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Second-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.
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What to Watch.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166973685","media":"Barrons","summary":"When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors","content":"<p>When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.</p>\n<p>Economists polled by FactSet expect the U.S. economy to have grown at a seasonally adjusted 8.5% annualized rate in the June quarter,up from a 6.4% rate in the March quarter. Investors can expect a surge in consumption (which makes up about two-thirds of GDP) as vaccinated consumers over recent months headed back out into a reopened economy. Economists also see a sizeable jump in business fixed investment during the quarter.</p>\n<p>We note, though, that the Atlanta Fed on Wednesday cut its GDP Now estimate to 6.4% from 7.4% a day earlier after the U.S. Census released inventory data. Wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in June, down from a 1.3% pace in May and short of the 1.1% consensus estimate. That may foreshadow a GDP miss relative to expectations Thursday.</p>\n<p>Economists at Goldman Sachs on Wednesday highlighted inventories’ import. “The combination of a surge in demand for goods and severe production bottlenecks has resulted in a sharp drawdown of inventories,” they say, adding that relative to the current level of demand for goods and structures, business inventories are 10% below pre-crisis norms—a $275 billion shortfall representing 1.5% of annual real (or inflation-adjusted) GDP.</p>\n<p>“With consumer demand for goods likely to moderate and the majority of the consumer services rebound behind us, inventory restocking has become a key element of the growth outlook,” Goldman says, making inventories particularly worth watching when GDP is released Thursday.</p>\n<p>If second-quarter GDP does rise somewhere around 8%, as Wall Street expects, investors may see output rise above its pre-Covid level for the first time, says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. That would still leave GDP 2.25% below the level which would have been reached if the pre-Covid pace of growth had been sustained, he says, underpinning the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy still has ground to recover.</p>\n<p>Check back after 8:30 a.m. Eastern time for news and analysis.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 18:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.\nEconomists polled...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166973685","content_text":"When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.\nEconomists polled by FactSet expect the U.S. economy to have grown at a seasonally adjusted 8.5% annualized rate in the June quarter,up from a 6.4% rate in the March quarter. Investors can expect a surge in consumption (which makes up about two-thirds of GDP) as vaccinated consumers over recent months headed back out into a reopened economy. Economists also see a sizeable jump in business fixed investment during the quarter.\nWe note, though, that the Atlanta Fed on Wednesday cut its GDP Now estimate to 6.4% from 7.4% a day earlier after the U.S. Census released inventory data. Wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in June, down from a 1.3% pace in May and short of the 1.1% consensus estimate. That may foreshadow a GDP miss relative to expectations Thursday.\nEconomists at Goldman Sachs on Wednesday highlighted inventories’ import. “The combination of a surge in demand for goods and severe production bottlenecks has resulted in a sharp drawdown of inventories,” they say, adding that relative to the current level of demand for goods and structures, business inventories are 10% below pre-crisis norms—a $275 billion shortfall representing 1.5% of annual real (or inflation-adjusted) GDP.\n“With consumer demand for goods likely to moderate and the majority of the consumer services rebound behind us, inventory restocking has become a key element of the growth outlook,” Goldman says, making inventories particularly worth watching when GDP is released Thursday.\nIf second-quarter GDP does rise somewhere around 8%, as Wall Street expects, investors may see output rise above its pre-Covid level for the first time, says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. That would still leave GDP 2.25% below the level which would have been reached if the pre-Covid pace of growth had been sustained, he says, underpinning the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy still has ground to recover.\nCheck back after 8:30 a.m. Eastern time for news and analysis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808318838,"gmtCreate":1627556426424,"gmtModify":1633763843485,"author":{"id":"4089807936708660","authorId":"4089807936708660","name":"dine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089807936708660","authorIdStr":"4089807936708660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808318838","repostId":"2154578929","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":808315477,"gmtCreate":1627556584599,"gmtModify":1633763840390,"author":{"id":"4089807936708660","authorId":"4089807936708660","name":"dine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089807936708660","authorIdStr":"4089807936708660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808315477","repostId":"1166973685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166973685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627552847,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166973685?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Second-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166973685","media":"Barrons","summary":"When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors","content":"<p>When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.</p>\n<p>Economists polled by FactSet expect the U.S. economy to have grown at a seasonally adjusted 8.5% annualized rate in the June quarter,up from a 6.4% rate in the March quarter. Investors can expect a surge in consumption (which makes up about two-thirds of GDP) as vaccinated consumers over recent months headed back out into a reopened economy. Economists also see a sizeable jump in business fixed investment during the quarter.</p>\n<p>We note, though, that the Atlanta Fed on Wednesday cut its GDP Now estimate to 6.4% from 7.4% a day earlier after the U.S. Census released inventory data. Wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in June, down from a 1.3% pace in May and short of the 1.1% consensus estimate. That may foreshadow a GDP miss relative to expectations Thursday.</p>\n<p>Economists at Goldman Sachs on Wednesday highlighted inventories’ import. “The combination of a surge in demand for goods and severe production bottlenecks has resulted in a sharp drawdown of inventories,” they say, adding that relative to the current level of demand for goods and structures, business inventories are 10% below pre-crisis norms—a $275 billion shortfall representing 1.5% of annual real (or inflation-adjusted) GDP.</p>\n<p>“With consumer demand for goods likely to moderate and the majority of the consumer services rebound behind us, inventory restocking has become a key element of the growth outlook,” Goldman says, making inventories particularly worth watching when GDP is released Thursday.</p>\n<p>If second-quarter GDP does rise somewhere around 8%, as Wall Street expects, investors may see output rise above its pre-Covid level for the first time, says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. That would still leave GDP 2.25% below the level which would have been reached if the pre-Covid pace of growth had been sustained, he says, underpinning the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy still has ground to recover.</p>\n<p>Check back after 8:30 a.m. Eastern time for news and analysis.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Quarter GDP Will Likely Be Robust, but It May Disappoint. What to Watch.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 18:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.\nEconomists polled...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/second-quarter-gdp-will-likely-be-robust-but-it-may-disappoint-what-to-watch-51627510263?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166973685","content_text":"When the first read on second quarter gross domestic product is reported Thursday morning, investors will see a healthy gain in output. But investors should brace for disappointment.\nEconomists polled by FactSet expect the U.S. economy to have grown at a seasonally adjusted 8.5% annualized rate in the June quarter,up from a 6.4% rate in the March quarter. Investors can expect a surge in consumption (which makes up about two-thirds of GDP) as vaccinated consumers over recent months headed back out into a reopened economy. Economists also see a sizeable jump in business fixed investment during the quarter.\nWe note, though, that the Atlanta Fed on Wednesday cut its GDP Now estimate to 6.4% from 7.4% a day earlier after the U.S. Census released inventory data. Wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in June, down from a 1.3% pace in May and short of the 1.1% consensus estimate. That may foreshadow a GDP miss relative to expectations Thursday.\nEconomists at Goldman Sachs on Wednesday highlighted inventories’ import. “The combination of a surge in demand for goods and severe production bottlenecks has resulted in a sharp drawdown of inventories,” they say, adding that relative to the current level of demand for goods and structures, business inventories are 10% below pre-crisis norms—a $275 billion shortfall representing 1.5% of annual real (or inflation-adjusted) GDP.\n“With consumer demand for goods likely to moderate and the majority of the consumer services rebound behind us, inventory restocking has become a key element of the growth outlook,” Goldman says, making inventories particularly worth watching when GDP is released Thursday.\nIf second-quarter GDP does rise somewhere around 8%, as Wall Street expects, investors may see output rise above its pre-Covid level for the first time, says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. That would still leave GDP 2.25% below the level which would have been reached if the pre-Covid pace of growth had been sustained, he says, underpinning the Federal Reserve’s view that the economy still has ground to recover.\nCheck back after 8:30 a.m. Eastern time for news and analysis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808318838,"gmtCreate":1627556426424,"gmtModify":1633763843485,"author":{"id":"4089807936708660","authorId":"4089807936708660","name":"dine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089807936708660","authorIdStr":"4089807936708660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808318838","repostId":"2154578929","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805043973,"gmtCreate":1627828055692,"gmtModify":1633756092601,"author":{"id":"4089807936708660","authorId":"4089807936708660","name":"dine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089807936708660","authorIdStr":"4089807936708660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805043973","repostId":"1147877145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805040975,"gmtCreate":1627827818197,"gmtModify":1633756094374,"author":{"id":"4089807936708660","authorId":"4089807936708660","name":"dine","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089807936708660","authorIdStr":"4089807936708660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805040975","repostId":"1159296868","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
