全的未来。如果其中一些增长能够为投资者带来健康的回报，这将是一个好迹象，表明科技股IPO热潮所包含的不仅仅是简单的股市炒作机器。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hot-air-confluent-aims-become-064318538.html\">FXEmpire</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CFLT":"Confluent, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hot-air-confluent-aims-become-064318538.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102577790","content_text":"With sights set on a valuation of around$8.3 billionand snowballing revenue thanks to surges in demand for live streaming software in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, Confluent is hoping to secure its future in a successful tech IPO. However, in a market that appears to be largely swept up in hype, can this IPO become a viable investment over the long term?\nAs part of itsIPO, Confluent intends to offer 23 million shares at a price range of between $29 and $33 per share, according to its regulatory filing. The company hopes to raise up to $759 million in its initial public offering.\nIn the build-up to the IPO, Confluent claimed in its filing that the company’s revenue climbed by around 58% in 2020, and a further 51% over the first quarter of 2021 alone to $77 million. Although the company was valued at $4.5 billion in April last year, the company’s optimistic that it can achieve almost double that sum as it aims to hit an $8.3 billion valuation.\nOver-Promising and Under-Delivering Tech IPOs?\nAlthough Confluent’s arrival on the Nasdaq represents an excellent opportunity for the company to generate some revenue to secure its future growth, will investors also identify Confluent’s IPO as a key opportunity to secure long-term windfall?\n(Image:VisualCapitalist)\nAs the data above shows, tech IPOs are by far the leading sector in terms of size, accounting for $21.9 billion in proceeds in 2019 when the data was collected, however, it also averaged out at a post-IPO return of -4.6%.\nDoes this data mean that tech IPOs are guilty of over-promising and under-delivering simultaneously? Brownstone Research suggests that this gulf between proceeds and investor ROI is down to companies waiting later before they choose to go public.\nFor instance, companies like Amazon opted to go public before they experienced significant growth. However, private companies in the tech sector today are generally choosing to remain private for longer. This means that when they eventually launch an initial public offering, these tech companies are much larger.\nAs most tech companies have already undergone their early stages of growth prior to going public, retail investors are liable to be left topick up the scrapsonce they enter the public markets.\nFor instance, whenUberlaunched an IPO in 2019, its enterprise value of around $75 billion meant that the company was already 171 times larger than Amazon when it launched its initial public offering.\nHowever, the recent IPO bull run of 2020 and early 2021 has helped to embolden more companies to go public sooner rather than later.\n(Image:Financial Times)\nThanks to the unprecedented pace in which companies are going public, many tech firms are looking at the revenues they’ve generated in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and are aiming to use them to drive investor interest in their listing.\nSo far in 2021, the number of listings has eclipsed even that of the dotcom boom at the turn of the century – setting the pace for a record breaking year for IPOs.\nWhat does this mean for companies like Confluent and retail investors alike? Well, it points to newfound levels of optimism in companies aiming to go public sooner rather than later, which means that retail investors have the opportunity to invest in more listings that may have more growth potential than usual.\nMaxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe explains that the playing field between retail and institutional investors is far from level. “It is the latter who usually get the far greater share of an IPO: historically, institutional investors get around 90% of all shares, with only around 10% left for retail trades,” explained Manturov.\n“This is where allocation comes from: when the demand is high, the broker will have to reduce order amounts so as to at least partially fill all of them. The allocation ratio, meanwhile, depends on the investor trading activity and volume.”\nConfluent Listing Encapsulates Tech IPO Hype\nOnline brokerages have moved swiftly in accommodating theConfluent IPOand listing it for retail investors to buy.\nThe Confluent listing shows that one year on from the beginning of the IPO boom, listings are still generating excitement and investor interest at a quickening rate. Although Confluent will be conscious of the hype surrounding tech IPOs, the company will be looking to turn a promising 2020 into a fiscally secure future. If some of that growth can lead to healthy returns for investors along the way, it will be a good sign that the tech IPO boom encapsulates far more than a simple stock market hype machine.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CFLT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}